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6:00 am, April 27th, 2022 - 52 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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Gazprom issued warning to Poland gas supplies will be cut from Wednesday,after failure to pay for supplies in Russian currency.
https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/1519021325389602817?cxt=HHwWgoC5oZ320pQqAAAA
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/eastward-yamal-gas-flows-germany-poland-remain-steady-2022-01-23/
Question…as Gazprom gas to Germany flows through Poland how do they cut supply to an intermediate point, or prevent reverse flows?
Nordstream 1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nord_Stream
Yes, but as of a month ago the Yamal line was still in operation…has it been shut down?
Not yet,but he is advancing the European agenda,b4 they can get LNG distribution platforms in place.Germany has no LNG facilities so economic damage will be severe.
It also affects electricity distribution across Europe and makes European manufacturing very expensive.
Yes there are price and time implications but if there is flow through Poland there are options….not necessarily good options, but still options.
IEA confirms gas to Poland and Bulgaria has stopped.
https://twitter.com/fbirol/status/1519208710056382464?cxt=HHwWgMC46bmRqJUqAAAA
It appears Poland were planning to cease Russian gas supply by year end anyway….they have reserves and alternative supplies in train….Bulgaria maybe not so.
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-61237519
The Norwegian pipeline comes on in Oct.Around 5% of gas for electricity,a lot for fertilizer.(poland)
Just finishing reading the "daily review" comments from last night.
A good debate with valid points on both sides.
Congrats to all who participated.
Another 2 Russian generals reportedly killed in the Ukraine! Making a total of 10!
There's something seriously wrong with the command structure of the Russian armed forces!
The Russian forces don't use the US/UK (and NZ) model of good numbers of professional NCOs, so senior Russian officers see more front line duty than in the model we are more familiar with.
https://www.sandboxx.us/blog/the-russian-militarys-weak-nco-corps-on-display-in-ukraine/ gives a bit of insight into the lack of NCOs.
Longstanding military joke: Officers think they run the army. Sergeants know they do.
conscripts need direct motivation Russias armed forces are not as well trained as Putin would have us believe.Thats why their Generals are in the front line.
Bomber reports AUT cancelling free speech:
AUT is New Zealand's third largest university in terms of total student enrolment, with approximately 29,100 students enrolled across three campuses in Auckland. I was seriously impressed to discover that its wiki contains no section on governance!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auckland_University_of_Technology
Perhaps the thing governs itself?? You know, on autopilot, like an amoeba. Anyway, we don't know how to find out who did the cancelling. This operation is clearly a serious contender for the Evasion of Accountability & Responsibility Excellence Award, and Putin ought to take note of how they do it. Except that their magic invisibility screen is so damn good his spooks probably can't penetrate it.
There is a strident Trans Rights Activist on the staff of AUT. Any deviation from the required beliefs is protested.
FSU say that the reason AUT gave was incomplete paperwork. Wish FSU would publish everything and make it transparent.
incomplete paperwork
A standard method of defense employed by bureaucrats since time immemorial.
Wish FSU would publish everything and make it transparent.
Incompetence. They ought to put it here:
https://www.fsu.nz/news
I mean, really, this is elementary. If they're too busy, put a one-liner there asking for volunteers to do it!
Their Academic Freedom Poll Results are from 1,266 respondents. That's a goodly portion of the whole, methinks. However their link onsite only appears when you hover your cursor over the title. Bad design.
Visitors scanning the page will wonder why the title appears over a huge blank space (as I did) and think they forgot to write text to explain it! Get media savvy, dudes. Think how eyeballs work! And there's also this here org from olden times:
https://nzccl.org.nz/
Freedom of thought, expression, and action, and the protection of these rights from government interference or restriction.
If the "paperwork is incomplete" sure that is easily remeded……..Re schedule the metting and complete the paper work in time! Too easy.
Or else take the b….ards to court and sue the pants off them.
Surprized more others on this site aren't up in arms about this.
Have to support this post from Dennis. Freedom of speech, assembly and association should be upheld by us all.
I do personally draw the line at open Nazis though, others may disagree of course on that.
this is the other problem. There's a whole Grand Canyon between GCFs and Nazis, but the cancelculture bros want to make out they are both a threat to society and the same degree of threat.
There's a good examination of dynamics and tactics used in this piece about email pronouns.
https://www.legalfeminist.org.uk/2022/04/26/grammar-and-grievance/
Thanks for that link weka…it was a really interesting piece. I will send it to my daughter to read, she has been negotiating her way through that minefield at various Art Schools she has been attending….by the sounds of it, some of those institutions have been very heavily mined!
it's pretty intense out there. I'm so glad I don't work or study in places where the war is happening.
Reading this personal account from an older TiM, and thinking about the echo chambers we can create in our online interactions, I wonder how IRL we can counteract those limited perspectives.
He talks about "surviving testosterone poisoning" and his belief in the unavoidable monstrous nature of men. A disturbing read for anyone. Such a limited and damaging view of the possibilities and realities of men, and the contributions they can make in the world. (I'll leave discussion of his understanding of 'feminists' and 'toxic masculinity' for another time, while acknowledging the damage that the interpretations that he had created for him, and continues to create for society).
https://cutdowntree.substack.com/p/purification-rites?s=r
"When I connected to the internet, I was inundated with messages about the violence of maleness. This wasn't just "toxic masculinity"–I saw feminists saying all masculinity was toxic, that all men were rapists, all men were oppressors, all men should be killed. As a white man, I was directly responsible for all of the oppression experienced by women and people of color. I was fourteen years old and had never been in a fight in my life or said a racist or misogynistic word to anyone, but I believed that the circumstances of my birth made me a monster. "
This categorisaton of oneself as beyond the pale, is mirrored in the account from a TiF detransitioner:
https://lacroicsz.substack.com/p/by-any-other-name?utm_source=url&s=r
The first author retains an admirable amount of detail of the thinking processes that were taking place during his childhood and youth, and gives some insight into his reasoning, emotions and reactions.
For those interested in the topic, or at least wondering whether medicalisation should be celebrated as the only option, both pieces are worth the read. And any ensuing discussion.
There is a general attack on masculinity in popular culture and in universities. And it’s more acute in progressive circles. Whereas the right wing tends to toxicity. It’s not like there is a shortage of good male role models, but pop culture portrays males as either brutes, oafs, or completely emasculated androgynes like BTS (the k-pop boy band).
Our culture is failing its boys. Elevating all sorts of other identities and lifestyles. But the reality for boys is that they need a father figure, a stable home, and a more active education rather than Ritalin.
I don't disagree, but I believe that we are failing both boys and girls in the messages we are sending to them. The fact that messages are amplified for individuals in online echo-chambers, makes it more difficult to ensure that more diverse voices are heard and reduction in community real life contacts with people, might also narrow perspectives.
It is the expectation of particular roles that causes damage for both boys and girls. Alongside a rejection and criticism of the traditional masculine stereotype, there is a rejection of the traditional feminine caretaker. It is assumed that both are regressive models, rather than it is the expectation that only those models are acceptable that is regressive.
I thought the first article covered the points you make really well.
Does anyone here know the relationship of the sisters to the victim?
News articles seem to be completely devoid of details.
Te Puna child killer: Woman pleads guilty to murder of 5-year-old Malachi Subecz
National are going to have to be very careful how they respond to David Parker’s tax information gathering initiative. Labour are framing it to find out if all New Zealanders are paying their fair share of tax. The suspicion is that the top few percent are not.
Should National be too heavy handed in opposing the legislation, and it’s findings, they stand to be accused of only wanting to look after the rich. We know that is the case, but I’m sure it’s not the way they want to be portrayed to the wider electorate.
Good times!
Without a generic CGT they probably have affairs structured for capital gain i.e. not taxed, totally legit.
I'd like to see then skewered on the tax havens they 'allowed' as kiwis need a reminder as to nationals true MO.
I very much doubt they are that worried. We all know people (National, Labour and Green Party voters) avoiding tax either purposefully through Trusts and what not, or more under the radar through simple accountancy sleigh of hand. National voters are people who do this with a bold sense of entitlement, or, more sadly, people who simply dream of being in a position to "claim their entitlements". Its rather like capital gains tax, or a meaningful drop in house prices, you would think people would have some desire for change alongside some level of shame for their profiteering …but they simply don't.
God willed that a statuesque head of his daughter be found. A farmer in Gaza found it, and thanked God:
Wikipedia: "In the Baal Cycle texts, Anat appears as a war-goddess, initially called upon by her father El". You may recall this original name of God the father from Genesis in the Bible (he renamed himself YHVH later to Moses).
Obvious explanation of ignorance about God's daughter is cultural transmission in a patriarchy. El was creator deity for various ancient semitic tribes, not just Hebrews & Canaanites. Interesting that freedom of choice prevailed in ancient times too. Genesis:
God seems to have had a family and one naturally wonders who he had it with. Theologians have exhibited a tendency in the past to assume God wasn't actually telling the truth about this when instructing the authors of Genesis. Usage of metaphor was implied, as if to suggest that the Bible is not actually literally true. One suspects that fundamentalists get itchy trigger fingers when confronted by such theologians!
A sincere faith in God can accept the existence of mysteries and unresolved questions. Only a fundamentalist demands certainty (which leaves no room for faith)
Govt launches new mask exemption card
So will people who want the new exemption from mask wearing card have to prove they have some relevant condition that makes it difficult/harmful for them to wear a mask?
The fact the card can be obtained online or over the phone suggests a no me. The non-maskers will likely be able to continue to get a card they don't qualify for and which now cannot be questioned.
That's if they even bother. All along some have been able to say they have an exemption but as I understand could not be compelled to prove it. For some it's only been about them.
I realise there is genuine need to be exempt for some but basing the system on honesty and trust in NZ in a pandemic was always a mistake.
I always felt that enforcement of mask-wearing should have been stricter and the government should not have left it to businesses. If people needed an exemption they could have rung their medical centre and a practice nurse could have easily confirmed any pre-existing condition from their medical record.
Then it should have been no mask = prove your exemption or no entry. Simple.
Coincidence you say this Grey Area. I have just come in from a morning op shopping with a friend. First time I have been out for some discretionary retail therapy for a long time. Suitably masked up with my friend we wandered through a series of charity shops all clumped in one area together. I came across a young woman about 19 years old unmasked. I said to her politely "why are you not wearing a mask", she promptly opened her phone and showed me a an exemption cert. I thanked her and wandered on. She joined a group of a Mum and a Dad and a son of about the 16 years.
I chatted with my friend and we concurred that it was highly unlikely the entire family was exempt and what a farce it was. Anybody could replicate a message on their phone and be buggered about everybody else's health. It really upsets me that pockets of the population are so thoughtless about other people and their own health concerns. This family looked pretty hale and hearty to me, not autoimmune compromised or struggling with poor health. They followed us through all of the op shops haunting us with their bare faces – typical.
Just my contribution to my day out in the big bad world for some time now.
Forgot to say the entire family were not masked which made it pretty odd that they were all kosher with exemptions.
Ha. I was going mention my regular anecdotal observation of what appear to be family groups in Bunnings, all unmasked. Curious I've thought. Funny how they all must have conditions precluding mask use.
Woman attending an appointment in the Superclinic a couple of months ago, responded aggressively to the receptionist offering a mask. She neither offered proof of her stated exemption or was asked to provide it by staff.
A good proportion of the women in the waiting room were there for chemotherapy, and so, immunocompromised.
Having done the neutropeanic thing back in 2010 with Peter, I get the necessity to deploy as many infection preventative measures as are available until one's immune system regains some level of function. I recall that there was more concern about the patient catching a gastro bug…although it was a chest infection that nearly felled Himself.
The immunocompromised person wearing a mask signals to others that this particular person requires an extra degree of care. Of course, in a hospital …and especially in an oncology setting… wearing a mask when there is widespread community transmission is a no brainer.
Having said that...research strongly suggests that both the surgical masks and the N95 masks are of limited effectiveness…
The study, published in JAMA, found that surgical masks were as effective as N95 respirators at preventing the flu, which is to say, not all that effective because, of the 446 nurses who took part in this study, nearly one in four (24%) in the surgical mask group still got the flu as did 23% of those who wore the N95 respirator. And, because both groups wore masks, it’s impossible to say how they would have fared compared with not wearing a mask at all.
This piece from, The Conversation, quite sensibly states that those folk infectious with a serious respiratory disease, such as the flu, are most likely feeling so crook they are unlikely to be out and about spreading Te Virus.
Of course in these Covid times, with the Pfizer product having limited effectiveness at preventing infection and transmission and reasonable effectiveness at reducing symptoms for a short time after being administered, the chances of infectious people feeling well enough to be out and about because the jab is 'working' so well is higher.
So taking all the precautions to hand to prevent catching Covid if you might be more at risk of serious outcomes is not such a silly idea….even if wearing a mask is largely signalling to others that the wearer is vulnerable.
https://twitter.com/jamespeshaw/status/1519137375892295681
https://twitter.com/jamespeshaw/status/1519137380522889217
Maori as paragons of democracy? Looks like it's there in the tradition:
So chiefly mana came from a sense of being rooted in the social matrix. Hierarchy as a privilege system had to be foisted onto them by the Treaty. That changes my view considerably! More organic social process than I thought.
Building fake bridges across the cultural divide is poor governance. Therefore I wish Labour success in its attempt to provide an authentic alternative.
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/anne-salmond-tiriti-and-democracy-part-4-unite-and-rule
Kei te pai. This would forgive a lot of other sins.
https://twitter.com/lisametofox/status/1519035925627805696
There’s probably some symbolism in the old wooden bridge that connects the Waitangi Treaty Grounds with Paihia. It’s. a one-way bridge with no traffic signals that is often the site of jams in summer as wealthy Aucklanders vie to tow their massive boats across. Meanwhile the construction of the bridge caused the lower reaches of the Waitangi River to silt up and its once beautiful beaches to become covered with mangroves. The signs prohibit people from jumping off but I have been ignoring that for years!
Looks like Kiwi citizens and residents not allowed back in the country have won a case against the government.
Grounded Kiwis fight in the High Court ends in success – NZ Herald
Hard to know what's what until we see the specific details, Jimmy. I saw the story on Stuff (not willing to pay for the NZH), which seemed a bit vague:
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/127890187/grounded-kiwis-win-miq-was-a-lottery-when-better-options-were-available-judge-decides
Hipkins'; "The judge’s decision was being carefully considered", sounds like the government's lawyers may be considering an appeal, depending on the final wording of the judge's orders and declarations. I guess we'll know more in a fortnight or so.
From your link Jimmy. "We welcome the Court's determination that the requirement for returnees to undergo MIQ was lawful and was not an unjustified infringement of New Zealanders' right to come home," he said.
"The Court also ruled that the requirement for people entering the country to isolate was lawful and was reasonable and proportionate even when, from mid-October 2021, those in the community who had the virus and their close contacts were able to self-isolate at home."
Hipkins did accept the court's ruling that the virtual lobby system said the Government infringed on New Zealand citizens' right to enter the country.
"We are carefully considering the Court's decision," he said.
The Crown needs to appeal this both to Appeal and Supreme Court levels.
Parliament needs to be guided by stronger BORA judgements all round in preparation for the next one.
Has the crown actually won a case yet?
Beloved old fossil Joe Bennett writes faux pas in that bastion of progressive thought, the Otago Daily Times
https://twitter.com/manidunlop/status/1519117924153319426?s=21&t=u9XolMmlpXjtpT8W7G_zCQ
Dear old Joe is listening to the wrong station. He can hear the Queen’s English as she is spoke on the BBC (oops they have presenters from all their colonies with weird accents too!). This is Te Reo Irirangi o Aotearoa, i.e. Radio New Zealand, which represents us.