According to the latest Roy Morgan poll, the tyres are deflating on the National Party Crown Beamers:
During June support for National fell 2.5% to 43%, now just ahead of a potential Labour/Greens alliance 42.5% (up 1%). If a New Zealand Election was held now the latest NZ Roy Morgan Poll shows NZ First 9% would still be in a position to determine who would form the next New Zealand Government…
Of the three Parliamentary Opposition parties – Labour’s support was at 28% (down 1.5%), Greens 14.5% (up 2.5%) and NZ First 9% (down 0.5%).
More worryingly for National’s chances next year, the RM Government Confidence Rating dropped 9.5 points to 120.5 points. Having said that, electors who say that NZ is heading in the right direction still vastly outnumber those who say otherwise.
It doesn’t appear that the MOU has done Labour any favours though, with its support slightly softening. The Greens strengthened 2.5%. Although both changes were within the margin of error.
Gary Morgan comments:
Today’s result leaves New Zealand First 9% (down 0.5%) still in the strong position to determine who will form the next Government if an election were held today.
The poll was conducted May 30 – June 12, catching basically all the immediate reaction to the Labour/Greens MOU.