Geonet is reporting quakes all over the country, as often as a few minutes apart. If there were really that many quakes ocurring around Kaikoura / Seddon as it is showing, I would have felt them. Also, when a quake does actually happen in the south island,...
Geonet is showing a lot of phantom quakes, thanks to their new Geonet Rapid system. So far there seem to have been the first quake +3 aftershocks that I've felt, but geonet is showing upwards of a dozen, with many showing in the north island that I'm sure ...
I think these are phantom quakes, thrown up as a result of Geonet's new 'Rapid' technology. Quake crowe, which get their data from geonet, are only showing 3 quakes - 2 of which I have felt. If there were really these half dozen quakes that are showing on ...
According to geonet right now, there have been multiple magnitude 5+ aftershocks in Seddon and near Wellington. So it seems like a fairly large distribution, from the initial focal point.
Well I wanted to get up early this morning, but 12:02am isn't quite what I was thinking. Big rolling quake here, no damage at my place in CHCH, TC1 land, out west. Went on for at least 40 seconds, possibly a minute plus. http://www.geonet.org.nz/quakes/...
If you say the access hollywood tape was a "black swan" for Trump, it wasn't really, because that's the sort of jackass he actually is, so it's not surprising something would be found that revealed his true thoughts since he'd been in the media for so long...
When I envisage a lower standard of living, I'm thinking of the 1800s. No cars. Most people never travel further than 10 miles from where they were born. That's quite different from now.
Except it's not individual people 'emitting' all that gas. It's businesses, that produce goods and services (including food) that the public wants. I would imagine that a lot of the emissions come from meat production. Bringing emissions down to the ...
"Nevertheless people have powered down before as a society with government intervention, eg during the great wars." But that was never a case of "power down now, and face lower standards of living for eternity". People believed that by fighting and winning...
+1
Oh yeah, I can completely understand that. It's much harder to get your head around a probabilistic projection for a single binary event, and what it actually means in practice. It's something that 538 have struggled with a lot, especially this time (but ...
"Set back from what? " Set back from the alternative path, obviously. Once these assets are built, they will be used. There's two direct ramifications of this: the opportunity cost of instead building better energy sources for the environment - we spent $...
Yip. I think all of this stuff about blaming the media in their little bubbles in cities is trite, and I think for a fair number of people saying it (now) it isn't even their own idea, they're just jumping on the bandwagon to try and 'explain' the election...
"They’re banned from doing so." Good luck with that. "The problem there isn’t the existence or non-existence of publicly published polling but that we have a system that actually wastes votes." Unless you're proposing a parliament of 1000 seats, then there...
I replied to that article saying that it was misleading in the same way Andrea Vance's report was. My comment wasn't published, even though I didn't really attack the author. I think the moderation at stuff is quite uneven, and has gotten worse in recent ...
I find this article far more revealing about what was really going on: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-10/trump-s-data-team-saw-a-different-america-and-they-were-right Trump's campaign only gave him a 30% chance to win. They think the Comey ...
Like I said, 538 for weeks ahead, took pains to repeatedly say, 70% is not "a sure thing" and that Trump still had a very good chance of winning, and the reason is because Hillary's showing in the swing state polls was not good. Also, you're overstating ...
You misunderstand what the Real Clear Politics projection means. They gave Hillary a 100% chance of winning 272 electoral college votes, ie, 100% chance of winning the election. They were more wrong than 538, who gave her only a 71% chance of winning the ...
...and? The Greens rank their party list by votes from all the members. If the members decide some sitting MPs aren't doing very well, they'll give them lower list placings. Similarly if the members think that Chloe has got a lot to offer, they may rank ...
It's an odd way to say it, because if she were ranked at list position 7, there'd be a male at list position 8, and she would have "surpassed" them.
I knew all that. I think TRM is making crap up / doesn't understand the rules.
Why can't she surpass any males on the party list?
Odd that the charisma and common touch points highlight Farage and Trump, but fails to nominate Key who is in the same vein. Obviously Key didn't have a privileged upbringing - which he weaves into his backstory - but he's still a millionaire out of touch ...
Obviously it's her public position, because she said it in public on record. Whether her private position is the same, I don't know, you'd have to ask her. Good luck on that. As others have pointed out to you in the past, having a public position that's ...
"Or said f*** off, I’m busy." That's not a "shy Trump" voter, that is a non-response. Technical terms have specific meanings. "Shy Trump voter" is a technical term with a specific meaning. It doesn't mean whatever you want it to mean. "You go ahead and ...
Can't seem to edit. Similarly, the repeal of the Affordable Care Act likely will cost some people their lives. So, pretty much a crisis for those people.
"I just don’t see Trump as a crisis other than for a very narrow class of hyper-liberal and super-educated elites. BAU." If he can repeal Roe v Wade, and overturn marriage equality, then you better be eating some crow.
Possible, we'll never know. This was her statement though, which is pretty unequivocal: "I'll oppose it now, I’ll opposite after the election, and I’ll oppose it as President,” Hillary Clinton said in a speech in early August, seemingly snuffing out almost...
She needed to win all 3 of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Hence my statement saying that if she only won 2 of those 3, she still would have lost.
For me, it's both. He's a bigot, a racist and a sexist, and having someone like him in charge will embolden every day people to behave in those ways, even if he doesn't change any laws in any way, his precense will normalise those behaviours. Then, I don't...
There's a reasonable chance that if he actually manages to enact the policies he's promised, he'll create a worldwide recession, which will harm NZ. Also, Hillary said she didn't support TPPA either. So there's that.
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