Labour takes the lead in RNZ poll of polls

Written By: - Date published: 6:05 am, September 8th, 2017 - 70 comments
Categories: election 2017, labour, polls - Tags: , ,

Colin James on RNZ:

Labour a nose ahead of National on the averages

Labour, on 41.8% has nudged ahead of National, on 41.1%, in the latest RNZ poll of polls – in the wake of tonight’s 1 News Colmar Brunton poll.

The boost to Labour more than offsets the continued slide of the Greens to just 5.4%. The combined Labour+Greens average is now 47.2%.  That is 6% ahead of National.

The latest averages translate into: Labour 51 seats, National 51, Green 7 and New Zealand First 10.

Labour have the momentum, and 2 weeks to go…

70 comments on “Labour takes the lead in RNZ poll of polls ”

  1. Carolyn_nth 1

    It is very good to have the Nats on the run, after 9 long years.

    But, also remember it’s not First Past the Post; it’s not just about National and Labour; and to have a truly left wing government, the Green Party needs to be strong, and not playing also-ran to a Labour-NZFirst government.

    Basically, it needs a majority of votes for left wing parties and candidates.

    • Incognito 1.1

      Yes, I have very mixed feelings about where this election might be heading.

      As always, be careful what you wish for; we could end up in a situation that’s not to be desired or needed …

    • Bearded Git 1.2

      Newsroom has done a poll today. Amazing results as follows:

      Labour 45 National 30 New Zealand First 11 Greens 6 TOP 2 Māori Party 2 Act 1

      The poll of 550 voting age people was conducted between Monday and Wednesday this week.

      National’s vote appears to be collapsing.

      https://www.newsroom.co.nz/2017/09/08/46848/election-15-days

      • alwyn 1.2.1

        I get very suspicious when I read that
        “Rather, it is a random sample from SSI’s nationwide panel”.
        Have they ever done this before and what were the results of that exercise?

        It might be a random sample but it isn’t a random sample of the population.
        After all, if I did a random sample of 1000 members of the ACT party ( if there are that many) I would probably find that they were going to get at least 9 members in the new Parliament.

        By the way it was done before the TV1 poll. That must mean that National’s vote is rising rapidly.

        • Bearded Git 1.2.1.1

          Colmar Brunton was taken 2-6 Sept, Newsroom was taken 4-6 Sept….National’s vote is collapsing really fast.

          Probably since Espiner’s gotcha moment with Joyce-this was a major disaster for the Nats.

        • North 1.2.1.2

          Yeah yeah Alwyn. Get real man……..things are changing like it or not…….your beautiful 30 year neo-lib exercise has completely fucked itself. Through the greed of the relatively few it honoured and licensed. If you must, cry your heart out, but don’t be such a spoiler as to fuck around with the emerging hope your lot never offered. “Brighter Future”…….pfft ! And you know what……your effete, gauche wee idol Key didn’t even serve as long as PM as did Helen Clark.

          • alwyn 1.2.1.2.1

            “Key didn’t even serve as long as PM as did Helen Clark.”
            Wow! What amazing trivia you know.

            Can I offer you some equalling interesting snippets?
            Peter Dunne was a Minister of the Crown for longer than Helen Clark.
            John Key never lost an election as either leader or deputy leader of his party.
            Helen Clark lost 4 elections while either leader or deputy leader of her party.

            Now what precisely is the point of your remark?

  2. Zeroque 3

    Yes I suspect it’s going to come down to how the minor parties do on the day. Even if Labour, lets say, gains another 2% and National loses 1% more both are going to need coalition partners. The Greens really do need to do everything right between now and the 23rd. I haven’t been able to work it through in my head but if for example Greens didn’t make the 5% that would mean what, apart from the obvious which is that they wouldn’t be available as a coalition partner for any other party? And the same question for Act and TOP I suppose although TOP don’t have anyone in parliament currently so votes for them would be wasted in the event they don’t make 5% I suppose?

    • Bearded Git 3.1

      If the Greens don’t get 5% we are stuck with a Lab/NZF government if we are lucky. Winston may go with the Nats-39+9+MP+ACT would be the government.

      Labour desperately needs the Greens to get over 5% so that we have a progressive government-Jacinda has repeated several times she will call James Shaw first.

      Some tactical voting is required from Labour supporters who have Green sympathies.

      • Ad 3.1.1

        It’s the Greens that need the Greens.
        Every disillusioned Green-swinger needs a phonecall.

        It’s really close.

        • tracey 3.1.1.1

          That is only true if you want National lite instead of National. Your FPP thinking may yet defeat us all.

          • Ad 3.1.1.1.1

            Nope. Every party does its own campaign. Everywhere.

            • Bearded Git 3.1.1.1.1.1

              Very FPP thinking Ad.

              This is the first time that tactical voting can get us a progressive government. can’t you at least see some sense in this?

              Or do you really want a Nat/NZF or Lab/NZF government?

        • swordfish 3.1.1.2

          Ad

          It’s really close

          .

          Yep – knife-edge for the Greens

          Egs Latest Colmar Brunton & Reid Research

          Colmar Brunton (2-3 Weeks out)

          ….…..…. Colmar Brunton ….….. Election Result ….….. Diff
          Sep 2017 ..…..….. 5
          Sep 2014 ..…..….. 11 ….…..….….……….10.7 .…..…..…..…. – 0.3
          Nov 2011 ..…..….. 9 ….…..….…..…. .…. 11.1 .….…..………. + 2.1
          Oct 2008 ..…..…… 8 ….…..…….….…..…..6.7 .…..….……….. – 1.3
          Aug 2005 ……..…. 6 ….…..…….….…..…..5.3 .…..….……….. – 0.7
          July 2002 …………. 9 ….…..….….………….7.0 .…..….……….. – 2.0
          .

          Newshub Reid Research (3-4 Weeks out)

          ….Newshub Reid Research ….… Election Result ….….. Diff

          Aug 2017 …….……. 6
          Aug 2014 ………… 14 ….…..….…………..….10.7 .…..…..…..…. – 3.3
          Nov 2011 …….……10 ….…..….…..…… .…. 11.1 .….…..………. + 1.1
          Oct 2008 …….…… 7 ….…..…….….……..……6.7 .…..….……….. – 0.3
          Aug 2005 …….…… 6 ….…..…….…..…….…..5.3 .…..….……….. – 0.7
          July 2002 …….…… 10.8 ….…..…………..…..7.0 .…..….……….. – 3.8

          Greens % over-stated vis-à-vis subsequent Election Result in all recent Elections (except their 2011 breakthrough)

          Final Round of Polling (average last 5 Polls) overstated Green support
          by

          + 1.9 (2014)
          + 1.3 (2011)
          + 1.6 (2008)

          So Greens do indeed have a propensity to underperform on Election Day ..… but will it be different this time ? …, given the Greens are down to their core support rather than riding the crest of a late wave as in previous Elections – ie solid base support rather than froth

          Hard to be sure though …, it might be an innate propensity associated with the
          younger age of their support base + poor GOTV operation

          • Bearded Git 3.1.1.2.1

            There is credibility in your bedrock argument. This is supported by the fact that there were only small drops of 0.7 where the Greens were in danger of not getting to 5%.

            But we are in a unique situation. Jacinda needs the Greens to get back to form a progressive government.

            Do you not think that in this situation quite a few people will either tactically vote for OR move back to the Greens so that they get a progressive government?

            Maybe she needs to be hinting at this.

    • alwyn 3.2

      I think you might as well get used to the fact that there will only be 5 parties in the next Parliament.
      Labour and National will be there with 50+ seats each but not with enough to govern.
      ACT and the Maori party will be sitting there with 1 or perhaps 2 (Maori party only) seats.
      The Greens and TOP will be history, just as the Alliance and Conservative parties are.
      New Zealand First will have 10 or so and will be the kingmaker. Winston will be sitting there happily selling off his support.
      “What am I bid?” he will be asking.

      • Ed 3.2.1

        NZ First are not a shoo in.

        • alwyn 3.2.1.1

          They aren’t a shoo in.
          On the other hand the lowest number I have seen for them in any recent poll was 6.6% and they are more typically over 8%. They normally get around their final polling percentage when it comes to the actual election results. I think they are quite safe.

          The Green Party Is polling right on the chop off line and they tend to lose votes in the election compared to their late polling numbers. That is why I believe they are gone.

          I suspect Winston’s target for his press releases is going to shift from National to Labour and the Green Party for the rest of the campaign. His aim in life is to get his bum back in a BMW. He is surely going to try and reduce the chances of anyone getting enough seats to be able to govern without him.
          He will consider he has achieved that with National. Now he will be trying to guarantee the same thing with the other side. He can do that by knocking the Green Party out completely and holding Labour to a figure in the low 40s or by holding Labour to about 41% even if the Green Party get back.
          Never imagine that Winston doesn’t put Winston’s future first.

          • Ed 3.2.1.1.1

            Your thoughts on Winston sound about right.
            I think that some Green voters will return to ensure they get over 5%. My pick is about 7 to 8% for the Greens.

          • FactCheck 3.2.1.1.2

            The Green Party Is polling right on the chop off line and they tend to lose votes in the election compared to their late polling numbers.

            People should have data to back up statements of fact. Especially when it is so easy to obtain:

            Lest we pull a Joyce…

            Statement of opinion, on the other hand, have at it. They mean nothing.

            • alwyn 3.2.1.1.2.2

              I am not really sure what you are asking about but I will assume it is the statement that the Green Party tend to do less well in the election than they do in the polls.
              Your links don’t help very much as they don’t have the numbers and the dates reported.
              However if you look at these Wiki articles you get, the opinion polls and a smoothed value for the end of the pre-election period.
              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_New_Zealand_general_election,_2008
              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_New_Zealand_general_election,_2011
              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_New_Zealand_general_election,_2014
              These give results, just prior to the election for the Green Party of
              2008 8.7%
              2011 13%
              2014 12.2%
              The actual results the Green Party got were
              2008 6.72%
              2011 11.06%
              2014 10.70%
              I think my point is very well justified. The Green Party DOES tend to get a lower result in the election than they do in the late polls in the pre-election period. In other words the data does back up my statement of fact.

              • Bearded Git

                That Poll of Polls is based on two Colmar Brunton and one Reid Research Poll. It ignores the Roy Morgan that has the Greens at 9% and I seem to remember another poll that had them at 8%.

                It is interesting-the last Roy Morgan covered the period 31st July to 13th August. A new one is well overdue-maybe today?

              • DSpare

                alwyn
                It is not just before the the election, we are still fifteen days out (though admittedly it is time to vote if you are overseas). The 2008 figures are most likely to have relevance here, as I can’t see the GP getting over 10%. So the most recent CB poll that sampled 2-6th September, would there correspond to the poll 18-23 October. GP Poll results at that period in 2008 were:

                7% Fairfax Media–Nielsen 8–14 October
                5% One News Colmar Brunton 11–16 October
                8.8% 3 News TNS Released 23 October
                11.5% Roy Morgan Research 6–19 October
                5.4% Herald-DigiPoll 15–22 October
                8% One News Colmar Brunton 18–23 October

                Which gives a total for that period of 7.6% – still higher than what they finally achieved, but only by 0.9% (so likely within the margin of error – would need to dig up the sample numbers to calculate that and can’t be bothered). Or if you take it all the way back to the September announcement of the election, you get an average of 7%.

                2005 might be a better comparison, given the range of polling at the 3-6 weeks period being roughly comparable at 3-7.5 % (4.3-9% this election) leading to a final GP result of 5.3% :

                https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_New_Zealand_general_election,_2005

                That said, I’m not at all a fan of this technique of calculating an average between polling companies, when the main statistically significant result evident in these numbers is that Roy Morgan (too high) results are consistantly different to Colmar Brunton (too low) results for the GP. This is important because the baseline for these poll of poll graphs is largely the Roy Morgan which polls every month; election or no, but is then skewed by the flurry of CB (and other) polls immediately before each election. This gives a good graphical representation if you adjust the pollster and axis options to display the difference:

                https://www.andrewchen.nz/polls

                • the pigman

                  A note for those overseas about voting and this Green issue.

                  I’m a labour voter planning to strategically vote Green.

                  However, if the polling average closer to the cutoff has then averaging well below 5% (say 4-4.3%) then it would be pointless to waste my party vote on them, especially given that their election day results are consistently below their polling average.

                  For that reason, I’m planning to wait until closer to the cut-off before completing and uploading my voting paper. I’d suggest others do the same.

              • tracey

                No your point relates to when Labour is disliked. What are the pre and actual results for greens since MMP began. If the same as above your point is proved, otherwise…

                • ScottGN

                  Agreed tracey. I reckon 1999 is the relevant election in relation to this one. A tired tory government fighting the time for a change feel. The Greens were suffering as Labour headed towards government under Clark and you’ll remember that in the last week or so as the 5% threshold looked increasingly hard for them to achieve Clark took to surrounding herself with Green supporters and placards at the campaign standups.

                  • alwyn

                    I had a quick look at earlier years
                    In 2005 the poll average for all polls in the last 3 weeks before the election was 6%. The actual result was 5.3%
                    In 1999 the polls just before the election are reported as 5.9%. The actual result was 5.2%.
                    Both drops, about 12% in each case are consistent with the 2008-2014 numbers I gave.
                    I can’t readily find anything for 2002 and I really can’t be bothered looking any further. Try it yourself if you are interested.

                    In every election the result has been a decline in the vote between poll and election. I am not terribly interested in the reason but the effect does seem to be real. Certainly I could work out the statistics in more detail but I don’t feel like justifying rigorously the opinion I have expressed, and I believe have illustrated that the vote the Green Party gets is consistently quite a lot below the numbers the polls have reported.

                    The same effect does not show up for New Zealand First. They routinely get an election result that is close to the polling figure.

              • FactCheck

                Look at the green line just before the elections….

                They take a drastic jump up in the final weeks. Probably due to the minor leaders debates and the end of the FPP-style reporting we have got going now.
                Does not mean it will happen this time but it does not mean that they are doomed to get lower than now. Time will tell.
                Sadly the while the GP leader is a very nice guy, he is too quiet and timid for the multi-party debate atmosphere. Time will tell here also.
                You are also forgetting the Teflon John effect that was in play then also and now is not.

                My current theory on “LEFT/RIGHT” voting habits here and abroad on “swing/lazy voters” (i.e. the only ones that count) is thus:
                – The right tend to vote consistently and pick up a larger % in demographics that vote more.
                – The Left generally need a “good” reason to turn out or they stay home.
                – Polls don’t poll whether you are going to stay home and people would probably “lie” if they did.
                – This is a global western democracy trend and not limited to NZ.

                Seen this in the UK, NZ and the US. If you look at %’s only you will not see it. But if you look at numbers it makes more sense:
                e.g.
                Trump did not get that many more numbers than the last R clown, but Hilary tanked compared to Obama. i.e: Trump did not win that election, Hilary lost it. (I predicted this 6 months out, but that is neither here nor there)
                I read the same thing happened with Key last time: their total numbers were stable, but the left tanked theirs. (I have not personally done a formal analysis so grain of salt)

                My prediction therefore is that this time around (can you guess why?) the polls will do the opposite (not by a large amount: ~2% max) of what they did last time.

                For what its worth…which is little to nothing…but a fun mental exercise nonetheless.
                Aside:
                Currently working on deep learning (AI) algorithms.
                Would not be that hard to do and be an interesting study to feed news, social media and poll data in and attempt to predict future results from that.

                Would be a total waste of my time…but… 😉

                • FactCheck

                  Forgot to mention smear campaigns.

                  This is also the reason Right wing smear campaigns work even when they smear themselves and why Labour’s “positive” campaign is smart:

                  Right wing parties know, because of the above, they don’t have to convert voters; just make them stay home.
                  While a converted vote is worth “2 points”, a stay at home vote is still worth 1. For the Right it is also much easier to do. (ref: the last two elections) The left voter who stays home still hates national, but they don’t vote.
                  Even if it devolves into a he-said/she-said, it almost always favours the Right. And if you read the news articles just after the Joyce smear, that is EXACTLY where it was heading.
                  Fortunately, economists rode in like knights to the rescue and most of the damage was avoided, but you will notice this has not deterred National one bit – they are dying on that hill despite everything.
                  Why? Because they know they don’t have to come away clean, they just have to smear everyone in shit.

                  It always amuses me when there is a scandal that most people think that “proving” they are correct is the most important thing.
                  It most certainly is not. Making sure your voters don’t get “fatigued” and give up is the most important thing.

          • tracey 3.2.1.1.3

            Your thoughts on the Greens… is tgat poll drop consisten across 20 years or mostly during Labours slump?

            • alwyn 3.2.1.1.3.1

              Have a look at my comment in reply to ScottGN a little bit up the line.
              It seems to have happened at the 1999, 2005, 2008, 2011 and 2014 elections. I couldn’t find a simple source of data for 2002. That covers Labour going up as well as going down.
              Thus it appears to have happened consistently every election.
              That is all the elections there are. The Greens didn’t stand as a party until 1999.

              • ScottGN

                I’m not disputing your assertion that the Greens tend to do worse on election day than their polling beforehand suggests. I think that is a well established idea.
                I was simply offering my thoughts as to which election could be seen as a pointer for this one and I said 1999 where the Greens were similarly struggling at the 5% threshold level.

      • ScottGN 3.2.2

        I think you’re underestimating the potential for National’s vote to drop further alwyn. Their campaign has been complete shite and I don’t think the full impact of Joyce’s disastrous punt with the fiscal hole is showing up in the polling yet and thanks in part to that I reckon voters have stopped listening to them.
        It’s entirely possible that the broad range of voters that kept Key afloat for all those years could fracture and head off in all directions.

        • Bearded Git 3.2.2.1

          +100 Scott

        • Ad 3.2.2.2

          In the last week, any Green Party supporters here might want to take a couple of days leave and campaign for them full time.

          It’s really, really close.

          • ScottGN 3.2.2.2.1

            The election is close? Or the Greens breaking the 5% threshold is close? Can you clarify?

        • alwyn 3.2.2.3

          “I think you’re underestimating”.
          You may be quite correct. How would I know?
          As Niels Bohr said. “It is very hard to predict, especially about the future”.

          I certainly did not expect the change in Labour support that came with the new leader. I did expect a jump when they got rid of the exclusively dreary negative approach of Andrew Little but, in the absence of any clearly worked out and articulated policies, I didn’t expect anything like what has happened.
          The fact that the Green Party indulged in a bit of seppuku at the same time might have helped them of course but not as much as this.

          Even if most of Labour’s new votes has come from a decline in the Green and NZF support doesn’t change the fact that there is now little or no difference between the Labour and National poll numbers and I never thought that could happen so late in the election cycle.

  3. DoublePlusGood 4

    I rate almost all of the Green’s candidates in list positions 7-20 over Labour’s 35-50 list positions.
    So those who’ve moved back to Labour should really be thinking now about trying to ensure some more of the Green’s excellent candidates get in.
    It would be an absolute disgrace if Golriz Ghahraman (8) and Jack McDonald (11) didn’t get in.

    • Bearded Git 4.1

      @doubleplus good

      Unfortunately tribal Labour voters and former Green voters dazzled by Jacinda’s stardust (she is really good) do not think like this. Many will blindly vote for Labour without realising that if the Greens get less than 5% their vote may be totally wasted in terms of getting a progressive government.

      Alwyn, that well known right wing troll, realises this in his comment above, hence his efforts to portray a vote for the Greens as a wasted vote.

  4. FactCheck 5

    The Green Party Is polling right on the chop off line and they tend to lose votes in the election compared to their late polling numbers.

    People should have data to back up statements of fact. Especially when it is so easy to obtain:

    Lest we pull a Joyce…

    Statement of opinion, on the other hand, have at it. They mean nothing.

  5. Glenn 6

    http://insights.nzherald.co.nz/article/2017-election-forecast/

    Labour is projected to gain 22 seats to end up with 54(±2) seats,
    with National, projected to be at 48 (±2) seats.

    To form a government, a party or coalition needs at least 61 out of 120 seats, or to reach a confidence-and-supply agreement. At this stage neither National or Labour have a clear path to 61 without New Zealand First support or a comeback from the Greens. The total number of seats could increase if there is an overhang from a minor party winning an electorate

    The Greens are projected to be at 5 (±1) seats.

    New Zealand First, projected to win 12 (±3) seats

    Maori Party projected to get 2(±1) seats and ACT one.

    Interesting interactive website.

    • Bearded Git 6.1

      The model is rubbish-the Greens would get no seats at 4.7%

    • alwyn 6.2

      “an overhang from a minor party winning an electorate”.
      It is a little more than that. It is that a party wins more electorate seats than their party vote entitles them to. A party vote of about 0.4% entitles a party to 1 seat. A vote of about 1.2% entitles them to two. The percentage varies depending on what percentage of the vote is wasted. It is exactly 0.4 if 96% of the party votes count.
      If ACT win one electorate and top 0.4% they will not cause an overhang. If the Maori party win 2 electorates and get 1.2% there will be no overhang. Both of these events seem quite likely.

      As Bearded Git says. The model is silly, unless the Green Party win an electorate, in giving them any seats with 4.7%. I can’t see any electorate they might win.

  6. … ” Alwyn, that well known right wing troll, realises this in his comment above, hence his efforts to portray a vote for the Greens as a wasted vote ” …

    alwyn can ‘realise’ all he / she wants , – but it wont add up to shit. The truth is , alwyn is doing a ‘ Tokyo Rose’ act.

    Its the same as the Dildo Joyce effort ,… another ‘ Tokyo Rose’ .

    And that’s all desperate losers ever do , – try and spread rumours, sow doubt , induce fear and attempt to demoralize. Its the oldest trick in the book from a weaker side that knows its losing. And we all know what happened to Tokyo Rose and her team.

    The Greens are going to come trucking on through much to the dismay and chagrin of the National and ACT camps. Their disarray and sense of loss will be palpable.

    Pink Floyd – The Dark Side of the Moon: Brain Damage (HD … – YouTube
    you tube▶ 3:49
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=77n1mDf6Iqo

  7. savenz 8

    Wonderful news about Labour. But NZ needs the Greens as much as the Greens needs the NZ votes. Lets hope The National party starts dropping to the floor. I also think there is a place for NZ First as well as Mana. To me all four parties represent groups in NZ that should be represented and their voices and positions represented in parliament. The problem with National is the they don’t seem to represent the people anymore, just donars, their cronies and dinosaurs. National seem to be relying on using fake information and promises as well as slinging dirt around on their rivals, to cling to power. People are tired of it.

    • Ffloyd 8.1

      What I really like about this rout is Jacinda is standing on a rock solid foundation of a common cause from the whole Labour Party for the betterment and prosperity all New Zealanders. No egos involved. Just sincerity
      No lies. No bull shit. Just a return thto our formerly world renowned egalitarianism The whole party rocks. Especially the instigator of the solid base they have 😐Andrew Little. They are a tight unit.

      • Patricia Bremner 8.1.1

        You are so correct. Andrew Little has turned Labour towards the progressive cohesive direction.

        Jacinda has lit the dream and given hope that we can value people more than money, and do better.

        She has involved all age groups, but especially the young.

        Now they are so united in their goals they are convincing. Let’s do this.

  8. DSpare 9

    Here is another poll showing Labour ahead. Though it was apparently; “first published in the September 16, 2017 issue of the New Zealand Listener”, which gives me serious doubts about the numeracy of the writer. Hopefully this; “Bauer Media Insights IQ”, outfit know what they are doing, though it does have a large; “don’t know”, group in the party vote (10% down from 18% in May):

    http://www.noted.co.nz/currently/politics/poll-labour-national-and-the-crucial-8/

    Respondents were also asked about the biggest issues capturing their attention during the election campaign. Housing, with 413 unprompted mentions, topped the list, followed by health (218), education (210), tax (188) and water (116).

    • alwyn 9.1

      “September 16, 2017 issue of the New Zealand Listener”, which gives me serious doubts about the numeracy of the writer”.

      You are obviously not a subscriber to the magazine.

      That is the standard way the Listener works. They give programs for a Saturday to Friday week and they always identify the issue by the Saturday date of the week that the programs cover.
      They also publish a week ahead of that date.
      I will get my copy of that issue in the mail tomorrow, therefore. It was almost certainly for sale in the shops today and quite possibly yesterday.
      So no, they aren’t time travellers and are perfectly numerate.

      That was a poll I got questioned for, from the look of it. It was an automatic telephone poll, and if you didn’t hear the whole question there didn’t seem to be a way to get it repeated. I have no idea what party I said I was going to vote for. I got passed the phone just after the first question was asked and they were up to the third or fourth party. You know the thing “……..Press 4 for Mana, press 5 for Green”.
      I confess I arbitrarily chose 1 without knowing which one it was.

  9. Michael 10

    Isn’t it amazing what a dash of lipstick can do? I have no idea how long it lasts though.

  10. Wisdumb 11

    Breaking news!

    Steven Joyce has just announced that there is a 12% (11.7%) hole in the recent Colmar Brunton poll and that National is actually standing at 39% +12% = 51%, and could therefore govern alone. When it was pointed out that his numbers added up to more than 100% he said that he’d been in government for nine years and knew what he was doing – imagine if Labour did the numbers – they would make it add up something like 99.99% or 100.01% – far too tight and clearly completely unrealistic. (This is meant to be satire.)

  11. Wisdumb 12

    Breaking news!

    Steven Joyce has just announced that there is a 12% (11.7%) hole in the recent Colmar Brunton poll and that National is actually standing at 39% +12% = 51%, and could therefore govern alone. When it was pointed out that his numbers added up to more than 100% he said that he’d been in government for nine years and knew what he was doing – imagine if Labour did the numbers – they would make it add up something like 99.99% or 100.01% – far too tight and clearly completely unrealistic. (It’s meant to be satire.)

  12. North 13

    Advice please. Northland electorate. Electorate vote Winnie ? Party vote……Green or Labour ? Expert people…..does it matter whether I vote Green or Labour party vote ? Like for the common cause which is best. Haven’t the time or the head to work that out for myself. Advice please.

  13. Kim 14

    Yes!! Give your party vote to the Greens!! The Labour party needs the Greens in government. Jacinda Ardern wants the Greens to be part of the team.

    The Green Party has impressed me since I was in the U.S. but felt it was a wasted vote among a two party system. This is not the case here in New Zealand. New Zealand’s Green Party Charter is like a lighthouse in a storm. That lighthouse needs our help to make it brighter. Let’s take this by storm….surprise even ourselves.

    You can go door knocking, make calls….BUT talk to those closest to you. Talk to those that you know have voted for Greens in the past; those that have wanted to vote, but didn’t get to the polls; those that have voted Labour, but always want Greens in Parliament; AND those that want to vote Greens, but are too afraid to lose out to National this year, so are voting Labour.

    Make sure everyone that wants to vote Party Vote Green gets it right on the voting papers. I say this because I had a friend, last election, that wanted to give her Party vote to the Greens, but got confused at the polls and gave the electorate to the Greens, and the party vote to Labour. This year she is having it written down and taking it into the polls; she’s not taking any chances.

    Get on the phone…NOW!!

  14. Jeff 15

    I’ll be waiting until Election Day to cast my vote. If the Greens are in trouble I may Not be voting Labour for the first time in my life. The Greens need to get over the line and form a government with Labour and the Maori Party.

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • At a glance – Was Greenland really green in the past?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    8 hours ago
  • Sharp-elbowed and loving it
    It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who feels they work their guts out that in fact no one is working as hard as me.It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who knows somebody taking the welfare system for a ride that they’re all ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    12 hours ago
  • Sharp-elbowed and loving it
    It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who feels they work their guts out that in fact no one is working as hard as me.It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who knows somebody taking the welfare system for a ride that they’re all ...
    More than a fieldingBy David Slack
    12 hours ago
  • Then why did she do it?
    Earlier in the month, Cancer Minister Casey Costello was caught lying to the media about whether or not she had requested advice on cutting tobacco excise tax to benefit the cancer industry. She repeated her lies in Parliament. But today, she stood up and pretended to apologise for "causing confusion" ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    12 hours ago
  • Is Applying “Tough Love” To A “Fragile” Nation The Right Answer?
    The Question Christopher Luxon Needs To Ask –  And Answer: How was it possible for a nation of barely three million citizens to create and maintain an infrastructure that functioned, schools and universities that turned out well-educated and enterprising citizens, a health system that kept its people healthy, and a workforce ...
    12 hours ago
  • The limits to realism.
    Realism is a school of thought in the field of international relations (IR). It provides a theoretical framework for analysing the behaviour of States in the world political system. Like other theories (which in the IR literature include idealism, liberalism, … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    13 hours ago
  • UNSOCIAL MEDIA – Following the Trolls
    From TODAY FM archives — Wilhelmina Shrimpton and Simon Morrow take a deep dive into trolling and cyberbullying. From the high profile to the general public, Kiwis across all walks of life are being targeted, and some are paying the ultimate price. So what drives us to troll, who is ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    13 hours ago
  • Govt prescribes stiff medicine for some beneficiaries while easing access to drugs containing pseudo...
    Buzz from the Beehive One of two new announcements on the government’s official website  – given plenty of publicity by the mainstream media over the past 24 hours – has been pitched as the first steps in a “reset” of the welfare system.  Stiff medicine for beneficiaries, in effect. The ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    14 hours ago
  • We’re not as fragile or as lazy as Luxon says
    Luxon says his government is one that is “prepared to make those hard decisions”. File Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has adopted the language of Ruth Richardson before her 1991 ‘Mother of All Budgets’ in arguing for benefit sanctions to bolster the Government finances, which ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    15 hours ago
  • Talking over the Silence.
    Please open the doorNothing is different, we've been here beforePacing these hallsTrying to talk over the silenceIf I was to describe what I do, or at least the way it sometimes feels, then talking over the silence wouldn’t be a bad way to do so.Not that there aren’t other voices ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    17 hours ago
  • LINDSAY MITCHELL: National needs to go further
    Lindsay Mitchell writes – In today’s State of the Nation speech Christopher Luxon talked repeatedly about getting young people off welfare. It seems that National has devised a traffic light system which will use increasing levels of sanctions – welfare deductions – when beneficiaries fail to meet their ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    18 hours ago
  • Gordon Campbell on National spreading panic about the economy
    It is a political strategy as old as time. Scare the public with tales of disaster and stampede them into supporting your ideological agenda because they believe There Is No Alternative. Yet, if the NZ economy truly is as “fragile” as PM Christopher Luxon says it is… Then how come ...
    20 hours ago
  • The promise of passive house design
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Sarah Wesseler Imagine a home so efficient that it could be heated with a hair dryer. That’s the promise of a passive house, a design standard that’s becoming increasingly popular in the architecture community for its benefits to occupants and the climate. ...
    20 hours ago
  • Deep in the Uncanny Valley of AI
    Hi,Before we get started, some very big fun Webworm news. I am launching a new journalism fund called Big Worm Farm!A really great thing that’s happened with Webworm over the last four years is that it’s grown. That’s great for a few reasons.Firstly — it means the work here gets ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    21 hours ago
  • Introducing: Big Worm Farm
    Hi,I’m excited to tell you about Big Worm Farm.Put simply, the main aim of Big Worm Farm is to support investigative journalists from around the world to be able to devote dedicated time to research and report on a specific story, to be published on Webworm.The stories will capture the ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    22 hours ago
  • Why Massey is broke
    The Tertiary Education Commission has named the two universities it says are at high risk financially. They are Massey and Victoria. The Commission appeared before Parliament’s Education Select Committee yesterday and offered a revealing and rare insight into the complex world of university economics. Its Briefing to the Incoming Minister ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    23 hours ago
  • You keep Luxin' when you oughta be thruthin'
    Christopher Luxon’s campaign to win last year's election continued yesterday with a speech.Channelling possibly Bruce Willis in Die Hard, he was all, I'm not going to dress it up, I'm going to level with you guys: the state of the nation is fragile.The thing he’s maybe missing is that it ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 day ago
  • The PM spoke of the need for tough choices – and then opted to beat a retreat when gays and Gaza a...
    Buzz from the Beehive The PM’s State of the Nation speech – according to a Newshub headline – was a ‘buffet of buzzwords’ and full of ‘nonsense’. Fair to say, the quoted words were attributed to Opposition politicians, who were unlikely to say the speech was visionary and inspiring: PM ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago
  • Keynesian Wisdom.
    When the facts change, I change my mind - what do you do, sir?John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946)This posting is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    2 days ago
  • BRIAN EASTON: Puffing policy
    Public policy towards tobacco consumption remains politically sensitive. Brian Easton writes – In 1983, a young researcher was told by a medium-level Treasury official that Treasury policy was to abandon excise duties on tobacco. The senior Treasury economist that I consulted, famed for his commonsense, snorted ‘we ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • Is 2.8% per year population growth too much?
    TL;DR: The Government is reviewing migration settings that produced 2.8% population growth last year and is looking at a longer-term strategy of matching population growth to the ‘absorbtive capacity’ of Aotearoa-NZ’s infrastructure.Our population grew last year at its fastest rate since 1947, when large numbers of troops returning from World ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago
  • Tough Choices & Tough Love.
    I've been trying to hurt youI've been holding you tightI've been learning to love youAm I doing it right?How are you still breathingWith my hands all over your heart?How do we start healingIf we can't keep out the dark?Yesterday the Prime Minister delivered his State of the Nation, for no ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    2 days ago
  • Will the 2024 RLTP be yet another debacle?
    A couple of years ago, Auckland Council and Auckland Transport found themselves in court over the 2021 Regional Land Transport Plan (RLTP). A non-profit alliance for transport decarbonisation, All Aboard Aotearoa, argued that among other factors, the RLTP was unlawful because it failed to give effect to the 2021 Government ...
    2 days ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #07
    A listing of 31 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, Feb 11, 2024 thru Sat, Feb 17, 2024. Story of the week Based on mission alignment, our Story of the Week is certainly Can we be inoculated against climate ...
    2 days ago
  • Immigration Issues.
    Help is comingI heard a whisperWhite caps turningThe breath of summerA distant drummingAnd liar birds callingEscape the anguish of our pastAnd prayOne of the major challenges of the the 21st century will be the mass migration of human beings around our globe.Some seeking economic opportunities, others fleeing repressive regimes, war ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • Trust us, we know what we’re doing
    The best trick the National Party ever pulled was to fabricate their reputation as the responsible ones.This would be the National Party that denied us the New Zealand Superannuation Scheme that—Brian Gaynor wrote back in 2007would be worth more than $240 billion today and would have transformed the New Zealand ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • The Left’s Timidity
    It is not just Karl Marx – even the most enthusiastic supporters of the market economy (not least Adam Smith) will concede that its normal operation inevitably leads to a concentration of wealth in relatively few hands. Some, at least, of these enthusiasts will accept that such a concentration is ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    4 days ago
  • OLIVER HARTWICH: Absurd – NZ courts can now decide on climate change
    Oliver Hartwich writes – The World Justice Project ranks New Zealand 7th out of 142 countries on its ‘Rule of Law Index’, narrowly ahead of Australia’s 13th place. However, Australia still has hope – if only because of a recent decision by the Supreme Court of New Zealand. The ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Still waiting on that turnaround
    Hello! Here comes the Saturday edition of More Than A Feilding, catching you up on the past week’s editions.Friday: Week in review, quiz style2. Shane Jones’ demeanour in mocking and deriding climate activists can be observed in what other realm of human behaviour?a. Gleeful little boys pulling wings off fliesb. ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago
  • Mihi Forbes and the great Atlas conspiracy
    Graham Adams writes — Last week, Mihingarangi Forbes made an extraordinary claim while interviewing David Seymour on Mata Reports, a taxpayer-funded current affairs programme which, she says, looks at events through an “indigenous lens”. She asked him about Act’s links to the Atlas Network, which fosters connections between centre-right ...
    Point of OrderBy gadams1000
    4 days ago
  • Puffing Policy
    Public policy towards tobacco consumption remains politically sensitive. In 1983, a young researcher was told by a medium-level Treasury official that Treasury policy was to abandon excise duties on tobacco. The senior Treasury economist that I consulted, famed for his commonsense, snorted ‘we need the money’. He explained that no-excise-duty ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    4 days ago
  • Luxon is one of three prime ministers pressing for a ceasefire in Gaza – but the two-state solutio...
    Buzz from the Beehive Two days after hundreds of people rallied outside the New Zealand parliament and the US embassy in Wellington to protest against what they maintain is genocide in Gaza,  Prime Minister Chris Luxon joined with the Prime Ministers of Australia and Canada to express their  concerns that ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • All jellied up with possum grease
    1. Shane Jones, addressing the energy industry, called climate concern what?a. The only sane responseb. Undeniably valid c. Our last best hope d. A "religion" 2. Shane Jones’ demeanour in mocking and deriding climate activists can be observed in what other realm of human behaviour?a. Gleeful little boys pulling wings off fliesb. Gleeful ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • Equality comes to Greece
    The Greek Parliament has voted for marriage equality: Greece has become the first Christian Orthodox-majority country to legalise same-sex marriage. Same-sex couples will now also be legally allowed to adopt children after Thursday's 176-76 vote in parliament. Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said the new law would "boldly abolish a ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • CHRIS TROTTER:  Iron in her soul.
      “Battle not with monsters, lest ye become a monster, and if you gaze into the abyss, the abyss gazes also into you.” – Friedrich Nietzsche   Chris Trotter writes – TELEVISION NEW ZEALAND is to be congratulated for inviting Chloe Swarbrick onto its Q+A current affairs show. The Green MP ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • The Hoon around the week to Feb 16
    Net emigration of New Zealanders overseas hit a record-high 47,000 in the 2023 year, which only partly offset net immigration of 173,000, which was dominated by arrivals from India, the Philippines and China with temporary work visas. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The five things that mattered in Aotearoa’s ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Stop Whispering.
    There's nothing to sayAnd there's nothing to doStop whispering, start shoutingStop whispering, start shoutingYesterday our government surprised a few of us by standing up for something. It wasn’t for the benefit of people who own holiday homes and multiple investment properties. Neither were there any tobacco companies or fishing cartels ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • “I'm Not Keen on Whataboutism, But What About…”
    Hi,Not sure how your week is going, but I’ve had a pretty frustrating one. I’ve been trying to put my finger on it, and I think it’s perhaps distilled in this message I got on Twitter:What got me a bit riled up is that it was a response to the ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    5 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on National passing bad policies under urgency
    If National really had faith in its welfare policies, it wouldn’t be ramming them through Parliament under urgency – a step that means the policies can’t be exposed to select committee debate, public submissions, expert commentary, media scrutiny and all the normal democratic processes that this coalition appears to hold ...
    5 days ago
  • Weekly Roundup 16-February-2024
    It’s Friday so once again here”s our roundup of some of the articles that caught our attention this week. This Week in Greater Auckland On Monday Matt looked at the Government’s war on Auckland. On Tuesday Matt covered the ongoing issues with the rail network. On Thursday Matt ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    5 days ago
  • The Dawn Chorus for Friday, February 16
    The six things to note in my view at 6.30 am on Friday, February 16 in Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy are: Read more ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Iron In Her Soul.
    “Battle not with monsters, lest ye become a monster, and if you gaze into the abyss, the abyss gazes also into you.” – Friedrich NietzscheTELEVISION NEW ZEALAND is to be congratulated for inviting Chloe Swarbrick onto its Q+A current affairs show. The Green MP for Auckland Central is the odds-on ...
    5 days ago
  • Dig this
    Resources Minister Shane Jones yesterday told a breakfast hosted by Energy Resources Aotearoa precisely what they wanted to hear. “We campaigned to rehabilitate relegitimise and stand up for working families who derive their income,  derive their hope and derive purpose in regional New Zealand through a flourishing, growing, forward-leaning energy ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #7 2024
    Open access notables Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course, van Westen et al., Science Advances: Here, we show results of the first tipping event in the Community Earth System Model, including the large climate impacts of the collapse. Using these results, we develop a physics-based and ...
    5 days ago
  • A rejection of the rule of law
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Shrugging-Off The Atlas Network.
    Upholding The Status-Quo: The Left’s election defeat is not the work of the Atlas Network. It is not even the work of David Seymour and Act. It is the work of ordinary citizens who liked the Right’s stories better than they liked the Left’s. If the Right’s stories were made ...
    6 days ago
  • BARRIE SAUNDERS: Treaty Principles – all rather problematic
    Barrie Saunders writes – When ACT’s leader said they wanted legislation to state what the Treaty principles mean, my first thought was this will be controversial and divisive.  Clearly it is. The first reference to the principles of the Treaty were contained in the 1975 Act establishing the Treaty of ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago
  • Luxon Rejects The “Rejection Election” At His Peril.
    Fitting Right In: National retailed a reactionary manifesto of right-wing, racially-charged policies to the electorate throughout 2023. No talk back then of ignoring the overwhelming political preferences of the voting public and making a strong stand on principle. If Luxon’s pollsters and focus-groups were telling him that the public was ...
    6 days ago
  • Valentine’s Day went unnoticed on the Beehive website – but it is not “baa, humbug” to celeb...
    Buzz from the Beehive None of our ministers – a quick check with the Beehive website suggests – found cause to mention, let along celebrate, Valentine’s Day. But two ministers – Agriculture Minister Todd McClay and Rural Communities Minister Mark Patterson – ensured that National Lamb Day did not pass ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • Are You A Leftist?
    Nothing To Lose But Our Chains: The emancipatory movement which the Left, understood correctly, has always been, cannot accommodate those who are only able to celebrate one group’s freedom by taking it from another. The expectation, always, among leftists, is that liberty enlarges us. That striking-off a person’s shackles not ...
    6 days ago
  • An unlawful directive
    An interesting question in the Parliamentary written questions feed today, from Jan Tinetti to the Minister of Education: Has she or her Office directed the Ministry of Education to not release Official Information Act material prior to the full twenty working days, if so, why? Given that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • I’ve been doing this all wrong
    Here are six words that are not easy to say but god it can feel good when you finally say them:I’ve been doing this all wrongFive years ago today I said to myself:What if I'm doing this all wrong?Five years ago today I said to Karren: I think I’m going to ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • New study suggests the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”
    This is a re-post from RealClimate by Stefan Rahmstorf A new paper was published in Science Advances today. Its title says what it is about: “Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course.” The study follows one by Danish colleagues which made headlines last July, likewise looking for early warning signals ...
    6 days ago
  • Valentines from ACT.
    Some of us make a big deal out of Valentine’s Day. We’ll buy the flowers, eye watering though the price spike might be. Say the things we should be saying anyway, although diminished by being scheduled for delivery. Some of us will even write long free-form newsletters with declarations of ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    6 days ago
  • Tax cuts paid for by 13k more kids in poverty
    MSD advised the government that the indexation change it passed under urgency last night is likely to put around 7,000 extra children (and potentially up to 13,000) into poverty. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The Government has reverted indexation for main beneficiaries to price inflation from wage inflation under ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    6 days ago
  • Fuel Tax Fight and Rail Fail update
    The two stories we covered at the start of the week continue to be in the headlines so it’s worth looking at the latest for each of them. Regional Fuel Tax Mayor Wayne Brown promised some ‘argy-bargy’ over the government’s decision to cancel the Regional Fuel Tax and he’s ...
    6 days ago
  • Climate Change: Arsonists
    Today, a major fire broke out on the Port Hills in Ōtutahi. Like its 2017 predecessors, it is almost certainly exacerbated by climate change. And it is still burning. The present government did not start the fire. But they piled the tinder high last time they were in power, gutting ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • I don’t know!
    http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73411 7 examples And who actually makes the decisions? Vladimir Putin: I don’t know. America is a complex country, conservative on the one hand, rapidly changing on the other. It’s not easy for us to sort it all out.   Tucker Carlson: Do you think Zelensky has the freedom to negotiate the settlement to this conflict? Vladimir Putin: I don’t know the details, of course it’s difficult for me to judge, but ...
    6 days ago
  • Fresh thinkers
    Fresh thinking will always give you hope.It might be the kind that makes you smite your brow, exclaiming: Why didn't we think of that! It's obvious!It might be the kind that makes you go: Dude you’re a genius.Sometimes it will simply be Wayne Brown handing Simeon Brown his weasel ass ...
    More than a fieldingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • It is not about age, it is about team.
    Much attention has been directed at Joe Biden’s mental lapses and physical frailty. Less attention has been spent on Donald Trump’s cognitive difficulties and physical limitations, with most focus being devoted to his insults and exaggerated claims (as if they … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    7 days ago
  • ROBERT MacCULLOCH: Fletcher Building – it is time to break up NZ’s most useless company.
    Robert MacCulloch writes –  Gosh, the CEO of Fletcher Building, Ross Taylor, says today’s announcement of a half-year loss of $120 million for the company is “disappointing” and was “heavily impacted” by the Convention Centre losses. He must be crying all the way to the bank (to quote Las ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    7 days ago
  • Mortgage rates seen high for even longer
    Government and borrower hopes for early mortgage cost relief look likely to be thwarted. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Stronger-than-expected US inflation data out overnight is expected to delay the first US Federal Reserve rate cut into the second half of 2024, which in turn would hold mortgage rates ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    7 days ago
  • Member’s Day
    Today is a Member's Day, the first of the new Parliament. And to start the Parliament off, there's a bunch of first readings. A bunch of other bills have been postponed, so first up is Duncan Webb's District Court (Protecting Judgment Debtors on Main Benefit) Amendment Bill, followed by Katie ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Three Waters go down the legislative gurgler – but what should we make of Local Water Done Well?
    Buzz from the Beehive Local Government Minister Simeon Brown – it seems fair to suppose – was flushed with success after the repeal of Labour’s divisive and unpopular Three Waters legislation. As he explained, repealing this legislation is a necessary first step in implementing his government’s Local Water Done Well ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    7 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on five of Luxon’s Gaza absurdities
    Earlier this week, PM Christopher Luxon met with 48 public service CEOs to make sure they were on board with his plans to cut spending on public services so that National can proceed to give the revenue away to those New Zealanders least in need. This wasn’t the only absurdity ...
    7 days ago
  • Love and the Fairer Sex.
    This morning I woke early with many thoughts in my head of things said, events of the week, things that matter. I’m afraid none of them involved Seymour, Willis, or Luxon so if you’re looking for something political maybe take the day off and come back tomorrow. You won’t find ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    7 days ago
  • He stood up to Muldoon and Lange and the Fji army
    Gerald Hensley, who died aged 88 on Saturday, was the key official who presided over the tumultuous events that followed the election of the Lange Labour Government in 1984. He was also instrumental in helping a key Fijian official escape the country during one of the 1987 coups. A diplomat ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    7 days ago
  • At a glance – Has Arctic sea ice returned to normal?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    1 week ago
  • Halo dunia!
    Selamt datang di WordPress. Ini adalah pos pertama Anda. Sunting atau hapus, kemudian mulai menulis! ...
    1 week ago
  • The PM wants a turnaround
    As a treat today I have lined up a favourite in the music slot. I love Turnaround, I cannot hear it too often, and I feel in need of a treat when I make myself listen to the Prime Minister the way I did this morning.He too, has favourites that ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • The PM wants a turnaround
    As a treat today I have lined up a favourite in the music slot. I love Turnaround, I cannot hear it too often, and I feel in need of a treat when I make myself listen to the Prime Minister the way I did this morning.He too, has favourites that ...
    More than a fieldingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • ELE LUDEMANN: Trusting locals
    Ele Ludemann writes- A government-knows-best and predilection for central control was another unfortunate feature of the 2017-2023 Labour governments. One of the worst polices as a result of that was what started as Three Waters and became several more. The National-led government is much more trusting of locals ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 week ago
  • Legislation to flush away Three Waters has become a certainty – but we must wait for details on th...
    Buzz from the Beehive A  three-day information drought was broken, just after Point of Order published yesterday’s Buzz from the Beehive, and two significant ministerial announcements were made. First, the Budget will be delivered on 30 May, telling us which genuine savings have been made by eliminating waste and which ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    1 week ago
  • Rise of the Lobbyists.
    An unpopular opinion, I love Auckland.Not so much the transport or the house prices - those are pretty dire. But there’s a lot to like. We’ve a vibrant, multicultural city in a beautiful location with, mostly, friendly locals. From the native bush of the Waitakeres to the Gulf islands, it’s ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • The holes in National’s water reform pipes
    Young renters just have to watch on as pipes keep failing and the Government and councils point fingers at each other, because all the incentives are for ratepayers to block rates increases, water meters, water charges and the creation of new entities. File Photo: Lynn GrievesonTL;DR: The National-ACT-NZ First coalition ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago

  • Greater support for social workers
    The Coalition Government is enhancing the professionalism of the social work sector and supporting the vulnerable people who rely on them, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says.  The Social Workers Registration Legislation Amendment Bill passed its third reading in Parliament today. It amends the Social Workers Registration Legislation ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    10 hours ago
  • Government delivers greater freedom and choice for sick New Zealanders
    The coalition government is delivering on its commitment to making principled decisions by getting rid of red tape that doesn’t make sense and allowing sick New Zealanders greater freedom and choice to purchase effective cold and flu medicines. A bill amending the Misuse of Drugs Act 1975 is being introduced, and changes to the Medicines ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • Government begins reset of welfare system
    The Coalition Government is taking early action to curb the surge in welfare dependency that occurred under the previous government by setting out its expectations around employment and the use of benefit sanctions, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. In 2017, 60,588 sanctions were applied to beneficiaries who ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • State of the Nation
    Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora, good morning, talofa, malo e lelei, bula vinaka, da jia hao, namaste, sat sri akal, assalamu alaikum. Thank you for coming to my first State of the Nation as Prime Minister. Thank you for coming to a speech where I don’t just ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • West Coast tourism attractions officially open
    Regional Development Minister Shane Jones will attend the official opening of two highly anticipated tourism projects on the West Coast today – Pike29 Memorial Track, dedicated to the memory of the Pike River miners, and Pounamu Pathway. “The Pike29 Memorial Track is a way to remember and honour the men ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Independent ferry service advisory group in place
    Appointments to the Ministerial Advisory Group tasked with providing independent advice and assurance on the future of KiwiRail’s inter-island ferry service have been made, State Owned Enterprises Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “It’s important for New Zealand that KiwiRail is focused on ensuring safe, resilient, and reliable ferry services over the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Joint statement from the Prime Ministers of Australia, Canada, and New Zealand
    The Prime Ministers of Australia, Canada and New Zealand today issued the following statement on reports of Israel’s planned military operation in Rafah. We are gravely concerned by indications that Israel is planning a ground offensive into Rafah.   A military operation into Rafah would be catastrophic. About 1.5 million Palestinians ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Govt will deliver on expanded breast screening
    The coalition Government has made the first steps in delivering on its promise to  extend free breast screening to women aged 70-74, Health Minister Shane Reti says. “As part of the 100 day plan, the Government has now met with officials and discussed what is needed in order for the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government announces woolshed roadshows in support of sheep farmers
    The Government celebrates National Lamb Day (15 February 24) and congratulates sheep farmers on the high-quality products they continue to produce. Agriculture Minister McClay hosted bipartisan celebrations of National Lamb Day with industry representatives at Parliament this week to mark the anniversary of the first frozen lamb exports that left ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Speech: Address to the NZ Economics Forum
    It’s great to be back at the New Zealand Economics Forum. I would like to acknowledge everyone here today for your expertise and contribution, especially the Pro Vice-Chancellor, Head of the Waikato Management School, economists, students and experts alike. A year has passed since I was last before you, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government tackling high construction costs
    The Government is focused on reducing sky-high construction costs to make it more affordable to build a home, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says.  Stats NZ data shows the cost of building a house has increased by 41 per cent since 2019, making housing even more unaffordable for Kiwi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Labour’s Three Waters legislation repealed
    The Coalition Government’s legislative plan to address longstanding issues with local water infrastructure and service delivery took an important step today, with the repeal of Labour’s divisive and unpopular Three Waters legislation, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “Repealing this legislation is a necessary first step in implementing our Local ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Cost of living support for beneficiary households
    The Coalition Government is delivering on its commitment to ease the cost-of-living by increasing main benefit rates in line with inflation and ensuring the Minimum Family Tax Credit threshold remains aligned with this change, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. The Social Security (Benefits Adjustment) and Income Tax ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Government announces agriculture delegations to better support Primary sector
    The coalition Government has announced ministerial delegations to support key areas across the Primary sector to deliver for New Zealand’s food and fibre sector, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay announced today. “I will be supported in my roles as Minister of Agriculture, Trade, Forestry and Hunting and Fishing, by three Associate ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Waikato MoU reinforces Govt’s commitment to increase NZ doctors
    The Government has taken an important step forward in addressing a critical shortage of New Zealand-trained doctors, with today’s signing of a Memorandum of Understanding for a third medical school, Minister of Health Dr Shane Reti has announced.  “Today’s signing by the Ministry of Health and the University of Waikato ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Speech – Lunar New Year 2024
    Annyeonghaseyo, greetings and welcome all. It is my pleasure as the Minister for Ethnic Communities to welcome you to the first Lunar New Year Event in Parliament. Thank you to our emcees for greeting us in the different languages that represent the many cultures that celebrate the Lunar New Year. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • More funding to Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti
    Urgent work to clean-up cyclone-affected regions will continue, thanks to a $63 million boost from the Government for sediment and debris removal in Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti.                                                                                                   The funding will help local councils continue urgent work removing and disposing of sediment and debris left from Cyclone Gabrielle.   “This additional ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Budget will be delivered on 30 May
    Plans to deliver tax relief to hard-working New Zealanders, rebuild business confidence and restore the Crown’s finances to order will be unveiled on 30 May, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The plans will be announced in the Budget which is currently being developed by Ministers.  “The last government’s mismanagement of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government advances Local Water Done Well
    The Coalition Government is continuing work to restore council ownership and control of water assets by repealing Three Waters and appointing a Technical Advisory Group to provide expert advice on the implementation of Local Water Done Well, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “The Government will pass a bill to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New diplomatic appointments
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today announced five new diplomatic appointments.  "Strong and effective diplomacy to protect and advance our interests in the world is needed now more than ever," Mr Peters says.  “We are delighted to appoint senior diplomats from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade to these ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Speech to the Committee for Auckland
    It is great to be here today at this event as Minister for Auckland and Minister ofTransport. Let me start by acknowledging each one of you and thanking the Committee forAuckland for hosting this event and inviting me to speak here today. The Committee for Auckland has been a symbol ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Getting Transport Back on Track in Auckland
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has today confirmed his high-level transport priorities for Auckland, in the lead up to releasing the draft Government Policy Statement on Land Transport. “Our economic growth and productivity are underpinned by a transport network that enables people and freight to move around safely and efficiently. At ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government to axe Auckland Regional Fuel Tax
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has confirmed that the Auckland Regional Fuel Tax will end on 30 June 2024. “Today, I can confirm that the Government has agreed to remove the Auckland Regional Fuel Tax in line with our coalition commitments, and legislation will be introduced to parliament to repeal the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Minister Calls for Work to Tackle Kina Barrens
    Changes to fishing rules and a significant science programme are being undertaken to address kina barrens, says Minister for Oceans and Fisheries Shane Jones. “There has been tremendous interest from iwi, communities and recreational fishers who had raised concerns about such kina infestations being a major threat to Northland’s marine ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government law and order crackdown begins
    The coalition Government is making good on its promise to restore law and order by removing government funding for Section 27 reports and abolishing the previous Labour Government’s prison reduction target, Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith and Corrections Minister Mark Mitchell say.  “In recent years, the development of Section 27 reports ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Greater focus on getting people into work
    The coalition government will refocus employment efforts and the welfare system so that supporting people who can work into jobs is the number one priority, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Of concern in the labour market statistics released by Stats NZ today was the number of youth not ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • One year on, NZ appeals for release of Phillip Mehrtens
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has appealed to those holding New Zealand pilot Phillip Mehrtens in remote Papua, Indonesia, to release him immediately.  Phillip Mehrtens was taken hostage a year ago on 7 February in Paro, Papua, while providing vital air links and supplies to remote communities. “We strongly urge those holding ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Ministers reaffirm Pacific connections this week
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters and Health Minister and Minister for Pacific Peoples Dr Shane Reti are reaffirming the importance of New Zealand’s connections to the Pacific by visiting Tonga, Cook Islands and Samoa this week.  “New Zealand enjoys strong and long-standing relationships with our Pacific partners - especially in Polynesia, where we ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Rt Hon Christopher Luxon – Waitangi speech
    E ngā mana, e ngā reo, e ngā iwi, rau rangatira ma. Tēnā koutou katoa. He tino mihi ki te mana whenua o tēnei rohe.  Mihi mai, mihi mai, mihi mai. Te whare e tū nei, tēnā koe.                               He-wāhi whakahirahira tēnei mō Aotearoa. Ka huri nga whakaaro, ki nga mate. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government awards primary sector scholarships to students
    Six university students studying agriculture and science have been awarded scholarships as part of the coalition Government’s efforts to boost on-the-ground support for farmers and growers. “The coalition Government is committed to improving support and operating conditions for farmers and growers,” Agriculture Minister Todd McClay says. “We’re backing a range ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • High Court Judge appointed
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister Jason Scott McHerron as a High Court Judge. Justice McHerron graduated from the University of Otago with a BA in English literature in 1994 and an LLB in 1996. From 1996 to 1999 he worked as a solicitor in the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • New Zealand provides further humanitarian support to Gaza and the West Bank
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced that New Zealand is providing a further $5 million to respond to the extreme humanitarian need in Gaza and the West Bank.  “The impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict on civilians is absolutely appalling,” Mr Peters says.  “That is why New Zealand has contributed $15 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Government consults on expanding COVID-19 Inquiry terms of reference
    The Government is delivering on its commitment to enable public input into expanding the scope of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into COVID-19 Lessons, says Internal Affairs Minister Brooke van Velden. “As committed to in both the ACT-National and NZ First-National coalition agreements, the public will be given the opportunity ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Tai Tokerau Water Boost
    A further $5 million loan has been advanced to the Tai Tokerau Water Trust for Te Waihekeora Reservoir, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says.  “Water is a precious resource, Kānoa – Regional Development and Investment Unit at the Ministry of Business, Innovation, and Employment have done amazing work in the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Fast track consenting in the fast lane
    The Government is progressing changes to resource management laws as part of its 100 Day Action Plan, with the first steps taken to establish a new fast-track consenting one-stop shop regime. “This new regime, which forms part of National’s coalition agreement with New Zealand First, will improve the speed and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • JOINT STATEMENT ON AUSTRALIA-NEW ZEALAND MINISTERIAL CONSULTATIONS (ANZMIN) 2024
    Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defence the Hon Richard Marles MP and Minister for Foreign Affairs Senator the Hon Penny Wong hosted New Zealand Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Rt Hon Winston Peters MP and Minister of Defence Hon Judith Collins KC MP on 1 February ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Minimum wage set for cautious increase
    The adult minimum wage rate will increase by 2 per cent to $23.15 an hour from 1 April 2024, Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Brooke van Velden announced today. “This Government is committed to striking the right balance between protecting the incomes of our lowest paid workers and maintaining labour ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Increased security improves ED safety over summer
    Increasing the number of security staff in emergency departments (EDs) over the busy Christmas and New Year period improved the safety of both staff and patients, Health Minister Dr Shane Reti says. 200 additional security staff (93 FTEs) were provided to 32 EDs in response to concerns raised by ED ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago

Page generated in The Standard by Wordpress at 2024-02-20T15:05:58+00:00