JMG: The Decline and Fall of Hillary Clinton

Written By: - Date published: 2:35 pm, February 27th, 2016 - 74 comments
Categories: democratic participation, International, politicans, Politics, us politics - Tags: , , , ,

John Michael Greer, of the Archdruid Report, has just written a fascinating post on why Hilary Clinton and Jeb Bush, once the two ‘favourites‘ for the 2016 Presidential campaign, have fallen, and fallen hard.

JMG says that Jeb Bush did everything right, by the conventional establishment book:

When (Jeb Bush) launched his campaign last year, it was a letter-perfect copy of the successful presidential campaigns of the last three decades. He lined up plenty of big-money sponsors; he assembled a team of ghostwriters, spin doctors, and door-to-door salesmen to run his campaign; he had a PR firm design a catchy logo; he practiced spouting the kind of empty rhetoric that sounds meaningful so long as you don’t think about it for two minutes; he took carefully calculated stands on a handful of hot-button topics, mouthed the conventional wisdom on every other issue, and set out to convince the voters that their interests would be harmed just a little bit less by putting him in the White House than by any of the alternatives.

That sort of content-free campaign is what got George Bush I, Bill Clinton, George Bush II, and Barack Obama onto the list of US presidents. What it got Jeb Bush, though, was a string of humiliating defeats.

So it appears that the ‘rules of the game’ have suddenly been changed on the establishment oligarchy, and they’ve been caught flatfooted. JMG continues to make this point via Hilary Clinton:

She’s got a whopping case of that weird mental blind spot I labeled, in a post that appeared here last year, “the delusion of control”—the notion, as pervasive as it is preposterous, that when a member of America’s privileged classes does something, the rest of the cosmos is obliged to respond to that action in a wholly passive, wholly mechanical manner. For a world-class example, watch the way Clinton’s handlers simply look blank each time they find out that most of the American people loathe and distrust their candidate, and try repeatedly to “reintroduce” her, as though they think they can just hit a reset button…

For that matter, Clinton’s own attitude during the campaign so far reminds me of nothing so much as what happens when someone puts money into a defective vending machine. She’s fed the thing her quarters and pushed the right button, but the desired product hasn’t dropped to the bottom where she can get it. Now she’s jabbing the button over and over again, and in due time she’ll be pounding her fists on the thing and screaming at it because it won’t give her what she’s paid for.

JMG makes the point that plutocracy has corrupted democracy as it was always going to do, the difference now being that ordinary people are no longer accepting the fancy arguments and spin that they should continue to vote for the ‘least bad’ political party and the ‘least bad’ candidates pushing for the ‘least bad’ version of “realistic” “serious” status quo neoliberal policies.

What the insurgent candidacies of Trump and Sanders show conclusively, in turn, is that the lesser-evil rhetoric and its fixation on “realistic” politics have just passed their pull date. There are very good reasons for this. The pursuit of the lesser evil means that the best the American people are supposed to hope for is the continuation of the current state of things—that’s what you get, after all, if your only talking points fixate on stopping things from getting worse—and for most Americans today, the current state of things is unbearable.

JMG makes many other pertinent political points, including some derived from Spengler’s Decline of the West. Read the full blog post here.

74 comments on “JMG: The Decline and Fall of Hillary Clinton”

  1. ianmac 1

    “…he assembled a team of ghostwriters, spin doctors, and door-to-door salesmen to run his campaign; he had a PR firm design a catchy logo; he practiced spouting the kind of empty rhetoric that sounds meaningful so long as you don’t think about it for two minutes; he took carefully calculated stands on a handful of hot-button topics, mouthed the conventional wisdom on every other issue,…”
    By using Keys’s style in this passage it is futile and yet, maybe, just maybe some will stop to listen and consider and next year….

    • Keith 1.1

      Do you mean “The Brighter Future” was just a meaningless slogan promoted by a bunch of dishonest smarmy rich pricks?

  2. Thanks cv just posted a link on OM but good to see a full post. Man JMG is just so insightful and knowledgeable – I learn so much from reading his articles.

    For me I expect trump to trump but as JMG says, “None of those veerings matter in any broader sense, because Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have already demonstrated that rejecting the consensus of America’s dominant minority is a ticket to electoral success. It’s possible—indeed, I think it’s likely—that Clinton will manage to squeeze past Sanders and get the Democratic nomination by fair means or foul; it’s considerably less likely that she’ll be able to overcome Trump in the general election; but even if she does, others will follow where Trump and Sanders lead, and sooner or later one of them will triumph.”

    also worth noting that JMG’s title was “the decline and fall…”

  3. Paul 3

    Another brilliant entry, cv.
    Have you considered running for parliament as an independent?
    You would be dynamite.

    • Colonial Viper 3.1

      Hi Paul, there would need to be sufficient interest in an alternative approach to politics to bring together 500-600 financial members of a new political party.

      This approach begins with the assumption that the status quo is both physically and spiritually unsustainable.

      It is founded on the knowledge that major disruption driven by energy depletion, climate change, crony capitalism and financial instability is going to happen and going to get worse, whether or not we prepare for it.

      It continues with the realisation that the two big parties in NZ today are parties of establishment rule and two sides of the same pro-status quo neoliberal coin. One solution there is to increase democracy and a diversity of democratic activity in every sphere of NZ life.

      Finally the belief that we only have a few years to get ahead of the coming storm is key.

      Wasting time arguing about bullshit political trivia is irrelevant.

      To get ahead of the now steeply rising curve, we must place people: their welfare, their development, their freedom, their responsibility and their life choices, at the centre of every decision made to ready the nation for this challenging future.

      • weka 3.1.1

        Now when you put it like that I want to support you. I keep telling you CV, put your energies into the constructive, because it’s a way better use of your talents.

        Good to see the posts of late 🙂

        • Colonial Viper 3.1.1.1

          Heh thanks, I have been listening to you on and off weka, even when it seems like I haven’t 😛

      • chris73 3.1.2

        Seriously dude, go hard…you never know what might happen

      • Stuart Munro 3.1.3

        I can support that too – did you ever run across Unger’s ‘Democracy Realised”?

        http://robertounger.com/english/pdfs/demore.pdf

        You might find it very like what you’re talking about.

        • Jones 3.1.3.1

          Thanks for the link SM…

          “Confusion and disappointment are not confined to the left;
          they have become the common stigmata of the politically conscious.”

          That resonated… this is way beyond a left-right paradigm… it’s about being human. And politics is central to humans being.

          • Stuart Munro 3.1.3.1.1

            Unger can be heavy going – but in this, and in the Boutwood Lectures he hits the nail squarely on the head. It’s not Marxism the Left require – democracy will do the job.

      • The Chairman 3.1.4

        “It continues with the realisation that the two big parties in NZ today are parties of establishment rule and two sides of the same pro-status quo neoliberal coin. One solution there is to increase democracy…”

        This (below) is one way can.

      • Kevin 3.1.5

        Count me in.

      • You really sound like you could be a Green MP when you talk about the problems with the big parties you know. 🙂

      • Jones 3.1.7

        Well said CV. And great post. JMG’s perspective is always intelligent and grounded in reality.

    • millsy 3.2

      I find ironic that CV posesses all the qualites that the likes of Josie Pagani and Phil Quin want in the NZLP (ie small business owner, understands the need to attract swing voters, etc.)

  4. Penny Bright 4

    Hillary Clinton is NOT my ‘sister’.

    GO Bernie Sanders!

    Penny Bright
    2016 Auckland Mayoral candidate.

  5. Bill 5

    Back to the same old, same old though, innit?

    New Zealand’s, politically, wafer thin. Us poor buggers are going to have to wait until something politically useful percolates from elsewhere. Maybe it’d be different if Hone Harawira was pakeha. But he isn’t, and New Zealand is what it is…

    • The whole point of JMG’s article is that it ISN’T the same old.

      It isn’t nz being what it is imo it is that the people who should know and do better don’t – too scared of losing their privilege and too scared of difference.

      • Bill 5.1.1

        I do get the point of JMG’s article marty. It definitely applies to the US and the UK (both Corbyn in England and Wales and Sturgeon in Scotland), as well as to a lesser degree, Canada.

        And the individual politicians who have acted as conduits for the public’s dis-satisfaction have been in their respective parliaments for a long time. As suggested before, no such politician exists in NZ. I do kinda reckon Hone could have been the conduit that Sanders, Corbyn, Sturgeon and who-ever have been if either a) NZ wasn’t so fucking racist or b) [ and this is essentially the same thing] Hone wasn’t Māori.

        There are relatively privileged people aplenty, in both the US and the UK, who view any political shift with horror – just go back and read how the Guardian reported on Corbyn’s bid for leadership of the UK Labour Party if you have any doubts on that front.

        • Colonial Viper 5.1.1.1

          Yep…and also notable is the change where people outright ignored the MSM when they were rolling out their standard demonising tactics against anti-establishment candidates such as Trump, Sanders and Corbyn.

          In Trump’s case, the more Fox News and the Republocrat establishment slam him, the more his ratings spike up.

        • marty mars 5.1.1.2

          yep bill good points – it will be interesting to see who comes out of the woodwork when trump gets in – I suspect it will someone we don’t hardly know yet

  6. Grantoc 6

    Very interesting.

    However its worth noting that Hilary is a shoe in in the South Carolina primary this weekend.

    Its also worth noting that Nate Silver (fivethirtyeight), probably the most accurate pollster in the US, predicts that Hilary is the overwhelming favourite to win all of the primaries on Super Tuesday in early March, including Massachusetts, and except for Vermont.

    Blacks and Latinos are coming in heavily behind her as well.

    Bernie is picking up the middle class white liberals, but I don’t think that will do it for him

    So, not at all sure that Hilary is going the same way as Jeb Bush.

    • Colonial Viper 6.1

      JMG admits that Hilary is still most likely to win the Democratic nomination, but unlike what she thought a year ago, she is having to fight hard for every inch of ground, and spend every one of the millions of dollars that she has raised.

      • Grantoc 6.1.1

        This is true CV.

        If she does win the nomination, it’ll be interesting to watch how she’ll adjust (if she’ll adjust) to campaigning against Trump, the great disruptor and the Sanders of the right, given that its increasingly likely that he’ll win the Republican nomination.

      • Olwyn 6.1.2

        More importantly he thinks that… it’s likely—that Clinton will manage to squeeze past Sanders and get the Democratic nomination by fair means or foul; it’s considerably less likely that she’ll be able to overcome Trump in the general election; but even if she does, others will follow where Trump and Sanders lead, and sooner or later one of them will triumph.

        What he is saying is that even if she does win the nomination, the game’s effectively up. People are no longer buying what she’s selling, and even if she ends up beating Trump, that will remain so. Ordinary people now see that the corporate-cross party political consensus has no plan that does not involve shafting them, and they mind.

      • The Chairman 6.1.3

        The question is, if it comes down to Hilary and Trump, who will Sanders supporters support?

        • gsays 6.1.3.1

          i realise its kinda of irrelevant but this sanders fan would go trump.
          the logic being it would move the states towards a tipping point where change/revolution will occur.

          • Colonial Viper 6.1.3.1.1

            I reckon a Trump/Sanders ticket. Let the President sort out international affairs, let VP Sanders sort out stuff at home.

            • Phil 6.1.3.1.1.1

              I reckon a Trump/Sanders ticket. Let the President sort out international affairs, let VP Sanders sort out stuff at home.

              This is the dumbest thing you have ever written.

        • Colonial Viper 6.1.3.2

          Wait until Trump turns on his charm and his messages for the wider electorate. At the moment he is only speaking to Republican primary voters.

        • millsy 6.1.3.3

          I actually prefer Trump to Clintin TBH.

          Trump is probably the only candidate who doesnt come across as an Ayn Rand-reading Bible basher. I actually think that he will win the GOP nomination.

  7. Incognito 7

    An interesting blogpost by JMG.

    Two things came to mind when I read it.

    He thrice referred to “mechanical”, a term which Graeme Wheeler coincidentally also used in his recent annual speech.

    I think it is a most interesting observation that the (voting) public does not seem to adhere any longer to the old rules of predictability and almost effortless manipulation. This opens up the political (and economical!) game to new outcomes and offers hope for real change.

    Here at home, I think it would be a positive change if National could not rely as much anymore on cynical manipulation of the NZ public through daily polls and focus groups, etc. At the same time it would be a huge improvement if the NZ public would cease to exhibit its conditioned behaviour in relation to the usual spin and BS spouted around.

    People are waking up from their slumber because their blankets of comfort have become threadbare. They are becoming increasingly aware that all is not well in our society.

    My motto: vigilo ergo sum

  8. Incognito 8

    The second thing that came to mind when reading JMG was the reference to the rise of charismatic leaders.

    Recently, somebody mentioned raised this here on TS as if such leader would bring hope and a brighter future.

    In the light of JMG’s blog this may need a re-think at least; history of war and violence is intimately associated with ‘charismatic leaders’.

  9. Chooky 9

    both Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton are establishment Republican and Democrat candidates with very serious baggage ….it is great Jeb Bush is out and Hillary Clinton seems to be going out of the race…time for new blood

  10. RedLogix 10

    An excellent post CV. And given this:

    THE Republican presidential race exploded overnight, as frontrunner Donald Trump countered an onslaught of attacks with the bombshell endorsement of a former rival.

    New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, who ended his own presidential campaign after the New Hampshire primary earlier this month, joined Trump at a press conference to announce his support for the real estate magnate, saying “there is no better fighter” and no candidate more likely to defeat Democrat Hillary Clinton in November’s general election.

    “We need a strong, tough leader to restore America’s greatness,” Christie said. “I guarantee you that the one person that Hillary and Bill Clinton do not want to see on that stage is Donald Trump.”

    Christie is an influential governor who was once viewed as a potential president himself. His endorsement is a major coup for Trump, who has virtually no support among figures in the mainstream Republican Party, despite his dominance in the polls.

    http://www.news.com.au/

    It’s now a virtual certainty the GOP will acknowledge it’s own bastard child because no other candidate stands the slightest chance.

    And Clinton will fail just as Bush did, but disastrously more slowly. She’ll fall at the moment when it counts … the actual election. And the DNC establishment will never accept Sanders, who is the only candidate capable of defeating Trump. Indeed many Democrats being so disillusioned with the status quo, would prefer to vote for Trump than Clinton.

    Now given that Trump is another fascist demagogue who’ll play the same role as Hitler did … we now face the absolute certainty of a catastrophic global calamity within five years. We often wondered how it would happen; and now it unfolds before our eyes.

    If you think this dramatic, recall how many people in the 1930’s also understood what was coming down the road at them. Many knew quite well that WW2 was about to happen.

    • marty mars 10.1

      “We often wondered how it would happen; and now it unfolds before our eyes.”

      yep – these days will be talked about often in the future

    • Anne 10.2

      …recall how many people in the 1930’s also understood what was coming down the road at them. Many knew quite well that WW2 was about to happen.

      Yep. My father took his young family (not me, I was an afterthought who came later) away from England in 1937. He and my mother went to Sydney first then on to NZ shortly before war broke out. Family and friends back in England laughed at him when they left and told him he was mad.

    • Colonial Viper 10.3

      NB Trump hails from the tradition of US isolationism which prevailed at the start of the 20th Century.

      He is not interested in militarily intervening against Russia, for instance. He has stated many times that the US needs to stop spending on foreign wars and needs to start spending on America’s broken infrastructure.

      Now, when compared with Hilarys warmongering/genocidal/murderous track record I honestly think the world will have more peace with Trump.

      • RedLogix 10.3.1

        Or you might allow me to re-frame isolationism as nationalism. This is his core theme “Making America Great Again”.

        Yes the plutocrat imperialists have meddled in endless foreign misadventures, but all they’ve delivered is humiliations and body-bags. Trump is not another Hitler redux; he’ll enter office more focused on a domestic agenda to deal with illegal immigrants. On this front he’s committed to deporting unwanted Hispanics and building a wall. This staggeringly racist confrontation will set the tone; and legal or illegal, millions will be caught up in it.

        Either he wins it with all the immense practical, humanitarian and moral consequences to the USA, or he loses it and he’ll instinctively seek to double down. As does any dominant alpha male.

        Nor will Putin and Jinping stay passive in the face of a US President who is neglecting his empire. Putin will play the long game on Ukraine and at the point of least resistance, he’ll move in to clean up that nest of vermin. Assad will remain in power at his behest. The tables will turn on Israel.

        Jinping too will judge his moment to assert total military control over the South China Sea. Taiwan, South Korea and maybe even Japan will be invaded and taken over. At some point in this uncertain chain of chaotic events Trump’s isolationism will mutate into a nationalistic virulence. Trump does not tolerate losing.

        There will be no conventional military expeditions. He will play to win.

        But one thing may cheer you up. Afterwards us white people may be so hated that the remnants will likely be hunted down and exterminated.

        • Colonial Viper 10.3.1.1

          Or, Trump will help the US make a more successful transition in its inevitable (and already in progress) decline from pre-eminent global hyper-power to being just another major world power operating with other major world powers.

          That is, the transition to a multi-polar world without trying to hold on to the status of hegemon at all costs, even nuclear ones.

          As for Trump and his wish to get rid of all illegal immigrants and get the famous wall with Mexico built (at Mexico’s expense)…I think Trump is smart enough to know what the demographics trends of the US look like.

          He’ll make a show of deporting a few bad illegals, while providing pathways for most to become legal: hence “getting rid” of illegals.

          This is exactly like his ban on Muslims entering the USA…until there is a plan to deal with Muslim extremism.

          NB Obama and the US deep state signed the nuclear agreement with Iran, against Tel Aviv’s strenuous objections.

          Something in that relationship has already qualitatively changed, and not in Israel’s favour.

          BTW I recognise that Trump may finally turn out to be some kind of dictatorial demagogue. But I suspect his vision of a “great America ” has more to do with fixing roads at home and doing good business deals internationally, rather than maintaining a thousand military bases overseas and playing dangerous games of brinksmanship against Putin.

          • RedLogix 10.3.1.1.1

            He’ll make a show of deporting a few bad illegals, while providing pathways for most to become legal: hence “getting rid” of illegals.

            That is certainly the more rational, plausible alternative. But Trumps appeal is none of these things.

            The question I ask myself is, will his supporters be satisfied with a weasel worded outcome like that? Somehow I think the powerfully racist underbelly of the USA will not. Not now Trump has explicitly been poking at it in order to win power.

          • marty mars 10.3.1.1.2

            My call is that he will start being all internal but the frustrations of bureaucracy and process will ensure changes – that could be more powers to the ‘office’, it could be misadventures against other countries – probably small ones nearby, it could be tighter controls inside the boarders. Obviously the anti Hispanic rhetoric and actions will ramp up and the ‘wall’ will begin.

            The really scary thing for me is that he will get votes across the board – on fbook – “he is the only candidate against the TPP”, on here “better him than clinton”, above “good business deals internationally” – that really scares me because IF enough people vote for him he WILL be able to do what he wants and the Don wants a lot, for himself.

            • Matthew Whitehead 10.3.1.1.2.1

              Your second paragraph is why we should all hope that if the Trump card does win the primary, so does Bernie. He can sweep the populist ground right out from under Trump’s feet, while still retaining the sensible upper ground as well, and polling to date suggests a significant win for Bernie, even though he has a huge name recognition problem compared to both Hillary and the Trump card.

          • Matthew Whitehead 10.3.1.1.3

            I’m not sure you can call “not letting Israel get in the way of peacefully preventing an Iranian nuke” a qualitative change in the US’s relationship with Israel. I’d say it was more that we finally found the limit to how much the US would kowtow to Israel, and that limit is letting countries the US views as dangerous acquire nuclear weapons. (which is virtually the highest limit anything can ever have, granted, but it’s nice to know a limit exists when previously you never ever saw it)

  11. Ad 11

    The Archdruid never met a potential apocalypse he didn’t like.

    Archdruid should put the bong down and listen up.

    Anyone who doesn’t think there’s a spectacular electoral machine behind Trump or Sanders also thinks unicorns shit rainbows.

    Anyone who thinks Trump and Sanders don’t practise their lines and messaging with little focus groups like everyone else, and wonders why Corbyn keeps getting spanked, should just cut their losses and graduate to heroin.

    Sanders will lose, Trump will not become President.
    Nate Silver ain’t wrong too often. There’s some kind of confusion that we’re still stuck in the West wing Season Seven and Matt Santos is going to pull an upset against Arnie Vinnick. News: the West Wing is not reality.

    We may get some renewal in the way politics is messaged. That’s it.

    No funding reform.
    No media reform.
    No major policy reform.
    No monopoly breakups.
    Non-MSM media influence is interesting but actually mild.

    Same fine US balance of governance between campaign finance, media, Congress, Senate, and President.
    And the next President will make useful but gradual reforms, just like the current one.

    All go home now.

    • RedLogix 11.1

      The Archdruid never met a potential apocalypse he didn’t like.

      On that you really are flat out wrong Ad. For some years now he devoted considerable space and time to debunking an enormous list of ‘potential apocalypse’ memes. A whole bunch of them I bet neither your nor I have heard of. Indeed one of his most consistent themes is that belief in the good magic fairy of endless progress, AND belief in apocalyptic bad magic fairy … are BOTH merely futile attempts to deny or avoid the consequences of our actions.

      As for the USA, my logic is simple. At this stage the GOP machine has realises that regardless of how much it might loath him, now that Bush has been knocked out, Trump is their only chance of winning power. Just as National feared and loathed Muldoon, they will back him if he looks like winning elections. And Trump’s policies are really only more of what they want anyhow.

      On the other side of the coin, the DRC machine will back Clinton because while they know Sanders is the more viable candidate … crucially they cannot abide his socialist policies. (Just like here in NZ Labour could not abide Cunliffe for much the same reasons.)

      Therefore it will be a Trump vs Clinton election. At that point two things will happen; the Trump machine will bare-knuckle Clinton to a bloody heap. Americans cannot stomach losers. And a huge number of Sander’s supporters who backed him primarily because he was an outsider … will switch to Trump because he too is the outsider.

      • The Chairman 11.1.1

        Any chance of Sanders running as an independent?

        • RedLogix 11.1.1.1

          Would only split the anti-Trump vote and make the outcome even more certain.

          • The Chairman 11.1.1.1.1

            As they (Sanders and Trump) are both considered anti-establishment, you don’t see any possibility of Sanders (running as an independent) taking votes off Trump?

            Moreover, with Trump expected to surpass Hillary, wouldn’t a number of her supporters change allegiance to keep Trump out?

            • weka 11.1.1.1.1.1

              risky though.

              • The Chairman

                If Hillary wins the Party nomination, Sanders will have nothing to lose (and potentially a lot to gain) standing against her as an independent.

            • RedLogix 11.1.1.1.1.2

              I can follow your logic. But as weka says … risky as hell.

              It would come down to this bit of calculus; would Sanders take more votes off Clinton or Trump?

              I don’t know the answer to that.

              • The Chairman

                If Hillary wins the Party nomination, it would be worth rolling the dice to find out.

                • weka

                  it’s the age old dilemma for lefties. Risk a right wing govt to try and get a real left wing govt that is against the odds, or settle for Clinton because better the leftie devil you know than the right devil you know. Back in the day in the US it was should people vote Nader or not. Because I’m a pragmatic voter, I think the issue of risk assessment is crucial. Gut hunch dice rolling is not my thing when it comes to issues this serious.

                  btw, this is the same argument we’ve been having about Labour pulling out of the TPPA (or the GP). The risk assessment hasn’t been done yet.

                  • The Chairman

                    It’s not quite the same argument.

                    The public sentiment in the US differs from here. Thus, the odds in this case are largely in favour of an anti establishment win (Trump or Sanders).

                    Hillary is the establishment devil voters know and largely dislike, thus is highly unlikely to win the presidency.

                    Therefore, in all likelihood (if Sanders doesn’t run as an independent) Trump will win. Hence, in this case the risk is minimal, thus it’s certainly worth rolling that dice.

                    As for the TPP, surely maintaining our sovereignty overrides the consequences?

                    • RedLogix

                      That’s a fair argument TC. Can’t say I’m quite ready to embrace it fully, but I can’t really quibble with it either.

                      Edit:

                      Christ on a bike.

                      John Howard says he “trembles” at the thought of Donald Trump becoming the president of the United States – but he understands why the voluble billionaire is cutting through with the voters of America, because Trump “seems to call it as it is”.

                      The conservative former Australian prime minister told Sky News on Sunday he believed if Trump secured the nomination of the Republican party for the presidency he would ultimately lose to the likely Democrat candidate, Hillary Clinton.

                    • Phil

                      Trump “seems to call it as it is”.

                      I;ve found that when people talk about a politician and they say s/he “call’s it as it is” there is a better than even chance they really mean the politician “says some awful shit that I would like to say in public and secretly support, but know is wrong”.

              • nadis

                head to head polls are here.

                http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

                Bear in mid that these are popular vote and dont show what the electoral college outcome would be. Any democrat including Clinton is unlikely to lose the election. It all comes down to who wins states like Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio.

      • Phil 11.1.2

        At this stage the GOP machine has realised that regardless of how much it might loath him, now that Bush has been knocked out, Trump is their only chance of winning power.

        Nope, completely wrong.

        Firstly, both Rubio and Kasich have significant leads over Trump in head-to-head hypothetical polling against Clinton. Bush was also a poor performer in those head-to-head match ups before he departed. Those polls are not great predictors this far out from the Presidential election, but they are consistent with my next point…

        Secondly, Trump is LOATHED by independents and registered democrats. He is almost literally the most unpopular presidential candidate this century. His net approval rating is lower than any other Republican contender.

        http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/

      • Phil 11.1.3

        a huge number of Sander’s supporters who backed him primarily because he was an outsider … will switch to Trump because he too is the outsider.

        Again, this is going to be wrong. Hilariously, overwhelmingly, comically, wrong.
        Like YUUUGE wrong.

        Sanders is polling and performing (relatively) well because he’s aligned with the more motivated and further-left base of the Democrat party. Sanders has been a member of congress and/or senate for a quarter of a century. He’s not an ‘outsider’. Sanders is picking up a decent chunk of the younger, digital, generation that Obama won in ’08 and Dean cultivated in ’04.

        How many of those people are going to support a candidate that favors building a 2000 mile wall? How many of those people are going to support a candidate with a track record of vile comments against women, the disabled, immigrants, muslims, mexicans, and other presidential candidates? How many of those people are going to support a candidate with less policy positions than you could write on a gum wrapper?

        The answer is: virtually none of them.

    • marty mars 11.2

      JMG understands much more than little old you ad – hard to take I’m sure but your view is clouded and inaccurate. Your insults against him and his view show your inadequacies. You know nothing, add nothing, and help no one – but you are not alone in your jaundice and that may comfort you somewhat as the future unfolds.

  12. saveNZ 12

    Excellent post CV. I especially liked

    “JMG makes the point that plutocracy has corrupted democracy as it was always going to do, the difference now being that ordinary people are no longer accepting the fancy arguments and spin that they should continue to vote for the ‘least bad’ political party and the ‘least bad’ candidates pushing for the ‘least bad’ version of “realistic” “serious” status quo neoliberal policies.”

    Labour and Greens need to think about this!

    • The Greens are already well onboard with that train of thought. It’s a constant refrain inside the Green Party that Labour, seeking to be “not as bad as National”, has become much closer to the National Party than they are to the Green Party. The Greens have never seriously took a turn to the right, they’ve just been painted that way by outsiders as they’ve sought to control their message and be taken seriously.

      Labour, however, has shown in its treatment of Cunliffe that it was not ready for this lesson, and won’t be until some serious cleaning of house takes place.

  13. lurgee 14

    Hillary seems to be doing okay and inspite of comments upthread is not having to “fight hard for every inch of ground.” She’s lost ONE primary so far. That happens. It’s what the primary process is all about. The media is presenting it as a “OMG! Subverive Underground Deomocratic Revolt Afoot” because that is more interesting than “Primary Race Like Every Other One.” The media thrive on conflict and where there isn’t one they create one – a lesson that goes right back to Hearst (or possibly Citizen Kane).

    In 48 hours time we’ll (probably) be looking back on all those headlines about Sanders and shaking our heads ruefully at the foolishness of youth.

    • Colonial Viper 14.1

      Clinton’s victories are the result of her lock over the un-democratic Democratic primaries process, particularly the Democrats use of “super delegate” as the bulwark of the establishment player, herself.

      Also, don’t mistake victories in the majority of the States this super Tuesday as a lack of popular support for Sanders versus Clinton.

      In reality a Clinton victory will sound the death knell of irrelevance for the Democratic Party, now a party of banksters and billionaires as much as the GOP is.

      • lurgee 14.1.1

        “Now”? You think this is something that has only just happened?

        You can be touchingly naive when it suits you.

        And your attitude to the choices of the voters is a bit patronising. Black voters overwhelmingly voted for Clinton. Are they naive dupes?

        • Colonial Viper 14.1.1.1

          The easiest way to answer your proposition “Are Black voters naive dupes” is to say that (IMO) they are going with the devil they know, and they are going with the instructions from the Democratic Party hierarchy in their districts.

          Now let me ask you – since you believe that the Democratic Party was compromised by big money and big bankers quite a while ago, and of course you will know that it was (Bill) Clinton who really moved it far along this road – is it you who believe that Black voters are naive dupes for voting for more of the same?

      • lurgee 14.1.2

        A closer look at the results shows Sanders doing a bit better than I anticipated.

        Certainly not eating my words, but I might nibble on the serifs.

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • If you can’t measure it, does it exist?
    In the last couple of weeks, I’ve been busy preparing for our summer paper on Science Communication. Looking for something amusing about ‘risk’ in science, I came across this neat xkcd.com cartoon about why so many people come knocking on my door (or phoning me, or emailing me) desperately wanting ...
    SciBlogsBy Marcus Wilson
    2 hours ago
  • Swinson’s swithering
    Jo Swinson is doing even worse at this Being Sensible lark that I'd thought.  I've just become aware of the following utterance
    .@KayBurley presses Lib Dem leader @joswinson on whether she would agree to a #Brexit deal 'no matter how bad a deal it is' as long as it had ...
    14 hours ago
  • Women’s rights, trans ideology and Gramsci’s morbid symptoms
    by John Edmundson The International Socialist Organisation (ISO) have recently reposted a February article, by Romany Tasker-Poland, explaining ISO’s position in the “trans rights” debate.  It is available on their website and on their Facebook Page.  The article sets out to explain why “socialists support trans rights”.  It reads more ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    20 hours ago
  • We need to take guns off police
    Today's IPCA report of police criminality: a police officer unalwfully tasered a fleeing suspect who posed no threat to anyone:The police watchdog has found an officer unlawfully tasered an Auckland man who broke his ankle jumping off a balcony to escape arrest. [...] To avoid arrest, the man jumped over ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    20 hours ago
  • “Bringing kindness back”
    "Auckland City Mission: 10% of Kiwis experiencing food insecurity", RNZ, 16 October 2019:About half a million people are experiencing food insecurity, according to new research from the Auckland City Mission. Food insecurity, or food poverty, is defined as not having enough appropriate food. The City Mission said over the last ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    21 hours ago
  • Press Release: “Fake News” from Auckland City Council CCOs Board Chairs re pay and performance b...
    Media Statement for Immediate Release 16th October 2019 “Fake News” from Auckland City Council CCOs Board Chairs re pay and performance bonuses for top managers Despite comments from Auckland City Council CCOs Board Chairs re pay and performance bonuses for top managers—Herald Newspaper Tuesday Oct 15th–there is very little evidence ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    21 hours ago
  • Ever-So-Slightly Bonkers: Simon Bridges Plays To His Base.
    Would You Buy A Used Propaganda Video From This Man? Bridges and the National Party’s strategists have discovered that the ideas and attitudes considered acceptable by today’s editors and journalists are no longer enforceable. The rise and rise of the Internet and the social media platforms it spawned means that ...
    23 hours ago
  • Asking for food
    There is plenty of evidence of the way the business mentality has permeated every level of society since the recrudescence of market liberalism 35 years ago. You only need to think of how citizens in need of help from their government, their state, their country, are now routinely described as ...
    Opposable ThumbBy Unknown
    23 hours ago
  • Forty years of change in the jobs Kiwi do and the places they call home
    John MacCormick Over the last 40 years, New Zealanders – and people in other countries – have experienced big changes in the jobs they do and where they live and work. These changes include: a decline in manufacturing jobs an increase in jobs in ‘information-intensive’ industries (which are better paid ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    23 hours ago
  • Protecting Fresh Waterways in Aotearoa/NZ: The Strong Public Health Case
    Nick Wilson, Leah Grout, Mereana Wilson, Anja Mizdrak, Phil Shoemack, Michael Baker Protecting waterways has the benefits of: (1) protecting water from hazardous microbes; (2) minimising cancer risk and other problems from nitrates in water; (3) avoiding algal blooms that are hazardous to health; (4) protecting mahinga kai uses (cultural ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    1 day ago
  • Massey University triggered to rebrand
    by The Council of Disobedient Women In a press release today Massey University announced it has decided to rebrand and reorientate after struggling to be a University for grown-ups. For some time the University has wanted to be a safe play space for wee-woke-misogynists who have been really badly triggered ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 days ago
  • Swinson backing calls for a second referendum (again)
    After a brief dalliance with 'hard Revoke' it looks like the Lib Dems are changing ground on on Brexit, with leader Jo Swinson reverting to calling for a second referendum on Johnson's deal.The party has tabled an amendment to the Queen’s speech requesting that any deal brought back from Brussels ...
    2 days ago
  • An odious bill
    The government has decided that someone has done Something Bad. But despite their belief, there seems to be no evidence that they have actually broken the law. So the government's solution is to pass a retrospective law allowing them to be punished anyway, on a lower standard of proof. If ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • National is now the party of climate arson
    So, Judith Collins has done a Facebook rant about climate change, peddling the same shit National has been shovelling for the past twenty years: the impacts are overstated, there's no need to do anything about it, and its too hard anyway (oh, and its so unfair that people who peddle ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • The environmental footprint of electric versus fossil car
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz There is a lot of discussion on the benefits of ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 days ago
  • “Manifest” by Andrew Bird – A Song For The Times.
    I came across this song quite by accident. If it isn't one of Greta Thunberg's favourites - it should be.Video courtesy of YouTube.This post is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    2 days ago
  • Passing the buck
    Last month, NZDF's shoddy coverup of what it knew about civilian casualties in Operation Burnham began to fall apart, with the revelation that a report on the matter, which NZDF claimed not to have, had been sitting in an NZDF safe for the past nine years. Yesterday, the man responsible ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • India a major player in Earth observation satellites
    While many imagine that countries like the USA and Europe dominate space activities, in fact India is now a major player on this stage. It launches satellites for its own purposes and also commercially, and has constellations orbiting our planet and returning data of vital importance to that nation in ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    3 days ago
  • The rot at the top (2).
    Thanks to a report from the Acting Inspector General of Intelligence and Security following a complaint by Nicky Hager, we have come to find out that the SIS illegally spied on Mr. Hager on behalf of the NZDF after publication of Hager’s 2011 book, Other People’s Wars. The NZDF justified ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    3 days ago
  • Common misconceptions about “Global Warming”
    COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING MYTH 1: Global temperatures are rising at a rapid, unprecedented rate. FACT: The HadCRUT3 surface temperature index, produced by the Hadley Centre of the UK Met Office and the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia, shows warming to 1878, cooling to 1911, ...
    An average kiwiBy admin@averagekiwi.com
    3 days ago
  • A climate of tyranny
    For the past week, Extinction Rebellion has been peacefully protesting in London to demand action on climate change. The British government's response? Ban their protests:Police have banned Extinction Rebellion protests from continuing anywhere in London, as they moved in almost without warning to clear protesters who remained at the movement’s ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Collins crushes climate
    An essay by Judith Collins MP reported on Carbon News yesterday seems to show an alarming shift in attitude within the National Party. Collins argues against the Zero Carbon Bill, the Paris Agreement, and downplays the magnitude of climate impacts. The Paris Agreement was adopted in December 2015 and ratified ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert McLachlan
    3 days ago
  • More disappointment
    When they were running for election, Labour promised to overhaul the Employment Relations Act and introduce fair pay agreements to set basic pay and conditions on an industry level, preventing bad employers from undercutting good ones. They followed this up by establishing a working group, which reported back in January ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • What do these mother-child studies really say about fluoridation?
    A list of indicators of bad science – many of these are found in articles promoted by anti-fluoride activists. Anti-fluoride activists have been pouring money into a scaremongering campaign warning pregnant women not to drink fluoridated water. They claim fluoride will lower the IQ of their future child. Fluoride ...
    3 days ago
  • Losing Labour’s Mills-Tone.
    Nothing Left To Say: Labour's pollster, Stephen Mills, remains swaddled-up in the comforting myths of the 1980s. As if the experience of Roger Douglas’s genuinely radical post-Muldoon policy agenda was literally a once-in-a-lifetime thing – as much as the party could possibly absorb for at least the next 50 years.MEMO ...
    3 days ago
  • Speaker: Disability and the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Historical Abuse
    The Royal Commission on abuse in care is very significant for the disability community. For many decades last century, thousands of disabled children, and adults who managed to survive, were locked away from families and communities. This was not for anything they had done, but for the perceived threat their ...
    3 days ago
  • Spain is not a democracy
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • UK Conservatives hate democracy
    With an unfair voting system, uneven electorates and an un-elected upper house, the UK's "democracy" is barely worthy of the name. But now the government wants to make it worse:The government has been accused of suppressing voters’ rights with the potential disenfranchisement of tens of thousands of people after plans ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • What is wrong with our building industry?
    Back in the 90's and early 2000's, the building industry was building leaky homes which should never have been granted consent. Now it turns out they've been building dodgy office blocks as well:New imaging technology has revealed hundreds of major buildings nationwide have defective or missing concrete or reinforcing steel. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Local bodies
    Local body election results were released over the weekend, to joy or despair depending on where you live. In Auckland, Phil Goff trounced John Tamihere, who is muttering darkly about running for Parliament again (but which party would want him?) Wellington is now a wholly-owned subsidiary of Weta Workshop, except ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • A future of government
      How could government evolve over the next decades? Reports of democracy’s imminent demise are greatly exaggerated.  However, satisfaction with political systems in many countries is low, so there is much to do for governments of all political stripes to improve relevance and trust. Digital technologies are seen as one ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
    6 days ago
  • Speaker: Catalonia, interrupted
    Two years have now gone by since the Friday afternoon when my university-student son and I headed out of our Barcelona flat to a nearby primary school, designated as a polling station for the vote that was to be held the following Sunday: the referendum on Catalonia’s independence from Spain ...
    6 days ago
  • Sage Decisions Unwisely Over-Ruled.
    Overruled: The joint decision of Finance Minister, Grant Robertson (Labour) and his Associate Minister, David Parker (Labour) arguably the two most powerful ministers in Jacinda Ardern’s government, to grant OceanaGold the consents which Land Information Minister, Eugenie Sage (Greens) had earlier denied them, offers bitter proof of how hard fighting ...
    6 days ago
  • Government may ban voting in effort to get more people to do it
    More than double the number of people who will vote in this year’s local body elections have tried marijuana or urinated somewhere they shouldn’t have. As local elections look set for the lowest turnout in decades, with many regions falling well short of 40%, the Government is exploring a number ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    7 days ago
  • Woman: Deleted.
    A Statement on Abortion Law Reform by the Council of Disobedient Women   On the eve of bringing an end to antiquated, anti-women abortion laws Green MP Jan Logie intends to write women out of the Bill. With a stroke of the pen, the woke are aiming for total erasure ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    7 days ago
  • The Hollowest of Men Ride Again… SURPRISE!
    Musings continue apace about “the experienced businessman!” soon to be taking up a National Party MP position. Or to be more accurate, being parachuted into a seat to shut down their former MP Jamie-Lee Ross, who despite his own shortcomings shed at least some more light on the inner workings ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    7 days ago
  • Barbaric
    The Ugandan government wants to murder gay people:Uganda has announced plans to impose the death penalty on homosexuals. The bill, colloquially known as “Kill the Gays” in Uganda, was nullified five years ago on a technicality, but the government said on Thursday it plans to resurrect it within weeks. The ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Fighting Monsters.
    Freedom Of Speech? The Säuberung (cleansing by fire) was the work of the German Student Union which, on 10 May 1933, under the watchful eye of the Nazi Reichminister for Propaganda, Joseph Goebbels, consigned 25,000 books to the flames in a ritual exorcism of “un-German thought”. According to the logic of the ...
    7 days ago
  • The next wave of kaupapa Māori politics: its constitutional, it must be.
      “There can be no such thing as kaupapa Māori political parties or politics in Aotearoa” (Willie Jackson, Labour Party (2017). Māori TV, General/List Election Special) I begin with that claim because at the time, I was confounded at first that it fell out of Willie Jackson’s mouth, and then ...
    EllipsisterBy Ellipsister
    1 week ago
  • Night lights of NZ from orbit
    New Zealand has prided itself for decades with regard to its lack of pollution, and all will be aware that the ‘100% Pure New Zealand‘ meme is under threat through land, water and air pollution of various causes. There is another type of contamination that the country also faces: light ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    1 week ago
  • Reporters deliver uplifting news to fleeing Japanese residents: they won’t miss any rugby
    New Zealand’s media is doing its part in Japan, reassuring those in the path of the storm that they won’t miss any rugby while away from their flooded homes. New Zealand sports reporters stationed in Japan for the Rugby World Cup have had the rare and heartwarming opportunity to inform ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • Government in contentious discussions about whether to put surplus on red or black
    Regional Development Minister Shane Jones is the only Cabinet member in favour of putting it all on green. As Finance Minister Grant Robertson finds himself with an enormous $7.5 billion surplus, the Government has begun intense, at times contentious conversations about whether to put the money on red or black at ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • Jordanian teachers’ successful strike has lessons for here
    by Susanne Kemp At the start of September close to 100,000 school teachers went on strike in Jordan.  They demanded a 50% pay rise.  A pay rise actually agreed to by the regime back in 2014. In early October, however, in the face of government repression and threats, the teachers’ ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Why some people still think climate change isn’t real
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz Why do people still think climate change isn’t real? David ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • The SIS unlawfully spied on Nicky Hager
    Back in 2011, journalist Nicky Hager published Other People's Wars, an expose on NZDF's activities over the previous decade of the "war on terror". NZDF didn't like this, and especially didn't like the fact that it was base don leaks from their own. So, they had the SIS investigate him ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • October 2019 – Newsletter
    https://mailchi.mp/7d9133add053/closing-the-gap-october-2019-newsletter ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    1 week ago
  • And they wonder why we think they’re environmental vandals…
    The Zero Carbon Bill is due back from select committee in two weeks, and will likely pass its final stages in November. So naturally, farmers are planning a hate-march against it. But they're not just demanding lower methane targets so they can keep on destroying the planet; they're also demanding ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Paying the price in California
    Last year, California burned. This year, to stop it happening again (or rather, to stop themselves from being found liable if it happens again), Pacific Gas and Electric is cutting power to half the state for a week:Schools are closed. Traffic lights down. Tunnels dark. Businesses unopened. Hospitals running on ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Let’s Hear It For Up-Close-And-Personal, Hard-Copy Democracy!
    The Best Way: Missing from the on-line voting debate is any reference to the voting system that produces turn-out figures ranging from 77 to 93 percent of registered voters. The voting system used to collect and count the votes cast in our parliamentary elections. The system that involves citizens making ...
    1 week ago
  • 10/10: World Day Against the Death Penalty
    Today, October 10, is the world day against the death penalty. Out of 195 UN member states, 84 still permit capital punishment. Today is the day we work to change that. This year's theme is children. Having a parent sentenced to death or executed causes long-term trauma and stigmatization which ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Talking Freer Lives: a Marxist gender-critical perspective from Australia
    Among the great new bunch of political friends we have been making recently is the excellent Australian-based Marxist gender-critical site, Freer Lives.  So we asked the comrade who set up that blog to write something for Redline on the blog, himself, his analysis of the rise of gender politics and ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Government spin accepted by union leadership
    by Don Franks  The Auckland City Mission is struggling with a 40 percent increase in demand for food parcels this year. A total of 23,020 were needed by June. Last month Missioner Chris Farrelly told the Herald the “cupboards are bare” and without an emergency food drive, he can’t see ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Forbidden Thoughts
    by The Council of Disobedient Women   Massey Wellington Student Association had a sit-in today. Imagine a sit-in. On a campus. Against a women’s rights meeting. Did the ’60s really happen or did we fucking dream it? They gathered in the student square, an echo chamber. Sitting on soft pillows ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Much love to my loyal Ukrainian readership
    For some reasons, my post about the mystery message from inside the Downing Street bunker seemed to catch people's attention.  Quite a lot of hits from NZ (unsurprisingly) and the USA (a bit more puzzlingly, but hi there, USAians!!) and 76 views from the Ukraine.I've celebrated my Ukrainian readers in ...
    1 week ago
  • Another day of bonkers GNUmours (again, sorry)
    First, almost a score of Labour MPs seem to have sent a letter to the EU basically begging them to accept a deal - any deal - just so Britain can get the Heck on with Brexiting instead of being trapped in limbo:
    To avoid no deal, deliver on the ...
    1 week ago
  • Labour vs working class immigrants – again!
    by Phil Duncan In 2016 the National-led government suspended the Parent Visa Category, through which migrants were able to bring their parents into New Zealand.  Since then over 5,700 people have been in immigration limbo, stuck on the visa wait list. Labour is now bringing back the scheme.  Well, sort ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Speak Up for Women press statement: on Massey University and Feminism 2020
    The following was released yesterday (Tues, October 8) by the women’s liberation organisation Speak Up for Women. On 23 September Speak Up For Women announced that we would be holding an event at the Massey University Theaterette in Wellington. The event is called Feminism 2020. The intention of the event ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Farmers support dirty rivers
    The government is currently consulting on plans to improve freshwater quality. So naturally, farmers oppose it:South Taranaki farmers are preparing to fight proposed national freshwater changes that some fear will bankrupt them. The Government's proposed National Environment Standard on Freshwater Management, released in September, rated the Waingongoro River as one ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • No-one cares about local government
    Yesterday was the last day for (reliably) posting your vote away in local body elections. Turnouts are mostly much lower than the equivalent time last year (Palmerston North is down 2.3%), and so naturally people are pushing their online-voting snake oil again. Because the online census worked so well, lets ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The political ghosts of eugenics may matter more than the genetic
    This essay, on the political legacy of the eugenics movement, by Kenan Malik was originally published in the Observer on 6 October 2019, under the headline ‘The spirit of eugenics is still with us, as immigrants know to their cost’. Birth control. Intelligence tests. Town planning. Immigration controls. It’s striking how ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • “Surplus” again
    Another year, and the government has announced another enormous government "surplus". And just like last year, its nothing of the sort. When we have people homeless and sick and hungry, when we have schools and hospitals still falling down, when we have underpaid public servants and infrastucture unmaintained or unbuilt, ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Inside the Downing Street bunker
    James Forsyth at The Spectator (I know, I know) has tapped one of his contacts inside Number Ten for an insight into the Johnson administration's thinking and strategy.It is fascinating, unsettling and quite, quite mad.  Some key points:Negotiations have stalled and the Johnson administration are keen to blame the EU: ...
    1 week ago
  • Taking Control Of The Nation’s Story.
    Fatal Contact: With the arrival of captain James Cook in October 1769, the islands of what would become New Zealand ceased to be the preserve of Polynesian navigators and settlers and became a part of both the world’s map and the world’s history.THE MAORI NATIONALIST assault upon the historical meaning ...
    1 week ago
  • Are GNUs extinct?
    Another round of tactical talks about forming a Government of National Unity have come to nothing with the Liberal Democrats still refusing countenance putting Jeremy Corbyn into Downing Street:Opposition talks on Monday made little headway over when to try and vote down Boris Johnson's government and who might succeed him as ...
    1 week ago
  • Labour chickens out again
    When the government was elected, it promised to lead the way on electric vehicles, and specifically to make the government vehicle fleet emissions-free where-practicable by 2025.They lied:There are 15,473 vehicles in the government fleet and only 78 are electric. When the coalition Government came into power in late 2017, the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Transgender extremism, violence at work against feminist meeting at British Labour Party conference
    by Nick Rogers The debate around the meaning of sex and gender made an appearance at this year’s British Labour Party conference in Brighton. Women’s Place UK – an organisation that questions the demand that biological males who self-identify as woman should have access to women’s spaces, to all-women shortlists, ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Rebelling in Wellington
    Yesterday I went down to Wellington to participate in the Extinction Rebellion protest. Its part of the latest global wave of XR actions, with actions happening all over the world. Some of those protests are massively disruptive: in Canada, XR is blocking major bridges, stopping people from getting to work. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • ‘The Workshop’ – Report: Talking about Poverty and Welfare Reform: A Guide to Strategies that ...
    The Workshop is a charitable trust for public good. The Workshop undertake research to find ways of communicating that will build support for the solutions that work to solve complex social and environmental problems. See their Report on Talking about Poverty and Welfare Reform below. ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    2 weeks ago
  • Exclusive language
    What is language? We generally assume that it a facility unique to humans, allowing us to share what’s in and on our minds. We can tell of our plans, our past exploits, our knowledge. It also allows us to lie. And yet there are vast numbers of people we can’t ...
    SciBlogsBy Michael Corballis
    2 weeks ago
  • April 2018 – Submission to the NZ Govt Tax Working Group
    You can read our submission HERE ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    2 weeks ago
  • 2018 – Submission to the NZ Government Tax Working Group
    Read our submission here ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    2 weeks ago
  • Guardian: Poll shows DISASTER for Corbyn and the End of Times
    The Guardian - ever eager to forewarn of doom and disaster on the left - are leading with a new poll from Opinium, which puts the Conservatives 15% clear of Labour.Con 38% +2Lab 23% -1Lib Dem 15% -5Brexit 12% +1Green 4% +2This isn't good news, and it would be very ...
    2 weeks ago
  • How prostitution became the world’s most modern profession
    Being and Being Bought (Spinifex Press, 2013) by Kajsa Ekis Ekman  A synopsis and commentary of Chapters 1-2 by Daphna Whitmore Ekman, a Swedish journalist and critic, brings together a Marxist and feminist analysis of prostitution and surrogacy in this groundbreaking book She opens the discussion with a definition of ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Clever legal fellow on Scottish challenge to Brexit
    I make no claims to having much legal knowledge,  so I defer to those trained in this area.I am very much enjoying this twitter stream from m'learned friend in Edinburgh, deciphering the legal arguments around the Scottish court challenge to Boris Johnson, based on the charmingly obscure principle of Nobile ...
    2 weeks ago
  • An Open Letter From Closed Minds.
    Ivory Folly? The University of Auckland’s Vice-Chancellor, Professor Stuart McCutcheon, upheld the right of the radical nationalist group, Action Zealandia to exercise their freedom of speech – not matter how distasteful that speech might be. A wiser community of students and scholars would have nodded their agreement and moved on. ...
    2 weeks ago

  • New awards celebrate fisheries sustainability
    The Minister of Fisheries is calling for entries for a new public award to celebrate innovation in our seafood sector. “I have established the Seafood Sustainability Awards to recognise and celebrate those throughout industry, tangata whenua and communities who demonstrate outstanding dedication and innovation towards the sustainability of New Zealand’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 hours ago
  • More progress for women and we can do more
    Minister for Women Julie Anne Genter welcomes leaders in the private sector taking action on closing their gender pay gaps to ensure a fairer workplace for all New Zealanders. Ms Genter today launched a new report, Addressing the gender pay gap and driving women’s representation in senior leadership, from the Champions for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 hours ago
  • Proposals to curb environmental damage help our coasts and the oceans
    Government Ministers today welcomed the release of a marine environment report highlighting the four key issues affecting our oceans, estuaries and coastlines.  The release underlines the importance of government proposals to combat climate pollution, ensure clean freshwater, protect biodiversity, make land use more sustainable, and reduce waste and plastic.    Environment ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    16 hours ago
  • New mental health facility for Waikato
    The Government has approved funding for a new acute mental health facility for Waikato which will provide better care and support to people with mental health and addiction issues. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Health Minister Dr David Clark announced the $100 million project to replace the aging Henry Rongomau ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    21 hours ago
  • 500 new te reo Māori champions in our classrooms
    The Government is making progress on its goal to integrate te reo Māori into education by 2025, with over 500 teachers and support staff already graduating from Te Ahu o te Reo Māori,  Associate Education Minister Kelvin Davis announced today. Kelvin Davis made the announcement at an awards ceremony in Waikanae today, for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    23 hours ago
  • Minister James Shaw welcomes 2018 Census first release
    Statistics Minister James Shaw has welcomed the first release of 2018 Census data. The first release of data today, 23 September, includes key data on population, regional growth, the number of homes and the size of different ethnic groups in New Zealand. Data from the 2018 Census will support the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    23 hours ago
  • Driving transparency, ethics and accountability in government use of algorithms
    Minister for Statistics James Shaw today announced a public consultation on a proposed algorithm charter for government agencies. The charter has been developed by the Government Chief Data Steward in response to growing calls for more transparency in government use of data. Computer algorithms – procedures or formulas for solving ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    24 hours ago
  • New Zealand and the Netherlands working together on climate change
    Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor, Climate Change Minister James Shaw and visiting Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte co-hosted a business roundtable in Auckland this morning focused on working together to address climate change.  “The Netherlands is an important partner for New Zealand. We share a strong agricultural history. Sustainable agribusiness and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    24 hours ago
  • Protecting fairness for workers and businesses
    The Government is taking action to build an inclusive economy where more of us receive our fair share at work and businesses can compete on great products and services, not undercutting wages and conditions, Immigration and Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Iain Lees-Galloway says. Two consultations launched today seek feedback ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Indigenous Freshwater Fish Bill Passes
    The future for New Zealand’s threatened indigenous freshwater fish looks brighter with the passing of the Conservation (Indigenous Freshwater Fish) Amendment Bill in Parliament today said Minister of Conservation, Eugenie Sage. “Until now, our freshwater fish legislation has been 20 years out of date. We have lacked effective tools to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Kiwis to take part in world’s biggest earthquake drill
    At 1.30pm tomorrow, hundreds of thousands of Kiwis will join about 65 million people around the globe in ShakeOut, the world’s biggest earthquake drill. The annual drill is to remind people of the right action to take during an earthquake which is to Drop, Cover, Hold, and to practise their ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Rising wages and low inflation supporting Kiwis
    Kiwis are benefiting from higher wage growth and low inflation under the Coalition Government. Stats NZ data out today shows the rise in the cost of living remains low, as annual Consumers Price Index (CPI) inflation fell to 1.5% in September from 1.7% in June. “The low inflation comes as ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • NZ economy strong amid global headwinds
    New Zealand’s economic strength and resilience has been recognised in a major update on the state of the global economy. The IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook released overnight shows a reduced global growth forecast over the next two years as issues like the US-China trade war and Brexit take hold. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Keeping New Zealanders safer with better counter-terrorism laws
    Justice Minister Andrew Little has today introduced a new Bill to prevent terrorism and support the de-radicalisation of New Zealanders returning from overseas. The Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders) Bill gives the New Zealand Police the ability to apply to the High Court to impose control orders on New Zealanders who ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Improved succession and dispute resolution core of Ture Whenua changes
    A Bill that proposes targeted changes to simplify the processes for Māori land owners when engaging with the Māori Land Court has had its First Reading today. “The approach taken by the Government is to ensure that the protection of Māori land remains a priority as we seek to improve ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Speech to CTU Biennial Conference
    Let me first thank all the new unionists and members in the room. There is nothing more important to improving people’s working lives than people making the decision to care, to get on board and help, to take up the reins and get involved. Congratulations to you. You bring the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Minister ensures continued Whenuapai flight operations
    Minister of Defence Ron Mark has signed a certificate exempting the activity of engine testing at Whenuapai Airbase from the Resource Management Act 1991. The Act gives the Minister of Defence the power to exempt activities for the purposes of national security.  The certificate will mean the recent Environment Court ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • NZ joins Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action
    Finance Minister Grant Robertson has announced New Zealand will join the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action while attending APEC meetings in Chile. The objective of the 39 member Coalition is to share information and promote action to tackle climate change. It was formed in April this year, in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • CTU speech – DPM
    Ladies and gentlemen, NZCTU President Richard Wagstaff, members of respective unions – thank you for the invitation to speak to you today. This might be preaching to the choir, but the importance of trade unions in New Zealand’s historical arch is difficult to understate. And it is my belief that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Police Association Annual Conference
    "Let’s start by acknowledging that it has been a huge year. " Police Association Annual Conference James Cook Grand Chancellor Hotel Wellington Nau mai, haere mai. Tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou, ka nui te mihi, ki a koutou katoa. President of the Police Association, Chris Cahill; Members of the Association and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New Zealand announces a further P-3 deployment in support of UN sanctions
    Minister of Foreign Affairs Winston Peters and Minister of Defence Ron Mark have announced the New Zealand Government’s decision to again deploy a Royal New Zealand Air Force P-3K2 (P-3) maritime patrol aircraft to support the implementation of United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolutions imposing sanctions against North Korea. New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New Zealand deeply concerned at developments in north-east Syria
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters says New Zealand continues to have serious concerns for peace and stability in north-east Syria. “Recent reports that hundreds of ISIS-affiliated families have fled from a camp are deeply concerning from a humanitarian and security perspective”, Mr Peters says. “While we acknowledge Turkey’s domestic security ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government on high alert for stink bugs
    Biosecurity Minister Damien O’Connor is warning travelling Kiwis to be vigilant as the high-season for the crop-eating brown marmorated stink bug (BMSB) is under way. “We’re on high alert to stop BMSB arriving in NZ. The high season runs until April 30 and we’ve strengthened our measures to stop stink ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Better protections for students in halls of residence
    The Government is moving swiftly to change the law to improve the welfare and pastoral care of students living in university halls of residence and other tertiary hostels. Cabinet has agreed to several changes, including creating a new mandatory Code of Practice that sets out the duty of pastoral care ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New trapping guide for community and expert trappers alike
    The Minister for Conservation Eugenie Sage has launched a new comprehensive trapping guide for community trappers to help them protect our native birds, plants and other wildlife, at Zealandia in Wellington today. ‘A practical guide to trapping’, has been developed by the Department of Conservation (DOC), and was launched during ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Widening Access to Contraceptives Welcomed
    Associate Health Minister Julie Anne Genter welcomes PHARMAC’s move to improve access to long-acting reversible contraception (LARCs). PHARMAC has today announced it will fund the full cost of Mirena and Jaydess for anyone seeking long term contraception, lifting previous restrictions on access to Mirena. “I welcome women having greater choices ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Major upgrade for Taranaki Base Hospital
    The Government has approved the next stage of a major redevelopment of Taranaki Base Hospital, which will deliver new and improved facilities for patients. Health Minister Dr David Clark has announced details of a $300 million dollar project to build a new East Wing at the New Plymouth hospital. It ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Extra support for rural families
    Extra funding will allow Rural Support Trusts to help farming families, says Minister for Rural Communities and Agriculture Damien O’Connor. “I know that rural families are worried about some of the challenges facing them, including the ongoing uncertainty created by the Mycoplasma bovis outbreak. “Those concerns sit alongside ongoing worries ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Howard Leaque Beekeeper programme graduation
    Thank you for the opportunity to be here to present certificates to the 16 graduates who have completed a beekeeping course delivered by the Howard League.  Let us start by acknowledging Auckland Prison’s Deputy Prison Director Tom Sherlock, and Acting Assistant Regional Commissioner of Corrections Northern Region Scott Walker - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Finance Minister to attend APEC meetings
    Finance Minister Grant Robertson leaves this weekend to attend the APEC Finance Ministers meeting in Santiago, Chile. Discussions between APEC Finance Ministers at the meeting will include the effects of the current global economic uncertainty, risks for APEC economies and sustainable development of the region. While at APEC Grant Robertson ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Pacific languages are a source of strength, they ground us and build confidence
    The Minister for Pacific Peoples Aupito William Sio says for Pacific people, language can be a source of strength. It can help ground us and give us confidence. When we speak them, our languages provide us with an immediate and intimate access to our identity and our story - and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Major boost to support disabled people in sport and recreation
    The Coalition Government has announced an action plan to improve the wellbeing of disabled New Zealanders by addressing inequalities in play, active recreation and sport. The initiative includes training to develop a workforce that understands the needs of children and young people with a range of impairments, advocacy for fit ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • More prefab homes to be built as red tape cut
    The construction sector is being freed up to allow more homes to be built more quickly as the Government cuts through some of the red tape of the Building Act.  “Every New Zealander deserves a warm, dry, safe home and old inefficiencies in the Building Act make building slow and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Further details of Prince of Wales and Duchess of Cornwall visit to New Zealand
    Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has welcomed further details on the Prince of Wales and Duchess of Cornwall’s visit to New Zealand next month. Their Royal Highnesses will visit New Zealand from 17-23 November – their third joint visit to New Zealand and first in four years. They arrive in Auckland ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • O’Connor in Thailand to push for RCEP deal
    Minister of State for Trade and Export Growth and Minister of Agriculture, Damien O’Connor, heads to Thailand today to attend the final Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Ministerial meeting, as negotiations enter their final stages. “The RCEP Agreement would anchor New Zealand in a regional agreement that covers 16 countries, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Young Pacific people can access earning and learning opportunities in Hawke’s Bay, Otago and South...
    Pacific young people living in the Hawke’s Bay, Southland and Otago regions will have access to support services that have proved successful in helping young people find new earning and learning opportunities. “Tupu Aotearoa is about changing Pacific young peoples’ lives. Our young people are talented, they are smart, they ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Protecting wellbeing – ACC HQSC Trauma Forum
    Introduction As the Minister for ACC I thank you all for the work that you do supporting New Zealanders in their literally most vulnerable moments. From those who hold people’s lives in their hands, to the people who research technique, technology and trends, your work is highly valued. A special ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • NZ economy in good shape – notes prepared for speeches in Christchurch
    Notes prepared for speeches in Christchurch – Wednesday 9 October 2019 Today’s topic, “trends and opportunities for the New Zealand economy,” is certainly one getting a great deal of commentary at the moment. Looking across the media landscape lately you’ll notice we aren’t the only ones having this discussion. There ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • World Mental Health Day a reminder of the importance of mental health work
    Minister of Health Dr David Clark and Associate Minister of Health Peeni Henare say this year’s World Mental Health Day theme is a reminder of why the Government’s work on mental health is so important. “This year the World Federation for Mental Health has made suicide prevention the main theme ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Cultural Ministers Meeting
    Associate Arts, Culture and Heritage Minister Carmel Sepuloni will represent the government at Australia’s Meeting of Cultural Ministers in Adelaide this week. “This year’s meeting is special because New Zealand is expected to become an International Member of the Meeting of Cultural Ministers at this Australian forum,” Carmel Sepuloni said. “The meeting is an opportunity to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago