Written By: - Date published: 6:06 pm, October 23rd, 2018 - 162 comments
National slump in the latest poll; Judith Collins is up in the preferred PM race.
Written By: - Date published: 7:53 am, November 5th, 2016 - 149 comments
The latest Roy Morgan poll result and it is evidence that the polling model needs to be reviewed.
Written By: - Date published: 6:24 pm, September 17th, 2014 - 92 comments
Two polls out today both suggesting that National are comfortably ahead although the Reid Research has National declining further and polling under 45%. The equivalent polls last time predicted that National would win an outright victory. This is going to be a very tight election.
Written By: - Date published: 6:31 pm, March 30th, 2014 - 189 comments
Two new polls are out suggesting National’s support is in the range of 46%. Given that its support is historically over reported this is potentially cause for concern …
Written By: - Date published: 7:00 am, March 21st, 2014 - 98 comments
The latest Herald Digipoll has caused many commentators to claim that Labour’s support is declining. But there is something strange with the figures, particularly those about Len Brown’s previous and current support.
Written By: - Date published: 7:11 am, October 31st, 2011 - 67 comments
The latest 3 News / Reid poll has National down 5.1%, their largest drop (in this poll) since becoming the government. Labour is up 3.6%. A long way to go yet, but it’s an encouraging start to the election campaign for the Left.
Written By: - Date published: 7:43 am, November 7th, 2010 - 18 comments
It seems that in American elections there is an almost perfect correspondence between some candidates’ opinion polling and their current search volume on Google. Can we do away with political opinion polls? Sounds interesting doesn’t it. A quick check shows that the relative frequency of searches for “National party” and “Labour party” predicted the result of the 2008 election. What other tricks can we try?