National seats at risk in Auckland
- Date published:
1:54 pm, August 3rd, 2020 - 33 comments
Categories: uncategorized -
Tags: Bala Beeram, chris luxon, jake bezzant, lisa whyte, Nuwanthie Samarakone, Rima Nakhle
National has a crop of new candidates in Auckland all wanting to be in Parliament. But judging by what has happened so far you have to wonder if there are further allegations that may emerge which may ankle tap carefully stage managed campaigns.
In the Auckland region there are a few new candidates:
- Jake Bezzant who was selected in Paula Bennett’s old seat of Upper Harbour. I suspect that there must have been some local opposition to this because Lisa Whyte, who has been on the local board there for a number of years and was at one time chair, must be a better fit. Bezzant should win, even against Labour’s impressive Vanushi Walters, but it could be tight and he may be one scandal away from losing.
- Lisa Whyte who was shuffled down to New Lynn to do the impossible, take a Labour seat of high flying Deborah Russell. She is unknown in the old New Lynn part of the electorate and has the completely wrong qualifications to hope to win the Waitakere Ranges part of the electorate. My assessment is that she has no chance.
- Nuwanthie Samarakone whose commitment to the Manurewa seat is that strong she is trying to become the Auckland Central candidate. She has no chance in either seat.
- Bala Beeram who has absolutely no chance in Kelston against Carmel Sepuloni.
- Rima Nakhle who is National’s candidate in the new seat of Takanini. On paper the seat looks marginal but the way things are right now she should lose.
- Simon Watts who is standing on the North Shore. He is an accountant and a former banker. At least he lives on the Shore and has done so for a while. Although Labour’s Romy Udanga is impressive and hard working I can’t see Labour winning this seat.
- And Chris Luxon in Botany who again should win although Jami-Lee Ross could cause some problems for him.
Of course these are predictions only and could change, particularly if another scandal and more infighting bursts out into the public arena which given what has happened so far could be any time now. Tick tock …