Author Archive

Labour’s momentum – Nat’s fall

Written By: - Date published: 9:12 am, August 18th, 2017 - 87 comments

What Jacinda Ardern has accomplished here is nothing short of astonishing. As a one-off bump in the polls it rivals Brash’s infamous Orewa speech. But Ardern’s rise is based on optimism and positivity rather than racist dog whistles.

Labour addresses urgent mental health need in Canterbury

Written By: - Date published: 12:41 pm, August 17th, 2017 - 5 comments

In the wake of devastating earthquakes in Canterbury, National’s treatment of mental health needs in the region has been absolutely shameful. Yesterday Jacinda Ardern released new policy to help address the crisis. Great work from Labour in an area that National have cruelly neglected.

National – Delivering no pay rises for NZ

Written By: - Date published: 8:29 am, August 17th, 2017 - 14 comments

Expect plenty of Nat boasting on “the economy” in the election campaign. They’ll be desperate to hide the inconvenient fact that ordinary workers are going backwards.

Key praises Ardern and Labour

Written By: - Date published: 1:05 pm, August 16th, 2017 - 53 comments

Key: “The camera likes Jacinda. Paul Holmes once said to me ‘on TV they see your heart’ – she responds well to that so that works really well for her…”, “Labour made the right decision to make Jacinda Ardern leader”

Race Relations Commissioner calls on UN to to support inquiry into the abuse of children in state care

Written By: - Date published: 9:53 am, August 16th, 2017 - 14 comments

Race Relations Commissioner Dame Susan Devoy has called on the UN to tell the government to hold an independent inquiry into the abuse of children and people with disabilities in state care. (Some of us were wrong about Devoy!)

Nats repeat failed bootcamp policy in plea to rally their scared angry base

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, August 15th, 2017 - 30 comments

English’s “boot camp” policy is pure politics. As much as he tries to deny it, it’s more or less an exact repeat of Key’s failed 2008 attempt, it would do much more harm than good if ever implemented. More than any other flailing to date, this mess is a sign of National’s desperation.

National’s weekend of blind panic

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, August 14th, 2017 - 53 comments

What a weekend of National panic that was. From desperate lies on water costs to repeating failed policy from 2008 to plans to wake parents up in the middle of the night to administer “instant fines” in a youth curfew. Jacinda Ardern’s Labour has got them on the run.

The parties on science

Written By: - Date published: 8:28 am, August 13th, 2017 - 40 comments

There’s an interesting piece by Peter Griffin over at Sciblogs on various parties’ positions on science in NZ. Not many Kiwis vote on the basis of science – and that’s one of our problems.

Impressed with James Shaw

Written By: - Date published: 9:03 am, August 11th, 2017 - 141 comments

I have been impressed with James Shaw lately. The Greens may have lost Turei, but they have seen Shaw grow in stature.

NZF is finished

Written By: - Date published: 8:43 am, August 11th, 2017 - 104 comments

Here’s a prediction for you.

Gower rightly apologises to Greens

Written By: - Date published: 11:44 am, August 10th, 2017 - 35 comments

“Newshub political editor Patrick Gower has apologised to Green Party leader James Shaw for suggesting a bad poll result drove his co-leader to quit.” If you are angry about this – use your vote…

How high will Ardern’s Labour go?

Written By: - Date published: 9:01 am, August 10th, 2017 - 68 comments

If Jacinda Ardern’s Labour can get a jump to 33-36% in the polls in just one week, how high can it go for the election? We need to see further gains coming from National – and they will. We need to see the Green vote recover – and it will…

Two good polls for Labour – and a call to arms for the Greens

Written By: - Date published: 7:05 pm, August 9th, 2017 - 94 comments

Two polls out tonight show a big surge for Labour and Jacinda Ardern. But we need a strong Green vote too. To those whom Metiria inspired – please don’t give up on voting. The Greens need you now more than ever!

Newshub poll tonight

Written By: - Date published: 2:51 pm, August 9th, 2017 - 92 comments

The Kelvin Davis effect

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, August 9th, 2017 - 48 comments

Much has been written about the Jacinda Ardern effect that has put Labour so enthusiastically back in the game. But the appointment of Kelvin Davis as deputy is also looking like a very smart move.

English damaged by Barclay scandal – poll

Written By: - Date published: 10:38 am, August 8th, 2017 - 45 comments

The missing Newshub poll question has appeared at last, showing that Bill English has been damaged by his handling of the Barclay scandal. 56% of Kiwis (even 36% of Nats) have lost some trust in English. Updated: The texts have been “deleted”. English refusing to answer questions.

Ardern effect taps pent-up mood for change

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, August 7th, 2017 - 49 comments

A week is a long time in politics, as the saying goes. The election has been turned upside down. The long pent-up mood for change has found its champion.

Hey Newshub polls – where are the results on the English-Barclay question?

Written By: - Date published: 8:54 am, August 5th, 2017 - 19 comments

I was a participant in last weekend’s Newshub poll. Along with the question on Metiria Turei’s actions I was asked a similar one whether Bill English was correct and honest in his handling of the Todd Barclay scandal. We’ve heard a lot about the answer to the first question, nothing at all on the second…

Gower on Turei’s sacrifice

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, August 5th, 2017 - 46 comments

Consider the sharp contrast between the lies and dirty politics that the Nats have brazened out in the last 9 years and the way that Metiria Turei fronted up and took responsibility for decades old youthful mistakes. Gower is right that it has headed off the Nats’ attack lines and they will be fuming.

Metiria Turei will not seek ministerial position

Written By: - Date published: 12:14 pm, August 4th, 2017 - 176 comments

At a noon press conference Metiria Turei announced that she is not resigning and will continue to lead the Greens, but she is not seeking a ministerial position in a new government. She takes responsibility for her past, but the work on a fair welfare system is more important than any one person.

Don’t expect the impossible of Ardern

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, August 4th, 2017 - 29 comments

I enjoy a ray of hope as much as the next leftie, and Jacinda Ardern is off to an incredible start, but let’s not burden her with impossible expectations.

The Ardern effect – and why this leadership change was different

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, August 3rd, 2017 - 60 comments

With donations and volunteers flooding in, I think it’s fair to say that reaction to Jacinda Ardern has exceeded all expectations. Why was this leadership change different? Two reasons…

Acclaim for Jacinda Ardern

Written By: - Date published: 6:30 am, August 2nd, 2017 - 118 comments

Changing leaders this close to an election was a political gamble for Labour, but it has already paid off. The commentary is almost universally positive, the reviews for Ardern are glowing. Donations are flowing in. Activists are energised and people are talking.

Thank you Andrew – go well Jacinda!

Written By: - Date published: 11:13 am, August 1st, 2017 - 54 comments

Unlike lprent I am not discouraged by Little stepping down. New leadership is a real opportunity for Labour. Little: “As leader, I must take responsibility for these results. I do take responsibility and believe that Labour must have an opportunity to perform better under new leadership through to the election.”

Labour leadership meeting

Written By: - Date published: 8:33 am, August 1st, 2017 - 169 comments

At 10:30 this morning there is a Labour caucus meeting where the subject of the leadership will be discussed. If Andrew Little decides to step down rumours suggest that a Jacinda Ardern / Kelvin Davis ticket is being considered.

NZF members are lefties – will they get a say in choosing government?

Written By: - Date published: 7:03 am, August 1st, 2017 - 19 comments

Current polls leave National/minor and Labour/Green both short of majority. The chances of NZF determining the shape of the next government are increasing. I’ve always assumed that Peters would go with National, but maybe not, if NZF members get a say.

Metiria’s gamble pays off in latest poll

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, July 31st, 2017 - 157 comments

To what must be intense annoyance from angry right-wing pundits, Metiria Turei’s gamble seems to have paid off for The Greens, an indication (though mind that margin of error) that there could be a real appetite for a Corbyn-style political revolution this election.

Digitally shaping the election

Written By: - Date published: 10:49 am, July 30th, 2017 - 22 comments

Social media offers a rich tool for profiling voters and targeting election advertising or informal messaging. There’s a good piece on RNZ today looking at the issue. How long before we see the methods used by Brexit and Trump campaigns employed in NZ?

American political right -spectacular self-harm

Written By: - Date published: 9:51 am, July 29th, 2017 - 42 comments

I know that insane news out of America has become predictably ho-hum, but this week has been stunning. There is now a real risk that the Republican administration will break healthcare deliberately and burn their own people out of spite. That’s the level of right-wing politics in America.

Reactions to Metiria – the political and the personal

Written By: - Date published: 7:04 am, July 29th, 2017 - 181 comments

There are basically two kinds of reaction to Metiria’s bombshell, the practiced “outrage’ of the usual political operatives, and the support of the ordinary people. I think that the louder the operatives shout, the more that people are going to side with the under-dog.

ETS – That’s our coffin they’re talking about

Written By: - Date published: 12:29 pm, July 27th, 2017 - 4 comments

Professor Euan Mason of the University of Canterbury’s School of Forestry in response to the proposed changes: “This is the nail in the coffin of our ETS.”

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