Slightly late sorry. It has been busy lately …
The latest One News Colmar Brunton Poll is very comforting for the left. Labour is down from its stratospheric heights of 53% to 49%. It scored 50% in the 2020 election.
National is up 2% to 27%, dead cat bounce territory. The Greens are up 1%, well done.
The aspect of the poll that has attracted the most attention is the preferred Prime Minister figures.
These were presented as a shock horror Jacinda’s support has plunged. But the undecided figure went from 13% to 27%. Most of them are probably still supportive of Jacinda but have exercised the prerogative of not committing.
The funny thing is that the party support is presented as a percentage of committed votes but the preferred Prime Minister results are not.
I would not read much if anything into it. And if the Hosking/Herald/Newstalk ZB/Soper blitzkrieg on Ardern over the past couple of weeks had not had an effect then we should immediately declare the people’s republic of Aotearoa and get on with building a Socialist nirvana.
Collins is also down. She shedded a third of her support. But for the lack of a coherent alternative she would be toast by now.
It is disappointing that the spin being applied to this result is a crash in support for Ardern. Labour and Ardern are still in the position where Labour can still rule as a majority Government in an MMP environment. These are spectacularly interesting times …