Daily review 15/09/2022
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5:30 pm, September 15th, 2022 - 12 comments
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Today, the Justice Select Committee has decided to officially open submissions for the controversial Treaty Principles Bill. ...5 days ago
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Today, Hīkoi mō te Tiriti arrived in Wellington, with thousands gathering to march in unity against the divisive Treaty Principles Bill. ...5 days ago
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The Green Party condemns the passing of the Treaty Principles Bill at first reading, and is clear that the fight is not over. ...1 week ago
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The server will be getting hardware changes this evening starting at 10pm NZDT.
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What a coincidence the now widely referenced Taxdodger's Union Curia Poll was released on the day positive GDP figures came out.
And how media let them get away with dodgy behaviour as if their owner does not have a long record of it.
https://twitter.com/WSmith01984/status/1570203869329920001
The Curia polls have consistently been taken over the first 7-9 days of the month (at least this year) – there's a little variation in number of days – I think around weekends. Other pollsters are more inconsistent in their timing.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_New_Zealand_general_election
Now, it's entirely possible that National and/or ACT adjust their policy releases to fit with the known Curia polling period. But it certainly doesn't seem to be the other way around.
I believe there was a twitter discussion about them not publishing some months.
According to the link above, they've regularly published every month this year (so far). So, either this Twitter discussion is very old, or completely inaccurate.
Contrast with Talbot Mills – who are both more infrequent, and more irregular (as well as not publishing all of their data – sample sizes, for example).
Centre left given nudge off stage as centre right take Swedish Elections.
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1570207103129640960
Significant gang crime was swinger with 41 shooting murders this year.
Europe softens approach on price caps with Gas imports.(realises they are price takers not makers) as Norway was not impressed,and no way would the US suppliers comply (as the enhanced pricing removes 5.4 trillion of fracking debt/gas completely by 2024) and large tax receipts to both states and Fed.
https://twitter.com/BurggrabenH/status/1570140572522020866?cxt=HHwWhIDUiYSiocorAAAA
Instead the EU puts price constraints on renewables and low carbon generation.
They're not refugees. You've kidnapped 10% of the Ukrainian population.
What's next, the Russification of Ukraine?
//
https://twitter.com/RussianEmbassy/status/1569995336415846400
https://www.hrw.org/report/2022/09/01/we-had-no-choice/filtration-and-crime-forcibly-transferring-ukrainian-civilians
lol
https://twitter.com/CBowmanUK/status/1569652242395037697
Jacinda Ardern and the Labour Govt receive an historic 50% plus majority result in an MMP election in 2020 and in 2022 are suddenly in the low 30%.
If that is true then it speaks volumes about the fickleness of the electorate. Could Cameron Slater, the most oily of whales, be right and politics is truly a blood sport.
To be fair they have been shedding numbers now for a while. Nothing 'suddenly' about this. Just a constant drip drip drip.
It is up to Labour to explain why they are the better option. And fwiw, despite National being National – devoid of ideas and policies – it seems that Labour is also not cutting it anymore with the 'whole' of the electorate.
Rather then focus on the re-alignment of National and Labour to be present in the mid 30% i would keep an eye on the third parties as that is were governments are made.
Labourt will not again be given the trust of non Labour voters as they did the last time around i.e. Covid Election. That was a special event and should be treated as such.
Anyone thinking that Labour will again get a full majority on their own will be sadly disappointed on election night. Just my 2cnts.
Do these polls affect the way many in the electorate ultimately vote. When you see how these polls are generally presented and dissected in the media, poll dropping equals losing. Kiwis love to support an underdog but tend to shy away from "losers".
I would prefer if all random political polling ceased to be used as some measure of real performance.
Of course it's worth fighting over…ffs
https://twitter.com/BarracudaVol1/status/1570202033751265281