Labour surges in latest poll

Written By: - Date published: 7:55 am, October 11th, 2023 - 82 comments
Categories: act, greens, labour, national, nz first, political parties, polls - Tags:

Three days ago I suggested that Labour was getting some momentum and that the feeling on the ground is that people are not trusting National and are incredulous at its policies that do not make sense.

This morning the feeling was verified.  From Charlotte Graham-McLay at the Guardian:

Support for Labour has registered a burst of energy in a Guardian Essential poll days before the New Zealand election – but not enough to overcome an advance by the populist group New Zealand First, which is expected to propel a rightwing coalition to power.

The minor party’s steady climb in recent surveys threatens to vex what once appeared an easy route to victory for the right in Saturday’s election, after months of polls showed governing Labour languishing. Led by the maverick, veteran lawmaker Winston Peters, New Zealand First recorded 8.2% in October’s poll – which includes undecided voters in its total – up 2.2 points from September’s survey, and the party’s strongest showing of any major poll this year.

Since September’s poll, support stalled for centre-right National, the main opposition party, which recorded 34% of the vote, 0.5 points down from last month. Its support partner, the minor libertarian group Act, slid 2.4 points to 7.9%.

The centre-left Labour party lifted 3.4 points to 30.3%, an 11th-hour boost after months of persistent slumps in the polls. Support for Labour’s leftwing support parties was steady; the Greens recorded 10.6% of the vote (down 0.4 points from last month) and Te Pāti Māori registered 1.9% (down 0.6 points).

National and Act must be really concerned with this result.  Despite their huge war chests and conditions that would normally see most Governments voted out they have stalled and are going backward.

The right including Peters is still ahead.  But hang onto your hats.  Labour has some momentum and this is going to be close.

And the final polls in 2005 had National 5 points ahead of where it ended up and Labour 3 points behind.  That sized change could see Labour returned to power.

And don’t forget.  Triple your vote.  Get two friends or whanau members to vote.  Your country’s future depends on it.

82 comments on “Labour surges in latest poll ”

  1. PsyclingLeft.Always 1

    Your country’s future depends on it.

    I so agree with that! And yep I absolutely still see a Left Govt ! While the right wing Coalition of Chaos increasingly implodes, IMO keeping Left Solidarity will do it.

    Cmon the Left !

  2. Dennis Frank 2

    Yay, the dead cat bounce! There's also this to factor in:

    National Deputy leader Nicola Willis said in a message to supporters before the weekend that the party believed 400,000 would vote over the weekend. In fact, only 214,806 did That raises the possibility that we may see a very low poll on Saturday.

    Labour are worried about that, which may be one reason why they are expected to produce a social media video shortly from Jacinda Ardern. “She’s contacted me to indicate that she is intending to be very supportive in the last few days of the campaign,” Hipkins told media yesterday. | Politik

    • mickysavage 2.1

      You are quoting Nicola Willis on the Standard as an argument for something?

      • Dennis Frank 2.1.1

        The message is mismatch of her expectations to reality. Proves National's leadership team is out of touch with the voting public. Maybe you & I knew that, but we ought to give credit where it's due, and she admitted it tacitly. I doubt she is aware of having done so, mind you! smiley

    • Obtrectator 2.2

      "Labour are worried about that, which may be one reason why they are expected to produce a social media video shortly from Jacinda Ardern."

      All my instincts are saying "Don't!" about this idea. I don't fully understand myself why this should be. Unless it's because it would be too strong a reminder of the under-delivery from the second half of her administration (2020-22).

      • Anne 2.2.1

        Unless it's because it would be too strong a reminder of the under-delivery from the second half of her administration (2020-22).

        Wasn't there a pandemic or something which caused the whole world to go into isolation and meant governments had to concentrate their efforts on minimising the consequences and saving lives?

        I seem to remember it was between 2020 – 2022 and now the country is back on track and the outlook is looking good with inflation expected to decrease and wages continue to rise – at least under the current regime should they continue to govern.

        • Corey

          There's alway an excuse for why Labour fails to deliver, and it's never labour's fault.

          in 2017-2020 it was Winston and since 2020 it's been the pandemic.

          The same pandemic that is only reason Labour got a second term resulted in unprecedented nation building levels of public support.

          The covid response sapped lots of energy from the govt which is why it's astounding and heart breaking that a govt elected to focus on housing, poverty, environment and mental healths priorities outside of covid were meaningless internal bureaucratic restructures, failed media mergers, hate speech reforms and three waters.

          All its non covid energy should have been spent on housing, mental health, environment and poverty.

          Labour either got arrogant and spent it's energy wrongly or it doesnt belive in its core principles.

          I think it's both.

          The only real win of this entire term was the dishwater weak Labour reforms and a few crumbs to beneficiaries.

          Couldn't even get piddly lite rail in one city off the ground in six years!!

          Labour got arrogant after 2020 they assumed they'd bolt into a third term win in 2023 and thus they had all the time in the world and chose to move at a glacial pace totally misreading the public mood a year.

          It took a year and a half for the govt to go out in favor with the public and instead of changing tact it doubled down on the unpopular shit, then freaked out canceled it all but replaced it with nothing and are offering nothing.

          They've known this was coming for 18 months and have little to no success to point to and are offering nothing.

          Luke the 4th Labour govt, Books and documentarys will be made about this govt and how it so historically mismanaged its unprecedented support.

          • SPC

            Do you know what the Progressive Home Ownership Fund is?



            Do you know the difference between Labour and National on state housing?

            "In just six years we’ve delivered over 13,000 public homes, the most of any Government since the 1950s. We’ve also added over 4000 transitional homes," Woods said.


            On assistance for energy efficiency retrofit


          • SapphireGem

            Cool diatribe Corey. Go on then and vote in a National/ ACT/ NZ First Government and see how much your life improves yes

          • SPC


            Beneficiaries who get part-time work/casual- precariat work now keep more of that money before abatement

            Have you compared the wage increases to nurses and teachers 2008-2017 with those 2017-2023?

            Have you compared Labour's record on MW increases 2005-2008 and 2017-2023 with National 2008-2017? National wanted lower increases and intends to do this 2023-2026 while rents rise as they do. ACT wants a freeze in MW rises.

            Do you know what the Fair Pay Agreement does as per Industry Awards (as a holistic version of earlier work in such areas as wages for carers) – a system which delivers better wages (as in Oz).

            • gsays

              So why isn't Hipkins and co campaigning on any of this? Where is their messaging?

              Also where are the posts here on TS about these improvements? I know about not telling authors what to write. Instead we get scary bogie-man stories and general fear mongering.

              • James Simpson

                Its been my concern throughout the campaign. The strategy seems to have been setting out reasons why not to vote for National, rather than reason why to vote for Labour, which should simply be look at our record and allow us to keep going with this.

                It may work, but I have my serious doubts.

                • gsays

                  The latest one, I caught a screenshot of here on TS somewhere, is National Blue, picture of Luxon, and text something along the lines of 'reasons to not vote National'. At a casual glance it just looks like another National billboard.

                  Apparently election funds are scarce and they spend it on this?

                  Beggars belief.

                  There need to be more than a few advisors (you have to hope they are sub-contracted) that get the 'don't come Monday'.

                  Where is the 'we begrudgingly delivered pay parity to the nursing workforce' ad?

              • Anne

                So why isn't Hipkins and co campaigning on any of this? Where is their messaging?

                They've been banging on about it for months. Every time Hipkins is interviewed he talks about what Labour has done and what they intend to do. Those interviews have all been available online but you appear not to have bothered to watch or listen to them. And there have been several pamphlets and online ads outlining their achievements and intentions.

                Sure, they can't compete with the onslaught from NAct who are being funded to the tune of millions of dollars by rich pricks wanting to become even richer. And its not Labour's fault if the journos choose to leave out the positives and concentrate on the negatives – which are usually in response to questions from them in the first instance.

                • gsays

                  TBF, I have not sought out this info, the opinion is what filters through to me from the very limited commercial TV and radio I consume. Also from what I get here on TS.

                  I have a suggestion, no polling in the month leading up to an election. Then, the journalists would have to report on things like policy. It is all wall to wall reckons about who is who's bestie. (I'm sure there should be a whom in there somewhere).

                  • Anne

                    Totally agree. It is mostly bottom of the barrel, 'gotcha' stuff which is screwing voter's minds to such an extent many no longer understand what they’re voting for.

                    For my part I listen to RNZ journos and commentators and pick up on the more reliable journos who speak with many years of experience. Good examples – Gordon Campbell, Paul Buchanan, Claire Trevett and Simon Wilson. There are others too.

                  • Gemma

                    I agree with you on this, gsays.

          • gsays

            Well said Corey.

          • Anne

            There's alway an excuse for why Labour fails to deliver, and it's never labour's fault.

            When you start off with a statement like Corey @, that tells me the rest of the diatribe is unlikely to be worth reading so I skimmed only.

            So, you listened to, and believed false prophets. Best of luck, you’re going to need it.

      • Dennis Frank 2.2.2

        Interesting. One ought always to give serious consideration to instincts. They are extremely deep Green! I agree that it makes sense to correlate it with the later phase of Labour's non-delivery track record. Being the recent past, it's more influential.

        Would it affect floaters though? Only in relativity, I reckon. Other influences also impinge on them concurrently so they live in a nexus. I'd rate the latest msm poll as primary influence, and how floaters react to the prospect of govt as outcome.

  3. Ad 3

    Go the team.

    That $$-per-vote ratio for ACT must be a scream.

    • Dennis Frank 3.1

      The 8-all parity we speculated about less than a fortnight back has manifested! Handbrake theory applies. Undecided voters: "Jeez that Seymour is a total nutter & Luxon such a wimp, gotta get a handbrake onto the right pronto!" Winston: "I'm still here." U voters: "Oh yeah, okay, we'll lift you out of the margin of error & get you up over the threshold." Winston: "Cool! Ready & waiting."

    • Bearded Git 3.2

      Such a pleasure to see ACT plummet.

      Seymour is a nasty piece of work which he often hides behind his smug eloquence. Remember this year he was caught out lying about not owning any property, so certainly not to be trusted on anything else he has said.

      • PsyclingLeft.Always 3.2.1

        On the TV news last night : )

        ACT leader David Seymour faced a few challenges on his stroll around central Christchurch today.

        At every step, he seemed to be met by people questioning his policies, including two teenage climate protesters who gate-crashed his media stand-up.

        "Your policies are racist and misogynistic and will continue to destroy the environment."

        They then stood in the background of Seymour's standup with signs proudly aloft. One read: "D. Seymour = A f***ing idiot".

        Those girls were..awesome : )

        • Muttonbird


          • Dennis Frank

            Yeah, thought it was rather intriguing while observing them in that story last night. I'm tempted to credit Seymour for playing it cool, not freaking out.

            The notion that he may have a sense of humour is a tad radical but he may. Folks will have learnt from that story & become more likely to focus on particular examples of his idiocy to use a talking points with their circle…

            • Muttonbird

              He can handle a couple of nervous teenagers ok I guess, he is not much more than a student politician himself. Some people do think he has a sense of humour, the type of people who laughed when he said it is a fantasy of his that Guy Fawkes blows up the Ministry of Pacific Peoples.

              But Seymour must be shitting bricks over this poll. Overtaken by NZ First. The shadowy backers of both parties (the same wealthy oligarchs in some cases) appear to have got their strategy wrong:

              Likely National coalition partner ACT also saw support dropping 2.4 points from 10.3 percent to 7.9 percent.

              But National's other likely coalition partner New Zealand First saw a spike in support. NZ First is on 8.2 percent, up 2.2 points from 6 percent in the previous poll.


  4. Dennis Frank 4

    Prospects for a left govt:

    because the Governor General requires proof that the Government can command a majority in the Chamber, it is possible it might not be able to do that until after the by-election. That could mean late November.

    It would seem likely that if Labour gets to form the next government, it could get its support parties, the Greens and Te Paati Maori, together pretty quickly. Those parties have been talking to each other on a regular basis for some months now, and Hipkins suggested yesterday they were ready to form a government. He described their relationship during the campaign as “co-opetition.” | Politik

    He invented that word because he believes collaboration is too hard, obviously. He deserves credit for energising the situation though. Some floaters have noticed.

  5. Patricia Bremner 5

    Thank you Ad. We are not done yet. It is great news that people appear to be understanding how destructive the rights policies would be.

    The "up to" regarding the tax was the icebreaker. Then the understanding that the changes to benefits were beyond punitive and represented a transfer of wealth from the vulnerable to the reasonably comfortable against all WEAG advice.

    I think the question, "change to what?" asked by Robertson helped some reflect. There is not one new idea from the right. All the policies rehash previous failures, ignore studies and the science to promote failed ideology.

    The promotion of gene editing and genetics is back on the table again.surprise

    Talking openly about the fate of the disabled, unwell and disadvantaged. Most people are shocked by the attitudes.

  6. observer 6

    The problem for National becomes very apparent when we look behind the numbers.

    The public (the swing voters) didn't know Luxon well. They were unhappy with the status quo, and talked of "change". National understood that, and said as little as possible about what that "change" would mean. Classic small target strategy.

    But then the voters got to know the man who would be that "change". Most voters paid little attention to Luxon until the campaign got going.

    The more they learn, the less they like. Example:

    • Dennis Frank 6.1

      Those four categories they put voters into is a tetrad & 4 seems a grounding influence, producing systems in nature. So it makes sense that sampling the whole with tetrad as tool points to the most grounded system influencing the election.

      On that basis your point rests. Since grounding, in the group mind, is the basis for collective reality (common ground) swing voters become the instrument to use to select the right change to make for the nation. Luxon ain't it.

    • AB 6.2

      Thanks – an interesting analysis. Confirms my prejudice that middle-aged, male Aucklanders are the biggest problem!

  7. Mike the Lefty 7

    You know in an absurd way I'm kind of hoping that NZ First gets enough votes to turn the next government into such a shambles that it quickly collapses and voters can see clearly that the political right in this country have no aims in life other than to fill their own pockets with spending loot.

    Its horrible, I know, but part of me wants to see them elected so I can enjoy watching them fall.

    • Bearded Git 7.1

      If NZF have the balance of power (which is far from certain as ACT plummets and the Left surges) then Winston will simply vote with the Left when he chooses, which will kill the bill.

  8. Muttonbird 8

    Very direct, to the point and easy to understand campaign messaging from the Labour Party:

  9. Sanctuary 9

    I'd hate to see Labour's numbers with middle aged Pakeha men with one or more rental properties in Auckland. I suspect the Labour voting component of that demographic have all posted in this thread already, the ACT voters would fill Spark Arena twice over and the National voters would totally ram Eden Park.

    • Bearded Git 9.1

      Not sure Sanc. I am sure landlords make plenty of money under the current settings and there will be plenty of non-National landlords.

  10. Spa 10

    Betting markets look like they have reacted to this. Labour still the outsider at around $8:50 but they were $10 yesterday.

  11. Drowsy M. Kram 11

    ACT dropping to 7.9%, only 0.3% above their 2020 election result, is encouraging.

    At ~7% ACT would lose a seat – god knows Kiwis don’t need more ACT MPs.

    Hipkins, a career politician, recorded 44% strongly positive sentiment and 27% strongly negative; the results were 33% strongly positive for Luxon, a former airline chief executive, with 40% strongly negative.

    Go Luxon!

  12. SPC 12

    The uncertainty about the outcome has diminished.

    It appears the spectre of a NACT regime has gone. Killed off by a belated enlightenment as to what it entails, government for the few.

    ACT falling by half (15% to 7.5% on trends) because Rimmer wanted command rather than his Epsom droid role. No one wants HAL on board the government ship trying to take it over.

    The bad news is that the chance of a Labour led government also appears to be over, it was dependent on getting above the right – 55-54% (done), but with NZF below 5%.

    Peters has always said he would not go with Labour, which he brands racist and sexist for policies favouring Maori and women.

    It appears the conservative "anti-progressive" sentiment against liberalism and elitist economic libertarianism has coalesced once again. It went to the left in 2017 as handbrake and now to the right in 2023.

    For those on the left it's important that L/G/TPM get the vote out (30+/12+/3+), vote for a better future for all, including Maori and women …and see off the NACT (under 35/under 8) spectre now and again in 2026.

    This time of discontent, post pandemic inflation blues and all its stress related manifestations (anti-lockdown/anti-vaccine mandate/anti action on global warming/anti globalism – agenda 21/anti indigenous status UNDRIP/anti-special favour for Maori/anti-feminist/anti-GI) shall pass.

    And the important issues of egalitarianism – government with responsibility for all, rather than for those with capital and their class divide (owner and renter) society will decide the outcome in 2026. L/G/TPM the way of the future (2040 nation state mark 3) or NACT and global market neo-liberalism (generation 1984 expired).

    • AB 12.1

      A "belated enlightenment" – nicely put. Lets hope it's real, widespread enough and sustained over the next few days so that at least we avoid the very worst outcome (a NACT government), while hoping for the best outcome.

    • Bearded Git 12.2

      If Rimmer's lot fall to 4.9 is he still going to win his Epson electorate?

      I guess he will but thought National was putting in a bit more effort this time. It would put the cat among the pigeons if ACT didn't get any seats.

      • Rolling-on-Gravel 12.2.1

        I pray he loses his seat. It's exactly what he deserves for being a soulless dickhead, to be honest.

    • Stan 12.3

      SPC I love the blend of Red Dwarf and 2001 – nice to see a fellow nerd…

  13. Ad 13

    I'd still like to see 10% for the Greens.

    10% would be an object lesson that there's a real constituency for a more principled and idealistic Labour Party or they will have their support hoovered away quick.

    • SPC 13.1

      It's important for Labour's list return they get 30% – Select Committees and for 2026.

      It's up to the Labour team 2023-2026 to be both a good opposition, and offer an alternative in 2026.

      Greens have had to become a future social democratic party (sustainable society in a sustainable economy in a sustainable environment) because of Labour competing in the past (post 1984)/present centre for governance.

  14. Bearded Git 14

    If Rimmer's lot fall to 4.9 is he still going to win his Epson electorate?

    I guess he will but thought National was putting in a bit more effort this time. It would put the cat among the pigeons if ACT didn't get any seats.

    • AB 14.1

      Let's get out there and do some sign-waving for Paul Goldsmith BG! Pretty easy work, because if history repeats, they will be very small signs.

      (Possibly made even lighter by the presence of large holes?)

  15. georgecom 15

    need a 3 more % points to go left on these results

    once the wasted vote is stripped out the coalition of chaos can just get over the line

    a wee bit more % gone and suddenly the coalition of chaos are left short of govt and winston has some hard decisions to make if he wants to get his hands on the baubles of power

    or better still the margin of credibility parties suck up some of winnies votes and leave him just short

  16. Vivie 16

    Re Micky's comments:

    "And the final polls in 2005 had National 5 points ahead of where it ended up and Labour 3 points behind. That sized change could see Labour returned to power".

    This seems a real possibility, in light of the Guardian poll, covering from 4th October to 8th October. National is on 34% and Labour is on 30.3%, up 3%. Labour is gaining momentum, so hope is realistic.

  17. Drowsy M. Kram 17

    ".. a strong, stable National-led government .." – wait, did we just hit a pothole? Bloody ACT!

  18. SPC 18

    Just got an email from the Taxpayers Union board member Ruth Richardson

    Labour/Greens/Māori Party ahead in new poll

    First sign of panic.

    Jordan must be hiding under his desk, all that money and there is no escape from Peters.

    I wonder if there will be one from Peter (no Wayne Brown people claiming his golf club land) Williams before the weekend … he should worry more about sewage back up onto the course or course land going under water.

    • Ghostwhowalks 18.1

      Tax Avoiders Union is just National-ACT front organisation .

      No surprise it was a phoenix that rose from the ashes of Dirty Politics

  19. pat 19

    Nothing has changed…turnout remains the key.

    As of yesterday 850,000 votes have been cast (around 30%, depending upon turnout) and 3 days remain (4 if you count today)…the poll result impact on future voting will be limited (assuming it has an impact).

    Who knows, perhaps we will be heading back to the polls before Christmas.

    And regardless, all the problems remain.

    • SPC 19.1

      Sure turnout determines both the accuracy of the poll and also any swing in favour of those who do go out and vote.

      No voting by any group and the polls are wrong and the swing goes in favour of another.

    • observer 19.2

      Who knows, perhaps we will be heading back to the polls before Christmas.

      It's a real shame to see this myth being given an airing on here. The Parliamentary timetable and the campaign laws make this literally impossible, as does the constitutional convention for caretaker governments.

      The Gov-Gen will simply say to the parties: "keep talking".

      • pat 19.2.1

        Are you saying that an election rerun is impossible before Christmas?…I imagine (depending upon the result post Saturday) that there would be sufficient time to run an election prior to Christmas should it be deemed necessary.

        There are 12 weeks before Christmas.

        • pat

          I note Muldoon called 'the snap election' with 4 weeks notice in '84

        • observer

          Scroll down for the timetable:

          Election 2023 Timeline – New Zealand Parliament (

          After the November result (NOT October), then add several weeks (minimum) for negotiations.

          Then add the fact that the caretaker PM cannot call an election (unlike "normal" PM). So Muldoon 1984 comparison is meaningless.

          Then add the minimum campaign period, as required by the Electoral Commission.

          • pat

            So highly unlikely but not impossible (before Christmas) …depending upon outcome.

            As said…who knows what the result will be come Saturday (and beyond)

            • observer

              We know that a result on Saturday is impossible, as explained in the link I provided.

              People can make all kinds of assumptions about what is likely to happen in negotiations, but nobody can call an election before the legal process has been followed.

              If the Governor-General intervened and ordered another election before Parliament has met, before duly elected MPs have been sworn in, there would be a constitutional uproar. If the caretaker PM tried to do it, same.

              MPs have been "elected" before and yet, not become MPs (e.g. 2002). There is no Parliament until the MPs are sworn in.

              Again, it's laid out in the timeline. An election needs a writ, nominations, etc. It is defined in law.

  20. SPC 20

    The TVNZ-Verian and Newshub-Reid polls also show NACT cannot form a majority.

    Thus National is ahead because they have NZF backing.

    For mine Labour should say they will support Greens 3% rent increase cap policy (for a minimum of one year) if they they form a government.

  21. Thinker 21

    Don't hate me, but if the choice is a very narrow win for the left, or a coalition of NACT-plus-NZF, I would take a long-term approach and opt for the latter.

    If those are the two most-likely options, then, to me, the former would give the right endless opportunities to cause interference and then warn the country not to vote that way in 2026.

    I think the reverse is also possible though. Luxon's talked the talk, including pointing at the left and calling it the "coalition of chaos" and Nicola Willis has staked her political life on the tax cuts going ahead. He/they have set the bar high for expectations from the people who vote for them. Even if the tax cuts go ahead, NZF will make Luxon have to swallow many dead rats.

    With a dysfunctional coalition of parties that are a polygamous shotgun marriage of co-haters and it would make people forget about John Key's three-way handshake.

    • SPC 21.1

      I'd take the win. Labour/Green/TPM would get the chance to govern – albeit lite with a centrist PM. It would end the fear of a centre-left wing coalition and make the NACT option the one to be wary of.

    • Ad 21.2

      You're not thinking.

      It never works out that way for National: they always get 9 years not 3.

      Remember when Key barely made power in 2008 and was sure to lose the next one?

      Terrible idea.

    • Rolling-on-Gravel 21.3

      Thinker, I disagree with your assessment that a NZF/NACT government is worth enduring for the one simple reason:

      NACT has the intention to gut what remains of the welfare state a la Britain. Over there, they have been responsible for death of a lot of people on the benefits due to sanctions and cuts.

      That is utterly unacceptable and shouldn't happen here.

      George Osbourne & Iain Duncan Smith isn't to be imported here at all.

      Just because we are culturally similar to both UK and USA doesn't mean we should slavishly follow them off any cliffs.

      That is why I am hoping for a LAB/GRN/TPM coalition so we can improve and safeguard the welfare state and make sure Aotearoa is an amazing place for all!

      • Thinker 21.3.1

        Remembering that these are just opinions and not trying to say "I'm right and you're wrong", but to show that I am thinking, even if I'm not thinking the same things as you, to respond to the three responses in turn:

        1. SPC – We're talking about the potential of a very narrow left win. Politics is a bit like driving. If you're not driving on the left side of the white line, you're driving on the right.

        I think, rather than eliminate the fear of a centre-left coalition, the three parties of NACTNZF would spend the years between 2023 and 2026 'proving' to voters what the could/would have had, if only they had voted right. Which could really drive down the left's popularity to the kind of levels National had with Bill English (in the 20's) and make it hard to recover from at that time.

        Versus three years of National's broken promises (courtesy of "Handbrake Winston") and forcing NACT into the 20s territory and make it a long time before they ever got re-elected. Most of their election promises/bribes would sit on the table, not done, thanks to the inability of the NACTNZF to reach a consensus on most things.

        Long-term, there's more for the left in letting voters see what they did vote for, as opposed to NACT telling them would they could/would have had, if only…

        2. AD, yes Key did turn a small victory into a bigger one in the next two terms. But, he cleverly refused to deal with NZF. He wouldn't have been able to do that if he had a coalition of NACTNZF. And, he's a lot more shrewd than Luxon.

        3. RoG, NZF would make sure the right didn't get to do those "right-wing things". As a policy, it has to pull everything to the middle, if it is to survive at all. When in coalition with the left, it did the same and stopped many of the left-wing things from happening. NZF is in survival mode and would/will have to hold NACT's ears to the stove on many things, if it is to present itself as credible in 2026.

        BTW, I'm not an advocate for NZF. Just an advocate for politics as a long-term game. I believe that, up until the time when today's 35 years old and under were too young to vote, elections were National's to win and the left sometimes got a look-in. Now, with climate change and a growing population of more civil-rights, socially-aware voters, the left will be the natural government and the right will have to claw its way in from time to time. More so, as the baby-boomers disappear from the electoral rolls.

        All just my opinion and I'm certainly not discrediting your thoughts.

    • SapphireGem 21.4

      I'd prefer a narrow victory for the Left. If National get in, they will likely remain in for nine years and destroy NZ in the process, of course disproportionately impacting on the most at-risk groups in our country.

  22. Tricledrown 22

    What makes me laugh is that National and ACT donations for the campaign total $12 to $20 million for their campaign while Labour have only $2.5million if I were the donor to Nact I would be wanting my money back and give Chris Luxon and Seymour the sack.

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    "On the 27th of March, I sought assurances from the Chief Executive, Department of Internal Affairs, that the Department’s correct processes and policies had been followed in regards to a passport application which received media attention,” says Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden.  “I raised my concerns after being ...
    2 days ago
  • District Court Judges appointed
    Attorney-General Judith Collins has announced the appointment of three new District Court Judges, to replace Judges who have recently retired. Peter James Davey of Auckland has been appointed a District Court Judge with a jury jurisdiction to be based at Whangarei. Mr Davey initially started work as a law clerk/solicitor with ...
    2 days ago
  • Unions should put learning ahead of ideology
    Associate Education Minister David Seymour is calling on the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) to put ideology to the side and focus on students’ learning, in reaction to the union holding paid teacher meetings across New Zealand about charter schools.     “The PPTA is disrupting schools up and down the ...
    2 days ago
  • Craig Stobo appointed as chair of FMA
    Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly today announced the appointment of Craig Stobo as the new chair of the Financial Markets Authority (FMA). Mr Stobo takes over from Mark Todd, whose term expired at the end of April. Mr Stobo’s appointment is for a five-year term. “The FMA plays ...
    2 days ago
  • Budget 2024 invests in lifeguards and coastguard
    Surf Life Saving New Zealand and Coastguard New Zealand will continue to be able to keep people safe in, on, and around the water following a funding boost of $63.644 million over four years, Transport Minister Simeon Brown and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “Heading to the beach for ...
    2 days ago
  • New Zealand and Tuvalu reaffirm close relationship
    New Zealand and Tuvalu have reaffirmed their close relationship, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters says.  “New Zealand is committed to working with Tuvalu on a shared vision of resilience, prosperity and security, in close concert with Australia,” says Mr Peters, who last visited Tuvalu in 2019.  “It is my pleasure ...
    3 days ago
  • New Zealand calls for calm, constructive dialogue in New Caledonia
    New Zealand is gravely concerned about the situation in New Caledonia, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.  “The escalating situation and violent protests in Nouméa are of serious concern across the Pacific Islands region,” Mr Peters says.  “The immediate priority must be for all sides to take steps to de-escalate the ...
    3 days ago
  • New Zealand welcomes Samoa Head of State
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon met today with Samoa’s O le Ao o le Malo, Afioga Tuimalealiifano Vaaletoa Sualauvi II, who is making a State Visit to New Zealand. “His Highness and I reflected on our two countries’ extensive community links, with Samoan–New Zealanders contributing to all areas of our national ...
    3 days ago
  • Island Direct eligible for SuperGold Card funding
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has announced that he has approved Waiheke Island ferry operator Island Direct to be eligible for SuperGold Card funding, paving the way for a commercial agreement to bring the operator into the scheme. “Island Direct started operating in November 2023, offering an additional option for people ...
    3 days ago
  • Further sanctions against Russia
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters today announced further sanctions on 28 individuals and 14 entities providing military and strategic support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.  “Russia is directly supported by its military-industrial complex in its illegal aggression against Ukraine, attacking its sovereignty and territorial integrity. New Zealand condemns all entities and ...
    3 days ago
  • One year on from Loafers Lodge
    A year on from the tragedy at Loafers Lodge, the Government is working hard to improve building fire safety, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “I want to share my sincere condolences with the families and friends of the victims on the anniversary of the tragic fire at Loafers ...
    3 days ago
  • Pre-Budget speech to Auckland Business Chamber
    Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you so much for having me here in the lead up to my Government’s first Budget. Before I get started can I acknowledge: Simon Bridges – Auckland Business Chamber CEO. Steve Jurkovich – Kiwibank CEO. Kids born ...
    4 days ago
  • New Zealand and Vanuatu to deepen collaboration
    New Zealand and Vanuatu will enhance collaboration on issues of mutual interest, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.    “It is important to return to Port Vila this week with a broad, high-level political delegation which demonstrates our deep commitment to New Zealand’s relationship with Vanuatu,” Mr Peters says.    “This ...
    4 days ago
  • Penk travels to Peru for trade meetings
    Minister for Land Information, Chris Penk will travel to Peru this week to represent New Zealand at a meeting of trade ministers from the Asia-Pacific region on behalf of Trade Minister Todd McClay. The annual Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Ministers Responsible for Trade meeting will be held on 17-18 May ...
    4 days ago
  • Minister attends global education conferences
    Minister of Education Erica Stanford will head to the United Kingdom this week to participate in the 22nd Conference of Commonwealth Education Ministers (CCEM) and the 2024 Education World Forum (EWF). “I am looking forward to sharing this Government’s education priorities, such as introducing a knowledge-rich curriculum, implementing an evidence-based ...
    4 days ago
  • Education Minister thanks outgoing NZQA Chair
    Minister of Education Erica Stanford has today thanked outgoing New Zealand Qualifications Authority Chair, Hon Tracey Martin. “Tracey Martin tendered her resignation late last month in order to take up a new role,” Ms Stanford says. Ms Martin will relinquish the role of Chair on 10 May and current Deputy ...
    4 days ago
  • Joint statement of Christopher Luxon and Emmanuel Macron: Launch of the Christchurch Call Foundation
    New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and President Emmanuel Macron of France today announced a new non-governmental organisation, the Christchurch Call Foundation, to coordinate the Christchurch Call’s work to eliminate terrorist and violent extremist content online.   This change gives effect to the outcomes of the November 2023 Call Leaders’ Summit, ...
    5 days ago
  • Panel announced for review into disability services
    Distinguished public servant and former diplomat Sir Maarten Wevers will lead the independent review into the disability support services administered by the Ministry of Disabled People – Whaikaha. The review was announced by Disability Issues Minister Louise Upston a fortnight ago to examine what could be done to strengthen the ...
    5 days ago
  • Minister welcomes Police gang unit
    Today’s announcement by Police Commissioner Andrew Coster of a National Gang Unit and district Gang Disruption Units will help deliver on the coalition Government’s pledge to restore law and order and crack down on criminal gangs, Police Minister Mark Mitchell says. “The National Gang Unit and Gang Disruption Units will ...
    5 days ago
  • New Zealand expresses regret at North Korea’s aggressive rhetoric
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today expressed regret at North Korea’s aggressive rhetoric towards New Zealand and its international partners.  “New Zealand proudly stands with the international community in upholding the rules-based order through its monitoring and surveillance deployments, which it has been regularly doing alongside partners since 2018,” Mr ...
    5 days ago
  • New Chief of Defence Force appointed
    Air Vice-Marshal Tony Davies MNZM is the new Chief of Defence Force, Defence Minister Judith Collins announced today. The Chief of Defence Force commands the Navy, Army and Air Force and is the principal military advisor to the Defence Minister and other Ministers with relevant portfolio responsibilities in the defence ...
    5 days ago
  • Government puts children first by repealing 7AA
    Legislation to repeal section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act has been introduced to Parliament. The Bill’s introduction reaffirms the Coalition Government’s commitment to the safety of children in care, says Minister for Children, Karen Chhour. “While section 7AA was introduced with good intentions, it creates a conflict for Oranga ...
    5 days ago
  • Defence Minister to meet counterparts in UK, Italy
    Defence Minister Judith Collins will this week travel to the UK and Italy to meet with her defence counterparts, and to attend Battles of Cassino commemorations. “I am humbled to be able to represent the New Zealand Government in Italy at the commemorations for the 80th anniversary of what was ...
    5 days ago
  • Charter schools to lift educational outcomes
    The upcoming Budget will include funding for up to 50 charter schools to help lift declining educational performance, Associate Education Minister David Seymour announced today. $153 million in new funding will be provided over four years to establish and operate up to 15 new charter schools and convert 35 state ...
    5 days ago
  • COVID-19 Inquiry terms of reference consultation results received
    “The results of the public consultation on the terms of reference for the Royal Commission into COVID-19 Lessons has now been received, with results indicating over 13,000 submissions were made from members of the public,” Internal Affairs Minister Brooke van Velden says. “We heard feedback about the extended lockdowns in ...
    6 days ago
  • The Pacific family of nations – the changing security outlook
    Foreign Minister, Defence Minister, other Members of Parliament Acting Chief of Defence Force, Secretary of Defence Distinguished Guests  Defence and Diplomatic Colleagues  Ladies and Gentlemen,  Good afternoon, tēna koutou, apinun tru    It’s a pleasure to be back in Port Moresby today, and to speak here at the Kumul Leadership ...
    6 days ago
  • NZ and Papua New Guinea to work more closely together
    Health, infrastructure, renewable energy, and stability are among the themes of the current visit to Papua New Guinea by a New Zealand political delegation, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.   “Papua New Guinea carries serious weight in the Pacific, and New Zealand deeply values our relationship with it,” Mr Peters ...
    6 days ago
  • Driving ahead with Roads of Regional Significance
    The coalition Government is launching Roads of Regional Significance to sit alongside Roads of National Significance as part of its plan to deliver priority roading projects across the country, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.  “The Roads of National Significance (RoNS) built by the previous National Government are some of New Zealand’s ...
    6 days ago
  • New Zealand congratulates new Solomon Islands government
    A high-level New Zealand political delegation in Honiara today congratulated the new Government of Solomon Islands, led by Jeremiah Manele, on taking office.    “We are privileged to meet the new Prime Minister and members of his Cabinet during his government’s first ten days in office,” Deputy Prime Minister and ...
    7 days ago
  • New Zealand supports UN Palestine resolution
    New Zealand voted in favour of a resolution broadening Palestine’s participation at the United Nations General Assembly overnight, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.    “The resolution enhances the rights of Palestine to participate in the work of the UN General Assembly while stopping short of admitting Palestine as a full ...
    1 week ago
  • Speech to the 2024 Infrastructure Symposium
    Introduction Good morning. It’s a great privilege to be here at the 2024 Infrastructure Symposium. I was extremely happy when the Prime Minister asked me to be his Minister for Infrastructure. It is one of the great barriers holding the New Zealand economy back from achieving its potential. Building high ...
    1 week ago
  • $571 million for Defence pay and projects
    Defence Minister Judith Collins today announced the upcoming Budget will include new funding of $571 million for Defence Force pay and projects. “Our servicemen and women do New Zealand proud throughout the world and this funding will help ensure we retain their services and expertise as we navigate an increasingly ...
    1 week ago
  • Climate change – mitigating the risks and costs
    New Zealand’s ability to cope with climate change will be strengthened as part of the Government’s focus to build resilience as we rebuild the economy, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. “An enduring and long-term approach is needed to provide New Zealanders and the economy with certainty as the climate ...
    1 week ago
  • Getting new job seekers on the pathway to work
    Jobseeker beneficiaries who have work obligations must now meet with MSD within two weeks of their benefit starting to determine their next step towards finding a job, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “A key part of the coalition Government’s plan to have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker ...
    1 week ago
  • Accelerating Social Investment
    A new standalone Social Investment Agency will power-up the social investment approach, driving positive change for our most vulnerable New Zealanders, Social Investment Minister Nicola Willis says.  “Despite the Government currently investing more than $70 billion every year into social services, we are not seeing the outcomes we want for ...
    1 week ago
  • Getting Back on Track
    Check against delivery Good morning. It is a pleasure to be with you to outline the Coalition Government’s approach to our first Budget. Thank you Mark Skelly, President of the Hutt Valley Chamber of Commerce, together with  your Board and team, for hosting me.   I’d like to acknowledge His Worship ...
    1 week ago
  • NZ – European Union ties more critical than ever
    Your Excellency Ambassador Meredith,   Members of the Diplomatic Corps and Ambassadors from European Union Member States,   Ministerial colleagues, Members of Parliament, and other distinguished guests, Thank you everyone for joining us.   Ladies and gentlemen -    In diplomacy, we often speak of ‘close’ and ‘long-standing’ relations.   ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Therapeutic Products Act to be repealed
    The Therapeutic Products Act (TPA) will be repealed this year so that a better regime can be put in place to provide New Zealanders safe and timely access to medicines, medical devices and health products, Associate Health Minister Casey Costello announced today. “The medicines and products we are talking about ...
    2 weeks ago

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