Time’s up Labour

Written By: - Date published: 4:50 pm, November 20th, 2020 - 114 comments
Categories: community democracy, democratic participation, grant robertson, greens, housing, jacinda ardern, labour, Metiria Turei, poverty - Tags:

This is probably the most succinctly astute thing I have seen written about the government since the election. Standardista Miravox on twitter,

My reckon on Jacinda is that peeps likening her to Roger Douglas over housing are looking in the wrong place. She’s been indoctrinated as a 3rd-way Blairite. What’s going to be the future NZ version of Brexiteers for the betrayed? #nzpol

I can’t wait any more for Labour to sort its shit out, I think the time has come that they either demonstrate clearly that they intend to offer real solutions or we shift our political approaches around the reality that Jacinda Ardern and Grant Robertson fully intend to cement neoliberalism into New Zealand governance for another generation.

The anger about this on twitter has been palpable in recent weeks. Apparently others feel the same, housing advocate @AotearoaYimby,

I’ve been yelling impotently into the void on housing for 5 months now and in all that time I have never seen people as angry and pissed off about housing as they are this week

One thing that interests me here is what is going on with Labour voters. New Zealand had the chance this year to increase the Green MPs substantially, and thus shift the Overton Window on poverty and housing, and most left wing/progressive/liberal voters chose Labour. Is that because they believe Labour will do what is necessary on poverty and housing and climate, or because they know they won’t but still believe Labour are the best choice?

I see no point in going hard after Labourites or Labour voters. But I do think it’s reasonable to expect an explanation. I’ve seen some weak talking point rebuttals in the past week along the lines of parliament isn’t even sitting yet so we can’t expect Labour to be doing anything (wut?), or that it will take time to understand what Labour can do now that the NZ First handbrake/square wheel is gone.

But everything I’m seeing is reaffirming that what Labour are doing right now is what they intend to keep doing. If there was intention to change, to shift the Overton Window, Ardern’s world class messaging would be reflecting that. And it’s just not. Is it likely that Labour have a secret poverty/housing busting agenda we don’t know about? Tui award there.

I full expect this term for Labour to do some good things. They’re not the same as National and it’s important to recognise that under National we would be in a far far worse situation. But what that leaves us with is a reprieve not a resolution. New Zealand will tread water quite well for this term (apart from the ones already drowning), and then we might get lucky and get another term. But sooner or later, the right will rise again and the only way to prevent another decade of FJK protofascism is to shift New Zealand’s political core now. If we don’t then what Miravox is warning will come about. ACT are waiting in the wings as we speak.

We have three years to create that change and it’s patently clear that the driver for this has to come from outside of parliament.

Bryce Edwards in the Guardian, summing up his piece on the classism in the New Zealand parliament and Labour Party and how this reflects in their policy,

Forcing this government to deliver for the poor and working class might require protests and mobilisation.

Fortunately we have some allies in parliament (the Greens and the Māori Party) and this shouldn’t be underestimated, it ups our changes greatly. The Greens this week, both Shaw and Davidson, have been pushing in various media on the culture shift needed around parliamentary solutions to poverty. Aren’t we glad now that they stuck to their guns pre-election? And always, shout out to Metiria Turei, who sacrificed her political career so that we could be having this opportunity to act now.

May as well get on with it lefties. We can’t afford to give Labour the benefit of the doubt on this.

114 comments on “Time’s up Labour ”

  1. Stuart Munro 1

    We are not used, as a country, to being obliged to press a government to work for the common good as they are elected and paid to do, but not doing. Most of us would rather not, but someone must keep this ship of fools off the rocks.

    The thing is to get them to turn their thoughts to what they mean to do, instead of to what they are likely to suffer. ~ Xenophon III 1

    • weka 1.1

      thoughts on options at this point for pressing Labour to do the right things?

      • Stuart Munro 1.1.1

        Probably the most effective protest action in NZ were the land marches. But government can ignore even that sort of thing until they reach critical mass.

        A name and shame campaign against the megaslumlords might be pertinent – tolerance for faux corporate excess has been declining with housing stress.

        A certain courgette grower is begging for the Scipio Aemilianus treatment.

        Occupy protests against untenanted buildings would seem to be apposite.

        And of course freelance researching of the tax status of slumlords – the brightline CGT is heavily evaded, and the most evasive make good targets to muster support for reform.

        • sumsuch 1.1.1.1

          That Scipio despite himself supported turning on his nephew Gracchus through the 'Last Decree' of the Senate.

          • Stuart Munro 1.1.1.1.1

            It was more the common policy he shared with Abimelech I had in mind for our most shameless slave planters. For Roman exemplars I prefer Sulla, who wiped out corruption believed to be incurable in a few short years – he was a son-of-a-bitch, but he cleaned up the state lickety split.

            • sumsuch 1.1.1.1.1.1

              Strange how much we know about the last hundred years of the Roman Republic and how much it has inspired, like the Renaissance after 1500 years of comparative darkness. Sulla had humility in the face of Republican values. Neither the populares nor the optimates had the break pads for a democracy. Yet we who study them can see where there were possibilities for … us. Mostly Cicero's sad travels and travails.

        • weka 1.1.1.2

          I like the idea of occupying buildings. There was a ripe opportunity when National were governing to occupy state houses that National wasn't doing anything with except waiting to sell. Including ones that were deteriorating.

      • Stuart Munro 1.1.2

        Matt McCarten has a promising line of direct action.

      • Hongi Ika 1.1.3

        Governments are now a Popularity Contest and a Soap Opera which goes around week to week on a 3 Year Election Cycle.

    • Aaron 1.2

      @Stuart Munro – Real change ONLY comes from outside parliament – We had several good Labour governments but as soon as people who remembered the great depression and why change had been necessary had passed-on there was no one left to keep Labour MPs on track. By the Lange government almost none of the MPs understood what the consequences of their policies would be so it was easy to dismantle the economy under their noses.

      Luckily there are lots of people learning about poverty now so some kind of swing back the other way will be inevitable but no one really knows when.

      I've said in the past that we would have been better off with a 4th term of National so that people would get really really sick of neoliberalism but unfortunately Labour scraped in and then were gifted a series of crises to make them more electable.

  2. WeTheBleeple 2

    It's a plain and obvious fact that money invested in the 'lower strata' of society quickly makes its way up the financial food chain. Free money (capital gains, tax breaks, poor/no regulation) to predators at the top of the food chain is silly. It's like stripping algae to make faux-fish to feed sharks. Meanwhile food chains crash and all the fish simply starve or must adapt to eating shark shit and debris.

    It's no way to run an ocean.

    This government's really good at disaster management. But disaster aversion? It obvious to everyone housing's a freaking mess (or windfall), but how would you handle it? How would others?

    • weka 2.1

      the biggest problem I see is the massive gap between house/rent prices and underclass incomes, and how middle/rentier class desires for capital gains is blocking a resolution.

      I don't believe shortage of houses is the actual problem. For one, we have a lot of empty houses in NZ. And we know how to build more. But as far as I can see the Build Moar Houses approach is based on maintaining not only current property values (with maybe a small drop), but also protecting the whole capital gains racket.

      We need sustainability design frames. Some solutions are local (Auckland's issues are different than Timaru's), and some are national (a rent cap probably needs to be applied across the whole country). I'm not seeing much in the way of whole system design approaches, but rather ideas on reductionist tweaks to a broken system.

  3. Ad 3

    Labour took the electorate in a firestorm.

    The left you speak of are the remaining watering-can circle of green.

    For those keen on actual new-built houses, Kainga Ora are doing fine in new builds. But the greatest housing new-build capacity is now in NGO partnerships.

    • miravox 3.1

      I'm really keen on new builds that take the pressure off the rental market and appreciate the government is trying to get this done. it will take time. Meanwhile renters are waiting. This market is also tied up with how effectivene increases in benefits and minimum wages. We all know there's is nothing stopping private landlords taking a big portion of tenants' income to pay their interest-only mortgages.

      NGO partnership is a classic way of adding another layer of admin (and therefore costs) to take the responsibility for shit going wrong off the government. I find this extremely cynicalof government while recognising NGOs might be working hard to do their best for people who have been unable to find decent housing.

      Less effective is the attempt to reform the private owner-occupier market. You know this is where most of the exasperation lies at the moment. How do you think that's going? and the ruling out of capital gains tax? Is there any alternative to the competition between landlords and private home buyers, or is it market rules and skewed investment towards housing rather than other productive markets? The uneven competition here shuts people out of the housing market while not upsetting those who want multiple homes. Who does this Labour government want to placate the most? Because you can keep everyone happy and eventually people who believed Labour was as the label says, are going to feel betrayed. Who is governing in their interests for the next three years?

      • mikesh 3.1.1

        Is there any alternative to the competition between landlords and private home buyers

        The costs of purchasing a property, usually through mortgage payments which include an interest component, should be the same whether the purchase is for a family home, or whether for rental purposes. At present the mortgage's interest component is tax deductible in the case of rental properties, but not in the case of family homes. This should change, preferably by making interest non deductible in both cases.

  4. McFlock 4

    I voted Green, because I think it ismportant their voice is heard.

    But I think most voters voted Labour because Labour (esp the PM) handled a number of immediate crises spectacularly well, covid being the example that allowed a fair comparison across the globe.

    I suspect that most people do not consider issues like AGW or housing crisis almost daily. Yes, at an individual level they'll be within days of going on the street, but connecting that to, say, a change to the capital gains tax? Doubtful.

    I believe Labour are conservative pragmatists, rather than "neoliberals". Basically the same impulses as the Greens, but where the Greens are prepared to go ahead of the electorate, Labour prefer to stay within what they see as the Overton Window and get elected again. Any major changes against powerful groups will get the ire of millions of dollars of billable PR hours. Especially anything that can be easily seen as the government taking money. And we're coming up to Christmas.

    So, no. Labour might release a couple of policies (maybe aimed at kids) that are cheap in the wider perspective of things but anything that allows a breathless reporter to use the word "Grinch" is out. Then there will be the usual progression of policy announcements as the budget time approaches halfway through next year.

    But frankly, if people want Labour to move boldly on some issue then they need to move the electorate on those issues. Labour would have tagged along a bit further if the Greens had the leverage to pull them, but that's not what the electorate rolled.

  5. Herodotus 5

    It’s the bbq season, and already I have heard people commenting on their 2nd and 3 rd properties increasing by over $159k each over the year. Many of us work damn hard for our wage that is taxed. And this government along with the reserve bank now implement policies that further fuel this property market. I hope our PM can do more than smile,wave and say nice things BUT so far no action.

    • Descendant Of Smith 5.1

      Even the fact that now on one income, while supporting two people, I pay over $5,000 more a year than my friends earning a similar amount but earning it between them is starting to annoy me.

      I see what they can do with that extra $5,000 per year as I somehow have to make provision for retirement for two people – I can't and will just have to work longer.

      Fixing that would help me but I'd still forgo that in order to put benefit rates back to the same as NZS rates. That should be a priority – but then I've been saying this here and elsewhere, including to Labour MP's and hierachy for a long time.

      Labour has already made my life harder by removing the ability to include my partner in my NZS (yay she could get a benefit finally when I go on NZS at $140-00 per week less than she would have got without that change), made the most vulnerable worse off by charging them 25% of their benefit (as Nick Lowe sings "cruel to be kind") removing most of their ability to put some money aside to get out of the motel they are stuck in – and yes we know some abused it but like always you can guarantee that that was a minority and it is never good practice to base decisions on outliers.

      A quick perusal of benefit numbers show that the biggest chunk are those with illness and disability. Add to that group of people with disability those like my partner who can't actually get any help because of my earnings and you have a whole group of people who will struggle in retirement. Making a difference now will make a difference later.

      Put the NZS age back down to 60 in order to encourage people to retire and create employment for our younger population would be a good idea as well. Means test from 60-65 (preferably through higher tax rates) in order to get some back from those who don't really need it.

      And just put 10% stamp duty on every house sale to dampen the market – 15% if you have to – overnight along with a rent freeze for twelve months while a rent board is established to determine fair annual only rent increases.

      • Gyrogearloose 5.1.1

        You "And just put 10% stamp duty on every house sale to dampen the market – 15% if you have to – overnight along with a rent freeze for twelve months while a rent board is established to determine fair annual only rent increases."

        The histroy of rent controls is not favorable for renters as it drives supply down, and discourages potential new builds of rentals.

        My wife and I had been looking at building a rental as an investment, using our savings, ( we don't like debt ) but with the way the legislative wind was blowing we decided to steer clear… So one less rental in the market, thanks to your cries for rent controls and the like.

        The law of unintended consequences at work.

        And as to a 10% stamp duty on all house sales…. how about for an exercise you list the potential/likely downsides…

        • Stuart Munro 5.1.1.1

          Bring in rent control hard and fast. You want to invest? Do so in something productive.

        • Descendant Of Smith 5.1.1.2

          Pretty sure I had nothing to do with your decision – especially as the government isn't looking to do what I suggested anyway.

          Clearly you are risk averse cause landlords have had it good for many years – no rent controls, tax breaks, removal of 3% stamp duty, bulldozing and selling off the state housing portfolio, increasing the market demand through kicking out state house tenants and increasing immigration and so on. If you were to invest in a rental property for the rental income then was the time to do it. The horse has bolted and the only point now is for capital gain where even the experts don't have a clue what is going to happen (it is only a few months ago they were predicting a drop in house prices).

          As for downsides there's none really. Not for the poor. Landlords have shown their predatory nature in ever increasing bounds since the Christchurch earthquake. Parasitic pricks many of them arguing that costs from government drive the market up when many have no mortgages on their properties but still charge "market rents". Rent controls have worked fine in places like New York since the 1920's.

          You know the home of capitalism.

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rent_control_in_New_York

          • Gyrogearloose 5.1.1.2.1

            The wiki link describes all the rent controls etc, but I did not see much commentary on the effects untill the botton under "further reading "tab. 2 given. First had a link. From that link

            "Economists are virtually unanimous in concluding that rent controls are destructive."

            And a bit further down ( bolding mine)

            " Swedish economist (and socialist) Assar Lindbeck asserted, “In many cases rent control appears to be the most efficient technique presently known to destroy a cityexcept for bombing.”

            Since it is a guote from an article in a web page you cited to support the idea of rent control, that quote could be classed as an own goal?

            Yes we are risk adverse. Nothing wrong with that, but you tone gave me the impression you considered it a mild insult. Sorry if I read that wrong.

        • Cricklewood 5.1.1.3

          Sure there is going to be downside to doing 'something', but spiralling house prices on the back of cheap credit is gonna be worse for society long term.

          We will see anyone not on the ladder getting locked out completely very quickly at the forecast 15% increases which equates to close to 150k in Auckland. The amounts borrowed are now so huge small lifts in interest rates could cripple the economy completely not to mention accomodation supplements sky rocketing in what will be a massive weatlh transfer.

          Basically a crisis point if you ask me.

      • Rosemary McDonald 5.1.2

        Totally agree with all of that DOS. There's more than a hint of 'lived experience' coming through in what you wrote.

      • Molly 5.1.3

        Stamp duty was used in the UK. From reading I did a while ago, it was successful in raising revenue, but for the investors and flippers there was an out that was not readily available to residential owners who just needed to sell.

        Companies were set up to hold properties as their single assets, and the companies were sold. As properties were not actually changing hands in terms of the law, those transactions avoided stamp duty. Stamp duty was always paid by residential owners, but could be avoided by industry flippers/property traders. As is always the case.

        The issue of housing has many contributing factors, and all those contributing factors need to be addressed. Stamp duty is one easily avoided option, and is not going to address the cost or lack of housing.

  6. Pat 6

    Rowing against the (international) tide is difficult and Labour dont have the courage so we are consigned to playing the waiting game…unfortunately we dont have the time to see who's going to blink first…we need to back ourselves

  7. Obtrectator 7

    So Labour's prime objective now is just to keep the other lot out, yes? Just like the other lot. No good.

    I'd like to think they're saving up the radical stuff for their third term, after which they'll most likely be bundled out anyway, so what the heck. Risky game, though. The blue wall in places like Northland and Otaki will probably be re-erected come 2023. There might well not be a third term, not with the sort of clout they can command right now, anyway.

    • Phillip ure 7.1

      Some held that hope for the third term of the clark gummint….but yeah nah eh..?…that's when the palpable desire for a 4th term kicks in..if ardern/labour continue as predicted/they have signalled…and do s.f.a. in the way of 'transforming in this term'..that will be all over rover…which is extremely depressing..

  8. Nathan Kerr 8

    Those Covid Wardens (aka Labour MPs) — won the election due to two things…

    1. The National Party fell apart, and put a person in as leader who scares people away from voting National Party

    2. Using their role as Covid Wardens as an election strategy…

    Those two things, and nothing else, won the election for Labour..

    Labour cannot rely on this in 2023 — so, my suggestion for Labour is actually listen to your voters, and ensure their wishes are fulfilled (Cannabis Law Reform, Child Poverty Action followed up)

  9. Infused 9

    The angry mob on twitter is the last lot you care about.

    Reddit on the other hand has been very interesting

  10. vto 10

    Labour and Jacinda wont do a dot about housing inflation, and they will get taken down in flames with it when the market collapses… the problem is in fact too big for even government imo… which problem is the financial system … not the RMA, not Council's land zoning, not taxes, not renters or first home buyers, not anything else … it is 100% a financial system problem

    • RedLogix 10.1

      Yes the primary driver is financial, and in my view largely because we have an unbalanced investment landscape that lacks a diversity of opportunity. And as a result too much pivots on property instead of productivity.

      But that really doesn't negate the role of all the other factors either. This RNZ series House Talk looks pretty good for those interested.

    • UncookedSelachimorpha 10.2

      Agree. The net result is more and more of the productive output of society (in particular, output of people who work) is going to fund private profit of banks – either via mortgage interest, or paying rent that pays someone else's mortgage interest. Instead of paying a capital gains tax for example (which could benefit all of society) – we are paying hand-over-fist to the private shareholders of banks. Strange that CGT is controversial while massive private bank profits are not.

      Because banks only have the ability to create money to lend (and extract interest) by virtue of legislation, there would be nothing wrong with also taxing their profits at a super-rate, e.g. 90%. Could put that revenue into building houses.

  11. Jackel 11

    The problems of housing and poverty are reasonable questions you raise that any reasonable person would think would have reasonable solutions. However, reasonable people are exceedingly rare.

    What would make anyone think politicians, public servants and capitalists would have the answers to these problems. All they have to offer are more empty words, flattering optics and feel good slogans.

    I guess at least the Greens and the Maori Party acknowledge the problems and are willing to try things to solve them.

    • Phillip ure 11.1

      @jackal..which will likely see a surge of support for both the greens and the maori party @ the next election..if labour fails to deliver ..(a good thing i.m.o.)..I am actually surprised that ardern/labour can't see that inevitable outcome…which is surely staring them in the face ..and for labour/ardern to assume that those soft nat voters who gave her/them the thumbs-up for the handling of covid…will stick around..?..that would be folly in the extreme…

    • Foreign waka 11.2

      With the money paid for housing and bank giving loans against the same, there is not much of a chance that this will correct as banks would go bankrupt. The amount paid at the moment is completely out of sinc with the improvement of any property, so the valuation will shift to land. Give me a guess what's next to maintain the value so that banks don't fall over.

      • Jackel 11.2.1

        Well yes, you should never pay more for something than it's actually worth. So there will be a correction in the housing market at some point and likely some banks and financial companies will be threatened with bankruptcy.

        These are simply the problems of a system with severe imbalances like 21st century capitalism. Increasing liquidity or credit can only work for so long firstly from central banks and now fiscally. Indeed the financial markets now bypass any relationship to productivity and simply chase liquidity. A symptom of this is asset bubbles like in the housing market.

        • Pat 11.2.1.1

          That is dependent on the ability of the central bank to support the market….and despite some theories that support is not unlimited

        • Foreign waka 11.2.1.2

          You do know about the legal means of banks to "haircut" any deposits?

          So in that regard it will be over financed projects or companies once more who will get away with taking private gain from public losses. They do this very well as we have seen with the billions that they got from every hard working persons taxes in NZ and elsewhere.

          Nothing ever changes until the problems are so insurmountable that all and everything is destroyed before something new can be build.

          • Jackel 11.2.1.2.1

            To me the central banks game is up. This is why we are seeing a shift to fiscal stimulus. So yes only an intractable financial crisis will bring about real change.

  12. Maurice 12

    National craftily boxed Arden into the "No CGT while she was Prime Minister" leaving only two realistic possibilities:

    1) Arden goes back on her public word and blames the Greens for 'forcing' a CGT policy

    2) Arden leaves the position of PM

    The Nats may be down but are far from out plus both ACT and NC wait in the right wings.

  13. Foreign waka 13

    Here is a thought on the housing market: why not peg the rent against value i.e lets say for argument sake a 1 Mil house would have a cap on what it could be rented out at, i.e. 2.5% of its capital value per year. This would be $ 480 per week. Anything above that will be taxed at 70%. So if a landlord charges $ 800 per week, $ 480 would be no tax but the amount above that would attract $ 224 in tax. This tax should be going towards government housing. 2 birds with one stone: no capital gains tax and a tax on rent income. This way the landlord should not be inclined to overcharge and equally if they do will have to pay increased gains on income above said cap.

    Simple to understand for everybody. No grey zones as the value is assessed every year.

    Just an idea.

    • Drowsy M. Kram 13.1

      yes, especially if the number of government houses can be ramped up reasonably quickly and strategically to decrease the demand for private rentals in regions of greatest need.

    • Phillip ure 13.2

      Could work in practice..but ardern has promised 'no new taxes'..so…?

      • Tricledrown 13.2.1

        Phillip CGT is not the magic bullet other countries have it and have the same problem.

        If the CGT was directly put into increasing house supply then it would work better as years when house prices are going up more houses are built to meet the demand like wise when there's a drop in prices no Cgt is collected.

        Many different levers need to be pulled.

        Including micro and temporary units as they are doing in Napier the same could be done elsewhere so everybody has warm dry shelter Labour needs to make real headway on solving the housing crisis and child poverty.

        Oh why doesn't the govt bailout local bodies like Auckland City this is time while money is cheap to help Auckland to keep the infrastructure upgrades needed .Auckland needs a massive infrastructure upgrade to meet future demands that it can barely meet now.letting Auckland go into Austerity cuts is damaging our whole economy!

        Come on Labour get some guts.

        • Gyrogearloose 13.2.1.1

          Since most of NZ foriegn exchange earnings came from agriculture and tourisim (pre covid) I have occasionaly wondered how the rest of the country would fare if Auckland magically vanished….

          Income not much changed, expences reduced notably?

          Before bailing them out maybe it should be asked ' is auckland paying its way'.

          If the answer is yes, and if better infrastructure would improve its profitability then yes.

          If the answer is no, then why throw good money after bad.

          • KJT 13.2.1.1.1

            As most of our high value net, foreign exchange earnings, and the high wage paying jobs, and most of the real value added to commodity exports, mostly come from Auckland, and the rest from cities like Hamilton and Christchurch, As well as most of the people who actually pay taxes.

            It is not "Auckland, that is "not paying it's way".

            • Gyrogearloose 13.2.1.1.1.1

              You "most of the real value added to commodity exports, mostly come from Auckland,"

              What real value does Auckland add to agricultural exports? At a bit of a loss here.

              Export data has agriculture products at around 65% of product exports, at around 24b usd tourisim from wiki was 7.7b usd

              Have not had much luck finding enough to pin the answer down.

              You got any data to back your position?

    • Lettuce 13.3

      Not a bad idea FW. However, I fear it would be doomed on arrival by claims of 'communism by stealth' and 'Muldoonism' from the same speculator/"investor" class that was so effective in killing off any proposed capital gains tax.

      Also, expect plenty of crocodile tears from lobbyists like the NZ Property Investors Federation and REINZ along the lines of, "Won't someone please think of the poor tenants when all the landlords decide to exit the market because the costs to them are too onerous?"

      • Foreign waka 13.3.1

        One of the hall marks of any labour party is – social justice. Now there is an opportunity to show true colors.
        As for exiting the market, to keep houses unoccupied would be too expensive and the other option is to sell. This is the market force at work, more houses come into the market.

  14. Scud 14

    Well here’s another one that the NZLP / PGF has knocked back, yet they want to go to Carbon Free Economy or Clean Green Transport Footprint (Sorry if the got terms/ meanings ass about face).

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/business/123456811/ecan-proposed-41m-rail-and-tourism-hub-in-christchurch-but-govt-wasnt-keen

    The numpties in the NZG have knocked a $41m plan from ECAN to build a joint Rail-Bus & Tourism hub on the corner of Moorhouse rd & Colombo st, which folks is actually not far from the old CHCH Railway Station stood before the Earthquakes.

    Another example of do as we say, but won’t do because well it costs to much. I mean WTF folks both Rollie to Ashburton, Rangiora to Amberley, Rollie to Springfield are screaming out for some type of InterCity/ Rail Bus Hub. Yet this Government & the previous NZG was throwing money about from PGF for Rail Projects but they won’t for this one.

    It doesn’t need to be a all singing & dancing one with all the bells & whistles as most of the Infrastructure is there, a couple of new Stations on the existing platforms relaying of the double track from Islington to Rollie, putting back the old turn out (junction for the non rail people) heading towards CHCH and installing Bi directional signaling on the single tracks. There is enough Rolling stock about and Locomotives to get this service up and running.

    PS. If the Mods, want me to use this as a post let me know I can probably find some stuff to add to what I’ve already written.

    • Incognito 14.1

      You’re most welcome to turn this into a Guest Post and there are some here at TS who can help you with that as long as you do the heavy lifting 😉

    • weka 14.2

      best bet is to DM me. I could look at putting up a post during the week yes

    • Scud 14.3

      My post to this is on hold at the moment, just I’ve just received my latest copy of the NZ Rail Observer magazine and I have may have a reason why this Rail- Bus Pax hub in CHCH got knocked back. It doesn’t paint a pretty picture in terms of age of the KiwiRail Locomotives Based in the Sth island, the lack of redundancy within KiwiRail and maintenance/ repairs facilities in the Sth Island. But in saying that the last NZG has finally released the KiwiRail is now viewed as a Strategic Asset as it should’ve always been view as a Strategic Asset by NZ Governments of the pass looking at you Tories.

      Have to do a bit more research and thinking on where to go next. A bit of a bummer atm with more questions than answers.

      • greywarshark 14.3.1

        I've seen a book called Rapid Transit Systems across the world. Should be interesting. I think we will be a long way behind the fastest, wouldn't be justified in this country, but perhaps I'll learn something that I can throw into the mix.

        Something I would like to know is would government do a report finding out what the basic cost to run a passenger railcar is, and then there could be really good specials offered in the off-seasons away from the holiday times. I'd love to see a period when there was cheap travel for NZs with hop-on and off season tickets to be used over a limited time. And jazz trains, where people can travel that week and listen to jazz on every trip, and also other music that doesn't bring out the stupid and destructive in passengers.

        As for freight, can NZRail be transparent with government about costs and budgeted replacements, not necessarily new, and line maintenance etc. And just give rail a decent subsidy like road has, so we can start using this wonderful asset. I'm sick of the throwing out everything that is old system out of the cot – it's such a naive, impractical and smart-alec attitude.

        • Scud 14.3.1.1

          I’ve chattering to a NZ PHD Historian Andre Brett, who is a bit of a train nerd and who has submitted a book yet to be published on the raise, fall & decline of NZ Rail Pax Services. Like me, he’s a bit of a fan on NZ Railcars, one our talking points was just how close NZ Rail almost ordered a replacement Railcars for the Fiat 88’s, Vulcan’s & Standard Railcars in 70’s by the Kirk/ Rowling & later Muldoon Government. Had Rowling won the 75 election, it’s almost likely we would have Railcars in Service NZ instead of the 3 Silver Ferns which have just been retire to the NZ Railcar preservation group.

          I love Railcars because of their flexibility IRT’s Pax services during peak & off peak services and especially how the Pom’s & Vic’s run their Diesel motor units (DUM’s) or in NZ Railcars. Plus you don’t need a Loco’o to drag carriages about place which is one of the reasons with the CHCH Rail/ Bus hub was knocked back.

          Which is leads me to the next issue of rolling stock, but more importantly loco’s especially in the Sth Island which is due in part by Governments & Private Ownership has seen Rail Capex cut, withheld etc. Which has led to all sorts of problems with in the NZ Rail network like Auckland’s Rail problems which is a result of the last National Government. Because KiwiRail is now carrying more freight than it has carried since 1983, when there was all sorts of freight restrictions for the trucking companies. But KiwiRail is so run down atm from Rolling stock, Locomotive’s, the per way the Rail tracks aka the all important loading gauge which has seen Rail speeds drop from 100kph to 80 in some places, axle weights drop and defer maintenance like the Gizzy to Napier & the Nth Auckland Line. Also there is only one main Railway Workshop left in NZ at Woburn in Wellington, which is also at it full capacity atm and this is because the bloody Tories shut Hillside down as a short economic measure to reduce further KiwiRail Capex spending.

          To a point that some preservation groups have been raided by Kiwi rail to fill gaps in its organisation in terms of Locomotive’s, Essential rolling stock was sold off on the private ownership with that stupid yank just to keep things moving. Which are leased backed to the Government. KiwiRail Infrastructure is in a similar, if not a worse state than the NZDF atm where both total budgets are now the same for the total cost of repairs and or replacement of infrastructure due to deferred maintenance. How more people haven’t been killed at either work place is a miracle so far.

  15. Jenny Kirk 15

    Okay folks – if you are really concerned, then I suggest you write – slightly different letters each – to your local Labour MP, the PM, and the Minister of Finance – and anyone else in government that you think you have a relationship with. There are a number of valid comments and suggestions in this thread, and they need to be made directly to government Ministers and MPs.

    Email addresses to PM and Ministers are initialstopsurname@ministers.govt.nz

    Email addresses to MPs are first name surname@parliament.govt.nz

    • Rosemary McDonald 15.1

      laughlaughlaugh

    • weka 15.2

      Nice one Jenny, thanks.

      • greywarshark 15.2.1

        Yes, this is a good place to talk things out, and pick up on others ideas, and then when there is something coherent and cogent in mind get to and write, just don't knock everything, politely knock on the pollies, and civil servants' doors so to speak. Let them know that participatory government is going to be the way forward, not them just representing themselves and their Party's backers' wishes.

  16. Grant not Robertson 16

    One solution to help curb house price inflation merely requires a little legislation.

    These days houses, almost uniquely, do not have a price. Stocks and shares have a price, butter and cheese, meat and vegetables have a price, cars have a price, tradies have a price, building materials have a price, but houses don’t – resulting in the highest possible sale amount being routinely wrung out by an ever eager estate agent.

    So the solution is to give houses a price – a registered valuer sets the price and that’s it. No auctions, no gazumping. You might want to finesse the arrangement by saying that the vendor has the right to choose the people buying, but essentially you cut out the absurd procedure whereby those with access to enormous funds can bid silly money to get what they want.

    So who loses? Well the banks and real estate agents, two groups who don’t command huge public sympathy.

    • Foreign waka 16.1

      Both of which know that greed gets them every time….

    • weka 16.2

      I've been wondering why we can't put limits on house sale prices, but this is even better.

    • mikesh 16.3

      So the solution is to give houses a price – a registered valuer sets the price and that’s it

      Valuers base their valuations on previous sales so, in that situation, prices could never change, regardless of changes in real underlying values.

  17. Jester 17

    It's hardly surprising that rents are increasing, as Labour have forced landlords to add insulation, heating, fans etc. This was always going to flow through to increased rents. I still believe it is mainly the lack of supply that is increasing the house prices.

    • Descendant Of Smith 17.1

      Fuck off – I know landlords with zero mortgages and over 20 rental properties. They have had them for years and years. They put their rent up as the market changes – nothing to do with actual costs.

      Newer landlords I know have big mortgages cause they are all competing against each other and have high rents cause they paid too much for their house and want someone else to pay the mortgage. The increased cost of purchase is much more than maintaining the property to a liveable standard. If interest rates went up they would be shafted. Look at the rents being charged for hovels all over the place – nothing at all to do with increased standards – everything to do with ridiculous prices.

      Get angry at the banks for lending that freely that the cost of purchase of land is so high. Get angry at successive governments for massive immigration and not building state houses as the population increased.

      • mikesh 17.1.1

        Newer landlords I know have big mortgages cause they are all competing against each other and have high rents cause they paid too much for their house and want someone else to pay the mortgage.

        Mortgage payments shouldn't really be influencing rental prices as mortgages are payments for the house itself, and such payments should therefore not be considered part of a landlord's regular business outgoings. If a landlord cannot make a suitable profit over and above his mortgage payments then his business is simply not viable and he should therefore get out of the business.

        I suspect that too many landlords are attempting to get "someone else to pay the mortgage", and that this why we have so many problems in the rental sector.

    • Foreign waka 17.2

      Jester, we are not anymore in Dickensian times. It stands to reason that for those extraordinary amounts of rent you should get value in return. I mean the consumer laws are quite clear about that. If a landlord cannot deliver than maybe he/she is in the wrong "business".

    • weka 17.3

      "This was always going to flow through to increased rents."

      Why?

      • Jester 17.3.1

        You have you never run a business have you? If you increase the costs of supplying the service eg. a house to rent, then these will be passed on via a price increase to the end customer. This is why I also prefer a tax cut at the moment for lower income people than raising the minimum wage. eg. coffee shop paying new person $18.90 per hour and charging $5 for a large coffee. Minimum wage increases to $20 in April 2021 say, large coffee becomes $5.20 or something like that.

        • weka 17.3.1.1

          it was the inevitability I was asking about. Just because costs increase, doesn't mean they *have to be passed onto the tenant. Costs of improvements could be soaked up as a normal part of the business management. Sure, some landlords will be on their edge financially and won't be able to do that, but I doubt that it is most. So that leaves us with ethics and values. Best get the govt to intervene if landlords don't know how to do the right thing.

          • Jester 17.3.1.1.1

            I think you will find a lot of landlords are not that well off. The rent may nearly cover the mortgage payments then there is the rates and insurance and R&M. So they may well already be topping up the shortfall.

            • Pat 17.3.1.1.1.1

              Then now would be the time to sell

            • weka 17.3.1.1.1.2

              I have a sibling in this situation. They bought a second house in a holiday town so eventually they will be able to holiday there and probably retire. But the rent doesn't cover the mortgage, so they are paying part of it out of their own income. They will eventually even that out, and the capital gains they make will mean they will be in a very good position when they retire.

              Whatever is going on there is no excuse for expecting another human to live in substandard housing (afaik their rental is in good condition). I'm with Pat on this, if you can't keep a house up to a certain standard then it's time to sell to someone who can.

              • Jester

                I agree the property needs to be in good condition but with the new rules the rental may well become better than the landlords own home eg. the landlord may not have a heat pump / insulation but the tenant by law will have. The landlord is bound to pass on these costs as per my original comment. Yes landlord can always sell if it all gets too much for them (and that's not necessarily a bad thing). Tenant too can always move but problem seems to be lack of choice for them due to not enough supply at the moment.

                • weka

                  the problem with the idea that tenants can move is that it still leaves a sub standard house being rented out. Hence the need for minimum standards.

                  My point above was more that landlords don't *have to increase rents, it's not an automatic follow on from having rental standards.

                • Gyrogearloose

                  As a uni student, one year my friends and I were happily living an a real student dive. Bad rot in a number of places, large fungal growth in the bathroom when we moved in, completely overgrown 'lawn' , cellotape windows etc.

                  We were in heaven!

                  This was because the rent was half that of any other place…..

                  Would not be allowed now days.

                  • Pat

                    define now days…that sounds like the flat my son (and his uni mates ) lived in a year ago…and it wasnt half the price, or even cheap…sadly they had signed a 12 month lease without seeking advice (as they do)

                  • Jester

                    As you say, a flat like you describe would no longer be allowed to be rented to you as it wouldn't meet the standards. When I was a uni student I would be the same…it was all about saving money (usually for the pub!) and living as cheap as possible. eg. wouldn't turn on heater to save on power bill. Would rather rent a cheap dive than pay more rent for all mod cons we would never use. Unfortunately no cheap dives left now.

            • mikesh 17.3.1.1.1.3

              It is not the tenant's job to pay the landlord's mortgage. If the landlord is relying on that for his operation to be viable, then he shouldn't be in the business.

              I suspect that there are too many unviable businesses cluttering up the rental sector.

      • Cricklewood 17.3.2

        Because rentals are run like businesses, its essentially a costs plus margin type scenario and with the market settings as they are and increases are easily passed on with the margin on top.

        • weka 17.3.2.1

          sure, but many landlords don't have to pass costs on.

          • Phillip ure 17.3.2.1.1

            Yes..but they invariably do..it is what makes them the parasites that the rentier-class is…

            • Herodotus 17.3.2.1.1.1

              So why then have not rent reduced given the dramatic drop of mortgages, we had a dramatic drop in 2008 Floating went from 10.5% to 6.5% yet I do not recall rents dropping. The increase in costs is a simplistic reason given to increase rent, to make the property pay its way- if then that is the case any Capital gains are not part of the business logic in purchasing a property 🤫, so then taxing it should not be an issue. mmm

              https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/key-graphs/key-graph-mortgage-rates

              • Chris

                Yes, interest rates keep dropping and rents increase. It's not uncommon for landlords to hike rents by huge amounts – a hundred bucks or more – as soon as a tenant leaves. Heck, landlords are kicking people out with that very objective in mind – and often ignoring the 90 day rule by trying to shoehorn, wrongfully, the situation into one of the exceptions allowing for a shorter period. Abolishing the 90 day notice without reason may help a little but landlords will simply respond with use of fixed-term tenancies that aren't renewed, then hike the rent for the next tenant.

  18. Duncan 18

    It's quite clear that Labour have no intention to do anything about property prices. In fact they seem quite happy with them spiralling out of control, firstly by Jacinda proclaiming she wouldn't let house prices fall, and second by the RBNZ deferring LVR restrictions until March next year.

    This is an open invitation for investors and speculators to dive in with the current QE regime. Stupid, you never signal anything like this to a market unless you desire the exact outcome we are getting.

    Both Labour and National have been complicit over the years. The issue really goes back to the 90s when Bolger and Shipley removed housing from the CPI, and by declaring the RBNZ independent, but without the means to lifts interest rates to control house prices, absolved themselves of any blame, as they profiteered nicely from the doubling in prices every decade ever since.

    And then you had John Key flying Chinese down with laundered cash and special visas to buy up large in Auckland with suitcases of laundered cash, and denying responsibility as it was part of the FTA. Utter BS of course, but it worked, and those properties still lie vacant.

    What can you do to solve it? I really don't think they care. They know the middle voter is driven by greed and trying to get ahead. Even if we all suffer as a result. I don't think a few thousand emails will do much. Everything has been stitched up so the situation is irreversible, and the myth that the banks are too big to fail is ingrained. You can't put housing back in the CPI or else interest rates would be 9% and the NZD worth 5 USD. Jacinda has ruled out capital gains (easy capitulation) and the workers demand for immigrants to slave drive will never disappear. Not too far away you will get fined $200 per night for having to sleep in your car.

    Maybe a few thousand self-immolating on the steps of parliament, but it might have to get quite a bit worse before that happens.

    Or rioting, probably more likely than revolution, and will just give the government more excuse to put the boot in.

    Really the only hope is to protect yourself and your loved ones the best you can when the whole ponzi scheme falls over and the shit really does hit the fan.

    • Pat 18.1

      It will end…as you say when the ponzi scheme runs out of wherewithal or possibly when the costs of supporting the housing bubble are outweighed by not supporting it…either way the result will not be pretty

    • Foreign waka 18.2

      Very well surmised.

  19. sumsuch 19

    We're forcing them. Or, reality. I was just thinking NZers don't like politics anymore so can't be persuaded anymore intellectually. Unless force of reality. How perplexed Jac/Grant are.

    I find them ridiculous.

  20. xanthe 20

    Just imagine if we had a party in New Zealand that had spent the last 25 years building a suite of policy founded on ecological wisdom. They might just have something to offer. pity all we have is cheerleaders for the neoliberal revision of the treaty and identity division of status quo.

    Oh well I guess we just have to start from the ground up now.

  21. Treetop 21

    Could the Reserve Bank lend money to the government to build state homes and also lend money to Kiwibank for first homes and to exclude property investors?

    Government money is required and the money needs to be generated or borrowed to allow long term affordable housing.

    The cost of emergency housing is ballooning. I do get it that people need somewhere to live.

    Where in the government system does the money come from to pay for emergency housing?

    • Treetop 21.1

      The emergency housing special needs grant pays for emergency housing, so through Work & Income. From 19 October 2020 25% of income is charged for the emergency accommodation.

      Is W&I the best place to manage emergency housing or state housing?

      I get it that W&I need to fund the emergency housing but they are doing nothing to expand permanent and affordable accommodation.

      • Craig H 21.1.1

        Kainga Ora (formerly HNZ) is still responsible for building state houses and is building thousands each year. W&I's job with them is assessing whether people meet eligibility criteria for a house.

        • Treetop 21.1.1.1

          W&I have an expectation that a client looks for alternative housing so do most councils who offer subsidised housing.

          W&I are not realistic about the client being able to afford alternative housing so W&I pay for emergency housing or give the accommodation supplement and top the rent up with TAS. A vicious cycle is created.

  22. Blue Sky 22

    An inventory of housing can be done and assume that one person/bedroom it can be determined if there is a shortage in various areas. Obviously you can lie about rooms being bedrooms and the size of the rooms but there would be ways of controlling this. If you determine where the bedrooms exist in the country you can actually truely see supply demand requirements in different areas. This would not be so hard to do. After that it would be a matter of penalising owners of unoccupied space in pressure areas and watch the market adjust overnight. There would be a clear idea where jobs and people need to move.

    • Pat 22.1

      Clarity/availability of information impinges on too many vested interests to ever be seriously implemented

    • Foreign waka 22.2

      Beware of what you wish for. It has to be one law for all to be democratic. Home owners will not want to be penalized because not all of their bedrooms are occupied. (Guest room?)

      But: there ought to be a clause in any property ownership where a house becomes unoccupied. This could relate to: deemed abandoned (timeline), safety and security in the neighborhood, any impact on infrastructure, i.e underground pipes (tree roots etc.), power lines due to neglected maintenance etc. You cannot force people in perfect maintained properties and paying all their rates and taxes to take in lodgers or penalize them on nebulous charges.

      • Blue Sky 22.2.1

        There does not seem like much evidence reported on housing. The most basic measure would be m2/population. If bedroom counting is too problematic count m2/person. I agree it should apply to all housing. Private and state.

      • Pingao 22.2.2

        One problem is that there are not enough small houses being built or existing 1 or 2 bedroom modest houses available to buy – I'm not talking about units or apartments or even townhouses. So you wind up with people like me and several of my single or couple friends who enjoy living in a house with a bit of garden and a bit of space between themselves and their neighbours living in larger houses than they need (or want).

        • Foreign waka 22.2.2.1

          Blue Sky, Perhaps I did not express myself clearly, my apologies.

          I do not support any state agency marching on any property taking over rights that belong by law to the person who a/ has bought the property, b/ lives in it with family, c/ paid their taxes and rates. For me, discussions are closed on that one. (I do not support fascism)

          If, however a property has been abandoned and on contacting the owner no change of status has been achieved, lets say within 12 months, than the property ought to be legally deemed abandoned and be part of the councils assets.

          This would fix the issue of so many Auckland properties staying empty, about 40 000 of them. Of cause to see this through you need people in the council/government with determination to see things right. National was not prepared to touch the issue, it has been mentioned a couple of times by the current government with a remark " it is not black or white". Well, nothing ever is. Another lost cause of hope for some pragmatic solutions…..one of so many.

          • Treetop 22.2.2.1.1

            Land and house banking is profitable. No need to bother the neighbours or worry about tenants.

      • Blue Sky 22.3.1

        Tory. No. The link applies to public social housing. What I'm thinking applies to all housing private and state including palaces and mansions.

  23. vto 23

    this is a sure fire way to rattle the cages and kill two birds with one stone: tie minimum wage rises to house price rises…

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  • Casey Costello gaslights Labour in the House

    Please note:To skip directly to the- parliamentary footage in the video, scroll to 1:21 To skip to audio please click on the headphone icon on the left hand side of the screenThis video / audio section is under development. ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    3 days ago
  • Why is the Texas grid in such bad shape?

    This is a re-post from the Climate Brink by Andrew Dessler Headline from 2021 The Texas grid, run by ERCOT, has had a rough few years. In 2021, winter storm Uri blacked out much of the state for several days. About a week ago, Hurricane Beryl knocked out ...
    3 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on a textbook case of spending waste by the Luxon government

    Given the crackdown on wasteful government spending, it behooves me to point to a high profile example of spending by the Luxon government that looks like a big, fat waste of time and money. I’m talking about the deployment of NZDF personnel to support the US-led coalition in the Red ...
    WerewolfBy lyndon
    3 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Pick 'n' Mix for Wednesday, July 24

    TL;DR: My pick of the top six links elsewhere around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day or so to 7:40 am on Wednesday, July 24 are:Deep Dive: Chipping away at the housing crisis, including my comments RNZ/Newsroom’s The DetailNews: Government softens on asset sales, ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • LXR Takaanini

    As I reported about the city centre, Auckland’s rail network is also going through a difficult and disruptive period which is rapidly approaching a culmination, this will result in a significant upgrade to the whole network. Hallelujah. Also like the city centre this is an upgrade predicated on the City ...
    Greater AucklandBy Patrick Reynolds
    3 days ago
  • Four kilograms of pain

    Today, a 4 kilogram report will be delivered to Parliament. We know this is what the report of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in State and Faith-based Care weighs, because our Prime Minister told us so.Some reporter had blindsided him by asking a question about something done by ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Journal of Record for Wednesday, July 24

    TL;DR: As of 7:00 am on Wednesday, July 24, the top six announcements, speeches, reports and research around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day are:Beehive: Transport Minister Simeon Brown announced plans to use PPPs to fund, build and run a four-lane expressway between Auckland ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • Luxon gets caught out

    NewstalkZB host Mike Hosking, who can usually be relied on to give Prime Minister Christopher Luxon an easy run, did not do so yesterday when he interviewed him about the HealthNZ deficit. Luxon is trying to use a deficit reported last year by HealthNZ as yet another example of the ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    3 days ago
  • A worrying sign

    Back in January a StatsNZ employee gave a speech at Rātana on behalf of tangata whenua in which he insulted and criticised the government. The speech clearly violated the principle of a neutral public service, and StatsNZ started an investigation. Part of that was getting an external consultant to examine ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Are we fine with 47.9% home-ownership by 2048?

    Renting for life: Shared ownership initiatives are unlikely to slow the slide in home ownership by much. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The top six things I’ve noted around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy today are:A Deloitte report for Westpac has projected Aotearoa’s home-ownership rate will ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Let's Win This

    You're broken down and tiredOf living life on a merry go roundAnd you can't find the fighterBut I see it in you so we gonna walk it outAnd move mountainsWe gonna walk it outAnd move mountainsAnd I'll rise upI'll rise like the dayI'll rise upI'll rise unafraidI'll rise upAnd I'll ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Waimahara: The Singing Spirit of Water

    There’s been a change in Myers Park. Down the steps from St. Kevin’s Arcade, past the grassy slopes, the children’s playground, the benches and that goat statue, there has been a transformation. The underpass for Mayoral Drive has gone from a barren, grey, concrete tunnel, to a place that thrums ...
    Greater AucklandBy Connor Sharp
    4 days ago
  • A major milestone: Global climate pollution may have just peaked

    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections Global society may have finally slammed on the brakes for climate-warming pollution released by human fossil fuel combustion. According to the Carbon Monitor Project, the total global climate pollution released between February and May 2024 declined slightly from the amount released during the same ...
    4 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Pick 'n' Mix for Tuesday, July 23

    TL;DR: My pick of the top six links elsewhere around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day or so to 7:00 am on Tuesday, July 23 are:Deep Dive: Penlink: where tolling rhetoric meets reality BusinessDesk-$$$’s Oliver LewisScoop: Te Pūkenga plans for regional polytechs leak out ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Journal of Record for Tuesday, July 23

    TL;DR: As of 6:00 am on Tuesday, July 23, the top six announcements, speeches, reports and research around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day are:Health: Shane Reti announced the Board of Te Whatu Ora- Health New Zealand was being replaced with Commissioner Lester Levy ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • HealthNZ and Luxon at cross purposes over budget blowout

    Health NZ warned the Government at the end of March that it was running over Budget. But the reasons it gave were very different to those offered by the Prime Minister yesterday. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon blamed the “botched merger” of the 20 District Health Boards (DHBs) to create Health ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    4 days ago
  • 2500-3000 more healthcare staff expected to be fired, as Shane Reti blames Labour for a budget defic...

    Long ReadKey Summary: Although National increased the health budget by $1.4 billion in May, they used an old funding model to project health system costs, and never bothered to update their pre-election numbers. They were told during the Health Select Committees earlier in the year their budget amount was deficient, ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    4 days ago
  • Might Kamala Harris be about to get a 'stardust' moment like Jacinda Ardern?

    As a momentous, historic weekend in US politics unfolded, analysts and commentators grasped for precedents and comparisons to help explain the significance and power of the choice Joe Biden had made. The 46th president had swept the Democratic party’s primaries but just over 100 days from the election had chosen ...
    PunditBy Tim Watkin
    5 days ago
  • Solutions Interview: Steven Hail on MMT & ecological economics

    TL;DR: I’m casting around for new ideas and ways of thinking about Aotearoa’s political economy to find a few solutions to our cascading and self-reinforcing housing, poverty and climate crises.Associate Professor runs an online masters degree in the economics of sustainability at Torrens University in Australia and is organising ...
    The KakaBy Steven Hail
    5 days ago
  • Reported back

    The Finance and Expenditure Committee has reported back on National's Local Government (Water Services Preliminary Arrangements) Bill. The bill sets up water for privatisation, and was introduced under urgency, then rammed through select committee with no time even for local councils to make a proper submission. Naturally, national's select committee ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Vandrad the Viking, Christopher Coombes, and Literary Archaeology

    Some years ago, I bought a book at Dunedin’s Regent Booksale for $1.50. As one does. Vandrad the Viking (1898), by J. Storer Clouston, is an obscure book these days – I cannot find a proper online review – but soon it was sitting on my shelf, gathering dust alongside ...
    5 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell On The Biden Withdrawal

    History is not on the side of the centre-left, when Democratic presidents fall behind in the polls and choose not to run for re-election. On both previous occasions in the past 75 years (Harry Truman in 1952, Lyndon Johnson in 1968) the Democrats proceeded to then lose the White House ...
    WerewolfBy lyndon
    5 days ago
  • Joe Biden's withdrawal puts the spotlight back on Kamala and the USA's complicated relatio...

    This is a free articleCoverageThis morning, US President Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the Presidential race. And that is genuinely newsworthy. Thanks for your service, President Biden, and all the best to you and yours.However, the media in New Zealand, particularly the 1News nightly bulletin, has been breathlessly covering ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    5 days ago
  • Why we have to challenge our national fiscal assumptions

    A homeless person’s camp beside a blocked-off slipped damage walkway in Freeman’s Bay: we are chasing our tail on our worsening and inter-related housing, poverty and climate crises. Photo: Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The top six things I’ve noted around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Existential Crisis and Damaged Brains

    What has happened to it all?Crazy, some'd sayWhere is the life that I recognise?(Gone away)But I won't cry for yesterdayThere's an ordinary worldSomehow I have to findAnd as I try to make my wayTo the ordinary worldYesterday morning began as many others - what to write about today? I began ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • A speed limit is not a target, and yet…

    This is a guest post from longtime supporter Mr Plod, whose previous contributions include a proposal that Hamilton become New Zealand’s capital city, and that we should switch which side of the road we drive on. A recent Newsroom article, “Back to school for the Govt’s new speed limit policy“, ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    5 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Pick 'n' Mix for Monday, July 22

    TL;DR: My pick of the top six links elsewhere around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day or so to 7:00 am on Monday, July 22 are:Today’s Must Read: Father and son live in a tent, and have done for four years, in a million ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Journal of Record for Monday, July 22

    TL;DR: As of 7:00 am on Monday, July 22, the top six announcements, speeches, reports and research around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day are:US President Joe Biden announced via X this morning he would not stand for a second term.Multinational professional services firm ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #29

    A listing of 32 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, July 14, 2024 thru Sat, July 20, 2024. Story of the week As reflected by preponderance of coverage, our Story of the Week is Project 2025. Until now traveling ...
    6 days ago
  • I'd like to share what I did this weekend

    This weekend, a friend pointed out someone who said they’d like to read my posts, but didn’t want to pay. And my first reaction was sympathy.I’ve already told folks that if they can’t comfortably subscribe, and would like to read, I’d be happy to offer free subscriptions. I don’t want ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    6 days ago
  • For the children – Why mere sentiment can be a misleading force in our lives, and lead to unex...

    National: The Party of ‘Law and Order’ IntroductionThis weekend, the Government formally kicked off one of their flagship policy programs: a military style boot camp that New Zealand has experimented with over the past 50 years. Cartoon credit: Guy BodyIt’s very popular with the National Party’s Law and Order image, ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    6 days ago
  • A friend in uncertain times

    Day one of the solo leg of my long journey home begins with my favourite sound: footfalls in an empty street. 5.00 am and it’s already light and already too warm, almost.If I can make the train that leaves Budapest later this hour I could be in Belgrade by nightfall; ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • The Chaotic World of Male Diet Influencers

    Hi,We’ll get to the horrific world of male diet influencers (AKA Beefy Boys) shortly, but first you will be glad to know that since I sent out the Webworm explaining why the assassination attempt on Donald Trump was not a false flag operation, I’ve heard from a load of people ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    6 days ago
  • It's Starting To Look A Lot Like… Y2K

    Do you remember Y2K, the threat that hung over humanity in the closing days of the twentieth century? Horror scenarios of planes falling from the sky, electronic payments failing and ATMs refusing to dispense cash. As for your VCR following instructions and recording your favourite show - forget about it.All ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Bernard’s Saturday Soliloquy for the week to July 20

    Climate Change Minister Simon Watts being questioned by The Kākā’s Bernard Hickey.TL;DR: My top six things to note around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the week to July 20 were:1. A strategy that fails Zero Carbon Act & Paris targetsThe National-ACT-NZ First Coalition Government finally unveiled ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Pharmac Director, Climate Change Commissioner, Health NZ Directors – The latest to quit this m...

    Summary:As New Zealand loses at least 12 leaders in the public service space of health, climate, and pharmaceuticals, this month alone, directly in response to the Government’s policies and budget choices, what lies ahead may be darker than it appears. Tui examines some of those departures and draws a long ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    1 week ago
  • Flooding Housing Policy

    The Minister of Housing’s ambition is to reduce markedly the ratio of house prices to household incomes. If his strategy works it would transform the housing market, dramatically changing the prospects of housing as an investment.Leaving aside the Minister’s metaphor of ‘flooding the market’ I do not see how the ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 week ago
  • A Voyage Among the Vandals: Accepted (Again!)

    As previously noted, my historical fantasy piece, set in the fifth-century Mediterranean, was accepted for a Pirate Horror anthology, only for the anthology to later fall through. But in a good bit of news, it turned out that the story could indeed be re-marketed as sword and sorcery. As of ...
    1 week ago
  • The Kākā's Chorus for Friday, July 19

    An employee of tobacco company Philip Morris International demonstrates a heated tobacco device. Photo: Getty ImagesTL;DR: The top six things I’ve noted around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy on Friday, July 19 are:At a time when the Coalition Government is cutting spending on health, infrastructure, education, housing ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • The Kākā’s Pick 'n' Mix for Friday, July 19

    TL;DR: My pick of the top six links elsewhere around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day or so to 8:30 am on Friday, July 19 are:Scoop: NZ First Minister Casey Costello orders 50% cut to excise tax on heated tobacco products. The minister has ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Weekly Roundup 19-July-2024

    Kia ora, it’s time for another Friday roundup, in which we pull together some of the links and stories that caught our eye this week. Feel free to add more in the comments! Our header image this week shows a foggy day in Auckland town, captured by Patrick Reynolds. ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    1 week ago
  • Weekly Climate Wrap: A market-led plan for failure

    TL;DR : Here’s the top six items climate news for Aotearoa this week, as selected by Bernard Hickey and The Kākā’s climate correspondent Cathrine Dyer. A discussion recorded yesterday is in the video above and the audio of that sent onto the podcast feed.The Government released its draft Emissions Reduction ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Tobacco First

    Save some money, get rich and old, bring it back to Tobacco Road.Bring that dynamite and a crane, blow it up, start all over again.Roll up. Roll up. Or tailor made, if you prefer...Whether you’re selling ciggies, digging for gold, catching dolphins in your nets, or encouraging folks to flutter ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Trump’s Adopted Son.

    Waiting In The Wings: For truly, if Trump is America’s un-assassinated Caesar, then J.D. Vance is America’s Octavian, the Republic’s youthful undertaker – and its first Emperor.DONALD TRUMP’S SELECTION of James D. Vance as his running-mate bodes ill for the American republic. A fervent supporter of Viktor Orban, the “illiberal” prime ...
    1 week ago
  • The Kākā’s Journal of Record for Friday, July 19

    TL;DR: As of 6:00 am on Friday, July 19, the top six announcements, speeches, reports and research around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day are:The PSA announced the Employment Relations Authority (ERA) had ruled in the PSA’s favour in its case against the Ministry ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • The Hoon around the week to July 19

    TL;DR: The podcast above of the weekly ‘hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers last night features co-hosts and talking with:The Kākā’s climate correspondent talking about the National-ACT-NZ First Government’s release of its first Emissions Reduction Plan;University of Otago Foreign Relations Professor and special guest Dr Karin von ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #29 2024

    Open access notables Improving global temperature datasets to better account for non-uniform warming, Calvert, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society: To better account for spatial non-uniform trends in warming, a new GITD [global instrumental temperature dataset] was created that used maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to combine the land surface ...
    1 week ago

  • Joint statement from the Prime Ministers of Canada, Australia and New Zealand

    Australia, Canada and New Zealand today issued the following statement on the need for an urgent ceasefire in Gaza and the risk of expanded conflict between Hizballah and Israel. The situation in Gaza is catastrophic. The human suffering is unacceptable. It cannot continue.  We remain unequivocal in our condemnation of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • AG reminds institutions of legal obligations

    Attorney-General Judith Collins today reminded all State and faith-based institutions of their legal obligation to preserve records relevant to the safety and wellbeing of those in its care. “The Abuse in Care Inquiry’s report has found cases where records of the most vulnerable people in State and faith‑based institutions were ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    20 hours ago
  • More young people learning about digital safety

    Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says the Government’s online safety website for children and young people has reached one million page views.  “It is great to see so many young people and their families accessing the site Keep It Real Online to learn how to stay safe online, and manage ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    20 hours ago
  • Speech to the Conference for General Practice 2024

    Tēnā tātou katoa,  Ngā mihi te rangi, ngā mihi te whenua, ngā mihi ki a koutou, kia ora mai koutou. Thank you for the opportunity to be here and the invitation to speak at this 50th anniversary conference. I acknowledge all those who have gone before us and paved the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    22 hours ago
  • Employers and payroll providers ready for tax changes

    New Zealand’s payroll providers have successfully prepared to ensure 3.5 million individuals will, from Wednesday next week, be able to keep more of what they earn each pay, says Finance Minister Nicola Willis and Revenue Minister Simon Watts.  “The Government's tax policy changes are legally effective from Wednesday. Delivering this tax ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Experimental vineyard futureproofs wine industry

    An experimental vineyard which will help futureproof the wine sector has been opened in Blenheim by Associate Regional Development Minister Mark Patterson. The covered vineyard, based at the New Zealand Wine Centre – Te Pokapū Wāina o Aotearoa, enables controlled environmental conditions. “The research that will be produced at the Experimental ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Funding confirmed for regions affected by North Island Weather Events

    The Coalition Government has confirmed the indicative regional breakdown of North Island Weather Event (NIWE) funding for state highway recovery projects funded through Budget 2024, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Regions in the North Island suffered extensive and devastating damage from Cyclone Gabrielle and the 2023 Auckland Anniversary Floods, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Indonesian Foreign Minister to visit

    Indonesia’s Foreign Minister, Retno Marsudi, will visit New Zealand next week, Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced.   “Indonesia is important to New Zealand’s security and economic interests and is our closest South East Asian neighbour,” says Mr Peters, who is currently in Laos to engage with South East Asian partners. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Strengthening partnership with Ngāti Maniapoto

    He aha te kai a te rangatira? He kōrero, he kōrero, he kōrero. The government has reaffirmed its commitment to supporting the aspirations of Ngāti Maniapoto, Minister for Māori Development Tama Potaka says. “My thanks to Te Nehenehenui Trust – Ngāti Maniapoto for bringing their important kōrero to a ministerial ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Transport Minister thanks outgoing CAA Chair

    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has thanked outgoing Chair of the Civil Aviation Authority, Janice Fredric, for her service to the board.“I have received Ms Fredric’s resignation from the role of Chair of the Civil Aviation Authority,” Mr Brown says.“On behalf of the Government, I want to thank Ms Fredric for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Test for Customary Marine Title being restored

    The Government is proposing legislation to overturn a Court of Appeal decision and amend the Marine and Coastal Area Act in order to restore Parliament’s test for Customary Marine Title, Treaty Negotiations Minister Paul Goldsmith says.  “Section 58 required an applicant group to prove they have exclusively used and occupied ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Opposition united in bad faith over ECE sector review

    Regulation Minister David Seymour says that opposition parties have united in bad faith, opposing what they claim are ‘dangerous changes’ to the Early Childhood Education sector, despite no changes even being proposed yet.  “Issues with affordability and availability of early childhood education, and the complexity of its regulation, has led ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Kiwis having their say on first regulatory review

    After receiving more than 740 submissions in the first 20 days, Regulation Minister David Seymour is asking the Ministry for Regulation to extend engagement on the early childhood education regulation review by an extra two weeks.  “The level of interest has been very high, and from the conversations I’ve been ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government upgrading Lower North Island commuter rail

    The Coalition Government is investing $802.9 million into the Wairarapa and Manawatū rail lines as part of a funding agreement with the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA), KiwiRail, and the Greater Wellington and Horizons Regional Councils to deliver more reliable services for commuters in the lower North Island, Transport Minister Simeon ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government moves to ensure flood protection for Wairoa

    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced his intention to appoint a Crown Manager to both Hawke’s Bay Regional and Wairoa District Councils to speed up the delivery of flood protection work in Wairoa."Recent severe weather events in Wairoa this year, combined with damage from Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023 have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • PM speech to Parliament – Royal Commission of Inquiry’s Report into Abuse in Care

    Mr Speaker, this is a day that many New Zealanders who were abused in State care never thought would come. It’s the day that this Parliament accepts, with deep sorrow and regret, the Report of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in Care.  At the heart of this report are the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government acknowledges torture at Lake Alice

    For the first time, the Government is formally acknowledging some children and young people at Lake Alice Psychiatric Hospital experienced torture. The final report of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in State and Faith-based Care “Whanaketia – through pain and trauma, from darkness to light,” was tabled in Parliament ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government acknowledges courageous abuse survivors

    The Government has acknowledged the nearly 2,400 courageous survivors who shared their experiences during the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Historical Abuse in State and Faith-Based Care. The final report from the largest and most complex public inquiry ever held in New Zealand, the Royal Commission Inquiry “Whanaketia – through ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Half a million people use tax calculator

    With a week to go before hard-working New Zealanders see personal income tax relief for the first time in fourteen years, 513,000 people have used the Budget tax calculator to see how much they will benefit, says Finance Minister Nicola Willis.  “Tax relief is long overdue. From next Wednesday, personal income ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Paid Parental Leave improvements pass first reading

    Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Brooke van Velden says a bill that has passed its first reading will improve parental leave settings and give non-biological parents more flexibility as primary carer for their child. The Regulatory Systems Amendment Bill (No3), passed its first reading this morning. “It includes a change ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Rebuilding the economy through better regulation

    Two Bills designed to improve regulation and make it easier to do business have passed their first reading in Parliament, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. The Regulatory Systems (Economic Development) Amendment Bill and Regulatory Systems (Immigration and Workforce) Amendment Bill make key changes to legislation administered by the Ministry ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • ‘Open banking’ and ‘open electricity’ on the way

    New legislation paves the way for greater competition in sectors such as banking and electricity, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly says. “Competitive markets boost productivity, create employment opportunities and lift living standards. To support competition, we need good quality regulation but, unfortunately, a recent OECD report ranked New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Charity lotteries to be permitted to operate online

    Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says lotteries for charitable purposes, such as those run by the Heart Foundation, Coastguard NZ, and local hospices, will soon be allowed to operate online permanently. “Under current laws, these fundraising lotteries are only allowed to operate online until October 2024, after which ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Accelerating Northland Expressway

    The Coalition Government is accelerating work on the new four-lane expressway between Auckland and Whangārei as part of its Roads of National Significance programme, with an accelerated delivery model to deliver this project faster and more efficiently, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “For too long, the lack of resilient transport connections ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Sir Don to travel to Viet Nam as special envoy

    Sir Don McKinnon will travel to Viet Nam this week as a Special Envoy of the Government, Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced.    “It is important that the Government give due recognition to the significant contributions that General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong made to New Zealand-Viet Nam relations,” Mr ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Grant Illingworth KC appointed as transitional Commissioner to Royal Commission

    Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says newly appointed Commissioner, Grant Illingworth KC, will help deliver the report for the first phase of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into COVID-19 Lessons, due on 28 November 2024.  “I am pleased to announce that Mr Illingworth will commence his appointment as ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ to advance relationships with ASEAN partners

    Foreign Minister Winston Peters travels to Laos this week to participate in a series of Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)-led Ministerial meetings in Vientiane.    “ASEAN plays an important role in supporting a peaceful, stable and prosperous Indo-Pacific,” Mr Peters says.   “This will be our third visit to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Backing mental health services on the West Coast

    Construction of a new mental health facility at Te Nikau Grey Hospital in Greymouth is today one step closer, Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey says. “This $27 million facility shows this Government is delivering on its promise to boost mental health care and improve front line services,” Mr Doocey says. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ support for sustainable Pacific fisheries

    New Zealand is committing nearly $50 million to a package supporting sustainable Pacific fisheries development over the next four years, Foreign Minister Winston Peters and Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones announced today. “This support consisting of a range of initiatives demonstrates New Zealand’s commitment to assisting our Pacific partners ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Students’ needs at centre of new charter school adjustments

    Associate Education Minister David Seymour says proposed changes to the Education and Training Amendment Bill will ensure charter schools have more flexibility to negotiate employment agreements and are equipped with the right teaching resources. “Cabinet has agreed to progress an amendment which means unions will not be able to initiate ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Commissioner replaces Health NZ Board

    In response to serious concerns around oversight, overspend and a significant deterioration in financial outlook, the Board of Health New Zealand will be replaced with a Commissioner, Health Minister Dr Shane Reti announced today.  “The previous government’s botched health reforms have created significant financial challenges at Health NZ that, without ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Minister to speak at Australian Space Forum

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