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6:00 am, May 23rd, 2023 - 47 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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Lots of talk of F16s in the latest escalation by Nato powers in the Ukraine war .The first question imo would have to be where are they gonna fly from ?Any airfield in ukraine is easily reached by russias missiles and if they flew from Poland or Romania those airfields would become legitimate targets for Russian missiles also creating a perfect hotbed for potentially disastrous global consequences .
To correct your misunderstanding of "escalation"
It is not an escalation to provide Ukraine with a weapon that Russia is already using in its war against Ukrainians. It is merely a proportional response to an escalation that has already been made by Russia.
Escalation etc
The context of my comment reads latest escalation uncooked .
When the civil war between eastern Russian speaking Ukrainians and western ultra nationalist Ukrainians first began sometime around 2014 American fingers were from what ive read already in the pie and beginning to escalate the conflict because a large part of US foreign policy is dedicated to fighting Russia to hurting Russia to weakening Russia its pretty much their raison d'etre .The long and the short of it is America /nato has armed funded and trained ukraines army since then and with the exception of some of Obamas time in office represents a more or less constant escalation of weaponry fanning the fire .the latest of which is f16s but before that it was long range missiles from the UK an before that tanks an before that himars .Escalation just means more people will die .Heard any of the members of the not so magnificent seven talking peace lately ?
"Any airfield in ukraine is easily reached by russias missiles"
They failed to easily hit Kyiv in their recent most intense missile attack to date.
"and if they flew from Poland or Romania those airfields would become legitimate targets"
Russia probably knows better than to attack NATO. They are failing against Ukraine's much smaller military.
" creating a perfect hotbed for potentially disastrous global consequences ."
That already happened when Russia attacked Ukraine in 2014. Safest way out now is to defeat Russia in Ukraine ASAP.
Failed to hit Kiev in their latest missile attack etc
Well they took out a recently installed American patriot air defense system which wasnt too bad i thought ?
They are failing against Ukraines much smaller military
Well they managed to take Bakmut after nine months of pretty brutal fighting wouldnt call that ' failing " an that was despite the Zelenky regime pouring 10s of thousands of men into the "meatgrinder "to defend what they had repeatedly called " a town of little strategic importance "
Clearly Belgorod separatists.
/
Troops entered Russia from Ukraine on Monday, hitting checkpoints on the border with tank fire and pushing eight kilometres past the frontier into three villages.
Ukrainian military intelligence, the GUR, said that the Freedom of Russia Legion, a group of Ukraine-backed Russian partisans, were conducting an operation in the Belgorod region to create a “security strip” to protect Ukrainian civilians. It was being carried out exclusively by Russian citizens, a GUR spokesman told Suspilne, Ukraine’s public broadcaster.
https://archive.li/RqclD (thetimes)
More likely a diversionary attack by Ukraine prior to its apparent upcoming offensive
I think the term you are looking for is 'little green men'.
It forces a couple of bad choices on Russia.
Either they move troops away from other parts of the front (exposing them to breakthroughs by Ukraine), or they watch increasing areas of Russia come under "rebel" control.
Ukraine has worked out it's going to need a demilitarized zone to border Russia, because Putin dare not surrender – he'd fall out a window.
Yeah. it makes things a bit spicy, doesn't it?
Apparently, the seperatists have found weapons biolabs and satan worshipping Nazi death squads lol.
Perhaps Ukraine should be sending in a "peace keeping force" to keep civilians safe. Or, perhaps Ukraine could hold a "referendum" and legislate that Belgorod is now part of Ukraine.
On a more serious note, nuclear weapons are stored quite close to there, which could make it interesting if some of those fall into the seperatists hands.
In terms of the counter-offensive, this attack will force the Russians to move some of their resources to protect that part of the border, which will weaken other areas.
So, quite a smart move, although I am sure the Ukrainians had nothing to do with it (wink).
Yes – it will either prove to be a brave folly, or it could be one of those small events that triggers massive consequences.
I think the best strategy is for this separtarist group to conduct raids like this every now and then. They shouldn't be trying to set up long-term defensive positions or such because that would just be suicide.
But, if there is an ongoing threat of incursion there, the Russians will have to devote resources to that area in order to defend it. That will necessarilly mean weakening somewhere else. Which will be good for the counter-offensive when it starts proper.
Talking heads are saying it's part of wider shaping operations in preparation for a coming offensive.
@AndrewPerpetua
Ukrainian strikes on Russian forces of various depths between May 15th and May 20th.
https://twitter.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1660338413747175425
@MarkHertling
What’s going on in Belgorod? I’d suggest it may be continuance of shaping operations, prior to Ukraines’ offensive. Some things we may see in the near future are types of “strikes” or deception operations like raids, feints or demonstrations. Here’s some info on each. 1/6
https://twitter.com/MarkHertling/status/1660640657218629639
It makes sense, especially on such a long border. If they keep doing raids in random places in Russia along that northern border, the Russians are going to be struggling, because, they don't have the resources to defend everywhere.
Nothing random about attacks on electrical substations suppying electrified rail.
https://twitter.com/search?q=Russian%20substations&src=typed_query&f=live
Quite a good 5 minute video on the raid into Russia here.
It looks like the rebel Russian group may have been reinforced by up to 500 more fighters now. And, they are getting support from Ukrainian artillery.
So, this could actually become quite a big problem for the Russians, as it will take quite a lot of resource to deal with this. And, their aircraft and helicoptors could be targeted by Ukrainian air defence that close to the border.
Here is a thread of footage of the Russian Volunteer Corps and the Liberty of Russia Legion operating in Belgorod.
https://twitter.com/ThomasVLinge/status/1660713972239048704
The Russian Volunteer Corp is a far-right militia made up of Russian citizens based in Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/PopularFront_/status/1660742399205810176
Russian volunteer corps?based in Ukraine
Lol nice people
They've certainly chosen the right side
Founded by a Russian neonazi who moved to a more likeminded home in Ukraine
Wikipedia is your friend
Fransesca, here is a good article for you on neo-nazis in Russia and how Putin has tried to utilise these groups for his own ends. So, Putin seemed quite comfortable with Neo-Nazis at home. So, it is a bit weird that he was so worried about them in Ukraine that he felt the need to invade the place.
Yeah they tend to migrate to Ukraine
Azov international outreach welcomes them
Russia: We are sending our Nazis to Ukraine!
Ukraine: Thanks, you can have them back now.
An independent militia unit with tanks?
I'll bet that border zone is a festering mess of competing rivalries. Even around Moscow itself there are all sorts of independent outfits from Wagner to Rosneft according to numerous news reports too many to list.
You could buy those tanks in any local military surplus store
[Putin famously said he didn't know who the troops were and that they could have bought military equipment in any military store – when talking about the attacks on Eastern Ukraine in 2014, where supposed pro-Russian "rebels" were rocking around in late model Russian tanks etc]
The Ukrainian sauchenfreude on Twitter is a thing of beauty.
Sauchenfreude?
A new one on me
Maybe you mean schadenfreude?
Uh-oh, vatnik alert!
The schadenfreude is sweet with this one
Ah, I see from later posts the fighting there is being supported by Ukranian artillary, which rather undermines the idea of a separate militia action unsanctioned by Ukraine, which was in the earliest news I read.
Baldrick Bully Luxton.
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
Noam Chomsky is apparently urging Putin to cede Belgorod to the newly created People's Republic of Natoland in order to secure peace.
Apparently they've already conducted a referendum in this new People's Republic – and 102% of the voters want to become Australians.
So Poots' propagandist Vladimir Solovyov is a fucking hypocrite, too.
Vladimir Solovyov is one of Russia’s top-tier propagandists, omnipresent on the airwaves of the state media and twice decorated by Russian President Vladimir Putin for his service to the Kremlin. He often derides the West as “satanic,” and refers to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as a “holy war.” Scarcely a broadcast goes by without Solovyov calling for nuclear strikes against the United States and its allies.
As it turns out, the 59-year-old TV host might be hiding an explosive secret himself.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/vladimir-solovyov-accused-of-hiding-secret-family-with-us-citizen-svetlana-abrosimova
Isn't this the biggest load of crock?
The bonds for those who have been displaced from the Loafer's Lodge are being held for some nebulous and unconnected reasons, in my view. The survivors are wanting/waiting to move into new homes and those who are should have their bonds refunded asap or transferred.Bonds transferral shoul should be at the wish of the owners of the bonds, ie the tenants. Surely using a list of the tenants the LL could check with the Bond Centre to see the names and amounts. Surely the backups of the computer activity is held off site or in the cloud and could be accessed even if the primary system is not aviable. Obviously this presupposes backups and lodgement of the bonds.
Access to the belongings is a different situation and needs to wait until the police have finshed thier investigation and the building made safe for access by people to get belongings.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/wellington/300886286/loafers-lodge-fire-survivors-still-waiting-for-bond-refunds
350Aotearoa have a petition to ask the government to announce a pathway that will achieve a just, equitable, and safe energy future:
Sign here: https://act.350.org/sign/demand-homegrown-energy-for-aotearoa/
I really wish some of the NGOs would start talking about passive tech and how we can lower demand (or at least steady state it). Because it's unlikely we can transition to renewables without that conversation.
Agreed, however, we already know the disingenuous arguments that are used against anyone calling for power down. We must acknowledge that consumer capitalism got us here and alternatives modes of production must be sought out if we are to make our post-carbon transition equitable and swift.
what happens when people realise it won't work though. Or that us all having EVs means wind farms everywhere.
I think concepts like passive solar design are a bridge, it reassures people they can still have good lives.
Sadly as a society we have associated 'progress' and new or novel ideas, and this has so far prevented us from collectively looking to the past for solutions.
This article for instance highlights the need for us to take care of the soil for it to nourish life, and the practices which do just that have histories far older than the current extractive mode we live in:
https://phys.org/news/2023-05-key-future-soil-carbon-solutions.html
https://issues.org/tristan-harris-humane-technology-misinformation-ai-democracy/
It is medium-long but with very clear language and ideas articulated well, aimed at a general audience.
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2023/05/loafers-lodge-blaze-human-rights-commission-slams-government-says-tenants-denied-human-rights-by-housing-crisis.html
Housing is a human right. We need a government that believes that. Party vote Green or Te Pāti Māori.
The Accessory Dwelling Unit – ADU's emerging as an answer to America's housing problems.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/05/21/adu-granny-flat-california-housing-crisis/?utm
Something similar here – would be legislation to allow for easier on site or factory built small build granny flats, and in an emergency such location for mobile small homes or camper vans.
One of the major issues is the huge variation in the 'rules' from local Councils across NZ. Some allow a certain number of minor dwellings, others only allow caravans or sleepouts (so no toilet facilities), others seem to have a blanket ban on everything.
People are routinely being mousetrapped by being sold cabins, tiny-houses, etc – which aren't permitted in the area they want to locate them.
The fees that Councils charge for permitting this – can be astronomical. A neighbour is putting a minor dwelling (studio flat, with bathroom) on his back section (Auckland inner-city suburb). Council fees have been over $30K, and required reports (geotech assessments, building plans, etc.) are another $20K or so – then they have to build it (with the huge increase in building costs). Going to cost well north of $100K by the time it's finished. And it's taken around 2.5 years to get to the middle of the build. Which is another cost in itself.
We agree.
Another matter we need the Greens get Labour to block the Labour-National deal on city wide three storey builds. The three storey builds should be limjted to areas where there is infrastructure (transport and other) to cope. Not doing this is going to have consequences.
Sorting out granny flat small new builds and related consents makes the more focused urban development plan viable in terms of scale of new supply.
Has Arena Williams been held accountable for her porky about her dad?
Labour MP Arena Williams fact-checked by Twitter community note over post about scrapping of prescription fee | Newshub
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
You are trolling and begging for a ban.