With the spate of violent dairy robberies occurring nation wide, isn’t it time the Government puts a halt to further tobacco tax increases?
It’s not as if its the only tool in the box.
Moreover, surely the bulk of those willing to give up due to tax increases has now eclipsed, lessening the impact of tobacco tax increases going forward?
The same argument will have to be run for commercialised Marijuana.
It will be taxed, corporatised, packaged and marketed just like tobacco – and just as worth robbing.
As an illegal product, cannabis already has a high market value. Therefore, if legalised it would become far cheaper in comparison. Therefore, most users would be delighted and happy to pay.
However, if the Government decided that tax would be used to fiscally force people to quit, it would quickly revert back underground. People would go back to growing their own or purchasing it cheaper on the black market.
And I would expect the very same from Marijuana. Trust me the government will find a public health reason to tax the bejeesus out of it. After all, they’re going to need replacement income for declining tobacco sales!
Cannabis users won’t be inclined to pay more for a product they can easily attain far cheaper on an already well established black market.
As for the Government seeking replacement income, there is always the possibility of higher taxes on alcohol. Which seems to be more widely consumed and often touted to cause more harm.
It is all too silly to say tobacco taxes is a concentrated effort to deter people from smoking.
It’s a concentrated effort to gather more taxes, that’s what it is.
A concentrated effort to deter people from smoking would be to stop making the product available.
Everyone gets to keep playing the nice little game though, and everyone keeps getting nice pay packets from the nice little game.
Reminds me of western leaders who keep proclaiming peace, human rights and democracy, but who keep exporting billions in armaments to states like Saudi Arabia, Israel and Bahrain.
The notion seems to be failing. Although a number have quit, a number continue to smoke. And the desired outcome won’t meet the date set.
Smoking is strongly addictive, hence it would be easier to target people before they become addicted instead of fiscally punishing people who already are.
No, it’s simple logic. If nobody smoked then it wouldn’t matter how much tax they put on it as there would be no money raised. Obviously, if they actually wanted to raise money from taxing cigarettes then their best bet would be to lower taxes and have more people smoking rather than raising them and having people quit.
The whole They just raising this tax or that fine to raise money is obviously BS RWNJ meme as it does result in less people doing it and thus less money.
The notion seems to be failing. Although a number have quit, a number continue to smoke.
It’s not just a few, it’s the majority of smokers that have quit.
That figure doesn’t really go back far enough but it’s enough to show trends.
Smoking is strongly addictive, hence it would be easier to target people before they become addicted instead of fiscally punishing people who already are.
It certainly helps to discourage people from beginning to smoke but raising the price of cigarettes has also been shown to be effective in getting people to quit (pdf):
The cigarette companies have opposed tobacco tax increases by arguing that raising cigarette prices would not reduce adult or youth smoking. But the companies’ internal documents, disclosed in the tobacco lawsuits, show that they know very well that raising cigarette prices is one of the most effective ways to prevent and reduce smoking, especially among kids.
Government efforts were rewarded by a substantial fall in New Zealanders’ tobacco use. The prevalence of smoking in the adult population fell from 33% in 1983 to 28% in 1990 (1). Decreases in tobacco consumption were even more dramatic: between 1985 and 1995, New Zealand had the fastest reduction in per capita tobacco consumption of any OECD country (2).
A decrease from ~33% to ~15% is a reduction of more than 50%, i.e, a majority.
Yes, I’m quite aware that over that time period many would have died but, based upon the demographic bulge of the Baby Boomers, at a guess I’d say that the majority are still alive and actually gave up.
Draco
Most smokers start when they’re young. And because they shouldn’t be smoking, it makes them feel cool and mature.
1983 is way before the tax increases we’re discussing. I was talking about the numbers quitting due to the tax increases that began in 2010. And how the numbers quitting aren’t expected to reach the target of the 2025 date set.
Treasury openly admits raising revenue is a reason for taxing tobacco. Stating tobacco taxes are very efficient at raising revenue as consumers are not highly price sensitive due to the strongly addictive nature of nicotine.
Treasury also admits taxes on tobacco are regressive (taking a larger % of income from low-income earners than from high-income earners) as smoking rates are highest in lower socio-economic groups.
That tobacco tax increases are racist is countered by their original architect, Dame Tariana Turia, who told the New Zealand Herald, also on 30 May, that race had nothing to do with it but that “this particular initiative was about stopping the uptake of cigarettes by young people”. That’s a good argument. Forking over $30 every day may be something someone dependent on nicotine would do. A young person looking to experiment with being cool? Maybe not so much.
It seems to have worked. Youth health surveys by the University of Auckland have found youth smoking rates have plummeted, including for young Māori. For example, the ‘smoking at least weekly’ rate has fallen from 24.8 percent for Māori secondary students in 2001 to just 8.3 percent in 2012. Tax has probably had something to do with this.
But it seems it may not just be the Māori young. According to the 2013 Census, smoking rates for Māori women has plunged from 45.5 percent in 2006 to 34.7 percent. For Māori men, the fall has been from 27.3 percent to just 20.5 percent. Tax probably had something to do with that too, but it’s hard to be certain how much. What it does show is that two sources of statistics can contradict each other and that we don’t know for sure how many Māori smoke or whether the rates are still falling.
So what evidence do we have that tax increases reduce smoking rates? The studies have been plentiful.
In France, increases in tobacco taxation that began in the 1990s led to a threefold increase in the inflation-adjusted price of cigarettes and, by 2005, to a halving of cigarette consumption from around six cigarettes per adult per day to three cigarettes per day. Lung cancer rates in France among men aged 35–44 years fell from 1999 onwards.
The evidence is that raising taxes on cigarettes works to decrease smoking is fairly robust across the world including NZ.
Here’s the link to the citation you requested.
Yeah, definitely not going to believe anything from that bunch of liars.
Listen Paul, there is a darker side to this which is getting little (if any) any media coverage. And it relates to the posts you tend to put up.
The increasing price of tobacco is creating fiscal hardship for those that can’t quit.
For the wealthy it may be an inconvenience paying more, but for those already struggling it’s becoming extremely hard.
And there are more tobacco tax increases to come.
Therefore, you need to ask yourself do you support putting people into further fiscal hardship when there are other avenues to take that could still achieve the non smoking goal?
As reported numerous times, not stocking them will result in a decline in their turnover. It’s a very competitive sector.
Whether tobacco tax increases are the right thing is questionable.
Moreover, halting tax increases wouldn’t be giving up, there are a number of other tools in the box still to be applied. For example, on going increases in the age allowed to purchase, preventing the young from starting up.
”. For example, on going increases in the age allowed to purchase, preventing the young from starting up.”
Age limits have never stopped kids from accessing smokes , but price will , as a young milk boy one days money got my smokes for a week, if they had of been two weeks income like they are now i would not have brought them.
God NO, less lawyers in parliament! Also they don’t seem as voter friendly as the bad accountant turned financial currency speculator and his merry gang of woodwork school teachers, DPB recipients, and who knows what the rest of them used to do, before they took hold of a country and turned it to mush.
Until philosophers rule as kings or those who are now called kings and leading men genuinely and adequately philosophize, that is, until political power and philosophy entirely coincide…cities will have no rest from evils…there can be no happiness, either public or private, in any other city.
Socrates quoted in Plato’s “Republic”
(by the way – Socrates also included women.)
At the outset of Book V, Socrates is challenged by his interlocutors to explain this last proposal. In response, Socrates expounds three controversial claims, which he acknowledges will expose him to ridicule. The first is that the guardians should include qualified women as well as men; thus, the group that will become known as “philosopher kings” will also include “philosopher queens.” The second claim is that these ruling men and women should mate and reproduce on the city’s orders, raising their children communally to consider all guardians as parents rather than attach themselves to a private family household. Those children, together with those of the artisan class, will be tested, and only the most virtuous and capable will become rulers. Thus, the group to become known as “philosopher kings” will be reproduced by merit rather than simply by birth. Finally, Socrates declares that these rulers must in fact be philosophers:
Should we also require them to have lived a few years unemployed?
How about a requirement for them to have worked across broad sectors of industry and been to tertiary education multiple times learning different things each time?
All so that we know that they’ve got the experience to understand and represent everyone.
Of course, even that may not actually change anything. We have the National Party and their supporters who obviously have some experience of the ‘real world’ and yet they still support Nationals delusional ideology.
Apparently beating a cop almost senseless does not warrant jail time.
Only 300 hours community service & $5000 fine. Nice for some.
A search of Judge Kevin Phillips’ conduct (on and off the bench) ranges from comical to questionable.
Here’s an image that inspires confidence. Perhaps this is how he dresses when passing sentences. https://static2.stuff.co.nz/1403667194/911/10198911.jpg
The photograph which appears on page 5 of the Press. is of of Nikolas Delegat, the rich- lister’s son who repeatedly punched a policewoman several times even after she lost consciousness
Actually the photograph nearly doesn’t appear. Interesting that other Press photos and the one on Stuff are clear but the same one of Mr Delegat on page 5 is darker and his features are obscurely unrecognizable.
We wonder why his features are hidden? Coincidence?
Also interesting that winemaker Delegat’s son has now sworn off alcohol.
I think of Tui ads.
But even 300 hours of community service may prove too much for one of the rich-listers offspring. The $5000 in reparations seems to be regarded with the same seriousness as a parking ticket:
The son of a multimillionaire wine magnate has not ruled out appealing his sentence… Delegat (19) sought a discharge without conviction… His lawyer, Auckland barrister Mark Ryan, said a conviction would prevent Delegat from becoming a licensed authorised financial adviser under the Financial Markets Authority – a career which he was pursuing – and from entering the United States to compete in yacht races…
“Tell me about his financial position,” Judge Phillips said to Mr Ryan.
“He’s able to pay a fine,” Mr Ryan responded.
“I’m not talking about a fine. I’m talking about emotional harm reparation. This has almost destroyed her life,” the judge said.
This was a sustained and vicious attack, but the sentence is a testament to the value of an expensive legal team. Privilege means “private law”, as the late Terry Pratchett was fond of observing.
Trigger warning for this bit!
During the row, which occurred due to a friend’s derogatory remark about his then girlfriend, Delegat also punched a Campus Watch staff member, causing him to slip. Delegat then kneed the grounded man in the face…
Const Kane was taken to Dunedin Hospital, where she required 15 hours of treatment…
some details of Const Kane’s victim impact statement, read yesterday by sentencing Judge Kevin Phillips, provided an insight into her feelings.
“She considers the defendant as showing no remorse,” …
“It is very recently when he pleaded guilty that there was an approach for a restorative justice conference,” Judge Phillips read…
Const Kane felt “he had 18 months to do something about it”.
It was this bit, in light of the damage that the brat has done that really got me:
“His lawyer, Auckland barrister Mark Ryan, said a conviction would prevent Delegat from becoming a licensed authorised financial adviser under the Financial Markets Authority – a career which he was pursuing – and from entering the United States to compete in yacht races…”
Oh diddums!
I hope he is getting some help for his issues so he can become a better and more responsible citizen, who people can feel safe around. He’s got the $$$ to pay for the help. As David Cunliffe would say “man up”.
It was this bit, in light of the damage that the brat has done that really got me:
Yep – that pisses me off as well. Unfortunately, it’s the excuse that’s normally used by rugby players to get off without conviction on violent offences and they usually do.
Personally, they should have thought about that before they got violent.
In her victim impact statement, Kane said Delegat showed no remorse and she believed she was “very lucky” to have escaped without more injuries.
Lucky to be alive by the sounds of things.
Yeah, I’d say jail time was far more appropriate. And that doesn’t have anything to do with her being female or a cop. When somebody does that to a person they deserve jail time.
Of course, our jails need to be more focussed upon rehabilitation than punishment as well.
“This incident was completely out of character.”
No, that was very much in character and the idea that he could get away with it was very much a part of him being rich. It’s known that rich people have such sociopathies and sense of entitlement simply from being rich.
Here’s an image that inspires confidence. Perhaps this is how he dresses when passing sentences.
How the judge dresses in his spare time has nothing to do with his capability as a judge. You thinking it does only reflects on your inability to accept people for who they are and how they enjoy life.
You thinking my comment only reflects on my inability to accept people for who they are and how they enjoy life only reflects on your inability to …
“omg I am a liberal, I should be offended here. Give me a minute, I will find something. Oh yeah, there it is, take his comment far too seriously, parse it through the prism of a “social crusader” and reflect it back to him as moral failure and make judgements about him…Now I feel better….My work here is done”
Theirs also one of him skinny dipping, I think Warrington beach early this year, not named as such, but you could make out that rotund body and the hairdo of the clown in the Simpsons so many of us ex Qtn will remember.
The Colmar -Brunton poll yesterday was disheartening, but I guess it proves several things about NZ today…..
1) Many people are doing OK and are happy to put business before people.
2) The Nats own the media ,and the media is the message.
3) Labour is having next to no impact.
4) NZF is on the rise.
@Garibaldi agree disheartening and agree with most of your points apart from 1) Many people are doing OK and are happy to put business before people. I don’t think people are feeling like they are doing ok or business is more important, but I also think the Lab Green approach is making them feel they could do worse.
I just think Lab- Green are not paying to their strengths and instead going for side issues that are more Nat issues such as the economy, that are very polarising.
They need to focus on big picture. Most people can work out that Globalism is really affecting their lives from climate change and pollution to jobs opportunities and wages.
But have yet to see a ‘big picture’ approach from Labour in particular. They need to inspire people. Think nuclear Free – where NZ actually took a hard stand on an issue and communicated it well.
As for Greens if they concentrated more on environment which they are known for they would get more votes than advocating crashing the property market. They fucked up last time with that approach. For gods sake do they want to make a difference and get into power or not???? Why pick an issue to alienate a massive group of people when there are more important catastrophic events coming our way like climate change?
No no its ok, Andrew Little says its a rogue poll because it doesn’t match the internal polling he’s seen (which won’t be released) so no need to worry 🙂
Why don’t the Opposition parties – or someone – release the results of the UMR polls? I understand they were the closest to the final election result in 2014, and they apparently have consistently placed Labour in the early to mid 30s this year. Nor sure where the other parties are placed, but UMR sounds far more representative of reality than the media polling companies with their ongoing bias towards National.
I’d go with David Farrar as a general idea of where the parties are because hes what National uses to work out what they are or aren’t doing properly so he has to be accurate (or at least as accurate as you can be with polls)
“At the last election in September 2015 this same poll had Labour at 25.2%. They got 25.1%. They were very accurate for Labour. In fact it was National they got a bit wrong with a poll of 45.1% vs an actual election result of 47.0%”
I was talking to a Labour candidae in my local election ward here in Christchurch and he agreed with me it doesn’t make sense Labour isn’t sending a stronger message. He was taking part at the rally for democracy on Saturday and said if Labour took a harder line on issues such as the TPPA they would gain more traction. The more people like him involved maybe the top will listen
I know I’m going to do what I can to help him in the local election and later in the central next year. He is doing door knocking and said some people, who are Labour supporters said they didn’t have a candidate door knocking for 15 years! No wonder local election participation is so low. Yes, it is a very much a blue ward, but if you don’t put an effort you will never have a chance to change anything.
What Corbynism actually represents is a very astute manoeuvre to successfully take over the Centre Left Labour by a very small number of voters aligned around a Far Left ideology.
‘Very small’ in that the 250,000 new voters that have enrolled in the Party represent a mere 0.53% of the UK voting population.
Genuine Far Left support in the UK (and NZ) is somewhere below the 20% mark, and that’s where the Corbynistas are headed.
The Centre Left only have 2 alternatives if they want any hope of regaining Govt. an election or 3 from now…
Give up the Labour Party as lost, and start a new one, or….
Arm up, and mount a counter revolution to take back the old one.
those that place themselves to the left of social democracy, which they see as insufficiently left-wing. The two main sub-types are the so-called “radical left”, for their desire for fundamental change to the capitalist system while accepting of democracy, and the “extreme left” who are more hostile to liberal democracy and denounce any compromise with capitalism. March sees four major subgroups within contemporary European far-left politics: communists, democratic socialists, populist socialists and social populists.
So a handful of categories into which to chuck anyone who might prove a threat to the status quo – the same status quo that demands that dying people attend job interviews, inflicts austerity on the already deprived and laughingly refers to those same people as chavs, while knocking back a couple of Roijas and snacking on gluten-free tapas. Here’s a couple of questions: is it “hostile to liberal democracy” to oppose austerity? Or is a regime that imposes an austerity program targeted solely at the have-nots still upholding liberal democracy?
I think that capitalism should be answerable to a broad conception of the public good, which includes such fundamental human rights as access to housing and earning a living. I also prefer that certain things, such as power, water and public transport, are in public ownership. Let the capitalists be as creative as they claim they are, rather than latch on to a guaranteed income stream and then pat themselves on the back for being captains of industry. I do not consider that my position is far left, since it does not rule out democratic elections or good faith negotiations between different interest groups. An actual far left position would either rule these things out out or render them toothless, and perhaps also nationalise the farms and turn them into collectives.
OK. But wouldn’t that leave a power vacuum, and if so, how would it be filled? I favour a broad conception of the public good to which we are all answerable over a situation where this-or-that constellation of interest groups is able to dominate the rest, and benefit themselves at the expense of others.
Hey Draco, you seem to be here for genuine and honest debate. You constantly challenge others to it.
But check our discussion below. My comment below at 8.24am is the third time now we’ve reached this point in a discussion, and you’ve then walked away.
I’d be genuinely interested to see where the discussion might progress if we resolve these points.
It should be simple enough : either produce some examples that disprove what I say, or concede there are no such examples.
Shouldn’t be too difficult either way for someone with an open mind and some intellectual honesty.
I would say placing major infrastructure into Govt. hands is a bit further than ‘centre Left’ Olwyn. And by the definition above wanting fundamental change to Capitalism while still accepting of democracy is in fact a Far Left position.
But i notice you refer to ‘the Capitalists’ in the third person, and there is a definite edge to your commentary on them!
Are you for or against Capitalism? Would your ideal system incorporate it?
Capitalism began its rise about 450 years ago, and has enjoyed about 200 years or so of dominance (since the French and US revolutions). During that time it has been modified to varying degrees by religious sensibilities and competing political/economic philosophies, and has generally worked best where it has been thus modified. Capitalism is an economic philosophy, not an absolute authority – it is up to capitalism to serve humanity and not the reverse. There is no guarantee that it will not go the way of the kings it displaced, and the less the restraints on it, the more likely that is to happen.
Conditionally, as is surely obvious by all of my answers. I do not have a fully thought out “ideal system” – I just think that a broad, conception of the public good, along with the mechanisms for making that genuinely inclusive, rather than the return to the shareholder, should be the standard.
Yup. I like the way you’ve stated that, and I agree with your broad conception.
It’s always the catch though. The ideal is great, but you can’t propose a coherent and compelling plan for achieving it.
It’s the interface between ‘public good’ and ‘Human self interest’ (return to shareholder) that is so difficult to find the perfectly balanced mechanism to control, and more importantly, to get people to sign up to.
It’s the interface between ‘public good’ and ‘Human self interest’ (return to shareholder) that is so difficult to find the perfectly balanced mechanism to control, and more importantly, to get people to sign up to.
Actually, it’s not. Get rid of the bludging shareholders and you’ll find that the public good and self-interest coincides.
Get rid of the bludging shareholders and you’ll find that the public good and self-interest coincides.
Now that’s the central delusion that undermines your philosophy Draco. You are assuming that
a. ‘shareholders’ are different to other humans.
b. That you can get rid of them.
Both are utterly false presumptions.
You can’t ‘get rid’ of Human Nature’, and the ‘shareholder’ is simply another manifestation of that ‘human self interest’ that has expressed itself in every civilization that has ever existed.
It is an intrinsic and vital aspect of our collective nature.
That’s why you are unable to provide a single example of a civilization that has been free of a hierarchy of privilege. eh?
That’s why the only realistic option is to attempt to balance off that self interest with the public good, as Olwyn put it so well.
The only other possibility is suppression. And we know where that leads don’t we comrade.
You are assuming that
a. ‘shareholders’ are different to other humans.
b. That you can get rid of them.
a. No I’m not
b. That’s actually easy. Just requires making it illegal to own a business or shares in a business. Businesses would be cooperatives run by the people working there and those people would get the full benefits of the businesses profits.
You’re making the false assumption that the way things are are the way things must always be.
You can’t ‘get rid’ of Human Nature’, and the ‘shareholder’ is simply another manifestation of that ‘human self interest’ that has expressed itself in every civilization that has ever existed.
It is an intrinsic and vital aspect of our collective nature.
And there you’re making the mistake of assuming that all humans are exactly the same and have the exact same traits as the greedy capitalists. Research shows that only about 20% of the population have such psychopathic traits and good nurture and a culture that restricted such could probably decrease that as well.
That’s why you are unable to provide a single example of a civilization that has been free of a hierarchy of privilege. eh?
Except for the fact that I have.
The only other possibility is suppression.
No, that’s not the only possibility. Two points:
1. Getting rid of capitalism doesn’t actually oppress anybody
2. Empower people through a full democratic system
3. Capitalism is oppressive. It needs to be else there’d be no rich people and so it actively oppresses the majority
That’s why you are unable to provide a single example of a civilization that has been free of a hierarchy of privilege. eh?
Except for the fact that I have.
No you haven’t Draco.
All you have ever been able to point to are subsistence hunter-gatherer societies as examples.
Where no excess wealth exists and where everyone absolutely relies on the effort of every other individual for mere survival, the only option is full equality and co-operation.
That kind of society is only sustainable in very small groupings at very low overall population densities. They are not civilizations and they actually disprove your point.
As soon as technology develops, and excess wealth begins to be created, ALL human societies that have ever existed have developed on a very similar pattern away from ‘primitive communism’ towards hierarchy and inequality; Tribes, Chiefdom’s, States and Civilizations.
That is ‘ALL’ Draco, and you are unable to provide examples to disprove that.
The fact it is ALL, not some and not most, regardless of the many separate times and places this pattern has occurred, tells us very clearly that it is an inevitable result of the Human condition. It is our natural form of organization.
All attempts to artificially re-organise Human societies along the lines you propose have failed miserably.
And again, you are unable to provide an example of one that has succeeded.
They simply don’t work because human nature subverts them.
‘Animal Farm’ describes the process perfectly.
And so the attempts to create the kind of situations you propose ALWAYS lead to corruption, usually combined with murderous suppression.
That’s why the political structure you propose has almost zero support Draco. We’ve seen the results and we’re not interested thanks.
Any Human Society that is going to ‘work’ on any level is going to have to accommodate the realities of the human condition, in all it’s glorious imperfection.
Your egalitarian co-operative non hierarchical civilization is an impossibility, because human nature does not accommodate it, and that is why you can’t show me a single example of one actually existing.
There is no single form that equality takes in past societies. Some societies, horizontal egalitarian systems, manifest absence of hierarchy, but in other societies (vertical egalitarian systems) privileged status coexists with substantial equality. A detailed comparison of the Halaf culture of northern Mesopotamia and eastern Anatolia with the Samarra and Ubaid cultures of central and southern Mesopotamia, examining settlement pattern, economy and burial customs, reveals the ways the vectors of egalitarianism in these two contrasting systems and enables key variables determining the nature and distribution of equality to be distinguished.
It appears that it was the rise of unequal societies (paywalled) that did in the egalitarian ones and not the rise of corruption.
Any Human Society that is going to ‘work’ on any level is going to have to accommodate the realities of the human condition, in all it’s glorious imperfection.
Yes and so we go back to those societies that were egalitarian and look at what they did to prohibit the rise of corruption. IIRC, one of those societies prevented thieves from reproducing unto the seventh generation. What they didn’t do is reward the fuckers with even more wealth as we do today.
Corruption is most definitely endemic to capitalist type societies and it’s what’s been destroying them throughout all of recorded history. It’s what’s destroying our society and the environment now.
Fascinating links Draco, some good reading there thanks.
But by my reading, they actually reinforce the points I made?
I can’t find a non pay walled copy of the New scientist article, but the abstract seems to echo exactly what I am saying above: non-hierarchical egalitarianism is a necessary response where there is no option but subsistence… ‘Keeping the playing field level was a matter of survival. These small-scale, nomadic foraging groups didn’t stock up much surplus food, and given the high-risk nature of hunting – the fact that on any given day or week you may come back empty-handed – sharing and cooperation were required to ensure everyone got enough to eat. Anyone who made a bid for higher status or attempted to take more than their share would be ridiculed or ostracised for their audacity. Suppressing our primate ancestors’ dominance hierarchies by enforcing these egalitarian norms was a central adaptation of human evolution, argues social anthropologist Christopher Boehm. It enhanced cooperation and lowered risk as small, isolated bands of humans spread into new territory’.
I did find a copy of the article about The Halaf transition here…. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4522825/
This article outlines the very transformation towards hierarchy and inequality I describe.
They had a specific situation that allowed them to exist a long time at the very limit of a hunter gatherer society, while other societies around them were developing hierarchical structures.
But ‘it is probable’ they went into crisis due to ‘Social and environmental constraints. The possible adoption of new sociopolitical models from Southern Mesopotamia may have therefore been an answer to this crisis’.
After that time the Halaf and neighbouring society mingle and assimilate (with) each other to the point that the old local culture seems to have disappeared.
The article sums up the process of transition… .The disappearance, at least as we may see it, of the indigenous Halaf culture, its subsistence modes, and organization system seems to have been the result not only of an emulation of foreign cultural components, but of having adopted the structural and social relational models of the southern neighbors,
So Draco, whether it is because of being unable to compete with hierarchical societies, or willingly adopting their components, or naturally developing that structure as technology moves them away from subsistence, or an intermingling of all 3 factors…
We are still left with the same reality.
There is no example of an egalitarian co-operative non hierarchical society being able to move past a situation of semi-nomadic subsistence.
And as the article you quote states, it is necessary for such societies to actively suppress individualism in order to survive. The result is that very little if any innovation can occur, and such societies tend to remain at subsistence level for a very long time. (Papua New Guinea being the best known example).
So from a modern human political point of view this seems to be the issue you have in ‘selling’ an egalitarian co-operative non hierarchical society to ‘the people’…..
It is a model that has only ever worked at a subsistence survival level, and at the expense of individuality and innovation.
Do you see the problem?
So tell me how you think you could make it work in today’s world for today’s humans?
But ‘it is probable’ they went into crisis due to ‘Social and environmental constraints. The possible adoption of new sociopolitical models from Southern Mesopotamia may have therefore been an answer to this crisis’.
After that time the Halaf and neighbouring society mingle and assimilate (with) each other to the point that the old local culture seems to have disappeared.
That first paragraph is sitting in the may or may not have but we just don’t really know category. Then they got assimilated into the neighbouring society.
And as the article you quote states, it is necessary for such societies to actively suppress individualism in order to survive.
I see the oppression of individuality in capitalist societies as well. In fact, over the last three decades I’ve seen that oppression increase in NZ as education, the real basis of innovation, is taken away from the majority of people, as their wages are cut so that they don’t have enough to live on and thus have no hope of ever having enough to innovate with. The end result is the increasing inequality and poverty that we’re seeing.
And all that so that a few bludgers can have ever more money.
Thanks Lost Sheep, kinda shows what bollocks it is really if selling assets & hassling beneficiaries & dodgy deals is ‘Centre Left’ (tho we spell it center in NZ usually yeah?), thanks anyway.
I am showing my age. When I went to school all the spelling was the English version.
Metre was a distance. Meter was a measuring instrument.
Do most people in New Zealand really use “center” these days. I am surprised, although I’ll take your word for it.
Many years ago when I was involved in IT I had a boss who tried to ban the use of the American word “Program” in any situation. He insisted that it always be spelt “Programme”.
Our programmers, who coded in Cobol, assured him that they could do no further work as the very first thing in every Cobol program(me) had to be, in the Identification Division a mandatory paragraph “PROGRAM-ID” and that alternative spellings were not allowed. (At least that is how I remember the required statement but it is a long, long time ago.)
NZ spelling is still ‘centre’ not ‘center’..’theatre’ not ‘ theater’ and ‘metre/ centimetre/kilometre’ not ‘meter/ centimeter/kilometer’. Dunno about ‘heater or Peter’ Ask any IELTS examiner/examinre/. (International English Testing System)
@tls, don’t you think the worst rating is driven by the infighting of Labour? I think people see themselves mostly as wanting to be in the middle Centrist with 20 % either side. Owen Smith is just a Bullshit artist, politician from what I have seen and heard, just wanting power and a pay rise, like a lot of them. Corbyn seems to have a long track record of principles. He’s driven a huge increase in people joining Labour, I think the figures you quote are misleading.
No doubt the leadership issues within the Labour Party are putting off many voters Nick. But who will those voters be?
If a voter strongly supported Corbyn, would they not still be voting for Labour regardless of the opposition to his leadership?
But if they identified themselves as Centrist / Centre Left, and not especially aligned to a Corbyn they see as Far Left, and were dismayed at the current dysfunctional nature of the Labour Party, could they be taking their vote elsewhere?
As the polls above strongly support, I would say UK Labour is bleeding Centrist support.
I wonder too if there was a question ‘would you vote for anyone but the present Govt’ what the polling would show. I imagine a lot of tribal tories are so certain they would vote National no matter what whereas ‘the left’ are a bit more discerning. I mean National voters know their leader is a lying hair pulling hollow man but they still go googly eyes at him.
What Corbynism actually represents is a very astute manoeuvre to successfully take over the Centre Left Labour by a very small number of voters aligned around a Far Left ideology.
UK Labour is about as centre-Left as National and the position of Corbyn isn’t “Far Left ideology” but just a bit closer to reality than the prevailing orthodoxy.
and those exact same people will likely tend to strongly agree with left wing ideals
go figure
i think its much like modern marketing these days – people buying things based on the sales pitch – even when they know its bad for them (Not talking left/right – just how people tend to go about things)
With a 20-year experience in local government, defending the public and their interest, as a self-funded anti-privatisation and anti-corruption ‘public watchdog’, Penny Bright says that as mayor, she would bring council services and regulatory functions back “in-house” under the public service model, and stop corrupt cronyism and corporate welfare.
_____________________________
In my view, Neo-liberal , ‘Rogernomic$’ helped to wreck Auckland (and New Zealand).
Fellow Auckland Mayoral candidate Phil Goff, was a Cabinet Minister in that 1984-87 ‘Rogernomic$’ Labour Government.
That’s where I first met Phil Goff, when as the Minister for Housing, Muldoon’s ‘rent freeze’ was lifted, which affected low-income families.
A few of founded a group – ‘AARH’
(Action Against Rent Hikes), to fight this.
In my view – the debate that should be happening – is (genuinely and fiercely politically ‘Independent’ Auckland Mayoral candidate Penny Bright, campaigning to ‘roll back Rogernomic$’, and current Labour MP, Phil Goff, defending the ‘Rogernomic$’ reforms that he helped instigate, and their continuation via Council Controlled Organisations (CCOs) then Public-Private-Partnerships (PPPs)?
Who would like to see THAT debate, to help enable Auckland electors ‘cast an informed vote’?
Auckland Mayoral candidate Penny Bright vs Auckland Mayoral candidate Phil Goff – ‘Is it time to ‘roll back Rogernomic$’?
Do you think endlessly posting self promting pieces is a good way to persuade people to vote for you? May be a good idea to read a good book on selling 101. Selling without selling.
Might be a good idea to delete your footer for the same reason. Its shameless self promotion. Never works.
@peter ch ch….. I find some of Penny’s posts informative, even the ones about herself. Beats the hell out of ShonKey and his Bullshit relentless propaganda lies….. Don’t you think?
Ah ok I just figured no one knew about her standing because its always at the bottom of her posts so she must be wanting to make sure everyone knows about it, my mistake
Roger saved NZ from Muldoon madness and the real villain was Lange who chickened out and called for a cup of tea instead of letting Roger introduce things like UBI that a true socialist would want for the people.
Given that this government is not doing anything about global warming does this warrant John Key and his leading cabinet members, especially those assigned climate change portfolios, being charged with criminal negligence?
“Generally, criminal liability requires not only the doing of a prohibited act but also either an intention to do the harm proscribed or recklessness whether it ensues. In other words, there must be a guilty mind (mens rea) as well as an unlawful act. There are, however, many exceptions to this in New Zealand, especially in the case of regulatory offences. Moreover, some crimes, notably manslaughter, are based on negligence. This country differs from most others in that the test of criminal negligence is, in many cases, the same as that for civil negligence – failure to observe the standard of care of a reasonable man – and even a slight degree of negligence can give rise to criminal liability.” Bruce James Cameron, B.A., LL.M., Legal Adviser, Department of Justice, Wellington.
Given that this government is not doing anything about global warming does this warrant John Key and his leading cabinet members, especially those assigned climate change portfolios, being charged with criminal negligence?
Probably should be. Does it come with a possibility of more than two years jail time?
I would say, however, it would have been good if the PM’s DPS could have reacted this way:
“The DPS pulled the men aside and held them, calling Wellington Police, who arrested the pair and locked them up overnight for breaching bail and theft of the $82 meal.”
when the PM was harassing and assaulting Amanda Bailey. Key should have been held aside, the Police called and put in a cell.
Sounds like a couple of guys trying to pull a fast one and get a meal for free, probably watched too many episodes of Hustle and thought they could pull it off
It’s not entirely clear what happened, to me at least, in regard to what happened with the DPS and the request for the PM to pay the bill. Then the guy was let off the theft charge as well a judge saying his bail conditions hadn’t been breached after all…….
But yeah, it does look, on the surface like they were trying to pull a swifty.
Yeah, and apparently restauranteurs who report dine&dash customers now get told that it’s a civil matter. But try and put it on the pm’s tab, even when he might have offered to pay it… heaven forbid…
Not paying for meals is not theft, anyway. First year law: it’s obtaining credit by deception. Key’s personal enforcers couldn’t even get that right.
“Not paying for meals is not theft, anyway. First year law: it’s obtaining credit by deception. Key’s personal enforcers couldn’t even get that right.”
I didn’t know that. How does it work in a situation where you have drive off’s from the petrol pump? Is that theft, or that “obtaining by deception” There appears to be similarities in the way the product is procured. Procure first, pay second.
And if not paying for a meal is obtaining credit by deception, is that why the Police would have dropped the theft charge?
Basically, if it’s freely given then it’s not theft (theft, btw, is an intention to permanently deprive the owner of the item, but just borrowing it is conversion).
However, if it’s freely given in the expectation that you will pay for it after receiving it, then basically they’re extending you credit to cover the purchase.
They might have dropped the charge because they used the wrong charge, but more likely because the two chaps would have stated that they had made good faith arrangements for the pm to pay for their meal, and/or they had intendedto make good if it fell through but the cops arrested them for drunk&disorderly before they could pay. Credit by deception and theft have the same penalty for that value, anyway. Pretty minor.
I’m not a lawyer, but I actually got a friend of a friend off a charge of offensive behaviour because he’d only been taking a widdle. Excreting in public is a trivial matter, offensive behaviour slightly less so ($100 vs $500 as I recall), so when he got to court he told the judge that the cops had obviously charged him with the wrong offense because the summary of facts was just about urinating. Case dismissed.
The flipside is driving offenses: if you drive into a ditch they do you for failing to stay in the lane, even if it was a pretty minor misjudgement. As soon as you complain they threaten to escalate it to dangerous driving or tack on failing to drive to the conditions, the tossers. Just to make you pay the ticket and fuck off.
Well, thanks for clarifying that. That’s very interesting.
On the other side of the public peeing situation – For over two years I put up with builders pissing on my back fence in full view of me, and in full view of public walking by on the street.
Fence is only 1.5 metres high, with fairly wide gaps.
I’d previously been threatened by a builder for reporting him to the council. For some of the guys I believe the pissing was part of the intimidation tactics that the builder has instructed his subbies to take part in.
I had the police around a few times to the house, talked to them on the phone and went to the station.
Nothing happened. Zilch. They couldn’t care less. I would have been thrilled if those guys who’d been pissing on my fence had a offensive behaviour charge slapped on them. I would have also been thrilled had they cautioned the builder(or whatever you call it) when I made a complaint at the station about being his threats towards me.
They never once took me seriously. It was offensive and frightening at the same time, being around those men. So, it wasn’t a trivial matter for me.
Thanks PR. I actually ended up with stress related health issues after all that. It’s over for me now though. They will be peeing on someone else’s back fence no doubt, somewhere else on the development by now. These guys have form for intimidating residents. Nothing was done about complaints to the police from others either.
In those situations community constables can be useful. They tend to be more helpful than station officers for ongoing problems. Also specifically chasing down environmental health officers might be an interesting tactic if you encounter neighbours who have to suffer through it. Not to mention videoing any unsafe work practices they might be doing and flipping it through to DoL… mind you, I’m a bureaucrat who can be a bit of a bastard. Part of my job used to be making jerks’ lives hell simply by using the same powers as any other member of the public, in the hope that the jerks modified their behaviour 🙂
There is a defense to urinating in public if you take reasonable efforts to hide your behaviour from the public, but in your circumstances (being ongoing activity that you had previously raised) it could count as harrassment.
Anyway, I hope you’re on the mend in your new-found peace and quiet.
I did speak to the community constable. She was great! Then she left and no body else wanted to take up the case. I also contacted several council officials, including the environmental health officer and the deputy mayor to see if they couldn’t introduce a bylaw to make portaloo’s mandatory on building sites in built up residential areas.
RMA says no.
Spoke to Worksafe about the law around toilet provisions for builders. (even though there was a loo 50 metres away) I had to quote the relevant Act to them because they couldn’t find it.
Worksafe says no.
And yeah, I witnessed too much private parts flashing that I would have liked to. That should only ever happen on my terms 😀
Thanks joe90 but they lie! I went through all that with them. See response to McFlock above. They told me it was a council issue. The person I spoke to was quite offended and angry that I questioned him.
GDP, seriously who gives a flying F*** other than the wealthiest 5% to 6% i.e. 200,000 adult NZers busily hovering around the elite classes of this country.
Everyone else is trying to just make their way week to week month to month, hoping they won’t have to work until 70 years old under a Labour Government.
So it is hardly a surprise when lots and lots of adult NZers not in these circles really don’t give a single flying f*** as to whatever this statistic might be because they’ve long figured out that it doesn’t matter in the slightest in their lives no matter how excited the talking heads on the tube seem to get.
That depends on your view of the role and effect of the media in politics. So far as I can tell, political parties and their policies are the primary target of the business and business-media commentaries. They are by a fair margin the best funded influencers in New Zealand today.
GDP discussions aren’t targeted at ‘ordinary people’. People notice GDP – and its distance from lived reality – only if it becomes a story in and of itself. I suspect it will.
GDP, together with the unemployment rate, is the largest vulnerability to any change of government occurring. If overall the media, the bank commentators, and political leaders agree that the economy is in the right direction, that’s a massive win for the political status quo and makes it really hard to change government.
Firstly, both Labour and National have formed the consistent neoliberal political status quo of this country over 30 years. There is not going to be any change in that, and changing the government isn’t going to do very much in terms of a change in that long term direction.
Secondly, the corporate MSM, the major banks, the political leadership of this country are all elements of the nation’s power elite, and they are quite welcome to keep talking to each other, and to the top 5% or 6% of the country that still pays close attention to them.
Everyone else however has long learnt that the well dressed well made up Koru member Gold Elite six figure salary talking heads are really in their own world.
I think you are confusing your frustration with lack of differentiation with the economic policy of Labour and National, with the need to promote good discourse about the economy. That’s what we need to prepare for.
I’d like it if the top whatever had no power, and the MSM had no influence. But they really do. Speaking up into the discourse about the economy is the thing to prepare for on Thursday.
I don’t feel any need to “promote good discourse about the economy”, that’s too much like the conversation they are having up in First Class about what vintages of wine they are carrying on board. They can have the pleasure to themselves.
I think you are confusing your frustration with lack of differentiation with the economic policy of Labour and National
Me and about a million other non-National voting NZers who won’t be voting for Labour again. I expect Winston’s vote to climb further before election day.
I can respect the disengaged. And I can certainly see the temptation of New Zealand First.
I can also see you are repulsed by engagement with those on six-figure salaries, people who wear suits, people who drink wine, and people who have Koru Lounge memberships. I think that repulsion is pretty evident.
Regrettably, those people run the country.
They have all the power. That’s the field we’re on if we are engaging in politics.
The trick is not merely interpret the world, the trick is to change it.
You don’t have to engage with such people if you don’t want to. They certainly don’t need you to. And the fewer people who don’t engage with them, the more that status quo is reinforced.
There’s no alternative but to engage. The left, in reality, have nothing but discourse left.
“Everyone else is trying to just make their way week to week month to month, hoping they won’t have to work until 70 years old under a Labour Government.”
Not true. A big chunk of the middle class is doing well.
Not true. A big chunk of the middle class is doing well.
What, maybe 250K of NZ’s top households by socioeconomic status? That’s all it is.
Maybe a few more are doing well *on paper* as the value of their single home rises, but even then that’s purely on paper as their week to week income is being continually squeezed and they cannot convert any of their capital gains into spendable cash.
Everyone except the very very rich and very very poor is in churn now, either up or down.
That’s one of the areas that need debating once the GDP figures come out on Thursday and we have to start the actual debate about the economy beyond the bald figures.
These small circles of people you are talking about are going to have another debate about the economy which relates to what those GDP figures will say? Cool. No one else outside those specific circles really cares, because it is irrelevant to their lives.
That will certainly be true if no-one in the media points out the difference between GDP and lived reality. Silence is the eternal gift of the status quo.
These will have to revised further upward to account for apples EU tax bill.
Exhibit 2 Goodharts law
when a feature of the economy is picked as an indicator of the economy, then it inexorably ceases to function as that indicator because people start to game it.
Let’s say there was a 3 income household up in Auckland. Mum and Dad both hold full time jobs which are around the minimum wage, and so does their daughter who is 23 and still at home.
The total income of their household is approx $95,000, which is above the average household income for NZ.
Is this really a middle class household? Is this household truly comfortable, “doing well” and not struggling?
Good golly. reading through the above thread, I find myself in agreement with your comments today CV!
Personally, what I witnessing and watching in our little part of the world, the Ohariu electorate, is
1) the disappearance of the traditional middle class into the not doing well/making cut backs/cash asset diminishing class but house value rising class.
2) Squeezing of some of the two parents former middle class working in highly paid jobs up to the upper middle classes and upsizing their houses on the new developments where houses are typically in the $700K – $800K bracket and both owning two brand new luxury SUV’s. Their dogs are always well groomed pedigree, no hound mutts for them.
3) An alarmingly growing number of impoverished working people, increasing demand at local food banks, increasing crime stats in our local newspaper, shops closing down in the main shopping centre and fast food outlets opening up.
Just what I see with my peepers. I would however like to see some sociological evidence on how our class system is shifting.
It’s groups 1 and 3 the opposition need to be having a good look at. Those falling away from economic security.
It’s also up to us get our voting turn out rate up. When I speak with people who are struggling and I talk to them about voting, they tell me they don’t, they’ve given up and say “they’re all the same”. But unlike you CV, I don’t think they’re the same.
We’d probably agree though it will be a long time, even with the right state interventions, for individual households to bounce back? It would depend on what those policy interventions were though, whether they were radical or whether they were soft.
(But soft is better than nothing and I will vote for that)
When I speak with people who are struggling and I talk to them about voting, they tell me they don’t, they’ve given up and say “they’re all the same”. But unlike you CV, I don’t think they’re the same.
Cunliffe once talked about how it wasn’t good enough simply to be the alternative where you cut people off at the leg, but with anaesthetic.
Only in so far as their paper wealth is currently increasing with rapidly escalating house prices giving them a false sense of worth. In comparison to their “betters”; (the top 1% or even the top 10% of income earners) Middle NZ’s income stream has increased only marginally from $28,900 in 1982 to $34,400 in 2011, and they are falling way behind. This is a global phenomena with the continual exportation of skilled work off shore, the importation of semi-skilled workers to replace locals at minimal rates of pay, and the replacement of skilled and unskilled labour with bots..
We need to recast the tax system as a tool of the economy, and a tool that serves New Zealand more broadly. A coherent tax system with high integrity is very desirable, and it is something we should strive for. But more broadly than that, we should strive to meet New Zealand’s social goals. The tax system should be a tool for achieving those goals, rather than an end in itself, to be admired for its purity.
Part of the problem we have is that we view our economy backwards. We see it as the private sector creating the wealth which then funds government. What we should be seeing it as is the government providing the funds in the form of a UBI and infrastructure spending, the resources in the form of extraction and processing and the infrastructure in forms such as power and telecommunications for the private sector to do it’s thing. Taxes then become a way to balance the amount of money in the system against government spending. Most notably, it’s the government spending which funds the entire economy.
Done properly we could actually get rid of income taxes although that would be a long term goal.
“So if they earned $50,000 from their salary, but made a loss of $20,000 on their rental property, then they would offset the loss from the rental property against their salary, and pay tax only on a net income of $30,000. This is negative gearing. In effect, because the person pays less tax overall, other taxpayers end up subsidising their investment in a rental property.”
Another way to look at it though is that negative gearing enables people to take risks gradually as they move from a salary to a business with a major asset within it. That doesn’t just apply to beginner landlords, it applies to any major new business with a chunky asset. Most will start off making a loss, and needing a ‘day job’ to keep it going. This negative gearing enables that perfectly.
I wouldn’t want ‘fairness’ dominate the tax discussion without considering what kind of economy you really want.
We are a people of small businesses.
It’s our commercial and social character.
So the current tax setup suits us pretty well in that respect.
I do get her point that income from assets should be taxed far harder.
She just needs to think about it more broadly than from the point of view of the tax system representing ‘fairness’.
We are a people of small businesses.
It’s our commercial and social character.
That’s just the outcome of the social engineering of the last 25 years. Before that the vast majority of people were straight forward wage and salary earners, not the independent contractors, consultants, sole traders and small business people of the neoliberal era.
Actually, we’re not. Only about three percent of business is small business and that’s a drop from five percent a few years ago. We like to tell our selves that we are but the reality is quite different.
Though a problem with landlords, and especially beginner, socalled Ma and Pa types, is they tend to be offering rentals at the lower/middle end of the market, so their ‘customers’ are having to be subsidised through Accommodation supplements and rent subsidies etc to the tune of $2 billion annually.
If only all small businesses could have that type of subsidy available to their customers, to make up for the overcharging as a result of spending too much money on overpriced stock.
The Right don’t tend to favour tax. However, left wing policy that favours Government further venturing into commerce (allowing them to broaden and grow their revenue stream) gives them the scope to lower taxes. With the end goal of Government becoming fiscally self sufficient.
However, left wing policy that favours Government further venturing into commerce (allowing them to broaden and grow their revenue stream) gives them the scope to lower taxes.
That’s not Left-wing policy but Right-wing. Left-wing policy runs government services as, well, a government service rather than as a profit making venture which acts as a particularly nasty regressive tax on the poor and can even prevent people from, say, starting their own business because they can’t afford the necessary government services.
With the end goal of Government becoming fiscally self sufficient.
If the government was the sole creator money in the economy then it would, by default, be fiscally self-sufficient. And despite the rhetoric, it’s still government spending that supports the economy anyway. It’s just that our financial system has been set up to hide that fact.
Government being part of the means of production is left wing.
Whereas, the Right want to reduce Government, hence opt to privatize everything.
I support the notion of Government providing local services at cost. However, in NZ we lack companies of scale to take on exporting opportunities. Thus, creating a market void which Government could help fill and prosper from.
However, in NZ we lack companies of scale to take on exporting opportunities.
I’ve said elsewhere that government should build and run infrastructure. Now, what happens if we class factories as infrastructure? Government pays for maintenance, R&D to update them and ensures that they’re supplied with the raw and processed resources needed to keep them going.
Then all the private sector needs to do is research and design the products that those factories will produce.
Government has the scale to build and maintain those factories whereas no private company in NZ does and doing so would be beneficial to NZ as a whole as it would allow us to develop our economy.
Remembering what I read in various Jeffry Archer novels about politics and the role of the media, specifically what photos are used, I find it interesting the respective photos of Little and Key in this article
You have happy, smiling, jovial John Key and scowling, (dare I say it) angry looking Andrew Little
I don’t know if it falls under censorship but maybe media outlets should only be using neutral pics of politicians (in cases like this)
For deep thinking fact and knowledge junkies. Rod Oram is talking this morning about a small book he has written as he looks at a trio of points, ecology economics and ?
can’t remember, he has just mentioned ‘the collapse of civilisation as we know it’.
And he is looking at the way that others are looking at what can be done to cope and build the new civilisation. He visited Beijing, Chicago and London and talked to people there. Look for his little book in the BWB Texts series (Bridget Williams Books).
You can hear him on Radionz audio if you go their site. He’s always interesting with a cool intellect, but today was quite pointed at matters those of us who want to influence a good future, so there is one.
Major new engineering analysis effort on the collapse of World Trade Centre 7 on 9/11
This is one to look out for. They are creating fully transparent, full reproducible finite element modelling of the structural failure of WTC 7 on the afternoon of 9/11.
They have already determined a number of critical problems with the NIST computer modelling of WTC 7, and found that NIST analysis conclusions were not consistent with what happened in the actual collapse of the building.
So what? If their modelling finds that the building’s collapse was due to the collapse of larger buildings next to it, the tinfoil-hat industry will smoothly shift to vilifying them as participants in the cover-up. And if it finds that the collapse was due to the US government/the military-industrial complex/the Lizard People having developed and installed micro-nukes to demolish it, there’s still the problem that when your computer modeling and actual events are in conflict, it’s most likely not the actual events that got it wrong.
I think the University of Alaska analytical effort has in a relatively short time frame already produced modelling work that is far more detailed and far more rigorous than that of the official government investigation into what happened with WTC 7.
I look forward to the results of the next stages of their work, where they will be testing many different modelling parameters and seeing how the results of the various scenarios correlate with what was observed physically on the day.
Well, it is a theory, yes – in the same sense that the theory of evolution is a theory. You guys are the equivalent of the creationists in that sense.
Except you are the faith based dogma preserving operator here decrying the new critically oriented scientific endeavour.
Except you are the faith based dogma preserving operator here decrying the new critically oriented scientific endeavour.
I don’t recall decrying any scientific endeavour on this blog, ever. The one you linked to may well be a thoroughly scientific endeavour, although the fact they’re modelling the collapse of WTC7 suggests the possibility of tinfoil-hattery in the hypothesis. Either way, I have no views on the merits or otherwise of the computer modelling involved, just a prediction about how the 911-Truthers out there will approach the results.
Donald Trump’s tale about why he took $150,000 in 9/11 money is as tall as the Downtown skyscraper he says he used in recovery efforts, according to government records.
Though the billionaire presidential candidate has repeatedly suggested he got that money for helping others out after the attacks, documents obtained by the Daily News show that Trump’s account was just a huge lie.
[…]
That government program was designed to help local businesses get back on their feet — not reimburse people for their charitable work.
If Trump’s company had asked for money for that reason it would have been rejected, officials said.
You know I’ve been think about John Key, and what worries me about him and his time as P.M.
To help with that, I’ve been wondering who, or what politician he reminds me of historically, and I’ve come to the conclusion he is in the mold of Warren G. Harding.
Now history is only a guide, but I think this national government has passed a lot of bills which will have dire consequences down the line. I’m picking that the land and water ways have been damaged in such a way, we are going to struggle in the years to come, other factors aside.
I also believe our underlying economic structure has been shallowed out, for short term electoral gain, and actually is close to having no real basis to string anything too.
The infrastructure has been left to wallow. Particularly in the regions. Drinking water anyone…
Debt has become inter-generational.
Our international relations are messy – We seemed to have pissed of China, and the USA is not that good a friend.
Our standing internationally has taken quite a few hits. Begs the question why Helen Clark decided to run, I’m sure she is getting a few ribs about national and there not tax haven which is a tax haven, but if we say it’s not a tax haven enough then kiwis will believe it even when the rest world thinks we are dirty tax cheats. Enter troll stage right…
And all the time Key is wildly popular. No matter about his fetish to touch young women and children’s hair. No matter that he lies on a almost daily basis, and lets leave aside the fact he runs the most incompetent set of minister this country has ever had the misfortune to live through. People will go on loving him.
History will be harsh though. The homelessness, the growing conflict between haves and have not’s, and a state falling apart at the seams. All these things can be band-aided over with, but the damage has been done, it won’t happen over night, but Key has laid the ground work for a very divided nation.
There is none, Like Harding we have to wait till we see all the problems that manifest themselves. I’m guessing with this lot, and the labour government before it – we will be having a lot of problems.
In my humble opinion, the land issue is the big one, and will take at least four years, before the major crisis, water about the same. Only when we are in crisis will we address it. Indeed like Harding , it will all be exposed at the next crisis point. At which time we ALL get lumbered with solving it. We are not going to divest from dairy, and poor land use until it is to late.
The Government will create new offences of non-fatal strangulation, coercion to marry and assault on a family member, which will carry tougher sentences than common assault.
Holy motherfucking fuck, now this is getting obscene, Parliamentary Services scanning Opposition MPs email, well what have the freedom loving right wingers got to say about that?
“What this has done is tipped us off to the fact that they’re monitoring what we’re sending in our emails, which is completely unacceptable,” Hipkins said.
Looks like Hipkins has been given a taste of our big brother state.
With local elections coming up, are there any websites that discuss all the candidates? I’m interested in Wellington (Lambton and Eastern Wards), Auckland (Albert-Eden-Roskill) and Christchurch (Riccarton Wigram).
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A couple of recent cases suggest that the courts are awarding significant sums for defamation even where the publication is very small. This is despite the new rule that says plaintiffs, if challenged, have to show that the publication they are complaining about has caused them “more then minor harm.” ...
Damages for breaches of the Privacy Act used to be laughable. The very top award was $40,000 to someone whose treatment in an addiction facility was revealed to the media. Not only was it taking an age for the Human Rights Review Tribunal to resolve cases, the awards made it ...
It’s Friday and we’ve got Auckland Anniversary weekend ahead of us so we’ve pulled together a bumper crop of things that caught our attention this week. This post, like all our work, is brought to you by a largely volunteer crew and made possible by generous donations from our readers ...
Long stories short, the six things of interest in the political economy in Aotearoa around housing, climate and poverty on Friday January 24 are:PM Christopher Luxon’s State of the Nationspeech in Auckland yesterday, in which he pledged a renewed economic growth focus;Luxon’s focused on a push to bring in ...
Hi,It’s been ages since I’ve done an AMA on Webworm — and so, as per usual, ask me what you want in the comments section, and over the next few days I’ll dive in and answer things. This is a lil’ perk for paying Webworm members that keep this place ...
I’m trying a new way to do a more regular and timely daily Dawn Choruses for paying subscribers through a live video chat about the day’s key six things @ 6.30 am lasting about 10 minues. This email is the invite to that chat on the substack app on your ...
The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts & talking about the week’s news with regular and special guests, including: on Donald Trump’s first executive orders to reverse Joe Biden’s emissions reductions policies and pull the United States out of ...
The Prime Minister’s State of the Nation speech yesterday was the kind of speech he should have given a year ago.Finally, we found out why he is involved in politics.Last year, all we heard from him was a catalogue of complaints about Labour.But now, he is redefining National with its ...
Photo by Mauricio Fanfa on UnsplashKia oraCome and join us for our weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar with paying subscribers to The Kākā for an hour at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream for our chat about the week’s news with myself , plus regular guests and ...
Aotearoa's science sector is broken. For 35 years it has been run on a commercial, competitive model, while being systematically underfunded. Which means we have seven different crown research institutes and eight different universities - all publicly owned and nominally working for the public good - fighting over the same ...
One of the best speakers I ever saw was Sir Paul Callaghan.One of the most enthusiastic receptions I have ever, ever seen for a speaker was for Sir Paul Callaghan.His favourite topic was: Aotearoa and what we were doing with it.He did not come to bury tourism and agriculture but ...
The Tertiary Education Union is predicting a “brutal year” for the tertiary sector as 240,000 students and teachers at Te Pūkenga face another year of uncertainty. The Labour Party are holding their caucus retreat, with Chris Hipkins still reflecting on their 2023 election loss and signalling to media that new ...
The Prime Minister’s State of the Nation speech is an exercise in smoke and mirrors which deflects from the reality that he has overseen the worst economic growth in 30 years, said NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi President Richard Wagstaff. “Luxon wants to “go for growth” but since he and Nicola ...
People get readyThere's a train a-comingYou don't need no baggageYou just get on boardAll you need is faithTo hear the diesels hummingDon't need no ticketYou just thank the LordSongwriter: Curtis MayfieldYou might have seen Bishop Mariann Edgar Budde's speech at the National Prayer Service in the US following Trump’s elevation ...
Long stories short, the six things of interest in the political economy in Aotearoa around housing, climate and poverty on Thursday January 23 are:PM Christopher Luxon’s State of the Nation speech after midday today, which I’ll attend and ask questions at;Luxon is expected to announce “new changes to incentivise research ...
I’m trying a new way to do a more regular and timely daily Dawn Choruses for paying subscribers through a live video chat about the day’s key six things @ 6.30 am lasting about 10 minues. This email is the invite to that chat on the substack app on your ...
Yesterday, Trump pardoned the founder of Silk Road - a criminal website designed to anonymously trade illicit drugs, weapons and services. The individual had been jailed for life in 2015 after an FBI sting.But libertarian interest groups had lobbied Donald Trump, saying it was “government overreach” to imprison the man, ...
The Prime Minister will unveil more of his economic growth plan today as it becomes clear that the plan is central to National’s election pitch in 2026. Christopher Luxon will address an Auckland Chamber of Commerce meeting with what is being billed a “State of the Nation” speech. Ironically, after ...
This video includes personal musings and conclusions of the creator climate scientist Dr. Adam Levy. It is presented to our readers as an informed perspective. Please see video description for references (if any). 2025 has only just begun, but already climate scientists are working hard to unpick what could be in ...
The NZCTU’s view is that “New Zealand’s future productivity to 2050” is a worthwhile topic for the upcoming long-term insights briefing. It is important that Ministers, social partners, and the New Zealand public are aware of the current and potential productivity challenges and opportunities we face and the potential ...
The NZCTU supports a strengthening of the Commerce Act 1986. We have seen a general trend of market consolidation across multiple sectors of the New Zealand economy. Concentrated market power is evident across sectors such as banking, energy generation and supply, groceries, telecommunications, building materials, fuel retail, and some digital ...
The maxim is as true as it ever was: give a small boy and a pig everything they want, and you will get a good pig and a terrible boy.Elon Musk the child was given everything he could ever want. He has more than any one person or for that ...
A food rescue organisation has had to resort to an emergency plea for donations via givealittle because of uncertainty about whether Government funding will continue after the end of June. Photo: Getty ImagesLong stories short in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Wednesday, January 22: Kairos Food ...
Leo Molloy's recent "shoplifting" smear against former MP Golriz Ghahraman has finally drawn public attention to Auror and its database. And from what's been disclosed so far, it does not look good: The massive privately-owned retail surveillance network which recorded the shopping incident involving former MP Golriz Ghahraman is ...
The defence of common law qualified privilege applies (to cut short a lot of legal jargon) when someone tells someone something in good faith, believing they need to know it. Think: telling the police that the neighbour is running methlab or dobbing in a colleague to the boss for stealing. ...
NZME plans to cut 38 jobs as it reorganises its news operations, including the NZ Herald, BusinessDesk, and Newstalk ZB. It said it planned to publish and produce fewer stories, to focus on those that engage audience. E tū are calling on the Government to step in and support the ...
Data released by Statistics New Zealand today showed that inflation remains unchanged at 2.2%, defying expectations of further declines, said NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi Economist Craig Renney. “While inflation holding steady might sound like good news, the reality is that prices for the basics—like rent, energy, and insurance—are still rising. ...
I never mentioned anythingAbout the songs that I would singOver the summer, when we'd go on tourAnd sleep on floors and drink the bad beerI think I left it unclearSong: Bad Beer.Songwriter: Jacob Starnes Ewald.Last night, I was watching a movie with Fi and the kids when I glanced ...
Last night I spoke about the second inauguration of Donald Trump with in a ‘pop-up’ Hoon live video chat on the Substack app on phones.Here’s the summary of the lightly edited video above:Trump's actions signify a shift away from international law.The imposition of tariffs could lead to increased inflation ...
An interesting article in Stuff a few weeks ago asked a couple of interesting questions in it’s headline, “How big can Auckland get? And how big is too big?“. Unfortunately, the article doesn’t really answer those questions, instead focusing on current growth projections, but there were a few aspects to ...
Today is Donald J Trump’s second inauguration ceremony.I try not to follow too much US news, and yet these developments are noteworthy and somehow relevant to us here.Only hours in, parts of their Project 2025 ‘think/junk tank’ policies — long planned and signalled — are already live:And Elon Musk, who ...
How long is it going to take for the MAGA faithful to realise that those titans of Big Tech and venture capital sitting up close to Donald Trump this week are not their allies, but The Enemy? After all, the MAGA crowd are the angry victims left behind by the ...
California Burning: The veteran firefighters of California and Los Angeles called it “a perfect storm”. The hillsides and canyons were full of “fuel”. The LA Fire Department was underfunded, below-strength, and inadequately-equipped. A key reservoir was empty, leaving fire-hydrants without the water pressure needed for fire hoses. The power companies had ...
The Waitangi Tribunal has been one of the most effective critics of the government, pointing out repeatedly that its racist, colonialist policies breach te Tiriti o Waitangi. While it has no powers beyond those of recommendation, its truth-telling has clearly gotten under the government's skin. They had already begun to ...
I don't mind where you come fromAs long as you come to meBut I don't like illusionsI can't see them clearlyI don't care, no I wouldn't dareTo fix the twist in youYou've shown me eventually what you'll doSong: Shimon Moore, Emma Anzai, Antonina Armato, and Tim James.National Hugging Day.Today, January ...
Is Rwanda turning into a country that seeks regional dominance and exterminates its rivals? This is a contention examined by Dr Michela Wrong, and Dr Maria Armoudian. Dr Wrong is a journalist who has written best-selling books on Africa. Her latest, Do Not Disturb. The story of a political murder ...
The economy isn’t cooperating with the Government’s bet that lower interest rates will solve everything, with most metrics indicating per-capita GDP is still contracting faster and further than at any time since the 1990-96 series of government spending and welfare cuts. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāLong stories short in ...
Hi,Today is the day sexual assaulter and alleged rapist Donald Trump officially became president (again).I was in a meeting for three hours this morning, so I am going to summarise what happened by sharing my friend’s text messages:So there you go.Welcome to American hell — which includes all of America’s ...
This is a re-post from the Climate BrinkI have a new paper out today in the journal Dialogues on Climate Change exploring both the range of end-of-century climate outcomes in the literature under current policies and the broader move away from high-end emissions scenarios. Current policies are defined broadly as policies in ...
Long story short: I chatted last night with ’s on the substack app about the appointment of Chris Bishop to replace Simeon Brown as Transport Minister. We talked through their different approaches and whether there’s much room for Bishop to reverse many of the anti-cycling measures Brown adopted.Our chat ...
Last night I chatted with Northland emergency doctor on the substack app for subscribers about whether the appointment of Simeon Brown to replace Shane Reti as Health Minister. We discussed whether the new minister can turn around decades of under-funding in real and per-capita terms. Our chat followed his ...
Christopher Luxon is every dismal boss who ever made you wince, or roll your eyes, or think to yourself I have absolutely got to get the hell out of this place.Get a load of what he shared with us at his cabinet reshuffle, trying to be all sensitive and gracious.Dr ...
The text of my submission to the Ministry of Health's unnecessary and politicised review of the use of puberty blockers for young trans and nonbinary people in Aotearoa. ...
Hi,Last night one of the world’s biggest social media platforms, TikTok, became inaccessible in the United States.Then, today, it came back online.Why should we care about a social network that deals in dance trends and cute babies? Well — TikTok represents a lot more than that.And its ban and subsequent ...
Sometimes I wake in the middle of the nightAnd rub my achin' old eyesIs that a voice from inside-a my headOr does it come down from the skies?"There's a time to laugh butThere's a time to weepAnd a time to make a big change"Wake-up you-bum-the-time has-comeTo arrange and re-arrange and ...
Former Health Minister Shane Reti was the main target of Luxon’s reshuffle. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāLong stories short to start the year in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate: Christopher Luxon fired Shane Reti as Health Minister and replaced him with Simeon Brown, who Luxon sees ...
Yesterday, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon announced a cabinet reshuffle, which saw Simeon Brown picking up the Health portfolio as it’s been taken off Dr Shane Reti, and Transport has been given to Chris Bishop. Additionally, Simeon’s energy and local government portfolios now sit with Simon Watts. This is very good ...
The sacking of Health Minister Shane Reti yesterday had an air of panic about it. A media advisory inviting journalists to a Sunday afternoon press conference at Premier House went out on Saturday night. Caucus members did not learn that even that was happening until yesterday morning. Reti’s fate was ...
Yesterday’s demotion of Shane Reti was inevitable. Reti’s attempt at a re-assuring bedside manner always did have a limited shelf life, and he would have been a poor and apologetic salesman on the campaign trail next year. As a trained doctor, he had every reason to be looking embarrassed about ...
A listing of 25 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, January 12, 2025 thru Sat, January 18, 2025. This week's roundup is again published soleley by category. We are still interested in feedback to hone the categorization, so if ...
After another substantial hiatus from online Chess, I’ve been taking it up again. I am genuinely terrible at five-minute Blitz, what with the tight time constraints, though I periodically con myself into thinking that I have been improving. But seeing as my past foray into Chess led to me having ...
Rise up o children wont you dance with meRise up little children come and set me freeRise little ones riseNo shame no fearDon't you know who I amSongwriter: Rebecca Laurel FountainI’m sure you know the go with this format. Some memories, some questions, letsss go…2015A decade ago, I made the ...
In 2017, when Ghahraman was elected to Parliament as a Green MP, she recounted both the highlights and challenges of her role -There was love, support, and encouragement.And on the flipside, there was intense, visceral and unchecked hate.That came with violent threats - many of them. More on that later.People ...
It gives me the biggest kick to learn that something I’ve enthused about has been enough to make you say Go on then, I'm going to do it. The e-bikes, the hearing aids, the prostate health, the cheese puffs. And now the solar power. Yes! Happy to share the details.We ...
Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park from the Gigafact team in collaboration with members from our team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Can CO2 be ...
The old bastard left his ties and his suitA brown box, mothballs and bowling shoesAnd his opinion so you'd never have to choosePretty soon, you'll be an old bastard tooYou get smaller as the world gets bigThe more you know you know you don't know shit"The whiz man" will never ...
..Thanks for reading Frankly Speaking ! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.The Numbers2024 could easily have been National’s “Annus Horribilis” and 2025 shows no signs of a reprieve for our Landlord PM Chris Luxon and his inept Finance Minister Nikki “Noboats” Willis.Several polls last year ...
This Friday afternoon, Māori Development Minister Tama Potaka announced an overhaul of the Waitangi Tribunal.The government has effectively cleared house - appointing 8 new members - and combined with October’s appointment of former ACT leader Richard Prebble, that’s 9 appointees.[I am not certain, but can only presume, Prebble went in ...
The state of the current economy may be similar to when National left office in 2017.In December, a couple of days after the Treasury released its 2024 Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HEYFU24), Statistics New Zealand reported its estimate for volume GDP for the previous September 24 quarter. Instead ...
So what becomes of you, my love?When they have finally stripped you ofThe handbags and the gladragsThat your poor old granddadHad to sweat to buy you, babySongwriter: Mike D'aboIn yesterday’s newsletter, I expressed sadness at seeing Golriz Ghahraman back on the front pages for shoplifting. As someone who is no ...
It’s Friday and time for another roundup of things that caught our attention this week. This post, like all our work, is brought to you by a largely volunteer crew and made possible by generous donations from our readers and fans. If you’d like to support our work, you can join ...
Note: This Webworm discusses sexual assault and rape. Please read with care.Hi,A few weeks ago I reported on how one of New Zealand’s richest men, Nick Mowbray (he and his brother own Zuru and are worth an estimated $20 billion), had taken to sharing posts by a British man called ...
The final Atlas Network playbook puzzle piece is here, and it slipped in to Aotearoa New Zealand with little fan fare or attention. The implications are stark.Today, writes Dr Bex, the submission for the Crimes (Countering Foreign Interference) Amendment Bill closes: 11:59pm January 16, 2025.As usual, the language of the ...
Excitement in the seaside village! Look what might be coming! 400 million dollars worth of investment! In the very beating heart of the village! Are we excited and eager to see this happen, what with every last bank branch gone and shops sitting forlornly quiet awaiting a customer?Yes please, apply ...
Much discussion has been held over the Regulatory Standards Bill (RSB), the latest in a series of rightwing attempts to enshrine into law pro-market precepts such as the primacy of private property ownership. Underneath the good governance and economic efficiency gobbledegook language of the Bill is an interest to strip ...
We are concerned that the Amendment Bill, as proposed, could impair the operations and legitimate interests of the NZ Trade Union movement. It is also likely to negatively impact the ability of other civil society actors to conduct their affairs without the threat of criminal sanctions. We ask that ...
I can't take itHow could I fake it?How could I fake it?And I can't take itHow could I fake it?How could I fake it?Song: The Lonely Biscuits.“A bit nippy”, I thought when I woke this morning, and then, soon after that, I wondered whether hell had frozen over. Dear friends, ...
The Green Party is calling on the Government to stand firm and work with allies to progress climate action as Donald Trump signals his intent to pull out of the Paris Climate Accords once again. ...
The Green Party has welcomed the provisional ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, and reiterated its call for New Zealand to push for an end to the unlawful occupation of Palestine. ...
The Green Party welcomes the extension of the deadline for Treaty Principles Bill submissions but continues to call on the Government to abandon the Bill. ...
Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters has announced three new diplomatic appointments. “Our diplomats play an important role in ensuring New Zealand’s interests are maintained and enhanced across the world,” Mr Peters says. “It is a pleasure to announce the appointment of these senior diplomats from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and ...
Ki te kahore he whakakitenga, ka ngaro te Iwi – without a vision, the people will perish. The Government has achieved its target to reduce the number of households in emergency housing motels by 75 per cent five years early, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. The number of households ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced the new membership of the Public Advisory Committee on Disarmament and Arms Control (PACDAC), who will serve for a three-year term. “The Committee brings together wide-ranging expertise relevant to disarmament. We have made six new appointments to the Committee and reappointed two existing members ...
Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora, good morning, talofa, malo e lelei, bula vinaka, da jia hao, namaste, sat sri akal, assalamu alaikum. It’s so great to be here and I’m ready and pumped for 2025. Can I start by acknowledging: Simon Bridges – CEO of the Auckland ...
The Government has unveiled a bold new initiative to position New Zealand as a premier destination for foreign direct investment (FDI) that will create higher paying jobs and grow the economy. “Invest New Zealand will streamline the investment process and provide tailored support to foreign investors, to increase capital investment ...
Science, Innovation and Technology Minister Judith Collins today announced the largest reset of the New Zealand science system in more than 30 years with reforms which will boost the economy and benefit the sector. “The reforms will maximise the value of the $1.2 billion in government funding that goes into ...
Turbocharging New Zealand’s economic growth is the key to brighter days ahead for all Kiwis, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says. In the Prime Minister’s State of the Nation Speech in Auckland today, Christopher Luxon laid out the path to the prosperity that will affect all aspects of New Zealanders’ lives. ...
The latest set of accounts show the Government has successfully checked the runaway growth of public spending, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. “In the previous government’s final five months in office, public spending was almost 10 per cent higher than for the same period the previous year. “That is completely ...
The Government’s welfare reforms are delivering results with the number of people moving off benefits into work increasing year-on-year for six straight months. “There are positive signs that our welfare reset and the return consequences for job seekers who don't fulfil their obligations to prepare for or find a job ...
Jon Kroll and Aimee McCammon have been appointed to the New Zealand Film Commission Board, Arts Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “I am delighted to appoint these two new board members who will bring a wealth of industry, governance, and commercial experience to the Film Commission. “Jon Kroll has been an ...
Finance Minister Nicola Willis has hailed a drop in the domestic component of inflation, saying it increases the prospect of mortgage rate reductions and a lower cost of living for Kiwi households. Stats NZ reported today that inflation was 2.2 per cent in the year to December, the second consecutive ...
Two new appointed members and one reappointed member of the Employment Relations Authority have been announced by Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Brooke van Velden today. “I’m pleased to announce the new appointed members Helen van Druten and Matthew Piper to the Employment Relations Authority (ERA) and welcome them to ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has delivered a refreshed team focused on unleashing economic growth to make people better off, create more opportunities for business and help us afford the world-class health and education Kiwis deserve. “Last year, we made solid progress on the economy. Inflation has fallen significantly and now ...
Veterans’ Affairs and a pan-iwi charitable trust have teamed up to extend the reach and range of support available to veterans in the Bay of Plenty, Veterans Minister Chris Penk says. “A major issue we face is identifying veterans who are eligible for support,” Mr Penk says. “Incredibly, we do ...
A host of new appointments will strengthen the Waitangi Tribunal and help ensure it remains fit for purpose, Māori Development Minister Tama Potaka says. “As the Tribunal nears its fiftieth anniversary, the appointments coming on board will give it the right balance of skills to continue its important mahi hearing ...
Almost 22,000 FamilyBoost claims have been paid in the first 15 days of the year, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The ability to claim for FamilyBoost’s second quarter opened on January 1, and since then 21,936 claims have been paid. “I’m delighted people have made claiming FamilyBoost a priority on ...
The Government has delivered a funding boost to upgrade critical communication networks for Maritime New Zealand and Coastguard New Zealand, ensuring frontline search and rescue services can save lives and keep Kiwis safe on the water, Transport Minister Simeon Brown and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “New Zealand has ...
Mahi has begun that will see dozens of affordable rental homes developed in Gisborne - a sign the Government’s partnership with Iwi is enabling more homes where they’re needed most, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. Mr Potaka attended a sod-turning ceremony to mark the start of earthworks for 48 ...
New Zealand welcomes the ceasefire deal to end hostilities in Gaza, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “Over the past 15 months, this conflict has caused incomprehensible human suffering. We acknowledge the efforts of all those involved in the negotiations to bring an end to the misery, particularly the US, Qatar ...
The Associate Minster of Transport has this week told the community that work is progressing to ensure they have a secure and suitable shipping solution in place to give the Island certainty for its future. “I was pleased with the level of engagement the Request for Information process the Ministry ...
Associate Health Minister David Seymour says he is proud of the Government’s commitment to increasing medicines access for New Zealanders, resulting in a big uptick in the number of medicines being funded. “The Government is putting patients first. In the first half of the current financial year there were more ...
New Zealand's first-class free trade deal and investment treaty with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have been signed. In Abu Dhabi, together with UAE President His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed, New Zealand Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon, witnessed the signing of the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) and accompanying investment treaty ...
The latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, which shows the highest level of general business confidence since 2021, is a sign the economy is moving in the right direction, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. “When businesses have the confidence to invest and grow, it means more jobs and higher ...
Events over the last few weeks have highlighted the importance of strong biosecurity to New Zealand. Our staff at the border are increasingly vigilant after German authorities confirmed the country's first outbreak of foot and mouth disease (FMD) in nearly 40 years on Friday in a herd of water buffalo ...
Associate Justice Minister Nicole McKee reminds the public that they now have an opportunity to have their say on the rewrite of the Arms Act 1983. “As flagged prior to Christmas, the consultation period for the Arms Act rewrite has opened today and will run through until 28 February 2025,” ...
Complaints about disruptive behaviour now handled in around 13 days (down from around 60 days a year ago) 553 Section 55A notices issued by Kāinga Ora since July 2024, up from 41 issued during the same period in the previous year. Of that 553, first notices made up around 83 ...
The time it takes to process building determinations has improved significantly over the last year which means fewer delays in homes being built, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “New Zealand has a persistent shortage of houses. Making it easier and quicker for new homes to be built will ...
Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden is pleased to announce the annual list of New Zealand’s most popular baby names for 2024. “For the second consecutive year, Noah has claimed the top spot for boys with 250 babies sharing the name, while Isla has returned to the most popular ...
Work is set to get underway on a new bus station at Westgate this week. A contract has been awarded to HEB Construction to start a package of enabling works to get the site ready in advance of main construction beginning in mid-2025, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“A new Westgate ...
Minister for Children and for Prevention of Family and Sexual Violence Karen Chhour is encouraging people to use the resources available to them to get help, and to report instances of family and sexual violence amongst their friends, families, and loved ones who are in need. “The death of a ...
If you believe Prime Minister Chris Luxon economic growth will solve our problems and, if this is not just around the corner, it is at least on the horizon. It won’t be too long before things are “awesome” again. If you believe David Seymour the country is beset by much greater ...
Opinion: New Zealand’s universities are failing to prepare students for the entrepreneurial realities of the modern economy. That is a key finding of the Science System Advisory Group report released Thursday as part of the Government’s major science sector overhaul.The report highlights major gaps in entrepreneurship and industry-focused training. PhD ...
I first met Neve at a house party in Mount Maunganui. She was tall, blonde and tanned. An influencer typecast. She wore a string of pearls and a shell necklace that sat around her collarbones, and a silk dress that barely passed her crotch. Her hair was in tight curls—I ...
The Angry LeftSummer in New Zealand, and what does Christopher Luxon do about it? He goes fishing. Unbelievable.And worse, he does it in a boat. How tone-deaf is that? There he is, fishing, at sea, in a boat that would be better put to some practical use, like housing. How ...
A Complete Unknown may be fictionalised but it gets the key parts right. What is biography for? Especially the biopic, in which years and people and facts must be compressed into a mass-audience-friendly, sub-three-hour format. And what does biography do with an artist as immortal, inimitable and unwilling as Bob ...
The pool is a summery delight for swimmers and a smart move from the mayor. Last week I walked through Auckland’s Wynyard Quarter, commando and braless. After smugly setting off that morning for my second swim at the Karanga Plaza pool, dubbed Browny’s Pool by mayor Wayne Brown, I realised ...
Following his headline act in the Christchurch Buskers Festival, Alex Casey chats to Sam Wills about spending two decades as the elusive Tape Face. It’s a Thursday night at The Isaac Theatre Royal in Ōtautahi, and the fly swats, rubbish bags, and coat hangers littered across the stage make it ...
In my late 50s, I discovered long-distance hiking – and woke up to a new life infused with the rhythms of nature. The Spinoff Essay showcases the best essayists in Aotearoa, on topics big and small. Made possible by the generous support of our members.It began innocuously, just before my ...
The comedian and actor takes us through his life in television, including the British sitcom that changed his life and the trauma of 80s Telethons. You may know him best as Murray from Flight of the Conchords, or Stede Bonnet from Our Flag Means Death, but Rhys Darby is taking ...
Madeleine Chapman reflects on the week that was. Nearly every piece of advice or social trend can be boiled down to encouraging people to say “yes” more or “no” more. Dating advice has a foundation of saying yes, putting yourself out there, being open to new people and possibilities. The ...
Asia Pacific Report The Fijians for Palestine Solidarity Network (FPSN) and its allies have called for “justice and accountability” over Israel’s 15 months of genocide and war crimes. The Pacific-based network met in a solidarity gathering last night in the capital Suva hosted by the Fiji Women’s Crisis Centre and ...
Analysis - There needs to be recognition of the significant risks associated with focusing on mining and tourism, Glenn Banks and Regina Scheyvens write. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Mark Patrick Taylor, Chief Environmental Scientist, EPA Victoria; Honorary Professor, School of Natural Sciences, Macquarie University Andriana Syvanych/Shutterstock Most of us are fortunate that, when we turn on the tap, clean, safe and high-quality water comes out. But a senate inquiry ...
Analysis: Try as they might, Christopher Luxon and his partners in NZ First have been unable to distance themselves from the division caused by the Treaty Principles Bill, hampering the potential for further progress in areas where the Prime Minister believes the Crown and tangata whenua can collaborate.While the celebration ...
The Treaty Principles Bill continues to dog the National Party despite Luxon's repeated efforts to communicate the legislation will not go beyond second reading. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Julia Richardson, Professor of Human Resource Management, Head of School of Management, Curtin University Gorodenkoff/Shutterstock US President Donald Trump has called time on working from home. An executive order signed on the first day of his presidency this week requires all ...
The prime minister says he can mend the relationship with Māori after the bill is voted down, and he would refuse a future referendum in the next election's coalition negotiations. ...
Forest & Bird will continue to support New Zealanders to oppose these destructive activities and reminds the Prime Minister that in 2010, 40,000 people marched down Queen Street, demanding that high-value conservation land be protected from mining. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Glenn Banks, Professor of Geography, School of People, Environment and Planning, Te Kunenga ki Pūrehuroa – Massey University Getty Images Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s state-of-the-nation address yesterday focused on growth above all else. We shouldn’t rush to judgement, but at least ...
RNZ Pacific Fiji’s Minister for Health and Medical Services has declared an HIV outbreak. Dr Ratu Atonio Rabici Lalabalavu announced 1093 new HIV cases from the period of January to September 2024. “This declaration reflects the alarming reality that HIV is evolving faster than our current services can cater for,” ...
Acting PSA National Secretary Fleur Fitzsimons says the ACT proposals would take money from public services and funnel it towards private providers. Privatisation will inevitably mean syphoning money off from providing services for all to pay profits ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Claudio Bozzi, Lecturer in Law, Deakin University Shutterstock On his way to the G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro in November, Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Peruvian President Dina Boluarte to officially open a new US$3.6 billion (A$5.8 billion) deepwater ...
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With the spate of violent dairy robberies occurring nation wide, isn’t it time the Government puts a halt to further tobacco tax increases?
It’s not as if its the only tool in the box.
Moreover, surely the bulk of those willing to give up due to tax increases has now eclipsed, lessening the impact of tobacco tax increases going forward?
They won’t rob them if they stop stocking them. Giving up doing the right thing because of what scum bags are doing is never the right thing.
The Chairman spouting Big Tobacco’s argument.
Nothing wrong with a conversation starter. It is the open mike
While my argument may seem to align with the industry, the question you and others need to ask yourself is does the argument have merit?
By the way, can you link to where Big Tobacco are spouting the same argument, or did you just make that up?
The same argument will have to be run for commercialised Marijuana.
It will be taxed, corporatised, packaged and marketed just like tobacco – and just as worth robbing.
As an illegal product, cannabis already has a high market value. Therefore, if legalised it would become far cheaper in comparison. Therefore, most users would be delighted and happy to pay.
However, if the Government decided that tax would be used to fiscally force people to quit, it would quickly revert back underground. People would go back to growing their own or purchasing it cheaper on the black market.
The price would be dominated by the taxes, very similar to tobacco now.
No. What we have now with tobacco taxes is a concentrated effort to deter people from smoking by applying excessive and ongoing tax increases.
And I would expect the very same from Marijuana. Trust me the government will find a public health reason to tax the bejeesus out of it. After all, they’re going to need replacement income for declining tobacco sales!
Attempting to would most likely fail.
Cannabis users won’t be inclined to pay more for a product they can easily attain far cheaper on an already well established black market.
As for the Government seeking replacement income, there is always the possibility of higher taxes on alcohol. Which seems to be more widely consumed and often touted to cause more harm.
It is all too silly to say tobacco taxes is a concentrated effort to deter people from smoking.
It’s a concentrated effort to gather more taxes, that’s what it is.
A concentrated effort to deter people from smoking would be to stop making the product available.
Everyone gets to keep playing the nice little game though, and everyone keeps getting nice pay packets from the nice little game.
Reminds me of western leaders who keep proclaiming peace, human rights and democracy, but who keep exporting billions in armaments to states like Saudi Arabia, Israel and Bahrain.
No, not at all, Brigid. It’s two pronged.
If people stopped smoking there’d be no taxes which proves that it’s not a way to gather more taxes.
That’s a big if, Draco.
The notion seems to be failing. Although a number have quit, a number continue to smoke. And the desired outcome won’t meet the date set.
Smoking is strongly addictive, hence it would be easier to target people before they become addicted instead of fiscally punishing people who already are.
No, it’s simple logic. If nobody smoked then it wouldn’t matter how much tax they put on it as there would be no money raised. Obviously, if they actually wanted to raise money from taxing cigarettes then their best bet would be to lower taxes and have more people smoking rather than raising them and having people quit.
The whole They just raising this tax or that fine to raise money is obviously BS RWNJ meme as it does result in less people doing it and thus less money.
It’s not just a few, it’s the majority of smokers that have quit.
http://www.ash.org.nz/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Factsheets/01_Smoking_statistics_ASH_NZ_factsheet.pdf
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/lifestyle/news/article.cfm?c_id=6&objectid=11170993
That figure doesn’t really go back far enough but it’s enough to show trends.
It certainly helps to discourage people from beginning to smoke but raising the price of cigarettes has also been shown to be effective in getting people to quit (pdf):
Bold mine.
Again with the big if, Draco.
You clearly underestimate the power of addiction and the means some will take to continue smoking.
Taxes on tobacco is not what drives people to smoke. And considering tobacco taxes are now somewhat extreme, people are still taking up the habit.
And while they are continually increasing the tax on tobacco, it offsets the number quitting, thus maintains the revenue stream.
Tax revenue from smoking is still trending upwards (2009 -2015).
Health concerns present them with a somewhat legitimate excuse to tax the hell out of smokers.
As for your assertion. The link you provided stated figures show 15.1% of Kiwis 15 and over smoking, down from 20.7% six years ago.
That’s not an indication the majority have given up as you incorrectly claimed.
What drives people to smoke is socialisation. Drives people to drink as well.
Basically, without an example of people smoking chances are that no one would take it up.
Yep, some people always will no matter the cost.
[citation needed]
SMOKING INEQUALITIES
Policies and patterns of tobacco use in New Zealand, 1981-1996(pdf)
A decrease from ~33% to ~15% is a reduction of more than 50%, i.e, a majority.
Yes, I’m quite aware that over that time period many would have died but, based upon the demographic bulge of the Baby Boomers, at a guess I’d say that the majority are still alive and actually gave up.
Draco
Most smokers start when they’re young. And because they shouldn’t be smoking, it makes them feel cool and mature.
1983 is way before the tax increases we’re discussing. I was talking about the numbers quitting due to the tax increases that began in 2010. And how the numbers quitting aren’t expected to reach the target of the 2025 date set.
Treasury openly admits raising revenue is a reason for taxing tobacco. Stating tobacco taxes are very efficient at raising revenue as consumers are not highly price sensitive due to the strongly addictive nature of nicotine.
Treasury also admits taxes on tobacco are regressive (taking a larger % of income from low-income earners than from high-income earners) as smoking rates are highest in lower socio-economic groups.
Here’s the link to the citation you requested.
http://www.taxpayers.org.nz/passive_income
A price too far?
The evidence is that raising taxes on cigarettes works to decrease smoking is fairly robust across the world including NZ.
Yeah, definitely not going to believe anything from that bunch of liars.
Listen Paul, there is a darker side to this which is getting little (if any) any media coverage. And it relates to the posts you tend to put up.
The increasing price of tobacco is creating fiscal hardship for those that can’t quit.
For the wealthy it may be an inconvenience paying more, but for those already struggling it’s becoming extremely hard.
And there are more tobacco tax increases to come.
Therefore, you need to ask yourself do you support putting people into further fiscal hardship when there are other avenues to take that could still achieve the non smoking goal?
As reported numerous times, not stocking them will result in a decline in their turnover. It’s a very competitive sector.
Whether tobacco tax increases are the right thing is questionable.
Moreover, halting tax increases wouldn’t be giving up, there are a number of other tools in the box still to be applied. For example, on going increases in the age allowed to purchase, preventing the young from starting up.
”. For example, on going increases in the age allowed to purchase, preventing the young from starting up.”
Age limits have never stopped kids from accessing smokes , but price will , as a young milk boy one days money got my smokes for a week, if they had of been two weeks income like they are now i would not have brought them.
While age limits are not full-proof, if well policed, they do have an impact.
As for price, they’re already rather expensive now.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/opinion/84166141/doug-bailey-should-politics-be-a-career-in-itself
Having people as politicians who have never done anything but politics is bad for democracy, maybe we need an entry age limit of over 30
I agree
In Germany you get streamed really early into technical, craft, or professional careers.
Don’t be afraid of specialisation.
Law degrees at least should be pre-requisites for being an MP.
That is the job: forming law.
God NO, less lawyers in parliament! Also they don’t seem as voter friendly as the bad accountant turned financial currency speculator and his merry gang of woodwork school teachers, DPB recipients, and who knows what the rest of them used to do, before they took hold of a country and turned it to mush.
You’ve just centred the job of being the peoples representative and the leaders of the nation into a professionalised white collar technocratic role.
Bad move.
Even though that’s pretty much all those MPs in Parliament are now.
They have the Parliamentary Counsel Office for that.
Here is an idea!
Socrates quoted in Plato’s “Republic”
(by the way – Socrates also included women.)
Or we can abdicate all this untidy philosophizing and prioritise the “wisdom of the market”
/sarc
Should we also require them to have lived a few years unemployed?
How about a requirement for them to have worked across broad sectors of industry and been to tertiary education multiple times learning different things each time?
All so that we know that they’ve got the experience to understand and represent everyone.
Of course, even that may not actually change anything. We have the National Party and their supporters who obviously have some experience of the ‘real world’ and yet they still support Nationals delusional ideology.
What’s bad for democracy is dictating who can and can’t stand.
Regardless of ones background, it’s up to voters to decide.
‘It nearly destroyed her life’, rich-lister’s son told after punching female police officer”
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/84151321/it-nearly-destroyed-her-life-richlisters-son-told-after-punching-female-police-officer
Apparently beating a cop almost senseless does not warrant jail time.
Only 300 hours community service & $5000 fine. Nice for some.
A search of Judge Kevin Phillips’ conduct (on and off the bench) ranges from comical to questionable.
Here’s an image that inspires confidence. Perhaps this is how he dresses when passing sentences.
https://static2.stuff.co.nz/1403667194/911/10198911.jpg
@William Joyce – amazing how you can buy justice these days as long as you are in the right circles.
The photograph which appears on page 5 of the Press. is of of Nikolas Delegat, the rich- lister’s son who repeatedly punched a policewoman several times even after she lost consciousness
Actually the photograph nearly doesn’t appear. Interesting that other Press photos and the one on Stuff are clear but the same one of Mr Delegat on page 5 is darker and his features are obscurely unrecognizable.
We wonder why his features are hidden? Coincidence?
Also interesting that winemaker Delegat’s son has now sworn off alcohol.
I think of Tui ads.
It is all part of our brighter future those with money can now buy citizenship so why not justice everything is for sale with these tory b’s
Meanwhile a Māori trout poacher is sentenced to one years jail for apparent feeding the whanau.
But even 300 hours of community service may prove too much for one of the rich-listers offspring. The $5000 in reparations seems to be regarded with the same seriousness as a parking ticket:
https://www.odt.co.nz/news/dunedin/court-news/sentence-may-be-appealed
This was a sustained and vicious attack, but the sentence is a testament to the value of an expensive legal team. Privilege means “private law”, as the late Terry Pratchett was fond of observing.
Trigger warning for this bit!
https://www.odt.co.nz/news/dunedin/court-news/long-and-winding-road-sentencing
It was this bit, in light of the damage that the brat has done that really got me:
“His lawyer, Auckland barrister Mark Ryan, said a conviction would prevent Delegat from becoming a licensed authorised financial adviser under the Financial Markets Authority – a career which he was pursuing – and from entering the United States to compete in yacht races…”
Oh diddums!
I hope he is getting some help for his issues so he can become a better and more responsible citizen, who people can feel safe around. He’s got the $$$ to pay for the help. As David Cunliffe would say “man up”.
Yep – that pisses me off as well. Unfortunately, it’s the excuse that’s normally used by rugby players to get off without conviction on violent offences and they usually do.
Personally, they should have thought about that before they got violent.
Agreed Draco
Lucky to be alive by the sounds of things.
Yeah, I’d say jail time was far more appropriate. And that doesn’t have anything to do with her being female or a cop. When somebody does that to a person they deserve jail time.
Of course, our jails need to be more focussed upon rehabilitation than punishment as well.
No, that was very much in character and the idea that he could get away with it was very much a part of him being rich. It’s known that rich people have such sociopathies and sense of entitlement simply from being rich.
How the judge dresses in his spare time has nothing to do with his capability as a judge. You thinking it does only reflects on your inability to accept people for who they are and how they enjoy life.
You thinking my comment only reflects on my inability to accept people for who they are and how they enjoy life only reflects on your inability to …
“omg I am a liberal, I should be offended here. Give me a minute, I will find something. Oh yeah, there it is, take his comment far too seriously, parse it through the prism of a “social crusader” and reflect it back to him as moral failure and make judgements about him…Now I feel better….My work here is done”
So, you’re trying to pass off your bigoted remark as humour then?
There you go again…”bigoted”
“Making assumptions not based in evidence, Your Honour”
The evidence was your bigoted remark about his clothing.
It is hard to see the value in that image. Perhaps you could explain why you posted it.
Theirs also one of him skinny dipping, I think Warrington beach early this year, not named as such, but you could make out that rotund body and the hairdo of the clown in the Simpsons so many of us ex Qtn will remember.
The Colmar -Brunton poll yesterday was disheartening, but I guess it proves several things about NZ today…..
1) Many people are doing OK and are happy to put business before people.
2) The Nats own the media ,and the media is the message.
3) Labour is having next to no impact.
4) NZF is on the rise.
This is not going to end well.
@Garibaldi agree disheartening and agree with most of your points apart from 1) Many people are doing OK and are happy to put business before people. I don’t think people are feeling like they are doing ok or business is more important, but I also think the Lab Green approach is making them feel they could do worse.
I just think Lab- Green are not paying to their strengths and instead going for side issues that are more Nat issues such as the economy, that are very polarising.
They need to focus on big picture. Most people can work out that Globalism is really affecting their lives from climate change and pollution to jobs opportunities and wages.
But have yet to see a ‘big picture’ approach from Labour in particular. They need to inspire people. Think nuclear Free – where NZ actually took a hard stand on an issue and communicated it well.
As for Greens if they concentrated more on environment which they are known for they would get more votes than advocating crashing the property market. They fucked up last time with that approach. For gods sake do they want to make a difference and get into power or not???? Why pick an issue to alienate a massive group of people when there are more important catastrophic events coming our way like climate change?
No no its ok, Andrew Little says its a rogue poll because it doesn’t match the internal polling he’s seen (which won’t be released) so no need to worry 🙂
Why don’t the Opposition parties – or someone – release the results of the UMR polls? I understand they were the closest to the final election result in 2014, and they apparently have consistently placed Labour in the early to mid 30s this year. Nor sure where the other parties are placed, but UMR sounds far more representative of reality than the media polling companies with their ongoing bias towards National.
I’d go with David Farrar as a general idea of where the parties are because hes what National uses to work out what they are or aren’t doing properly so he has to be accurate (or at least as accurate as you can be with polls)
http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2016/09/latest_poll-45.html
“At the last election in September 2015 this same poll had Labour at 25.2%. They got 25.1%. They were very accurate for Labour. In fact it was National they got a bit wrong with a poll of 45.1% vs an actual election result of 47.0%”
I was talking to a Labour candidae in my local election ward here in Christchurch and he agreed with me it doesn’t make sense Labour isn’t sending a stronger message. He was taking part at the rally for democracy on Saturday and said if Labour took a harder line on issues such as the TPPA they would gain more traction. The more people like him involved maybe the top will listen
I know I’m going to do what I can to help him in the local election and later in the central next year. He is doing door knocking and said some people, who are Labour supporters said they didn’t have a candidate door knocking for 15 years! No wonder local election participation is so low. Yes, it is a very much a blue ward, but if you don’t put an effort you will never have a chance to change anything.
Labour would rather not govern if it means having to change anything.
The delusion that Corbynism represents a mass uprising of far left support is neatly punctured by these two new polls.
Labour’s current opinion poll ratings are the worst the party has ever experienced in opposition
77% of British voters now see themselves as centrist or right of centre – and only 20% believe Jeremy Corbyn shares their position
What Corbynism actually represents is a very astute manoeuvre to successfully take over the Centre Left Labour by a very small number of voters aligned around a Far Left ideology.
‘Very small’ in that the 250,000 new voters that have enrolled in the Party represent a mere 0.53% of the UK voting population.
Genuine Far Left support in the UK (and NZ) is somewhere below the 20% mark, and that’s where the Corbynistas are headed.
The Centre Left only have 2 alternatives if they want any hope of regaining Govt. an election or 3 from now…
Give up the Labour Party as lost, and start a new one, or….
Arm up, and mount a counter revolution to take back the old one.
” Far Left ideology.” – what’s that?
those that place themselves to the left of social democracy, which they see as insufficiently left-wing. The two main sub-types are the so-called “radical left”, for their desire for fundamental change to the capitalist system while accepting of democracy, and the “extreme left” who are more hostile to liberal democracy and denounce any compromise with capitalism. March sees four major subgroups within contemporary European far-left politics: communists, democratic socialists, populist socialists and social populists.
So a handful of categories into which to chuck anyone who might prove a threat to the status quo – the same status quo that demands that dying people attend job interviews, inflicts austerity on the already deprived and laughingly refers to those same people as chavs, while knocking back a couple of Roijas and snacking on gluten-free tapas. Here’s a couple of questions: is it “hostile to liberal democracy” to oppose austerity? Or is a regime that imposes an austerity program targeted solely at the have-nots still upholding liberal democracy?
How would you classify ‘Far Left’ then Olwyn?
You don’t think your views as just expressed fit into the definition above?
I think that capitalism should be answerable to a broad conception of the public good, which includes such fundamental human rights as access to housing and earning a living. I also prefer that certain things, such as power, water and public transport, are in public ownership. Let the capitalists be as creative as they claim they are, rather than latch on to a guaranteed income stream and then pat themselves on the back for being captains of industry. I do not consider that my position is far left, since it does not rule out democratic elections or good faith negotiations between different interest groups. An actual far left position would either rule these things out out or render them toothless, and perhaps also nationalise the farms and turn them into collectives.
Actually, it wouldn’t but it would render the powerful under the present paradigm powerless.
OK. But wouldn’t that leave a power vacuum, and if so, how would it be filled? I favour a broad conception of the public good to which we are all answerable over a situation where this-or-that constellation of interest groups is able to dominate the rest, and benefit themselves at the expense of others.
It would be filled by everyone having equal power through collective decision making.
Hey Draco, you seem to be here for genuine and honest debate. You constantly challenge others to it.
But check our discussion below. My comment below at 8.24am is the third time now we’ve reached this point in a discussion, and you’ve then walked away.
I’d be genuinely interested to see where the discussion might progress if we resolve these points.
It should be simple enough : either produce some examples that disprove what I say, or concede there are no such examples.
Shouldn’t be too difficult either way for someone with an open mind and some intellectual honesty.
I would say placing major infrastructure into Govt. hands is a bit further than ‘centre Left’ Olwyn. And by the definition above wanting fundamental change to Capitalism while still accepting of democracy is in fact a Far Left position.
But i notice you refer to ‘the Capitalists’ in the third person, and there is a definite edge to your commentary on them!
Are you for or against Capitalism? Would your ideal system incorporate it?
Capitalism began its rise about 450 years ago, and has enjoyed about 200 years or so of dominance (since the French and US revolutions). During that time it has been modified to varying degrees by religious sensibilities and competing political/economic philosophies, and has generally worked best where it has been thus modified. Capitalism is an economic philosophy, not an absolute authority – it is up to capitalism to serve humanity and not the reverse. There is no guarantee that it will not go the way of the kings it displaced, and the less the restraints on it, the more likely that is to happen.
All very good. But would your ideal system incorporate it?
Conditionally, as is surely obvious by all of my answers. I do not have a fully thought out “ideal system” – I just think that a broad, conception of the public good, along with the mechanisms for making that genuinely inclusive, rather than the return to the shareholder, should be the standard.
Yup. I like the way you’ve stated that, and I agree with your broad conception.
It’s always the catch though. The ideal is great, but you can’t propose a coherent and compelling plan for achieving it.
It’s the interface between ‘public good’ and ‘Human self interest’ (return to shareholder) that is so difficult to find the perfectly balanced mechanism to control, and more importantly, to get people to sign up to.
Actually, it’s not. Get rid of the bludging shareholders and you’ll find that the public good and self-interest coincides.
Get rid of the bludging shareholders and you’ll find that the public good and self-interest coincides.
Now that’s the central delusion that undermines your philosophy Draco. You are assuming that
a. ‘shareholders’ are different to other humans.
b. That you can get rid of them.
Both are utterly false presumptions.
You can’t ‘get rid’ of Human Nature’, and the ‘shareholder’ is simply another manifestation of that ‘human self interest’ that has expressed itself in every civilization that has ever existed.
It is an intrinsic and vital aspect of our collective nature.
That’s why you are unable to provide a single example of a civilization that has been free of a hierarchy of privilege. eh?
That’s why the only realistic option is to attempt to balance off that self interest with the public good, as Olwyn put it so well.
The only other possibility is suppression. And we know where that leads don’t we comrade.
a. No I’m not
b. That’s actually easy. Just requires making it illegal to own a business or shares in a business. Businesses would be cooperatives run by the people working there and those people would get the full benefits of the businesses profits.
You’re making the false assumption that the way things are are the way things must always be.
And there you’re making the mistake of assuming that all humans are exactly the same and have the exact same traits as the greedy capitalists. Research shows that only about 20% of the population have such psychopathic traits and good nurture and a culture that restricted such could probably decrease that as well.
Except for the fact that I have.
No, that’s not the only possibility. Two points:
1. Getting rid of capitalism doesn’t actually oppress anybody
2. Empower people through a full democratic system
3. Capitalism is oppressive. It needs to be else there’d be no rich people and so it actively oppresses the majority
That’s why you are unable to provide a single example of a civilization that has been free of a hierarchy of privilege. eh?
Except for the fact that I have.
No you haven’t Draco.
All you have ever been able to point to are subsistence hunter-gatherer societies as examples.
Where no excess wealth exists and where everyone absolutely relies on the effort of every other individual for mere survival, the only option is full equality and co-operation.
That kind of society is only sustainable in very small groupings at very low overall population densities. They are not civilizations and they actually disprove your point.
As soon as technology develops, and excess wealth begins to be created, ALL human societies that have ever existed have developed on a very similar pattern away from ‘primitive communism’ towards hierarchy and inequality; Tribes, Chiefdom’s, States and Civilizations.
That is ‘ALL’ Draco, and you are unable to provide examples to disprove that.
The fact it is ALL, not some and not most, regardless of the many separate times and places this pattern has occurred, tells us very clearly that it is an inevitable result of the Human condition. It is our natural form of organization.
All attempts to artificially re-organise Human societies along the lines you propose have failed miserably.
And again, you are unable to provide an example of one that has succeeded.
They simply don’t work because human nature subverts them.
‘Animal Farm’ describes the process perfectly.
And so the attempts to create the kind of situations you propose ALWAYS lead to corruption, usually combined with murderous suppression.
That’s why the political structure you propose has almost zero support Draco. We’ve seen the results and we’re not interested thanks.
Any Human Society that is going to ‘work’ on any level is going to have to accommodate the realities of the human condition, in all it’s glorious imperfection.
Your egalitarian co-operative non hierarchical civilization is an impossibility, because human nature does not accommodate it, and that is why you can’t show me a single example of one actually existing.
You my friend, are pissing in the wind.
No, it isn’t:
It appears that it was the rise of unequal societies (paywalled) that did in the egalitarian ones and not the rise of corruption.
Yes and so we go back to those societies that were egalitarian and look at what they did to prohibit the rise of corruption. IIRC, one of those societies prevented thieves from reproducing unto the seventh generation. What they didn’t do is reward the fuckers with even more wealth as we do today.
Corruption is most definitely endemic to capitalist type societies and it’s what’s been destroying them throughout all of recorded history. It’s what’s destroying our society and the environment now.
Fascinating links Draco, some good reading there thanks.
But by my reading, they actually reinforce the points I made?
I can’t find a non pay walled copy of the New scientist article, but the abstract seems to echo exactly what I am saying above: non-hierarchical egalitarianism is a necessary response where there is no option but subsistence…
‘Keeping the playing field level was a matter of survival. These small-scale, nomadic foraging groups didn’t stock up much surplus food, and given the high-risk nature of hunting – the fact that on any given day or week you may come back empty-handed – sharing and cooperation were required to ensure everyone got enough to eat. Anyone who made a bid for higher status or attempted to take more than their share would be ridiculed or ostracised for their audacity. Suppressing our primate ancestors’ dominance hierarchies by enforcing these egalitarian norms was a central adaptation of human evolution, argues social anthropologist Christopher Boehm. It enhanced cooperation and lowered risk as small, isolated bands of humans spread into new territory’.
I did find a copy of the article about The Halaf transition here….
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4522825/
This article outlines the very transformation towards hierarchy and inequality I describe.
They had a specific situation that allowed them to exist a long time at the very limit of a hunter gatherer society, while other societies around them were developing hierarchical structures.
But ‘it is probable’ they went into crisis due to ‘Social and environmental constraints. The possible adoption of new sociopolitical models from Southern Mesopotamia may have therefore been an answer to this crisis’.
After that time the Halaf and neighbouring society mingle and assimilate (with) each other to the point that the old local culture seems to have disappeared.
The article sums up the process of transition…
.The disappearance, at least as we may see it, of the indigenous Halaf culture, its subsistence modes, and organization system seems to have been the result not only of an emulation of foreign cultural components, but of having adopted the structural and social relational models of the southern neighbors,
So Draco, whether it is because of being unable to compete with hierarchical societies, or willingly adopting their components, or naturally developing that structure as technology moves them away from subsistence, or an intermingling of all 3 factors…
We are still left with the same reality.
There is no example of an egalitarian co-operative non hierarchical society being able to move past a situation of semi-nomadic subsistence.
And as the article you quote states, it is necessary for such societies to actively suppress individualism in order to survive. The result is that very little if any innovation can occur, and such societies tend to remain at subsistence level for a very long time. (Papua New Guinea being the best known example).
So from a modern human political point of view this seems to be the issue you have in ‘selling’ an egalitarian co-operative non hierarchical society to ‘the people’…..
It is a model that has only ever worked at a subsistence survival level, and at the expense of individuality and innovation.
Do you see the problem?
So tell me how you think you could make it work in today’s world for today’s humans?
That first paragraph is sitting in the may or may not have but we just don’t really know category. Then they got assimilated into the neighbouring society.
I see the oppression of individuality in capitalist societies as well. In fact, over the last three decades I’ve seen that oppression increase in NZ as education, the real basis of innovation, is taken away from the majority of people, as their wages are cut so that they don’t have enough to live on and thus have no hope of ever having enough to innovate with. The end result is the increasing inequality and poverty that we’re seeing.
And all that so that a few bludgers can have ever more money.
& what is John Keys Govt in this magical spectrum?
Centre Right by a NZ Standard, and Centre Left by world Standards.
Thanks Lost Sheep, kinda shows what bollocks it is really if selling assets & hassling beneficiaries & dodgy deals is ‘Centre Left’ (tho we spell it center in NZ usually yeah?), thanks anyway.
“we spell it center in NZ usually”.
Bloody Americans.
I assume you write liter for litre, meter for metre, theater for theatre and fiber for fibre as well?
http://owll.massey.ac.nz/academic-writing/american-vs-british-spelling.php
You must watch too many American TV programs.
No I don’t actually, thank you once again ALwyn for showing me the error of my ways, my mistake.
I am showing my age. When I went to school all the spelling was the English version.
Metre was a distance. Meter was a measuring instrument.
Do most people in New Zealand really use “center” these days. I am surprised, although I’ll take your word for it.
Many years ago when I was involved in IT I had a boss who tried to ban the use of the American word “Program” in any situation. He insisted that it always be spelt “Programme”.
Our programmers, who coded in Cobol, assured him that they could do no further work as the very first thing in every Cobol program(me) had to be, in the Identification Division a mandatory paragraph “PROGRAM-ID” and that alternative spellings were not allowed. (At least that is how I remember the required statement but it is a long, long time ago.)
in IT circles the spelling of “program” (a computer) is uncontested, your old boss deserved to lose that argument
http://grammarist.com/spelling/program-programme/
Absolutley correct Alwyn, I am quite uptight with ‘english’ spelling in my real life, totally my mistake my comment.
I blame Webster.
Anyway, I tend to go English spelling where I can, just for the hell of it.
NZ spelling is still ‘centre’ not ‘center’..’theatre’ not ‘ theater’ and ‘metre/ centimetre/kilometre’ not ‘meter/ centimeter/kilometer’. Dunno about ‘heater or Peter’ Ask any IELTS examiner/examinre/. (International English Testing System)
@tls, don’t you think the worst rating is driven by the infighting of Labour? I think people see themselves mostly as wanting to be in the middle Centrist with 20 % either side. Owen Smith is just a Bullshit artist, politician from what I have seen and heard, just wanting power and a pay rise, like a lot of them. Corbyn seems to have a long track record of principles. He’s driven a huge increase in people joining Labour, I think the figures you quote are misleading.
No doubt the leadership issues within the Labour Party are putting off many voters Nick. But who will those voters be?
If a voter strongly supported Corbyn, would they not still be voting for Labour regardless of the opposition to his leadership?
But if they identified themselves as Centrist / Centre Left, and not especially aligned to a Corbyn they see as Far Left, and were dismayed at the current dysfunctional nature of the Labour Party, could they be taking their vote elsewhere?
As the polls above strongly support, I would say UK Labour is bleeding Centrist support.
I wonder too if there was a question ‘would you vote for anyone but the present Govt’ what the polling would show. I imagine a lot of tribal tories are so certain they would vote National no matter what whereas ‘the left’ are a bit more discerning. I mean National voters know their leader is a lying hair pulling hollow man but they still go googly eyes at him.
UK Labour is about as centre-Left as National and the position of Corbyn isn’t “Far Left ideology” but just a bit closer to reality than the prevailing orthodoxy.
Someone as Far to the Left as you would say that Draco!
80% of Britsh voters would disagree with you though.
Which do you think matters most?
Reality has a Radical Left Bias.
Reality is 77% of UK voters see themselves as Centrist or Right of Centre, and the same would apply in most Western Countries.
What part of reality is escaping you Draco?
Maybe if you spent less time in this tiny bubble you might get more to grips with it.
and those exact same people will likely tend to strongly agree with left wing ideals
go figure
i think its much like modern marketing these days – people buying things based on the sales pitch – even when they know its bad for them (Not talking left/right – just how people tend to go about things)
That’s not reality but opinion. Adhering to reality requires actually taking into account the real physical world which none of present parties do.
i think we can quite easily blame “yet another public war started by MPs who wont do as they are told by the members” for the poll drop
the exact same thing happened here
FYI
Seen this?
http://www.indianweekender.co.nz/Pages/ArticleDetails/7/6860/New-Zealand/Meet-the-citys-potential-future-leaders
With a 20-year experience in local government, defending the public and their interest, as a self-funded anti-privatisation and anti-corruption ‘public watchdog’, Penny Bright says that as mayor, she would bring council services and regulatory functions back “in-house” under the public service model, and stop corrupt cronyism and corporate welfare.
_____________________________
In my view, Neo-liberal , ‘Rogernomic$’ helped to wreck Auckland (and New Zealand).
Fellow Auckland Mayoral candidate Phil Goff, was a Cabinet Minister in that 1984-87 ‘Rogernomic$’ Labour Government.
That’s where I first met Phil Goff, when as the Minister for Housing, Muldoon’s ‘rent freeze’ was lifted, which affected low-income families.
A few of founded a group – ‘AARH’
(Action Against Rent Hikes), to fight this.
In my view – the debate that should be happening – is (genuinely and fiercely politically ‘Independent’ Auckland Mayoral candidate Penny Bright, campaigning to ‘roll back Rogernomic$’, and current Labour MP, Phil Goff, defending the ‘Rogernomic$’ reforms that he helped instigate, and their continuation via Council Controlled Organisations (CCOs) then Public-Private-Partnerships (PPPs)?
Who would like to see THAT debate, to help enable Auckland electors ‘cast an informed vote’?
Auckland Mayoral candidate Penny Bright vs Auckland Mayoral candidate Phil Goff – ‘Is it time to ‘roll back Rogernomic$’?
Penny Bright
2016 Auckland Mayoral candidate.
‘Activists – get things done’.
Do you think endlessly posting self promting pieces is a good way to persuade people to vote for you? May be a good idea to read a good book on selling 101. Selling without selling.
Might be a good idea to delete your footer for the same reason. Its shameless self promotion. Never works.
Just a piece of helpful advice Penny.
@peter ch ch….. I find some of Penny’s posts informative, even the ones about herself. Beats the hell out of ShonKey and his Bullshit relentless propaganda lies….. Don’t you think?
Did you know she’s a candidate for the position of Mayor of Auckland?
Why do you have a problem with that ?
I don’t have a problem with it at all, I was curious to know if Nick knew because its a closely guarded secret
Penny has been very open about her standing as a mayoral candidate. Such that I’d find it highly unlikely that anyone wouldn’t know.
Ah ok I just figured no one knew about her standing because its always at the bottom of her posts so she must be wanting to make sure everyone knows about it, my mistake
‘Activists – get things done’.
Roger saved NZ from Muldoon madness and the real villain was Lange who chickened out and called for a cup of tea instead of letting Roger introduce things like UBI that a true socialist would want for the people.
Isn’t it interesting, Penny. You’re standing against Rogernomics, yet the left have endorsed Goff.
City Vision (the coalition of Labour, Greens and community independents) are endorsing Goff.
Go figure?
When will the left start backing candidates that genuinely represent them?
And finally… How the Dutch build a tunnel under a highway in one weekend
http://www.scottishconstructionnow.com/12968/and-finally-how-the-dutch-build-a-tunnel-under-a-highway-in-one-weekend/
Amazing ,,… thanks for the link.
Given that this government is not doing anything about global warming does this warrant John Key and his leading cabinet members, especially those assigned climate change portfolios, being charged with criminal negligence?
http://norightturn.blogspot.co.nz/2016/09/climate-change-no-path-to-lower.html
“Generally, criminal liability requires not only the doing of a prohibited act but also either an intention to do the harm proscribed or recklessness whether it ensues. In other words, there must be a guilty mind (mens rea) as well as an unlawful act. There are, however, many exceptions to this in New Zealand, especially in the case of regulatory offences. Moreover, some crimes, notably manslaughter, are based on negligence. This country differs from most others in that the test of criminal negligence is, in many cases, the same as that for civil negligence – failure to observe the standard of care of a reasonable man – and even a slight degree of negligence can give rise to criminal liability.” Bruce James Cameron, B.A., LL.M., Legal Adviser, Department of Justice, Wellington.
Source: http://www.teara.govt.nz/en/1966/criminal-law
@ep….. ShonKey is a criminal who hasn’t been caught yet……crimes against NZ in his pursuit of money and power…..and girls/womens ponytails….. Creep
Probably should be. Does it come with a possibility of more than two years jail time?
This is an odd story – a bit murky:
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/84158063/dispute-with-prime-minster-john-key-over-82-dinner-bill-heading-to-court
I would say, however, it would have been good if the PM’s DPS could have reacted this way:
“The DPS pulled the men aside and held them, calling Wellington Police, who arrested the pair and locked them up overnight for breaching bail and theft of the $82 meal.”
when the PM was harassing and assaulting Amanda Bailey. Key should have been held aside, the Police called and put in a cell.
Sounds like a couple of guys trying to pull a fast one and get a meal for free, probably watched too many episodes of Hustle and thought they could pull it off
It’s not entirely clear what happened, to me at least, in regard to what happened with the DPS and the request for the PM to pay the bill. Then the guy was let off the theft charge as well a judge saying his bail conditions hadn’t been breached after all…….
But yeah, it does look, on the surface like they were trying to pull a swifty.
& you reckon they would pursue it still? Maybe Keys speech was a bit slurry that night & no one knows WTF he said.
That’s also a possibility that shouldn’t be discounted
Yeah, and apparently restauranteurs who report dine&dash customers now get told that it’s a civil matter. But try and put it on the pm’s tab, even when he might have offered to pay it… heaven forbid…
Not paying for meals is not theft, anyway. First year law: it’s obtaining credit by deception. Key’s personal enforcers couldn’t even get that right.
“Not paying for meals is not theft, anyway. First year law: it’s obtaining credit by deception. Key’s personal enforcers couldn’t even get that right.”
I didn’t know that. How does it work in a situation where you have drive off’s from the petrol pump? Is that theft, or that “obtaining by deception” There appears to be similarities in the way the product is procured. Procure first, pay second.
And if not paying for a meal is obtaining credit by deception, is that why the Police would have dropped the theft charge?
Basically, if it’s freely given then it’s not theft (theft, btw, is an intention to permanently deprive the owner of the item, but just borrowing it is conversion).
However, if it’s freely given in the expectation that you will pay for it after receiving it, then basically they’re extending you credit to cover the purchase.
They might have dropped the charge because they used the wrong charge, but more likely because the two chaps would have stated that they had made good faith arrangements for the pm to pay for their meal, and/or they had intendedto make good if it fell through but the cops arrested them for drunk&disorderly before they could pay. Credit by deception and theft have the same penalty for that value, anyway. Pretty minor.
I’m not a lawyer, but I actually got a friend of a friend off a charge of offensive behaviour because he’d only been taking a widdle. Excreting in public is a trivial matter, offensive behaviour slightly less so ($100 vs $500 as I recall), so when he got to court he told the judge that the cops had obviously charged him with the wrong offense because the summary of facts was just about urinating. Case dismissed.
The flipside is driving offenses: if you drive into a ditch they do you for failing to stay in the lane, even if it was a pretty minor misjudgement. As soon as you complain they threaten to escalate it to dangerous driving or tack on failing to drive to the conditions, the tossers. Just to make you pay the ticket and fuck off.
Well, thanks for clarifying that. That’s very interesting.
On the other side of the public peeing situation – For over two years I put up with builders pissing on my back fence in full view of me, and in full view of public walking by on the street.
Fence is only 1.5 metres high, with fairly wide gaps.
I’d previously been threatened by a builder for reporting him to the council. For some of the guys I believe the pissing was part of the intimidation tactics that the builder has instructed his subbies to take part in.
I had the police around a few times to the house, talked to them on the phone and went to the station.
Nothing happened. Zilch. They couldn’t care less. I would have been thrilled if those guys who’d been pissing on my fence had a offensive behaviour charge slapped on them. I would have also been thrilled had they cautioned the builder(or whatever you call it) when I made a complaint at the station about being his threats towards me.
They never once took me seriously. It was offensive and frightening at the same time, being around those men. So, it wasn’t a trivial matter for me.
I’m sorry you had to go through that, its not right
Thanks PR. I actually ended up with stress related health issues after all that. It’s over for me now though. They will be peeing on someone else’s back fence no doubt, somewhere else on the development by now. These guys have form for intimidating residents. Nothing was done about complaints to the police from others either.
well that bites.
In those situations community constables can be useful. They tend to be more helpful than station officers for ongoing problems. Also specifically chasing down environmental health officers might be an interesting tactic if you encounter neighbours who have to suffer through it. Not to mention videoing any unsafe work practices they might be doing and flipping it through to DoL… mind you, I’m a bureaucrat who can be a bit of a bastard. Part of my job used to be making jerks’ lives hell simply by using the same powers as any other member of the public, in the hope that the jerks modified their behaviour 🙂
There is a defense to urinating in public if you take reasonable efforts to hide your behaviour from the public, but in your circumstances (being ongoing activity that you had previously raised) it could count as harrassment.
Anyway, I hope you’re on the mend in your new-found peace and quiet.
I did speak to the community constable. She was great! Then she left and no body else wanted to take up the case. I also contacted several council officials, including the environmental health officer and the deputy mayor to see if they couldn’t introduce a bylaw to make portaloo’s mandatory on building sites in built up residential areas.
RMA says no.
Spoke to Worksafe about the law around toilet provisions for builders. (even though there was a loo 50 metres away) I had to quote the relevant Act to them because they couldn’t find it.
Worksafe says no.
And yeah, I witnessed too much private parts flashing that I would have liked to. That should only ever happen on my terms 😀
WorkSafe say facilities must be provided.
http://www.business.govt.nz/worksafe/information-guidance/all-guidance-items/provision-of-facilities-on-construction-sites
Thanks joe90 but they lie! I went through all that with them. See response to McFlock above. They told me it was a council issue. The person I spoke to was quite offended and angry that I questioned him.
That’s the sort of distinction that convinces me that we’re at Peak Lawyer.
Preparing for the NZ GDP figures on Thursday, which will be very high, we need to debate a binary economy.
Those who have property, those who don’t.
Those still exporting, those not.
The ones going up, the ones going down.
It’s a society in such churn that I’m not phased by one poll. We’re going in the wrong direction.
GDP, seriously who gives a flying F*** other than the wealthiest 5% to 6% i.e. 200,000 adult NZers busily hovering around the elite classes of this country.
Everyone else is trying to just make their way week to week month to month, hoping they won’t have to work until 70 years old under a Labour Government.
The media and particularly the news does, as do bank commentators, and therefore so do all politicians.
The three of them still dominate discourse about the economy.
Like I said, it’s fuck all people, but of course, it’s basically everyone within that specific small circle.
Every person with a well funded megaphone and a spare barrel of ink.
So it is hardly a surprise when lots and lots of adult NZers not in these circles really don’t give a single flying f*** as to whatever this statistic might be because they’ve long figured out that it doesn’t matter in the slightest in their lives no matter how excited the talking heads on the tube seem to get.
Hence my original response.
That depends on your view of the role and effect of the media in politics. So far as I can tell, political parties and their policies are the primary target of the business and business-media commentaries. They are by a fair margin the best funded influencers in New Zealand today.
GDP discussions aren’t targeted at ‘ordinary people’. People notice GDP – and its distance from lived reality – only if it becomes a story in and of itself. I suspect it will.
GDP, together with the unemployment rate, is the largest vulnerability to any change of government occurring. If overall the media, the bank commentators, and political leaders agree that the economy is in the right direction, that’s a massive win for the political status quo and makes it really hard to change government.
Firstly, both Labour and National have formed the consistent neoliberal political status quo of this country over 30 years. There is not going to be any change in that, and changing the government isn’t going to do very much in terms of a change in that long term direction.
Secondly, the corporate MSM, the major banks, the political leadership of this country are all elements of the nation’s power elite, and they are quite welcome to keep talking to each other, and to the top 5% or 6% of the country that still pays close attention to them.
Everyone else however has long learnt that the well dressed well made up Koru member Gold Elite six figure salary talking heads are really in their own world.
I think you are confusing your frustration with lack of differentiation with the economic policy of Labour and National, with the need to promote good discourse about the economy. That’s what we need to prepare for.
I’d like it if the top whatever had no power, and the MSM had no influence. But they really do. Speaking up into the discourse about the economy is the thing to prepare for on Thursday.
I don’t feel any need to “promote good discourse about the economy”, that’s too much like the conversation they are having up in First Class about what vintages of wine they are carrying on board. They can have the pleasure to themselves.
Me and about a million other non-National voting NZers who won’t be voting for Labour again. I expect Winston’s vote to climb further before election day.
I can respect the disengaged. And I can certainly see the temptation of New Zealand First.
I can also see you are repulsed by engagement with those on six-figure salaries, people who wear suits, people who drink wine, and people who have Koru Lounge memberships. I think that repulsion is pretty evident.
Regrettably, those people run the country.
They have all the power. That’s the field we’re on if we are engaging in politics.
The trick is not merely interpret the world, the trick is to change it.
You don’t have to engage with such people if you don’t want to. They certainly don’t need you to. And the fewer people who don’t engage with them, the more that status quo is reinforced.
There’s no alternative but to engage. The left, in reality, have nothing but discourse left.
“Everyone else is trying to just make their way week to week month to month, hoping they won’t have to work until 70 years old under a Labour Government.”
Not true. A big chunk of the middle class is doing well.
With wealth being consolidated at the top end, isn’t the middle class in decline?
What, maybe 250K of NZ’s top households by socioeconomic status? That’s all it is.
Maybe a few more are doing well *on paper* as the value of their single home rises, but even then that’s purely on paper as their week to week income is being continually squeezed and they cannot convert any of their capital gains into spendable cash.
Everyone except the very very rich and very very poor is in churn now, either up or down.
That’s one of the areas that need debating once the GDP figures come out on Thursday and we have to start the actual debate about the economy beyond the bald figures.
These small circles of people you are talking about are going to have another debate about the economy which relates to what those GDP figures will say? Cool. No one else outside those specific circles really cares, because it is irrelevant to their lives.
That will certainly be true if no-one in the media points out the difference between GDP and lived reality. Silence is the eternal gift of the status quo.
Eternal gift to the status quo, I suspect you mean?
Lucky them.
Definitely both.
Sometimes silence is golden.
Sometimes it’s just plain yellow.
debating once the GDP figures come out on Thursday and we have to start the actual debate about the economy beyond the bald figures.
Like inflation metrics ,GDP is a meaningless number under information transfers .
Exhibit 1 leprechaun economics,
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-07-13/-leprechaun-economics-earn-ireland-ridicule-443-million-bill
These will have to revised further upward to account for apples EU tax bill.
Exhibit 2 Goodharts law
when a feature of the economy is picked as an indicator of the economy, then it inexorably ceases to function as that indicator because people start to game it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law
Let’s say there was a 3 income household up in Auckland. Mum and Dad both hold full time jobs which are around the minimum wage, and so does their daughter who is 23 and still at home.
The total income of their household is approx $95,000, which is above the average household income for NZ.
Is this really a middle class household? Is this household truly comfortable, “doing well” and not struggling?
Good golly. reading through the above thread, I find myself in agreement with your comments today CV!
Personally, what I witnessing and watching in our little part of the world, the Ohariu electorate, is
1) the disappearance of the traditional middle class into the not doing well/making cut backs/cash asset diminishing class but house value rising class.
2) Squeezing of some of the two parents former middle class working in highly paid jobs up to the upper middle classes and upsizing their houses on the new developments where houses are typically in the $700K – $800K bracket and both owning two brand new luxury SUV’s. Their dogs are always well groomed pedigree, no hound mutts for them.
3) An alarmingly growing number of impoverished working people, increasing demand at local food banks, increasing crime stats in our local newspaper, shops closing down in the main shopping centre and fast food outlets opening up.
Just what I see with my peepers. I would however like to see some sociological evidence on how our class system is shifting.
🙂
These trends are so obvious to you an to me Rosie, Labour and the Greens should be able to capitalise on them very easily.
Except they keep listening and talking to the wrong audience.
It’s groups 1 and 3 the opposition need to be having a good look at. Those falling away from economic security.
It’s also up to us get our voting turn out rate up. When I speak with people who are struggling and I talk to them about voting, they tell me they don’t, they’ve given up and say “they’re all the same”. But unlike you CV, I don’t think they’re the same.
We’d probably agree though it will be a long time, even with the right state interventions, for individual households to bounce back? It would depend on what those policy interventions were though, whether they were radical or whether they were soft.
(But soft is better than nothing and I will vote for that)
Cunliffe once talked about how it wasn’t good enough simply to be the alternative where you cut people off at the leg, but with anaesthetic.
I agree.
I remember that. Very well. I was a major Cunliffe supporter.
But now it is different. Unfortunately, depending on which way you look at it. Now I accept we take what we have and run with it.
Only in so far as their paper wealth is currently increasing with rapidly escalating house prices giving them a false sense of worth. In comparison to their “betters”; (the top 1% or even the top 10% of income earners) Middle NZ’s income stream has increased only marginally from $28,900 in 1982 to $34,400 in 2011, and they are falling way behind. This is a global phenomena with the continual exportation of skilled work off shore, the importation of semi-skilled workers to replace locals at minimal rates of pay, and the replacement of skilled and unskilled labour with bots..
From the closer together link: Thats are pretty poor statistic for middle NZ’s income stream isn’t it?
+1 to everything else.
Are you saying that middle income NZers have increased their income stream significantly in the past 5 years?
No no no. I’m agreeing it has “increased only marginally”. I was plus one to your last sentence.
Our household knows even good salaries are stagnant.
Mark Thomas is today begged by his people to withdraw from the Auckland Mayoral race.
Too late name is on ballot paper.
Big vote split looming, blame to follow.
Can the right just get their shit together please?
Thomas had a wee whine.
http://podcast.radionz.co.nz/mnr/mnr-20160913-0825-thomas_asked_to_withdraw_from_akld_mayoralty_but_stays_on-048.mp3
http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/morningreport/audio/201815911/thomas-asked-to-withdraw-from-akld-mayoralty-but-stays-on
New Zealand’s tax system: Internal coherence is not enough
Part of the problem we have is that we view our economy backwards. We see it as the private sector creating the wealth which then funds government. What we should be seeing it as is the government providing the funds in the form of a UBI and infrastructure spending, the resources in the form of extraction and processing and the infrastructure in forms such as power and telecommunications for the private sector to do it’s thing. Taxes then become a way to balance the amount of money in the system against government spending. Most notably, it’s the government spending which funds the entire economy.
Done properly we could actually get rid of income taxes although that would be a long term goal.
From the article, which I liked:
“So if they earned $50,000 from their salary, but made a loss of $20,000 on their rental property, then they would offset the loss from the rental property against their salary, and pay tax only on a net income of $30,000. This is negative gearing. In effect, because the person pays less tax overall, other taxpayers end up subsidising their investment in a rental property.”
Another way to look at it though is that negative gearing enables people to take risks gradually as they move from a salary to a business with a major asset within it. That doesn’t just apply to beginner landlords, it applies to any major new business with a chunky asset. Most will start off making a loss, and needing a ‘day job’ to keep it going. This negative gearing enables that perfectly.
I wouldn’t want ‘fairness’ dominate the tax discussion without considering what kind of economy you really want.
Ah yes, the fairness of helping wage and salary earners become capitalists in their own right, It’s been mightily handy.
We are a people of small businesses.
It’s our commercial and social character.
So the current tax setup suits us pretty well in that respect.
I do get her point that income from assets should be taxed far harder.
She just needs to think about it more broadly than from the point of view of the tax system representing ‘fairness’.
That’s just the outcome of the social engineering of the last 25 years. Before that the vast majority of people were straight forward wage and salary earners, not the independent contractors, consultants, sole traders and small business people of the neoliberal era.
Don’t forget Kiwisaver turning people into shareholders. Encouraging them to favour what’s best for the shareholder and not the employee.
Thanks Labour.
Got to feed Wall St with NZ wages
Yes, an ongoing revenue stream for them to clip the ticket and gamble on the market.
Go Labour.
And to think, the Greens want the kids signed up from birth.
Who was the banker that conned them into that?
Were that true – and I’m not so sure – it’s not going to be reversed. You can argue if our structural adjustment has been good overall or not.
The tax system should reflect our economic character. If it’s more, it needs to be debated very carefully.
OK so just manage the existing neoliberal reality that has been created for us out of what was a formerly and recently public service mindset?
Actually, we’re not. Only about three percent of business is small business and that’s a drop from five percent a few years ago. We like to tell our selves that we are but the reality is quite different.
Ummmm are you sure about that?
http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/small-business/10198006/SMEs-still-backbone-of-NZ-business
Must be misremembering an article a read a few weeks back.
Though a problem with landlords, and especially beginner, socalled Ma and Pa types, is they tend to be offering rentals at the lower/middle end of the market, so their ‘customers’ are having to be subsidised through Accommodation supplements and rent subsidies etc to the tune of $2 billion annually.
If only all small businesses could have that type of subsidy available to their customers, to make up for the overcharging as a result of spending too much money on overpriced stock.
Thanks tax payers.
The Right don’t tend to favour tax. However, left wing policy that favours Government further venturing into commerce (allowing them to broaden and grow their revenue stream) gives them the scope to lower taxes. With the end goal of Government becoming fiscally self sufficient.
That’s not Left-wing policy but Right-wing. Left-wing policy runs government services as, well, a government service rather than as a profit making venture which acts as a particularly nasty regressive tax on the poor and can even prevent people from, say, starting their own business because they can’t afford the necessary government services.
If the government was the sole creator money in the economy then it would, by default, be fiscally self-sufficient. And despite the rhetoric, it’s still government spending that supports the economy anyway. It’s just that our financial system has been set up to hide that fact.
Government being part of the means of production is left wing.
Whereas, the Right want to reduce Government, hence opt to privatize everything.
I support the notion of Government providing local services at cost. However, in NZ we lack companies of scale to take on exporting opportunities. Thus, creating a market void which Government could help fill and prosper from.
I’ve said elsewhere that government should build and run infrastructure. Now, what happens if we class factories as infrastructure? Government pays for maintenance, R&D to update them and ensures that they’re supplied with the raw and processed resources needed to keep them going.
Then all the private sector needs to do is research and design the products that those factories will produce.
Government has the scale to build and maintain those factories whereas no private company in NZ does and doing so would be beneficial to NZ as a whole as it would allow us to develop our economy.
Remembering what I read in various Jeffry Archer novels about politics and the role of the media, specifically what photos are used, I find it interesting the respective photos of Little and Key in this article
You have happy, smiling, jovial John Key and scowling, (dare I say it) angry looking Andrew Little
I don’t know if it falls under censorship but maybe media outlets should only be using neutral pics of politicians (in cases like this)
LIttle would probably get more votes if they just used the nude painting as the stock shot. Then he’d be quickly renamed “Not” Little 🙂
You could poke someones eye out with that thing
or even no photos at all
the media’s use of which photo where has a pretty long and sordid history, and its nothing to do with being honest
Yup
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/67647540/why-politicians-should-just-stop-eating
Shoutout to B Waghorn for appearing in the comments
Here’s one that’s hard to forget.
https://static.independent.co.uk/s3fs-public/thumbnails/image/2014/05/21/11/v3-miliband-selwynv2.jpg
Like a boss
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2011/08/19/article-2027908-0D7DFE9500000578-800_468x506.jpg
For deep thinking fact and knowledge junkies. Rod Oram is talking this morning about a small book he has written as he looks at a trio of points, ecology economics and ?
can’t remember, he has just mentioned ‘the collapse of civilisation as we know it’.
And he is looking at the way that others are looking at what can be done to cope and build the new civilisation. He visited Beijing, Chicago and London and talked to people there. Look for his little book in the BWB Texts series (Bridget Williams Books).
You can hear him on Radionz audio if you go their site. He’s always interesting with a cool intellect, but today was quite pointed at matters those of us who want to influence a good future, so there is one.
Major new engineering analysis effort on the collapse of World Trade Centre 7 on 9/11
This is one to look out for. They are creating fully transparent, full reproducible finite element modelling of the structural failure of WTC 7 on the afternoon of 9/11.
They have already determined a number of critical problems with the NIST computer modelling of WTC 7, and found that NIST analysis conclusions were not consistent with what happened in the actual collapse of the building.
http://www.wtc7evaluation.org/
So what? If their modelling finds that the building’s collapse was due to the collapse of larger buildings next to it, the tinfoil-hat industry will smoothly shift to vilifying them as participants in the cover-up. And if it finds that the collapse was due to the US government/the military-industrial complex/the Lizard People having developed and installed micro-nukes to demolish it, there’s still the problem that when your computer modeling and actual events are in conflict, it’s most likely not the actual events that got it wrong.
Lizard people…Lizard people !!!!!
Damn your eyes sir ! ..Everyone knows it was the reverse vampires in cahoots with the illuminati.
It’s so obvious. Trump musta dunnit. So he would have the tallest building in Manhattan. Here’s proof.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/trump-9-11-bragged-towers_us_57d58b91e4b03d2d459aee98
We in The Grail find it amusing when people think the illuminate are in control
WTC is the smoking gun.
Cannot be explained by the official story.
So they yell conspiracy theorist at anyone who questions WTC7.
BTW, for the benefit of those saying that, the official story is also a conspiracy theory. A conspiracy hatched by some Saudis and led by Atta.
…the official story is also a conspiracy theory.
Well, it is a theory, yes – in the same sense that the theory of evolution is a theory. You guys are the equivalent of the creationists in that sense.
I think the University of Alaska analytical effort has in a relatively short time frame already produced modelling work that is far more detailed and far more rigorous than that of the official government investigation into what happened with WTC 7.
I look forward to the results of the next stages of their work, where they will be testing many different modelling parameters and seeing how the results of the various scenarios correlate with what was observed physically on the day.
Except you are the faith based dogma preserving operator here decrying the new critically oriented scientific endeavour.
Ironic, really.
Except you are the faith based dogma preserving operator here decrying the new critically oriented scientific endeavour.
I don’t recall decrying any scientific endeavour on this blog, ever. The one you linked to may well be a thoroughly scientific endeavour, although the fact they’re modelling the collapse of WTC7 suggests the possibility of tinfoil-hattery in the hypothesis. Either way, I have no views on the merits or otherwise of the computer modelling involved, just a prediction about how the 911-Truthers out there will approach the results.
You can turn $20 into $720 overnight by picking Celtic to beat Barcelona by 1 goal. Hail hail.
Another day, another scam.
Donald Trump’s tale about why he took $150,000 in 9/11 money is as tall as the Downtown skyscraper he says he used in recovery efforts, according to government records.
Though the billionaire presidential candidate has repeatedly suggested he got that money for helping others out after the attacks, documents obtained by the Daily News show that Trump’s account was just a huge lie.
[…]
That government program was designed to help local businesses get back on their feet — not reimburse people for their charitable work.
If Trump’s company had asked for money for that reason it would have been rejected, officials said.
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/exclusive-trump-didn-post-9-11-funds-helping-people-article-1.2786879
You know I’ve been think about John Key, and what worries me about him and his time as P.M.
To help with that, I’ve been wondering who, or what politician he reminds me of historically, and I’ve come to the conclusion he is in the mold of Warren G. Harding.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warren_G._Harding
Now history is only a guide, but I think this national government has passed a lot of bills which will have dire consequences down the line. I’m picking that the land and water ways have been damaged in such a way, we are going to struggle in the years to come, other factors aside.
I also believe our underlying economic structure has been shallowed out, for short term electoral gain, and actually is close to having no real basis to string anything too.
The infrastructure has been left to wallow. Particularly in the regions. Drinking water anyone…
Debt has become inter-generational.
Our international relations are messy – We seemed to have pissed of China, and the USA is not that good a friend.
Our standing internationally has taken quite a few hits. Begs the question why Helen Clark decided to run, I’m sure she is getting a few ribs about national and there not tax haven which is a tax haven, but if we say it’s not a tax haven enough then kiwis will believe it even when the rest world thinks we are dirty tax cheats. Enter troll stage right…
And all the time Key is wildly popular. No matter about his fetish to touch young women and children’s hair. No matter that he lies on a almost daily basis, and lets leave aside the fact he runs the most incompetent set of minister this country has ever had the misfortune to live through. People will go on loving him.
History will be harsh though. The homelessness, the growing conflict between haves and have not’s, and a state falling apart at the seams. All these things can be band-aided over with, but the damage has been done, it won’t happen over night, but Key has laid the ground work for a very divided nation.
Ok so that’s a (for the sake of argument) problem, what’s your solution?
There is none, Like Harding we have to wait till we see all the problems that manifest themselves. I’m guessing with this lot, and the labour government before it – we will be having a lot of problems.
In my humble opinion, the land issue is the big one, and will take at least four years, before the major crisis, water about the same. Only when we are in crisis will we address it. Indeed like Harding , it will all be exposed at the next crisis point. At which time we ALL get lumbered with solving it. We are not going to divest from dairy, and poor land use until it is to late.
Adam I love your justified passion.
Does the piece of shit known as maninthemiddle think National’s intention to make non-fatal strangulation a stand alone offence is grandstanding, and on a serious issue?.
The Government will create new offences of non-fatal strangulation, coercion to marry and assault on a family member, which will carry tougher sentences than common assault.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/84189235/family-violence-response-to-undergo-major-overhaul–govt
Heh.
Support Trump probably doesn’t want, but then…
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/pharma-bro-martin-shkreli-endorses-donald-trump-article-1.2651758
“I’m always cheering for a huge recession, global mayhem,” he said, commenting on his personality.
“For me it’s mostly about spite. I really just don’t want Hillary to win.”
Winding the clock back.
Holy motherfucking fuck, now this is getting obscene, Parliamentary Services scanning Opposition MPs email, well what have the freedom loving right wingers got to say about that?
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/84212899/parliamentary-service-blocked-email-between-mp-and-fairfax-journalist
“What this has done is tipped us off to the fact that they’re monitoring what we’re sending in our emails, which is completely unacceptable,” Hipkins said.
Looks like Hipkins has been given a taste of our big brother state.
With local elections coming up, are there any websites that discuss all the candidates? I’m interested in Wellington (Lambton and Eastern Wards), Auckland (Albert-Eden-Roskill) and Christchurch (Riccarton Wigram).
My Good God ! WTF is happening in our country ?
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/84212899/parliamentary-service-blocked-email-between-mp-and-fairfax-journalist