Colmar Brunton poll: Labour still way ahead

Written By: - Date published: 6:04 pm, September 22nd, 2020 - 90 comments
Categories: act, election 2020, greens, labour, national, new conservatives, nz first, polls, uncategorized - Tags:

Latest Colmar Brunton results are out and it is grim reading for National.  The results:

Labour – 48

National – 31

Act – 7

Greens – 6

NZ First – 2

New Conservatives – 2

90 comments on “Colmar Brunton poll: Labour still way ahead ”

  1. Ed 1

    The Greens at 6 is good news.

    Wonder whether National stops the Epsom deal…

  2. satty 2

    A Labour / Green government would be great 🙂

  3. observer 4

    Since Judith took over from Todd Muller, have there been any polls putting National above 35? Which, you might recall, is the resignation number … according to Judith Collins.

    Under Muller they were 38 – same Colmar Brunton poll.

    • Dennis Frank 4.1

      If you add the 7% of Nats (rats) who have jumped the sinking ship onto the ACT life-raft to National's 31% you get 38. So Judith could claim parity with Todd with a bit of a stretch.

      I'm intrigued by the continuing rise of ACT. I'm not aware of anyone providing an explanation in the media for this strategic initiative by rightists. It's as if they decided way back that they had to create a support partner for National, and their collaboration in achieving this is on track. The fact that they are damaging National isn't penetrating. Or maybe their betrayal is deliberate!

      • CoreyHumm 4.1.1

        Acts rise is due to both the collapse of national and partly nzf and also the culture wars, acts faux defenders of gun owners and faux guardians of free speech , especially the latter appeal to as many people as the greens and their woke pc ideology.

        Theres a lot of people who are voting act despite being poor and some even on welfare simply because they think Seymour is a good funny bloke who will stand up to the “snow flakes” and theres a lot of people who are terrified of having woke green MPs deciding what is and what isn’t hate speech because in a lot of people’s minds the geeens seem to find everything offensive.

  4. Pat 5

    not even a glimmer for NZFirst

  5. Chris T 6

    Seymour must be blowing his load over it

  6. Leighton 7

    The shocking run of rogue polls (which have coincided with JC taking over as leader) continues.

    On these results there will be an 8% wasted vote so 46% will be the threshold to govern alone. I dont think Labour have been below 46% since pre-Covid.

  7. ScottGN 8

    7% wasted vote. That must be worth another seat for Labour on its own plus there will be the overseas specials which usually deliver Labour and the Greens an extra seat.

    • McFlock 8.1

      Interesting – and possibly worrying – that the main parties dropped 6% total and the smaller parties only rose 3%.

      Even with rounding, that means the fringe parties rose a few percent – and most of the fringe parties this year are a bit of a worry. Less McGillicuddy Serious, more altright and tinfoil hats.

  8. ScottGN 9

    I stuck it all into the Sainte-Laguë calculator and got the following seat count:

    ACT 9

    Labour 63

    Greens 8

    National 40

    Of course it all changes if any of the minors wins a seat.

  9. observer 10

    The numbers are bad but Collins not fronting is almost worse. Opposition leaders never do that, even when the polls are dire.

    Like everything else predicted by the cheerleaders, it turns out Collins' toughness is vastly over-rated (see also: will crush Ardern in Parliament, will shore up Nat base at ACT's expense, etc).

    She has been found out.

  10. Climaction 11

    2 points right for each of the parties and this election is wide open. Labour need to offer us more than promises. they need to offer the electorate responsibility for what they promise in order for us to believe and vote for them.

  11. McFlock 12

    lol

    Stuff framing:

    Election campaign live: Labour drops 5 points in latest poll as Judith Collins and Jacinda Ardern head into first TV debate

    gotta keep the horse race looking competitive, I guess

    • ha ha…excellent McFlock……I remember the days, not so long ago, when Labour would dream of getting anywhere near 40.

      That 6% for the Greens is solid. They will be back.

      • Phil 12.1.1

        That 6% for the Greens is solid. They will be back.

        Given the longstanding issue of Green overperformance in polls relative to election results, 6% is not solid for them at all. It's a seat-of-the-pants / nailbiting level of support for getting them back into parliament.

        • Bearded Git 12.1.1.1

          Phil-I was thinking in the context of this being a good result, and still improving, after the media attacks of the relatively minor issue of the Green school.

          Labour's timid policies help push quite a few votes to the Greens.

  12. ScottGN 13

    Possible seat changes?

    All Labour gains from National except Takanini which is a new seat.

    Auckland Central

    Hutt South

    East Coast

    Nelson

    Wairarapa

    Whanganui

    Takanini

    Maungakiekie

    Tukituki

    • Cinny 13.1

      Possible seat changes? Nelson

      Yes please and thank you yes

      • Michael 13.1.1

        Hutt South would be a great win too. An end to the Member for Big Tobacco's pretensions, even if he scrapes back on on their List. How many of their List do make it back in this scenario?

  13. Dennis Frank 14

    That bunch of extreme leftists predicting onsite here that funding for the Green School would sink the Greens seem to have been proven wrong.

    Even if one or two percent of poll respondents answered in accord with that outrage by switching or abstaining, a similar number who have voted Green in the past while returning to support Jacinda may have made a strategic move back to the Greens to keep them in parliament, thus cancelling the effect of the outrage.

  14. Anne 15

    I'm getting a little frustrated with Jacinda tonight. She's letting Judith get away with chopping her off from completing answers to questions. Judith is bullying her and she's not responding fast enough or not at all.

    Note: Judith is trying to demean her by calling her “Miss Ardern”.

    • mickysavage 15.1

      It is fine and I am sure is a tactic. Judith started off disciplined but she is looking more and more ragged.

      • Dennis Frank 15.1.1

        Ragged & a tad feral. But I agree with Anne – except that is actually the role of the moderator & John is perhaps too tolerant of Judith's over-talking tactic.

        Doubt it will win much public support since it has been a large contributor to turning people off politics in the past! So could backfire on Judith…

    • smokeskreen1309 15.2

      It's a form of "filibusting" – the oldest trick in the book when trying to deliberately delay or obstruct. The moderator should be controlling this behaviour.

      [Could you please stick with one user name and associated e-mail address? That would save Moderators time, thanks – Incognito]

    • Kat 15.3

      Don't worry Anne, Collins is digging herself into a large hole. "I don't care about healthy homes"……..best for Jacinda to let Collins just carry on and sweat her fresh cake of her face tonight.

      • Anne 15.3.1

        Sorry Kat but I agree with the two "experts" – a political scientist from Auckland Uni (I think) and Jessica Mutch McKay.

        Jacinda was too academic with her responses. She came across as on the defensive when she should have been playing Judith at her own game.

        I'm a big JA supporter, but Judith Collins won the debate tonight. The fact she was lying and twisting like a snake in the grass is irrelevant on these occasions. She knew she had won too. It was all there on her face.

        • Kat 15.3.1.1

          Ok Anne, agree that Collins tossed a handbag more barbs/grenades than Jacinda, but she didn't throw them far enough. And since when is Jessica Mutch McKay’s eyebrow raising blinking breathlessly delivered opinion of any real worth.

          • Anne 15.3.1.1.1

            I was more interested in the comments from the political scientist whose name escapes me.

            • Kat 15.3.1.1.1.1

              Political science commentary in this context is more about blood sport analogy and who landed the "big hits" rather than anything that’s meaningful. Jacinda did well to just let Collins be a show off spinning her wheels, on cue, for the blue team.

              • PaddyOT

                I have to agree on that "blood sport " analogy Kat.

                In Luke Malpass' opinion piece tonight on the " leaders" he uses the same tactic. Analysis is not about dire issues, more about admiring number of punches as the measure of winner qualities.

                Malpass relabels Judith's rude, obnoxious, tyrannical behaviour as strengths.
                Judith's unstable passive-aggressive style, Malpass whitewashes as the admired style.
                It's kind of a sick indictment on New Zealanders if this Trumpism is still today's winning leadership strengths.

                Subversive demeaning of Arden; she of course was only there to avoid becoming an internet meme.

                "Jacinda Ardern lost the first leaders’ debate, but Judith Collins didn’t win it.

                Ardern, for her part, a now hardened political professional, seemed determined to avoid creating a viral Internet meme out of the night. If that were the intent, she achieved it….
                Collins came out with nothing to lose: swinging, heckling, interrupting and taking the fight to the Labour leader…….
                Collins proved her worth to National tonight : it is unlikely she lost any votes.
                Collins could barely disguise her contempt for the Labour leader: scoffing, rolling her eyes, going after the PM ….
                The tactic from Collins seems to try to get under Ardern’s skin, while Ardern seemed to be trying to be relentlessly optimistic and nice – presumably to draw a contrast between the two. "

                http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/122852273/leaders-election-debate-verdict-jacinda-ardern-lost-but-judith-collins-didnt-win-it?cid=app-android

                From another professional perspective and in another room, Judith could well fit the description of Nurse Ratched.

                https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nurse_Ratched

        • Liberty4NZ 15.3.1.2

          Have to disagree Anne, Jacinda is smart – she let Judith be Judith, nuff said.

    • mauī 15.4

      There's one leader on the stage and someone else doing their best Jack Nicholson impression.

  15. Adrian 16

    She now doesn’t care about water quality. Its a Painfully slow car crash for Collins.

    • Patricia 2 16.1

      Miss Collins doesn't care about water quality or healthy houses. Wants to pull down all the old HNZ houses. No CGT for her – especially on her second house currently in a trust. Great that people on low incomes of $60K plus annually will reap the benefits of the Nat Tax plans and they'll spend up large too. Tough about those on low incomes but National was the first government to raise the benefits in 43 years. No mention that in 1991 National was the first government ever to reduce benefits (by around 25%). Tech is the new saviour – that's where National will put all their hope and energy. And get rid of the RMA – then everyone will be housed. And so on and so forth.

      I hope the next moderator keeps better control.

  16. Adrian 17

    Most people can very quickly tell the difference between a genuine smile and a forced one where the smiler is desperately trying to cover the fact that they have kacked their daks as we used to say. Judith or Parliamentary Services, looks like she has a big dry cleaning bill on the way.

  17. observer 18

    Is this the debate thread?

    We all lost, if we want debate that informs voters, checks facts, and does more than just repeat talking points and then go to an ad break.

    Campbell constantly telling the politicians how fine they are really does my head in. He can't help himself. Just ask the questions, ref when you need to, but otherwise get out of the way.

    Nobody did zingers or gaffes, so if you're nailed on for either team nothing has changed. Undecideds probably reached for the remote.

    • Incognito 18.1

      How was the worm? Wriggly?

      • observer 18.1.1

        No worm, thank goodness.

        A propos … a true story: in 2005 the worm was used in a debate including Tariana Turia. Somebody (forget who) did a TV piece afterwards which showed that when Turia was introduced, the worm went sharply down before she started speaking. It was the perfect commentary on prejudice.

    • Kat 18.2

      Its obvious now that Hosking is a better TV entertainment political sparing MC than Campbell. They both have their strengths and as blue as Hosking may be he gets to the core of the question more succinctly. Ok that may not be exhibiting nuance and subtlety but for these modern 30 second sound byte TV adverting sponsor driven political exchanges, Hosking’s style is more palatable. Phew! did I just say that.

      • froggleblocks 18.2.1

        I was very impressed with Hosking as debate moderator in the past.

        Perhaps "incredibly shocked" is more the root of it.

  18. RedBaronCV 19

    It was in the closing statement that Jacinda seemed at her best. But I still thought she could have hit it a bit harder. Something along the lines of

    "We had a plan for covid modified it as necessary from experience and it worked.

    We have a plan for NZ looking ahead we want to do our best for everyone, we will modify as necessary and we know that the loudest and richest voices are not the only ones to be listened to. It will work"

    Apart from that – there is more to NZ than Auckland – and the TV needs to understand this. We don't have an audience because of the alert levels goes John Campbell. Well could the debate have been shifted to say Christchurch? I assume it was in Auckland.

  19. ScottGN 20

    I agree with observer. The whole thing was a waste. Labour and Ardern will just be pleased to have gotten it out of the way.

  20. ianmac 21

    We all lost, if we want debate that informs voters, checks facts, -Observer

    Yes. A pity because no issues were debated. Jacinda didn't bother to counter Judith's snarls. Good on her. Campbell has to compere better.

    I think it might have been a help to Judith as she often finished a sentence she started and even put a point of view at times. surprise!

    • Anne 21.1

      I agree ianmac. It was also a premeditated tactic by Collins to never let Jacinda complete her answers and to roll her eyes every time she spoke. Campbell should not have allowed her to get away with that. He also let Judith get away with calling her "Miss Ardern" which was designed to be insulting.

      He was a terrible compere.

      • Patricia 2 21.1.1

        John Campbell reminds me of Uriah Heep ; great at wringing his hands and wanting to be everybody's friend.

        • Kat 21.1.1.1

          "simply marvelous…………."

        • Duncan 21.1.1.2

          Used to see him down at the Herne Bay Fish Mart, doing his creepy do you know me type voice, trying to get an extra piece of fish I guess.

          Then there was Ralston, buying his Lotto ticket every week, trying to become someone.

          It's not until you meet these people you realise how sad they are.

  21. Dennis Frank 22

    They both claimed to have a plan but neither was able to answer the what is it question John asked. Both obfuscated. It was obvious that both meant ‘more business as usual' while being too dishonest to say so.

    Collins responded to the question about dirty dairying by saying `I'll tell you what's dirty: the rivers." Glee was evident. It was as if she genuinely believed she was scoring a point!

    For the leader of the opposition to publicly disclose that they still haven't been able to comprehend the effect of dairy run-off (polluting rivers) is truly astonishing! Ardern had no such abysmal fail moments.

    • Hunter Thompson II 22.1

      Collins may believe she scored a few petty verbal triumphs over Jacinda Ardern in the so-called "debate", but that won't mean a thing when people stand in the voting booth on election day with that felt tip pen in their hands.

      We want a leader who thinks of all NZers, not just the 1%.

      It would be great to have a higher standard of post-debate analysis, too. Jessica Mutch-McKay seems to think that by interrrupting and finger pointing Collins got an advantage.

      Spare me.

    • Peter 22.2

      A bit like Coolins etc. rubbishing the Greens call in the past few days about the bottom trawling in the Hauraki gulf. Collins on TV chuckling it off as not important, Brownlee not knowing the Manukau Harbour, Collins telling him at the end of Maori language week MAN A COW.

      It was a testimony to arrogance ignorance and amoral bankrupt arsehole leadership.

      https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/greens-announce-election-pledge-ban-bottom-trawling-dredging-in-hauraki-gulf

  22. Barfly 23

    Has Collins gotten hair extensions?

  23. Anne 24

    She's certainly well botoxed.angry

  24. Brian Tregaskin 25

    Jessica Mutch-McKay –Jess is a very smart operator –watch her closing sentence after each Colmar Brunton poll wrap up.

    Tonight "BUT…..there is three weeks to go"

    Previous poll "BUT….a week is a long time in politics"

    when she says the word BUT she is being mischievous.

  25. Kiwijoker 26

    What’s going on at breakfast on one?They’re all frothing at the mouth over Mrs Collins and denigrating the PM by stating she was “defending “ her performance in the debate.
    Incidently I felt Jacinda, towards the end of the debate, started to control the narrative.

  26. Foreign waka 27

    I might be out of favour with my comment, but being a democracy I will risk it.

    Firstly, the debate was very boring. No substance. Occasionally a flicker of "where do I draw the line in the sand" by Judith Collins but unfortunately only platitudes by Jacinda Ardern.

    Disappointing to say the least and the country deserves better. The economic times ahead will be more than tough and this calls for a bit more than slogans.

    If I hear one more time shovel ready projects I start to cry.

    Capital gains tax (yeah right, almost all parliamentarians have more than 1 property), addressing of hiding funds in trusts, opinion on UBI, ethical stance on the right to die bill, taxation of companies who incidentally have taken now the profits financed via handouts. Socialised loss to keep them quiet in the corner?

    Inflation: not a mention!

    Loss of Jobs: Only Judith mentioned anything

    I don't want to write an essay but the debate did not convince me to vote for labour.

    Undecided at the moment.

  27. JeffB 28

    I’d like to see the Māori party back and part of a coalition where Labour could pass legislation with either Greens or Māori.

  28. Weasel 29

    Steve Braunias had the best analysis in The Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/22/first-tv-debate-jacinda-ardern-judith-collins-avoids-being-horror-show

    His accurate zinger on Jacinda was that she "was as tranquil as a lake and just as flat."

    Jacinda's determination to be "relentlessly positive" meant she allowed Collins to get away with things like saying abolishing the RMA will be the thing that helps people out of poverty.

    The tactic of safety first and no mistakes will most likely win, and I know this is not a game, but plenty of soccer teams have sat back on a 2-0, or 3-0 lead only to allow the opposition back into the match or even lose.

    She looks like she has had to deal with crisis after crisis and in need of a decent holiday but she does need to summon up some animation for the next few weeks and then hopefully take a nice, long break.

  29. Steve 30

    The sooner the Greens drop support below 5% the better as they are unneeded in Parliament as all they are is Glorified Protesters and draconian policies.
    Take the money from the fake Climate Change Fund which is just a tax for the needy to feed the greedy. All that money going to UN. Why cant this money be used for useful purposes due to Covid Crisis.
    Climate not changing its just a way to tax people. Fools believe it. CO2 at low levels and its beneficial for growing plants. As people who have hot houses. Here is a link to think about. https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of-antarctic-ice-sheet-greater-than-losses

    • Robert Guyton 30.1

      Steve! You're the Man! We thrill to your view! Will you lead our new party – the Party of the People with Common Sense!!???

      Praise the Lord for delivering Steve to us in our hour of need!!!

  30. ken 31

    Nah, nah nah, nah nah nah nah.

    Nah nah nah nah………

    Not Jude!

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    4 days ago
  • Luxon is one of three prime ministers pressing for a ceasefire in Gaza – but the two-state solutio...
    Buzz from the Beehive Two days after hundreds of people rallied outside the New Zealand parliament and the US embassy in Wellington to protest against what they maintain is genocide in Gaza,  Prime Minister Chris Luxon joined with the Prime Ministers of Australia and Canada to express their  concerns that ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • All jellied up with possum grease
    1. Shane Jones, addressing the energy industry, called climate concern what?a. The only sane responseb. Undeniably valid c. Our last best hope d. A "religion" 2. Shane Jones’ demeanour in mocking and deriding climate activists can be observed in what other realm of human behaviour?a. Gleeful little boys pulling wings off fliesb. Gleeful ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago
  • Equality comes to Greece
    The Greek Parliament has voted for marriage equality: Greece has become the first Christian Orthodox-majority country to legalise same-sex marriage. Same-sex couples will now also be legally allowed to adopt children after Thursday's 176-76 vote in parliament. Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said the new law would "boldly abolish a ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • CHRIS TROTTER:  Iron in her soul.
      “Battle not with monsters, lest ye become a monster, and if you gaze into the abyss, the abyss gazes also into you.” – Friedrich Nietzsche   Chris Trotter writes – TELEVISION NEW ZEALAND is to be congratulated for inviting Chloe Swarbrick onto its Q+A current affairs show. The Green MP ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • The Hoon around the week to Feb 16
    Net emigration of New Zealanders overseas hit a record-high 47,000 in the 2023 year, which only partly offset net immigration of 173,000, which was dominated by arrivals from India, the Philippines and China with temporary work visas. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The five things that mattered in Aotearoa’s ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Stop Whispering.
    There's nothing to sayAnd there's nothing to doStop whispering, start shoutingStop whispering, start shoutingYesterday our government surprised a few of us by standing up for something. It wasn’t for the benefit of people who own holiday homes and multiple investment properties. Neither were there any tobacco companies or fishing cartels ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • “I'm Not Keen on Whataboutism, But What About…”
    Hi,Not sure how your week is going, but I’ve had a pretty frustrating one. I’ve been trying to put my finger on it, and I think it’s perhaps distilled in this message I got on Twitter:What got me a bit riled up is that it was a response to the ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    4 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on National passing bad policies under urgency
    If National really had faith in its welfare policies, it wouldn’t be ramming them through Parliament under urgency – a step that means the policies can’t be exposed to select committee debate, public submissions, expert commentary, media scrutiny and all the normal democratic processes that this coalition appears to hold ...
    4 days ago
  • Weekly Roundup 16-February-2024
    It’s Friday so once again here”s our roundup of some of the articles that caught our attention this week. This Week in Greater Auckland On Monday Matt looked at the Government’s war on Auckland. On Tuesday Matt covered the ongoing issues with the rail network. On Thursday Matt ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    4 days ago
  • The Dawn Chorus for Friday, February 16
    The six things to note in my view at 6.30 am on Friday, February 16 in Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy are: Read more ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Iron In Her Soul.
    “Battle not with monsters, lest ye become a monster, and if you gaze into the abyss, the abyss gazes also into you.” – Friedrich NietzscheTELEVISION NEW ZEALAND is to be congratulated for inviting Chloe Swarbrick onto its Q+A current affairs show. The Green MP for Auckland Central is the odds-on ...
    4 days ago
  • Dig this
    Resources Minister Shane Jones yesterday told a breakfast hosted by Energy Resources Aotearoa precisely what they wanted to hear. “We campaigned to rehabilitate relegitimise and stand up for working families who derive their income,  derive their hope and derive purpose in regional New Zealand through a flourishing, growing, forward-leaning energy ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #7 2024
    Open access notables Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course, van Westen et al., Science Advances: Here, we show results of the first tipping event in the Community Earth System Model, including the large climate impacts of the collapse. Using these results, we develop a physics-based and ...
    5 days ago
  • A rejection of the rule of law
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Shrugging-Off The Atlas Network.
    Upholding The Status-Quo: The Left’s election defeat is not the work of the Atlas Network. It is not even the work of David Seymour and Act. It is the work of ordinary citizens who liked the Right’s stories better than they liked the Left’s. If the Right’s stories were made ...
    5 days ago
  • BARRIE SAUNDERS: Treaty Principles – all rather problematic
    Barrie Saunders writes – When ACT’s leader said they wanted legislation to state what the Treaty principles mean, my first thought was this will be controversial and divisive.  Clearly it is. The first reference to the principles of the Treaty were contained in the 1975 Act establishing the Treaty of ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • Luxon Rejects The “Rejection Election” At His Peril.
    Fitting Right In: National retailed a reactionary manifesto of right-wing, racially-charged policies to the electorate throughout 2023. No talk back then of ignoring the overwhelming political preferences of the voting public and making a strong stand on principle. If Luxon’s pollsters and focus-groups were telling him that the public was ...
    5 days ago
  • Valentine’s Day went unnoticed on the Beehive website – but it is not “baa, humbug” to celeb...
    Buzz from the Beehive None of our ministers – a quick check with the Beehive website suggests – found cause to mention, let along celebrate, Valentine’s Day. But two ministers – Agriculture Minister Todd McClay and Rural Communities Minister Mark Patterson – ensured that National Lamb Day did not pass ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    5 days ago
  • Are You A Leftist?
    Nothing To Lose But Our Chains: The emancipatory movement which the Left, understood correctly, has always been, cannot accommodate those who are only able to celebrate one group’s freedom by taking it from another. The expectation, always, among leftists, is that liberty enlarges us. That striking-off a person’s shackles not ...
    5 days ago
  • An unlawful directive
    An interesting question in the Parliamentary written questions feed today, from Jan Tinetti to the Minister of Education: Has she or her Office directed the Ministry of Education to not release Official Information Act material prior to the full twenty working days, if so, why? Given that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • I’ve been doing this all wrong
    Here are six words that are not easy to say but god it can feel good when you finally say them:I’ve been doing this all wrongFive years ago today I said to myself:What if I'm doing this all wrong?Five years ago today I said to Karren: I think I’m going to ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • New study suggests the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”
    This is a re-post from RealClimate by Stefan Rahmstorf A new paper was published in Science Advances today. Its title says what it is about: “Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course.” The study follows one by Danish colleagues which made headlines last July, likewise looking for early warning signals ...
    5 days ago
  • Valentines from ACT.
    Some of us make a big deal out of Valentine’s Day. We’ll buy the flowers, eye watering though the price spike might be. Say the things we should be saying anyway, although diminished by being scheduled for delivery. Some of us will even write long free-form newsletters with declarations of ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • Tax cuts paid for by 13k more kids in poverty
    MSD advised the government that the indexation change it passed under urgency last night is likely to put around 7,000 extra children (and potentially up to 13,000) into poverty. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The Government has reverted indexation for main beneficiaries to price inflation from wage inflation under ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Fuel Tax Fight and Rail Fail update
    The two stories we covered at the start of the week continue to be in the headlines so it’s worth looking at the latest for each of them. Regional Fuel Tax Mayor Wayne Brown promised some ‘argy-bargy’ over the government’s decision to cancel the Regional Fuel Tax and he’s ...
    5 days ago
  • Climate Change: Arsonists
    Today, a major fire broke out on the Port Hills in Ōtutahi. Like its 2017 predecessors, it is almost certainly exacerbated by climate change. And it is still burning. The present government did not start the fire. But they piled the tinder high last time they were in power, gutting ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • I don’t know!
    http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73411 7 examples And who actually makes the decisions? Vladimir Putin: I don’t know. America is a complex country, conservative on the one hand, rapidly changing on the other. It’s not easy for us to sort it all out.   Tucker Carlson: Do you think Zelensky has the freedom to negotiate the settlement to this conflict? Vladimir Putin: I don’t know the details, of course it’s difficult for me to judge, but ...
    6 days ago
  • Fresh thinkers
    Fresh thinking will always give you hope.It might be the kind that makes you smite your brow, exclaiming: Why didn't we think of that! It's obvious!It might be the kind that makes you go: Dude you’re a genius.Sometimes it will simply be Wayne Brown handing Simeon Brown his weasel ass ...
    More than a fieldingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • It is not about age, it is about team.
    Much attention has been directed at Joe Biden’s mental lapses and physical frailty. Less attention has been spent on Donald Trump’s cognitive difficulties and physical limitations, with most focus being devoted to his insults and exaggerated claims (as if they … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    6 days ago
  • ROBERT MacCULLOCH: Fletcher Building – it is time to break up NZ’s most useless company.
    Robert MacCulloch writes –  Gosh, the CEO of Fletcher Building, Ross Taylor, says today’s announcement of a half-year loss of $120 million for the company is “disappointing” and was “heavily impacted” by the Convention Centre losses. He must be crying all the way to the bank (to quote Las ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago
  • Mortgage rates seen high for even longer
    Government and borrower hopes for early mortgage cost relief look likely to be thwarted. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Stronger-than-expected US inflation data out overnight is expected to delay the first US Federal Reserve rate cut into the second half of 2024, which in turn would hold mortgage rates ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    6 days ago
  • Member’s Day
    Today is a Member's Day, the first of the new Parliament. And to start the Parliament off, there's a bunch of first readings. A bunch of other bills have been postponed, so first up is Duncan Webb's District Court (Protecting Judgment Debtors on Main Benefit) Amendment Bill, followed by Katie ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Three Waters go down the legislative gurgler – but what should we make of Local Water Done Well?
    Buzz from the Beehive Local Government Minister Simeon Brown – it seems fair to suppose – was flushed with success after the repeal of Labour’s divisive and unpopular Three Waters legislation. As he explained, repealing this legislation is a necessary first step in implementing his government’s Local Water Done Well ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on five of Luxon’s Gaza absurdities
    Earlier this week, PM Christopher Luxon met with 48 public service CEOs to make sure they were on board with his plans to cut spending on public services so that National can proceed to give the revenue away to those New Zealanders least in need. This wasn’t the only absurdity ...
    6 days ago
  • Love and the Fairer Sex.
    This morning I woke early with many thoughts in my head of things said, events of the week, things that matter. I’m afraid none of them involved Seymour, Willis, or Luxon so if you’re looking for something political maybe take the day off and come back tomorrow. You won’t find ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    6 days ago
  • He stood up to Muldoon and Lange and the Fji army
    Gerald Hensley, who died aged 88 on Saturday, was the key official who presided over the tumultuous events that followed the election of the Lange Labour Government in 1984. He was also instrumental in helping a key Fijian official escape the country during one of the 1987 coups. A diplomat ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    7 days ago
  • At a glance – Has Arctic sea ice returned to normal?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    7 days ago
  • Halo dunia!
    Selamt datang di WordPress. Ini adalah pos pertama Anda. Sunting atau hapus, kemudian mulai menulis! ...
    1 week ago
  • The PM wants a turnaround
    As a treat today I have lined up a favourite in the music slot. I love Turnaround, I cannot hear it too often, and I feel in need of a treat when I make myself listen to the Prime Minister the way I did this morning.He too, has favourites that ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • The PM wants a turnaround
    As a treat today I have lined up a favourite in the music slot. I love Turnaround, I cannot hear it too often, and I feel in need of a treat when I make myself listen to the Prime Minister the way I did this morning.He too, has favourites that ...
    More than a fieldingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • ELE LUDEMANN: Trusting locals
    Ele Ludemann writes- A government-knows-best and predilection for central control was another unfortunate feature of the 2017-2023 Labour governments. One of the worst polices as a result of that was what started as Three Waters and became several more. The National-led government is much more trusting of locals ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 week ago
  • Legislation to flush away Three Waters has become a certainty – but we must wait for details on th...
    Buzz from the Beehive A  three-day information drought was broken, just after Point of Order published yesterday’s Buzz from the Beehive, and two significant ministerial announcements were made. First, the Budget will be delivered on 30 May, telling us which genuine savings have been made by eliminating waste and which ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    1 week ago
  • Rise of the Lobbyists.
    An unpopular opinion, I love Auckland.Not so much the transport or the house prices - those are pretty dire. But there’s a lot to like. We’ve a vibrant, multicultural city in a beautiful location with, mostly, friendly locals. From the native bush of the Waitakeres to the Gulf islands, it’s ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • The holes in National’s water reform pipes
    Young renters just have to watch on as pipes keep failing and the Government and councils point fingers at each other, because all the incentives are for ratepayers to block rates increases, water meters, water charges and the creation of new entities. File Photo: Lynn GrievesonTL;DR: The National-ACT-NZ First coalition ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • After years of stability, Antarctica is losing ice
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by SueEllen Campbell Until recently, Antarctica’s ice has seemed surprisingly stable. In contrast to the far north, the southern continent’s massive ice sheets, glaciers, ice shelves (ice that floats on the ocean), and seasonal ice appeared to be reliably frozen: Enough snow fell ...
    1 week ago
  • Auckland’s Persistent Rail Issues
    Over the last few weeks in our weekly roundup we’ve commented on the frequent delays and cancellations that have occurred on the rail network this year since the rail network went back into full operation on the 22-Jan – with Kiwirail proclaiming they had ‘successfully delivered summer holiday infrastructure upgrades ...
    1 week ago

  • Greater support for social workers
    The Coalition Government is enhancing the professionalism of the social work sector and supporting the vulnerable people who rely on them, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says.  The Social Workers Registration Legislation Amendment Bill passed its third reading in Parliament today. It amends the Social Workers Registration Legislation ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    13 mins ago
  • Government delivers greater freedom and choice for sick New Zealanders
    The coalition government is delivering on its commitment to making principled decisions by getting rid of red tape that doesn’t make sense and allowing sick New Zealanders greater freedom and choice to purchase effective cold and flu medicines. A bill amending the Misuse of Drugs Act 1975 is being introduced, and changes to the Medicines ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 hours ago
  • Government begins reset of welfare system
    The Coalition Government is taking early action to curb the surge in welfare dependency that occurred under the previous government by setting out its expectations around employment and the use of benefit sanctions, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. In 2017, 60,588 sanctions were applied to beneficiaries who ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    23 hours ago
  • State of the Nation
    Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora, good morning, talofa, malo e lelei, bula vinaka, da jia hao, namaste, sat sri akal, assalamu alaikum. Thank you for coming to my first State of the Nation as Prime Minister. Thank you for coming to a speech where I don’t just ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • West Coast tourism attractions officially open
    Regional Development Minister Shane Jones will attend the official opening of two highly anticipated tourism projects on the West Coast today – Pike29 Memorial Track, dedicated to the memory of the Pike River miners, and Pounamu Pathway. “The Pike29 Memorial Track is a way to remember and honour the men ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Independent ferry service advisory group in place
    Appointments to the Ministerial Advisory Group tasked with providing independent advice and assurance on the future of KiwiRail’s inter-island ferry service have been made, State Owned Enterprises Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “It’s important for New Zealand that KiwiRail is focused on ensuring safe, resilient, and reliable ferry services over the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Joint statement from the Prime Ministers of Australia, Canada, and New Zealand
    The Prime Ministers of Australia, Canada and New Zealand today issued the following statement on reports of Israel’s planned military operation in Rafah. We are gravely concerned by indications that Israel is planning a ground offensive into Rafah.   A military operation into Rafah would be catastrophic. About 1.5 million Palestinians ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Govt will deliver on expanded breast screening
    The coalition Government has made the first steps in delivering on its promise to  extend free breast screening to women aged 70-74, Health Minister Shane Reti says. “As part of the 100 day plan, the Government has now met with officials and discussed what is needed in order for the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government announces woolshed roadshows in support of sheep farmers
    The Government celebrates National Lamb Day (15 February 24) and congratulates sheep farmers on the high-quality products they continue to produce. Agriculture Minister McClay hosted bipartisan celebrations of National Lamb Day with industry representatives at Parliament this week to mark the anniversary of the first frozen lamb exports that left ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Speech: Address to the NZ Economics Forum
    It’s great to be back at the New Zealand Economics Forum. I would like to acknowledge everyone here today for your expertise and contribution, especially the Pro Vice-Chancellor, Head of the Waikato Management School, economists, students and experts alike. A year has passed since I was last before you, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government tackling high construction costs
    The Government is focused on reducing sky-high construction costs to make it more affordable to build a home, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says.  Stats NZ data shows the cost of building a house has increased by 41 per cent since 2019, making housing even more unaffordable for Kiwi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Labour’s Three Waters legislation repealed
    The Coalition Government’s legislative plan to address longstanding issues with local water infrastructure and service delivery took an important step today, with the repeal of Labour’s divisive and unpopular Three Waters legislation, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “Repealing this legislation is a necessary first step in implementing our Local ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Cost of living support for beneficiary households
    The Coalition Government is delivering on its commitment to ease the cost-of-living by increasing main benefit rates in line with inflation and ensuring the Minimum Family Tax Credit threshold remains aligned with this change, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. The Social Security (Benefits Adjustment) and Income Tax ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government announces agriculture delegations to better support Primary sector
    The coalition Government has announced ministerial delegations to support key areas across the Primary sector to deliver for New Zealand’s food and fibre sector, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay announced today. “I will be supported in my roles as Minister of Agriculture, Trade, Forestry and Hunting and Fishing, by three Associate ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Waikato MoU reinforces Govt’s commitment to increase NZ doctors
    The Government has taken an important step forward in addressing a critical shortage of New Zealand-trained doctors, with today’s signing of a Memorandum of Understanding for a third medical school, Minister of Health Dr Shane Reti has announced.  “Today’s signing by the Ministry of Health and the University of Waikato ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Speech – Lunar New Year 2024
    Annyeonghaseyo, greetings and welcome all. It is my pleasure as the Minister for Ethnic Communities to welcome you to the first Lunar New Year Event in Parliament. Thank you to our emcees for greeting us in the different languages that represent the many cultures that celebrate the Lunar New Year. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • More funding to Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti
    Urgent work to clean-up cyclone-affected regions will continue, thanks to a $63 million boost from the Government for sediment and debris removal in Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti.                                                                                                   The funding will help local councils continue urgent work removing and disposing of sediment and debris left from Cyclone Gabrielle.   “This additional ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Budget will be delivered on 30 May
    Plans to deliver tax relief to hard-working New Zealanders, rebuild business confidence and restore the Crown’s finances to order will be unveiled on 30 May, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The plans will be announced in the Budget which is currently being developed by Ministers.  “The last government’s mismanagement of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government advances Local Water Done Well
    The Coalition Government is continuing work to restore council ownership and control of water assets by repealing Three Waters and appointing a Technical Advisory Group to provide expert advice on the implementation of Local Water Done Well, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “The Government will pass a bill to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New diplomatic appointments
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today announced five new diplomatic appointments.  "Strong and effective diplomacy to protect and advance our interests in the world is needed now more than ever," Mr Peters says.  “We are delighted to appoint senior diplomats from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade to these ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Speech to the Committee for Auckland
    It is great to be here today at this event as Minister for Auckland and Minister ofTransport. Let me start by acknowledging each one of you and thanking the Committee forAuckland for hosting this event and inviting me to speak here today. The Committee for Auckland has been a symbol ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Getting Transport Back on Track in Auckland
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has today confirmed his high-level transport priorities for Auckland, in the lead up to releasing the draft Government Policy Statement on Land Transport. “Our economic growth and productivity are underpinned by a transport network that enables people and freight to move around safely and efficiently. At ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government to axe Auckland Regional Fuel Tax
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has confirmed that the Auckland Regional Fuel Tax will end on 30 June 2024. “Today, I can confirm that the Government has agreed to remove the Auckland Regional Fuel Tax in line with our coalition commitments, and legislation will be introduced to parliament to repeal the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Minister Calls for Work to Tackle Kina Barrens
    Changes to fishing rules and a significant science programme are being undertaken to address kina barrens, says Minister for Oceans and Fisheries Shane Jones. “There has been tremendous interest from iwi, communities and recreational fishers who had raised concerns about such kina infestations being a major threat to Northland’s marine ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government law and order crackdown begins
    The coalition Government is making good on its promise to restore law and order by removing government funding for Section 27 reports and abolishing the previous Labour Government’s prison reduction target, Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith and Corrections Minister Mark Mitchell say.  “In recent years, the development of Section 27 reports ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Greater focus on getting people into work
    The coalition government will refocus employment efforts and the welfare system so that supporting people who can work into jobs is the number one priority, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Of concern in the labour market statistics released by Stats NZ today was the number of youth not ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • One year on, NZ appeals for release of Phillip Mehrtens
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has appealed to those holding New Zealand pilot Phillip Mehrtens in remote Papua, Indonesia, to release him immediately.  Phillip Mehrtens was taken hostage a year ago on 7 February in Paro, Papua, while providing vital air links and supplies to remote communities. “We strongly urge those holding ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Ministers reaffirm Pacific connections this week
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters and Health Minister and Minister for Pacific Peoples Dr Shane Reti are reaffirming the importance of New Zealand’s connections to the Pacific by visiting Tonga, Cook Islands and Samoa this week.  “New Zealand enjoys strong and long-standing relationships with our Pacific partners - especially in Polynesia, where we ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Rt Hon Christopher Luxon – Waitangi speech
    E ngā mana, e ngā reo, e ngā iwi, rau rangatira ma. Tēnā koutou katoa. He tino mihi ki te mana whenua o tēnei rohe.  Mihi mai, mihi mai, mihi mai. Te whare e tū nei, tēnā koe.                               He-wāhi whakahirahira tēnei mō Aotearoa. Ka huri nga whakaaro, ki nga mate. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government awards primary sector scholarships to students
    Six university students studying agriculture and science have been awarded scholarships as part of the coalition Government’s efforts to boost on-the-ground support for farmers and growers. “The coalition Government is committed to improving support and operating conditions for farmers and growers,” Agriculture Minister Todd McClay says. “We’re backing a range ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • High Court Judge appointed
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister Jason Scott McHerron as a High Court Judge. Justice McHerron graduated from the University of Otago with a BA in English literature in 1994 and an LLB in 1996. From 1996 to 1999 he worked as a solicitor in the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • New Zealand provides further humanitarian support to Gaza and the West Bank
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced that New Zealand is providing a further $5 million to respond to the extreme humanitarian need in Gaza and the West Bank.  “The impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict on civilians is absolutely appalling,” Mr Peters says.  “That is why New Zealand has contributed $15 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Government consults on expanding COVID-19 Inquiry terms of reference
    The Government is delivering on its commitment to enable public input into expanding the scope of the Royal Commission of Inquiry into COVID-19 Lessons, says Internal Affairs Minister Brooke van Velden. “As committed to in both the ACT-National and NZ First-National coalition agreements, the public will be given the opportunity ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Tai Tokerau Water Boost
    A further $5 million loan has been advanced to the Tai Tokerau Water Trust for Te Waihekeora Reservoir, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says.  “Water is a precious resource, Kānoa – Regional Development and Investment Unit at the Ministry of Business, Innovation, and Employment have done amazing work in the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Fast track consenting in the fast lane
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