People who have been vaccinated before or after getting Covid end up with "super-immunity"
""In both cases, the immune response measured in blood serum revealed antibodies that were equally more abundant and more potent – at least 10 times more potent – than immunity generated by vaccination alone," the authors wrote."
Therefore, after Omicron has swept through, and a large proportion of the population has had it, there would seem to be no justification to continue on with vaccine mandates as we should be highly resistant to Covid going forward.
We are not there yet. Yesterday you did not read a comment from me correctly, and you did not correct your mistake. There will be more deaths, as there will be a greater numbers sick both in QLD and Here
To produce the results of a small study to talk down required health processes in a pandemic is not helpful. It is pleasing progress but not a signal to remove health measures.
The majority of the protestors represent groups who have been disadvantaged in life or by the orders, sometimes for personal choices.
Democracy is the majority vote for a party or aligned parties. Anything else where non elected groups gain control is anarchy. This is an emergency, as we do not have the facilities or the medical personnel to deal with a steep rise in omicron cases.
It is milder in the fully vaccinated but still very dangerous to some with underlying conditions. Asthma heart disease and diabetes to name a few. People with these conditions are not always old.
When Omicron has swept through
Wow, you think it won't affect you. After our family's experience in NSW and QLD, I don't think you really have grasped what is coming, and will go on for some time absolutely flattening medical staff and many frontline workers leaving some with lifelong effects. Try not to be so glib.
Except it is not just one study, if you care to read the second link I put up:
It looks like several studies are saying the same thing, and the results appear to be confirmed in the real world.
"Over the last four months, the Rockefeller team's findings have been repeatedly observed in real life. People who have recovered from a Covid-19 infection in the past, and then been vaccinated, appear to be more resilient to the new variants, from Delta to Omicron.''
"A recent study from scientists in Boston and South Africa found that people who had been previously infected with a form of Covid-19, before having two vaccine doses and a booster, had greater immunity against Omicron – the closest thing in real life to Rockefeller's artificial virus.''
Studies will be plenty in coming. Surely you are not using these two studies to suggest a slackening of our Covid response just as Omicron is hitting us?
Why would there be any justification to encourage people to chance luck on getting Omicron, vaccinated or not when instead of getting a super immunity the dice rolls and they get Long Covid.
By all means study, study, study but 'two swallows do not a summer make'
'To produce the results of a small study to talk down required health processes in a pandemic is not helpful. It is pleasing progress but not a signal to remove health measures.' My bolding.
Our Omicron 'trial' has yet to hit us fully, some posters seem to forget that, certainly the protesters have as they are suggesting lifting health precautions before Omicron has hit us full force.
True. Grant is improving, but Robyn has another virus as well so is extremely unwell in hospital and we are anxious. It appalls me how cavalier some are about others lives. I hope he remains unscathed, but this is looking less likely.
I also have family in Australia who have contracted the virus, both through the Delta and Omicron strains.
My sister, just recovering from Delta then contracted Omicron. She was hospitalised for treatment for Delta.
It's a hard time to be separated from loved ones. All the best to you and yours.
Omicron, unfortunately, will sweep through NZ.
We are only going to truly understand how much impact these will have when we are standing on the other side looking back.
So true Molly. We have been so lucky so far, but truly my brother lives in a small settlement in Culburra NSW, he said they have 238 people in their local hospital from a population of 3500.
My sister is rather stoic, and also caring for her grandchildren when she can. Since last seeing her, we have been through a close bereavement which she was unable to attend, and the most recent lockdown meant she missed the memorial as well. I suspect she also may have long Covid as she is still having respiratory difficulties. My mother is planning to visit for a couple of months in April, and I'm sure that for both of them, this will be a mixed reunion – joy, grief and relief all.
The pandemic has given many the opportunity to evaluate what is important.
The result for some, is to fully experience losses and joy.
I hope you get to do the latter when you meet again.
Sorry to hear that your family is struggling with the virus Patricia, and here's hoping that with time they will recover.
As a matter of interest…is there any interest in the Vitamin D levels in Covid patients in Australia? I know that here in NZ, and in many parts of the world, it is considered almost anti-vax to mention such matters but the evidence has been around for a while and is now gaining some traction with the poor performance of the mRNA products.
Due to the highly contagious nature of COVID-19 and the increased morbidity and mortality with no appropriate therapy and vaccine, one must be cautious and do everything to help COVID-19 patients. In hospitals and other health care settings to decrease cross-contamination, holding other non-essential medications is taking place. Discontinuing Vitamins could increase the mortality and morbidity of those affected, especially in deficient/insufficient individuals. Obtaining serum 25 (OH) D levels in all patients with viral respiratory infections, especially COVID-19, could help in the detection and treatment of Vitamin D deficiency and potentially decrease recovery time and improve outcome. Even though evidence suggests that vitamin D has the anti-inflammatory, antiviral properties, randomized double-blinded controlled trials are needed to verify this further, and to understand Vitamin D and COVID-19 better.
I have never been a pill taker. I have to be barely capable of walking before pain will force me to take a couple of panadol.
But I have been taking (along with Peter) Vit D and K2 for the past couple of months. Awful joint pain is massively alleviated, and I'm sleeping better (some of the time) and I swear my brain is functioning slightly better. I have more energy. Neither Peter or I have partaken of the Pfizer product but we are not Covid deniers or irresponsible. We take precautions, without being neurotic, and try to eat well and be responsive if we feel we may have encountered Te Virus. Old tried and true interventions which have sadly been demonised in these strange times.
Building up your immunity is a good thing. Thanks Rosemary. We have had both delta and omicron in family in Victoria NSW and now QLD. Their experiences tell us we think we are prepared but really we are not.
People who spend a lot of time out of doors would probably have high levels of vitamin D. And the virus is said to be less contagious out of doors, so any apparent benefits from vitamin D may be merely coincidental. But that’s just my opinion.
Woman in perimenopause often lose the ability to photosynthesise Vitamin D from the sun, even with large amounts of exposure.
Of four woman friends of my advanced aged who tested for Vitamin D – all four were found to be severely deficient. I don't know if this is connected to the leaching of minerals from the body when childbearing or not, but I do know that it is an unlooked for and untreated Vitamin deficiency for many.
The test itself will not be given without a clinical reason by the state. You will have to pay for it yourself. And even though my paid test revealed a severely deficient Vitamin D levels that required a daily dose for a week of high dose supplements, there is no 'clinical need' for a subsequent test to ensure that level is adequate. I'll have to pay for it again to check.
mikesh…the study, one of many published over the past decade or so, I linked to and quoted is not talking about Vit D's involvement in catching and transmitting respiratory viruses but how one's levels of Vit D might contribute towards the body's ability to fight off especially respiratory viruses.
I have learned much about this over the past couple of years…. mostly restricting my reading to papers published prior to 2020.
Thank you mary_a, Grant shows steady improvement but is suffering a case of brain fog. That is so bad in Robyn she did not recognise him on the 'phone.You can imagine the pain of that.
We live in strange times and need to support each other in ways we never imagined. All those with sick family as mary_a says "kia kaha " better days will come.
Therefore, after Omicron has swept through, and a large proportion of the population has had it, there would seem to be no justification to continue on with vaccine mandates as we should be highly resistant to Covid going forward.
Assuming the combination of vaccine and infection infects a massive number of people (not something to cheer for) and still provides transmission protection against [looks up Ancient Greek alphabet] psi variant in two years or so, then what about the people born into a world where covid is globally endemic?
If the dominant variants of covid evolve a few generations away into mild, so it's unlikely to jump back into a killer – maybe. But it's a function of lethality and transmission.
You're still not thinking this through. You're looking for a key to get out of this, but really, we need to learn to live with it. Emphasis on "live". If not covid 19, then the next hyper-infectious disease to spread globally.
You are right. We have to live with multitudes of infectious diseases now, and one day Covid will just be one of many in our background of infectious diseases.
So, I am not sure what your point is.
"then what about the people born into a world where covid is globally endemic?''
People have always been born into a world where there is some endemic disease they have never encountered before due to the fact they have never existed in this world before. But that is a very trivial thing to say, so I am not sure why you are making a point of it.
"If the dominant variants of covid evolve a few generations away into mild, so it's unlikely to jump back into a killer – maybe. But it's a function of lethality and transmission."
"Mild" is both a function of the disease itself and herd immunity in the population to that disease.
"You're looking for a key to get out of this, but really, we need to learn to live with it''
Herd immunity is a good start as per the articles I pointed to. Other than that, we live with countless numbers of diseases now, so I don't really get your point.
"Emphasis on "live". If not covid 19, then the next hyper-infectious disease to spread globally.''
We have learned a lot as a species from Covid. Hopefully we can apply those lessons going forward.
In case you haven't noticed, people born into a world of highly infectious disease with not vaccines either caught it and maybe died, or isolated under an outbreak burned itself out.
If the population immunity isn't sufficient, people born into the covid world will need the vaccine. Mandate continues.
Your idea for the end of mandates is based on "if". If the proportion of unvaccinated is small enough to not make a mathematical impossibility of a large enough proportion of the population being vaccinated and gotten omicron, then NZ will be fine – until the proportion of unvaccinated people rises again (called births).
If a new variant emerges with further distance from the virus that the vaccines were designed to fight, your "if" becomes less likely. So maybe we'll need mandates permanently in many professions. Maybe not to the extent we need them today, but for a lot of people what was "recommended" in 2019 will be mandatory. Keep up with your vaccinations, or you're out.
"In case you haven't noticed, people born into a world of highly infectious disease with not vaccines either caught it and maybe died, or isolated under an outbreak burned itself out.''
It is a good thing we have vaccines for most diseases dangerous to children then (sigh).
But, we don't tend to give children the flu vaccine because a lot of diseases tend to be more dangerous to adults than children. From what I have read, the only young children who have died from Covid in Australia have had severe underlying conditions, sad as it was.
But I expect we will eventually get annual vaccines for Covid as well. Perhaps it could be incorporated into the annual flu vaccine. Who knows.
Firstly, fuck off with the "underlying conditions" bullshit. Vulnerable people deserve to live, too.
Secondly, covid is not the flu.
Thirdly, annual shots are one thing – but whether those vaccinations are mandatory for all or some is another.
Yes, we do have vaccines for lots of diseases. But where the few nutters could cause isolated and controllable clusters of, say, measles, we might still need everyone who can to be vaccinated, or somewhat isolated if they refuse.
"Firstly, fuck off with the "underlying conditions" bullshit. Vulnerable people deserve to live, too.''
You are being disingenuous. You know very well that I am saying that Covid does not seem to be a major problem for children unless there is an unusual reason for it.
I agree children with underlying conditions deserve to live, as we all do. But, sometimes, people have such serious conditions that they are vulnerable to any extra illness load, whatever the virus.
"Secondly, covid is not the flu.''
I wasn't aware that there was a singular ''the flu'' virus. If you are saying it is not "a'' flu, then define what a ''flu'' actually is, and why Covid isn't that.
''Thirdly, annual shots are one thing – but whether those vaccinations are mandatory for all or some is another.''
Mandatory vaccination is in conflict with clause 11 of the bill of rights. If you think it should be mandatory, do you think we should be holding people down and shoving it into their arms?
''we might still need everyone who can to be vaccinated, or somewhat isolated if they refuse.''
How long do you think people will put up with that in a free an democratic society? If strong herd immunity develops as per my opening post, then this should not be necessary going forward. Not with Covid, anyway.
You are being disingenuous. You know very well that I am saying that Covid does not seem to be a major problem for children unless there is an unusual reason for it.
Go on, why are "underlying conditions" relevant? Even if a kid is at death's door, they shouldn't have covid available to carry them over the threshold. Preventing those deaths should be just as important as preventing the deaths of anyone else.
On current Covid evolution trends, I can't see us retaining mandates or restriction frameworks on a wide scale beyond this year, if that long, and likewise for MIQ. The PM certainly didn't sound like she was keen to continue with them unless health advice was that it was still necessary. Maybe there would still be some justification for workers who will come into contact with Covid regularly in their work e.g. those who deal with international passengers and health workers.
Until we've reached the other side of the wave, the effectiveness of both being vaccinated and contracting Covid suggests to me at least that vaccine mandates and restrictions still have a place.
If Covid evolved further to become significantly more lethal, then restrictions would probably return/remain, but whether to use a version of the old level system or the current framework would come down to whether the vaccines were still effective and how transmissible the new variant was.
If we ended up with a variant that was more transmissible than Omicron, immune to vaccines and as lethal as something like Diphtheria (5-10% fatality rate) or Smallpox (30% fatality rate), not sure how that would be handled – probably a strong version of the levels and very strict MIQ protocols or even a total border closure. If it was the same but vaccines still had a strong effectiveness rate, then the framework would be fine but might need beefing up to try to keep unvaccinated people from dying.
As you are very well aware these Vaers posts are self reported and any and all sorts of rubbish not caused by the vaccines are posted there.
The only things worth looking at are the figures that have been analysed. It is just raw data. I only pay attention to the analyses. As the topic has been discussed on here exhaustively I can only assume that you are disregarding the value and limitations of this reporting for your own purposes.
So I am very happy with my vaccination experiences.
What's the problem? Shanreagh mistook the MoH site for Vaers (here's another really good reason to stop embedding links, then people can see what they go to). Their point applies to the MoH site as well as far as I can tell.
btw, I suggested to you yesterday to do a reply to me, because mods don't read comments in real time. Here you are instead making a stand alone comment which I've only just seen. Next suggestion is to slow down, and follow moderator directions.
You'd think if a reader saw the blue print they'd click and read…no?
Perhaps not.
Shanreagh…ably abetted by McFlock, failed to click and read and went flying off the handle making assertions (and barely veiled ad homs) about something I had not referenced at all.
And again failed to check when I challenged.
Finally Shanreagh admitted error (laziness, contempt for my posts?) but it is too late. And not at all genuine as they persist in transferring the same criticisms of VAERS onto CARM. https://nzphvc.otago.ac.nz/carm/
Their point applies to the MoH site as well as far as I can tell.
What point are they making? And why does it apply to the MOH site as far as you can tell?
If CARM and the regular Safety Reports are of no use whatsoever why are they published?
Because sometimes they're useful and elegant I guess. Sometimes they're just a pain, like in fast moving, contentious debates.
You'd think if a reader saw the blue print they'd click and read…no?
Actually no. The onus is on the person making a point to make it as clearly as possible. Lots of people don't have time, including mods. Making it transparent helps the debate.
Okay…then why on earth would someone reply to another's post…specifically to denigrate and insult.. when they haven't bothered to actually properly read the entire post.
This is most certainly not entering into a good faith debate.
As you are very well aware these Vaers posts are self reported and any and all sorts of rubbish not caused by the vaccines are posted there.
The only things worth looking at are the figures that have been analysed. It is just raw data. I only pay attention to the analyses. As the topic has been discussed on here exhaustively I can only assume that you are disregarding the value and limitations of this reporting for your own purposes.
So I am very happy with my vaccination experiences.
This seems well within TS commenting culture. They make a mistake re vaers, but what they are saying applies to the MoH. The points are clear, there's no personal abuse, they've explained something technical and they've expressed an opinion about your argument.
I saw a comment suggesting a reasonable commenter had made "wild and inaccurate accusations without any supporting evidence". I was curious to see whether that commenter had dropped the ball enough to warrant dragging a disagreement into the following day's open mike.
I clicked on the link further down the thread to an actual comment, and the comment seemed reasonable to me. And covered well-travelled ground about an adverse events database. That has been discussed ad nauseum.
Apparently it should have referred to other adverse events reports that have been discussed ad nauseum. However, this was a bit unclear, as your description of the problem simply involved two large cut&pastes.
So I responded to the bit that seemed reasonable, based on what your problem seemed to be, as best as I could determine.
BTW, the wider point applies across VAERS and CARM because they're the same sorts of tools for different countries. They prefer redundant or multiple reports for every event (even events people think are coincidences), rather than people assuming someone else filed the report so nobody files. They can only collate and filter out data, not filter in.
Analysis↑
The CARM database provides New Zealand-specific information on adverse reactions to medicines and vaccines. CARM monitors and analyses the database for the identification of new signals, or important patterns, clusters or unusual events or practices that could have significance for medicine safety and prescribing practices in New Zealand
Database extracts↑
The CARM database is the source for regular report outputs that support NZ Pharmacovigilance. These include:
Medsafe – Regular reports are often generated to support the ongoing monitoring in special situations and in the early phases of the use of new products such as the seasonal influenza immunisation programme or the introduction of new vaccine. CARM also has a weekly teleconference with Medsafe which facilitates discussion around issues of pharmacovigilance relevance to New Zealand.
This process of monitoring the safety of pharmaceuticals is by necessity a real time, constantly up- dated process. Else what is the point? Too late when six months down the track they process the raw data and discover a very significant safety signal. No?
Comments about the limits of VAERS (not criticisms, it does what it is supposed to do, but it is a tool for a very precise purpose) have been repeated regularly for the last few years, every time some nutbar tries to do the data equivalent of hammering a nail with a coping saw.
I'm surprised you've missed all previous discussions of it.
For fucks sakes. Jesus wept. What is wrong with you people?
I did not mention VAERS in my original post.
Shanreagh pulled VAERS out from godknowswhere in their comment to me.
Whilst carefully ignoring the very latest "Safety" Report from Medsafe that I linked to.
Why the fuck would I refer to VAERS when it is based in the US?
I referred to our very own government run reporting ' Covid vaccine adverse effects' system.
I'm surprised you failed to to see that. Your comprehension skills lacking? Too many words for you to cope with at one go?
Now..in the interests of you not being a complete and utter fuckwit… do you have anything to say about the number of reported cases of anaphylaxis after a Covid shot tripling within a month?
You being a keen numbers guy I assume you're following these safety reports? I assume you have noticed that over half of the reports are from nurses, doctors, pharmacists, vaccinators and 'other'?
Sorry my fault I meant our own system, from Medsafe.
This is a database that collects information. Until that info has been tested and examined, that it is all it is. To make conclusions before this analysis has been done is very misleading.
Rosemary, we have been through the value or not of these reports many many times on TS.
I actually follow them too.
Public patients are by far the most 21, 000 odd. This is what I call raw data and these are among the ones that will be researched to see if they meet the criteria.
We have had two deaths, subject to Coroners opinions. Many treatments or procedures have averse consequences, just try reading the Medsafe leaflet for any commonly prescribed tablets etc.
Unlike you I don't have any great faith in my fellow country people to know the causation/correlation between the vaccines and illnesses. However without anyone providing the raw data we would not have the material for professionals to work through.
I think that for people in the street to make conclusions when they know nothing about the topic is what I call rubbish.
From what I can see the database is just being sorted by the owners of the database. This is commonly done when any public comments are sought and people are looking through them.
Any day of the week you can look at local authorities/govt depts who have sought comments or input from the public. Any day of the week these are being sorted and any day of the week they are being analysed after they have been grouped. Some of the comments/input sought are time limited others are ongoing.
Until the reports behind the collection of inputs are analysed then it is just that, a collection of inputs. The so-called analysing at this stage by unqualified members of the public and the extrapolation that goes on is what I call 'rubbish'
You complained about inaccuracy in Shanreagh's comment "without supporting evidence". So I provided supporting evidence.
As for medsfe, assuming they filter out the alien abductions from the NZ reporting system…
Now..in the interests of you not being a complete and utter fuckwit… do you have anything to say about the number of reported cases of anaphylaxis after a Covid shot tripling within a month?
Yeah. It's still fuckall out of 9,454,911 doses. Probably well within the confidence intervals. Even if every event were related to the vaccine.
You really have sunk deep down the rabbit hole haven't you? To harp back to the VAERS system y'all like to focus on… one commentary is that if the vaccine adverse effects system is so broken…why don't the US government agencies who set it up fix the fucking thing?
So what you are saying is that there is nothing at all significant about the total number of reports of anaphylaxis tripling in a one month period?
How can that happen? Did Medsafe decide to simply dump a whole lot of anaphylaxis complaints they had not added to previous Safety Reports into this latest one? Why would they do this?
And the same criticism would apply to our vaccine safety system…if its broke…fix the damn thing. Or else what purpose does it serve?
And I presume you statistical experts do download the actual raw data from the bottom of each Safety Report?
Latest listing of all cases received
The latest listing of AEFIs received is included in the attached spreadsheet. Medsafe advises patients NOT to make any decisions about vaccination based on information contained here.
"So what you are saying is that there is nothing at all significant about the total number of reports of anaphylaxis tripling in a one month period?"
If you look at reports 38, 39 and 40 they report total doses administered cumulatively. These are
Nov-2021 = 7726319 doses
Dec-2021 = 8184892 doses
Jan-2022 = 9454911 doses
Taking the differences
the doses in December were 458,573.
the doses in January were 1,270,019.
This is very rough but, broadly speaking 3x as many doses were delivered in January as the month before. So 3x the rate of reports is hardly surprising.
Hmmm. But then the reports should be done by month, too. So nov 103 Anaphylaxis, dec 112, jan 353: that's 9 for December and 240-odd for January. Which is actually getting to pretty big rate differences, by the pricking in my thumbs.
Whether the data's good, or late, or whatever… who knows. I'm not worried just yet.
Its a completely insufficient analysis of the data. The only point is to highlight that Medsafe reports are not ignoring an important issue (while presenting it in broad daylight) and you should refer to their much better analysis of safety signals.
one commentary is that if the vaccine adverse effects system is so broken…why don't the US government agencies who set it up fix the fucking thing?
It's not "broken". It's a scoop. Contents of the scoop are then analysed by people who aren't morons in order to find data that can lead to useful information with further analysis. Some folks like to use the scoop as a pneumatic drill, a purpose for which it was neither designed nor is it capable of fulfilling.
So what you are saying is that there is nothing at all significant about the total number of reports of anaphylaxis tripling in a one month period?
If the word is used to mean "statistically significant", i.e. the variation is outside the expected norms for that period, it might be "significant". It might not be significant. The numbers are small compared to the denominators. There might be a reporting lag. There might be an increase in the number of reports if ten people report the same incident, especially with some folks outright making up stories about people collapsing in vaccination centres, maybe they're filing reports too.
So actual researchers examine the reports and figure out how many people were affected, what factors they have in common, and what can be done to lower the number. But they don't go "tripling within a month" and lose their shit. They do actual research, which is then examined and replicated by other actual researchers. Then someone who knows what they're talking about updates the publicly available information, issues a statement, and then has to take extra care about their personal security until the nutbars quiet down.
Agree McFlock. Why are lay people still trying to interpret this data?
While they may sieve out interpalnetary addresses they will still have, paricualalry in the patient provided detials some very hairy conclusins about vaccines and these are entered with no moderation at input time.
Analysis comes much later. To get enough entries on which to carry out a scientific analysis the net is set wide with the expectation that the dross will be removed when the analysis has been done.
Even actual researchers. But that's why they throw shit around to each other (sorry, "peer review" formally and informally) and try some systematic article research techniques.
Even then some big calls took a while to be accepted as actually being true – germ theory & continental drift come to mind.
So, the purpose of gathering this information from vaccine recipients is what? Why release a regular Report? Why the Summary of safety signals chart towards the end of each report?
It can give an unfiltered and uninvestigated heads up to people who know what they are looking at. It is not meant for interested 'irks and jerks' like you and me to be drawing any conclusions, we just do not have the experience, training and the actual raw data to look at and investigate.
Can you imagine the conspiracy theories that would arise if NZ Govt said 'oh by the way we are inviting people to contribute but we are not letting anyone look at it'
NZ has had an Official Info Act since 1982 and one of the purposes is
'to increase progressively the availability of official information to the people of New Zealand in order—
(i)
to enable their more effective participation in the making and administration of laws and policies; and
(ii)
to promote the accountability of Ministers of the Crown and officials,—
and thereby to enhance respect for the law and to promote the good government of New Zealand:…….."
I just do not see the point in making too much of this before it is analysed.
A family member who is a dispatcher for a major freight firm told me this morning that they are already having big problems picking up from factories and warehouses because of shortness of staff. The next month is going to be pretty difficult by the look of it.
I read it. I tend to follow embedded links which will hopefully take me to peer reviewed research that will verify the claim being defended.
The first such links I followed to me to other pages on this author's blog.
Hmmm…not a good start is it? I set a high bar.
A bit like Stuff's Whole Truth series…A link within a debunking article that links to another debunking article from the same stable, which links to yet another debunking article is totally shit debunking.
Interesting,according to your link Omicron is far more dangerous than previous strains.i.e death,more likely
14x compared to Omicron 68x!
for October (the most recent complete month at the time I’m writing this; see update below) showed that, compared to vaccinated individuals, unvaccinated individuals were 5 times more likely to test positive for COVID and 14 times more likely to die from COVID (also see Yek et al. 2022)!
I
Update 30-1-2022: The updated CDC data (going through December 25 2021)show that the unvaccinated are 13X more likely to test positive for COVID and 68X more likely to die from COVID, compared to people with three doses of the vaccine.
The comparison I mentioned is about unvaccinated in October 2021 compared to unvaccinated in January 2022,and their 'likeliehood of dying'-i.e 14x more in Oct vs 68x more in Jan.
That is a significant difference.
Correct me if I'm wrong in thinking Omicron was not prevalent in Oct 2021.
Are not Delta and Omicron both Covid variants and the very same vaccines have been administered to deal with each?
Its not a comparison of disease risks, its a comparison of how much protection vaccination offers, in those multiples.
Though I would have intuitively expected less difference in protection for Omicron, not more. Its plausible that vaccination is keeping people much further from the level of sickness where it kills them, compared to unvaccinated, even though its also less deadly for unvaccinated.
"So are the unvaccinated now more at risk …or not?"
We don't know from that statement either way. The statement claims from the unknown baseline they will be 68x better off if vaccinated now, but 14x better off in October however.
The unknown-ness of the base line in not that relevant anyway because it depends on all the things effecting transmission and infection risk anyway. For example about Jan, Feb, Mar of 2021 the virus wasn't in NZ so going around in a mask was not protecting anybody. But at the same time in the US and UK there was real risk of becoming infected.
Well, what happened there was you asked a question and I answered it, but I added lots of punctuation in order to make light of your unconventional grammatical style.
Another day, another inbox filled with messages like the following. At some times in a day it is pretty continuous.
So far 'today' (UTC timezone) we have had 24,077 attempts repelled of varying levels of complexity, and that is just in the mid-layer defences. There will be a similar number in the exterior DDoS defences. Plus of course the attacks trough other ports.
Fortunately there are few that get through to the interior defences.
thestandard.org.nz Increased Attack Rate
This email was sent from your website "The Standard" by the XXX plugin at Thursday 17th of February 2022 at 08:24:56 AM Below is a sample of these recent attacks:
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 2405:201:a407:80b2:d4ea:1a1e:f577:b361 (India) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 101.117.2.48 (Australia) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 101.117.2.48 (Australia) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 79.69.50.193 (United Kingdom) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 79.69.50.193 (United Kingdom) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 2a02:a211:a82:c800:2c4f:4630:2874:65bc (Netherlands) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 2a02:a211:a82:c800:2c4f:4630:2874:65bc (Netherlands) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:23pm 2405:201:a407:80b2:d4ea:1a1e:f577:b361 (India) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:23pm 2405:201:a407:80b2:d4ea:1a1e:f577:b361 (India) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:23pm 101.117.2.48 (Australia) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
That is a pretty major increase over the last few months. I used to get one of these notifications about once a week. Now I'm getting more than 100 per day.
They only get sent out when there are more than 100 attempts noticed in a 10 minute period, I'm probably only getting a peak sampling.
Each IP gets blocked for malicious content immediately for about 5 minutes.
In this case probably to insert do one of the following..
Inject code into the site using one of the known wordpress/php buffer issues or access points to grab site control.
Inject client size malware into the site as a comment or a post so it infects the computers of people reading the site – typically by a link.
This isn't exactly abnormal. We get tens of millions of these attempts per year normally. You see the occasional comment flow into moderation. We have only had one breach. That was back in 2008 when someone managed to do a file rewrite on a footer file due to a file permission issue after moving the site to a different machine.
Where's the businesses indicators of this great economy?
Quote from ADs link:
Robbo Robertson:
“This better-than-expected result shows the strength of the economy as restrictions in response to the Delta outbreak were eased. Once again it demonstrates that our health-led approach since the start of the pandemic to protect lives and jobs and livelihoods has been the right one,” Grant Robertson said.''
That's not what business owners are telling talkback.
Now for the good oil on what's really happening:
Quote from Mikey:
''No, I'm not for spending endless amounts of money we don’t have, but I am for fairness. Stop the school sandwiches or the cameras on the fishing boats or the marae renovations or all the other crap you’ve used the Covid fund for and help the people who drive the economy.''
Beats government by government? Yeah, let's use the opportunity to change things up. Let's go to a local pub or two, grab the village idiot there who knows everything, get Bishop Tamaki, Billy Te Kahika, Philip Arps a demented wahine from Te Tai Tokerau who thinks vaccines are the devil's sperm and a woman from Whanganui who thinks vaccines cause autism. They can be the government. Oh with Mike Hosking of course.
How would that work? Let's see… Tamaki will think he should be in charge because he has a direct line to God.
Billy TK has claimed billionaires have developed weaponised viruses to enslave humanity so he knows his stuff and has the global perspective. Of course his followers agree with him but his credibility is a tad lower than it was since one of his claims didn't come to fruition. "He's claimed the government was authorising military to enter people's homes, and is planning to implement forced vaccinations."
The women? They'd be there not just for gender balance but for loony lack of science balance.
Ah, Mike. Tamaki might think he has a direct line to God, but trumping him will be Mike, because Mike thinks he is God.
Arps? I didn't deliberately miss him out, there's one slight problem with him in the group – whisper this – some of them have brown skin!
How about we just let them sort it out. Arps and Alps will get the dipsticks, deluded, misguided, terminally stupid, tourists and hippy grannies to storm Parliament and take over the country. When they're in charge they can sort things out. Imagine it, Brett Power could get to be the head of the Intelligence Services without having a brain transplant.
''Mikey is full of bs because those supposed marae renovations up North had been signalled previously by the government. The Covid fund was considered a legitimate funding source given the high number of unvaxxed Maori would mean a higher mortality rate from Covid. Therefore a functional marae for tangi would be considered appropriate.
As for schools providing meals for children from impoverished families. I have no problem with that. I do have a problem with obviously well feed middleclass kids in a decile 8 school, skipping breakfast at home so they can enjoy Weet-bix with blueberries and a treat at school.
Cameras on fishing boats should be a no brainer, you RWNJ
Fishing is a capitalist enterprise. They poison us with fish containing high levels of mercury and they are racist towards Asian fisher people and crew. Plus.. and this is a biggy!!! They have been caught dumping perfectly good fish over the side at sea.
My nephew works for a saddler/upholsterer been there a few years – business would normally die down in December and his boss would be running around trying to scare up whatever work he could. They are currently flat out with work backed up the wazoo and have been so for months. There is plenty of business activity out there Blade – it's just in different places than it was.
Our business is doing much better than three years ago. We are not alone.
Who would have thought people spending their money locally, and local wages going up is good for business!
Blade is full of it like most right wingers.
I can think of other things to spend money on like better welfare provisions and even debt to pay down, but rather than specific tax cuts, would be better to move the income thresholds first.
I meant tax brackets which I agree have the effect of cutting tax, but it would be better to do that than just lower the rates because of other things like minimum wage (and living wage) catching up to the 30% bracket very rapidly, and the independent earner tax credit being swamped. Brackets are also easier to index than tax rates.
'We have pre-existing problems in the NZ economy that pre-date the appearance of COVID-19. We can kid ourselves that the economic framework is strong and healthy, yet the plain truth is that the economy was running on steroids prior to COVID-19 and then the pandemic just exacerbated existing bad trends and further entrenched them. We have become fundamentally over-reliant on government spending and house price growth to 'juice' our GDP figures. We look at some indictators and we think that the economy is healthy, and we may even think it is getting stronger. But look past what these indicators are showing and there is a frail substructure that existed prior to the pandemic & it will have only got weaker while we have gone through this latest 'sugar hit' phase.'
"A children’s home in Bolton has been shut down after inspectors found that one boy had not bathed, changed his clothes or been provided with a home-cooked meal since he arrived in September 2021.
Inexperienced and underqualified staff had not entered one bedroom for more than four months despite evidence of flies and “a pungent smell” that spread throughout the home, Ofsted inspectors discovered.
Another child was placed at risk of harm by staff carrying out “unnecessary” cardiac pulmonary resuscitation on them.
After the inspection on 5 and 6 January, Ofsted took immediate action and suspended the registration of the home."
Would like to know what their contract conditions were, and how much was paid to the home for such neglect?
Would also hope for prosecution of individuals who profit from adding to the burden and abuse of vulnerable children.
There's an unfortunate tendency for the radical end of the Gender Critical Feminist spectrum to entirely blame men for the Trans agenda & its impact on women's rights (as, indeed, the broader Feminist Movement – whether GC or Gender ideologue – tends to do for most phenomena … always, apparently, the same culprit).
UK / US / Aus Polls actually suggest women are significantly more sympathetic to the key goals of Trans activists than men are. There is a consistently large gap.
Yet the relatively unhinged notion that all the men of the world are conspiraing to destroy women’s rights via the Trans agenda continues to be regularly regurgitated on social media & within the blogosphere with absolute conviction.
Has Michael Wood lost his mind? ( embedded clip in link)
He does get a good hit on Luxon though.
Quote:
Footage of comments made by Labour MP Michael Wood in Parliament on Wednesday. Referring to the "occupation that we see out the front", Wood spoke of a "… river of filth. There is a river of violence and menace. There is a river of anti-Semitism. There is a river of islamophobia." Wood's comments on the protest start about five minutes into the footage. (Source: PARLIAMENT TV)
Are you shocked by the river of filth, the river of violence and menace, the river of anti-Semitism and the river of Islamophobia he has observed?
Which person has the bigger chance of being harassed about wearing a mask while walking past the throng; a 1.7 metre slight woman or a 1.85 man wearing gang colours?
I am not surprized by that reseach Swordfish. Women traditionally put others needs before there own, so that could be a factor in women being more sympathtic.
I think men are less bothered about transgender ideology and take the view that yes that sounds good, its progressive, lets support it. They are yet to have their rights impacted by this movement. And I believe that the people who benefit most from the movement are men. Men can now win women's prizes scholarships, sporting competitions and of course if you say anything about it, well you are mean and transphobic.
The biggest losers are the trans kids who are been given drugs and surgery that cause irreversible damage. Women come second as asserting our boundaries, e.g for private change rooms and public toilets gets shouted down. Examples we use to demonstrate this happens are referred to as hoaxes. And women like J K Rowling and now Adelle are harrased on-line for the most minor of statements. Two girl guide leaders in the UK were sacked for expressing concern that a trans woman guide leader was in a role with children. There is now an investigation into this person for posting on line fetish type pictures of themselves. Oh yeah and Broadsheet had a photo of six men who now identify as women who have committedd some of the most heinious crimes, including torture and murder, and a Dr in the Hawkes Bay who sexually abused young patients.
But we continue to be gas lighted by the mantra trans women are women and lesbians can have a penis.
""I’d like to request US and British disinformation: Bloomberg, The New York Times and The Sun media outlets to publish the schedule for our upcoming invasions for the year. I’d like to plan my vacation," "
Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova
Last week, the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment recommended that forestry be removed from the Emissions Trading Scheme. Its an unfortunate but necessary move, required to prevent the ETS's total collapse in a decade or so. So naturally, National has told him to fuck off, and that they won't be ...
China’s recent naval circumnavigation of Australia has highlighted a pressing need to defend Australia’s air and sea approaches more effectively. Potent as nuclear submarines are, the first Australian boats under AUKUS are at least seven ...
In yesterday’s post I tried to present the Reserve Bank Funding Agreement for 2025-30, as approved by the Minister of Finance and the Bank’s Board, in the context of the previous agreement, and the variation to that agreement signed up to by Grant Robertson a few weeks before the last ...
Australia’s bid to co-host the 31st international climate negotiations (COP31) with Pacific island countries in late 2026 is directly in our national interest. But success will require consultation with the Pacific. For that reason, no ...
Old and outdated buildings being demolished at Wellington Hospital in 2018. The new infrastructure being funded today will not be sufficient for future population size and some will not be built by 2035. File photo: Lynn GrievesonLong stories short from our political economy on Thursday, April 17:Simeon Brown has unveiled ...
The introduction of AI in workplaces can create significant health and safety risks for workers (such as intensification of work, and extreme surveillance) which can significantly impact workers’ mental and physical wellbeing. It is critical that unions and workers are involved in any decision to introduce AI so that ...
Donald Trump’s return to the White House and aggressive posturing is undermining global diplomacy, and New Zealand must stand firm in rejecting his reckless, fascist-driven policies that are dragging the world toward chaos.As a nation with a proud history of peacekeeping and principled foreign policy, we should limit our role ...
Sunday marks three months since Donald Trump’s inauguration as US president. What a ride: the style rude, language raucous, and the results rogue. Beyond manners, rudeness matters because tone signals intent as well as personality. ...
There are any number of reasons why anyone thinking of heading to the United States for a holiday should think twice. They would be giving their money to a totalitarian state where political dissenters are being rounded up and imprisoned here and here, where universities are having their funds for ...
Taiwan has an inadvertent, rarely acknowledged role in global affairs: it’s a kind of sponge, soaking up much of China’s political, military and diplomatic efforts. Taiwan soaks up Chinese power of persuasion and coercion that ...
The Ukraine war has been called the bloodiest conflict since World War II. As of July 2024, 10,000 women were serving in frontline combat roles. Try telling them—from the safety of an Australian lounge room—they ...
Following Canadian authorities’ discovery of a Chinese information operation targeting their country’s election, Australians, too, should beware such risks. In fact, there are already signs that Beijing is interfering in campaigning for the Australian election ...
This video includes personal musings and conclusions of the creator climate scientist Dr. Adam Levy. It is presented to our readers as an informed perspective. Please see video description for references (if any). From "founder" of Tesla and the OG rocket man with SpaceX, and rebranding twitter as X, Musk has ...
Back in February 2024, a rat infestation attracted a fair few headlines in the South Dunedin Countdown supermarket. Today, the rats struck again. They took out the Otago-Southland region’s internet connection. https://www.stuff.co.nz/nz-news/360656230/internet-outage-hits-otago-and-southland Strictly, it was just a coincidence – rats decided to gnaw through one fibre cable, while some hapless ...
I came in this morning after doing some chores and looked quickly at Twitter before unpacking the groceries. Someone was retweeting a Radio NZ story with the headline “Reserve Bank’s budget to be slashed by 25%”. Wow, I thought, the Minister of Finance has really delivered this time. And then ...
So, having teased it last week, Andrew Little has announced he will run for mayor of Wellington. On RNZ, he's saying its all about services - "fixing the pipes, making public transport cheaper, investing in parks, swimming pools and libraries, and developing more housing". Meanwhile, to the readers of the ...
And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?W.B. Yeats, The Second Coming, 1921ALL OVER THE WORLD, devout Christians will be reaching for their bibles, reading and re-reading Revelation 13:16-17. For the benefit of all you non-Christians out there, these are the verses describing ...
Give me what I want, what I really, really want: And what India really wants from New Zealand isn’t butter or cheese, but a radical relaxation of the rules controlling Indian immigration.WHAT DOES INDIA WANT from New Zealand? Not our dairy products, that’s for sure, it’s got plenty of those. ...
In the week of Australia’s 3 May election, ASPI will release Agenda for Change 2025: preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world, a report promoting public debate and understanding on issues of strategic importance to ...
Yesterday, 5,500 senior doctors across Aotearoa New Zealand voted overwhelmingly to strike for a day.This is the first time in New Zealand ASMS members have taken strike action for 24 hours.They are asking the government tofund them and account for resource shortfalls.Vacancies are critical - 45-50% in some regions.The ...
For years and years and years, David Seymour and his posse of deluded neoliberals have been preaching their “tough on crime” gospel to voters. Harsher sentences! More police! Lock ‘em up! Throw away the key. But when it comes to their own, namely former Act Party president Tim Jago, a ...
Judith Collins is a seasoned master at political hypocrisy. As New Zealand’s Defence Minister, she's recently been banging the war drum, announcing a jaw-dropping $12 billion boost to the defence budget over the next four years, all while the coalition of chaos cries poor over housing, health, and education.Apparently, there’s ...
I’m on the London Overground watching what the phones people are holding are doing to their faces: The man-bun guy who could not be less impressed by what he's seeing but cannot stop reading; the woman who's impatient for a response; the one who’s frowning; the one who’s puzzled; the ...
You don't have no prescriptionYou don't have to take no pillsYou don't have no prescriptionAnd baby don't have to take no pillsIf you come to see meDoctor Brown will cure your ills.Songwriters: Waymon Glasco.Dr Luxon. Image: David and Grok.First, they came for the Bottom FeedersAnd I did not speak outBecause ...
The Health Minister says the striking doctors already “well remunerated,” and are “walking away from” and “hurting” their patients. File photo: Lynn GrievesonLong stories short from our political economy on Wednesday, April 16:Simeon Brown has attacked1 doctors striking for more than a 1.5% pay rise as already “well remunerated,” even ...
The time is ripe for Australia and South Korea to strengthen cooperation in space, through embarking on joint projects and initiatives that offer practical outcomes for both countries. This is the finding of a new ...
Hi,When Trump raised tariffs against China to 145%, he destined many small businesses to annihilation. The Daily podcast captured the mass chaos by zooming in and talking to one person, Beth Benike, a small-business owner who will likely lose her home very soon.She pointed out that no, she wasn’t surprised ...
National’s handling of inflation and the cost-of-living crisis is an utter shambles and a gutless betrayal of every Kiwi scraping by. The Coalition of Chaos Ministers strut around preaching about how effective their policies are, but really all they're doing is perpetuating a cruel and sick joke of undelivered promises, ...
Most people wouldn't have heard of a little worm like Rhys Williams, a so-called businessman and former NZ First member, who has recently been unmasked as the venomous troll behind a relentless online campaign targeting Green Party MP Benjamin Doyle.According to reports, Williams has been slinging mud at Doyle under ...
Illustration credit: Jonathan McHugh (New Statesman)The other day, a subscriber said they were unsubscribing because they needed “some good news”.I empathised. Don’t we all.I skimmed a NZME article about the impacts of tariffs this morning with analysis from Kiwibank’s Jarrod Kerr. Kerr, their Chief Economist, suggested another recession is the ...
Let’s assume, as prudence demands we assume, that the United States will not at any predictable time go back to being its old, reliable self. This means its allies must be prepared indefinitely to lean ...
Over the last three rather tumultuous US trade policy weeks, I’ve read these four books. I started with Irwin (whose book had sat on my pile for years, consulted from time to time but not read) in a week of lots of flights and hanging around airports/hotels, and then one ...
Indonesia could do without an increase in military spending that the Ministry of Defence is proposing. The country has more pressing issues, including public welfare and human rights. Moreover, the transparency and accountability to justify ...
Former Hutt City councillor Chris Milne has slithered back into the spotlight, not as a principled dissenter, but as a vindictive puppeteer of digital venom. The revelations from a recent court case paint a damning portrait of a man whose departure from Hutt City Council in 2022 was merely the ...
That's the conclusion of a report into security risks against Green MP Benjamin Doyle, in the wake of Winston Peters' waging a homophobic hate-campaign against them: GRC’s report said a “hostility network” of politicians, commentators, conspiracy theorists, alternative media outlets and those opposed to the rainbow community had produced ...
That's the conclusion of a report into security risks against Green MP Benjamin Doyle, in the wake of Winston Peters' waging a homophobic hate-campaign against them: GRC’s report said a “hostility network” of politicians, commentators, conspiracy theorists, alternative media outlets and those opposed to the rainbow community had produced ...
National Party MP Hamish Campbell’s ties to the secretive Two By Twos "church" raises serious questions that are not being answered. This shadowy group, currently being investigated by the FBI for numerous cases of child abuse, hides behind a facade of faith while Campbell dodges scrutiny, claiming it’s a “private ...
National Party MP Hamish Campbell’s ties to the secretive Two By Twos "church" raises serious questions that are not being answered. This shadowy group, currently being investigated by the FBI for numerous cases of child abuse, hides behind a facade of faith while Campbell dodges scrutiny, claiming it’s a “private ...
The economy is not doing what it was supposed to when PM Christopher Luxon said in January it was ‘going for growth.’ Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāLong stories short from our political economy on Tuesday, April 15:New Zealand’s economic recovery is stalling, according to business surveys, retail spending and ...
This is a guest post by Lewis Creed, managing editor of the University of Auckland student publication Craccum, which is currently running a campaign for a safer Symonds Street in the wake of a horrific recent crash.The post has two parts: 1) Craccum’s original call for safety (6 ...
NZCTU President Richard Wagstaff has published an opinion piece which makes the case for a different approach to economic development, as proposed in the CTU’s Aotearoa Reimagined programme. The number of people studying to become teachers has jumped after several years of low enrolment. The coalition has directed Health New ...
The growth of China’s AI industry gives it great influence over emerging technologies. That creates security risks for countries using those technologies. So, Australia must foster its own domestic AI industry to protect its interests. ...
Unfortunately we have another National Party government in power at the moment, and as a consequence, another economic dumpster fire taking hold. Inflation’s hurting Kiwis, and instead of providing relief, National is fiddling while wallets burn.Prime Minister Chris Luxon's response is a tired remix of tax cuts for the rich ...
Girls who are boys who like boys to be girlsWho do boys like they're girls, who do girls like they're boysAlways should be someone you really loveSongwriters: Damon Albarn / Graham Leslie Coxon / Alexander Rowntree David / Alexander James Steven.Last month, I wrote about the Birds and Bees being ...
Australia needs to reevaluate its security priorities and establish a more dynamic regulatory framework for cybersecurity. To advance in this area, it can learn from Britain’s Cyber Security and Resilience Bill, which presents a compelling ...
Deputy PM Winston Peters likes nothing more than to portray himself as the only wise old head while everyone else is losing theirs. Yet this time, his “old master” routine isn’t working. What global trade is experiencing is more than the usual swings and roundabouts of market sentiment. President Donald ...
President Trump’s hopes of ending the war in Ukraine seemed more driven by ego than realistic analysis. Professor Vladimir Brovkin’s latest video above highlights the internal conflicts within the USA, Russia, Europe, and Ukraine, which are currently hindering peace talks and clarity. Brovkin pointed out major contradictions within ...
In the cesspool that is often New Zealand’s online political discourse, few figures wield their influence as destructively as Ani O’Brien. Masquerading as a champion of free speech and women’s rights, O’Brien’s campaigns are a masterclass in bad faith, built on a foundation of lies, selective outrage, and a knack ...
The international challenge confronting Australia today is unparalleled, at least since the 1940s. It requires what the late Brendan Sargeant, a defence analyst, called strategic imagination. We need more than shrewd economic manoeuvring and a ...
This year's General Assembly of the European Geosciences Union (EGU) will take place as a fully hybrid conference in both Vienna and online from April 27 to May 2. This year, I'll join the event on site in Vienna for the full week and I've already picked several sessions I plan ...
Here’s a book that looks not in at China but out from China. David Daokui Li’s China’s World View: Demystifying China to Prevent Global Conflict is a refreshing offering in that Li is very much ...
The New Zealand National Party has long mastered the art of crafting messaging that resonates with a large number of desperate, often white middle-class, voters. From their 2023 campaign mantra of “getting our country back on track” to promises of economic revival, safer streets, and better education, their rhetoric paints ...
A global contest of ideas is underway, and democracy as an ideal is at stake. Democracies must respond by lifting support for public service media with an international footprint. With the recent decision by the ...
It is almost six weeks since the shock announcement early on the afternoon of Wednesday 5 March that the Governor of the Reserve Bank, Adrian Orr, was resigning effective 31 March, and that in fact he had already left and an acting Governor was already in place. Orr had been ...
The PSA surveyed more than 900 of its members, with 55 percent of respondents saying AI is used at their place of work, despite most workers not being in trained in how to use the technology safely. Figures to be released on Thursday are expected to show inflation has risen ...
Be on guard for AI-powered messaging and disinformation in the campaign for Australia’s 3 May election. And be aware that parties can use AI to sharpen their campaigning, zeroing in on issues that the technology ...
Strap yourselves in, folks, it’s time for another round of Arsehole of the Week, and this week’s golden derrière trophy goes to—drumroll, please—David Seymour, the ACT Party’s resident genius who thought, “You know what we need? A shiny new Treaty Principles Bill to "fix" all that pesky Māori-Crown partnership nonsense ...
Apple Store, Shanghai. Trump wants all iPhones to be made in the USM but experts say that is impossible. Photo: Getty ImagesLong stories shortist from our political economy on Monday, April 14:Donald Trump’s exemption on tariffs on phones and computers is temporary, and he wants all iPhones made in the ...
Kia ora, readers. It’s time to pull back the curtain on some uncomfortable truths about New Zealand’s political landscape. The National Party, often cloaked in the guise of "sensible centrism," has, at times, veered into territory that smells suspiciously like fascism.Now, before you roll your eyes and mutter about hyperbole, ...
Australia’s east coast is facing a gas crisis, as the country exports most of the gas it produces. Although it’s a major producer, Australia faces a risk of domestic liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply shortfalls ...
Overnight, Donald J. Trump, America’s 47th President, and only the second President since 1893 to win non-consecutive terms, rolled back more of his“no exemptions, no negotiations”&“no big deal” tariffs.Smartphones, computers, and other electronics1are now exempt from the 125% levies imposed on imports from China; they retain ...
A listing of 36 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, April 6, 2025 thru Sat, April 12, 2025. This week's roundup is again published by category and sorted by number of articles included in each. The formatting is a ...
Just one year of loveIs better than a lifetime aloneOne sentimental moment in your armsIs like a shooting star right through my heartIt's always a rainy day without youI'm a prisoner of love inside youI'm falling apart all around you, yeahSongwriter: John Deacon.Morena folks, it feels like it’s been quite ...
“It's a history of colonial ruin, not a history of colonial progress,”says Michele Leggott, of the Harris family.We’re talking about Groundwork: The Art and Writing of Emily Cumming Harris, in which she and Catherine Field-Dodgson recall a near-forgotten and fascinating life, thefemale speck in the history of texts.Emily’s ...
Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Is the sun responsible for global warming? Greenhouse gas emissions from human activities, not solar variability, is responsible for the global warming observed ...
Hitherto, 2025 has not been great in terms of luck on the short story front (or on the personal front. Several acquaintances have sadly passed away in the last few days). But I can report one story acceptance today. In fact, it’s quite the impressive acceptance, being my second ‘professional ...
Six long stories short from our political economy in the week to Saturday, April 12:Donald Trump exploded a neutron bomb under 80 years of globalisation, but Nicola Willis said the Government would cut operational and capital spending even more to achieve a Budget surplus by 2027/28. That even tighter fiscal ...
On 22 May, the coalition government will release its budget for 2025, which it says will focus on "boosting economic growth, improving social outcomes, controlling government spending, and investing in long-term infrastructure.” But who, really, is this budget designed to serve? What values and visions for Aotearoa New Zealand lie ...
Lovin' you has go to be (Take me to the other side)Like the devil and the deep blue sea (Take me to the other side)Forget about your foolish pride (Take me to the other side)Oh, take me to the other side (Take me to the other side)Songwriters: Steven Tyler, Jim ...
In the week of Australia’s 3 May election, ASPI will release Agenda for Change 2025: preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world, a report promoting public debate and understanding on issues of strategic importance to ...
Hi,Back in 2022 I spent a year reporting on New Zealand’s then-biggest megachurch, Arise, revealing the widespread abuse of hundreds of interns.That series led to a harrowing review (leaked by Webworm) and the resignation of its founders and leaders John and Gillian Cameron, who fled to Australia where they now ...
All nation states have a right to defend themselves. But do regimes enjoy an equal right to self-defence? Is the security of a particular party-in-power a fundamental right of nations? The Chinese government is asking ...
A modest attempt to analyse Donald Trump’s tariff policies.Alfred Marshall, whose text book was still in use 40 years after he died wrote ‘every short statement about economics is misleading with the possible exception of my present one.’ (The text book is 719 pages.) It’s a timely reminder that any ...
If nothing else, we have learned that the economic and geopolitical turmoil caused by the Trump tariff see-saw raises a fundamental issue of the human condition that extends beyond trade wars and “the markets.” That issue is uncertainty and its centrality to individual and collective life. It extends further into ...
After stonewalling requests for information on boot camps, the Government has now offered up a blog post right before Easter weekend rather than provide clarity on the pilot. ...
More people could be harmed if Minister for Mental Health Matt Doocey does not guarantee to protect patients and workers as the Police withdraw from supporting mental health call outs. ...
The Green Party recognises the extension of visa allowances for our Pacific whānau as a step in the right direction but continues to call for a Pacific Visa Waiver. ...
The Government yesterday released its annual child poverty statistics, and by its own admission, more tamariki across Aotearoa are now living in material hardship. ...
Today, Te Pāti Māori join the motu in celebration as the Treaty Principles Bill is voted down at its second reading. “From the beginning, this Bill was never welcome in this House,” said Te Pāti Māori Co-Leader, Rawiri Waititi. “Our response to the first reading was one of protest: protesting ...
The Green Party is proud to have voted down the Coalition Government’s Treaty Principles Bill, an archaic piece of legislation that sought to attack the nation’s founding agreement. ...
A Member’s Bill in the name of Green Party MP Julie Anne Genter which aims to stop coal mining, the Crown Minerals (Prohibition of Mining) Amendment Bill, has been pulled from Parliament’s ‘biscuit tin’ today. ...
Labour MP Kieran McAnulty’s Members Bill to make the law simpler and fairer for businesses operating on Easter, Anzac and Christmas Days has passed its first reading after a conscience vote in Parliament. ...
Nicola Willis continues to sit on her hands amid a global economic crisis, leaving the Reserve Bank to act for New Zealanders who are worried about their jobs, mortgages, and KiwiSaver. ...
Today, the Oranga Tamariki (Repeal of Section 7AA) Amendment Bill has passed its third and final reading, but there is one more stage before it becomes law. The Governor-General must give their ‘Royal assent’ for any bill to become legally enforceable. This means that, even if a bill gets voted ...
Abortion care at Whakatāne Hospital has been quietly shelved, with patients told they will likely have to travel more than an hour to Tauranga to get the treatment they need. ...
Thousands of New Zealanders’ submissions are missing from the official parliamentary record because the National-dominated Justice Select Committee has rushed work on the Treaty Principles Bill. ...
Today’s announcement of 10 percent tariffs for New Zealand goods entering the United States is disappointing for exporters and consumers alike, with the long-lasting impact on prices and inflation still unknown. ...
The National Government’s choices have contributed to a slow-down in the building sector, as thousands of people have lost their jobs in construction. ...
Willie Apiata’s decision to hand over his Victoria Cross to the Minister for Veterans is a powerful and selfless act, made on behalf of all those who have served our country. ...
The Privileges Committee has denied fundamental rights to Debbie Ngarewa-Packer, Rawiri Waititi and Hana-Rawhiti Maipi-Clarke, breaching their own standing orders, breaching principles of natural justice, and highlighting systemic prejudice and discrimination within our parliamentary processes. The three MPs were summoned to the privileges committee following their performance of a haka ...
April 1 used to be a day when workers could count on a pay rise with stronger support for those doing it tough, but that’s not the case under this Government. ...
Winston Peters is shopping for smaller ferries after Nicola Willis torpedoed the original deal, which would have delivered new rail enabled ferries next year. ...
The Government should work with other countries to press the Myanmar military regime to stop its bombing campaign especially while the country recovers from the devastating earthquake. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adam Simpson, Senior Lecturer, International Studies, University of South Australia Despite the challenges faced by local democratic activists, Thailand has often been an oasis of relative liberalism compared with neighbouring countries such as Myanmar, Laos and Cambodia. Westerners, in particular, have been ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marina Yue Zhang, Associate Professor, Technology and Innovation, University of Technology Sydney China has placed curbs on exports of rare germanium and gallium which are critical in manufacturing.Shutterstock In the escalating trade war between the United States and China, one notable ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Vivien Holmes, Emerita Professor, Australian National University Momentum studio/Shutterstock No one goes into the legal profession thinking it is going to be easy. Long working hours are fairly standard, work is often completed to tight external deadlines, and 24/7 availability to ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Stephen Gaunson, Associate Professor in Cinema Studies, RMIT University Prime The Narrow Road to the Deep North stands as some of the most visceral and moving television produced in Australia in recent memory. Marking a new accessibility and confidence to ...
The forecast for Easter weekend in much of the country is pretty shitty. Here are some ideas for having a nice time indoors.Ex-tropical cyclone Tam might have been downgraded to a subtropical low, but it has already unleashed heavy rain, high winds and power outages on the upper North ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Cécile L’Hermitte, Senior Lecturer in Logistics and Supply Chain Management, University of Waikato In the aftermath of Cyclone Gabrielle, the driving time between Napier and Wairoa stretched from 90 minutes to over six hours, causing major supply chain delays. Retail prices rose ...
The same ingredients with a wildly different outcome.I’m at the ready to answer life’s big questions. Should you dump him? Yes. What happens when we die? Worms. What is time? Quick. Will I ever be happy? Yes. Do Easter eggs taste better than a block of chocolate? Yes. No. ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon made clear that even more money will be made available, telling the media the $12 billion figure “is the floor, not the ceiling, of funding for our defence force.” ...
The day after winning the Taite Music Prize, Tiopira McDowell aka Mokotron tells Lyric Waiwiri-Smith about his dreams of turning his ‘meth lab’ looking garage into a studio, and why he might dedicate his next record to the leader of the Act Party. A music awards ceremony one day, a ...
Housing is one of the main determinants of health, but it’s not always straightforward to fix.Keeping our houses dry, warm and draught-free may not be something that, when the sun is high in the sky and our winter clothing is packed away, many of us are busy thinking about. ...
I’m sick of feeling ashamed of something that brings me so much joy. Want Hera’s help? Email your problem to helpme@thespinoff.co.nzDear Hera, When I think of my childhood, I think of Disney. One of my earliest memories was getting dressed up as Snow White and prancing around for my ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Brianna Le Busque, Lecturer in Environmental Science, University of South Australia maramorosz/Shutterstock Walk into any home or workplace today, and you’re likely to find an array of indoor plants. The global market for indoor plants is growing fast – projected to ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Andrew Jakubowicz, Emeritus Professor of Sociology, University of Technology Sydney In the run up to the May 3 election, questions are being raised about the value of multiculturalism as a public policy in Australia. They’ve been prompted by community tensions arising from ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By David Clune, Honorary Associate, Government and International Relations, University of Sydney The federal election campaign has passed the halfway mark, with politicians zig-zagging across the country to spruik their policies and achievements. Where politicians choose to visit (and not visit) give us ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Andrea Jean Baker, Senior Lecturer in Journalism, Monash University Maslow Entertainment The Correspondent is a film every journalist should see. There are no spoiler alerts. It is based on the globally-publicised jailing in Cairo in 2013 of Australian journalist Peter ...
Hospitals nationwide are set for upgrades – though at a more sedate pace than some might have hoped, writes Catherine McGregor in today’s extract from The Bulletin. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here.A blueprint for rebuilding After years of warnings and stocktakes, the government has ...
Visiting government and business leaders, disembarking an Air Force Hercules, were met this week by the unexpected sight of a big fresh-painted Boeing 737 freighter unloading at Chatham Island’s tiny airport.The growing trans-Tasman freight firm Texel Air took delivery of the 737-800 jet last month, taking its fleet to six ...
Suggestions of defunding the police have sparked uproar but it’s a sensible and noble goal, argue two crime researchers. When we both first saw the “attack” ads put up by some combination of the Sensible Sentencing Trust and the Campaign Company, we couldn’t fully grasp the framing of an “attack” ...
This week, a dramatic dip in the number of victims of violent crime was revealed, a remarkable turnaround in just eight months that the government was quick to take credit for. But, as Alice Neville explains, crime data is far from clear-cut. In September last year, the government announced a ...
Down at the local hall a 50-strong community meeting had just finished and the crowd was milling around, catching up, pouring itself a last glass of wine, before home to bed. Two women came up to me wanting a conversation about Te Araroa, and I mentioned I’d just then finished ...
Loading…(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){var ql=document.querySelectorAll('A[data-quiz],DIV[data-quiz]'); if(ql){if(ql.length){for(var k=0;k<ql.length;k++){ql[k].id='quiz-embed-'+k;ql[k].href="javascript:var i=document.getElementById('quiz-embed-"+k+"');try{qz.startQuiz(i)}catch(e){i.start=1;i.style.cursor='wait';i.style.opacity='0.5'};void(0);"}}};i['QP']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){(i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)})(window,document,'script','https://take.quiz-maker.com/3012/CDN/quiz-embed-v1.js','qp');Got a good quiz question?Send Newsroom your questions.
Chocolate eggs. Debates over shop opening hours. Traffic congestion as Kiwis take advantage of four days off in a row. Often it’s the last of the summer weather, or the first of the winter blast.This is the Easter break in New Zealand that most people recognise.But it’s not the same ...
Comment: Treaty Principles Bill defeat and global campaign against Trump’s tariffs have given PM chance to assert himself over coalition The post Peters’ desperation is PM’s gain appeared first on Newsroom. ...
An Act Party ad celebrating household savings under its Government used an AI-generated image titled ‘Happy Maori couple sits comfortably in a cozy living light room, generated ai’.There is nothing to stop a party from using an artificial image without disclosing it, per the Electoral Commission, and this is not ...
After months of dealing with protesters in their masses, David Seymour is almost disappointed when his critics don’t show up in sufficient volume.Speaking at a lunchtime event, the Act Party leader says there has been “at least a 95 percent reduction in Gaza protesters since the last time I spoke ...
RNZ Pacific Fiji’s Minister for Defence and Veteran Affairs is facing a backlash after announcing that he was undertaking a multi-country, six-week “official travel overseas” to visit Fijian peacekeepers in the Middle East. Pio Tikoduadua’s supporters say he should “disregard critics” for his commitment to Fijian peacekeepers, which “highlights a ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Two “moments” stuck out in Wednesday’s leaders’ debate, the second head-to-head of the campaign. Peter Dutton cut his losses over his faux pas this week when he wrongly named Indonesian president Prabowo Subianto as having ...
People who have been vaccinated before or after getting Covid end up with "super-immunity"
""In both cases, the immune response measured in blood serum revealed antibodies that were equally more abundant and more potent – at least 10 times more potent – than immunity generated by vaccination alone," the authors wrote."
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/covid-19-omicron-outbreak-scientists-say-a-covid-infection-after-vaccination-triggers-super-immunity/MRTMRO73NMUUXNWVI6337NTMQU/
Therefore, after Omicron has swept through, and a large proportion of the population has had it, there would seem to be no justification to continue on with vaccine mandates as we should be highly resistant to Covid going forward.
"Super-immunity" for the vaccinated who catch Covid?
The Government should be loudly applauded for the vaccination rates it achieved through all of the methods it employed to reach such high rates.
A very small sample size of 100 blood samples exposed to Covid in the lab but results look promising.
Another article here if people are interested:
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220210-the-cells-that-can-give-you-super-immunity
We are not there yet. Yesterday you did not read a comment from me correctly, and you did not correct your mistake. There will be more deaths, as there will be a greater numbers sick both in QLD and Here
To produce the results of a small study to talk down required health processes in a pandemic is not helpful. It is pleasing progress but not a signal to remove health measures.
The majority of the protestors represent groups who have been disadvantaged in life or by the orders, sometimes for personal choices.
Democracy is the majority vote for a party or aligned parties. Anything else where non elected groups gain control is anarchy. This is an emergency, as we do not have the facilities or the medical personnel to deal with a steep rise in omicron cases.
It is milder in the fully vaccinated but still very dangerous to some with underlying conditions. Asthma heart disease and diabetes to name a few. People with these conditions are not always old.
Wow, you think it won't affect you. After our family's experience in NSW and QLD, I don't think you really have grasped what is coming, and will go on for some time absolutely flattening medical staff and many frontline workers leaving some with lifelong effects. Try not to be so glib.
Except it is not just one study, if you care to read the second link I put up:
It looks like several studies are saying the same thing, and the results appear to be confirmed in the real world.
"Over the last four months, the Rockefeller team's findings have been repeatedly observed in real life. People who have recovered from a Covid-19 infection in the past, and then been vaccinated, appear to be more resilient to the new variants, from Delta to Omicron.''
"A recent study from scientists in Boston and South Africa found that people who had been previously infected with a form of Covid-19, before having two vaccine doses and a booster, had greater immunity against Omicron – the closest thing in real life to Rockefeller's artificial virus.''
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220210-the-cells-that-can-give-you-super-immunity
Studies will be plenty in coming. Surely you are not using these two studies to suggest a slackening of our Covid response just as Omicron is hitting us?
Why would there be any justification to encourage people to chance luck on getting Omicron, vaccinated or not when instead of getting a super immunity the dice rolls and they get Long Covid.
By all means study, study, study but 'two swallows do not a summer make'
No. If you read my first post, I suggest that once Omicron has gone through, many of us will likely have "super immunity" against future infection.
At that point mandates should be unnecessary.
I think we all knew/know mandates will be unnecessary at some stage. PM has said so.
I am pleased this is being investigated.
Very well put Patricia
You have nailed it with the paragraph:
'To produce the results of a small study to talk down required health processes in a pandemic is not helpful. It is pleasing progress but not a signal to remove health measures.' My bolding.
Our Omicron 'trial' has yet to hit us fully, some posters seem to forget that, certainly the protesters have as they are suggesting lifting health precautions before Omicron has hit us full force.
I have family in Australia as well, so understand some of the reality over there. And I hope your family do well and recover.
I am not trying to be flippant. Rather trying to show there is some rays of hope at the end of this.
If anything, the studies shows the extreme value of getting vaccinated, and those that don't are deluded at best.
I also have family in Australia who have contracted the virus, both through the Delta and Omicron strains.
My sister, just recovering from Delta then contracted Omicron. She was hospitalised for treatment for Delta.
It's a hard time to be separated from loved ones. All the best to you and yours.
Omicron, unfortunately, will sweep through NZ.
We are only going to truly understand how much impact these will have when we are standing on the other side looking back.
So true Molly. We have been so lucky so far, but truly my brother lives in a small settlement in Culburra NSW, he said they have 238 people in their local hospital from a population of 3500.
My sister is rather stoic, and also caring for her grandchildren when she can. Since last seeing her, we have been through a close bereavement which she was unable to attend, and the most recent lockdown meant she missed the memorial as well. I suspect she also may have long Covid as she is still having respiratory difficulties. My mother is planning to visit for a couple of months in April, and I'm sure that for both of them, this will be a mixed reunion – joy, grief and relief all.
The pandemic has given many the opportunity to evaluate what is important.
The result for some, is to fully experience losses and joy.
I hope you get to do the latter when you meet again.
Sorry to hear that your family is struggling with the virus Patricia, and here's hoping that with time they will recover.
As a matter of interest…is there any interest in the Vitamin D levels in Covid patients in Australia? I know that here in NZ, and in many parts of the world, it is considered almost anti-vax to mention such matters but the evidence has been around for a while and is now gaining some traction with the poor performance of the mRNA products.
Due to the highly contagious nature of COVID-19 and the increased morbidity and mortality with no appropriate therapy and vaccine, one must be cautious and do everything to help COVID-19 patients. In hospitals and other health care settings to decrease cross-contamination, holding other non-essential medications is taking place. Discontinuing Vitamins could increase the mortality and morbidity of those affected, especially in deficient/insufficient individuals. Obtaining serum 25 (OH) D levels in all patients with viral respiratory infections, especially COVID-19, could help in the detection and treatment of Vitamin D deficiency and potentially decrease recovery time and improve outcome. Even though evidence suggests that vitamin D has the anti-inflammatory, antiviral properties, randomized double-blinded controlled trials are needed to verify this further, and to understand Vitamin D and COVID-19 better.
I have never been a pill taker. I have to be barely capable of walking before pain will force me to take a couple of panadol.
But I have been taking (along with Peter) Vit D and K2 for the past couple of months. Awful joint pain is massively alleviated, and I'm sleeping better (some of the time) and I swear my brain is functioning slightly better. I have more energy. Neither Peter or I have partaken of the Pfizer product but we are not Covid deniers or irresponsible. We take precautions, without being neurotic, and try to eat well and be responsive if we feel we may have encountered Te Virus. Old tried and true interventions which have sadly been demonised in these strange times.
Good luck to you.
Building up your immunity is a good thing. Thanks Rosemary. We have had both delta and omicron in family in Victoria NSW and now QLD. Their experiences tell us we think we are prepared but really we are not.
People who spend a lot of time out of doors would probably have high levels of vitamin D. And the virus is said to be less contagious out of doors, so any apparent benefits from vitamin D may be merely coincidental. But that’s just my opinion.
Woman in perimenopause often lose the ability to photosynthesise Vitamin D from the sun, even with large amounts of exposure.
Of four woman friends of my advanced aged who tested for Vitamin D – all four were found to be severely deficient. I don't know if this is connected to the leaching of minerals from the body when childbearing or not, but I do know that it is an unlooked for and untreated Vitamin deficiency for many.
The test itself will not be given without a clinical reason by the state. You will have to pay for it yourself. And even though my paid test revealed a severely deficient Vitamin D levels that required a daily dose for a week of high dose supplements, there is no 'clinical need' for a subsequent test to ensure that level is adequate. I'll have to pay for it again to check.
mikesh…the study, one of many published over the past decade or so, I linked to and quoted is not talking about Vit D's involvement in catching and transmitting respiratory viruses but how one's levels of Vit D might contribute towards the body's ability to fight off especially respiratory viruses.
I have learned much about this over the past couple of years…. mostly restricting my reading to papers published prior to 2020.
Kia Kaha
Thank you mary_a, Grant shows steady improvement but is suffering a case of brain fog. That is so bad in Robyn she did not recognise him on the 'phone.You can imagine the pain of that.
We live in strange times and need to support each other in ways we never imagined. All those with sick family as mary_a says "kia kaha " better days will come.
Assuming the combination of vaccine and infection infects a massive number of people (not something to cheer for) and still provides transmission protection against [looks up Ancient Greek alphabet] psi variant in two years or so, then what about the people born into a world where covid is globally endemic?
If the dominant variants of covid evolve a few generations away into mild, so it's unlikely to jump back into a killer – maybe. But it's a function of lethality and transmission.
You're still not thinking this through. You're looking for a key to get out of this, but really, we need to learn to live with it. Emphasis on "live". If not covid 19, then the next hyper-infectious disease to spread globally.
You are right. We have to live with multitudes of infectious diseases now, and one day Covid will just be one of many in our background of infectious diseases.
So, I am not sure what your point is.
"then what about the people born into a world where covid is globally endemic?''
People have always been born into a world where there is some endemic disease they have never encountered before due to the fact they have never existed in this world before. But that is a very trivial thing to say, so I am not sure why you are making a point of it.
"If the dominant variants of covid evolve a few generations away into mild, so it's unlikely to jump back into a killer – maybe. But it's a function of lethality and transmission."
"Mild" is both a function of the disease itself and herd immunity in the population to that disease.
"You're looking for a key to get out of this, but really, we need to learn to live with it''
Herd immunity is a good start as per the articles I pointed to. Other than that, we live with countless numbers of diseases now, so I don't really get your point.
"Emphasis on "live". If not covid 19, then the next hyper-infectious disease to spread globally.''
We have learned a lot as a species from Covid. Hopefully we can apply those lessons going forward.
In case you haven't noticed, people born into a world of highly infectious disease with not vaccines either caught it and maybe died, or isolated under an outbreak burned itself out.
If the population immunity isn't sufficient, people born into the covid world will need the vaccine. Mandate continues.
Your idea for the end of mandates is based on "if". If the proportion of unvaccinated is small enough to not make a mathematical impossibility of a large enough proportion of the population being vaccinated and gotten omicron, then NZ will be fine – until the proportion of unvaccinated people rises again (called births).
If a new variant emerges with further distance from the virus that the vaccines were designed to fight, your "if" becomes less likely. So maybe we'll need mandates permanently in many professions. Maybe not to the extent we need them today, but for a lot of people what was "recommended" in 2019 will be mandatory. Keep up with your vaccinations, or you're out.
"In case you haven't noticed, people born into a world of highly infectious disease with not vaccines either caught it and maybe died, or isolated under an outbreak burned itself out.''
It is a good thing we have vaccines for most diseases dangerous to children then (sigh).
But, we don't tend to give children the flu vaccine because a lot of diseases tend to be more dangerous to adults than children. From what I have read, the only young children who have died from Covid in Australia have had severe underlying conditions, sad as it was.
But I expect we will eventually get annual vaccines for Covid as well. Perhaps it could be incorporated into the annual flu vaccine. Who knows.
Firstly, fuck off with the "underlying conditions" bullshit. Vulnerable people deserve to live, too.
Secondly, covid is not the flu.
Thirdly, annual shots are one thing – but whether those vaccinations are mandatory for all or some is another.
Yes, we do have vaccines for lots of diseases. But where the few nutters could cause isolated and controllable clusters of, say, measles, we might still need everyone who can to be vaccinated, or somewhat isolated if they refuse.
"Firstly, fuck off with the "underlying conditions" bullshit. Vulnerable people deserve to live, too.''
You are being disingenuous. You know very well that I am saying that Covid does not seem to be a major problem for children unless there is an unusual reason for it.
I agree children with underlying conditions deserve to live, as we all do. But, sometimes, people have such serious conditions that they are vulnerable to any extra illness load, whatever the virus.
"Secondly, covid is not the flu.''
I wasn't aware that there was a singular ''the flu'' virus. If you are saying it is not "a'' flu, then define what a ''flu'' actually is, and why Covid isn't that.
''Thirdly, annual shots are one thing – but whether those vaccinations are mandatory for all or some is another.''
Mandatory vaccination is in conflict with clause 11 of the bill of rights. If you think it should be mandatory, do you think we should be holding people down and shoving it into their arms?
''we might still need everyone who can to be vaccinated, or somewhat isolated if they refuse.''
How long do you think people will put up with that in a free an democratic society? If strong herd immunity develops as per my opening post, then this should not be necessary going forward. Not with Covid, anyway.
So what? Go on, say the quiet bit out loud.
Go on, why are "underlying conditions" relevant? Even if a kid is at death's door, they shouldn't have covid available to carry them over the threshold. Preventing those deaths should be just as important as preventing the deaths of anyone else.
On current Covid evolution trends, I can't see us retaining mandates or restriction frameworks on a wide scale beyond this year, if that long, and likewise for MIQ. The PM certainly didn't sound like she was keen to continue with them unless health advice was that it was still necessary. Maybe there would still be some justification for workers who will come into contact with Covid regularly in their work e.g. those who deal with international passengers and health workers.
Until we've reached the other side of the wave, the effectiveness of both being vaccinated and contracting Covid suggests to me at least that vaccine mandates and restrictions still have a place.
If Covid evolved further to become significantly more lethal, then restrictions would probably return/remain, but whether to use a version of the old level system or the current framework would come down to whether the vaccines were still effective and how transmissible the new variant was.
If we ended up with a variant that was more transmissible than Omicron, immune to vaccines and as lethal as something like Diphtheria (5-10% fatality rate) or Smallpox (30% fatality rate), not sure how that would be handled – probably a strong version of the levels and very strict MIQ protocols or even a total border closure. If it was the same but vaccines still had a strong effectiveness rate, then the framework would be fine but might need beefing up to try to keep unvaccinated people from dying.
Omicron hits Starship Children's Hospital.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-omicron-variant-outbreak-at-starship-childrens-hospital-12-cases-confirmed/UPF643XKU3OVFRGOD46YV7XMBY/
Note to Moderator.
https://thestandard.org.nz/daily-review-16-02-2022/#comment-1863789
I thought making wild and inaccurate accusations without any supporting evidence was frowned upon?
Thanks in anticipation for your attention to this.
Do you expect them to read the entire "Daily review"?
Please provide some more details for the moderaters.
The link I posted was to the date/time stamp…I have done this before successfully. I have no idea why it failed to work.
https://thestandard.org.nz/daily-review-16-02-2022/#comment-1863789
Shanreagh
17 February 2022 at 12:37 am
As you are very well aware these Vaers posts are self reported and any and all sorts of rubbish not caused by the vaccines are posted there.
The only things worth looking at are the figures that have been analysed. It is just raw data. I only pay attention to the analyses. As the topic has been discussed on here exhaustively I can only assume that you are disregarding the value and limitations of this reporting for your own purposes.
So I am very happy with my vaccination experiences.
In reply to my comment at 16 February 2022 at 9:40 pm which was in reply to Muttonbird.
Of course you are following the
weekly fortnightlymonthly Medsafe reports?You'll be aware then that in the month covered in the latest report the number of reports of anaphylaxis has tripled. Yes, tripled.
For the year to 31st December 2021 there were 112 reports of anaphylaxis from the Pfizer product. To the 31st January…353.
Let that sink in for a bit.
The number of reports of Myo/pericarditis has gone up too…from 455 to 561…but its still very rare/sarc
Deaths up from 133 to 147… but of course they're only acknowledging two of them.
But you're all good Muttonbird?
That's all that matters then.
For a long time now, if you put a TS link in a line of its own it reverts to the post URL. Instead, put something just before the link eg a full stop.
These two are exactly the same URL, first one works because of the full stop.
. https://thestandard.org.nz/daily-review-16-02-2022/#comment-1863789
https://thestandard.org.nz/daily-review-16-02-2022/#comment-1863789
What's the problem? Shanreagh mistook the MoH site for Vaers (here's another really good reason to stop embedding links, then people can see what they go to). Their point applies to the MoH site as well as far as I can tell.
btw, I suggested to you yesterday to do a reply to me, because mods don't read comments in real time. Here you are instead making a stand alone comment which I've only just seen. Next suggestion is to slow down, and follow moderator directions.
So why is there the facility for embedding links?
You'd think if a reader saw the blue print they'd click and read…no?
Perhaps not.
Shanreagh…ably abetted by McFlock, failed to click and read and went flying off the handle making assertions (and barely veiled ad homs) about something I had not referenced at all.
And again failed to check when I challenged.
Finally Shanreagh admitted error (laziness, contempt for my posts?) but it is too late. And not at all genuine as they persist in transferring the same criticisms of VAERS onto CARM. https://nzphvc.otago.ac.nz/carm/
Their point applies to the MoH site as well as far as I can tell.
What point are they making? And why does it apply to the MOH site as far as you can tell?
If CARM and the regular Safety Reports are of no use whatsoever why are they published?
Because sometimes they're useful and elegant I guess. Sometimes they're just a pain, like in fast moving, contentious debates.
Actually no. The onus is on the person making a point to make it as clearly as possible. Lots of people don't have time, including mods. Making it transparent helps the debate.
Okay…then why on earth would someone reply to another's post…specifically to denigrate and insult.. when they haven't bothered to actually properly read the entire post.
This is most certainly not entering into a good faith debate.
Its something else entirely.
This is what Shanreagh said (link upthread),
This seems well within TS commenting culture. They make a mistake re vaers, but what they are saying applies to the MoH. The points are clear, there's no personal abuse, they've explained something technical and they've expressed an opinion about your argument.
I saw a comment suggesting a reasonable commenter had made "wild and inaccurate accusations without any supporting evidence". I was curious to see whether that commenter had dropped the ball enough to warrant dragging a disagreement into the following day's open mike.
I clicked on the link further down the thread to an actual comment, and the comment seemed reasonable to me. And covered well-travelled ground about an adverse events database. That has been discussed ad nauseum.
Apparently it should have referred to other adverse events reports that have been discussed ad nauseum. However, this was a bit unclear, as your description of the problem simply involved two large cut&pastes.
So I responded to the bit that seemed reasonable, based on what your problem seemed to be, as best as I could determine.
BTW, the wider point applies across VAERS and CARM because they're the same sorts of tools for different countries. They prefer redundant or multiple reports for every event (even events people think are coincidences), rather than people assuming someone else filed the report so nobody files. They can only collate and filter out data, not filter in.
Pretty sure those have already been answered
No. They haven't been answered.
My understanding is that the CARM is were the raw data is collected and Medsafe is just one of the agencies that uses that raw data to create reports.
https://nzphvc.otago.ac.nz/carm/
CARM
Analysis↑
The CARM database provides New Zealand-specific information on adverse reactions to medicines and vaccines. CARM monitors and analyses the database for the identification of new signals, or important patterns, clusters or unusual events or practices that could have significance for medicine safety and prescribing practices in New Zealand
Database extracts↑
The CARM database is the source for regular report outputs that support NZ Pharmacovigilance. These include:
Medsafe – Regular reports are often generated to support the ongoing monitoring in special situations and in the early phases of the use of new products such as the seasonal influenza immunisation programme or the introduction of new vaccine. CARM also has a weekly teleconference with Medsafe which facilitates discussion around issues of pharmacovigilance relevance to New Zealand.
This process of monitoring the safety of pharmaceuticals is by necessity a real time, constantly up- dated process. Else what is the point? Too late when six months down the track they process the raw data and discover a very significant safety signal. No?
The self-reporting nature of VAERS and the associated issues concerning data validity have been covered on this site many times.
This from last month, for example:
Comments about the limits of VAERS (not criticisms, it does what it is supposed to do, but it is a tool for a very precise purpose) have been repeated regularly for the last few years, every time some nutbar tries to do the data equivalent of hammering a nail with a coping saw.
I'm surprised you've missed all previous discussions of it.
For fucks sakes. Jesus wept. What is wrong with you people?
I did not mention VAERS in my original post.
Shanreagh pulled VAERS out from godknowswhere in their comment to me.
Whilst carefully ignoring the very latest "Safety" Report from Medsafe that I linked to.
Why the fuck would I refer to VAERS when it is based in the US?
I referred to our very own government run reporting ' Covid vaccine adverse effects' system.
I'm surprised you failed to to see that. Your comprehension skills lacking? Too many words for you to cope with at one go?
Now..in the interests of you not being a complete and utter fuckwit… do you have anything to say about the number of reported cases of anaphylaxis after a Covid shot tripling within a month?
You being a keen numbers guy I assume you're following these safety reports? I assume you have noticed that over half of the reports are from nurses, doctors, pharmacists, vaccinators and 'other'?
Great distraction that, bringing up VAERS.
Sorry my fault I meant our own system, from Medsafe.
This is a database that collects information. Until that info has been tested and examined, that it is all it is. To make conclusions before this analysis has been done is very misleading.
My response of 16/2/22
Who is "making conclusions" ? I was merely conveying what the site has recorded.
For what purpose seeing as the info has yet to be analysed, just a collection of raw data with no conclusions.
Your post was very 'shock horror' for one that was only conveying raw data that has yet to be interpreted etc.
You complained about inaccuracy in Shanreagh's comment "without supporting evidence". So I provided supporting evidence.
As for medsfe, assuming they filter out the alien abductions from the NZ reporting system…
Yeah. It's still fuckall out of 9,454,911 doses. Probably well within the confidence intervals. Even if every event were related to the vaccine.
You really have sunk deep down the rabbit hole haven't you? To harp back to the VAERS system y'all like to focus on… one commentary is that if the vaccine adverse effects system is so broken…why don't the US government agencies who set it up fix the fucking thing?
So what you are saying is that there is nothing at all significant about the total number of reports of anaphylaxis tripling in a one month period?
How can that happen? Did Medsafe decide to simply dump a whole lot of anaphylaxis complaints they had not added to previous Safety Reports into this latest one? Why would they do this?
And the same criticism would apply to our vaccine safety system…if its broke…fix the damn thing. Or else what purpose does it serve?
And I presume you statistical experts do download the actual raw data from the bottom of each Safety Report?
Latest listing of all cases received
The latest listing of AEFIs received is included in the attached spreadsheet. Medsafe advises patients NOT to make any decisions about vaccination based on information contained here.
Download AEFI-line-listing.xlsm
"So what you are saying is that there is nothing at all significant about the total number of reports of anaphylaxis tripling in a one month period?"
If you look at reports 38, 39 and 40 they report total doses administered cumulatively. These are
Nov-2021 = 7726319 doses
Dec-2021 = 8184892 doses
Jan-2022 = 9454911 doses
Taking the differences
the doses in December were 458,573.
the doses in January were 1,270,019.
This is very rough but, broadly speaking 3x as many doses were delivered in January as the month before. So 3x the rate of reports is hardly surprising.
https://www.medsafe.govt.nz/COVID-19/safety-report-38.asp
https://www.medsafe.govt.nz/COVID-19/safety-report-39.asp
https://www.medsafe.govt.nz/COVID-19/safety-report-40.asp
Hmmm. But then the reports should be done by month, too. So nov 103 Anaphylaxis, dec 112, jan 353: that's 9 for December and 240-odd for January. Which is actually getting to pretty big rate differences, by the pricking in my thumbs.
Whether the data's good, or late, or whatever… who knows. I'm not worried just yet.
Its a completely insufficient analysis of the data. The only point is to highlight that Medsafe reports are not ignoring an important issue (while presenting it in broad daylight) and you should refer to their much better analysis of safety signals.
yeah true.
It's not "broken". It's a scoop. Contents of the scoop are then analysed by people who aren't morons in order to find data that can lead to useful information with further analysis. Some folks like to use the scoop as a pneumatic drill, a purpose for which it was neither designed nor is it capable of fulfilling.
If the word is used to mean "statistically significant", i.e. the variation is outside the expected norms for that period, it might be "significant". It might not be significant. The numbers are small compared to the denominators. There might be a reporting lag. There might be an increase in the number of reports if ten people report the same incident, especially with some folks outright making up stories about people collapsing in vaccination centres, maybe they're filing reports too.
So actual researchers examine the reports and figure out how many people were affected, what factors they have in common, and what can be done to lower the number. But they don't go "tripling within a month" and lose their shit. They do actual research, which is then examined and replicated by other actual researchers. Then someone who knows what they're talking about updates the publicly available information, issues a statement, and then has to take extra care about their personal security until the nutbars quiet down.
Agree McFlock. Why are lay people still trying to interpret this data?
While they may sieve out interpalnetary addresses they will still have, paricualalry in the patient provided detials some very hairy conclusins about vaccines and these are entered with no moderation at input time.
Analysis comes much later. To get enough entries on which to carry out a scientific analysis the net is set wide with the expectation that the dross will be removed when the analysis has been done.
In my experience people mostly make an emotional decision and then spend their intellect arguing for it afterwards
Even actual researchers. But that's why they throw shit around to each other (sorry, "peer review" formally and informally) and try some systematic article research techniques.
Even then some big calls took a while to be accepted as actually being true – germ theory & continental drift come to mind.
Heavens I ran out of time to correct the spelling and it shows….sorry.
Analysis comes much later.
So, the purpose of gathering this information from vaccine recipients is what? Why release a regular Report? Why the Summary of safety signals chart towards the end of each report?
So many questions.
It can give an unfiltered and uninvestigated heads up to people who know what they are looking at. It is not meant for interested 'irks and jerks' like you and me to be drawing any conclusions, we just do not have the experience, training and the actual raw data to look at and investigate.
Can you imagine the conspiracy theories that would arise if NZ Govt said 'oh by the way we are inviting people to contribute but we are not letting anyone look at it'
NZ has had an Official Info Act since 1982 and one of the purposes is
'to increase progressively the availability of official information to the people of New Zealand in order—
(i)
to enable their more effective participation in the making and administration of laws and policies; and
(ii)
to promote the accountability of Ministers of the Crown and officials,—
and thereby to enhance respect for the law and to promote the good government of New Zealand:…….."
I just do not see the point in making too much of this before it is analysed.
It is raw data, just that, raw data. Once it has been collated, validated and put into context, it becomes information that can be acted upon.
You do come across as rather unaware shall we say, of anything in the slightest bit technical.
Show me the raw data. Which agency collects it? Then what do they do with it?
Show me where this has been 'collated, validated and put into context..'
Other than through CARM…https://nzphvc.otago.ac.nz/carm/
Because we technotwits need all the help we can get.
A family member who is a dispatcher for a major freight firm told me this morning that they are already having big problems picking up from factories and warehouses because of shortness of staff. The next month is going to be pretty difficult by the look of it.
Thread
https://twitter.com/psirides/status/1494041990023249920
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1494041990023249920.html
The 30 are worth the read.
Good link.
Great isn't it.
Thanks for that list.
Very useful, though I expect none who need to read it, will.
I read it. I tend to follow embedded links which will hopefully take me to peer reviewed research that will verify the claim being defended.
The first such links I followed to me to other pages on this author's blog.
Hmmm…not a good start is it? I set a high bar.
A bit like Stuff's Whole Truth series…A link within a debunking article that links to another debunking article from the same stable, which links to yet another debunking article is totally shit debunking.
IMHO
So you like to cherry pick your authors? That was the first link – explaining the falsehood of cherry picking.
There are lots of references right at the end.
Interesting,according to your link Omicron is far more dangerous than previous strains.i.e death,more likely
14x compared to Omicron 68x!
for October (the most recent complete month at the time I’m writing this; see update below) showed that, compared to vaccinated individuals, unvaccinated individuals were 5 times more likely to test positive for COVID and 14 times more likely to die from COVID (also see Yek et al. 2022)!
I
Update 30-1-2022: The updated CDC data (going through December 25 2021) show that the unvaccinated are 13X more likely to test positive for COVID and 68X more likely to die from COVID, compared to people with three doses of the vaccine.
A comparison between vaccinated and unvaccinated people who get omicron is not a comparison between omicron and anything else.
The comparison I mentioned is about unvaccinated in October 2021 compared to unvaccinated in January 2022,and their 'likeliehood of dying'-i.e 14x more in Oct vs 68x more in Jan.
That is a significant difference.
Correct me if I'm wrong in thinking Omicron was not prevalent in Oct 2021.
Are not Delta and Omicron both Covid variants and the very same vaccines have been administered to deal with each?
Its not a comparison of disease risks, its a comparison of how much protection vaccination offers, in those multiples.
Though I would have intuitively expected less difference in protection for Omicron, not more. Its plausible that vaccination is keeping people much further from the level of sickness where it kills them, compared to unvaccinated, even though its also less deadly for unvaccinated.
So ignore the variants as any factor then.
So are the unvaccinated now more at risk …or not?
"So are the unvaccinated now more at risk …or not?"
We don't know from that statement either way. The statement claims from the unknown baseline they will be 68x better off if vaccinated now, but 14x better off in October however.
The unknown-ness of the base line in not that relevant anyway because it depends on all the things effecting transmission and infection risk anyway. For example about Jan, Feb, Mar of 2021 the virus wasn't in NZ so going around in a mask was not protecting anybody. But at the same time in the US and UK there was real risk of becoming infected.
So is going around in a mask in Feb 2022 in NZ …/protecting ..anyone?
……..y…………….e………………………………………………………………………………………………………….s..
As your mentor Pauline Hanson would say…please ..explain!
Well, what happened there was you asked a question and I answered it, but I added lots of punctuation in order to make light of your unconventional grammatical style.
Another day, another inbox filled with messages like the following. At some times in a day it is pretty continuous.
So far 'today' (UTC timezone) we have had 24,077 attempts repelled of varying levels of complexity, and that is just in the mid-layer defences. There will be a similar number in the exterior DDoS defences. Plus of course the attacks trough other ports.
Fortunately there are few that get through to the interior defences.
thestandard.org.nz Increased Attack Rate
This email was sent from your website "The Standard" by the XXX plugin at Thursday 17th of February 2022 at 08:24:56 AM Below is a sample of these recent attacks:
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 2405:201:a407:80b2:d4ea:1a1e:f577:b361 (India) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 101.117.2.48 (Australia) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 101.117.2.48 (Australia) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 79.69.50.193 (United Kingdom) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 79.69.50.193 (United Kingdom) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 2a02:a211:a82:c800:2c4f:4630:2874:65bc (Netherlands) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:24pm 2a02:a211:a82:c800:2c4f:4630:2874:65bc (Netherlands) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:23pm 2405:201:a407:80b2:d4ea:1a1e:f577:b361 (India) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:23pm 2405:201:a407:80b2:d4ea:1a1e:f577:b361 (India) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
February 16, 2022 7:23pm 101.117.2.48 (Australia) Blocked for Known malicious User-Agents
"So far 'today' (UTC timezone) we have had 24,077 attempts repelled of varying levels of complexity, and that is just in the mid-layer defences."
lprent – is that the usual, or has it increased?
That is a pretty major increase over the last few months. I used to get one of these notifications about once a week. Now I'm getting more than 100 per day.
They only get sent out when there are more than 100 attempts noticed in a 10 minute period, I'm probably only getting a peak sampling.
Each IP gets blocked for malicious content immediately for about 5 minutes.
what are they trying to do?
In this case probably to insert do one of the following..
This isn't exactly abnormal. We get tens of millions of these attempts per year normally. You see the occasional comment flow into moderation. We have only had one breach. That was back in 2008 when someone managed to do a file rewrite on a footer file due to a file permission issue after moving the site to a different machine.
What is abnormal is the current rate of attempts.
Thanks, was wondering the same as weka.
What's the purpose of those?
If the Crown accounts and the income to the government from the buoyant economy are that good, it's time for tax cuts.
Crown Accounts Reflect Resilient Economy | Scoop News
There's not much else that's going to get this government a third term.
Which in 2022 is what we are playing for.
Where's the businesses indicators of this great economy?
Quote from ADs link:
Robbo Robertson:
“This better-than-expected result shows the strength of the economy as restrictions in response to the Delta outbreak were eased. Once again it demonstrates that our health-led approach since the start of the pandemic to protect lives and jobs and livelihoods has been the right one,” Grant Robertson said.''
That's not what business owners are telling talkback.
Now for the good oil on what's really happening:
Quote from Mikey:
''No, I'm not for spending endless amounts of money we don’t have, but I am for fairness. Stop the school sandwiches or the cameras on the fishing boats or the marae renovations or all the other crap you’ve used the Covid fund for and help the people who drive the economy.''
https://www.newstalkzb.co.nz/on-air/mike-hosking-breakfast/video/mikes-minute-small-businesses-are-paying-the-price/
Government by talkback – that's a great idea.
It beats government by government.
Beats government by government? Yeah, let's use the opportunity to change things up. Let's go to a local pub or two, grab the village idiot there who knows everything, get Bishop Tamaki, Billy Te Kahika, Philip Arps a demented wahine from Te Tai Tokerau who thinks vaccines are the devil's sperm and a woman from Whanganui who thinks vaccines cause autism. They can be the government. Oh with Mike Hosking of course.
How would that work? Let's see… Tamaki will think he should be in charge because he has a direct line to God.
Billy TK has claimed billionaires have developed weaponised viruses to enslave humanity so he knows his stuff and has the global perspective. Of course his followers agree with him but his credibility is a tad lower than it was since one of his claims didn't come to fruition. "He's claimed the government was authorising military to enter people's homes, and is planning to implement forced vaccinations."
The women? They'd be there not just for gender balance but for loony lack of science balance.
Ah, Mike. Tamaki might think he has a direct line to God, but trumping him will be Mike, because Mike thinks he is God.
Arps? I didn't deliberately miss him out, there's one slight problem with him in the group – whisper this – some of them have brown skin!
How about we just let them sort it out. Arps and Alps will get the dipsticks, deluded, misguided, terminally stupid, tourists and hippy grannies to storm Parliament and take over the country. When they're in charge they can sort things out. Imagine it, Brett Power could get to be the head of the Intelligence Services without having a brain transplant.
Any comments about my post?
Here.. this is how it COULD be done.
''Mikey is full of bs because those supposed marae renovations up North had been signalled previously by the government. The Covid fund was considered a legitimate funding source given the high number of unvaxxed Maori would mean a higher mortality rate from Covid. Therefore a functional marae for tangi would be considered appropriate.
As for schools providing meals for children from impoverished families. I have no problem with that. I do have a problem with obviously well feed middleclass kids in a decile 8 school, skipping breakfast at home so they can enjoy Weet-bix with blueberries and a treat at school.
Cameras on fishing boats should be a no brainer, you RWNJ
Fishing is a capitalist enterprise. They poison us with fish containing high levels of mercury and they are racist towards Asian fisher people and crew. Plus.. and this is a biggy!!! They have been caught dumping perfectly good fish over the side at sea.
You and Mikey can fuck off.
.
Mikey might want to confess the $$volume of taxpayer subsidy received.
Most economy-wide indicators are remarkably strong given a pandemic and global economic conditions.
That's what I can't understand.
And debt as a percentage of GDP is still reasonable comparative to other countries.
I don't see it from my personal experience. Business is not seeing it. But the government is.. and is providing the figures?
I'm interested to see what unfolds.
Blade
My nephew works for a saddler/upholsterer been there a few years – business would normally die down in December and his boss would be running around trying to scare up whatever work he could. They are currently flat out with work backed up the wazoo and have been so for months. There is plenty of business activity out there Blade – it's just in different places than it was.
Our business is doing much better than three years ago. We are not alone.
Who would have thought people spending their money locally, and local wages going up is good for business!
Blade is full of it like most right wingers.
Why do I have to be full of it?
Because my opinion differs to yours?
In my opinion there is something not right with what Robbo is saying. I don't know what it is. So I'm waiting to see if I'm right or wrong.
@ Barfly.
''There is plenty of business activity out there Blade – it's just in different places than it was.''
Could be. I haven't given that any consideration before.
Because your "opinion" is not supported by the facts.
In reality the economic activity is, as Barfly said, happening. Just in different places. Capitalism! Eh?
Maybe you are right. As I say, I'm going to wait. Who knows, the facts may catch up with my opinion?
I can think of other things to spend money on like better welfare provisions and even debt to pay down, but rather than specific tax cuts, would be better to move the income thresholds first.
Moving the income thresholds is a tax cut.
Unless you're thinking of the benefit income thresholds, which they just moved.
I meant tax brackets which I agree have the effect of cutting tax, but it would be better to do that than just lower the rates because of other things like minimum wage (and living wage) catching up to the 30% bracket very rapidly, and the independent earner tax credit being swamped. Brackets are also easier to index than tax rates.
Full agreement.
'We have pre-existing problems in the NZ economy that pre-date the appearance of COVID-19. We can kid ourselves that the economic framework is strong and healthy, yet the plain truth is that the economy was running on steroids prior to COVID-19 and then the pandemic just exacerbated existing bad trends and further entrenched them. We have become fundamentally over-reliant on government spending and house price growth to 'juice' our GDP figures. We look at some indictators and we think that the economy is healthy, and we may even think it is getting stronger. But look past what these indicators are showing and there is a frail substructure that existed prior to the pandemic & it will have only got weaker while we have gone through this latest 'sugar hit' phase.'
Poster on ST NZ …reality check.
Care of vulnerable children in the UK. Private care service opened in August 2021, and shut down in January 2022.
Given the result of the inspections, it's good that it was immediately closed.
Bolton children’s home shut down for ‘serious and widespread failures’ – Guardian
Would like to know what their contract conditions were, and how much was paid to the home for such neglect?
Would also hope for prosecution of individuals who profit from adding to the burden and abuse of vulnerable children.
.
There's an unfortunate tendency for the radical end of the Gender Critical Feminist spectrum to entirely blame men for the Trans agenda & its impact on women's rights (as, indeed, the broader Feminist Movement – whether GC or Gender ideologue – tends to do for most phenomena … always, apparently, the same culprit).
UK / US / Aus Polls actually suggest women are significantly more sympathetic to the key goals of Trans activists than men are. There is a consistently large gap.
Yet the relatively unhinged notion that all the men of the world are conspiraing to destroy women’s rights via the Trans agenda continues to be regularly regurgitated on social media & within the blogosphere with absolute conviction.
https://thecritic.co.uk/gays-against-the-conversion-therapy-ban/
oh but here are some gay men (from the UK) against conversion practices legislation
But not here, swordfish on TS that I can recall.
Those who you speak of are not on any GC sources I visit. It's a broad church I guess, but not a belief I share.
Has Michael Wood lost his mind? ( embedded clip in link)
He does get a good hit on Luxon though.
Quote:
Footage of comments made by Labour MP Michael Wood in Parliament on Wednesday. Referring to the "occupation that we see out the front", Wood spoke of a "… river of filth. There is a river of violence and menace. There is a river of anti-Semitism. There is a river of islamophobia." Wood's comments on the protest start about five minutes into the footage. (Source: PARLIAMENT TV)
Obviously Labour are feeling the heat.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/wellington/300519498/live-jacinda-ardern-leaving-protest-at-parliament-to-police-says-operational-convention-wont-be-broken-here
Pretty shocked by what Wood has said.
Are you shocked by the river of filth, the river of violence and menace, the river of anti-Semitism and the river of Islamophobia he has observed?
Which person has the bigger chance of being harassed about wearing a mask while walking past the throng; a 1.7 metre slight woman or a 1.85 man wearing gang colours?
No. He's one of the people on the receiving end of the "peaceful" protest.
His speech:
https://twitter.com/byroncclark/status/1493902071980249092
I am not surprized by that reseach Swordfish. Women traditionally put others needs before there own, so that could be a factor in women being more sympathtic.
I think men are less bothered about transgender ideology and take the view that yes that sounds good, its progressive, lets support it. They are yet to have their rights impacted by this movement. And I believe that the people who benefit most from the movement are men. Men can now win women's prizes scholarships, sporting competitions and of course if you say anything about it, well you are mean and transphobic.
The biggest losers are the trans kids who are been given drugs and surgery that cause irreversible damage. Women come second as asserting our boundaries, e.g for private change rooms and public toilets gets shouted down. Examples we use to demonstrate this happens are referred to as hoaxes. And women like J K Rowling and now Adelle are harrased on-line for the most minor of statements. Two girl guide leaders in the UK were sacked for expressing concern that a trans woman guide leader was in a role with children. There is now an investigation into this person for posting on line fetish type pictures of themselves. Oh yeah and Broadsheet had a photo of six men who now identify as women who have committedd some of the most heinious crimes, including torture and murder, and a Dr in the Hawkes Bay who sexually abused young patients.
But we continue to be gas lighted by the mantra trans women are women and lesbians can have a penis.
Post of the day.
And let's not forget those young folk who are unsure of their sexuality, but are lead in the direction of being trans or gay.
Investigation unresolved with the resignation of the volunteer:
https://twitter.com/Girlguiding/status/1493948407446224901
Unconfirmed report that he is now the Inclusion Officer for Notts Scouts group.
Unconfirmed report seems to be accurate.
Nottingham Scouts – Meet the team – County Support
Another musing from my list comes to pass.
13-Does a new political movement form out of these protests?
https://thestandard.org.nz/convoy-protest-day-seven/#comment-1862808 (post 35).
https://www.newstalkzb.co.nz/news/politics/covid-19-parliament-anti-mandate-protests-former-national-mp-matt-king-confirms-plans-for-new-political-party/
""I’d like to request US and British disinformation: Bloomberg, The New York Times and The Sun media outlets to publish the schedule for our upcoming invasions for the year. I’d like to plan my vacation," "
Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova
https://tass.com/world/1404247
and another….'Invasions in Europe never happen on a…Wednesday'.