web analytics

Roy Morgan shows Left ahead

Written By: - Date published: 5:14 pm, September 4th, 2008 - 87 comments
Categories: election 2008, polls - Tags:

John Key’s impatience to get the election over and done with makes a lot more sense in light of today’s Roy Morgan poll. The poll has Labour up 4 to 38%, the Greens up to 8% and National down 3.5 to 44.5% – well out of their comfort zone given their lack of viable coalition partners.

On these numbers it’s the Left by a nose, with a likely Labour/Prog/Green/Maori bloc winning 62 out of 120 seats. More importantly, the trend is all in the Left’s favour:

It appears the secret tapes scandal is starting to have an effect, with recent polls showing strong public distrust of National’s policy agenda. Recent policy releases like the privatisation of ACC, the 90 day fire at will policy and toll roads will only help cement those perceptions.

If I were a Nat I’d be hoping like hell the bigwigs had some sort of killer billboard campaign lined up. Oh, erm, that’s right…

87 comments on “Roy Morgan shows Left ahead”

  1. I expect the righties will either ignore this post or attack the messenger until Farrar supplies them with their lines…

  2. djp 2

    that is charitable of you Robinsod.

    I must admit I am sad to see this (green up, act back down to 1.5).

    I wouldn’t bank on the maori party however (as much as I think they are idiots sometimes, they *are* independent minded).

    I am happy to see NZ first out of the pie graph too

  3. It’ll be interesting to see whethe rhtis is confirmed by other polls in the coming weeks (though its worth noting that the polling period is before the Winniebox becamse big news).

    Still, it’s not plain sailing – what this poll really tells us is that the Maori Party will be kingmakers. So if Labour wants a fourth term, they better be ready to eat some crow on the Treaty deadline and F&S Act.

  4. djp 4

    true I/S, also they might want some utu over the “last cab off the rank” fiasco

  5. Tane's Cousin 5

    [Tane: I know we’re all cousins, but you’re not. Feel free to repost your comment under a different pseudonym.]

  6. Tane 6

    I/S – certainly true. But it’s a nice change from being 20 points behind. This will give Left activists a lot of confidence.

    Also, though it’s only one poll, I’m pleased to see the Greens with 10 seats. Add the likely (at least) 4 Maori Party MPs and you’ve got a decent power bloc to keep Labour honest and hopefully push them leftwards.

  7. Tara 7

    I’m not sure if I read the graph correctly, but is not the Maori Party vote falling at same rate as National ?

  8. Tane 8

    Na, the Maori Party’s up, it’s NZ First who are down.

  9. Sarah 9

    This post is painful. No wait, this entire blog is painful. Can’t you try and be just a little fair and balanced? I know it’s meant to be partisan but still. No one can actually take anything seriously you guys say when all you do is complain about the national party.

    All that happens is that if anyone disagrees, the mob of far-left pinko’s and labour staff come down on them like a tonne of bricks. There is no free speech. Just attack National at whatever the cost.

    And this poll is hardly significant. Labour would have lost quite a big chunk of support over the Winston Peters saga. And that is something that even you lefties can’t disagree on.

    And Labour’s billboards from the last election were just as if not more bad than the ones National has put up lately. But like normal, no reference to or complaint about them.

    [lprent: Read the About – top of the page. This blog site is a left blog. If you want non-partisan – go somewhere else. You know like….. ]

  10. Tane 10

    Sarah, if that’s the best you can do I’d advise you to just wait for your lines from Farrar like everyone else.

  11. Sarah 11

    You didn’t actually constructively try and comment on my post? Instead you have some sort of far-fetched personal attack.

  12. burt 12

    Tane

    Sarah is right, you just lashed out at her. Shame on you.

    Nice to see the pie chart format again, is there some threshold of red/blue that determines the suitability for this format? Oh, one more thing – isn’t the Morgan poll normally rubbish according to Labour supporters?

  13. r0b 13

    I’ve been out and about today and missed my Standard fix, but this post sends me home with a smile on my dial!

    Oh and Sarah, Burt, that counts as a lashing out attack where you come from? How precious of you. When was it that you called Helen Clark a “lying bitch” again Burt? – now that’s a personal attack.

    Anyhow, later.

  14. gobsmacked 14

    And this poll is hardly significant. Labour would have lost quite a big chunk of support over the Winston Peters saga.

    Where is the evidence of Labour losing “a big chunk of support”? How do we know, if not by polls?

  15. Matthew Pilott 15

    This post is painful. No wait, this entire blog is painful. Can’t you try and be just a little fair and balanced? I know it’s meant to be partisan but still. No one can actually take anything seriously you guys say when all you do is complain about the national party.

    Subsequently you attak Tane for lashing out and not responding to your post. What other response do you expect when your opening comment is a carte blanche attack, without any substniative point? What response is here to “you guys suck”, short of “you too”?

    All that happens is that if anyone disagrees, the mob of far-left pinko’s and labour staff come down on them like a tonne of bricks. There is no free speech. Just attack National at whatever the cost.

    Again, if you want someone to respond to your point, try not to use derogative terms and make things up. Free speech… You’re here, right? Not to mention that this site is probably technically private property.

    If you think National shouldn’t be attacked “whatever the cost” (blogging isn’t expensive) then why not jump in and defend them when you see it, instead of making comments such as the above, which achieve little. If you’re right, people won’t be able to come down on you like a tonne’o’bricks. Keep in mind that more commentors are from the left. Go defend Clark someime on KB if you want to see what I mean.

    And this poll is hardly significant. Labour would have lost quite a big chunk of support over the Winston Peters saga. And that is something that even you lefties can’t disagree on.

    No poll alone is significant, I’d imagine that’s why the trend image is also posted. But it sure is heartening, in a superficial way, to the forces of Truth and Light.

    If all us lefties agree on something, we’ve got it wrong. Feel free to jump into one of the threads about Winston, though, if you’ve a specific comment to make.

    And Labour’s billboards from the last election were just as if not more bad than the ones National has put up lately. But like normal, no reference to or complaint about them.

    Should I apologise for not complaining about Labour’s last bilboards, from three years ago? Odd angle there. I believe I have seen Tane slag them off several times today, though, and no-one’s exactly spruiking them from the rooftops either (largely because they’re not relevant to National’s current abominations).

  16. randal 16

    sarah if you want fair go to kweeweeblog and complain there. its all a question of mind over matter. we dont mind and you dont matter.

  17. NX 17

    One thing you lefties don’t seem to consider is that one of National’s biggest enemies was complacency.

    When the polls narrow like this it really helps to galvanise the anti-Helen crowd & bring them out in numbers come election day.

  18. Lew 18

    Tane, your estimation of seats leaves out the possibility of an overhang caused by the māori party. They’re likely to win six, possibly all seven Māori seats rather than the four to which their 3.5% would entitle them, creating an overhang of two or three seats and a total parliament of 122 or 123 MPs.

    It makes no difference to the numbers under your presumption of Lab/Prog/Green/māori above, but if the numbers are out, it means any coalition which doesn’t include the māori party will find itself in tricky straits.

    L

  19. Matt 19

    pretty obvious that labour will come out the loser over the winston peters thing – she knew either her benefactor or her foreign minister were liars – and did what exactly.

    quite agree it is wrong to accuse clark of being a bitch, that’s really offensive to female canines.

    but she is definitely a malignant liar who has been an appalling PM. If she does get in then a lot of good people are going to be leaving NZ which is a real shame because good people won’t be voting for her.

    just to correct a few things – not privatising ACC, allowing private competition, and labour want toll roads too, spotting a socialist lying is very easy – it’s when they open their mouth.

  20. gobsmacked 20

    NX – quality spinning there! Well done.

    I hope that National will be more and more galvanised …

  21. gobsmacked 21

    Matt, Sarah would like a word with you about “personal attacks”.

  22. Anita 22

    Sarah,

    And this poll is hardly significant. Labour would have lost quite a big chunk of support over the Winston Peters saga. And that is something that even you lefties can’t disagree on.

    They might have, we’ll know soon enough.

    But in the meantime what we do know is that there’s been a significant right->left swing in the last two months.

    1) Any ideas why?

    2) Do you think National’s bothered?

  23. Felix 23

    Bothered enough to pretend to be girls and write the kind of dross that “Sarah” does, apparently.

  24. Scribe 24

    This is about where I expected the party vote to be on election day (whenever that is) for Labour and National, with the post-election machinations determining which party can cobble together a coalition. I’m surprised the polls have closed so dramatically so soon.

    As others have said, though, this will include the major negative National press but not the major negative Labour press (though Labour has done a good C/T hit and run on things like Lord Ashcroft).

    It’s going to be an interesting few weeks.

  25. Quoth the Raven 25

    quite agree it is wrong to accuse clark of being a bitch, that’s really offensive to female canines.

    I can play your game too Matt. It’s wrong to call John Key a rich prick that’s really offensive to rich pricks. He’s a rich cunt.

  26. Jimbo 26

    I agree Felix. I’ve got a fair idea of who Sarah is. I know the tories can’t scrape together many female supporters but pretending to be girls is a bit sad. Besides, aren’t political women all part of that massive left wing/homosexual/lesbian/breeding for business axis of evil that people like ‘Sarah’ always go on about?

  27. Tamaki resident 27

    Curiablog still hasn’t blogged about the last Herald poll, so don’t hold your breath waiting for a post on this one.

  28. Tim Ellis 28

    Assuming this isn’t a rogue poll, I would say it most closely sets out the impact of the “secret agenda” tapes. National had a pretty torrid couple of weeks on that, and it shows the impact they had. The previous polls didn’t really cover the time frame. There were murmurings that they’d had this kind of impact, and the murmurings suggested that National caucus (presumably those who see the polls) were expecting this hit. The time lag between news events and poll impacts is consistent with this result.

    That aside, a lot has happened in the last couple of weeks. When National was taking the hits on the secret agenda stuff, I don’t think anybody really predicted that Winston would be dominating the headlines as much as he has over the last period. As I said in another thread, I think that news is all bad for both New Zealand First and Labour. There was a brief bit of bad news for National with Maurice’s idiotic verbal media explosion on Agenda, but the only news in the past ten days has been about Winston. The privileges committee, the SFO inquiry, the police inquiry, etc, all have at least two weeks to run.

    I think Matthew Pilott commented that only part of that may hit Labour. I’m not convinced that Helen Clark has yet successfully extricated herself from the issues. I can’t see how future polls, which do cover the current events, will be any good for Labour.

    Further, because I think the secret agenda card has been played, I don’t think it can be played again. People have already factored it in. That the PM knew about the “conflict of evidence” probably mutes it.

    Likewise, I think Labour’s claims that National didn’t have any policy are seen in this poll. We’re now heading into the campaign proper. National has released a lot of policy–far more than Labour, as it happens–and as more policy does get released, the claim that they don’t have any policy can’t be used. I still wonder then whether the election will be fought on policy issues.

    I don’t know what the next step in Labour’s campaign is going to be. I suspect there will be a big campaign announcement, involving a lot of taxpayer money, such as universal student allowances. The political gains in announcing that is offset by a loss to Labour’s credibility, having claimed that there is no money left in the kitty during the last budget.

    I am quite convinced, though, that one of Labour’s core plank: “trust us, trust our record, we’re honest, we’re accountable, we’re responsible” has taken a big hit in the last couple of weeks.

  29. mike 29

    The polls were always going to move up and down – if this was lag time from the secret recordings then it will be a few weeks yet before the Clark/Peters/Glen saga hits the polls

    Wishful thinking including the MP in the left bloc, they are capitalists at heart and have good memories..

    “He’s a rich cunt” – my word qtr, a bounce in the polls and the bitter little socialist gets all uppity.

  30. monkey boy 30

    Balanced and intelligent – thank-you Tim.

  31. Tim Ellis 31

    Oh, and one further point, although it doesn’t change the overall picture,from I’m not sure how Roy Morgan calculated the seat allocation, but the claim they will get only 4 seats is a bit conservative. More likely 6 or 7. If their party vote is up it will mute their overhang.

  32. forgetaboutthelastone 32

    “I am quite convinced, though, that one of Labour’s core plank: “trust us, trust our record, we’re honest, we’re accountable, we’re responsible’ has taken a big hit in the last couple of weeks.”

    In that case – if voters are concerned about honesty and integrity – where do they go? To slippery John the smiling assassin? With his record? I doubt that. Even if this episode has had a negative effect on Clark she still has far more credibility than slippery John.

  33. monkey boy 33

    I’ve had a little think. I think this is a false dawn for Labour, because; it registers Nationals’s recent cock-ups, but not Labour’s and Winston’s.
    Helen Clark’s credibility has taken a hit recently, but, as well, John Key is seen as an unknown quantity, so his support is fickle.
    On balance, this poll suggests a solidifying of Labour voters, but I think that wavering voters will still go National out of ‘fear’ and many hard-core Labourites will stay at home on polling day, simply because they won’t be frightened enough of Key unless he is found on you-tube sacrificing puppies for blood-diamonds or something.
    The irony may be that Labour’s negative campaigning may galvanise the soft ‘new-right’ voters and even steal a few Green ones too. It’s evidently a gamble that Helen and Labour are prepared to take, but unless they can pull something incredible out of their asses, it still doesn’t look good for them. Let’s not forget, however, how Cullen was able to find a few Billion down the back of the sofa to finance interst-free student loans afer telling us he was broke – so perhaps history can repeat itself.
    It still isn’t time to break out the Chardonnay..

  34. mike 34

    “how Cullen was able to find a few Billion down the back of the sofa to finance interst-free student.”

    MB: this time it would be different – Key would simply match any pre election bribe labour offers just as Rudd did to Howard.
    Don was just too right wing to swallow the student loan rat in 05.

  35. Tim Ellis 35

    Think about it forgetaboutit. I’m not agreeing that John Key is slippery or untrustworthy. But think about John Key standing next to Helen Clark during the leaders’ debates. Helen Clark says: “John Key is slippery, and can’t be trusted.” Now does John Key stay silent? No, he says: “Says the slippery woman who couldn’t be trusted to tell the truth about Winston Peters receiving secret donations from her biggest donor for six months, and only revealed it when she realised that her biggest donor was going to reveal all to the privileges committee.”

    I can guarantee you, that will be John Key’s line. What I’m saying is, even if John Key is untrustworthy (and I don’t think he is), Helen Clark’s big plank has been kicked out from under her. She can’t campaign as overwhelmingly more truthful, honest, and trustworthy than John Key anymore. It doesn’t work if you’ve been caught out doing something a little bit dodgy.

    Likewise, the big loss to Winston is that never again can he credibly claim to be the solitary man in Wellington sticking it to big business, and the only honest man in parliament. That’s turned out to be not the case. Even if, after this, the reality were that he was still the least corrupt politician in parliament (and I’m not saying that he is), the perception is that he’s as bad, if not worse, than all of them.

    Captcha: squalid P.M

  36. Lew 36

    Tim Ellis: You’re right – this poll has been pitched at just the right time for Labour – between the secret agenda scandal and the donations scandal. That almost makes it a rogue poll by definition. Though it does represent the continuation of a trend.

    L

  37. Matthew Pilott 37

    Tim and I were discussing Winston over here.

    Tim, I was thinking about this while watching the news tonight and it struck me that Labour was only mentioned once, Clark saying that with Peters’ standing aside, there was little else for Labour to do. Seems to me that while the heat isn’t off, it’s not a body blow.

    What does the collective readership think of this talk of the MP going with National? It seems most take it a a given that there will be serious vote-splitting again, as suggested by Tim. Following last election’s lines (and memory), if about 50% of MP electorate voters party vote Labour, how could they go with their oposition? I guess they’d need some big concessions.

  38. randal 38

    this and that and ifs and buts and all sorts of juvenile not to say puerile speculation takes no account of wff, kiwisaver, non saleable stateassets. these are the things that Kiwis will consider when they cast their vote and not some sort of right wing university common room blather dressed up as something it is not. blather and piffle is just that!

  39. Bill 39

    Go back a few months. Gen pop was sick of Labour but would vote for them because nothing else palatable was on offer.

    Enter JK with spin and Labour-lite and those same voters suddenly perceive something palatable and not Labour.

    But Nat have blown it now…got exposed. Doesn’t really matter if HC gets splattered off the back of the WP stuff.

    There is no palatable alternative to Labour. They are the better of two evils again.

  40. gobsmacked 40

    The poll was carried out over the period August 18-31 (ending on Sunday). Here is the Herald’s coverage of the Winston donations saga, over that period:

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/feature/headlines.cfm?c_id=1502733

    I think you’ll all agree that is extensive coverage. The same appliies to other media.

  41. Felix 41

    MP, the leadership of the MP might well want to get in bed with the Nats if it’s a ticket into govt, but they have to consult with the people before they do any deals and I just don’t see that being too popular around the marae circuit.

    Of course the possibility puts them in a very good spot for negotiating with Labour so they’ll be keeping the door wide open as long as they can.

  42. Roger 42

    Fascinating poll result. I expect the Maori Party to win 1 or possibly 2 more electorate seats than shown in these results. The Green upsurge looks stronger than I would have expected but if they hold support at around 7% then Labour just needs to get up to 43%. Perhaps the “small target” strategy doesn’t work over the long haul? The longer the campaign goes on the more focus is likely to shift to National’s policies – assuming they announce more.

  43. Oh, so you believe in polls now do ya Tane?

    The greens on 8% party vote?????

    I don’t think so.

  44. Bill 44

    Am tellin ye! it’s a ‘lesser of two evils’ scenario. And the Nats have well and truly blown it. Even if you don’t like Labour,( wavering) what the fuck you gonna do? The Nat’s had it for a short time with the spin and the Lab lite. They CAN’T get that back.

    So, ladies and gentlemen, time to announce the obvious.

    THE GAME’S A BOGEY.

  45. forgetaboutthelastone 45

    Tim Ellis:

    “She can’t campaign as overwhelmingly more truthful, honest, and trustworthy than John Key anymore.”

    Yes she can. Clark could bring a massive amount of material to attest both against jk’s integrity and for her own. Key has got a single, arguable point against Clark. How does he argue for his own credibility? Does he really want to get into such an argument?

    How confident are you in jk’s ability in such a debate?

  46. gobsmacked 46

    The Nat-Lab gap, in the Morgan Poll:

    June 21%
    July 15%
    This one 6.5%

    To quote NZPA: this “follows the trend of other recent surveys which have shown the gap narrowing”, such as the TV3 and Herald polls.

    One poll is questionable. The trend isn’t.

  47. lprent 47

    Tim:

    …the impact of the “secret agenda” tapes. National had a pretty torrid couple of weeks on that, and it shows the impact they had. The previous polls didn’t really cover the time frame. There were murmurings that they’d had this kind of impact, …

    That is my read as well. This is the first poll that the full effect would show in.

    I suspect that the NZF may be seeing the effects of the first part of their saga. It is hard to know – the effective error rate for the small parties is enormous.

    You’ll be happy to know that the anecdotal from canvassing shows that NZF’s woes aren’t making that much of an impact on Labour. It is going to be interesting to see what the Nay’s do next to avoid defeat. But a lot of the effect won’t happen until next poll.

    Incidentally, what you are also probably seeing is that the undecided and refused to answer starting to make the opinion known. It is starting to feel like there is an election soon. To date I suspect that the reject rate even when they get them on the phone has been that only the people with strong opinions have been answering. It is showing here. We’ve been growing at about 5% per week with page views, but recently that rate has been increasing – last week was over 8%. This week has been extreme – the last 3 days are the largest we’ve ever had, and show a growth of over 15%. Looks like todays views will make it 4 in a row.

    Helen probably won’t campaign much on the slippery platform – probably more on who in their right mind would trust JK and the Nat’s – they appear to have no policy of their own.

    MP: I think that the maori party would have to be nuts to go with the Nat’s in any coalition. It’d take a considerable increase in the right’s party vote (which is effectively Labour, MP, and NZF in that order) over the next few elections to make that viable for the party to do it and survive. As it is I think that the MP will stand outside of any coalition, but will probably do confidence and supply for the left.

  48. Short Shriveled and Slightly to the Left 48

    As some one who occasionally comments on Kiwiblog I find Sarah and Burt’s “offense” at Tane’s “attack” hilarious.

    The bad news: Centrebet still has Helen at $3.70 (Key at $1.26)
    The good news: The punters (gamblers – not necessarily from Punterland) got it wrong last time.
    But those odds will need to narrow before I’m convinced

  49. Dan 49

    It is interesting the regular differentiation between Left and Right. That is a misnomer. The battle is between the Centre and the Right. Clark and Cullen have long given up the historical dependence on card bearing unionists, and have cultivated the Centre. The Left of old is probably left to Laila and maybe McCarten, or bless his heart, Anderton.
    But the centre vs the right differentiation explains Key’s problem. His pretend populism tries to snap up the soft centre, but at the risk of losing the hard right to Roger Douglas.
    Labour is not the leftie, commie outfit that Farrar’s mates dog whistle about. They were of another generation. Ken Douglas, our last notable marxist, has been on the Air NZ board, is a member of the order of NZ, etc, etc. Nor are the unions of the past a guaranteed vote for Labour. There are many whose standard of living is such that they relate more to the hopes of the wealthy or the wannabes, and might even vote National!
    I do not think this poll is an aberation. It is a trend that I see accelerating. The Nats stand for at best bluff, but at worst a return to the awful 90s. The Nats under English got 24%, but I do not think it will fall that far. If Peter’s support crumbles, it will not go to National. Simon Power looked desperate tonight trying to reign in Williams’ defence of Peters.
    Fascinating times. I look forward to the next poll, just for the trend remember!

  50. r0b 50

    Tim Ellis – I don’t think Helen has anything to fear from a comparison of her record vs John Key’s record on the issue of trustworthiness. I outlined some of the evidence relating to Key’s judgement and honesty here.

    But I don’t think the PM needs to run that issue. I think Labour have a great story to tell about positive social progress under Labour led governments. I also think that National have zero public credibility when they deny their intention to mess with these successful and popular policies, Working for Families, KiwiSaver and so on. The Nats want to take us back to the 90’s and most people know it.

    This I think is the narrative that will win Labour the election – Labour’s policies work, National’s don’t. In the end, that’s what matters.

  51. toad 51

    Now, Tane, let’s not get too carried away.

    You talk about “the Left” here but not too about sustainability.

    The Greens opposed Labour on confidence and supply betweeen 2002 and 2005, on the basis of Labour’sposition on genetic engineering.

    The Greens will make their own choice about confidence and supply, or even coalition, after the next election too.

    And if a deal can be done, Labour will have to make some some concessions.

    They will be about environmental sustainability and social justice.

    It is highly unlikely that the Green Party will sit on the side abstaining and allow the National Party to gut the RMA and undermine workers’ rights if they have the ability to make a difference. But it is possible that the Green Party, if it could forestall National’s worst environmental and anti-worker and anti-beneficiary excesses, might do just that.

    I hope they don’t, and am confident they won’t.

    But please don’t take the Greens for granted!

    Oh, and have a look here at my take on the most recent Morgan Poll.

  52. gobsmacked 52

    Fair comment, Toad. And for what it’s worth, I wouldn’t be too unhappy if the Greens and the Maori Party did reach some kind of deal with National (however unlikely). If we have a traditionally conservative party making progress on “green” and “Treaty” issues (shorthand labels) then that’s no bad thing. Much better than using them for wedge politics.

    Having said that, I suspect John Key’s days would be numbered!

  53. Swampy 53

    “forgetaboutthelastone
    September 4, 2008 at 9:56 pm

    Yes she can. Clark could bring a massive amount of material to attest both against jk’s integrity and for her own. Key has got a single, arguable point against Clark. How does he argue for his own credibility? Does he really want to get into such an argument?”

    Your memory is very short, there have been numerous points made just during the current term (i.e. since 2005). Starting with the pledge car business.

  54. burt 54

    Matt

    I’m sorry to be the bearer of bad news. However I must warn you that you shall forever be haunted by the ghost of saying what you said about dear leader earlier in this thread. Anytime rOb is lost as to what to say in relation to your comment and he needs a quick ‘i’ll be back’ comment – he will pounce… coming from you who called Helen Clark…..

  55. what do you think they’re on Brett? if not 8%

  56. punterland 56

    @short.shriveled

    Don’t take a bookie’s fixed odds book as a meaningful barometer of reality.

    Despite the common misconception, a fixed odds book reflects *actual* punter sentiment (ie: those that put money down), not risk and return in the real world. The prices don’t actually reflect the real world – they reflect a profit for the bookmaker regardless of the real world outcome.

    Of course the original betting market frame approximates ‘common wisdom’, but that Centrebet book is many months old now. What happens is that short prices precipitate a sizeable degree of punter bias, where many see it as a sure thing and then tend towards backing it.

    Bookies often ‘get the odds wrong’ for a fixed odds book, since in reality any fixed odds book is a periodic manual recalculation of risk as opposed to the automatic tote.

    Prices are adjusted according to where the money is going. Most likely is that more right-wing supporters than left are punting with Centrebet, so a Labour win will probably offer good value right up to election day.

  57. punterland 57

    And by the way, anyone planning on hitting Labour at Centrebet should probably do so soon, because the smart money will probably start going heavily on Labour, dragging the price down.

    $3.70 is insane *value* after today’s Roy Morgan poll.

  58. the greens are going to announce their prefered party before the election, if they say national, well i can name off the top of my head about 30 green supporters, i don’t think any of them would vote for a green party that would support national. and, let’s face it, any fool who has heard russel norman or any of the rest of them knows they wouldn’t go with the tories.

    people vote greens because they want a more leftwing government, especially on the environment, so yes, i do take it for granted that a vote for the greens is a vote for a labour-led govt, as leftwing a labour-led govt as possible.

  59. r0b 59

    However I must warn you that you shall forever be haunted by the ghost of saying what you said about dear leader earlier in this thread.

    Buddy Burt has learned a valuable lesson, with interesting implications for politicians and commentators. The web is a public record “forever”. What we say and do publicly is preserved, indexed, searchable, available to everyone. The Google effect.

    National have experienced this a bit already, with the full record of Key’s flip flops (Iraq, climate change) and dead rats (KiwiSaver, Working for Families) on record. But If National wins the next election they will fully experience the Google effect – the first incoming government to do so. I hope they don’t win of course, but if they do there will be a certain satisfaction in holding the Nats to the standards they have espoused on free speech, consultation on the electoral process, measurable gains for the economy and so on.

    I think this is a game changer for politics. Although there will be short term pain, I think that as politicians learn the lesson that Burt has learned it will improve the political process. It will be much harder to mount stupid attacks while in opposition if you can then be called to account with your own words and your own standards when in government.

  60. T-Rex 60

    I’d potentially still support the Greens if the announced they were going with National, but only if it was because they’d secured the following from National.

    1) National adopts Greens entire policy platform (not unlikely, they haven’t shown much hesitation with adopting Labours)
    2) Russel Norman will be PM.
    3) Jeanette will be minister of energy
    4) Cullen will be minister of finance by proxy
    5) Key is made minister of transport, and has his annual bonus linked to the level of reduction in per-person-per-km GHG emissions and commute times. No building of new roads will be permitted – initiatives to increase throughput of existing ones will be encouraged however.
    6) Gerry Brownlee will be put in stocks somewhere for a few days, because he is pig ignorant and embarassing.

    2 through 5 are quite unlikely (maybe 6 could happen… fingers crossed) so I’m with Steve.

  61. Rob 61

    Well I’m sure most of you considered pollster tipsters will say its not a true poll. Just like you have when National has been at 56%

    There are two points I would like to make The Maori vote is crucial and they are closer to National than they have ever been. Hone thinks Labour is a rotting corpse

    Greens and Labour vote will drop once the ETS is passed there is a lot of public resistance to this bill. Once the Public work out the true cost there will be a backlash. Labour may well have been better to let it go on hold until after the Election.

    I think there is a lot more to come out on Winnie next week who knows there may be others implicated once Owen does his stuff.

  62. IrishBill 62

    Rob, I assume you are a National/Act supporter. How would you feel about them going into coalition with the Maori party? What compromises would you be willing to see made to get a deal with them?

  63. Rob 63

    Irish Bill

    It certainly wouldn’t be a marriage made in Heaven, and I believe it would have severe marital growing pains.

    However I believe that the out come of this next Election will be messy what ever way it goes.

    If the Greens get 8% they will place huge pressure on the Labour Party and the majority of New Zealanders arent voting for Green policies.

    I personally believe the Greens will only just get over 5% that will change the dynamics considerably.

    I still believe that voters aren’t getting a fair go under MMP and it needs to be looked at more closely to much Tail wagging the dog everyone having different agendas. Whether you like Key or not I believe he is right to have a referendum on MMP after all what harm can be done by it.

  64. Vanilla Eis 64

    Rob – that didn’t answer the question. What compromises to the MP would you accept from National?

  65. lprent 65

    Rob is doing his usual selective ‘quoting’ without context, in this case about Hone’s remark. But it is useful to respond because he does always echo (badly) the right attacks of the day. After all he has to be useful for something…

    Similarly with attitudes about polls. All of the polls recently have shown this interesting drop in the Nat’s support, both before and after the taper. They completely disagree about the numbers, but they all do agree that there has been a major drop in Nat’s support. That is called a trend, and the ‘tipsers’ do take trends seriously.

    As far as I can see the ETS just isn’t that much of an issue. It is like the EFA – mainly of interest to a small group of the politically aware. This will also affect business investment decisions, but that is what it was meant to do.

    It’d be interesting to see what the poll trends are like in the next 4 or 5 polls. But I’m not expecting to see much effect from the NZF stuff on Labour. It would not surprise me to see NZF bounce.

  66. Tim Ellis 66

    rob that is a fascinating point. I don’t agree that you nailed National with your post in an earlier thread, which was made up of references to posts published at the standard, but your general point that the google effect will see a fundamental change to political accountability is very lucid. I suspect it’s had a big part to play in Winston’s downfall.

  67. toad 67

    Steve Pierson said: i do take it for granted that a vote for the greens is a vote for a labour-led govt, as leftwing a labour-led govt as possible.

    You forget abstention on confidence and supply, or voting against either Labour or national on confidence and supply, as options Steve.

    The Greens will make their decision on the basis of policy and programme. I have to say that there are a number of areas, particularly climate change and the ETS, water quality, public transport, welfare benefits, mental health services and industrial relations where the Greens have been less than enthralled with Labour’s policy and programme.

    But given the positions National have unveiled on ACC privatisation, work-testing the DPB, the 90 day fire-at-will policy, road tolling, and gutting the RMA, I think it would be fair to say that the number of dead rats they would have to swallow to get Green support is rapidly growing.

  68. Rob 68

    Vanila

    Sorry misread I wasn’t trying to dodge the question I believe they would only have to give two concessions

    1) Drop the idea of quashing the Maori seats ( personally I don’t see the need for them once all claims are settled if they ever are but could live with that)

    2) Let the Maori take the Foreshore and seabed debate back to Court (which is what caused all the disharmony between Labour and Maori in the first place)

    I could live with that if it was written well enough so there would be no financial gain, no denial of public access to any beaches etc

  69. Tane 69

    Lew: Yeah, I suspect the MP will pick up at least one more seat, but for the purposes of this analysis I’ve had to restrict it to UF, ACT and the MP holding the electorate seats they currently have.

    Toad: Sure. But I don’t believe for a second that the Greens will prop up a Tory government, and neither does anyone else.

    Burt, Sarah: I suggest you go find yourself a corner and have a good cry. When you’ve worked through your issues you can come back and comment sensibly.

  70. Vanilla Eis 70

    How about ditching the Foreshore and Seabed legislation entirely? Or admitting that if the Crown can own the F&S now, that it was therefore once owned to Maori tribes and they can lodge claims with the Waitangi Tribunal for compensation?

    Would that be too much? I can’t see the MP happy going back to how things were before the legislation – it doesn’t resolve the issue. Either the F&S is something that can be owned, in which case the Maori obviously have title to it within their tribal boundaries, or it’s something that cannot be owned and the Crown can’t have it either. I mean, what could the beach possibly be worth these days?

  71. Vanilla Eis 71

    Damn, it wouldn’t let me edit.

    Last post obviously directed at Rob.

    and I wanted to add:

    Would you accept National opening the Waitangi Tribunal up to a few billion more in claims?

    captcha: resisting wire (for now, yes. I’m not done with The Standard and Public Address. No time for the 08Wire!)

  72. Felix 72

    Tane you’re going to be seeing quite a bit of crying and toy-throwing from the likes of burt and Sarah over the next few weeks as they watch their taxless right-wing fantasy slipping away.

    T-Rex: I’d consider it for number 6 alone.

  73. Phil 73

    Steve,

    “people vote greens because they want a more leftwing government, especially on the environment, so yes, i do take it for granted that a vote for the greens is a vote for a labour-led govt, as leftwing a labour-led govt as possible.”

    This is an interesting comment (to which I completely agree) but I put to you this point;

    Any policy change made with the aim of reducing NZ’s climate change ‘footprint’ will disporoportionately hit the lower socioeconomic groups (financially speaking), of which a large number of Maori Party supporters fall into.

    Which, in a round-about way, leads me to believe that Labour will have a more difficult time producing a coalition that includes both the Greens and the MP, than National who, potentially, would only have to deal with the MP.

  74. burt 74

    rOb

    It will be much harder to mount stupid attacks while in opposition if you can then be called to account with your own words and your own standards when in government.

    And it’s also a lot harder to defend valid attacks while in govt if they can be called to account with their own words and their own standards. Labour have lowered the bar on ethical conduct but the polls still move in the direction they have, perhaps people like it when parliament is seen as dishonest and self serving.

  75. Felix 75

    …or… (drumroll)

    You, burt, represent a tiny minority of extreme right wingers and most of the country disagrees with you on every important matter.

    (please note, I’m not saying this makes you wrong)

  76. Paul Robeson 76

    It’s good to see the reasonable loveable Sarah back.

    Before I thought she might have been someone (despite having internet access) who had never lived anywhere outside the 1950s and deserved some courtesy. This is entirely possible to do in New Zealand. Now it is obvious she is simply a troll.

    Or more likely an s and m exponent because the whole blog is painful and yet she has turned up once again to read and comment.

  77. Paul Robeson 77

    You have to love the Herald.

    Their reponse to this poll:

    Start a your views: do you think opinion polls are accurate?

    And more loving given to John Ansell, this time by Drinnan. Does pointing out that advertising is racist and innacurate constitute squealing? For the Herald it does.

    The methodology of the pollsters has long been something that is open to question, but it is only news when the trend is going one way.

  78. Matthew Pilott 78

    Paul – last night I had a look at the Herald’s story on the poll and their reaction was even more crude – the only link being to Key’s “Unauthorised” “biography”.

    It’s like they’re saying – “but read this, c’mon, Key’s much better. Don’t give up on us now”.

    And now it’s as subtle as a brick to the back of the head – a poll looks good for Labour, so after a year of showing, without any doubt, that a National Majority Government is inevitable and imminent, they’re saying “who trusts polls anyway? We don’t even like them. Never did. *sulks*”

  79. burt 79

    Paul Robeson

    You don’t need a very good memory to recall [xyz political party] swinging from ‘rogue poll’ to ‘this poll shows the people have confidence in us yada yada yada’. Up – Good great, Down – Rogue inaccurate. Partisan people are amusing aren’t they.

    Jordan’s blog is a classic. If you look at the graph posted above ( NZ PRIMARY VOTE ) a cynical person might guess that a person like Jordan would have posted about the Morgan poll on two occasions since Jan ’07.

    January ’07 : Morgan Poll: Jan 07
    October ’07 : Roy Morgan welcome news

    rOb

    Here is that google effect again eh.

  80. Jared 80

    If anything, just looking at that graph, you cannot deduce a trend from a extended period of “ups” and “downs” that change week to week, what will you be saying when the next poll rolls around and Labour is down? would you even report that?. You are also assuming that the coalition would be successful, think again. There is nothing to suggest that the Greens and the Maori Party would be more likely to partner up with Labour than they would be National. What you fail to understand is that mainstream New Zealand is fed up with the Labour Coalition, and if anything, voting against Labour than voting for National, it is just convenient that National is the majority opposition party.

  81. gobsmacked 81

    The new Morgan poll is out. A slight widening of the Nat-Lab gap (47.5 versus 36.5), but after last week that’s not surprising. What is surprising is that NZ First are up to 5%, whereas ACT haven’t gained at all. After a week of hell for Winston and heaven for Rodney, you’ve got to wonder if ACT will ever get traction.

    John Key-Ora had better have Tariana and co on speed-dial, from about 6.01 pm on November 8.

  82. Phil 82

    NZ First are up to 5%

    A vote for Winston is a vote for Labour.

    As long as he’s near the magical threshold, Labour will bleed support to National.

    It might not be ‘natural justice’, but it is going to be effective come polling day.

  83. Janice 83

    Personally one would hope that this trend continues on election day.

  84. Janice 84

    By my reckoning there should be another Morgan poll out tomorrow. Bet a, Labour, Green, Progressive, Maori coalition will still be ahead of National.

  85. Ianmac 85

    Have I missed something but isn’t the date above the graph
    4September 2008?
    My glass is half full. Wonder about the other polls? where are they?

  86. Ianmac 86

    Oh Heck! Old post!

  87. Janice 87

    I dug up this article today from Herald archives. It is about the
    2005 polls.

    The Colmar Brunton TVNZ poll gave the election to National in their last poll in 2005 ( as it has just done again. See: Colmar Brunton poll, TVNZ news 6th Nov 2008) while the Roy Morgan poll gave it to Labour. Tomorrows Morgan poll should be interesting.

    The article reveals much about which polls are trustworthy and which ones are not.

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10347022

Links to post

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • Things to know about Whakaari/White Island
    Brad Scott, GNS Science VolcanologistThis post was originally published by GeoNet. Following the 9 December devastating eruption at Whakaari/White Island we have put together some information about the island. New Zealand’s most active volcano Whakaari/White Island is currently New Zealand’s most active volcano, it has been since an eruptive episode ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    4 hours ago
  • Status quo supports status quo
    The Justice Committee has reported back on its Inquiry into the 2017 General Election and 2016 Local Elections, with a host of recommendations about how to improve our electoral systems. Some of their recommendations are already incorporate din the Electoral Amendment Bill currently before Parliament, but there's also a recommendation ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 hours ago
  • The Greens abandon NeoLiberalism
    Back in 2017, in order to make themselves "electable" in the eyes of rich people who oppose everything they stand for, the Greens signed up for NeoLiberalism, adopting a restrictive set of "Budget Responsibility Rules" which basicly prevented them from using government to make things better. Now, they're finally abandoning ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 hours ago
  • Lying about a failed war
    Since invading in 2001, the US has consistently claimed that their war in Afghanistan has been going well, even when it continued year after year after year. Of course, they were lying, and thanks to the Washington Post and the US Freedom of Information Act, we get to see just ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 hours ago
  • Artificial Intelligence and You
    How should we think about artificial intelligence and the implications that it has for our work and leisure? There are many articles on artificial intelligence and its potential impacts on jobs, and the ethics of applications. These are important topics, but I want to focus on some less discussed aspects, ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
    8 hours ago
  • Statistical manipulation to get publishable results
    I love data. It’s amazing the sort of “discoveries” I can make given a data set and computer statistical package. It’s just so easy to search for relationships and test their statistical significance. Maybe relationships which ...
    10 hours ago
  • More lies on the Twitter (Dan Hodges edition)
    The other big story concerning Leeds Hospital is Boris Johnson's bizzare behaviour at Leeds Hospital, where he was confronted by a journalist and challenged about a four year old boy with suspected pneumonia who was left sleeping on the floor, rather than getting  abed like a sick kid would in ...
    12 hours ago
  • LabourActivistPunchedMattHancock’sSPADGate
    So, for a brief period of history, it was alleged that a protester had punched Matt Hancock's SPAD (not a euphemism; special adviser) when Hancock visited Leeds Hospital.This was reported by the likes of Robert Peston and Laura Keunssberg, as well as the less credible Guido Fawkes.  It also quickly ...
    13 hours ago
  • France’s anti-Zionism is anti-liberté
    by Daphna Whitmore Last week France passed a law that equates anti-Zionism with anti-Semitism. It is based on a definition of anti-Semitism that includes criticism of Israel such as: “Denying the Jewish people their right to self-determination, e.g., by claiming that the existence of a State of Israel is a racist ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 day ago
  • Another bus lockout
    Over the past year we've seen major bus problems in Hamilton and Wellington, as drivers have sought better wages and an end to the bullshit of split shifts, which basicly see them "married to the job". And now its Auckland's turn. When NZBus's drivers planned low-level strike action of not ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago
  • Climate Change: Showing us how its done
    The government has been congratulating itself over the passage of the Zero Carbon Act, which sets out long-term emissions targets. But those targets are insufficient. Meanwhile, Denmark is showing us how its done:Denmark’s parliament adopted a new climate law on Friday, committing to reach 70% below its 1990 emissions in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago
  • Public sector dysfunction should not be allowed to undermine freedom of information
    Another day, another piece of legislation with a secrecy clause. This time its the innocuous-seeming Mental Health and Wellbeing Commission Bill, which (after establishing a new body and making it subject to the OIA in three different ways) includes the rapidly-becoming-standard clauses enabling it to request information from other public ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago
  • “This is England, this knife of Sheffield steel…”
    The state of the United Kingdom is fractured, torn up, shredded. The Empire is gone, it died a long time ago. And yet, the country is still tracking with a lead in favour of the ones who play to the ingrained, class-bound division for political gain. It is a disgrace ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    3 days ago
  • CORSIA, coming soon to an airport near you
    On 27 September, Greta Thunberg addressed a crowd of 500,000 at the School Strike for Climate in Montreal, saying: “You are a nation that is allegedly a climate leader. And Sweden is also a nation that is allegedly a climate leader. And in both cases, it means absolutely nothing. Because ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert McLachlan
    3 days ago
  • Cloaking hate speech and fake news in the right to free expression.
    It should be obvious by now but let’s be clear: The same folk who regularly traffic in disinformation, misinformation and “fake news” are also those who most strongly claim that their freedom of expression rights are being violated when moves are made to curb hate speech (as opposed to protected ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    3 days ago
  • The Physics (and Economics, and Politics) of Wheelchairs on Planes
    Michael Schulson When Shane Burcaw flies on an airplane, he brings along a customized gel cushion, a car seat, and about 10 pieces of memory foam. The whole arsenal costs around $1,000, but for Burcaw it’s a necessity. The 27-year-old author and speaker — who, alongside his fiancée, Hannah ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    3 days ago
  • To Advance Civil Rights, Oppose Transgender Extremism
    We are very pleased to publish this submission is from Lucinda Stoan. She is a social justice activist, mother, and educator, based in Washington State in the  US.   This detailed and comprehensive source-linked overview of trans issues and what is at stake will be useful for many people, especially in ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    4 days ago
  • Faafoi should be fired
    Newshub last night reported that Broadcasting Minister Kris Faafoi had apparently promised to help out a mate with an immigration issue. While its normal for people to approach MPs for assistance in this area, when you're a Minister, the rules are different: as the Cabinet Manual says, Ministers must "at ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Adrian Orr – The Reserve Bank’s Revolutionary Governor?
    New Zealand's Underarm Banker: It bears recalling that the “independence” of the Reserve Bank Governor was for decades held up by neoliberal capitalists as the most compelling justification for passing the Reserve Bank Act. Interesting, is it not, how the ruling class’s support for the Bank’s independence lasted no longer than ...
    5 days ago
  • Driving Us Up The Poll.
    Rubbish In, Rubbish Out: Put all this together, and it’s difficult to avoid the conclusion that anyone who responds positively to a pollster’s request to “answer a few questions” is just ever-so-slightly weird. Desperately lonely? Some sort of psephological train-spotter? Political party member primed to skew the poll for or against ...
    5 days ago
  • Jordan Williams, Colin Craig podcast series announced
    “Free at last, Free at last, Thank God almighty we are free at last.” ― Martin Luther King Jr. A long and bitter court feud between former Conservative Party leader Colin Craig and Jordan Williams has been settled, with an apology and compensation from Williams. On Tuesday, Craig sent out ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    5 days ago
  • Scientific integrity requires critical investigation – not blind acceptance
    Some people seem to want to close down any critical discussion of the current research into the relationship between water fluoride and child IQ. They appear to argue that claims made by researchers should not be open to critical review and that the claims be accepted without proper consideration ...
    5 days ago
  • Climate Change: The shameful reality
    The government has been congratulating itself over the passage of the Zero Carbon Act, which sets out long-term emissions targets. Meanwhile, Climate Action Tracker has the shameful reality: those targets are insufficient:While New Zealand is showing leadership by having passed the world’s second-ever Zero Carbon Act in November 2019, under ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • More secrecy
    The government introduced a Racing Industry Bill today. As an urban who horse racing as pointless-to-cruel, and gambling as a tax on stupidity and/or hope, this isn't normally a bill which would interest me in the slightest, beyond grumpiness at more government money for a dying industry. But there is ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Unlikely online bully, Liam Hehir
    Check. Check. One, two, three, four. Is this thing ON? Hello readers, I logged in last night (yeah, it’s been a while) to mark THE END of the landmark legal case, Jordan Williams v Colin Craig, which (gulp) reached The Supreme Court, in which New Zealand’s most-defamed man was suing the politician he ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    5 days ago
  • The Birth Of Israel: Wrong At The Right Time.
    Before The Birth: Israel’s most fervent supporters set their clocks ticking in Biblical times. They cite the kingdoms of David and Solomon as proof that, in the words of the Exodus movie’s theme-song: “This land is mine.” The majority of Israel’s backers, however, start their clocks in 1933 – the year Adolf ...
    5 days ago
  • Generalist to specialist
    Both my parents are pretty handy – and they seem to have the right tools for most jobs in the garage and they know how to fix practically anything. A similar story could be told about their generation’s experience in the workforce – being a generalist was not unusual and ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    6 days ago
  • Hard News: Public Address Word of the Year 2019: Korero phase
    In an unreliable, strange and confusing world, Public Address is proud to present a measure of comfort and stability by annually asking everyone what words or phrases sum up the year that's been – and then giving some of them consumer goods as prizes for being clever or simply lucky.Well, ...
    6 days ago
  • A “coincidence”
    When it was revealed that NZ First had tried to enrich itself from public office via the Provoncial Growth Fund, the Prime Minister assured us that everything was OK as Shane Jones, the Minister responsible for the fund, had recused himself. Except it seems that that recusal came very late ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Member’s Day
    Today is a Member's Day, and probably the last one of the year. After the marathon of the End of Life Choice Act, most of the bills up for debate today are uncontentious. First up is the second reading of Chlöe Swarbrick's Election Access Fund Bill. This will be followed ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Worse than I thought
    The Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Committee has reported back on the government's odious and tyrannical control orders bill. As expected, the fraudulent select committee process has made no significant changes (partly because they couldn't agree, but mostly because it was a stitch-up from the start, with no intention of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • The cannabis bill and the referendum
    Yesterday, the government released its draft Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill, which will be put to a non-binding referendum at the next election. I'm not a drug policy expert, but Russell Brown is, and he thinks its pretty good. And pretty obviously, it will be a massive improvement on the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Hard News: The Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill: pretty good so far
    As you're probably aware, the draft bill outlining the proposed legal cannabis regime to be put to a referendum late next year was published yesterday, and has already attracted a flurry of comment. It's notable that a good deal of the comment is about proposals that aren't actually new.A minimum ...
    6 days ago
  • Climate Change: Alignment
    One of the big problems in New Zealand climate change policy is the government working at cross-purposes with itself. It wants to reduce fossil fuel use, but encourages oil and gas exploration. It wants to reduce transport emissions, but then builds enormous new roads. The problem could be avoided if ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • How climate change will affect food production and security
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz According to the United Nations, food shortages are a threat ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    6 days ago
  • More bad faith
    Last year, the government announced it was ending offshore oil exploration by no longer issuing new permits. The idea was that the industry would then die off as permits expired. Except almost immediately the government revealed its bad faith, by saying they would extend permits and alter conditions to keep ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Banning foreign money from our elections
    The government has said it will ban foreign donations to political parties and candidates, and will be introducing legislation to be passed under all-stages urgency this afternoon. While I agree with the goal, I don't see a particular case for urgency, unless the government is concerned about a flood of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Reforming the Education Acts
    The government introduced the Education and Training Bill to Parliament yesterday. Its a massive bill, which replaces both existing Education Acts, as well as various other bits of legislation (including some which are still proceeding through the House). I'll leave the serious analysis to teachers and people who actually know ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Bite-sized learning
    Amelia SharmanThere’s no one-size-fits-all when it comes to micro-credentials, those bits of bite-sized learning that can help workers stay on top of technological change.  What’s a micro-credential? While definitions vary, micro-credentials can be understood as short courses that allow people to learn new skills or have an existing competency recognised. ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • “Not The Labour Party We Once Knew.”
    All Smiles Now: Claire Szabo is taking up her presidential role after serving as the CEO of Habitat For Humanity. Which is absolutely perfect! After KiwiBuild was so comprehensively mismanaged by Phil Twyford, the party has not only elected a new president from a thoroughly respectable not-for-profit, but one who ...
    1 week ago
  • Marxist versus liberal methodology on transgender ideology/identity politics
    While much of the NZ left has transitioned to postmodern and identity politics in relation to transgender ideology, there are some very good articles about that deploy Marxist methodology in relation to this subject.  The one below is from the British marxist group Counterfire and appeared on their site here ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Book review: The Farm by Joanne Ramos
    by Daphna Whitmore At Golden Oaks, a luxurious country retreat in the Hudson Valley, pregnant women have the best care money can buy. From the organic food, personalised exercise programmes, private yoga instruction and daily massages Golden Oaks looks like a country lodge for the upper class. Set some time ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Loosening the purse strings
    When Labour was running for election in 2017, it felt it needed to demonstrate "fiscal responsibility" and signed itself up to masochistic "budget responsibility rules". It was a fool's errand: the sorts of voters who demand fiscal responsibility are also the sorts of voters who believe that labour can never ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: How to get there
    Writing in Stuff, Joel MacManus looks at what we need to do to meet the Zero Carbon Act's targets. The core of it:1. Convert 85 per cent of vehicles on the road to electric. 2. Eliminate fossil fuels from all industrial heating up to 300 degrees Celsius. 3. Double our ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • anti-vaxxers in a measles epidemic: so many ways to be untruthful
    “Anti-vaxers are a pro-death movement,” those comments from Dr Helen Petousis-Harris speaking about six more Measles related deaths in Samoa over the past twenty-four hours. “Anti-vaxers are a pro-death movement,” those comments from Dr Helen Petousis-Harris speaking about six more Measles related deaths in Samoa ...
    SciBlogsBy Alison Campbell
    1 week ago
  • Is Youth Vaping a Problem in New Zealand?
    Professors Janet Hoek and Richard Edwards, Emeritus Professor Phil Gendall, Jude Ball, Dr Judith McCool, Anaru Waa, Dr Becky Freeman Recent media reports have presented conflicting evidence on youth vaping in NZ. While some NZ school principals report concerns about increasing vaping on school grounds and confiscating vapes, ASH Year ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    1 week ago
  • In pursuit of “Freedom and Democracy”: Forever Wars in “America’s backyard”.
    “America the Beautiful!”, staunch defender of democracy, freedom and… a whole lot of despotic tyrants that play nice with what is called “the Washington Consensus.” America is indeed capable of immense good, but like any Nation, and most assuredly any aspirant to the mantle of Empire, great, immense evil. All ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    1 week ago
  • November ’19 – NZ blogs sitemeter ranking
    Image credit: The beginner’s guide to blogging I notice a few regulars no longer allow public access to the site counters. This may happen accidentally when the blog format is altered. If your blog is ...
    1 week ago
  • Whodunnit? Finding the mystery 1080 testing lab
    1080 is used to control pests in NZ. Its use is contested by a noisy few. A new report claims high levels of 1080 in rats washed up on a beach. Flora and Fauna of Aotearoa (F&F) won’t name the laboratory that did their testing. It has sparked a hunt ...
    SciBlogsBy Grant Jacobs
    1 week ago
  • Authoritarian Friends, Democratic Enemies.
    What Kind Of Empire? The thing for Kiwis to decide is what kind of empire they want to belong to. The kind that, while offering its own citizens democratic rights, demands absolute obedience from its “friends”? Or, the kind that, while authoritarian at home, takes a relaxed attitude to the ...
    1 week ago
  • Boris Johnson Goes Down
    It hasn't been a good week for the Conservatives, pollwise.  All major recent polls are showing their lead shrinking.Comparing each pollster's current (between 29/11 and 22/11) and previous most recent poll.Com Res - Conservative lead down 3 points.You Gov - Conservative lead down 1 point.Kantar - Conservative lead down 4 ...
    1 week ago
  • Interesting
    Within quick succession, Countdown maths wizard and twitterer Rachel Riley, alleged comedian David Baddiel and prominent lawyer Andrew Julius have all expressed very similar opinions / ideas:
    These #3billboards are going round London today, organised by ex-Labour people, horrified by what their party has become. Their principles haven’t changed, they’re ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Damn the Polls
    So, there have been a bunch of bad polls out for Labour, and even the Leftie's friend, Survation, have recently given the Conservatives a rip-snorting 11% lead.  You Gov's much vaunted MRP poll - which pretty much nailed the result in 2015 - is currently predicting a comfortable majority for ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Europe declares an emergency
    The European Parliament has voted overwhelmingly to declare a climate emergency:The European parliament has declared a global “climate and environmental emergency” as it urged all EU countries to commit to net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. The vote came as scientists warned that the world may have already crossed ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • A Bi-Partisan Commitment To X-ing “P”.
    Pure Fear: Worse than Heroin, this drug’s addictive power was terrifying. People under its influence didn’t drift off to Elysium. Nor did it persuade inadequate individuals that they could conquer the world. No, this drug – pure crystal methamphetamine, “P” for short – unlocked the gates of Hell itself. It ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Advice about measles: when ignorance is definitely not a virtue
    As the rate of measles infection, and of deaths, continues to climb in Samoa, antivaccination activists infectious disease proponents seem intent on doubling down on their claims about vaccination. (Check pretty much any news-media FB post about measles & you’ll see exactly what I mean.) Unfortunately, some of them have ...
    SciBlogsBy Alison Campbell
    2 weeks ago
  • Samoa’s devastating measles epidemic – why and how bad?
    Samoa are experiencing a devastating measles epidemic. It is possible that 2-3% of the population will ultimately be infected by the time it is over. Hopefully the mass immunisation campaign currently under way can mitigate some of this, for many it is too late. The first question many people ask ...
    SciBlogsBy Helen Petousis Harris
    2 weeks ago
  • “It’s basic rights we are defending”: the Meghan Murphy interview
    Meghan Murphy is a Canadian writer and journalist She runs the Feminist Current website which she founded in 2012.  She was a keynote speaker for the Feminism2020 conference in Wellington this month. When Massey University cancelled the original venue booking Feminism2020 was hosted in Parliament by MP David Seymour. Meghan ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • A week of protests in Colombia
    Text and photos by Gearóid Ó Loingsigh Colombia has lived through one week of protests against the economic measures taken by president Duque. What looked like a protest that would fizzle out after its first day on November 21st is still going strong. Part of the reason for the continuance ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Anti-neutrinos–When you are your own opposite
    Around a million billion pass through you each second, almost all originating from our sun, but few of them are likely to interact with you enroute. I was reading in a physics magazine earlier in the week about the nature of neutrinos. These are extremely numerous elementary particles, but only ...
    SciBlogsBy Marcus Wilson
    2 weeks ago
  • Exoplanets, life, and the danger of a single study
    By Pallab Ghosh There’s value in covering new research advances, even when the underlying science is unsettled. But there are also risks. The recent announcement that scientists discovered water on the planet K2-18b, 110 light years away, prompted a media swoon. News stories, including a piece written by me, billed ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • The Intersex Continuum
    I wrote this review a couple of years ago when I was still in the process of getting my head around the politics of transgenderism, and specifically the claim that intersex conditions lend support to the notion that sex is ‘socially constructed’. Since writing this review I have come across ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Leaving us with the bill
    Two weeks ago, Malaysian-owned oil company Tamarind declared it was insolvent and went into administration after a failed offshore drilling campaign. Tamarind apparently specialises in buying oil fields at the end of their life and trying to squeeze out the last few drops of pollution. But part of their scam ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • How much does flying contribute to climate change?
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz How much does our use of air travel contribute to the ...
    SciBlogsBy Shaun Hendy
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: The task before us
    Two weeks ago, the Zero Carbon Act became law. Right this moment, the Climate Change Commisison will be working on its initial budgets for 2022-25 and 2026-2030, and the UN has just given them a very clear steer:Countries must make an unprecedented effort to cut their levels of greenhouse gases ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Among my favourite asteroids: (2309) Mr. Spock
    Minor planet/asteroid (2309) Mr. Spock is named not for the character in Star Trek, but for a cat that was itself imperturbable, logical, intelligent and had pointed ears In a preceding blog post I introduced one of my favourite asteroids, (2472) Bradman, and also mentioned (6581) Sobers amongst a few ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    2 weeks ago
  • Measles deaths and antivax misinformation
    Today the death toll from measles in Samoa rose to 32. All but four of the dead were less than 5 years old. Absolutely terrible, heartbreaking, news. That statistic alone should be enough to give the lie to the common claim by antivaccination activists plague enthusiasts that “measles is a ...
    SciBlogsBy Alison Campbell
    2 weeks ago
  • Colombia: the state murder of Dilan Cruz
    by Gearóid Ó Loingsigh It is late here in Bogotá, almost 11.30pm on Monday the 25th of November as I write this. The day began full of hope with yet more massive marches throughout the country, a mix of the International Day of Non-Violence Against Women and the National Strike. ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Anti-fluoride propagandists appear not to read the articles they promote
    Anti-fluoride activists are rubbing their hands in glee over what they claim is “yet another study” showing fluoride harms the brains of children. But their promotion relies on IQ relationships which the paper’s authors acknowledge disappearing when outliers or other factors are considered. And they completely ignore other relationships ...
    2 weeks ago
  • The rise and collapse of classical political economy
    The feature below is the conclusion of A History of Economic Thought, whose author was a leading Marxist economist in Russia in the early 20th century, Isaac Ilyich Rubin.  The book arose from a course he ran at Moscow University following the Russian Revolution.  First published in Russian in 1929, ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Among my favourite asteroids: (2472) Bradman
    There are many thousands of asteroids with formal names, some humdrum but other more noteworthy (depending on your predilections). One of my favourites, the name of which I was involved in suggesting, is (2472) Bradman, named for the Australian cricketing great.  As a minor planet (synonym: asteroid) spotter, I have ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    2 weeks ago
  • Some cheap soundbites i thought up while reading about the underwhelming Conservative manifesto
    Tory manifesto: big on austerity, low on promise, non-existent on delivery. The Tories: the party so big on ambition they couldn't be arsed writing a manifesto. MLK: "I have a dream!"BJ: "I'll just have a nap." Labour: Broadband!Tories: Narrow minds! Labour have hope, dreams and ambition. The Tories will save ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Measles vaccination required to travel to islands and Phillipines
    The Ministry of Health has announced that “people under the age of 50 travelling from New Zealand to Samoa, Tonga, Philippines and Fiji” are now on the list of national priorities for MMR vaccination. Given the outbreaks of measles in Samoa, Tonga, Philippines and Fiji, the Ministry of Health is ...
    SciBlogsBy Grant Jacobs
    2 weeks ago
  • Giving the finger to Beijing
    Hong Kong has been protesting for six months for, demanding democracy, human rights, and an end to police violence. Today, they went to the polls in district council elections - a low-level of government with virtually no power, similar to community boards in New Zealand. But while the positions themselves ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Colombia’s national strike
    Text and photos by Gearóid Ó Loingsigh On Friday 22nd of November a curfew came into effect and troops were deployed on the streets, here in Bogota. It was the first time since September 1977 that a curfew had been imposed on the city. The decision was a cynical pre-planned ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago

  • Final steps for racing industry reform
    Racing Minister Winston Peters has welcomed the first reading of the Racing Industry Bill in parliament today. This is the second of two Bills that have been introduced this year to revitalise New Zealand’s racing industry. “Our domestic racing industry has been in serious decline.  The Government is committed to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 hours ago
  • Funding to promote New Zealand Sign Language initiatives
    Minister for Disability Issues, Carmel Sepuloni, is pleased to announce that $291,321 is to be awarded to national and local community initiatives to maintain and promote the use of New Zealand Sign Language (NZSL). “New Zealand is one of the few countries  in the world where Sign Language is an ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 hours ago
  • How New Zealand defines and recognises veterans
    Minister for Veterans Ron Mark has announced today the Coalition Government’s initial response to work completed by the independent statutory body, the Veterans’ Advisory Board. “When Professor Ron Paterson completed his review of the Veterans’ Support Act in 2018, he made a number of recommendations, including one which I referred ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 hours ago
  • Government to fund lion’s share of Ohakea water scheme
    The Government will fund the bulk of the cost of a rural water supply for the Ohakea community affected by PFAS contamination, Environment Minister David Parker announced today at a meeting of local residents. This new water scheme will provide a reliable and clean source of drinking water to the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Prime Minister statement on White Island eruption
    I have had the opportunity to be briefed on the details of the volcanic eruption of Whakaari/White Island, off the coast of Whakatane in the Bay of Plenty.  The eruption happened at 2.11pm today.  It continues to be an evolving situation.  We know that there were a number of tourists ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Govt funds $100k for weather-hit communities
    Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Minister of Civil Defence Peeni Henare have today confirmed initial Government support of $100,000 for communities affected by the severe weather that swept across the South Island and lower North Island over the weekend. The contribution will be made to Mayoral relief funds across the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Death of NZ High Commissioner to Cook Islands
    New Zealand's High Commissioner to the Cook Islands, Tessa Temata, died in Palmerston North over the weekend, Foreign Minister Winston Peters said today. Ms Temata, 52, had recently returned to New Zealand for medical treatment. "On behalf of the Government and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, we extend ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Wellington rail upgrade full steam ahead
    Transport Minister Phil Twyford today announced construction is underway on Wellington commuter rail upgrades which will mean more frequent services and fewer breakdowns. The upgrades include converting the Trentham to Upper Hutt single track section to a double track, with a new signalling system, upgraded stations and level crossings, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Defence Climate Change Implementation Plan released
    Minister of Defence Ron Mark and Minister for Climate Change James Shaw have announced the release of a Defence Climate Change Implementation Work Plan, titled Responding to the Climate Crisis: An Implementation Plan.  The plan sets out a series of recommendations based on the 2018 New Zealand Defence Assessment, The ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Govt releases funding to support South Canterbury
    A medium-scale adverse event has been declared for the South Canterbury district, which will see up to $50,000 in funding made available to support farming communities which have been significantly affected by recent heavy rain and flooding in the area, says Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor. “Two weeks of solid rain ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Speech at launch of Rethinking Plastics Report
    Thank you Professor Juliet Gerrard and your team for the comprehensive and extremely helpful report and recommendations. Thank you too to all the stakeholders and interested parties who have contributed ideas and thinking to it. “Making best practice, standard practice” is a great framework for change and the action plan ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Govt pledges next steps on plastic waste
    The Government will phase out more single-use plastics following the success of its single-use plastic bag ban earlier this year and the release today of a pivotal report for dealing with waste. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has welcomed the Rethinking Plastics in Aotearoa New Zealandreport, released by her Chief Science Advisor ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • International student enrolments grow in universities and the regions
    International education continues to thrive as the Government focuses on quality over quantity, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said. The tuition revenue from international education increased to $1.16 billion last year with the average tuition fee per student increasing by $960. The total number of international students enrolled in New Zealand ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Speech to Government Economics Network 2019 Conference
    I want to talk about one of the most pressing issues in our national life: the housing crisis and the poor performance of our cities. The argument I want to make to you is that generations of urban land use policy have lacked a decent grounding in economics. The consequences ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • DHB leadership renewed and strengthened
    Health Minister Dr David Clark says new appointments to DHBs represent a significant changing of the guard, with 13 new chairs including four Māori chairs. Today 76 appointments have been announced to complement elected board members, as well as eight elected members appointed as either chair or deputy chair.  Four ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Tabuteau to advance New Zealand’s trade and political interests with European partners
    Parliamentary Under-Secretary for Foreign Affairs, Fletcher Tabuteau, is travelling to Germany, Poland, Austria, and Spain next week to bolster New Zealand’s political and trade relationships in Europe. While in Spain, Mr Tabuteau will represent New Zealand at the 14th Asia-Europe (ASEM) Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in Madrid. “New Zealand strongly supports ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Statement from the Prime Minister on Kris Faafoi
    “I’ve spoken to Minister Faafoi, who has apologised for his poor handling of this issue,” Jacinda Ardern said. “I have confidence in Kris as a hardworking and effective Minister, but this should have been dealt with in a much clearer manner, and I’ve made my views on that very clear ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Tonga-New Zealand Joint Ministerial Forum
    Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters met with Tongan Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Pohiva Tu'i'onetoa in Wellington today. The pair signed a Statement of Partnership setting out joint priorities for cooperation out to 2023.  “We welcomed Prime Minister Tu'i'onetoa on his first visit to New Zealand as Prime Minister. Tonga ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Shooting in Kurow
    The Minister of Police Stuart Nash says his sympathies are with the family of a man who died after being shot by Police in Kurow. “Initial reports are that Police were called by a family member to help the man who was threatening to harm himself,” Mr Nash says. “However ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Government delivers funding boost for ethnic communities
    Ethnic communities will be able to plan and deliver more community initiatives thanks to an increase in Government funding, Minister for Ethnic Communities Hon Jenny Salesa said today. “Ensuring Aotearoa New Zealand is a place we can all be proud to call home has been a key priority of our ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Govt supports Southland farmers in sustainability
    Healthier waterways, better productivity and farmer wellbeing are front and centre in a new project involving more than 1000 Southland farmers and growers. Minister of Agriculture Damien O’Connor today announced that the Thriving Southland Change and Innovation Project is the first region-wide extension programme supported by the $229 million Sustainable ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Flood of support for Top of the South catchment
    Work to look after nature and restore freshwater quality in Te Hoiere/Pelorus River catchment is getting a significant boost, thanks to new Government funding support Minister for Conservation Eugenie Sage announced in Canvastown today. “Every New Zealander should be able to swim in their local river without getting sick, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Eight Queen’s Counsel appointed under new criterion
    Eight Queen’s Counsel have been appointed under a process that includes the new criterion of a commitment to improving access to justice, Attorney-General David Parker announced today. “The new criterion was included this year. It emphasises that excellence and leadership in the profession can be seen through a wider, community ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Major expansion for Wellington’s Onslow College
    Onslow College in Wellington will get 20 new classrooms for more than 400 students, Education Minister Chris Hipkins announced today. The much-needed investment will relieve growth pressure the school has been experiencing for some time. Seven existing classrooms which have deteriorated over time will also be replaced, bringing the total ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Talented young Kiwis awarded PM’s Scholarships to Asia and Latin America
    More than 250 young New Zealanders will add international experience to their education, thanks to the latest Prime Minister’s Scholarships for Asia (PMSA) and Latin America (PMSLA), Education Minister Chris Hipkins announced today. This round of scholarships supports 252 recent graduates or current students to undertake study, research or internships ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government to improve competitiveness and transparency in the retail fuel market
    Consumers will benefit from a more competitive, transparent retail fuel market as a result of changes the Government will be making in response to the findings of the Commerce Commission’s study of the fuel sector. “We accept the Commission’s findings and, as the Prime Minister has said, we’re ready to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • More cancer medicines for more people
    Five new cancer medicines have now been funded this year, meaning thousands of people have more treatment options PHARMAC has today announced that it has approved two new medicines for funding – fulvestrant for breast cancer and olaparib for ovarian cancer. This follows earlier decisions on advanced lung cancer treatment alectinib, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government acts to sort out electoral ‘coin toss’ problem
    The Minister of Local Government, Hon Nanaia Mahuta says the Government will consider making changes to local electoral legislation before the 2022 elections to fix the problems that have arisen where elections are settled by a coin toss.  The Minister says the recount process in the Murupara- Galatea ward at ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • NZ to Join IMO Convention to Reduce Ship Emissions
    New Zealand will sign up to new international maritime regulations to reduce ship emissions and lift air quality around ports and harbours, Associate Transport Minister Julie Anne Genter announced today. Subject to completion of the Parliamentary treaty examination process, New Zealand will sign up to Annex VI of MARPOL, an ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Bill to empower urban development projects
    New legislation to transform our urban areas and create sustainable, inclusive and thriving communities will tomorrow be introduced to Parliament, Urban Development Minister Phil Twyford said. “The Urban Development Bill gives Kāinga Ora-Homes and Communities the tools it needs to partner with councils, communities, mana whenua and private developers to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Early Learning Action Plan to kickstart long term change
    Today’s launch of He taonga te Tamaiti: Every child a taonga: The Early Learning Action Plan 2019-2029 provides the foundation for long-lasting changes to early learning, Education Minister Chris Hipkins says.   “Early learning will be one of the Government’s top education priorities going into 2020,” Chris Hipkins said.   ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Climate change lens on major Government decisions
    Major decisions made by the Government will now be considered under a climate change lens, Minister for Climate Change James Shaw announced today. “Cabinet routinely considers the effects of its decisions on human rights, the Treaty of Waitangi, rural communities, the disability community, and gender – now climate change will ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • New Tertiary Education Commission Board announced
    Education Minister Chris Hipkins today announced the appointment of Māori education specialist Dr Wayne Ngata and Business NZ head Kirk Hope to the Board of the Tertiary Education Commission (TEC). Dr Alastair MacCormick has been reappointed for another term. “Wayne Ngata, Kirk Hope and Alastair MacCormick bring a great deal ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Next phase of Pike River recovery underway in time for Christmas
    The next phase of the Pike River Re-entry project is underway, Minister Responsible for Pike River Re-entry Andrew Little says. “Fresh air will be pumped into the Pike River Mine drift this week, following acceptance of the plan for re-entry beyond the 170m barrier by New Zealand’s independent health and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Insurance contracts to become easier to understand and fairer for consumers
    New Zealand consumers will have greater certainty about their insurance cover when they need to make claims as a result of proposed government changes. “Insurance is vitally important in supporting consumers and businesses to be financially resilient when unexpected events happen,” Minister of Commerce and Consumer Affairs Kris Faafoi said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • A new opportunity for Ngāpuhi collective and regional negotiations
    The Crown is providing an opportunity for the hapu of Ngāpuhi to rebuild its framework from the ground up for collective negotiations to deal with its historical Treaty claims, Minister for Treaty of Waitangi Negotiations Andrew Little and Minister for Māori Development Nanaia Mahuta announced today. The Crown is also ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Referendums Framework Bill passes third reading
    A Bill enabling referendums to be held with the 2020 General Election has passed its third reading. Justice Minister Andrew Little says the Act is important for upholding the integrity of New Zealand’s electoral process. “The Government has committed to holding a referendum on legalising recreational cannabis at the next ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Referendums website and initial cannabis Bill launched
    The first release of public information on the two referendums to be held at next year’s General Election was made today with an informative new Government website going live. Additionally, the draft Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill has been released, showing the strict controls on cannabis that will apply if ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government to ban foreign donations
    The Government is taking action to protect New Zealand from foreign interference in our elections by banning foreign donations to political parties and candidates, Justice Minister Andrew Little announced today. Legislation will be introduced to Parliament this afternoon and passed under urgency. “There’s no need for anyone other than New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Governments and tech converge to strengthen joint response to online terror events
    Governments and tech companies are holding a two-day workshop, hosted by YouTube/Google in Wellington, to test the Christchurch Call Shared Crisis Response Protocol. The workshop aims to refine and strengthen the response in the event of a terrorist attack with online implications. Companies, governments, civil society experts and NGOs will ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago