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notices and features - Date published:
6:00 am, April 21st, 2012 - 114 comments
Categories: open mike -
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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The latest Roy Morgan poll has some surprises and some results not so surprising.
National Party 49.5% (up 5.5%)
Labour 26.5% (down 4%)
Greens 12.5% (down 4.5%)
New Zealand First 6.5% (up 1.5%)
Maori Party 1.5% (unchanged)
Others 1.5% (up 1%)
Mana Party 1% (up 0.5%)
United Future 1% (up 0.5%)
ACT NZ 0% (down 0.5%)
I’m surprised National have bounced back that much. It may be a lucky spike going againbst a recent slightly downward trend.
Labour’s drop doesn’t surprise me, sustained negative politics and a non-prominent leader won’t be enthusing swing voters.
Greens drop back to earth is no surprise, the last poll spike seemed likely to be too much too quickly.
NZF seems to be still doing well with the “stuff it, there’s no one else worth voting for” vote.
I think TV3 have their next poll release tomorrow night, it will be interesting to see how that compares.
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4764/
If you consider 12.5% to be ‘dropping back to earth’ then United Future must be positively subterranean
It’s all relative, isn’t it.
UF doubled what’s been a consistent (albeit very modest) level of poll support for some time. I’m sure there are less worries there than with Labour. Or are you happy with where Labour’s at?
Except the increase is less than the error of the poll and thus statistically non-significant, meaning that it’s more probable that 0.5% increase is noise.
So what does that make the % movement in the Roy Morgan poll for the 3 bigger Party,s in the space of a month???,
Such erratic ‘polling’ cannot really be relied upon as an accurate estimate of support and I would dare not here suggest that a certain Australian public relations firm has had a private conversation with a certain Australian public polling firm, reminding that polling firm just how much biz that public relations firm puts their way,
Such things just never happen like that,(only in the conspiracy theories,our range of tin-foil hats are available for sale online at you know where),
Or do they, during the 2011 election campaign,and, the months leading up to that campaign I was involved commenting online elsewhere, needless to say the experience was a cesspool of abuse firstly directed at me and secondly indulged in by me in terms of ‘giving as good as I got’,
Back to the point tho, during the ongoing debate over whether NZFirst had a bulls roar show of re-entering the Parliament on that un-named site I was actively watching a particular ‘on-line political polling site’ with great interest, particularly the nature of the NZFirst ‘polling’ on that site,
When asked befor the election,and,based upon what I had learned from that particular polling site I quoted NZFirst as being 6.2%–12% of the vote,
The accuracy 6.2% and the wide % differential I gave at the time was simply the addition to what my base-line figure for NZFirst’s polling was at the time of all the times that Party was manipulated downward within that particular poll,(ie every time NZFirst polled 5% it was immediately manipulated back down to 3%),
Over the past 2 Roy Morgan polls the swings for all 3 Party,s Green/Labour/National are far to great to be viewed as an accurate record of voter sentiment…
You are right bad12. In short something does not add up. Margin of error or something else?
Oh well Pete has delivered his analysis so the rest of us may as well piss off home…
ACT-zero point zero-heh.
“Open mike is your post. For announcements, general discussion, whatever you choose.”
The fact that almost 30% of the voting population didn’t vote last election and that Roy Morgan are accounting for only around 12% of those people, makes that poll completely useless.
Christian charity corner:
Seven years jail for singing in church?
Interesting battery news. Yes it’s a long way off from production, yada yada yada, but still good news none the less:
http://hardware.slashdot.org/story/12/04/20/1344223/ibm-creates-breathing-high-density-lithium-air-battery
Some brief quotes:
Emphasis mine.
I wonder if it is known how much energy/resources are needed to produce a light-weight, ultra-high-density, lithium-air battery?
That potential energy density is astoundingly high.
Of course, we also need to remember that unlike oil, batteries are not a source of energy. Batteries can only store energy that is sourced or generated from elsewhere.
one more tax on the poor
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=10800337
or are the usual suspects going to defend it as fair and equitable?
The reality is, there is no way this is going to be honestly and accurately applied to all the corporate expense accounts, the credit cards, the private parking, in-house catering, the subsidised travel etc etc that the business world gorge on everyday.
What is an expense account if not a payment in lieu of salary?
Government’s left hand: we want charities to provide more social housing! We want charities to do all the things we don’t want to do any more!
Government’s right hand: pay us tax on all those fringe benefits you previously didn’t have to tax!
There’s “some” pressure on Dunedin City Council to follow Christchurch and declare the city frack free. The front page of this week’s community newspaper was covered by it.
It claims “a lot of people in Dunedin are calling for this”. I followed some links and found lightweight support around New Zealand and bugger all in Dunedin. The person claiming that was an Octagon occupier – remember the 99%? What the frack?
Hey Pete, is there any subject that you are not an expert on??
Now let’s see –
knows there is nothing wrong with fracking.
knows everything there is to know about industrial relations.
knows everything about the advantages of charter schools.
knows everything about the advantages of conference centres and government tendering.
knows everything there is to know about good teaching practice (supported Tolley to the hilt remember…)
Or do you just post to flame?
How do you rate on the supply of statins and asparin to all in the country free in order to raise life expectancy?
Are there a few letters missing off your profile.
MSc, LLB, MBA, MEng. MAcc, MGeol, MPlan, MEd
Just wondering.
I don’t think there’s “nothing wrong with fracking”. I await the results of the Commissioner for the Environment inquiry with interest. If the inquiry finds real and significant concerns about fracking in New Zealand then I’ll be concerned about fracking here.
I do have a problem with a very small number of people trying to pressure DCC into doing something that probably isn’t council business, and especially without proper democratic consultation.
Urban areas have been known to be harmed by mining when the land subsides. Fracking under urban areas will over time leave a huge risk for homeowners, will this be on the LIM?
Underground mining, such as in Waihi, and the West Coast has sweet f.a. to do with fracking.
Fracking is only used to detect oil and gas at substantial depths.
Fracking causes earthquakes. Earthquakes are just large large earth movements. Subsidence is what people call earth movements that are not perceivable.
Fracking will increase, not only the possibility for earthquakes, but subsidence.
“If the inquiry finds real and significant concerns about fracking in New Zealand then I’ll be concerned about fracking here.”
newsflash for Petey et al, we live on the same frakkin planet you moron, the laws of physics apply here just the same as they do elsewhere. Nitpick all you want but the very physical act of fraccing is class-A-high-grade-collector-edition- stupid!
anywhere, anytime, for anything.
newsflash for freedom – there’s different fracking methods and vastly different gelology in different parts of the world.
Has there been any verifiable reports of significant problems with fracking in New Zealand?
I have often wondered,
do they deliver your koolaid in a drum or do you get an overnight iv?
I agree with you freedom, and add that pete is just a fracking denier
The reason councils should get involved at the behest of the people is because national government cannot currently be trusted to protect the environment we are all dependent on.
So now that Sky is slated to get pokies, will their investors sue if they lose income from future changes to the law, aka smoking branding?
Crafer was a news story from the beginning, first as cow pooh overflowing, then as the first Chinese buyer was not of good standing, and then National rubberstamping the deal, now as China gets Landcorp to make milk for them. The only good Crafer has commanded is to open the debate up on how stupid it is to fix legislation and tax, lock in decline, and become tenants in our own land.
The Crafer family bankrupted their farms, the ownership therefore turning to the money lenders, Westpac, an Australian Bank who became the de facto owners.
Maybe Westpac should not have lent them so much in the beginning.
Nevertheless they have still lost a large sum from this sale even so.
Warmonger, racist, and general all-round bigoted fuckwit Mark Bennett filling in for Michael Laws on Radio Live yesterday:
Oh and for bonus points this little rant was bookended by anti-mislim fervour.
Radio Live, 10:45.35am yesterday. http://www.radiolive.co.nz/Audio/tabid/109/Default.aspx
Hi Felix
Radio Live is outrageously right wing. At the moment they’ve got Rodney Hide filling in for John Tamihere. Laws is a professional underclass basher. Willy Jackson might be effective but dilutes everything with “Mate” ,laughter, humour, feel good music and jokeyness. Maggie Barry who worked there is now a Nat MP. JT is an apologist for the right. Paul Henry another American toady. And Key had his 1 hour Party Political Broadcast prior to the last election.
I think I will vote that old die hard Winnie Peters next time. Was a Labour voter for awhile then migrated to Greens for the past 4 elections.
No wonder Labour has got no traction – a new leader who looks like Keys lite – smiley middle aged middle class white guy -yawn. And the residual Helengrad elements still lurking, like the reverse racist, man hating felix types.
I am particularly impressed with NZ First’s immigration position.
You got one thing right kp, I am a reverse racist.
I’m also a reverse murderer, a reverse Feelers fan, and a reverse foot-fetishist.
Quite wrong about everything else though. As for your trolling, must try harder. Very old hat, very obvious.
Old hat? How about your tired predictable Helen faction drivel? It is as outdated and failed as Rogernomics.
No wonder Labour is going no where fast.
I’m nothing to do with Labour you fucking retard.
Lucky for Labour.
You must be a member of the Tourette Syndrome NZ Party then?
If you don’t like having your intelligence belittled, don’t type such demonstrably stupid things.
If you don’t like naughty words, don’t get into conversations with people who do.
Simple really. Just like you.
If you don’t like having your twisted ideas challenged don’t post them.
Reasonable really. Unlike you.
Are you QofT little sister? – your posts have the same vein popping screamer tone
Lol – your response to someone belittling your intelligence is a four-year old’s version of monkey-see monkey-do.
No surprise, one of felix’s admirers comes rushing to the rescue, lol.
“rescue”? From what? You seem to have delusions of grandeur.
Prometheus…he who stole fire from the gods…and gave it to man kind. Didn’t end up in a very good way did he?
Funny how the biggest tossers name themselves after mythological heros.
Mankind has enough fire thanks kiwi_pro(meth)eus. And since you only seem to be carrying shit you better fuck off before you get to find out if your liver really can grow back overnite.
Another Miss felix admirer, and suffering Tourette’s Syndrome too. You all go to the same support group?
Which reminds me of that funny joke:
How many feminist does it take to change a light bulb?
10, one to change the light bulb and 9 to form a support group for Survivors of Darkness.
Oh dear. Are you not a feminist, k_p?
Ahahaha I wish I’d stayed up for this.
I think our new friend k_p is going to be fun.
Guess you had an early night coz you had to be up for the All Men Are Rapists! Awarness Group meeting.
Oh, is Bennett still around? I did wonder what had become of him (I listened to him in the 1990s, as his station was the only one I could get while travelling.) What a vile man he is!
So when is Mallard coming out with his decision?
Mallard to decide over 2012 summer whether to stand again
Summers long gone, Winter is Coming. Whats the story Scalper Mallard?
That was the 2011 summer just gone, the 2012 summer will start sometime around October.
October? Jeeze some places in NZ are lucky to get summer by New Years 😉
I suggest moving north from Stewart Island 😛
Or away from Wellington!
The North coast of Stewart Island has predominantly pleasant weather.
We can only hope, the ‘feeling’ here is that ‘climate change’ might have just moved the ‘seasons’ a little meaning Spring/Summer on the wee islands Of Gods Own may start a little later than October,
The evidence for this,well very little,(another bald assertion from the home of bald assertions)our garden seeds tho,sprouting out of the ground with monotonous regularity in October every year would not in 2011 come forth till well into November,
An isolated incident perhaps more to do with Wellington’s ‘strange’ weather in 2011,(snowing twice in Winter down at sea-level),lets see what happens this October…
All that hot air rising causes a permanent low pressure area over Wellington.
No
The summers in NZ are generally referred to the months they end in, as has always been the case. Hence the 2012 summer has already ended as at 29 February 2012.
Much the same in the Northern Hemisphere where the Winters are referred to the months they end in.
You don’t use the start of the seasons to signify the current years. You are the first person I’ve ever seen that seems to think that.
Summer 2013 for NZ starts in December 2012 and ends in February 2013.
Although with this planet shifting by degrees on its axis in the last two years with Chile and Japan (and still waiting to see what the double banger M8’s in Indonesia have caused) it’s theoretically likely that the seasons have shifted by up to a month.
Link?
Man, you must read some shit.
Not everythings on the internet you doofus. My kids primary school newsletter isn’t on the interwebs, and neither is common knowledge that’s been passed down.
Summer 2012 School Holidays are over and it’s back to school.
And a simple google for you will show that Chile and Japan did shift earth on it’s axis.
It’s not shit when it’s been pear-shaped reviewed.
Oskar, you are way off beam with both summers and axis. While the earthquakes may have had a tiny and temporary effect on the way the globe wobbles, they have not moved the seasons by so much as a minute, let alone a month.
Having experienced a few summers, it has been my understanding that NZ seasons traditionally are said to follow European ones. We’ve just ‘enjoyed’ summer 2011 and Europe is just beginning summer 2012. But more importantly, the question is what Trev meant by ‘summer 2012’. And clearly, he meant next summer, because it’s a more sensible time in the electoral cycle to be considering one’s future. If he’d meant summer 2011, he’d have simply said ‘over the summer’.
The problem is that your claiming something that isn’t common knowledge.
Yep, by a few centimetres – enough to make no difference at all.
Absolutely tuiti-fruiti.
Exactly – by degrees
But given the vast amount by which the sumatran quakes slid past each other – which is “unprecedented” given the plates moved anywhere between 21 – 38 metres depending on which site you read.
We’ll just have to agree to disagree on when the summer period is claimed.
After all, I have an old dominion post here from November last year that talks about Summer 2011-2012 Events.
I would have thought most people would refer to it as Summer 2012 given there’s more months in the 2012 summer than in 2011, albeit a factor of 2 months.
And Te Reo – the effects are not “temporary” they are permanent. 25 years ago Summers regularly started around Labour Weekend. I’ve seen the summer seasons start later and later and haven’t seen a Summer begin before or on Labour Weekend since around 1998.
Ive had to plant out my summer crops later in the year since then given what’s planted over Labour Weekend tends to flower too early for proper pollination.
Anything planted towards the end of November/mid December gets a much better fruiting season on. Zucchinis I planted November last year were done by Waitangi weekend. Some I planted during the xmas break are still going strong even now – and these are all from seedlings.
No, it’s not degrees, it’s centimetres. For it to be degrees it would have to have been measured in hundreds of kilometres.
Stop confusing Oscar with actual numbers, especially when it involves time periods. He has a bit of Timelords problem – never quite sure of what era he is in.
But in this case, I suspect he is confused between the rates of magnetic variation and axial precession. One is measured in minutes per year, the other in fractions of a meter per year.
/faux concern (Farrar mode) off
With long service and his being upfront, Trevor gathered some history, which on cue has the negative sorts picking out those “events.” Think of those very obscure MPs who came and went without their names being known by anyone except their Mums and Dads. Trevor has achieved a great deal. As Minister of Education for instance he was upfront, progressive, approachable and frank. Compare that with current and past Min of Ed.
Williamson in his discourse justified the decision for the Crafar deal as “…well Helen Clark celebrated the high country estate sale to Shania Twain” so that makes it okay – I said – she said …
Just one small point Williamson didn’t mention was that Shania Twain made her estate open to the general public to walk / frolic and appreciate, and from memory, the land did not appear to be in the “productive” area.
(As an aside, some of you may remember the Tokoroa/Kinleath plant under NZForestProducts – The public used to have reasonable access and visit the set-up.
When it went to foreign interests, there were considerably elaborate fences and several security gates erected to discourage visits.)
Um, what?
I’m pretty sure that the stations were quite productive – before Shania Twain bought them anyway.
“Shania Twain made her estate open to the general public to walk / frolic and appreciate,”
err, no she didn’t. What she did was establish a walking track so that the public could access a very specific part of the farm. The rest is off limits. Prior to that access by the public would have been vaguer but more free. Access to high country farms has changed alot in the past decade, largely due to NZ being overrun by tourists. Traditional values on land access have changed.
As far as I know, the Motutapu Station is a productive farm. I don’t know if Twain is still the owner, as her and her husband have since separated.
btw, (for Mark up there esp) I was opposed to the sale at the time.
(simulpost with Draco)
DTB and weka
points well made, thanks and noted. I was more concerned about the justification – “They did it so that it makes it okay for us…” mentality.
Yes, and Labour did badly on this as well. So it’s more like Labour were dumb fucks so why can’t we be too? 😉
We probably should be grateful – I think Labour’s position on overseas land ownership was one of the outstanding reasons for people to migrate to voting Greens.
Yes I think that was Winston’s and David’s point. The sale of “prime, dairy farming land” is very different from High Country farms. (A great little Campbell Live item on Thursday by the way, on the up for sale of “Castle Hill Station” in the Hill Country Canterbury. Wonderful country.)
“The sale of “prime, dairy farming land” is very different from High Country farms”
In what way?
The fast buck merchants are chasing potential dairy land.
felix; too many sausage rolls has made his brain go funny!
they keep idiots like him on tap to appeal to the prejudices of all the bigots and to smother the rest in nonsense.
its easily done.
out on highway 61.
I think I will vote that old die hard Winnie Peters next time. Was a Labour voter for awhile then migrated to Greens for the past 4 elections.
No wonder Labour has got no traction – a new leader who looks like Keys lite – smiley middle aged middle class white guy -yawn. And the residual Helengrad elements still lurking, like the reverse racist, man hating felix types.
I am particularly impressed with NZ First’s immigration position.
You are trolling kiwi_promethus.
[Don’t go there mickey; the mods get to decide what is trolling or not. We have our own brew of “Lynn Prentice Capricious Slash” for piddling on real trolls…RL]
Hang on, felix and the like can be as obnoxious and abuse as they like -> “Warmonger, racist, and general all-round bigoted fuckwit” [ which is actually a fair enough description of the shock jock ]
But if anyone points out the ridiculous views or behaviour of felix et al, it is “trolling”?
But you didn’t point out any of my ridiculous views, k_p, you just made up some ridiculous views and pretended they were mine.
ps I think you’ve been around here for long enough under your various names to know exactly what you were doing and exactly what the rules are (they’re in the policy which you’ve no doubt been pointed to dozens of times).
you just made up some ridiculous views and pretended they were mine.
I’ve often seen you do that felix. It’s a core part of your gaming.
And you say:
“I think you’ve been around here for long enough under your various names…”
and
“I think our new friend k_p is going to be fun.”
within 17 minutes. That’s the sort of thing you might refer to like:
How does your breakfast taste?
“New friend” was slightly sarcastic Pete.
Hope you didn’t blow your whole wad over that one.
Ok, I’ll rememember the sarcastic excuse for next time.
Sure, but it has to make sense. You know what sarcasm is, right?
I don’t want to see you embarrass yourself claiming all sorts of things are sarcastic when they’re obviously not.
Eggs, eh?
Yes, I do know, my last comment was slightly sarcastic.
And your claim of sarcasm on your contradictory statements doesn’t make sense. I know that can happen when you post off the cuff comments without giving it much thought, and not bothering reviewing your past comments thoroughly.
Sure. It must be easy to forget that you’ve said something over and over again for 2 years.
Scrambled eggs now, is it?
Your constant reference to male sexual organs and their function is fascinating.
Something Freudian going on there with you felix/QofT.
Well I assumed Pete was a male, otherwise I would’ve made a female-equivalent reference.
I’m sure s/he’ll correct me if I got that wrong.
Your man hating and reverse racism is right there for everyone to see.
You claim you have nothing to do with Labour, but your extreme views fit in nicely with a certain Labour faction. Which is why you hang around here like a bad smell.
Why don’t you go hang out with that uber man hater QofT on her Wymin Against Phalopression site? She needs all the help she can get, she only averages 1 or 2 comments on her bitter twisted ravings and those are usually her own, lol.
It’s true k_p, I’m a labour voter and I hate men. And I’m a lesbian. And I’m QoT’s lover. And we’re satanists.
But I did already freely admit to my reverse racism so I’m not sure why you’re banging on about that. I think you might be suffering from reverse comprehension.
My various names?
Calm down, you are being hysterical and irrational.
You sure come across like QofT, little Miss felix.
I think we both know why that is, k_p.
Don’t tell everyone though, it’s taken years of hard work to get the prank to this point and it’s nearly time for the big payoff.
So shh, k? Our little secret.
it’s taken years of hard work to get the prank to this point
The felix prank? That’s no secret.
That’s funny Pete. Like you know what’s up.
Good one.
Why aren’t you over on QofT blog, she looks awfully lonely. Guess you hang out here because its the only site with a decent sized audience which will tolerate a rad fem nut job.
I am over there, logged in as QoT! Doh.
Got a bit of a chip on your shoulder over QoT have you, lie down on the couch and let it all out.
Did she cut you down sometime, or laugh at your micro flightless breeding equipment, oh diddums, go see Slater for another cuddle tosspot.
I don’t know if you’re a man or a woman, (I tend to assume everyone here is a gay man ) but you all really are terribly obsessed with male genitalia, hey? 🙂
I’ve no obsession with members no, but am rather keen on my partner and her feminine charm.
My attempt to show support for felix with my abuse to k_p was dumb and useless as felix can scratch back just fine without my insignificant two cents.
“I don’t know if you’re a man or a woman, (I tend to assume everyone here is a gay man )”
That is one of the most unusual things I’ve read on here, can you elaborate on that in any way?
FWIW, I didn’t think it was dumb to highlight k_p’s weird fixations. And yeah, Vicky does drop some clangers, eh?
Yeah that was an odd one and despite just picking up her comment and hence my late reply, I’d be keen to have her tell more about this.
PMSL! 😀 😀 😀
But Felix you dear sad wee man, that’s what you do! Refer Open Mike 20.4.12…. Therefore the words Pot. Kettle. Black. spring to mind.
You mean that thing about how you said you reckoned only 2 of the regulars here had kids, and I suggested you were speaking in tongues? ‘Cos, like, it was a ridiculous thing to say?
Sorry, was I supposed to take that seriously?
Sorry RL but he posted the same thing twice.
That’s because I posted the first one in the wrong column and when I hit the delete button all I got was a -1 which I presume is an output break for debugging. So I went ahead and posted it further down anyway.
Perhaps China will show us the way forward.
“The carbon-fuelled, capital-driven model of economic growth, which started in my country 200-odd years ago, has spread across the planet and is now, I believe, reaching its apex here in China.”
http://www.chinadialogue.net/article/show/single/en/4876–The-world-s-most-important-story
Breaking news, Banksie has announced that New Zealand has recently taken a major turn to the left. Did anyone else notice, or was I the only one that missed it? http://afinetale.blogspot.co.nz/2012/04/which-country-has-taken-major-turn-to.html
Yes, I thought it was a strange comment.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/6785559/ACT-party-set-sights-on-2014-election
This, the same day many righties are claiming a rise in National’s support as in the latest Roy Morgan poll.
And, funny, but I thought the 2011 election was claimed by some as a landslide victory for National!
http://nz.news.yahoo.com/opinion/post/-/blog/news_makers/post/75/comment/
John Banks…. the guy who slammed casinos in 1997, and is supportive of them today:
http://www.3news.co.nz/John-Banks-relaxes-views-on-casino-industry/tabid/1607/articleID/251304/Default.aspx
Must be a strange landscape of scrambled and shifting views inside JB’s head!
The interior of Banksie’s head is one large scrambled egg. What did the Actoids think of his speech I wonder. While they may be ideologically obsessed with free market logic, not all of them are mad or even idiots.
“not all of them are mad or even idiots.”
[citation needed]
Umm..aahh… eek.. well, I knew one or two once who seemed reasonably sane. Mind you, it was a long time ago.
Maurice Williamson,the latest from within the National Government to stick the leader ‘Slippery’ one with a sharp object, exposing Slippery and His shady dealings with SkyCity for all to see and at the same time getting a spot of utu for previous slights…
Oh dear
and from the defense:-
I suppose we’re going to have to start calling this the Mega Ballsup Case.
The NZ police co-operated with and used our resources to assist this US corporatised bullshit. Bad judgement all round.
..what a toilet this site has become. No wonder I dont visit here. Yuk.
Well you did visit, and given your comment i guess you were looking for some intelligent well researched opinions. There are plenty of these on The Standard as well as the kind you obviously don’t like. No reason to run away – unless you just came here just to make a negative judgemental comment. If you’re genuinely interested in challenging and debating left wing politics and ideas then i’d strongly encourage you to stay and get involved
+1 as they say!