One News Poll: the next leader of the National Party (Simon Bridges) is as popular as the Leagalise Cannabis party, both on 1%.
Meanwhile the news runs the protest footage and ignores the fact that the protest parties and leaders register nothing in the poll. If they were the voices of the people surely Advance NZ or Brian Tamaki could muster a measly 1%? But no – they are less popular than Chloe Swarbrick.
“Jacinda Ardern and her party have taken a hit in the latest 1News Colmar Brunton Poll, revealing a drop in Labour’s support to 41% and Ardern as preferred Prime Minister to 39%.
National is still behind on 28%, rising two points since September’s poll, the party’s leader Judith Collins has plunged to a new low in her approval rating, of -31.
Agree. Would be seen as a retrograde step by swing voters.
Bridges had his shot. He didn’t have the charisma, the timing, or the smarts.
He’s not now going to be able to persuade folk he suddenly has since acquired all 3.
A Senior Cabinet Minister, yes, maybe even a Deputy (might be a smart move, politically) but not a PM.
But at these numbers, the debate’s moot. National doesn’t look like it’s git the numbers yet to have a serious run at the Govt Benches. Give it more time & a new leader …
Theres s good chance labour will lose next time , humans a queer fuckers, were fighting the biggest threat in all of our lifetimes, yet they resent the medicine.
Not helped by the weak minded and and the fools that play politics.
The Greens are smart enough to play it long, not get caught up in the instant headline addiction.
They would like a larger minority "stake" in the next majority, but as long as Labour have no other realistic options for support parties, the Green influence in that 2023 majority would be the strongest in their history.
If you mean the public have decided that they don't want Collins or Bridges, then that trend is indeed set in concrete. Ardern is practically hugging herself with glee.
She may well be, on tv she sometimes seem like shecis – but she’s not convincing me that it’s a genuine climax. I think she’s just faking it in hopes she makes it.
And nobody should be at all surprised. If everything was going well, there would still be a drop from an artificial high. Everything is not going well, so that drops a few more points.
Ever since election night 2020 anyone with any sense has known that a 3rd term = Labour + Greens. Until National transform themselves to win swing voters, that is the likely outcome.
The trend is that Labour have dropped, in a 12 month period, from 53% support to 41%. National went from 25 to 28, Greens from 8 to 9 and ACT from 8 to 14.
Extrapolating out for the 24 or so months to the next election would give us Labour 17%, National 34%, Greens on 11% and ACT on 20%. Poor Jacinda, I wonder when she will jump, or will she be pushed by all the backbenchers who can see they will actually have to go out and try and find a job in the real world?
Will it happen? I doubt it. I really doubt that Labour will hold up as well as my extrapolation predicts. When National changes from Collins to Luxon their support will rocket up as well.
Seymour is confused. His true pro-business and bollocks to the rest position is gradually becoming clear. The electorate will spot this in 2 years time.
I’m on official doctor’s orders to ignore being on a statin because “The weight you’re down to you don’t have a cholesterol problem.”
“Your first priority is to out the weight back on, fast. Eat fats, lots of fats. Butter. Olive oil. Cheese. Ice Cream. Pork. Bacon. Chicken with skin on. Pies. Pastries. Cream….”
“And if you have a sweet tooth, Gez, now is the time to indulge it!”
The local New World frequently does pork belly & puts it in the hot food self-serve cooked chickens, chicken halves & chicken quarters. They also do pork roasts.
I’ll need to keep up the red meat munching for the haem iron intake, but I am SO going to be pigging out on porridge & cream, & on pork – it’s me favourite meat. 😋
“Analysis – Nanaia Mahuta’s first foreign trip is finally under way. New Zealand’s Foreign Minister began a seven-country tour of Australia, Singapore, Indonesia, the UAE, Qatar, the US and Canada on Thursday.”
Interesting look at Mahuta’s upcoming first Foreign Affairs overseas trip.
**Geoffrey Miller is the Democracy Project’s international analyst and writes on current New Zealand foreign policy and related geopolitical issues. He has lived in Germany and the Middle East and is a fluent speaker of German and Arabic.*
It's easy for me, I'm not in the situation of having to make decisions.
A West Otago Principal: “I think we are resigned to the fact people’s careers are being ruined by this. It’s not good for anyone,” he said.
Apparently people who die of covid have their careers ruined too. That is not good for anyone. I've read so many accounts of people who strongly advocated against being vaccinated who became extremely ill and lamented their choice. And others who vociferously supported non-vaccination who died.
Todd McClay. Dick. How many extra intensive care beds have been established at Rotorua Hospital in his time?
"A disaster waiting to happen."
That's how Rotorua MP Todd McClay describes Lakes DHB's ability to cope with a Delta outbreak after it was revealed there are only four fully staffed intensive care beds in Rotorua."
Todd McClay has been the MP for Rotorua since the end of 2008. He was in Government from then until October 2017. He had a stint in Cabinet for three years.
If he wants to play politics with Covid let's do it. There were big development at Rotorua Hospital in the 2009-2012 period. McClay's doing or from the Clark Government?
Yep, if someone from here needs one in the outbreak they'll be at least 350km from home and loved ones, that's if there's a bed in Dunedin. Otherwise it's Christchurch 500km away.
My point is that a pandemic comes along and politicians who were in positions to do something about providing best case/worst case scenarios with resources get all excited about other politicians not doing what they could have done, should have done.
You know, the perspicacity, the courage, the standing up for what you belief, the head on the block attitude they expect of others they didn't have themselves.
Whangarei Hospital has been in the news for the poor state of it's infrastructure. They have their first Labour MP since 1975. National MPs now getting all excited about a run down facility? Yeah nah.
yup. question for Todd why didn't his do nothing government address the problem in 9 years of government. same for Waititi, his party had 9 years in government with National.
Mountain Tui is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Correction: On the article The Condundrum of David Seymour, Luke Malpass conducted joint reviews with Bryce Wilkinson, the architect of the Regulatory Standards Bill - not Bryce Edwards. The article ...
Tomorrow the council’s Transport, Resilience and Infrastructure Committee meet and agenda has a few interesting papers. Council’s Letter of Expectation to Auckland Transport Every year the council provide a Letter of Expectation to Auckland Transport which is part of the process for informing AT of the council’s priorities and ...
All around in my home townThey're trying to track me down, yeahThey say they want to bring me in guiltyFor the killing of a deputyFor the life of a deputySongwriter: Robert Nesta Marley.Support Nick’s Kōrero today with a 20% discount on a paid subscription to receive all my newsletters directly ...
Hi,I think all of us have probably experienced the power of music — that strange, transformative thing that gets under our skin and helps us experience this whole life thing with some kind of sanity.Listening and experiencing music has always been such a huge part of my life, and has ...
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I have now lived long enough to see a cabinet minister go both barrels on their Prime Minister and not get sacked.It used to be that the PM would have a drawer full of resignations signed by ministers on the day of their appointment, ready for such an occasion. But ...
This session will feature Simon McCallum, Senior Lecturer in Engineering and Computer Science (VUW) and recent Labour Party candidate in the Southland Electorate talking about some of the issues around AI and how this should inform Labour Party policy. Simon is an excellent speaker with a comprehensive command of AI ...
The proposed Waimate garbage incinerator is dead: The company behind a highly-controversial proposal to build a waste-to-energy plant in the Waimate District no longer has the land. [...] However, SIRRL director Paul Taylor said the sales and purchase agreement to purchase land from Murphy Farms, near Glenavy, lapsed at ...
The US Foreign Corrupt Practices Act has been a vital tool in combatting international corruption. It forbids US companies and citizens from bribing foreign public officials anywhere in the world. And its actually enforced: some of the world's biggest companies - Siemens, Hewlett Packard, and Bristol Myers Squibb - have ...
December 2024 photo - with UK Tory Boris Johnson (Source: Facebook)Those PollsFor hours, political poll results have resounded across political hallways and commentary.According to the 1News Verizon poll, 50% of the country believe we are heading in the “wrong direction”, while 39% believe we are “on the right track”.The left ...
A Tai Rāwhiti mill that ran for 30 years before it was shut down in late 2023 is set to re-open in the coming months, which will eventually see nearly 300 new jobs in the region. A new report from Massey University shows that pensioners are struggling with rising costs. ...
As support continues to fall, Luxon also now faces his biggest internal ructions within the coalition since the election, with David Seymour reacting badly to being criticised by the PM. File photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāLong stories short, the top six things in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate ...
Not since 1988 when Richard Prebble openly criticised David Lange have we seen such a challenge to a Prime Minister as that of David Seymour to Christopher Luxon last night. Prebble suggested Lange had mental health issues during a TV interview and was almost immediately fired. Seymour hasn’t gone quite ...
Three weeks in, and the 24/7 news cycle is not helping anyone feel calm and informed about the second Trump presidency. One day, the US is threatening 25% trade tariffs on its friends and neighbours. The reasons offered by the White House are absurd, such as stopping fentanyl coming in ...
This video includes personal musings and conclusions of the creator climate scientist Dr. Adam Levy. It is presented to our readers as an informed perspective. Please see video description for references (if any). Wherever you look, you'll hear headlines claiming we've passed 1.5 degrees of global warming. And while 2024 saw ...
Photo by Heather M. Edwards on UnsplashHere’s the key news, commentary, reports and debate around Aotearoa’s politics and economy in the week to Feb 10 below. That’s ahead of live chats on the Substack App and The Kākā’s front page on Substack at 5pm with: on his column in The ...
Is there anyone in the world the National Party loves more than a campaign donor? Why yes, there is! They will always have the warmest hello and would you like to slip into something more comfortable for that great god of our age, the High Net Worth Individual.The words the ...
Waste and fraud certainly exist in foreign aid programs, but rightwing celebration of USAID’s dismantling shows profound ignorance of the value of soft power (as opposed to hard power) in projecting US influence and interests abroad by non-military/coercive means (think of “hearts and minds,” “hugs, not bullets,” “honey versus vinegar,” ...
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A few weeks ago I took a look at public transport ridership in 2024. In today’s post I’m going to be looking a bit deeper at bus ridership. Buses make up the vast majority of ridership in Auckland with 70 million boardings last year out of a total of 89.4 ...
Oh, you know I did itIt's over and I feel fineNothing you could say is gonna change my mindWaited and I waited the longest nightNothing like the taste of sweet declineSongwriters: Chris Shiflett / David Eric Grohl / Nate Mendel / Taylor Hawkins.Hindsight is good, eh?The clarity when the pieces ...
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A listing of 23 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, February 2, 2025 thru Sat, February 8, 2025. This week's roundup is again published soleley by category. We are still interested in feedback to hone the categorization, so if ...
Today, I stumbled across a Twitter Meme: the ending of The Lord of the Rings as a Chess scenario: https://x.com/mellon_heads/status/1887983845917564991 It gets across the basic gist. Aragorn and Gandalf offering up ‘material’ at the Morannon allows Frodo and Samwise to catch Sauron unawares – fair enough. But there are a ...
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Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park from the Gigafact team in collaboration with members from our team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Is methane the ...
The Government’s idea is that the private sector and Community Housing Providers will fund, build and operate new affordable housing to address our housing crisis. Meanwhile, the Government does not know where almost half of the 1,700 children who left emergency housing actually went. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāLong ...
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Waitangi Day is a time to honour Te Tiriti o Waitangi and stand together for a just and fair Aotearoa. Across the motu, communities are gathering to reflect, kōrero, and take action for a future built on equity and tino rangatiratanga. From dawn ceremonies to whānau-friendly events, there are ...
Subscribe to Mountain Tūī ! Where you too can learn about exciting things from a flying bird! Tweet.Yes - I absolutely suck at marketing. It’s a fact.But first -My question to all readers is:How should I set up the Substack model?It’s been something I’ve been meaning to ask since November ...
Here’s the key news, commentary, reports and debate around Aotearoa’s political economy on politics and in the week to Feb 3:PM Christopher Luxon began 2025’s first day of Parliament last Tuesday by carrying on where left off in 2024, letting National’s junior coalition partner set the political agenda and dragging ...
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Te Whatu Ora Chief Executive Margie Apa leaving her job four months early is another symptom of this government’s failure to deliver healthcare for New Zealanders. ...
The Green Party is calling for the Prime Minister to show leadership and be unequivocal about Aotearoa New Zealand’s opposition to a proposal by the US President to remove Palestinians from Gaza. ...
The latest unemployment figures reveal that job losses are hitting Māori and Pacific people especially hard, with Māori unemployment reaching a staggering 9.7% for the December 2024 quarter and Pasifika unemployment reaching 10.5%. ...
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The Green Party says the Government is giving up on growing the country’s public housing stock, despite overwhelming evidence that we need more affordable houses to solve the housing crisis. ...
Before any thoughts of the New Year and what lies ahead could even be contemplated, New Zealand reeled with the tragedy of Senior Sergeant Lyn Fleming losing her life. For over 38 years she had faithfully served as a front-line Police officer. Working alongside her was Senior Sergeant Adam Ramsay ...
Green Party co-leader Marama Davidson will return to politics at Waitangi on Monday the 3rd of February where she will hold a stand up with fellow co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick. ...
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Green Party MP Steve Abel this morning joined Coromandel locals in Waihi to condemn new mining plans announced by Shane Jones in the pit of the town’s Australian-owned Gold mine. ...
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Labour is relieved to see Children’s Minister Karen Chhour has woken up to reality and reversed her government’s terrible decisions to cut funding from frontline service providers – temporarily. ...
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The Green Party says that with no-cause evictions returning from today, the move to allow landlords to end tenancies without reason plunges renters, and particularly families who rent, into insecurity and stress. ...
The Government’s move to increase speed limits substantially on dozens of stretches of rural and often undivided highways will result in more serious harm. ...
In her first announcement as Economic Growth Minister, Nicola Willis chose to loosen restrictions for digital nomads from other countries, rather than focus on everyday Kiwis. ...
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Firstly I want to thank OceanaGold for hosting our event today. Your operation at Waihi is impressive. I want to acknowledge local MP Scott Simpson, local government dignitaries, community stakeholders and all of you who have gathered here today. It’s a privilege to welcome you to the launch of the ...
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Business confidence remains very high and shows the economy is on track to improve, Economic Growth Minister Nicola Willis says. “The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey, released yesterday, shows business confidence and expected own activity are ‘still both very high’.” The survey reports business confidence fell eight points to +54 ...
Enabling works have begun this week on an expanded radiology unit at Hawke’s Bay Fallen Soldiers’ Memorial Hospital which will double CT scanning capacity in Hawke’s Bay to ensure more locals can benefit from access to timely, quality healthcare, Health Minister Simeon Brown says. This investment of $29.3m in the ...
The Government has today announced New Zealand’s second international climate target under the Paris Agreement, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand will reduce emissions by 51 to 55 per cent compared to 2005 levels, by 2035. “We have worked hard to set a target that is both ambitious ...
Nine years of negotiations between the Crown and iwi of Taranaki have concluded following Te Pire Whakatupua mō Te Kāhui Tupua/the Taranaki Maunga Collective Redress Bill passing its third reading in Parliament today, Treaty Negotiations Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “This Bill addresses the historical grievances endured by the eight iwi ...
As schools start back for 2025, there will be a relentless focus on teaching the basics brilliantly so all Kiwi kids grow up with the knowledge, skills and competencies needed to grow the New Zealand of the future, Education Minister Erica Stanford says. “A world-leading education system is a key ...
Housing Minister Chris Bishop and Associate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson have welcomed Kāinga Ora’s decision to re-open its tender for carpets to allow wool carpet suppliers to bid. “In 2024 Kāinga Ora issued requests for tender (RFTs) seeking bids from suppliers to carpet their properties,” Mr Bishop says. “As part ...
Associate Education Minister David Seymour has today visited Otahuhu College where the new school lunch programme has served up healthy lunches to students in the first days of the school year. “As schools open in 2025, the programme will deliver nutritious meals to around 242,000 students, every school day. On ...
Minister for Children Karen Chhour has intervened in Oranga Tamariki’s review of social service provider contracts to ensure Barnardos can continue to deliver its 0800 What’s Up hotline. “When I found out about the potential impact to this service, I asked Oranga Tamariki for an explanation. Based on the information ...
A bill to make revenue collection on imported and exported goods fairer and more effective had its first reading in Parliament, Customs Minister Casey Costello said today. “The Customs (Levies and Other Matters) Amendment Bill modernises the way in which Customs can recover the costs of services that are needed ...
Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says the Department of Internal Affairs [the Department] has achieved significant progress in completing applications for New Zealand citizenship. “December 2024 saw the Department complete 5,661 citizenship applications, the most for any month in 2024. This is a 54 per cent increase compared ...
Reversals to Labour’s blanket speed limit reductions begin tonight and will be in place by 1 July, says Minister of Transport Chris Bishop. “The previous government was obsessed with slowing New Zealanders down by imposing illogical and untargeted speed limit reductions on state highways and local roads. “National campaigned on ...
Finance Minister Nicola Willis has announced Budget 2025 – the Growth Budget - will be delivered on Thursday 22 May. “This year’s Budget will drive forward the Government’s plan to grow our economy to improve the incomes of New Zealanders now and in the years ahead. “Budget 2025 will build ...
For the Government, 2025 will bring a relentless focus on unleashing the growth we need to lift incomes, strengthen local businesses and create opportunity. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon today laid out the Government’s growth agenda in his Statement to Parliament. “Just over a year ago this Government was elected by ...
Associate Education Minister David Seymour welcomes students back to school with a call to raise attendance from last year. “The Government encourages all students to attend school every day because there is a clear connection between being present at school and setting yourself up for a bright future,” says Mr ...
The Government is relaxing visitor visa requirements to allow tourists to work remotely while visiting New Zealand, Economic Growth Minister Nicola Willis, Immigration Minister Erica Stanford and Tourism Minister Louise Upston say. “The change is part of the Government’s plan to unlock New Zealand’s potential by shifting the country onto ...
The opening of Kāinga Ora’s development of 134 homes in Epuni, Lower Hutt will provide much-needed social housing for Hutt families, Housing Minister Chris Bishop says. “I’ve been a strong advocate for social housing on Kāinga Ora’s Epuni site ever since the old earthquake-prone housing was demolished in 2015. I ...
Trade and Investment Minister Todd McClay will travel to Australia today for meetings with Australian Trade Minister, Senator Don Farrell, and the Australia New Zealand Leadership Forum (ANZLF). Mr McClay recently hosted Minister Farrell in Rotorua for the annual Closer Economic Relations (CER) Trade Ministers’ meeting, where ANZLF presented on ...
A new monthly podiatry clinic has been launched today in Wairoa and will bring a much-needed service closer to home for the Wairoa community, Health Minister Simeon Brown says.“Health New Zealand has been successful in securing a podiatrist until the end of June this year to meet the needs of ...
The Judicial Conduct Commissioner has recommended a Judicial Conduct Panel be established to inquire into and report on the alleged conduct of acting District Court Judge Ema Aitken in an incident last November, Attorney-General Judith Collins said today. “I referred the matter of Judge Aitken’s alleged conduct during an incident ...
Students who need extra help with maths are set to benefit from a targeted acceleration programme that will give them more confidence in the classroom, Education Minister Erica Stanford says. “Last year, significant numbers of students did not meet the foundational literacy and numeracy level required to gain NCEA. To ...
Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters has announced three new diplomatic appointments. “Our diplomats play an important role in ensuring New Zealand’s interests are maintained and enhanced across the world,” Mr Peters says. “It is a pleasure to announce the appointment of these senior diplomats from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and ...
Ki te kahore he whakakitenga, ka ngaro te Iwi – without a vision, the people will perish. The Government has achieved its target to reduce the number of households in emergency housing motels by 75 per cent five years early, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. The number of households ...
The opening of Palmerston North’s biggest social housing development will have a significant impact for whānau in need of safe, warm, dry housing, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. The minister visited the development today at North Street where a total of 50 two, three, and four-bedroom homes plus a ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced the new membership of the Public Advisory Committee on Disarmament and Arms Control (PACDAC), who will serve for a three-year term. “The Committee brings together wide-ranging expertise relevant to disarmament. We have made six new appointments to the Committee and reappointed two existing members ...
Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora, good morning, talofa, malo e lelei, bula vinaka, da jia hao, namaste, sat sri akal, assalamu alaikum. It’s so great to be here and I’m ready and pumped for 2025. Can I start by acknowledging: Simon Bridges – CEO of the Auckland ...
The Government has unveiled a bold new initiative to position New Zealand as a premier destination for foreign direct investment (FDI) that will create higher paying jobs and grow the economy. “Invest New Zealand will streamline the investment process and provide tailored support to foreign investors, to increase capital investment ...
Science, Innovation and Technology Minister Judith Collins today announced the largest reset of the New Zealand science system in more than 30 years with reforms which will boost the economy and benefit the sector. “The reforms will maximise the value of the $1.2 billion in government funding that goes into ...
Turbocharging New Zealand’s economic growth is the key to brighter days ahead for all Kiwis, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says. In the Prime Minister’s State of the Nation Speech in Auckland today, Christopher Luxon laid out the path to the prosperity that will affect all aspects of New Zealanders’ lives. ...
The latest set of accounts show the Government has successfully checked the runaway growth of public spending, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. “In the previous government’s final five months in office, public spending was almost 10 per cent higher than for the same period the previous year. “That is completely ...
The Government’s welfare reforms are delivering results with the number of people moving off benefits into work increasing year-on-year for six straight months. “There are positive signs that our welfare reset and the return consequences for job seekers who don't fulfil their obligations to prepare for or find a job ...
A battle between health officials and local councils is heating up, as one government party seeks to change the rules. The Bulletin’s Stewart Sowman-Lund explains. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here. ...
A global consultancy will lead the government's review of electricity markets, with a local firm offering advice and two groups of experts providing quality assurance. ...
New Public Service Minister Judith Collins is calling for a culture of saying 'yes', but being honest enough with ministers to "reconcile the vision with reality". ...
The future of nearly a third of all huts and tracks managed by the Department of Conservation is in limbo, as the agency faces a 30 percent shortfall in funding to maintain them. ...
Today I’ve had a bit on. I’m living in a 23.4 metre tug off the coast of Samoa and have been for a few weeks now. I’m on a top-secret mission to help save the planet from another potential environmental disaster.I’m currently tasked with looking out the window and making ...
The ‘loneliness epidemic’ is apparently spreading around the world, but what does it look like here in New Zealand? Rachel Judkins reports. It’s a beautiful summer evening in Cornwall Park, with families scattered on the grass and a live band playing a backing track to their laughter. Sprawled on a ...
The Act leader gets a telling-off from the principal and prime minister Christopher Luxon loses his cool in a heated question time. Echo Chamber is The Spinoff’s dispatch from the press gallery, recapping sessions in the House. Columns are written by politics reporter Lyric Waiwiri-Smith and Wellington editor Joel MacManus. ...
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Opinion: It was the 10th anniversary of UNESCO’s International Day of Women and Girls in Science this week, the theme being ‘Unpacking STEM Careers: Her Voice in Science’. It is 2025, but we still need a lot more of her voices in science.In New Zealand, a 2021 survey found that ...
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The High Court isn’t the appropriate place to solve a South Island iwi’s claims over freshwater, the Crown says.Ngāi Tahu leaders, and the collective Te Rūnanga o Ngāi Tahu, are taking legal action against the Attorney-General, demanding to be involved in decision-making over freshwater. Iwi want the Crown to recognise ...
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Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra The Albanese government will on Wednesday announce it is willing, as a last resort, to purchase the collapsed Rex Airlines, in its latest bid to prop up aviation services to regional and remote areas. As ...
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Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Scott French, Senior Lecturer in Economics, UNSW Sydney US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese have stated an exemption for Australia from Trump’s executive order placing 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imported into the US is “under consideration”. ...
Analysis - Christopher Luxon's attempts to turn the tables back on the Opposition at Question Time today went down like a lead balloon, Jo Moir writes. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Brenton Griffin, Casual Lecturer and Tutor in History, Indigenous Studies, and Politics, Flinders University American Primeval/Netflix On January 24, leaders of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, more commonly known as the Mormon Church, penned a statement condemning the ...
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Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Paul Strangio, Emeritus Professor of Politics, Monash University Is history repeating itself in Labor’s fortress state of Victoria? At the 1990 federal election, Bob Hawke’s Labor government had a near-death experience when it lost nine seats in Victoria. A furious Hawke laid ...
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One News Poll: the next leader of the National Party (Simon Bridges) is as popular as the Leagalise Cannabis party, both on 1%.
Meanwhile the news runs the protest footage and ignores the fact that the protest parties and leaders register nothing in the poll. If they were the voices of the people surely Advance NZ or Brian Tamaki could muster a measly 1%? But no – they are less popular than Chloe Swarbrick.
CB latest from tvnz site:
“Jacinda Ardern and her party have taken a hit in the latest 1News Colmar Brunton Poll, revealing a drop in Labour’s support to 41% and Ardern as preferred Prime Minister to 39%.
National is still behind on 28%, rising two points since September’s poll, the party’s leader Judith Collins has plunged to a new low in her approval rating, of -31.
Party support:
Labour Party: 41% (down 2%-points)
National Party: 28% (up 2%)
ACT: 14% (steady)
Green Party: 9% (up 1%)
New Zealand First: 3% (steady)
Te Paati Māori: 1% (down 1%)
New Conservative: 1% (steady)
TOP: 1% (steady)
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party: 1% (up 1%)
Don’t know: 7%
Refused: 2%
*Percentages do not add to 100 due to rounding.”
https://www.1news.co.nz/2021/11/15/ardern-labour-dip-in-support-collins-plunges-to-lowest-approval-rating-1news-colmar-brunton-poll/
Money quote, Collins on Bridges:
"He's not the leader and he won't be". Brutal!
After the coup, Collins will have to leave Parliament. Staying and undermining Bridges will finish off National's chances for another term.
Surely they wont go back to bridges!!guys a dick
Agree. Would be seen as a retrograde step by swing voters.
Bridges had his shot. He didn’t have the charisma, the timing, or the smarts.
He’s not now going to be able to persuade folk he suddenly has since acquired all 3.
A Senior Cabinet Minister, yes, maybe even a Deputy (might be a smart move, politically) but not a PM.
But at these numbers, the debate’s moot. National doesn’t look like it’s git the numbers yet to have a serious run at the Govt Benches. Give it more time & a new leader …
Theres s good chance labour will lose next time , humans a queer fuckers, were fighting the biggest threat in all of our lifetimes, yet they resent the medicine.
Not helped by the weak minded and and the fools that play politics.
bwaghorn
Bloomfield seems to be playing God, a bit like that Dr. in Murupara. Too sure they are right rather than looking at the results
Colmar Brunton Poll:
March 2022 and the next set of polls if this is Labour's lowest we're fine.
Greens
CB 26/9/21 8%
RM 1/11/21 10.5%
Leaked Talbot Mills 9%
CB 15/11/21 9%
Starting to look like a trend, even with the RM generally having the GP too high. See here also,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_New_Zealand_general_election#Nationwide_polling
updated.
The Greens are smart enough to play it long, not get caught up in the instant headline addiction.
They would like a larger minority "stake" in the next majority, but as long as Labour have no other realistic options for support parties, the Green influence in that 2023 majority would be the strongest in their history.
Te Pāti Māori may have overcooked the anti-Pākehā rhetoric too much for even some Māori.
But time will tell ; the general public (such as are likely to be the ones polled) aren’t their target audience.
Seems that the trend has set in
What trend?
If you mean the public have decided that they don't want Collins or Bridges, then that trend is indeed set in concrete. Ardern is practically hugging herself with glee.
.https://thestandard.org.nz/daily-review-15-11-2021/#comment-1833833
65 seats to 54, the trend is inevitable…Judith is coming
She may well be, on tv she sometimes seem like shecis – but she’s not convincing me that it’s a genuine climax. I think she’s just faking it in hopes she makes it.
Well now that's just rude
I make it Lab/gr/mp 66 Nat/act 54……that looks like a sold majority.
The MP has also been with National so I'm counting their vote as a floater (more than likely to go with Labour)
It is healthy, not as healthy as it was and the trend is Labour slipping and National/Act rising
Accepted Puckish
The trend where 1 in 5 people who voted for labour in the last election no longer have that intention
And nobody should be at all surprised. If everything was going well, there would still be a drop from an artificial high. Everything is not going well, so that drops a few more points.
Ever since election night 2020 anyone with any sense has known that a 3rd term = Labour + Greens. Until National transform themselves to win swing voters, that is the likely outcome.
On the current trajectory, labour and the greens will not be forming the next government
"current trajectory" … heh. And the trajectory 2 years before the previous election? It's an entirely meaningless statement.
If the 2023 election is about lockdowns and MIQ and mandates and Covid, the government will lose. But don't get your hopes up.
If in 2018 you predicted the pandemic and all its consequences in 2020, well done. Could've given us all a heads-up, mind.
The trend is that Labour have dropped, in a 12 month period, from 53% support to 41%. National went from 25 to 28, Greens from 8 to 9 and ACT from 8 to 14.
Extrapolating out for the 24 or so months to the next election would give us Labour 17%, National 34%, Greens on 11% and ACT on 20%. Poor Jacinda, I wonder when she will jump, or will she be pushed by all the backbenchers who can see they will actually have to go out and try and find a job in the real world?
Will it happen? I doubt it. I really doubt that Labour will hold up as well as my extrapolation predicts. When National changes from Collins to Luxon their support will rocket up as well.
This trend.
https://www.twitter.com/1NewsNZ/status/1460135018794082305
Simon Bridges and Todd Muller had National polling higher. Collins is useless.
The leaders of the alternative government are getting along just fine:
Collins on Seymour: "flip flop"
Both parties have been all over the place on vaccine mandates, changing faster than the weather.
Seymour is confused. His true pro-business and bollocks to the rest position is gradually becoming clear. The electorate will spot this in 2 years time.
I’m on official doctor’s orders to ignore being on a statin because “The weight you’re down to you don’t have a cholesterol problem.”
“Your first priority is to out the weight back on, fast. Eat fats, lots of fats. Butter. Olive oil. Cheese. Ice Cream. Pork. Bacon. Chicken with skin on. Pies. Pastries. Cream….”
“And if you have a sweet tooth, Gez, now is the time to indulge it!”
Life is hell. 😀
Gezza, Pasta, Carbs of any kind and icecream Freedom lol
bread and beer are big ones…
Pork Belly and pasta is what does it for me, every time and don't fill up on water as it'll only take up valuable eating space
The local New World frequently does pork belly & puts it in the hot food self-serve cooked chickens, chicken halves & chicken quarters. They also do pork roasts.
I’ll need to keep up the red meat munching for the haem iron intake, but I am SO going to be pigging out on porridge & cream, & on pork – it’s me favourite meat. 😋
I'm currently dieting so no pork for me
Coconut in it's various forms is the safest fastest way to gain weight ..
Got a can of coconut cream in me pantry, sitting unused for about four months.
What do you recommend?
Look up the recipe for suafa'i – Samoan tapioca, banana and coconut porridge – yum!
Use it where you would use cream.
A cider mushroom cream sauce. In the pan, you have fried your fatty pork chop in, throw sliced mushrooms and sizzle a bit.
1/3 c cider (old world, not sweet stuff) reduce (boil away liquid)
Add coconut cream 1/2 tin and boil for a couple of mins.
Add the chop and any juices it has let go.
Taste and season with chef''s cocaine.
Voila!
👍🏼 Sounds mouth-watering. 😛
I had this last week Puhoi half milk and half cream. Great on cereal and in coffee.
At that point he woke up.
“By Geoffrey Miller*
“Analysis – Nanaia Mahuta’s first foreign trip is finally under way. New Zealand’s Foreign Minister began a seven-country tour of Australia, Singapore, Indonesia, the UAE, Qatar, the US and Canada on Thursday.”
Interesting look at Mahuta’s upcoming first Foreign Affairs overseas trip.
**Geoffrey Miller is the Democracy Project’s international analyst and writes on current New Zealand foreign policy and related geopolitical issues. He has lived in Germany and the Middle East and is a fluent speaker of German and Arabic.*
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/on-the-inside/455748/decoding-nanaia-mahuta-s-first-foreign-trip
Teachers not getting a vaccination.
It's easy for me, I'm not in the situation of having to make decisions.
A West Otago Principal: “I think we are resigned to the fact people’s careers are being ruined by this. It’s not good for anyone,” he said.
Apparently people who die of covid have their careers ruined too. That is not good for anyone. I've read so many accounts of people who strongly advocated against being vaccinated who became extremely ill and lamented their choice. And others who vociferously supported non-vaccination who died.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/126987703/unvaccinated-teacher-my-15year-career-is-basically-down-the-drain
West Otago principal sounds sensible and kind.
Todd McClay. Dick. How many extra intensive care beds have been established at Rotorua Hospital in his time?
"A disaster waiting to happen."
That's how Rotorua MP Todd McClay describes Lakes DHB's ability to cope with a Delta outbreak after it was revealed there are only four fully staffed intensive care beds in Rotorua."
Todd McClay has been the MP for Rotorua since the end of 2008. He was in Government from then until October 2017. He had a stint in Cabinet for three years.
If he wants to play politics with Covid let's do it. There were big development at Rotorua Hospital in the 2009-2012 period. McClay's doing or from the Clark Government?
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-delta-outbreak-rotorua-taupo-a-disaster-waiting-to-happen-with-four-icu-beds-for-population-of-116000/TDRBPCBXOIJUTAYB5K3GV6GR6A/
https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/rotorua-hospital-upgrade-gets-government-nod
You will find that ICU beds are in short supply everywhere.
Yep, if someone from here needs one in the outbreak they'll be at least 350km from home and loved ones, that's if there's a bed in Dunedin. Otherwise it's Christchurch 500km away.
I appreciate your point.
My point is that a pandemic comes along and politicians who were in positions to do something about providing best case/worst case scenarios with resources get all excited about other politicians not doing what they could have done, should have done.
You know, the perspicacity, the courage, the standing up for what you belief, the head on the block attitude they expect of others they didn't have themselves.
Whangarei Hospital has been in the news for the poor state of it's infrastructure. They have their first Labour MP since 1975. National MPs now getting all excited about a run down facility? Yeah nah.
yup. question for Todd why didn't his do nothing government address the problem in 9 years of government. same for Waititi, his party had 9 years in government with National.
And there you go, after I wrote about it last night McClay is grandstanding today.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/rotorua-mp-todd-mcclay-ordered-to-leave-parliament-after-quizzing-health-minister/YR2ED77ZIYTP7F6DZVHV3N3UFI/