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One News Colmar Brunton Poll Oct 2019

Written By: - Date published: 6:21 pm, October 14th, 2019 - 121 comments
Categories: class war, economy, greens, jacinda ardern, labour, Media, national, nz first, political parties, Politics, Simon Bridges - Tags: ,

Another day, another poll. And another disappointing, if somewhat disguised, result for Simon Bridges.

Frankly, the National leader has had a week to forget, with yesterday’s Newshub poll suggesting that the Tories would not only lose to a Labour/Green Government (the right’s nightmare scenario) but his one useful lifeline, NZ First, is on track to being dumped from Parliament.

And this on top of the midweek anointment of his replacement, Simon Luxon, by Tory King maker John Key.

Sucks to be Simon, huh?

Today’s Colmar Brunton poll is their fifth of the year and is not much different from their previous polling in July, nor from yesterday’s TV3 poll.

As usual, the Colmar Brunton poll overestimates Tory support, suggesting they might scrape into Government with the help of their poodle party, ACT.

But the reality is that Labour and the Greens are going to form the next Government and no amount of Tory lying on social media by omission or distortion is going to change that.

The Colmar Brunton results are as follows:

In theory, this means National get 60 seats* and a two seat majority with the help of ACT. It ain’t gonna happen, not least because in the other poll question, preferred PM, Jacinda Ardern remains comfortably ahead, 38% to Bridges’ 9%.

*This doesn’t actually make mathematical sense using TV One’s figures. At 47%, National get 59 seats, and ACT’s 1 means the right would be tied with Lab/Green who would also have 60 seats. Not sure why One News are claiming this poll gives National a working majority, because on the numbers provided, it doesn’t. And those numbers provided also add up to 101%, which is kinda weird. It’s almost like One News are manufacturing a narrative, but that can’t be right. Right?

121 comments on “One News Colmar Brunton Poll Oct 2019”

  1. ianmac 1

    Jessica Mutch joins Nat 47% with a hopeful 1 % Act (maybe with 2 MPs.)

    Jessica Mutch joins Labour 40% + Greens 7% but ignores the 4% NZF.

    I know that on that poll NZF would not get in but….

    • Rapunzel 1.1

      18% "undecideds", National Party voters I know are never undecided, that is a lot of votes.

    • michelle 1.2

      what does jessica mutch know not much and she can’t add

      • Dukeofurl 1.2.1

        1% in a sample of 1000 is 10 people. Thats the numbers who put their hand up for ACT .

        probably less as they have excluded the 18% dont knows.

        • Dukeofurl 1.2.1.1

          " For Party Support, percentages have been rounded up or down to whole numbers, except those less than 4.5%, which are reported to 1 decimal place. "

          Says Colmar Brunton, but not followed by 1 News

    • michelle 1.3

      jessica is an idiot and think she knows everything she also says some dumb things 

  2. Anne 2

    The sooner Mutch has her baby (I'll swear she's been pregnant for a year ) and disappears off our screens the better. I want someone with a little less built-in bias.

    • ScottGN 2.1

      You’re unlikely to get any less bias from anyone in our media Anne, it’s just the way they are. 
      it would be great though if the Labour Party, after letting National and their proxies in the media destroy three Opposition Leaders and now try the same shit with an enormously popular Prime Minister could get their act together and come up with a strategy to deal with this.

      • Red Blooded One 2.1.1

        Agreed, allowing National to control the narrative is just dumb. 

      • michelle 2.1.2

        ScotGN they have a strategy to deal with nationals bullshit its called a coalition government and NZ First  party they are the ones that will dish it to national during the next election and i cant wait 

    • michelle 2.2

      plus 100 Anne she is bias and she don't care either 

  3. coge 3

    Let's be honest here, everyone knows there is only one poll that counts. 

    All Labour needs to do knuckle down harder fighting climate change, and they'll romp home. Haven't they seen the people out on the streets? Bit of a no brainer really.

    • Siobhan 3.1

      "Haven't they seen the people out on the streets"

      …problem there is Jacinda liked the nice school kids protesting (in other words polite 'school project' protesting)…not the pesky adults making a scene…

      https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/climate-news/116396819/pm-jacinda-ardern-critical-of-extinction-rebellion-climate-change-protest-disruption

      Don't misunderstand, the kids protesting is awesome, that early engagement will hopefully lead to more action as they get older…but it actual change, change that must be fought for, only happens when Citizens are willing to 'fight'.

      To think change will happen if we ask for it nicely would be to totally ignore the entire history of Progressive change.

      • lprent 3.1.1

        Don’t misunderstand, the kids protesting is awesome, that early engagement will hopefully lead to more action as they get older…but it actual change, change that must be fought for, only happens when Citizens are willing to ‘fight’.

        Yep. And it has to be a sustained movement and a long-term push. ie not like the occupy movement.

    • michelle 3.2

      now we have people dropping dead on the streets and we are finding bodies in rivers and streams these will be some of nationals mean policy victims as there was and is no housing crisis nah! it all in our mind 

  4. observer 4

    But the reality is that Labour and the Greens are going to form the next Government and no amount of Tory lying on social media by omission or distortion is going to change that.

    Um, that's exactly what could change that. It's why they are doing it. We'd like to think that NZ is different from Australia, the UK, the USA, etc. But don't bank on it. 

    The government has a positive story to tell. But they aren't very good at telling it. The nasty negative fills the vacuum (backed by lots of cash). And it works.

    If a couple of bad polls kick out the complacency, that's good. Labour especially need to up their game – and Ardern can't do it all.

    • ScottGN 4.1

      I agree with you totally. The problem though is that the losers in charge of the Labour Party would struggle to organise a lie down in a mortuary let alone mount a fight back against National’s dirty politics operation. They don’t deserve Ardern and if (when?) she loses next year it will completely be the fault of the people running the party. I’m a member and I’ve been told that the leadership in the party have privately tried to blame the disastrous handling of the sex scandal allegations on Ardern, whom they say was too preoccupied by the media narrative. They have all conveniently forgotten that at the first sign of trouble they all fled the field and left her to deal with the fallout.

    • michelle 4.2

      well our PM told a positive story this morning on RNZ yet our mainstream media are doing their very  best to  destroy our pm and her reputation but based on our council elections i cant see national getting in with all their foreign money their spin and lies i think people are starting to see them for who they really are and they ain't nice that is foreshore.   

    • mike 4.3

      i think the spoiler could be the private debt problem

  5. So labour and the greens numbers are both up from the 2017 election. Does that make NZf the weakest link?

    I'd like to see another few points on the left side of the ledger, and a continuing downward trend would be bad, but still plenty of time to go yet. At least no one's gonna get complacent.

    • rockape 5.1

      But didnt the Greens fall 6% in the 3 months before the last election?

      • The Al1en 5.1.1

        I'm not expecting the greens to start polling behind act any time soon, but yes it did, and went to labour, but a core is a core is a core.

      • michelle 5.1.2

        yes the Greens fell  before the last election and the NZ First rose but the youth vote my bet is it will go to the Greens so they have a real chance of  getting more numbers back in parliament now is the time this  young block wont vote national they know national are all about business at all costs  and fuck the environment.  

  6. Charlie 6

    What does everyone here expect, just more anti Ardern headlines and propaganda from the neolib nact wankers. The left needs to get into gear and FIGHT BACK and stop pussy footing about thinking Jacinda will sort it all out. Observer is on the money.

    • Rapunzel 6.1

      At the moment media  across the sector are desperate for relevance to survive and are playing NZ to suit, that is the start of where the fight back needs to begin.

  7. The March Hare 7

    There are many of us who voted for Labour last time because we really believed that they were serious about wanting to fix the housing crisis. We now know that they are not. The falling numbers for Labour could be due to a really simple explanation, which is that many of us feel let down by their unwillingness to do anything meaningful about the issue and are therefore looking for other parties to vote for.

    • Which other parties do you feel are candidates for a more serious approach to the housing crisis?  (Disclaimer: I'm a Green Party donor and voter, so do have a particular party in mind.)

      • The March Hare 7.1.1

        Well, I have often voted Green whenever I have felt disillusioned by Labour or feel that I cannot trust Labour. My worry now though is that the Greens are so joined at the hip to Labour that they are not going to do anything to meaningfully contradict them. The only other option is the Opportunities Party which is now actually beginning to look appealing now that Gareth Morgan is no longer associated with them.

        • Sacha 7.1.1.1

          You don't think Winston First might be having a dampening influence on Green policy priorities this term? Remove that factor..

        • Sanctuary 7.1.1.2

          I smell a concerned troll.

          • heather Grimwood 7.1.1.2.1

            to  Sanctuary  at 7.1.1.2:  Spot  on…absolutely  reeking

             

          • The March Hare 7.1.1.2.2

            Classy Incognito, really classy. Don't respond to my concerns, just hurl insults. There is a reason why Labour has lost a fifth of their supporters (including myself) in the past 3 months, and it comes down to two simple words, 'housing crisis'. 

            • Incognito 7.1.1.2.2.1

              Excuse me? You may be addressing the wrong person. In fact, I’ve sent Sanctuary a Moderation note @ 20.2.1.1 to stop accusing other commenters of being trolls. Please don’t pick a fight with me or anybody else on this site. Thanks.

              • The March Hare

                My mistake Incognito, I was indeed addressing Sanctuary. My apologies. But I stand by everything else in my response which I think was justified and was not trying to 'pick a fight' with anyone.

      • Kevin 7.1.2

        None of the major parties want any change around housing, that is my belief. The so-called 'mum-and-dad investor' group wields too much political power.

    • UncookedSelachimorpha 7.2

      I know what you mean about being disappointed in the coalition's actions on housing – but a swing to supporting National doesn't make much sense (they were far worse on housing etc, in very recent memory). But then logic and voter sentiment are often not joined at the hip.

    • McFlock 7.3

      short version: govt down 1%. If NZ1 win a seat, current coalition can form. If NZ1's polling is 1% low, xurrent coalition can form. If greens or Labour are 1% low in poll, hung parliament.

      $7billion fiscal mountain to spend in election year budget.

      lolz

      • Herodotus 7.3.1

        the “surplus” that is there is not money, just financial trickery, and from reading many of your comments you know that. Hard to spend the book revaluation entry on rail. Remember the govt increase debt by $700m over the same period of the surplus.

        Just viewed Q&A why cannot labour Just do Something ? Talk about affordability in housing, tell many that $650k for a 3 bedroom townhouse/apartment is affordable ? Imo that is the problem these govt. mps live in Disneyland with NO contact with those grubby plebs who have to live day to day with the consequences of The govts policies 🤢

        • Dukeofurl 7.3.1.1

          Yes . Its not affordable  in the scheme of things, but there is currently no way to sell them for $500k without gifting a massive capital gain to the new owners and at a loss for the taxpayers.

          The other side is that median household income in Auckland is around $120k per year. So that  can be affordable in  the median households eyes where they are paying $600 pw for a standard 3 br house anyway.

        • McFlock 7.3.1.2

          In economics (especially capitalist economics) "trickery" counts, too. That's why people will give you food if you can make a little handheld screen say "accepted" rather than "declined".

          $2billion was an asset revaluation. The prediction three or four months before was 2 billion and change. The extra 2 billion and change came from treasury predictions of numbers on a computer screen not matching the numbers that actually appeared on that computer screen.

          That's the thing about magic: if enough people believe it, it works.

           

    • New view 7.4

      TMH. How refreshing to get an honest view of what’s happening rather than than (Its Nationals fault, It’s The Media’s fault). Most of those here seem one eyed. Would never put any blame on JA who seems to be out of the country more than she’s in it. Still happily support their Government who has a massive surplus but seem mystified about how to spend it , and can’t seem to control any unsavoury occurrence that pops up within their ranks. The general public aren’t stupid. They see what’s happening and wonder whether Labour’s coalition is capable of sorting it out. I’m from the right but saw there was big social issues not being addressed. If Labour’s coalition was able to stop stumbling and start walking they may have convinced me they were special. They aren’t. 

      • michelle 7.4.1

        you have a one eyed view too new view with an old view 

      • Janet 7.4.2

        They have had to turn a big ship back onto to course. I give them time but the immigration issue did not need time. It needed to be dealt to immediately. It was the root cause of most of the things we are fed up with in NZ.

    • patricia bremner 7.5

      The March Hare,  How do you get to that square?   They are building more social housing,  they are working on Kiwi build problems(changing rules about prefabs),  Looking at schemes like allowing people to buy an investment property with their Kiwi Saver,  Tackling the fragility of our banking,  looking into Rent to Buy,  and supporting other providers.

      There is currently more building than any time since 1974.  Why are you so negative?

      They can't do much more in 2 years !! They have tackled all of the issues.  Granted they haven't had total success,  but they are not acting like there is no problem.

  8. Yeah , your pretty well right, except for NZ First.

    They will be back , and part of the next Labour coalition.

    That's just the way it is under MMP.

    And no , NZ First wont be going with the ChiNational party , no matter what specious motives some might have for wanting to see them off. They are here to stay. Unlike the ChiNational vested interest party. The only place they will be staying is in the opposition benches.

    So be happy.

  9. Rrm 9

    Justin Lester gone, and now the writing is on the wall for [the incredibly popular Prime Minister] and the Groper party.

    It was a good day. 😘

    [No misogyny, thanks. TRP]

    • michelle 9.1

      Lester might be gone but Barry was labour in the Hutt Valley and  we have always been labour, national only got hutt south due to boundary changes they took Naenae out of that boundary and in they came 

    • aom 9.2

      Lester gone but new Labour councillors, one in a 'blue' ward show that the problem was the departed Mayor not the branding. He never came across as holding Labour values anyway. That aside, there appears to be a newly emerging political demographic with young progressives being elected. There is also an increasingly engaged youth demographic who appear more likely to be active voters. The polls are on the way to being consigned to the dustbin of of history.

      • michelle 9.2.1

        And so are national on the way to being consigned to history cause those active voters aom talks about who do yo think they are more likely to vote for it wont be the new god luxon nah! it will be another young person who is not afraid to take on the old guys and who has no dirt or political baggage.  

  10. JustMe 10

    Methinks that National are suffering from the Green Eyed Monster syndrome and hence having a 'poll' that supposedly shows how fantastic National is. 

    Most of us know that the mainstream NZ media are well and truly so deep into the NZ National Party pocket that they(the media)may as well live in a quagmire.

    Jacinda in particular has received so much praise, respect, admiration and regard over a long period of time and it highlights to many the obvious fact there is not one current or former National Party politician or former prime minister that has received the same level of attention.

    It surely must really irk National and in particular Simon Bridges that he is being constantly upstaged by a woman who has shown more caring and compassion than any female MP in his Party has ever shown to another human being? 

    National and its prime ministers of the recent past must have thought the ONLY way to achieve respect, admiration, regards etc from others around the world is for National to use NZ taxpayers money on such things as a flag referendum and other vanity projects.  That is National and its prime ministers of the recent past thought they ccould buy supporters etc.

    Maybe buying and bribing others is the way to go for National but it certainly doesn't mean the support will always be there. 

    When all things considered I know I am so proud of Jacinda Ardern and this government. I don't think National will ever achieve much in their lifetime because they resort to jealousy and feeble attempts at Upmanship.  And each time they behave like that it makes me realise they(National)just do not merit votes at the next election. 

     

     

     

    • Grantoc 10.1

      The problem you face Just Me, is that most of NZ disagree with you, so the polls tell us.

    • michelle 10.2

      The same old fools will vote for them (national) just like some of our local body elections we still have some old hasbians with outdated ideas and views 

    • aom 10.3

      …… and let's not forget JustMe, that unlike with Jacinda, the taxpayers had to foot the bill for Key's US TV appearance. Even then, all it did was make him look like a dozy dork.

  11. NZJester 11

    The National Party media shills have jumped on the poll results to post fluff stories about it. MSN, RNZ, Stuff, & News Hub all had links to National and Act could win the next election type stories.

    When the margin of error is listed as 3.1 percentage points on those polls and National are only up 2 percentage points on the poles you know these stories have no real hard numbers behind them.

    One says;

    The age of Jacindamania is over. Brand Ardern has taken its biggest knock yet – and when Labour's magic weapon loses its power, the party does too.

    All that quote on the fact she dropped 3 percentage points in a preferred prime minister pole that has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

    I would be worried if the changes actually exceded the margin of error, but the current shift is not statistically big enough to worry about. 

    • rockape 11.1

      It could also mean National on 50% and labour on 37% In that margins of error dont just go the way you want!

  12. Glenn 12

    NZ First will pick up that 1% once the official campaign starts but Winston has to play nice and not make too many waves until then..

    • michelle 12.1

      and that is what Winstone is doing Glenn he aint dumb he knows what he is up against   and he is waiting he might lose some conservative votes but he will pick some others up i know some of our our Maori whanau always vote for Winstone they trust him more than some of the others even though he runs us down they still vote for him.   

  13. Cantabrian 13

    To see that National Party stooge Ben  Thomas going on about dodgy NZF donations when the Natz have taken thousands upon thousands from China emphasises the lack of balance that TVNZ exhibits. And tame Jack never challenged him of course.

  14. Anne 14

    It’s almost like One News are manufacturing a narrative, but that can’t be right. Right?

    When I saw those numbers earlier this evening I figured something was… not quite right.

    If ever there was evidence that the MSM in general is hopelessly biased this is it! 

    For God's sake Labour use it. Make an ass of them. They deserve it. Nah, they'll do their usual – be their timid selves and let the sods get away with it.

    • michelle 14.1

      don t worry Anne if Labour wont do NZ First will that is the one reason i am happy They are there in this coalition 

  15. Grantoc 15

    The problem you face Just Me, is that most of NZ disagree with you, so the polls tell us.

    • McFlock 15.1

      47% isn't "most". Nor is 50 out of 101.

       

      • michelle 15.1.1

        national still haven't come to terms with MMP and there loss at the last election and they still think because there party got more party votes they should be in power they don't seem to like rules or laws they are too use to changing rules and laws when it suits them but are happy to be punitive to others they are no the sort of people we want to ever run our country again 

    • michelle 15.2

      Grantoc the polls say 47 % nats  and 1.4% act that equals 48% how are they able to form a government on 48%  then they have 3 minor parties with unchanged polling at least that is what it says that is another 3% that equal 51% 

      120 seats is 61 seats is that what you are saying but will they get in 

      Labour @ 40% Greens  @ 7%   NZ First @ 4% equals 51 % 

      what do you think is the most likely option 

      based on what you said grantoc half of our population don't agree with you  can you see how hard it will be for your tory lot to get in so soon after all their fuck ups and lies   

      • te reo putake 15.2.1

        Hi, Michelle. I often fill my idle hours playing with the Electoral Commission's MMP result calculator. What I learned from entering the TV One results is that a party (the Nats in this case) need 47.2% to get 60 seats. It may well be that their result was that or above and TV One rounded down for simplicity's sake. However, they should have said so, because it is confusing at best, outright wrong at worst.

        There is also the slim possibility that ACT pick up a second seat if their party votes gets nearer 2%, meaning the Tories would only need 59 seats to govern.

        https://elections.nz/stats-and-research/mmp-seat-allocation-calculator/

        • Phil 15.2.1.1

          I often fill my idle hours playing with the Electoral Commission's MMP result calculator.

          This should be your tinder bio. Every data nerd in the country would swipe right in a heartbeat. 

          There is also the slim possibility that ACT pick up a second seat if their party votes gets nearer 2%

          Could it also be the case that they're polling sufficiently under 1% for their electorate seat to be an overhang? Then Nat and Lab+Gre both being on 47% would give them 60 seats each in a 121 seat parliament.  

          • te reo putake 15.2.1.1.1

            Good point re: ACT (and tinder for that matter!). If a thousand people are polled, then it’s just 8-12 people determining that ACT is reported as having achieved 1%. On election day, it’s the vote of hundreds of righties who could pick either National or ACT who will decide. If it’s widely felt that National are going to win in a canter then ACT might well pick up an extra seat. If it’s tight, then ACT sympathetic Tories will most likely stick with the Nats just to be safe.

        • Andre 15.2.1.2

          Uh, around 1.2% would give them a klingon on top of Seymour. Just over 2% would give them two klingons plus seymour. ACT party vote would have to drop below about 0.4% for the Epsom rort to become an overhang.

        • michelle 15.2.1.3

          but they haven't counted NZ first who will not  go with national  really they are stretching it lets be honest with soimon at the helm nah! even johns endorsement of his bald god from air nz (luxon) now what does this say about soimon to me this say he (soimon) is fucked 

          • Phil 15.2.1.3.1

            They haven't counted NZF because NZF doesn't have an electorate seat. 

            Northland is a pretty marginal seat all things considered, so maybe a deal with Labour could see Winston sneak in the back door that way, but I can't imagine it's a palatable strategy for most Labour voters. 

  16. David Mac 16

    Moaning about how hard done by I am never really seems to improve my situation.

    Things only seem to take a turn when I put my 'What am I going to do about it' hat on.

    I think the hive need to get better at delivering on promises and superb at telling us about the delivery. Perception is everything.

    I'm fed up with hearing it's somebody else's fault. Nobody else gets that luxury.

    Own it and win.

     

  17. R.P Mcmurphy 17

    just another storm in mutchlys d cup.

     

  18. McFlock 18

    The 101% and seat numbers are examples of reasonable individual assumptions leading to nonsensical results. The figures are rounded, so national could be on 47.4% and act on 0.6% and nats get 60 while act get 1 (Epsom). But the sheer normality of the epsom gift means it's sensible to count Epsom for act, but NZ1 is less likely to get a seat or cross 5% viewed seperately (even if  it's a fair bet they'll get 5% or an electorate seat: they're well practised at coming back againsat expectations).

    Either way it's all breathless contemplation of fuckall change. ODT headline it "Poll shows Nats at highest level since 2017". Should bloody read "poll shows nats highest since the election they lost".

  19. Brian Tregaskin 19

    "It would be great though if the Labour Party, after letting National and their proxies in the media destroy three Opposition Leaders and now try the same shit with an enormously popular Prime Minister could get their act together and come up with a strategy to deal with this."

    +1 Labour will almost certainly lose the next election if they don't come up with a strategy to deal with 

    1:Media setting the narrative 

    2:National facebook attack adds –which worked for Trump —big attack budget for next year

     

  20. Sanctuary 20

    Michael Joseph Savage said "…We might make mistakes but we will make other things too…"

    Labour's "problem" is they are trying to make things and in the modern febrile media environment that means you simply paint a big target on your back for a constant stream of whining, gotcha, fall from grace stories. Kiwibuild is firmly in this mold. No real attempt to discusss what it was trying to do or where it may have failed. Just a procession of reckons and sneers – Hahaha! Loser! GOTCHA! Phil Twyfords fall from grace!

    Don't forget these polls was taken in the immediate aftermath of an all-out right wing punditry pile on over the Labour sex allegations, a quite deliberate campaign orchestrated by National via it's reliable media shills of character assassination that was aimed directly at taking down Jacinda Ardern. 

    I predicted at the time it was the ideal story for the right wing reckons of our pundit class, they could accuse and speculate and ask endless pointless questions without having to get off their comfortable fat arses and interact with anything approaching an evidence based look at the issues facing New Zealand. Instead, they got to indulged in their default settings – anti-Labour, anti-civil society, and a lazy GOTCHA! Jacinda's fall from grace! narrative.

    Given the ambient media hostility to Labour, it's lazy and sensationalist narratives, and the far-right attack shift of National it is clear that the left has to grasp that the coming election is going to be an ugly culture war.  

    • Rapunzel 20.1

      100% agree. A large 18% aren't sure what to think, but it appears, not yet at least, to be "National" despite intense media focus on negative ANZ surveys & as yet unreolved other matters.

    • ScottGN 20.2

      if Labour hadn’t mishandled the sex allegations so badly National and their mates in the media wouldn’t have had nearly as much ammo to throw at Ardern.

      Labour don’t really deserve to be in government they are a bunch of useless amateurs. And things are probably only going to get more difficult in election year as NZFirst starts to really play up.

      • Sanctuary 20.2.1

        Repeating National party talking points to try and frame the discussion merely indicates to me you are troll. Go listen to the Hosk, you'll like that.

        [Could you please stick to the topic/content of the comment and please don’t start troll accusations if you don’t like the answer/reply. Thanks – Incognito]

        • Incognito 20.2.1.1

          See my Moderation note @ 9:41 AM.

        • Unicus 20.2.1.2

          "Natinal Party  Stalkers" ?

        • ScottGN 20.2.1.3

          Me a troll? You don’t know what you’re talking about. I’ve been a member of the Labour Party for years. And I’ve been appalled at how badly the party has handled the sexual assault allegations especially considering we went through the same thing last year with the Youth Camp. National only has ‘talking points’ because Labour screwed this up so badly. 

        • greywarshark 20.2.1.4

          Labour … a bunch of useless amateurs.    I feel that every polly is an amateur.    What would a professional  be like?   Some of the academics I read don't seem to have their heads screwed on properly.    T

          To be fair all pollies are having to deal with the future which they don't know about despite all projections and pillocks who think they do with confidence.   Dominic wotsname in the UK is having to work hard along with fellow plotters to try to keep ahead.   

          It must be fun being CTlimited looking to see if the systems will work to put their Don Quixote in power.    There's money in advanced fortune telling;  do they still use crystal balls or chicken entrails along with computer hacking and other devious machine-oriented information?

  21. mpledger 21

    The 101% isn't really strange – it's a well known effect of rounding – basically more things are getting rounded up then rounded down. 

    Suppose there are 3 parties and 1000 people are asked for their preference and 336 favour the first two parties and 328 favour the 3rd party then

    _______Proportion____%_____% (rounded)

    P1_____336/1000____33.6______34

    P2_____336/1000____33.6______34

    P3_____328/1000____32.8______33

    SUM_____1__________100______101       

  22. John Clover 22

    Two things amuse me about this thread/

    Anybody using the term "Tory" is obviously a way gone  leftie and can/should be ignored.

    That the media is right wing ….. LOL …. at Kiwiblog they say the opposite and from working in it I would personally agree rather from what I have read at KB.

    • solkta 22.1

      from working in it I would personally agree

      Yeh but a way gone Tory like you would think that.

    • Anne 22.2

      That the media is right wing ….. LOL …. at Kiwiblog they say the opposite and from working in it I would personally agree rather from what I have read at KB.

      uggh? 

      Whatever you're trying to say, there's one big difference between Kiwiblog commenters and The Standard commenters. The average IQ levels. At Kb it's around 80 or less. At TS it's above 100 – well above in many cases.

    • Thank goodness we can count even if the media can't.    Basic factchecking absent apparently.  

      Those Tory figures should be ignored!

      • heather Grimwood 22.3.1

        to  greywarshark  at 22.3 : "Those  Tory  figures  should  be  ignored"…indeed  they  should,  Taking  heed  just feeds  their  story-line.  Be  above it  and kill  it in its  track.

        • greywarshark 22.3.1.1

          HG    Yes I try to, but so many keep feeding the b…ggers.   They are like pigeons, they flock and proliferate, and leave a mess of excrement behind.   You notice I feel quite strongly about this!

          • heather Grimwood 22.3.1.1.1

            to  greywarshark at  22.3.1.1:

            Yes,  your  simile  was  well chosen.  I  feel  as  you  do  today  with so  many  unfamiliar  nom-de-plumes  busy.

             

        • Red Blooded One 22.3.1.2

          I wish it was as easy as that, but I fear the Blue Rosetted Wingnuts and the gullible Numbnuts that believe their attacks and lies are controlling the narrative and ignoring them will only give them greater power. 

          • greywarshark 22.3.1.2.1

            Wise point.  And people love the Blue Rosetted Wingnuts and breed them and show them off at special occasions.   I feel they have become endemic or epidemic or something.

    • Unicus 22.4

      Is the Pope a Catholicc –

      Why on earth would a corporate owned news organisation  be anything other than right wing

      Murdoch right wing dogma  has stained media throughout the western world  – including New Zealand 

      • greywarshark 22.4.1

        Blood or tea?   Cake or Die?    Can we have a choice of news organisations? Some are trying.   Support Scoop and regularly take the temperatures of the others – red, temperature rising, energy – blue, going cold, zombie-like.

    • John. I've also worked in the media on and off for many years and my takeaway is that most media folk reflect the the rest of the country. That is, the majority are either vote Labour or Nat and the rest vote for smaller parties. However, almost every journo I've ever met tries to report news neutrally. Opinion pieces are another matter, obviously.

      However, the key question is not the staff, it's the owners. One of the principles of the fourth estate has been that there has to be a separation between the views of the owner and the views of the outlet. ie, the paper, radio station, TV station etc. should have its own house style and its own independent vision and the owner should not interfere editorially.

      This separation has been blurred in recent decades, most obviously through the efforts of Rupert Murdoch. Anybody working for a News Corp/Fox outlet knows full well that they are not to bag any other part of the empire and they should cross promote wherever possible.

      Re: Tory. It's still a relevant word and if you wish to ignore people who use it, that is your choice. But it's an odd complaint to make given that you are on a left wing site and have chosen to engage rather than ignore. Cheers, TRP.

       

      • John Clover 22.5.1

        Thank you TRP for that interesting comment on my objection to the four letter word in question ,,,,BUTI think it is irrelvent to NZ and describes a section of  the English political life.

        As for the relative IQ of correspondents to the two blogs, I might tend to agree but am aware of self-delusion 🙂

  23. Dukeofurl 23

    NZ Herald headline 

    "Latest political poll: National surges to highest level since 2017"

    Surge isnt a 2% rise . Thats margin of error adjustment.

    Just as well then the media is left wing

  24. Adrian 24

    Ïs it true that the headline writers, because headlines are not nesseccarily written by the reporter or opinionator, for one or both of the main rags are based in Australia. 

    I recall a complaint from a journo a few year ago about this issue as I think the  sub editors are there too.

    • No not at all do Australian owners influence the news or headlines.   There are of course Australian connections here who keep in touch with home.    And that is facilitated by their employers, for instance they are flown home each night in time for dinner and returned early in the morning.   The time differences do make a complication, and there is thought of these being altered, to bring NZ into line with eastern Australia.

      NZ must make changes so it can attract the best in their field in the world.   Some investors from overseas do not like the Daylight Saving Time and want that abolished to put NZ into a more suitable time zone appropriate to where their home investments are.

      /not all sarc

  25. Bollix!- what are you all panicking about?

    The ChiNational party doesnt have a show of winning the next election. Not a snowballs.

    Relax.

    Dad’s Army: DON’T PANIC (supercut) – YouTube

    • IU think that anyone who watches that Don't Panic clip should take its message seriously, and sit down and have a cup of tea.   To keep on would result in madness for sure.   It's too OTT.   I liked that little guy, in fact the whole thing.

  26. swordfish 26

     

    A Few Stats:

    Intending Party Vote

    Colmar Brunton Polls (since 2017 GE)

     

                                           Lab      Govt             Nat       Oppo          Lead

     

    29 Nov – 5 Dec 2017      39         51                46          46           Govt + 5

    10–14 Feb 2018              48         56                43          44           Govt + 12

    7–11 Apr 2018                43         54               44           44          Govt + 10

    19–23 May 2018            43          52               45           46          Govt + 6

    28 Jul – 1 Aug 2018.      42           53               45          46          Govt + 7

    15–19 Oct 2018              45           57              43           43          Govt + 14

    24–28 Nov 2018             43           52               46           47         Govt + 5

    9–13 Feb 2019               45           54                42           43         Govt + 11

    6–10 Apr 2019              48           58                40            40        Govt + 18

    4–8 Jun 2019                 42           53               44             44        Govt + 8

    20–24 Jul 2019              43           52               45             46        Govt + 6

    5-9 Oct 2019                  40           51              47              48        Govt + 3

     

    Oct 2019 CB vs RR

    CB 5-9 Oct 2019            40           51              47              48        Govt + 3

    RR 2-9 Oct 2019            42          52              44               45        Govt + 7

     

     

    Preferred PM

    Colmar Brunton Polls (since 2017 GE)

     

                                           Ardern    Bridges/English   Collins    Peters  PM Lead

     

    29 Nov – 5 Dec 2017      37               28 (E)                   –                5           + 9

    10–14 Feb 2018              41              20 (E)                     –               4           + 21

    7–11 Apr 2018                37              10 (B)                   2                5           + 27

    19–23 May 2018             41              12                         2                4            + 29

    28 Jul – 1 Aug 2018        40              10                        2                5             + 30

    15–19 Oct 2018               42               7                         5                4             + 35

    24–28 Nov 2018              39               7                         6                4              + 32

    9–13 Feb 2019                44                6                         6                 3            + 38

    6–10 Apr 2019                51                5                         5                 3            + 46

    4–8 Jun 2019                   45                5                        6                  5           + 40

    20–24 Jul 2019                41                6                        6                  2            + 35

    5-9 Oct 2019                    38                9                        5                   4           + 29

     

    Oct 2019 CB vs RR

    CB 5-9 Oct 2019                38                9                        5                   4          + 29

    RR 2-9 Oct 2019                38                7                        5                   ?           + 31

    • lprent 26.1

      Yeah – the usual bouncing around in the government / opposition (and movement within each)
      Usual post-xmas buzz up for the government while summer lasts.

      Looking through that October 2018 is the only major outlier (?)

      But overall, that National killed any real political partner party (subservient parties like Act really don’t count) is just killing National. Probably will for a few elections yet.

      They might actually be the biggest party and not gain the government benches for anything up to a decade. God knows it took a while to convince the rest of Labour that MMP required real coalition parties and that meant moderate levels of cooperation rather than full blown competition.

      I suspect that National will really have an even bigger problem learning that. Especially since they have managed to make the economic centre-left (ie labour, greens and even NZF) sprawl all over the centre with their non-economic policies.

      Meanwhile the remaining people to the ‘left’ of Labour and the Greens are just about as daft as ever. Slagging off every other centre and left party, including other micro parties of the left will never build a party that is capable of getting into parliament. Not just with a 5% threshold, but even with a 3% or even a 2% threshold if we went there.

      Cooperation between people of differing beliefs is what builds political parties. Recognising and being tolerant of differences between political parties is what builds coalitions.

      Being fractious enough to be party of one (as the left onesies tend to be) is to be relegated to just being a useless critic 😈

      • Phil 26.1.1

        They might actually be the biggest party and not gain the government benches for anything up to a decade.

        Assuming this poll is accurate (insert whatever usual statistical caution, MoE, or only-poll-that-matters cliche you like) then we're about a 1% movement away from a 3-party parliament and National being able to govern alone while Labour and the Greens sit in opposition.

        • lprent 26.1.1.1

          Sure that could happen – literally anything is possible. However it seems to me to be highly unlikely. 

          I think that the last time parliament was won on the popular vote to a single party with more than 50% was nearly 70 years ago in 1951. That was on the back of a massive scare campaign where the government effectively controlled most of the media directly or indirectly. 

          https://elections.nz/democracy-in-nz/historical-events/18901993-general-elections

          National actually got 47+% in 2011 and 2014. They went up from the 44+% in 2008 by cannibalising their support parties. Now they are left with a subservient Act and having to convince Winston and NZ First.

          I'd expect that if National look like they're going to get over 50%, then there will be a heightened interest in voting by those who are usually too lackadaisical to vote.

          The problem with that is that NZ First really doesn't want to die, and there are a awful lot of National supporter would prefer to be in opposition to cooperating with NZ First – such is the scare campaigns that National have been running with their sheeple over the years.

          • John Clover 26.1.1.1.1

            I doubt if David Farrar would agree with me that polls largely depend on the people they poll.   For a period I was polled by one and at that time I thought Winston Peters was of value and after a period my wife stopped buying from the polling site and my contributions stopped …. and Winston stopped leading the polls … you may understand my lack of belief in the accuracy of polls 🙂

  27. swordfish 27

    Latest Colmar Brunton compared with Colmar Brunton conducted at same point (24 months) following 1999 Election:

                                 Lab       Govt             Nat       Oppo            Lead

    Nov 2001              44           48                 40           45             Govt + 3

    Oct 2019               40           51                 47            48            Govt + 3

     

                                 Clark / Ardern    English / Bridges        PM Lead

    Nov 2001                       40                           19                          + 21

    Oct 2019                        38                             9                          + 29
     
    .
    (Note: English in 2001)
     

  28. Lettuce 28

    Who's Simon Luxon?

  29. observer 29

    Good on One News (or Colmar Brunton):

    I made this comment yesterday about approval ratings: Link.

    Swordfish has said more, in greater depth. And behold … it came to pass. They are now including positive/negative ratings on leaders in their polling.

    As their report stated, this is common practice overseas. NZ is just catching up. It addresses the old problem of "missing voters" in preferred PM ratings: that's why it is a poor indicator (National voters who don't say "Bridges" but don't say any other names either, like Labour voters who didn't say Goff or Cunliffe etc, are still likely to go out and vote for the party).

    Whereas research suggests a clearer link between voter behaviour and net positive/negatives. So it's good to have this measure included in the polling from now on.

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    Oh dear. Extraordinary interview on PM with Andrew Bridgen and @EvanHD just now. Bridgen was defending Jacob Rees Mogg’s Grenfell comments. Evan asked him if JRM had meant to say he would have left ...
    1 week ago
  • Too Late To Change Capitalism’s Flightpath?
    Collision Course? In conditions of ideological white-out, the international bankers’ “Woop-Woop! Pull Up!” warning may have come too late to save global capitalism.WHAT DOES IT MEAN when international bankers are more willing to embrace radical solutions than our politicians and their electors? At both the International Monetary Fund and the ...
    1 week ago
  • Whooping cough vaccine works well despite its imperfections
    Pertussis (whooping cough) is a conundrum. It is a disease that was described hundreds of years ago and the bacteria that causes it (Bordetella pertussis) isolated in 1906. We have had vaccines for about 80 years but this disease is defiant in the face of human immunity. I wanted to ...
    SciBlogsBy Helen Petousis Harris
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Passed
    The Zero Carbon Bill has just passed its third reading, uanimously. In the end, National supported it - but we all know they'll turn around and gut it the moment they regain power. Meanwhile, I guess ACT's David Seymour didn't even bother to show up. I am on record as ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Retailing of vaping products – New NZ Research
    Dr Lindsay Robertson, Dr Jerram Bateman, Professor Janet Hoek Members of the public health community hold divergent views on how access to vaping products or electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) products should be arranged. Some believe ENDS should be as widely available as smoked tobacco and argue for liberal ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    1 week ago
  • Justice for Bomber
    When the Police were trying to cover up for the National Party over Dirty Politics, they went all-in with their abuses of power. They illegally search Nicky Hager's house, violating his journalistic privilege and invading his privacy. They unlawfully acquired Hager's bank records. They did the same to left-wing blogger ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Britain’s climate tyranny was unlawful
    Last month, in response to a wave of protests by Extinction Rebellion, the British government purported to ban their protests from the whole of London. It was a significant interference with the freedoms of expression and assembly, and another sign of the country's decline into tyranny. But now, a court ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • More crime from the spies
    Last year, the Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security reported on significant problems with the intelligence warrant system. While they were unwilling to declare any warrant "irregular" (meaning unlawful) due to the recent law change, they were also not willing to give the system a clean bill of health. Now, they've ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Vaccination, compulsion, and paternalism for the lower orders
    The National Party has come out in support of encouraging greater vaccination uptake. But it sure isn’t the way I’d do it. National’s suggested docking the benefits of those on benefit whose kids aren’t keeping up with their vaccinations. Some in National have suggested extending that to payments under Working ...
    SciBlogsBy Eric Crampton
    1 week ago
  • Global Protests Rage On: But Slogans Are Not Plans.
    Feeding The Flames: It is simply not enough to demand an end to “corruption”, or “inequality”, or the overbearing influence of the authorities in Beijing. These are just “lowest common denominator” demands: the sort of slogans that pull people onto the streets. They are not a plan.WHERE’S THE PLAN? Across ...
    1 week ago
  • 11,000 employed under Labour
    The labour market statistics have been released, and unemployment has risen to 4.2%. There are 115,000 unemployed - 11,000 fewer than when Labour took office. In that time the minimum wage has gone up by $2 an hour, which shows that the right's fears about increases causing unemployment are simply ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Boycott this democratic fraud
    The Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Committee has called for submissions on Andrew Little's tyrannical Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders) Bill. Normally I encourage participation in the democratic process. I am not doing so in this case. Instead, I encourage all of you to boycott this submissions process, and to post ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Why Mars is cold despite an atmosphere of mostly carbon dioxide
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz If tiny concentrations of carbon dioxide can hold enough heat ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Ban private jets
    Aviation is one of the fastest growing sources of greenhouse gas emissions, and within it, one of the fastest sources is elite travel: billionaires flitting around the world in their private jets, spewing excessive pollution into the atmosphere just so they can avoid mixing with us dirty peasants. But in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Untold Suffering
    That's what we face if we don't stop climate change, according to a warning from 11,000 scientists:The world’s people face “untold suffering due to the climate crisis” unless there are major transformations to global society, according to a stark warning from more than 11,000 scientists. “We declare clearly and unequivocally ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The left and violent misogyny
    by Phil Duncan Here’s just a few of the kind of threats issued day in and day out against gender-critical women – feminists, marxists, etc – overwhelmingly by MEN (albeit men identifying as women). “Kill all Terfs”. “Shoot a Terf today”. “All terfs deserve to be shot in the head”. ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Imperialism and the iPhone
    This is the third of the synopses of parts of the opening chapter of John Smith’s Imperialism in the 21st Century (New York, Monthly Review Press, 2016). The synopsis and commentary below is written by Phil Duncan. Unlike the humble cup of coffee and t-shirt that we looked at in ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • The freshwater mussel housing crisis: eviction by invasive weeds?
    Tom Moore Traditionally a food source and cutting tool, freshwater mussels/kākahi are now widely valued as water filters that help clean our waterbodies and maintain ecosystem health throughout Aotearoa. The improvement they provide in water quality can make it easier for other animals to live in streams and rivers, as ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Back it up Luxon: endorsing the destructive past is not actually the way forward
    And to think he gave all the potential goodwill away with that moronic, cult-like statement (repeated ad nauseam by many National hardliners) that Key is quite simply “the greatest PM we ever had”… Installation complete: this was nothing ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    2 weeks ago
  • Good riddance
    National MP and former Conservation Minister Maggie Barry will not seek re-election next year. Good riddance. Because in case anyone has forgotten, barry is a bullying thug who terrorised both public servants and fellow MPs. She is one of the people who makes Parliament a toxic workplace, and our country ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: D-Day
    The Zero Carbon Bill is back in the House today for its second reading. While this isn't the final stage, its still effectively D-Day for the bill. Because today, at around 5pm, is when we're going to find out if it has a majority, whether National will support it or ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Winston is right
    Winston Peters is in court today, suing a bunch of former Minister and civil servants over their pre-election leak of his superannuation repayment. He's characterised the leak as malicious, and said that it is repugnant that his information was passed on to Ministers to use for political advantage. And he's ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Media impartiality
    Sky's economics editor, Ed Conway has posted a Twitter thread responding to a claim that - as far as I can see - Labour never made:
    Are NHS operation cancellations at an all-time high? That's the impression you might have been left with if you read this story from the ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Finish what’s on your plate
    Murray Cox Do I have to finish my favourite genome? That’s an often-asked question. Geneticists generally strive to produce high-quality genomes that sequence every last gene, making full use of the state-of-the-art technologies coming on stream. Sequencing DNA means determining the order of the four chemical building blocks – called ...
    SciBlogsBy Genomics Aotearoa
    2 weeks ago
  • Gainful Employment: A Cautionary Tale.
    Transformative Politics: The idea is to turn each recipient into an unwitting accomplice in their own transformation. From interested observer to hyped-up activist, sharing our messages promiscuously with ‘friends’. You’ll be part of an ever-expanding circulatory system, Jennifer, for the ideas that will win us the election.”JENNIFER SKITTERED her chair ...
    2 weeks ago
  • New Zealand should not fund bigotry
    Two years ago, the Cook Islands government announced that it was planning to join the civilised world and decriminalise consensual homosexual sex between men. Now, they've reversed their position, and decided to criminalise lesbians into the bargain:Two years ago, in a step welcomed by many people including the gay and ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • New Fisk
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • More tyranny in Australia
    The boycott is a fundamental tool of protest. By choosing who we buy from, we can send a message, and hopefully change corporate behaviour. Historically, boycotts have been effective, for example over apartheid in South Africa and Israel, in forcing divestment from Myanmar, and in ending bus segregation in the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Submission for rationality and science against the assaults of pre-modernism and post-modernism
    Jan Rivers spoke at the Abortion Legislation Select Committee in favour of the bill, but in opposition to calls from other submitters to exchange the word ‘woman’ for ‘person’ throughout the bill. Jan is a supporter of the feminist group Speak Up For Women and has recently written an excellent ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • My loyal readership of … Cam girls and Pornbots?
    I checked my traffic stats:I was intrigued by 'monica29' - who was this very dedicated individual?  I clicked on the link, to be greeted with ...Ho, hum.Spreadin' the word, spreadin' the word.  Doesn't matter who hears it, as long as it gets out there. ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Worth repeating forever
    There have been three polls since the election was announced, and I will shamelessly steal YouGov / UK Polling Report's Anthony Wells' summary of them:Survation – CON 34%, LAB 26%, LDEM 19%, BREX 12%, GRN 1% Ipsos MORI – CON 41%, LAB 24%, LDEM 20%, BREX 7%, GRN 3% YouGov ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Lutte Ouvriere on the explosion in Chile
    The following article is translated from Lutte Ouvrière, the weekly newspaper of the organisation usually known by the same name in France. When, for the second time this year, Chilean President Piñera announced an increase in the price of Metro tickets from 800 to 830 pesos, students in the high ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago

  • Kiwis to have their say on End of Life Choice
    Jenny Marcroft MP, Spokesperson for Health New Zealand First backs the public to decide on the End of Life Choice Bill via a referendum at the 2020 General Election. The Bill, with New Zealand First’s referendum provision incorporated, passed its final reading in Parliament this evening. New Zealand First Spokesperson for ...
    2 days ago
  • Addressing miscarriages of justice
    Darroch Ball, Spokesperson for Justice New Zealand First is proud that a key Coalition Agreement commitment which will provide for a more transparent and effective criminal justice system has been realised. Legislation to establish the Criminal Cases Review Commission, an independent body focused on identifying and responding to possible miscarriages of ...
    3 days ago
  • Week That Was: Historic action on climate change
    "Today we have made a choice that will leave a legacy... I hope that means that future generations will see that we, in New Zealand, were on the right side of history." - Jacinda Ardern, Third Reading of the Zero Carbon Bill ...
    1 week ago
  • Tax-free deployments for Kiwi troops
    Darroch Ball, New Zealand First List MP A Member’s bill has been proposed that would provide income tax exemptions for all New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) personnel while on operational deployment overseas. The Income Tax (Exemption for Salary or Wages of NZDF Members on Active Deployment) Amendment Bill proposed by New Zealand First ...
    1 week ago
  • A balanced Zero Carbon Bill passed
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, New Zealand First Leader New Zealand First is proud to have brought common sense to the Climate Change Response (Zero Carbon) Amendment Bill, which passed its final reading in Parliament today. Party Leader Rt Hon Winston Peters says months of hard work went into negotiating a balanced ...
    1 week ago
  • Paramedics’ status to be recognised
    Jenny Marcroft MP, Spokesperson for Health New Zealand First has listened to calls to recognise paramedics as registered health professionals under the Health Practitioners’ Competence Assurance Act (the Act). Today, the Coalition Government announced plans for paramedics to be registered as health practitioners under the Act, and the establishment of a ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Week That Was: 2,000 teachers in two years
    We began the week by commemorating the New Zealand Wars and celebrating a major increase in the number of teachers. Then, we were busy supporting offenders into work and getting our rail back on track after years of underinvestment. And that's just the start! ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Winning an election one conversation at a time
    In October I was sworn in as the Mayor of Lower Hutt. It’s the privilege of my life to serve Hutt people as their Mayor. There is something really special to be able to serve the community where I was raised, and where I live.   ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Closer cooperation with Korean horse racing industry
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister for Racing Racing Minister Winston Peters met with Korea Racing Authority Chairperson Nak Soon Kim in Seoul today to discuss closer cooperation between the New Zealand and Korean horse racing industries. As part of the visit to the Seoul Racecourse, Mr Peters witnessed ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Otago to lead digital creativity
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) is investing $10 million to establish Otago as the centre of New Zealand’s creative digital industry over the next ten years, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones announced today. “The initiative will bring us closer to the vision of ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Young Otago students encouraged to take on forestry careers
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF)’s skills and employment programme will help young Otago people into long-term forestry careers, Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones announced today. Te Ara Mahi will invest $63,000 in the 2020 school year to support eight 17 and 18 ...
    2 weeks ago
  • PGF backing Dunedin’s waterfront ambitions
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) will support local plans to revitalise and stimulate economic development opportunities in Otago, Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones has announced. The four Regional Economic Development Ministers have approved an in-principle investment of $19.9 million towards the region’s ...
    2 weeks ago
  • M. Bovis eradication progress welcomed
    Mark Patterson, Spokesperson for Primary Industries New Zealand First is pleased to have received the Technical Advisory Group (TAG) report on the Coalition Government’s Mycoplasma bovis eradication efforts, which shows significant progress in the fight against the disease. New Zealand First Spokesperson for Primary Industries, Mark Patterson, says the report’s findings ...
    2 weeks ago
  • PGF boosts Otago’s engineering and manufacturing sector
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development Hon David Parker, Minister for Trade and Export Growth The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) is investing to support economic growth opportunities for Otago’s engineering and manufacturing sectors, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones and Trade and Export Minister David Parker announced today. Almost $20 million ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Minister Peters discusses Pacific challenges and denuclearisation in Seoul
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Foreign Affairs Foreign Minister Winston Peters and his South Korean counterpart, Kang Kyung-wha, discussed in Seoul today opportunities to work more closely in the Pacific and the situation on the Korean Peninsula. Mr Peters and Minister Kang confirmed New Zealand and the ...
    2 weeks ago
  • PGF supports high speed broadband for marae at Parihaka Pa
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development  Hon Nanaia Mahuta, Minister for Māori Development The three marae in the historic Parihaka Pa complex in Taranaki have been upgraded to high speed broadband with the support of the Provincial Growth Fund (PGF), Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones announced today. “Connecting the ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Advancing Pacific Partnerships 2019 launched
    Hon Ron Mark, Minister of Defence Minister of Defence Ron Mark will today launch the Advancing Pacific Partnerships 2019 Defence Assessment  during a speech at Te Papa.  The Assessment outlines how Defence will partner with our Pacific Island neighbours and invest in Pacific regional security architecture. The Plan aligns with the Coalition ...
    3 weeks ago
  • PGF funding could transform Gisborne company into “beacon of employment” in two years
    A new Provincial Growth Fund investment could create about 80 new jobs in Gisborne over the next two years, turning a local small business into a “beacon of employment” in the process. Regional Economic Development Parliamentary Under-Secretary Fletcher Tabuteau said the PGF’s Te Ara Mahi funding stream would provide $1.6m ...
    3 weeks ago

  • Modern emergency care for Queenstown area
    ew, modern emergency department and outpatient facilities at Queenstown’s Lakes District Hospital mean better emergency care for the growing tourist mecca’s visitors and locals, says Health Minister David Clark. Today Dr Clark officially opened the hospital’s redeveloped Emergency Department and Outpatient facilities. The new facilities include: •    An extended Emergency Department ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • Contraception important for New Zealanders
    Associate Health Minister Julie Anne Genter says today’s release of sexual and reproductive health data reinforces the significance of the Government’s commitment to providing free or very low-cost contraception. The Ministry of Health today published statistics from the Ministry of Health’s 2014/15 Health Survey. “It is important people can make ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    20 hours ago
  • NZ medical staff and measles vaccines going to Samoa
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced that at the request of the Samoan Government, New Zealand will be providing further support to Samoa as it faces a worsening measles outbreak. “In response to a request from the people of Samoa, New Zealand is providing 3000 measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    24 hours ago
  • Disability Action Plan 2019 – 2023
    “The new Disability Action Plan 2019–2023 moves us towards the inclusive and accessible New Zealand that this government has committed to,” Minister for Disability Issues Carmel Sepuloni announced today.  “The Action Plan was designed by disabled people, their family and supporters, the disability sector and government agencies. It will ensure ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Joint Statement – Third Singapore-New Zealand Defence Ministers’ Meeting
    Third Singapore-New Zealand Defence Ministers’ Meeting 14 November 2019 Joint Statement 1. Defence Ministers Ron Mark and Dr Ng Eng Hen today conducted their third annual Singapore-New Zealand Defence Ministers’ Meeting in Singapore. 2. Building on the Enhanced Partnership signed between both countries in May this year, this annual meeting ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Sexual Violence Legislation Bill has its first reading
    A Bill to improve the court system’s response to sexual violence has passed its first reading in Parliament today. Justice Minister Andrew Little says the Sexual Violence Legislation Bill will reduce the trauma sexual violence complainants experience in court, while maintaining defendants’ fundamental rights and making sure the trial process ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Streamlined business invoicing a step closer
    Streamlined payment practices are a step closer for Kiwi businesses with the formal launch of New Zealand’s e-Invoicing framework. Small Business Minister Stuart Nash says the government has now established the structure to enable automated and direct data exchange between the accounting systems of buyers and sellers. “The move to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • More frontline biosecurity officers protecting NZ
    Another 51 quarantine officers and four new biosecurity detector dog teams will help protect New Zealand from invasive pests and diseases this summer, says Biosecurity Minister Damien O’Connor. “The Government is delivering on its commitment to strengthen New Zealand’s biosecurity system and support our valuable primary sector “New Zealand’s flora, fauna ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • NZ space economy worth $1.69 billion
    A new report has found New Zealand’s space sector contributed $1.69 billion to the economy in the last financial year and employs 12,000 people, Minister for Economic Development Phil Twyford announced today. The report by Deloitte was commissioned by the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment and shows New Zealand ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • New Chair for Royal Commission into Abuse
    Judge Coral Shaw has been appointed as the new Chair of the Royal Commission into Historical Abuse in State Care and in the Care of Faith-based Institutions, Internal Affairs Minister Tracey Martin announced today. "Judge Shaw, who is currently one of the inquiry commissioners, is extremely well qualified for the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Better mental health facilities for Palmerston North
    The Government has confirmed its third major mental health facility upgrade since the Budget, this time at Palmerston North Hospital. The Prime Minister and Health Minister today visited MidCentral DHB to announce that $30 million has been allocated to upgrade its acute mental health facility. It follows earlier announcements in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Bowel Screening hits halfway point
    The roll out of the National Bowel Screening Programme has reached the halfway mark, with 10 out of 20 District Health Boards now part of the programme. MidCentral DHB, which covers Palmerston North, Manawatu and surrounding districts, this week became the latest to DHB to offer free bowel screening to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • More vaccines for meningococcal disease
    The Government welcomes PHARMAC’s decision to fund a vaccine to protect young people from meningococcal disease from 1 December this year. “Meningococcal disease is a serious threat which people at higher risk should be protected from,” says Associate Health Minister Julie Anne Genter. “The combined pharmaceutical budget was increased by ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Fisheries innovation projects supported
    Groups involved with innovative fisheries research projects are encouraged to apply for government support in the latest funding round from the Sustainable Food and Fibre Futures programme. Fisheries Minister Stuart Nash says the SFF Futures funding is designed to be flexible enough to support small or large projects across a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government fixes culturally arranged marriage visa issue
    The Government has fixed an issue affecting how Immigration New Zealand has processed visa applications for culturally arranged marriages, which will now see a consistent process applied which ensures people with legitimate arranged marriages can visit New Zealand while also preventing any rorting of the system. Earlier this year Immigration ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Extension for Royal Commission into Mosque attacks
    The Royal Commission into the Attacks on Christchurch Mosques will report back on 30 April 2020 to give it more time to hear submissions and consider information, Internal Affairs Minister Tracey Martin announced today. The Royal Commission was originally scheduled to report back to Government by 10 December 2019. “There has ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Terrorism and Trade on agenda as Foreign Minister visits the United States
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters will travel to Washington DC today to attend a ministerial meeting focused on defeating ISIS, and to continue pursuing New Zealand’s trade opportunities. Mr Peters will participate in a meeting of Foreign and Defence Ministers from key countries contributing to the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Hoiho get extra support alongside 168 community conservation groups backing nature
    The recently crowned Bird of the Year, the hoiho/yellow eyed penguin, is getting a much needed helping hand alongside more than 168 other community conservation projects announced Minister for Conservation Eugenie Sage today. 168 community conservation projects throughout New Zealand are benefiting from $8 million in government grants, including $500,000 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New safety measures for modified pistols
    Controls on assault rifles and semi-automatic firearms are to be broadened to include some types of pistols, under changes to a bill currently making its way through Parliament. Police Minister Stuart Nash has tabled a Supplementary Order Paper to the Arms Legislation Bill, which is currently before a Select Committee ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Minister of Defence to visit Singapore and Thailand
    Minister of Defence Ron Mark will travel to Singapore today to conduct a counterpart visit and to co-chair the third annual Singapore-New Zealand Defence Ministers’ Meeting with his counterpart, Minister for Defence Dr Ng Eng Hen. “Singapore is one of our most important defence partners in the region, and our ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Future secured for Salisbury School
    Nelson’s Salisbury School is to be rebuilt, creating a modern and suitable learning environment for students at the residential special school, Education Minister Chris Hipkins and Associate Education Minister Tracey Martin announced today. The school for girls aged 8-15, in Richmond, was earmarked for closure by National until the process ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Resource management reform options released
    The panel undertaking a comprehensive review of the Resource Management Act has identified the main issues to be addressed and options for reform and is calling for feedback to inform its final report.  In July the Government announced the comprehensive review of the resource management system, including the RMA - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Criminal Cases Review Commission established
    An important safety valve has been added to New Zealand’s criminal justice system with the third reading of the Criminal Cases Review Commission Bill today. The Criminal Cases Review Commission (CCRC) will investigate claimed miscarriages of justice. “We’ve seen how our justice system can very occasionally get things spectacularly wrong, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Racing Industry destined to be on-track
    Racing Minister Winston Peters welcomes the tabling of the Racing Industry Transition Agency (RITA) 2019 Annual Report in Parliament today. He says the 2019 Annual Report marks the point when New Zealand’s racing industry’s decline was arrested and a turnaround started. RITA’s 2019 Annual Report recorded an industry net profit ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New Zealand firefighter support to Queensland
    The New Zealand Government is today sending 21 firefighters to help fight the ongoing catastrophic Australian bushfires. “The fires in Australia are in some of the toughest, most challenging conditions ever,” says Internal Affairs Minister Tracey Martin.  “As of yesterday morning, there were 100 active bushfire-related incidents across Queensland and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Supporting all schools to succeed
      More frontline support for schools through a new education agency, as part of a redesigned Ministry of Education More support for principals and school boards including through a new centre of leadership and local leadership advisor roles New independent disputes panels for parents and students Management of school property ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Reform to support better outcomes for Māori learners and whānau
    The Government’s reform of the Tomorrow’s Schools system is a watershed moment in education and an opportunity to create meaningful change for ākonga Māori and their whānau, Associate Education Minister Kelvin Davis said today. “Last year through Kōrero Mātauranga | Education Conversation, Māori teachers, parents, ākonga, whānau, hapū and iwi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Infrastructure pipeline growing
    Infrastructure Minister is welcoming the first of many updated project pipelines from the newly established New Zealand Infrastructure Commission today. The New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Te Waihanga, has released an expanded pipeline of major capital projects – another crucial step towards delivering better infrastructure outcomes. “The first iteration of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Tighter firearms law to further improve safety
    Tougher gun laws designed to improve public safety through firearms prohibition orders are proposed in a new document released for public input. Police Minister Stuart Nash says firearms prohibition orders (FPOs) would give new powers to Police to ensure high-risk individuals come nowhere near firearms. “We have already prohibited the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • New TVNZ chair & directors confirmed
    Andy Coupe has been confirmed as TVNZ’s new Board Chair. “Mr Coupe has strong commercial and capital markets experience and TVNZ has benefited from his technical knowledge of business and finance, as well as his extensive governance experience,” the Minister of Broadcasting, Communications and Digital Media Kris Faafoi said.  Andy ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Hutt Road cycle path officially opened
    Associate Minister of Transport Julie Anne Genter today officially opened a separated pathway, following the completion of the Kaiwharawhara Stream bridge, which will improve safety for cyclists and pedestrians along Hutt Road.  The $6.8m Hutt Road project provides a separated path for cycling and pedestrians, the replacement of informal parking ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Announcement of new Ambassador to Russia
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters today announced the appointment of career diplomat Si’alei van Toor as New Zealand’s next Ambassador to Russia. “I’m pleased to appoint Ms van Toor to this position. She brings a wealth of experience to the role having previously served as Senior Trade Adviser to the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update
    The Treasury’s 2019 Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) will be released on Wednesday December 11, Finance Minister Grant Robertson says. The Coalition Government will publish the 2020 Budget Policy Statement at the same time, outlining the priorities for Budget 2020. Further details on arrangements for the release will ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Giving a Boost to Kiwi small businesses
    A new initiative to better support small businesses through hands-on mentoring and advice has been launched by the Minister for Small Business. The first event in the Kiwi Business Boost series of regional workshops and online tools has been launched in Wairoa by Stuart Nash. “The Business Boost initiative combines ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Nearly three quarters of Rolleston connected to UFB
    The latest Quarterly Connectivity Report shows that more and more New Zealanders are moving to Ultra-fast Broadband (UFB), with Rolleston having the highest uptake at 74 per cent, as at the end of September. “This means that nearly three quarters of Rolleston’s households and businesses have moved to ultra-fast services. ...
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    1 week ago
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