Dire warnings of the bleeding obvious

Written By: - Date published: 7:57 am, December 1st, 2016 - 14 comments
Categories: capitalism, class war, housing, uncategorized - Tags: , , , , ,

Hey first time home buyers – National has a warning for you:

Don’t take on too much debt, govt warns homeowners

The government is again warning first home buyers to be careful and not to take on too much debt.

That shrieking sound you hear is the bitter laughter of first home buyers. They know all about debt. They know that our houses are the least affordable in the world. Of course they know that if they are lucky enough to find a place somewhere, then the debt is going to be too high.

The latest caution comes as new Reserve Bank figures show the average loan for a first home has surged 43 percent in just the last two years.

In October 2014, the average loan for a first home was just over $270,000 – last month it hit $390,000.

And interest rates have started rising again.

The Reserve Bank is getting on board with the warnings too:

Huge mortgage-to-income discrepancies prompt warning from Reserve Bank

The amount of money being borrowed to buy houses at five and six times a person’s income has grown significantly in the last two years – a move which the Reserve Bank says could threaten the resilience of New Zealand’s banks.

Won’t somebody think of the banks!

Despite a slow-down in Auckland property price growth in the last six months the bank said the vulnerabilities in the housing market had increased.

“Despite some recent softening, house price growth in Auckland remains high at 9.3 per cent in the year to October, and Auckland’s house price-to-income ratio, at 9.6, is among the highest in the world.”

Yes, in part because our incomes are too low.

Though they may flatten, I don’t see house prices falling. In part because this government is hooked on the immigration that gives the economy the illusion of growth.

So basically these warnings are telling the average first home buyer: “don’t do it, give up”.

14 comments on “Dire warnings of the bleeding obvious ”

  1. Ad 1

    The absurdity of this is so stark in the Reserve Bank yesterday seeking power to have actual Loan to Income powers. Those who don’t earn x won’t be able to borrow y from a bank. That’s a pretty harsh instrument if you are trying to buy your first house.

    But it’s a whole bunch more honest than the government just intoning “Be Careful ….” like some scolding parent before the fall they know is about to happen.

    The legacy this government is leaving in housing is depriving an entire generation of owning the one asset that keeps this country afloat.

    • Draco T Bastard 1.1

      The legacy this government is leaving in housing is depriving an entire generation of owning the one asset that keeps this country afloat.

      You do realise that it’s the owning of houses that’s tearing the entire economy and society apart don’t you?

  2. Pat 2

    “Though they may flatten, I don’t see house prices falling. In part because this government is hooked on the immigration that gives the economy the illusion of growth.”

    and yet….

    “And interest rates have started rising again.” and “Yes, in part because our incomes are too low.”

    think those two statements are in conflict

  3. DH 3

    You can’t blame first home buyers for anything IMO. I can still remember trying to buy a house in a rising market. You get a sense of panic that gradually begins to overwhelm you. You look at ads, inspect properties, constantly count your finances and all the while houses are selling under your very nose and prices are creeping higher and higher… and higher. Panic begins to turn to desperation and at some point you’re driven to make a decision that may turn out to be a rash one or a wise one but ultimately it’s do or die. For most people it’s not as if they have a lot of choices.

  4. jcuknz 4

    Anybody considering getting into the housing market and risking their future welfare when interest rates rise and they go bankrupt should read this ….
    Molly 3.2
    16 June 2016 at 12:52 pm Here on The Standard.
    https://thestandard.org.nz/housing-policy-omnishambles-rolls-on/#comment-1190900
    I think the 25 thousand is a optomistic figure but a lot better than ten or twenty times that.
    In easier times my wife and I built our family home on one income as I gather others have done … and today we enjoy the benefits of our efforts.
    But folk I suspect want to move into a home like they were brought up in without appreciating it is the result of many years slavery to a bank.

    • jcuknz 4.1

      This link is worth looking at for a first home
      http://www.diyhousebuilding.com/tiny-house-plans.html
      The major expense would be getting a section to park on.

      • DH 4.1.1

        You look to be a little out of touch there jcuknz. The areas of concern are largely the cities and the chances of finding an affordable section you can put a tiny house on are pretty remote. Where there are plenty of sections there’s usually plenty of affordable houses available too… just not many jobs.

        DIY isn’t what it used to be. High on the list of concerns is your insurance & liability, everything has to be compliant and the average DIYer doesn’t know who to ask about compliancy let alone what’s required on even simple jobs. DIY doesn’t save people as much as it used to and the risks are considerably higher.

        • save nz 4.1.1.1

          @ jcuknz, The council will be prosecuting you in an instant if you try to put on anything alternative and affordable …. a yurt…. cabin… what have you.

          The government and councils would prefer you to be homeless and your kids in state care or pushing you into $1200 a week overcrowded motel room than actually let someone live somewhere they don’t approve of i.e. have the necessary permits and money for the council.

          Being alternative is part of our culture. A very interesting film to watch… don’t make housing choices some cookie cutter western ideal set in stone.

          Are these people bad parents? Not in my view.

          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BflQ39tgomE

          And that is why I’m not so keen on Healthy houses. I know why Greens and Labour want to push it through (for health outcomes) but we have to work with what is available in this country, what people can afford and what people feel culturally and emotionally comfortable with.

          Someones brick and tile suburban mansion and the enormous mortgage to go with it, is another person’s prison. I don’t think the government or council should criminalise housing choices for people.

          You hear about people building their houses for peanuts out of recycled goods, however everything in this country is set out to destroy anyone being able to do that.

  5. save nz 5

    In short you can kill 29 people Pike River style with all the necessary permits and that is ok, poison and potentially kill many other with town water supply issues (Havelock North), and have a structurally unsound building come down in an earthquake (CTV building) killing many more, but because they all had the ‘right permits’ no matter how ineffectual, nobody is prosecuted.

    Nor does it seem to be a criminal act to erect apartments of leaky buildings which could be potentially killing people (the mould, structure etc) – the most you may suffer is bankruptcy.

    But the second you erect a yurt, live (by your own choice) in a garage, build your own house out of recycled goods you find that this is not allowed for your own good. You will be prosecuted as a criminal.

    So that is our ridiculous RMA and legal system of enabling those that have power to kill people and disempowering those that want to get out of the poverty trap and build their own homes (because that might be dangerous to society) or live entirely or cheaply off the land.

    • greywarshark 5.1

      savenz
      I remember a man in NZ who lived a very simple life off the land. He grew pumpkins from his own seed and swopped them for meals, lived in a caravan on his own. The IRD chap couldn’t find a way to fault him, he didn’t accept government benefits and had no financial dealings at all for years on end, just barter.

      • save nz 5.1.1

        I’d live to see that simple non commercial lifestyle more legally allowed by government.

        One reason that Labour and Greens are not winning over the hearts and minds of all Kiwis on their housing policy is that it, a) superficially sounds like Natz policy when talked about by MSM, b) it is coming across as interfering with homeowners and c) they need to be careful they don’t come across like Christians ‘saving’ the children from their undesirable upbringing. We all know from history that ‘saving’ is not what happens when you force a group to be colonised into another ideal of living.

        It’s not like there is a plethora of cheap, healthy homes out there to move to so the choice is not there. There is even less choice now with all the earthquakes – but nobody seems to be condemning the government/EQC/council for not having quickly organised decent housing options in a timely manner for those that need them. Instead there is a push for homeowners to do what the government won’t do themselves. The MSM loves to run housing stories about bad rentals or First home owners, to take away the spotlight from other housing issues. Campbell Live used to do a lot of work on Chch and the lack of progress until they were taken off air.

        Not everyone wants to (or can afford to) live some perfect healthy home ideal. I understand policy comes from Labour and Greens wanting to do the right thing by all Kiwis but there are other implications and they should wait till they get into government before working out what to do about housing.

        Housing is a can of worms that is not easily solved in a sound byte or spreadsheet and it’s being intensified as an issue by immigration and natural disasters.

  6. Greg 6

    It’s a mess from record homeless to record debt .did anyonesee some property apprentice coach Hong Fong telling first home to use the parents homes .
    I just thought you prick suck in new buyer while he will off load s his properties and save his skin .gen x. Ant y have been screwed over there should be
    rage at what has went down.

  7. AB 7

    Prevent anyone from buying a house that they aren’t going to live in. Give everyone who owns a house that they don’t live in 2 years to sell it. Kill off the investor class.

    • ropata 7.1

      +1 i like your thinking

      No more foreign ownership. Stop unsustainable immigration. Enforce and strengthen tenants rights. !00% tax on capital gains — except for genuine improvements to the property (inflation adjusted). Land Value tax. Financial transaction tax. Huge fees applied to building of baches that sit empty all year.

      A government department dedicated to *properly* regulating the building industry. No more greedy profit grabbing by timber/gib/materials suppliers. No more McMansion developments. No more shoddy apartment complexes. No more leaky homes. No more half baked plans going bankrupt and stealing the savings of desperate investors.

      The Gnats could solve the crisis overnight if they wanted to. There are empty houses and other buildings all over Auckland. They just have to declare a national emergency and then compulsorily acquire the spare properties for Housing NZ. Could be done before Christmas, and the properties fitted out before next winter.

      That would be the best Christmas gift for 1000’s of kiwi families living in cars and garages. Our national shame.

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • Diplomacy needed more than ever
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters’ engagements in Türkiye this week underlined the importance of diplomacy to meet growing global challenges.    “Returning to the Gallipoli Peninsula to represent New Zealand at Anzac commemorations was a sombre reminder of the critical importance of diplomacy for de-escalating conflicts and easing tensions,” Mr Peters ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    45 mins ago
  • Anzac Commemorative Address, Buttes New British Cemetery Belgium
    Ambassador Millar, Burgemeester, Vandepitte, Excellencies, military representatives, distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen – good morning and welcome to this sacred Anzac Day dawn service.  It is an honour to be here on behalf of the Government and people of New Zealand at Buttes New British Cemetery, Polygon Wood – a deeply ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    16 hours ago
  • Anzac Commemorative Address – NZ National Service, Chunuk Bair
    Distinguished guests -   It is an honour to return once again to this site which, as the resting place for so many of our war-dead, has become a sacred place for generations of New Zealanders.   Our presence here and at the other special spaces of Gallipoli is made ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Anzac Commemorative Address – Dawn Service, Gallipoli, Türkiye
    Mai ia tawhiti pamamao, te moana nui a Kiwa, kua tae whakaiti mai matou, ki to koutou papa whenua. No koutou te tapuwae, no matou te tapuwae, kua honoa pumautia.   Ko nga toa kua hinga nei, o te Waipounamu, o te Ika a Maui, he okioki tahi me o ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • PM announces changes to portfolios
    Paul Goldsmith will take on responsibility for the Media and Communications portfolio, while Louise Upston will pick up the Disability Issues portfolio, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon announced today. “Our Government is relentlessly focused on getting New Zealand back on track. As issues change in prominence, I plan to adjust Ministerial ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New catch limits for unique fishery areas
    Recreational catch limits will be reduced in areas of Fiordland and the Chatham Islands to help keep those fisheries healthy and sustainable, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones says. The lower recreational daily catch limits for a range of finfish and shellfish species caught in the Fiordland Marine Area and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Minister welcomes hydrogen milestone
    Energy Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed an important milestone in New Zealand’s hydrogen future, with the opening of the country’s first network of hydrogen refuelling stations in Wiri. “I want to congratulate the team at Hiringa Energy and its partners K one W one (K1W1), Mitsui & Co New Zealand ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Urgent changes to system through first RMA Amendment Bill
    The coalition Government is delivering on its commitment to improve resource management laws and give greater certainty to consent applicants, with a Bill to amend the Resource Management Act (RMA) expected to be introduced to Parliament next month. RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop has today outlined the first RMA Amendment ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Overseas decommissioning models considered
    Overseas models for regulating the oil and gas sector, including their decommissioning regimes, are being carefully scrutinised as a potential template for New Zealand’s own sector, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. The Coalition Government is focused on rebuilding investor confidence in New Zealand’s energy sector as it looks to strengthen ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Release of North Island Severe Weather Event Inquiry
    Emergency Management and Recovery Minister Mark Mitchell has today released the Report of the Government Inquiry into the response to the North Island Severe Weather Events. “The report shows that New Zealand’s emergency management system is not fit-for-purpose and there are some significant gaps we need to address,” Mr Mitchell ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Justice Minister to attend Human Rights Council
    Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith is today travelling to Europe where he’ll update the United Nations Human Rights Council on the Government’s work to restore law and order.  “Attending the Universal Periodic Review in Geneva provides us with an opportunity to present New Zealand’s human rights progress, priorities, and challenges, while ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Patterson reopens world’s largest wool scouring facility
    Associate Agriculture Minister, Mark Patterson, formally reopened the world’s largest wool processing facility today in Awatoto, Napier, following a $50 million rebuild and refurbishment project. “The reopening of this facility will significantly lift the economic opportunities available to New Zealand’s wool sector, which already accounts for 20 per cent of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Speech to the Southland Otago Regional Engineering Collective Summit, 18 April 2024
    Hon Andrew Bayly, Minister for Small Business and Manufacturing  At the Southland Otago Regional Engineering Collective (SOREC) Summit, 18 April, Dunedin    Ngā mihi nui, Ko Andrew Bayly aho, Ko Whanganui aho    Good Afternoon and thank you for inviting me to open your summit today.    I am delighted ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government to introduce revised Three Strikes law
    The Government is delivering on its commitment to bring back the Three Strikes legislation, Associate Justice Minister Nicole McKee announced today. “Our Government is committed to restoring law and order and enforcing appropriate consequences on criminals. We are making it clear that repeat serious violent or sexual offending is not ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • New diplomatic appointments
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today announced four new diplomatic appointments for New Zealand’s overseas missions.   “Our diplomats have a vital role in maintaining and protecting New Zealand’s interests around the world,” Mr Peters says.    “I am pleased to announce the appointment of these senior diplomats from the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Humanitarian support for Ethiopia and Somalia
    New Zealand is contributing NZ$7 million to support communities affected by severe food insecurity and other urgent humanitarian needs in Ethiopia and Somalia, Foreign Minister Rt Hon Winston Peters announced today.   “Over 21 million people are in need of humanitarian assistance across Ethiopia, with a further 6.9 million people ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Arts Minister congratulates Mataaho Collective
    Minister for Arts, Culture and Heritage Paul Goldsmith is congratulating Mataaho Collective for winning the Golden Lion for best participant in the main exhibition at the Venice Biennale. "Congratulations to the Mataaho Collective for winning one of the world's most prestigious art prizes at the Venice Biennale.  “It is good ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Supporting better financial outcomes for Kiwis
    The Government is reforming financial services to improve access to home loans and other lending, and strengthen customer protections, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly and Housing Minister Chris Bishop announced today. “Our coalition Government is committed to rebuilding the economy and making life simpler by cutting red tape. We are ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Trade relationship with China remains strong
    “China remains a strong commercial opportunity for Kiwi exporters as Chinese businesses and consumers continue to value our high-quality safe produce,” Trade and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay says.   Mr McClay has returned to New Zealand following visits to Beijing, Harbin and Shanghai where he met ministers, governors and mayors and engaged in trade and agricultural events with the New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • PM’s South East Asia mission does the business
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has completed a successful trip to Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines, deepening relationships and capitalising on opportunities. Mr Luxon was accompanied by a business delegation and says the choice of countries represents the priority the New Zealand Government places on South East Asia, and our relationships in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • $41m to support clean energy in South East Asia
    New Zealand is demonstrating its commitment to reducing global greenhouse emissions, and supporting clean energy transition in South East Asia, through a contribution of NZ$41 million (US$25 million) in climate finance to the Asian Development Bank (ADB)-led Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM). Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Climate Change Minister Simon Watts announced ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Minister releases Fast-track stakeholder list
    The Government is today releasing a list of organisations who received letters about the Fast-track applications process, says RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop. “Recently Ministers and agencies have received a series of OIA requests for a list of organisations to whom I wrote with information on applying to have a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Judicial appointments announced
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister David Jonathan Boldt as a Judge of the High Court, and the Honourable Justice Matthew Palmer as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Boldt graduated with an LLB from Victoria University of Wellington in 1990, and also holds ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Education Minister heads to major teaching summit in Singapore
    Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa.  The summit is co-hosted ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Value of stopbank project proven during cyclone
    A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Anzac commemorations, Türkiye relationship focus of visit
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul.    “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Minister to Europe for OECD meeting, Anzac Day
    Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Comprehensive Partnership the goal for NZ and the Philippines
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr.  The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government commits $20m to Westport flood protection
    The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Taupō takes pole position
    The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Cost of living support for low-income homeowners
    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners.  “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government backing mussel spat project
    The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government focused on getting people into work
    Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Clean energy key driver to reducing emissions
    The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Earthquake-prone buildings review brought forward
    The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic Partnership
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government consults on extending coastal permits for ports
    RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Inflation coming down, but more work to do
    Today’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • School attendance restored as a priority in health advice
    Refreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Unnecessary bureaucracy cut in oceans sector
    Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago

Page generated in The Standard by Wordpress at 2024-04-26T19:00:27+00:00