The ‘very large’ National opposition are struggling to lay even a feather weight hit on the PM and the coalition govt. National might receive further dampening of spirits with a good voter turnout for the govt in Northcote, but they remain odds on to win the seat.
Kat – whatever happens in Northcote will be spun as a bad result for Labour.
Scenario 1. Bidois wins comfortably just like Coleman did in 2017:
“Bad news for Labour, National’s support is very strong, the biggest opposition ever and historically unparalleled”
Scenario 2. Bidois wins narrowly:
“Bad news for Labour – must be a huge disappointment they haven’t pulled off the upset they believed they could. National’s support is still strong and historically unparalleled”
Scenario 3. Halbert wins narrowly:
“Bad news for Labour – indicates they have never received the honeymoon enjoyed by (Saint) Sir John Key and have merely squeaked home in what could have been a landslide if they had ever been as popular as (His Excellency) Saint Sir John Key. National’s support is unprecedented and this is the insoluble conundrum for the government (which we can’t directly call illegitimate but will constantly insinuate as much)”
Scenario 4. Halbert wins comfortably. Won’t happen.
I have my NZ Politics 101 bullshit bingo card ready to play in June. Looking forward to it.
AB, its a coalition govt. If the vote for the collation is increased in Northcote but no seat win for the govt then the battle for the seat may have been lost but the war can still be won in the long term. If the vote goes down for the coalition then it will still only be a lost battle this far out from the next election. Of course the MSM will spin the result in any way they fancy, and who has control over that.
We haven’t had a true three party coalition govt in NZ such as we have at present since MMP was introduced. You could say we are in uncharted waters, politically. Jacinda Ardern is proving to be an adept skipper though.
Its National getting “news” in early for the lead up to the 2020 election. Either way its a massive own goal and shooting in the feet by their cohort pimps in the media.
Maybe some of the charities are refunding their voices – realising their funding won’t be cut if they speak out.
And maybe, just maybe, the odd reporter is gaining a bit of courage.
“Maybe some of the charities are refunding their voices…”
Funny you should say that.
Nearly six years ago the Ministry of Health released the names of…
“…the 10 people it has asked to help rewrite the policy on payment for family caregivers.
The list confirms that none of the parent plaintiffs in the long-running legal row are included.
The ministry says it set up its new technical advisory group this month, after deciding to abandon its policy of refusing to pay family carers of disabled offspring.
Parent plaintiffs and others criticised the ministry on Tuesday for failing to consult or include them in the group, and for being secretive and keeping them in the dark over its membership.”
Every single one of the members of that Advisory Group had some kind of financial relationship with the Ministry of Health. At the time we knew what the out come would be….
“Disgusting’, ‘nonsense’, ‘appalling’ family carers policy slammed in new report ”
One of the members of that Advisory Group, possibly sniffing a change in the wind admitted…
“….had been part of the “working group” process before Funded Family Care was passed, she said the process was flawed, and the Members of Parliament who voted for it should “examine their consciences”.
“It was a cynical process and not something that any of us involved were proud of. I felt used. And it had a very human cost. I would not want to see that process repeated here.” ”
Anne, National truly believed they would have a field day with “the stupid little girl” PM and her “shambolic” coalition. National totally underestimated the competence of Jacinda Ardern and now just look plain ridiculous whenever they try and throw mud at her. Coupled with Winston Peters and the Greens, Jacinda Ardern’s govt has proved itself an immovable, impenetrable force that National never expected, they genuinely expected the coalition govt to self implode within the first six months.
I challenge anyone to come up with a viable opponent to the PM from within the ranks of the opposition. Bridges and Co/- just don’t cut it.
National are the proverbial “dog tucker”….. and Richard Prebble can’t bring himself to say it as long as he is getting his koha from Main Freight.
…. ” National are the proverbial “dog tucker”….. and Richard Prebble can’t bring himself to say it as long as he is getting his koha from Main Freight ” …
—————————————————–
Speaking of which , this helps explain Prebbles statements about rail,….
Copy of a poster over at The Daily Blog :
—————————————————–
STAIRCASE says:
MAY 16, 2018 AT 12:12 AM
Other claims made by Prebble around the time of the sale of NZ Rail to Tranz Rail Ltd were that this consortium was responsible for initiating major operating changes such as single crewing of trains and remote controlled shunting locomotives etc. In fact, most major reforms were introduced prior to privatization by the SOE NZ Rail Ltd.
Once rail was privatized, Prebble’s Tranzrail mates sold off locomotives, rolling stock and rail ferries then leased them back. In addition, they deferred maintenance on core infrastructure. This led to a contrived injection of capital which temporarily pushed up share prices. Unsurprisingly, the NZ Securities Commission launched an investigation into the beneficiaries of the corporate share trading irregularities.
The rest is history but Richard Prebble certainly has not left a legacy that benefited NZ. In the meantime he continues to be rewarded for his services to the road transport industry via his Mainfreight Directors fees.
Crikey those nat’s…. just seen an ad on Stuff, ‘simons story’ click on the ad to learn more about ‘simon’, ummm no thanks; simon, are you campaigning to hold onto the leadership lololz, how’s that internal polling going?
It used to be seemingly permanent Nat party branded signs on street corners announcing community meetings with said electorate or list MP. Now I think they’ve taken advice that to appear more genuine you must create a narrative, and do it a lot, through naked advertising.
Watch the population get sick of that.
I’d say it must be expensive to produce and screen but they do get the benefit of now being a regular client of Stuff and whoever else they advertise with which means the editorial arms of these publications will not want to criticise them.
They seem still to be so emboldened by their 1940s support role in Europe that they don’t realise they haven’t won a war since despite years of trying.
I learnt a lot watching Oliver Stone’s Untold Histroy of the U.S.
Had Henry Wallace succeeded Roosevelt, we might be living in a very different world.
But Truman won……
We already have answers to most ecological problems facing us today Ed. But to work on them we need to stymy corporate interference. It’s all so easy if not for these wilfully-ignorant graspers. They’re monkeys in a monkey trap of their own design. And they’re fools if they think they’re not going down with the ship.
What really annoys me is most of them could raise their bottom line considerably if they used common sense and stopped being so wasteful. Truly morons among men, these movers and shakers.
Found this tonight, but we need to remember Chlorine is commonly use chemical use for water purification along with many other uses. So any side could manufacture a Chlorine gas chemical weapon as it’s very cheap and very nasty weapons platform.
Fabulous piece from a Blog sub zero politics about how Farrar created the meme of the Poll honeymoon after elections 1999 and 2008 and how msm picked it up and regurgitated it. Any yet this poll honey moon turns up not to be true.
Will post as soon as I can figure out how it. It came through on my FB feed.
My daily news diet is not what it once was.It was the TV news that lost me first. Too infantilising, too breathless, too frustrating.The Herald was next. You could look past the reactionary framing while it was being a decent newspaper of record, but once Shayne Currie began unleashing all ...
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This might be the longest delay between reading (or in this case re-reading) a work, and actually writing a review of it I have ever managed. Indeed, when I last read these books in December 2022, I was not planning on writing anything about them… but as A Phuulish Fellow ...
Kia Ora,I try to keep most my posts without a paywall for public interest journalism purposes. However, if you can afford to, please consider supporting me as a paid subscriber and/or supporting over at Ko-Fi. That will help me to continue, and to keep spending time on the work. Embarrassingly, ...
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This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Jeff Masters and Bob HensonFlames from the Palisades Fire burn a building at Sunset Boulevard amid a powerful windstorm on January 8, 2025 in the Pacific Palisades neighborhood of Los Angeles, California. The fast-moving wildfire had destroyed thousands of structures and ...
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Happy New Year!I had a lovely break, thanks very much for asking: friends, family, sunshine, books, podcasts, refreshing swims, barbecues, bike rides. So good to step away from the firehose for a while, to have less Trump and Seymour in your day. Who needs the Luxons in their risible PJs ...
Patrick Reynolds is deputy chair of the Auckland City Centre Advisory Panel and a director of Greater Auckland In 2003, after much argument, including the election of a Mayor in 2001 who ran on stopping it, Britomart train station in downtown Auckland opened. A mere 1km twin track terminating branch ...
For the first time in a decade, a New Zealand Prime Minister is heading to the Middle East. The trip is more than just a courtesy call. New Zealand PMs frequently change planes in Dubai en route to destinations elsewhere. But Christopher Luxon’s visit to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) ...
A listing of 23 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, January 5, 2025 thru Sat, January 11, 2025. This week's roundup is again published soleley by category. We are still interested in feedback to hone the categorization, so if ...
The decade between 1952 and the early 1960s was the peak period for the style of music we now call doo wop, after which it got dissolved into soul music, girl groups, and within pop music in general. Basically, doo wop was a form of small group harmonising with a ...
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When National won the New Zealand election in 2023, one of the first to congratulate Luxon was tech-billionaire and entrepreneur extraordinaire Elon Musk.And last year, after Luxon posted a video about a trip to Malaysia, Musk came forward again to heap praise on Christopher:So it was perhaps par for the ...
Hi,Today’s Webworm features a new short film from documentary maker Giorgio Angelini. It’s about Luigi Mangione — but it’s also, really, about everything in America right now.Bear with me.Shortly after I sent out my last missive from the fires on Wednesday, one broke out a little too close to home ...
So soon just after you've goneMy senses sharpenBut it always takes so damn longBefore I feel how much my eyes have darkenedFear hangs in a plane of gun smokeDrifting in our roomSo easy to disturb, with a thought, with a whisperWith a careless memorySongwriters: Andy Taylor / John Taylor / ...
Can we trust the Trump cabinet to act in the public interest?Nine of Trump’s closest advisers are billionaires. Their total net worth is in excess of $US375b (providing there is not a share-market crash). In contrast, the total net worth of Trump’s first Cabinet was about $6b. (Joe Biden’s Cabinet ...
Welcome back to our weekly roundup. We hope you had a good break (if you had one). Here’s a few of the stories that caught our attention over the last few weeks. This holiday period on Greater Auckland Since our last roundup we’ve: Taken a look back at ...
Sometimes I feel like I don't have a partnerSometimes I feel like my only friendIs the city I live in, The City of AngelsLonely as I am together we crySong: Anthony Kiedis, Chad Smith, Flea, John Frusciante.A home is engulfed in flames during the Eaton fire in the Altadena area. ...
Open access notablesLarge emissions of CO2 and CH4 due to active-layer warming in Arctic tundra, Torn et al., Nature Communications:Climate warming may accelerate decomposition of Arctic soil carbon, but few controlled experiments have manipulated the entire active layer. To determine surface-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide and ...
It's election year for Wellington City Council and for the Regional Council. What have the progressive councillors achieved over the last couple of years. What were the blocks and failures? What's with the targeting of the mayor and city council by the Post and by central government? Why does the ...
Over the holidays, there was a rising tide of calls for people to submit on National's repulsive, white supremacist Principles of the Treaty of Waitangi Bill, along with a wave of advice and examples of what to say. And it looks like people rose to the occasion, with over 300,000 ...
The lie is my expenseThe scope of my desireThe Party blessed me with its futureAnd I protect it with fireI am the Nina The Pinta The Santa MariaThe noose and the rapistAnd the fields overseerThe agents of orangeThe priests of HiroshimaThe cost of my desire…Sleep now in the fireSongwriters: Brad ...
This is a re-post from the Climate BrinkGlobal surface temperatures have risen around 1.3C since the preindustrial (1850-1900) period as a result of human activity.1 However, this aggregate number masks a lot of underlying factors that contribute to global surface temperature changes over time.These include CO2, which is the primary ...
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Hi,Right now the power is out, so I’m just relying on the laptop battery and tethering to my phone’s 5G which is dropping in and out. We’ll see how we go.First up — I’m fine. I can’t see any flames out the window. I live in the greater Hollywood area ...
2024 was a tough year for working Kiwis. But together we’ve been able to fight back for a just and fair New Zealand and in 2025 we need to keep standing up for what’s right and having our voices heard. That starts with our Mood of the Workforce Survey. It’s your ...
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Everything is good and brownI'm here againWith a sunshine smile upon my faceMy friends are close at handAnd all my inhibitions have disappeared without a traceI'm glad, oh, that I found oohSomebody who I can rely onSongwriter: Jay KayGood morning, all you lovely people. Today, I’ve got nothing except a ...
Welcome to 2025. After wrapping up 2024, here’s a look at some of the things we can expect to see this year along with a few predictions. Council and Elections Elections One of the biggest things this year will be local body elections in October. Will Mayor Wayne Brown ...
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Submissions on National's racist, white supremacist Principles of the Treaty of Waitangi Bill are due tomorrow! So today, after a good long holiday from all that bullshit, I finally got my shit together to submit on it. As I noted here, people should write their own submissions in their own ...
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The Green Party welcomes the extension of the deadline for Treaty Principles Bill submissions but continues to call on the Government to abandon the Bill. ...
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Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Brendan Walker-Munro, Senior Lecturer (Law), Southern Cross University Elon Musk is no stranger to news headlines. His purchase of Twitter and subsequent decision to rebrand the platform as X has seen it called “a true black mirror of the most worrying parts ...
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Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Gemma King, Senior Lecturer in French Studies, ARC DECRA Fellow in Screen Studies, Australian National University Universal Pictures In two of the biggest films released this summer, Gladiator II and Nosferatu, most actors seem to be speaking like they’re in a ...
Alex Casey reviews the first and possibly last ever musical biopic to star a CGI ape. Sometime over the fuzzy holiday break, I watched a Subway Take on Instagram which stuck with me. “Musician biopics should be illegal,” opined guest Charlene Kaye. “I’m so sick of the trope of the ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Sarah Whitcombe-Dobbs, Senior Lecturer in Child and Family Psychology, University of Canterbury After last year’s budget cuts to social services, including a NZ$14 million cut to early home visits, social services providers in New Zealand raised concerns about what the move would ...
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Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kristine Crous, Senior Lecturer, School of Science and Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University Researchers study leaves in the Daintree rainforest in North Queensland, Australia, using a canopy crane. Alexander Cheesman On the east coast of Australia, in tropical ...
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The ‘very large’ National opposition are struggling to lay even a feather weight hit on the PM and the coalition govt. National might receive further dampening of spirits with a good voter turnout for the govt in Northcote, but they remain odds on to win the seat.
um, you might want to ask Phil Tywford how he feels about that
Kat – whatever happens in Northcote will be spun as a bad result for Labour.
Scenario 1. Bidois wins comfortably just like Coleman did in 2017:
“Bad news for Labour, National’s support is very strong, the biggest opposition ever and historically unparalleled”
Scenario 2. Bidois wins narrowly:
“Bad news for Labour – must be a huge disappointment they haven’t pulled off the upset they believed they could. National’s support is still strong and historically unparalleled”
Scenario 3. Halbert wins narrowly:
“Bad news for Labour – indicates they have never received the honeymoon enjoyed by (Saint) Sir John Key and have merely squeaked home in what could have been a landslide if they had ever been as popular as (His Excellency) Saint Sir John Key. National’s support is unprecedented and this is the insoluble conundrum for the government (which we can’t directly call illegitimate but will constantly insinuate as much)”
Scenario 4. Halbert wins comfortably. Won’t happen.
I have my NZ Politics 101 bullshit bingo card ready to play in June. Looking forward to it.
AB, its a coalition govt. If the vote for the collation is increased in Northcote but no seat win for the govt then the battle for the seat may have been lost but the war can still be won in the long term. If the vote goes down for the coalition then it will still only be a lost battle this far out from the next election. Of course the MSM will spin the result in any way they fancy, and who has control over that.
We haven’t had a true three party coalition govt in NZ such as we have at present since MMP was introduced. You could say we are in uncharted waters, politically. Jacinda Ardern is proving to be an adept skipper though.
AB
Very good. The paid pundits couldn’t have done better.
Suddenly we are inundated with stories about working poor, middle class disappearance,and unaffordable rents.
Nothing new but where was the coverage in the lead up to the election?
Its National getting “news” in early for the lead up to the 2020 election. Either way its a massive own goal and shooting in the feet by their cohort pimps in the media.
Maybe some of the charities are refunding their voices – realising their funding won’t be cut if they speak out.
And maybe, just maybe, the odd reporter is gaining a bit of courage.
“Maybe some of the charities are refunding their voices…”
Funny you should say that.
Nearly six years ago the Ministry of Health released the names of…
“…the 10 people it has asked to help rewrite the policy on payment for family caregivers.
The list confirms that none of the parent plaintiffs in the long-running legal row are included.
The ministry says it set up its new technical advisory group this month, after deciding to abandon its policy of refusing to pay family carers of disabled offspring.
Parent plaintiffs and others criticised the ministry on Tuesday for failing to consult or include them in the group, and for being secretive and keeping them in the dark over its membership.”
https://www.radionz.co.nz/news/national/108837/health-ministry-names-advisors-on-paying-family-carers
Every single one of the members of that Advisory Group had some kind of financial relationship with the Ministry of Health. At the time we knew what the out come would be….
this…https://www.nzherald.co.nz/politics/news/article.cfm?c_id=280&objectid=12051902
“Disgusting’, ‘nonsense’, ‘appalling’ family carers policy slammed in new report ”
One of the members of that Advisory Group, possibly sniffing a change in the wind admitted…
“….had been part of the “working group” process before Funded Family Care was passed, she said the process was flawed, and the Members of Parliament who voted for it should “examine their consciences”.
“It was a cynical process and not something that any of us involved were proud of. I felt used. And it had a very human cost. I would not want to see that process repeated here.” ”
If that was a mea culpa…its way too late.
I wonder….
Nick Smith was pulled up and made to withdraw and apologise for making an unparliamentary comment about Deputy PM, Winston Peters today.
https://www.parliament.nz/en/watch-parliament/ondemand?itemId=200437
10mins in.
The sulking and bitterness of the self entitled continues…
Correction: it starts around 9:25 mins.
Anne, National truly believed they would have a field day with “the stupid little girl” PM and her “shambolic” coalition. National totally underestimated the competence of Jacinda Ardern and now just look plain ridiculous whenever they try and throw mud at her. Coupled with Winston Peters and the Greens, Jacinda Ardern’s govt has proved itself an immovable, impenetrable force that National never expected, they genuinely expected the coalition govt to self implode within the first six months.
I challenge anyone to come up with a viable opponent to the PM from within the ranks of the opposition. Bridges and Co/- just don’t cut it.
National are the proverbial “dog tucker”….. and Richard Prebble can’t bring himself to say it as long as he is getting his koha from Main Freight.
I think they have a couple of newcomers with brain cells to rub together. But there’s certainly a forest of deadwood there. Some would say a thicket.
…. ” National are the proverbial “dog tucker”….. and Richard Prebble can’t bring himself to say it as long as he is getting his koha from Main Freight ” …
—————————————————–
Speaking of which , this helps explain Prebbles statements about rail,….
Copy of a poster over at The Daily Blog :
—————————————————–
STAIRCASE says:
MAY 16, 2018 AT 12:12 AM
Other claims made by Prebble around the time of the sale of NZ Rail to Tranz Rail Ltd were that this consortium was responsible for initiating major operating changes such as single crewing of trains and remote controlled shunting locomotives etc. In fact, most major reforms were introduced prior to privatization by the SOE NZ Rail Ltd.
Once rail was privatized, Prebble’s Tranzrail mates sold off locomotives, rolling stock and rail ferries then leased them back. In addition, they deferred maintenance on core infrastructure. This led to a contrived injection of capital which temporarily pushed up share prices. Unsurprisingly, the NZ Securities Commission launched an investigation into the beneficiaries of the corporate share trading irregularities.
The rest is history but Richard Prebble certainly has not left a legacy that benefited NZ. In the meantime he continues to be rewarded for his services to the road transport industry via his Mainfreight Directors fees.
———————————————————
From an article by Chris Trotter
The Boy On The Tram « The Daily Blog
https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2018/05/15/the-boy-on-the-tram/
Probable needs to face his day in court.
I still think Nick Smith is mentally failing. He has just shown his decline – again.
Crikey those nat’s…. just seen an ad on Stuff, ‘simons story’ click on the ad to learn more about ‘simon’, ummm no thanks; simon, are you campaigning to hold onto the leadership lololz, how’s that internal polling going?
The Nats are in permanent campaign mode.
It used to be seemingly permanent Nat party branded signs on street corners announcing community meetings with said electorate or list MP. Now I think they’ve taken advice that to appear more genuine you must create a narrative, and do it a lot, through naked advertising.
Watch the population get sick of that.
I’d say it must be expensive to produce and screen but they do get the benefit of now being a regular client of Stuff and whoever else they advertise with which means the editorial arms of these publications will not want to criticise them.
Cinny, I think Simon is trying to be ‘positive’ … just looks smarmy. A real fail imo.
Slick’s full of … stories.
We are killing life on this planet, one dam at a time.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/may/16/leaked-report-warns-cambodias-biggest-dam-could-literally-kill-mekong-river
Read Endgame by Derrick Jensen.
Volume 1 The Problem of Civilisation.
North Korea may have looked at the U.S’s recent treatment of Iran and realised it might be better to hold onto its nukes.
America land of the moronic.
America land of the fools.
America land of the armed and dangerous.
Any chance you Yanks could leave the rest of the planet alone, you buffoons?
They seem still to be so emboldened by their 1940s support role in Europe that they don’t realise they haven’t won a war since despite years of trying.
I learnt a lot watching Oliver Stone’s Untold Histroy of the U.S.
Had Henry Wallace succeeded Roosevelt, we might be living in a very different world.
But Truman won……
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Untold_History_of_the_United_States
We are killing life on this planet.
And haven’t got the courage or will to save our species rest of life on Earth.
We are fools led by fools.
https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-model-scenario-rcp85-global-warming-illinios-study-a8353346.html
We already have answers to most ecological problems facing us today Ed. But to work on them we need to stymy corporate interference. It’s all so easy if not for these wilfully-ignorant graspers. They’re monkeys in a monkey trap of their own design. And they’re fools if they think they’re not going down with the ship.
What really annoys me is most of them could raise their bottom line considerably if they used common sense and stopped being so wasteful. Truly morons among men, these movers and shakers.
A real mans reach exceeds his grasping.
Over Palestinians 60 dead.
And over 2700 Palestinians injured.
And US Ambassador Nikki Haley tells UN ‘no country in this chamber would act with more restraint than Israel has’
We should end our links with America.
It is a rogue nation.
It is a dangerous nation.
It is a crooked nation.
Nikki Haley is a danger to humanity.
Found this tonight, but we need to remember Chlorine is commonly use chemical use for water purification along with many other uses. So any side could manufacture a Chlorine gas chemical weapon as it’s very cheap and very nasty weapons platform.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-16/chlorine-likely-used-in-syrian-town-of-saraqib-watchdog-finds/9768916
Fabulous piece from a Blog sub zero politics about how Farrar created the meme of the Poll honeymoon after elections 1999 and 2008 and how msm picked it up and regurgitated it. Any yet this poll honey moon turns up not to be true.
Will post as soon as I can figure out how it. It came through on my FB feed.