Daily review 10/08/2023
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5:30 pm, August 10th, 2023 - 24 comments
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- The Book of Evidence-based-evidence
Now, in the land of leaky buildings and the Warehouse-where-everyone-gets-a-bargain, there came an electionAnd this was the one known as the show-bloody-Labour-the-bloody-door electionAnd there came into this election the one known as ChrisAnd of fresh thought or original idea, Chris was full emptyBut this was all good broFor Chris was ...19 mins ago - Fact brief – Are most glaciers growing?
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In 1992 James Carville, Bill Clinton’s lead strategist, hung a sign on the wall of the Democratic candidate’s campaign office in Little Rock, Arkansas. It had three lines on it to focus the team on the key vote-swinging issues and one of those lines would become so famous it’s turned ...18 hours ago - Let’s Make Things Better
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1 day ago - Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity
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Way back in 1839, the New Zealand Company bought the area that is now Nelson from local iwi and hapu. As part of the deal, they promised that Māori would retain their homes, fields, and burial grounds, and that in addition, 10% of the land in the planned township and ...2 days ago - US military-industrial-sports complex.
A US friend of mine wrote on social media about attending a Homecoming football game at her niece’s Red State university. Although the referees stunk and her team lost, my friend said that she enjoyed her visit, especially the halftime … Continue reading ...2 days ago - The Hoon around the week to November 1
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- Geoffrey Miller: New Zealand’s breakthrough free trade deal with the Gulf
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Mike King’s latest comments about the relationship between alcohol and mental health – according to King, alcohol does more good than harm – raises red flags once again about this organisation, and the quality of the “counselling” it provides. Here’s what the scientific research says. The latest example of King’s ...2 days ago - Skeptical Science New Research for Week #44 2024
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This afternoon, I turned to the fellow sitting near me and called out:“Guess what? A guy who runs a charity for mental health just said alcohol is a solution!”And his eyes popped out…his mouth opened ajar.That gave me some satisfaction - only because this person has zero care when it ...3 days ago - What can you do about bad journalism?
Day after day of David Seymour being accorded media time and attention like he’s doing this stuff in good faith and advancing these ideas in earnest. Come on. He’s a cosplaying libertarian who is really just a glove puppet for anti-democratic capitalist pigs. Read more ...3 days ago - A collapse in police legitimacy
Last week, the government had a big wank about police raids in Ōpōtiki, crowing about "gangs" and "drugs" and "law and order". Unfortunately the police did exactly the same shit they did in the Urewera terror raids 17 years ago, dragging people off in front of their kids and terrorising ...3 days ago
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A few days ago I responded to a post about Trump being a fascist on one of my friend’s social media page, then made a few comments on the consultancy social media page by way of follow up. Given the … Continue reading ...6 days ago
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- People of Courage & Decency. And Everyone In Between.
Today, news broke that Jeff Bezos, the American billionaire with a net worth of $206 B (NZ $344B), personally vetoed Washington Post’s Editorial Team from endorsing Kamala Harris.That stops the decades-old tradition of the Wapo for endorsing Presidential candidates. And editors have resigned - that includes Editor at large Robert ...1 week ago - Let’s Talk About… Anything.
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1 week ago - Why Nations Fail
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The Waitangi Tribunal has been one of the most effective critics of the National government and its racist, anti-Māori agenda. So naturally, they're sabotaging it with a crony appointment: Former ACT Party leader Richard Prebble has been appointed to the Waitangi Tribunal. Prebble, a Commander of the British Empire, ...1 week ago
- Ghost of a (Mad) Dog
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... 
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The Green Party is urgently calling on the Government to ban bottom trawling, following news a New Zealand bottom trawler caught 37kg of coral in international waters, prompting the suspension of all fishing in the area until 2026. ...2 days ago - Mark Patterson: Farmers understand we have their backs
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The National Government should review its support for Gumboot Friday after unacceptable comments by its leader and champion Mike King. ...3 days ago - Louise Upston cherry-picks data to punch down on the poor
The Government has very conveniently cherry-picked data from the latest MSD projections to justify its cruel agenda and punch-down policy when it comes to people living in poverty. ...3 days ago
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- Govt Must Clean Up ‘Its Shit’ From Sunken HMNZS Manawanui
Te Pāti Māori is calling out the Government and New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) for their inaction and disgraceful downplaying of the impact caused by the sunken HMNZS Manawanui in Samoa. “We demand the Government move without further delay to clean up its shit from the sunken HMNZS Manawanui in Samoa,” said co-leader Debbie ...6 days ago
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Labour is backing Christchurch City Council’s decision not to do business with firms involved in Israel’s illegal settlements in the Occupied Territories. ...1 week ago
- Release: Government driving away offshore wind industry
The Government has created a hostile environment for companies seeking to build offshore wind farms. ...1 week ago
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Te Pāti Māori is enraged at the National government’s ruthless punishment of beneficiaries, all while jobs are disappearing. MSD data shows a 133% increase in sanctions over the past year, with over 14,000 sanctions in just three months. The kicker? The jobs this government insists people should find are nowhere ...2 weeks ago
- Police Perpetuate Siege on Ōpōtiki
Te Pāti Māori MP for Waiariki, Rawiri Waititi, says today’s police-sponsored terrorism in Ōpōtiki is a continuation of the State’s predatory behaviour towards the iwi of Te Whakatōhea. "Ōpōtiki is once again being intentionally targeted and is the direct byproduct of this Government’s 'tough on crime' legislative changes,” said MP ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Govt cuts school lunches even further
The Government has gone back on its word and cut the full school lunch programme in primary schools after saying it wouldn’t. ...2 weeks ago
- Time to shut down failed Youth Justice Residences
The Green Party is calling for Youth Justice Residences to close, following a protest in which a group of young people spent the night on the roof of an Oranga Tamariki justice facility. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Appalling process on three strikes law
The Government is subverting parliamentary process on laws the evidence already shows don’t work. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Labour calls for investigation into tobacco tax cut
The Government’s decision to award a $216 million tax break for Philip Morris’ heated tobacco products reeks of tobacco industry interference and needs to be thoroughly investigated. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Delay to retirement village review won’t help residents
The National Government is treading water on a much-needed review of the Retirement Villages Act, kicking any amendments down the road till the next parliamentary term in 2027. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Serious concerns ignored in Govt’s fast track bill
National’s fast track bill enables the most radical and unbalanced consenting regime in living memory. ...2 weeks ago
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Despite resounding public opposition, the fast-track legislation is being pushed through Parliament with provisions that could have real consequences for people and planet. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Labour supports continuing fight for dairy access
Labour welcomes the National Government’s decision to further pursue our access to the Canadian dairy market under the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Job losses devastating for Timaru
Confirmed news that the Smithfield meatworks will close is devastating for the hundreds of people who work there, Timaru and the wider region. ...2 weeks ago
- New Zealand First Member’s Bill to Improve Access to Palliative Care
New Zealand First has introduced a Member’s Bill which aims to improve access to palliative care for all New Zealanders, ensuring kiwis have better access to the compassionate palliative support they may need. The ‘Improving Access to Palliative Care Bill’ seeks to guarantee that every New Zealander has the right ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Further uncertainty for Kiwirail as jobs set to go
KiwiRail offering voluntary redundancy to all its staff is hugely concerning given the future of New Zealand’s rail system is under threat. ...2 weeks ago
- ASA Declares Hobson’s Pledge Advertising Misleading and Socially Irresponsible
Te Pāti Māori Co-leaders Rawiri Waititi and Debbie Ngarewa-Packer welcome today’s ruling from the Advertising Standards Authority (ASA), which found that a Hobson's Pledge advertisement regarding customary marine titles was misleading and socially irresponsible. The two-page wraparound ad, published in The New Zealand Herald, suggested that nearly the entire coastline ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Benefit numbers continue to soar under National
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Entering politics is a privilege afforded to very few and, as the saying goes, with great power comes great responsibility. Being an MP is a call to service. Whatever your politics you have a duty to show up. Whatever your party's policy, you have made a promise to those who ...2 weeks ago
- Soaring benefit sanctions push more into poverty
Sanctions on beneficiaries have sky-rocketed since the Coalition Government came to power, pushing more families into poverty. ...2 weeks ago
- International Energy Agency issues wake-up call on climate action
Today’s report from the International Energy Agency highlights how far this Government’s actions are dragging us backwards in the fight against climate change. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Lack of funding puts pressure on frontline Police
News that 173 roles are being cut at Police will only put more pressure on the frontline. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Bipartisan agreement on outdated marriage law
Changes to outdated relationships legislation has passed its third reading giving family violence survivors the power to quickly dissolve abusive marriages. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Cuts to Apprenticeship Boost will fail future NZ
The Government’s cuts to the Apprenticeship Boost programme will leave New Zealand without the workforce it needs to build homes, schools and hospitals. ...3 weeks ago
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Another poll with labour in the 20's
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/495523/taxpayers-union-poll-suggests-seven-seats-for-nz-first-in-opposition
Although too late for this election it should be a wake-up call if the party wants a future
Obviously not too late for this election, but more importantly, it is amazing that Luxon has single-handedly revived NZ First. He's opened the coffin and delivered the kiss of life to a corpse.
MMP for Beginners, chapter 1: if you leave a vacuum, somebody else will fill it. Just saying "we're against the other lot" might work in a 2-party system, but not in NZ.
National's strategy of standing for nothing (under a leader who is nothing) could leave them with the "coalition of chaos", a richly deserved irony.
My impression is that National, ACT and NZ First are vying for the same voters. In short Waitakere man and woman.
We have Chris Trotter to thank for that insightful description of the typical politically uninformed, conservative and reactionary voters. I hasten to add that not everyone who resides in the Waitakere region are so inclined. Looking at mickysavage. 🙂
When it comes to the crunch, there are only so many of them spread around the country so it will be interesting to see how they divide themselves up on election day.
I think quite a few Centre Right Voters will vote NZF as I don't think they could stomach a National/ACT Coalition who would reign merry hell on this country and kick the poor and disadvantaged further down the Sewer Pipe.
Well said Obs.
What menu do you suggest Labour offer up if it wants a future?
https://thestandard.org.nz/open-mike-03-08-2023/#comment-1962844
Ok, gruel and slops. Prison food.
The "baby faced assassin" is trying to sleep walk to victory, using the formula that worked for the… "smiling assassin".
Unbelievably despite not having Hatmans ability to fake sincerity. it's. Working.
Time for Chris Hipkins to go. He's finished, as is Labour if they stick with him and his captains calls.
Fresh face, fresh ideas let's do this!
Riiight. Who you got in mind ? Luxon ? Seymour?
I would have chosen Wood and Kiri but now it has to be Kieran McAnulty and Cushla Tangaere‑Manuel.
Labours polling in the 20s. Winston is going with the right if needed.
What other choices do we have? Hold on and hope this is going to turn around with Hipkins and his incrementalist attitude in charge?
Yeah, good luck with that…
The obvious problem with your panicky proposal is that Hipkins is both much more popular than his party and Luxon.
Well you hold on to that won't you.
Even though the latest poll showed Luxon and Hipkins neck and neck at 25% preferred PM.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/election-2023-new-poll-shows-labour-crashing-nzf-rising-and-national-act-with-enough-support-to-govern/HNJHVHFYWRBY3HO735BBDFTHFA/
Changing the Labour leader at this stage…is just nuts. Beside that some..seem to think that giving up is "the" option…to teach Labour some kind of lesson. Like 3 (or more) years of NAct will be some kind of payback.
I think I'll leave you to it.
It is nuts, but Labour need a circuit breaker.
I genuinely believe Kieren would get immediate cut through.
The status quo is not working.
Labour could release some policy that voters want?
Yes that seems a simpler idea than a change of leadership at this stage, so close to an election. .
You are a National MP in 2020. Or you have the memory of a goldfish.
Aye PB ! Seemingly, some keen on running up the white flag….
Well, I can understand the recommendation not to panic – and in reality the left/right blocks are still close (I wouldn't care to call the election).
However, the last 3 polls all have Labour in the 20s – and the last 7 all have Labour being outpointed by National (despite the lack of cut through of Luxon with the electorate).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_New_Zealand_general_election
At what point do you start to consider that Labour need to take some effective action?
Waiting for the final election result in October will, indeed, be too late.
For those who still haven't grasped it (and there seem to be a few who comment on TS), today we have yet more evidence that being unhappy with the government is in no way related to wanting more right-wing policies:
That evil wealth tax that Nat/ACT want to scare us with, and Hipkins was scared by …
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2023/08/newshub-reid-research-poll-results-do-kiwis-support-chris-hipkins-decision-to-rule-out-wealth-tax.html
Turns out the voters might be more reasonable than the politicians.
Not a gambling person but if I was going to call it on election day I would be looking at the percentage of undecided in all these polls. I would say Labour may have the leading points at the moment, just not reflected in all these polls.
I remember Jim Bolger in a similar position as Hipkins is now back in the 90's saying…."bugger the polls" and he went on to win another term.
But then I am an optimist and prefer light over darkness……