web analytics

Statistics Data release – new North Island seat proposed

Written By: - Date published: 11:27 am, October 7th, 2013 - 16 comments
Categories: election 2014, electoral commission - Tags:

The census night population data result has now been released.  There will be one new electorate in the North Island, the number of South Island seats is set by law at 16 and the number of Maori electorates will remain at 7.  Overall the population increased by 214,000 but faster growth in the North Island has resulted in the extra seat.

Now begins the difficult job of positioning the seat and the changes will be felt mostly in Auckland, particularly in the seats of New Lynn and Maungakiekie.  Both seats occupy pinch points in the istmus and the change of boundaries is particularly pronounced there.

Auckland Central, Epsom, Mt Albert and Tamaki are likely to contract and New Lynn may lose the Titirangi to Whatipu strip to Waitakere.

Further south Papakura is likely to contract and shed some of its rural area.  Judith Collins majority would be threatened if this was the case.  It is also likely that Manurewa will be affected.

Overall the reshuffling will be pronounced and Auckland MPs will all keenly await the draft boundary changes.

UPDATE:  A closer look at the figures suggests that the new seat can be squeezed into the Auckland region from between Rodney to the North and Hunua to the South.  Auckland Central will contract rather dramatically as it is 10,675 over quota.  Hunua and Helensville will also have to contract in size so there could be a new Istmus seat.

16 comments on “Statistics Data release – new North Island seat proposed ”

  1. Tamati 1

    It will be interesting to see if the Greens really push for a seat this election. Obviously it’s the party vote that counts, but having a strong local member could help them really push up their vote into the 30s and even 40s in the electorate they hold. A new electorate in Auckland’s inner suburbs could be a viable target, it all depends where the lines are drawn.

    • Naturesong 1.1

      ” .. it all depends where the lines are drawn”

      Thankfully with MMP any gerrymandering gets offset by the party vote.

      Reducing the temptation to corrupt the process of drawing up electorate bountries is one of the main advantages of MMP that doesn’t get mentioned often.

      That said, I’m sure the National party sees this as an opportunity and is hard at work figuring out how to subvert democracy.

      The Greens party list process is robust and produced excellent MP’s (apart from one MP who seems to suffer from foot ‘n mouth) for the current term so getting an electoral seat would be icing.

      • Tamati 1.1.1

        Gerrymandering is an awful practise. Just look at the congressional boundaries of Texas or Pennsylvania if you want to see an example. It is arguably the root cause of the current hyper-partisanism in the US right now.

        I think however the Greens could actually move to being a more mainstream party and really cement themselves as a party of governance if they could pick up an electorate or two. Being a local member enables an MP to interact with a community in ways a list MP can’t.

  2. Mondograss 2

    With Helensville, East Coast Bays and Rodney all being well over quota you’d have to go odds on for an Upper Harbour seat I think. Shove Helensville over to the western side of the harbour and run the new seat between SH1 and upper harbour from Bayview up into Rodney. That takes in a good chunk of Glenfield which would be fairly winnable, and all of Albany, which wouldn’t be.

  3. finbar 3

    You would think that the new seat will be within the most densely populated area,and that would be Auckland.There was also mention of cutting back on list members,how many im not sure.

    What the Labour strategists should be doing now, is getting their provincial candidates more involved with the local issues effecting their communities, along with Labours vision for the future to raise their profile, rather than laying back waiting for the six weeks hustings run.For it is within the provinces, that the winning will take place.

    • QoT 3.1

      There was also mention of cutting back on list members,how many im not sure.

      If we get one more electorate seat, we lose one list seat so the total (ignoring any overhang) is always 120.

      • Draco T Bastard 3.1.1

        Yep, totally crazy that. The number of list seats need to go up at the same time as electorate seats.

  4. Tracey 4

    Has south island pop dropped. I know this is a politicial no-no but why not just drop one from there if it has.

  5. Has south island pop dropped. I know this is a politicial no-no but why not just drop one from there if it has.

    No – it just hasn’t grown as quickly as the North Island population has.

    As for why not drop an electorate from the South Island … because the Electoral Act says that there must be 16 (in a section that requires a 75% majority in Parliament to change). That fixed number is then the pivot that the overall calculation of electorate seats turns on.

    • ScottGN 5.1

      I was wondering how the increase of an electorate seat and corresponding decrease of a list seat impacts proportionality in the parliament? At what point does the Electoral Commission stop swapping list seats for electorate seats and instead recommends an overall increase of seats in the parliament to accommodate a growing population?

      • In its review of MMP, the Electoral Commission recommended imposing a maximum 60:40 split between electorate and list seats (i.e. if Parliament remains at 120, a 72:48 split in seats). This got rejected, along with everything else it recommended.

        The Government’s Constitutional Review is looking at the overall size of Parliament. I think the chances of it recommending an increase in MPs is precisely zero.

  6. amirite 6

    Maurice Williamson has been quick to diss the Auckland Unitary Plan because the statistics show that the population growth in Auckland this year was lower than expected. As usual the Nats are only looking at short-time goals, when it”s been predicted that the population of Auckland will grow by another million by 2030.
    A bit like saying that because the last year’s winter was particularly cold, there’s no AGW.

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • Tokelau Language Week reminds us to stay united and strong
    Staying strong in the face of challenges and being true to our heritage and languages are key to preserving our cultural identity and wellbeing, is the focus of the 2020 Tokelau Language Week. Minister for Pacific Peoples, Aupito William Sio, says this year’s theme, ‘Apoapo tau foe, i nā tāfea ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ announces a third P-3 deployment in support of UN sanctions
    The Government has deployed a Royal New Zealand Air Force P-3K2 Orion (P-3) maritime patrol aircraft to support the implementation of United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolutions imposing sanctions against North Korea, announced Minister of Foreign Affairs Winston Peters and Minister of Defence Ron Mark. “New Zealand has long supported ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Pacific trade and development agreement a reality
    Pacific regional trade and development agreement PACER Plus will enter into force in 60 days now that the required eight countries have ratified it. Trade and Export Growth Minister David Parker welcomed the announcement that the Cook Islands is the eighth nation to ratify this landmark agreement. “The agreement represents ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Securing a pipeline of teachers
    The Government is changing its approach to teacher recruitment as COVID-19 travel restrictions continue, by boosting a range of initiatives to get more Kiwis into teaching. “When we came into Government, we were faced with a teacher supply crisis,” Education Minister Chris Hipkins said. “Over the past three years, we ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Border exceptions for a small number of international students with visas
    The Government has established a new category that will allow 250 international PhD and postgraduate students to enter New Zealand and continue their studies, in the latest set of border exceptions. “The health, safety and wellbeing of people in New Zealand remains the Government’s top priority. Tight border restrictions remain ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • First COVID-19 vaccine purchase agreement signed
    The Government has signed an agreement to purchase 1.5 million COVID-19 vaccines – enough for 750,000 people – from Pfizer and BioNTech, subject to the vaccine successfully completing all clinical trials and passing regulatory approvals in New Zealand, say Research, Science and Innovation Minister Megan Woods and Health Minister Chris Hipkins. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • International statement – End-to-end encryption and public safety
    We, the undersigned, support strong encryption, which plays a crucial role in protecting personal data, privacy, intellectual property, trade secrets and cyber security.  It also serves a vital purpose in repressive states to protect journalists, human rights defenders and other vulnerable people, as stated in the 2017 resolution of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Ministry of Defence Biodefence Assessment released
    The Ministry of Defence has today released a Defence Assessment examining Defence’s role across the spectrum of biological hazards and threats facing New Zealand. Biodefence: Preparing for a New Era of Biological Hazards and Threats looks at how the NZDF supports other agencies’ biodefence activities, and considers the context of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New Approaches to Economic Challenges: Confronting Planetary Emergencies: OECD 9 October 2020
    New Approaches to Economic Challenges: Confronting Planetary Emergencies: OECD 9 October 2020 Hon David Parker’s response following Thomas Piketty and Esther Duflo. Good morning, good afternoon, and good evening, wherever in the world you might be. I first acknowledge the excellent thought provoking speeches of Thomas Piketty and Esther ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Kaipara Moana restoration takes next step
    A Memorandum of Understanding has been signed today at Waihāua Marae between the Crown, local iwi and councils to protect, restore and enhance the mauri of Kaipara Moana in Northland. Environment Minister David Parker signed the document on behalf of the Crown along with representatives from Ngā Maunga Whakahī, Ngāti ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New Zealand and Uruguay unite on reducing livestock production emissions
    Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor and Uruguayan Minister of Livestock, Agriculture and Fisheries Carlos María Uriarte have welcomed the launch of a three-year project that will underpin sustainable livestock production in Uruguay, Argentina, and Costa Rica.  The project called ‘Innovation for pasture management’ is led by Uruguay’s National Institute of Agricultural ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • 3100 jobs created through marae upgrades
    Hundreds of marae throughout the country will be upgraded through investments from the Provincial Growth Fund’s refocused post COVID-19 funding to create jobs and put money into the pockets of local tradespeople and businesses, Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones and Māori Development Minister Nanaia Mahuta have announced. “A total ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Health volunteers recognised in annual awards
    Health Minister Chris Hipkins has announced 9 teams and 14 individuals are the recipients of this year’s Minister of Health Volunteer Awards.  “The health volunteer awards celebrate and recognise the thousands of dedicated health sector volunteers who give many hours of their time to help other New Zealanders,” Mr Hipkins ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Community COVID-19 Fund supports Pacific recovery
    The Minister for Pacific Peoples, Aupito William Sio says a total of 264 groups and individuals have successfully applied for the Pacific Aotearoa Community COVID-19 Recovery Fund, that will support Pacific communities drive their own COVID-19 recovery strategies, initiatives, and actions. “I am keen to see this Fund support Pacific ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Community benefits from Māori apprenticeships
    Up to 50 Māori apprentices in Wellington will receive paid training to build houses for their local communities, thanks to a $2.75 million investment from the Māori Trades and Training Fund, announced Employment Minister Willie Jackson today. “This funding will enable Ngāti Toa Rangatira Incorporated to provide its Ngā Kaimahi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Training fund supports Māori jobseekers
    Rapidly growing sectors will benefit from a $990,000 Māori Trades and Training Fund investment which will see Wellington jobseekers supported into work, announced Employment Minister Willie Jackson today. “This funding will enable Sapphire Consultants Ltd. to help up to 45 Māori jobseekers into paid training initiatives over two years through ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Ruakura Inland Port development vital infrastructure for Waikato
    The Government is investing $40 million to develop an inland port at Ruakura which will become a freight super-hub and a future business, research and residential development for the Waikato, Urban Development and Transport Minister Phil Twyford, and Māori Development Minister Nanaia Mahuta announced today. The funding has been has ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • Appointments made to Defence Expert Review Group
    Defence Minister Ron Mark announced today the establishment of an Expert Review Group to review a number of aspects of the New Zealand Defence Force’s (NZDF) structure, information management and record-keeping processes.  The Expert Review Group’s work arises out of the first recommendation from the Report of the Government’s Inquiry ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago
  • No active community cases of COVID-19
    There are no active community cases of COVID-19 remaining in the country after the last people from the recent outbreak have recovered from the virus, Health Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “This is a big milestone. New Zealanders have once again through their collective actions squashed the virus. The systems ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago