web analytics
The Standard
Advertising

3 strikes law could increase murders – Nats’ secret official advice

Written By: - Date published: 12:00 am, April 20th, 2010 - 154 comments
Categories: accountability, crime, john key, national - Tags: ,

Curious as to why Simon Power suddenly stopped being lead minister on the ‘three strikes’ legislation, we sent off an Official Information Act request to his office. When the deadline for that request was extended beyond the usual 20 working days, we knew something was up.

This is not some minor piece of scandal, or some breach of good process to shake our heads at. It’s much worse.

The following passage is from Ministry of Justice advice marked ‘sensitive’ that Power received on December 16th last year – Power was replaced as lead minister by Judith Collins soon after and the Ministry of Justice, incredibly, was prevented from giving evidence to the select committee.

Now, you’ll see what National was so desperate to keep secret:

(pdfs of docs: 3 strikes OIA homicide increase 3 strikes OIA homicide increase single page and 3 strikes OIA cover pages)

We don’t need to tell you how serious this is.

While they have been telling us that three strikes will reduce serious offending, the Government has been warned by its own officials that its three strikes policy may lead to people being murdered. Its reaction was not to drop the policy but to muzzle the officials and try to keep this secret from New Zealand.

We are sickened.

The revelation that three strikes may increase the homicide rate was contained in the last paper Simon Power received as minister responsible for the policy before it was handed over to Judith Collins.

We have no doubt that this is the reason that Power refused to be lead minister on this policy any longer. For his faults, he is basically a decent man and there is no way he would have been able to face championing a policy. Collins appears to have no such moral qualms.

Three strikes must be abandoned now before it gets anyone killed.

And Collins and John Key have the most serious of questions to answer.

What kind of government, what kind of people, are they to try to put into place a law that may lead to more murders?

How many lives are they willing to gamble with to appear tough on crime and win a few more votes?

154 comments on “3 strikes law could increase murders – Nats’ secret official advice”

  1. Felicity 1

    oh, dear god. What kind of people are running our country? How could they pass a law like this knowing it will get more people murdered?

    You’re right, I am utterly sickened.

    • TightyRighty 1.1

      Felicity, turning something that “may” happen, into something that “will” with nothing more than an lack of comprehension is unlikely to make anyone else sickened, and could you please stop clogging up our nations health system?

  2. Draco T Bastard 2

    The idea that three strikes laws increase the murder rate has been around for awhile. It may have been in the 1990s when I first heard of it. The theory is quite simple:

    The criminal has two options:
    1.) Let the person who can identify him go and end up in prison for the rest of their life or
    2.) Kill that person and have a higher possibility of not being caught

    Being caught for murder has the same result as being caught for the lessor crime – the rest of their life in prison. The rational decision then is to kill the person who can identify them.

    What kind of government, what kind of people, are they to try to put into place a law that may lead to more murders?

    They’re psychopaths.

    • Marty G 2.1

      yeah. that’s the logic.

      What’s important here is it’s not just theory or some academic. This is the official advice from the ministry that will be responsible for the law should it be passed (and I do believe it will be stopped now).

      And we can see that National knows how serious this is by their reaction: Power replaced by Collins, Justice barred from submitting to the select committee for fear they’ll repeat this advice.

    • Those options don’t apply to the New Zealand Three Strikes law, which doesn’t impose mandatory life sentences, except for homicide.

      • Draco T Bastard 2.2.1

        Of course they do. Nothing is black and white and my use of “rest of their life” is merely indicative of a longer sentence. If the sentence is the same or similar then murder becomes the rational option.

      • Ari 2.2.2

        The advice was that this dilemma may be applicable to New Zealand, so I don’t see how you got that it isn’t applicable. ;)

        • Bright Red 2.2.2.1

          I don’t think Graeme is disagreeing with Justice’s advice. He’s making a pedantic point about what Draco wrote.

          • Graeme Edgeler 2.2.2.1.1

            No. I’m largely disagreeing with the advice (or at least) disagreeing about the validity that advice has with respect to the bill as it now stands.

            This advice will have been advice tendered in respect of the initial bill – which did mandate life sentences for all qualifying third strikes. It will have raised concerns based on evidence in respect of US studies that showed that mandatory life sentences for all third strikes could result in a higher homicide rate.

            Advice on the bill was then transferred to the Police, and the bill changed substantially – removing both the qualifying sentence regime (a retrograde step, in my opinion) and the mandatory life sentences for all third strike convictions (a good step).

            The applicability of these concerns to the new bill, which now differs markedly from the laws the US research being quoted from was analysing the effects of is now rather uncertain. If that research concluded that imposing mandatory life sentences for non-homicide felonies increased the homicide rate, it would not be particularly analagous to the New Zealand situation as it now stands.

    • Mike 2.3

      Yes, you’ve got it, although I would add only one further explanation – those who are most likely to be affected by the 3 Strikes legislation (the gang members and assorted sociopaths) will now have no reason to apply restraint – as the phrase goes, “Go Large”.

      I.E. – If you’re going to go down, why not take a few with you? Look forward to more Police getting killed, along with bystanders.

  3. snoozer 3

    the right are going to try to run one obvious defence of this disgusting behaviour.

    ‘you’ve got to break egg some omelettes to make an egg, it’s like designing a road, you know people will die on it’

    To which the answer is: if you designed a road that increased the number of people killed, you would be in deep trouble and designing criminal policy isn’t like designing a road – there should be no risk of a new law leading to more murders. It’s simply unacceptable.

    • Marty G 3.1

      ‘there should be no risk of a new law leading to more murders. It’s simply unacceptable.’

      and the Nats know that’s how every decent Kiwi will feel. That’s why they tried to keep this secret.

    • illuminatedtiger 3.2

      No, they’re probably going to claim the document was hacked by Nicky Hager…

  4. felix 4

    I’m sure the NACTs will act swiftly to remedy this. By which of course I mean rewrite the OIA to make sure they don’t caught like this again.

    • Luxated 4.1

      Aye, I foresee that there will be levels of ‘secret’ document which you can’t submit an OIA on. The conditions to meet this level of secret will have to be suitably low of course, can’t have the proles informed now they might catch on.

    • the sprout 4.2

      exactly. they’re all band aids and no cure

  5. tsmithfield 5

    You forgot to mention the rest of the advice in the article:

    “May have had an effect on reducing overall crime rates
    May have had a deterent effect on individual offenders”

    If you hold the third point valid then you are bound to hold the first two points valid as well since the strength of the assertions is similar.

    • Pascal's bookie 5.1

      What’s your point there smitty?

      That it was shocking for this to be hidden away right there in the post.
      That a few extra dead people is an acceptable price to pay for a lower overall crime rate.

      Or what?

    • Eddie 5.2

      ah, ts, that’ll be the ‘break some eggs’ excuse. How predictable.

      we didn’t try to hide the fact that those pieces of advice are there, sherlock, it’s plain as day in our post but we didn’t think they’re sufficient to justify risking an increase in the number of murders.

      how many lives are you willing to put at risk?

    • snoozer 5.3

      So that make’s it f%cken ok does it ts?

      you’re quite happy to risk more murders on the chance that it might reduce some other offences?

      Is this really the best you expect from your piece of sh!t government. They can’t even come up with a crime policy that just reduces crime. Instead we’re facing with this unthinkable trade-off. What do you think the formula will be? ten fewer assualts for one more murder? fifty to one?

      or what ratio is ok by you?

    • Mutante 5.4

      How good of you to point that out Smithfield.

      I for one would gladly be murdered if it stopped someone tagging a fence or knocking over a dairy. Where do I line up for my stabbing?

  6. Jenny 6

    By: THE STANDARD – Date published: 12:00 am, April 20th, 2010

    “…….we sent off an Official Information Act request to his office. When the deadline for that request was extended beyond the usual 20 working days, we knew something was up.”

    Good work by The Standard, let’s hope our parliamentary opposition can pick up the ball.

    • lprent 6.1

      Unusually, it was a effort by a number of the authors. So they’ve presented as a group writing as The Standard.

      It is certainly kicking the traffic levels up this morning

  7. Watermelon 7

    @tsmithfield, you could have quoted the rest of the first point instead of concentrating on the bit you liked:

    May have had an effect in reducing overall crime rates, which is more likely to be due to deterence than incapacitation given the small number of offenders imprisoned under most states’ laws. There is also evidence that any deterrent effect is no more pronounced in states with wider ranging laws, such as California, than states with less severe laws;”

    Which is what most sane people have been pointing out. “3 strikes and you are out!” only works in baseball.

  8. Gooner 8

    Might, may, could.

    Hey, that sounds like the IPCC reports!

    Anyway, at least you got it under the OIA. If Helen Simpson was in charge still (or Heather Clark), you’d be waiting months, and months, and months.

    • Marty G 8.1

      so, you’re ok with the risk that a crime policy, a policy that is meant to reduce crime may lead to more people being murdered?

      you’re honestly ok with that, gooner?

      you think that’s an acceptable risk?

      • TightyRighty 8.1.1

        your honestly ok with more people suffering from the depravations of crime marty? you honestly believe that on the off chance of something really bad possibly happening, we shouldn’t do anything at all? We should just leave criminals to rob, rape and steal because we are afraid that might lash out and do something even worse?

        • Marty G 8.1.1.1

          False dichotomy, Tighty.

          Crime policy is not a choice between more murders for fewer burglaries. Not with any decent policy.

          Have you ever heard of a crime policy that a government has implemented knowing it increases crime?

          Any decent crime policy would reduce all crimes, not increase the most serious of them.

          There is to my mind no acceptable trade off here. I’m not willing to say ‘one murder for a hundred burglaries is ok’.

          Maybe you are. Maybe you think it’s ok to ‘break a few eggs’ (because you don’t have the imagination to think they’ll ever be someone you know) but I’m not. But well, we’re very different people.

          • TightyRighty 8.1.1.1.1

            Disambiguous marty, i never said any of that. i saw how you led into it though, right there in the thrid paragraph

            “Have you ever heard of a crime policy that a government has implemented knowing it increases crime?”

            I’m going to assume that you left out a word, by inserting “could” in between “it” and “increases”, oh wait, “increases”, so it was deliberate of you wasn’t it marty? to abandon your original position and go on to asserting that it will increase murders. despite the fact your evidence says it only could. i don’t need to go on arguing the rest of the your comment. it was based on that false premise and now doesn’t stand up. suppose you have break some eggs and all of that to make people believe you.

            • Pascal's bookie 8.1.1.1.1.1

              You make the same error here:

              “your honestly ok with more people suffering from the depravations of crime marty?”

              (To spell it out for you, the advice only says the policy ‘may’ reduce crime)

              The govt makes the same error too when they claim that this policy will deter crime. To be consistent in the way they are treating the advice from Justice, they should also say that it will increase murders.

              • TightyRighty

                Not really PB. your confusing a deterrent (fence at the top) with a cause effect (driver to jump). how people choose to react to a deterrent can be fairly predictable. let’s look at smoking advertising, drink-drive laws being toughened, etc etc. i don’t see the number of fatalities increasing from a toughening of the drink-drive laws because of a peverse inverted relationship, though i sometimes wonder if all that anti-smoking campaigning doesn’t just make smokers want a cigarette.

              • Pascal's bookie

                There is a possible deterrent indentified. And a possible ‘Cause’ effect.

                You are trying to pick and choose, while claiming that is what Marty is doing.

              • TightyRighty

                a three strike policy is what you would call an actual deterrent. it’s a stated punishment for a series of stated actions. that it “may”, though probably will, reduce crime does not make it any less of a deterrent.

              • Pascal's bookie

                fergawdsake.

                the advice says it may deter crime and it may increase murders.

                The govt says it will deter crime.

                therefore, marty is a hypocrite.

                Gotcha.

              • TightyRighty

                Right, deterrents have no effect on behaviour. the simple logic of it is, and i’ll keep this very simple for you PB. a big stick as a deterrent will probably deter more people, it probably won’t encourage them to worse. but pinko lefties always make apologies for criminals, so it won’t be their fault if they don’t get the rather simple message. we should blame the three strike law.

              • Pascal's bookie

                “deterrents have no effect on behaviour.”

                I never said anything remotely like that. Tautologies are indeed, true.

                However, the fact remains that the advice only says that this policy ‘may’ deter crime. Which is to say, it ‘may’ be a deterrant, as indeed it may. If you want to turn that ‘may’ into a ‘will’, then you have no consistent grounds for complaints above about others doing likewise

              • Ari

                You seem to be misinterpreting the “may” in “may be a deterrent”, tighty.

                That may means that we are unsure if there is ever any deterrent effect, not that the deterrent effect only works in some cases. (we would have taken “has a deterrent effect” to mean that it only worked in some cases, because that is the best one can reasonably expect from deterrence) Likewise, we are unsure if the policy increases the incentive to murder.

                Therefore, if it is fair to say that this policy deters crime even though it might not do so it all, it is equally fair to say it definitely increases murder, even though it might not do so at all.

            • Pascal's bookie 8.1.1.1.1.2

              “deterrents have no effect on behaviour.”

              Actually, on re reading I may have misunderstood. It would appear from a previous comment that you actually think this can be true.

              that it “may’, though probably will, reduce crime does not make it any less of a deterrent.

              Correct me if I misunderstand you, but are you saying here that whether or not something actually deters crime, has no bearing on whether or not it’s a deterrent? IOW that you can have deterrents that do not, in actuality, deter.

              That seems like silliness to me. The defintion of something being a deterrent is that it deters. But if that’s what you want to hang your argument on, then I guess I just prefer simple logic to the high fallutin righty kind.

  9. tsmithfield 9

    Draco: “The criminal has two options:
    1.) Let the person who can identify him go and end up in prison for the rest of their life or
    2.) Kill that person and have a higher possibility of not being caught”

    This is the logic at the heart of the article above. However, the logic doesn’t hold up.

    As I understand it, the current law is that the 3rd strike incurs the maximum sentence for a given crime, not necessarilly life imprisonment. So, for example, a calculating criminal who realizes the maximum sentence for the given crime is 10 years, and the maximum sentence for murder is forever will choose not to kill to avoid the substantially higher sentence for murder.

    On the flip side, if the 3rd strike law results in more truly nasty people being kept off the street for longer, then, in the long run, the public will be safer.

    • Marty G 9.1

      The fact is that murdering someone to ‘cover your tracks’ doesn’t work because the police apply far more resources to solving murders. The resolution rate is 99%. But that doesn’t mean people won’t act on the basis of that flawed logic, ts.

      The fact remains, and you can deny it all day long (I know you’ll try), that the official advice to the government is that this policy might result in more murders.

      You have to ask yourself if you think that is acceptable. If you think that a crime reduction policy that increases the most serious of crimes is OK.

      I’m waiting for your answer.

    • But TS you do not appear to understand the type of mind that we are discussing.

      The ones at risk tend to be poorly educated and either very drunk or out of their head on something or they have the type of personality that means they respond very poorly to certain circumstances or they suffer from a mental condition. They do not have law degrees or coldly measure the consequences of their behaviour if they act in a certain way.

      They are almost inevitably impulsive. They will not perform a deep analysis of the likely consequences, they will think along the following lines:

      “S*&t I’m going down but if I get away I might not get caught”. It is then likely they will kill someone to get away.

      This is a totally useless barbaric proposal that will make our society less compassionate and more susceptible to violence and murder.

    • Ari 9.3

      You’re assuming people will necessarily know that a crime doesn’t carry a life sentence, T.

      In my experience people committing crimes rarely if ever know the sort of sentence they might get with any accuracy.

  10. Gooner 10

    No, I think that’s abhorrent Marty. But I doubt its validity.

    As Mr Edgeler says, these options don’t apply to our three strikes law. I mean, lots of stuff happens overseas that doesn’t happen here. China hangs people for murder, and has a very, very low homicide rate. Some American states hang people and homicide rates in those states still don’t improve. Go figure.

    There’s actually a risk the homicide rate will increase if we don’t pass this law.

    It’s nice being able to play the emotives though Marty. That’s what Labour is very good at.

    • Marty G 10.1

      “There’s actually a risk the homicide rate will increase if we don’t pass this law.”

      Please point me to the official advice that says that.

      Because I’ve just handed you official advice that says exactly the opposite.

      Edgeler is talking about a side point, not denying the validity of the advice that 3 strikes may increase homicides. It seems you are and I’m wondering on what basis of evidence and fact.

  11. tc 11

    What a moral vacum we have running our country and they’ll blag another term unless labour wake up, dump Goff and inject some vigour into a very tired looking opposition that just seems incapable of playing the game required to wrest back power.

  12. Anne 12

    “Good work by The Standard, let’s hope our parliamentary opposition can pick up the ball”

    Has anyone advised senior opposition members of this post’s existence? I wouldn’t trust them to pick it up of their own accord.

  13. tsmithfield 13

    MS “But TS you do not appear to understand the type of mind that we are discussing.

    The ones at risk tend to be poorly educated and either very drunk or out of their head on something or they have the type of personality that means they respond very poorly to certain circumstances or they suffer from a mental condition. They do not have law degrees or coldly measure the consequences of their behaviour if they act in a certain way.

    They are almost inevitably impulsive. They will not perform a deep analysis of the likely consequences, they will think along the following lines:”

    This seems to cover the point that both Mickey and Marty have made.

    My response is to this is that the whole argument being made in the article seems premised on the assumption that criminals ARE calculating in the way outlined in my previous post. If the situation is as Mickey has described in the quote above, then it doesn’t really matter if there is a three strikes law or not. By the very argument I have quoted from Mickey, crims out of their face will murder to cover their tracks without even thinking about whether a 3 strikes law exists or not.

    To respond to your specific question Marty, the operative word is might. “MIGHT result in more murders”. That leaves the possibility that it might not as well.

    • Marty G 13.1

      “the article seems premised on the assumption that criminals ARE calculating in the way outlined in my previous post. ”

      No. the official government advice was made on the basis of studying other 3 strikes laws in action. Not theory, ts. studies of the real thing.

      “To respond to your specific question Marty, the operative word is might. “MIGHT result in more murders’. That leaves the possibility that it might not as well.”

      and that’s a risk you’re willing to take. jesus, ts.

      • tsmithfield 13.1.1

        Marty, the words “might”, “may” etc are next to useless so far as giving advice is concerned.

        For instance, the sun MIGHT explode tomorrow.

        It would be much more informative if the advice had stated something like “it is highly likely…” or “there is a slight possibility…”

        Do you not agree that the paragraph you quoted in the article is absolutely useless without seeing the context of the advice? Who knows, perhaps the word “may” was used in the context of a slight possibility. Until I know that context I can’t comment authoritatively. I don’t think you can either.

        • Pascal's bookie 13.1.1.1

          The govt claim the policy will deter crime T.

          By helping keep the worst repeat offenders behind bars for longer and deterring criminals from committing further crimes because of the escalating severity of sentences, this legislation will help make New Zealand a better, safer place.’

          http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA1001/S00062.htm

          Do you agree they should mention the murder aspect in light of that? If so you agree with the thrust of the post.

          • tsmithfield 13.1.1.1.1

            Read the advice Pascal.

            Its very very wishy washy and uncertain. Phrases like “may have resulted in an increased rate of homicide…” and “…based on the research to date, this cannot be ruled out”.

            It sounds very much like namby pamby government department arse covering stuff to me. It sounds like code for, “we don’t think there will be an increase in homocides, but we can’t rule out the possibility.”

            As I said there is no context to tell what the advice actually means. I would be more concerned if the advice said : “instituting the three strikes law MIGHT NOT have resulted in an increase in homocides”. See the difference.

            • tsmithfield 13.1.1.1.1.1

              Further to that comment, Pascal, the phrase “..this cannot be ruled out” sounds very much like what I have often read in research reports where, say, a researcher has bench-marked a significance result at .001 but only gets to .05. The researcher might make a comment like, there is a reasonably strong result suggesting this, but because my test for significance was not met, the opposite cannot be ruled out.

              On this basis it may well be that the research is very strongly in favour of the Governments approach, but not reaching the test of significance set, so an increase in homicides can’t be ruled out.

              • Pascal's bookie

                I read the advice Tim. I also read what the government said in it’s press release.

                All your waffling remains just that. The advice remains what it is. The govts statements remain what they are.

                The fact that Justice was denied the ability to present to the select committe is also interesting don’t you think? Perhaps that would have shed some light on what this advice means. But we’ll never know now, will we?

                Do you think this is good process or not?

              • tsmithfield

                Not waffling.

                Why can’t we see the whole document instead of a selected tid-bit? Why doesn’t Marty want to disclose the whole thing?

              • Pascal's bookie

                Of course it’s waffling.

                Perhaps you’d like to address the substance and stop with all the ‘mebbes’ and ‘what does possibly mean’s

                Do you think it odd that justice was stopped from presenting to the select committee, and something clearly under the minister of Justices brief (sentencing) should be carried by the Minister of Police and Corrections?

                Your silence on the ommissions from the govt’s statements are also telling.

              • Bright Red

                “this cannot be ruled out” is like underlining, ts.

                it says ‘this is very important: it looks like these laws increase homicide rates, you can’t ignore this’

      • Jared 13.1.2

        Considering we havent got the entire pdf to see where the research was cited from, we can hardly judge on the vague assertion that it “may have resulted in an increase in homicide”.
        Do we know the reasoning behind this notion? or are they merely stating the obvious, that a recidivist murderer may take into account the fact that he is likely going to go away for life if he kills. Then again, how many murderers are that calculating? How many think, well, im going to kill one, I might as well kill more, is conviction and sentencing really their motivation? Or is an underlying mental condition or psychopathic tendencies to blame. To me it seems like the Ministry of Justice are just stating the obvious, that it MAY have lead to an increase in homicide. Then again, if we can have the entire PDF so we can see their research sources we might be able to shine a light on this ambiguous statement.

        [follow the first link below the image, genius. It has Justice's bibliography in it. Marty]

        • Jared 13.1.2.1

          I asked for my post to be deleted mate, you would have noticed it when it was due to be released from moderation. In my reasoning I said I had since found the pdf links, but thanks.

    • pollywog 13.2

      The ones at risk tend to be poorly educated and either very drunk or out of their head on something or they have the type of personality that means they respond very poorly to certain circumstances or they suffer from a mental condition. They do not have law degrees or coldly measure the consequences of their behaviour if they act in a certain way.

      Like that saffa kid that killed Libby Tempelman ?… or at least allowed her to die rather than try to save her and then attempt to make it look like a sexual murder by someone else ?

      Doesnt the same logic apply to hit and run ? Dont worry bout saving them just hope they didnt get a good look at your car and you dont get caught if you leave them for dead.

      If, like the Christchurch school girls Marie Davis and Emma Agnew who were raped, i would imagine the perpetrators were always going to murder them and a 3 strikes longer sentence wouldn’t have deterred them. Or if not and they decided to kill them after the rape then once again it shouldnt make any difference if it was their first strike they should be punished as though it was their 3rd..

      Im not in favour of 3 strikes. I’d just like to see some consistency in sentencing and the maximum allowable sentence applied every time if the case warrants it, eliminate the judges discretion cos we all know that for any number of reasons they can be biased. Sure recidivist offenders prior records neeed to be taken into account but that doesnt excuse a first time premeditated murderer who may have been a model citizen and might get a lenient sentence because of it.

      The only ones who are gonna win out of this is lawyers charging thru the nose and rorting the free legal advice in appeals as they already do and the soon to be private prison service getting served up with clients on 2 strikes who will be closer to a longer term next time irrespective of whether their 3rd strike warrants it.

      But it seems the Law Society has always known the risk…

      http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/2389388/Law-Society-slams-three-strikes-bill

  14. Is there any chance you could post the entire document rather than the selected pages? I’d be keen to know what sources they’re citing. Joanna Shepherd’s work convincingly shows a strong deterrent effect, even on first strikes; Iyengar also shows the severity shift (which is the murder increase you’re banging on about). We’d totally expect that result in the American form where a third strike murder earns the same sentence as a third strike anything else, but unless they’re citing some work I don’t know about, it would be shocking if the same result were to hold for a form of the law that maintained marginal deterrence (which is what the law here proposed would do by maintaining proportionality across offences).

    Please post the whole document.

    • tsmithfield 14.1

      Quite agree, Eric. Without the whole document it is really a meaningless debate. In fact, I wonder if Marty is deliberately obsfucating on this point because the whole article contradicts the point he is trying to make.

      • Bill 14.1.1

        You really are a pair of hopeless pricks int you?

        pdf links. bottom of the post.

        • Eric Crampton 14.1.1.1

          Bill, those links only give three pages of the document. I’d like to see the full document, even if that makes me a hopeless prick.

          • Bright Red 14.1.1.1.1

            from the list of docs it looks like hundreds of pages all up. You can’t expect them to scan them all. After all, you never get OIA materials from the Herald or the Dom at all do you?

            And even if you did have all the materials, you would try another excuse.

      • Bright Red 14.1.2

        follow the links

        • Eric Crampton 14.1.2.1

          I did follow the links: I got three pages. Trying again now.. last link now 8 pages with some references…not sure if I missed it the first time or if it’s been updated. Thanks either way.

          I don’t get what all this “pricks” and “try another excuse” stuff is about. I’m a social scientist whose best honest conclusion from the literature is that a three-strikes rule that maintained proportionality across offenses would work well in deterring crime; whether it would deter crime sufficiently to pass cost-benefit analysis would still be up for grabs but it seems likely. It looks like Justice might have used some sources I haven’t seen, and I’d consequently like to see what work they’re citing.

          The documents you have up frankly aren’t all that damning. The three bullet points highlighted at the top of this post are pretty much what I’d also have said as summary of the US evidence (see here, for example, and note “severity shift” means that murders increase relative to rape). The increased homicide rate finding is what Iyengar found in California, though I can’t see him cited in the reference list (nor Shepherd, for that matter; I’m wondering whether that’s a full reference list or just a short list for Appendix 2; glad to see they found the Helland and Tabarrok paper though). I’d entirely expect that result in the California legislation where there’s no difference in punishment between rape and murder on third strike: why would the criminal leave the victim alive as witness? Consequently, the Justice folks recommended some pretty sensible changes to the legislation that would strike out that effect: mandatory maximum sentence for the offense on the third strike, so murder still draws harsher punishment than other crimes.

          Y’all need to relax on the partisan crap. Some of us actually care about what the actual empirics say about the real world, regardless of which team is made better off by it. For example, if I had to bet, I’d say capital punishment deters maybe 6-8 murders for execution, but I’d still oppose the policy on moral grounds. It’s really depressing watching how partisanship here pushes folks to commit to particular views of empirical matters that ought only be an input into deciding whether or not a policy is desirable. Politics is the mind-killer….

          • snoozer 14.1.2.1.1

            ‘I’m a social scientist whose best honest conclusion from the literature is that a three-strikes rule that maintained proportionality across offenses would work well in deterring ”

            you’re at odds with the experts in Justice who have reviewed the evidence then.

            • snoozer 14.1.2.1.1.1

              sorry, misread.

              yup, justice does say there might be a deterrent effect. they also say it might lead to more murders.

              that’s not a trade off we need to make or should make.

              • Re-read the document. It lead to more murders in the US because California had the stupid policy of giving the same sentence for all third strike offences. Justice recommended not doing that; ACT-National bargaining wound up adopting Justice’s recommendations. As amended, I would put 1000:1 against the policy increasing the murder rate.

              • Brightred

                Eric. You need to re-read the officials’ advice: “may increase the rate of homicide” “applicable to New Zealand”

                no dancing on heads of pins is going to get you out of those stark findings.

                And, Eric, if you read the docs linked to you will see these findings are about the 3 strikes as amended.

            • Lew 14.1.2.1.1.2

              Experts being at odds with each other is a sign that the systems of review and academic disputation are working as intended. It’s when all the experts are apparently in perfect lockstep agreement that you have to be worried, because that’s an indication that dogma has replaced investigation.

              The world needs more authoritative empirical work conducted without regard for political and ideological lines, not less.

              L

              • Puddleglum

                Eric C. You say you are a social scientist but my understanding is that, in fact, you are an economist. Sorry Eric, they’re not the same thing.

                Neo-classical economics bases itself on a logical model of human (social) behaviour not a substantive, empirically grounded, theory of human (social) behaviour – one that gets revised as a result of theoretically informed empirical study.

                It may be ‘empirical’ in relation to economic theories (about the behaviour of firms, ‘rational actors’ or ‘economies’) but not in relation to psychological or social theories (i.e., theories of human beahviour and society) – hence, it’s not a social or behavioural science. It produces next to no new insights about human behaviour and society since it simply assumes a logical model about those matters rather than putting those ideas to the test. (I’m excluding here the relatively few economic psychologists, etc.).

                Popper notes the logical (rather than psychological or sociological) nature of the economic model repeatedly in his rather unfortunate endorsement of Hayek’s approach in economics (Popper thought it was a good piece of social science modelling, but he was wrong – even on his own terms. As I’ve just noted, neo-classical economics has never changed its model’s fundamental assumptions – since it would make the discipline redundant – hence showing that they are beyond falsification within the discipline).

                Economics gets its model of human nature and the social world from classical liberal philosophy which was primarily a political ideology and movement. (It also used to be called ‘Political Economy’, for good reason). It is therefore rather rich of you, Eric, to tut-tut about politics entering the pure ‘empirical’ debate. If you understand the social history of your own discipline you’ll have to acknowledge that economics is primarily a political project (initially aimed at advancing the ‘rights’ of the ‘individual’ – both of which, unfortunately for your argument, are political and historical creations and not empirical facts.)

          • Eric Crampton 14.1.2.1.2

            @Brightred: Again, it would apply to NZ if NZ had gone for the idiot version of 3-strikes, giving everybody the same penalty on the third strike regardless of offense. But that isn’t what is here proposed.

            @Puddlegum: Your comment might apply if the papers I’m citing were theoretical arguments. But they’re econometric analyses that don’t really depend on any particular view of rationality. They tend to support a rational choice view of criminal behaviour, but in particular they support that three strikes rules deter crime.

  15. Anne 15

    You have to wonder where Rodney Hide fits into all if this. Wasn’t “the three strikes law” their flag-ship policy at the last election? Did he threaten to pull the plug on them if they ditched it?
    It wouldn’t be the first time that has happened. You have to wonder sometimes what hold Hide has over the Nats.

  16. coolas 16

    Three Strikes is US imported populist policy which has more to do with politics than crime reduction. This ‘get tough’ policy appeals to that big chunk of the electorate whose political consciousness requires single syllable slogans and very simple ideas.

    That Justice Department advice was ignored, just as MOE advice to trial National Standards was ignored, is no surprise.

    What interests me most about this is the effect it has on Simon Power, and whether a faction is emerging in National, unhappy with Act’s disproportionate influence on policy.

  17. felix 17

    tsmithellisfieldknorris, will you be here all day? It’s just that I’m a little busy right now.

    • tsmithfield 17.1

      Do you practice being a prick or does it just come naturally for you? I don’t know what you are busy doing, but if it involves sheep and vaseline, it wouldn’t surprise me at all.

      • felix 17.1.1

        That came out of the blue, didn’t it? What was it I said that got you so hot and bothered?

  18. snoozer 18

    the most telling thing is that they tried to silience Justice by stopping them submitting to the select committee.

    people like ts can spin all they want, but the nats knew they were sitting on an explosive secret.

  19. snoozer 19

    all the righties have to ask themselves: is the change that some crimes might be decreased worth the risk that murders might increase?

    It’s not like we don’t have other options to reduce crime

    captcha: kills

  20. tsmithfield 20

    Ah, I see why Marty was a little economical on what he quoted.

    Here is what follows the passage quoted above:

    “Officials consider these findings are generally applicable to New Zealand although the actual effects are likely to be small given New Zealand’s small population and the differences between the proposals and the three strikes laws in the USA.”

    When you look at this in context, the best advice the officials could give was, firstly, in the American situation which is different to NZ, there was a possibility that it might have increased the homicide rate but they couldn’t be sure. Secondly, even if there was an effect, when applied to NZ with a smaller population and different rules, even if there was an effect (which they couldn’t be certain of anyway) it would amount to sweet fuck all in the New Zealand context.

    On that basis, we should ban safety belts on the grounds there is the slight possibility that the belts might snare some people in their cars after an accident.

    • snoozer 20.1

      um, of course the numbers are going to be smaller in a smaller country.

      “it would amount to sweet fuck all in the New Zealand context.”

      how many extra murders are you willing to risk for ‘may decrease crime rates’?

      My answer is zero.

      Especially when there are heaps of things we could be doing to reduce crime that don’t risk more murders.

      • tsmithfield 20.1.1

        So, you would ban safety belts on the basis that it MIGHT, on some very rare occasion, have an adverse effect in an accident? And I guess you’d ban vaccinations too, due to the possibility of a very rare case where someone has a severe reacion.

        • snoozer 20.1.1.1

          No. Because those are risks inherent in those activity that definiately do save lives and there aren’t alternatives.

          If there was an alternative to seat belts that would reduce crash deaths without the risk of seatbelts, I would expect the government to make it mandatory instead of seatbelts.

          The government does not have to put people at risk of being murdered on the chance that it will reduce other crimes.

          Seatbelts a) work as intended and b) there aren’t risk-free alternatives. 3 strikes satisfies neither test.

    • Pascal's bookie 20.2

      t, t, t,

      See how it’s ‘these findings’.

      With an ‘s’.

      So your rephrasing is incomplete, Here’s the missing bit:

      When you look at this in context, the best advice the officials could give was, firstly, in the American situation which is different to NZ, there was a possibility that it might have decreased the crime rate, and it may have deterred individuals, but they couldn’t be sure. Secondly, even if there was an effect, when applied to NZ with a smaller population and different rules, even if there was an effect (which they couldn’t be certain of anyway) it would amount to sweet fuck all in the New Zealand context.

      • tsmithfield 20.2.1

        I have to agree with you. But thats not the part we are debating.

        I can see why justice was stopped from presenting this to the select committee, though. The government was trying to spare them the embarrassment of having such a useless, inconclusive, and uninformative document being put into the public arena.

        The government would have gained absolutely no benefit from this document.

        • Pascal's bookie 20.2.1.1

          But committee could have questioned them and cleared things up. I suspect you are not really being honest about why you think the government prevented Justice from submitting.

          It’s ok smitty.

          • tsmithfield 20.2.1.1.1

            They could have reduced the paper use considerably by condensing the report to three words:

            We don’t know.

            BTW, you don’t seem to disagree with my assessment of the report.

            • Pascal's bookie 20.2.1.1.1.1

              I didn’t think it was an assessment so much as mindless dishonest sophistry. But no, they don’t just say ‘we don’t know’.

              They also highlight some possibilities that are known. Some of which the government ignored in it’s public statements.

        • Bright Red 20.2.1.2

          “I can see why justice was stopped from presenting this to the select committee, though. The government was trying to spare them the embarrassment of having such a useless, inconclusive, and uninformative document being put into the public arena.”

          I’m not one for Tui references but ‘yeah, right’

          This is a stock standard paper summarising the findings of official research.

          • tsmithfield 20.2.1.2.1

            If this is an example of “stock standard” official reporting, then you’ve just lowered my estimate of official reporting by about 10 notches.

  21. Pascal's bookie 21

    Let’s take a vote!

    1) Should the Ministry of Justice have been allowed to present to the seclect committee?

    2) Should this bill have been handled primarily by the Minister of Justice rather than Police/Corrections

    I vote ‘yes’ on both.

  22. Brightred 22

    Lets turn this on its head.

    The government’s advice is that it’s policy will encourage more murders and it will discourage some other crimes.

    What kind of government pursues a policy it has been told encourages murder?

    captcha: switching (this thing is spooky some times)

    • J Mex 22.1

      When the initial three strikes law came out, many commenters at the Standard said that it wouldn’t stop violent crime. Why?

      Because “Crimes of passion etc are some of the few one where these bear almost no relation to the commission of an offence, and most violent crime is ‘crime of passion’ or committed under the influence. So deterrence doesn’t work there. Of course rational people can be deterred from an action if they are made aware of high costs resulting from that action but deterrence doesn’t work because most serious crimes are not commited by people in a rational state of mind. Moreover, people do not know the odds of being caught or the punishment they will likely get if caught., so are likely to discount them heavily”

      Those same commenter’s, are now saying that “Three Strikes” will increase serious crime and are inferring that Murderers are now actually cold, calculating individuals who weigh up the consequences of their actions, possible punishments, length of sentence.

      (Bright Red, if you recognise the quote above, it’s because it’s yours).

  23. tsmithfield 23

    Here is why I think the report is useless and a waste of paper.

    1. Very weak conclusions drawn from American research.
    2. No evidence whatsoever as to why the very weak conclusions drawn from America will transfer to a different culture and a law that has fundamental differences to the law that applies in USA.
    3. The authors baseless opinion that there might be some negligible amount of transfer to NZ. But no evidence to support even this very weak conclusion.

    In other words, the report boils down to the authors opinion of how it might apply in NZ. Thats it.

  24. Ed 24

    I was only able to link to the middle of the three links – the others eventually stopped with a black screen.

    [tested all three. they work. they are large pdfs (one reason I didn't scan all 100 pages of material I received, the other being the time it takes) perhaps your connection failed. Marty]

  25. David Garrett 25

    Only one problem with the comments on this….the FACTS derived from 16 years experience in California – where the law is much stricter as Graeme Edgeler has pointed out.

    FACT: Homicides decreased from 4,095 in 1993, the year before “three strikes” to 2,392 in 2002 (Source: CA Dept of Justice and CA Dept. of Corrections)

    FACT: The population of California increased by about 25% during that period (it is difficult to estimate accurately because of the high number of illegal aliens in the State) which means the reduction is more than 60% rather than the 50% approximately the raw figures would indicate.

    FACT: Homicides of Police have remained essentially static between 1986 (6) and 2001 (6) with a high of 10 in 1995. (Source: Homicide in California 1986-2001.

    • Marty G 25.1

      FACT: Official advise from the Ministry of Justice delivered to Simon Power on the 16th of December last year said that three strikes in the States may have increased homicides and that finding is applicable to New Zealand’s 3 strikes

      FACT: Justice was prevented from submitting to the select committee on a law it will have to administer. Unheard of. (perhaps, you can tell us more, Mr Garrett)

      FACT: After receiving this paper, Simon Power ceased to be lead minister on the legislation even though it’s his ministry. (I know you know something about that Mr Garrett).

      QUESTION: How long have you known that the official advice is that the 3 strikes law may increase the homicide rate?

      QUESTION: When were you planning to tell New Zealand?

    • David is that really you?

      If so what effect did the drop in unemployment have? Or do you just see the relationship as a linear one between two discrete pieces of data unaffected by any other factor?

    • r0b 25.3

      FACT: In Mexico homicides decreased from a high of 17 per 100,000 in 1997 to less than 10 per 100,000 in 2007.

      FACT: Mexico has no Three Strikes law.

      FACT: Much of the crime in California and Mexico is drug and gang related, and a lot of factors have been in play to reduce this kind of crime.

      FACT: Trying to draw conclusions out of raw numbers from California is simplistic nonsense, the official advice provided to government didn’t fall in to that ignorant trap.

    • Lizzy 25.4

      They have lots of canyons and desert in Cal. I might take it that the Cal killers are just hiding the bodies better or maybe they migrated to more appealing hunting grounds – overseas holidays making snuff movies in the Phillipines and so forth. 3 strikes is too many to my mind.

  26. Marty G 26

    Garrett. you’re ‘facts’ are stupid because you’ve got coincidence, not causation. You haven’t separated out other variables. That’s what the studies Justice examined do.

    Their conclusions – 3 strikes may increase homicides.

    • tsmithfield 26.1

      And the evidence that the American research transfers to NZ is?

      Hint: The unsupported opinion of Justice Department officials doesn’t count as evidence.

      • felix 26.1.1

        “The unsupported opinion of Justice Department officials doesn’t count as evidence”

        What would they know? I prefer to get all my advice from an anonymous guy on the internet who sometimes calls himself tsmithfield.

        • tsmithfield 26.1.1.1

          Not very logical, felix. Making the logical error of an appeal to authority. Just because they are Justice Department Officials doesn’t make what they say any more valid. There still needs to be evidence supporting the opinion. Just in case you need a refresher in philosophy 101 btw.

          A key aspect of research is to show that research in one setting transfers to another. In this case we have, not only a different country, but also a different set of rules. Heck, even the official acknowledges the problem of trying to join the dots but tries to never-the-less without providing any evidence why except that it might be a good idea..

          • felix 26.1.1.1.1

            Just because they are Justice Department Officials doesn’t make what they say any more valid.

            Absolutely correct.

            What makes their opinion about a trillion times more worthy than yours is that they’ve researched the available information and reported their findings.

            You on the other hand have done nothing but hang around on the net making arguments you (by your own admission) often don’t even believe.

            It’s not an appeal to authority to favour the better (overwhelmingly better) informed opinion. It’s the only reasonable course. Especially in your case, for reasons given in the previous para.

      • Bright Red 26.1.2

        ‘The unsupported opinion of Justice Department officials doesn’t count as evidence”

        It is supported. By the research they’ve done. Cabinet papers don’t present that research, they present its findings.

        If you want to see Justice’s research, OIA it.

        • Jared 26.1.2.1

          Have you read any of the cited references? I mean, so you might understand why they said it “may” increase rates of homicide?

          • Bright Red 26.1.2.1.1

            It’s not my job. I’m happy to rely on the expert opinion of Justice unless someone presents contrary evidence, in which case I’ll look deeper.

            On what basis do you disagreeing with Justice?

            Other than that you’re a paritsan hack with his fingers in his ears screaming ‘la la can’t hear you’ of course.

    • Tigger 26.2

      Great points and questions, Marty.

  27. PK 27

    Do you have any more of the report? I mean, discussing the suggested causal relationship between the law & increased homicides?

  28. Pascal's bookie 28

    Any of the righties, MP’s or otherwise care to vote in my vox pop upthread?

    Or even just one of them say whether or not they think it’s a good thing that the Ministry of Justice was prevented from talking to the select committee.

    That’d be nice.

    • tsmithfield 28.1

      So far as I can see, the only evidence presented that they were prevented from submitting is an unsupported assertion from Marty.

    • tsmithfield 28.2

      I think they probably thought that this was a very popular policy and that the public would be very forgiving about them “ignoring” contrary views.

      • Bright Red 28.2.1

        they didn’t just ignore advice that didn’t suit teir aims, ts, they kept that advice secret and muzzled Justice.

        And, we have to ask why Power was suddenly moved out of his position.

      • Pascal's bookie 28.2.2

        The question was “whether or not they think it’s a good thing that the Ministry of Justice was prevented from talking to the select committee.”

        Do you think your reason for why they might have done it makes for anything like good governance.

        Not that your reason makes any sense of course, as BR notes.

        Perhaps you could just answer the question.

        Are you happy with Justice being prevented from talking to the select committee?

  29. Rex Widerstrom 29

    This is an interesting debate to follow. As tsmithfield says, Justice’s advice that 3 strikes may increase homicides is couched in typical arse-covering public service speak. But then so is their advice that it might work as intended.

    As Marty counters, Justice have done more research, and read more reports, than anyone taking it upon themselves to comment here, with the exception of David Garrett… but he’s amply demonstrated he’s unable to differentiate causation, correlation and coincidence.

    So what are we left with? Pretty much where the post started out:
    - 3 strikes might reduce crime, mainly through a “deterrent effect”. But it may not.
    - 3 strikes may increase homicides. But it may not.

    It would seem, therefore, that any prudent person would advocate erring on the side of caution and avoiding such a law on the basis that no amount of potential deterrent value is worth trading for as much as a single death.

    Thus anyone still advocating 3 strikes in the face of this advice must be presumed to be taking the opposie view, no matter how minimal they consider that risk to be.

    Considering I have seen the maxim “better ten guilty men go free than one innocent person is imprisoned” reversed and advanced as a principle, both in terms of imprisonment and even, by some internet commenters, when discussing the death penalty, I don’t think that’s an unreasonable accusation.

    So, Mr Garrett and others, here’s a question. When would you repeal the law? After one murderer advances as a reason for his homicide that he was trying to escape identification and thus his third strike? After two? Three? Or are potential murder victims, about whose “rights” you’re only too happy to complain after they’re victimised, merely collateral damage in the quest for votes?

    • Bright Red 29.1

      well put, Rex.

      Risking more murders for the chance of fewer other crimes is an unacceptable gamble.

      • Ari 29.1.1

        I should point out that there may be SOME deterrent effect on murders as well. The problem really is that we’d be risking increasing murders for an unknown and unsure amount of deterrence that isn’t measurable.

        The problem with this policy is really that it has no conditions of success or failure, it’s just a sop to the “lock them up and then beat them” crowd.

  30. J Mex 30

    But Red, in January you said that the three strikes law wouldn’t work because Murderers generally didn’t consider the consequences when committing murder, they were generally crimes of passion or under the influence so increased punishment didn’t work.

    “Crimes of passion etc are some of the few one where these bear almost no relation to the commission of an offence, and most violent crime is ‘crime of passion’ or committed under the influence. So deterrence doesn’t work there. Of course rational people can be deterred from an action if they are made aware of high costs resulting from that action but deterrence doesn’t work because most serious crimes are not commited by people in a rational state of mind. Moreover, people do not know the odds of being caught or the punishment they will likely get if caught., so are likely to discount them heavily”

    BrightRed 20/1/2010

    Now you seem to be convinced that Murderers DO take severity of punishment into account at the time of committing an offence and in fact weigh it in a very calculating way.

    • Bright Red 30.1

      Now, I’m saying that the Ministry of Justice has advised the government that 3 strikes may increase homicides and may decrease other crimes.

      Are you willing to back that gamble?

    • Rex Widerstrom 30.2

      BR’s position isn’t at all contradictory, JM.

      Thinking that murdering a witness (including the victim of a lesser offence you’ve committed) will help you elude capture is utterly irrational, not least because, as someone has already pointed out above, it means enormous police resources will then be diverted into capturing you.

      But that won’t stop the irrational, drugged up, drunk, mentally ill (or some combination of the foregoing) criminal from thinking it might, and thus committing murder.

      • J Mex 30.2.1

        The incentive to kill a witness already exists, Rex.

        For it to be relevant to the discussion, (i.e., the three strikes law makes it MORE likely that someone will commit murder), then it must hold true that the perpetrator a) Knows about three strikes law and b) it is prescient in their mind at the time of the crime.

        BR argued against both a) and b), so I fail to see how BR now thinks that three strikes law will increase murder.

  31. Seti 31

    The ThreeStrikes site has rather compelling evidence on how well California’s three strikes law is working in reducing homicide, particularly the 15 year report since the introduction of the law. Nearly 10,000 fewer murders, or roughly 21% less than the previous corresponding period.

    • Rex Widerstrom 31.1

      That report isn’t independent, it’s written by ThreeStrikes.org and is thus no more nor less than a piece of lobbying.

      It makes no effort to investigate whether other factors, such as improved cross-agency drug enforcement (partly as a by-product of agencies being forced to work together more after 9/11) could be responsible for the fall in crime statistics they quote.

      But occasionally a bit of unvarnished truth slips through the hyperbole, like this bit:

      These studies also show an extraordinary exodus from California of paroled felons.

      AKA “passing the buck”. Where are ours going to go, I wonder? One look at an episode of “Border Patrol” (or whatever it’s called) will show you that Australia generally rejects any NZer witha record even if (as in one case I saw) they were clean for 30 years.

      Tell you what, if David Garrett is so certain the law will be effective, we’ll send all two strikes criminals to live next door to him then, shall we? In fact if I had the money, I’d be making his neighbours an offer they couldn’t refuse right about now…

      • Seti 31.1.1

        Threestrikes.org may be a lobbying site but a Standard author claims the law “must be abandoned now before it gets anyone killed”.

        Do the facts of 10,000 less murders in California since the 3 strikes introduction suggest in any way this may be the case?

        • r0b 31.1.1.1

          California is a red herring Seti, see above. Homicides fell dramatically in Mexico too (which has no 3 strikes law).

        • Bright Red 31.1.1.2

          “Do the facts of 10,000 less murders in California since the 3 strikes introduction suggest in any way this may be the case?”

          Fewer murders in california between two arbitariliy chosen years does not mean that any one event between those years caused them. There are a multitude of factors at play that must be controlled for

          That’s why Justice reviewed the proper studies that control for different variables not dumbarse ‘look murders are down must be because of X’ statements.

          And Justice’s finding is that 3 strikes may increase the homicide rate. Are you willing to make that gamble with people’s lives?

          • Seti 31.1.1.2.1

            “Fewer murders in california between two arbitariliy chosen years does not mean that any one event between those years caused them.”

            It is not “two arbitrary chosen years” – it is the time since the law’s introduction and the same period prior.

            “And Justice’s finding is that 3 strikes may increase the homicide rate. Are you willing to make that gamble with people’s lives?”

            I’d like to think the homicide rate will decrease as there will be less violent offenders able to commit them.

            • mcflock 31.1.1.2.1.1

              “I’d like to think the homicide rate will decrease as there will be less violent offenders able to commit them.”

              Yeah, but the Justice report was based on research, not wishful thinking.

            • Olwyn 31.1.1.2.1.2

              Correct me if I’m wrong in my assumptions, but I would think that a state might differ from a country in that crime rates may go down in a state because of criminals relocating to other states where the three strikes law does not apply. This might be the sensible thing to do after the second strike for someone who has not been persuaded to give up on crime. Relocation from one country to another, however, is more demanding, especially for someone with a criminal record.

          • Ari 31.1.1.2.2

            I’d go and say it’s worse than a gamble. It’s a blind gamble- it’s incredibly difficult to tell if it succeeded, and nobody will want to put in the resources to try and see after it’s implemented- they’ll all be either cheerleeding it or dooming it.

    • Bright Red 31.2

      I’m going to go with the opinion of the Ministry of Justice based on actual research, rather than what you found on a political site.

      And, again, you’ve shown coincidence, not causation.

  32. PK 32

    ***Tell you what, if David Garrett is so certain the law will be effective, we’ll send all two strikes criminals to live next door to him then, shall we? In fact if I had the money, I’d be making his neighbours an offer they couldn’t refuse right about now ***

    But isn’t the point that people who are going to keep committing serious offences should be incarcerated or institutionalised? So it will in fact be effective in the long run?

    • Ari 32.1

      And the counterpoint is that they already are, it’s just the responsibility of judges to decide that, not legislators, and they do it while still maintaining our constitution, to boot. ;)

    • mcflock 32.2

      “But isn’t the point that people who are going to keep committing serious offences should be incarcerated or institutionalised? So it will in fact be effective in the long run?”

      That’s the hope. But the lit review didn’t find any evidence to support that hope, and some possibility of negative outcomes in the homicide rate.

  33. tsmithfield 33

    Two opposing views from lefties today:

    Draco: <blockquote cite="The idea that three strikes laws increase the murder rate has been around for awhile. It may have been in the 1990s when I first heard of it. The theory is quite simple:

    The criminal has two options:
    1.) Let the person who can identify him go and end up in prison for the rest of their life or
    2.) Kill that person and have a higher possibility of not being caught

    Being caught for murder has the same result as being caught for the lessor crime the rest of their life in prison. The rational decision then is to kill the person who can identify them."

    So Draco thinks crims will behave rationally with respect to the law.

    MickeySavave: <blockquote cite="But TS you do not appear to understand the type of mind that we are discussing.

    The ones at risk tend to be poorly educated and either very drunk or out of their head on something or they have the type of personality that means they respond very poorly to certain circumstances or they suffer from a mental condition. They do not have law degrees or coldly measure the consequences of their behaviour if they act in a certain way.

    They are almost inevitably impulsive. They will not perform a deep analysis of the likely consequences, they will think along the following lines:"

    So Mickey thinks crims won’t be rational with respect to the law.

    OK. So if Draco is right, crims are rational. This implies they will realize that for a given offence if the time for the crime is less than the time for murder, then its not worth killing the victim.

    If Mickey is right, crims are so out of it or so inflamed by rage, that they will act without thinking. This implies that it doesn’t make any difference whether there is a three strikes law or not. If the crims are going to kill their victims, they will kill them.

    So, how to reconcile these two perspectives?

    It seems that there must be a “goldilocks” effect to explain why crims would kill their victims BECAUSE of the three strikes law. Perhaps crims are rational enough to know there is a three strikes law and that victims could keep them in prison. But, they get affected by their drugs and things to the extent that they aren’t rational enough to understand the cost-benefit equation for whether it is worth killing a potential witness or not. There, quite simple really.

    • J Mex 33.1

      That’s pretty much the point that I was trying to make TS.

      Go back to January, and you have a bunch of anti-NACT(M)s saying that three strikes won’t work because violent crims and crimes aren’t rational.

      Fastforward a few months and many of the same voices are exclaiming that our violent crims and crimes are probably hyper rational.

      I, for one, blame the introduction of National standards.

    • felix 33.2

      Tim and JMex you are both arguing that the advice from Justice was wrong. I’m not getting into that because I’m not up to speed with all the research and neither are you, and (at least in Tim’s case) he has admitted he doesn’t actually believe a lot of what he writes here anyway.

      I’m far more interested in the fact that we have a govt which has silenced Justice, prevented them from giving evidence to a select committee, and shunted the relevant minister aside.

      I notice you have both studiously avoided these issues. Quite a feat considering the amount of time and typing you’ve devoted to this thread.

  34. ben 34

    What a sad place the Standard is.

    1. Justice offers advice.

    2. The bill is amended because of that advice and in accordance with the cited literature.

    The Standard ignores that annoying second bit and just reports the first.

    All of this in full view of any reader who cares about any sort of objective assessment of, well, anything, including this bill.

    What I don’t understand is why credibility – your own, Standard – is so cheaply given away in stunts like this. Total bloody idiocy.

    [the bill was not amended on the basis of this advice. Follow the links. The advice was given on the basis of the amended bill. Marty]

    • Pascal's bookie 34.1

      You missed the bit about select committees and Power losing the bill to Collins there Ben.

      How do you account for that, and do you approve?

  35. Duncan 35

    Why is this not all over the newspapers yet?

    Has it been given to the news agencies yet?

Links to post

Important links

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • Adventures in the Anthropocene
    Science journalist Gaia Vince left her desk at Nature and spent two years visiting places around the world, some of them very isolated, where people were grappling with the conditions of what is sometimes described as a new epoch, the...
    Hot Topic | 28-07
  • The inflationary impact of road spend-ups
    It’s time for a quick round of everyone’s favourite game, Ask An Economist. Today’s question is: What happens when the government decides to spend up large in a growing economy? If you guessed that the answer is that it will...
    Transport Blog | 28-07
  • I did not order this – again
    I originally posted this back in September 2013. The passage of time is relentless, but some things, and people, don't ever seem to change....
    Imperator Fish | 28-07
  • Another 1945?
    Steve Richards (The Guardian, 28 July) is right to say (and Ed Miliband obviously agrees with him) that next year’s election will not, and should not, be decided by personality politics. So what is it that will determine the voters’...
    Bryan Gould | 28-07
  • Stuart’s 100: #1 Transforming the Motorway Ring
    Urban designer Stuart Houghton has set himself a personal project of coming up with 100 ideas for improving Auckland at the rate of one a day. He is Tweeting them here: @HoughtonSd  Discussing this project with Stuart he said that “I see the city...
    Transport Blog | 28-07
  • No deal
    Its official: National won't be cutting an electorate deal with the Conservatives this election. I guess they figured out that a Colin Craig - Winston Peters deathmatch in East Coast Bays might not go their way - or that snuggling...
    No Right Turn | 28-07
  • Earning that reputation XIV
    Another year, and the Remuneration Commission proposes another increase in MP's expenses. But the MPs don't think its enough: A review of expenses by the Remuneration Authority, which sets MPs' pay, is proposing the amount they are allowed to claim...
    No Right Turn | 28-07
  • Valid reasons to change the government
    If you were to rely on the six O’clock news for your daily intake of information you would be forgiven in thinking that the National party can do no wrong.So fleeting is their coverage of the government's numerous cases of...
    The Jackal | 28-07
  • National standards results 2014
    If ever we needed evidence of the corrossive nature of national standards it’s in the stories of teachers pressured to rank their pupils by their national standards results and then display each child’s ranking on the classroom wall. The Government...
    frogblog | 28-07
  • Jilted Revisionism
    Here is Colin Craig putting on a brave face this morning: "I'm reasonably negative about [electorate deals]. I've been quite critical of arrangements like National do with Act and United Future, because I'd like to think the voters get to...
    Polity | 28-07
  • More bullying from Nick Smith
    This morning Radio New Zealand reported on Nick Smith's crude attempt to bully Fish & Game into silence on water quality:Dr Smith met the Fish and Game Council in Wellington on 18 July, and four people who attended told Radio...
    No Right Turn | 28-07
  • Deep sea oil and love don’t mix
    Locals, surfers, Green Party members, dog lovers, beach lovers at Piha Yesterday we launched our plan to keep New Zealand beaches free from oil spills. With Piha’s world-famous waves crashing in the background, we stood in the local surf club...
    frogblog | 28-07
  • New Fisk
    Eight hundred dead Palestinians. But Israel has impunityOne of the oldest Christian communities in the lands of Christ has been destroyed as the Sunni Caliphate spreads...
    No Right Turn | 27-07
  • The male party
    Another election, and another National party list packed with men. This time though its getting some attention:National released its party list yesterday and if it gets 60 MPs into Parliament after the election, just 16 - 27 per cent -...
    No Right Turn | 27-07
  • Vacuous ravings in the Herald
    You know it's a slow news day with nothing in particular to attack the Labour party over when journalists in New Zealand undertake a bit of navel gazing. Much like their biased political opinions, most reporters are invariably prejudiced in...
    The Jackal | 27-07
  • Risible courtier watch
    I think there are a few interesting things going on in this John Armstrong piece sternly warning everyone about the disease of ‘gotcha politics’: It sure ain’t pretty. It sure ain’t enlightening. It is most definitely insidious. It is a...
    DimPost | 27-07
  • Awful, powerful video on family violence
    This is one woman's video of daily-selfies-for-a-year. It is not for the faint of heart, and it is enormously powerful. The sign she is holding at the end is in Croatian. It says: "Help me, I do not know if...
    Polity | 27-07
  • A tale of two lists
    The National party list came out yesterday, and all the talk was of gender balance. National does not have it. According to Kiwiblog, if National gets 49% of the vote, is will have a caucus that is 71% male. At...
    Polity | 27-07
  • Bye bye, Colin
    National has all-but confirmed today that there no deal for Colin Craig in East Coast Bays, or for any other Conservative. This was the right thing for them to do, for one simple reason. All the stuff about Winston running...
    Polity | 27-07
  • Speaker: A true commitment
    In recent weeks, the Government has come out in support of a push for strangulation to become its own offence. One of a number of recommendations by an independent committee into family violence deaths, the Family Violence Death Review Committee...
    Public Address | 27-07
  • June 2014 Patronage
    The patronage results for June are out and like recent months the results are particularly good for the rail network. The June stats are also significant as they represent the end of financial year results for Auckland transport. The 12...
    Transport Blog | 27-07
  • iPredict Ltd2014 Election Update #28
    Press Release – iPredict The chances of a fiscal surplus in 2014/15 continue to plunge and are down to 50%, according to the combined wisdom of the 7000 registered traders on New Zealands online predictions market, iPredict. The forecast surplus...
    Its our future | 27-07
  • TPPA is a bad idea
    Press Release – Democrats for Social Credit Currently New Zealand, Australia, Singapore, Brunei, Vietnam, the USA, Japan, Malaysia, Canada, and Mexico are still negotiating the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement. Officially talks finished last August, but the reality is that they keep...
    Its our future | 27-07
  • Conference on Democracy, Ethics and the Public Good
    Press Release – Public Good Conference on Democracy, Ethics and the Public Good A conference is to be held in Wellington on 1 and 2 August with the aim of starting a NZ-wide discussion about the quality of our democracy....
    Its our future | 27-07
  • 2014 SkS Weekly Digest #30
    SkS Highlights Dana's Climate models accurately predicted global warming when reflecting natural ocean cycles examined a new paper by James Risbey et al that takes a clever approach to evaluating how accurate climate model temperature predictions have been while getting around the noise caused by...
    Skeptical Science | 27-07
  • Greens call for shipping lanes backed by Maritime Union
    The Maritime Union is backing the Green Party’s policy to implement compulsory shipping lanes for coastal shipping....
    MUNZ | 27-07
  • Government needs to get Fishing reform bill passed now
    The Maritime Union is urging the Government to push through the Fisheries (Foreign Charter Vessels and Other Matters) Amendment Bill to protect workers from exploitation and abuse....
    MUNZ | 27-07
  • Womensfest at UOA
    Apologies for lateness!...
    The Hand Mirror | 27-07
  • Update on the Downtown Shopping Centre
    There’s a good article up on the Herald website today, with an update on what’s happening with the Downtown Shopping Centre. I’d suggest heading over there and checking it out. The article notes that “Precinct [Properties] expects to release images...
    Transport Blog | 27-07
  • Party Lists – Election 2014
    . . ACT Party 1. Dr Jamie Whyte 2. Kenneth Wang 3. Robin Grieve 4. Beth Houlbrooke 5. Don Nicolson 6. Stephen Berry 7. Dasha Kovalenko 8. Gareth Veale 9. Ian Cummings 10. Sara Muti 11. Toni Severin 12. Max...
    Frankly Speaking | 27-07
  • Party Lists – Election 2014
    . . ACT Party 1. Dr Jamie Whyte 2. Kenneth Wang 3. Robin Grieve 4. Beth Houlbrooke 5. Don Nicolson 6. Stephen Berry 7. Dasha Kovalenko 8. Gareth Veale 9. Ian Cummings 10. Sara Muti 11. Toni Severin 12. Max...
    Frankly Speaking | 27-07
  • I am still waiting for my cheque
    I have often said I wonder how some of the anti-science propagandists sleep straight in their beds at night. Lately this refers to various members of the local anti-fluoridation movement and their claims. Pity I am not the litigious sort – there...
    Open Parachute | 26-07
  • Yet Another National MP Spending Tens of Thousands of Tax Payers Money…
    The list of National MP’s whose arrogance is beyond measure, grows … “National list MP Paul Foster-Bell is defending a huge spike in his taxpayer-funded expenses as he campaigned for a seat selection. Wellington-based Foster-Bell’s spending increased from $7459 between...
    An average kiwi | 26-07
  • National Party Plans on Near-Starving Hospital Patients to Save Money
    Yes, the National Party continues destroying the Health system and now it’s patients with it! Article below from the ODT Warning over hospital food cutbacks Nutrition experts have warned a government cost-cutting team that patients could suffer malnutrition or even...
    An average kiwi | 26-07
  • Northcote Walking and Cycling improvements
    Auckland Transport are starting consultation tomorrow for a series of walking and cycling improvements to Northcote. All up there will be 5.2km of improvements from the intersection of Taharoto Road and Northcote Road through to the Northcote Ferry Terminal. Along with improving cycling facilities...
    Transport Blog | 26-07
  • Thankfully, Tories are ALWAYS wrong
    Back in 2008, 2009 and 2010, were we not assured, absolutely assured, that debt rising above 90% of GDP would send the economy into a deathly death spiral and lead to death?Indeed, ladies and gentlement, you had better hope the...
    Left hand palm | 26-07
  • 2014 SkS Weekly News Roundup #30B
    14 concepts that will be obsolete after catastrophic climate change Abrupt climate shifts in the past offer warning for future Changing human behavior is major factor in selling cleaner cars, curbing congestion China’s energy plans will worsen climate change, Greenpeace...
    Skeptical Science | 26-07
  • French Lessons
    Aux Armes Citoyens! Exacerbating Labour's current difficulties is the unfinished character of the rank-and-file's 2012 revolution. It was as if the revolutionary crowds of Paris, having torn down the Bastille, then decided to build it back up again!“APRÈS MOI, LE...
    Bowalley Road | 26-07
  • Most politicians don’t care about elderly
    Back at the end of June the New Zealand Aged Care Association ran a full paged advert in the NZ Herald concerning a number of questions they wanted politicians to answer. They also sent each party a letter outlining their...
    The Jackal | 26-07
  • I wish you all solidarity
    On Thursday night was my valedictory speech in Parliament – the last official word of my nearly nine years as a Labour MP. Valedictories are rites of passage.  Some of us will be remembered.  Most of us won’t, until we...
    Red Alert | 26-07
  • Billboards
    We drove out to Porirua today and back through the Wellington commuter suburbs: Johnsonville, Ngaio etc. There was a scattering of billboards around, almost all of which were TeamKey/National billboards. Here’s a picture of the cluster near to where I live on...
    DimPost | 26-07
  • Reconcile this, please, Mr Coleman
    National’s Jonathan Coleman has some explaining to do. He has stated that: “Ministers had absolutely no knowledge of any pending FBI-NZ Police investigation.” The NZ Herald reports that Immigration NZ received a detailed briefing regarding the FBI’s interest in Kim Dotcom, ahead...
    Occasionally erudite | 26-07
  • Much to fight for in the Maori seats
    We all know it could be a fight to the death in the Maori seats this election, but it's startling to think that some candidates are borrowing money off their mortgages just to be able to stand at this election.It seems...
    Pundit | 26-07
  • A plea to all Labour Party activists
    Let's focus on being unfocused. Hey, maybe it will work....
    Imperator Fish | 26-07
  • Hosking hits back
    Greetings and salutations to you all. I’m broadcaster and National Party stalwart Mike Hosking and I just wanted to take a bit of time out of my busy Saturday eating Gruyère cheese and supping trim latte’s to speak on a...
    My Thinks | 26-07
  • The CRL and City Centre Office Shortages
    When the government finally announced they would support the CRL – but starting in 2020 – they listed two targets that would need to be on track to being met to bring construction forward. Rail Patronage to double to 20...
    Transport Blog | 26-07
  • A tale of two meetings…continued
    Last week I pointed out the marked difference between how many people are attending National's campaign meetings compared to the Internet Mana party's and thought a follow-up on how things are going is in order. Unfortunately for National thing's aren't...
    The Jackal | 25-07
  • We Are Not Anti Dairy
    A common reaction to our clean rivers initiative is that we are anti-dairy farming. This is completely untrue. The truth is that many dairy farmers, with a little cajoling from Fonterra and Dairy NZ, are doing a lot to improve...
    Gareth’s World | 25-07
  • Why the Super-Rich need Governments. (from Social Europe Journal)
     WHY THE SUPER-RICH NEED GOVERNMENTSDani RodrikThe very rich, F. Scott Fitzgerald famously wrote, “are different from you and me.” Their wealth makes them “cynical where we are trustful,” and makes them think “they are better than we are.” If these words...
    the Irascible Curmudgeon | 25-07
  • Four sackable offences
    We all know the National party is riding high in the opinion polls at the moment with old Teflon John seemingly untouched by any number of scandals that have plagued the government over the last six years. Much of this...
    The Jackal | 25-07
  • Minister shouldn’t stop Fish and Game doing its job
    It seems that Conservation Minister Nick Smith has again been caught out interfering to allow more pollution in our rivers, the Green Party said today. Last year the Department of Conservation submission on the proposed Ruataniwha Dam was suppressed after...
    Greens | 28-07
  • Public deserves electoral integrity
    National's deals with spent political forces ACT and United Future will be met with a deepening sense of unease over the manipulation of MMP, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says."These parties have no electoral mandate and will return to Parliament only...
    Labour | 28-07
  • Out of control costs raise questions about National Science Challenges
    Amid strong criticism of the value of the National Science Challenges from some of the country’s senior scientists, new figures show administrative costs are skyrocketing while the level of investment in actual science remains a mystery, says Labour’s Innovation, Research...
    Labour | 28-07
  • Low build numbers and faulty repairs: what has Brownlee been doing?
    Despite being a man in a hurry new figures show just 2160 new homes, thousands fewer than needed, have been built under Gerry Brownlee in the last two years, say Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford and EQC spokesperson Clayton Cosgrove....
    Labour | 28-07
  • Joyce’s heavy hand stifling innovation
    The National Government should allow scientists and businesses to get on with innovation rather than allow Steven Joyce's heavy hand to direct it, Green Party Co-leader Dr Russel Norman said today. Dr Norman was responding to reports today that several...
    Greens | 27-07
  • CERA spends almost $2m on 7000 flights
    CERA has spent $1.8 million on 7286 flights from Christchurch to Wellington in three years – a huge waste of money as Cantabrians still wait for solutions, Labour’s EQC spokesperson Clayton Cosgrove says. “Of course CERA officials do need to...
    Labour | 27-07
  • Nick Smith oversteps the mark yet again
    Nick Smith has yet again completely overstepped the mark as a minister – this time with a threat to muzzle Fish and Game if they don’t keep in line with Government’s views, says Labour’s Conservation spokesperson Ruth Dyson. “Nick Smith...
    Labour | 27-07
  • Georgina Beyer to stand for MANA in Te Tai Tonga
    “It’s great to have Georgie on board” said Hone Harawira, MANA Leader and Te Tai Tokerau MP.  ”She’s strong-minded, stands up to be counted, and has fought for the rights of those who haven’t had any – and won.  That...
    Mana | 27-07
  • Green Party launches plan to protect our beaches from oil spills
    The Green Party today launched its plan to protect New Zealand beaches from oil spills. The plan is the second component of the Party's environmental priority this election: Rivers clean enough to swim in again, and beaches safe from oil...
    Greens | 26-07
  • Auckland rail use spike shows need to start link now
    The Green Party today welcomes Auckland Transport figures showing rail patronage has soared by 23 percent in June from June 2013, demonstrating both the value of electrification and the need to immediately get cracking building the Auckland City Rail link."We...
    Greens | 25-07
  • Soaring rail use in Auckland shows need for rail link now
    The Green Party today welcomes Auckland Transport figures showing rail patronage has soared by 23 percent in June from June 2013, demonstrating both the value of electrification and the need to immediately get cracking building the Auckland City Rail link."We...
    Greens | 25-07
  • Puhoi-Warkworth decision doesn’t stack up
    The Board of Inquiry decision on the Puhoi-Warkworth motorway gives the green light to a project that doesn’t stack up, says Labour’s Transport spokesperson Phil Twyford. “Labour would spend $320 million immediately to fix the accident black spots, put in...
    Labour | 25-07
  • Key must stand Brownlee down during investigation
    The wise thing for the Prime Minister to do is ask Gerry Brownlee to hand in his transport warrant and to stand him down for the duration of the CAA investigation, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. “It’s not good enough...
    Labour | 25-07
  • Puhoi highway won’t help Northland roads
    The draft decision by the Environmental Protection Agency to grant resource consent to the proposed $1.65 billion Puhoi motorway doesn't stop it being a waste of money, the Green Party said today. "The Puhoi motorway is an unnecessary waste of...
    Greens | 25-07
  • Green Party to focus on issues not sideshows
    The Green Party has launched its creative for the 2014 election; Love New Zealand. The Green Party campaign focuses on the issues where there is concern that we do not love New Zealand enough; our increasingly polluted environment, increased poverty...
    Greens | 25-07
  • Coleman must come clean about FBI briefing
    Former Immigration Minister Jonathan Coleman must come clean about when he was told the FBI was investigating Kim Dotcom, Labour’s Associate Security and Intelligence spokesperson Grant Robertson says. “Jonathan Coleman has previously said ministers were not aware of the American...
    Labour | 25-07
  • Regional economies need tailored plans
    News that up to 114 jobs could be lost from Fonterra’s Canpac plant in Hamilton reinforces the need for a government plan to build resilient regional economies, Labour’s MP for Hauraki-Waikato Nanaia Mahuta says. “The Canpac site has effectively responded...
    Labour | 25-07
  • Kiwis to get the final vote on amalgamation
    New Zealanders will get the right to have a final say on any proposed local body amalgamations, says Labour’s local government spokesperson Su’a William Sio releasing Labour’s Local Government policy today....
    Labour | 24-07
  • Dr Rajen Prasad’s Valedictory Statement
    Draft Hansard Parliamentary Record. Subject to correction. Bula vinaka. Namaste, Mr Assistant Speaker. Thank you very much. Tēnā koe. I am a lucky migrant and am privileged to have received as much as I have from this country for over...
    Labour | 24-07
  • Darien Fenton’s Valedictory Statement
    Nga mihi nui - kia koutou. I acknowledge all Members of Parliament I have served with and I do so without rancour or criticism. Over nearly nine years in parliament I’ve found that despite furious debate about political difference, most...
    Labour | 24-07
  • Immigation and Kim Dotcom – Harawira
    “I just got a call from National Business Review reporter, asking whether there was any contradiction between my thoughts on immigration in 2009 and now, particularly given MANA’s newly minted relationship with Kim Dotcom” said MANA leader and Tai Tokerau...
    Mana | 24-07
  • Nats to announce 2nd crossing without rail
    Labour Transport spokesperson Phil Twyford says it has been leaked to him that John Key will rule out a rail option when announcing an accelerated timeframe for Auckland’s $5 billion second harbour crossing next month. “I understand the Government’s plan...
    Labour | 24-07
  • “They put Maori centre stage” – Harawira
    “I’m sorry I can’t be at parliament for the valedictory speeches of Tariana Turia and Pita Sharples” said Hone Harawira, MANA Leader and MP for Tai Tokerau, ”but I’d like to add my own best wishes as they reach the end...
    Mana | 24-07
  • ACT trying to have it both ways on zoning
    ACT Party candidate David Seymour’s campaign against changes to school zones in the Epsom electorate looks hollow given his party’s commitment to the abolition of school zoning altogether, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. “It’s disingenuous for David Seymour to...
    Labour | 24-07
  • Interest rate rise will hit the regions
    The latest interest rate rise will hit the fragile regional economies of  New Zealand and hurt exporters by putting more upward pressure on the exchange rate, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson David Parker.  “The regions are already hit by dropping  export...
    Labour | 24-07
  • Burning the flag or accepting the evil
    Burning the Israeli flag in Auckland in protest over the murder of innocent civilians in Gaza is nothing to be ashamed of” said MANA Leader and Tai Tokerau MP, Hone Harawira. “Calling for both sides to stand down when one side...
    Mana | 23-07
  • Photo op disguises abysmal failure
    John Key’s opening of four Housing NZ units in Bexley today is nothing more than an insincere photo op designed to hide the Government’s failure to rebuild the housing stock destroyed by the earthquakes, says Labour’s Associate Housing spokesperson Poto...
    Labour | 23-07
  • TAXPAYER UNION “outrageously stupid”
    Jordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union says a MANA billboard “appears to have been funded by taxpayers”, and calls it “an outrageous use of taxpayer money”. “But the only thing that is outrageous, is how outrageously stupid Jordan Williams was...
    Mana | 23-07
  • Green Party launches Solar in Schools policy
    The Green Party will help schools install solar and save money on their power bills by investing $20 million into solar PV systems in schools. The $20 million is expected to:Help around 500 schools install solar over three yearsResult in...
    Greens | 23-07
  • Extent of job losses at Invermay remain hidden
    Despite growing concern in the agriculture and science sectors, both AgResearch management and the Minister responsible are continuing to hide the true extent of job losses at AgResearch’s Invermay campus, Labour’s MP for Dunedin North David Clark says. “Science and...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Tōku reo, tōku oho oho, tōku reo, tōku mapihi maurea – MANA launches ...
    “MANA is launching its te reo Māori policy this morning ahead of the first reading of the government’s Māori Language Strategy Bill this afternoon”, saidMANA deputy leader and candidate for Waiariki, Annette Sykes. “MANA’s policy is based on a love...
    Mana | 23-07
  • Connectivity Upgrade to close digital divide
    Labour will close the digital divide with its Connectivity Upgrade to ensure all New Zealanders can be part of a growing, more connected economy and have the right to access quality broadband, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says.  “The digital revolution...
    Labour | 23-07
  • New parents deserve support – Labour will deliver
    ...
    Labour | 23-07
  • National refuses meeting with Maui’s advocates
    National has refused a briefing from a group of Maui's dolphins experts, whose research shows 80 per cent of New Zealanders want greater protection for the critically endangered dolphin, the Green Party said today.Dolphin campaigner Gemma McGrath and marine scientist...
    Greens | 23-07
  • MANA Tamaki send a challenge to Labour
    “Labour should set the agenda and purposely do something positively controversial once a week”, said MANA candidate for Mt Albert, Joe Carolan. “A good start would be for all Labour Auckland MPs and members to join the Justice for Palestine...
    Mana | 23-07
  • We must act to save our dolphins
    A new report makes it clear for the urgent need to protect Maui’s and Hector’s dolphins while arguing  it is clear that there is no need for further research, says Labour’s Conservation spokesperson Ruth Dyson.  “Labour backs the public call...
    Labour | 23-07
  • School told to manipulate national standards data
    Parents can have little confidence in the Government’s National Standards after an Auckland school was told to manipulate its data so it added up, Labour’s Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins. “Valley School in Pukekohe was advised in an email from the...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Regional economies must have tailored plans
    News that up to 114 jobs could be lost from Fonterra’s Canpac plant in Hamilton reinforces the need for a government plan to build resilient regional economies, Labour’s MP for Hauraki-Waikato Nanaia Mahuta says. “The Canpac site has effectively responded...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Auditor General slams Shared Services project
    The Auditor-General’s Office could not have been more damning about the 18 months spent on the Central Agency Shared Services (CASS) project at the Finance and Expenditure Committee this morning, says Maryan Street, Labour’s State Services spokesperson.  ...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Fonterra job losses a massive blow to Waikato
    The potential loss of up to 114 jobs from Fonterra’s Canpac plant in Hamilton is a massive blow to the Waikato region which has already lost hundreds of jobs, Labour says. Labour’s Social Development spokesperson and Hamilton-based list MP Sue...
    Labour | 23-07
  • Basin flyover decision an opportunity for capital
    The decision to reject the proposed flyover at the Basin Reserve must be taken as an opportunity to properly fund Wellington’s transport future and must not be used as an excuse to take resources away from the capital, Wellington Labour MPs...
    Labour | 22-07
  • National out of touch with the regions
    John Key is out of touch with regional New Zealand if he believes tinkering with council regulations will restore opportunities to small towns, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says. “While the regions are crying out for sustainable growth and job opportunities,...
    Labour | 22-07
  • Flyover rejection a victory for sustainable transport
    The rejection of the proposed Basin Reserve flyover by a Board of Inquiry is a victory for sustainable transport in Wellington and paves the way for other alternatives to be given a fair hearing, Wellington Labour MPs Grant Robertson and...
    Labour | 22-07
  • Reo Māori Policy Launch
    MANA will be launching its Reo Māori policy at 10am Thursday 24 July, at Matangireia (the old Māori Affairs Select Committee room at Parliament). We will also be addressing our concerns regarding the Minister of Māori Affairs Māori Language Strategy...
    Mana | 22-07
  • Basin Flyover decision victory for common sense
    The Green Party welcomed the Environmental Protection Authority's draft decision announced today not to allow the $90 million Basin Reserve flyover in Wellington to proceed."Both popular and expert opinion opposed the flyover. The proposal was expensive, unnecessary and would have...
    Greens | 22-07
  • Loss Leading could destroy Kiwi lamb’s reputation
    Meat companies that supply supermarkets and sell New Zealand lamb as a loss leader in the United Kingdom should lose their access to this valuable quota market, said Labour’s Primary Industries spokesperson Damien O’Connor. “Our reputation as a Lamb producer...
    Labour | 22-07
  • Ae Marika! 22 July 2014
    The big storm has gone, but the damage that it did and the saturation levels that it reached meant that smaller storms quickly overwhelmed roading, and water-flow systems again in the north. And although certain individuals are talking up the...
    Mana | 21-07
  • 2014 Roger Award nominations now open
    The Roger Award is for The Worst Transnational Corporation Operating in Aotearoa/New Zealand in 2014 Nominations are now open please visit the website to nominate the worst TNC in Aotearoa. You will need to include reasons why you think your...
    Mana | 21-07
  • Labour will revive the regions with new fund
    The next Labour Government will co-develop Regional Growth Plans for every region of New Zealand and will invest at least $200 million in a fund to create breakthrough opportunities for jobs and sustainable growth, Labour Leader David Cunliffe says....
    Labour | 21-07
  • Speech to Local Government New Zealand
    Speech to the Local Government New Zealand Conference 2014 Read our full regional development policy Download Introduction Early in my time as an MP I went for a long walk on a windswept Kare Kare beach with Waitakere mayor Bob Harvey. We talked...
    Labour | 21-07
  • Something Fishy About Nick Smith’s Game.
    NICK SMITH’S crude intimidation of the Fish and Game Council points to the bleakest of environmental futures should National be re-elected on 20 September. It is now considerably clearer than 60 percent of New Zealand’s lakes, rivers and streams that...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Key’s odd personal hypocrisy in Epsom, his kiss of death to the Maori Par...
    Aside from tricking Colin Craig into running in an electorate National can crush him in, John Key has announced three things in his election deals that are ill thought out. The first is his deal with the Maori Party. At a time...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Why it’s all over for the Conservative Party
    Whatever flirtations were made months ago to Colin Craig by National strategists, the polling must have come back showing them too much of their soft urban vote would walk if Key was in Government with Colin Craig.  The necessary inside muscle to...
    The Daily Blog | 28-07
  • Balance in the NZ Herald and has something gone terribly wrong at the Heral...
    So the ‘balance’ in the NZ Herald this year for the election will be… Guest columnists will include the acerbic Cactus Kate from the radical right, former Labour candidate Josie Pagani and broadcaster Mark Sainsbury. Right, so that would be...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Phew – National Party hubris seals strategy
    The National Party are bot listening to Matthew Hooton. Phew. Hooton has crunched the numbers and based on past polling National always drops 6 points come election day. National aren’t listening. Barging through the need to cut deals with all...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Noam Chomsky on the TPPA
    Noam Chomsky on the TPPA...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Unacceptable secrecy around labelling people terrorists
    It’s good to see the Sunday Star-Times attempting to get more information from government agencies about Daryl Jones, the Kiwi killed in a US drone strike in Yemen.  The paper is right to complain about the government’s refusal to provide...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • A critical deconstruction of John Key – what’s behind the facade?
    Aspiring national leaders need a popular narrative of their rise to power.  Once in office, the narrative can be refined to fit the requirements of leadership and re-election.  Such is the purpose of John Roughan’s John Key: Portrait of  a...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Radio Live – off Mark
    The Top Marks lasted five weeks on Mediaworks radio station The Sound. This may have something to do with last being relevant in the mid-1980s when there were only two commercial FM licences in Auckland and they were on one...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • Wellingtonians say ‘No!’ to Israeli aggression
    .   . Wellington, NZ, 26 July – About 600 Wellingtonians, and from further afield, met at the Cuba Mall Bucket fountain under a wintery sunny sky, to protest Israel’s continuing aggression in the Gaza strip, which – at the...
    The Daily Blog | 27-07
  • GUEST BLOG: Shasha Ali – I am an indigenous person but I will never call ...
    Yesterday was indeed a politically hectic day in Aoteaora New Zealand, especially if you are an activist that cares about both human and non-human animal rights. Protest actions were organised to demand an end to factory farming from about noon, and...
    The Daily Blog | 26-07
  • Pro-Israel, Pro-Palestine or ‘Pro-Peace’?
    Latest protest for people of Gaza in Auckland In the past couple of weeks I have heard a lot of people say that they are neither Pro-Israel nor Pro-Palestine; they are pro-peace. This is a stand that I respect. Everyone...
    The Daily Blog | 26-07
  • So we can’t feed the kids, the poor OR the sick now?
    Let me get this straight. We can borrow $10 billion in tax cuts over the last 6 years for the richest NZers, but we can not feed the kids, the poor or even the sick now? Revealed: Warning over hospital food...
    The Daily Blog | 26-07
  • Kim Dotcom has said it, Laila Harre has said it and now David fisher says i...
    Fascinating piece by David Fisher in the NZ Herald breaking down how many opportunities the Government had to listen to officials and stop KDC entering the country and concludes KDC should never have been allowed in… It prepared papers for the...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • You, Me and the GCSB Public Meetings
      The GCSB and TICS legislation rushed through Parliament by John Key represent the largest erosion of civil liberties this country has seen since the 1951 Waterfront Lockout. In the post Snowden world we now know a mass surveillance state operating...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • A feminist takedown of Whale Oil
    Whale Oil does it again. How many more times is he going to attack and discredit Tania Billingsley publicly? In a short blog published on Wednesday ‘Nothing to be sorry for‘ Whale Oil also known as Cameron Slater, is defending John Key...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • GUEST BLOG: Curwen Ares Rolinson – New Zealand First – We’ll Be Back
    Earlier this week, Bomber penned a missive which set out in some detail why he thought my people, New Zealand First, wouldn’t be making it back into Parliament later this year. Being a pugnacious, vindictive sort who’d never let such an...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • The changes teachers DO want
    “Oh you teachers, you just want everything to stay the same – what’s wrong with choice?  Bloody teachers.  Typical that you don’t want testing – trying to hide that you’re all useless. What about our poor kids?  Gnash gnash rant rant...” That’s...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • A feminist take down of Whale Oil
    Whale Oil does it again. How many more times is he going to attack and discredit Tania Billingsley publicly? In a short blog published on Wednesday Nothing to be sorry for Whale Oil also known as Cameron Slater, is defending John Key...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • On so called Labour Party ‘distractions’
    The right wing of the Labour Party are constructing a narrative that Labour need to stop chasing distractions and focus on the real issues that matter and not these silly GCSB, inequality, domestic violence, media bias, TPPA issues. It is...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • Selfies: Labour’s Electorate MPs are at it again
    IT’S A LITTLE TRIANGLE of grass at the corner of Rewa Street and Mt Eden Road, ideal for election hoardings. Wandering along Mt Eden Road last Saturday morning to our weekly appointment with the brunch menu at Orvieto, my family and...
    The Daily Blog | 25-07
  • Well, well, well – Jonathan Coleman did know about FBI interest into Kim ...
    Last years GCSB Town Hall meeting in Auckland Oh dear, the cover up and lies are starting to fall over now aren’t they… Coleman knew of FBI interest in Dotcom pre-residency decisionGovernment minister Jonathan Coleman knew the FBI was interested...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • Why You Must March Against Factory Farming This Saturday, 12pm
    The rally this Saturday is critical because this is the FIRST TIME IN NEW ZEALAND HISTORY that a major party has agreed to ban all intensive factory farming practices. The Labour party, the Greens, Internet-Mana, the SPCA, SAFE and other...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • Astronaut tweets photo of explosions over Israel and Gaza from space
      This is what a war zone looks like from space: From aboard the International Space Station, German astronaut Alexander Gerst tweeted this image as the station passed over Israel and Gaza in what he called ‘his saddest photo yet’....
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • When Firstline are focusing on flag burning rather than dead Palestinian ch...
    The IDF are butchering children in UN schools this morning and what’s the big issue on TV3s Firstline? Flag burning. How pathetic, and what a slap in the face to Mike McRoberts who is currently risking his life in Gaza...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • ‘Victim’ vs ‘Terrorist’
    ‘Victim’ vs ‘Terrorist’...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • Petition asking TVNZ to stand Hosking down as election moderator jumps to o...
    In just a day the petition calling on TVNZ to replace Hosking as the election moderator has jumped to over 2500, you can sign it here. The defence that the Right are trying to run here is that John Campbell...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • When the mainstream media go feral: the descent into sheer farce, according...
    . . It had to happen, I guess… The media pack-campaign against Labour Leader David Cunliffe has managed to  plumb new depths of absurdity. On TV3, on 24 July,  TV3/Tova O’Brien ran this report on their 6PM News bulletin, about...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • Coalition for Better Broadcasting: MIKE HOSKING FOR PM?
    Yes indeed. Mike Hosking is for the PM. And now he’s able to do even more as moderator (or should that be immoderator) of TVNZ’s election debates. Here at the Coalition for Better Broadcasting we feel it’s pretty safe to say that...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • The lie that “There is no alternative” to neo-liberal economic policies
    Supporters of President Maduro in Venezuela rally   Since the 1980s we have had drubbed into our heads that there was no alternative to the economic and social policies unleashed at that time. It even had it’s own acronym – TINA. The...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • A Kanaky tale of mining skulduggery and environmental courage
    Florent Eurisouké … still campaigning against mining. Photo: Del Abcede/PMC David Robie also blogs at Café Pacific AN EXTRAORDINARY story of mining skulduggery and a courageous struggle by indigenous Kanak environmental campaigners has been captured in a poignant new documentary,...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • UNBREAKING: The list of questions Mike Hosking will use in first TVNZ leade...
    “Good evening ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the first TVNZ leaders debate being held live in the gloriously beautiful Sky City ball room. It’s such a beautiful building boys and girls, we are so blessed to have Sky City...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • Internet Party Party review
      I have been to A LOT of political party functions in my time, and they tend to be dull affairs at the best of times but what is happening with Internet MANA is something quite exciting. I went to...
    The Daily Blog | 24-07
  • Dear Seven Sharp – after learning Hosking will be the leaders debate ...
    I have to be honest, I had made the decision last night  to accept Seven Sharp’s hastily offered opportunity to appear on their show after I savagely criticised the bullshit whitewash story they did on John Key’s favourite far right hate speech...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • National refuses meeting with Maui’s advocates
    MIL OSI – Source: Green Party – Headline: National refuses meeting with Maui’s advocates Wednesday, 23 Jul 2014 | Press Release This is another reminder that the National Government does not care about the survival of the Maui’s dolphin National...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Message from CTU President Helen Kelly
    MIL OSI – Source: Unite Union – Headline: Message from CTU President Helen Kelly Dear MikeThere’s only 43 days until September 3, when voting in the General Election starts. The last day to vote is September 20.Thanks heaps for signing...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • MANA Tamaki send a challenge to Labour
    MIL OSI – Source: Mana Movement – Headline: MANA Tamaki send a challenge to Labour Posted on July 23, 2014 by admin in Joe Carolan, Press Releases“Labour should set the agenda and purposely do something positively controversial once a week”,...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • We must act to save our dolphins
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: We must act to save our dolphins A new report makes it clear for the urgent need to protect Maui’s and Hector’s dolphins while arguing  it is clear that there is no...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • School told to manipulate national standards data
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: School told to manipulate national standards data Parents can have little confidence in the Government’s National Standards after an Auckland school was told to manipulate its data so it added up, Labour’s...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Regional economies must have tailored plans
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Regional economies must have tailored plans News that up to 114 jobs could be lost from Fonterra’s Canpac plant in Hamilton reinforces the need for a government plan to build resilient regional...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Auditor General slams Shared Services project
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Auditor General slams Shared Services project The Auditor-General’s Office could not have been more damning about the 18 months spent on the Central Agency Shared Services (CASS) project at the Finance and...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Fonterra job losses a massive blow to Waikato
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Fonterra job losses a massive blow to Waikato The potential loss of up to 114 jobs from Fonterra’s Canpac plant in Hamilton is a massive blow to the Waikato region which has...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Basin flyover decision an opportunity for capital
    MIL OSI – Source: Labour Party – Headline: Basin flyover decision an opportunity for capital The decision to reject the proposed flyover at the Basin Reserve must be taken as an opportunity to properly fund Wellington’s transport future and must...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Indonesia: New President Widodo must make good on human rights pledges
    MIL OSI – Source: Amnesty International NZ – Headline: Indonesia: New President Widodo must make good on human rights pledges Indonesia’s new President Joko Widodo must deliver on campaign promises to improve Indonesia’s dire human rights situation, Amnesty International said....
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Communities in Sierra Leone turn their backs on female genital mutilation
    MIL OSI – Source: Amnesty International NZ – Headline: Communities in Sierra Leone turn their backs on female genital mutilation While activists gather in London to discuss strategies to tackle female genital mutilation, communities across Sierra Leone have been taking...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • The Gambia: Activists mark 20 years of iron-fisted repression
    MIL OSI – Source: Amnesty International NZ – Headline: The Gambia: Activists mark 20 years of iron-fisted repression The Gambian government must abolish the laws and iron fisted practices that have resulted in two decades of widespread human rights violations,...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • A blog from the front lines of Palestine: It’s time for a new narrative
    I don’t know if I follow trouble or if trouble follows me, but somehow I seem to have found myself near one of the world’s hotspots again. The difference this time is that instead of sitting in some obscure location,...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • GUEST BLOG: Michael Wood – The Path Ahead
    It’s well established that Labour has had a difficult couple of weeks. Getting back on to a successful path requires our focus to shift from looking inwards to outwards, heightened discipline, and inner conviction. While my assessment of New Zealand...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Employers liquidating companies to avoid paying minimum entitlements
    Across the union movement we have seen a number of documented cases now where companies are liquidating their business in order to avoid their legal obligations, in terms of paying the minimum entitlements to their workers. The most recent example...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • GUEST BLOG: Joe Carolan : Positively Controversial
    The protest in Auckland last weekend that the NZ Herald claimed was attend by only a hundred people. Labour should set the agenda and purposely do something positively controversial once a week. A good start would be for all their...
    The Daily Blog | 23-07
  • Forest & Bird supports Fish and Game’s freshwater advocacy
    The independent conservation organisation Forest & Bird is concerned over allegations the Fish & Game Council has been threatened over its advocacy for freshwater quality....
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Time for Epsom to say “no deal”
    “Epsom voters will be disgusted by the deal announced today to try and once again gift their electorate to the ACT Party”, says Labour candidate for Epsom Michael Wood....
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Petition for release the of seven Bah
    At the invitation of the Honourable Annette King the New Zealand Bahá'í community is presenting a petition to the House of Representatives asking the NZ government to demand the release of the seven former leaders of the Baha’i community in...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Capital gains in the capital city
    Victoria University will today be hosting a public debate on the merits of more comprehensive capital gains tax—a step which taxation expert Associate Professor Dr David White considers would be beneficial for New Zealand. Organised by student group Beta Alpha...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Te Kupenga supports efforts of anti-violence campaigner
    Te Kupenga Whakaoti Mahi Patunga – National Network of Stopping Violence Services (Te Kupenga) wholeheartedly endorses statements made by DJ, Kickboxer and Anti-Violence Campaigner Richie Hardcore this morning on TV3’s Firstline about the role of men...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • iPredict Ltd2014 Election Update #28
    The chances of a fiscal surplus in 2014/15 continue to plunge and are down to 50%, according to the combined wisdom of the 7000 registered traders on New Zealand’s online predictions market, iPredict. The forecast surplus is now just 0.22%...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • TPPA is a bad idea
    “Currently New Zealand, Australia, Singapore, Brunei, Vietnam, the USA, Japan, Malaysia, Canada, and Mexico are still negotiating the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement. Officially talks finished last August, but the reality is that they keep...
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Getting privacy right in our data future
    Privacy Commissioner John Edwards welcomes the release of the New Zealand Data Futures Forum’s report....
    Scoop politics | 28-07
  • Conference on Democracy, Ethics and the Public Good
    Conference on Democracy, Ethics and the Public Good A conference is to be held in Wellington on 1 and 2 August with the aim of starting a NZ-wide discussion about the quality of our democracy. The conference is hosted jointly...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Paddock to plate, and smart roads possible
    New Zealand’s international brand and exports could grow significantly with the creation of a data sharing ‘eco-system’ according to a paper released by the NZ Data Futures Forum today....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Ngapuhi wants to overthrow Maori King
    Ngapuhi is planning a hui for the end of the year – organised by iwi leader David Rankin – in which the future of the King Movement will be discussed....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Housing warrant of fitness little help for sick children
    A housing warrant of fitness has been promoted as a way of preventing sickness among children in poverty. The attached report shows that such a regime would have little impact on health outcomes but would come at a considerable cost,...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Upcoming Fabian Events in Auckland
    Sue Bradford ’s PhD thesis, 'A major left wing think tank in Aotearoa—an impossible dream or a call to action?' looked at why no major left wing think tank has developed in Aotearoa and whether the left in 2010-2013 was...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Senior Citizens, Not Senile Citizens
    The Taxpayers’ Union is questioning the merits and costs of the “ No car? No problem! Getting around your community without a car” brochure, released by the Office for Senior Citizens. The brochure’s purpose is to explain to senior citizens...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • NZ Troops Hone Their Skills in Queensland
    Around 260 New Zealand troops are on a 25-day Australian-led warfighting exercise in Townsville, Northern Queensland....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Maritime Union backs Green Party call for shipping lanes
    The Maritime Union is backing the Green Party’s policy to implement compulsory shipping lanes for coastal shipping, announced today....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Auckland Council Bypasses Public, Ditches Rodeo Ban
    Auckland Council Bypasses Public, Ditches Rodeo Ban The Auckland Council has announced that they are abandoning the rodeo ban on council land, put into place in 2008. This was done with virtually no consultation, says SAFE, the animal advocacy organisation....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Tolley and Coleman urged to meet West Papuan visitor
    Ministers Tolley and Coleman urged to meet West Papuan visitor Police Minister Anne Tolley and Defence Minister Dr Jonathan Coleman have a rare opportunity this week to gain first-hand knowledge about Indonesian police and military activities in West...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Minister Right to Give Fish & Game a Serve
    Reacting to Radio New Zealand’s report concerning allegations that Conservation Minister Nick Smith warned the Fish and Game Council that it acts like a 'rabid NGO', Jordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union says:...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Government needs to get Fishing reform bill passed now
    The Maritime Union is urging the Government to push through a Bill reforming the fishing industry....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Ivory trade laws look set to tighten following petition
    A petition mounted by an Auckland schoolteacher has won the support of a powerful Select Committee and has moved the New Zealand closer towards a fully enforceable ivory trading ban....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Bilingual guide a demonstration of leadership
    “Waikato River Restoration: A Bilingual Guide” to the Waikato River that saw Tainui Waikato, Landcare Trust and the Waikato River Authority working together is a demonstration of rangatiratanga or leadership says Race Relations Commissioner...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Georgina Beyer to stand for MANA in Te Tai Tonga
    "It's great to have Georgie on board" said Hone Harawira, MANA Leader and Te Tai Tokerau MP. "She's strong-minded, stands up to be counted, and has fought for the rights of those who haven't had any - and won. That...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Q + A: Sir Bob Harvey
    SUSAN Sir Bob Harvey was behind the transformation of Norm Kirk, and one of New Zealand's most popular Prime Ministers. He also advised Bill Rowling, David Lange and Helen Clark, the latter as Labour Party President. Wild Westie a new...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Q + A: Rod Drury
    Xero boss Rod Drury told TVNZ’s Q+A programme what the political parties are offering at this election is ‘all too small.’ “There's no policy, all it is a bunch of incremental stuff. “All too small. What we want to do...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Q + A: Gerry Brownlee
    Transport Minister Gerry Brownlee Rules Out Fastracking Auckland’s City Rail Loop Transport Minister Gerry Brownlee told TV1’s Q+A programme this morning that he won’t be bringing forward an Auckland City Rail loop based on new figures showing...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Owen interviews Australian Treasurer Joe Hockey
    Lisa Owen interviews Australian Treasurer Joe Hockey Headlines: Australian Treasurer Joe Hockey suggests “we can move on some” changes to welfare for New Zealanders in Australia New Zealanders “brothers and sisters” who make “a massive contribution”,...
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • Flavell and Harawira on The Nation
    Lisa Owen interviews Maori Party leader Te Ururoa Flavell and Mana leader Hone Harawira Headlines: Hone Harawira says realistically his Mana Party can take three Maori seats, Te Ururoa Flavell sticks to prediction that Maori Party will win all seven....
    Scoop politics | 27-07
  • The Nation 26,27 July: Flavell & Harawira, Joe Hockey
    On The Nation this weekend…. With the Maori seats primed to play a pivotal role this election, Torben Akel reports from the key battlegrounds and meets the top contenders. Then the Maori Party co-leader Te Ururoa Flavell and Mana Party...
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Announcement of New Zealand First Candidate for Rangitīkei
    New Zealand First has endorsed Dr Romuald (‘Rom’) Rudzki as the candidate for the Rangitīkei Electorate in the 2014 General Election....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Labour Offer Len Brown a Hotel Tax
    The Taxpayers’ Union is slamming the Labour Party's plan to allow councils to levy new 'pillow taxes' and regional petrol taxes. Reacting to this afternoon’s NZ Herald report Jordan Williams, Executive Director of the Taxpayers’ Union ,...
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Cell phone evidence a first
    Cell phone evidence a first Evidence gathered solely from a cell phone has been used for the first time to convict a Hastings man for possessing child sexual abuse pictures. Michael Lawrence Worsnop, a 29-year-old orchard worker pleaded guilty to...
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • New Zealand Aid Worker Helping in Gaza
    A New Zealand Red Cross nurse working in Gaza says she has never experienced anything like the current conflict in her long aid work career....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Parking officers deserve safety at work
    The union representing the Auckland Transport parking officer severely beaten on July 17 says everyone has a right to go about their job without fear for their safety....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Caritas Aotearoa NZ to provide Gaza humanitarian aid
    Caritas Jerusalem is providing medical assistance, food and other necessities to the thousands of vulnerable people affected by the escalating conflict in Gaza, and Caritas Aotearoa New Zealand is contributing an initial $20,000 to support the humanitarian...
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • ALCP challenges parties to support Charlotte’s Web
    The leader of the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party Julian Crawford is calling on all other political parties to state their position on using cannabis oil to treat pediatric epilepsy....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Oxfam accepts cheque from Pacific Corporation Foundation
    Oxfam New Zealand has accepted a cheque for almost $1000 today from the Pacific Corporation Foundation toward recovery efforts in the Solomon Islands, following April’s flash flooding that left thousands homeless....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Draft report and decision – Pūhoi to Warkworth proposal
    The Ara Tūhono – Pūhoi to Wellsford Road of National Significance: Pūhoi to Warkworth section Board of Inquiry has released its draft report and decision....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • New Zealanders willing to pay tax to protect dolphins
    A report released this week shows a large majority of New Zealanders want Maui’s and Hector’s dolphins protected and they are prepared to pay for it....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Stop Smart Meters
    “The Democrats for Social Credit Party (DSC) wholeheartedly endorses the Stop Smart Meters campaign for a moratorium on installations of smart meters until the technology is proven not be a risk to health, and until home owners are given a...
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Maori Roll Electors Urged to Vote Strategically
    Voters enrolled in the seven Maori electorates must learn to maximize their influence by voting strategically, according to the Maori Party candidate for Te Tai Tokerau, Rev Te Hira Paenga....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Politicians Ignore Families’ Concerns on Street Prostitution
    Family First NZ says that politicians are ignoring the concerns of families, lack the will to take appropriate action, and are happy to drag the ongoing problem of street prostitution into the next parliamentary term....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Plunket celebrates Te Wiki o te Reo Māori
    Plunket is proud to celebrate Te Wiki o te Reo Māori (21-27 July), with Plunket people across the country among several thousand New Zealanders taking part and increasing their kete of knowledge in te reo....
    Scoop politics | 25-07
  • Coleman must quit or be sacked over Dotcom case
    Immigration New Zealand has done the right thing in distancing itself from Jonathan Coleman’s claims that ministers were not aware of FBI involvement in Kim Dotcom’s residency application, says the Internet Party. Internet Party leader Laila Harré...
    Scoop politics | 24-07
  • Auckland Councillors, Not Emperors
    25 JULY 2014 Responding to the NZ Herald report that Auckland Councillors have voted to keep their ratepayer-funded business class travel perks, and considered new rules that would have exempted councillors from Auckland City's parking charges, Taxpayers’...
    Scoop politics | 24-07
  • Cunliffe Looks Dodgy Lunching with Sex Offender
    Conservative Party Leader Colin Craig says that David Cunliffe's social meeting with a known sex offender while on holiday "looks pretty dodgy."...
    Scoop politics | 24-07
  • Taxpayers’ Union Back LGNZ Calls For Greater Transparency
    The Taxpayers’ Union is backing Local Government New Zealand’s calls for the Official Information Act to be extended to cover the Local Government Commission. Union Executive Director, Jordan Williams, says:...
    Scoop politics | 24-07
  • Lecture series to provide insight into 2014 election
    Could National’s refusal to reform MMP lead to the defeat of the government? Is the media providing voters with the information they require to make an informed electoral decision? What directions might John Key’s leadership take if he secures...
    Scoop politics | 24-07
  • National Rally Against Factory Farming
    Animal advocates and members of the public all over New Zealand will unite for a ‘National Day of Action Against Factory Farming’ Saturday, tomorrow 26 July in response to two recent exposés that showed horrific conditions on pig factory farms....
    Scoop politics | 24-07
  • Women in Politics Finds Support at Conference
    Women in Politics, a brand-new organisation for New Zealand women in political office, was met with overwhelming support at the 2014 Local Government New Zealand Conference held this weekend in Nelson....
    Scoop politics | 24-07
Images of the election
Public service advertisements by The Standard

Current CO2 level in the atmosphere