- Date published:
7:39 am, June 14th, 2016 - 136 comments
Categories: capitalism, climate change, Conservation, economy, energy, Environment, global warming, Politics, science, sustainability, thinktank - Tags: pretend and extend
This is my take on parts of the YouTube video “Kevin Anderson – Delivering on 2 deg C: evolution or revolution.”
According to wikipedia, Professor Kevin Anderson is:
the Deputy Director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research; holds a joint chair in Energy and Climate Change at the School of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering at the University of Manchester and School of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia
The guts of the message I got from Professor Anderson’s presentation was that the Climate Change scientific/expert community is “flavouring its work”, watering it down in order to fit in with what is “politically palatable” and convenient to those in power, and ignoring the resulting “fraudulent” character of the entire endeavour.
Prof Anderson comments that the CC expert community massages it’s assumptions so that the results it generates sits within a set of positive and “politically palatable outcomes” that cannot be questioned.
This comment applies to the work known as Integrated Assessment Models. These are the principle tool used to inform and guide governments and bureaucrats globally on required climate change policy.
The basic science that is being done is very solid. However the CC scientific and expert community as a whole has been guilty of consistently underplaying what that science is implying that we need to change in society urgently.
Some specifics that I got out of the presentation:
Prof Anderson also relayed a bunch of quotes during the video of some senior political players that he has talked to personally:
Senior Political Scientist
“Too much is invested in 2 deg C for us to say it’s not possible – it would undermine all that’s been achieved. It’ll give a sense of hopelessness – we may as well give in.”
Prof Anderson: “Are you suggesting that we have to lie about our research findings?”
“…well, perhaps just not be so honest – more dishonest…”
Government chief scientific advisor, formerly senior in IPCC
“We can’t tell them (Ministers and politicians) it’s (2 deg C) impossible. We can say it’s a stretch and ambitious – but that, with political will, 2 deg C is still a feasible target.” [This particular person did not believe that the target was at all possible.]
UK Energy and Climate Change Minister one day before attending a COP
“Our position is challenging enough, I can’t go with the message that 2 deg C is impossible – it’s what we’ve all worked towards.”
Final comment by CV:
The upshot of all this is that our governments and our policy makers are getting the news from the climate change expert community that they want. Not the facts that they need.
This is a massive programme of pretend and extend, nothing more.
Personally, I am picking that we will hit 2+ deg C warming soon after 2030 (and that it is already a done deal; we are at about 1.1 deg C warming and rising now) and that we are right on track for circa 6 deg C warming by 2100, which will be fatal to civilisation as we know it.
In theory, today’s infants and preschoolers will live long enough to see this terrifying world that we have handed on to them.
[here are two screenshots of Prof Anderson’s slides on how the Climate Change community has made its findings look “politically palatable” to government officials, and why the Climate Change expert community has kept quiet about it, in essence forming a fraudulent conspiracy on this issue]