Daily review 14/07/2022

20 comments on “Daily review 14/07/2022 ”

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1. joe90 1

   14 July 2022 at 6:29 pm

   Now they've identified the doctor, doxxed her and posted her image. George Tiller, anyone?

   https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1547367841539756038

   The case of a 10-year-old child rape victim in Ohio who was six weeks pregnant, ineligible for an abortion in her own state, and forced to travel to Indiana for the procedure has spotlighted the shocking impact of the US supreme court ruling on abortion.

   The story of the girl came to light three days after the court overturned a nationwide right to terminate pregnancy, and Ohio’s six-week “trigger ban” came into effect.

   Dr Caitlin Bernard, an Indianapolis obstetrician-gynecologist, said she had received a call from a colleague doctor in Ohio who treats child abuse victims and asked for help. Indiana’s lawmakers have not yet banned or restricted abortion, but they are likely to do so when a special session of the state assembly convenes later this month.

   https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jul/03/ohio-indiana-abortion-rape-victim
2. Anne 2

   14 July 2022 at 6:43 pm

   I am disappointed the government has not seen fit to 'up the ante' over mask wearing. It has become noticeable at my local supermarket that an increasing number of individuals are ignoring the rule. The staff are not enforcing it any more and I fully understand why. They are being harassed, bullied and abused by the recalcitrants which must be very upsetting. The aggression and vitriol is frightening.

   Imo, much of the blame lies with sections of the media. They are giving far too much air/viewing time to a bunch of malcontents who comprise less than 4% of the population. They did the same thing with CC deniers and look where that has left us… bequeathing future generations to the horrors of an over-heated planet.
   • Ed 2.1

     14 July 2022 at 6:56 pm

     Totally agree Anne.
     • aj 2.1.1

       14 July 2022 at 7:19 pm

       If you could get all parties together to support mask wearing in all indoor locations, that would be a big help.

       Politics is getting in the road of medical sense, and has been since day 1 of this pandemic, and it lies at the feet of National and ACT.
       • mauī 2.1.1.1

         14 July 2022 at 7:53 pm

         This isn't medical sense though, much of the idea behind vaccinations and mask wearing was to avoid putting stress on and potentially collapsing the health system. And look where we are at now… achieving exactly what we didn't want.
         • aj 2.1.1.1.1

           14 July 2022 at 7:57 pm

           I agree. This is a great summary of where we are heading.

           Contrarian opinion: the recession we're having now (or heading into) is caused primarily by covid, and not by monetary policy or inflation or anything like that

           https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1547421878918139904.html
           • Blazer 2.1.1.1.1.1

             14 July 2022 at 8:24 pm

             qualifies for Ripley's….'believe it…or not'!

             Covid the scapegoat for…everything.
             • aj …

               15 July 2022 at 10:07 am

               When covid arrived many economists predicted house price collapses and recession. Now the recession is imminent, the reasons given are for everything except covid. Alomst like it doesn't exist.

               He makes some interesting and valid points.

               To be very generous, we assume here that EVERYONE makes a full recovery and has no lingering effects. We know that's not true, but let's start there – we'll factor it in later.

               Given a 14-day illness cycle and 1 million new infections per day, that means roughly 14,000,000 people are out of work or otherwise compromised (maybe they are still coming into work because they have no choice) on any given day.

               There are roughly 150 million people in the working population of the US, so 50% of the population is working, and we'll distribute the 14 million sick evenly into that (i.e. 7 million people sick on any day out of the working population).

               This means that nearly 5% of the working population is compromised at any one time. With variants evading both vaccines and prior immunity, and no mitigation methods in place, people will continue getting reinfected over and over, so no herd immunity will be reached.

               Thus, if you have a team of 20, there's going to be on average one person out on any given day. Factoring in a 20% long-covid rate, about 1-2 of those people who are out won't come back for a while.

               In total, you're looking at about 10-15% of your team out sick or compromised. Covid seems to cause brain inflammation, people who are infected (or long-covid) often make errors in their work that they don't even detect.

               So you're also going to have about 5-10% of your team making errors repeatedly at a higher rate than before due to the brain inflammation: some long-haul people go back to work, or try to.

               (Say 5% do make a full no-brain-inflammation recovery)

               It's actually a bit more than that, because the half of the 14 million sick who aren't working are probably children or dependents, which then affects the work ability of their working parents/caretakers.

               If we were to assume that every child that gets sick also puts their parent out of work (or reduces their performance), you could be seeing as much as 30-40% of a team compromised.

               Either way you try to cover for that, it's going to affect a business's output.

               And that's what we're seeing: stores with reduced hours because staff is out sick. Restaurants that don't have enough staff for full capacity. Slower production, canceled flights, supply chain disruption leading to longer delivery times and reduced stock in stores.

               It's not a total collapse: you can't get your favorite brand but you can get the other one. Your flight's canceled but you can fly tomorrow. You can go to another restaurant. Starbucks can't do in-store but drive-thru is open. It's just a reduced level of service.

               All of this is tolerable, but it's going to ripple through an interconnected economy and reduce total economic throughput.

               And that is a true recession: human beings are what produce value, and if you kill their elderly relatives and then make 10-15% of them sick, the rate of value creation will go down.
   • Matiri 2.2

     14 July 2022 at 7:23 pm

     Meanwhile in the UK, doctors are calling for the return of mask wearing, staying home when sick etc as case numbers and deaths surge.

     https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/13/calls-for-more-covid-control-measures-after-uk-death-toll-passes-200000
   • Jilly Bee 2.3

     14 July 2022 at 8:05 pm

     
3. Anker 3

   14 July 2022 at 7:33 pm

   https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/129273745/nurses-organisation-asks-health-minister-to-focus-on-health-crisis-instead-of-putdowns

   Couldn't agree more with the union, who say they are saddened Little focussed on putdowns rather than fixing things. Oh and thanking these hard working exausted professionals wouldn't go amiss either.
   • weka 3.1

     14 July 2022 at 7:44 pm

     I haven't been following closely, but my mind boggles that Little and Labour would be picking a fight with the Nurses union at this time.
4. Poission 4

   14 July 2022 at 7:34 pm

   Australia holds energy forum (clean energy) in Sydney 12/13th July.

   https://twitter.com/AlboMP/status/1546662561592258560?cxt=HHwWgMDRsffZ7PYqAAAA

   Australian PM ( Airbus Albanese) flys out to Fiji to discuss problems with the Pacific and China.

   After leaving the room,officials (mostly European) started working the phones to BHP etc to ask for forward contracts not only for Gas,but large volumes of coal.( Gas having transitioned to renewable under European pronoun rules)

   https://twitter.com/SStapczynski/status/1547066884272508928

   China has just announced that it will remove ban of Australian coal,( Citing problems with supply for Russian coking coal) adding additional competition for importers.There is an additional problem in China with a mortgage strike across 22 areas due to customers not wanting to contribute to developers at risk of not completing builds.
5. Sacha 5

   14 July 2022 at 7:37 pm

   Gordon Campbell, not amused: http://werewolf.co.nz/2022/07/gordon-campbell-on-labours-bunker-mentality/

   What has gone wrong with the Beehive – and its teams of advisers – that they now seem incapable of getting in front of an issue, and setting the terms of the political debate?

   Time and again – on the cost of living, on public health, on supermarket reform, on law and order issues and the gangs – National is being given acres of room to set the terms of reference, while the government crouches in its bunker and then …Finally… Weeks later, puts out an attempt at damage limitation.
   • Stuart Munro 5.1

     14 July 2022 at 9:00 pm

     Although Gordon is quite right, these quick fire responses are better in general than anything we've seen in decades – It's been that bad.

     Welfare increases, a winter energy payment for workers whose employers are too cheap to pay them adequately, a soupcon of pushback against the floodgates of mass unskilled migration – we never got any of that from Helen Clark.

     It would be awfully nice though, if Labour could recognize that nothing Roger Douglas came up with was anything but horrific for working people, and actually start again from their beginnings, rebuilding the dignity of work for all New Zealanders.
6. Anker 6

   14 July 2022 at 7:48 pm

   Couldn't agree more with Gordon Campbell. Maybe they are all burnt out.
   • aj 6.1

     14 July 2022 at 8:00 pm

     Because they have been concentrating on everything happening, except political consequences?
7. Kat 7

   14 July 2022 at 9:20 pm

   National/Act and their sycophants in the media want to kill the Ardern Labour govt and the modis operandi is by way of a thousand cuts.

   2023 election is the litmus test on the maturity of the NZ electorate…..
   • Anne 7.1

     14 July 2022 at 9:27 pm

     "2023 election is the litmus test on the maturity of the NZ electorate….."

     And their political literacy.
     • Kat 7.1.1

       14 July 2022 at 9:51 pm

       "And their political literacy….."

       Yes Anne, sadly I won't be holding my breath on that count either.

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