Clinton vs Trump; Debate 1

Written By: - Date published: 8:52 am, September 27th, 2016 - 274 comments
Categories: class war, Dirty Politics, Environment, Hillary Clinton, International, Politics, polls, racism, scoundrels, us politics - Tags:

The first of the live Presidential debates kicks off at 2 pm this arvo (assuming I’ve got my head around daylight saving).

On one hand, the candidate endorsed by every living being round the world who has both brain and heart in good working order. On the other hand, the candidate who is endorsed right across the political spectrum, all the way from neo fascist Vladimir Putin to the neo fascist KKK.

Neither candidate is much cop, but one is clearly less bad than the other. Never before has the weakness of the American political system’s reliance on the evil of two lessers been more obvious and more dangerous for the world.

If Trump wins, the world loses.

So today’s match up is vital. Media talk suggests this debate will the most widely watched scrap in decades and a fair percentage of the voting public will make up their mind without bothering to watch the the other two debates. The polls are tightening and even Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight is showing Clinton’s poll lead has dipped.

It’s now or never for lumpen populist Donald Trump, the darling of the 1% who has managed to fool a large percentage of working Americans into think he offers something better than what they have now. A comparison of the two candidates suggests that what Trump is promising is misery at home and death abroad.

Of course, some would say Hillary Clinton is already operating on that formula. But that’s bollocks.

By any objective analysis, Hillary Clinton has been a progressive force all her adult life. That won’t change when she is President. What might change this election is the ability of a Democrat party President to actually achieve legislative change. There  is a good chance that the Democrats will gain the majority in the senate, which will mean passing progressive bills will be much, much easier.

Clinton will be buoyed by getting through the worst week of her campaign relatively unscathed. The misogynist dog whistling about her health peaked when she was laid low by pneumonia. The big news of the last few days has been the apparent endorsement of her by former President George H Bush. That’s symptomatic of Donald’s Trump’s major issue. His own party is not backing him.

Trump doesn’t have the supporters on the ground, he doesn’t have the money. He’s been reduced to endless town hall meetings where he talks to the already committed in words of few syllables. It looks like campaigning, it feels like campaigning. But it doesn’t matter a damn.

The debate can be watched live here, here and here. The Guardian has a rolling blog here and the BBC’s coverage is here.  Rolling Stone has a good summary of things to look out for here.

Popcorn ahoy, Standarnistas! It’s going to be entertaining, if not illuminating.


In the meantime, here’s Zach and Hills:


274 comments on “Clinton vs Trump; Debate 1 ”

  1. Sabine 1

    bloomberg to fact check debate onscreen during debate 🙂

    vodka for every mention of ‘tremendous’

  2. Colonial Viper 2

    It’s now or never for lumpen populist Donald Trump, the darling of the 1%

    Fact check: almost every dollar of Wall St hedge fund donations this Presidential campaign has been to Hillary Clinton.

    This is no surprise as the Clintons have been partners with Wall St for almost 2 decades.

    Hillary Clinton is Wall Street’s preferred candidate: Financial execs pouring millions into her campaign to defeat Trump.

    Wall Street has raised $23 million for Clinton, reports the WSJ. Many who backed Rubio and Bush now support Hillary

    (Bill Clinton repealed Glass Steagal in the 90s allowing US investment banks to conduct highly risky highly profitable betting activities which led directly to the Global Financial Crisis).

    • Lanthanide 2.1

      When people with money want to save their country’s economy from destruction, somehow they’re being unpatriotic or evil or something.

      Boggles the mind.

      • Colonial Viper 2.1.1

        First time I’ve heard any one on the Left describe the Wall St Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan crowd saviours of the economy.

        • Lanthanide

          Not really, because I didn’t actually say that.

          If you read what I wrote, I implied that Donald Trump will destroy the economy.

          I made no statement about Wall St, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan or Hillary Clinton.

          • Colonial Viper

            Well, the “people with money” I was referring to who donated $$$ to Clinton but not to Trump were Wall St/hedge fund types so that’s who I thought you were referring to.

            I should also add that the Bilderberg family ran a big fundraiser for Clinton a few weeks back.

            I do not think that it was their concern for the Main St economy of the 99% which drove them to do that.

            • Lanthanide

              Except that there have been a couple of times over the last two months where Clinton’s lead in the polling has dropped, which has subsequently caused the Dow and S&P 500 to drop, over concerns that Trump might win the presidency.

              Similarly, the US dollar has dropped on bad polling for Clinton.

              It seems that most of the investment class think Trump will be bad for the economy.

              • Colonial Viper

                Yes the titans of financial capitalism “think Trump will be bad for the economy (i.e. financial markets)” and think that Clinton will be “good” for the economy (i.e. financial markets).

                BTW the ordinary people whom Trump is reaching out to often don’t give a Flying Fig about what the NYSE is doing when those corporate profits come from shuttering down factories, shops and mines around their home towns.

                • Lanthanide

                  Ordinary people in America have things called 401Ks, which are largely invested in the stock market.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    I think a lot of those ordinary Americans with 401Ks realised the bankers used those vehicles to destroy their retirement savings, through fees, malinvestments, and fraud.

                    I’m a bit disappointed that Helen Clark set up Kiwi Saver to feed more NZ wages to Wall St.

        • Kiwiri

          Those saints were divinely saving the economy for themselves. That is one way of looking at things.

  3. Adrian 3

    Yeh it’s a sad indictment of my life that I am looking forward to this so much, I am actually finishing work early to watch it live…hi I’m Adrian I’m a political junkie
    Not sure who in Clinton’s team would have thought letting her do between two ferns was a good idea, she of course came out looking ridiculous …pretty funny though.

    • LOL! Sadly, this fellow tragic will be working through most of it, but I’ll be snatching a glance at the little screen where I can.

    • Lanthanide 3.2

      I’ve taken Wednesday 9th November off work…

    • Phil 3.3

      hi I’m Adrian I’m a political junkie
      *Rest of the support group, in unison*
      “Hello, Adrian”
      *quiet smattering of applause*

      You’re in good company here, brother.

      Not sure who in Clinton’s team would have thought letting her do between two ferns was a good idea, she of course came out looking ridiculous

      I thought she came out of it fine. From a comic perspective, it was a better result than Obama’s interview a couple of years earlier.

      Also, Zach is much more rigorous interviewer than Dr Oz – he’s pathetic.

  4. Colonial Viper 4

    In the youtube clip above:

    Zach to Hillary: “So what’s the best way to reach you…? Email?”

  5. Colonial Viper 5

    Nate Silver: 51.1% chance of Trump victory if election was today

    Mind you just a few weeks ago, Nate Silver’s site gave Hillary Clinton a 92% chance of winning.

    • Phil 5.1

      Wow, you’ve found someone as equally ignorant of polling statistics as yourself – well done.

      The model you’re looking at is the ‘nowcast’. As in; if an election we held today, what would the (probabilistically) result be?

      The model focuses heavily on the latest polling results. 538 have made it clear all along that this model would swing all over the place, especially given the high level of undecided and 3rd party voters in this cycle.

      • Colonial Viper 5.1.1


        It helps explain why “Obama’s team isn’t laughing at Donald Trump any more.”

        For Obamaworld staffers who had just been starting to settle into a new buoyancy about the president’s climbing approval numbers, Trump’s growing strength is an agonizing reminder of how far short they have fallen in delivering on ‘hope.’ Even if Clinton wins, the Republican has shown not only that America is divided between red and blue but that there’s an America that Obama never connected with at all, and where all his data and rational arguments and appeals to sensibilities are as useless as Monopoly money.

      • dukeofurl 5.1.2

        So true . CV is a complete idiot when it comes to stats

  6. Manuka AOR 7

    From Truthdig:

    Excerpt: No matter what Clinton does, the Trump-wins-first-debate narrative has already been written:

    ● Trump and Clinton will share the same stage. He is not a normal candidate, or even a normal person. She is. No matter what happens during the debate, it is declared afterward that the one-on-one matchup has “normalized” Trump. So Trump wins.

    ● Because the bar for a successful Trump performance has been set so low, when Trump fails to threaten to punch Clinton, it is acclaimed as evidence of his presidential temperament and general election pivot. Trump wins.

    ● Trump will attack Clinton. Clinton will defend herself. The verdict: Trump was strong; Clinton was on the defensive. But people want strength. Trump wins.

    ● The moderator, NBC’s Lester Holt, will call Trump on a lie. Trump will heap scorn on Holt, NBC, MSNBC, the Commission on Presidential Debates and the corrupt, dishonest media. Gallup says public trust in the media is now at an all-time low. People will love Trump’s attack on Holt. Trump wins.

    ● Clinton will nail Trump for lying. He’ll lie so much, she won’t be able to keep up with him. Fact-checkers will say, after the fact, that his pants were on fire, but it won’t matter. The debate will be scored for entertainment value, not truth-value. Clinton’s zingers will be called scripted. Trump’s taunts will be so uncivil, so beyond the political pale, so viciously funny, he will be crowned the change candidate in a change election year. Trump wins.

    ● Trump and Clinton will go after each other so relentlessly that the debate will be called a draw. But the Beltway consensus is that Clinton needs to win; Trump just needs to tie. So a tie is a win. Trump wins.

    • Colonial Viper 7.1

      Correct. The Clinton campaign team allowed Trump to set himself up as the underdog, and helped Trump lower the public’s expectations of him at every turn.

      In doing so, Trump won this TV debate several weeks ago – but he is inexperienced and temperamental – he could still have a huge melt down on live TV in front of 100M people.

    • Lanthanide 7.2

      Or for an actual analysis, from 538:

      Eight out of 10 times, the non-incumbent party’s candidate — that’s Trump this year — gained in the polls after the first debate.

      ” The moderator, NBC’s Lester Holt, will call Trump on a lie. Trump will heap scorn on Holt, NBC, MSNBC, the Commission on Presidential Debates and the corrupt, dishonest media. Gallup says public trust in the media is now at an all-time low. People will love Trump’s attack on Holt. Trump wins.”

      Also, the moderator is NOT going to be fact-checking either candidate. This plays into Trumps hands, but not the way outlined here.

    • Yeah, those are all realistic dangers.

      The one thing going for Clinton is that Trump is not very good at giving coached responses. He is an unengaging speaker when he follows a script, because he’s so used to just following his trail of attention. It’s entirely possible he’ll slip up and say something outrageous.

      But relying on an unforced error by Trump isn’t a strategy.

      Lanth’s concerns about what happens with active moderation is realistic, unfortunately- Candy Crowley fact-checked Romney in a similar way, as what he was saying was factually incorrect but the gist of it wasn’t entirely wrong, and she got blasted by the right-wing for daring to do her job. So I expect we’ll get risk-averse moderation (read: the “moderator” will only be there to ask questions and will be little more than a “host” in reality) at best, or that fact-checks will end up aiding Trump at worst.

    • McFlock 7.4

      heh – Stuff is calling it a narrow win for Trump at the moment. If that’s all he can manage against a woman who is on death’s doorstep from brain injuries and all the other tellyquack diagnoses, then his supporters had better pray she doesn’t find better medication…

  7. gsays 8

    i find the notion of ‘fact-checking’ in this context hilarious.
    right from the start of this post and the way trp has framed it, can be described as ‘factual’, through to cvs responses, equally ‘factual’

    to get a non partisan view of this election, debate, poll results is like capturing lightning.

    personally, i find myself attracted to the spectacle in a ghoulish way, kinda like a fight, equally revolted, interested and emotionally affected in the gut.
    the policies, history and connections of the candidates matter little, like brexit i feel the vote for a change will carry a lot of weight when the time comes to vote.

    • Fact-checks are reasonable ways to stop politicians from making outlandish claims that aren’t even arguably true, or to give context that there are people that disagree with their assumptions if the truth of a claim is widely contested.

      Usually they are in the form of “records show that X” or “independent organisation Y claims that number is actually Z.”

      Providing that kind of context isn’t laughable, it’s journalism. It is the bare minimum required of a serious reporter, as opposed to say, someone editorialising, or doing opinion journalism, like more serious blogs do. It’s essentially the entire reason you have a moderator at all, rather than having the audience deliver the questions.

      Now, you’re right that Americans want a change. The issue is whether of those who feel that Trump is the wrong sort of change, (because there’s certainly more than enough of them to swing the election) whether enough are actually willing to vote for Hillary. Right now I expect she will narrowly win if nothing goes wrong for her and she continues on with her poorly-advised strategy of trying to win over moderate Republicans by tilting corporate. (the issue with this strategy is that most voters who hate trump also dislike pro-corporate government, and don’t think it provides any solutions)

  8. Adrian 9

    Of course the fact is that if the DNC and most media hadn’t attacked and undermined Sanders, and it somehow worked out that now is was Sanders heading into this debate, with a double digit lead in the polls no doubt… but no the DNC have now got what they deserve, Hillary, only more palatable than Trump by the width of a cigarette paper…if that, fascinating and amusing to watch and analyze, but really a disaster in the history of American politics… a direct result of the cynical corruption of epic proportions from both parties.

    • Garibaldi 9.1

      I don’t think either candidate is palatable Adrian , but there again I don’t smoke.
      You say the DNC have got what they deserve. Imo, so have the Republicans.
      Trouble is the World doesn’t deserve either of them.

      • Colonial Viper 9.1.1

        Trump has destroyed the Republican Party

        • Sabine

          Trump is the logical conclusion to the republican party as is Hillary Clinton to the democratic party.

          i still maintain that Sanders should have run as an independent and he would have won.

          • Phil

            Trump is the logical conclusion to the republican party as is Hillary Clinton to the democratic party.

            I think ‘conclusion’ is the wrong word to use for the Democrats. Hillary is smack-bang in the middle (by ideological voting record and fundraising) of the Democratic party spectrum. She is, to put it bluntly, the perfect example of a generic Democrat.

          • Phil

            i still maintain that Sanders should have run as an independent and he would have won.

            With that kind of fantasy mindset, you should be helping GRR Martin finish writing Game of Thrones.

          • Adrian

            You are on the button there, both parties have created their own monsters, I guess the one big difference is that Clinton is like a robot monster controlled by the usual suspects to do the usual destruction on civil society in the name of unending profit.
            Whereas Trump, who the really knows, I am not sure even he knows which master he serves…yet.
            But if he gets any where near the White House, he will find out soon enough the answer to that question, that much is for sure.

          • Matthew Whitehead

            Sanders would not be winning as an independent. Americans are incredibly distrustful of the idea of voting for third-party candidates as they dislike the spoiler effect as much as everyone else, but they haven’t taken this through to its logical conclusion of electoral reform.

            He did exactly the right thing running as a Democrat, and arguably, if not for several shenanigans with the process, he might actually have won the nomination in a fair contest. (it’s difficult to claim who would have won a popular vote given the caucus process followed in some states where Sanders did well, but he would probably have lost in a national popular vote as the process is shorter and gives you less time to meet the candidate, wheras the state-by-state primaries let him prove he had good ideas and was a real contender)

        • Adrian

          I read a good piece on the Clinton campaign the other day, bemoaning their strategy of separating Trump from the ‘good ‘ol Republicans like Bush and Reagan, in other words chasing their votes, but thereby letting the Republicans off the hook of having to swim in their own shit with their man Trump.
          She has done this rather than chase the young progressive vote, which speaks volumes about her own positions.

        • red-blooded

          But surely he’s made it great again? That’s what he’s so good at; he’s told us! He’s got a plan to do it to his country.. (Well, maybe “plan” is overstating it…)

    • Phil 9.2

      if the DNC and most media hadn’t attacked and undermined Sanders

      Sanders got a free ride through the primaries.

      The Republicans knew he wouldn’t win and ignored him. Once Clinton got into a strong (and mathematically difficult to assail) position with pledged delegates, she pivoted to attacking Trump. The idea Sanders was excessively/disproportionately the target of attacks or negative advertising is a fiction on par with Trump’s claim that Mexican immigrants are rapists and murderers.

      Sanders heading into this debate, with a double digit lead in the polls no doubt

      I’ve pointed this out to CV before. There is literally zero evidence that the hypothetical general election match-ups, when polled during primary campaigns, have any indicative value for general election results.

      • Colonial Viper 9.2.1

        Easy win Trump Nov 8. And you are right, no one would have predicted that from the polls 6 months ago, but it was obvious to anyone who looked.

      • LOL Sanders did not get a free ride. There are significant questions of various types of voter fraud, abuse of parliamentary procedure, and voter disenfranchisement that impacted the primaries. From that perspective alone he was hardly treated fairly.

        You are correct that the one-to-one matchups during the primaries where there are several candidates on either side are unreliable. However, there were one-to-one matchups after Donald Trump was the de facto winner of the republican nomination, but before it was reasonable to assume Hillary would win the nomination. I would consider it a lot more reasonable under those circumstances to get an accurate answer on each one-on-one contest, even though it doesn’t exactly mimic the circumstances of a general election, I wouldn’t have expected it to be too different from the starting point of the general election campaign. And it wasn’t for Clinton, so I don’t see why Bernie wouldn’t have started off in a better position than she did, and I can’t think of any reasonable argument that he would have squandered his lead in a way that led to lower poll results than Clinton’s.

        The only argument left is that he would be more vulnerable to attack ads by Trump, which makes no sense to me. It was quite clear that Clinton was the more vulnerable candidate during the primaries by the way she initially avoided debates and public appearances, and attempted to coast by on pure name recognition. You don’t do that if you’re expecting to gain ground and you’re confident of being able to deal with attacks.

  9. vto 10

    fact-checking should be hooked into voice recognition so that fact-checking happens instantaneously on an adjacent screen….

    … that way the lies can be exposed as they are said

    we have the technology

    • Lanthanide 10.1

      Er, no we don’t.

      We can do a reasonably good real-time transcription (although that could get very noisy/messy with interjections from the other candidate, the moderator, and the crowd).

      But automated real-time fact checking by an AI is not possible, by a long shot.

  10. john 11

    She’s out spending him in Florida (a key state) by 56 to 1 and still can’t get in front of him.
    Lends itself to the Clinton foundation money.
    Conspiracy theory??
    1997….Clinton foundation, founded……..only 15% goes to charity.
    2000…Bill’s term ends….Hilary has no “chops” to run against Bush.
    2004…Bush is incumbent so Hilary can’t stand against him and democrats don’t want her
    2008…Bush’s term ends..Hilary goes for it and loses to Obama
    2012..Obama incumbent Democrats won’t oppose him.So no opportunity for Hilary.
    2016…First chance for Hilary to stand since ’08 and probably last chance.
    Clinton foundation money used to promote Hilary after being earned in pay for play Sec. of State.
    Clinton foundation set up to get another Clinton into the Whitehouse??
    Past history shows Clintons very dodgy….White water scandal cost Bill his lawyers licence.

    • She’s outspending him so dramatically because Trump is a fraudster and can’t actually afford to finance his campaign, lol. (and because corporate donors are abandoning the Republicans in favour of the Democrats for once, because Trump represents an unstable business environment, despite having a tax plan that is absolute heroin to the extremely wealthy)

      She’s losing ground however because Clinton’s strategists haven’t realised that the traditional rules of campaigning do not apply very well to her contest against Trump. This is the first time ever two people both viewed so unfavourably have gone head-to-head in US politics, and there’s little chance for either of them to gain votes or pull in non-voters beyond what they already have in the primaries.

      So it’s essentially a game of deflection and attack. Trump is great at attacking, and terrible at deflection. Hillary is still trying to pump herself up too much, and has only recently started to get effective at attacking him. (The Joss Whedon spot around the internet is a good example of what will work- attack ads that don’t feature or even endorse Clinton, but exhort people to make a sensible choice at the polls)

      Clinton can still win this.

      As for whether she’s corrupt, the answer is, sadly, yes. This is the reality of American politics, it’s a very rare candidate, (like say, Sanders) who can honestly claim to be unbought. Clinton is corrupt in the usual Washington manner, where she will be open to legal bribery from the right people. Trump, however, is corrupt in a much more dangerous manner, where he will be essentially using the presidency to directly make money in whatever ways he can. (as opposed to indirectly, which is the current norm)

  11. TRP- I’d fact-check whether it’s reasonable to defend Hillary as being a progressive. She’s at best a centrist liberal in terms of American Democratic politics. (and that’s arguable, given she hasn’t really met a pro-corporate policy she doesn’t like, which in my mind makes her roughly the equivalent of Nikki Kaye, ie. a right-wing liberal) Progressive is usually what they call the left wing of the Democratic Party, a faction which Hillary demonstrably doesn’t belong to, even though she has eventually joined the correct side on voting for things like gay marriage or healthcare reform, as you would expect from a liberal who cares about social progress. (although it’s legitimate to say she’s a follower on these issues as well, not a leader, as she wasn’t advocating gay marriage until it was already clear it was a winner with the electorate)

    Phil’s argument that she represents the centre of the Democratic Party (at least, in terms of the caucus, rather than looking at the members, who especially post Bernie’s campaign, swing much further Leftwards than the caucus does) is actually a lot more reasonable, as there are centrist conservatives that are closer to being a Republican than she is, and probably a few people further to the Right in the Party on the economic axis than she is too, so she’s a pretty good exemplar of what you get from any given Democrat elected to national office.

  12. TheExtremist 13

    And here we go. Trump looks less orange today

  13. Paul 14

    Trump hammering Clinton on NAFTA and promises not to sign the TPP.

  14. Manuka AOR 15

    Bernie tweets through the debate here:

    Bernie Sanders
    ✔ @BernieSanders
    If Trump is concerned about companies going abroad maybe he should move his plants out of Bangladesh where workers are paid 30 cents an hour

    • Cinny 15.1

      BOOM! Feel the Bern 🙂

    • And this is why if there were any real reason to have Superdelegates they should have voted for Bernie. Man would he have lit Trump on fire in the debate.

      • dukeofurl 15.2.1

        And ignore the wishes of the 17 million primary votes Clinton won.
        feel the absurdity.

        • Colonial Viper

          yes, best to, most were ill gotten, and the Democratic Party will come to regret nominating her.

          • dukeofurl

            Ill gotten ? laughable Trump level nonsense.

            • Colonial Viper

              That’s winning nonsense, then

              • dukeofurl

                Like you have a talent for prediction ?

                Your questimate of Trump getting 280 is rated by experts as ‘very unlikely’

                • To be fair, the race is close enough that Trump might well win by election time. 280 is not out of the realm of possibility, but I think how things are going so far it would mean Trump completely stomps Hillary from now on. (which the debate seems to indicate isn’t going to happen, as there was no knock-out winner regardless of who you want to call it for)

            • Matthew Whitehead

              Nope, independent reports have called into question enough primary delegates to swing the election, so arguably in a fair contest Bernie might have won.

              • dukeofurl

                Other independent reports say differently – I have a link.
                Sanders was far behind in the popular vote count which indicates that he was less popular. To say now he would beat Trump now defies common sense.

                Clinton did do better than Sanders in closed primaries, winning 17 to his 9 but she also won more open primaries than he did, 13 to 10.

                Yet when we come to the no democratic closed caucuses
                Anti-democratic caucuses, where Sanders did very well, hurt Clinton far more.

                In summary, Sanders benefitted from closed caucuses, which are highly un-democratic. Clinton still did better in both open and closed primaries to Sanders.
                Its worth remembering that the caucuses are organised by the local democratic party while primaries are run by the state /local government.

                Remember there was a candidate in a previous election who was behind in the total primary vote ( 17.5m to 17.8m) but had the outsize support from super delegates over Clinton. It was Obama in 2008. he was the great hope back then and no complaints about the S-Ds

        • Like I said, if there were any real reason to have them.

  15. Paul 16

    Trump says he’ll spend the 6 trillion dollars on Middle East wars on America.
    Does this mean an isolationist policy under President Trump?

  16. gsays 17

    up until the ‘racist birther lie’ segment, trump has been able to sheet responsibility/blame back to ‘the politicians’.

    he does remind me of our dear leader when coming under pressure, twisting and turning like a twisty turny thing.

    • ianmac 17.1

      Yes gsays. He does twist and turn. But will it matter in the polls?

      • gsays 17.1.1

        hi ianmac, i have a feeling that u.s. voters will more than likely vote against a candidate rather than for a candidate.
        most of trumps bigger laughs or cheers came off cheap shots.

      • It’ll hurt him with independents. Hillary actually came out of this (at least IMO) looking like the more trustworthy of the two. That’s quite an achievement for her.

        That said, I’ll wait to see how the polling shifts on that sort of thing to see if Americans agree, because they are very good at falling for right-wing spin over there. (Not that it doesn’t work to some degree everywhere, but Americans fall for things that wouldn’t work anywhere else quite a lot)

        • john

          Maybe if things are evened out at the next debate, we’ll hear nothing of Trumps taxes and everything about her EMails, pay for play donations to the Clinton foundation, death of an Ambassador in Benghazi, expansion of ISIS, red lines in Syria, the fact that they, after withdrawal, they have put 4500 troops back into Iraq etc etc
          She has loads of experience…..all bad all, incompetent, all failures…no successes to point to.

          • Matthew Whitehead

            We already heard all about her emails in the disastrous National Security Forum (or whatever it was called) thing where the non-moderation just had trump spewing forth random thoughts the entire time, and even the MSM in the US thought that moderator was a miserable failure.

            To quote a rather famous politician, we’re all tired of hearing about her damn emails. 😉 Even those who want a Trump victory should know there are much better avenues of attack on Hillary.

            (And honestly, if you’re part of the NZ right wing, you probably wouldn’t mind Hillary winning anyway, as it’d be like having Nikki Kaye as US president)

            • Colonial Viper

              FFS don’t tar Kaye with the Killary brush.

              • Why not? 😉

                That said, Kaye would make a much less hawkish Foreign Affairs minister, lol. I think it’s a fair comparison on roughly where Hillary sits on policy issues, if not on specifics, judgement, or character.

            • dukeofurl

              Clintons emails ?

              “HOLT: He also — he also raised the issue of your e-mails. Do you want to respond to that?

              CLINTON: I do. You know, I made a mistake using a private e- mail. TRUMP: That’s for sure.

              CLINTON: And if I had to do it over again, I would, obviously, do it differently. But I’m not going to make any excuses. It was a mistake, and I take responsibility for that.

              etc etc

              What I dont get is the Clinton haters are like Trump; Detached from reality
              It was all there- been done to death – but still there so they pretend it didnt come up

              • Matthew

                Yeah I’m pretty sure John is just upset it didn’t take up half the damn debate this time and instead just got a few seconds of rebuttal. Hillary has addressed it as much as she needs to at this stage.

                Honestly, the Clinton Foundation stuff is more of an issue- that would actually get her sacked as a Minister if she had done it in New Zealand. Or rather, it SHOULD do, lol. You never know with certain Prime Ministers. 😉

                • dukeofurl

                  Raising money for a respected charitable foundation is sackable?

                  Grip and grins are all part of the political – donation circuit.

              • john

                No…it has largely been ignored.
                The death of an ambassador that she was responsible for …on her EMail to Chelsea she says “terrorists” to the US public she says riot caused by video. This is why her EMails are still relevant.
                If a corporate exec. had sent an employee into this kind of danger knowingly (and she did know, warned by him, the British and the red cross)…He would be facing manslaughter charges…but Hilary…..NOTHING!!!
                Any junior intel officer behaves with a cavalier attitude to national secrets, Hilary did, he would be in jail.

  17. ianmac 18

    Not sure that the content matters so much as the image. Clinton seems to be tiring by 3pm? Trust is contradictory and repetitive but that might not matter to a huge chunk of the electorate.
    Remember Key had little in the way of policy in 2014 and used plenty of confidence and humour to win another term. I think little is remembered from extended speeches. Image matters.

  18. mauī 19

    Clinton is coming over better than I thought and is making Trumpit look crazier than usual. Trumpit is using very negative messaging and I suppose it all depends on how many hurt Americans his message can tap into. Trumpit winning when he interjects, Clinton isn’t so good at that.

    • The interjections may backfire though, as they’ll play well with his base but might turn off people who actually care about whether voting for him would mean they get perceived as being a sexist like he is.

  19. rsbandit 20

    Interesting to see that Trump and a well-known anti-trade activist here are on the same page….

  20. Adrian 21

    OK debate over, my prediction Trump gets the bump in the polls.
    Not because he was any better than Clinton, but just because footed it pretty good with her and didn’t fuck up.

    • Pasupial 21.1

      Trump looked sick (sniffles ironically being one thing that isn’t his fault) and much more than two years older than Clinton. Watching mostly without sound it was all Clinton!

      • McFlock 21.1.1

        Sniffles? He must be hiding the fact he has ebolafluenza brought on by his coke habit 🙂

        All in all I think it went better than the primaries, behaviour-wise. He needs to get better interjections than yelling “wrong” repeatedly, and his meandering answer to the last question was just weird.

        • Andre

          Best theory I’ve seen so far is there actually is a soul in there that’s trying really hard to escape so he has to keep sniffing it back in.

    • red-blooded 21.2

      Adrian, you’ve got to be kidding. He was flustered and under-prepared. While his usual fans might stick by him, it was hardly a knock-out performance. What do you think he said or did that would help influence undecided voters?

      Clinton was calm and articulate, she clearly knows a heck of a lot more than him about government (shock, horror) and I think she did a pretty good job of explaining her core principles. Those principles might not be radical, but in the context of US politics they’re reasonably progressive.

      • Adrian 21.2.1

        I am not saying what I think people want to hear, or what I would like to happen, I am just giving my prediction to how I think this will play out in the polls, ie what the undecided US public take away from it.
        I just think Trump will get the bump, but then what the hell do I know.

      • You’re overstating Clinton’s performance a bit. Remember, they’re trying to knock supporters away from each other, they’re largely not convincing new voters to their side. (largely, although Clinton might pick up some few moderate educated republicans by looking competent)

        Trump was pretty good at attacking Clinton at first, but he stopped being so effective in the second half of the debate and lost the plot on his own answers, making Clinton’s line that she was preparing for the debate and to be President much more effective.

    • Actually I disagree with your conclusion. Trump was winning at the start of the debate, hitting her pretty hard on trade, but he will have lost the American public towards the end of the debate, protesting too much about not supporting the Iraq war, (even though he did) and making him look like a child who’s not prepared to be president, but we’ll see if the public was swayed or not.

      If Trump doesn’t lose ground after this debate, there’s probably no stopping him.

      • Colonial Viper 21.3.1

        I only managed to watch about half an hour of the debate and caught up on some of the commentary afterwards.

        I think Trump did enough to stay in the running.

        Papers like the LA Times declared every round unanimously as Clinton wins, but i don’t think that Trump was playing the same game as they were scoring.

        Expectations around his performance were low, to some extent he exceeded them, I think he will get a slight poll bump (less than +3%) out of it.

        • Pasupial

          The gamblers seem to think that Clinton won with her being up 5.6% today (now 68.7% favoured to win the presidency). This isn’t at all statistically robust, but it is faster than polling.

          • Colonial Viper

            It will be very interesting to see what the polls do over the next week.

          • Matthew Whitehead

            The gamblers were overbuying Clinton before the debate, (polling suggests that Trump was marginally ahead of her in terms of the states likely to shift the electoral college votes needed to win before the debate started) so I’m not sure I’d put too much stock in their becoming more confident in their previously inflated opinion of Clinton. It’s more relevant whether confidence in Trump went down as a result of the debate than whether confidence in Clinton went up.

        • Trump is by no means out of the running after the debate, you’re absolutely right about that.

          What I’m saying is that if we’re not analysing this correctly and Trump does better in polling after the debate than before it, I expect then that he’ll get the White House as essentially Hillary won’t be able to do anything effective to attack him.

          If, however, she comes out ahead, then she might yet closely win the election. It’s a matter of whether she can arrest her free-falling poll numbers with her victory-on-points in the first debate.

  21. Andre 22

    For someone that’s about to drop dead from Parkinson’s and a bunch of other ailments, Hillary held up pretty well.

    But I suppose we have to score it a win for Trump coz he managed to not whip out a tape measure, drop his trousers and say to Hillary “Let’s see what ya got”

    • TheExtremist 22.1

      “For someone that’s about to drop dead from Parkinson’s and a bunch of other ailments, Hillary held up pretty well.”

      It was her body double and not the real Clinton. Fact.

    • Adrian 22.2

      Judging by the size of his hands…not much.

    • Colonial Viper 22.3

      For someone that’s about to drop dead from Parkinson’s and a bunch of other ailments, Hillary held up pretty well.

      Let’s see how many public campaign speeches she does this coming week, shall we?

      • McFlock 22.3.1

        Why? Campaign rallies are only good for the media exposure these days, and that goes to trump because of his buffoonery.

        Sensible policy is always going to lose media exposure to public demands for war crimes and walls.

        Smart move is to do more fundraisers and buy more ads. Trump gets airtime by being racist and stupid. Hillary gets it from advertising. The number of people to actually see either candidate these days is pretty small, percentage-wise.

        • Colonial Viper

          Clinton doesn’t have the legs to visit five states in five days like Trump does, is the point I am making.

          And yes, she has booked advertising to outspend Trump thirty to one.

          • McFlock

            yeah, you must have missed the bit where he tried to slide his original “look” comment into “stamina”, and she blew him out of the water with a prepared response to his predictable attack:


            “As soon as he travels to 112 countries and negotiates a peace deal, a cease fire, a release of dissidents, an opening of new opportunities in nations around the world, or even spends 11 hours testifying in front of a congressional committee, he can talk to me about stamina,”

            • Colonial Viper

              Sure, when she was younger she was healthier.

              So we’re going to see her out on the campaign trail more then instead of hiding away?

              • McFlock


                Presidential candidates shouldn’t be oompah loompahs, dancing and singing a funny little song to distract you from the perilous conditions in the chocolate factory…

                edit: to clarify, clinton is working to her campaign strategy, not your obsession

                • Colonial Viper

                  But why is she hardly doing any public campaign events? She’s just going to let her big money ad buys speak for her while she stays at home?

                  • McFlock

                    Asked and answered, for your given values of “hardly” and “public”.

                    Trump is a circus freak – he gets big crowds and big headlines. A normal (read “qualified”) person can’t compete with that because, should they win, they don’t want to spend the next four years reaping the domestic and international fuckstorm they created during the campaign.

                    Trump doesn’t give a shit about that.

                    He just wants to give tax breaks to his companies so they don’t go bankrupt so often.

                  • dukeofurl

                    The facts dont agree with you

              • They’re practically the same age, and Trump got a draft deferment for Vietnam back when he was younger, so he has no ground to stand on attacking her health, either he’s suffered health problems since his youth or he is a draft-dodging liar.

                As for not being out on the campaign trail all the time, as someone who wants Trump to lose, I think it’s a good thing she’s not hogging so much face time. Whoever gets the biggest exposure this election is the loser, as the public hates both candidates pretty badly.

          • rhinocrates

            There’s a difference between campaigning and governing (or being Oxford Professor of Fine Arts):


          • dukeofurl

            As usual you are so wrong.
            The schedule is here
            27th Raleigh NC ( US Time)

            28th New Hampshire Clinton and Sanders together !

            29th Des Moines

            30th Florida x2 locations

            • dukeofurl

              Heres Trumps schedule

              he does his signature airport quickies but not so different to Clinton. – as you would expect for as this stage as there is 43 days to go.

            • Colonial Viper

              That’s more rallies than she’s done in the last month and a half. Could be clever time management from her doing more debate prep work than public appearances.

              • dukeofurl

                You dont have any idea about the coming week, why should you be credible about last month?

                Yes Trump has a different strategy, spend big money hiring local stadiums or airport hangers and do his signature rallies ( which last how long?)

                Someone who has been to ‘big rallies’ – Sanders and Trump- go figure

                “I have been to three rallies and all of them were this year. I went to two Bernie Sanders rallies and one Donald Trump rally. There were of course guest speakers at all of them who spoke for about an hour-an hour and a half before either Sanders or trump came out. At the first Bernie rally he spoke for about an hour, at the second he spoke for Almost an hour and a half. At the trump rally he arrived a half hour late and spoke for twenty minutes

                Its all part of the BIG man strategy, big crowds rah rah normally only one a day. Why doesnt he do small groups ?

              • McFlock

                That’s more rallies than she’s done in the last month and a half.

                Actually, it’s the same number of rallies:
                August 10, 2016 Des Moines, Iowa Rally Hillary Clinton
                September 6, 2016 Tampa, Florida Rally Hillary Clinton
                September 15, 2016 Greensboro, North Carolina Rally Hillary Clinton
                September 21, 2016 Orlando, Florida Rally Hillary Clinton

                But the slide into rallies is because you made the point:

                Clinton doesn’t have the legs to visit five states in five days like Trump does, is the point I am making.

                Looking at Sept 5-9, she did Ohio and Illonois on day 1, Florida day 2, New York day 3, North Carolina and Missouri day 4, and back to New York on day 5 ( 9Sept). That’s six states in five days, beating your trump benchmark when she had pneumonia.

                Once again, you’re both “technically” wrong and objectively wrong in the point you were trying to make.

  22. Tony Veitch (not the partner-bashing 3rd rate broadcaster) 23

    God help the world – between a rock and a hard place

    On one hand, Hillary – with more, much more of the same. Like Obama in 2008, she made a lot of good noises, but Wall street will see that few of her policies will happen.

    And then Donald J. The best that can be said about him is he’s unpredictable! And that he still thinks ‘trickle down’ works! So more of the same, only worse!

    We, the rest of the world, really needed Jill Stein on the stage to give us hope!

  23. Anne 24

    Trump looked and sounded what he is:
    An emotionally unstable, lying, bullying, ignorant, intellectually barren buffoon.

    Did I miss anything out?

    • Colonial Viper 24.1

      He’s a much less experienced political candidate and debater than Clinton is, Anne.

      • McFlock 24.1.1

        One reason he’s not the best candidate. One of many.

      • One Anonymous Bloke 24.1.2

        Your man’s the underdog for sure.

      • dukeofurl 24.1.3

        really ?

        Sarah Palin was inexperienced too and she was a big hit , a bit loose on some facts

        • Colonial Viper

          Did this Sarah Palin run for President of the USA?

          • Matthew Whitehead

            Sarah Palin’s issue was that she was a stupid woman, not a stupid man. Sexist attitudes in US politics means a dumb man is “relatable,” and a loudmouth is “strong.”

            Trump is objectively worse than Palin on every metric that people criticised her for, and she was such a drag on the ticket that she absolutely impacted McCain’s run because it called his judgement into question. Trump is still ostensibly a credible candidate because he’s good enough at emotive appeals and because of the double-standards that make his stupidity into a positive, that he can sway huge amount of uneducated voters. He’s winning by 20% more than republicans usually do among non-college educated white men.

            • Colonial Viper

              oh yes its the ignorant irreedemable deplorable blue collar class

              • Matthew

                More like “democrats are elitists who don’t understand working America,” combined with a little bit of the anti-intellectualism we’re familiar with in NZ politics. It’s not an attack on the working class, but it is a reality of how electoral politics work in the US. Trump is coming so close because voters don’t like Hillary, and he’s soundly locking up white people as a demographic, especially white men. It’s only older educated white people that Hillary makes significant inroads with, and then usually among women.

                The astounding thing, however, is that Trump is even more of an elitist than Hillary is, he just doesn’t sound that way to voters because he doesn’t have a vocabulary. And thus it is revealed that the euphemism “straight talker” actually means “someone who doesn’t use big words.” My contempt is for the fact that this guy is essentially taking the electorate for a ride with techniques that any journalist can spot and getting away with it, not for the fact that there exist people who can be convinced by this sort of stuff. And it’s all because people don’t pay attention to the working class.

      • Wait are you actually pulling for Trump? LOL

        • Colonial Viper

          Hi Matthew, I’ve predicted an easy victory for Trump over Clinton for months now. (I’d originally started out predicting a landslide for Trump, but I think it’ll end up being 20-30 more electoral votes than Clinton gets. Say 250 something for Clinton vs 280 something for Trump in terms of electoral votes).

          • Matthew Whitehead

            Ah, so you think he’ll win but don’t want him to?

            I think people grossly underestimate Trump’s electoral appeal, but I don’t think we should be happy about that, even based on the “Hillary is such a bad Democrat it’s better tactically for her to lose and someone new to run in 2020” theory, because Trump will likely have started a nuclear war by then based on his comments on nuclear weapons.

            I expect it to be reasonably close (ie. within 20 EVs) either way, with Clinton probably winning the popular vote unless Trump completely pulls away with it.

            • Colonial Viper

              I believe a Trump presidency will be far better for NZ than a Clinton one, so yes, I back him for that reason.

              Trump will de-escalate tensions with Putin and move relations with China to a far more business-like footing.

              So less sabre rattling argey bargey, and less chances of a nuclear exchange, deliberate or accidental.

              • Trump won’t “de-escalate” with Putin, he’ll suck up to him because he owes Russia huge amounts.

                I agree that Hillary is more overtly hawkish than Trump, but it’s worth remembering that Hillary can control her temper and doesn’t fire back at anyone who criticises her. Trump won’t intend to increase tensions with other nations, he’ll just do it because he’ll be slighted in a diplomatically acceptable way and then suddenly go off the rails.

                Even if his policies were actually better, (outside of his opinion on trade deals and his tendancy to be slightly less hawkish in certain areas, they’re largely disastrous) I’d be seriously worried about someone with his personality and (lack of) judgement in charge of any significant country.

                • Colonial Viper

                  Clinton is part of the regime changing neoconservative crowd, that’s much more than being just “hawkish.”

                  How much money does Trump owe the Russians?

                  • dukeofurl

                    This is your scenario
                    “The result? Clinton would carry the popular vote by 1.5 percentage points. However, Trump would win the Electoral College with 280 votes by holding all 24 Romney states and flipping Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Iowa and Maine’s 2nd Congressional District from blue to red. And the real disparity between the electoral and popular votes could be larger, because this model doesn’t even factor in Trump’s Mormon problem.

                    Don’t get me wrong: This scenario is still very unlikely.

                    But heh what do the people at know ?

                    • RedLogix

                      In a sane world it shouldn’t be this close.

                      I judged a Sanders vs Trump election a safe-ish bet, but Clinton vs Trump … anything damn thing could happen. Lots of uncertainty.

                      A Trump Presidency slashes open the can of worms right now; a Clinton one kicks it down the road some unknowable distance. It’s hard to feel hopeful either way.

                  • Matthew

                    At least $650 million, according to the New York Times.

                    Like I said, I don’t disagree Clinton is a danger. She’s just a manageable danger that can be anticipated, managed, and most importantly, shows no signs of further undermining America’s crumbling democracy. Trump however shows every sign of an authoritarian and someone who would start taking measures to arrest his enemies and (further) undermine elections.

                    I know elections aren’t preventing corruption in the USA as-is, but the issue is more that once those democratic institutions are gone, they’re very hard to get back. I mean, the fact that the moderator had to even ask one of the candidates whether he would respect the election results if he lost…. that’s really damning.

              • AmaKiwi

                Colonial Viper

                “I believe a Trump presidency will be far better for NZ than a Clinton one”

                The Deep State (of which Hillary is a charter member for life) will either wrap Trump around their little finger or kill him off.

              • Colonial Viper

                Amakiwi: quite.

    • Manuka AOR 24.2

      Did I miss anything out?

      Bernie Sanders
      ✔ @BernieSanders
      I don’t often agree with @MittRomney but he’s right: Trump is a “fraud” and a “phony.” #DebateWithBernie

    • AmaKiwi 24.3

      Anne – Correct!

      “Trump looked and sounded what he is: an emotionally unstable . . . bullying . . . buffoon.”

      Bullying was his HUGE mistake in the debate. People do not like men who bully women. Her look while he was bullying said it all: “I will not be bullied, little Donny.”

      It was a Trump fiasco. We shall not forget.

  24. john 26

    Moderator or team Clinton?

    Excellent questions about his tax returns (as there should be).

    ZERO questions about her EMails, Benghazi, Iraq, ISIS, Syria, Russia in Crimea (“Russian reset”) etc etc
    All giant fails for her.
    Trump had to bring up some of these himself and when he did the “moderator” tried to shut him down.

    • Paul 26.1

      Yes and Trump’s support was asked to be quiet.
      Clinton’s wasn’t.

      I don’t support Trump.
      Yet I notice the bias.

      • john 26.1.1

        On the record, for and against…..tight decision, I support Trump. Simply due to her appalling record.
        Dead ambassador
        Red line
        Supports Obama’s economy, with record low employment rate, infrastructure disintegration, failed energy policy (especially “green energy” (Solyndra was a joke))
        doubling of the debt, almost as much US investment camped out of their country than in it, Large corp.’s like Courier, Apple setting up and keeping their profits and paying their taxes outside of the USA….That’s where all the money has gone Hilary, you and Obama drove it out of the country. Raising corporate taxes in the USA may be better for NZ than they will be for the USA. Come here employ us and pay taxes to us.

        • You know they went around asking delegates at the Republican convention whether Trump would be a success if he achieved Obama’s numbers on unemployment, on GDP, etc… and the delegates all said yes?

          Obama’s economy, on average, is fine. The issue is that it’s fine on average because all the gains are going to the wealthy and almost everyone else is being squeezed for it. America doesn’t need to grow the economy, it just needs to distribute the gains fairly.

          • dukeofurl

            78 straight months of economic expansion.

            currently enjoying the longest period of private sector job creation in American history.

            unemployment has dropped from 10.1% in October of 2009 to 4.9% by early 2016.

            Federal budget deficit is shrinking. It’s been reduced by two-thirds since 2009

            government spending has increased only 3.3% annually, the lowest rate since Eisenhower was president

            18 million more Americans now have health insurance than before.

            currently have fewer soldiers, sailors, and airmen in war zones than we did at any time in the last 12 years

            stock market continues to set new record highs since President Obama took office. [Important as a lot have people have their retirement funds in stock markets]

            Yep nothing to see there.

            • Matthew Whitehead

              Right. Any fact-based criticism of the Obama administration basically has to conclude that its flaws were mainly on environmental policy, not cutting down sufficiently on wasted government spending, and not managing to address immigration or income inequality.

              On everything else the US is doing better than before, if not necessarily as good as it could have been doing had congress been more in line with Obama in general.

    • The moderator isn’t required to grill both candidates about every single scandal, there’s honestly so many for both of them that you could potentially run the clock trying to do that even on Hillary’s side, let alone Trump’s.

      Part of it is to try and give the public a sense of the positive vision that each candidate should have, and their approach to policy problems. It was when we actually got into those sorts of questions that Hillary started beating Trump, because he ruined her on the economy, and had some good one-liners attacking her, even when he was being an annoying interrupter and I wanted to hear what she was saying, there are parts of the american public that that will play well for.

  25. Puckish Rogue 27

    M’eh, anticlimactic

  26. One Anonymous Bloke 28

    I was too busy to watch the first bit. Probably preoccupied with local elections too.

    As for the rest, I liked the bit where Hillary smashed ‘im on basic trust issues: ‘America keeps its word’ may or may not be true depending on the circumstances, and it was a great response to Donald’s emotive rambling.

    I also liked her self-confidence on the ‘stamina’ issue. “…let him do 11 hours…”

    She went up in my estimation, which wasn’t a difficult hurdle to get over. He stayed the same: an embodiment of centre-right values: if lying to the electorate is a winning strategy, you open the door to the best lies of all: fear and hate.

  27. Colonial Viper 29

    Jill Stein escorted off debate campus site by police

    You gotta love American plutocracy, uh, democracy.

    • TheExtremist 29.1

      Um, she wasn’t invited and had no credentials to enter. So….yeah, not really a story

      • Colonial Viper 29.1.1

        That’s how they keep the system locked down to the two big parties.

        Not really a story eh?

        • TheExtremist

          No it isn’t a story because she wasn’t invited, showed up anyway, and was escorted out.
          That’s what happens when you crash an event you are not invited too.
          So no, not a story

          (The whole two party system is another story in itself. A person being escorted from an event they weren’t invited to isn’t a story)

          • Matthew Whitehead

            Given that the attendees are invited by the two major parties, I don’t think it’s actually legitimate to talk about invitees anyway. Who attends shouldn’t be up to the democrats and republicans.

          • Colonial Viper

            it’s been noted in quite a few MSM media reports. Apparently, it is a story.

      • Adrian 29.1.2

        If you have some interest on the subject, maybe watch this…

        [Hi, Adrian. It’s been pointed out below that your handle has been used by another poster since waaaay back. Would you mind amending yours to avoid confusion? Cheers, TRP]

      • It should be a story. She’s on the ballot nationally, as is Gary Johnson. They ought to get at least one debate with the larger party candidates, especially as Gary Johnson’s polling is pretty respectable- if he was in NZ, the Libertarians would be clearing the party vote threshold.

        • dukeofurl

          The poll threshold is 15%

          “Under the 2016 Criteria, in addition to being Constitutionally eligible, candidates must appear on a sufficient number of state ballots to have a mathematical chance of winning a majority vote in the Electoral College, and have a level of support of at least 15 percent of the national electorate as determined by five selected national public opinion polling organizations”
          Commision on presidential debates.

          remember its for President not a seat in Congress. So comparison with NZs MP threshold is …well misjudged.

          • Matthew Whitehead

            I know it is.

            It’s 15% because it’s set by the Democratic and Republican parties, through the commission on presidential debates. (because that commission is appointed by the parties)

            My point is that if you applied a reasonable standard, such as New Zealand used to for its leaders debate, (ie. with minor parties’ leaders debates) you would expect to have a debate featuring at least Gary Johnson, if not also Jill Stein.

            It’s absolutely ridiculous that you can have independents or third-party candidates polling above 5% and not have their ideas represented in general election coverage.

            And given how difficult it is to be on the ballot for President in enough states to win the electoral college, I think that’s a perfectly reasonable qualifying line. Only serious candidates will meet it.

            • dukeofurl

              NZ does have a range of parties in parliament so its reasonable they are included.
              The 15% threshold has been achieved before by a 3rd party candidate. For the US 5% is fringe.

  28. rhinocrates 30

    People’s champion? Going to stick it to the plutocracy? Apparently not:

    When the Democratic nominee cited Trump as an example of someone who wanted the markets to fail, claiming that in 2006 he cheered a real estate crisis so that he could buy property more cheaply, Trump interrupted, “That’s called business, by the way.”

    Undecided voters might not appreciate that view. Many lost their homes in what he blithely calls business.

    It got worse. When Clinton attacked Trump for refusing to release his tax returns, she managed to squeeze out four possible reasons why he is breaking decades of precedent—he’s not as rich as he says, he’s not as charitable as he says, he’s deeply in debt to foreign banks, and he pays no federal taxes—before Trump seemed to confirm he’s not a taxpayer. “That makes me smart,” he said.

    She also worked at length to tie Trump to the idea of trickle-down economics, a connection he readily accepted. “The wealthy are going to create tremendous jobs,” he said.

  29. The invisible hand of the market says Clinton won. Reuters have this summary:

    “Markets have tended to see Clinton as the candidate of the status quo, while few are sure what a Trump presidency might mean for US foreign policy, trade and the domestic economy.

    MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan bounced to be up 0.2%, while South Korea and Shanghai inched higher.

    Japan’s Nikkei more than halved its losses and was down 0.4% by late morning, while the U.S. dollar edged up to 100.74 yen from a low of around 100.08.

    EMini futures for the S&P 500 also recouped all its losses to trade 0.5 percent firmer.”

    • Colonial Viper 31.1

      Not surprised that the financial markets and the big hedge funds which drive them are pleased with Clinton’s performance

      • Lanthanide 31.1.1

        Yes, not having a maniac for a president is good for business. Who’d’ve thunk it?

        • Colonial Viper

          having a shill for the corporate military industrial surveillance complex is definitely good for business

          • Lanthanide

            I’d take a shill over a maniac. Shill is more predictable and less likely to start a nuclear war, unlike Trump who repeatedly asked “if we have nukes, why can’t we use them?”.

            • Colonial Viper

              oddly, I have the opposite opinion on this to you.

              I see Hillary Clinton as an integral part of the neoconservative regime change cadre in Washington DC who wanted to take out 7 countries in 5 years, and who have been playing escalating games of brinksmanship with Russia and China, in Russia and China’s own backyard, over the last several years.

            • Paul

              From a NZ perspective, Trump made it clear the TPP is dead.
              And from a Middle East perspective, he indicated he’d cut the spending on the military there.

              • red-blooded

                Clinton made it clear she doesn’t support TPP (supported the general concept but not the final product) and that she’s voted against trade agreements that she didn’t support in the past. Of course, her reasons for not supporting it wouldn’t be the same reasons that people here don’t like it, but the issue wasn’t really explored in that much detail.

                • Paul

                  On the TPP

                  Trump: “You called it the gold standard of trade deals. You said it’s the finest deal you’ve ever seen, and then you heard what I said about it, and all of a sudden you were against it.”
                  Clinton: “Well, Donald, I know you live in your own reality, but that is not the facts. The facts are: I did say I hoped it would be a good deal, but when it was negotiated which I was not responsible for, I concluded it wasn’t. I wrote about that in my book —”
                  Trump: “So, is it President Obama’s fault?”
                  Clinton: “—before you even announced.”
                  Trump: “Is it President Obama’s fault?”

                • To be fair, it’s pretty credible to think that she’s making a tactical decision on opposing the TPP because she thinks Obama and Congress will pass it in the lame duck session, and she can shrug and say “well, it’s done now! Sorry everyone!”

                  The TPP is absolutely the sort of deal Clinton has supported in the past.

                  • Andre

                    Yeah, I’ve had that worry since she flipped on it. But if it doesn’t pass in the lame duck, then I now think she knows it’s seriously unpopular and not worth her effort. To give Trump his due, it looks like he’s turned more than a few Republicans into TPP opponents as well.

                    • Indeed. Of course, if that happens but TPP still stays alive somehow, she can try to flip enough democrats for it behind the scenes to have it pass so soundly she couldn’t veto it, so that is probably one of my bigger worries if we do get a Clinton presidency.

            • One Two

              “Less likely to start a nuclear war”

              That’s not possible for you or anyone else here to know..

              • Lanthanide

                I gave you evidence – Trump repeatedly asked the question, “if we have nukes, why can’t we use them”.

                Does that sound like someone who actually understands what a nuclear war is?

                • Colonial Viper

                  Trump will clearly de-escalate with Russia. That reduces the chances of nuclear war dramatically right there.

                  • Lanthanide

                    Yip, that might reduce the chance of nuclear war.

                    Might not be so good for Europe, though.

                  • No, it reduces the chance of Russia starting one. You still have to deal with the fact that Trump doesn’t understand why nobody in government wants to have to fire the damned things, which may in fact mean that he orders a nuclear strike.

                    Wherever you stand, I think we have to admit this is the most worried anyone has had a right to be about nukes since the cuban missile crisis.

                  • North

                    Wow ! Colonial Crosby Viper Textor. Just like Trump. ‘It will be! Because I say so!’

                    ‘Tremendous tremendous tremendous! There’s a lot of tremendous out there folks!’

                    Damn!…….the ‘purest’ leftie on this site rooting for Trump. There’s something very puzzling here…….

                  • Manuka AOR

                    Trump will clearly de-escalate with Russia.

                    … Until he received his first perceived insult, some spoken or tweeted comment that he could find offensive or that challenged his bloated, fragile ego…

                    CV, you’re projecting your own potential approach, your own sanity onto him, imo. Nothing about Trump is “clear” – he reverses his own directions mid-sentence!

                    • To be fair, you just have to watch for when his hand gestures start going horizontal for when a reversal is likely coming, that’s what he does whenever he has no bloody clue what he’s saying.

                  • Phil

                    Trump will clearly de-escalate with Russia. That reduces the chances of nuclear war dramatically right there.

                    It’s 2016, CV, not 1986.

                • One Two

                  Of course he understands what nuclear war is and would entail

                  It sounds like the comment could be interpreted various ways

                  To those living in fear the comment might sound terrifying…

                  But living that way is pointless with the nuclear genie long since out of the bottle and in the custody of a species which can’t control the power or technology

                  Live life and try looking through a different lens

                  • Lanthanide

                    Uh, what?

                  • Matthew

                    I’m sorry, but how exactly do you interpret repeated queries to his advisors of “why do we even have nukes if we aren’t going to use them?” other than “I don’t understand why we don’t want to start nuclear war”? (protip: because it results in a post-apocalyptic wasteland)

                    It’s a basic prerequisite of leading any nuclear armed state that you understand the very extreme political risks of ever using nuclear weapons, and that the philosophical reason for their existence is mainly to make sure other people with nukes don’t use them on you either.

            • Paul

              Supporting the military/ industrial complex sounds pretty maniacal to me.

  30. Pasupial 32

    This bit I had the sound on for, and it was fine, but a too obvious for; line of the debate (I missed Trump ranting about the quality of his temperament and her“whew, OK!” putdown, hopefully there’ll be a clip somewhere without having to endure the whole tedious thing):

    Clinton’s best line (apart from “whew, OK!”): “I think Donald just criticized me for preparing for this debate. And yes I did. And you know what else I prepared for? I prepared to be president. And that’s a good thing.”

  31. trump – “I will reduce taxes from 35% to 15% for companies small and big”
    Clinton “trumped up trickle down”

    sounds like the don wants an increase in income for his companies… funny that

    edit – re above – watching replay – jeeze that sniff from the don is a shocker

  32. Adrian 36

    TRP and fellow Moderators, who is this “other” Adrian, I have been on The Standard since the first week using Adrian as my name, both real and commentator, any chance of sorting it out please. My understanding is that the Adrian on here today only started commentating about 18-24 months ago. I’m not getting antsy but it’s a bit confusing. Thanks.

    [Fair call. You’ve got first dibs on the handle, though you both have genuine reasons for using it. If the newer Adrian is reading this, please change your posting name to avoid confusion. TRP]

  33. trump – “you’re telling the enemy everything you want to do”

    shouty, bullyboy trump struggling and showing it

  34. clinton “the trump loophole” – good line – she’s coming up with some good ones
    trump “who gave it that name, who gave it that name” lol

  35. trump “694M income for the past year”

    no not a 1%er a 0.1%er the dirty top of the 1%ers

  36. trump pretty well admited he doesn’t pay tax – “that makes me smart”

    I wonder how all the little people supporting him feel about that – fucken 0.1%ers we know how you get and stay so rich – by not paying your fair share!!!

    • Yeah, I hope she picks that up in debate 2 and hits him as unpatriotic, a lawbreaker, and a cheater for not paying tax.

      • Colonial Viper 40.1.1

        How about her taking big pay days from the banksters who crushed the American economy?

        • marty mars

          yeah back the guy who doesn’t pay tax – no hospitals, no roads, no military – so all his bullshit exposed

          • Colonial Viper

            then there’s Hillary taking foreign money as Sec State while her department was approving deals to sell US uranium resources to Russia

            • marty mars

              Rubbish, that claim is disproved – check out the John Oliver video. Your man is an idiot, a liar and a cheat – get used to it 5ppm

              • Colonial Viper

                “Cash flowed to Clinton Foundation amid Russian uranium deal”

                By the way, that’s the New York Times headline, not mine.


                • McFlock

                  Yeah, and it still doesn’t explain how Clinton wangled the votes of the eight other departments and agencies that also okayed the deal (as well as her vote which was in line with state department advice) well after almost all of the donors no longer even stood to gain from the authorisation. Not that she stands to gain from the Clinton Foundation, either.

                  The line between the trump foundation’s illegal donation to the campaign fund of a DA who chose to not prosecute him over his “university” is much shorter and straighter.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    Just pointing out the obviousness of Russian business interests donating millions of dollars to the Clintons.

                    Follow the money McFlock, I find it strange that you would be gullible enough to believe John Key’s, uh I mean Clinton’s claims that all the money goes to charity.

                    • McFlock

                      Well, let’s see: we can inspect her tax records over the last fifteen years, the Clinton Foundation is a registered public charity that is audited and has a very high rating for spending its funds actually on charity rather than governance, most of the donors weren’t even in a position to profit when the decision finally came before the US Government, and eight other agencies with no connection to clinton gave their okay.

                      Dunnokeyo and trumps claims about charitable donations and/or personal wealth are completely unverifiable. Trump hasn’t even released his tax records, hiding behind a bullshit audit excuse – he’s legally able to release all his tax returns. He just doesn’t want to. And you’re still lobbying for the coward.

        • As long as she pays tax on it I’d vote for her ahead of Trump if I got a vote. 😉

          Seriously though, I agree with basically everything you have to say against Hillary, I just think Trump is a much bigger danger to the US and the world, and this is one of those rare situations where I’d outright counsel people to vote against him rather than for whoever the most progressive option is.

          • Andre

            Ahh screw this timid “lesser of evils” shit. Vote for the greatest evil of all. Chthulhu for president!

            • Colonial Viper

              Hillary is the greater evil.

              • Go on suck up to the 0.1%er – trump “694M income for the past year” – your man showed his stinking credentials in that debate.

                • Colonial Viper

                  The 0.1%’ers – including the Rothschilds who organised a $100,000 per ticket fundraiser for her – have chosen Hillary to suck up to.

                  • Matthew

                    Right, which should tell you something, because even though Trump’s tax plan is heroin for the super-rich, even they are abandoning him because he’s too unstable to bear, and they’ll literally condemn people to starvation to make more money.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      They didn’t “abandon” Trump, they were never with Trump.

                      They have always been with their established dependable DC insider, Hillary Clinton.

            • Matthew Whitehead

              I agree with you that lesser of two evils is normally a terrible argument regarding who is the best choice to vote for.

              However, in a contest where one candidate is an actual authoritarian, I think it’s reasonable to say you should vote for the candidate who believes more in democracy.

              • Colonial Viper

                The candidate “who believes more in democracy” must be the candidate who got her party hierarchy to shaft Bernie Sanders, and then when the officers of the DNC got found out and punished, that candidate must have offered them jobs on her campaign team as a reward for their actions, right?

  37. yes don you have created an ‘unbelievable’ company (repeat unbelievable 3-5 times to make it believable) totally unbelievable…

  38. Manuka AOR 42

    19 WTF Moments From the First Presidential Debate

    eg On whether Clinton looks “presidential”

    Trump: “She doesn’t have the look; she doesn’t have the stamina. I said she doesn’t have the stamina. And I don’t believe she has the stamina. To be president of this country you need tremendous stamina.”
    Holt: “The quote was: ‘I just don’t think she has a presidential look —'”

    Or on “the cyber”

    Trump: “As far as the cyber, I agree to parts of what Secretary Clinton said. We should be better than anybody else, and perhaps we’re not. I don’t think anybody knows it was Russia that broke into the DNC. She’s saying Russia, Russia, Russia, but I don’t – maybe it was.

    On Clinton’s plan for the economy

    Trump: “Secretary, you have no plan.”
    Clinton: “In fact, I have written a book about it. It’s called Stronger Together. You can pick it up tomorrow at a bookstore or at an airport near you.”

  39. joe90 43

    FFS, this shit.

    Fox News commentator: Trump looked "annoyed, put out, uncomfortable," Clinton looked "composed, smug sometimes, not necessarily attractive"— Mashable News (@MashableNews) September 27, 2016

  40. Takere 44

    US Isolationism is good for the World! Go Trump!

  41. rhinocrates 45

    Some light relief:

    And Trump’s sniffles got me thinking of this:

  42. rhinocrates 47

    Post debate podcast from fivethirtyeight:

    I’ve just started myself, so I’ve no comment or precis.

  43. dukeofurl 48

    Comment of the day
    “Hillary Clinton belongs in the White House. Donald Trump belongs on my show.”

    Jerry Springer, host of “The Jerry Springer Show” – Twitter.

    • joe90 48.1

      Second place –

      Notice Trump sniffing all the time. Coke user?— Howard Dean (@GovHowardDean) September 27, 2016

      • One Two 48.1.1

        ‘User’ with Slick Willy on the ‘lolita express’…

        • joe90

          Notice how thirty minutes in his sniffles cleared …she don’t lie, she don’t lie, she don’t lie…….cocaine

      • Colonial Viper 48.1.2

        pffft Trump doesn’t even drink

        • Manuka AOR

          Howard Dean’s replies when questioned about that tweet:
          “So, he sniffs during the presentation — which is something users do — but he also has grandiosity, which is something that also accompanies that problem. He has delusions — I’m not talking about being crazy, but for example, when he told everybody he thinks it’s smart not to pay taxes, then denied he said it after he said it in front of a hundred million people.”

          “It’s not that he’s delusionary [sic] about it, he thinks somehow he won’t get caught,” he said. “That is delusional.”
          Trump, Dean said, showed us that he has poor impulse control. He interrupted Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton 29 times on Monday night.

          “He couldn’t keep himself together,” said Dean, a former physician and ex-head of the Democratic National Committee.

          “I don’t think this is a ridiculous idea,” Dean said. “Something funny was going on with Trump last night. Do I think it was cocaine? Probably not, but again — the sniffling, the grandiosity, the delusions, the pressured speech? This guy’s already proven himself to be unstable, so why is he unstable?”

  44. Henry Filth 50

    Fox News had some fairly good analysis and commentary on this. The best pairing was probably Charles Krauthammer and Mrs Clinton’s press secretary. Their verdict was a draw.

    Looking forward to round two.

  45. Manuka AOR 51

    Juan Cole:
    “The things Trump said bore no relation to reality.

    “So the debate did not take place.

    It was not a debate so much as an opportunity to display his ability to weave an alternate reality for his acolytes.”

    He interrupted her 26 times in 25 minutes. For the first 20 minutes moderator Lester Holt, a Republican, was AWOL. He let Trump repeatedly cut Clinton off, badger her, and even take over Holt’s putative role, of asking her questions. If there is one rule of debates, it is that one debater is not allowed to ask the other the questions.

    Trump also wove his alternative reality. In that world, he ceased his racist birtherism as soon as President Obama produced his long form birth certificate, and did the president a favor in making him publish it (something never required of any white president [i.e. from any of them]).

    This is not true.

    In Trump’s alternate reality, he never said that climate change is a Chinese-promoted hoax. But of course he had said it.

    • Colonial Viper 51.1

      Juan Cole knows full well Clinton’s tragic record of warmongering in both Libya and Syria.

      • rhinocrates 51.1.1

        He probably knows of Trump’s promise to commit war crimes in the Middle East too. Specifically a policy of targeting of civilian non-combatants because they’re the families of suspected or accused terrorists.

        “Buuuuut KKKillary…”

        See? This can go on forever.

        • Colonial Viper

          The West’s plans to forceably and illegally regime change Assad are not going to be successful.

          The West could terminate their support of the Jihadist head choppers and bring their colonial old style Syrian adventure to an end.

      • dukeofurl 51.1.2

        She was Secretary of State, not Secretary of defense.
        Obama is President the decisions are his.

        Syria only started to hot up from the end of 2011 and that was because of major support from Turkey. The US support using CIA dates from 2012

        • Colonial Viper

          Clinton is part of the Washington DC regime change neocon set. State Department staff have previously written briefs on how to destabilise and damage the Syrian regime.

          In Libya, Clinton is acknowledged to have been the senior voice in the Obama administration who consistently pushed to regime change Gaddafi out.

          My assumption is that she played a similarly active role in maneuvering the US into supporting the overthrow of Assad, and especially in fostering and funding “colour revolution” style unrest in Syria, and especially in working with Israel, Qatar, Jordan and Saudi Arabia to deliver the results desired by the USA.

  46. Observer Tokoroa 52

    . Felling Sorrow for you Viper

    . You do the right thing. You get cuddly Putin to use Trump and rake through all USA Business and confidential documents. You tell Trump how great and honest he is. You jump for Joy when Putin bombs Aleppo.

    You have not discouraged the secretive Trump from getting his mentally defect followers to shoot Mrs Clinton dead. In the names of Mao, Stalin and Putin you may have to do it yourself.

    Sadly, Putin and Trump the lazy bastards have not done one thing they promised. In fact, TRump looked drunk on his podium of thrills and dills.

    You usually let yourself down Viper. You certainly don’t need Putin and Trumph letting you down too.


  47. CNN has a poll in that says Clinton won 62% to 27%. (this is an actual poll, not an online website poll)

    47% didn’t change their opinion based on the debate, but…
    34% more likely to vote Clinton after
    18% more likely to vote Trump after

    Public Policy polling also had Clinton winning more narrowly at 51% to 40%.

    Basically the only post-debate polls having Trump win are unscientific online polls.

    Even Fox News’ internal focus group broke 16-6 for Clinton, lol.

    • Colonial Viper 53.1

      You really think that Trump is not going to get a bump in the polls this week from the debate? Really?

      • Trump has been trending down over time since the first debate. Whether you agree or disagree with the particular numbers, the trend is pretty clear among scientific polls that his polling went down after the debate. While I would have called the direction correctly ahead of time, I probably would have been more pessimistic about Hillary’s relative performance than it appears the American public were, so I’m breathing a bit of a sigh of relief with recent events.

        I don’t always agree with the particular methodology of a poll, but taking the trend of all of them together and controlling for the recency of each poll is a great way to get a general picture of what’s going on over time, and in the USA they actually do them regularly enough for it to be very useful as opposed to the level of speculation we need to engage as to what each poll means in New Zealand because they don’t even average out to being weekly between the four companies that publish their results.

  48. Colonial Viper 54

    Clinton public event at Wake Technical College, Raleigh N.C.

    A medium sized turn out. 1442 in the audience, official count.

    On the campus of a college with 73,000 students.

    It looks to me like Clinton may lose NC however, despite the influx of educated white collar workers into urban centres like Raleigh.

  49. Colonial Viper 55

    271st comment. That’s a winning number.

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    Roger Partridge  writes – When the Coalition Government took office last October, it inherited a country on a precipice. With persistent inflation, decades of insipid productivity growth and crises in healthcare, education, housing and law and order, it is no exaggeration to suggest New Zealand’s first-world status was ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Have 308 people in the Education Ministry’s Curriculum Development Team spent over $100m on a 60-p...
    Rob MacCulloch writes – In 2022, the Curriculum Centre at the Ministry of Education employed 308 staff, according to an Official Information Request. Earlier this week it was announced 202 of those staff were being cut. When you look up “The New Zealand Curriculum” on the Ministry of ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • 'This bill is dangerous for the environment and our democracy'
    Chris Bishop’s bill has stirred up a hornets nest of opposition. Photo: Lynn Grieveson for The KākāTL;DR: The six things that stood out to me in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate from the last day included:A crescendo of opposition to the Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill is ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • The Bank of our Tamariki and Mokopuna.
    Monday left me brokenTuesday, I was through with hopingWednesday, my empty arms were openThursday, waiting for love, waiting for loveThe end of another week that left many of us asking WTF? What on earth has NZ gotten itself into and how on earth could people have voluntarily signed up for ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • The worth of it all
    Hello! Here comes the Saturday edition of More Than A Feilding, catching you up on the past week’s editions.State of humanity, 20242024, it feels, keeps presenting us with ever more challenges, ever more dismay.Do you give up yet? It seems to ask.No? How about this? Or this?How about this?Full story Share ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • What is the Hardest Sport in the World?
    Determining the hardest sport in the world is a subjective matter, as the difficulty level can vary depending on individual abilities, physical attributes, and experience. However, based on various factors including physical demands, technical skills, mental fortitude, and overall accomplishment, here is an exploration of some of the most challenging ...
    3 days ago
  • What is the Most Expensive Sport?
    The allure of sport transcends age, culture, and geographical boundaries. It captivates hearts, ignites passions, and provides unparalleled entertainment. Behind the spectacle, however, lies a fascinating world of financial investment and expenditure. Among the vast array of competitive pursuits, one question looms large: which sport carries the hefty title of ...
    3 days ago
  • Pickleball On the Cusp of Olympic Glory
    Introduction Pickleball, a rapidly growing paddle sport, has captured the hearts and imaginations of millions around the world. Its blend of tennis, badminton, and table tennis elements has made it a favorite among players of all ages and skill levels. As the sport’s popularity continues to surge, the question on ...
    3 days ago
  • The Origin and Evolution of Soccer Unveiling the Genius Behind the World’s Most Popular Sport
    Abstract: Soccer, the global phenomenon captivating millions worldwide, has a rich history that spans centuries. Its origins trace back to ancient civilizations, but the modern version we know and love emerged through a complex interplay of cultural influences and innovations. This article delves into the fascinating journey of soccer’s evolution, ...
    3 days ago
  • How Much to Tint Car Windows A Comprehensive Guide
    Tinting car windows offers numerous benefits, including enhanced privacy, reduced glare, UV protection, and a more stylish look for your vehicle. However, the cost of window tinting can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article provides a comprehensive guide to help you understand how much you can expect to ...
    3 days ago
  • Why Does My Car Smell Like Gas? A Comprehensive Guide to Diagnosing and Fixing the Issue
    The pungent smell of gasoline in your car can be an alarming and potentially dangerous problem. Not only is the odor unpleasant, but it can also indicate a serious issue with your vehicle’s fuel system. In this article, we will explore the various reasons why your car may smell like ...
    3 days ago
  • How to Remove Tree Sap from Car A Comprehensive Guide
    Tree sap can be a sticky, unsightly mess on your car’s exterior. It can be difficult to remove, but with the right techniques and products, you can restore your car to its former glory. Understanding Tree Sap Tree sap is a thick, viscous liquid produced by trees to seal wounds ...
    3 days ago
  • How Much Paint Do You Need to Paint a Car?
    The amount of paint needed to paint a car depends on a number of factors, including the size of the car, the number of coats you plan to apply, and the type of paint you are using. In general, you will need between 1 and 2 gallons of paint for ...
    3 days ago
  • Can You Jump a Car in the Rain? Safety Precautions and Essential Steps
    Jump-starting a car is a common task that can be performed even in adverse weather conditions like rain. However, safety precautions and proper techniques are crucial to avoid potential hazards. This comprehensive guide will provide detailed instructions on how to safely jump a car in the rain, ensuring both your ...
    3 days ago
  • Can taxpayers be confident PIJF cash was spent wisely?
    Graham Adams writes about the $55m media fund — When Patrick Gower was asked by Mike Hosking last week what he would say to the many Newstalk ZB callers who allege the Labour government bribed media with $55 million of taxpayers’ money via the Public Interest Journalism Fund — and ...
    Point of OrderBy gadams1000
    3 days ago
  • EGU2024 – An intense week of joining sessions virtually
    Note: this blog post has been put together over the course of the week I followed the happenings at the conference virtually. Should recordings of the Great Debates and possibly Union Symposia mentioned below, be released sometime after the conference ends, I'll include links to the ones I participated in. ...
    3 days ago
  • Submission on “Fast Track Approvals Bill”
    The following was my submission made on the “Fast Track Approvals Bill”. This potential law will give three Ministers unchecked powers, un-paralled since the days of Robert Muldoon’s “Think Big” projects.The submission is written a bit tongue-in-cheek. But it’s irreverent because the FTAB is in itself not worthy of respect. ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    3 days ago
  • The Case for a Universal Family Benefit
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    PunditBy Brian Easton
    3 days ago
  • A who’s who of New Zealand’s dodgiest companies
    Submissions on National's corrupt Muldoonist fast-track law are due today (have you submitted?), and just hours before they close, Infrastructure Minister Chris Bishop has been forced to release the list of companies he invited to apply. I've spent the last hour going through it in an epic thread of bleats, ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • On Lee’s watch, Economic Development seems to be stuck on scoring points from promoting sporting e...
    Buzz from the Beehive A few days ago, Point of Order suggested the media must be musing “on why Melissa is mute”. Our article reported that people working in the beleaguered media industry have cause to yearn for a minister as busy as Melissa Lee’s ministerial colleagues and we drew ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago
  • New Zealand has never been closed for business
    1. What was The Curse of Jim Bolger?a. Winston Peters b. Soon after shaking his hand, world leaders would mysteriously lose office or shuffle off this mortal coilc. Could never shake off the Mother of All Budgetsd. Dandruff2. True or false? The Chairman of a Kiwi export business has asked the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Stop the panic – we’ve been here before
    Jack Vowles writes – New Zealand is said to be suffering from ‘serious populist discontent’. An IPSOS MORI survey has reported that we have an increasing preference for strong leaders, think that the economy is rigged toward the rich and powerful, and political elites are ignoring ‘hard-working people’.  ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Melissa Lee and the media: ending the quest
    Chris Trotter writes –  MELISSA LEE should be deprived of her ministerial warrant. Her handling – or non-handling – of the crisis engulfing the New Zealand news media has been woeful. The fate of New Zealand’s two linear television networks, a question which the Minister of Broadcasting, Communications ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • The Hoon around the week to April 19
    TL;DR: The podcast above features co-hosts and , along with regular guests Robert Patman on Gaza and AUKUS II, and on climate change.The six things that mattered in Aotearoa’s political economy that we wrote and spoke about via The Kākā and elsewhere for paying subscribers in the ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • The ‘Humpty Dumpty’ end result of dismantling our environmental protections
    Policymakers rarely wish to make plain or visible their desire to dismantle environmental policy, least of all to the young. Photo: Lynn GrievesonTL;DR: Here’s the top five news items of note in climate news for Aotearoa-NZ this week, and a discussion above between Bernard Hickey and The Kākā’s climate correspondent ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Nicola's Salad Days.
    I like to keep an eye on what’s happening in places like the UK, the US, and over the ditch with our good mates the Aussies. Let’s call them AUKUS, for want of a better collective term. More on that in a bit.It used to be, not long ago, that ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Study sees climate change baking in 19% lower global income by 2050
    TL;DR: The global economy will be one fifth smaller than it would have otherwise been in 2050 as a result of climate damage, according to a new study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and published in the journal Nature. (See more detail and analysis below, and ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Weekly Roundup 19-April-2024
    It’s Friday again. Here’s some of the things that caught our attention this week. This Week on Greater Auckland On Tuesday Matt covered at the government looking into a long tunnel for Wellington. On Wednesday we ran a post from Oscar Simms on some lessons from Texas. AT’s ...
    4 days ago
  • Jack Vowles: Stop the panic – we’ve been here before
    New Zealand is said to be suffering from ‘serious populist discontent’. An IPSOS MORI survey has reported that we have an increasing preference for strong leaders, think that the economy is rigged toward the rich and powerful, and political elites are ignoring ‘hard-working people’.  The data is from February this ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    4 days ago
  • Clearing up confusion (or trying to)
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters is understood to be planning a major speech within the next fortnight to clear up the confusion over whether or not New Zealand might join the AUKUS submarine project. So far, there have been conflicting signals from the Government. RNZ reported the Prime Minister yesterday in ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    4 days ago
  • How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log iPhone Without Computer
    How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log on iPhone Without a Computer: A StepbyStep Guide Losing your iPhone call history can be frustrating, especially when you need to find a specific number or recall an important conversation. But before you panic, know that there are ways to retrieve deleted call logs on your iPhone, even without a computer. This guide will explore various methods, ranging from simple checks to utilizing iCloud backups and thirdparty applications. So, lets dive in and recover those lost calls! 1. Check Recently Deleted Folder: Apple understands that accidental deletions happen. Thats why they introduced the Recently Deleted folder for various apps, including the Phone app. This folder acts as a safety net, storing deleted call logs for up to 30 days before permanently erasing them. Heres how to check it: Open the Phone app on your iPhone. Tap on the Recents tab at the bottom. Scroll to the top and tap on Edit. Select Show Recently Deleted. Browse the list to find the call logs you want to recover. Tap on the desired call log and choose Recover to restore it to your call history. 2. Restore from iCloud Backup: If you regularly back up your iPhone to iCloud, you might be able to retrieve your deleted call log from a previous backup. However, keep in mind that this process will restore your entire phone to the state it was in at the time of the backup, potentially erasing any data added since then. Heres how to restore from an iCloud backup: Go to Settings > General > Reset. Choose Erase All Content and Settings. Follow the onscreen instructions. Your iPhone will restart and show the initial setup screen. Choose Restore from iCloud Backup during the setup process. Select the relevant backup that contains your deleted call log. Wait for the restoration process to complete. 3. Explore ThirdParty Apps (with Caution): ...
    4 days ago
  • How to Factory Reset iPhone without Computer: A Comprehensive Guide to Restoring your Device
    Life throws curveballs, and sometimes, those curveballs necessitate wiping your iPhone clean and starting anew. Whether you’re facing persistent software glitches, preparing to sell your device, or simply wanting a fresh start, knowing how to factory reset iPhone without a computer is a valuable skill. While using a computer with ...
    4 days ago
  • How to Call Someone on a Computer: A Guide to Voice and Video Communication in the Digital Age
    Gone are the days when communication was limited to landline phones and physical proximity. Today, computers have become powerful tools for connecting with people across the globe through voice and video calls. But with a plethora of applications and methods available, how to call someone on a computer might seem ...
    4 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #16 2024
    Open access notables Glacial isostatic adjustment reduces past and future Arctic subsea permafrost, Creel et al., Nature Communications: Sea-level rise submerges terrestrial permafrost in the Arctic, turning it into subsea permafrost. Subsea permafrost underlies ~ 1.8 million km2 of Arctic continental shelf, with thicknesses in places exceeding 700 m. Sea-level variations over glacial-interglacial cycles control ...
    4 days ago

  • Justice Minister to attend Human Rights Council
    Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith is today travelling to Europe where he’ll update the United Nations Human Rights Council on the Government’s work to restore law and order.  “Attending the Universal Periodic Review in Geneva provides us with an opportunity to present New Zealand’s human rights progress, priorities, and challenges, while ...
    9 hours ago
  • Patterson reopens world’s largest wool scouring facility
    Associate Agriculture Minister, Mark Patterson, formally reopened the world’s largest wool processing facility today in Awatoto, Napier, following a $50 million rebuild and refurbishment project. “The reopening of this facility will significantly lift the economic opportunities available to New Zealand’s wool sector, which already accounts for 20 per cent of ...
    11 hours ago
  • Speech to the Southland Otago Regional Engineering Collective Summit, 18 April 2024
    Hon Andrew Bayly, Minister for Small Business and Manufacturing  At the Southland Otago Regional Engineering Collective (SOREC) Summit, 18 April, Dunedin    Ngā mihi nui, Ko Andrew Bayly aho, Ko Whanganui aho    Good Afternoon and thank you for inviting me to open your summit today.    I am delighted ...
    12 hours ago
  • Government to introduce revised Three Strikes law
    The Government is delivering on its commitment to bring back the Three Strikes legislation, Associate Justice Minister Nicole McKee announced today. “Our Government is committed to restoring law and order and enforcing appropriate consequences on criminals. We are making it clear that repeat serious violent or sexual offending is not ...
    12 hours ago
  • New diplomatic appointments
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today announced four new diplomatic appointments for New Zealand’s overseas missions.   “Our diplomats have a vital role in maintaining and protecting New Zealand’s interests around the world,” Mr Peters says.    “I am pleased to announce the appointment of these senior diplomats from the ...
    12 hours ago
  • Humanitarian support for Ethiopia and Somalia
    New Zealand is contributing NZ$7 million to support communities affected by severe food insecurity and other urgent humanitarian needs in Ethiopia and Somalia, Foreign Minister Rt Hon Winston Peters announced today.   “Over 21 million people are in need of humanitarian assistance across Ethiopia, with a further 6.9 million people ...
    12 hours ago
  • Arts Minister congratulates Mataaho Collective
    Minister for Arts, Culture and Heritage Paul Goldsmith is congratulating Mataaho Collective for winning the Golden Lion for best participant in the main exhibition at the Venice Biennale. "Congratulations to the Mataaho Collective for winning one of the world's most prestigious art prizes at the Venice Biennale.  “It is good ...
    1 day ago
  • Supporting better financial outcomes for Kiwis
    The Government is reforming financial services to improve access to home loans and other lending, and strengthen customer protections, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly and Housing Minister Chris Bishop announced today. “Our coalition Government is committed to rebuilding the economy and making life simpler by cutting red tape. We are ...
    2 days ago
  • Trade relationship with China remains strong
    “China remains a strong commercial opportunity for Kiwi exporters as Chinese businesses and consumers continue to value our high-quality safe produce,” Trade and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay says.   Mr McClay has returned to New Zealand following visits to Beijing, Harbin and Shanghai where he met ministers, governors and mayors and engaged in trade and agricultural events with the New ...
    2 days ago
  • PM’s South East Asia mission does the business
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has completed a successful trip to Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines, deepening relationships and capitalising on opportunities. Mr Luxon was accompanied by a business delegation and says the choice of countries represents the priority the New Zealand Government places on South East Asia, and our relationships in ...
    3 days ago
  • $41m to support clean energy in South East Asia
    New Zealand is demonstrating its commitment to reducing global greenhouse emissions, and supporting clean energy transition in South East Asia, through a contribution of NZ$41 million (US$25 million) in climate finance to the Asian Development Bank (ADB)-led Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM). Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Climate Change Minister Simon Watts announced ...
    3 days ago
  • Minister releases Fast-track stakeholder list
    The Government is today releasing a list of organisations who received letters about the Fast-track applications process, says RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop. “Recently Ministers and agencies have received a series of OIA requests for a list of organisations to whom I wrote with information on applying to have a ...
    3 days ago
  • Judicial appointments announced
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister David Jonathan Boldt as a Judge of the High Court, and the Honourable Justice Matthew Palmer as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Boldt graduated with an LLB from Victoria University of Wellington in 1990, and also holds ...
    4 days ago
  • Education Minister heads to major teaching summit in Singapore
    Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa.  The summit is co-hosted ...
    4 days ago
  • Value of stopbank project proven during cyclone
    A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
    4 days ago
  • Anzac commemorations, Türkiye relationship focus of visit
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul.    “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
    4 days ago
  • Minister to Europe for OECD meeting, Anzac Day
    Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
    4 days ago
  • Comprehensive Partnership the goal for NZ and the Philippines
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr.  The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
    4 days ago
  • Government commits $20m to Westport flood protection
    The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
    4 days ago
  • Taupō takes pole position
    The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
    4 days ago
  • Cost of living support for low-income homeowners
    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners.  “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
    4 days ago
  • Government backing mussel spat project
    The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
    5 days ago
  • Government focused on getting people into work
    Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
    5 days ago
  • Clean energy key driver to reducing emissions
    The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
    5 days ago
  • Earthquake-prone buildings review brought forward
    The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
    5 days ago
  • Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic Partnership
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...
    5 days ago
  • Government consults on extending coastal permits for ports
    RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...
    6 days ago
  • Inflation coming down, but more work to do
    Today’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...
    6 days ago
  • School attendance restored as a priority in health advice
    Refreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...
    6 days ago
  • Unnecessary bureaucracy cut in oceans sector
    Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...
    6 days ago
  • Patterson promoting NZ’s wool sector at International Congress
    Associate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson is speaking at the International Wool Textile Organisation Congress in Adelaide, promoting New Zealand wool, and outlining the coalition Government’s support for the revitalisation the sector.    "New Zealand’s wool exports reached $400 million in the year to 30 June 2023, and the coalition Government ...
    7 days ago
  • Removing red tape to help early learners thrive
    The Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says. The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, ...
    7 days ago
  • RMA changes to cut coal mining consent red tape
    Changes to the Resource Management Act will align consenting for coal mining to other forms of mining to reduce barriers that are holding back economic development, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The inconsistent treatment of coal mining compared with other extractive activities is burdensome red tape that fails to acknowledge ...
    7 days ago
  • McClay reaffirms strong NZ-China trade relationship
    Trade, Agriculture and Forestry Minister Todd McClay has concluded productive discussions with ministerial counterparts in Beijing today, in support of the New Zealand-China trade and economic relationship. “My meeting with Commerce Minister Wang Wentao reaffirmed the complementary nature of the bilateral trade relationship, with our Free Trade Agreement at its ...
    7 days ago
  • Prime Minister Luxon acknowledges legacy of Singapore Prime Minister Lee
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon today paid tribute to Singapore’s outgoing Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong.   Meeting in Singapore today immediately before Prime Minister Lee announced he was stepping down, Prime Minister Luxon warmly acknowledged his counterpart’s almost twenty years as leader, and the enduring legacy he has left for Singapore and South East ...
    1 week ago
  • PMs Luxon and Lee deepen Singapore-NZ ties
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. While in Singapore as part of his visit to South East Asia this week, Prime Minister Luxon also met with Singapore President Tharman Shanmugaratnam and will meet with Deputy Prime Minister Lawrence Wong.  During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon ...
    1 week ago
  • Antarctica New Zealand Board appointments
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has made further appointments to the Board of Antarctica New Zealand as part of a continued effort to ensure the Scott Base Redevelopment project is delivered in a cost-effective and efficient manner.  The Minister has appointed Neville Harris as a new member of the Board. Mr ...
    1 week ago
  • Finance Minister travels to Washington DC
    Finance Minister Nicola Willis will travel to the United States on Tuesday to attend a meeting of the Five Finance Ministers group, with counterparts from Australia, the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.  “I am looking forward to meeting with our Five Finance partners on how we can work ...
    1 week ago
  • Pet bonds a win/win for renters and landlords
    The coalition Government has today announced purrfect and pawsitive changes to the Residential Tenancies Act to give tenants with pets greater choice when looking for a rental property, says Housing Minister Chris Bishop. “Pets are important members of many Kiwi families. It’s estimated that around 64 per cent of New ...
    1 week ago
  • Long Tunnel for SH1 Wellington being considered
    State Highway 1 (SH1) through Wellington City is heavily congested at peak times and while planning continues on the duplicate Mt Victoria Tunnel and Basin Reserve project, the Government has also asked NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) to consider and provide advice on a Long Tunnel option, Transport Minister Simeon Brown ...
    1 week ago

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