For the next four (presumably) days the media is going to go nuts trying to cover the coalition talks. Quite apart from the genuine and significant public interest, they have column inches to fill, and nothing much to fill them with.
Expect to see agendas on display, and egos, and reckons, and the occasional gleaned factoid. But don’t expect predictions to be any better than chance.
I’d say that if Peters was true to his campaign and his supporters, he would go in to government with Labour and Greens. But we’ve been burned down that road before. He could do anything, and that’s that.
I’m not even sure that NZF joining or supporting a Labour led is the best long term outcome. Government with NZF is inherently risky, there are multiple problems born of National’s neglect coming to a head. Maybe it’s better to let the Nats grab the poisoned chalice, and the left to sweep in strongly in 2020. On the other hand NZ’s problems are urgent, they need urgent solutions that only the left can supply. Three more years of the Nats is three more years of drift and damage.
So roll on Thursday I guess.