Yes but maybe we have seen a more permanent change in Christchurch where it is no longer traditionally Labour.
National has done very good in advance voting. Still 50% of votes still to come. Too much pessimism by the left. 50% of votes to go and National's party vote has typically gone down from this point.
Jacinda Ardern was interviewed by John Campbell where she indicated the party with most party votes should be given first choice in forming a new government. Labour is still stuck in FPP thinking. The left bloc (Labour + Greens) are very close to right ...
Your analogy is incorrect. Labour is doing better both on the electorate vote in Christchurch and getting more party votes. Maybe we've just seen a demographic change in Christchurch and it will be a softer left-leaning city than previously.
TVNZ's coverage is painful. TV 3 not much better.
Labour is doing far stronger in capturing electorate votes but they're not all translating into party votes. Christchurch is tilting Labour but National holding reasonably well in what hasn't been a National freindly city. Labour doing strong in the cities...
Could there not be a stronger Labour vote in the specials this time that perhaps you haven't yet calculated? Labour is doing stronger in the electorate vote that perhaps hasn't yet been captured in the party vote.
Nash ran a very strong personal campaign in 2014 so this isn't surprising. Also it is one of the electorates with a strong swing towards Labour this election.
I think you should update the main posts with other more interesting seats like Auckland Central, Whanganui and Hutt South. Nelson and Ilam are really not of interest.
So National actually did what they first said they were going to do and get New Zealanders to stay here rather than go overseas. And that is a bad thing why?
Honestly, far better someone completely partisan than anyone pretending to be impartial.
Forget the political commentary surely nothing can be worse than twitter. Politics by twitter or tweets is just wrong.
How weird that there will be now be three failed Labour leaders in the caucus.
Bye.
Another MP you lot were calling lightweight six years ago. Not so lightweight anymore is she.
lol this blog has the same comments that were made in 2008 (six years ago). Only John Key turned out not to be the easy beat (lightweight) disinterested in being Prime Minister for being a long time, as was stated here at that time. The maths is pretty ...
Yes. I really don't think Cunliffe can survive when the Labour caucus is a huge ABC club.
Extremely doubtful he'll make it. Anyone relying on the list to get them in will really be pulling for Cosgrove to retake Waimakariri. ... Though him winning an electorate does take a list seat away.
6-8 list MPs probably. So the danger zone is from No. 17 onwards
Labour or its voters should not panic about this poll result or any poll result. The polls tighten and every election post MMP has shown how close Labour can come to government. 2011 certainly proved that. It shouldn't have been close and yet Labour was 2%...
I would like to know where this Kaiapoi fault exists or is this simply more bullshit from Christchurch idiots who keep reading crap from conspiracy theorists. There is a fault believed to be in Pegasus Bay but the scientists said a tsunami was extremely ...
Where does Niwa predict a tsunami of 2 metres? Are you sure you're not mixing up climate change and earthquakes? Besides for a tsunami to be trigger you need a certain type of shaking. It needs to be deep (deeper than all the Christchurch quakes have been)...
The chance of a 7+ quake causing a tsunami is so small it is a waste of time worrying about it. The above two posters simply demonstrate the absurd stupidity of some Christchurch residents. I can just imagine the stupid conspiracy theories you two have ...
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/election-2011/news/quiz.cfm?c_id=1503012&qna_id=879 - Hmm easy peasy political quiz. I was perfect. Not difficult.
OMG how are you after that one Lanthanide.
Crazy times again. Like dejavu.
The council is a mess. Aaron Keown in Shirley-Papanui? Seriously. Thank fuck last council election my street was moved into the Fendalton-Waimairi ward. I can't believe people voted that guy in and am glad he isn't representing me. Basically the whole ...
http://publicaddress.net/legalbeagle/14-pages-of-democracy/ Graham Edgeler has a link to the judicial outcome of Waitakere if anyone is interested. Quite a good read.
Personally I don't think King has adjusted well to being in opposition. I still consider her to be of obvious talent and at a minister did her job impeccably. But she was disappointing last term.
Electorates still matter. And Clayton Cosgrove was voted out of his electorate and only gets into parliament thanks to a high list placing. Yet despite getting in via that, he still essentially debranded himself from Labour. In other words he really wasn't...
Really.... If you say so. Please tell me what Robertson actually achieved in parliament last term? What did Shane Jones contribute. Exactly what did Mahuta do at all last term? Street can't win Nelson. Ardern can't win Auckland Central. Robertson can't ...
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