Luxon crashes in latest Curia poll

Written By: - Date published: 8:52 pm, March 8th, 2024 - 39 comments
Categories: act, Christopher Luxon, greens, labour, national, political parties, Politics, polls - Tags:

The Atlas aligned Taxpayer’s Union has released its latest Curia poll results.

I always have a certain sense of incredulity when reading Curia’s poll results. Like the last one which suggested that Act’s racist anti Treaty campaign had resulted in a surge of support. I really worried about this. I thought the good people of Aotearoa were better than this and I was heartened because Curia’s result was contradicted by Talbot Mills and 1News Verian poll results which suggested that Act’s support declined.

And so the latest Curia Poll result has dropped and it makes you wonder if Judith Collins had a finger on the scale. Because the results show that Christopher Luxon’s support has tanked, with voters having a positive view of him dropping by 5% points, voters having a negative view of him increasing by 11% points, and National’s support dropping by 2.2% points.

Newshub tried to present this as bad news for Labour. But Labour and the Greens swapping support while National sheds 2.2% points and Act sheds a whopping 3.7% points is not bad news for the left. A modest increase for NZ First does not compensate.

The Taxpayers Union release about the poll tends to downplay Act’s support, I wonder why, but as a proportion its support tanked way worse than any other party.

Of course it could be that the drop was a correction of a previous rogue poll result which was against the results in the other two more reputable polls.

Or this could be more evidence that Act’s racist treaty dog whistling is going down badly.

The poll clearly shows that National has not had a honeymoon. I can recall vividly in 2009 when John Key’s support surged and National appeared to be unbeatable.

Things are way different now. And Christopher Luxon’s refusing to live in Government House so that he could pocked $52,000 a year so that he could stay in an apartment that he already owned will make Kiwis think that despite the best propaganda that money can buy, National is completely indifferent to our collective interests.

Updated: lprent – fixed the link to Newshub. It wasn’t to Stuff.

39 comments on “Luxon crashes in latest Curia poll ”

  • Comments are now closed

  1. Patricia Bremner 1
    8 March 2024 at 9:33 pm

    Perhaps what is happening is far more right wing than expected, and voters are showing that.

  2. Muttonbird 2
    8 March 2024 at 9:38 pm

    Belladonna will be furious with this post. According to David Farrar, David Farrar's polling methods and results are beyond reproach!

    • observer 2.1
      8 March 2024 at 10:36 pm

      Curia would not be my favourite pollster, but it is certainly more reliable than all "non-polls" which are often cited as measures of public opinion (Facebook comments, self-selecting text polls, talkback callers, the echo chamber we live in, that bloke at the bar, etc).

      Comparisons within one poll history are useful. If there's a methodology bias it is constant, not jumping around from one month to the next. So this TU/Curia poll can be fairly judged in relation to previous ones. It is a bad poll for Luxon by any measure.

    • Belladonna 2.2
      8 March 2024 at 10:38 pm

      Not at all. I believe that Curia's results are at least as accurate as any other political poll. Not being blinded by political ideology, I take the results as they come.

      You, however, must be furious – since you've made the claim that Curia is hopelessly biased and can't be believed. Now you have a result from them that you want to be true- the mental whiplash must be agonizing.

      • Hanswurst 2.2.1
        9 March 2024 at 7:35 am

        Feeling open to voting either centre-right or centre-left doesn't actually make you any less likely to hold heavy ideological biases then anybody else, you know?

      • Powerman 2.2.2
        10 March 2024 at 11:24 am

        Could be that the poll is not to be believed as the actual facts are far worse for the right?

    • Phillip ure 2.3
      9 March 2024 at 8:05 am

      Tho' ideologically opposed to farrar..I don't see him manipulating polls…

      If only because if he were ever sprung doing it..it would seriously damage his business model…

      • Belladonna 2.3.1
        9 March 2024 at 10:26 am

        Of course. Curia's business model (like that of all of the polling companies) is predicated on getting results as close to an accurate representation of popular opinion as possible. They and their clients have zero interest in 'telling the Emperor what he wants to hear'. The clients want the real picture (obviously the clients then want to use that data to change the public perception – but that's a completely different story)

        Unfortunately, some on TS seem unable to get past their own biases to realize this.

        Will Curia always be right? Of course not. Will they sometimes produce a rogue poll result? Yes, of course they will? But they'll do it to the same extent as all other polling companies. And will be highly motivated to reduce the 'error' rate as much as possible.

        All of which is why – it's trends over months which matter, rather than individual poll results.

        I happen to think that this one (with the fall in Luxon's popularity coinciding with the news that he was claiming a living allowance for his Wellington apartment) – is highly likely to reflect the reality – the week the poll was taken. [Whereas the previous Curia result for ACT (which got Muttonbird so hot under the collar) was, IMO, an outlier result]

        What is going to be interesting is whether that drop persists – or was a temporary blip. That's where the polling trend is really interesting. In 6 months time will we see Luxon on a trend downwards (begun by this poll),;with the initial drop (from this poll) but trending upwards? or at or above January levels (with this poll a minor blip, with no long-term effect)? The left will be hoping for number 1 scenario, while the right are hoping for number 3 scenario. But we'll only know if any of them are in play after another 3 or so polls. No one can predict any of them from a single result.

        • KJT 2.3.1.1
          9 March 2024 at 7:44 pm

          Curia's "business model" is giving those that pay for their polls, the answers that want.

          • Phillip ure 2.3.1.1.1
            10 March 2024 at 9:58 am

            So..going on your reasoning..the curia clients wanted luxon to have that big drop..?

          • Belladonna 2.3.1.1.2
            10 March 2024 at 10:36 am

            What absolute rubbish. No one. No organization. No company. No political party would pay money to be told what they already 'know' to be true.

            All of them what to know the real picture – so they can then adapt their message, political strategies or marketing – to *change* that picture.

            Of course, many of the customers hold this information very tightly – they don't want the 'opposition' to know the real picture.

            One of the things which I appreciate about the Curia polls for the Taxpayers Union – is that they are publicly released. Unlike the Talbot Mills ones for "a corporate client" – which are leaked and/or drip fed – often in partial form. Now that's the 'corporate client' deliberately using this data to manipulate the electorate.

            https://archive.ph/vluk4

  3. Robert Guyton 3
    8 March 2024 at 9:40 pm

    Luxon cannot rebuild his reputation with the public.

    From here on in, it gets unpleasant, imo.

    • Chris 3.1
      9 March 2024 at 10:16 pm

      It was a blip for Luxon because of the housing matter, which will be easily forgotten. Support for National stayed relatively the same, which Luxon will be hoisted back up upon, imo, of course.

      • Robert Guyton 3.1.1
        9 March 2024 at 10:26 pm

        You wish. Luxon's losing/lost all credibility.

        "Luxon will be hoisted back up", though, is a great prediction!

        Looking forward to that spectacle.

        • Chris 3.1.1.1
          10 March 2024 at 1:05 pm

          No, it's not my wish. It's simply my view on what the effect of the housing issue will do to Luxon's popularity, which given the unfortunate views of much of the population, I think will be minimal.

      • observer 3.1.2
        10 March 2024 at 5:47 pm

        It's not simply a blip. See the link in comment #7. Very clear historical data.

  4. Incognito 4
    8 March 2024 at 9:41 pm

    Stuff tried to present this as bad news for Labour.

    The links goes to Newshub rather, not Stuff.

    [Oops my bad. Thanks for fixing Lprent – MS]

    • veutoviper 4.1
      9 March 2024 at 11:08 am

      MS – you might want to also correct your reference in the last para of the post from "Government House" to "Premier House". Government House is the official residence for the Governor General, not the PM. Cheers.

    • lprent 4.2
      9 March 2024 at 11:38 am

      🙂 Sorry I left the post locked. Was in a rush to get down to the appointment to get the newly released covid XBB vaccine after it released on Thursday.

      On average since the start of the year, we have had at least one or two people per week telling us that they have tested positive and we were in contact with them the day before a positive test. Which is pretty astonishing. I am devoutly anti-social and my partner is less so, and the people we associate with tend towards being responsible. But it indicates a pretty widespread summer infection rate in the community.

      Didn't want to get last years vaccine, because I'd have to wait 6 months to get the one with XBB factors in it. I’m a high probability for complications.

  5. SPC 5
    8 March 2024 at 9:47 pm

    NACT are 47.4% – the only good thing about that is this pollster may have them on the high side.

    But even so

    The mood of the country appears to have soured on the Government. After a couple of months in which more Kiwis felt the country was on the “right track”, the right track-wrong track indicator tipped into negatives again, with net 3 per cent of people thinking NZ was on the wrong track.

    More people disapprove of the Government than approve of it.

    A net 3.9 per cent of people disapprove of the Government, a shift of 8.4 points on last month’s poll.

    Just not enough to move people from their vote position in 2023.

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/latest-poll-christopher-luxons-popularity-crashes-after-allowance-blunder-now-trails-chris-hipkins/IFN35O3GGJGMDF7AEV73HI254U/

    • Anne 5.1
      8 March 2024 at 10:04 pm

      "Just not enough to move people from their vote position in 2023."

      Too soon. People are not ready to admit, even to themselves, they got it wrong.

      • Tiger Mountain 5.1.1
        9 March 2024 at 5:34 am

        Yes, voters remorse…the TVNZ sackings look vindictive and strategic to this long time politics follower.

        Fair Go challenges bent business practice, and Sunday actually does some investigative reporting–not what the Three Amigos would prefer–this will go beyond reckons when some OIA requests are lodged regarding timing and Melissa Lee. She did not go to ground for no reason.

        • Anne 5.1.1.1
          9 March 2024 at 9:57 am

          …. the TVNZ sackings look vindictive and strategic to this long time politics follower.

          My thoughts too. The link(s) to the CoC may not be direct but are too compelling to be set aside. It is my view that the legislative repeals are based more on spite and revenge than the claimed differences in ideals. That is the way of authoritarian (read right-wing) governance as has been seen time and again in other parts of the world.

          You and I – and some others here – go back a long way in politics. We've seen it all before and can afford to be cynical. 😉

        • Tony Veitch 5.1.1.2
          9 March 2024 at 10:49 am

          And Seven Sharp appears to have escaped untouched!

          Go figure . . .!

        • Phillip ure 5.1.1.3
          9 March 2024 at 11:05 am

          What puzzles me about axing Sunday/fair go…

          ..is that in the grand scheme of things..both programs are as cheap as chips to make…

          And why just cutting the talent/creatives..?

          In that behemoth there must be layers upon layers of middle management…

          Sitting in empires built over decades..

          (My image of tvnz is of an elephant..with the body being the beast…and a fart coming out the actual broadcasting output..

          I can't think of a more over-ruled organisation in nz..)

          So why was the lens not turned in that direction..?

          ..instead of killing the geese that lay the golden eggs for tvnz..

          It makes no sense..

          • Belladonna 5.1.1.3.1
            9 March 2024 at 5:54 pm

            TBH I do wonder if the axing of these particular shows is a cynical ploy from TVNZ – knowing that there will be a public out-cry – and therefore the possibility that additional funding will be found from somewhere (NZ on Air would be the first pick). Whereas cutting shows like Breakfast – or some of the low-audience figures (but. no doubt, worthy) shows – wouldn't attract nearly as much controversy.

            In the same way, a city librarian used to regularly offer up the mobile library service on the altar of funding cuts. Knowing that it was the worst 'performing' branch in the system, but equally knowing that the passionate supporters wouldn't let it be axed. It was then harder for the powers-that-be to institute service cuts on better-performing library services.

        • Heather 5.1.1.4
          9 March 2024 at 1:18 pm

          Exactly, cynical as we are, the cancelation of two community information public service programs are being axed because citizens might obtain information from them. It is outrageous that we are subject to Breakfasts nonsense morning after morning.

  6. Incognito 6
    8 March 2024 at 9:50 pm

    A fish rots from the head.

  7. observer 7
    8 March 2024 at 10:43 pm

    From OP:

    The poll clearly shows that National has not had a honeymoon. I can recall vividly in 2009 when John Key’s support surged and National appeared to be unbeatable. Things are way different now.

    Yes. Luxon is the first PM in MMP history not to get a post-election "honeymoon".

    Luxon's popularity low compared to other first-term PMs (1news.co.nz)

    (note: that is not government v opposition, only the PM's personal rating. But it matters).

  8. Thinker 8
    9 March 2024 at 7:18 am

    Based on the numbers, there has to be a lot of people who voted for Luxon et al because they wanted to better their lives, for whom things are going to get worse.

    People who relished the removal of Auckland's targeted road tax, taken away with one hand and put back with another – and more piled on top. Some of the 68 TVNZ people must, by probability, have voted for Luxon. Not to mention Newshub, where the same is probably true.

    Luxon denied himself a honeymoon by proving how quickly he could "get things done" (translated into "stop doing things").

    And the people left behind at TVNZ, who faced losing their colleagues at about the same time as Seymour thumbed his nose at them, aren't going to be too pleased, either. Some may make up their own opinions, based on the obvious glee displayed by TVNZ’s shareholding minister.

    Even those that don't subscribe to the theory that "the lack of evidence of a conspiracy just proves how deep it really is" could well believe that government intervention, which was sorely lacking, might have saved not only their colleagues but the fourth estate that they spend their waking hours upholding.

    I think Seymour, Shane Jones and Luxon haven't won friends with the media and they've got a lot coming up where a few tame journos at TVNZ could have helped maintain their personal profiles.

  9. Mike the Lefty 9
    9 March 2024 at 1:16 pm

    National likes to boast about what they have "achieved" in 100 days.

    What they don't boast about is how low Luxon's rating as PM is after 100 days.

    New PM's usually are high in the ratings, as befits the honeymoon period of a new government.

    But how many new PMs have scored a miserable 25% after 100 days in recent history?

    I think he's on his own there.

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    You're broken down and tiredOf living life on a merry go roundAnd you can't find the fighterBut I see it in you so we gonna walk it outAnd move mountainsWe gonna walk it outAnd move mountainsAnd I'll rise upI'll rise like the dayI'll rise upI'll rise unafraidI'll rise upAnd I'll ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Waimahara: The Singing Spirit of Water

    There’s been a change in Myers Park. Down the steps from St. Kevin’s Arcade, past the grassy slopes, the children’s playground, the benches and that goat statue, there has been a transformation. The underpass for Mayoral Drive has gone from a barren, grey, concrete tunnel, to a place that thrums ...
    Greater AucklandBy Connor Sharp
    4 days ago
  • A major milestone: Global climate pollution may have just peaked

    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections Global society may have finally slammed on the brakes for climate-warming pollution released by human fossil fuel combustion. According to the Carbon Monitor Project, the total global climate pollution released between February and May 2024 declined slightly from the amount released during the same ...
    Skeptical Science
    4 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Pick 'n' Mix for Tuesday, July 23

    TL;DR: My pick of the top six links elsewhere around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day or so to 7:00 am on Tuesday, July 23 are:Deep Dive: Penlink: where tolling rhetoric meets reality BusinessDesk-$$$’s Oliver LewisScoop: Te Pūkenga plans for regional polytechs leak out ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Journal of Record for Tuesday, July 23

    TL;DR: As of 6:00 am on Tuesday, July 23, the top six announcements, speeches, reports and research around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day are:Health: Shane Reti announced the Board of Te Whatu Ora- Health New Zealand was being replaced with Commissioner Lester Levy ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • HealthNZ and Luxon at cross purposes over budget blowout

    Health NZ warned the Government at the end of March that it was running over Budget. But the reasons it gave were very different to those offered by the Prime Minister yesterday. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon blamed the “botched merger” of the 20 District Health Boards (DHBs) to create Health ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    4 days ago
  • 2500-3000 more healthcare staff expected to be fired, as Shane Reti blames Labour for a budget defic...

    Long ReadKey Summary: Although National increased the health budget by $1.4 billion in May, they used an old funding model to project health system costs, and never bothered to update their pre-election numbers. They were told during the Health Select Committees earlier in the year their budget amount was deficient, ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    4 days ago
  • Might Kamala Harris be about to get a 'stardust' moment like Jacinda Ardern?

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    PunditBy Tim Watkin
    5 days ago
  • Solutions Interview: Steven Hail on MMT & ecological economics

    TL;DR: I’m casting around for new ideas and ways of thinking about Aotearoa’s political economy to find a few solutions to our cascading and self-reinforcing housing, poverty and climate crises.Associate Professor runs an online masters degree in the economics of sustainability at Torrens University in Australia and is organising ...
    The KakaBy Steven Hail
    5 days ago
  • Reported back

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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Vandrad the Viking, Christopher Coombes, and Literary Archaeology

    Some years ago, I bought a book at Dunedin’s Regent Booksale for $1.50. As one does. Vandrad the Viking (1898), by J. Storer Clouston, is an obscure book these days – I cannot find a proper online review – but soon it was sitting on my shelf, gathering dust alongside ...
    A Phuulish FellowBy strda221
    5 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell On The Biden Withdrawal

    History is not on the side of the centre-left, when Democratic presidents fall behind in the polls and choose not to run for re-election. On both previous occasions in the past 75 years (Harry Truman in 1952, Lyndon Johnson in 1968) the Democrats proceeded to then lose the White House ...
    WerewolfBy lyndon
    5 days ago
  • Joe Biden's withdrawal puts the spotlight back on Kamala and the USA's complicated relatio...

    This is a free articleCoverageThis morning, US President Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the Presidential race. And that is genuinely newsworthy. Thanks for your service, President Biden, and all the best to you and yours.However, the media in New Zealand, particularly the 1News nightly bulletin, has been breathlessly covering ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    5 days ago
  • Why we have to challenge our national fiscal assumptions

    A homeless person’s camp beside a blocked-off slipped damage walkway in Freeman’s Bay: we are chasing our tail on our worsening and inter-related housing, poverty and climate crises. Photo: Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The top six things I’ve noted around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Existential Crisis and Damaged Brains

    What has happened to it all?Crazy, some'd sayWhere is the life that I recognise?(Gone away)But I won't cry for yesterdayThere's an ordinary worldSomehow I have to findAnd as I try to make my wayTo the ordinary worldYesterday morning began as many others - what to write about today? I began ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • A speed limit is not a target, and yet…

    This is a guest post from longtime supporter Mr Plod, whose previous contributions include a proposal that Hamilton become New Zealand’s capital city, and that we should switch which side of the road we drive on. A recent Newsroom article, “Back to school for the Govt’s new speed limit policy“, ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    5 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Pick 'n' Mix for Monday, July 22

    TL;DR: My pick of the top six links elsewhere around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day or so to 7:00 am on Monday, July 22 are:Today’s Must Read: Father and son live in a tent, and have done for four years, in a million ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • The Kākā’s Journal of Record for Monday, July 22

    TL;DR: As of 7:00 am on Monday, July 22, the top six announcements, speeches, reports and research around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day are:US President Joe Biden announced via X this morning he would not stand for a second term.Multinational professional services firm ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #29

    A listing of 32 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, July 14, 2024 thru Sat, July 20, 2024. Story of the week As reflected by preponderance of coverage, our Story of the Week is Project 2025. Until now traveling ...
    Skeptical Science
    6 days ago
  • I'd like to share what I did this weekend

    This weekend, a friend pointed out someone who said they’d like to read my posts, but didn’t want to pay. And my first reaction was sympathy.I’ve already told folks that if they can’t comfortably subscribe, and would like to read, I’d be happy to offer free subscriptions. I don’t want ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    6 days ago
  • For the children – Why mere sentiment can be a misleading force in our lives, and lead to unex...

    National: The Party of ‘Law and Order’ IntroductionThis weekend, the Government formally kicked off one of their flagship policy programs: a military style boot camp that New Zealand has experimented with over the past 50 years. Cartoon credit: Guy BodyIt’s very popular with the National Party’s Law and Order image, ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    6 days ago
  • A friend in uncertain times

    Day one of the solo leg of my long journey home begins with my favourite sound: footfalls in an empty street. 5.00 am and it’s already light and already too warm, almost.If I can make the train that leaves Budapest later this hour I could be in Belgrade by nightfall; ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • The Chaotic World of Male Diet Influencers

    Hi,We’ll get to the horrific world of male diet influencers (AKA Beefy Boys) shortly, but first you will be glad to know that since I sent out the Webworm explaining why the assassination attempt on Donald Trump was not a false flag operation, I’ve heard from a load of people ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    6 days ago
  • It's Starting To Look A Lot Like… Y2K

    Do you remember Y2K, the threat that hung over humanity in the closing days of the twentieth century? Horror scenarios of planes falling from the sky, electronic payments failing and ATMs refusing to dispense cash. As for your VCR following instructions and recording your favourite show - forget about it.All ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Bernard’s Saturday Soliloquy for the week to July 20

    Climate Change Minister Simon Watts being questioned by The Kākā’s Bernard Hickey.TL;DR: My top six things to note around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the week to July 20 were:1. A strategy that fails Zero Carbon Act & Paris targetsThe National-ACT-NZ First Coalition Government finally unveiled ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Pharmac Director, Climate Change Commissioner, Health NZ Directors – The latest to quit this m...

    Summary:As New Zealand loses at least 12 leaders in the public service space of health, climate, and pharmaceuticals, this month alone, directly in response to the Government’s policies and budget choices, what lies ahead may be darker than it appears. Tui examines some of those departures and draws a long ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    1 week ago
  • Flooding Housing Policy

    The Minister of Housing’s ambition is to reduce markedly the ratio of house prices to household incomes. If his strategy works it would transform the housing market, dramatically changing the prospects of housing as an investment.Leaving aside the Minister’s metaphor of ‘flooding the market’ I do not see how the ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 week ago
  • A Voyage Among the Vandals: Accepted (Again!)

    As previously noted, my historical fantasy piece, set in the fifth-century Mediterranean, was accepted for a Pirate Horror anthology, only for the anthology to later fall through. But in a good bit of news, it turned out that the story could indeed be re-marketed as sword and sorcery. As of ...
    A Phuulish FellowBy strda221
    1 week ago
  • The Kākā's Chorus for Friday, July 19

    An employee of tobacco company Philip Morris International demonstrates a heated tobacco device. Photo: Getty ImagesTL;DR: The top six things I’ve noted around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy on Friday, July 19 are:At a time when the Coalition Government is cutting spending on health, infrastructure, education, housing ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • The Kākā’s Pick 'n' Mix for Friday, July 19

    TL;DR: My pick of the top six links elsewhere around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day or so to 8:30 am on Friday, July 19 are:Scoop: NZ First Minister Casey Costello orders 50% cut to excise tax on heated tobacco products. The minister has ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Weekly Roundup 19-July-2024

    Kia ora, it’s time for another Friday roundup, in which we pull together some of the links and stories that caught our eye this week. Feel free to add more in the comments! Our header image this week shows a foggy day in Auckland town, captured by Patrick Reynolds. ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    1 week ago
  • Weekly Climate Wrap: A market-led plan for failure

    TL;DR : Here’s the top six items climate news for Aotearoa this week, as selected by Bernard Hickey and The Kākā’s climate correspondent Cathrine Dyer. A discussion recorded yesterday is in the video above and the audio of that sent onto the podcast feed.The Government released its draft Emissions Reduction ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Tobacco First

    Save some money, get rich and old, bring it back to Tobacco Road.Bring that dynamite and a crane, blow it up, start all over again.Roll up. Roll up. Or tailor made, if you prefer...Whether you’re selling ciggies, digging for gold, catching dolphins in your nets, or encouraging folks to flutter ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Trump’s Adopted Son.

    Waiting In The Wings: For truly, if Trump is America’s un-assassinated Caesar, then J.D. Vance is America’s Octavian, the Republic’s youthful undertaker – and its first Emperor.DONALD TRUMP’S SELECTION of James D. Vance as his running-mate bodes ill for the American republic. A fervent supporter of Viktor Orban, the “illiberal” prime ...
    Bowalley Road
    1 week ago
  • The Kākā’s Journal of Record for Friday, July 19

    TL;DR: As of 6:00 am on Friday, July 19, the top six announcements, speeches, reports and research around housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa’s political economy in the last day are:The PSA announced the Employment Relations Authority (ERA) had ruled in the PSA’s favour in its case against the Ministry ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • The Hoon around the week to July 19

    TL;DR: The podcast above of the weekly ‘hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers last night features co-hosts and talking with:The Kākā’s climate correspondent talking about the National-ACT-NZ First Government’s release of its first Emissions Reduction Plan;University of Otago Foreign Relations Professor and special guest Dr Karin von ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #29 2024

    Open access notables Improving global temperature datasets to better account for non-uniform warming, Calvert, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society: To better account for spatial non-uniform trends in warming, a new GITD [global instrumental temperature dataset] was created that used maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to combine the land surface ...
    Skeptical Science
    1 week ago

  • Joint statement from the Prime Ministers of Canada, Australia and New Zealand

    Australia, Canada and New Zealand today issued the following statement on the need for an urgent ceasefire in Gaza and the risk of expanded conflict between Hizballah and Israel. The situation in Gaza is catastrophic. The human suffering is unacceptable. It cannot continue.  We remain unequivocal in our condemnation of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • AG reminds institutions of legal obligations

    Attorney-General Judith Collins today reminded all State and faith-based institutions of their legal obligation to preserve records relevant to the safety and wellbeing of those in its care. “The Abuse in Care Inquiry’s report has found cases where records of the most vulnerable people in State and faith‑based institutions were ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    20 hours ago
  • More young people learning about digital safety

    Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says the Government’s online safety website for children and young people has reached one million page views.  “It is great to see so many young people and their families accessing the site Keep It Real Online to learn how to stay safe online, and manage ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    20 hours ago
  • Speech to the Conference for General Practice 2024

    Tēnā tātou katoa,  Ngā mihi te rangi, ngā mihi te whenua, ngā mihi ki a koutou, kia ora mai koutou. Thank you for the opportunity to be here and the invitation to speak at this 50th anniversary conference. I acknowledge all those who have gone before us and paved the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    22 hours ago
  • Employers and payroll providers ready for tax changes

    New Zealand’s payroll providers have successfully prepared to ensure 3.5 million individuals will, from Wednesday next week, be able to keep more of what they earn each pay, says Finance Minister Nicola Willis and Revenue Minister Simon Watts.  “The Government's tax policy changes are legally effective from Wednesday. Delivering this tax ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Experimental vineyard futureproofs wine industry

    An experimental vineyard which will help futureproof the wine sector has been opened in Blenheim by Associate Regional Development Minister Mark Patterson. The covered vineyard, based at the New Zealand Wine Centre – Te Pokapū Wāina o Aotearoa, enables controlled environmental conditions. “The research that will be produced at the Experimental ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Funding confirmed for regions affected by North Island Weather Events

    The Coalition Government has confirmed the indicative regional breakdown of North Island Weather Event (NIWE) funding for state highway recovery projects funded through Budget 2024, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Regions in the North Island suffered extensive and devastating damage from Cyclone Gabrielle and the 2023 Auckland Anniversary Floods, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Indonesian Foreign Minister to visit

    Indonesia’s Foreign Minister, Retno Marsudi, will visit New Zealand next week, Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced.   “Indonesia is important to New Zealand’s security and economic interests and is our closest South East Asian neighbour,” says Mr Peters, who is currently in Laos to engage with South East Asian partners. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Strengthening partnership with Ngāti Maniapoto

    He aha te kai a te rangatira? He kōrero, he kōrero, he kōrero. The government has reaffirmed its commitment to supporting the aspirations of Ngāti Maniapoto, Minister for Māori Development Tama Potaka says. “My thanks to Te Nehenehenui Trust – Ngāti Maniapoto for bringing their important kōrero to a ministerial ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Transport Minister thanks outgoing CAA Chair

    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has thanked outgoing Chair of the Civil Aviation Authority, Janice Fredric, for her service to the board.“I have received Ms Fredric’s resignation from the role of Chair of the Civil Aviation Authority,” Mr Brown says.“On behalf of the Government, I want to thank Ms Fredric for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Test for Customary Marine Title being restored

    The Government is proposing legislation to overturn a Court of Appeal decision and amend the Marine and Coastal Area Act in order to restore Parliament’s test for Customary Marine Title, Treaty Negotiations Minister Paul Goldsmith says.  “Section 58 required an applicant group to prove they have exclusively used and occupied ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Opposition united in bad faith over ECE sector review

    Regulation Minister David Seymour says that opposition parties have united in bad faith, opposing what they claim are ‘dangerous changes’ to the Early Childhood Education sector, despite no changes even being proposed yet.  “Issues with affordability and availability of early childhood education, and the complexity of its regulation, has led ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Kiwis having their say on first regulatory review

    After receiving more than 740 submissions in the first 20 days, Regulation Minister David Seymour is asking the Ministry for Regulation to extend engagement on the early childhood education regulation review by an extra two weeks.  “The level of interest has been very high, and from the conversations I’ve been ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government upgrading Lower North Island commuter rail

    The Coalition Government is investing $802.9 million into the Wairarapa and Manawatū rail lines as part of a funding agreement with the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA), KiwiRail, and the Greater Wellington and Horizons Regional Councils to deliver more reliable services for commuters in the lower North Island, Transport Minister Simeon ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government moves to ensure flood protection for Wairoa

    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced his intention to appoint a Crown Manager to both Hawke’s Bay Regional and Wairoa District Councils to speed up the delivery of flood protection work in Wairoa."Recent severe weather events in Wairoa this year, combined with damage from Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023 have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • PM speech to Parliament – Royal Commission of Inquiry’s Report into Abuse in Care

    Mr Speaker, this is a day that many New Zealanders who were abused in State care never thought would come. It’s the day that this Parliament accepts, with deep sorrow and regret, the Report of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in Care.  At the heart of this report are the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government acknowledges torture at Lake Alice

    For the first time, the Government is formally acknowledging some children and young people at Lake Alice Psychiatric Hospital experienced torture. The final report of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in State and Faith-based Care “Whanaketia – through pain and trauma, from darkness to light,” was tabled in Parliament ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government acknowledges courageous abuse survivors

    The Government has acknowledged the nearly 2,400 courageous survivors who shared their experiences during the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Historical Abuse in State and Faith-Based Care. The final report from the largest and most complex public inquiry ever held in New Zealand, the Royal Commission Inquiry “Whanaketia – through ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Half a million people use tax calculator

    With a week to go before hard-working New Zealanders see personal income tax relief for the first time in fourteen years, 513,000 people have used the Budget tax calculator to see how much they will benefit, says Finance Minister Nicola Willis.  “Tax relief is long overdue. From next Wednesday, personal income ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Paid Parental Leave improvements pass first reading

    Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Brooke van Velden says a bill that has passed its first reading will improve parental leave settings and give non-biological parents more flexibility as primary carer for their child. The Regulatory Systems Amendment Bill (No3), passed its first reading this morning. “It includes a change ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Rebuilding the economy through better regulation

    Two Bills designed to improve regulation and make it easier to do business have passed their first reading in Parliament, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. The Regulatory Systems (Economic Development) Amendment Bill and Regulatory Systems (Immigration and Workforce) Amendment Bill make key changes to legislation administered by the Ministry ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • ‘Open banking’ and ‘open electricity’ on the way

    New legislation paves the way for greater competition in sectors such as banking and electricity, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly says. “Competitive markets boost productivity, create employment opportunities and lift living standards. To support competition, we need good quality regulation but, unfortunately, a recent OECD report ranked New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Charity lotteries to be permitted to operate online

    Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says lotteries for charitable purposes, such as those run by the Heart Foundation, Coastguard NZ, and local hospices, will soon be allowed to operate online permanently. “Under current laws, these fundraising lotteries are only allowed to operate online until October 2024, after which ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Accelerating Northland Expressway

    The Coalition Government is accelerating work on the new four-lane expressway between Auckland and Whangārei as part of its Roads of National Significance programme, with an accelerated delivery model to deliver this project faster and more efficiently, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “For too long, the lack of resilient transport connections ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Sir Don to travel to Viet Nam as special envoy

    Sir Don McKinnon will travel to Viet Nam this week as a Special Envoy of the Government, Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced.    “It is important that the Government give due recognition to the significant contributions that General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong made to New Zealand-Viet Nam relations,” Mr ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Grant Illingworth KC appointed as transitional Commissioner to Royal Commission

    Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says newly appointed Commissioner, Grant Illingworth KC, will help deliver the report for the first phase of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into COVID-19 Lessons, due on 28 November 2024.  “I am pleased to announce that Mr Illingworth will commence his appointment as ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ to advance relationships with ASEAN partners

    Foreign Minister Winston Peters travels to Laos this week to participate in a series of Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)-led Ministerial meetings in Vientiane.    “ASEAN plays an important role in supporting a peaceful, stable and prosperous Indo-Pacific,” Mr Peters says.   “This will be our third visit to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Backing mental health services on the West Coast

    Construction of a new mental health facility at Te Nikau Grey Hospital in Greymouth is today one step closer, Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey says. “This $27 million facility shows this Government is delivering on its promise to boost mental health care and improve front line services,” Mr Doocey says. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ support for sustainable Pacific fisheries

    New Zealand is committing nearly $50 million to a package supporting sustainable Pacific fisheries development over the next four years, Foreign Minister Winston Peters and Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones announced today. “This support consisting of a range of initiatives demonstrates New Zealand’s commitment to assisting our Pacific partners ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Students’ needs at centre of new charter school adjustments

    Associate Education Minister David Seymour says proposed changes to the Education and Training Amendment Bill will ensure charter schools have more flexibility to negotiate employment agreements and are equipped with the right teaching resources. “Cabinet has agreed to progress an amendment which means unions will not be able to initiate ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Commissioner replaces Health NZ Board

    In response to serious concerns around oversight, overspend and a significant deterioration in financial outlook, the Board of Health New Zealand will be replaced with a Commissioner, Health Minister Dr Shane Reti announced today.  “The previous government’s botched health reforms have created significant financial challenges at Health NZ that, without ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Minister to speak at Australian Space Forum

    Minister for Space and Science, Innovation and Technology Judith Collins will travel to Adelaide tomorrow for space and science engagements, including speaking at the Australian Space Forum.  While there she will also have meetings and visits with a focus on space, biotechnology and innovation.  “New Zealand has a thriving space ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Climate Change Minister to attend climate action meeting in China

    Climate Change Minister Simon Watts will travel to China on Saturday to attend the Ministerial on Climate Action meeting held in Wuhan.  “Attending the Ministerial on Climate Action is an opportunity to advocate for New Zealand climate priorities and engage with our key partners on climate action,” Mr Watts says. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Oceans and Fisheries Minister to Solomons

    Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is travelling to the Solomon Islands tomorrow for meetings with his counterparts from around the Pacific supporting collective management of the region’s fisheries. The 23rd Pacific Islands Forum Fisheries Committee and the 5th Regional Fisheries Ministers’ Meeting in Honiara from 23 to 26 July ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Government launches Military Style Academy Pilot

    The Government today launched the Military Style Academy Pilot at Te Au rere a te Tonga Youth Justice residence in Palmerston North, an important part of the Government’s plan to crackdown on youth crime and getting youth offenders back on track, Minister for Children, Karen Chhour said today. “On the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Nine priority bridge replacements to get underway

    The Government has welcomed news the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) has begun work to replace nine priority bridges across the country to ensure our state highway network remains resilient, reliable, and efficient for road users, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“Increasing productivity and economic growth is a key priority for the ...
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    1 week ago
  • Update on global IT outage

    Acting Prime Minister David Seymour has been in contact throughout the evening with senior officials who have coordinated a whole of government response to the global IT outage and can provide an update. The Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet has designated the National Emergency Management Agency as the ...
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    1 week ago
  • New Zealand, Japan renew Pacific partnership

    New Zealand and Japan will continue to step up their shared engagement with the Pacific, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.    “New Zealand and Japan have a strong, shared interest in a free, open and stable Pacific Islands region,” Mr Peters says.    “We are pleased to be finding more ways ...
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    1 week ago
  • New infrastructure energises BOP forestry towns

    New developments in the heart of North Island forestry country will reinvigorate their communities and boost economic development, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones visited Kaingaroa and Kawerau in Bay of Plenty today to open a landmark community centre in the former and a new connecting road in ...
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    1 week ago
  • 'Pacific Futures'

    President Adeang, fellow Ministers, honourable Diet Member Horii, Ambassadors, distinguished guests.    Minasama, konnichiwa, and good afternoon, everyone.    Distinguished guests, it’s a pleasure to be here with you today to talk about New Zealand’s foreign policy reset, the reasons for it, the values that underpin it, and how it ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago

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