The German Greens are still finding it tough to support electricity generation from their existing nuclear power plants. Not sure why they are making this so hard. Winter snow starts in a couple of weeks.
Where? You show scant evidence of this in anything I have seen. Where for instance is anything mentioned of the billions of dollars being spent on sustainability programs and development?
I wrote extensively on the Kaya Identity some time back – which is located absolutely at the core of this question – and summarised again in my comment above. Crickets.
Keep in mind I am still an author and you have a long standing pattern of harassing me by abusing your power of moderation with vague and unspecified allegations.
[I’m under no obligation to write about anything, nor am I under obligations to spend my time addressing issues that other people raise. I also don’t need to defend myself against the shit you make up about my views, politics and motivations. Just like all the other authors, we choose what we write about and how we spend our time here. If you wanted genuine engagement on these issues, all you had to do was come back with your questions and points without the harping at me, or telling me what I should be writing about or doing. Banned from all my posts for the rest of the year – weka]
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
Should those two young kids ever get a degree and go to work, they will figure soon that it is better to work on an actual completed project that actually changes the world for good.
If, with an activist criminal record, the two of them prefer to work for a pittance at some activist group then they will remain in righteous penury.
My argument was concise and accurate – green activism puts all of it's energy into telling us either there are too many people, or the people need to consume less and reduce their standards of living. The first two terms of the Kaya Identity.
The first is a moral question – if your plan requires fewer humans to succeed – fail.
If your plan requires everyone to live in a poorly defined hippie poverty forever – then fail.
People who want to solve the problem put all of their energy into either improving energy energy efficiency or reducing the amount of carbon required to produce energy. The last two terms of the Kaya Identity.
Your response is a mix of incomprehension and abuse of power. Gives me zero confidence in your motives.
I have no problem with you putting out your arguments on TS, even the ones I disagree with. Sometimes there is an issue where your comments are off topic under my posts but like with any other commenter this is easily resolved by moving them to OM.
But making up things about my beliefs is not acceptable.
I'm also not willing to deal anymore under posts with the near constant picking at me as an author. eg in your comment you again question my motivations instead of just arguing your points about the topic.
None of what I have just said is outside of the normal way things happen here.
Sometimes there is an issue where your comments are off topic
My comment was by any sane definition entirely on topic – indeed if went concisely to the heart of the matter. You just didn't like it.
Until the Green Party's around the world drop their irrational opposition to nuclear energy I will continue to loudly question their motives and those who support them.
I was talking generally about some comments being off topic. I didn't say your comment in the Sunflowers | Oil post was off topic. If it was I would have moved it.
You just didn't like it.
I don't even remember what the comment was tbh. Having a very busy few days. But again, you think it's appropriate to define my views, and each time you put those little jabs in, it confirms that I need to set a boundary.
TL;DW: Both sides of the nuclear power argument have an agenda.
Nuclear Power
Pro: Climate friendly, takes up little space, produces on demand.
Cons: Expensive, Non-renewable, won't have significant influence on climate change within the next 20 years, Unpopular.
Cons: The nuclear industry has a demonstrated inability to manage to solving their plant lifetime waste issues.
When you look at the footprint through centuries of high level waste half- life, then the space issue is large.
After it demonstrates an ability to stop their chamical and radiological pollution for half a century then it might be worth looking at. For theoment all thatbis apparent is that there has been 70 years of preety dangerous accilmulating pollution.
And this really only applies to the early generation PWR reactors that utilise their fuel very inefficiently. There are several ways to build 4th Gen reactors that consume almost all their fuel (including waste from older reactors) and create a much smaller waste volume that only needs safe-keeping for a few hundred years. Geologic storage is perfectly appropriate for this.
It would also be helpful if anti-nuc greenies would stop raising irrational fears about storage sites and allowed some to go ahead as the Finnish have done.
I have outlined this at least a dozen times here over the past few years, but the 'waste problem' keeps getting trotted out – even when the risk it poses is tiny compared to the climate change problem it addresses.
There are several ways to build 4th Gen reactors that consume almost all their fuel (including waste from older reactors) and create a much smaller waste volume that only needs safe-keeping for a few hundred years.
That really isn't my point. After all you can go back over the last 70 years and see exactly the same kinds of claims being made about every reactor type and their waste.
Geologic storage is perfectly appropriate for this.
You can assert this. However you cannot point to a single place where this has been tried for long enough to find out. Now I’m not an engineer by training. However my science degree is in earth sciences. And I’d assert to say that an engineer who asserts that is a just a fool. They are arguing without sufficient evidence to support that claim. Every long term nuclear dump site I know of so far has had unsolved problems before, at or after end-of-plant-life.
Nuclear disposal of even medium levels has never been tried in geological terms. All we have had is things like dropping waste into the oceans – and now becoming a problem when we now work the deep ocean areas for comms lines – because the containment has failed. We’ve had above ground waste leaking into ground water systems. We’ve had closed nuclear plants dropping low and medium level waste on land by sea shores in rusting iron barrels.
Basically we have had experiments done by bloody pig-ignorant engineers who haven’t put in the controls to find out what their experiments did after they got them off their hands.
There have been 70 years to demonstrate that waste can be minimised and that the disposal is safe. It hasn't been demonstrated.
Instead we have waste piling up in dangerous locations and so far (as far as I am aware) exactly one open disposal storage that looks like it may be viable. The one that just opened in Finland. About 70 years after the first reactor. In 3-4 decades we’ll have some idea if it will work. I’d also note that they have put in extensive experimental monitoring – it is just as interesting to me if they manage to maintain that for long enough to get useful results.
I'm perfectly happy to have builds of a few demonstration reactors based on new principles. To test new disposal techniques. But I also require evidence that these techniques actually work before building more.
But those will require decades of testing to prove that they actually work and don't have process bugs is the only way that counts – as monitored tests. They are many decades of testing away from the kind of wide deployment you’re talking about.
Deploying site systems that don't have viable plans for the whole operational lifespan of the plant, and to its disposal is how the nuclear industry got in this mess – and you appear to be wanting to repeat the stupid experiment?
And it isn’t like we are lacking alternatives that have had decades of continuous testing in wind, solar, various geological battery systems, etc. The only thing that hasn’t been fully tested yet is using lithium battery banks – and the testing for that is slowly making it clear what the issues are.
The unknown risks – the ones that really really cost at and after end-of-life are becoming known. Wheras the nuclear industry is still fumbling in the dark ages of just starting to try to find that out.
It would also be helpful if anti-nuc greenies …
It isn’t the ‘greenies’ that you should be concerned about. There aren’t that many technical people outside of the nuclear engineering fanboys who think that the nuclear industry has done their job well enough to be trusted with dangerous materials at scale.
Their outright scepticism about the long-term value of nuclear technologies in open economies has fuelled the body politic’s scepticism. In the closed economies the devastation of whole landscapes by previous generations of engineers with no long-term time horizons has even managed to convince their current day engineers that there may a be few issues about how they operate on a biological and geological basis.
@RedLogix
I like the way the guy who has been the biggest defender of the 20/21 Century Western Capitalist/Imperialist project here on the TS…an ideological project that in its brief tenure as chief hegemony of the planet has squandered the one and only blimp in human history that provided us with free energy, for short term gratifications and capital gains with absolutely no long term aims or visions for the future of humanity (except maybe for their capacity to produce or more importantly consume ) much less the planet (except maybe for the amount that can be extracted from it)…the ideology that now that is on its death bed, leaves us with a Climate Armageddon as our inheritance…this same guy comes on TS all righteous…the gall.
Though I will say this…following that death cult (and defending it all the way) over the cliff right into the fires raging below shows the dedication of real fundamentalist that’s for sure…which I guess I can respect on a certain level, as I too am a fundamentalist…the difference being my ideology is the correct one…Socialism.
Sorry I forgot to add that the neocolonial hegemony defended so valiantly by our friend is of course also extremely racist….as was recently encapsulated rather nicely in a recent speech by EU foreign-policy chief Josep Borrell…
"Europe is a garden," Mr Borrell said in a speech in Belgium, but "most of the rest of the world is a jungle, and the jungle could invade the garden".
It looks like global pension funds are in trouble, their bonds (historic asset) are falling in value as interest rates rise. Yet because of (short version) investment decisions they are having to sell some of their assets. So it's not looking good for share markets. Some see a winter of energy shortage hardship in Europe followed by government and financial industry sector in crisis mode managing both the sustainability of some pension funds and the blow back of yet another private market failure.
PS Don't panic (ours should be fine – Kiwi Saver is a new scheme thus has smaller sized liabilities to continuing inputs).
Keen-eyed observers will have drawn the lesson that tax cuts for the wealthy, without any indication of what cuts in public services will be necessary to fund them, are a recipe for disaster. Even keener-eye observers, here in New Zealand, will have seen the obvious parallels between Liz Truss and our own National party. Christopher Luxon has at least had the benefit of a trial run of the policies which he has threatened to impose on us.
Is Luxon capable of learning from the mistakes of other hard right Tories?
I doubt it. If the Natz win in ’23 (God forbid) then we’re probably going to go the same way the UK will over the next few months.
I see Jacinda has not ruled out working with Winston Peters. That's strange given the narrative the Left, and everyone else for that matter, tar him with. I guess desperate times call for desperate measures. The problem for Peters is ACT has most of his policies covered.
Where is the comparison of at least one major NZF policy with ACT? It is clear that you believe your own reckons but that doesn’t make it true for the rest of us. In fact, from the replies it appears you’re wrong. Lift your game!
Winston Peters is for higher wages and training of local workers before immigration. Neither is ACT policy. NZF has only one bottom line for coalition (whether National or Labour) – no inclusion of ACT or Greens.
I said ''most.'' However, I should have been more circumspect. These points from Winston's speech.
''1-First – to defend one law for all in our country, and
2-First – to defend democracy of our country.''
That covers much ground between ACT and NZ First when formulating policy,
It's the nexus that has the majority of NZers concerned even if they intend voting Left.
Now if you were a swing voter, where would you put your vote? On an old campaigner who has stuffed the country around on numerous occasions? Who's capricious behaviour has turned many voters off for life? Or would you want a young politician who has worked hard. Who isn't scared to call bs when it's needed. And isn't scared to stand up to Maoridom and the Left? Better yet, if you like Winston's policies, but can't stomach voting for him, ACT has a similar focus around law and order and democracy. Those are the two big concerns with voters in my opinion.
People are writing Winston off. I wouldn't, especially if he comes to an accord with all those small one issue political parties. It would be a political beast made in hell, but It would probably cross the 5% line.
He has a chance – there is still a 1-2% base. And he will be going for 1% from ACT, 1% from National, 1% from Labour and 1% from the fringe parties (3 to 2%). Most in the provinces. Better than 50/50.
The attention might take oxygen from TOP (now less likely to get from 2 to 5%), but help the MP (now more likely to get 4 seats c2.5-3%).
In my view you either have democracy, or you don't. If you argue democracy is the tyranny of the majority in favour of European, then what's the alternative for Maori? Maori already have special privileges plus all rights given to European. Although historically that has not been the case.
Tomorrow on TV One is the Doco 'No Maori Allowed' It's about historical racism in Pukekohe. That should keep the troops happy.
The restraint on majority is in the civil liberties and human rights protections (whether formed in a constitution, or a Crown in parliament system). That might well include indigenous peoples and those with Treaty rights.
That is not correct. Until very recently Maori could not build individual homes on their land. It is still collective homes.
They had to fit in with our world view. Now we are being asked to consider theirs and be more fair….. kicking and swearing begins by a racist few or by those who hold the cake!!
That is true, very true. However, I considered that historical when I wrote my comments. But there's still problems. Maori have discovered an age old Pakeha problem – bureaucracy.
Maori could not build individual homes on their land.
Nothing to do with race. Anyone trying to build on collectively owned land encountered the same problem. More than a few hippie communities ran into exactly the same story.
As long as affluent middle class professionals like your good-self volunteer to do all the suffering & sacrifice (in health / housing) for 'Equity' … then fine … but we both know it won't even remotely be you & your chums … it'll be poorer, lower & low-middle-income non-Maori – already greatly financially disadvantaged – who'll be transformed & scapegoated into second class citizenship with few if any rights (my Parents currently being the perfect example).
People who, despite being born into poverty or low income families, have always been law-abiding, civic-minded, done the right thing, thought of others … will be the ones you viciously scapegoat & punish … absolutely fucking guaranteed. Albeit, of course, assiduously camouflaged as some great moral cause.
Fortunately, some relatively recent polling (Aug 2021) conducted on an issue that is essentially a proxy for the broad idea of 'Equity' (as opposed to Equality) suggests most New Zealanders aren't prepared to be conned by Critical Theory BS. The 2021 Lord Ashcroft poll found that even a majority of Maori Party & Green voters supported universalist ideas rather than policies pushing ethnic discrimination.
Like I say, the Woke middle-class are not “The Left” … you’re a self-interested Upper-Middle Vanity Project … and your relentless moral posturing is so transparently phoney.
"Poorer, lower & low-middle-income non-Maori" being "transformed & scapegoated into second class citizenship with few if any rights" sounds terrifying. Is there a Kiwi demographic or historical perspective that illustrates just how bad things could get for "non-Maori"?
Growth in life expectancy slows [20 April 2021]
The gap between Māori and non-Māori life expectancy at birth was 7.5 years for males and 7.3 years for females in 2017–2019.
Right, so you're confirming that affluent middle-class professionals like yourself – the genuinely privileged – are determined to scapegoat poorer non-Maori … and transform them into second-class citizens …
… and you’ll (rather desperately) deploy very crude comparisons (lacking all context) between Maori & non-Maorias a whole (as opposed to looking specifically at poorer & low-middle Pakeha/Asians) to buttress your decidely vicious & self-interested objective … got it … good to have it on record.
Who are you addressing here Swordfish? Your bitterness is becoming too personal. Are you saying discussing inequities is "Woke"? If so look in the mirror, because most of us " Self interested Upper Vanity Project…. etc…..' came from poor homes who valued Education… You know.. the "Woke" of their generation.
Thank you swordfish. That needed to be said. You are 100% right. However, there's a plethora of people ready to tell you why you are wrong. I too fear for the collateral damage such attitudes bring,
Try for something a little more cogent & plausible than the horrendously pompous dismissal "sigh"
Soooo Upper-Middle … soooo Russell Brown …. sooo "why do I possess such unusually refined sensibilities … I'm too morally good for this world"
Simply asking you to be a little less Brideshead Revisited.
Now, if we can get back to poorer non-Maori and how the affluent Woke are looking to systematically scapegoat them in health, housing & so on … preferably without too much in the way of Sigh.
Right, so you're confirming that affluent middle-class professionals like yourself are determined to scapegoat poorer non-Maori … and transform them into second-class citizens
… got it … good to have it on record.
??? I provided statistical information about the absolute life expectancy and wealth of different ethnic groups in NZ. Don't understand why this equates (in your mind) to scapegoating (blaming?) "poorer non-Māori" for anything, let alone transforming them into "second class citizens."
I really miss Mum – she was an inspiration and offered wise counsel. I've been been taking care of Dad at home for nine months now as he slowly loses his memory and independence – he's depressed, and occasionally experiments with VSED for a day or two – such is life.
And he will be going for 1% from ACT, 1% from National, 1% from Labour and 1% from the fringe parties
Doubt it … in broad terms, there's the potential for ACT to hoover up anti-WokeNats (& possibly swing-voters) … while NZF (or some new Party … preferably a trad Social Democratic one) wins over a segment of disillusioned anti-WokeLabour voters.
[No doubt both parties will be looking to supplement their support from the fringe]
For quite a few years now, NZF has attracted (& lost) far more former Labour voters than Nats … hence, in terms of their voting-base, they’re essentially part of the centre-left constellation … so they'll be aiming first & foremost for those 2020 Lab supporters who have voted NZF in the past [there’s quite a few of them & most of them haven’t died in the interim].
See my 4.01pm post below as to recent NZF voter preferences.
I don't see ACT taking any more National "trigger issue" voters than they have already (they led the debate on these issues not National) – and certainly not any centrist who reads their manifesto. Both ACT and Greens will have to campaign well to hold their current poll support level.
There was a suggestion on radio NZ (possibly a throw-away comment!) that both NZF and ACT are in favour of seeking to do away with the Treaty of Waitangi. Sorry I was driving and cannot recall the time when the comment was made.
I think around 80% of the NZF vote is from the Right. So if NZF get 4.9 percent 3.9% of the Right's vote is wasted but only 1% of the Left's is wasted, giving a significant advantage to the Left in the distribution of seats under MMP.
Of course Ardern hasn't "ruled out" NZF. Is this your first election? How old are you?
In 1996 Winston attacked Labour and National and vice-versa, and in the end NZF did a deal with National.
In 2005 Winston attacked Labour and National and vice-versa, and in the end NZF did a deal with Labour.
In 2017 Winston attacked Labour and National and vice-versa, and in the end NZF did a deal with Labour.
In 2023 it's unlikely NZF will get over 5%, but if they do … NZF will do a deal with either National or Labour if they need to.
The only time NZF were "ruled out" was when John Key calculated (correctly) that National could get a majority without NZF. He got the support of 3 other parties.
If you think Luxon or Ardern will choose to lose rather than do a deal with Peters if they have to, you've no understanding at all of politicians or MMP.
''Of course Ardern hasn't "ruled out" NZF. Is this your first election? How old are you?''
Well, deary, fairly old. I was just pointing out the political hypocrisy that goes on. Winston is slagged off by all, then if he's needed politically, all of a sudden that dog whistling is ok. It never ceases to amaze me. But more so coming from Labour who are meant to have a paternalistic eye on, and special relationship with, Maori.
Winston built a career on attacking "sickly white liberals", scratching itches from the Treaty to immigration. Everyone knows who he is and what he does. It didn't begin in 2022.
He was Deputy PM under Ardern for 3 years, because the alternative was worse. Do you think Labour voters regret that decision? Do you think they wish National had been in government for a 4th term, in a pandemic, ?
That's the same decision as always, and no party – Labour or National has ever chosen opposition instead.
Do you think they wish National had been in government for a 4th term, in a pandemic, ?
Shudder- they would have screwed that up even worse than they did with the GFC. In my lifetime, National seem to make a fetish of wanting to doing doing exactly the wrong thing in every crisis from the UK joining the EEC to covid-19.
Those idiotic statements about what they wanted to do during covid were insane. Release border controls before the population was vaccinated- just because some of their business mates were too thick to run their businesses over the net. They wanted to do it just before the artival of beta, delta, and omnicon…
The only political group that was stupider was Act and their parasitical shills in the taxpayers union.
Winston is slagged off by all, then if he’s needed politically, all of a sudden that dog whistling is ok.
Such nonsense. Even on this site not all (!) are slagging off WP. More importantly, neither Ardern nor Labour have been slagging him off either; they’re simply giving him the least amount of political oxygen. You’re also losing the plot with your biased anti-Māori rhetoric; you sound like an ardent NZF or ACT supporter with very little to say and a whole lot of hot air and bluster.
And that just shows that NZF has understood one thing. In opposition you attack all the parties that are not you, after all the party is representing its voters. In this case NZF doing stuff and saying stuff on behalf of its voter base. And neither a Labour or a National voter has to like a damn word he utters. After every election however any and all parties should seek to be admitted to the governing team. Specially the third parties.
Any party that rules out potential coalition partners on the grounds of their purity boundaries is self – selecting out from governing and pushing their agenda and promoting change. So why bother voting for people who self – select out long before anyone has cast any votes.
The story censored in western MSM for decades – this was first admitted by the DOD during Desert Storm (used on the Iraqi army) and has been a conspiracy theory ever since.
Asian media has reported its use by Chinese police on dissidents there.
Remembering Dr Patrick Flannagan and his Neurophone, This opened the way for many other devices that followed. Once the military gets hold of an invention, its use for humanity is stifled.
Not really neglect is it? It's corruption. National replaced elected ECan members to obtain non-enforcenment, same as Max Bradford was sent in to steal public power assets. And it will keep happening until those responsible face serious consequences – ie never if major parties have anything to do with it.
I hesitate to say this – as I know that many Standardistas regard Kiwiblog as anathema.
However, a contributor there, PaulL – has been running a fact-based series of posts – analysing the impact of tax and benefit policies on low income households – often referred to as the welfare trap.
They (so far at least) seem to be fairly politically neutral – and focused more on stating the issues, rather than identifying solutions (I gather the 'solutions' come later in the series – but he's already said there are no wave the magic wand answers out there)
But I've found them to be the most useful summary of the issues that I've yet seen (especially the graph visualizations of actual financial impacts on households)
And – particularly useful in challenging the 'just work more hours, get a pay increase' rhetoric, which is prevalent.
The spreadsheet he's made is really useful, it's clear we really need to look at how the abatements work they're effectively punitive especially if you have to re pay at end of year.
This is about the debate within National since John Key accepted Labour's 2005 WFF tax credits approach in 2008 (because there was no other way to get working families out of poverty …).
Why would a Party/Parties, who say they need 50 000 unemployed to bring down the cost of living care about the working poor? Short answer for all their positioning and pontificating they really don't. More "Wolf in Sheep's Clothing stuff".
As it did under the Helen Clark years. There is a reason Labour brought this benefit/tax in for families, and N never repealed it and will not repeal it in the future.
At some stage Government either need to regulate the pricing of flats/houses, or we need to flood the market with rentals build by the goverment and maintained by the government, and any citizen has a right to apply for such a flat irrespective.
Frist. cap the accom benefit. Declare a max and make that public.
Second. build faster, more and where people are. stop moving homeless people around to warehouse in motels and expect them to find housing and jobs in places that historically have been struggling for a long time, and that in the case of some over the last few years have lost most of their local industries to covid and the resulting fall out.
Third. if we can spend 3000 grand a week for shitty motel room somewhere without jobs and support, why not rent a house/flat directly – and cap it at market rent – non of that free market where the government gets milked as if they were a commercially used lactator.
Right now and for a while the onus has been/is on business to pay higher and higher wages in order to keep up with a price inflation that has very little to do with businesses actually. Why should businesses be responsible to increase wages so that their staff manages to keep up with someones ursurius demands of rent? Why would the government not come in and finally regulate that market via rent caps or setting rent mirrors that need to be adhered too?
Honestly, you can have a min wage of 50 bucks make 2000 per week and still need government assistance and not be free of the fear of homelessness if your weakly rent is 1800.
And fwiw, with inflation doing what it does, it will get worse by the week.
I thought that his posts were interesting reading. Maybe it just needs to be looked at from an angle where the questions is not partisan, but one that identifies an issue and how to fix it. Or we can just complain about parties that change every other year, and watch it go worse a little more one homeless family at a time, one poor family at a time.
The difference is that Labour keep reducing the cost of WFF tax credits by increasing the MW and working towards living wage, fair pay and industry awards (bus drivers … ). To have more for other spending.
Sure given the major problem is now the cost of renting and lifting the WFF tax credits and or AS in a tight market enables landlords to raise rents, we have to move to non income related policy (as we have with food in schools).
So for me it's also a rent freeze (and some extra support in terms of tax credits and AS for those at lower incomes/benefits etc) and more income related housing. One way to do that is to buy up houses off private landlords (who are losing their right to claim mortgage interest as a cost).
Not an MP, Cameron Bagrie supposed independent economist, recently employed by ANZ and Key.
It is part of the rights mantra and what they did last time, along with using lots of immigrants to compete for work and the 90 day rule to cap wages for the poor, plus take away all rights to discuss work conditions.
Then they lied and raised GST. So not much trust for their promises. Sorry Alwyn, I am not digitally smart, but you will find it if you care to google.
Your definition of recent is certainly pretty generous.
Cameron resigned from the ANZ in 3 October 2017. That is five years ago. By coincidence it was the same month that John Key was appointed to the New Zealand ANZ Board. I really don't think that they would have been involved with the ANZ together, do you?
With that framing in place there is about zero chance of employment policy being effectively implemented. The problem with the framing is it walks straight passed availability of work in assuming incentives to enter work are relevant. The relevant factors for people going from welfare to work are actually, can they find it given their skill set and location, does it offer enough hours given their total income, can they get it given their limited employment history. If work was available which removed these hurdles then many on welfare would prefer employment, just for the pro social factors. If it was flexible enough a lot of invalid welfare recipients would also be part of that.
The framing of human employment preferences as marginally motivated doesn't describe human psychology. When this answer arrives from macro economic models they assume full employment (equilibrium market state) as an outcome.
I'm not sure what 'framing' you're referring to. Perhaps you could give an example.
From my reading of the figures – the point was that, for a significant % of the lower paid workforce (especially those with children), employment, additional hours, and even pay rises, are of marginal benefit (cash-in-hand-at-the-end-of-the-pay-period benefit).
That's the biggest hurdle that needs to be addressed. I don't know whether there is an employment policy which addresses this.
Right now – work is available (boy is it available! – at least in Auckland – which is, after all 1/3 of the population – so fairly significant). Employers will bend over backwards to find hours and shifts that work for you. If you can turn up reliably, and do the work – employment history doesn't matter.
Those barriers certainly existed in the past (and may again in the future) – but aren't a big reality right now.
However. It seems as though the benefit abatement rates are an absolute killer. It costs to go to work (clothes, food, transport, childcare – that's massive) – it would seem to me, that many people quite possibly can't afford to get a job – at or even quite a bit above – minimum wage.
Yet when benefit rates were much higher unemployment was lower. There has been consistent framing that you need a gap. Buying into this framing help keeps benefit rates down.
Once you work out that that framing is not true then there is no reason against increasing benefit rates to make people's lives better and to ironically make them less fatigued, better fed, better mentally and in fact more suited to going to work.
The trouble is that the bureaucrats have also been brainwashed into this thinking as well. Remember MSD's advice to government in response to giving a bigger benefit increase as per WEAG was that this gap needed to be maintained.
Both National and Labour think this. Bunch of numpties.
Mike Treen pointed this out some time ago.
"The Labour government was implicitly accepting the argument that there needs to be a big gap between the benefit and a job to motivate people to work. There is in fact no evidence for that. Sweden has the highest sole parent benefit in the world yet had the highest percentage of sole parents in work. New Zealand had much lower unemployment when benefits were much higher as a percentage of the average wage."
"But to cut real wages the employer thinks he needs the gap to grow between wages and welfare payments. You have to make living on a benefit as miserable as possible.
In 1991, National savagely cut the rates of all benefits, including the invalids and sickness benefits. The harshest cuts were for the unemployed.
The unemployment benefit was cut by 25% for young people, 20% for young sickness beneficiaries, and 17% for solo parents. They abolished the family benefit and made many workers ineligible for the unemployment benefit with a stand down period of up to a six months. The 1992 benefit cuts were worth approximately $1.3 billion – about the same size of each of the tax cuts handed out in 1996 and 1998. Unemployment benefits were stopped for 16 and 17 year-olds and the youth rate for 18 & 19 year-olds extended to the age of 25.
Benefits as a percentage of the average wage fell significantly after 1985.The single person unemployment benefit dropped from 42 to 30% of the average wage by 1996. National Super for a married couple went from 85% to 72%. A domestic purposes benefit for a parent with one child went from 80% to 53%. The benefit for an unemployed couple with two children went from 95 to 69% of the average wage. "
Marginal benefit is a framing of the issue, its an assumption that this is the primary motivator to human behaviour around employment. As a country we have been down the road with the policies which follow from that assumption before. There are no alternatives to this outcome because the concept is to create a significant gap in income between employed and unemployed status. We will start there and end up cutting welfare to even below minimum budgets put forward by actual nutritionists (yes, we did that as a nation), starving people into work.
You may well be sanguine with the countries level of unemployment, but there are a bunch of things to consider around this.
1) Our official theory of unemployment makes zero sense. It is claiming we are more than 100% employed. Now realistically when you make an estimate for a maximum and its exceeded you would conclude that your estimate for that maximum was clearly incorrect. But apparently this doesn't behave as an actual limit.
2) In making this assumption we've decided it makes best sense to go without the output of 50,000 more people. That's an extraordinarily large amount of real output, and ongoing work history, we are giving away to a framing which is demonstrably incoherent.
3) New Zealand has had lower unemployment rates previously. Just this happened is an era when both political parties discussed full employment as a policy choice and the modern NAIRU concept wasn't known as an acronym.
4) The unemployment rate is only a measure of some/no employment. It doesn't measure under-employment which indicates a much larger waste (real output the country is going without) which is on-going. Including under-employment its a reasonable estimate that NZ real output could be a full 11% higher.
5) Unemployment rates vary regionally. There are some areas and cohorts where the rate is still in double figures.
6) Registering unemployed in statistics requires that those people are actively looking for work. Any unemployment rate above zero indicates there are people who can't find work.
All of these points indicate the same thing, the framing (and you purportedly didn't notice) obfuscates and invisibilizes a huge amount of ongoing waste of real output. That same framing has a history of really perverse economic policy in NZ. As I said, if that framing is adopted the results have about zero chance resulting in effective employment policy.
"If you can turn up reliably, and do the work – employment history doesn't matter.", I find this level of non-thinking astounding. Hint, the unemployed people are the applications which you already rejected (trivially) for lack of employment history. The ones who turn up reliably and do the work are employed.
"If you can turn up reliably, and do the work – employment history doesn't matter.", I find this level of non-thinking astounding. Hint, the unemployed people are the applications which you already rejected (trivially) for lack of employment history. The ones who turn up reliably and do the work are employed
In turn, I also find this level of wilful blindness astounding.
We are at a time when employers are crying out for workers. They are raising wages (well above the minimum), being totally flexible on hours and conditions (part-time – not a problem!) and certainly not rejecting applications for lack of employment history.
Yes. That may not always be the case in the future. And it may not be the case in some areas of NZ (I can only talk about the situation in Auckland – which as I pointed out has 1/3 of NZ population – so is fairly significant).
We even have situations where schools in South Auckland are struggling to retain their 16+ kids to get qualifications, because they can walk into jobs paying well above minimum wage. [Of course, the schools are rightfully concerned over their long-term prospects]
If people are not employed – under those conditions – then we need to be looking at the barriers – and the abatement rate of benefits, appears to be one of the strongest.
Nor, has there been as far as I can see, any mention of a requirement for 'full employment' or any variation thereof. Indeed, the original poster specifically discusses under-employment (and the barriers that the abatement rates for benefits, accom supplement and WFF) put in the way of increasing work hours. Child-care costs are also a huge barrier for Mums (and it almost always is Mums) with pre-schoolers. The 20 hours-free policy goes nowhere near accounting for the actual cost of child-care.
And, yanno. It's pretty self-evident that the majority of people go to work to make a living. If going to work, working more hours, or getting a pay rise, makes you worse off then that's a pretty major dis-incentive, right there.
I don't know of anyone who goes to work out of the kindness of their heart with the sole desire to make their employer wealthier, or to decrease their cost to the government (a truly abstract concept).
And while there are lots of other social benefits to working – they don't outweigh the cold hard reality, that you have to pay your bills at the end of the fortnight.
I can tell you (from experience) that there is no budgeter like a single mum who has to juggle every cent on a weekly basis – and who knows considerably more than her WINZ manager about the costs and disincentives of that extra hour of part-time work.
It seems to me that the 'framing' is coming from you, rather than the actual original poster.
Is there anything in the actual posts that you factually disagree with?
Because, if we (as a country) can't even agree on what the issues are – then you're right – the chances of having an effective employment policy are indeed zero.
As I have highlighted the framing is an obvious issue. In your latest reply it has some how invisibilized the fact that current official government policy is to add ~50,000 unemployed. That appears incompatible with any coming benefits from marginal rate changes. Its also invisibilized full employment as a political choice, and that this outcome is not a policy pursued by the govt. Obviously those issues are quite relevant to employment policy, as are their costs which dwarf anything relating to marginal employment choices.
Here's a highly relevant thing relating to marginal employment arguments. Did you know they imply that unemployment is therefore voluntary?
The assumption is that there is a trade off made between leisure (e.g unemployment) and work. The marginal difference between these is supposedly the cause of unemployment. I have in no way been claiming people go to work to make employers wealthy and that's a complete strawman anyway, your author is talking about the marginal rates relating to employment.
Now I'm fully happy with your belief that there are some minor tinkering's around the edges which are carrot policies, rather than stick. But you should clearly be aware of the prior art hanging around these policy discussions, that this is ultimately a discussion about creating a significant gap in pay between employed and unemployed, and that if this is taken seriously the implementation will surely be of the stick form and quite destructive, that has been the prior outcome in well known cases. That also remains fully consistent with present belief systems around welfare policy (as DoS describes quite well).
"certainly not rejecting applications for lack of employment history."
They are still rejecting them though. Some because the applicants are Maori or Pacifika, some because they are older, some because they have children, some because they are on benefit, some because they want experience, some because they want/need to retain a pool of local seasonal workers, some because of union affiliation, some to put pressure on the government, some because they don't want to spend money on training, some because they are over-qualified, some because they are pregnant, some because they have trolled their facebook pages, some because they have previously taken out a personal grievance against an employer, some because they have a collective black-list they add to and pass around, some cause they have a foreign sounding name……………….
And then there's those employers no one really wants to work for – shitty employer, unsociable hours, lack of safe public transport, dangerous conditions…..
My son's friend, a good kid, always worked, never been in trouble lost his job when his employer closed. Applied for hundreds of jobs over six months. Most time never got a reply. More rejections the more he struggled. Committed suicide. Some of those employers he applied to were in media bleating about how they couldn't get staff.
Throughout the festival’s history, we have always defended the need for a full and frank discussion of the problems facing society. Our motto is ‘FREE SPEECH ALLOWED’. We live in a time when censorship seems more prevalent than the days of shushing priests and damning judges, and yet things have changed. Contemporary attacks on free expression often come both from the state and from within a wide variety of institutions, from colleges to companies, museums to the media. On the one hand, censorship can take the form of legal overreach – from calls to beef up the Online Safety Bill to questions about how to deal with misinformation. On the other hand, censorship can be subtle, and is often quietly self-inflicted for fear of ostracisation.
The pressures on free speech will be a major theme at this year’s festival, with speakers asking questions about whether cries of You Can’t Say That have affected political progress relating to anti-racism, climate change, economic growth and even the world of arts and culture.
We aim to make all our events an antidote to intellectual silos and closed-off echo chambers. The Battle of Ideas festival is an intellectual journey, with many different routes to take through it. With scores of debates and hundreds of speakers, there will be much to enjoy for everyone on an enormous range of issues.
The Battle of Ideas festival is serious, fun, inspiring and much more.
Trump ushered in an era of more freedom? With the Supreme Court?
(the event referred to is in London, so I assume we're talking globally here, which in effect means in the West, because there's not much freedom everywhere from China to Russia to Iran).
Massive move toward censorship, elitism, authoritarianism & anti-majoritarianism over the last 6-7 years … driven by a self-interested Woke professional-managerial class (essentially opposed to democratic norms & genuine Social Democracy) … hand-in-hand with Big Tech Oligarchs.
The arrogant commandeering of centre-left parties by a dogmatic, anti-democratic segment of the middle-class making fundamental changes rapidly (& preferably by stealth) reminds me so much of the Leninist vanguard tactics of the Rogernomes through the mid-late 80s.
Massive move toward censorship, elitism, authoritarianism & anti-majoritarianism over the last 6-7 years
Where, Brexit in the UK, red MAGA cap Trumpism in the USA, Bill English taking over from John Key, or do you mean females speaking up on Twitter and in MSM ….
"Obviously it's not the 19th century, the 1950s, or any time before the internet."
Location, location . location….may be important to the context.
Pre internet (and pre instant media) most conversation was local and in person….self censoring was and is dependent on repercussions. if you were unfortunate enough to live in a totalitarian state then the repercussions were real, but in a democracy much less so
What's everyone's thoughts on Winston's latest attempt at a political comeback?
I have no doubt NACT will rule him out in the near future, should the left also?
As for his rhetoric around He Puapua, Three Waters and co-governance. When will we wake up and realize that this is politically unpalatable for most and the legislation is undoubtedly going to be ripped up as soon as possible?
Why are the left prepared to die on that bridge? Wouldn't something like poverty and hardship be more palatable and less of a vote loser?
There is no point looking back after the election with regret and wonder why divisive policy wasn't dropped as the polls continued to fall. Act on it now and cast it aside!
At least pretend that the contest next year isn’t a foregone conclusion.
Anybody who uses the word 'woke' to mean anything other than emerging from sleep, is a lazy bullshit artist. Anybody who says the English language is being extinguished is a mischevious shit-stirrer. Anybody who compares Co governance to apartheid has lost the right to not be laughed at as a matter of course. But the fact that his drivel is reported without automatic derision shows what an impressive propaganda hit job is being done on the government.
We have a few posters here of that age? Should we discount their opinion because of age? If people like what he has to say they may or may not vote for him. I would like to point out that NZ just recently elected a young dude as Mayor of Gore, and one of Rotorua councilors is quite young and was just out of school when he got elected first time around a few years back, Fisher Wang.
I have to say AB, when I am feeling a bit lazy I use the word woke as a shorthand method. I think most of us use words as shorthand. It is a bit quicker than saying people who view everything through a very narrow ideological lens interpreting every event in a way that fits their narrow authoritarian paradigm.
For example the ignoramus who said Shakespeare was a canon of imperialism. ……. and questions whether Shakespeare was the "most relevant for decolonizing NZ". So this is a very good example of wokedom. This festival has been running for nearly 30 years, the PM and Melanie Lynskey and 140,000 other school students have attended and it involves adapting Shakespeare to our current world. Shakespeare……the greatest living playright ever! The writer who manages to write about universal human nature better than anyone!
I am really glad Sam Neil, Robyn whatshername from the Westie programme and Michael Hurst have come up swinging against the stupidity of this decision. Deciding not to fund it, o.k. but doing so because of a crazy ideological lens some idoit has viewed Shakespeare through is an embarrasment.
What does woke mean?….it is simply a lazy shorthand imo….and overused.
Everybody has prejudice, and most of it understandable (though not necessarily correct), if you take the effort to understand it….most dont
It is understandable if someone has been raped say would have a negative opinion of men….in your interaction with that person you would consider the opinion in context. I have a prejudice against politicians (among other prejudices)…i am aware of the prejudice and self censor on many occasions but not always…anyone who knows me will treat my statements with that knowledge,,,as it should be, but importantly as it used to be.
We appear to have abandoned the concept of prejudice….to our detriment
Bias has become a moral virtue and replaced religious dogma & instruction to fill up the vacuum of and satisfy our need for certainty and direction. To avoid social awkwardness and gain acceptance, approval, and belonging we have turned to truly cringeworthy behaviour, which some not only justify and approve of but even actively encourage, particularly in that shadow world on social media that seems to dominate our on-line existence. The irony is that while I type these words I’m staring at a screen …
Yes, it's good that a great range of people have strongly criticised the decision, including various leftie/greenie actors, with extensive coverage of their opinions across all media, voices being freely and openly raised without any fear of consequences … legal, professional, social, any.
Which is kinda funny, because this sounds a lot like very free speech. The thing those bogeyman "woke" demons won't allow us any more. Somebody forgot to tell all those people who are exercising their freedom, loudly.
I’m not so bothered by a few grating comments from a couple (?) of external funding assessors of Creative NZ. The Shakespeare show will go on despite the minor funding shortfall and some other applicants were more fortunate in getting funded this round. The unspoken implication is that because it is not Shakespeare it has to be culturally inferior. Go figure.
Anybody who uses the word ‘woke’ to mean anything other than emerging from sleep, is a lazy bullshit artist
No, I'd say you're the intellectually lazy bullshit artist … either that or you're completely clueless.
Woke is the perfect term for the dogmatic Critical Theory cult now culturally (& increasingly politically) hegemonic … short, snappy, initially adopted with some gusto by the ID Pols cadre themselves but now hitting a raw nerve & deeply upsetting to you / them (highlighting that the wider public have formed a very negative view of your crude, distorted dogma & its grotesque unfairness).
Woke authoritarians would have us believe Critical Theory ID politics is all about "anti-racism" & "anti-sexism" in the most broadly-defined & vaguest of terms … but, of course, it refers to a very specific, extreme & highly discriminatory dogma serving the interests of a segment of the middle class & guaranteed to create whole new forms of social injustice on a significant scale.
An elite, authoritarian, profoundly anti-democratic vanity project in which the professional-managerial class wields all the power & apparently gets to decide which swathes of working & lower-middle class people are to be systematically scapegoated into second-class status with few if any human rights & which segments will be greatly privileged.
Tough shit, for instance, if you're low income & not Maori. The affluent Pakeha Woke, the inheritors of colonial wealth, have you in their sights for full-scale scapegoating & associated projection of guilt … you’ll be put through hell & blamed for it.
You're nothing more than elitist users & abusers of the majority, outrageously indulging in ostentatious moral posturing despite your conspicuous lack of morality & ethics.
A guide to the prophet about how to sell a narrative
SOCO Rule: Less is More
In order to be clear and to the point, and to ensure your audience hears what you have to say, your first step in crafting a message is creating what we call a SOCO—a Single Overriding Communications Objective. Then create up to three key points that support the SOCO.
Don't confuse your audience by trying to tack on additional messages. Instead, stick to your SOCO…. [+]
Don’t sabotage yourself by trying to tack additional messages onto the three key points of your SOCO. Too many messages mean your audience will retain nothing. Stick to the point: don’t confuse your message by inserting difficult information or counterproductive associations.
The SOCO defines the objective of your communication, while the key messages explain that objective. The SOCO acts like a compass, ensuring that your message is always headed in the right direction, and gives you something to fall back on when faced with external noise, such as questions from journalists or your audience that may be drawing you off track. A SOCO can help you turn every difficult question into an opportunity to restate your message and come back to your point.
Repeat, Repeat, Repeat
While creating a SOCO is the most important step, it’s no good if you use it once, or just once in a while. A SOCO must be consistent, and repeated at every opportunity. Remember: you and your team may be a bit sick of your message once you’ve got it crafted and have used it a few times in speeches or press releases. But your potential audience is bigger than that, and remembering your message is not their top priority. Repetition is key to success.
Use your SOCO at every opportunity, sticking as close to the original language as possible. And just about the time you may be utterly bored, the public will start to wake up to your SOCO. The equation is simple: mention nine points once, and nothing will be remembered. Mention three points three times, and one thing may be remembered.
So if you want to overcome information overload, define your SOCO, create three key points in support of it, repeat every chance you get, and rely on your SOCO as a defense against being drawn off-track.
For my part I think he blew it whining about Covid response, and Shane Jones proved not to have the voter appeal to turn it around.
We have Winston to thank, apparently, for scotching the CGT, according to Shaw, and he has also said something to the effect that NZF's position was a bought policy.
I'm over Winston – but then I was over him when he backstabbed the Alliance to put National into government, having sworn blue and purple that he would not.
When it comes to political grandstanding and soap-boxing there’s no greater gaslighter than Winston Peters. If any minor party can get over the 5% threshold it is his; the others have no show in hell, IMO.
It was National who signed up to the UN "directive" on indigenous rights. The public service developed He Puapua accordingly. What actually happens is still determined by those in government.
Co-governance of the environment/conservation has not been a problem where it has been applied so far – and prevents the problems that emerge from councils not doing their job.
Councils cannot raise the money required to finance the necessary investment in water infrastructure (some because of debt caps, others lack of ratepayers). Owning their own assets won't change that.
I have no doubt NACT will rule him out in the near future, should the left also?
You've conflated National and ACT, and that's wrong. Seymour can "rule him out" because he can say anything for a headline, but Luxon is going to say "almost inconceivable". "Almost" means not. Or he'll say "not my intention" or "not planning" to work with Winston … again, meaningless.
It's quite disheartening that the same nonsense gets taken seriously every 3 years. Why does anybody believe empty words? Why do we always repeat the same game?
Scenario: 121 seats (one extra electorate for Maori Party). National plus ACT have 60. NZF are there, Maori Party are there.
If (in your "no doubt" prediction) Luxon has "ruled out" NZF, then he must choose the Maori Party. Or lose.
We know exactly what National MPs would say about that. NZF would be un-ruled out before breakfast.
''If (in your "no doubt" prediction) Luxon has "ruled out" NZF, then he must choose the Maori Party. Or lose.''
I have been thinking about this scenario for some time. Luxon going with the Maori Party would decimate support for both parties. Luxon in such a situation should refuse to form a government. Should Labour cobble together something, it wouldn't last a three year term and we'd be back at the polls in no time for a resounding Tory win. I doubt Luxon would have the balls to do that. He would pay with loss of voter support.
I actually agree with you on that (although I don't believe my own scenario will happen, it's just a "if push comes to shove" thought experiment).
National's longer-term interests would be to let Ardern cobble a government together. But leaders think short-term, because they probably won't get another chance.
More to the point, with the current leadership of TPM, it would be a cold day in hell before they would choose National/Luxon over Labour/Ardern.
If they are in a 'kingmaker' role, there is no doubt which way they will go – only doubt about what policy concessions they'll achieve.
Of course, they could choose to sit on the cross-benches – and make Labour come to them to negotiate each piece of legislation. I have no idea whether Ardern (or Luxon for that matter) would find that situation workable for forming a government. (I have my doubts – but it has worked overseas – i.e. minority governments have been formed)
Do you really think that their party vote will drop below about 33,000, ie a bit less than they got in 2020, but they will still win another electorate seat?
Cancer vaccines have been around for some time but mRNA vaccines for treatment of cancer are relatively new, of course, and the initial results look very promising.
It is slightly depressing to see our main strong democracies UK and US and much of EU sliding hard rightwards into incoherence and broken checks and balances, while China's single party CCCP re-elects its leader without dissent for another 5 years.
Few democracies can withstand comparison to China for giving order in a chaotic and economically depressed world.
Average age at (first) marriage was on a straight line progression upwards from 1975 to 2007. No deviation (either way) during either the Muldoon or the Rogernomic years.
Age at marriage went from an average of about 27 in 1984 to about 28.5 in 1990 (for men – women are consistently about 3 years younger) – then continued upwards to a peak of 32.5 in 2007 – and has been virtually static ever since (well, a very slight dip in 2011)
Wayne Brown seems to be spoiling for a fight with the government even though his 3 waters opposition had been clearly stated beforehand. Given National are probably the next government, I think it's a prudent move not to spend any rate payer money. Why waste resources? BUT, what if Labour holds on to power?
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Your car battery is an essential component that provides power to start your engine, operate your electrical systems, and store energy. Over time, batteries can weaken and lose their ability to hold a charge, which can lead to starting problems, power failures, and other issues. Replacing your battery before it ...
In most states, you cannot register a car without a valid driver’s license. However, there are a few exceptions to this rule. Exceptions to the RuleIf you are under 18 years old: In some states, you can register a car in your name even if you do not ...
Mazda, a Japanese automotive manufacturer with a rich history of innovation and engineering excellence, has emerged as a formidable player in the global car market. Known for its reputation of producing high-quality, fuel-efficient, and driver-oriented vehicles, Mazda has consistently garnered praise from industry experts and consumers alike. In this article, ...
Struts are an essential part of a car’s suspension system. They are responsible for supporting the weight of the car and damping the oscillations of the springs. Struts are typically made of steel or aluminum and are filled with hydraulic fluid. How Do Struts Work? Struts work by transferring the ...
Car registration is a mandatory process that all vehicle owners must complete annually. This process involves registering your car with the Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) and paying an associated fee. The registration process ensures that your vehicle is properly licensed and insured, and helps law enforcement and other authorities ...
Zoom is a video conferencing service that allows you to share your screen, webcam, and audio with other participants. In addition to sharing your own audio, you can also share the audio from your computer with other participants. This can be useful for playing music, sharing presentations with audio, or ...
Building your own computer can be a rewarding and cost-effective way to get a high-performance machine tailored to your specific needs. However, it also requires careful planning and execution, and one of the most important factors to consider is the time it will take. The exact time it takes to ...
Sleep mode is a power-saving state that allows your computer to quickly resume operation without having to boot up from scratch. This can be useful if you need to step away from your computer for a short period of time but don’t want to shut it down completely. There are ...
Introduction Computer-Assisted Translation (CAT) has revolutionized the field of translation by harnessing the power of technology to assist human translators in their work. This innovative approach combines specialized software with human expertise to improve the efficiency, accuracy, and consistency of translations. In this comprehensive article, we will delve into the ...
In today’s digital age, mobile devices have become an indispensable part of our daily lives. Among the vast array of portable computing options available, iPads and tablet computers stand out as two prominent contenders. While both offer similar functionalities, there are subtle yet significant differences between these two devices. This ...
A computer is an electronic device that can be programmed to carry out a set of instructions. The basic components of a computer are the processor, memory, storage, input devices, and output devices. The Processor The processor, also known as the central processing unit (CPU), is the brain of the ...
Voice Memos is a convenient app on your iPhone that allows you to quickly record and store audio snippets. These recordings can be useful for a variety of purposes, such as taking notes, capturing ideas, or recording interviews. While you can listen to your voice memos on your iPhone, you ...
Laptop screens are essential for interacting with our devices and accessing information. However, when lines appear on the screen, it can be frustrating and disrupt productivity. Understanding the underlying causes of these lines is crucial for finding effective solutions. Types of Screen Lines Horizontal lines: Also known as scan ...
Right-clicking is a common and essential computer operation that allows users to access additional options and settings. While most desktop computers have dedicated right-click buttons on their mice, laptops often do not have these buttons due to space limitations. This article will provide a comprehensive guide on how to right-click ...
Powering up and shutting down your ASUS laptop is an essential task for any laptop user. Locating the power button can sometimes be a hassle, especially if you’re new to ASUS laptops. This article will provide a comprehensive guide on where to find the power button on different ASUS laptop ...
Dell laptops are renowned for their reliability, performance, and versatility. Whether you’re a student, a professional, or just someone who needs a reliable computing device, a Dell laptop can meet your needs. However, if you’re new to Dell laptops, you may be wondering how to get started. In this comprehensive ...
Two-thirds of the country think that “New Zealand’s economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful”. They also believe that “New Zealand needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful”. These are just two of a handful of stunning new survey results released ...
In today’s digital world, screenshots have become an indispensable tool for communication and documentation. Whether you need to capture an important email, preserve a website page, or share an error message, screenshots allow you to quickly and easily preserve digital information. If you’re an Asus laptop user, there are several ...
A factory reset restores your Gateway laptop to its original factory settings, erasing all data, apps, and personalizations. This can be necessary to resolve software issues, remove viruses, or prepare your laptop for sale or transfer. Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to factory reset your Gateway laptop: Method 1: ...
“You talking about me?”The neoliberal denigration of the past was nowhere more unrelenting than in its depiction of the public service. The Post Office and the Railways were held up as being both irremediably inefficient and scandalously over-manned. Playwright Roger Hall’s “Glide Time” caricatures were presented as accurate depictions of ...
Roger Partridge writes – When the Coalition Government took office last October, it inherited a country on a precipice. With persistent inflation, decades of insipid productivity growth and crises in healthcare, education, housing and law and order, it is no exaggeration to suggest New Zealand’s first-world status was ...
Rob MacCulloch writes – In 2022, the Curriculum Centre at the Ministry of Education employed 308 staff, according to an Official Information Request. Earlier this week it was announced 202 of those staff were being cut. When you look up “The New Zealand Curriculum” on the Ministry of ...
Chris Bishop’s bill has stirred up a hornets nest of opposition. Photo: Lynn Grieveson for The KākāTL;DR: The six things that stood out to me in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate from the last day included:A crescendo of opposition to the Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill is ...
Monday left me brokenTuesday, I was through with hopingWednesday, my empty arms were openThursday, waiting for love, waiting for loveThe end of another week that left many of us asking WTF? What on earth has NZ gotten itself into and how on earth could people have voluntarily signed up for ...
Hello! Here comes the Saturday edition of More Than A Feilding, catching you up on the past week’s editions.State of humanity, 20242024, it feels, keeps presenting us with ever more challenges, ever more dismay.Do you give up yet? It seems to ask.No? How about this? Or this?How about this?Full story Share ...
Determining the hardest sport in the world is a subjective matter, as the difficulty level can vary depending on individual abilities, physical attributes, and experience. However, based on various factors including physical demands, technical skills, mental fortitude, and overall accomplishment, here is an exploration of some of the most challenging ...
The allure of sport transcends age, culture, and geographical boundaries. It captivates hearts, ignites passions, and provides unparalleled entertainment. Behind the spectacle, however, lies a fascinating world of financial investment and expenditure. Among the vast array of competitive pursuits, one question looms large: which sport carries the hefty title of ...
Introduction Pickleball, a rapidly growing paddle sport, has captured the hearts and imaginations of millions around the world. Its blend of tennis, badminton, and table tennis elements has made it a favorite among players of all ages and skill levels. As the sport’s popularity continues to surge, the question on ...
Abstract: Soccer, the global phenomenon captivating millions worldwide, has a rich history that spans centuries. Its origins trace back to ancient civilizations, but the modern version we know and love emerged through a complex interplay of cultural influences and innovations. This article delves into the fascinating journey of soccer’s evolution, ...
Tinting car windows offers numerous benefits, including enhanced privacy, reduced glare, UV protection, and a more stylish look for your vehicle. However, the cost of window tinting can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article provides a comprehensive guide to help you understand how much you can expect to ...
Our two-tiered system for veterans’ support is out of step with our closest partners, and all parties in Parliament should work together to fix it, Labour veterans’ affairs spokesperson Greg O’Connor said. ...
Stripping two Ministers of their portfolios just six months into the job shows Christopher Luxon’s management style is lacking, Labour Leader Chris Hipkins said. ...
It appears Nicola Willis is about to pull the rug out from under the feet of local communities still dealing with the aftermath of last year’s severe weather, and local councils relying on funding to build back from these disasters. ...
The Government is making short-sighted changes to the Resource Management Act (RMA) that will take away environmental protection in favour of short-term profits, Labour’s environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking said today. ...
Labour welcomes the release of the report into the North Island weather events and looks forward to working with the Government to ensure that New Zealand is as prepared as it can be for the next natural disaster. ...
The Labour Party has called for the New Zealand Government to recognise Palestine, as a material step towards progressing the two-State solution needed to achieve a lasting peace in the region. ...
Some of our country’s most important work, stopping the sexual exploitation of children and violent extremism could go along with staff on the frontline at ports and airports. ...
The Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill will give projects such as new coal mines a ‘get out of jail free’ card to wreak havoc on the environment, Labour Leader Chris Hipkins said today. ...
Cuts to frontline hospital staff are not only a broken election promise, it shows the reckless tax cuts have well and truly hit the frontline of the health system, says Labour Health spokesperson Ayesha Verrall. ...
The Green Party has joined the call for public submissions on the fast-track legislation to be extended after the Ombudsman forced the Government to release the list of organisations invited to apply just hours before submissions close. ...
New Zealand’s good work at reducing climate emissions for three years in a row will be undone by the National government’s lack of ambition and scrapping programmes that were making a difference, Labour Party climate spokesperson Megan Woods said today. ...
More essential jobs could be on the chopping block, this time Ministry of Education staff on the school lunches team are set to find out whether they're in line to lose their jobs. ...
The Government is trying to bring in a law that will allow Ministers to cut corners and kill off native species, Labour environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking said. ...
Cancelling urgently needed new Cook Strait ferries and hiking the cost of public transport for many Kiwis so that National can announce the prospect of another tunnel for Wellington is not making good choices, Labour Transport Spokesperson Tangi Utikere said. ...
A laundry list of additional costs for Tāmaki Makarau Auckland shows the Minister for the city is not delivering for the people who live there, says Labour Auckland Issues spokesperson Shanan Halbert. ...
The Green Party has today launched a step-by-step guide to help New Zealanders make their voice heard on the Government’s democracy dodging and anti-environment fast track legislation. ...
The National Government’s proposed changes to the Residential Tenancies Act will mean tenants can be turfed from their homes by landlords with little notice, Labour housing spokesperson Kieran McAnulty said. ...
Green Party co-leader Marama Davidson is calling on all parties to support a common-sense change that’s great for the planet and great for consumers after her member’s bill was drawn from the ballot today. ...
A significant milestone has been reached in the fight to strike an anti-Pasifika and unfair law from the country’s books after Teanau Tuiono’s members’ bill passed its first reading. ...
New Zealand has today missed the opportunity to uphold the right to a clean, healthy, and sustainable environment, says James Shaw after his member’s bill was voted down in its first reading. ...
Today’s advice from the Climate Change Commission paints a sobering reality of the challenge we face in combating climate change, especially in light of recent Government policy announcements. ...
Minister for Disability Issues Penny Simmonds appears to have delayed a report back to Cabinet on the progress New Zealand is making against international obligations for disabled New Zealanders. ...
The Government’s newly announced review of methane emissions reduction targets hints at its desire to delay Aotearoa New Zealand’s urgent transition to a climate safe future, the Green Party said. ...
The Government must commit to the Maitai School building project for students with high and complex needs, to ensure disabled students from the top of the South Island have somewhere to learn. ...
Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey and his Government colleagues have made a meal of their mental health commitments, showing how flimsy their efforts to champion the issue truly are, says Labour Mental Health spokesperson Ingrid Leary. ...
Paul Goldsmith will take on responsibility for the Media and Communications portfolio, while Louise Upston will pick up the Disability Issues portfolio, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon announced today. “Our Government is relentlessly focused on getting New Zealand back on track. As issues change in prominence, I plan to adjust Ministerial ...
Recreational catch limits will be reduced in areas of Fiordland and the Chatham Islands to help keep those fisheries healthy and sustainable, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones says. The lower recreational daily catch limits for a range of finfish and shellfish species caught in the Fiordland Marine Area and ...
Energy Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed an important milestone in New Zealand’s hydrogen future, with the opening of the country’s first network of hydrogen refuelling stations in Wiri. “I want to congratulate the team at Hiringa Energy and its partners K one W one (K1W1), Mitsui & Co New Zealand ...
The coalition Government is delivering on its commitment to improve resource management laws and give greater certainty to consent applicants, with a Bill to amend the Resource Management Act (RMA) expected to be introduced to Parliament next month. RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop has today outlined the first RMA Amendment ...
Overseas models for regulating the oil and gas sector, including their decommissioning regimes, are being carefully scrutinised as a potential template for New Zealand’s own sector, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. The Coalition Government is focused on rebuilding investor confidence in New Zealand’s energy sector as it looks to strengthen ...
Emergency Management and Recovery Minister Mark Mitchell has today released the Report of the Government Inquiry into the response to the North Island Severe Weather Events. “The report shows that New Zealand’s emergency management system is not fit-for-purpose and there are some significant gaps we need to address,” Mr Mitchell ...
Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith is today travelling to Europe where he’ll update the United Nations Human Rights Council on the Government’s work to restore law and order. “Attending the Universal Periodic Review in Geneva provides us with an opportunity to present New Zealand’s human rights progress, priorities, and challenges, while ...
Associate Agriculture Minister, Mark Patterson, formally reopened the world’s largest wool processing facility today in Awatoto, Napier, following a $50 million rebuild and refurbishment project. “The reopening of this facility will significantly lift the economic opportunities available to New Zealand’s wool sector, which already accounts for 20 per cent of ...
Hon Andrew Bayly, Minister for Small Business and Manufacturing At the Southland Otago Regional Engineering Collective (SOREC) Summit, 18 April, Dunedin Ngā mihi nui, Ko Andrew Bayly aho, Ko Whanganui aho Good Afternoon and thank you for inviting me to open your summit today. I am delighted ...
The Government is delivering on its commitment to bring back the Three Strikes legislation, Associate Justice Minister Nicole McKee announced today. “Our Government is committed to restoring law and order and enforcing appropriate consequences on criminals. We are making it clear that repeat serious violent or sexual offending is not ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today announced four new diplomatic appointments for New Zealand’s overseas missions. “Our diplomats have a vital role in maintaining and protecting New Zealand’s interests around the world,” Mr Peters says. “I am pleased to announce the appointment of these senior diplomats from the ...
New Zealand is contributing NZ$7 million to support communities affected by severe food insecurity and other urgent humanitarian needs in Ethiopia and Somalia, Foreign Minister Rt Hon Winston Peters announced today. “Over 21 million people are in need of humanitarian assistance across Ethiopia, with a further 6.9 million people ...
Minister for Arts, Culture and Heritage Paul Goldsmith is congratulating Mataaho Collective for winning the Golden Lion for best participant in the main exhibition at the Venice Biennale. "Congratulations to the Mataaho Collective for winning one of the world's most prestigious art prizes at the Venice Biennale. “It is good ...
The Government is reforming financial services to improve access to home loans and other lending, and strengthen customer protections, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly and Housing Minister Chris Bishop announced today. “Our coalition Government is committed to rebuilding the economy and making life simpler by cutting red tape. We are ...
“China remains a strong commercial opportunity for Kiwi exporters as Chinese businesses and consumers continue to value our high-quality safe produce,” Trade and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay says. Mr McClay has returned to New Zealand following visits to Beijing, Harbin and Shanghai where he met ministers, governors and mayors and engaged in trade and agricultural events with the New ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has completed a successful trip to Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines, deepening relationships and capitalising on opportunities. Mr Luxon was accompanied by a business delegation and says the choice of countries represents the priority the New Zealand Government places on South East Asia, and our relationships in ...
New Zealand is demonstrating its commitment to reducing global greenhouse emissions, and supporting clean energy transition in South East Asia, through a contribution of NZ$41 million (US$25 million) in climate finance to the Asian Development Bank (ADB)-led Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM). Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Climate Change Minister Simon Watts announced ...
The Government is today releasing a list of organisations who received letters about the Fast-track applications process, says RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop. “Recently Ministers and agencies have received a series of OIA requests for a list of organisations to whom I wrote with information on applying to have a ...
Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister David Jonathan Boldt as a Judge of the High Court, and the Honourable Justice Matthew Palmer as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Boldt graduated with an LLB from Victoria University of Wellington in 1990, and also holds ...
Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa. The summit is co-hosted ...
A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul. “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr. The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners. “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...
RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...
Today’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...
Refreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...
Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...
Associate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson is speaking at the International Wool Textile Organisation Congress in Adelaide, promoting New Zealand wool, and outlining the coalition Government’s support for the revitalisation the sector. "New Zealand’s wool exports reached $400 million in the year to 30 June 2023, and the coalition Government ...
The Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says. The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, ...
Changes to the Resource Management Act will align consenting for coal mining to other forms of mining to reduce barriers that are holding back economic development, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The inconsistent treatment of coal mining compared with other extractive activities is burdensome red tape that fails to acknowledge ...
Trade, Agriculture and Forestry Minister Todd McClay has concluded productive discussions with ministerial counterparts in Beijing today, in support of the New Zealand-China trade and economic relationship. “My meeting with Commerce Minister Wang Wentao reaffirmed the complementary nature of the bilateral trade relationship, with our Free Trade Agreement at its ...
A poem by Wellington writer Tayi Tibble.Hoki Mai She kisses him goodbye with her eyes still wet and alight from their last swim in the Awatere river. At the train station celebration, she leads the Kapa Haka but her voice keeps breaking under and over itself like waves. ...
A poem from Bill Manhire’s 2017 book of verse Some Things to Place in a Coffin.My World War I Poem Inside each trench, the sound of prayer. Inside each prayer, the sound of digging. Image courtesy of Auckland War Memorial Museum. ...
There are three books I have wolfed down in one sitting over the last two years. Colleen Maria Lenihan’s gorgeous and sad debut Kōhine, Noelle McCarthy’s memoir Grand about becoming her mother and then unbecoming her, and now Hine Toa, a staunch yet gentle self-portrait by living legend Ngāhuia te ...
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Asia Pacific Report Students and activist staff at Australia’s University of Sydney (USyd) have set up a Gaza solidarity encampment in support of Palestinians and similar student-led protests in the United States. The camp was pitched as mass graves, crippled hospitals, thousands of civilian deaths and the near-total destruction of ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By James B. Dorey, Lecturer in Biological Sciences, University of Wollongong Australian teddy bear bees are cute and fluffy, but get a look at that massive (unbarbed) stinger! James Dorey Photography Most of us have been stung by a bee and we ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Jen Roberts, Senior Lecturer, School of Humanities and Social Inquiry, University of Wollongong Aussie~mobs/FlickrVictor Farr, a private in the 1st Infantry Battalion, was among the first to land at Anzac Cove just before dawn on April 25 1915. Victor Farr ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Gregory Moore, Senior Research Associate, School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, The University of Melbourne Gregory Moore I had the good fortune to care for the sugar gum at The University of Melbourne’s Burnley Gardens in Victoria where I worked for ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By John Hawkins, Senior Lecturer, Canberra School of Politics, Economics and Society, University of Canberra BagzhanSadvakassov/Upsplash, CC BY-SA Australia’s inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and it’s now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rachel Ong ViforJ, ARC Future Fellow & Professor of Economics, Curtin University Just when we think the price of rentals could not get any worse, this week’s Rental Affordability Snapshot by Anglicare has revealed low-income Australians are facing a housing crisis like ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Meighen McCrae, Associate Professor of Strategic & Defence Studies, Australian National University American and Australian stretcher bearers working together near the front line during the Battle of Hamel in 1918.Australian War Memorial While the AUKUS alliance is new, the Australian-American partnership ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Tracey Holmes, Professorial Fellow in Sport, University of Canberra When the news broke last weekend that 23 Chinese swimmers had tested positive to a banned drug in early 2021 and were allowed to compete at the Tokyo Olympic Games six months later ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Cally Jetta, Senior Lecturer and Academic Lead; College for First Nations, University of Southern Queensland Australian War MemorialAboriginal and Torres Strait Islander readers are advised this article contains names and images of deceased people, as well as sensitive historical information ...
RNZ News Melissa Lee has been ousted from New Zealand’s coalition cabinet and stripped of the Media portfolio, and Penny Simmonds has lost the Disability Issues portfolio in a reshuffle. Climate Change and Revenue Minister Simon Watts will take Lee’s spot in cabinet. Simmonds was a minister outside of cabinet. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By David Lindenmayer, Professor, Fenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University laurello/Shutterstock Some reports and popular books, such as Bill Gammage’s Biggest Estate on Earth, have argued that extensive areas of Australia’s forests were kept open through frequent burning by ...
Analysis - Christopher Luxon framing the demotion of two ministers as the portfolios getting "too complex" is a charitable way of saying they weren't up to the job. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra With Jim Chalmers’s third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief – beyond the tax cuts – although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As ...
Analysis: Melissa Lee has lost the media portfolio and her spot in Cabinet after multiple failed attempts to find solutions for a media industry in crisis. On Wednesday, the Prime Minister announced Lee would be losing her spot in Cabinet along with her media and communications ministerial portfolio. The job ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Simon Wilmot, Senior Lecturer, Film, Deakin University Among the many Australian who served during the second world war, there is a small group of people whose stories remain largely untold. These are the Muslim men and women who, while small in number, ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kelly Saunders, PhD Candidate, University of Canberra There has been much analysis and praise of Justice Michael Lee’s recent judgement in Bruce Lehrmann’s defamation case against Channel Ten. Many people were openly relieved to read Lee’s “forensic” and “nuanced” application of law ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kathy Gibbs, Program Director for the Bachelor of Education, Griffith University zEdward_Indy/Shutterstock Around one in 20 people has attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). It’s one of the most common neurodevelopmental disorders in childhood and often continues into adulthood. ADHD is diagnosed ...
The Fairer Future coalition of anti-poverty groups say Whaikaha must be properly funded going forward, and that to argue that poor financial management of the new Ministry is a red herring by the Prime Minister. ...
The Taxpayers’ Union is today congratulating Hon. Paul Goldsmith on his appointment as Minister for Media and Communications and urges him to rule out state intervention in the private media sector. ...
Asia Pacific Report The West Papuan resistance OPM leader has condemned Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and US President Joe Biden, accusing their countries of “six decades of treachery” over Papuan independence. The open letter was released today by OPM chairman Jeffrey P Bomanak on the eve of ANZAC Day ...
Welcome to The Spinoff Books Confessional, in which we get to know the reading habits and quirks of New Zealanders at large. This week: writer and one of Time Magazine’s 100 most influential people of 2024, Lauren Groff.The book I wish I’d writtenIf I wish I’d written a ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By David Fechner, Research Fellow, Social Marketing, Griffith University mavo/Shutterstock Imagine having dinner at a restaurant. The menu offers plant-based meat alternatives made mostly from vegetables, mushrooms, legumes and wheat that mimic meat in taste, texture and smell. Despite being given that ...
“Three Strikes is a dead-end policy proposed by a dead-end government. The Three Strikes law ignores the causes of crime, instead just brutalising people already crushed by the cost of living.” ...
By Don Wiseman, RNZ Pacific senior journalist An Australian-born judge in Kiribati could well face deportation later this week after a tribunal ruling that he should be removed from his post. The tribunal’s report has just been tabled in the Kiribati Parliament and is due to be debated by MPs ...
With its clear mandate for police use, political nuances, and nuanced public trust, Denmark's insights provide valuable considerations for Australia and New Zealand. ...
Books editor Claire Mabey reviews poet Louise Wallace’s debut novel. A famous poet once said to me that he’s always suspicious when a poet publishes a novel. I never really understood why but maybe it’s something to do with cheating on your first form. Louise Wallace is a poet. She’s ...
For a few months at the turn of the millennium, TrueBliss burned bright as the biggest pop stars in the country. Alex Casey chats to two superfans who still hold the flame. During a humble backyard wedding in Nelson, 1999, one of the cordially invited guests had to excuse themselves ...
How will the recent wave of job cuts impact ethnic diversity in the media? In November last year, I was working a very busy day in the newsroom of a large online news site, interviewing whānau about their concerns over the imminent closure of one of the few puna reo ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ruth Knight, Researcher, Queensland University of Technology Have you ever felt sick at work? Perhaps you had food poisoning or the flu. Your belly hurt, or you felt tired, making it hard to concentrate and be productive. How likely would you be ...
Despite heavy criticism and an ongoing select committee process, the Police Minister says the Government will forge ahead with a ban on gang patches. ...
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A new survey says ‘outlook not great’ for those charged with building infrastructure, while RMA changes delight farmers and depress environmentalists, writes Anna Rawhiti-Connell in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here. First RMA changes announced ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Olli Hellmann, Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Waikato Getty Images When New Zealanders commemorate Anzac Day on April 25, it’s not only to honour the soldiers who lost their lives in World War I and subsequent conflicts, but also ...
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The German Greens are still finding it tough to support electricity generation from their existing nuclear power plants. Not sure why they are making this so hard. Winter snow starts in a couple of weeks.
German Greens lay out nuclear power position amid federal government infighting | News | DW | 15.10.2022
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
I understand what engineers are doing.
Where? You show scant evidence of this in anything I have seen. Where for instance is anything mentioned of the billions of dollars being spent on sustainability programs and development?
I wrote extensively on the Kaya Identity some time back – which is located absolutely at the core of this question – and summarised again in my comment above. Crickets.
Keep in mind I am still an author and you have a long standing pattern of harassing me by abusing your power of moderation with vague and unspecified allegations.
[I’m under no obligation to write about anything, nor am I under obligations to spend my time addressing issues that other people raise. I also don’t need to defend myself against the shit you make up about my views, politics and motivations. Just like all the other authors, we choose what we write about and how we spend our time here. If you wanted genuine engagement on these issues, all you had to do was come back with your questions and points without the harping at me, or telling me what I should be writing about or doing. Banned from all my posts for the rest of the year – weka]
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
Should those two young kids ever get a degree and go to work, they will figure soon that it is better to work on an actual completed project that actually changes the world for good.
If, with an activist criminal record, the two of them prefer to work for a pittance at some activist group then they will remain in righteous penury.
Canned soup for dinner it will be.
Many leaders/almost leaders have started out on their path as activists – Nelson Mandela, Bernie Sanders, Jeremy Corbyn.
Nothing too much wrong with an activist youth – before you know any better.
@weka
My argument was concise and accurate – green activism puts all of it's energy into telling us either there are too many people, or the people need to consume less and reduce their standards of living. The first two terms of the Kaya Identity.
The first is a moral question – if your plan requires fewer humans to succeed – fail.
If your plan requires everyone to live in a poorly defined hippie poverty forever – then fail.
People who want to solve the problem put all of their energy into either improving energy energy efficiency or reducing the amount of carbon required to produce energy. The last two terms of the Kaya Identity.
Your response is a mix of incomprehension and abuse of power. Gives me zero confidence in your motives.
I have no problem with you putting out your arguments on TS, even the ones I disagree with. Sometimes there is an issue where your comments are off topic under my posts but like with any other commenter this is easily resolved by moving them to OM.
But making up things about my beliefs is not acceptable.
I'm also not willing to deal anymore under posts with the near constant picking at me as an author. eg in your comment you again question my motivations instead of just arguing your points about the topic.
None of what I have just said is outside of the normal way things happen here.
Sometimes there is an issue where your comments are off topic
My comment was by any sane definition entirely on topic – indeed if went concisely to the heart of the matter. You just didn't like it.
Until the Green Party's around the world drop their irrational opposition to nuclear energy I will continue to loudly question their motives and those who support them.
Actual nuclear physicist on topic:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lN3wHboRbDA
I was talking generally about some comments being off topic. I didn't say your comment in the Sunflowers | Oil post was off topic. If it was I would have moved it.
I don't even remember what the comment was tbh. Having a very busy few days. But again, you think it's appropriate to define my views, and each time you put those little jabs in, it confirms that I need to set a boundary.
Here's another youtube video from a scientist.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0kahih8RT1k&ab_channel=SabineHossenfelder
TL;DW: Both sides of the nuclear power argument have an agenda.
Nuclear Power
Pro: Climate friendly, takes up little space, produces on demand.
Cons: Expensive, Non-renewable, won't have significant influence on climate change within the next 20 years, Unpopular.
Is Nuclear Power Green? It's complicated.
Cons: The nuclear industry has a demonstrated inability to manage to solving their plant lifetime waste issues.
When you look at the footprint through centuries of high level waste half- life, then the space issue is large.
After it demonstrates an ability to stop their chamical and radiological pollution for half a century then it might be worth looking at. For theoment all thatbis apparent is that there has been 70 years of preety dangerous accilmulating pollution.
Only really a problem if you want it to be:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HsCY5YllJlw
And this really only applies to the early generation PWR reactors that utilise their fuel very inefficiently. There are several ways to build 4th Gen reactors that consume almost all their fuel (including waste from older reactors) and create a much smaller waste volume that only needs safe-keeping for a few hundred years. Geologic storage is perfectly appropriate for this.
It would also be helpful if anti-nuc greenies would stop raising irrational fears about storage sites and allowed some to go ahead as the Finnish have done.
I have outlined this at least a dozen times here over the past few years, but the 'waste problem' keeps getting trotted out – even when the risk it poses is tiny compared to the climate change problem it addresses.
That really isn't my point. After all you can go back over the last 70 years and see exactly the same kinds of claims being made about every reactor type and their waste.
You can assert this. However you cannot point to a single place where this has been tried for long enough to find out. Now I’m not an engineer by training. However my science degree is in earth sciences. And I’d assert to say that an engineer who asserts that is a just a fool. They are arguing without sufficient evidence to support that claim. Every long term nuclear dump site I know of so far has had unsolved problems before, at or after end-of-plant-life.
Nuclear disposal of even medium levels has never been tried in geological terms. All we have had is things like dropping waste into the oceans – and now becoming a problem when we now work the deep ocean areas for comms lines – because the containment has failed. We’ve had above ground waste leaking into ground water systems. We’ve had closed nuclear plants dropping low and medium level waste on land by sea shores in rusting iron barrels.
Basically we have had experiments done by bloody pig-ignorant engineers who haven’t put in the controls to find out what their experiments did after they got them off their hands.
There have been 70 years to demonstrate that waste can be minimised and that the disposal is safe. It hasn't been demonstrated.
Instead we have waste piling up in dangerous locations and so far (as far as I am aware) exactly one open disposal storage that looks like it may be viable. The one that just opened in Finland. About 70 years after the first reactor. In 3-4 decades we’ll have some idea if it will work. I’d also note that they have put in extensive experimental monitoring – it is just as interesting to me if they manage to maintain that for long enough to get useful results.
I'm perfectly happy to have builds of a few demonstration reactors based on new principles. To test new disposal techniques. But I also require evidence that these techniques actually work before building more.
But those will require decades of testing to prove that they actually work and don't have process bugs is the only way that counts – as monitored tests. They are many decades of testing away from the kind of wide deployment you’re talking about.
Deploying site systems that don't have viable plans for the whole operational lifespan of the plant, and to its disposal is how the nuclear industry got in this mess – and you appear to be wanting to repeat the stupid experiment?
And it isn’t like we are lacking alternatives that have had decades of continuous testing in wind, solar, various geological battery systems, etc. The only thing that hasn’t been fully tested yet is using lithium battery banks – and the testing for that is slowly making it clear what the issues are.
The unknown risks – the ones that really really cost at and after end-of-life are becoming known. Wheras the nuclear industry is still fumbling in the dark ages of just starting to try to find that out.
It isn’t the ‘greenies’ that you should be concerned about. There aren’t that many technical people outside of the nuclear engineering fanboys who think that the nuclear industry has done their job well enough to be trusted with dangerous materials at scale.
Their outright scepticism about the long-term value of nuclear technologies in open economies has fuelled the body politic’s scepticism. In the closed economies the devastation of whole landscapes by previous generations of engineers with no long-term time horizons has even managed to convince their current day engineers that there may a be few issues about how they operate on a biological and geological basis.
Wind and solar are cheaper than nuclear so it is far from irrational opposition from the Greens.
NZ is lucky that it has massive base load capacity from hydro and thermal
SWB is cheaper and faster in the short term but nuclear provides a more stable supply with far fewer capacity and operational constraints.
@RedLogix
I like the way the guy who has been the biggest defender of the 20/21 Century Western Capitalist/Imperialist project here on the TS…an ideological project that in its brief tenure as chief hegemony of the planet has squandered the one and only blimp in human history that provided us with free energy, for short term gratifications and capital gains with absolutely no long term aims or visions for the future of humanity (except maybe for their capacity to produce or more importantly consume ) much less the planet (except maybe for the amount that can be extracted from it)…the ideology that now that is on its death bed, leaves us with a Climate Armageddon as our inheritance…this same guy comes on TS all righteous…the gall.
Though I will say this…following that death cult (and defending it all the way) over the cliff right into the fires raging below shows the dedication of real fundamentalist that’s for sure…which I guess I can respect on a certain level, as I too am a fundamentalist…the difference being my ideology is the correct one…Socialism.
Sorry I forgot to add that the neocolonial hegemony defended so valiantly by our friend is of course also extremely racist….as was recently encapsulated rather nicely in a recent speech by EU foreign-policy chief Josep Borrell…
"Europe is a garden," Mr Borrell said in a speech in Belgium, but "most of the rest of the world is a jungle, and the jungle could invade the garden".
https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/europe/2022/10/16/eus-borrell-under-fire-for-calling-outside-world-a-jungle/
Gutless abuser of privilege.
It looks like global pension funds are in trouble, their bonds (historic asset) are falling in value as interest rates rise. Yet because of (short version) investment decisions they are having to sell some of their assets. So it's not looking good for share markets. Some see a winter of energy shortage hardship in Europe followed by government and financial industry sector in crisis mode managing both the sustainability of some pension funds and the blow back of yet another private market failure.
PS Don't panic (ours should be fine – Kiwi Saver is a new scheme thus has smaller sized liabilities to continuing inputs).
https://bryangould.com/truss-and-luxon/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=truss-and-luxon
Is Luxon capable of learning from the mistakes of other hard right Tories?
I doubt it. If the Natz win in ’23 (God forbid) then we’re probably going to go the same way the UK will over the next few months.
At least, we can’t say we weren’t warned!
I see Jacinda has not ruled out working with Winston Peters. That's strange given the narrative the Left, and everyone else for that matter, tar him with. I guess desperate times call for desperate measures. The problem for Peters is ACT has most of his policies covered.
I call BS on your claim about NZF policies cf. ACT. You haven’t provided a single link and example.
You also failed to support your claim about Jacinda Ardern not ruling out NZF/WP.
Still, you may find it strange when you’ll get modded in the near future; you’re one of the laziest and sloppiest commenters on this site.
My apologies. I thought a general across media news item did not need a link.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/476809/pm-jacinda-ardern-responds-to-winston-peters-attacks-on-labour-government
https://waateanews.com/2021/09/29/opinion-is-a-rising-act-a-threat-to-maori/
You can bet we are going to have social unrest in this country if National come to power.
Thank you for the link to Ardern’s comments.
Where is the comparison of at least one major NZF policy with ACT? It is clear that you believe your own reckons but that doesn’t make it true for the rest of us. In fact, from the replies it appears you’re wrong. Lift your game!
I don’t bet, last of all on ‘social unrest’.
So yes just to clarify… Jacinda Ardern and Labour have not ruled out working with Winston Peters and NZF.
Winston Peters is for higher wages and training of local workers before immigration. Neither is ACT policy. NZF has only one bottom line for coalition (whether National or Labour) – no inclusion of ACT or Greens.
I said ''most.'' However, I should have been more circumspect. These points from Winston's speech.
''1-First – to defend one law for all in our country, and
2-First – to defend democracy of our country.''
That covers much ground between ACT and NZ First when formulating policy,
It's the nexus that has the majority of NZers concerned even if they intend voting Left.
Now if you were a swing voter, where would you put your vote? On an old campaigner who has stuffed the country around on numerous occasions? Who's capricious behaviour has turned many voters off for life? Or would you want a young politician who has worked hard. Who isn't scared to call bs when it's needed. And isn't scared to stand up to Maoridom and the Left? Better yet, if you like Winston's policies, but can't stomach voting for him, ACT has a similar focus around law and order and democracy. Those are the two big concerns with voters in my opinion.
People are writing Winston off. I wouldn't, especially if he comes to an accord with all those small one issue political parties. It would be a political beast made in hell, but It would probably cross the 5% line.
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2022/10/watch-and-read-winston-peters-full-speech-at-new-zealand-first-party-conference.htmlhttps://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2022/10/watch-and-read-winston-peters-full-speech-at-new-zealand-first-party-conference.html
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2022/10/watch-and-read-winston-peters-full-speech-at-new-zealand-first-party-conference.html
Sure, he is one law for all majority rule.
The old unreconstructured assimilationist …
He has a chance – there is still a 1-2% base. And he will be going for 1% from ACT, 1% from National, 1% from Labour and 1% from the fringe parties (3 to 2%). Most in the provinces. Better than 50/50.
The attention might take oxygen from TOP (now less likely to get from 2 to 5%), but help the MP (now more likely to get 4 seats c2.5-3%).
''The old unreconstructed assimilationist''
In my view you either have democracy, or you don't. If you argue democracy is the tyranny of the majority in favour of European, then what's the alternative for Maori? Maori already have special privileges plus all rights given to European. Although historically that has not been the case.
Tomorrow on TV One is the Doco 'No Maori Allowed' It's about historical racism in Pukekohe. That should keep the troops happy.
The restraint on majority is in the civil liberties and human rights protections (whether formed in a constitution, or a Crown in parliament system). That might well include indigenous peoples and those with Treaty rights.
That is not correct. Until very recently Maori could not build individual homes on their land. It is still collective homes.
They had to fit in with our world view. Now we are being asked to consider theirs and be more fair….. kicking and swearing begins by a racist few or by those who hold the cake!!
That is true, very true. However, I considered that historical when I wrote my comments. But there's still problems. Maori have discovered an age old Pakeha problem – bureaucracy.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/in-depth/468122/the-land-laid-bare-why-maori-can-t-build-on-their-whenua
Nothing to do with race. Anyone trying to build on collectively owned land encountered the same problem. More than a few hippie communities ran into exactly the same story.
Equal rights is necessary but not sufficient as many social, economic, and health indicators have shown.
.
As long as affluent middle class professionals like your good-self volunteer to do all the suffering & sacrifice (in health / housing) for 'Equity' … then fine … but we both know it won't even remotely be you & your chums … it'll be poorer, lower & low-middle-income non-Maori – already greatly financially disadvantaged – who'll be transformed & scapegoated into second class citizenship with few if any rights (my Parents currently being the perfect example).
People who, despite being born into poverty or low income families, have always been law-abiding, civic-minded, done the right thing, thought of others … will be the ones you viciously scapegoat & punish … absolutely fucking guaranteed. Albeit, of course, assiduously camouflaged as some great moral cause.
Fortunately, some relatively recent polling (Aug 2021) conducted on an issue that is essentially a proxy for the broad idea of 'Equity' (as opposed to Equality) suggests most New Zealanders aren't prepared to be conned by Critical Theory BS. The 2021 Lord Ashcroft poll found that even a majority of Maori Party & Green voters supported universalist ideas rather than policies pushing ethnic discrimination.
Like I say, the Woke middle-class are not “The Left” … you’re a self-interested Upper-Middle Vanity Project … and your relentless moral posturing is so transparently phoney.
"Poorer, lower & low-middle-income non-Maori" being "transformed & scapegoated into second class citizenship with few if any rights" sounds terrifying. Is there a Kiwi demographic or historical perspective that illustrates just how bad things could get for "non-Maori"?
https://thespinoff.co.nz/books/19-03-2022/danyl-mclauchlan-on-too-much-money-a-book-about-what-divides-us
“Wokescenti” You win some, you lose some – we all 'move on'.
.
Right, so you're confirming that affluent middle-class professionals like yourself – the genuinely privileged – are determined to scapegoat poorer non-Maori … and transform them into second-class citizens …
… and you’ll (rather desperately) deploy very crude comparisons (lacking all context) between Maori & non-Maori as a whole (as opposed to looking specifically at poorer & low-middle Pakeha/Asians) to buttress your decidely vicious & self-interested objective … got it … good to have it on record.
Who are you addressing here Swordfish? Your bitterness is becoming too personal. Are you saying discussing inequities is "Woke"? If so look in the mirror, because most of us " Self interested Upper Vanity Project…. etc…..' came from poor homes who valued Education… You know.. the "Woke" of their generation.
Get a grip.
Thank you swordfish. That needed to be said. You are 100% right. However, there's a plethora of people ready to tell you why you are wrong. I too fear for the collateral damage such attitudes bring,
You parents do have a house, pal. Surely that is something to be grateful for.
sigh
Not another SF story!!
WP loves you
.
Try for something a little more cogent & plausible than the horrendously pompous dismissal "sigh"
Soooo Upper-Middle … soooo Russell Brown …. sooo "why do I possess such unusually refined sensibilities … I'm too morally good for this world"
Simply asking you to be a little less Brideshead Revisited.
Now, if we can get back to poorer non-Maori and how the affluent Woke are looking to systematically scapegoat them in health, housing & so on … preferably without too much in the way of Sigh.
??? I provided statistical information about the absolute life expectancy and wealth of different ethnic groups in NZ. Don't understand why this equates (in your mind) to scapegoating (blaming?) "poorer non-Māori" for anything, let alone transforming them into "second class citizens."
I really miss Mum – she was an inspiration and offered wise counsel. I've been been taking care of Dad at home for nine months now as he slowly loses his memory and independence – he's depressed, and occasionally experiments with VSED for a day or two – such is life.
.
Doubt it … in broad terms, there's the potential for ACT to hoover up anti-Woke Nats (& possibly swing-voters) … while NZF (or some new Party … preferably a trad Social Democratic one) wins over a segment of disillusioned anti-Woke Labour voters.
[No doubt both parties will be looking to supplement their support from the fringe]
For quite a few years now, NZF has attracted (& lost) far more former Labour voters than Nats … hence, in terms of their voting-base, they’re essentially part of the centre-left constellation … so they'll be aiming first & foremost for those 2020 Lab supporters who have voted NZF in the past [there’s quite a few of them & most of them haven’t died in the interim].
See my 4.01pm post below as to recent NZF voter preferences.
I don't see ACT taking any more National "trigger issue" voters than they have already (they led the debate on these issues not National) – and certainly not any centrist who reads their manifesto. Both ACT and Greens will have to campaign well to hold their current poll support level.
There was a suggestion on radio NZ (possibly a throw-away comment!) that both NZF and ACT are in favour of seeking to do away with the Treaty of Waitangi. Sorry I was driving and cannot recall the time when the comment was made.
Not plausible, more likely the effect of it via taking the Treaty out of legislation – new legislation, or 1986, or even 1975.
https://www.tearawhiti.govt.nz/assets/Tools-and-Resources/Providing-for-the-Treaty-of-Waitangi-in-legislation.pdf
NZF may well do the Left a huge favour by getting 4.9%
Then Nat/ACT would get 2-3 extra seats and that might be enough …
The important thing is for Labour to match National and Greens to match ACT and have the MP provide the difference.
SPC…you miss the point.
I think around 80% of the NZF vote is from the Right. So if NZF get 4.9 percent 3.9% of the Right's vote is wasted but only 1% of the Left's is wasted, giving a significant advantage to the Left in the distribution of seats under MMP.
It's more balanced than that.
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/winston-peters-mum-on-coalition-but-voters-make-preferences-clear.html
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/newshub-poll-winston-peters-returns-as-kingmaker.html
Nyet … see my 3:54pm comment above.
Of course Ardern hasn't "ruled out" NZF. Is this your first election? How old are you?
In 1996 Winston attacked Labour and National and vice-versa, and in the end NZF did a deal with National.
In 2005 Winston attacked Labour and National and vice-versa, and in the end NZF did a deal with Labour.
In 2017 Winston attacked Labour and National and vice-versa, and in the end NZF did a deal with Labour.
In 2023 it's unlikely NZF will get over 5%, but if they do … NZF will do a deal with either National or Labour if they need to.
The only time NZF were "ruled out" was when John Key calculated (correctly) that National could get a majority without NZF. He got the support of 3 other parties.
If you think Luxon or Ardern will choose to lose rather than do a deal with Peters if they have to, you've no understanding at all of politicians or MMP.
''Of course Ardern hasn't "ruled out" NZF. Is this your first election? How old are you?''
Well, deary, fairly old. I was just pointing out the political hypocrisy that goes on. Winston is slagged off by all, then if he's needed politically, all of a sudden that dog whistling is ok. It never ceases to amaze me. But more so coming from Labour who are meant to have a paternalistic eye on, and special relationship with, Maori.
Again, learn from history. Nothing new here.
Winston built a career on attacking "sickly white liberals", scratching itches from the Treaty to immigration. Everyone knows who he is and what he does. It didn't begin in 2022.
He was Deputy PM under Ardern for 3 years, because the alternative was worse. Do you think Labour voters regret that decision? Do you think they wish National had been in government for a 4th term, in a pandemic, ?
That's the same decision as always, and no party – Labour or National has ever chosen opposition instead.
Shudder- they would have screwed that up even worse than they did with the GFC. In my lifetime, National seem to make a fetish of wanting to doing doing exactly the wrong thing in every crisis from the UK joining the EEC to covid-19.
Those idiotic statements about what they wanted to do during covid were insane. Release border controls before the population was vaccinated- just because some of their business mates were too thick to run their businesses over the net. They wanted to do it just before the artival of beta, delta, and omnicon…
The only political group that was stupider was Act and their parasitical shills in the taxpayers union.
Such nonsense. Even on this site not all (!) are slagging off WP. More importantly, neither Ardern nor Labour have been slagging him off either; they’re simply giving him the least amount of political oxygen. You’re also losing the plot with your biased anti-Māori rhetoric; you sound like an ardent NZF or ACT supporter with very little to say and a whole lot of hot air and bluster.
And that just shows that NZF has understood one thing. In opposition you attack all the parties that are not you, after all the party is representing its voters. In this case NZF doing stuff and saying stuff on behalf of its voter base. And neither a Labour or a National voter has to like a damn word he utters. After every election however any and all parties should seek to be admitted to the governing team. Specially the third parties.
Any party that rules out potential coalition partners on the grounds of their purity boundaries is self – selecting out from governing and pushing their agenda and promoting change. So why bother voting for people who self – select out long before anyone has cast any votes.
Voice to skull expose on You Tube, not Rumble.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aypME1spkvE&t=184s
The story censored in western MSM for decades – this was first admitted by the DOD during Desert Storm (used on the Iraqi army) and has been a conspiracy theory ever since.
Asian media has reported its use by Chinese police on dissidents there.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RWGo4KOzkp8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wZRkfBsTTt8
Remembering Dr Patrick Flannagan and his Neurophone, This opened the way for many other devices that followed. Once the military gets hold of an invention, its use for humanity is stifled.
How to strangle to death one of our largest rivers through regulatory neglect.
A Year On, What Has ECan Done About The Rakaia? | Newsroom
Regulatory neglect is as Kiwi as Dave Dobbyn.
Not really neglect is it? It's corruption. National replaced elected ECan members to obtain non-enforcenment, same as Max Bradford was sent in to steal public power assets. And it will keep happening until those responsible face serious consequences – ie never if major parties have anything to do with it.
Things that are unexpected.
this little shortmovie that is just generally very good, excellent casting, beautiful storytelling. If someone needs a wee pick me up, this is one.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XFisjATJM2M
Just watched. Excellent!
I hesitate to say this – as I know that many Standardistas regard Kiwiblog as anathema.
However, a contributor there, PaulL – has been running a fact-based series of posts – analysing the impact of tax and benefit policies on low income households – often referred to as the welfare trap.
https://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2022/10/effective_marginal_tax_rate_index.html
They (so far at least) seem to be fairly politically neutral – and focused more on stating the issues, rather than identifying solutions (I gather the 'solutions' come later in the series – but he's already said there are no wave the magic wand answers out there)
But I've found them to be the most useful summary of the issues that I've yet seen (especially the graph visualizations of actual financial impacts on households)
And – particularly useful in challenging the 'just work more hours, get a pay increase' rhetoric, which is prevalent.
The spreadsheet he's made is really useful, it's clear we really need to look at how the abatements work they're effectively punitive especially if you have to re pay at end of year.
I've debated him, on Kiwiblog. It was eons ago.
This is about the debate within National since John Key accepted Labour's 2005 WFF tax credits approach in 2008 (because there was no other way to get working families out of poverty …).
Why would a Party/Parties, who say they need 50 000 unemployed to bring down the cost of living care about the working poor? Short answer for all their positioning and pontificating they really don't. More "Wolf in Sheep's Clothing stuff".
It's not so much caring, as a realisation that WFF tax credits helped make their low wage/with growth via immigration policy more palatable.
As it did under the Helen Clark years. There is a reason Labour brought this benefit/tax in for families, and N never repealed it and will not repeal it in the future.
At some stage Government either need to regulate the pricing of flats/houses, or we need to flood the market with rentals build by the goverment and maintained by the government, and any citizen has a right to apply for such a flat irrespective.
Frist. cap the accom benefit. Declare a max and make that public.
Second. build faster, more and where people are. stop moving homeless people around to warehouse in motels and expect them to find housing and jobs in places that historically have been struggling for a long time, and that in the case of some over the last few years have lost most of their local industries to covid and the resulting fall out.
Third. if we can spend 3000 grand a week for shitty motel room somewhere without jobs and support, why not rent a house/flat directly – and cap it at market rent – non of that free market where the government gets milked as if they were a commercially used lactator.
Right now and for a while the onus has been/is on business to pay higher and higher wages in order to keep up with a price inflation that has very little to do with businesses actually. Why should businesses be responsible to increase wages so that their staff manages to keep up with someones ursurius demands of rent? Why would the government not come in and finally regulate that market via rent caps or setting rent mirrors that need to be adhered too?
Honestly, you can have a min wage of 50 bucks make 2000 per week and still need government assistance and not be free of the fear of homelessness if your weakly rent is 1800.
And fwiw, with inflation doing what it does, it will get worse by the week.
I thought that his posts were interesting reading. Maybe it just needs to be looked at from an angle where the questions is not partisan, but one that identifies an issue and how to fix it. Or we can just complain about parties that change every other year, and watch it go worse a little more one homeless family at a time, one poor family at a time.
The difference is that Labour keep reducing the cost of WFF tax credits by increasing the MW and working towards living wage, fair pay and industry awards (bus drivers … ). To have more for other spending.
Sure given the major problem is now the cost of renting and lifting the WFF tax credits and or AS in a tight market enables landlords to raise rents, we have to move to non income related policy (as we have with food in schools).
So for me it's also a rent freeze (and some extra support in terms of tax credits and AS for those at lower incomes/benefits etc) and more income related housing. One way to do that is to buy up houses off private landlords (who are losing their right to claim mortgage interest as a cost).
It always boils down to the same. If you can not control the costs or won't it matters not how much your after tax income is, it wont be enough.
"families"
I think you mean families with children.
Families with dependent partners get the privilege of paying more tax than the same income if both were working and no help.
Sabine how do you control costs? When oil fertilizer lead the charge. Oil rose 39% in May alone. (Google).
Can you please provide a link to a senior MP actually stating that?
Not an MP, Cameron Bagrie supposed independent economist, recently employed by ANZ and Key.
It is part of the rights mantra and what they did last time, along with using lots of immigrants to compete for work and the 90 day rule to cap wages for the poor, plus take away all rights to discuss work conditions.
Then they lied and raised GST. So not much trust for their promises. Sorry Alwyn, I am not digitally smart, but you will find it if you care to google.
"recently employed by ANZ and Key."
Your definition of recent is certainly pretty generous.
Cameron resigned from the ANZ in 3 October 2017. That is five years ago. By coincidence it was the same month that John Key was appointed to the New Zealand ANZ Board. I really don't think that they would have been involved with the ANZ together, do you?
Thanks for that link.
Good to see some comparisons being made, instead of blanket assumptions being offered and discussed.
With that framing in place there is about zero chance of employment policy being effectively implemented. The problem with the framing is it walks straight passed availability of work in assuming incentives to enter work are relevant. The relevant factors for people going from welfare to work are actually, can they find it given their skill set and location, does it offer enough hours given their total income, can they get it given their limited employment history. If work was available which removed these hurdles then many on welfare would prefer employment, just for the pro social factors. If it was flexible enough a lot of invalid welfare recipients would also be part of that.
The framing of human employment preferences as marginally motivated doesn't describe human psychology. When this answer arrives from macro economic models they assume full employment (equilibrium market state) as an outcome.
I'm not sure what 'framing' you're referring to. Perhaps you could give an example.
From my reading of the figures – the point was that, for a significant % of the lower paid workforce (especially those with children), employment, additional hours, and even pay rises, are of marginal benefit (cash-in-hand-at-the-end-of-the-pay-period benefit).
That's the biggest hurdle that needs to be addressed. I don't know whether there is an employment policy which addresses this.
Right now – work is available (boy is it available! – at least in Auckland – which is, after all 1/3 of the population – so fairly significant). Employers will bend over backwards to find hours and shifts that work for you. If you can turn up reliably, and do the work – employment history doesn't matter.
Those barriers certainly existed in the past (and may again in the future) – but aren't a big reality right now.
However. It seems as though the benefit abatement rates are an absolute killer. It costs to go to work (clothes, food, transport, childcare – that's massive) – it would seem to me, that many people quite possibly can't afford to get a job – at or even quite a bit above – minimum wage.
Yet when benefit rates were much higher unemployment was lower. There has been consistent framing that you need a gap. Buying into this framing help keeps benefit rates down.
Once you work out that that framing is not true then there is no reason against increasing benefit rates to make people's lives better and to ironically make them less fatigued, better fed, better mentally and in fact more suited to going to work.
The trouble is that the bureaucrats have also been brainwashed into this thinking as well. Remember MSD's advice to government in response to giving a bigger benefit increase as per WEAG was that this gap needed to be maintained.
Both National and Labour think this. Bunch of numpties.
Mike Treen pointed this out some time ago.
"The Labour government was implicitly accepting the argument that there needs to be a big gap between the benefit and a job to motivate people to work. There is in fact no evidence for that. Sweden has the highest sole parent benefit in the world yet had the highest percentage of sole parents in work. New Zealand had much lower unemployment when benefits were much higher as a percentage of the average wage."
https://unitenews.wordpress.com/2013/04/19/the-true-horrifying-depths-of-nz-child-poverty/
"But to cut real wages the employer thinks he needs the gap to grow between wages and welfare payments. You have to make living on a benefit as miserable as possible.
In 1991, National savagely cut the rates of all benefits, including the invalids and sickness benefits. The harshest cuts were for the unemployed.
The unemployment benefit was cut by 25% for young people, 20% for young sickness beneficiaries, and 17% for solo parents. They abolished the family benefit and made many workers ineligible for the unemployment benefit with a stand down period of up to a six months. The 1992 benefit cuts were worth approximately $1.3 billion – about the same size of each of the tax cuts handed out in 1996 and 1998. Unemployment benefits were stopped for 16 and 17 year-olds and the youth rate for 18 & 19 year-olds extended to the age of 25.
Benefits as a percentage of the average wage fell significantly after 1985.The single person unemployment benefit dropped from 42 to 30% of the average wage by 1996. National Super for a married couple went from 85% to 72%. A domestic purposes benefit for a parent with one child went from 80% to 53%. The benefit for an unemployed couple with two children went from 95 to 69% of the average wage. "
https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2015/09/19/benefit-cuts-designed-to-help-cut-wages-as-well/
Marginal benefit is a framing of the issue, its an assumption that this is the primary motivator to human behaviour around employment. As a country we have been down the road with the policies which follow from that assumption before. There are no alternatives to this outcome because the concept is to create a significant gap in income between employed and unemployed status. We will start there and end up cutting welfare to even below minimum budgets put forward by actual nutritionists (yes, we did that as a nation), starving people into work.
You may well be sanguine with the countries level of unemployment, but there are a bunch of things to consider around this.
1) Our official theory of unemployment makes zero sense. It is claiming we are more than 100% employed. Now realistically when you make an estimate for a maximum and its exceeded you would conclude that your estimate for that maximum was clearly incorrect. But apparently this doesn't behave as an actual limit.
Here's a more technical explanation of the same.
https://larspsyll.wordpress.com/2021/01/02/nairu-a-harmful-fairy-tale-2/
2) In making this assumption we've decided it makes best sense to go without the output of 50,000 more people. That's an extraordinarily large amount of real output, and ongoing work history, we are giving away to a framing which is demonstrably incoherent.
3) New Zealand has had lower unemployment rates previously. Just this happened is an era when both political parties discussed full employment as a policy choice and the modern NAIRU concept wasn't known as an acronym.
4) The unemployment rate is only a measure of some/no employment. It doesn't measure under-employment which indicates a much larger waste (real output the country is going without) which is on-going. Including under-employment its a reasonable estimate that NZ real output could be a full 11% higher.
5) Unemployment rates vary regionally. There are some areas and cohorts where the rate is still in double figures.
6) Registering unemployed in statistics requires that those people are actively looking for work. Any unemployment rate above zero indicates there are people who can't find work.
All of these points indicate the same thing, the framing (and you purportedly didn't notice) obfuscates and invisibilizes a huge amount of ongoing waste of real output. That same framing has a history of really perverse economic policy in NZ. As I said, if that framing is adopted the results have about zero chance resulting in effective employment policy.
"If you can turn up reliably, and do the work – employment history doesn't matter.", I find this level of non-thinking astounding. Hint, the unemployed people are the applications which you already rejected (trivially) for lack of employment history. The ones who turn up reliably and do the work are employed.
In turn, I also find this level of wilful blindness astounding.
We are at a time when employers are crying out for workers. They are raising wages (well above the minimum), being totally flexible on hours and conditions (part-time – not a problem!) and certainly not rejecting applications for lack of employment history.
Yes. That may not always be the case in the future. And it may not be the case in some areas of NZ (I can only talk about the situation in Auckland – which as I pointed out has 1/3 of NZ population – so is fairly significant).
We even have situations where schools in South Auckland are struggling to retain their 16+ kids to get qualifications, because they can walk into jobs paying well above minimum wage. [Of course, the schools are rightfully concerned over their long-term prospects]
If people are not employed – under those conditions – then we need to be looking at the barriers – and the abatement rate of benefits, appears to be one of the strongest.
Nor, has there been as far as I can see, any mention of a requirement for 'full employment' or any variation thereof. Indeed, the original poster specifically discusses under-employment (and the barriers that the abatement rates for benefits, accom supplement and WFF) put in the way of increasing work hours. Child-care costs are also a huge barrier for Mums (and it almost always is Mums) with pre-schoolers. The 20 hours-free policy goes nowhere near accounting for the actual cost of child-care.
And, yanno. It's pretty self-evident that the majority of people go to work to make a living. If going to work, working more hours, or getting a pay rise, makes you worse off then that's a pretty major dis-incentive, right there.
I don't know of anyone who goes to work out of the kindness of their heart with the sole desire to make their employer wealthier, or to decrease their cost to the government (a truly abstract concept).
And while there are lots of other social benefits to working – they don't outweigh the cold hard reality, that you have to pay your bills at the end of the fortnight.
I can tell you (from experience) that there is no budgeter like a single mum who has to juggle every cent on a weekly basis – and who knows considerably more than her WINZ manager about the costs and disincentives of that extra hour of part-time work.
It seems to me that the 'framing' is coming from you, rather than the actual original poster.
Is there anything in the actual posts that you factually disagree with?
Because, if we (as a country) can't even agree on what the issues are – then you're right – the chances of having an effective employment policy are indeed zero.
As I have highlighted the framing is an obvious issue. In your latest reply it has some how invisibilized the fact that current official government policy is to add ~50,000 unemployed. That appears incompatible with any coming benefits from marginal rate changes. Its also invisibilized full employment as a political choice, and that this outcome is not a policy pursued by the govt. Obviously those issues are quite relevant to employment policy, as are their costs which dwarf anything relating to marginal employment choices.
Here's a highly relevant thing relating to marginal employment arguments. Did you know they imply that unemployment is therefore voluntary?
https://larspsyll.wordpress.com/2017/01/10/unemployment-delusion/
Ultimately this framing sets on a path discussed by Keynes.
https://larspsyll.wordpress.com/2016/05/03/price-rigidities-and-unemployment/
The assumption is that there is a trade off made between leisure (e.g unemployment) and work. The marginal difference between these is supposedly the cause of unemployment. I have in no way been claiming people go to work to make employers wealthy and that's a complete strawman anyway, your author is talking about the marginal rates relating to employment.
Now I'm fully happy with your belief that there are some minor tinkering's around the edges which are carrot policies, rather than stick. But you should clearly be aware of the prior art hanging around these policy discussions, that this is ultimately a discussion about creating a significant gap in pay between employed and unemployed, and that if this is taken seriously the implementation will surely be of the stick form and quite destructive, that has been the prior outcome in well known cases. That also remains fully consistent with present belief systems around welfare policy (as DoS describes quite well).
"certainly not rejecting applications for lack of employment history."
They are still rejecting them though. Some because the applicants are Maori or Pacifika, some because they are older, some because they have children, some because they are on benefit, some because they want experience, some because they want/need to retain a pool of local seasonal workers, some because of union affiliation, some to put pressure on the government, some because they don't want to spend money on training, some because they are over-qualified, some because they are pregnant, some because they have trolled their facebook pages, some because they have previously taken out a personal grievance against an employer, some because they have a collective black-list they add to and pass around, some cause they have a foreign sounding name……………….
And then there's those employers no one really wants to work for – shitty employer, unsociable hours, lack of safe public transport, dangerous conditions…..
My son's friend, a good kid, always worked, never been in trouble lost his job when his employer closed. Applied for hundreds of jobs over six months. Most time never got a reply. More rejections the more he struggled. Committed suicide. Some of those employers he applied to were in media bleating about how they couldn't get staff.
Watching Free Speech Nation, which is covering the 16th Battle of Ideas Festival in London, so diverted on to the website:
The Battle of Ideas.
Sounds both necessary and useful.
Sounds anti-historical.
We live in a time when censorship seems more prevalent …
When was the time when there was more freedom, less censorship? Name a point in history, this mythical, magical past.
Obviously it's not the 19th century, the 1950s, or any time before the internet. When was it?
before 5 years ago?
Trump ushered in an era of more freedom? With the Supreme Court?
(the event referred to is in London, so I assume we're talking globally here, which in effect means in the West, because there's not much freedom everywhere from China to Russia to Iran).
Definitely before the dictionary definition of a woman as an "adult, human female" became "hate speech".
.
You are joking … surely ???
Massive move toward censorship, elitism, authoritarianism & anti-majoritarianism over the last 6-7 years … driven by a self-interested Woke professional-managerial class (essentially opposed to democratic norms & genuine Social Democracy) … hand-in-hand with Big Tech Oligarchs.
The arrogant commandeering of centre-left parties by a dogmatic, anti-democratic segment of the middle-class making fundamental changes rapidly (& preferably by stealth) reminds me so much of the Leninist vanguard tactics of the Rogernomes through the mid-late 80s.
Where, Brexit in the UK, red MAGA cap Trumpism in the USA, Bill English taking over from John Key, or do you mean females speaking up on Twitter and in MSM ….
100% Swordfish.
"Obviously it's not the 19th century, the 1950s, or any time before the internet."
Location, location . location….may be important to the context.
Pre internet (and pre instant media) most conversation was local and in person….self censoring was and is dependent on repercussions. if you were unfortunate enough to live in a totalitarian state then the repercussions were real, but in a democracy much less so
No longer
What's everyone's thoughts on Winston's latest attempt at a political comeback?
I have no doubt NACT will rule him out in the near future, should the left also?
As for his rhetoric around He Puapua, Three Waters and co-governance. When will we wake up and realize that this is politically unpalatable for most and the legislation is undoubtedly going to be ripped up as soon as possible?
Why are the left prepared to die on that bridge? Wouldn't something like poverty and hardship be more palatable and less of a vote loser?
There is no point looking back after the election with regret and wonder why divisive policy wasn't dropped as the polls continued to fall. Act on it now and cast it aside!
At least pretend that the contest next year isn’t a foregone conclusion.
Anybody who uses the word 'woke' to mean anything other than emerging from sleep, is a lazy bullshit artist. Anybody who says the English language is being extinguished is a mischevious shit-stirrer. Anybody who compares Co governance to apartheid has lost the right to not be laughed at as a matter of course. But the fact that his drivel is reported without automatic derision shows what an impressive propaganda hit job is being done on the government.
Oh common on, there a few prophets of the word woke on this very site preparing the way for right wing tendency.
https://teara.govt.nz/en/video/2158/national-party-advertisement
https://nzhistory.govt.nz/media/video/dancing-cossacks
Well said AB. See my 4.9% post above.
At 77 yo surely his appeal will wane?
We have a few posters here of that age? Should we discount their opinion because of age? If people like what he has to say they may or may not vote for him. I would like to point out that NZ just recently elected a young dude as Mayor of Gore, and one of Rotorua councilors is quite young and was just out of school when he got elected first time around a few years back, Fisher Wang.
I have to say AB, when I am feeling a bit lazy I use the word woke as a shorthand method. I think most of us use words as shorthand. It is a bit quicker than saying people who view everything through a very narrow ideological lens interpreting every event in a way that fits their narrow authoritarian paradigm.
For example the ignoramus who said Shakespeare was a canon of imperialism. ……. and questions whether Shakespeare was the "most relevant for decolonizing NZ". So this is a very good example of wokedom. This festival has been running for nearly 30 years, the PM and Melanie Lynskey and 140,000 other school students have attended and it involves adapting Shakespeare to our current world. Shakespeare……the greatest living playright ever! The writer who manages to write about universal human nature better than anyone!
I am really glad Sam Neil, Robyn whatshername from the Westie programme and Michael Hurst have come up swinging against the stupidity of this decision. Deciding not to fund it, o.k. but doing so because of a crazy ideological lens some idoit has viewed Shakespeare through is an embarrasment.
What an international laughing stock we are.
There is a word that appears to have fallen out of use (or been erroneously replaced) that is important…prejudice.
'Woke' is yet another form of it.
Here's another definition of 'woke'.
"alert to injustice in society, especially racism."
Woke Definition & Meaning – Merriam-Webster
https://www.merriam-webster.com › dictionary › woke
The meaning of WOKE is aware of and actively attentive to important facts and issues (especially issues of racial and social justice).
I’d say its antonym would be unaware, racist, stupid, uncaring, inattentive………
The meaning of 'woke' is the ignorance of context….or prejudice
So, woke really means asleep, at the wheel?
What does woke mean?….it is simply a lazy shorthand imo….and overused.
Everybody has prejudice, and most of it understandable (though not necessarily correct), if you take the effort to understand it….most dont
It is understandable if someone has been raped say would have a negative opinion of men….in your interaction with that person you would consider the opinion in context. I have a prejudice against politicians (among other prejudices)…i am aware of the prejudice and self censor on many occasions but not always…anyone who knows me will treat my statements with that knowledge,,,as it should be, but importantly as it used to be.
We appear to have abandoned the concept of prejudice….to our detriment
Bias has become a moral virtue and replaced religious dogma & instruction to fill up the vacuum of and satisfy our need for certainty and direction. To avoid social awkwardness and gain acceptance, approval, and belonging we have turned to truly cringeworthy behaviour, which some not only justify and approve of but even actively encourage, particularly in that shadow world on social media that seems to dominate our on-line existence. The irony is that while I type these words I’m staring at a screen …
Perhaps we should abandon the net en masse…but we dont.
Not if it means we have to go back to church 😉
Yes, it's good that a great range of people have strongly criticised the decision, including various leftie/greenie actors, with extensive coverage of their opinions across all media, voices being freely and openly raised without any fear of consequences … legal, professional, social, any.
Which is kinda funny, because this sounds a lot like very free speech. The thing those bogeyman "woke" demons won't allow us any more. Somebody forgot to tell all those people who are exercising their freedom, loudly.
I’m not so bothered by a few grating comments from a couple (?) of external funding assessors of Creative NZ. The Shakespeare show will go on despite the minor funding shortfall and some other applicants were more fortunate in getting funded this round. The unspoken implication is that because it is not Shakespeare it has to be culturally inferior. Go figure.
.
No, I'd say you're the intellectually lazy bullshit artist … either that or you're completely clueless.
Woke is the perfect term for the dogmatic Critical Theory cult now culturally (& increasingly politically) hegemonic … short, snappy, initially adopted with some gusto by the ID Pols cadre themselves but now hitting a raw nerve & deeply upsetting to you / them (highlighting that the wider public have formed a very negative view of your crude, distorted dogma & its grotesque unfairness).
Woke authoritarians would have us believe Critical Theory ID politics is all about "anti-racism" & "anti-sexism" in the most broadly-defined & vaguest of terms … but, of course, it refers to a very specific, extreme & highly discriminatory dogma serving the interests of a segment of the middle class & guaranteed to create whole new forms of social injustice on a significant scale.
An elite, authoritarian, profoundly anti-democratic vanity project in which the professional-managerial class wields all the power & apparently gets to decide which swathes of working & lower-middle class people are to be systematically scapegoated into second-class status with few if any human rights & which segments will be greatly privileged.
Tough shit, for instance, if you're low income & not Maori. The affluent Pakeha Woke, the inheritors of colonial wealth, have you in their sights for full-scale scapegoating & associated projection of guilt … you’ll be put through hell & blamed for it.
You're nothing more than elitist users & abusers of the majority, outrageously indulging in ostentatious moral posturing despite your conspicuous lack of morality & ethics.
A guide to the prophet about how to sell a narrative
For my part I think he blew it whining about Covid response, and Shane Jones proved not to have the voter appeal to turn it around.
We have Winston to thank, apparently, for scotching the CGT, according to Shaw, and he has also said something to the effect that NZF's position was a bought policy.
I'm over Winston – but then I was over him when he backstabbed the Alliance to put National into government, having sworn blue and purple that he would not.
When it comes to political grandstanding and soap-boxing there’s no greater gaslighter than Winston Peters. If any minor party can get over the 5% threshold it is his; the others have no show in hell, IMO.
I have no doubt NACT will rule him out in the near future, should the left also?
You've conflated National and ACT, and that's wrong. Seymour can "rule him out" because he can say anything for a headline, but Luxon is going to say "almost inconceivable". "Almost" means not. Or he'll say "not my intention" or "not planning" to work with Winston … again, meaningless.
It's quite disheartening that the same nonsense gets taken seriously every 3 years. Why does anybody believe empty words? Why do we always repeat the same game?
Scenario: 121 seats (one extra electorate for Maori Party). National plus ACT have 60. NZF are there, Maori Party are there.
If (in your "no doubt" prediction) Luxon has "ruled out" NZF, then he must choose the Maori Party. Or lose.
We know exactly what National MPs would say about that. NZF would be un-ruled out before breakfast.
''If (in your "no doubt" prediction) Luxon has "ruled out" NZF, then he must choose the Maori Party. Or lose.''
I have been thinking about this scenario for some time. Luxon going with the Maori Party would decimate support for both parties. Luxon in such a situation should refuse to form a government. Should Labour cobble together something, it wouldn't last a three year term and we'd be back at the polls in no time for a resounding Tory win. I doubt Luxon would have the balls to do that. He would pay with loss of voter support.
I actually agree with you on that (although I don't believe my own scenario will happen, it's just a "if push comes to shove" thought experiment).
National's longer-term interests would be to let Ardern cobble a government together. But leaders think short-term, because they probably won't get another chance.
More to the point, with the current leadership of TPM, it would be a cold day in hell before they would choose National/Luxon over Labour/Ardern.
If they are in a 'kingmaker' role, there is no doubt which way they will go – only doubt about what policy concessions they'll achieve.
Of course, they could choose to sit on the cross-benches – and make Labour come to them to negotiate each piece of legislation. I have no idea whether Ardern (or Luxon for that matter) would find that situation workable for forming a government. (I have my doubts – but it has worked overseas – i.e. minority governments have been formed)
"(one extra electorate for Maori Party)"
Do you really think that their party vote will drop below about 33,000, ie a bit less than they got in 2020, but they will still win another electorate seat?
Cancer vaccines have been around for some time but mRNA vaccines for treatment of cancer are relatively new, of course, and the initial results look very promising.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/world/europe/300714215/a-vaccine-for-cancer-by-2030-covid-vaccine-pioneers-say-yes
The Stuff article, as per usual, does not contain links to primary original sources of information.
Below are links to a highly informative piece on the trial and primary investigator and the meeting abstract and have much better links embedded:
https://www.mskcc.org/news/can-mrna-vaccines-fight-pancreatic-cancer-msk-clinical-researchers-are-trying-find-out
https://meetings.asco.org/abstracts-presentations/209198
https://i.stuff.co.nz/business/farming/130157595/emissions-levy-plan-final-nail-in-coffin-for-farmers
So this caring be kind governments own report says it will cause a raise in mental health issues but are most likely to charge on ahead?
Also letting the government set the price means farmers are at the mercy of the the government of the day.
Behold Emperor Xi.
It is slightly depressing to see our main strong democracies UK and US and much of EU sliding hard rightwards into incoherence and broken checks and balances, while China's single party CCCP re-elects its leader without dissent for another 5 years.
Few democracies can withstand comparison to China for giving order in a chaotic and economically depressed world.
Few citizens live in greater fear of their government than the Chinese – there, fixed it for you.
Fear and prosperity and stability.
Democracies falter unless their delivery competes with the dividends of autocracy.
Then they've been faltering since the 80s, when Rogergnomics impoverished NZ so badly age at marriage jumped about 10 years.
I doubt rogernomics increased marriage age?
More like the changing morals and norms of society, and those liberated woman 😉
Not what a human development course was saying.
Average age at (first) marriage was on a straight line progression upwards from 1975 to 2007. No deviation (either way) during either the Muldoon or the Rogernomic years.
Age at marriage went from an average of about 27 in 1984 to about 28.5 in 1990 (for men – women are consistently about 3 years younger) – then continued upwards to a peak of 32.5 in 2007 – and has been virtually static ever since (well, a very slight dip in 2011)
https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/marriages-civil-unions-and-divorces-year-ended-december-2020
Wayne Brown seems to be spoiling for a fight with the government even though his 3 waters opposition had been clearly stated beforehand. Given National are probably the next government, I think it's a prudent move not to spend any rate payer money. Why waste resources? BUT, what if Labour holds on to power?
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/300714638/auckland-mayor-wayne-brown-asks-watercare-to-tighten-pursestrings-ignore-three-waters