July 2015 the warmest month ever

Written By: - Date published: 5:16 pm, August 21st, 2015 - 65 comments
Categories: capitalism, climate change, energy, Environment, global warming - Tags: , ,

It might not have felt like it if you live in Central Otago or Southland, but the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has just declared July the warmest month ever when looking at both land and ocean together, in its 136 year history.

The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for July 2015 was the highest for July in the 136-year period of record, at 0.81°C (1.46°F) above the 20th century average of 15.8°C (60.4°F), surpassing the previous record set in 1998 by 0.08°C (0.14°F). As July is climatologically the warmest month of the year globally, this monthly global temperature of 16.61°C (61.86°F) was also the highest among all 1627 months in the record that began in January 1880. The July temperature is currently increasing at an average rate of 0.65°C (1.17°F) per century.

Temp percentiles

We’re entering the time when only radical or revolutionary restructuring of our economic affairs is going to save our children from a horrendous and unlivable future. Add in the depletion of cheaply accessible fossil fuels, an increasingly vicious oligarchic class, and increasing financialisation of…well, everything (and everyone), and we have a recipe for large scale fragility and failure.

So far though, our political class seem content with proposing carefully acceptable and limited variations on Business As Usual. Electric cars, emissions trading schemes and export led growth, anyone? Yet another case of ‘pretend and extend’ from the rentier class establishment.

65 comments on “July 2015 the warmest month ever”

  1. Glenn 1

    “I don’t care I will be dead by then” is a comment that I have heard a number of times from relatives and friends (even my mother) when I bring the subject up. Then there are the “but we had hot days when I was a kid” brigade.

    I am a pessimist and think my grandkids and their kids will suffer greatly in the future because of shortsighted politicians and the ‘ me me ‘society they have produced.
    Bloody hell I hope I’m wrong.

    • Colonial Viper 1.1

      We used to have a society which could think generations ahead, people who would plant an olive tree today not for themselves, but for their children and their grandchildren.

      It seems that society has become more self centred, infantile and immature over time.

    • weka 1.2

      “I am a pessimist and think my grandkids and their kids will suffer greatly in the future because of shortsighted politicians and the ‘ me me ‘society they have produced.
      Bloody hell I hope I’m wrong.”

      You’re not wrong with the prognosis, but it’s not just the politicians at fault here. We the people are also culpable and we the people can change. Why aren’t we doing that?

  2. Any day now )

    tick tick tick

    • maui 2.1

      The scaremonger McPherson at it again.

    • weka 2.2

      still part of the problem Robert?

    • Lanthanide 2.3

      Hah, the whole “September-October is the end of the financial world” scaremongering again.

      He has a very odd idea about ‘financial collapse’ occurring and resulting in 0 planes in the skies in a matter of days. The situation in Greece is pretty bad, right? And yet the majority of people still go to work, still go to eat out at restaurants, still go to school etc.

      • Colonial Viper 2.3.1

        And yet the majority of people still go to work, still go to eat out at restaurants, still go to school etc.

        Yes people will continue to live their lives as best as they can. Those in the top 50% might even still be able to eat out now and then at a restaurant.

        Those in the bottom quartile of society are pretty fucked though. However, most people don’t pay much attention to them.

  3. Corokia 4

    Business as usual- Tourism -duh. So dumb. That is touted as the fall back plan for our economy now that dairy is failing. Like hundreds of thousands of people are going to fly here and then drive around looking at the scenery for the next few decades.
    On so many levels we are living in the Age of Stupid (and Selfish)

  4. Foreign waka 5

    Cars these days are very different from the stinkers of the old days and the western countries have exported their polluters to poorer countries using them as a rubbish heap. Besides all that the glaringly obvious is that the exchange of moisture is facilitated by trees. This in turn cools the globe.
    The amount of forest that is cut down every day is astronomical. Even “green” NZ has planned conversion of large forestry to cow pads.
    The consequences of this activity is known for decades and coupled with the population growth makes for grim reading.
    In the past 200 years the population has grown by more than 5 billion people and at the same time deforestation happened at a rate of 6 billion hectares. It is “recently” that we added carbon through vehicles which, given that there is no repository left to absorb this, exhilarates the heating of the atmosphere.
    I know many young people who say that they don’t want to have any kids as they feel the future is bleak and this should not be a surprise.

  5. AmaKiwi 6

    To date we in NZ are not feeling the impacts the way others are. Decade long droughts and famines. Monster storms twice as destructive as anything experienced before. We read about the enormity of the potential problems but they have not hit us yet.

    When they do, our attitudes will change.

    Coming face to face with one’s own death has a way of focusing the mind.

  6. JonL 7

    Well, we’re on course for a bumper El Nino this year as well……….

    check this out


  7. weston 8

    landcorp apparently is still flat out converting forrest to dairy on the central plateau area and what forbodings which may be being made in the light of a massive global overproduction of milk are muted by hopefull predictions itll come right .actually its highly likely the goverment wants to sell these farms and anything they say otherwise is probably bullshit

  8. johnm 9

    2015 may well be the year that Climate Change is dawning on the general public due to the floods, droughts, wildfires and wildlife dieing off. The MSM at last are doing articles on the subject.

    ” What does a Monster El Nino look like? In two words — climate change. And by the end of August climate change’s Monster El Nino may have spawned two strong tropical cyclones and hurled their powerful remnant systems into the Arctic. The 2015 Monster The Equatorial Pacific is cracking wide open. Heat, at near new records for August, is oozing out. ”

    ” Unlike typical El Ninos, the high heat anomalies are not isolated to a band along the Equator. They extend upward across a vast pool that encompasses practically all of the Northeastern and North-Central Pacific. All of the Bering Sea and a chunk of the Arctic Ocean as well. It’s as if the typical El Nino heat has developed a great chimney that runs over thousands of miles from Equator to Arctic. One that encompasses millions of square miles of much warmer than normal ocean surface. An entire zone that, for the ocean, is a blistering 1-5 degrees Celsius hotter than ‘normal.’

    The Warming World’s Intense El Ninos’ Dance With Polar Amplification

    Scientists have long warned us about this. Warned us that increasing global temperatures through ongoing fossil fuel burning could greatly amplify the intensity and the frequency of strong El Nino events. A recent paper published in Nature has continued this line of research finding that, under human-forced global warming, the frequency of strong El Ninos is doubled. And, right on queue, the 2014-2016 El Nino is shaping up to be one of the nastiest, if not the nastiest such event we’ve yet experienced.

    But it’s not just a question of the intensity of heat boiling out of the Equatorial Pacific. It’s also a question of how a strong El Nino behaves in a world that has been forced to warm by 1 degree Celsius. According to Dr. Jennifer Francis, a significant portion of that extra heat has tended to focus in the Arctic. And this extra Arctic heat has, among other things, gone to work weakening the Jet Stream. In some regions, as we see today over the entire Northeastern Pacific, the tendency has been for powerful high amplitude ridges to form. The ridges often extend all the way into the Arctic — developing pathways for yet more heat to hit the high polar zones.

    Like El Nino, the ridge over the Northeastern Pacific is involved in an ocean-atmosphere dance. It’s a dance that includes widespread and abnormally warm water (see hot blob strengthens). And it’s a dance that includes the powerful impact of a Monster El Nino stalking the equatorial zones. ”


    ” The awful truth about climate change no one wants to admit ”

    ” There has always been an odd tenor to discussions among climate scientists, policy wonks, and politicians, a passive-aggressive quality, and I think it can be traced to the fact that everyone involved has to dance around the obvious truth, at risk of losing their status and influence.

    The obvious truth about global warming is this: barring miracles, humanity is in for some awful shit. ‘


    • RedLogix 9.1

      Yes I’ve seen this effect in action. I’ve several good friends who are career professional scientists, one of whom could be rightly described as prominent in his specialty with directly links to climate change.

      What is obvious to me is the difference between what they will publish or say in public – and what they tell me in private.

      That vox article you link to is the reason why they remain so passive. Read it, absorb it. Yes it contains some graphs and numbers. But scientists have spent their whole lives surrounded by a majority of people who struggle with basic fractions much less the concept of integration over time. They know they can present endless data in numberless papers and they will be ignored.

      The problem was never a scientific one; it was always one of popular imagination and political will. And by instinct the scientists have known this was not a domain they had much influence in.

      We need a great story teller.

  9. swordfish 10

    I can’t believe Britain’s temps were “near average” in July (white on map).

    It reached a deeply unpleasant 35 degrees while we were there in July. And frequently hit late 20s/early 30s.

    • weka 10.1

      Maybe the averaging out over the whole landmass drops the temp in the chart.

    • Swordfish, the UK temp is being affected by the Greenland ice melt, which is pushing cold water into the northern Atlantic, which in turn is sending the warm water from the east coast of the USA further south, so the UK gets colder, while Spain and North Africa gets hotter. It is something like minus 1 to minus 3C from the norm in the ocean around GB at the moment, as opposed to the parts of the Pacific that are +3C

    • Poission 10.3

      can’t believe Britain’s temps were “near average” in July

      The uk was bounded by hot extremes at the start of the month,and closed with july record colds at a number of stations at the end.

      The uk weather (like nz) is dominated by synoptic weather events and the annular mode. In july the NAM or north atlantic oscillation went negative increasing the probabilty of northerly flows (colder polar air)


  10. Paul 11

    Apocalypse Soon: 9 Terrifying Signs of Environmental Doom and Gloom

    Rising sea levels, earthquake threats and more reasons the world as we know it might be ending

    Read more

  11. amy 12

    Your headline screams ‘warmest month ever’. What the data actually says is warmest in 136 years. Totally different meaning. In other words, the longevity and dispersion of data is totally meaningless.

    There has been climate change since the beginning of time and will be to the end of time.

    • Yes Amy – There has been climate change since the beginning of time and will be to the end of time.
      It just that this human friendly (up to) 50,000 (?) year period is over.

    • Lanthanide 12.2

      Warmest month in recorded human history. There you go.

    • Draco T Bastard 12.3

      The difference in different climates is if we can live in them or not. For the last few millennia it’s been quite comfortable for us but we’re presently changing it so that we and most of the rest of life on Earth won’t be able to survive.

      You seem quite comfortable with that.

    • Colonial Viper 12.4

      Your headline screams ‘warmest month ever’. What the data actually says is warmest in 136 years. Totally different meaning. In other words, the longevity and dispersion of data is totally meaningless.

      You are full of bullshit Amy.

      The stats are clear: this is the warmest month for the globe known to modern scientific man. Not just here and there; but for the entire planet.

      If you think that milestone is not significant, you need to pull your head out of the sand and start paying attention.

  12. Nessalt 13

    Warmest month on record. Not ever

    • amy 13.1

      Not even that. Greenland, which is a huge land mass, had extensive farming until about 500 years ago. Then the climate adversely changed and the land became essentially uninhabitable.

      On the other side of the planet in xinjiang, where I was born and grew up, there is also much evidence of adverse climate change around 500-700 years ago which effectively undermined agriculture. And Xinjiang, along with Mongolia, forms the bulk of the china land mass. Huge.

      And before the extremist trolls kick in, yes I totally agree we need to address harmful pollution. I just abhor extremist nonsense based on little real evidence.

      • Colonial Viper 13.1.1

        Hi Amy,

        Look at the global temperature variation map I included in this post.

        Please explain what your reason is that you do not count that as “real evidence.” July was the warmest month in the last 1627 months. Why does that not count as significant to you?

        What are you afraid of acknowledging? Do you not accept that continuing rapid climate change will imperil the lives of billions as well as the (faulty) economic system we have created?

        • amy

          Hi cv and thank for polite reply.
          No that is no way a significant time frame. It’s a little like looking at a square mm of my carpet without looking at the rest of the carpet and then trying to extrapolate from that square mm what the rest of the carpet looks like.

          I accept climate change is occurring but that human influence is of localised impact only.

          And no the economic system is not broke. My country (of nationality) is corrupt and evil compared to the west. Yet even there in my life time (I an 40) we have gone from horse and cart to high speed train.

          Our striving for the freedoms of the west has given us in a generation a standard of living (not quality if life though) that was unimaginable in my childhood. The west needs to get back to TRUE free enterprise along with a socialist support system. Nz are good people but spend too much time finding g excuses for inaction. Yet they are in general better educated and better supported by health policies, welfare policies and freedoms that you do not take advantage of.

          • Colonial Viper

            You are blind to the future, and you appear to be blind to the costs of progress.

            You also appear blind to the impending disaster mankind has created for itself.

            Man’s clever plans are not more powerful than the will of the heavens.

            My country (of nationality) is corrupt and evil compared to the west.

            Nonsense. The USA started a foreign war which killed over a million Iraqi civilians. When was the last time China did that to a foreign country?

            Both the USA and the UK kidnapped foreign citizens and had them tortured and disappeared. Western European nations co-operated. When was the last time China did that to a foreign national?

            Germany is economically crushing 12M Greeks and sending that whole nation into impoverishment. When was the last time China did that to a foreign country?

            It is clear to me that you do not understand the West at all.

            No that is no way a significant time frame.

            Says you.

            What are your qualifications or expertise in this matter?

            How do you justify that a peak period out of 1627 other periods is of no importance?

            Your thinking is nonsense. It also lacks curiosity and openness.

          • weka

            “No that is no way a significant time frame. It’s a little like looking at a square mm of my carpet without looking at the rest of the carpet and then trying to extrapolate from that square mm what the rest of the carpet looks like.”

            You do realise that climate science isn’t just about measuring temperatures for the past century and a half right? That it does look at evidence from very long time frames.

            Climate changes all the time, so the examples you give aren’t really supporting your argument.

            I’m also curious why you think that your carpet analogy stands up against thousands of scientists?

      • RedLogix 13.1.2

        Greenland, which is a huge land mass, had extensive farming until about 500 years ago.

        So you are telling us that the Greenland Ice Sheet which today are still almost 3km thick at their highest – all grew from nothing within the last 500 years? I don’t think so.

        Or what you may be talking about is of course the Norse settlement of Greenland at three relatively small coastal locations inside fiords offering micro-climates just capable of supporting agriculture.

        Their interesting and complex history was written about in some detail by Jared Diamon in his wonderful book Collapse. How Societies Choose to Succeed or Fail. The whole book can be read here: http://cpor.org/ce/Diamond(2005)Collapse-HowSocietiesChooseFailureSuccess.pdf

        The reasons for the Norse departure from Greeenland are complex and only partially related to climate. The key thing to recognise is that the microclimates they were exploiting were always very marginal and it only took a very minor and quite natural change back to cooler conditions to undermine the fragile ecosystem they depended on.

        But the notion you are peddling that somehow Greenland was an ice-free “huge land-mass extensively farmed” just 500 years ago is of course a self-evident nonsense.

        • Lanthanide

          (S)he may have been also muddling up Iceland, which was more agriculturally productive in the past than it is now. A lot of their very fertile topsoil has eroded away due to bad farming practices.

  13. Nessalt 14

    Why, instead of looking at economically curtailing policies, are we not looking at ways to maximise the gains from a changing climate. warm periods are periods of prosperity historically, since long before temperature records were kept. they encouraged the spread and diversification of flora and fauna far more than static or cooling temperatures. Should we not be looking to adapt to reap the benefits that will allow us to feed a burgeoning world population rather than pronouncing doom and gloom and condemning the world to live as troglodytes?

    • Colonial Viper 14.1

      The economy is a subset of the environment.

      As the environment destabilises and fails, so will the economy.

      You are the kind of prick who looks to profit off disaster. You are the one condemning future generations to an unlivable biosphere.

      • Nessalt 14.1.1

        Jesus CV. I’m a prick because i think we should look around to work with what has, is and will continue to happen despite human interference? I agree that the rate things are changing is accelerated with our existence, but i don’t think you can belittle my suggestion just because it doesn’t fit with your fix. maybe this is why central labour don’t like you.

        Humans have proved far better at adaption than at fixing what has happened. but that would require technological investement and may maintain the economic systems we’ve adapted into. I know that hurts, but it doesn’t make anyone a prick for being a proponent off it. especially as you have no way of knowing that future generations will be condemned to an unlivable biosphere if my suggestions work.

        you behaviour is as bad as whaleoil. no one likes watching a keyboard jockey spaz when they are disagreed with

        • One Anonymous Bloke

          “My suggestion” is covered extensively by chapter seven of AR5. Can you explain where they have it wrong?

          Go on, ask your gut.

        • weka

          Nessalt, your idea is predicated on there being technology and an economy left that survives catastrophic CC. That’s not likely. Further, if we want to lessen the chances of catastrophic CC, we have to lessen industrial society. I can’t see a way of doing that under the current economic management, can you?

          The key word in what I have written is catastrophic. You are talking about adaptation. You can’t adapt to catastrophe. You might be one of the lucky ones who survives, and then you can adapt afterwards, but there won’t be a society the way you are thinking about it by then.

    • Foreign waka 14.2

      I think the issues will focus on an increase of infectious disease, like lime disease, cholera, malaria, dengue fever etc…

  14. johnm 15

    For Amy! 🙂

    Climate Change Deniers Present Graphic Description Of What Earth Must Look Like For Them To Believe

    “For us to accept that the average surface temperature of the Earth has risen to critical levels due to mankind’s production of greenhouse gases, we’ll need to see some actual, visible evidence, including a global death toll of no less than 500 million people within a single calendar year,” said spokesperson William Davis, 46, of Jackson, NJ, who added that at least 70 percent of all islands on the planet would also have to become submerged under rising seas before he and his cohort would reconsider their beliefs. “To start, we’re going to have to see supercell tornadoes of category F4 or higher ripping through Oklahoma at least three times a day, leveling entire communities and causing hundreds of fatalities—and just to be perfectly clear, we’re talking year-round, not just during the spring tornado season.”

    ““I don’t think it’s too much to ask to see a super hurricane destroying the Southeast U.S. and another one at the same time decimating the Pacific Northwest before I make up my mind about this,” said global warming skeptic Michelle Wilkinson of Medina, MN”


  15. johnm 16

    Climate Change is happening and increasing in momentum

    Don’t worry, CV, about the likes of Nessalt, probably one of those half wit idiot national Key suckers. They’ll turn your brains to mush mate!

    Right Guys listen to this interview and you’ll be up with the ball play you Rugby playing morons. otherwise just go back to your cannabis fuelled stupor and the boozing.


  16. johnm 17

    A World on Fire: July Was Hottest Month Ever Recorded

    Record set for hottest month of the year puts 2015 on track to be hottest year ever recorded… and the consequences are mounting
    Jon Queally, staff writer
    Firefighters work to dig a fire line on the Rocky Fire in Lake County, California July 30, 2015. This week, three scientific agencies announced that July was the hottest month on Earth since records were started in 1880. (Photo: Reuters/Max Whittaker)

    The world is burning up.

    The previously available evidence for that statement is staggering and on Thursday the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in the U.S. announced that July was the hottest month the planet has ever experienced since records began and that both land and ocean temperatures are on pace to make 2015 the hottest year ever recorded.

    According to NOAA’s latest figures, the July average temperature across global land and ocean surfaces was 1.46°F (0.81°C) above the 20th century average. As July consistently marks the warmest month of the year, NOAA said this most recent one now registers as having the all-time highest monthly temperature since records began in 1880, with an average global thermometer reading of 61.86°F (16.61°C).

    NOAA’s temperature analysis follows on the heels of similar findings by both NASA and the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) published earlier this week which also said July was a record-breaker in terms of heat.

    “The world is warming. It is continuing to warm. That is being shown time and time again in our data,” said Jake Crouch, physical scientist at NOAA’s National Centres for Environmental Information.

    “Now that we are fairly certain that 2015 will be the warmest year on record,” Crouch continued, “It is time to start looking at what are the impacts of that? What does that mean for people on the ground?”

    At least for those who experienced perilous heat waves in places like Pakistan, India, Iran, and Egypt in recent weeks and months, they know those direct impacts of record temperatures can be deadly. Meanwhile, climate scientists have spent much of the year—with a special eye on upcoming UN climate talks in Paris—warning that the collective impacts of increased temperatures, both on land and in the oceans, are resulting in severe consequences for human civilization and the natural world.

    More troubling than any one month, experts note, is the consistent and driving trend that has seen temperatures on a steady march upward since the beginning of the century. As Andrea Thompson at Climate Central reports:

    After 2014 was declared the warmest year on record, a Climate Central analysis showed that 13 of the 15 warmest years in the books have occurred since 2000 and that the odds of that happening randomly without the boost of global warming was 1 in 27 million.

    Even during recent years when a La Niña (the cold water counterpart to El Niño) has been in place, the year turned out warmer than El Niño years of earlier decades.

    Global carbon dioxide levels have risen from a preindustrial level of about 280 parts per million to nearly 400 ppm today. In recent years, CO2 levels — the primary greenhouse gas — have spent longer and longer above the 400 ppm benchmark. They stayed above this point for about six months this year, twice the three months of last year. It is expected that within a few years, they will be permanently above 400 ppm.

    The continued rise of CO2 levels will raise the planet’s temperature by another 3°F to 9°F by the end of this century depending on when and if greenhouse gas emissions are curbed, scientists have calculated.

    That means that some, future years are likely to continue to set records, even if there will still be year to year variations.

    And according to Eric Holthaus, who writes about climate change for Slate, the mounting evidence and rising temperatures are painting an increasingly scary picture of the future:

    All this warmth on land is being driven by record-setting heat across large sections of the world’s oceans. The NOAA report notes that the warmest 10 months of ocean temperatures on record have occurred in the last 16 months. This is mostly due to a near-record strength El Niño, but the current state of the global oceans has little historical precedent. Since it takes several months for the oceanic warmth of an El Niño to fully reach the atmosphere, 2016 will likely be warmer—perhaps much warmer—than 2015. And that poses grave implications for the world’s ecosystems as well as humans.

    We’ve recently entered a new point in the Earth’s climate history. According to reconstructions using tree rings, corals, and ice cores, global temperatures are currently approaching—if not already past—the maximum temperatures commonly observed over the past 11,000 years (i.e., the time period in which humans developed agriculture), and flirting with levels not seen in more than 100,000 years.

    But this is the scary part: The current level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is higher than at any point since humans first evolved millions of years ago. Since carbon dioxide emissions lead to warming, the fact that emissions are increasing means there’s much more warming yet to come. What’s more, carbon dioxide levels are increasing really quickly. The rate of change is faster than at any point in Earth’s entire 4.5 billion year history, likely 10 times faster than during Earth’s worst mass extinction—the “Great Dying”—in which more than 90 percent of ocean species perished. Our planet has simply never undergone the kind of stress we’re currently putting on it. That stunning rate of change is one reason why surprising studies like the recent worse-than-the-worst-case-scenario study on sea level rise don’t seem so far fetched.


  17. johnm 18

    ‘ State of Emergency Declared as Wildfires Create ‘Unprecedented Cataclysm’ in Washington

    Four other states also fighting massive blazes, including drought-stricken California

    Three firefighters were killed this week and President Barack Obama on Friday issued an emergency order over wildfires raging through central Washington state.

    Emergency workers from Australia and New Zealand have been flown in to help the crews currently fighting blazes in five states, including Washington, California, Montana, Idaho, and Oregon.
    Washington Governor Jay Inslee on Thursday called the fires “an unprecedented cataclysm.” ‘

    18 hours ago

    ” Welcome to the precipice of oblivion…all climate change deniers (and their paid corroborating “scientists” and so-called “experts”) need to board the train to hell or, even better, put on their firefighting gear and join the brigades of firemen battling the blazes. Mother Nature has had enough. Humankind needs to immediately change its ways or face the dire consequences. Think of all the wildlife/fauna that are dying from the fires and/or will die in winter without anything to eat. Think of all the rivers, lakes and streams filled with ash and other particulate matter suffocating the fish. Our house of cards is falling. ”


    ” Imagine 20 more years of this and it will still keep getting hotter and hotter! Imagine 50 more years of this – hotter each and every year. I find it hard to imagine what the world will be like. All I know is that it will not be recognizable as the world I knew. Old folks like me have seen the majestic as something ordinary and familiar and expected at least some of ut would be preserved forever.. Vast forests and big animal fauna. Salmon coursing upriver, Cats padding silently through the world. Wolves and c’yotes howling out there beyond the campfire. Now we are nolonger sure. That National Park may have escaped the axe but not global warming.

    The young will see pictures and never realize how much we took for granted because it was already gone by the time it was their turn. A cabin in the woods! Your family was lucky. What was omce commonplace and ordinary will become extraordinary and rare at least where a few patches might still exist.

    But how can the fairy tale forest of Olympic National Park be saved when it is afire? This years fire. Only this years.

    God bless and preserve the fire fighters. May the flames not leap over them and come up behind them ”


  18. johnm 19

    ” When scientists are compelled by circumstances, to recognize that the world is close to, if not already, terminally corrupt, their final resort is to become, themselves, activists, on behalf of future generations, whom our generation is murdering. Perhaps they’re voices in the wilderness. But now they are starting to shout. It’s their last hope. It’s also the last hope of future generations (if there still is, realistically, any hope at all, remaining). ”

    The Latest Science on Global Warming By Eric Zuesse

    ” Humanity faces near certainty of eventual sea level rise of at least Eemian proportions, 5–9m [16-30 feet], if fossil fuel emissions continue on a business-as-usual course, e.g., IPCC scenario A1B that has CO2 700 ppm in 2100 (Fig. S21). It is unlikely that coastal cities or low-lying areas such as Bangladesh, European lowlands, and large portions of the United States eastern coast and northeast China plains (Fig. S22) could be protected against such large sea level rise. Rapid large sea level rise may begin sooner than generally assumed. … ”

    Humanity at a Crossroads. Today…

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    When military leaders cover up and lie to elected civilian authorities, the foundation of democratic civil-military relations is undermined because it is those authorities who are entrusted to hold the military accountable to the public that they mutually serve. But this is only true if civilian political authorities take their ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 day ago
  • Challenging the voting age in court
    The Make It 16 campaign to lower the voting age is launching this afternoon, and they have already announced plans to challenge the law in court:The campaign, named "Make it 16" will launch at Parliament on Friday, with plans to take their case to the High Court, testing the rights ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago
  • Israel’s elections herald a long siesta
    by Daphna Whitmore The long years of Netanyahu’s reign are drawing to an end. For years he has epitomized reactionary zionism as he oversaw hundreds of thousands of Jewish settlers seize land in the West Bank. There are now 700,000 settlers, putting an end to the myth that Israel was ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 day ago
  • Petrol companies promise prices will come back down once peace is restored to the Middle East
    BP, Z and Mobil all insist that petrol price hikes are temporary, “in a very literal sense.” The nation’s major petrol providers are trying to allay customer fears over prices, promising that they’ll move to lower them again “immediately” when the Middle East is returned to its formerly peaceful state. ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 days ago
  • All Blacks unveil boat for Rugby World Cup 2019
    South African coach Rassie Erasmus says he has no idea what they’re going to do about the boat. In a highly anticipated press conference this afternoon, All Blacks coach Steve Hansen has finally unveiled the team’s boat for its Rugby World Cup 2019 campaign. In a press conference that went ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 days ago
  • An increasingly shoddy coverup
    The Operation Burnham inquiry continued to question senior NZDF staff today, and their shoddy coverup over their knowledge of civilian casualties continue to fall apart. If you recall, first, we were asked to believe that it was all a series of "mistakes and errors": a senior officer with multiple degrees ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • If we are to avoid making the earth uninhabitable, we need to rapidly decarbonise our civilisation, and cut emissions to zero as quickly as possible. This seems like an impossible task, but its not. Pushing hard on a few technologies and trends will let us halve emissions in a decade:Greenhouse ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • A further attack on transparency
    The Local Government Act 2002 Amendment Bill (No 2) had part of its committee stage yesterday. its a generally tedious bill about the nitty-gritty of local government reorganisation. But it includes a clause making the Local Government Commission subject to the Ombudsmen Act, and hence the OIA. Great! Except of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Ihumātao and Treaty settlements
    Yesterday Ihumātao's mana whenua reached a consensus that they would like their land back, and asked the government to negotiate with Fletcher's for its return. The government's response? Try and undermine that consensus, while talking about how doing anything would undermine existing Treaty settlements. The first is just more bad ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Protecting our history
    Its Suffrage Day, the 126th anniversary of women winning the right to vote (but not stand in elections) in New Zealand. And to celebrate, the government has bought Kate Sheppard's house in Christchurch:The government has bought Kate Sheppard's former home in Christchurch for more than $4 million. The Ilam villa ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Climate Change: Ostracising the coal-burners
    The UN climate summit is happening in new York next week, and unlike previous years, coal-burners and denier-states are not being invited to speak:Leading economies such as Japan and Australia will not be invited to speak at next week’s crunch UN climate change summit, as their continued support for coal ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Jojo Tamihere Salutes Herr Goff.
    Get Back Jojo! The elation in Mayor Phil Goff’s camp may be easily imagined as they watched social media light up in indignation at challenger John Tamihere’s "Sieg Heil to that" quip. Just when JT’s notoriously right-wing, sexist and homophobic stains were beginning to fade back into his ‘colourful’ past, ...
    2 days ago
  • Hard News: A fun but flawed weed documentary
    Patrick Gower is good value when he's high. Not that I've ever, you know, got stoned with him. But in the second part of his documentary Patrick Gower on Weed, he does what you'd expect in a modern weed documentary and immerses himself – first with a doctor, then a ...
    3 days ago
  • Candidate Survey: Western Bay of Plenty – Local Body Elections 2019
    We surveyed candidates on their attitudes to issues facing the Western Bay Region, find out what they think: “Closing the Gap” Tauranga, one of the area groups of Income Equality Aotearoa NZ Inc., has surveyed all candidates in the three local body elections to discover attitudes to some basic issues ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    3 days ago
  • Project Nettie calls on scientists to defend biology
    Please spread widely, and sign, to support science and rationalism over the new irrationalism sweeping universities and institutions.  PROJECT NETTIE Sexual reproduction, the generation of offspring by fusion of genetic material from two different individuals, evolved over 1 billion years ago. It is the reproductive strategy of all higher animals ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    3 days ago
  • I’m glad I don’t live in Auckland
    Just when I was thinking that Palmerston North's mayoral race (which includes a convicted child molester / public wanker and a convicted child beater) was the worst in the country, Auckland mayoral candidate John Tamihere opened his mouth:Auckland mayoral candidate John Tamihere is being slammed for using the words "sieg ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Index of Power Update, 2018-19: China #2
    We reprint below an article from the excellent website the Economics of Imperialism by Tony Norfield This is an update of the statistics for my Index of Power, using data for 2018-19 and discussing what a country’s ranking reflects. The major change is that China’s rank has shifted up and ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    3 days ago
  • Climate Change: A history lesson
    Why is New Zealand climate change policy so crap? The Herald this morning has a long article on the twists and turns of climate change policy in New Zealand [paywalled / depaywall script], which shows where we've been. The short version is that the government first began worrying about this ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • What the All Blacks Mean to Us
    The All Blacks have been, for more than a century, arguably the most successful International sports team in the world. But they are more than that; even for those Kiwis who are immune to the charms of rugby (and there are more than a few), the All Blacks are ambassadors ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    3 days ago
  • No one is born into the wrong body
    A short and incredibly powerful speech from a young lesbian woman. No one is born in the wrong body. ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    4 days ago
  • Contempt
    Back in June, the UK Court of Appeal ruled that that country's continued arms sales to Saudi Arabia were unlawful. So you'd expect that the UK government stopped approving them, right?Of course not:The government has apologised for breaching a court ruling against the sale of weapons to Saudi Arabia that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Covering up the cover-up
    Yesterday NZDF officials were put on the stand about the lies they had told over Operation Burnham, making implausible claims that it was all a big mistake. But along the way, we learned they had already been put on the spot about it by a previous Defence Minister, who had ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Not as important as they think they are
    Farmers have been whining a lot lately, about the methane targets in the Zero Carbon Bill, about Canterbury's proposed nitrogen limits, and about the government's new proposals to stop them from shitting in our lakes and rivers. These policies are "throwing farmers under the tractor", they will force farmers off ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Behind Every Good Woman Should Stand – Another Good Woman.
    Alone, Alone, All, All, Alone: To argue that the Prime Minister is the victim of her advisers’ failure to keep her informed may offer Jacinda some measure of exoneration – but only at the cost of casting her as a hopeless political ingénue. A star-dusted muppet, whose only purpose is to ...
    4 days ago
  • Poor quality, poorly educated kiddie ‘Journalists’ spreading fake news
    In times of hysteria about the “World coming to an end” and “rising sea levels” so-called ‘Journalists’ who can barely spell words longer than four letters are having a ball! Though the majority of the Public have worked out that manmade climate change is nothing short of pseudo-science, and the ...
    An average kiwiBy admin@averagekiwi.com
    4 days ago
  • Chris Trotter on the BFD
    I don't want to give pblicity to certain parts of the internet that are better left to fester in their own irrelevance (I know, a bit like this place) but the listing of Chris Trotter as a 'author' on Cameron Slater's spinoff website, the BFD requires some explanation.Now, I don't ...
    5 days ago
  • Sex is not a spectrum
    The text below is a Twitter thread by Heather Heying that explains the essence of sexual reproduction and it long evolutionary history. She is an evolutionary biologist and a “professor-in-exile” after she and her husband, Bret Weinstein, stood up to supporters of an enforced “Day of Absence” for white staff and teachers ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    5 days ago
  • Climate Change: Trees, aviation, and offsets
    With crunch time for new Zealand climate policy approaching, most of the New Zealand media have got on board with a global reporting effort to cover the issue. There's one strand of stories today about polling and what it shows about changing public attitudes to the crisis, but the strand ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Pissing-Off The Israelis Is A High-Risk Strategy.
    Dangerous Foes: For those readers of Bowalley Road who feel disposed to dismiss any prospect of an Israeli destabilisation of New Zealand politics, the example of the United Kingdom repays close attention. Ever since the election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the British Labour Party, the Israelis have sanctioned, funded and ...
    5 days ago
  • Something to go to in Wellington
    Make It 16, the youth-led campaign to lower New Zealand's voting age, is holding an official campaign launch at Parliament this Friday from 16:30. If you'd like to attend, you can register using EventBrite here. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • A founding member responds to Peace Action Wellington
    by Don Franks It was a lovely sunny Wellington afternoon with blue skies above  the beaches.  In Courtenay Place, political activists packed out a stuffy upstairs room for an important meeting. The assembled pacifists, anarchists, communists and independent young radicals of Peace Action Wellington felt the need for a mission ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    5 days ago
  • “Mistakes and errors”
    Current and former NZDF top brass are being publicly grilled this week by the hit and run inquiry over their public responses to allegations of civilian casualties. Previously, they've claimed there were no casualties, a position which led them to lie to Ministers and to the public. Now, they're saying ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • “Homosexuality is same-sex attraction and relationships, not heterosexuals with delusions of gende...
    by Rafael D. Quiles (gender-critical gay man from Puerto Rico) The writing on the wall is right in people’s faces and people just don’t see it or don’t want to. What could actually possess a heterosexual male to want to feminize himself and claim that he is a lesbian? Because ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    6 days ago
  • Trump: “Where’s my favourite dictator?”
    From the Wall Street Journal:Inside a room of the ornately decorated Hotel du Palais during last month’s Group of Seven summit in Biarritz, France, President Trump awaited a meeting with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi. Mr. Trump looked over a gathering of American and Egyptian officials and called out in ...
    6 days ago
  • Magdalen Burns, 1983-2019, fighter for women’s liberation
    by the Redline blog collective At Redline we are very saddened to hear of the death of Magdalen Burns who passed away on the morning of Friday, September 13 (British time). Magdalen was a great fighter for the rights of women in general and lesbian women in particular, a defender ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    7 days ago
  • Parliament and the Executive
    The Brexit issue has certainly brought with it a series of apparently difficult constitutional issues, many of them concerning the respective roles of the executive and parliament. Most of them arise because of the unwillingness of MPs, despite their professions to the contrary, to be bound by a constitutional rarity ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • The Abigail Article; Martyn Bradbury’s Article, and My Response
    . . This blogpost is different to my usual format of reporting on issues… Since July 1011, I have blogged on a variety of political issues; near always political and/or environmental; mostly highly critical of the previous National Government. Other issues included Israeli occupation of Palestinian lands and repression of ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • Police will have to wear silly Buckingham Palace hats from now on, says Police Minister
    Those close to the Police Minister believe the initiative may be the result of Nash “seeing a great deal” on AliExpress. In a move that comes seemingly out of nowhere, Police Minister Stuart Nash announced this afternoon that he expects all frontline staff to don bearskin hats, famously worn by ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • A sensible crackdown
    The government has released its Arms Legislation Bill, containing the second tranche of changes to gun laws following the March 15 massacre. And it all looks quite sensible: a national gun register, higher penalties for illegal possession and dealing, tighter restrictions on arms dealers and shooting clubs, and a shorter ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • California bans private prisons
    Private prisons are a stain on humanity. Prison operators explicitly profit from human misery, then lobby for longer prisons terms so they can keep on profiting. And in the US, prison companies run not only local and state prisons, but also Donald Trump's immigration concentration camps. Faced with this moral ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Why PPPs are a bad idea
    When National was in power, they were very keen on Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) - basicly, using private companies to finance public infrastructure as a way of hiding debt from the public. They were keen on using them for everything - roads, schools, hospitals. But as the UK shows, that "service" ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A Movement That No Longer Moves.
    Moving And Shaking: There was a time when people spoke matter-of-factly about the “labour movement” – a political phenomenon understood to embrace much more than the Labour Party. Included within the term’s definition was the whole trade union movement – many of whose members looked upon the Labour Party as ...
    1 week ago
  • NZ ‘left’ politically embracing extreme postmodernism
    by Philip Ferguson Much of the left, even people who formally identify as marxists, have collapsed politically in the face of postmodern gender theory of the sort pioneered by American philosopher Judith Butler. For Butler even biological sex is socially constructed. “If the immutable character of sex is contested, perhaps ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • The obvious question
    The media is reporting that the (alleged) Labour party sexual assaulter has resigned from their job at Parliament, which means hopefully he won't be turning up there making people feel unsafe in future. Good. But as with everything about this scandal, it just raises other questions. Most significantly: why the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The moment I found out that you found out, I acted swiftly
    By Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern I am every bit as angry as you are. I am every bit as disappointed as you must be. The people with power, oversight and the ability to do something about these processes within the Labour Party should be ashamed. Whoever those people are, I ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • This is why people hate property developers
    Property developers think there is an "oversupply" of houses in Auckland:High turnover rates and falling prices may be a sign that there are too many new houses going in to some parts of Auckland, commentators say. [...] Property developer David Whitburn said there was a "bit of an oversupply" in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Australia to Pacific: “Fuck you, you can all drown”
    World leaders are meeting in New York in two weeks for the 2019 Climate Action Summit, where they are expected to announce new and more ambitious targets to stop the world from burning. But the Australian Prime Minister won't be there, despite being in the USA at the time:Scott Morrison ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Implausible ignorance
    Labour Party president Nigel Haworth resigned yesterday over the party's sexual assault scandal. But while that's good news, its unlikely to take away the stench of a coverup. Because according to Paula Bennett in Parliament yesterday, pretty much everyone in the Prime Minister's office was involved as well:I have been ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Labour’s Fatal Flaw.
     Two-Faced? Labour insiders' commitment to the neoliberal status quo puts them at odds with their party’s membership; its trade union affiliates; and a majority of Labour voters, but this only serves to strengthen the perception they have of themselves as a special elite. Among the lesser breeds, they’ll talk up a ...
    1 week ago
  • Ten reasons the Tories do NOT want an election
    There has been a lot of talk about Boris Johnson wanting an election, and he has blustered with great gusto about 'chicken' Jeremy Corbyn refusing one, but I think there are many reasons why he is secretly glad he has been refused the opportunity:The Tories are an utter rabble,tearing themselves ...
    1 week ago
  • Prorogation Illegal, rule Scottish judges
    Scottish appeal court judges have declared that Boris Johnson’s decision to suspend parliament in the run-up to the October Brexit deadline is unlawful. The three judges, chaired by Lord Carloway, Scotland’s most senior judge, overturned an earlier ruling that the courts did not have the powers to interfere in the prime ...
    1 week ago
  • Let me explain what I meant by Everyday New Zealanders
    By Simon Bridges. The following is a press release from the office of Simon Bridges, leader of The National Party. Key ora, New Zealand. Happy Maori Language Week. Look, I’m writing to you today because I want to clear something up. There’s been a lot of kerfuffle around some things ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • Yes, the SIS is subject to the Public Records Act
    I understand there's some stuff going round about how the SIS "was removed from the list of public offices covered by the Public Records Act in 2017". The context of course being their records derived from US torture, which will be disposed of or sealed. The good news is that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • An evidence-based discussion of the Canadian fluoride/IQ study
    Dr. Christopher Labos and Jonathan Jarry discuss the recent Canadian fluoride/IQ research. They provide an expert analysis of the paper and its problems. Click on image to go to podcast. The critical debate about the recent ...
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Australia in denial
    Australia is burning down again, and meanwhile its natural disaster minister is denying climate change:Australia’s minister responsible for drought and natural disasters, David Littleproud, has said that he doesn’t “know if climate change is manmade”. Clarifying earlier comments that the question is “irrelevant” when considering the Coalition government’s response to ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Philippines activist speaking on the Duterte tyranny
    Auckland Philippines Solidarity is excited to host Professor Judy Taguiwalo for a speaking tour of NZ in September. She is a well-known activist in the Philippines and was a political prisoner under the Marcos dictatorship. Professor Taguiwalo briefly served as a Cabinet member under President Duterte but was forced from ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Disgust
    I have no special insights to offer on the Labour sexual assault coverup. All I have is disgust. Disgust that an organisation could fail its people so badly. Disgust that they punished the victims rather than the perpetrator. Disgust that its party hacks are apparently blaming the victims for demanding ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Speak Up for Women calls out Greens’ censorship
    This open letter to the Green Party was penned after an opinion piece by Jill Abigail, a feminist and founding member of the party, was censored by the Greens’ leadership. (Redline has reprinted her article here).The intolerance of the Green Party leaders and their acceptance of the misogyny of gender ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Member’s Day: End of Life Choice, part 3
    Today is a Member's day, and David Seymour's End of Life Choice Bill continues its slow crawl through its committee stage. They're spending the whole day on it today, though the first hour is likely to be spent on voting left over from last time. After that they'll move on ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Flight to Los Angeles turned back after passengers decide they don’t want to go anymore
    An ambitious plan to fly to Los Angeles petered out into a brief sight-seeing trip and a desire to return home and get some sleep before work tomorrow. Air New Zealand has confirmed a flight to Los Angeles last night was turned back about a quarter of the way into ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Indigenous Futures: defuturing and futuring – an analytical framework for policy development?
    There appears to be consensus – by omission – that the concept of indigenous futures should be accepted at face value. So I scavenged the internet to see if I could locate an academic descriptor or a framework around how we think about it as a concept, and whether it ...
    EllipsisterBy Ellipsister
    2 weeks ago
  • Cadbury rumoured to be releasing the Pineapple Trump
    Here’s another novelty chocolate to shove in your gob, New Zealand Cadbury could be seeking to make itself great again with a rumoured new release: Pineapple Trumps, a spin on its classic chocolate-encased pineapple treat and do-it-yourself tooth remover. The global confectionery manufacturer and bumbling “before” character in an infomercial, ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • The coming resource war.
    During my time in the Pentagon I had the privilege of sitting down with military leaders and defence and security officials from a variety of Latin American nations. Sometimes I was present as a subordinate assistant to a senior US defence department official, sometimes as part of a delegation that ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    2 weeks ago
  • Māori Language Week with The Civilian
    Kia ora, Aotearoa. It’s that magical time of year. Te Wiki o te Reo Māori. In English, the week that frightens talk radio. As you probably know by now, all your favourite media outlets are participating, some more successfully than others. Stuff has changed its name to Puna for the ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Will Horizons act on climate change?
    Local body elections are coming up next month. And it looks like all Palmerston North candidates for Horizons (the Manawatu-Whanganui Regional Council) want to take action on climate change:Climate change is set to be a key issue in Palmerston North for the next three years if those wanting to get ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • BORA reform is stalled
    Eighteen months ago, the government promised to strengthen the Bill of Rights Act, by explicitly affirming the power of the courts to issue declarations of inconsistency and requiring Parliament to formally respond to them. So how's that going? I was curious, so I asked for all advice about the proposal. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Corbyn and Brexit
    As the Brexit saga staggers on, the focus is naturally enough on the Prime Minister and his attempts to achieve Brexit “do or die”. But the role played by the Leader of the Opposition is of almost equal interest and complexity. The first problem for Jeremy Corbyn is that he ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    2 weeks ago
  • A ditch for him to die in
    Last week, English Prime Minister Boris Johnson boldly declared that he would rather die be dead in a ditch than delay Brexit. Unfortunately for him, the UK parliament accepted the challenge, and promptly dug one for him. The "rebellion bill" requires him to ask for and secure yet another temporary ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Warning! Warning! Danger Jacinda Ardern! Danger Marama Davidson! Warning!
    Lost In Political Space: The most important takeaway from this latest Labour sexual assault scandal, which (if I may paraphrase Nixon’s White House counsel’s, John Dean’s, infamous description of Watergate) is “growing like a cancer” on the premiership, is the Labour Party organisation’s extraordinary professional paralysis in the face of ...
    2 weeks ago

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