US Election 2020
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- Date published:
6:36 pm, November 3rd, 2020 - 137 comments
Categories: us politics -
Tags: US election 2020
Last polls close 1am EST Weds 5 Nov, which is 7pm NZT Weds 5 Nov.
Fivethirtyeight have the closing times for all states,
There’s a good chance we won’t know who won the presidential election on election night. More people than ever are voting by mail this year due to the pandemic, and mail ballots take longer to count than ballots cast at polling places. But because each state has its own rules for how votes are counted and reported, some will report results sooner than others. Those disparate rules may also make initial returns misleading: The margins in some states may shift toward Democrats as mail ballots (which are overwhelmingly cast by Democrats) are counted, while states that release mail ballots first may experience a shift toward Republicans as Election Day votes are tallied.
Here’s a general picture of how much of the vote we expect to be counted on election night in all 50 states and Washington, D.C. If you click on a given state, it’ll take you to a more detailed description of when to expect results and whether to expect a red or blue shift in the vote count.
NZT timeline from TNVZ journo @lukeappleby
Basically – a result could be called by a major US news outlet any time from 5pm NZT
Mobile version (thanks Fitz Bunny)
Coverage
The Guardian’s US Election page and live update page
NYT live updates (free login)
Aljazeera election pages and info graphic explainer
270toWin (nonpartisan American political website that projects who will win United States presidential elections)
Rachel Maddow on twitter
Democracy Now election pages and livestream
Post any addition links in comments (twitter follows would be good too).
137 comments on “US Election 2020 ”
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- Release: Working together on consistent support for veterans this Anzac DayOur two-tiered system for veterans’ support is out of step with our closest partners, and all parties in Parliament should work together to fix it, Labour veterans’ affairs spokesperson Greg O’Connor said. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Penny drops – but what about Seymour and Peters?Stripping two Ministers of their portfolios just six months into the job shows Christopher Luxon’s management style is lacking, Labour Leader Chris Hipkins said. ...2 weeks ago
- Another ‘Stolen Generation’ enabled by court ruling on Waitangi Tribunal summonsTonight’s court decision to overturn the summons of the Children’s Minister has enabled the Crown to continue making decisions about Māori without evidence, says Te Pāti Māori spokesperson for Children, Mariameno Kapa-Kingi. “The judicial system has this evening told the nation that this government can do whatever they want when ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Budget blunder shows Nicola Willis could cut recovery fundingIt appears Nicola Willis is about to pull the rug out from under the feet of local communities still dealing with the aftermath of last year’s severe weather, and local councils relying on funding to build back from these disasters. ...3 weeks ago
- Further environmental mismanagement on the cardsThe Government’s resource management reforms will add to the heavy and ever-growing burden this Government is loading on to our environment. ...3 weeks ago
- Release: RMA changes will be a disaster for environmentThe Government is making short-sighted changes to the Resource Management Act (RMA) that will take away environmental protection in favour of short-term profits, Labour’s environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking said today. ...3 weeks ago
- Release: Labour supports urgent changes to emergency management systemLabour welcomes the release of the report into the North Island weather events and looks forward to working with the Government to ensure that New Zealand is as prepared as it can be for the next natural disaster. ...3 weeks ago
- Release: Labour calls for New Zealand to recognise PalestineThe Labour Party has called for the New Zealand Government to recognise Palestine, as a material step towards progressing the two-State solution needed to achieve a lasting peace in the region. ...3 weeks ago
- Release: Three strikes law political posturing of worst kindThe Government is bringing back a law that has little evidential backing just to look tough, Labour justice spokesperson Duncan Webb said. ...3 weeks ago
- Release: Government cuts unbelievably target child exploitation, violent extremism, ports and airpor...Some of our country’s most important work, stopping the sexual exploitation of children and violent extremism could go along with staff on the frontline at ports and airports. ...3 weeks ago
- Three strikes has failed before and will fail againResurrecting the archaic three-strikes legislation is an unwelcome return to a failed American-style approach to justice. ...3 weeks ago
- Release: Environmental protection vital, not ‘onerous’The Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill will give projects such as new coal mines a ‘get out of jail free’ card to wreak havoc on the environment, Labour Leader Chris Hipkins said today. ...3 weeks ago
- New Zealand supports UN Palestine resolution
New Zealand voted in favour of a resolution broadening Palestine’s participation at the United Nations General Assembly overnight, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “The resolution enhances the rights of Palestine to participate in the work of the UN General Assembly while stopping short of admitting Palestine as a full ...10 hours ago - Speech to the 2024 Infrastructure SymposiumIntroduction Good morning. It’s a great privilege to be here at the 2024 Infrastructure Symposium. I was extremely happy when the Prime Minister asked me to be his Minister for Infrastructure. It is one of the great barriers holding the New Zealand economy back from achieving its potential. Building high ...1 day ago
- $571 million for Defence pay and projectsDefence Minister Judith Collins today announced the upcoming Budget will include new funding of $571 million for Defence Force pay and projects. “Our servicemen and women do New Zealand proud throughout the world and this funding will help ensure we retain their services and expertise as we navigate an increasingly ...1 day ago
- Climate change – mitigating the risks and costsNew Zealand’s ability to cope with climate change will be strengthened as part of the Government’s focus to build resilience as we rebuild the economy, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. “An enduring and long-term approach is needed to provide New Zealanders and the economy with certainty as the climate ...1 day ago
- Getting new job seekers on the pathway to workJobseeker beneficiaries who have work obligations must now meet with MSD within two weeks of their benefit starting to determine their next step towards finding a job, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “A key part of the coalition Government’s plan to have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker ...2 days ago
- Accelerating Social InvestmentA new standalone Social Investment Agency will power-up the social investment approach, driving positive change for our most vulnerable New Zealanders, Social Investment Minister Nicola Willis says. “Despite the Government currently investing more than $70 billion every year into social services, we are not seeing the outcomes we want for ...2 days ago
- Getting Back on TrackCheck against delivery Good morning. It is a pleasure to be with you to outline the Coalition Government’s approach to our first Budget. Thank you Mark Skelly, President of the Hutt Valley Chamber of Commerce, together with your Board and team, for hosting me. I’d like to acknowledge His Worship ...2 days ago
- NZ – European Union ties more critical than everYour Excellency Ambassador Meredith, Members of the Diplomatic Corps and Ambassadors from European Union Member States, Ministerial colleagues, Members of Parliament, and other distinguished guests, Thank you everyone for joining us. Ladies and gentlemen - In diplomacy, we often speak of ‘close’ and ‘long-standing’ relations. ...3 days ago
- Therapeutic Products Act to be repealedThe Therapeutic Products Act (TPA) will be repealed this year so that a better regime can be put in place to provide New Zealanders safe and timely access to medicines, medical devices and health products, Associate Health Minister Casey Costello announced today. “The medicines and products we are talking about ...3 days ago
- Decisions on Wellington City Council’s District PlanThe Minister Responsible for RMA Reform, Chris Bishop, today released his decision on twenty recommendations referred to him by the Wellington City Council relating to its Intensification Planning Instrument, after the Council rejected those recommendations of the Independent Hearings Panel and made alternative recommendations. “Wellington notified its District Plan on ...3 days ago
- Rape Awareness Week: Government committed to action on sexual violenceRape Awareness Week (6-10 May) is an important opportunity to acknowledge the continued effort required by government and communities to ensure that all New Zealanders can live free from violence, say Ministers Karen Chhour and Louise Upston. “With 1 in 3 women and 1 in 8 men experiencing sexual violence ...3 days ago
- Smarter lunch programme feeds more, costs lessAssociate Education Minister David Seymour has today announced that the Government will be delivering a more efficient Healthy School Lunches Programme, saving taxpayers approximately $107 million a year compared to how Labour funded it, by embracing innovation and commercial expertise. “We are delivering on our commitment to treat taxpayers’ money ...3 days ago
- Report provides insights into marine recoveryNew research on the impacts of extreme weather on coastal marine habitats in Tairāwhiti and Hawke’s Bay will help fishery managers plan for and respond to any future events, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones says. A report released today on research by Niwa on behalf of Fisheries New Zealand ...3 days ago
- NZ to send political delegation to the PacificDeputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Winston Peters will lead a broad political delegation on a five-stop Pacific tour next week to strengthen New Zealand’s engagement with the region. The delegation will visit Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, and Tuvalu. “New Zealand has deep and ...3 days ago
- Low gas production threatens energy securityThere has been a material decline in gas production according to figures released today by the Gas Industry Co. Figures released by the Gas Industry Company show that there was a 12.5 per cent reduction in gas production during 2023, and a 27.8 per cent reduction in gas production in the ...3 days ago
- Defence industry talent, commitment recognisedDefence Minister Judith Collins tonight announced the recipients of the Minister of Defence Awards of Excellence for Industry, saying they all contribute to New Zealanders’ security and wellbeing. “Congratulations to this year’s recipients, whose innovative products and services play a critical role in the delivery of New Zealand’s defence capabilities, ...4 days ago
- Speech to the Minister of Defence Awards of Excellence for IndustryWelcome to you all - it is a pleasure to be here this evening.I would like to start by thanking Greg Lowe, Chair of the New Zealand Defence Industry Advisory Council, for co-hosting this reception with me. This evening is about recognising businesses from across New Zealand and overseas who in ...4 days ago
- Speech to the Sixth Annual New Zealand Government Data SummitIt is a pleasure to be speaking to you as the Minister for Digitising Government. I would like to thank Akolade for the invitation to address this Summit, and to acknowledge the great effort you are making to grow New Zealand’s digital future. Today, we stand at the cusp of ...4 days ago
- Ceasefire agreement needed now: PetersNew Zealand is urging both Israel and Hamas to agree to an immediate ceasefire to avoid the further humanitarian catastrophe that military action in Rafah would unleash, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “The immense suffering in Gaza cannot be allowed to worsen further. Both sides have a responsibility to ...4 days ago
- Daily school attendance data now availableA new online data dashboard released today as part of the Government’s school attendance action plan makes more timely daily attendance data available to the public and parents, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. The interactive dashboard will be updated once a week to show a national average of how ...4 days ago
- Ambassador to United States appointedForeign Minister Winston Peters has announced Rosemary Banks will be New Zealand’s next Ambassador to the United States of America. “Our relationship with the United States is crucial for New Zealand in strategic, security and economic terms,” Mr Peters says. “New Zealand and the United States have a ...4 days ago
- New permit proposed for recreational gold miningThe Government is considering creating a new tier of minerals permitting that will make it easier for hobby miners to prospect for gold. “New Zealand was built on gold, it’s in our DNA. Our gold deposits, particularly in regions such as Otago and the West Coast have always attracted fortune-hunters. ...4 days ago
- NZ and the UAE launch FTA negotiationsMinister for Trade Todd McClay today announced that New Zealand and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) will commence negotiations on a free trade agreement (FTA). Minister McClay met with his counterpart UAE Trade Minister Dr Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi in Dubai, where they announced the launch of negotiations on a ...4 days ago
- New Zealand Sign Language Week an opportunity for anyone to signNew Zealand Sign Language Week is an excellent opportunity for all Kiwis to give the language a go, Disabilities Issues Minister Louise Upston says. This week (May 6 to 12) is New Zealand Sign Language (NZSL) Week. The theme is “an Aotearoa where anyone can sign anywhere” and aims to ...5 days ago
- Next stop NASA for New Zealand studentsSix tertiary students have been selected to work on NASA projects in the US through a New Zealand Space Scholarship, Space Minister Judith Collins announced today. “This is a fantastic opportunity for these talented students. They will undertake internships at NASA’s Ames Research Center or its Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), where ...5 days ago
- $1.9 billion investment to keep NZ safe from crimeNew Zealanders will be safer because of a $1.9 billion investment in more frontline Corrections officers, more support for offenders to turn away from crime, and more prison capacity, Corrections Minister Mark Mitchell says. “Our Government said we would crack down on crime. We promised to restore law and order, ...5 days ago
- OECD reinforces need to control spendingThe OECD’s latest report on New Zealand reinforces the importance of bringing Government spending under control, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The OECD conducts country surveys every two years to review its members’ economic policies. The 2024 New Zealand survey was presented in Wellington today by OECD Chief Economist Clare Lombardelli. ...5 days ago
- Agreement delivers Local Water Done Well for AucklandThe Government has delivered on its election promise to provide a financially sustainable model for Auckland under its Local Water Done Well plan. The plan, which has been unanimously endorsed by Auckland Council’s Governing Body, will see Aucklanders avoid the previously projected 25.8 per cent water rates increases while retaining ...6 days ago
- Gaza and the Pacific on the agenda with GermanyForeign Minister Winston Peters discussed the need for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, and enhanced cooperation in the Pacific with German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock during her first official visit to New Zealand today. "New Zealand and Germany enjoy shared interests and values, including the rule of law, democracy, respect for the international system ...1 week ago
- Decision allows for housing growth in Western Bay of PlentyThe Minister Responsible for RMA Reform, Chris Bishop today released his decision on four recommendations referred to him by the Western Bay of Plenty District Council, opening the door to housing growth in the area. The Council’s Plan Change 92 allows more homes to be built in existing and new ...1 week ago
- Speech to New Zealand China CouncilThank you, John McKinnon and the New Zealand China Council for the invitation to speak to you today. Thank you too, all members of the China Council. Your effort has played an essential role in helping to build, shape, and grow a balanced and resilient relationship between our two ...1 week ago
- Modern insurance law will protect Kiwi householdsThe Government is modernising insurance law to better protect Kiwis and provide security in the event of a disaster, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly announced today. “These reforms are long overdue. New Zealand’s insurance law is complicated and dated, some of which is more than 100 years old. ...1 week ago
- Government recommits to equal payThe coalition Government is refreshing its approach to supporting pay equity claims as time-limited funding for the Pay Equity Taskforce comes to an end, Public Service Minister Nicola Willis says. “Three years ago, the then-government introduced changes to the Equal Pay Act to support pay equity bargaining. The changes were ...1 week ago
- Transforming how our children learn to readStructured literacy will change the way New Zealand children learn to read - improving achievement and setting students up for success, Education Minister Erica Stanford says. “Being able to read and write is a fundamental life skill that too many young people are missing out on. Recent data shows that ...1 week ago
- NZ not backing down in Canada dairy disputeTrade Minister Todd McClay says Canada’s refusal to comply in full with a CPTPP trade dispute ruling in our favour over dairy trade is cynical and New Zealand has no intention of backing down. Mr McClay said he has asked for urgent legal advice in respect of our ‘next move’ ...1 week ago
- Stronger oversight for our most vulnerable childrenThe rights of our children and young people will be enhanced by changes the coalition Government will make to strengthen oversight of the Oranga Tamariki system, including restoring a single Children’s Commissioner. “The Government is committed to delivering better public services that care for our most at-risk young people and ...1 week ago
- Streamlining Building Consent ChangesThe Government is making it easier for minor changes to be made to a building consent so building a home is easier and more affordable, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “The coalition Government is focused on making it easier and cheaper to build homes so we can ...1 week ago
- Minister acknowledges passing of Sir Robert Martin (KNZM)New Zealand lost a true legend when internationally renowned disability advocate Sir Robert Martin (KNZM) passed away at his home in Whanganui last night, Disabilities Issues Minister Louise Upston says. “Our Government’s thoughts are with his wife Lynda, family and community, those he has worked with, the disability community in ...1 week ago
- Speech to New Zealand Institute of International Affairs, Parliament – Annual Lecture: Challenges ...Good evening – Before discussing the challenges and opportunities facing New Zealand’s foreign policy, we’d like to first acknowledge the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs. You have contributed to debates about New Zealand foreign policy over a long period of time, and we thank you for hosting us. ...1 week ago
- Accelerating airport security linesFrom today, passengers travelling internationally from Auckland Airport will be able to keep laptops and liquids in their carry-on bags for security screening thanks to new technology, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Creating a more efficient and seamless travel experience is important for holidaymakers and businesses, enabling faster movement through ...1 week ago
- NZ’s first Pinoy Green MP Francisco Hernandez talks climate policy and activism
Asia Pacific Report Barangay New Zealand’s Rene Molina has interviewed the country’s first Filipino Green MP Francisco Hernandez who was sworn into Parliament yesterday as the party’s latest member. This is the first interview with Hernandez who replaces former Green Party co-leader James Shaw after his retirement from politics to ...39 mins ago - Australian Strategic Policy Institute warns AUKUS could 'crush' its defence industry
An Australian Strategic Policy Institute report says Pillar Two could raise the industry to state of the art capability - or "crush" it "under the weight of the globe's biggest player". ...4 hours ago - Indigenous women are most affected by domestic violence but have struggled to be heard. It’s time ...Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marlene Longbottom, Associate Professor, Indigenous Education & Research Centre, James Cook University Shutterstock This article contains information on deaths in custody and the violence experienced by First Nations people in encounters with the Australian carceral system. It also contains references to ...5 hours ago
- UN vote: NZ supports 'enhancing Palestine's status' – PetersNew Zealand has voted in favour of a resolution to broaden the Palestinian role at the United Nations General Assembly. ...7 hours ago
- Cold houses to blame for people needing to 'blast the heater' – Green Building Counc...New Zealand's housing building standards are decades behind most other countries in the OECD, green building advocates say. ...9 hours ago
- Austerity For Everyone Except Weapons Dealers
“Instead of following along countries that are investing in death and better ways of killing people faster, we need to invest in life and in making Aotearoa a fair, just and equitable place where everyone has what they need for a dignified life.” ...9 hours ago - The Secret Diary of .. Te Pāti Māori
MARIAMENO KAPA-KINGI, TPM MP FOR TAI TOKERAU This Government will not waver in its mission to exterminate Māori. CHRISTOPHER LUXON Oh well look you know I don’t think that hard-working Kiwis want to hear language like that. It’s just really unhelpful rhetoric. My Government is genuinely committed to advancing outcomes ...9 hours ago - When body positivity morphs into toxic masculinityThe body positivity movement started with women confronting the unrealistic expectations and unrepresentative portrayals of them in media and advertising. Men weren’t part of it … their bodies hadn’t been sexualised to the same extremes and they didn’t really need it. But now that’s changed. And in a warped sort ...9 hours ago
- ‘A curse and a blessing’: Ginette McDonald on how Lyn of Tawa changed her life
The New Zealand comedy legend takes us through her life in television, including the time she hugged Elton John and the unshakeable legacy of a girl named Lyn. In 1981, Ginette McDonald stood on the stage of Auckland’s St James Theatre and directly addressed Queen Elizabeth II. It was a ...10 hours ago - ‘Mothering looked beautiful but also chaotic and stifling’: On flatting with a newbornAn essay by Lily Duval from the just-released anthology Otherhood: Essays on being childless, childfree and child adjacent. I was 22 when my friend Alice gave birth in the living room of our pokey Addington flat. She laboured in the blow-up pool for hours. Garish fish swam along the inflated ...10 hours ago
- Motherhood: A reading journeyElla Borrie on the best books about motherhood she’s come across so far. Over the past few years I’ve been drawn to books about motherhood. I’m fascinated by the joys and horrors of becoming a parent. The question of children also feels more pressing than it used to. It’s like ...10 hours ago
- The Steve Awards 2024: Honouring the year’s worst Mother’s Day marketingOut of gift ideas for mum? You can’t go wrong with a bottle of toilet cleaner and a new squeegee. Emily Writes is the writer and editor of Emily Writes Weekly. This week marks five years since I published a post on The Spinoff about Mother’s Day marketing titled ‘A ...10 hours ago
- The Sunday Essay: A buzzy yearMy husband is posted overseas for 12 months and I’m armed with an expensive, newfangled vibrator. Will I miss him? The Sunday Essay is made possible thanks to the support of Creative New Zealand. A few days after my husband leaves, a new sex toy arrives at the front door. Nestled ...10 hours ago
- Tracing four decades of Wellington street artJaimie Baird’s new book Here Today Gone Tomorrow is a record of four decades of graffiti and street art in Wellington, told through more than 1,200 photographs. He spoke with Joel MacManus about what inspired the book. How did you first get interested in photographing street art? I remember ...10 hours ago
- The Weekend: How the woke sausage is madeEditor Madeleine Chapman looks back at a busy week where food of all political leanings dominated. Sometimes you’re just going about your week thinking you’ve got a good handle on what might be coming as far as news topics and then someone (usually a politician) says something so ridiculous that ...10 hours ago
- The Boy in the Water: Police caught in ‘zone of uncertainty’ In a week of cold rain and frost, the climate in courtroom four upstairs at the Invercargill courthouse was simmering with restrained indignation. At times it felt like the famous Mexican standoff scene from Reservoir Dogs, or, as someone watching the proceedings described it, there was so much throwing of ...10 hours ago
- Short story: Message me, by Lucy O’ConnorA banner notification alerts me to the fact that I’ve received an Instagram message from @felicity.loves. She always comments on my posts. I shouldn’t have opened the message, but clicked on the notification before rationalising this. OMG! Are you in Wellys? X I debate not replying, but Instagram will inform ...10 hours ago
- Callum Donaldson has his head in the gameIn Melbourne’s hardscrabble western suburbs where AFL – Aussie rules football – is a state religion, Callum Donaldson has been quietly grafting away, four months into an odyssey that he hopes will take him to another promised land: the NRL. It was a solid 2023 for the softly spoken 20-year-old ...10 hours ago
- TVNZ Pacific correspondent Barbara Dreaver awarded ONZM for investigative journalismPacific Media Watch Television New Zealand Pacific correspondent Barbara Dreaver has been made an Officer of the New Zealand Order of Merit for services to investigative journalism and Pacific communities in a ceremony at Government House, reports 1News. She has been the Pacific correspondent for 1News since 2002, breaking many ...14 hours ago
- Budget to pledge billions more in funds and fresh effort to tackle intractable housing crisisSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Tuesday’s budget will respond to the deepening public agitation over Australia’s housing shortages by pouring new money into crisis accommodation for women and children, social housing and infrastructure. A specially-convened national cabinet late Friday ticked ...14 hours ago
- Pacific journalists are world’s ‘eyes and ears’ on climate crisis, says EU envoyBy Kaneta Naimatu in Suva Journalists in the Pacific region play an important role as the “eyes and ears on the ground” when it comes to reporting the climate crisis, says the European Union’s Pacific Ambassador Barbara Plinkert. Speaking at The University of the South Pacific (USP) on World Press ...17 hours ago
- Why the Defence Force has been calling for a Budget boostFailing accommodation, tarmac problems and a deteriorating naval base were all laid bare before a $571 million spend-up was unveiled today. ...17 hours ago
- Back in Black: Aldora’s year gets even betterAldora Itunu is back in the Black Ferns squad after a three-year absence. The last of her 24 internationals was an underwhelming loss to France (7-29) in Castres to conclude the disastrous 2021 Northern Tour. The powerhouse prop won a Rugby World Cup in 2017 and thought she was done. ...18 hours ago
- ‘Who’s actually governing this city?’The fight to control major transport policy and projects in Auckland has burst into the open again, with councillors rejecting Mayor Wayne Brown’s latest attempt to steer things more under his influence. Councillors from the left and right broke ranks on the mayor’s bid to control Auckland Transport more directly ...18 hours ago
- The return of .. Raw PoliticsExhausted by the general election campaign, horrified by the twilight zone of coalition negotiations, distracted by the silly season and waiting for the honeymoon to begin, Raw Politics has been in hibernation since October. From today, we’re back. Our weekly political video show and podcast returns for ...18 hours ago
- New Caledonia marks Armistice Day with new NZ war memorialBy Patrick Decloitre, RNZ Pacific correspondent French Pacific desk Authorities in the small town of Boulouparis have commemorated Armistice Day on May 8 with a new memorial honouring New Zealand soldiers who were stationed in New Caledonia during World War II. The ceremony took place in the township on the ...18 hours ago
- High Court dismisses key challenge to indefinite immigration detention. What does it mean?Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Sara Dehm, Senior lecturer, international migration and refugee law, University of Technology Sydney The High Court unanimously ruled today that the Australian government can keep asylum seekers in immigration detention indefinitely in cases where they do not “voluntarily” cooperate with their own ...21 hours ago
- A brief history of found footage video art – and where Macklemore’s Hind’s Hall fits inSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kim Munro, Lecturer, Creative Industries and Digital Media, University of South Australia Twenty-four hours after the release of Macklemore’s pro-Palestine protest song Hind’s Hall on social media on May 7, the video had already notched up over 24 million views. In ...21 hours ago
- Transmission Gully could need new builder – Infrastructure Commission reviewFailing to anticipate the complexity of the consenting system is being cited as the the current builder's shortcomings, an Infrastructure Commission review says. ...21 hours ago
- Transmission Gully could need new bulider – Infrastructure Commission reviewFailing to anticipate the complexity of the consenting system is being cited as the the current builder's shortcomings, an Infrastructure Commission review says. ...21 hours ago
- Proposed repeal of Oranga Tamariki Act section 7AA breaches Treaty of Waitangi – TribunalThe government is planning to repeal Treaty obligations from the Oranga Tamariki Act. ...21 hours ago
- Committee Silences Majority Of Submitters On Fast-track Bill350 Aotearoa is calling the Environment Select Committee’s decision to allow oral submissions from just 40% of individual, unique submitters who asked to speak to the committee ‘a disgraceful blight to democracy’. ...21 hours ago
- Sky-high vanity: constructing the world’s tallest buildings creates high emissionsSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By James Helal, Assistant Dean (Sustainability), The University of Melbourne Dubai skyline AleksandarPasaric/Pexels Since ancient times, people have built structures that reach for the skies – from the steep spires of medieval towers to the grand domes of ancient cathedrals and mosques. Today ...22 hours ago
- How can we measure the size of Australia’s illegal cannabis market – and the billions in taxes t...Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Jenny Williams, Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne Canna Obscura/Shutterstock At the end of this month, a senate inquiry by the Legal and Constitutional Affairs Legislation Committee is due to hand down its report on a bill to legalise cannabis. ...22 hours ago
- Wearable devices can now harvest our brain data. Australia needs urgent privacy reformsSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Edward Musole, PhD Law Student, University of New England Girts Ragelis/Shutterstock Recent trends show Australians are increasingly buying wearables such as smartwatches and fitness trackers. These electronics track our body movements or vital signs to provide data throughout the day, with ...23 hours ago
- Labour Up, Greens Down But Centre-Right Remains AheadThis is the first time since February that voters have had a net positive view of the country direction. ...24 hours ago
- RNZAF Hercules, NZDF Personnel Arrive In Papua New Guinea To Help Distribute Relief SuppliesPapua New Guinea experienced a significant earthquake on 24 March in East Sepik and there has also been recent flooding there and in surrounding provinces. ...24 hours ago
- Sleep wrinkles are real. Here’s how they leave their markSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Yousuf Mohammed, Dermatology researcher, The University of Queensland Maridav/Shutterstock You wake up, stagger to the bathroom and gaze into the mirror. No, you’re not imagining it. You’ve developed face wrinkles overnight. They’re sleep wrinkles. Sleep wrinkles are temporary. But as your ...1 day ago
- Week in Politics: Triumph and disaster, but no austerityAnalysis - A big announcement about Auckland's water woes was overshadowed by a chaotic press conference about prisons, Peter Wilson writes. ...1 day ago
- Community Groups Furious That Government Silencing Hundreds In Fast-Track HearingsThe Environment Select Committee has just announced that 60 percent of individuals who asked to speak at the hearings will not be heard. This equates to almost 700 people who made individual submissions and more than 1000 more who made a form submission. ...1 day ago
- Review: Swan Lake is a reminder of how much work it takes to look effortlessThe Royal New Zealand Ballet is performing Swan Lake around the country. What kind of dream does the ballet sell? Before going to see the Royal New Zealand Ballet perform Swan Lake, I had about as much familiarity with the plot of this ballet as could be expected from having ...1 day ago
- The Friday Poem: ‘High Tide at Local Maxima’ by Eamonn TeeA new poem by Auckland poet Eamonn Tee. High Tide at Local Maxima It is only going to get worse. The streams will be narrow and fickle. The week will bend and buckle like a pot-bellied waist. You will make it to the weekend with one ...1 day ago
- The plastic-heavy drinks industry is in for a shake-upThe New Zealand entrepreneur behind beauty business Ethique is gearing up to launch a new eco-venture. This is an excerpt from our weekly environmental newsletter Future Proof. Sign up here. Our thirst for a tasty bevvy is insatiable, but it comes with a hefty plastic price for the planet: 580 billion ...1 day ago
- The Unity Books bestseller chart for the week ending May 10The only published and available best-selling indie book chart in New Zealand is the top 10 sales list recorded every week at Unity Books’ stores in High St, Auckland, and Willis St, Wellington. AUCKLAND 1 James by Percival Everett (Mantle, $38) A retelling of The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn from ...1 day ago
- Puna calls for Pacific ‘journalistic vigilance’ in face of climate crisisBy Kamna Kumar in Suva Pacific Islands Forum Secretary-General Henry Puna stressed the importance of media freedom and its link to the climate and environmental crisis at the 2024 World Press Freedom Day event organised by the University of the South Pacific’s journalism programme. Under the theme “A Planet for ...1 day ago
- Downsizing Of ERO Inconsistent With Govt Priority Of Lifting Student AchievementThe PSA is concerned that Government spending cuts have forced ERO to downsize at a time when student achievement is a significant challenge. ...1 day ago
- Education Review Office set to cut 13 jobs, union saysThe Education Review Office is set to cut 13 jobs, the Public Service Association says. ...1 day ago
- Judith Collins announces $571 million Defence spend-upAn extra half a billion dollars is going to Defence in this year's Budget for pay and equipment upgrades, the Defence Minister has announced. ...1 day ago
- This new TVNZ anthology is Motherhood as you’ve never seen it beforeTara Ward previews a new local TV series offering alternative visions of motherhood. This is an excerpt from our weekly pop culture newsletter Rec Room. Sign up here. A woman is clambering up the side of her two-story house, clinging desperately to a drainpipe. Nearby, her child is perched on the ...1 day ago
- LGNZ Supportive Of Cross-party Approach To Climate AdaptationLocal Government New Zealand (LGNZ) is supportive of the cross-party approach to climate adaptation announced by the Minister of Climate Change today. ...1 day ago
- SBC And CLC Welcome Bipartisan Climate Adaptation InquiryThe Sustainable Business Council (SBC) and Climate Leaders Coalition (CLC) welcome today’s announcement from Government around a bipartisan inquiry into an enduring climate adaptation framework for New Zealand. ...1 day ago
- Another Victory For Free Speech: DIA Abandons Proposals For Online CensorshipThe Free Speech Union welcomes the decision by the Department of Internal Affairs, and Minister Brooke Van Velden, to abandon proposals to further regulate online speech. ...1 day ago
- Confused or playing for time? 3 possible reasons NZ is taking so long to make a call on AUKUSSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Robert G. Patman, Professor of International Relations, University of Otago Getty Images New Zealand governments have been actively exploring the option of joining pillar two of AUKUS for over a year now. But according to foreign minister Winston Peters, the government ...1 day ago
- Archives NZ says it has enough space – for nowIts new building in Wellington will not be nearly big enough for all its records, and it has also run out of money to build its new storage facility in Levin. ...1 day ago
- Consensus WelcomedBusinessNZ is congratulating the Minister of Climate Change for his work in achieving cross-party consensus for a way forward on climate adaptation. ...1 day ago
- How many lives is that tax cut worth?Recent research reveals the repeal of smokefree measures is not only bad for our health, but also the economy. The Government has repealed various smokefree measures to ensure it keeps collecting $1.2 billion a year in tobacco taxes, in order to pay for tax cuts already being delivered to ...1 day ago
- How the Phoenix went from wooden spoon favourites to title contendersThe club’s surprisingly good season is built on the desire to prove a random A-League YouTuber wrong… and a few other factors. “There’s no way that Wellington Phoenix play finals this year. I can’t see it happening at all.” Those are the words of Lachlan Raeside, an Australian football content ...1 day ago
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https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Election2020&src=trend_click&vertical=trends
I don't see how Biden can win now. Only five states really at play now for the 35 further EC votes he needs & Trump ahead in every one. For Biden to win he needs to swing three of them but swing is in Trump's favour. Biden's vaunted 8 point lead has disappeared in a puff of smoke …another broken polling situation. Biden might even come of worse than Hillary did in terms of overall vote/electoral college vote. Sad toi say but it looks like another 4 years of Trumptardism.
It pays to remember that Republicans vote on the day…democrats do mail-in…they are yet to be counted in key states ..so a trump call is a tad premature..
Hey weka – pop it up the top when you finished editing (actually I just did it).
I know that watching, hoping and probably getting rid of dimwitted tangerine codpiece is going to be very high on my wish list for the next couple of days.
I also want to have a close look at the low to nonexistent morality of the Republican party as they attempt to legally disenfranchise voters.
Yep, it's a twofer. Who wins, and how far will the right go to steal the election.
From NY Times summing up the basics of what to look for. The election day polls start opening in about 5 hours (GMT-5) (sometime eastern states at 6am), and then keep opening for about 5-7 hours later out to Honolulu. They close anywhere from 7pm to 9pm…
Just as interesting as the presidential election are going to be the senatorial races..
Let's hope all 3 branches go Democrat.
House/Senate/President.
Then Trump goes bust and ends up behind bars.
Perfect ending to all the grift of the Orange Menace and the GOP.
Next time around hopefully voter suppression will be cleaned up.
Wishfull thinking.
Do not forget the local races to enable redistricting. What a complicated system, seems like to many fingers in the pie.
OK I'm calling it for Biden
https://twitter.com/DixvilleVote/status/1323495738026921984
Nah – two people ‘left’ town. The Trump supporters…
And you always have to remember the larger urban centers like Millsfield NH
https://twitter.com/reidepstein/status/1323495626999500806?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1323495626999500806%7Ctwgr%5Eshare_3&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.abc.net.au%2Fnews%2F2020-11-03%2Fus-election-2020-live-updates-trump-biden-president%2F12841266
ABC in aussie has a pretty good live coverage. Mostly waffling like a cricket announcers at present. But actually pretty amusing nonetheless.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-03/us-election-2020-live-updates-trump-biden-president/12841266
The state of that white board. Uppercase mixed with lowercase. Looks like it was done by a child. And the fact they're writing results on a white board.
How backward is the US?
Well, at least it looks like the Hillary-hating Bernie-Bro from 2016 could choke down voting for Biden this time around.
I support(ed) the policies of bernie sanders…so I guess I am by default a 'bernie-bro'…but I have never 'hated' Hillary clinton…I opposed her because to me she was/is the personification of all that is wrong with the democrat party establishment…and how right wing that party actually is…the last time I looked at an international political ideology spectrum the new zealand national party was more 'left' than the american democrat party.,.so really..to be in america and opposing the dysfunction engineered by both parties…hardly makes that opponent a radical/'hillary-hater'…eh..?..and of course the democrats have done it again..what they did in 2006..and have shafted all the progressives ..and picked biden..whose main quality/campaign theme is..that he is not the orange carbuncle..
The world will be thankful when the US go back to having a right-wing government.
Don't be suprised if Trump wins tomorrow. Because I will not be.
Don't worry the specials will not bring National to victory (you were the one suggesting we should not be surprised if National won our election
).
It's either, the Brexit and then Trump or the pandemic syndrome at work – activating the what is going to happen next centre in the brain.
PS The only known what next (for now at least), is how bad is the period from Nov 3 to inauguration in January next year going to be? What sort of relationship between Trump's personal denial/reluctant acceptance state and normal processing of election results is it going to be. Will the now normal distance between his narrative and that of others grow even further, or not? And with what impact to that nation and its governance?
Trump spending the next three months in Florida setting up a reality show to replace the Kardashians (disappearing from DC to play the role of The new Invisible Man only out and about on twitter) while Pence is acting POTUS is not the worst.
There's no MMP in the US.
There's no Guy Fawkes Day in the USA.
The bad ones often make it back.
Nor would Bob of the Cahally (Irish group dedicated to making halloween alive)
https://www.nytimes.com/article/trafalgar-group-poll.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage
I paid quite a bit of attention to the 2016 election…and I called it for trump…this time I reckon biden will become the anti-trump president…only there because he isn't trump..
Polls are now open in every state.
Looks like the usual long snake lines in many places despite the early voting. FFS for a country that talks incessantly about freedom and democracy, they certainly dying on providing the infrastructure to provide it.
The contrast with the efficient and uncrowded election here is startling.
Trump did his usual dithering, boasting and whining on Fox and Friends. Just reading it sounds incoherent.
Biden visited his dead family.
Looks like the turnout on the day will be high despite the 100 million who have already voted early.
Does anyone know the eligible population? 100m early sounds like a pretty good turnout induction, compared to earlier years maybe?
Voting eligible population is about 240 million. Haven't seen any numbers for how many are actually registered.
Estimates for total turnout this year range from 150 million to 180 million (yeah, right). 2016 turnout was around 135 million.
100 million early votes is indeed unprecedented. In some states, early votes in 2020 exceed total votes cast in 2016. Most notably in Texas, where the polls are close enough that if the massive early vote is from a demographic that is often low turnout, then there may be a surprise result.
102 million early votes is said to be more than 48% of registered voters, suggesting around 210 million registered voters.
from: https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/election-results-and-news-11-03-20/index.html
RNZ just reported that millions of robo calls had been made urging people to stay home and not vote. Failed democracy …
Robocalls. Threats. KKK calling cards hand delivered to mailboxes of houses with Biden signs.
"We know where you live, we'll know how you vote" letters.
Even without considering the 'official' voter suppression techniques, it's been a filthy cesspool for weeks.
There are crazy people making, generally anonymous, threats in many countries.
Not as many perhaps in New Zealand as the US but they still happen.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/author-receives-death-threats-after-offensive-comments-about-nanaia-mahutas-moko-kauae/EI6ELNK2IJMXWR7GD5YBCJFYPI/
This is an eternal blind spot for US election analysts, who assume by default that their country is the most perfect democracy. It's a social fault that the confused pollsters always neglect to take that into account.
Hmmm, it's Repugs that have a higher propensity for that kind of dirty trick. But it's also Repugs that are believed to be waiting for election day to vote, rather than early vote.
Maybe the robocalls are targeted at registered Democrats?
Or laying further groundwork for discrediting the results?
Candace Owens gets honest.
https://twitter.com/justinbaragona/status/1323438772990709760
Reason #3281 the failed used-hate salesman is desperate to stay behind the shield of the preznitcy: Deutsche Bank probably needs to be nicer to him while he's still PEEOTUS.
https://www.salon.com/2020/11/03/deutsche-bank-wants-to-dump-trump-if-he-loses-may-seize-assets-if-he-fails-to-repay-debts-report/
Tonight is just going to be a scream.
Much more fun than Labour in the Town Hall I expect.
Rise up Democrats.
Ok
Trump looses on the night.
Who runs the US until inauguration?
The Mandarin Mugabe retains all powers until noon on January 20, 2021. Including the bigly red button that really works tremendously.
The existing Congress retains all their powers until noon on January 3, 2021, when the new Congress gets sworn in. Expect a frantic push to confirm all open judge slots, and pressure on old reactionary judges to step down in time for new replacements to be appointed and confirmed.
Thanks Andre.
GEEZ I can see Trumps doing all sorts of fuckery in that period!!
Yeah, it's a worry.
Best case, he'll spend that eleven weeks alternating between blind raging ineffectual tantrums and consoling himself with hamberders.
But we should all be ready for the "if I can't have it, nobody can" moment.
His malevolent narcissistic disorder together with his sociopathy means your last sentence is a distinct possibility. Their only course of action if he tries would be to declare him insane (which he is) and lock him up somewhere for a deep psychological clean.
Yeah, but who is gonna do that?
The only people with the constitutional power and authority to do it have surrendered any vestige of spine and principle they may have once possessed, and are now mere jellyfish quivering in fear of being on the wrong end of a mean tweet.
The cocaine helps keep his hamburger-appetites at bay..
Ya reckon?
Imagine how he would be without the cocaine..?
Do tell.
please don't do the fat phobia thing. Lots of reasons why some people gain weight, including chronic stress. When you make it a reductionist body fat = diet thing, it opens the door for blaming and shaming fat people.
Now I know why my golf clubs have mouldered unused in the garage for 20+ years. As a game, it's quite a challenge to hit the ball straight and long, plus all that finesse stuff around the green. But the sort of people who play it make you want to run into the carpark screaming. Greg Turner in 2000 (tongue in cheek) blamed professional golfers for the election of George W. He said professional golfers are all rich, right-wing and live in Florida…
I once worked for company whose main business was making golf club shafts. When I was interviewing for the job, they asked if I played golf. I told 'em as far as I was concerned, golf was the only sport stupider than tennis.
It might have been just as well they had already got a back-channel informal reference from someone at the tennis company I had previously worked at.
How does one be ready for that? :-/
Assume the position and pucker up, so as to be able to kiss one's ass goodbye at short notice.
If one is not in possession of a survivalist bunker in a remote location, that is.
He can't do too much more damage than he's already done!!! However, I've said that before about Trump and the one thing he does deliver on is chaos ;-(
Wonder if he'll step down, Pence becomes president for a short time pardons Trump.
Worryingly I suspect Bidens far more Hawkish than Trump so we will see an escalation in US military involvement off shore.
Well, yes, if he loses, Twitterfinger J. Putinpussy's rational course would be to negotiate a pardon from Pence and resign.
But rationality doesn't seem to enter the decision-making. Not sure there would be enough in it for Pence. He may look back at Ford, and decide that issuing a pardon would be too much of a skidmark on his 2024 prospects. Being 46 for a few weeks might not be enough reward for that trade-off.
I am more afraid of pence than of trump..two reasons:..he has 'known' since he was a child that one day he would be president…that God would help him get there ..that and the fact that he is an 'end-times/second coming believer…now..I dunno about you ..but that mix scares me…pence is a table-leg chewing religious freak…and he may see engineering the end times as his god-given/directed destiny…and that's a bit of a worry….and really..the one good thing you can say about the orange carbunkle..is that he hasn't invaded anyone…unlike..say..obama..?
Trump may not have militarily invaded another country but he sure as hell has set about devastating some, along with attempting to engineer attacks on US forces so he can retaliate with the world's most expensive and extensive ever military. So far, only Bolivia has handed him is rear end but ironically, he appears ready to use the same coup strategies on his own country. How will the Organisation of American States will react if/when he declares he has won the Presidency on the basis of early votes?
Which countries has he 'devestated'..?…I must have missed that..
I understand the Kurds have cause to reproach Trump.
He becomes caretaker president till Jan 20.
He can't do anything unless someone declared War on the US.
As far as I know, in the US the idea that a post-election outgoing government acts just in a caretaker capacity is just a norm. I'm not aware of anything in the constitution or statute law that codifies this. If there is anything stronger than just a norm, please rectify my ignorance by linking to the actual statute or section in the constitution.
If it is just a norm, hasn't the mandarin manutang done enough to convince you that he has no boundaries? Are you not yet convinced that norms and common decency and respect for others simply do not exist in his world, except as weaknesses in others that he can take advantage of?
So far I have yet to see reports of attempted intimidation or other fuckery at polling places today. So that's reassuring.
The US Postal Service has been ordered to conduct sweeps at all their facilities to find all ballots in their system and ensure they are delivered today. That's also reassuring.
https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/524228-federal-judge-orders-usps-to-rush-delivery-of-mail-ballots-as
Trump will go golfing at
Malargo and be looking for a new reality show like sore loser.
What will happen if Trump does not concede should he loose. This from Van Jones.
https://boingboing.net/2020/11/02/van-jones-explains-what-to-do-if-trump-refuses-to-concede.html
Any progressive government in South America knows how it goes down: allegations of 'irregularities' from the state department, a hastily-organised press conference in which veiled threats are murmured, furious editorials in the Wall Street Journal, the inevitable protests followed by an intervention from the 'proper authorities' to restore order.
https://twitter.com/EluraNanos/status/1323683288779808768
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-most-innocent-man-us-history_n_5fa1a6d4c5b68695003328ba
Will it be a rightwing America, or, will it be a right of right wing America. One thing for sure, it will not be a leftwing America. For the rest of the World it will be just the same, the American military regime murdering some poor countries civilians in order to steal the natural wealth.
The merely disgusting is always better than outright obscenity. And who knows, maybe Biden's past record is no guide to his future actions. Maybe he's improving with age, or something. Hang on to that hope – however slim.
I found this interesting and even-handed report at the state of US society last night. It appears a well-researched and nuanced view. I've C&P'ed the into:
This very much aligns with my own experience of US society, that it's a highly diverse, complex mix of people, yet from the outside it's too easy to only hear the noisy voices on the extremes. Yet according to the number the author puts up, some 67% of people belong to a value group that is largely ignored in the media or online discourse, whose views and values are routinely scorned and discounted, to the point where they're increasingly retreating into a form of exhaustion.
For the large part many of them must wish this whole damned circus would just fuck off and leave some adults to take charge again. And how they vote will be crucial to which way this plays. My bet is on Biden, but it could well be too close for comfort, because I don't think the polls are really capturing the full range of people's intentions.
One of the more interesting collections of random adjectives I've seen in a while.
When do you plan on handing in your homework then?
I think I tick all of those boxes on any given weekend and any given number of drinks down.
I'll put you down as manngled middle then.👍
Aljezeera (if you can get it) is giving non-stop coverage, interviews, stats etc and is very helpful if anybody is interested.
Great I will tune in to it.
Interesting the surge in younger voters:
https://www.npr.org/2020/10/29/928641949/within-the-early-voting-boom-evidence-of-youth-turnout-surging
A lot of college people not physically in class (on-line), deciding on some practical engagement by voting.
Something a bit lighter:
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/juliareinstein/2020-election-day-electoral-maps-meme-biden-trump
wait and see game.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323772788549836801
Associated Press Politics: https://twitter.com/AP_Politics
A little too much like 2016. Trump winning Florida. And competitive in NC and Georgia.
If he takes those – it looks like its either Arizona/Nevada/2nd district or Pennsylvania for Biden to win.
Fox however says GOP operatives think they will do well in Minnesota, which mixes that up. But Biden is leading and on the way to being favourite in NC. And is competitive in Ohio. Relaxes.
Yeah this is way closer than I thought it would be. I mean this should be a slam dunk. Who would vote for Trump after all that has happened in the past 4 years?
Dumb bunny Americans that's who. They make up on average 50% of their population on a good day. On a bad day it goes higher. When the pandemic hits a death toll of 2 million some of them might be capable of figuring out the reason why.
Orange45 is coming in big time on betting markets from a long shot to evens in the last hour apparently.
They got 2016 correct so gridlock, lawyers, twitter meltdowns here we come.
Like Hitler was so good at…he is giving people who feel ostracised by society..their voice….trump does it with the racist/ignorant/economically ignored of america ..he voices all their prejudices for them…and like south islanders 'hate' aucklanders…they also hate metropolitan america…this was why I called trump last time…reading all that..and of course hitler had the German people..beaten/bruised by the versailles treat forced on them at the end of ww2..+ a massive social program..
Ahem..!..ww1 of course.
Who would vote for Trump after all that has happened in the past 4 years?
Americans. I heard a teacher interviewed post-voting who had voted for Trump. She said she was afraid for her country. Why was she fearful? Socialism.
I heard that too. Unbelievable coming from a teacher who are supposed to represent the brighter bulbs in society. Its an indication what an abysmally poor over-all set of educational standards exist in the US.
Like my father said back in the 60s and 70s… they are deliberately dumbing down the American population. And now we are seeing the end result.
Much the same could be said of New Zealand!
Nonsense. No equivalence whatsoever.
Biden is doing OK in Arizona. So the Arizona, Nevada, 2nd district path is still open. So he can win without waiting for the Pennsylvania votes – providing he wins back Michigan and Wisconsin and holds Minnesota.
So GOP lawyers are fighting hard in Clark county Nevada.
My pick – Dems pick up 4 and lose 1 in the Senate.
Nope, it looks a pick up of 2 and a loss of one and a toss up.
That would be Collins vs Gideon in Maine. If Collins holds, it's 50-50. If Gideon wins its R 49 D 48 and two left of centre Independents.
There will be a run off in Georgia, but that will end up with GOP.
With Biden coming back in Michigan, Peters might win that Senate race – it and the Maine vote (Gideon picks up preferentials from Savage vs Collins). Both close.
That was some ride overnight (538 and NYT) as Biden pulled ahead to take the lead in Wisconsin and then Michigan. And now looks likely to take both.
It tightened a little in Arizona and Nevada and the risk now is there. But Biden is favoured. But with Nebraska's 2nd district this gives him an alternative to winning in Philadeplphia (vital as Trump was always going to lawyer up to prevent vote completion – Biden is a slight favourite to win if and once all votes are counted).
It's possible Biden can take Georgia (Fulton County vote count obstructed by the water pipe) and not need Arizona and Nevada or Pennsylvania.
North Carolina is probable for Trump.
It ain't over till it's over.
https://twitter.com/SalehaMohsin/status/1323839724063252483
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1323842809758158848
btw, the NYT's door is open
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html
While can't get past weed is bad, m'k….
https://twitter.com/doubleblindmag/status/1323848274042785793
Arizona voted to legalise marijuana
https://www.vox.com/2020/11/3/21514867/arizona-marijuana-legalization-proposition-207-results
https://twitter.com/MarijuanaPolicy/status/1323895224867921920
https://twitter.com/MarijuanaPolicy/status/1323862494054670337
https://twitter.com/MarijuanaPolicy/status/1323815101384871937
amidst the madness some sense is made
Still penalties and mandated treatment that may or may not be available, but Oregon is making lotsa sense.
.
https://twitter.com/Oregonian/status/1323842240590958593
Pretty restrained and tense here at Democrats Abroad event.
For what it's worth, I've just had a look at county by county results in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. In these three states, there's metric buttloads of votes still to be counted in strongly Dem cities, but the Repug stronghold counts appear mostly complete. For instance, there's still around half a million votes to be counted in Philadelphia County alone, not to mention the Dem leaning surrounding suburb counties. But jeez, it sure would be helpful to my sphincter muscles and liquor cabinet to not have quite so much to make up.
Man that comment summarises how I have felt over the last few hours!
Respect, Andre
I just wanna puke.
I kinda expect there's a whole lot of pollsters questioning their choices rightabout now.
yep. Groundhog Day.
Well – not all over yet, but this one's for the Dems.
On a positive note, 19 out of 22 of the DSA DSA-endorsed candidates were elected.
And Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez absolutely thundered her way to victory in New York after the Republicans spent millions of $$$ on a doomed campaign to topple her.
Ilhan Omar by 150K.
https://twitter.com/IlhanMN/status/1323866214897209345
Wrong it's all over-4 more years.
Mauree Turner got on the Oklahoma legislature, and must get the 2020 Woke Bingo prize as the first gay, black, female, under 30, Muslim to do so.
Is it just me or is it looking like Trump 293 to Biden 244? Am I missing something?
Most of the votes that might affect the result that are still to be counted appear to be in Philadelphia and its close-in suburb counties, Detroit and close in counties, and Milwaukee.
So Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are still strongly in play, despite Biden currently being quite a way behind at the moment in those states.
It looks like a Trump win to me. Been watching the NYT site mainly, with 538 as back-up. NYT has a cool feature: poise the cursor over each state on the map, you get the details come up in a small window automatically.
Just eye-balling those states not yet decided, I couldn't find numbers for Biden to win. Most look like they will fall to Trump…
By crikey this is too close to call. Either way I predict trump won't stand down.
Shit! Trump has taken Ohio, which has picked the president since Nixon!
Leaving aside Wisconsin (10), Michigan (16) and Pennsylvania (20) which are still in play, everything else looks reasonably settled – which would make it Biden 244, Trump 248. The ultimate winner therefore has to take any two of these three states to reach 270. However, Trump currently leads in all three – Wisconsin by 4%, Michigan by 8%, Pennsylvania by 14%. If mail-ins or late-counting districts start to change this in favour of Biden over the next day, expect fun and games.
Things not going too well..
https://twitter.com/aayoub/status/1323875483407290370
Are there hanging chads?? Are partisan people allowed to barge in where they wish? Sounds like the wild west to me.
Repug fuckery. Trump's calling fraud on delays in vote counting.
https://twitter.com/GovernorTomWolf/status/1323896672137732098
for those that want some hope for the rest of the evening.
https://twitter.com/GeorgeTakei/status/1323870554080817152
https://twitter.com/ezralevin/status/1323876307453857793
Backwards they go.
https://twitter.com/CatSzeltner/status/1323830985394425857
Can I go out on a limb and say watch Georgia?
On what grounds?
Just on votes counted this year compared to 2016, it appears Atlanta and surrounding suburbs are more or less fully counted. I don't see any areas that appear to have a lot fewer votes counted compared to 2016, where a 120,000 vote deficit might be made up.
Atlanta only 72% counted. Margin narrowing. Lots of early and special votes …
The mail votes for Atlanta got disrupted by a broken pipe. The votes were ok. The counters got disrupted and are now asleep.
Tomorrow….
Orange Julius doing a victory lap..
https://twitter.com/fran_chambers/status/1323885817799057410
..and declaring victory..
https://twitter.com/nzherald/status/1323878506674196480?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Oh dear……
Sorry our borders are closed because of diseased people spreading around the globe.
Mitch McConnel and Linsday Graham re-elected despite all the damage they have wrought. The former probably a bigger psychopath than Trump. Dems taking control of the Senate is the more important outcome.
Are Dems looking as if they might….. have a majority in the Senate! Be still my heart.
Very disappointing to see.
I’m also stunned to see that Trump has seemed to increase his vote share in the counties most affected by COVID.
It shouldn’t be this close.
called
https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1323895993142808576
The proper link for the above tweet:
https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-joe-biden-donald-trump-race-and-ethnicity-legislature-218ad4d596e87c6b1a223f19f817776e
FYI Al Jazeera had a cool map that shows the state size by number of electoral delegates, as well as geographic size:
https://interactive.aljazeera.com/aje/live-results-us-election-day-2020/index.html?utm_campaign=mapwidget&utm_medium=internal&utm_source=aljazeera
Biden now reported as 0.5% ahead in Wisconsin according to Decision HQ (change from Trump +4% a few hours ago). Also they have Trump's lead in Michigan down to 4% from 8% over the same period. Pennsylvania still Trump + 12%
Trump wants to stop the voting/counting.
As Biden is ahead doesn't that mean he would win?????
No, because as he, Donald, said he's already won. No need to count any more, or confirm; just declare him the winner.