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Housing bubble inflating faster – Key’s panic now obvious

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, July 6th, 2016 - 157 comments
Categories: housing, john key, national, useless - Tags: , , ,

The housing bubble is inflating faster than ever:

Auckland’s average house price will hit $1 million by next year

Quotable Value figures issued figures for the last three months, showing prices were rising at their fastest rate since 2004.

Auckland house values shot up 4.7 per cent in the last three months and 16.1 per cent since last June, reaching a new average of $975,087.

And the driving force behind this frenzied rise?

Investors were also hungry for more properties too, she [Andrea Rush, QV national spokesperson] indicated. “The latest CoreLogic buyer classification data has show that the share of sales to investors has gone from 37 per cent in 2012 and it’s up now to 46 per cent of investors,” she said.

Those investors appeared to be buying in advance of further Reserve Bank crackdowns, she indicated. “Investors are trying to get in as conditions are currently,” Rush said.

If prices stay this high (or keep going up) it’s a disaster for National. If the bubble bursts and prices come down it’s a disaster for National. Key is between a rock and hard place, and his panic is now obvious:

Whiff of crisis in the air as Key calls for central bank help over housing

House prices are rising faster than the Government wants. Not just in Auckland. Almost everywhere but Christchurch. … Scatter gun initiatives have been coming at the rate of about one a week for months now, the latest being a $1 billion loan facility to help local government build new infrastructure. No sign yet, though, that ministers are ready to abandon their ideological bunker and directly fund some affordable private homes.

It was, he [Key] said, the “responsibility” of the Reserve Bank to look at extending the current loan to value ratios imposed on investors, which generally require them to stump up a 30 per cent deposit in Auckland. Should LVR restrictions be extended across the country or lifted above 30 per cent for investors? Key said “yes”. And not just sometime. If not Thursday, then at least sometime soon.

The Government may not be ready to admit there is a crisis in the housing market, but it sure looks like a crisis in its own ranks.

It is all looking very messy. Panicky in fact.

Yes, Key is now actively begging the Reserve Bank to do his job for him.

The political problem for Key is that the Nats are simply unable to take the actions required to actually address the crisis. They are ideologically opposed to some (significant curbs on speculators, capital gains tax) and appear to be simply incapable of others (build some damn houses!). The electoral problem for Key is that Labour are going to offer what the country needs – stay tuned this weekend.

157 comments on “Housing bubble inflating faster – Key’s panic now obvious”

  1. vto 1

    Key’s housing problem is also each of our own personal problem as when this all ends the shit that will get thrown by the now very large fan will cover everybody… everybody

    • yep good point – a lot of poo will spray at a great rate of knots from Auckland and everywhere in this country will be affected. Internal refugees, foreclosures, desperation, increased homelessness and crime – and that is just the Auckland politicians!!!

    • mosa 1.2

      What concerns me is that that Key and his government arent acting in the interests of our country by allowing this massive housing calamity to unfold because it will be a massive correction like the GFC and the 1987 stockmarket crash that had a devastating effect on our economy and took years too recover and this has the prospect too hurt every sector of the economy, i mean lets face it the only growth in the economy after immigration is the value of realestate and thats a serious failure on the part of this government who have been in office for 8 years and have NOT acted in solving and fixing this major threat to the people who keep them in office and all the others who dont.
      This event when it happens under Keys watch will be the real legacy he leaves behind.
      All his bullshit and lies and deceptions will be seen for what they are a massive disaster for New Zealanders.

      • Pat 1.2.1

        not strictly true…there is one other area of significant growth apart from immigration and property values…..tourism, with its low paid, low value returns.

  2. Craig H 2

    Crisis? What crisis? National Party members are creaming it!

    • Molly 2.1

      I have an acquaintance who used to teach someone currently in John Key’s research unit.

      According to them, the housing issue is one that Key has been happy to ignore because many of his voting constituency are those that are benefitting, and the housing market masks a downturn in the economy. It also attracts overseas investors to NZ kicking the ball further down the road.

      As the post mentions, now even some of those constituents are getting concerned, the ideological view of the National Party makes them discount effective measures:
      building state houses, restricting residential sales to NZ residents/citizens, charging higher rates on rentals, implementing an effective land tax on undeveloped residential land, and effective capital gains tax.

      • Colonial Viper 2.1.1

        They will be looking hard at some tougher measures now, going into election year. This issue is big enough now that they will leave nothing off the table for (internal) discussion.

        • Molly 2.1.1.1

          Yes, more than likely.

          They will be looking to create policy that is the equivalent of lambs dressed up in wolf’s clothing.

  3. Fustercluck 3

    The 0.01%, internationally and domestically, need safe haven for their cash. Real estate in stable western democracies is superb for this purpose. Form many internationals a burst bubble and large decline in process is just fine when compared with risks associated with hyperinflation, nationalization of assets, etc, that exist in their home countries. The sharp inflation of prices (as opposed to value) will continue until that safe haven aspect is dealt with. Even 10% of the market being driven by these types is enough to wildly push the market and we are obviously well past that.

    Solution?

    1. Restrict purchase of real estate to citizens & permanent residents.
    2. Require 50% down payment from investors owning more than two properties (the classic quarter acre home plus a bach for which NZ is so nostalgic).
    3. Capital gains tax on all commercial property, residential income property of more than four units, and any property held in addition to the two mentioned above.
    4. Capital gains tax on ANY flipped property, i.e., sold in less than 24 months absent a documented reason for the sale (job change, family change, etc. The IRD can easily test for this).
    5. If the above does not do it, prohibit ownership (apart from the 1/4 acre and bach) of any dwelling that is not occupied by owner or documented tenant for at least 6 months out of each year.

    • dv 3.1

      OMG you WANT a joined up plan!!!

      I would add

      Add a tax of 1-2% to the interest on loans in the special housing areas.
      a transaction tax of the same size a cc transaction charge for investors.
      10 year s for flipped properties, but on a sliding scale.
      Allow councils to issue development bonds.

      • Fustercluck 3.1.1

        Yes to that (as a part of a joined up plan!).

        • Colonial Viper 3.1.1.1

          “Joined up plan” – this is a simple concept from the 1940s and 1950s that NZ needs to re-adopt.

      • Molly 3.1.2

        Overseas – including London – there are taxes to be paid on council re-zoned properties.

        Called a capital uplift tax, it taxes the property owners who have just been given a boost to the equity by the council processes – which is otherwise a straight out “gift”. This tax is paid when the land is either developed or sold.

        I have only seen this referred to in the Unitary Plan discussions once, and that was because I happened to pick up a hard-copy of a document when I attended a meeting. When I returned home, I could not find an online copy, and never heard it discussed or mentioned again.

        A couple of months later – at a Q & A session – I asked John Duguid (the Planner in charge of the Unitary Plan) whether it was being considered. A short but succinct answer that it had been discounted, showed the reluctance to even contemplate such a view.

        Given that development contributions have been limited by National, and the remainder of infrastructure costs need to be picked up by council (ie. ratepayers), we have not only provided all developers with a subsidy for development of sometimes inappropriate land, but rezoning has given them a tax-free equity boost.

        SHA’s also fall into this category.

    • save nz 3.2

      I agree with Flustercluck, as it allows Kiwis to live the middle NZ dream, have a bach, a property as an investment (I know many people are against this but unless you want to rely on the state at retirement, the investment options for Kiwis are poor to non existent).

      But would like some sort of transaction tax on shares and maybe stamp duty on registered property developers who are building apartments and commercial developments (maybe more than 5 units say). (As they are sold the DEVELOPER pays a stamp duty). So those that are building apartments with foreign money in particular have to stump up a percentage as they sell the apartment or development i.e. if they have a 5 million dollar apartment/commercial unit they pay say 2% stamp duty so it is $100,000 to the government per unit.

      Also all non residents should have to pay a stamp duty on property purchase.

      They get rid of 0% offshore tax havens here. In my view that is what seems to have pushed the property up the most.

      I am against capital gains, as most of the rich and foreigners will avoid paying it through legal tax avoidance so it would be a mockery when middle NZ tax payers are the only one paying it. Capital gains worked in the 20th century before globalism – now the idea should be to get the tax at the beginning (i.e. purchase) because we now consistently have the super rich not even on the top tax rates.

      The government also have to stop more migrants becoming permanent residents apart from in exceptional cases. It is a sick joke than Kiwis live in tents and laid off workers are crushed to death as they try to keep warm in recycling bins, because of the governments migration policies that are losing us farm and agriculture worker jobs and making housing unaffordable. That is not the Kiwi way!

    • KJT 3.3

      Forgot building 10 000 sate houses a year and renting them out at reasonable cost.

      From printing money as we did in the 50’s. NOT by inflating the profits of foreign lenders.

  4. RedLogix 4

    There is a reason why small island economies like say Tonga do not allow land sales to non-citizens. It’s just blindly obvious to them that if they did the locals would be quickly sold out and alienated from their own land.

    New Zealand is a small island economy. It’s just that we are not as smart as the Tongans.

  5. Greg 5

    If in doubt quote the Bard,

    http://www.enotes.com/shakespeare-quotes/hoist-with-his-own-petard

    Key made a lot of promises when Im PM in various speeches between 2006-2008, he hasnt kept one them,

    anyone bored and want to do a list?

    Key has already sold his mansion in NZ:
    http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/79063174/nz-open-to-chinese-investment-key-tells-chinas-business-bigwigs

  6. Nck 6

    99% of the comments on stuff were anti Key and pointed out the obvious mess Natz have created and maintained.

    • Rob 6.1

      But then it is quickly removed or comments shut when things don’t go the way stuff wanted.
      Look how quickly the article about speeding up land sales for Chinese by that dopey Louise minister went.

      • Yup 6.1.1

        Been seeing that all week on stuff, they put up a story and let people comment, but then remove the comment section within 15 minutes… Very strange.

  7. BM 7

    Market is about to crash, anybody buying now is a fool.

    • Fustercluck 7.1

      You are SO right.

      • BM 7.1.1

        Who is actually buying at these prices?

        The current LVR is 20%, I’m struggling to believe there’s tons of buyers who’ve got a spare 200k just lying around.

        I thought New Zealanders were notoriously bad savers yet have no problem stumping up with these massive deposits.

        • dv 7.1.1.1

          The current LVR is 20%, I’m struggling to believe there’s tons of buyers who’ve got a spare 200k just lying around.

          They have in equity, and it is ‘free’ equity because of the price growth.

          • BM 7.1.1.1.1

            So you reckon it’s Joe and Joanne public taking the equity out of one house and using it as a deposit to buy the next.?

            Any one still doing that must have shit for brains.

            • dv 7.1.1.1.1.1

              Not so much Joe and Joanne public , but those with more than one property.

            • Colonial Viper 7.1.1.1.1.2

              Yes there are still plenty of Kiwis around taking equity from one inflated Auckland property to buy the next (outside of Auckland) investment property. Auckland buyers have been very busy down here in Dunedin this year.

              Within Auckland itself I think even the local investor class is being priced out.

              Foreign money is pouring in however.

              That will rapidly reverse when GFC2 gains momentum.

              • BM

                Yes there are still plenty of Kiwis around taking equity from one inflated Auckland property to buy the next (outside of Auckland) investment property. Auckland buyers have been very busy down here in Dunedin this year.

                Hamilton house prices have risen 30% in the past year.

                To give you an example how silly it’s getting, last week 1970 brick 2 bedroom unit on a handkerchief sized section, brought by a Auckland grandmother for $550,000.

                • Colonial Viper

                  That sounds about right. I personally know Auckland buyers who bought in Hamilton and Wellington last month. Investments.

                  • BM

                    She payed well above what it’s worth, but by Auckland standards it’s good value.

                    Outside money distorting the market.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      International money distorting the Auckland market, and Auckland market distorting the smaller city markets.

                      Trickle down?

                  • Ben

                    Yes, but when the Auckland housing bubble bursts, the regions will follow suit with a reduction in demand and therefore prices. Not such a safe investment after all, but a cheaper one.

                    People using temporary equity to purchase in an over-inflated market are nuts. The banks facilitating this show poor judgement also.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      Agree 100% with your comments. Anyone with any sense would be looking to move the balance of their portfolio to cash. Not diving deeper into this over hot property market.

                      And the thing with most of the regions, including down here in Dunedin, is that the population is stagnant to decreasing. At least in Auckland, population growth and the economy continues to be strong (relative to the regions).

                • One Anonymous Bloke

                  All hail Market. There is no alternative, remember?

          • Muttonbird 7.1.1.1.2

            Massive lack of understanding from the troll there.

        • Sabine 7.1.1.2

          Not New Zealanders, or some NZ’lers that have parents who help with the deposit, or some NZ’lers that have a house and mortgage on that.

          You remember the young guy with his 8 mortgages (the herald said houses) at 25.

          but the rest, are not buying. So good question BM, who is buying all the houses in AKL, because someone is.

        • Bearded Git 7.1.1.3

          46% of Akl house buyers are investors-that is the number everyone should be looking at. When the bubble pops there are going to be some very naked people standing on the beach.

          It just needs a trigger-watch the Italian banks that are in big trouble, Deutsche Bank too, and China.

          http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-05/look-inside-europes-next-crisis-why-everyone-finally-panicking-about-italian-banks

        • Visubversa 7.1.1.4

          People who come here on a business residency and buy a couple of $2 Shops as the “business” part but have shedloads of dodgy cash to launder, do not care about deposit requirements or interest rates. They wil buy anything they think will at least hold its value. They will also build a big “show off” home for themselves (or rather, for those of their relatives who are still in NZ). Both these things push up the prices for everyone.

          • save nz 7.1.1.4.1

            +1 Visubversa

            There are massive immigration scams – not only that, some cultures have dowry on marriage, what better way to drive up the price of marriage than offering citizenship in another country for you and all the relatives.

            The issue is, that Kiwis are very naive they think everyone is like them and seem to have zero understanding of the rest of the world, how valuable citizenship in NZ is, and there are so many offshore and onshore middle men making a killing out of it all.

            It is so easy to scam immigration, it is so easy to fake documentation and Kiwis are just like Naive kids when it comes to processing it. Even people I know have changed medical certificates to get residency and citizenship, not to mention how easy it is to borrow money put in your bank account and withdraw it after you “prove” to immigration you have funds to support yourself.

            Citizen should be only linked to the person for 15 years or something like that. Not an open migration policy for marriage and family members who Kiwis then have to support through welfare system while some go between gets rich off it all.

            In addition the $2 shops are bakery and takeaways are bad in many ways. They drive up commercial rents so that young Kiwi can not afford to start a business, they make the cities look disjointed and ugly with odd shops springing up with cheap goods everywhere, and they increase cheap and nasty consumerism and environmental damage with all the packaging and plastics.

            Far from migration adding to diversity, it is doing the opposite in NZ making the high street the same, bland and uninteresting, with fast food and goods in the same franchises where ever you go.

            • Sabine 7.1.1.4.1.1

              I think that Kiwis know full well that they are being screwed over, it is just that a large part of Kiwis has no issues screwing over the rest of kiwis.
              That is something that needs to be acknowledged.
              The Kiwis of the National Party led Government know what they are doing, they just don’t care one fuck if you or i or anyone else for that matter ends up homeless or unemployed, in fact it would suit their business model of a desperate population putting up with shit to just not be homeless and jobless.

              • save nz

                I agree with you Sabine, but at least their is a limit on the amount of Kiwis screwing Kiwis and they are more likely to pay tax on it. I’m not ready to open up our doors to the global market of 7 billion citizens to screw each other over by saying Kiwis do it too. In NZ we do have a relatively fair and socially democratic society, this has been eroded over 8 years and National want to make it worse.

            • Anno1701 7.1.1.4.1.2

              “In addition the $2 shops are bakery and takeaways are bad in many ways”

              some of these are also money laundering operations

              how else do you think we have 6 ( ! ) 2$ shops all selling exactly the same tat in our local mall

              lots of small “cash” transactions and lots of non-perishable stock , perfect combination

              I know of one Auckland Chinese restaurant that has 2 eft-pos terminals, the one “under the counter” is produced when Chinese tourists arrive buy the busload with Chinese bank issued credit cards which are charged via VOIP directly to the HSBC in hong kong , this money never sees NZ, it goes straight offshore no tax paid

              im sure this is going on in MANY other businesses

    • vto 7.2

      Perhaps on the basis of previous bubbles BM… but this time I have doubts as the world is vastly different and the world economy so much more massive. I suspect different forces are at play in the world today and there is potential for this to roll for quite a number of years yet….

      What is not different though is the human character and at some point the sheep will all try and flee out the gate at the same time, no matter the difference above…

      • RedLogix 7.2.1

        Yes. What I see is a global 0.1% with almost unlimited funds to buy up New Zealand. All of it … at any price.

        Most of us just have no idea just how much money these people have, and how desperate they are to park it somewhere relatively safe. And Trader John just can’t drag himself away from the sight of it.

        • save nz 7.2.1.1

          +1 RedLogix – that is what all these forecasters don’t understand. The world is now beyond NZ. If you allow the world to buy you up, house prices rise as it is not limited to Kiwi wages.

          That is why Key put in the tax havens for foreigners – that is his plan, get tax avoiders and corrupt individuals close by and then lure them in to buy up assets here.

          Of course there are always ‘commissions, donations and bribes’ for organising all this and Yay, a handy tax haven to hide it in.

          Key may be looking panicked but I think the spotlight on the tax haven is more concerning for him, that the plight of the National party next election and it’s future post Key, and certainly not the plight of the Kiwi poor with affordable housing.

        • Draco T Bastard 7.2.1.2

          Most of us just have no idea just how much money these people have, and how desperate they are to park it somewhere relatively safe.

          Where it’s safe and they can get an income from it. Give them the time and they will buy up NZ turning the rest of us into renters and serfs.

    • KJT 7.3

      It won’t crash.

      National are well aware that if the housing market crashes they will lose the election.

      Meanwhile there are still another 10 billion people overseas, they can call on, willing to buy houses here if it shows any signs of dropping.

      • Dennis Frank 7.3.1

        Yes, I share your view. Immigration is an excellent way for the left to trash our country in collusion with the right: import people who are fed up with trashing their home countries so they can come here and do it all over again. Morons in all directions, as far as the eye can see…

  8. AmaKiwi 8

    @ Fustercluck

    Good list and I agree with most of what you’ve written EXCEPT:

    “The 0.01%, internationally and domestically, need safe haven for their cash. Real estate in stable western democracies is SUPERB for this purpose.”

    Wrong. In a depressed market you cannot quickly convert real estate into cash. It’s not always a “liquid” investment.

    In a depressed market owning real estate can become a nightmare when there are no buyers at any price. It happens frequently, even in “stable democracies.” Remember NZ after the 1987 share market crash and the USA post-2008.

    If/When this bubble bursts expect a real estate nightmare here.

    • Fustercluck 8.1

      I have been involved in real estate markets that had bubbles burst in a big way. You are correct about the loss of liquidity but that is always a temporary problem and the 0.01% have heaps of patience. Sure, a few who get caught out will get burned but the majority will just let their capital sit there, perhaps finally with tenants to defray costs, and ride out the bubble effects with their assets intact. It is the middle class, dependent on wages for income, that get killed by the loss of liquidity when life circumstances require the sale of a home at an inopportune moment in the boom-bust cycle that is the norm today.

      You are indeed correct. A real estate nightmare is coming!

      • BM 8.1.1

        If you look at these two websites the disconnect sticks out like dog balls

        https://www.qv.co.nz/resources/property-investment-rental-analysis.

        http://www.mortgagerates.co.nz/

        The yield is no where covering the mortgage payments and other outgoings.

        People are in the market purely for capital gain and if things start heading south, expect to see the amount of houses appearing for sale to sky rocket.

        There’s going to be such a blood bath once the market turns.

        • Molly 8.1.1.1

          Don’t forget BM, that some are in a position to buy with cash and/or use overseas banks rates to purchase property in NZ.

        • KJT 8.1.1.2

          When you sell a house on the coast in Holland, Singapore, England or Spain, our houses are dirt cheap.

        • KJT 8.1.1.3

          In Europe and Japan at the moment the return on cash in the bank is negative.

          Housing, which will always recover if you have enough patience, especially in places like New Zealand, looks very good in comparison.

          Note: Where there has been a housing crash, like Britain, those who could afford to hang on have had their investment regain its value plus some more.

          Unlike share market investment where an individual company, once crashed, rarely recovers.

    • save nz 8.2

      @ AmaKiwi the property bubble can not burst if 67,000 people are coming into NZ. We have positive migration and new money arriving daily.

      So if the opposition get in, or National see sense, they need to carefully turn off the tap to avoid a crash. (They should have started tightening 5 years ago!)

      • Fustercluck 8.2.1

        Yes, but how many of those 67,000 can afford a $1m house in Auckland? I’ll bet that it is far from a majority of migrants that can do that. They are more likely to put pressure on rental prices than be able to compete with investors holding mountains of dead capital.

        • save nz 8.2.1.1

          @ Flustercluck – you have a point, but that is the problem, people are buying property but with our low wages you have to leave or have multiple jobs to pay the mortgage.

          The joke is that the government expects Auckland ratepayers or tax payers to pay $125,000 per new house for the new people they are welcoming in. We didn’t use to have this problem of a housing shortage, the crisis was created!

          Then the councils will borrow the money and have to sell off more assets.

          It crazy.

          We can’t afford it!

          It is anti business, who borrows $125,000, puts their own citizens out to be homeless to make way for a ‘restaurant manager or farm worker’ to come here when we have high unemployment?

        • b waghorn 8.2.1.2

          i don’t know how many can afford it but i know one expat looking to come home that brought in melbourne for $550k not sure when) the identical house next door just sold for $1.5 mill.
          I’m picking they are not the only ones.

      • KJT 8.2.2

        Only have to “invest” a million in a house, to get residency.

        • Stuart Munro 8.2.2.1

          Yup – a government that gave a shit would’ve stipulated employing a number of NZ staff or exporting products of a minimum value. Too much for the Gnats – they want to get rich for sitting on their arses, not running anything properly.

      • Dennis Frank 8.2.3

        Correct. Both wings of the establishment are proven slow-learners. The bubble will not subside unless the supply-side lever is pulled back, and the pressure on the upward movement of prices then eases.

    • dave 8.3

      its after the bubble pops i fear as one commentator pointed out in 1987 stock market popped the only people wiped out were the share investors when and i will use the word when ,not if . due to over leveraged mibble classes who have used there homes as atms this time a crash will take out the whole economy the prospect of thousands of consumers effectively in insolvency is something NZ small economy couldn’t adsorb, i cant see how it can be avoided national have blown this bubble to such a dangerous level INCOME levels cant possible pay back the half a trillion we all owe!

  9. adam 9

    So at this rate, the billion is one thousand houses at best. That is without the usual waste and corruption associated with this national government.

    So let’s peel that back a bit then shall we, if the current way that this government does business is taken into account. That would be about 500 homes.

    So 500 homes, and we need how many?

    Oh and the bubble keeps going, and this lot are so slow at actually doing anything that might actually be good for people. So my guess – for their 1 billion dollars – we’d be lucky to see 200 homes.

    Lucky little wage slaves indeed.

    • vto 9.1

      yes, little wage slaves ….

      is it better to earn $1,000 per week and have to pay $1,000 per week to live

      or earn nothing and have to pay nothing

      pray tell me the difference

    • Bob 9.2

      “So at this rate, the billion is one thousand houses at best”
      Adam, you misunderstand what the $1Bn is for. This is an infrastructure fund that allows councils to borrow for roading, water, sewerage etc to enable housing developments to open faster and theoretically increase supply.

      I agree that it is a pathetic move that will not have a significant effect on housing costs, but it should allow for a few thousand houses to come onto the market sooner, not the 500 that you are quoting above.

      • s y d 9.2.1

        The $1Bn is to be a loan to Auckland Council. (Most other TA’s are at their debt limits)
        AC will then go to the ‘market’ for a contract to build a motorway out to whangaparoa peninsula (penlink)
        China Construction NZ will ‘win’ the tender to build this horizontal infrastructure, (likely based on using directly imported labour, with attendant cost savings)

        AC will then need to up rates to repay the loan – some right wingers will be elected to reject rates rises, whereupon POAL will be sold.

        National Party donations will skyrocket.

        Theres the linked up plan

        • Bob 9.2.1.1

          “The $1Bn is to be a loan to Auckland Council. (Most other TA’s are at their debt limits)”
          That’s part of the point, this doesn’t effect the councils debt limits, so any of the councils can use the fund.

          “AC will then go to the ‘market’ for a contract to build a motorway out to whangaparoa peninsula (penlink)”
          Not unless they can show that this is going to allow X,000 houses to be built, did you even read the proposal?

          “China Construction NZ will ‘win’ the tender to build this horizontal infrastructure, (likely based on using directly imported labour, with attendant cost savings)”
          This would be no different of the AC borrowed the money to build the infrastructure, so not sure what your point is.

          “AC will then need to up rates to repay the loan”
          No, AC will then charge $5k for each properties water to be connected, and upwards of $100k in building consents per property to pay the debt back.

          “Theres the linked up plan”
          Apart from none of what you have said makes sense, sure, great plan…

          • s y d 9.2.1.1.1

            Jeez Bob, keep up…

            Mayor of TCC “Once we understand the details, we will assess our situation and see if it’s viable to apply for that fund. A lot of that will depend on whether it ends up on our balance sheet or anyone else’s. We don’t want any other debt that’s growth related”

            You know that the ability of TA’s to apply development contributions has been restricted. $100k for consents per property is total fabrication – no idea where you are geting that figure. DC’s on a recent house project in TCC was around $8k.
            See Mollys comment at 3.1

            It’s pretty clear that this infrastructure fund is tied up with PM’s earlier meetings with Chinese Construction industry rep’s and his floating the idea that they could ‘assist’ with infrastructure projects. This is SOP for the PM to casually throw out a proposal and see what the feedback is. If it ain’t too bad it’s dropped into a few more media releases, a couple of glowing Herald editorials later we then somehow end up with a new policy…..

        • Molly 9.2.1.2

          +100

          Exactly what the long-term goal is – and always is – with National.

  10. ianmac 10

    It is so likely that Key is desperate to avoid any action which would be seen to his supporters as collapsing the market. Blame the Central Bank. Blame banks in general. Blame the Labour Party. Blame Treasury. Blame anyone but the Government.
    After all those who are missing out are not his voters are they?

  11. Keith 11

    National are so compromised.

    Now Mr”show some guts” Key is hiding behind the skirts of the Reserve Bank because when it turns to shit, he don’t want the blame.

    Our tired arrogant pathetic poll driven self serving millionaires government is incapable of anything!

  12. Sabine 12

    friend of ours took in a Mother with two kids. She lost her rental when the house was sold. She has stayed with family but it got abusive. So friends came to the rescue cause that is what friends do.

    She now has an appointment with Winz on the 12th! Not tomorrow, not today, no over a week away as she was given the appointment last week. However, she was NOT told to go to the Marae if she has not place to go. Cause clearly Winz and the drones working there don’t care. They just simply don’t care.
    If the government changes, i want the WINZ overhauled and the drones there replaced. Every single one out of Winz and into the free market. Get jobs. Real jobs. With no job security, with no perks, with no career options and minimum wage.

    She was asked by someone at the call centre if she would consider moving to Whangarai. No job offer there, no family there, no friends there, but she could move there and get a job, how she is going to look after two littles under 6 who de the fuck cares, certainly not Winz. Husband? walked a way some time ago, having children was hard work and he was not cut out for it. Some simply aren’t parents material.

    So you know have 3 adults and 5 kids in a 3 bedroom house.

    I think its about time John Key felt a bit uncomfortable. Just a bit of the discomfort and fear that young women feels every time when she tucks in her kids and tells them that they soon will have a home again.

    National Party, a party of greedy irresponsible spendthrift wankers, that successfully brought a country to its knees.

    • Kay 12.1

      @Sabine
      “I think its about time John Key felt a bit uncomfortable. ”

      Psychopaths don’t feel discomfort.

    • dave 12.2

      thats what they do every time you let them near government there a crime gang

  13. Pat 13

    just like CC we can have a controlled (semi) crash at a time of our choosing or we can do sweet bugger all and have an uncontrolled crash……either way we will have a crash.

  14. Eralc 14

    A better measure is the median house price. The average is affected by the squillion dollar properties at the top (which have always been there relative to the times). The average is obviously also affected by the lower priced properties, but not to the same extent. Median would give us a much better idea.

    I’m puzzled by the reporting of ever-rising house prices. We subscribe to QV E-valuer which updates every week. It gives the average in our area, the low/high value range of our property, and the average for Auckland. For 2016, the value of our house and the area has remained fairly constant.

  15. Dave 15

    I really fear the bust every boom has a bust this bubble is so large for such a small economy as New Zealand the fall out will be castrophic bubble pops but the debt still has to be paid keys legacy will a bankrupt nation self inflicted

  16. save nz 16

    Personally think it should be obligatory for all politicians every 4 years to live for a month on the average wage with no perks and then a week on welfare payments.

    I think social security policy would be changed pretty quickly.

    • KJT 16.1

      Simply tie politicians wages to the median income.

      Of course, we would also have to ban them from accepting directorships and other post election bribes.

    • Gangnam Style 16.2

      Someone did suggest Compass should supply Bellamys for a week.

  17. save nz 17

    The other trend happening in Auckland, is that people can’t afford a family home there, (or do not want to live there) or it costs too much time and money to commute, so they buy a cheaper apartment for work and then have their main residence else where.

    A lot of people living on Waiheke do this for example and probably politicians in Wellington.

    It is common in some parts of Europe for this too.

    So trends are emerging to do with modern life issues and how people solve them.

    Also people on local wages are struggling to afford Auckland even if they are migrants. For those that favour more taxes on rates etc, you can see it will only pick off residents who on local wages can not afford any extra taxes.

    The other day there was an article about a migrant came to NZ on $120,000 salary but could not buy a house in Auckland so he moved to Wellington.

    Successful people on supposedly high incomes can not afford to live in Auckland due to the low wages compared to cost of living.

  18. BM 18

    In a perfect environment the market would be efficient enough to ramp up and take advantage of this boom but alias there’s so many road blocks to development, land, skills, man power ,councils etc.

    Things seem to happen at a snails pace in NZ so we’ve ended up with a completely distorted situation.

    This is why I think Key has held off interfering, there’s a real opportunity going begging here but we as a country seem to lack the ability to take advantage of it.

    I think the only option left now is to stop foreign investment in the property market.

    • Gangnam Style 18.1

      Jeez BM, thats kinda arse backwards there, this issue has been around for 10-15 years, we had a major earthquake inbetween, with calls from the Greens back then to have a big cash injection into training NZrs with building skills wotnot, but guess what? The market doesn’t do long term, it’s not like those old cathedral foundation builders who will never see the cathedrals built in their lifetimes, if there is no reward right now then the market moves on to find the next buzz. Imagine a Govt that had invested in training & apprenticeships 5 years ago, all those young apprentices would be raring to go now. Businesses not offering apprenticeships just proves my point of the market NOT providing.

    • gnomic 18.2

      Considered treatment for the split personality problem? Does this comment originate with Dr Jekyll or Mr Hyde? Pretensions at original thought not really going to work alas. Why not just stick with the Tory lickspittle stuff?

  19. Colonial Viper 19

    International context: third billion pound UK property investment fund has now suspended redemptions. Zero Hedge has labelled this the “3rd domino” with more to come.

    BTW “suspending redemptions” means that investors cannot get their money back out of the fund.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-05/domino-3-mg-suspends-trading-6-billion-uk-property-fund

  20. Brutus Iscariot 20

    Yet Little shares the Key delusion that house prices shouldn’t drop.

    • Colonial Viper 20.1

      Too many middle class voters have huge $$$ tied up in property.

      Tell these voters that you have plans to drop property values by 10% while increasing their costs via land taxes and capital gains, and watch your electability meter crater.

      • BM 20.1.1

        Isn’t that what Little is doing.?, except he’s aiming for 40%

        • Brutus Iscariot 20.1.1.1

          No, Little disagreed with Grimes. He said he wants “affordable housing”, but not for current prices to drop. In other words, he’s speaking from both sides of his mouth.

          • save nz 20.1.1.1.1

            @ Brutus Iscariot

            Not at all. It is called social housing aka State houses, and Labour has done this successfully before.

            • Brutus Iscariot 20.1.1.1.1.1

              Yes, but people don’t own state houses. And it’s home ownership that’s currently the problem. The middle class in NZ don’t want to live in state houses, they just want to be able to buy their own reasonable property.

              • One Anonymous Bloke

                They need higher wages or cheaper houses then. I’m sure the market will totes provide for them.

              • Draco T Bastard

                And it’s home ownership that’s currently the problem.

                That’s not the problem or not the way you think it is. The problem is that a few people own far too many homes each.

                The middle class in NZ don’t want to live in state houses

                Which is really quite silly as they’d be much better off living in a state house than owning their own. Rent set at an affordable percentage of income and maintenance for normal wear and tear taken care of (with a few corrections to legislation).

                they just want to be able to buy their own reasonable property.

                And that too is part of the problem as it allows and encourages the first problem of a few people owning far too many houses and living on the proceeds of others work.

                • Brutus Iscariot

                  Naive again. Ownership is the key – go live in a state house and you’ve just exchanged one landlord for another.

                  State housing exists for those who can’t afford to support themselves. People who can support themselves want the security of an asset that they hold in their own name and can maintain as their future nest egg. And I’m talking about owner occupiers here, not investors.

                  Expanding the state house programme is only going to appeal to a few at the very bottom. Unless it’s done to flood the market with houses and drop prices (ie logical). There is no middle ground.

                  • KJT

                    Depends how many we build.

                    Those who cannot afford to support themselves are now around a third of the population, by the way.

                    Due to short sighted and stupid Neo-liberal madness.

                  • Draco T Bastard

                    go live in a state house and you’ve just exchanged one landlord for another.

                    Wrong. You’ve actually changed the landlord from a capitalist to yourself.

                    People who can support themselves want the security of an asset that they hold in their own name and can maintain as their future nest egg.

                    And National just proved that not to exist. The government can always take your house and land from you. Of course, you don’t actually own the land anyway.

                    Of course, what’s needed is a change in law that ensures that living in a state house comes with a lifetime lease that cannot be undone by any government.

                    State housing exists for those who can’t afford to support themselves.

                    One of the reasons why we have people who can’t afford to support themselves is because of private ownership of housing which allows a few people to bludge off of those who can’t afford their own homes.

                    State housing available for everyone fixes that problem.

                    There is no middle ground.

                    I’m not suggesting a middle ground – I’m not one of the idiots who thinks driving in the middle is a great idea. I’m saying that all housing becomes state housing and a right.

                    • Brutus Iscariot

                      Well you can keep inhabiting that fantasy world then.

                    • Draco T Bastard

                      What we have is a fantasy, completely delusional in fact. It’s why it doesn’t work.

                      Time to try something different.

                    • ropata

                      Not a fantasy it’s a proven model that works exceptionally well. Elites tend to hate it and use any means to screw it up though.

            • BM 20.1.1.1.1.2

              So the state is going to house every one.

              Where do you think that’s going to leave people who have brought rentals?

              You don’t think that may cause a slide in property values, what’s the use having a rental if there’s no one to rent to?

              • One Anonymous Bloke

                “every one”

                When did anyone other than you say that?

              • Draco T Bastard

                Where do you think that’s going to leave people who have brought rentals?

                Where’d they bring them from?

                And, of course, it’s not actually the governments job to protect peoples unearned income but to ensure that everyone is properly provided for.

          • BM 20.1.1.1.2

            Good stuff, best of both worlds.

            The man is truly a genius,

        • KJT 20.1.1.2

          National cannot do that. Most of their voters are sitting on Capital gains investments.

          I would say that National are walking a tight rope at the moment.
          Keeping the swing voters who may be thinking about their children’s future, while not losing the voters who are making a killing out of “capital gains”.

          Losing power means they cannot continue with the thefts (Sorry privatisation) of our infrastructure, health and education systems to satisfy their funders

          • BM 20.1.1.2.1

            And I’d say a fair few left voters as well.
            Teachers, nurses, university types and all the other public sector workers, not exactly poor people.

            The property market is like WFF and Super, politicians play with it at their peril.

            • KJT 20.1.1.2.1.1

              Fair comment. As property has been the, historically, only reliable form of investment, and the only thing most of us can borrow for, many rather ordinary people have put their money in it.

              Teachers and Nurses cannot afford Auckland however.

              I can’t now, and I am on considerably more than a Teacher. Certainly cannot afford to move back.

              • BM

                As property has been the, historically, only reliable form of investment many rather ordinary people have put their money in it.

                This is why a government can’t be seen as interfering in the property market.

                If the market crashes and burns under it’s own steam, that’s fair enough you took the risk and you got burnt.

                A government or government in waiting that loudly proclaims they’re going to flood the market with tax payer funded properties to make housing more affordable is going to get slaughtered and will not see power again for a very long time.

                I’m sure Labour realizes this so I’m not quite sure what their real game is?

                • KJT

                  Some one is going to have to do it.

                  Or it will collapse the country as housing costs vastly exceed incomes.

                  A Labour Greens Government will be better placed than National as less of their vote depends on speculators.

                  However stopping the rises to allow wages to catch up, as well as taking steps to raise wages share of the economy, back to former levels, is required, not a crash, which would have far to serious an effect on the real economy.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    However stopping the rises to allow wages to catch up,

                    Just do a quick calculation on how many decades it will take for this to happen in Auckland.

                    And ask yourself how much of that time will a LAB/GR government be in power.

                • KJT

                  Not to mention interfering now.

                  Using immigration to push prices up.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    Only Winston has taken a firm stance on this issue – he wants to reduce immigration by 90%.

            • Pat 20.1.1.2.1.2

              thought you were of the opinion rising property values was a good thing, a sign of a successful political leadership and sound economic policy, BM?

  21. Brutus Iscariot 21

    I’d like to add that the regions, although appearing superficially more attractive now due to lower prices, will actually tank harder as there are fewer fundamentals to support them. For example there is no land supply shortage in Hamilton and Tauranga, and growth from mass migration isn’t a factor – yet prices are spiking. Non-Auckland properties are what investors will sell up first to raise cash.

    • BM 21.1

      Lots of peat around Hamilton.

      Most of the western side you can’t really build on.

      • Molly 21.1.1

        The suitability of land doesn’t stop the SHA juggernaut.

        One of the first off the block, the Takanini SHA is located on ancient kauri swampland – and has since been extended.

    • KJT 21.2

      Sarting to see migrants and Auckland refugees pushing up prices in Whangarei and Northland now, also.

  22. ankerawshark 22

    http://www.msn.com/en-nz/news/national/property-investors-take-on-john-key/ar-AAi7QBp?li=BBqdg4K

    S..t could really be hitting the fan for Key now! About time. His own turning on him

  23. Draco T Bastard 23

    The electoral problem for Key is that Labour are going to offer what the country needs – stay tuned this weekend.

    “You can’t pass a law saying there can’t be land-bankers.”

    Well, actually, you can. Or, to put it another way, you make it so that land-banking is financially debilitating through the judicious use of capital taxes.

    • Richardrawshark 23.1

      It better be good and pop us up 20 poll points DTB, i’m losing hope that anyone gives a shit out there, who’s left watching the news? people have Netflix? etc getting movies 24/7 whatever, how many couples of the new generations even watch news items.

      Random pull by cops for, rego and wof check the other day gave him some stick about the beating of the deaf guy that was in the news, and the cop didn’t even know what I was on about and didn’t watch the news. So ignorance is bliss, and I suspect key’s winning due to it.

  24. Steven Nichols 24

    There is a lot to panic about; rising house prices, increased government debt, rising awareness of political instability in Britain, USA and Australia. National does not have a clue!

  25. Sookie 25

    They can’t build more houses even if they wanted to. I don’t work in Auckland but even in my area you 1. Cant get builders 2. Cant get engineers 3. Cant get planners. 4. Cant get surveyors. 5. Cant get earthworks and concrete tradies. And so on and so forth. They should have seen this coming 3-4 years ago and tackled it head on but nooooo, the country is crippled by bullshit non-interventionist ideology.

    • RedLogix 25.1

      Probably because no-one can afford to actually live in the place.

      In the meantime just down the road from me:

      http://www.domain.com.au/20-jones-avenue-mount-clear-vic-3350-2012572281

    • KJT 25.2

      No apprentices from 1990 on-wards, due to Government trashing the apprenticeship system.

      All the trades are geriatrics in their 50’s like me, or a few young people in their 20’s.
      (Apart from the ones with bullshit quals from Asia etc who will work for nothing. And South Africans)

      A 30 year gap in training.

      Meanwhile 100’s of young people in North Tec training for the two or three apprenticeships available here each year.

  26. Venezia 26

    Most of the people I know don’t watch the TVNZ or TV3 news, because it is a such poor quality, advertising saturated, waste of time.

  27. Ad 27

    I bid at auction tonight.

    CV was $730.

    Market valuation was $1.05

    First bid was $1.2

    All done at $1.41.

    Waaaaay over anything rational now.

  28. Key is only panicking because Auckland has got so out of hand that it may now just may cost him the election. A lot of people are not happy with the high levels of unskilled immigration that have been allowed to flow freely into Auckland that has resulted in horrendous pressure being put on infrastructure, terrible traffic and lower wages that have given us all a lower standard of living especially when you factor in the skyrocketing price of houses.
    Key should have stopped this years ago but he didnt because business love it. Peters pet subject has always been immigration so I bet he is just laughing his guts out with this blunder. Key has handed a potential extra couple of seats to Winstone with this incompetence.
    Immigration needs to be stopped now! More houses are needed, businesses need to get out of Auckland and into the regions and we need an investor tax to stop this obsession with current home owners and rich immigrants buying every single house in Auckland for a rental.
    Simply upping the deposit is not going to cut it as many investors now have such huge portfolios that they can easily cover a higher deposit by using their portfolios as leverage. This is why the hike on investor deposit rates at Xmas time has been a failure. What is needed is a tax to be introduced as a deteriant. So,if you want a ridicules portfolio of 164 houses then you should pay a tax and I mean a high high tax like 90percent of all rent collected.
    Key has spent years firstly denying Auckland has a housing issue, he then tried to pretend that high immigration numbers had nothing to do with it and now his latest is that high immigration is due to expats returning home from a tanked Auzzie economy. What he does not seem capable of understanding that it is high levels of expats returning back to NZ plus all his business mates low skilled immigrants that are creating this issue. We can’t stop expats from returning but we can stop unskilled immigrants. Key has even tried to tell us he found plenty of houses on trademe for under 500k in Auckland!!!
    Key is panicking, how the heck does he think all of those people looking for rentals or their first home to buy have been feeling for years? Living in Auckland with this housing crisis is darn stressful. This is pure incompetence on Nationals part and it may cost them next years election.
    To fix it the bubble has got to burst and Key does not want that happening on his watch. Part of his panic is that he knows the bubble just may burst sooner than what he was hoping for. We can’t keep going on with this.

  29. Smilin 29

    Well all Keys BS over the last 8 years has finally smacked him in the face ,failure to be in touch with the country he so falsely calls himself a citizen who understands the country’s the needs
    Sweet Home Hawaii or wherever else he is actually registered with , a bit like those ships that carry the Panamanian register but are owned by shit knows who
    And the people who are born live and die here because thats their lot which they cant change suffer the BS on housing that Key is responsible for while he allows the no country rich international cartel of no allegiance to any country but the market to buy up this nation

  30. Justice T. McGovern 30

    I hope you burn for this Key.

  31. Greg 31

    lets not forget Aussie banks in keeping kiwi farmers afloat,
    http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/farming/dairy/76949956/More-dairy-farmers-under-pressure-from-banks-as-prices-fall

    Key wont do much, except make some noise or, policy on the hoof,

  32. Guerilla Surgeon 32

    Let’s face it, prices continuing to go up would be an inconvenience maybe for key. A price crash on the other hand would be a true disaster. Who do you think owns all those spare houses.

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    4 days ago
  • Might a ‘Coasean’ social contract mitigate overall societal harm from COVID-19?
    Brian Williamson1, Prof Nick Wilson2 (1Economic consultant, UK; 2University of Otago Wellington) In this blog, we outline how a win-win social contract could be forged to address the major dimensions of response to the COVID-19 pandemic when using a mitigation strategy: the particular need to protect older people from high ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    4 days ago
  • Returning To “Normalcy”.
    Resuming Normal Service: The Republican Party's nominee for in 1920, Warren Harding, promised the American people: “not heroics, but healing; not nostrums, but normalcy; not revolution, but restoration”. If she wishes to remain our prime minister, then Jacinda Ardern will offer New Zealanders the same.HOW EDUCATED AMERICA snickered when the ...
    4 days ago
  • New Zealand’s Government Must Save New Zealand’s Media.
    No Free Society Without A Free And Functioning News Media: If we are to surrender our civil rights to the broader cause of defeating Covid-19, then foreign corporations must, likewise, surrender their right to inflict immense economic and cultural harm on New Zealanders simply because it improves their bottom line.I’M ...
    4 days ago
  • Corona fevers and the madness of models
    by Daphna Whitmore A third of the world is under lockdown and a clear assessment of this measure to curb the spread of COVID-19 is urgently needed.  With any high-stakes decisions it has to be asked what are we dealing with here? Are the measures warranted? Will they achieve their ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    4 days ago
  • Lockdown day 8
    I haven’t done a huge amount in the last few days. I’m reading The Poppy War and I’ve sort of poked at a couple of games – I started SOMA but I’m a wimp and I quit while in the first room after the brain scan. I might try it ...
    The little pakehaBy chrismiller
    5 days ago
  • Backstage and Theatre
    The swan politicians may be gliding on the water, occasionally snapping at one another. Meanwhile, as the Covid19 crisis illustrates, the officials are desperately paddling below providing the real locomotion. One of the most fatuous recent grandstanding comments (of about a week ago), adding to the public’s anxieties, was ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    5 days ago
  • Legal Beagle: Waiver, the singular Crown and the conduct of Crown legal business
    Much has been written about the importance of discretion in an emergency situation, and the concerns raised by the potential for it to be exercised arbitrarily. Given the quality of the discussion, there seemed little point in adding to it at any length. In particular, I point to the evidence ...
    5 days ago
  • Highlights from Bauer Media’s science-related reporting
    Today has felt surreal. I was all set to touch base online with my science communication students when a colleague shared the news that Bauer Media would be shutting down its publications immediately. The first link I saw implied it was Woman’s Weekly affected, and even that shocked me. But ...
    SciBlogsBy Sarah-Jane O'Connor
    5 days ago
  • Outsiders.
    Bogeymen, Real And Imagined: Is the number of psychopathic and sociopathic individuals in any given society truly as vanishingly small as we like to tell ourselves? Isn’t it more likely that the mass-shooters and serial-killers filling the headlines represent only the tip of a much, much larger iceberg of frightfulness? ...
    5 days ago
  • We have a right to know the rules we are expected to obey
    Outgoing Police Commissioner Mike Bush appeared before the Epidemic Response Committee today, who asked him for the rules police are using to enforce the lockdown. He refused:Police Commissioner Mike Bush has admitted the advice given to Kiwis about what they're able to do during the lockdown hasn't been clear enough. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Life in Lock Down: Day 7 (sanitised version)
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    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    5 days ago
  • Life in Lock Down: Day 7
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    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    5 days ago
  • RIP The Listener, New Zealand’s pioneering voice
    Funnily enough, my thought as I start this post is whether it will be well written enough. Or should that be well enough written? Because so much of what I know about good writing came from my two stints at The Listener, which this morning was shut down due to ...
    PunditBy Tim Watkin
    5 days ago
  • OK, Britney: stop sniping at National for doing its job
    With normal democratic procedures in abeyance, there were two ways to go. First, it was open for the government to dissolve itself and invite the National Party to join a ministry of national salvation. That would have lessened the democratic deficit of the times by having a team of rivals without ...
    PunditBy Liam Hehir
    5 days ago
  • Helpful tips for parents during lockdown
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    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    5 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #13, 2020
    6 days ago
  • Hungary is now a dictatorship
    Hungary has been a virtual dictatorship for a decade now, as Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has gradually eroded its democracy. But now, its official, with the passage of an indefinite emergency law allowing rule by decree:Hungary’s parliament has passed a new set of coronavirus measures that includes jail terms for ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • A new Ministry of Works
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Capture: Well spaced out
    It's my distraction,  setting up tiny scenes to photograph.  I've got stuck on the Babushka dolls for now.  Something about their bubble shape.  Something about their never changing, smiling features, suggesting persistent equanimity.  Can we get through everything that is being thrown at us and keep at least a tiny ...
    6 days ago
  • Life in Lock Down: Day 6
    . . March 31: Day six of living in lock-down… This time I managed to sleep a little longer and the alarm woke me at the pre-set time: 6.55am. Then remembered I was working a later shift and could’ve slept in. Oh well, there are things to do at home. ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    6 days ago
  • March ’20 – NZ blogs sitemeter ranking
    Image credit: Diamond Harbour School Blogs I notice a few regulars no longer allow public access to the site counters. This may happen accidentally when the blog format is altered. If your blog is unexpectedly missing or ...
    6 days ago
  • Hard News: Poll Pot and the partisans
    Yesterday's Horizon poll showing support for a "Yes" vote in this year's cannabis referendum sliding into the majority for the first time in a year looked like good news for reformers – and it probably is. But the result warrants some scrutiny.The poll is the fifth in a series commissioned ...
    6 days ago
  • Why those bubbles are so important
    For almost a week now, every one of us who isn’t an essential worker has been confined to their bubble. We are allowed to go shopping for groceries, to visit the doctor, and to get a bit of exercise if we stay local. The reason we are doing this is ...
    SciBlogsBy Siouxsie Wiles
    6 days ago
  • A Government System That Works
    The Covid-19 saga will no doubt produce many twists and turns for us before it is finally brought to an end. But one thing it has shown us – and what comfort it should bring us – is that our country’s government is in good hands. I am not thinking ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    6 days ago
  • Smashing down the barriers: Where are we at with COVID vaccines?
    In the absence of a vaccine or a cure for a deadly disease, staying home in your bubble is what you do, the concept is not new.  To the best of my knowledge last time we did this in NZ was for polio, in the years before a vaccine came ...
    SciBlogsBy Helen Petousis Harris
    7 days ago
  • National Network on Cuba (USA): “Cuban medical solidarity is a pillar of its society and is founde...
    The following statement was released on March 28 by the National Network on Cuba, a coalition of 40 groups, based in the United States. In recent weeks, Cuba has deployed hundreds of medical providers to over a dozen countries in Europe, Asia, as well as to their neighbors in Latin ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    7 days ago
  • Alarming decrease in calves increases fears for endangered Hector’s dolphin
    This has been a terrible summer for Hector’s dolphins. The first indication was very low numbers of dolphin sightings during late spring and early summer. The Otago University Marine Mammal Research Team has carried out routine dolphin surveys at Banks Peninsula for more than 30 years. In all that time, ...
    SciBlogsBy Otago Marine Science
    7 days ago
  • Time for Grant Robertson to reveal package #2?
    On March 17, Finance Minister Grant Robertson was quick out of the blocks with an economic rescue package to help businesses through the inevitable recession resulting from the coronavirus pandemic. Robertson had pulled together a scheme in short order that so far seems to have saved many jobs. In his ...
    PunditBy Tim Watkin
    7 days ago
  • Saving lives
    The purpose of the lockdown is to save lives, by reducing the spread of covid-19. We won't know if its really working for another week, but given the devastation that will result if it doesn't - 14,000 dead is the optimistic scenario - its definitely worth trying. But pausing the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Life in Lock Down: Day 5
    . . March 30: Day five of living in lock-down… Woke up still in darkness. Alarm hadn’t gone off. Turn to radio clock; it’s a few minutes after 6am… I lie there in the dark, waiting to drift off to sleep… but it ain’t happening. Clock ticks over to 6.55 ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    7 days ago
  • Speaker: Les Gray: the man who told the truth
    The story of Les Gray, the public sector psychologist who told the truth about his use of cannabis and set off a storm, has a special place in the lore of cannabis reform in New Zealand.When Paul Shannon interviewed Gray for the 'Dope and Hope' issue of Planet magazine in ...
    1 week ago
  • Why now? Historical specificity and the perfect storm that has created trans identity politics
    by Phil Duncan For Marxists, a key concern about social trends is their context – not just their causes, but why they happen when they do.  Events and phenomena have causes, but they also are time or period-specific. While much of the left have capitulated recently to postmodernism, most notably ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Time for a living wage for supermarket workers
    Since the lockdown began, we've all suddenly been reminded who the actually essential workers in our society are: not the people at the top who pay themselves the big bucks and rort the perks, but the people at the bottom they screw over and squeeze: cleaners, warehouse staff, truck drivers ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Hard News: MUSIC: Lockdown Grooves
    Kia ora! As I've watched nearly all my remaining work vanish over the past couple of days, it has occured to me that one good way to keep me away from arguing with fools on Twitter all the time (in the knowledge that all we're really doing is processing our ...
    1 week ago
  • A place of greater safety?
    Aotearoa New Zealand has committed to trying to extirpate the virus that causes COVID-19 from its shores. To do that, as a society we’ve moved to “Level 4”. That means adapting to unprecedented restrictions on our personal freedoms, particularly to our rights to move freely and associate with friends and ...
    PunditBy Andrew Geddis
    1 week ago
  • The police and public trust
    When the Prime Minister declared a state of emergency last week, she handed the police powers to enforce it. And almost immediately, we started hearing about heavy-handed, arbitrary "enforcement" by police who (at best) cared more about order than law, or (more likely) had no idea what the rules were ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Life in Lock Down: Day 4
    . . Lock Down: Day 4 – A photo essay with observations . March 29: Usual wake up routine as RNZ snaps on my radio-clock. Jim Mora’s voice slowly enters my conciousness; there’s talk of a second wave of covid19 taking hold in South Korea; the week in Parliament – ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • COVID-19 vs New Zealand
    Yesterday, New Zealand recorded its first Covid-19 related death on the West Coast. Unfortunately this is unlikely to be the only fatality, with the virus now being found in every region of the country.However despite the significant danger, people are still unfortunately breaching lockdown rules.There’s really only one main very ...
    1 week ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming Digest #13
    Story of the Week... Toon of the Week... Coming Soon on SkS... Climate Feedback Claim Review... SkS Week in Review... Poster of the Week... Story of the Week... ‘Misinformation kills’: The link between coronavirus conspiracies and climate denial   Grist / Rob Kim / Stringer / CSA Images  Scientific ...
    1 week ago
  • Rāhui day 4
    The kids did surprisingly well today – meltdown count was about 3, and mostly fairly short ones. (And a fourth while I was writing.) Game-wise I had a go at Fell Seal: Arbiter’s Mark. It’s a fairly standard RPG with turn-based combat and what they call a “mature storyline” (it ...
    The little pakehaBy chrismiller
    1 week ago
  • Letter to a friend
    by Don Franks Hi David, Nice hearing from you, I’m glad to hear you’re getting by okay in these grim times. You asked how’s it going for us back here in New Zealand. You would have heard that the whole country is locked down and with breaks for exercise and ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Life in Lock Down: Day 3
    . . Lock Down: Day 3 – A photo essay with observations . March 28: First day of the first weekend in Lock Down. It feels like it’s been weeks since only Level 3 was declared last Tuesday, only four days ago. Woke up this morning to RNZ; coffee; toast, ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #13
    A chronological listing of news articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week, i.e., Sun, Mar 22, 2020 through Sat, Mar 28, 2020 Articles Linked to on Facebook Sun, Mar 22, 2020 In Just 10 Years, Warming Has Increased the Odds of Disasters by Chelsea Harvey, ...
    1 week ago
  • Rāhui day 3
    I’m here in lockdown with my flatmate and her two girls (6 and 2) and it. is. a time. They’re usually really active so to start with the only boardgame in the house is the copy of Guess Who that the 6 year old got for her birthday. Flatmate commented ...
    The little pakehaBy chrismiller
    1 week ago
  • A test of civil society.
    The CV-19 (COVID) pandemic has seen the imposition of a government ordered national quarantine and the promulgation of a series of measures designed to spread the burden of pain and soften the economic blow on the most strategically important and most vulnerable sectors of society. The national narrative is framed ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 week ago
  • Life in Lock Down: Day 2
    . . Lock Down: Day 2 – A photo essay with observations . March 27 – Day 2 of our Strange New World. The Park and Ride near my suburb, usually filled with hundreds of vehicles, had just… four; . . Another drive into Wellington City on a highway nearly ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • How Do You Feel? What Do You Think?
    Fortune's Children: Under extraordinary pressure, the leader of the Government and the leader of the Opposition will each show us what they are made of. Have they been blessed with intelligence, grace, wit, poise, toughness, empathy and humour – and in what measure? More importantly, to what extent have they ...
    1 week ago

  • Government helps Pacific communities fight COVID
    The Government is stepping up efforts to help protect New Zealand’s Pacific communities in the fight against COVID-19. Cabinet has agreed that $17 million will be allocated to support a COVID-19 Pacific Response Package, which will: Support Pacific health and disability services facing increased demand; Ramp up public health messaging ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 hour ago
  • Statement from the Prime Minister on Dr David Clark
    “Yesterday evening the Health Minister advised me of his trip to a beach during the lockdown and offered his resignation,” Jacinda Ardern said.  “Under normal conditions I would sack the Minister of Health. What he did was wrong, and there are no excuses.  “But right now, my priority is our ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 hours ago
  • Statement from David Clark
    Last night as part of my preparation for the Epidemic Response Committee, I provided the Prime Minister with a complete picture of my activity outside my home during Alert Level 4.  That included the fact that on the first weekend of the Alert Level 4 lockdown I drove my family ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 hours ago
  • New Zealanders in Peru to be assisted by Government charter flight
    The New Zealand Government has made arrangements to charter a flight for New Zealanders stranded in Peru to depart the country, following agreement with the Chilean government to allow the necessary transit through Chile, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters announced today. “Like many travellers around the world at the moment, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    18 hours ago
  • COVID-19 Hospital Preparation Well Advanced
    Hospital preparations for COVID-19 are well advanced says Health Minister David Clark. “Hospitals across New Zealand are repurposing buildings and training staff to get ready for COVID-19 patients. This gives me confidence that we are well prepared for any potential increase in COVID-19 patients needing hospital level care,” said David ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Further measures to support businesses
    The Government will be introducing legislation to make changes to the Companies Act to help companies facing insolvency due to COVID-19 to remain viable and keep New Zealanders in jobs. The temporary changes include: Giving directors of companies facing significant liquidity problems because of COVID-19 a ‘safe harbour’ from insolvency ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Govt’s COVID plan, economic strength recognised
    The Government’s plan to cushion the blow of COVID-19 by supporting incomes, jobs and businesses, and position the economy to recover has been backed by another international report. International credit rating agency Moody’s today reaffirmed its highest Aaa credit rating on New Zealand, saying the economy is expected to remain ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Funding certainty for sports through COVID-19
    National sports organisations have been given certainty of funding to ensure they can remain viable through the COVID-19 pandemic, Sport and Recreation Minister Grant Robertson announced today. “The global spread of COVID-19 has had a significant impact on sport and recreation in New Zealand, including the cancellation or postponement of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Butchers now allowed to process pork
    Changes have been made to allow butchers to process pork, only for supply to supermarkets or other processors or retailers that are open, Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor has announced. “We carefully weighed the risk of allowing butchers to open their shops for retail customers, but the risk of spreading COVID-19 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Essential workers leave scheme established
    Essential workers who take leave from work to comply with public health guidance are being supported with a leave scheme to ensure they will continue to receive income, say the Minister of Workplace Relations and Safety Iain Lees-Galloway and Minister for Social Development, Carmel Sepuloni. A number of essential businesses ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Govt WhatsApp helps share COVID-19 information
    A Government WhatsApp channel has been launched to help make information more easily accessible and shareable in the fight against COVID-19. Govt.NZ, which is free to use on any mobile device, will carry information and news for the public, businesses, healthcare providers, not for profits and local government. It can ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Managed departure plan for stranded foreign nationals enables safe, orderly exit
    The Government has announced a plan to enable the safe, orderly exit of tens of thousands of stranded foreign nationals from New Zealand during the current COVID-19 Alert Level 4 restrictions, Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Winston Peters has said. “When we moved into lockdown a week ago, the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government delivers COVID-19 support to GPs and Pharmacies
    Health Minister Dr David Clark says the Government is delivering on its commitment to support general practice doctors and nurses, and pharmacies on the front-line of our fight against COVID-19. "For us to overcome COVID-19, we need community health services such as general practice and community pharmacy to step up ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Susan Thomas the new Chief High Court Judge
    Justice Susan Thomas has been appointed Chief High Court Judge, Attorney-General David Parker announced today.  She replaces Justice Geoffrey Venning who has resigned from the position.   David Parker paid tribute to Justice Venning, who he said had stewarded the High Court very capably over the last five years.   “On behalf ...
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    5 days ago
  • Business Finance Guarantee – applications open
    Businesses can start applying to their banks for loans under the Business Finance Guarantee Scheme set up to support the New Zealand economy during the COVID-19 pandemic. “We’re moving quickly to protect New Zealand businesses, jobs and the economy during this unprecedented global economic shock,” Finance Minister Grant Robertson said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Work starts on ways to fast-track consents to boost recovery from Covid-19 downturn
    Work is underway looking at measures to speed up consents for development and infrastructure projects during the recovery from COVID 19, to provide jobs and stimulate our economy.  Environment Minister David Parker said the COVID-19 pandemic is a serious global crisis that will have a wide ranging and lasting impact ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Advance payments to support contractors
    Advance payments will be made to transport construction industry contractors to retain the workforce and ensure it is ready to quickly gear up to build projects which will be vital to New Zealand’s COVID-19 economic recovery, Transport Minister Phil Twyford announced today. He said keeping the workforce required to build ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government seeks infrastructure projects
    The Government has tasked a group of industry leaders to seek out infrastructure projects that are ready to start as soon as the construction industry returns to normal to reduce the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, Economic Development Minister Phil Twyford and Infrastructure Minister Shane Jones say. The Infrastructure ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Health system scaled up to prepare for COVID-19
    Work to scale up the health system in preparation for COVID-19 was today outlined by Health Minister David Clark, as he reported back to the new Epidemic Response Committee. “We are well placed to contain the spread of COVID-19. We have taken early and decisive action at our borders, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Essential media COVID-19 guidelines refined
    The Government is refining its COVID-19 essential business guidance to include the distribution of news publications for communities which are hard to reach. The Minister of Broadcasting, Communications and Digital Media, Kris Faafoi, said the move was in recognition of the importance for New Zealanders who might be harder to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Supermarkets able to open on Easter Sunday
    The Government is ensuring supermarkets can open on Easter Sunday so we can buy groceries, but stay closed on Good Friday allowing workers to take a break. This provides a balanced approach and ensures we avoid large queues that two days closure may cause. “Supermarkets will be able to open ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • New Zealand defence personnel conclude mission at Taji
    Following the successful conclusion of the Building Partner Capacity (BPC) mission at Taji, New Zealand defence personnel are returning to New Zealand from Iraq, in accordance with the Cabinet decision made in June 2019, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters and Defence Minister Ron Mark announced today. “New Zealand is very ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • State of National Emergency extended
    The State of National Emergency to help stop the spread of COVID-19 has been extended for a further seven days, Minister of Civil Defence Peeni Henare said. The initial declaration on March 25 lasted seven days and can be extended as many times as necessary. “Since we went into isolation ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Strong Govt books support ‘go hard, go early’ response
    New Zealand’s ability to go hard and go early in the fight against COVID-19 has been underpinned by strong Government finances and the growing economy heading into this global pandemic, Finance Minister Grant Robertson says. The Treasury today released the Crown financial statements for the eight months to the end ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Christchurch Hospital Hagley ICU to open to support COVID-19 response
    Health Minister Dr David Clark says 36 new intensive care beds at Christchurch Hospital’s new Hagley building are being fast tracked so they are available for treatment of COVID-19 patients.   The Ministry of Health is working with contractor CPB and Canterbury DHB to enable access to the hospital’s ICU, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government supports Air NZ freight flights
    The Government has fast-tracked up to $1 million to help Air New Zealand move urgent freight to and from New Zealand, with the first flight to Shanghai leaving tonight, Transport Minister Phil Twyford announced today. Phil Twyford says it’s crucial that trade in vital goods such as medical supplies and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Tariff concessions on COVID-19 related products
    New Zealand will temporarily remove tariffs on all medical and hygiene imports needed for the COVID-19 response. Trade and Export Growth Minister David Parker and Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Kris Faafoi said today that the New Zealand Customs Service will apply tariff concessions to all diagnostic reagents and testing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Clarification of modification to wage subsidy scheme
    Minister of Finance Grant Robertson has clarified that the changes to the wage subsidy scheme announced yesterday mean that employers should be passing on the full subsidy to workers, except in the case where the person’s normal income is less than the level of the subsidy. “We still want employers ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Face masks flowing to DHBs
    Medical face masks from the national reserve supply are now being distributed to District Health Boards, while at the same time local production is being ramped up. Yesterday more than 640,000 masks were sent to DHBS – that is an immediate two week supply, with more to follow in coming ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • COVID-19: Further steps to protect New Zealanders’ jobs
    The Government has made modifications to the wage subsidy scheme to ensure people don’t lose their jobs during the national lockdown. These changes will soften the impact of COVID-19 on workers, families and businesses, and position them to exit the lockdown and look to recovery, Finance Minister Grant Robertson says. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Tax relief for Mycoplasma Bovis farmers
    Farmers whose herds were culled in response to the outbreak of Mycoplasma bovis will be able to minimise the tax treatment of their income in some circumstances. Revenue Minister Stuart Nash says Cabinet has agreed to change the law. It means farmers may be eligible to spread their income over ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • $27 million for NGOs and community groups to continue providing essential services
    A $27 million dollar package, effective immediately, is being provided to social sector services and community groups to ensure they can continue to provide essential support to communities as we stay at home as a nation to stop the spread of COVID-19, Minister for Social Development Carmel Sepuloni announced. “At ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Statement on guilty plea of March 15 terrorist
    “The guilty plea today will provide some relief to the many people whose lives were shattered by what happened on March 15,” Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said. “These guilty pleas and conviction bring accountability for what happened and also save the families who lost loved ones, those who were injured, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • COVID-19 updates
    The Prime Minister is holding daily press conferences to update New Zealanders on the Government's response to COVID-19. Links to videos and transcripts of these updates below. These transcripts also include All of Government press conferences led by Director Ministry of Health's Director-General of Health Dr Ashley Bloomfield. 25 March: Live update from the Prime ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Police numbers break through 10,000 mark
    Frontline Police numbers have broken through the 10,000 mark for the first time in history as officers step forward to keep the community safe during the COVID19 lockdown. “Two Police graduations in Auckland and Wellington in the past week have been conducted in unprecedented circumstances,” Police Minister Stuart Nash said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Urgent tax measures for economic recovery
    Urgent legislation has been passed to support the package of economic and social measures needed to recover from the impact of the coronavirus outbreak. “The COVID-19 Response (Taxation and Social Assistance Urgent Measures) Bill will cushion New Zealanders from the worst economic impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak,” said Revenue Minister ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Further support for farmers and growers as drought persists
    From tomorrow, Government support for farmers and growers affected by drought will be expanded and extended across the country, with access to Rural Assistance Payments (RAPS) available throughout the North Island, parts of the South Island and the Chatham Islands, Social Development Minister Carmel Sepuloni announced. “These challenging conditions have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • COVID-19: Temporary changes to Education Act
    Parliament has passed amendments to legislation that give the Secretary of Education stronger powers to act in the fight to limit the spread of COVID-19, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “They are part of a suite of changes passed under the COVID-19 Response (Urgent Management Measures) Legislation Bill,” Chris ...
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