Hmmm, there's another question, what chances would an Asian party have of getting 5%?
I wonder what chance there would be of National giving Kenneth Wang a free ride in a Botany by-election in order to avoid the Hide/Epsom dilemma. Kenneth Wang took the second-highest number of electorate votes for an ACT candidate at the last election ...
It's a bit of a waste to be an independent in an MMP system. Why not bring a friend or two in?
I actually think McCarten will come fourth.
I think Dunne's chances are better than Hide's. I don't think the voters will want to risk a three-way split awarding Chauvel the seat again.
If we say that the Maori Party will win all of the Maori electorates, on those numbers Labour/Greens/Maori Party/Peter Dunne would have the numbers for government. I\'m starting to think looking at those numbers that it won\'t be Labour who will need New ...
And this is the flaw in your thinking. Electorate candidates are not rejected if they do not win their electorate, someone else just merely wins more votes, and that can often be based on the political climate in that electorate. Would Phil Goff win Clutha...
Litea Ah Hoi would be an interesting choice. She\'s very popular in Eastern Porirua and would ensure victory in Mana, but would she be too loose a cannon for Goff? I think not selecting a Pacific Island candidate runs the risk of a low voter turnout from ...
I agree. Mana's as safe for Labour as the Pasifika voter turnout, given that the Whitby, Papakowhai, Paremata, Plimmerton, Camborne, Pauatahanui and Pukerua Bay vote will be shipped National's way.
Now I'm not John Key's biggest fan, but tell the full story guys-a pizza shop in Beijing being owned and operated by a NEW ZEALANDER. Such a venture would've been unimaginable 20 years ago, and the opening of this store is quite symbolic of the changes ...
Metiria Turei should gun for this seat in my opinion.
The "other" margin has hovered between the 1 and 2% mark for past Colmar Brunton polls, so New Zealand First will be sitting at between 3.5 and 4.5% in that poll.
Increasing benefits to factor in the rising cost of tobacco taxes sorta defeats the purpose of raising tobacco taxes, doesn't it.
If Labour doesn't win the next election, Kelvin Davis should be the next Labour leader. Someone like Shane Jones is far too abrasive. Give him a safe general electorate, stat.
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