Posts Tagged ‘political polls’

TVNZ Colmar Brunton Poll

Written By: - Date published: 6:06 pm, October 23rd, 2018 - 162 comments

National slump in the latest poll; Judith Collins is up in the preferred PM race.

Colmar Brunton poll; Simon Who?

Written By: - Date published: 8:07 pm, August 5th, 2018 - 94 comments

The 1 News/Colmar Brunton poll is out. The Government sails on serenely while Simon meets the people.

Go home Roy Morgan, you’re drunk

Written By: - Date published: 7:53 am, November 5th, 2016 - 149 comments

The latest Roy Morgan poll result and it is evidence that the polling model needs to be reviewed.

The latest polls

Written By: - Date published: 6:24 pm, September 17th, 2014 - 92 comments

Two polls out today both suggesting that National are comfortably ahead although the Reid Research has National declining further and polling under 45%.  The equivalent polls last time predicted that National would win an outright victory.  This is going to be a very tight election.

The trouble with political polls

Written By: - Date published: 6:31 pm, March 30th, 2014 - 189 comments

Two new polls are out suggesting National’s support is in the range of 46%.  Given that its support is historically over reported this is potentially cause for concern …

There is something wrong with the latest Herald Digipoll

Written By: - Date published: 7:00 am, March 21st, 2014 - 98 comments

The latest Herald Digipoll has caused many commentators to claim that Labour’s support is declining.  But there is something strange with the figures, particularly those about Len Brown’s previous and current support.

Nats’ biggest ever drop in 3 News poll

Written By: - Date published: 7:11 am, October 31st, 2011 - 67 comments

The latest 3 News / Reid poll has National down 5.1%, their  largest drop (in this poll) since becoming the government.  Labour is up 3.6%. A long way to go yet, but it’s an encouraging start to the election campaign for the Left.

The Google poll

Written By: - Date published: 7:43 am, November 7th, 2010 - 18 comments

It seems that in American elections there is an almost perfect correspondence between some candidates’ opinion polling and their current search volume on Google.  Can we do away with political opinion polls?  Sounds interesting doesn’t it.  A quick check shows that the relative frequency of searches for “National party” and “Labour party” predicted the result of the 2008 election.  What other tricks can we try?

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