"In the 12 months to August this year Statistics NZ estimates there was a net population gain from migration of 110,200, an all time high.
It takes 16 months for Statistics NZ's migration figures to be finalised, and the early figures in particular can be subject to significant revisions, either up or down.
But even allowing for that, the latest estimates suggest immigration is now driving significant population growth."
When was anyone asked about a population influx such as this?…in an environment of substandard infrastructure, environmental overshoot and migrant exploitation we have reached record levels of (largely easily attained skills) immigration.
Such policy would first have to reckon with the demands by employers for cheaper, less demanding labour.
In addition to infrastructural and environmental pressure, such migrant levels ensures increased rental housing pressure and justifies continued investment in the unproductive economy.
We can speculate as to why it is occurring (and I agree the housing market is likely the main driver), however the question remains as to why voters have not been provided with a population policy from any of the political hopefuls over a period of decades?
And the employers (of certain sectors) may have demands, but so have other citizens.
…. and do we have enough housing for this Immigration surge, and additional 110,000 people at 3-4 people per household equates to 30,000 to 35,000 additional homes are we even building that many houses per annum ???
Sadly we do not…we lose around 30,000 homes per year due to wear and tear, we have the Air BnB phenomenon, and we have the well heeled increasingly buying holiday homes….and then there was (perhaps on the decline currently) those holding empty properties for capital gain.
And that is but part of the infrastructure.
Unfortunately in NZ, the main (and almost exclusive) source of collateral for growth is the banks residential mortgage book.
Air BnB is turning Queenstown into a mess. None can take a bus or shuttle to a house up on the ridge, so they must get a rental car. Which turns the state highway into a nightmare in season.
QLDC or government could simply regulate that Air BnB's are required to be at the same standard as hotels ie sprinklers and lifts and fire exits etc; that would take the heat out of it at least.
There's no room for the infrastructure ie roads that would enable more unrestrained international flights to work, let alone the housing for workers.
Residency to work for those who graduate qualified for certain sectors (important areas of the economy or services).
Preference for foreign students who choose certain areas of study (to sustain our range of courses, or post graduate and see above).
Employers who bring in workers have to arrange housing (yes you Queenstown).
Industries that have a need for (migrant) workers have to identify a pathway for training locals to do the work (in partnership with educational/training bodies or apprenticeships/internships).
I'm aware just the mention of a couple these names will have some reaching for the smelling salts… this is a good 48 minutes of insightful, sometimes funny, political banter.
Observations include, tax cuts is not a classically conservative party action (Milton Friedman, Thatcher, Regan, Richardson) as opposed to close careful macro management of economy, National breathing life into Winston.
Surprisingly damning opinions of Luxon and the Nats.
This poll covers a more recent period than the Guardian poll:
Labour is up 2% from last week's poll to 28%, and National is up 1% on 37%. The Green Party has hit 14% (up 1%), which would deliver it a record 17 MPs in the next parliament. ACT has slumped to 9% (down 1%), its lowest result in the 1News poll in more than a year. Te Pāti Māori is steady on 2%. New Zealand First's 6% would place the party and leader Winston Peters firmly in the kingmaker position between the left and right blocs.
Of the 1001 eligible voters polled, 9% didn’t know or refused to answer, the lowest percentage this year. The polling period was from Saturday, October 7 to Tuesday, October 10.
Opinion: Last Friday, a study was released finding that 94.5 percent of the National Party’s Facebook posts from September 11 to September 24 had been negative.
The academic leading the study, Victoria University’s Dr Mona Krewel, said this finding was “not unexpected, given Labour is the incumbent and National is wanting to change the government”.
To many of us, this finding was also unsurprising because it reflected the intense fear that’s been driving its campaign and the campaigns of Act and NZ First.
Despite the growing howls calls for showing ‘mongrel’, Hipkins and Labour have held off for long before they started countering the unrelenting battering of negativity and fear from the opposition. It is a shame that Labour hasn’t followed a more positive and constructive campaign but it’s always easier to shout ‘advise’ and ‘encouragements’ from the sideline.
What will the Green Party do if. God forbid, Winston becomes the Kingmaker?
When Chris Hipkins calls Winston with a plea for support will he go along with Winston's demand that he be deputy PM, and that there be no Green Cabinet Ministers? Will the Green Party go along with it in return for some policy wins?
When Winston then talks to Chris Luxon after his pleading call will the ACT party go along with Winston's similar demands about ACT's exclusion?
Which of the Chris's will buckle first?
It will be an interesting pre-Christmas this year.
In 2017 NZF got more votes than the Greens, after the Metiria story had dominated their campaign. Their negotiating position was weaker than Winston's.
In 2023 the Greens are on track to have double the support of NZF or ACT.
Hipkins and Ardern had totally different pre-election stances on working with Winston. A very different landscape.
Peters has rejected any deal with Labour. Hipkins has rejected trying to change his mind.
Peters will support a National led government and only if there is a problem that would result in another election would the possibility of (temporary or longer) confidence and supply to Labour (presumably on Labour having to forgo a range of policies) come up.
Not at all. However anyone who really thinks that Hipkins and Peters, who are both career politicians, can't go back on pre-election statements in order to retain, by Hipkins, or gain, by Peters, power and baubles, is the idiot.
I can see both of them telling us that had to do it to save New Zealand … waffle, waffle, waffle.
And their true believers, like you, will go along with it.
National has been right to panic, with its vote plummeting 4.6 points to 34.5 percent. The party peaked too soon and is looking to snatch chaos from the jaws of victory. ACT's fall from grace has baked in, stalling on 8.8 percent.
Peters has timed his run perfectly with New Zealand First up 1.6 points to 6.8 percent. Te Pāti Māori is still not making a break for the 5 percent threshold – it's up 0.5 to 2.7 percent. The Opportunities Party is on 2.2 percent, up 0.3. A new entrant here, New Zealand Loyal. Conspiracy candidate Liz Gunn's party of two is on 1.4 percent.
Good showing for the Greens in both, along with ACT's subsidence continuing & NZF continuing to rise over the threshold.
I would say National and Labour are level pegging, maybe a point or two ahead in the blue corner. The Greens looking like the bolters……….Act are learning the other meaning for floaters……..the final round is upon us……….lay your bets folks………Winstons Wheel of Fortune is spinning………spinning…….spinning……
That's a good comparative design. A triad of pentads, in the deep Green view.
The reflexivity principle points us to the undecided, and the effect of these polls in making up their mind who to vote for.
People often prefer to vote for a winning team, but at times a rising team can pull them too. Such voters are influenced by energy rather than ideas.
From the biological signalling perspective, I suspect Winston to come first, but the Greens not far behind him, plus the Greens have their strategic plus of correct alignment with the future which will influence anyone seeking guidance or with a sense of destiny…
We are late into the fifth act, and the dénouement approaches. The clues have all been disclosed and the false leads have been laid. The characters have all been revealed and the suspects assembled in the drawing room. Will it be the vicar alias Bishop Tamaki? Or did the man from Ilam seize the opportunity? Is it the old retainer who rose and fell with the fortunes of the family? Is it the young upstart in the yellow sports car who conspired with the businessman risen through the ranks who seeks fame and a knighthood for himself? Or the pastry chef aided by the vegan gardener and the tattooed traveller who seems from away but instead has always been there?
Who dunnit? All will be revealed in Saturday night's end of series episode of "The Mystery of the Lost Chance Saloon and Bar". Alternate endings upon application.
In the good book it would definitely be the pastry chef aided by the gardener and the traveller who win the coveted prize but there are wicked wizards and a witch who might be about to wreak evil upon our fair land. But as with all good tales, the pastry chef and his merry band of helpers will eventually ride forth and save the people from the fire and the plague just in the nick of time.
Err… they have saved us from the plague, but the fire is still to come.
You mean a framing suggestion? I'd go with the holistic view. Then reference the commons, and does the result signal a shift in how we can specify it. Blend the left/right balance into that, then factor in the kingmaker role of NZF to the extent that it influenced the outcome.
One would then need to mention the timeframe for finalising the outcome. Any surprises could rearrange any such scheme though…
Up to you, just as long as the post incudes the words: "This is not the election result"!
Every 3 years it seems we have to be reminded (and amazingly, the media have to be reminded) that special votes are worth exactly the same as the other votes, and there are a lot of them.
National lost 2 seats on specials in 2020, 2 seats in 2017, etc.
ACT support the independence of Taiwan and want 2% spent on defence (they have no idea on what or how to pay for it … but cut government). That is about that is known of ACT defence and foreign policy (apart from let foreigners buy stuff here and invest here).
The think tanks in Canada that Seymour used to know did not focus on foreign policy or defence matters.
Maybe that has been delegated to the party's next leader.
How David Seymour hopes to move New Zealand to the right
[22 Sept 2023]
He credits, too, the rise in profile that came after the Christchurch terrorist attack, when a white supremacist gunman killed 51 people at two mosques. Seymour was alone in opposing gun control reforms to ban semi-automatic weapons – winning enduring support from gun-rights activists…
Fifty-thousand guns registered to Kiwis since Firearms Registry went live
[11 Oct 2023]
A Firearms Registry was a recommendation from the Royal Commission following the 2019 Christchurch terror attack.
…
"But our [ACT's] first port of call is to be rid of it [the Firearms Registry] to make sure our firearm owners – [a] quarter of a million people out there – feel safe."
Three great forces rule the world: stupidity, fear and greed. – Albert Einstein
Labour is promising to make it so Defence Force (NZDF) pay rates are set independently of the government, and review the Defence Act.
He highlighted the Labour government's investments in the NZDF over the past six years, including pay increases for personnel and new recruits of between $4000 and $15,000 – the largest in a decade – and shoring up ageing fleet and bases.
"Labour's $4.7 billion capital investment over six years is double what National did in nine. Our defence forces now has new Poseidon aircraft, upgraded frigates and a new vessel protecting our seas, a new Bushmaster vehicle fleet, and new Super Hercules aircraft on the way," he said.
This is going to be decided on the overseas vote. I can hear the screaming from the right already to cancel the kids who are away for more than 6 months. My 30 year old rang tonight to say he thought that the Greens are going to go big and the above prediction on the o/seas vote. I hope he’s right, he works out of UCanty and is well connected especially with the young diaspora through social media, and senses that they are solidly left more than usual. Mind you, any who have been in UK,US, Aussie etc have lived through right wing carnage and probably don’t want a repeat here.
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Today New Zealand First will introduce a Member’s Bill that will protect women’s spaces. The ‘Fair Access to Bathrooms Bill’ will require, primarily in the interest and safety of women and girls, that all new non-domestic publicly accessible buildings provide separate, clearly demarcated, unisex and single sex bathrooms. This Bill ...
The Green Party is welcoming Climate Change Minister Simon Watts’ continuation of Hon. James Shaw’s cross-party work on climate adaptation, now in the form of a Finance and Expenditure Committee Inquiry. ...
The National Government plans to cut 390 jobs at ACC, including roles in the areas of prevention of sexual violence, road safety and workplace safety. ...
The Government has been caught in opposition to evidence once again as it looks to usher in tried, tested and failed work seminar obligations for job-seeking beneficiaries. ...
The Green Party is welcoming the announcement by the Minister Responsible for RMA Reform Chris Bishop to approve most of the Wellington City Council’s District Plan recommendations. ...
David Seymour has failed to get the sweeping cuts he wanted to the free and healthy school lunch programme, Labour education spokesperson Jan Tinetti said. ...
Hon Willie Jackson has been invited by the Oxford Union to debate the motion “This House Believes British Museums are not Very British’ on May 23rd. ...
Green Party MP Hūhana Lyndon says her Public Works (Prohibition of Compulsory Acquisition of Māori Land) Amendment Bill is an opportunity to right some past wrongs around the alienation of Māori land. ...
A senior, highly respected King’s Counsel with decades of experience in our law courts, Gary Judd KC, has filed a complaint about compulsory tikanga Māori studies for law students - highlighting the utter depths of absurdity this woke cultural madness has taken our society. The tikanga regulations will compel law ...
The Government needs to be clear with the people of the Nelson Marlborough region about the changes it is considering for the Nelson Hospital rebuild, Labour health spokesperson Ayesha Verrall said. ...
Ministers must front up about which projects it will push through under its Fast Track Approvals legislation, Labour environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking said today. ...
The Government is again adding to New Zealand’s growing unemployment, this time cutting jobs at the agencies responsible for urban development and growing much needed housing stock. ...
With Minister Karen Chhour indicating in the House today that she either doesn’t know or care about the frontline cuts she’s making to Oranga Tamariki, we risk seeing more and more of our children falling through the cracks. ...
The Labour Party is saddened to learn of the death of Sir Robert Martin, a globally renowned disability advocate who led the way for disability rights both in New Zealand and internationally. ...
Labour is calling for the Government to urgently rethink its coalition commitment to restart live animal exports, Labour animal welfare spokesperson Rachel Boyack said. ...
Today’s Financial Stability Report has once again highlighted that poverty and deep inequality are political choices - and this Government is choosing to make them worse. ...
The Green Party is calling on the Government to do more for our households in most need as unemployment rises and the cost of living crisis endures. ...
Unemployment is on the rise and it’s only going to get worse under this Government, Labour finance spokesperson Barbara Edmonds said. Stats NZ figures show the unemployment rate grew to 4.3 percent in the March quarter from 4 percent in the December quarter. “This is the second rise in unemployment ...
The New Zealand Labour Party welcomes the entering into force of the European Union and New Zealand free trade agreement. This agreement opens the door for a huge increase in trade opportunities with a market of 450 million people who are high value discerning consumers of New Zealand goods and ...
The National-led Government continues its fiscal jiggery pokery with its Pharmac announcement today, Labour Health spokesperson Ayesha Verrall says. “The government has increased Pharmac funding but conceded it will only make minimal increases in access to medicine”, said Ayesha Verrall “This is far from the bold promises made to fund ...
This afternoon’s interim Waitangi Tribunal report must be taken seriously as it affects our most vulnerable children, Labour children’s spokesperson Willow-Jean Prime. ...
Energy Minister Simeon Brown has announced that the Government will make it easier for lines firms to take action to remove vegetation from obstructing local powerlines. The change will ensure greater security of electricity supply in local communities, particularly during severe weather events. “Trees or parts of trees falling on ...
Wairarapa Moana ki Pouakani were the top winners at this year’s Ahuwhenua Trophy awards recognising the best in Māori dairy farming. Māori Development Minister Tama Potaka announced the winners and congratulated runners-up, Whakatōhea Māori Trust Board, at an awards celebration also attended by Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Finance Minister ...
"On the 27th of March, I sought assurances from the Chief Executive, Department of Internal Affairs, that the Department’s correct processes and policies had been followed in regards to a passport application which received media attention,” says Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden. “I raised my concerns after being ...
Attorney-General Judith Collins has announced the appointment of three new District Court Judges, to replace Judges who have recently retired. Peter James Davey of Auckland has been appointed a District Court Judge with a jury jurisdiction to be based at Whangarei. Mr Davey initially started work as a law clerk/solicitor with ...
Associate Education Minister David Seymour is calling on the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) to put ideology to the side and focus on students’ learning, in reaction to the union holding paid teacher meetings across New Zealand about charter schools. “The PPTA is disrupting schools up and down the ...
Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly today announced the appointment of Craig Stobo as the new chair of the Financial Markets Authority (FMA). Mr Stobo takes over from Mark Todd, whose term expired at the end of April. Mr Stobo’s appointment is for a five-year term. “The FMA plays ...
Surf Life Saving New Zealand and Coastguard New Zealand will continue to be able to keep people safe in, on, and around the water following a funding boost of $63.644 million over four years, Transport Minister Simeon Brown and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “Heading to the beach for ...
New Zealand and Tuvalu have reaffirmed their close relationship, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters says. “New Zealand is committed to working with Tuvalu on a shared vision of resilience, prosperity and security, in close concert with Australia,” says Mr Peters, who last visited Tuvalu in 2019. “It is my pleasure ...
New Zealand is gravely concerned about the situation in New Caledonia, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “The escalating situation and violent protests in Nouméa are of serious concern across the Pacific Islands region,” Mr Peters says. “The immediate priority must be for all sides to take steps to de-escalate the ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon met today with Samoa’s O le Ao o le Malo, Afioga Tuimalealiifano Vaaletoa Sualauvi II, who is making a State Visit to New Zealand. “His Highness and I reflected on our two countries’ extensive community links, with Samoan–New Zealanders contributing to all areas of our national ...
Transport Minister Simeon Brown has announced that he has approved Waiheke Island ferry operator Island Direct to be eligible for SuperGold Card funding, paving the way for a commercial agreement to bring the operator into the scheme. “Island Direct started operating in November 2023, offering an additional option for people ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters today announced further sanctions on 28 individuals and 14 entities providing military and strategic support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. “Russia is directly supported by its military-industrial complex in its illegal aggression against Ukraine, attacking its sovereignty and territorial integrity. New Zealand condemns all entities and ...
A year on from the tragedy at Loafers Lodge, the Government is working hard to improve building fire safety, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “I want to share my sincere condolences with the families and friends of the victims on the anniversary of the tragic fire at Loafers ...
Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you so much for having me here in the lead up to my Government’s first Budget. Before I get started can I acknowledge: Simon Bridges – Auckland Business Chamber CEO. Steve Jurkovich – Kiwibank CEO. Kids born ...
New Zealand and Vanuatu will enhance collaboration on issues of mutual interest, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “It is important to return to Port Vila this week with a broad, high-level political delegation which demonstrates our deep commitment to New Zealand’s relationship with Vanuatu,” Mr Peters says. “This ...
Minister for Land Information, Chris Penk will travel to Peru this week to represent New Zealand at a meeting of trade ministers from the Asia-Pacific region on behalf of Trade Minister Todd McClay. The annual Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Ministers Responsible for Trade meeting will be held on 17-18 May ...
Minister of Education Erica Stanford will head to the United Kingdom this week to participate in the 22nd Conference of Commonwealth Education Ministers (CCEM) and the 2024 Education World Forum (EWF). “I am looking forward to sharing this Government’s education priorities, such as introducing a knowledge-rich curriculum, implementing an evidence-based ...
Minister of Education Erica Stanford has today thanked outgoing New Zealand Qualifications Authority Chair, Hon Tracey Martin. “Tracey Martin tendered her resignation late last month in order to take up a new role,” Ms Stanford says. Ms Martin will relinquish the role of Chair on 10 May and current Deputy ...
New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and President Emmanuel Macron of France today announced a new non-governmental organisation, the Christchurch Call Foundation, to coordinate the Christchurch Call’s work to eliminate terrorist and violent extremist content online. This change gives effect to the outcomes of the November 2023 Call Leaders’ Summit, ...
Distinguished public servant and former diplomat Sir Maarten Wevers will lead the independent review into the disability support services administered by the Ministry of Disabled People – Whaikaha. The review was announced by Disability Issues Minister Louise Upston a fortnight ago to examine what could be done to strengthen the ...
Today’s announcement by Police Commissioner Andrew Coster of a National Gang Unit and district Gang Disruption Units will help deliver on the coalition Government’s pledge to restore law and order and crack down on criminal gangs, Police Minister Mark Mitchell says. “The National Gang Unit and Gang Disruption Units will ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today expressed regret at North Korea’s aggressive rhetoric towards New Zealand and its international partners. “New Zealand proudly stands with the international community in upholding the rules-based order through its monitoring and surveillance deployments, which it has been regularly doing alongside partners since 2018,” Mr ...
Air Vice-Marshal Tony Davies MNZM is the new Chief of Defence Force, Defence Minister Judith Collins announced today. The Chief of Defence Force commands the Navy, Army and Air Force and is the principal military advisor to the Defence Minister and other Ministers with relevant portfolio responsibilities in the defence ...
Legislation to repeal section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act has been introduced to Parliament. The Bill’s introduction reaffirms the Coalition Government’s commitment to the safety of children in care, says Minister for Children, Karen Chhour. “While section 7AA was introduced with good intentions, it creates a conflict for Oranga ...
Defence Minister Judith Collins will this week travel to the UK and Italy to meet with her defence counterparts, and to attend Battles of Cassino commemorations. “I am humbled to be able to represent the New Zealand Government in Italy at the commemorations for the 80th anniversary of what was ...
The upcoming Budget will include funding for up to 50 charter schools to help lift declining educational performance, Associate Education Minister David Seymour announced today. $153 million in new funding will be provided over four years to establish and operate up to 15 new charter schools and convert 35 state ...
“The results of the public consultation on the terms of reference for the Royal Commission into COVID-19 Lessons has now been received, with results indicating over 13,000 submissions were made from members of the public,” Internal Affairs Minister Brooke van Velden says. “We heard feedback about the extended lockdowns in ...
Foreign Minister, Defence Minister, other Members of Parliament Acting Chief of Defence Force, Secretary of Defence Distinguished Guests Defence and Diplomatic Colleagues Ladies and Gentlemen, Good afternoon, tēna koutou, apinun tru It’s a pleasure to be back in Port Moresby today, and to speak here at the Kumul Leadership ...
Health, infrastructure, renewable energy, and stability are among the themes of the current visit to Papua New Guinea by a New Zealand political delegation, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “Papua New Guinea carries serious weight in the Pacific, and New Zealand deeply values our relationship with it,” Mr Peters ...
The coalition Government is launching Roads of Regional Significance to sit alongside Roads of National Significance as part of its plan to deliver priority roading projects across the country, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “The Roads of National Significance (RoNS) built by the previous National Government are some of New Zealand’s ...
A high-level New Zealand political delegation in Honiara today congratulated the new Government of Solomon Islands, led by Jeremiah Manele, on taking office. “We are privileged to meet the new Prime Minister and members of his Cabinet during his government’s first ten days in office,” Deputy Prime Minister and ...
New Zealand voted in favour of a resolution broadening Palestine’s participation at the United Nations General Assembly overnight, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “The resolution enhances the rights of Palestine to participate in the work of the UN General Assembly while stopping short of admitting Palestine as a full ...
Introduction Good morning. It’s a great privilege to be here at the 2024 Infrastructure Symposium. I was extremely happy when the Prime Minister asked me to be his Minister for Infrastructure. It is one of the great barriers holding the New Zealand economy back from achieving its potential. Building high ...
Defence Minister Judith Collins today announced the upcoming Budget will include new funding of $571 million for Defence Force pay and projects. “Our servicemen and women do New Zealand proud throughout the world and this funding will help ensure we retain their services and expertise as we navigate an increasingly ...
New Zealand’s ability to cope with climate change will be strengthened as part of the Government’s focus to build resilience as we rebuild the economy, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. “An enduring and long-term approach is needed to provide New Zealanders and the economy with certainty as the climate ...
Jobseeker beneficiaries who have work obligations must now meet with MSD within two weeks of their benefit starting to determine their next step towards finding a job, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “A key part of the coalition Government’s plan to have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker ...
A new standalone Social Investment Agency will power-up the social investment approach, driving positive change for our most vulnerable New Zealanders, Social Investment Minister Nicola Willis says. “Despite the Government currently investing more than $70 billion every year into social services, we are not seeing the outcomes we want for ...
Check against delivery Good morning. It is a pleasure to be with you to outline the Coalition Government’s approach to our first Budget. Thank you Mark Skelly, President of the Hutt Valley Chamber of Commerce, together with your Board and team, for hosting me. I’d like to acknowledge His Worship ...
Your Excellency Ambassador Meredith, Members of the Diplomatic Corps and Ambassadors from European Union Member States, Ministerial colleagues, Members of Parliament, and other distinguished guests, Thank you everyone for joining us. Ladies and gentlemen - In diplomacy, we often speak of ‘close’ and ‘long-standing’ relations. ...
The Therapeutic Products Act (TPA) will be repealed this year so that a better regime can be put in place to provide New Zealanders safe and timely access to medicines, medical devices and health products, Associate Health Minister Casey Costello announced today. “The medicines and products we are talking about ...
SPECIAL REPORT:Islands Business in Suva Today is the 24th anniversary of renegade and failed businessman George Speight’s coup in 2000 Fiji. The elected coalition government headed by Mahendra Chaudhry, the first and only Indo-Fijian prime minister of Fiji, was held hostage at gunpoint for 56 days in the country’s ...
By Lydia Lewis, RNZ Pacific journalist and Kelvin Anthony, RNZ Pacific digital journalist Police have used tear gas and stun grenades on rioters at an airport near Nouméa as the chaos in New Caledonia stretched into its sixth day. Five people, including two police officers, have died and hundreds of ...
Asia Pacific ReportThe global human rights watchdog Amnesty International has called on France to not “misuse” a crackdown in the ongoing unrest in the non-self-governing French Pacific territory of Kanaky New Caledonia in the wake of a controversial vote by the French Parliament to adopt a bill changing the territory’s ...
A major provider of school lunches fears the government's new $3 limit for most students will see them eating more pre-packaged and processed food. ...
The star of Dark City: The Cleaner takes us through his life in TV, including the VHS revolution and the John Campbell impression that started it all. Best known for his comedic roles, Cohen Holloway says he struggled at times to maintain the stone cold facade of serial killer on ...
David Hill remembers an old friend, who you’ve probably never heard of. My friend Doug never travelled; he had little interest in the world beyond his own tiny rural town. I’ve rarely known anyone who radiated such contentment. Doug (I’ll call him that) died in March. You won’t know him. ...
Some of the earliest photos of life in Aotearoa are on display at Auckland Museum right now – but the identities of some of the people in them are a mystery.What was it like to be one of the first people in New Zealand to have their photo taken? ...
Since its founding almost a decade ago, Featherston Booktown has grown into one of the country’s most interesting and idiosyncratic literary events. Erin Banks reports from the audience. “Come in, have you had lunch? I’m about to make a cheese toastie.” Mary Biggs, operations manager of Featherston Booktown Karukatea Festival, ...
After 33 years abroad, Loveni Enari recently returned to Aotearoa and Samoa in what a friend joked was an “existential crisis”. He learnt and re-learnt so much about his family, friends and both countries. Almost as an afterthought, he got a Samoan tatau. This is his story. (Accompanying it are ...
Nearly 30 years ago, two people told me they’d killed a woman they knew. I thought the truth would come out, that others would tell it. In the end, I had to. The Sunday Essay is made possible thanks to the support of Creative New Zealand.Fact: in 1995, Angela Blackmoore ...
Editor Madeleine Chapman looks back at the week and shines a light on some increasingly rare longform journalism. Mōrena and welcome to The Weekend where there will sadly be no aurora to see. After a busy week last week of short, sharp pieces, this week we swung the other way, ...
ANALYSIS:By David Robie, editor of Asia Pacific Report Jean-Marie Tjibaou, a revered Kanak visionary, was inspirational to indigenous Pacific political activists across Oceania, just like Tongan anthropologist and writer Epeli Hao’ofa was to cultural advocates. Tragically, he was assassinated in 1989 by an opponent within the independence movement during ...
Forget thin is in, apparently now bigger is better … or is it? After over a decade of body positivity, girls, teens and women are even more confused about what body positivity actually is. The movement began with women confronting unrealistic expectations of how their bodies should look. But sub-strands ...
Grace always sat at the bar at the back of The Cambridge, where she could watch who came in. A huge mirror ran the length of the pub, so you could sometimes watch people without them knowing. The mirror made the place seem a lot bigger than it really was. ...
MONDAY Sheriff Mark Mitchell rose at dawn. He had a long day’s ride ahead of him. He was headed for Waikeria. Waikeria! Even the name itself stirred his blood, and set root in his imagination. There was nothing and no one in Waikeria. But he would bend it to his ...
The first phase of the inquest into the death of Gore toddler Lachlan Jones finished this week, turning up plenty of revelations and few answers. But through all the confusion, heartbreak and antipathy on display, the simple fact at the heart of this case remains: if little Lachie’s body had ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Roger Benjamin, Professor in Art History, University of Sydney “She’s no oil painting”. Those were the unkind words of a colleague commenting on the subject of Vincent Namatjira’s acrylic painting, Gina. Every one of the prominent Australians and cultural heroes in Namatjira’s ...
Government plans to require local councils hold a referendum on whether to have Māori wards breaches the Treaty of Waitangi, a Waitangi Tribunal report has found. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Tim Harcourt, Industry Professor and Chief Economist, University of Technology Sydney This year the National Rugby League (NRL) opened its season in Las Vegas. It was an audacious move by the league’s ambitious head honcho Peter V’Landys to showcase the game in ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Catherine Strong, Associate Professor, Music Industry, RMIT University Leading music organisations have praised the federal budget for its investment in the live music sector. The budget includes A$8.6 million for a program called Revive Live: to provide essential support to ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marnee Shay, Associate Professor, Principal Research Fellow, The University of Queensland The 2024 federal budget contains A$110 million for Indigenous education. This includes funding for various different organisations to represent and help Indigenous people as well as scholarships in a bid to ...
Air New Zealand has confirmed Nouméa’s Tontouta International airport in New Caledonia is closed until Tuesday. The airline earlier told RNZ it would update customers as soon as it could. Earlier today, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters told RNZ Morning Report government officials had been working on an “hourly basis” ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Grant Linley, PhD Candidate in Ecology, Charles Sturt University Grant Linley Australia’s unprecedented Black Summer bushfires in 2019–20 created ideal conditions for misinformation to spread, from the insidious to the absurd. It was within this context that a bizarre story ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marcel Scharth, Lecturer in Business Analytics, University of Sydney OpenAI executive Mira Murati launching GPT-4o.OpenAI Earlier this week OpenAI launched GPT-4o (“o” for “omni”), a new version of the artificial intelligence (AI) system powering the popular ChatGPT chatbot. GPT-4o is promoted ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Treasure McGuire, Assistant Director of Pharmacy, Mater Health SEQ in conjoint appointment as Associate Professor of Pharmacology, Bond University and as Associate Professor (Clinical), The University of Queensland Speedkingz/Shutterstock Menopause is a natural biological process that marks the end of a ...
A new poem by Hannah Patterson. Xiāng There’s a pear tree in our backyard And Xiāng tells me She can’t eat them anymore Not after some things that have happened in her life. She tells me, in Mandarin The word for pear sounds the same as the word for disassociation ...
‘Cycling Works’ aims to show business support for citywide cycle infrastructure. This is an excerpt from our weekly environmental newsletter Future Proof. Sign up here. Last week, supermarket giant Foodstuffs lost its attempt to block the construction of a cycle lane outside Thorndon New World in Wellington. The Spinoff’s Wellington editor ...
The only published and available best-selling indie book chart in New Zealand is the top 10 sales list recorded every week at Unity Books’ stores in High St, Auckland, and Willis St, Wellington.AUCKLAND1 Slow Productivity by Cal Newport (Penguin, $40)Taking out the top spot in Auckland this ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ian Lowe, Emeritus Professor, School of Environment and Science, Griffith University For decades, Australia has exported uranium – but not used it, other than in the Lucas Heights research reactor. But change is coming. We now face a rapidly deepening commitment to ...
"In future I should walk away," Green MP Julie Anne Genter says after complaints over an exchange in Parliament and from two members of the public. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Jonathan Graffam, PhD Candidate in Theatre, Monash University Gianna Rizzo/Malthouse Music pumps; lights pulsate; two sweaty bodies sway together, touching, breathing in each other’s scent. A male body framed by downlight restlessly shifts between stances and gestures. He undresses. The intensity ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Sandra van der Laan, Professor of Accounting, University of Sydney Mtaya/Shutterstock At some point, you or someone else will need to make a decision about your “send-off”. Most Australians die in an institution, such as a hospital or aged care facility. ...
Asia Pacific Report Vanuatu Prime Minister Charlot Salwai — who is also Chairman of the Melanesian Spearhead Group — has reaffirmed MSG’s support of the pro-independence umbrella group Kanak and Socialist National Liberation Front (FLNKS) stance opposing the French government’s constitutional bill “unfreezing” the New Caledonia Electoral Roll. It is ...
Producer Susan Leonard remembers her father Ernie, a pioneer of Māori television, and how his legacy lives on in Pathfinders.My father was a fabulous man. His name was Ernie Leonard and he started in TV in the 1970s when it was still glamorous – when TVNZ made behind the ...
By Patrick Decloitre, RNZ Pacific correspondent French Pacific desk, and Lydia Lewis, RNZ Pacific journalist The suspected ringleaders of the unrest in New Caledonia have been placed in home detention and the social network TikTok has been banned as French security forces struggle to restore law and order. The French ...
Multi-year appropriations - which give the government authority to spend money without reapplying annually - are loosening Parliament's control of the public purse, auditor-general says. ...
Dr. Eric Chuah who stood for a centrist NZ political party in the October 2023 NZ Elections for Maungakiekie Auckland will stand as a candidate for Tauranga City Council Ward of Matua-=Otumoetai and Mayor of Tauranga. ...
If you can’t get to the comedy fest, let us bring the comedy fest to you. This is an excerpt from our weekly pop culture newsletter Rec Room. Sign up here. The New Zealand International Comedy Festival is in full swing at the moment, with a veritable smorgasboard of comedy treats ...
A new poll commissioned by Unions Wellington shows an overwhelming majority of Wellingtonians oppose the Council’s plan to sell the 34% public stake in Wellington Airport. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Aruna Sathanapally, Chief Executive, Grattan Institute, Grattan Institute A central focus of this week’s budget is the treasury’s forecast for inflation. By this time next year, inflation is projected to be back within the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target range. Inflation has ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Yolanda van Heezik, Professor of Ecology, University of Otago Getty Images Cities across Aotearoa New Zealand are trying to solve a housing crisis, with increasing residential density a key solution. But not everyone is happy about the resulting loss of natural ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Alison Reeve, Deputy Program Director, Energy and Climate Change, Grattan Institute WDG Photo/Shutterstock For years, the electricity sector has been the poster child for emissions cuts in Australia. The sector achieved a stunning 26% drop in emissions over the past 15 ...
It’s often the last thing people want to do, but asking someone if they’re having suicidal thoughts is a critical first step to helping them. Content warning: this story discusses suicide and suicidal ideation. For a list of resources that can help if you or someone you know is feeling ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Timothy J. Ralph, Associate Professor, Macquarie University The pyramids at Giza, like dozens of others, are located several kilometres west of the current path of the Nile.Alex Cimbal / Shutterstock The largest field of pyramids in Egypt – consisting of 31 ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Sarah Diepstraten, Senior Research Officer, Blood Cells and Blood Cancer Division, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute ABO PHOTOGRAPHY/Shutterstock Receiving a cancer diagnosis is life-changing and can cause a range of concerns about ongoing health. Fear of cancer returning is one ...
Winston Peters has been on tour around the Pacific while two unrelated crises unfolded, explains Stewart Sowman-Lund in this extract from The Bulletin. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here. Two separate ...
This is the Mount Everest of artificial meatcraft.Ah, bacon. Pig’s gold. Toast’s consolation. Dawn’s savoury embrace. If meat was a currency, bacon would be the Benjamin Franklin. Or if you’re feeling patriotic, the Lord Rutherford. When it comes to fake bacon, the obvious question is: why bother? In the ...
From illegal milk to sprinkler bans and airplane ticket scams, Tyrone Barugh is on a one-man mission through New Zealand’s most obscure legal loopholes. I’m deep undercover, investigating Wellington’s criminal underworld. Inside this store, I’ve been told there is a million-dollar trade in illicit substances. A man dressed in black ...
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New Zealand’s drug legislation hasn’t been overhauled in nearly 50 years, in spite of a recommendation from the Law Commission in 2011 to do so. Our Misuse of Drugs Act was passed in 1975 and is based on a United Nations framework set in 1961. Now a new organisation, Harm ...
NONFICTION 1 The Last Secret Agent by Pippa Latour & Jude Dobson (Allen & Unwin, $37.99) A free copy of this amazing story of a woman who operated behind enemy lines in Nazi-occupied France was up for grabs this past fortnight. Readers were asked to share a story of wartime bravery, ...
It’s been a recess week at Parliament, which might indicate slim pickings for conversation topics for the Raw Politics team. But things are never dull in politics, especially with a new Government keen to follow through on its law and order promises, and a NZ First minister who wants to ...
Dear Hon Judith Collins, Minister of Defence, and Hon Christopher Penk, Associate Minister of Defence I have written to you, to attempt to give you an insight into the incredible hardship of being an NZDF family. Whilst I cannot speak on behalf of serving personnel, I can speak from my ...
"In the 12 months to August this year Statistics NZ estimates there was a net population gain from migration of 110,200, an all time high.
It takes 16 months for Statistics NZ's migration figures to be finalised, and the early figures in particular can be subject to significant revisions, either up or down.
But even allowing for that, the latest estimates suggest immigration is now driving significant population growth."
https://www.interest.co.nz/economy/124711/latest-monthly-net-migration-gain-285-compared-pre-covid-levels-statistics-nz-says
When was anyone asked about a population influx such as this?…in an environment of substandard infrastructure, environmental overshoot and migrant exploitation we have reached record levels of (largely easily attained skills) immigration.
Population policy is well overdue.
Such policy would first have to reckon with the demands by employers for cheaper, less demanding labour.
In addition to infrastructural and environmental pressure, such migrant levels ensures increased rental housing pressure and justifies continued investment in the unproductive economy.
We can speculate as to why it is occurring (and I agree the housing market is likely the main driver), however the question remains as to why voters have not been provided with a population policy from any of the political hopefuls over a period of decades?
And the employers (of certain sectors) may have demands, but so have other citizens.
…. and do we have enough housing for this Immigration surge, and additional 110,000 people at 3-4 people per household equates to 30,000 to 35,000 additional homes are we even building that many houses per annum ???
..and if any of them need to go to hospital, last time I looked there were delays, shortages and more health rationing.
Thanks for raising the idea, Pat.
Sadly we do not…we lose around 30,000 homes per year due to wear and tear, we have the Air BnB phenomenon, and we have the well heeled increasingly buying holiday homes….and then there was (perhaps on the decline currently) those holding empty properties for capital gain.
And that is but part of the infrastructure.
Unfortunately in NZ, the main (and almost exclusive) source of collateral for growth is the banks residential mortgage book.
Air BnB is turning Queenstown into a mess. None can take a bus or shuttle to a house up on the ridge, so they must get a rental car. Which turns the state highway into a nightmare in season.
QLDC or government could simply regulate that Air BnB's are required to be at the same standard as hotels ie sprinklers and lifts and fire exits etc; that would take the heat out of it at least.
There's no room for the infrastructure ie roads that would enable more unrestrained international flights to work, let alone the housing for workers.
It's turning Queenstown into an alpine Venice.
A smart immigration policy.
Residency to work for those who graduate qualified for certain sectors (important areas of the economy or services).
Preference for foreign students who choose certain areas of study (to sustain our range of courses, or post graduate and see above).
Employers who bring in workers have to arrange housing (yes you Queenstown).
Industries that have a need for (migrant) workers have to identify a pathway for training locals to do the work (in partnership with educational/training bodies or apprenticeships/internships).
And which party has proffered such a policy (with the required supporting policies) over the past couple of decades?
Crickets
I'm aware just the mention of a couple these names will have some reaching for the smelling salts… this is a good 48 minutes of insightful, sometimes funny, political banter.
Observations include, tax cuts is not a classically conservative party action (Milton Friedman, Thatcher, Regan, Richardson) as opposed to close careful macro management of economy, National breathing life into Winston.
Surprisingly damning opinions of Luxon and the Nats.
https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2023/10/10/7-30pm-tonight-the-working-group-with-john-tamihere-matthew-hooton-and-damien-grant/
This poll covers a more recent period than the Guardian poll:
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/ideasroom/a-chance-to-cut-through-the-fear-and-find-the-best-of-us
Despite the growing
howlscalls for showing ‘mongrel’, Hipkins and Labour have held off for long before they started countering the unrelenting battering of negativity and fear from the opposition. It is a shame that Labour hasn’t followed a more positive and constructive campaign but it’s always easier to shout ‘advise’ and ‘encouragements’ from the sideline.Kia kaha, comrades.
What will the Green Party do if. God forbid, Winston becomes the Kingmaker?
When Chris Hipkins calls Winston with a plea for support will he go along with Winston's demand that he be deputy PM, and that there be no Green Cabinet Ministers? Will the Green Party go along with it in return for some policy wins?
When Winston then talks to Chris Luxon after his pleading call will the ACT party go along with Winston's similar demands about ACT's exclusion?
Which of the Chris's will buckle first?
It will be an interesting pre-Christmas this year.
It already is a pre-Chrismess.
"pre-Chrismess".
Nice try, but nonsense, as you well know.
In 2017 NZF got more votes than the Greens, after the Metiria story had dominated their campaign. Their negotiating position was weaker than Winston's.
In 2023 the Greens are on track to have double the support of NZF or ACT.
Hipkins and Ardern had totally different pre-election stances on working with Winston. A very different landscape.
the big stumbling block for the Greens imo is that Peters has been actively climate denialist.
the other issue for the Greens is that the membership expects more radical positioning this time.
Are you playing dumb?
Peters has rejected any deal with Labour. Hipkins has rejected trying to change his mind.
Peters will support a National led government and only if there is a problem that would result in another election would the possibility of (temporary or longer) confidence and supply to Labour (presumably on Labour having to forgo a range of policies) come up.
"Are you playing dumb".
Not at all. However anyone who really thinks that Hipkins and Peters, who are both career politicians, can't go back on pre-election statements in order to retain, by Hipkins, or gain, by Peters, power and baubles, is the idiot.
I can see both of them telling us that had to do it to save New Zealand … waffle, waffle, waffle.
And their true believers, like you, will go along with it.
Liar. You're deliberately joining a campaign to spin that narrative to stop people voting NZF to block a NACT government. And I am calling you on it.
And I'll spend the next 3 years calling you out on that.
Confidence and supply agreements are not coalitions and have happened before.
TV3 news also reported their poll:
Good showing for the Greens in both, along with ACT's subsidence continuing & NZF continuing to rise over the threshold.
Just to summarise impressions from all 3 polls today, looks like the wealth tax is pulling floaters, as is Labour & NZF, but not National nor ACT.
Take another look at the three polls:
Guardian: Nat 34 / Lab 30.3 / Grn 10.6 / Act 7.9 / NZf 8.2
Newshub: Nat 34.5 / Lab 27.5 / Grn 14.9 / Act 8.8 / NZf 6.8
TVNZ One: Nat 37 / Lab 28 / Grn 14 / Act 9 / NZf 6
I would say National and Labour are level pegging, maybe a point or two ahead in the blue corner. The Greens looking like the bolters……….Act are learning the other meaning for floaters……..the final round is upon us……….lay your bets folks………Winstons Wheel of Fortune is spinning………spinning…….spinning……
All within MoE
No
That's a good comparative design. A triad of pentads, in the deep Green view.
The reflexivity principle points us to the undecided, and the effect of these polls in making up their mind who to vote for.
People often prefer to vote for a winning team, but at times a rising team can pull them too. Such voters are influenced by energy rather than ideas.
From the biological signalling perspective, I suspect Winston to come first, but the Greens not far behind him, plus the Greens have their strategic plus of correct alignment with the future which will influence anyone seeking guidance or with a sense of destiny…
I am praying. I don’t know what's going to happen.
I hope. It'll be a relief if LAB/GRN/TPM wins.
We are late into the fifth act, and the dénouement approaches. The clues have all been disclosed and the false leads have been laid. The characters have all been revealed and the suspects assembled in the drawing room. Will it be the vicar alias Bishop Tamaki? Or did the man from Ilam seize the opportunity? Is it the old retainer who rose and fell with the fortunes of the family? Is it the young upstart in the yellow sports car who conspired with the businessman risen through the ranks who seeks fame and a knighthood for himself? Or the pastry chef aided by the vegan gardener and the tattooed traveller who seems from away but instead has always been there?
Who dunnit? All will be revealed in Saturday night's end of series episode of "The Mystery of the Lost Chance Saloon and Bar". Alternate endings upon application.
Oh nicely put Mac1. Love your turn of phrase.
In the good book it would definitely be the pastry chef aided by the gardener and the traveller who win the coveted prize but there are wicked wizards and a witch who might be about to wreak evil upon our fair land. But as with all good tales, the pastry chef and his merry band of helpers will eventually ride forth and save the people from the fire and the plague just in the nick of time.
Err… they have saved us from the plague, but the fire is still to come.
Nice stuff Mac-well put indeed.
Can you imagine Tamaki as an MP?
I'm thinking through a post for Saturday evening. Are people going to be around? What kind of post/s do you want?
You mean a framing suggestion? I'd go with the holistic view. Then reference the commons, and does the result signal a shift in how we can specify it. Blend the left/right balance into that, then factor in the kingmaker role of NZF to the extent that it influenced the outcome.
One would then need to mention the timeframe for finalising the outcome. Any surprises could rearrange any such scheme though…
Up to you, just as long as the post incudes the words: "This is not the election result"!
Every 3 years it seems we have to be reminded (and amazingly, the media have to be reminded) that special votes are worth exactly the same as the other votes, and there are a lot of them.
National lost 2 seats on specials in 2020, 2 seats in 2017, etc.
Oh dear…
Vote ACT for deforestation and imperialist fantasies?
Well, I suppose they do know their support base.
An occupying force working for foreign investors?
He is hiding something under that hat………..
ACT support the independence of Taiwan and want 2% spent on defence (they have no idea on what or how to pay for it … but cut government). That is about that is known of ACT defence and foreign policy (apart from let foreigners buy stuff here and invest here).
The think tanks in Canada that Seymour used to know did not focus on foreign policy or defence matters.
Maybe that has been delegated to the party's next leader.
https://www.thepost.co.nz/a/politics/350008084/two-act-mps-travel-taiwan-after-cross-party-group-decides-against-trip
https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202305310006
Their campaign has fallen off a cliff. They were better with less oligarch money.
The colonial vibe is strong
Bringing the unruly natives to heel?
David "Kipling" Seymour machetes Luxon's bible class in forest clearing – mistook it for a co-governance meeting.
Thanks, I think, joe90. Seymour and a machete – which is the more "dangerous tool"?
What an embarrassment, and whatever next?
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/election-2023/499367/labour-promises-defence-force-pay-would-be-set-independently
https://thespinoff.co.nz/politics/29-09-2023/election-2023-the-foreign-affairs-trade-and-defence-policies-in-two-minutes
The speakerless house awaits Jim Jordan
The mime artist Marcel Marceau
https://encrypted-tbn3.gstatic.com/licensed-image?q=tbn:ANd9GcRkPror1jhaPvwoKq_u8CWaiHN9mWaF7cUJddiLAqku9SN707jK-O1yDDv_3daIbKHkFfnNlEmQZIkt1bc
It’s life Jim, but nit as we know it.
Spock, Star Trek.
[image resized]
Thanks … but the in the face look of it, oversized, was right for Jim Jordan – ex wreslter and most extreme person (likely) to be speaker.
I can undo the resizing, if you so wish
It's not my call, I've already seen it – it had more impact like that than the original I tried to put up and on here now.
You decide …
This is going to be decided on the overseas vote. I can hear the screaming from the right already to cancel the kids who are away for more than 6 months. My 30 year old rang tonight to say he thought that the Greens are going to go big and the above prediction on the o/seas vote. I hope he’s right, he works out of UCanty and is well connected especially with the young diaspora through social media, and senses that they are solidly left more than usual. Mind you, any who have been in UK,US, Aussie etc have lived through right wing carnage and probably don’t want a repeat here.
Overseas voters are Kiwi's…they are just out of the country temporarily.