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Written By: observer - Date published: 1:31 pm, June 5th, 2025
Symptoms of full-on derangement syndrome: a PM who resigned over 2 years ago, and has played no part whatsoever in NZ politics since, but still lives rent-free in your head ... Let her go.Written By: observer - Date published: 7:22 pm, June 4th, 2025
The PM probably didn't know. But Forbes was working for National Ministers long before his recent job in the PM's office. The complaint was made last year. But Forbes carried on in various jobs, knowing what he had done, and knowing that his behaviour had ...Written By: observer - Date published: 7:14 pm, April 9th, 2025
Andrea Vance did the journalism. Maiki Sherman did not. The stark contrast between the two perfectly summed up what is and is not a reporter's job. Actively investigating, versus uncritically repeating (and thereby rewarding the vile troll).Written By: observer - Date published: 8:19 pm, April 8th, 2025
For the hundredth time, we have to wonder why parties don't seem to do the most basic homework before picking candidates. Especially a party like National who wouldn't be short of wannabe MPs. You either do full disclosure before it hits the news, or you ...Written By: observer - Date published: 2:35 pm, April 1st, 2025
The problem with all these polls is that they will change as soon as National remove their most obvious problem: Luxon. The 3 opposition parties can't simply assume that the most unpopular PM in modern history will stay and keep offering them free gifts. ...Written By: observer - Date published: 2:19 pm, March 31st, 2025
Agree (with Weka). In order of importance: The frenzy (death threats etc) is vile and the enablers should be called out. We know what they're doing (including the deputy PM, alas), the media know, and nobody should pretend there's any good faith in this ...Written By: observer - Date published: 1:43 pm, March 12th, 2025
The link to the asset sales protests is not an accurate comparison. The timeline then was: 1) Key rules out asset sales in 1st term. 2) Key proposes asset sales in 2nd term. 3) Key wins 2nd term (for various other reasons but not asset sales, where polls ...Written By: observer - Date published: 4:11 pm, March 11th, 2025
Usual caveats, it's only Roy Morgan, but still ... the same story in every poll now: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9863-nz-national-voting-intention-february-2025 Trend down for Luxon & co.Written By: observer - Date published: 1:15 pm, March 11th, 2025
Cutting the regressive GST isn't neo-liberalism. Switching tax burden from work to property isn't neo-liberalism. Which is why I mentioned them.Written By: observer - Date published: 5:35 pm, March 10th, 2025
But even an Aussie "spill" includes the nomination of candidates and revealing the actual voting numbers. History here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leadership_spill When National pick a new leader they refuse point-blank to even tell the public what the ...Written By: observer - Date published: 2:24 pm, March 10th, 2025
Canada's Liberals have a new leader, and new PM to be. And guess what? The leader was chosen by ... a party leadership election! Yes, that's how it's done in the vast majority of democracies around the world, including Right-wing parties like the UK Tories ...Written By: observer - Date published: 2:05 pm, March 10th, 2025
And an amusing aside on that poll ... it tells us 8.6% want Winston to be PM, but only 5.1% want to vote NZF. You wonder what those extra 3.5% are thinking ... vote National, get Winston as PM?Written By: observer - Date published: 1:41 pm, March 10th, 2025
Labour must sell a tax cut. There are several options (e.g. a cut in GST, reversing Key's increase, or as others have suggested, income tax at the bottom). And/or they could offer a radical indirect saving, like free dental care (see the Greens 2023). But ...Written By: observer - Date published: 1:25 pm, March 10th, 2025
I wish they'd hurry up and roll him, because Luxon can give the opposition a false sense of security. When you're facing the worst and most unpopular new PM this century (and arguably, in NZ polling history) then you're going to poll well without saying or ...Written By: observer - Date published: 6:40 pm, March 8th, 2025
Yes, Peters aligns himself with Trump (and not just on foreign policy). It's shameful. But the famous old definition of an ambassador is "somebody sent abroad to lie for his country". Goff's job was to represent a terrible government. He didn't resign on ...Written By: observer - Date published: 4:59 pm, March 8th, 2025
Goff overstepped. He was foolish. But really the only question here, once we strip away all the posturing and political theatre, is ... "Would he have been sacked if Peters/Luxon really wanted to keep him?". If he was important, to them. Of course not. A ...Written By: observer - Date published: 4:46 pm, March 8th, 2025
... them". I wouldn't. It's just observing the obvious. Seymour is a [ ...Written By: observer - Date published: 4:36 pm, March 6th, 2025
Goff probably overstepped, though that seems like a lesser crime than kissing Trump's butt. He'll have both public opinion (now) and (later) history on his side. A bigger story, which continues a familiar narrative, is that yet again the "PM in name only" ...Written By: observer - Date published: 1:30 pm, March 5th, 2025
Always remember that John Key, that sensible moderate guy with a great grasp of economics, endorsed Trump in 2024. Next time he does another jokey blokey photo-op, perhaps a reporter could ask why he wanted a global trade war. (And if his answer is "Oh, I ...Written By: observer - Date published: 6:29 pm, March 4th, 2025
It's still early at this stage, but it's pretty clear that there's some careful distancing from Seymour going on. When National replace Luxon the message to the swing voters will be "new management, not beholden to Seymour, centre-right, nice Nats, you can ...Written By: observer - Date published: 5:38 pm, March 4th, 2025
Obviously "marmite sandwich" will lead the news tonight (see 6 pm, shortly). But a bigger point is being missed. It's not what kids should have for lunch, but what Luxon promised they would have. (You could argue for a right-wing, small government approach ...Written By: observer - Date published: 1:34 pm, February 26th, 2025
There's a transcript here. The man is just weird. Stubborn, stupid. https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2025/02/26/mediawatch-luxon-train-wreck-interview-with-mike-hosking-is-so-embarrassing-it-hurts/Written By: observer - Date published: 1:33 pm, February 26th, 2025
Luxon can lose RNZ, but much worse, he has now lost Mike Hosking (see NZ Herald, Stuff etc). That's fatal for a National PM. And there's no indication at all that Luxon learns from these media failures. He doesn't change his robotic, repetitive ...Written By: observer - Date published: 10:15 pm, February 24th, 2025
And for the record, Ardern visited the Cook Islands shortly after taking office, when she was pregnant and derided by the Nats as the "part time PM". The super dynamic man-gets-things-done not-pregnant PM Luxon hasn't bothered going there yet. https://www. ...Written By: observer - Date published: 3:54 pm, February 24th, 2025
Summary of the day: Bayly: "I resign". Reporters: "What happened?" Bayly: "Not saying, that's all. Bye." Reporters to Luxon: "What happened?" Luxon: "What he said." So inept it's laughable.Written By: observer - Date published: 1:59 pm, February 24th, 2025
Bayly has just given a very brief and meaningless press conference - not even that, a couple of Qs and then walks away, after reading the same statement word-for-word that is already in the media. Another one who "doesn't get it". Talk like a robot, say ...Written By: observer - Date published: 1:24 pm, February 24th, 2025
If you tell NZ citizens who have been here for decades to "go back to [wherever]" then you stay in Luxon's cabinet. No problem, says the PM. On that scale, Bayly must have done something really bad. Or (and we can guess this is the real story) what he did ...Written By: observer - Date published: 2:23 pm, February 14th, 2025
Back when the Director-General of Health was Ashley Bloomfield and the PM was competent, a common response from the Right to the life-saving competence was ... "oh, it's not that hard, it would have happened anyway if our lot had been in power". The D-G ...Written By: observer - Date published: 2:11 pm, February 14th, 2025
The flaw in Hooton's musings is that historically NZF has only switched sides after a bust-up with the Nat/Lab governing party and a spell in opposition, or even out of Parliament completely. 1999 - below 5%, holds an electorate (Tauranga), then 6 years in ...Written By: observer - Date published: 8:05 pm, February 10th, 2025
As usual, TVNZ (1 News) bury the lede even when reporting on their own poll. Do they really have no memory of previous PMs, or the ability to Google results in their own polls? The story is right there, but they miss it, while doing meaningless vox pops ...In the 2004 film Downfall (Der Untergang), which portrays Hitler’s last days in a Berlin bunker, he says that if the German people are weak they deserve death. It is a view from philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche who argued that conflicts are won by those with the strongest will. ...
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