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Roy Morgan shocker

Written By: - Date published: 8:52 pm, July 31st, 2013 - 342 comments
Categories: polls - Tags: ,

Latest Roy Morgan is out and it’s a shocker. Labour has dropped below 30% and the Nats are now over 50%.

Dropping into the 20’s is a very bad sign for Labour and will no doubt renew speculation about David Shearer’s leadership just at a time when the Government should be on the ropes.

It’s just one poll, of course, but then so are all the others…

Full results:

National 51% (up 4%)
Labour 29% (down 2%)
Greens 10% (down 1.5%)
New Zealand First 4% (down 0.5%)
Maori Party 1.5% (down 0.5%)
ACT NZ 1% (up 0.5%)
Mana Party 1% (down 0.5%)
Conservatives 1.5% (unchanged)
United Future 0% (unchanged)
Others 1% (up 0.5%)

342 comments on “Roy Morgan shocker”

  1. Paul 1

    If there’s a bounce after this because of the new housing policy, then that’s proof the electorate want to see bolder policy from the Labour Party. Conclusion for LP – roll out more radical policy measures.
    If there’s no bounce, then Shearer must go.
    Whatever happens, it is clear that Labour playing National lite just is not a plausible policy.

    • Granted 1.1

      I don’t comment here often – I usually support national. Your comment about more radical policies is what keeps me from changing who I vote for.

      Its the radical element that puts me off Labour/Greens. Some of what the Greens can sort of make sense but needs to be watered down as their assumptions always appear to be flawed.

      I dislike the announced policy to nationalise power and dislike the latest housing policy announcement of Labour – what proportion of no-residents have purchased what share of houses sold in last three years?

      I am not stating that National are doing a great job, but I find that the policy announcements of Labour/Greens just puts me off.

  2. Colonial Viper 2

    Let’s wait just a bit longer…the tide will come in for Labour…surely.

  3. Roflcopter 3

    Labour – down
    Greens – down
    Mana – down
    NZF – down

    It’s not a Labour-only problem, NZ is fed up with the antics of the left overall… but the left won’t change, just blame everyone but themselves.

    • Paul 3.1

      Antics?

    • Paul 3.2

      Sense all the other left parties are being dragged down by association.

    • Draco T Bastard 3.3

      The only people I see blaming everyone else happens to be the political-right. Every time that something goes wrong, National say that it’s Labour’s fault. Every time that something goes right National claim it as their own even when it was Labour or another party that initiated it.

      • Paul 3.3.1

        Far too easy to push around.

      • TheContrarian 3.3.2

        “Every time that something goes wrong, Political party of the day say that it’s the other party’s fault. Every time that something goes right Political party of the day claim it as their own even when it was the other party or another party that initiated it.’

        FIFY

        • Draco T Bastard 3.3.2.1

          Nope.

        • You_Fool 3.3.2.2

          “Every time that something goes wrong, Government party of the day say that it’s the oppositions fault. Every time that something goes right Government party of the day claim it as their own even when it was another party that initiated it. When in opposition left-leaning parties blame themselves and the government when things go wrong, right wing parties blame the government.”

          FIFY

    • halfcrown 3.4

      What antics?

  4. Sanctuary 4

    I would hate to think what Labour’s percentage of support amongst all voters would be if you factored in the undecided and will not vote. 15%?

  5. Pete 5

    The man ban debacle filtering through? The past few days have been good for Labour, but I’m forming the view they don’t have enough in the tank for next year. Not with Shearer at the wheel, anyway.

    • Vagabundo 5.1

      Looking at the polling period, it’s likely the man ban debacle plus the shit stirred by Garner’s attempt at manufacturing a coup. The polling period ended this past Sunday, so anything since (i.e. the latest GCSB-related blow up) would have had little effect. There was no way Labour’s numbers wouldn’t take a hit after a wretched couple of weeks. Losing 2% isn’t as bad as I was expecting, but it’s still pretty dire.

      Assuming the next 10 days or so continue like the last couple for the government and opposition, Labour should be back in the low-to-mid 30s and National down to the 40s, but in all likelihood, this has probably sealed Shearer’s fate as Labour leader.

    • Anne 5.2

      The man ban debacle filtering through?

      I should think so. I hope those people in the Labour Party who were pushing for the remit might start to understand how naive they were. Everybody agreed with the sentiment but what a stupid way to go about achieving it… especially when the party is almost there anyway.

      • stargazer 5.2.1

        or maybe it was actually the way the parliamentary leadership & some of our MPs dealt with the issue that was more destructive than the remit itself? perhaps it’s time for MPs to understand that when they attack their own membership, it looks pretty bad all round.

        • Anne 5.2.1.1

          Agree stargazer there’s much truth in what you say, but on this occasion most of the fault lies with the originators of the remit. They were naive. There’s nothing else you can say about them.
          Remember it was the discovery of the remit itself that attracted all the public derision, not the party leader’s response to it.

          • QoT 5.2.1.1.1

            Remember it was the discovery of the remit itself that attracted all the public derision, not the party leader’s response to it.

            Yes, that was definitely the problem, not Shearer’s complete inability to respond quickly, utter a complete sentence, control the message or discipline his caucus before they all started blabbing to the nearest microphone. :roll:

  6. So the trend is bad/really bad/terrible?

  7. Private Baldric 7

    I blame Greg Presland !

    • Colonial Viper 7.1

      Clearly, it’s the ordinary Labour membership and assorted low level drones causing this low performance.

    • mickysavage 7.2

      Gee Cameron can’t you train and send over anyone better than this?

    • tc 7.3

      Who is he ? Can’t recall an MP /senior adviser to the old guard with any such name.

  8. Curtis 8

    It’s so frustrating every time the government has pressure put on them something else comes out to harm Labour.

  9. Fair call 9

    [deleted]

    [lprent: Already banned and now subject to an extra 8 weeks ]

    • Tamati 9.1

      The family vote ?

      Anyone who has a problem with GR being gay would probably never vote Labour who ever the Leader is.

      • Chooky 9.1.1

        @ Tamati

        Bring back Georgina Beyer…..If Cunliffe cant be leader…I vote for Georgina Beyer (..saw her again on TV tonight in the Helen Clark doco)…..Georgina was extremely popular with the electorate. She is very good looking, well dressed and charismatic and family friendly ….She is for the little people and she says it like it is!….also she is an interesting and dynamic woman….a big plus as 50% of the electorate are women!

        Grant Robertson unfortunately ( imo) has the sex appeal of a sturgeon fish….. Just as Don Brash had the sex appeal of a salamander.

        • Rhinocrates 9.1.1.1

          There are people who have fetishes for sturgeons who are probably otherwise perfectly intelligent, reasonable and likeable.

          Personally, I think that Mantis Shrimps are quite fascinating, though I am not sexually attracted to them.

          I’ve never thought about salamanders or sturgeons, and I must confess, I certainly DO NOT want to think about Robertson.

          Ever.

          Not under any circumstances.

          Not ever.

          Not even if someone positively compared him to oatmeal.

          Or leeks.

          Just don’t go there.

          No.

          NO!

          On the other hand, a sack of potatoes could look rather attractive…

          • Chooky 9.1.1.1.1

            @ Rhinocrates …..Squawk ! squawk!

            We should have a fish picture exhibition….match the fish with the politician

  10. BLiP 10

    Really, New Zealand? Really?

    • Brett Dale 10.1

      Yes, really. seriously really.

      • Colonial Viper 10.1.1

        Dammit BD. It seems most of NZ don’t see Labour as representing their ideals, values or interests.

        Perhaps if we follow up an earlier suggestion from today and have Labour lead on developing a gender-neutral term for “landlord”, things would improve.

      • Paul 10.1.2

        Hunter Thompson
        “In a democracy, people usually get the kind of government they deserve, and they deserve what they get.”

        • muzza 10.1.2.1

          Problem is Paul, f these numbers are reflective, and even if they’re not, large numbers of NZ voters see themselves as arrogant, lying, money driven, selfish, traitors!

          Wonderful!

          • Paul 10.1.2.1.1

            Quite depressing if you’re right.
            The neo-liberal rot will have really set in.

            • geoff 10.1.2.1.1.1

              The rot set in about 30 years ago. People wont work together until things have become much worse. That’s not to say things don’t have the potential to get a lot worse fairly quickly though.

        • UglyTruth 10.1.2.2

          In human society, people usually believe what the state tells them about about the nature of government.

  11. Shane Jones will be gnawing his own hoof off to get the top spot – I expect a big play from him soon, and God help us all if he gets there.

    • Pete 11.1

      Do I really live in a country where it’s possible the next Prime Minister is Shane Jones or Judith Collins? Please, say it ain’t so.

      • Rhinocrates 11.1.1

        Havelock Vetenari, Gaius Baltar… are these better names?

        • Pete 11.1.1.1

          Actually I developed some sympathy for both characters as BSG and Discworld progressed. I think a better comparison would be Edmund Blackadder (from the first series) and Davros.

        • Colonial Viper 11.1.1.2

          Baltar found himself in the end. Yes he was short sighted and self centred but on New Caprica he did what he could, even if it was not much. Did he like the trappings of privilege and position? Yep. But he had a final, important role to play at the battle of the Cylon Colony, and he followed through with it.

          • Rhinocrates 11.1.1.2.1

            Yep, true. Blackadder was certainly competent at least, Vetenari is a genius, Baltar was thoughtful in the end. Ah, Davros, indeed, a clever and compassionate fellow.

            Are they fictitious characters? Sure they are, but are any of our politicians anything but fictitious characters?

    • Chooky 11.2

      @ marty mars +1

    • Don't worry be happy 11.3

      NOooooo. Not the ‘non’gelding… Shane “Stallion” Jones!

  12. Jenny 12

    This is hard to believe.

    • Colonial Viper 12.1

      may be partly because Labour is not taking a principled stance on climate change and GHG emissions.

      • Te Reo Putake 12.1.1

        Very droll.

      • Jenny 12.1.2

        (It is hard to know whether you are joking or not CV). Of course. If Labour did do a Churchill, and screamed like a fire siren about this approaching existential danger that would certainly capture the attention of the electorate.

        • mickysavage 12.1.2.1

          I think that responsible political leaders ought to make climate change one of if not the most major items of business. Our grandchildren depend on it …

  13. Rhinocrates 13

    Well, for what it’s worth, my own very biased and peculiar view is that while polls show that people love Labour policy and would probably love Green policy, they still perceive the Greens as fringe and it will take time to change that and they perceive Labour as incompetent.

    As a probably Green voter, I’d like them to poll higher, but I don’t have any illusions and know that it takes years to change brand perceptions despite what marketing shysters might say, but Labour for a long time has been perceived as offering neither a real alternative nor the competence to deliver it… now yes, I do believe that their policy is improving, and is good, but seriously, does anyone believe that Shearer could deliver it, that the rabble composing the likely cabinet of cronies could be a government?

    Really, Mallard as Speaker? Mumblefuck as PM, fossilised Rogernomes like Goff and King as senior ministers, victims of terminal testosterone poisoning like Jones, and God help us, Tamihere, yuppies like that snot Hipkins in the inner circle… and the best talent on the back benches precisely because they have ideas, ability, vision?

    It may be reassuring to talk about “sleepy hobbits”, but I feel that New Zealanders do at least know incompetence when they see it.

    The good news is that the next election is for the government to lose… but there has to be a government in waiting, and so far there isn’t.

    • Paul 13.1

      51% of the country benefiting from this government…I just don’t believe it.
      I agree the Labour Party appear incompetent, yet The Greens are not incompetent and they seemingly have lost votes to the National Party too!
      NZErs must just believe Key’s spin…..

      • Lanthanide 13.1.1

        Firstly, 51% of people intending to vote, not 51% of the people.

        Secondly, people often vote for parties that don’t represent their best interests.

      • Rhinocrates 13.1.2

        The problem the Greens have is one of brand perception. Sorry if that seems arcane, but I used to be an academic teaching people who went into marketing and advertising, and dare I say it, got good positions and awards for it.

        One, people like to associate themselves with winners or perceived winners. The Greens are not likely to be a majority. That in itself counts against them. I’d like the Greens to score higher, but I’m not surprised that they don’t. They’re still seen as a secondary party, no matter how good (I think) their leadership is.

        Two, it can take a day to destroy a brand, but years to rebuild it. Jaguar, a car manufacturer, scores very well in customer satisfaction surveys because they saw how badly they were doing in the 80s and made serious efforts to improve quality through the 90s and last decade, but their sales are improving only slowly. “Once bitten, twice shy” is a very real rule.

        Three, competence and coherence. I’ve said enough on that.

        Confidence matters and people remember.

        Social media are certainly going to be, are a major factor now, but brain-dead apparatchiks like Robertson will hinder any advances in that area.

        • Colonial Viper 13.1.2.1

          Social media are certainly going to be, are a major factor now, but brain-dead apparatchiks like Robertson and Curran will hinder any advances in that area.

          Come now my good Mr ‘Crates, let’s give credit where credit is due.

        • karol 13.1.2.2

          One, people like to associate themselves with winners or perceived winners.

          Well, that must be aided by using marketing methods, treating politics as a game, and Political Parties as competing brands – all reinforced by using tools of marketing like focus groups and constant polls.

          • Rhinocrates 13.1.2.2.1

            Unfortunately, that seems to be the case… politics is not so much a case of “rational choice” as idiotic economists would have it (though “idiotic economist” is a tautology) but brand associations. A significant number of people vote according to the tribe they want to be seen to be associated with. Please convince me that I’m wrong!

            • Colonial Viper 13.1.2.2.1.1

              NZers are practical people. They will choose between political parties that they think capable of governing the nation.

              • Arfamo

                Yes but a great many of them will probably form their view of who’s capable of governing the nation from the info put out by the MSM. Who are not interested in informing so much as entertaining audiences.

                • Colonial Viper

                  So you are saying that there are real, viable, credible alternatives to a National government, its just that the MSM aren’t reporting on them?

                  • Arfamo

                    No. I’m saying where Labour does announce policy and it gets negatively framed by the MSM the public gets a negative picture first. I heard or read somewhere once that initial impressions, good or bad, are often so strongly imprinted it takes four times as much contrary input to change that initial reaction.

                    If that’s the case Labour’s got a helluva job trying to convince people their policies are sound, and that their current leader’s up to the leadership job. It might also explain why Key’s still so teflon-coated in the polls.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      Well you’ve identified the problem there. “Launching a policy” is absolutely the wrong description for the activity and partly explains why Labour keeps getting fucked.

                      The Launch of the policy is step one of about a 6 step process. Labour doesn’t do any of the other steps.

                    • Arfamo

                      I haven’t been around here long enough to know if you’ve set those out somewhere else, CV. What are full 6 steps then?

            • karol 13.1.2.2.1.2

              Unfortunately, that seems to be the case… politics is not so much a case of “rational choice” as idiotic economists would have it (though “idiotic economist” is a tautology) but brand associations. A significant number of people vote according to the tribe they want to be seen to be associated with. Please convince me that I’m wrong!

              This is the way it has become. But it could b, and has been, different. By continuing talking about politics using “neoliberal” terms, you are reinforcing the status quo.

            • Anne 13.1.2.2.1.3

              A significant number of people vote according to the tribe they want to be seen to be associated with. Please convince me that I’m wrong!

              Can’t. Because you’re right.

              The majority kid themselves they are higher on the social ladder than they really are. To convince themselves it is true they follow the flavours of the day – the home location, food, car choices, holiday choices and who they want people to associate them with. I live in a part of Auckland where I see instances of it every day. Pakeha yuppies lording it over their supposed inferiors (check-our operators) or chatting mindlessly about trivial concerns over coffee with other yuppies. They greet each other on the streets or beaches as though they’re bosom pals from way back… you know they’re not. They’re pathetic – a laugh a minute but they don’t know it.

              • karol

                I don’t know many such people.

              • Colonial Viper

                Yep. The bigger the city the bigger the falsehoods in these relationships. Smaller cities and towns, especially in the provinces, is where it gets “real”.

                You’re not going to be mean to the check-out kid simply because you know that his Mum coaches the sports team at the school that your sons go to.

                • karol

                  Oh. There’s plenty of “real” people in cities who don’t talk down to check out operators. Might partly depend on which part of the city.

                  Actually, at some supermarkets out west in Auckland, lines can be held up while customers and checkout operators get caught up in chat.

        • Chooky 13.1.2.3

          @ Rhinocrates …very interesting….I am not trained in this area but I am fascinated by it….anyone who has connections with young people in their teens and twenties knows how much these young barbarians are influenced by branding and media perception …It is their world!….and increasingly ours( although some wont admit it and prefer the rarified air of intellectual abstraction)…..Political Parties can not afford to ignore it! ( Actually branding and media perception was always there but now it is in hyper reality focus)

          I actually think the Labour Party should be Directed by an Expert ( sympathetic to the Labour movement of course…such as yourself) as regards their best leader…..otherwise it is dinosaurs blundering around in the dark stomping on each others toes, biting each others tails and trying to devour their best contender.

    • BM 13.2

      The only way the greens will poll higher is if they become more central and work with National as well as labour, until that happens they’ll forever be viewed as labours more looneyer relation.

      Never happen unfortunately so they’ll always poll around 10%.

      • Paul 13.2.1

        They were 15%.
        They’re being dragged down by Labour’s incompetence.

        • BM 13.2.1.1

          Greens equal more extreme labour so the drop in the polls is hardly surprising.

          • Paul 13.2.1.1.1

            The very opposite is the case.
            If Labour adopted genuine left wing policies that represented their vote, they would gain many more votes.

            • Colonial Viper 13.2.1.1.1.1

              +1

            • Jackal 13.2.1.1.1.2

              Labour has just arguably adopted two very significant Green party policies, so lets see if that theory is correct and is reflected in future polling…I certainly hope that’s the case.

              • Colonial Viper

                Labour being derivative of the Greens may indeed provide a boost.

              • Paul

                Yes but people don’t see their heart in any policies…after the lukewarm efforts over asset sales then the power policy.
                There isn’t any conviction, no taking it to the Tories.
                Just a passive, ineffective, apologetic excuse for an opposition.
                A Vision….a passion…a plan…
                Can be done.

              • Mary

                And the spy stuff has been exceptionally bad for Key over the past two days – maybe even enough to cause him a modicum of damage.

              • Struth

                Problem is Labour fuck them up.

                • IrishBill

                  Here’s the latest Labour release on the GCSB: http://www.labour.org.nz/news/pm-clueless-about-gcsb%E2%80%99s-snooping-for-henry-inquiry

                  In just a handful of paragraphs it manages to move from the claim Key is clueless to the claim he’s not only not clueless but is engaged in a Machiavellian plot to hide the truth. It’s not just not in line with any broader messaging (because there isn’t any), it doesn’t even have internal logical consistency. It’s the kind of thing I would use to illustrate what not to do when teaching basic media writing. And it’s gone out in David Shearer’s name on the most important political issue of the day.

                  It’s that kind of incompetence day after day after day that has got us to this point and I can’t see it getting any better. It’s not a matter of policy (left or right) that has determined Labour’s decline – it is simply the fact that nobody in there has any idea what they are doing.

                  • weka

                    +100000000

                    It’s unbelievable really. I’ve been wondering how this affects Labour party members and how they cope.. Cognitive dissonance? Learned helplessness? Stockholm Syndrome?

                    • IrishBill

                      I’ve been involved in Labour for a long time – you’ve got to take the long view.

                    • KJT

                      Entirely agree with you Xtasy.

                      The welfare “reforms” are just the start of an evil attack on the sick, old and unemployed.

                      Unfortunately, Labour, instead of countering the constant memes from the right wing, who are happy for people to live on the streets in cardboard boxes, like Calcutta, and in a rubbish tip, like Manila, just so they can pay a few dollars a week less taxes, or pay “consultants”, and managers, thousands, are joining in with neo-liberal attacks on welfare, such as raising the retirement age.

                      At least two of the teenagers, and now young adults, I have helped, mostly by letting them “crash” in our basement and sometimes feeding them, are mentally ill, for real, after years of being shuttled between uncaring WINZ people, bullshit courses supposed to help them into work and unscrupulous employers. (Who get subsidies for giving them jobs, then find an excuse to sack, or cause them to resign, usually by reducing hours to less than they need to live, when the subsidy runs out, so they can get another subsidised worker).

                      Don’t even get me started on the “industry” of “helping” the unemployed.

                      You can imagine what all that does to the self esteem and the mental state of a young person just starting out. Now it will be much worse.

                      Labour needs to get a spine, cut out the dead wood, and take away ownership of the dialogue from RWNJ’s.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    Yep. It’s trying to play “gotcha” instead of expressing the practical application of consistent values and principles.

                  • Chooky

                    +1 Irish Bill….why don’t they take specialist advice on their media and message presentation?….this could be where the Nacts beat the Left hands down, certainly the Labour Party

                    • Colonial Viper

                      They have people like Mold and Fa’Foi and Robins and Curran, etc for that.

          • McGrath 13.2.1.1.2

            I agree with BM. New Zealanders like to think of themselves as pro-enviroment but not to the level of zeal that the Green Party represents. It’s this zealotry that turns off the average-voter.

            • Rhinocrates 13.2.1.1.2.1

              Probably a good point – we all want to declare our virtues, but actually practising them? Well, we’d like to, but…

              • McGrath

                I’d like to save the whales, but I draw the line at sailing a boat and ramming it into Japanese whaling vessels… The Greens represent the more extreme fringe of environmentalism. They’d do better if they were less “religious” (for lack of a better term).

                • weka

                  except we all do things routinely now that ‘radical’ environmentalists got labelled fringe for talking about ten, twenty, thirty years ago. What you are denigrating as fringe, is the cutting edge that will become the norm.

                  btw, you don’t have to protest whaling at sea. That’s what Greenpeace are for, you can just dontate to them instead. See how easy it is to support the right thing when you can’t do it yourself?

                  • gobsmacked

                    except we all do things routinely now that ‘radical’ environmentalists got labelled fringe for talking about ten, twenty, thirty years ago. What you are denigrating as fringe, is the cutting edge that will become the norm.

                    This is so true. Those crazy greenies want to … get lead out of petrol, recycle our bottles, build public transport, clean up our beaches, tell customers what’s in our food, cut the smog, and so on.

                    And every “mainstream” conservative agrees with them – now. But not then.

                    If we took a time machine to the 1970’s we would all be “Greenies”.

            • weka 13.2.1.1.2.2

              One of the major roles of the GP is to shift the forefront of environmental concern to the middle. They’re pretty successful at this, along with the NGO, activist and green business sectors. It’s about the long haul.

    • QoT 13.3

      I say again unto thee: fuck yes to all that.

  14. Most people are centered, labour has gone down, because they’re moving too far too the left.

    • karol 14.1

      I love a bit of humour in the evening.

      Thanks.

    • Paul 14.2

      Of course Shearer has really dragged the Labour Party to the left.
      Spin on…

      • Jimmie 14.2.1

        Perhaps more of a case that Shearer comes across as someone who is centrist or leaning to the right but who is coming out with policy that is veering to the left. (NZ Power, House buying bans etc.)

        This is a natural dichotomy that doesn’t resonate well with the electorate.

        Say what you like about Key but what is apparent that since he has led the National Party he has pushed moderate policy (Compared to Brash) and actually comes across as believing in what he is pushing.

        Through the turmoil of the Christchurch earthquake and its aftermath the electorate pretty much trusts Key – warts and all.

        To beat him in 2014 Labour needs a leader (and a team – but that may be too much to ask) who believes what he/she pushes. (Genuine) I dunno who that could be – Cunliffe perhaps?

        22% is getting closer

        • Paul 14.2.1.1

          Those are big warts….

        • framu 14.2.1.2

          “and actually comes across as believing in what he is pushing.”

          really?! – to me he seems the most insincere person ive ever seen. The only time i think hes being honest is when he gets that “im going to fu*kin kill you” look

          And trust?! – even my life long national voting boss thinks hes full of crap and has got to go.

          but yeah – how that jibes with the polls i dont know. It is a constant head scratcher for me.

          – but i do like the suffix “compared to brash”, so many uses

    • Mary 14.3

      Can I send this in to The Listener for Life in NZ? It’s a real beauty.

  15. karol 15

    A lot of focus on what 824 Kiwis said, when questioned by landline or mobile phone.

    • Paul 15.1

      “The poll questioned 824 eligible voters on either land line or mobile phone from July 15 to 28″
      What events were happening in this time to influence the 824?

      • Paul 15.1.1

        “Even if you are a minority of one, the truth is the truth.”
        Mahatma Gandhi

        • Rhinocrates 15.1.1.1

          Great, let’s see that win an election.

          • Paul 15.1.1.1.1

            My point (badly made, I concede) was that the last thing the Labour Party should be doing is moving to the right after polls like this. They should be sticking to their principles.
            The RWNJs want the Labour Party to panic to the right.

            • Rhinocrates 15.1.1.1.1.1

              I agree absolutely.

            • Rhinocrates 15.1.1.1.1.2

              I’m sorry if that was offensive, then.

              • Paul

                Not at all.
                I am trying to stress the need to hold to one’s beliefs and convictions.
                Last time the right wing terrified the Labour leadership into backing up on changes after power announcement.

  16. Richard 16

    Dude…where’s my country?

  17. bad12 17

    Lolz i wish you people would stop it, the almost palpable wringing of hands and gnashing of teeth i could swear i almost feel through reading your comments has me in fits of the giggles,

    It’s bad for my health all this humor, check Roy’s graph between 2008 and the election at 2011, NOTE the amount of time Roy touts, nay PIMPS, National as being able to govern alone and then ask yourself what grand disaster befell National a mere couple of months befor the 2011 election that caused them to nearly not be the Government at all,

    Rumor has it that the old dame behind the Reid-poll cracks up in grand merriment every-time TV3 broadcast the results of Her polling efforts, i am starting to think that over in Oz Roy is also roaring fit to bust,

    Roy’s latest certainly gives me the giggles…

  18. As karol has just pointed out:

    This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 824 electors from July 15-28, 2013. Of all electors surveyed 4% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.

    I think that’s a smaller sample than usual. Also, the margin of error will be larger than that estimated in the table for 40-60% range – i.e., +/-3.2.

    Having said that, it is the fourth consecutive Roy Morgan poll showing increases for National.

  19. McFlock 19

    So what the hell’s happened over the last two months to reverse a solid trend? I mean, that’s four consecutive drops in the RM, which hasn’t happened since goff.

    I think at least some of it is garnishers and jonolists editing the truth, but it’s not like labour’s made a sudden change in its performance in that time period. Any ideas?

    • Colonial Viper 19.1

      Dunno, mate, things were going so well too; I’m as absolutely shocked and surprised as you are.

      • Paul 19.1.1

        It doesn’t seem to make any sense.
        GCSB, Sky City. Pike River, Christchurch schools…..

        • Colonial Viper 19.1.1.1

          I think the non-vote is swelling massively, as opposed to people going to National. Remember, one serious downfall of the RM is that they do not publish the % of “don’t knows/don’t care”. That’s where the Labour vote is going, as per 2011.

          The Greens – theirs is reasonably likely to be an error of margin blip.

      • Craig Glen Eden 19.1.2

        funny CV

    • karol 19.2

      Too many polls. Clouds the issues.

    • Rhinocrates 19.3

      but it’s not like labour’s made a sudden change in its performance

      Correct. They have remained consistently, reliably, steadily self-absorbed, uninspiring, divided, lazy and incompetent.

      Remember: the customer is always right.

      • McFlock 19.3.1

        whoops, there I go stalking again…

        • Rhinocrates 19.3.1.1

          Right, no answer, I see. You think it’s all about you and me – no, it’s about the left winning. Try to remember that.

          • McFlock 19.3.1.1.1

            such words of reasonableness from someone just back from a ban for bringing woodchippers into the conversation.

            Right, this is not going to end up being a derail argument. Fuck off. I will do what you are completely incapable of, you moron. So, go fuck yourself. bye bye.

            • Rhinocrates 19.3.1.1.1.1

              As I said… so thank’s for making my point, but really, it’s a very small point indeed and you needn’t have gone to the effort.

    • Vagabundo 19.4

      The attempt at manufacturing a coup by Duncan Garner, as well as the “man ban” debacle comes to mind. There might be something else, but that’s really all that I can recall at the moment. Nevertheless, it was a pretty rancid two weeks for the opposition. Well, more so than usual at least. This latest poll wouldn’t account for the latest GCSB blow-up (the polling period ended this past Sunday) but there you go.

      • Yes 19.4.1

        [deleted]

        [lprent: Already banned and now subject to an extra 8 weeks ]

        • Colonial Viper 19.4.1.1

          Who cares who got what phone records etc. I think the press have got this wrong about privilege

          But Sir Geoffrey Palmer is spot on. Multiple abuses of Parliamentary privilege have likely occured, centred around instructions from John Key’s office.

        • McFlock 19.4.1.2

          maybe in housing.
          It’s literally “closer to home” than GCSB illegally tapping KDC.

        • UglyTruth 19.4.1.3

          The GCSB saga is a symptom of a much larger underlying story which goes back to the end of WW2, which marked the beginnings of the NSA, the UKUSA agreement, and comprehensive restructuring of the western security apparatus.

          Soviet empire building was never enough of a threat to the west to justify this level of effort. The nature of the threat to the west wasn’t a military one, but rather a cultural problem which threatened to challenge the dominant role of the state. From this time the US state conducted several studies to investigate the issue, and then rejected their findings.

          Probably the key event for understanding this behaviour was Operation Highjump, which was the largest military operation to place following the surrender of the Nazi armies. Admiral Byrd’s history of exploration of both the North & South poles made him the ideal candidate to lead the operation.

          http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GU85o4Laizw

        • framu 19.4.1.4

          your forgetting that dispite the mistrust of journos by the public – polliticians still come in lower down the list

          and your 100% wrong on the gcsb issue

      • Arfamo 19.4.2

        It probably hasn’t picked up the foreign non-resident housing policy either – announced on 28 July and that’s the last day of the phone poll’s 15-28 July polling period. And the msm coverage of that focussed on National’s framing with racism accusations. It’s only now that serious journos are starting to recognise its appeal.

        • Colonial Viper 19.4.2.1

          The Wellington earthquakes have made people decide that they need a political party with steady, trustworthy hands and which is ready to govern.

          • Vagabundo 19.4.2.1.1

            Unfortunately, all they have is the Nats.

            • Colonial Viper 19.4.2.1.1.1

              Yes, that is indeed what I am saying.

              • KJT

                That the top of the Labour party is so bad they make even the bumbling incompetent buffoons and evil puppets in National look good, by comparison. Yes.

                Which is why we need direct democracy.

                The thought of giving any of them, present political leaders, the absolute power we do, makes me cringe

                • Colonial Viper

                  Direct democracy and especially local democracy. Wellington must begin to devolve some of its powers back to local government and local communities.

    • Puddleglum 19.5

      but it’s not like labour’s made a sudden change in its performance in that time period

      It takes two to tango.

      You’re right that the long-run graph shows a decline in public support for National, but a couple of months ago the ‘drift down’ abruptly reversed.

      It may be that the public were waiting for Labour to ‘step up’ after getting disillusioned with National, and were actually giving them quite a long time to do so. But, as you point out, nothing changed in Labour’s performance so perhaps the public just swung back in behind National, slightly disappointed that they had to do that.

      In politics as in many things, there are windows of opportunity so far as ‘bedding in’ changes in public sentiment is concerned.

      Labour seems to have forgotten how to ‘dance’ with the public.

      • McFlock 19.5.1

        It may be that the public were waiting for Labour to ‘step up’ after getting disillusioned with National, and were actually giving them quite a long time to do so. But, as you point out, nothing changed in Labour’s performance so perhaps the public just swung back in behind National, slightly disappointed that they had to do that.

        maybe, but not likely. Otherwise that would have given a static line, rather than gradua increases, preceding the drop.

        • Puddleglum 19.5.1.1

          We’re getting a long way ahead of the data in speculating in this way, but what I meant was that the ‘(very)slow bleed’ of people to Labour was a kind of hopeful move (to indicate that, ‘yes’ we will go your way if you ‘step up’ and this is a promissory note of what could follow).

          That hope wasn’t fulfilled so not only did no more cross the line but those who came across signalling their friendly intentions were not ‘embraced’ and so they could easily cut their weak ties and drift back again.

          Or something like that.

          • McFlock 19.5.1.1.1

            it’s cool, we’re hypothesizing on the reasons for the shape of the curve so far, not necessarily predicting precise future results at this stage :)

            Okay, so it’s a bit like magnetic fields being bent one way against opposing forces until they finally collapse back like a whip (oh shit – nested metaphors. sorry :) )? Possible, but it seems a bit neat for my taste. It doesn’t have much in the way of external factors – that pressure against labour got released, but into what? Astronomical magnetic fields ‘snapping’ create aurorae or solar flares. To say “apathy” is suddenly and forcefuly created from a similar idea in politics seems counter-intuitive – I’d expect it to galvanise around something or someone, but it hasn’t. E.g. Brash and Orewa, or Winston and damned near anything he does (politically productive or “NO” disastrous, he has an effect). But it hasn’t gone anywhere – everyone on the left is down, and if you mean “gone back again” to National, then that validates the approach that some accuse labour of: moving right to steal national votes. The irony is that in that case, it suggests that labour haven’t actually been following that plan at all, otherwise they wouldn’t be where they are now.

      • Saarbo 19.5.2

        Yes, agree

    • Jenny 19.6

      ….it’s not like labour’s made a sudden change in its performance in that time period. Any ideas?

      McFlock

      The answer is in the question.

      • McFlock 19.6.1

        No, it is not. There is an effect with no cause.

        edit: and Jenny, don’t forget your own humble contribution to jonolism, of course.

        • Rhinocrates 19.6.1.1

          Have you considered becoming a theologian?

        • Jenny 19.6.1.2

          No ideas, is the cause.

          • McFlock 19.6.1.2.1

            two months ago labour suddenly stopped having ideas?

            • Jenny 19.6.1.2.1.1

              Apart from the question mark it is hard to know whether this is a statement or a question.

              Two months ago the Spy scandal started to erupt. What is Labour’s response? Let’s have a review. Everyone knows that a review is, code for, do nothing, consequently the public switch off.

              It probably doesn’t help that Dunne and Key have already agreed to hold a review.

  20. Paul 20

    Labour Party in the UK are also “consistently, reliably, steadily uninspiring, divided, lazy and incompetent.” yet lead the Tories by 12%

    • Rhinocrates 20.1

      So what do they poll in Ulan Bator, Luxembourg, Shangri-La, Barsoom, Middle Earth, or Perelandra? More importantly, how about New Zealand?

      Perhaps instead you mean that Mumblefuck and his cronies are even more egregiously unsuited than Milliband and co versus Cameron?

    • Tamati 20.2

      Not so much anymore.

      Lead is around 4%,

      http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/

      • Colonial Viper 20.2.1

        Yeah, UKIP has gone backwards and the Tories have been the sole beneficiaries.

        • Tamati 20.2.1.1

          With their crazy FPP system Labour could plausibly win a majority with less than one third of the vote.

  21. Rosetinted 21

    So there was a NZ wide selection – what ages have been selected out?

    • Rhinocrates 21.1

      Grasping at straws there, I think… sorry…

      If an estimation of success depends on a quibble about methodology, then things are desperate, and there’s a strong whiff of denial in the air.

      Unfortunately, it smells just like rot.

  22. Craig Glen Eden 22

    Shearers a joke pure and simple and voters wont warm to him. You would think the Labour caucus would be starting to see the writing on the wall but probably not, after all the majority of it voted for Shearer to be the leader. Labours slowly sinking with its incompetent Leader and caucus really sad but there you go.

    • Paul 22.1

      I think a telling moment with Shearer was all that stuff about his bank accounts in New York.
      Labour needs leaders who are more like the supporters they represent.

      • Colonial Viper 22.1.1

        How many experienced tradespersons, miners or machinists in the Labour caucus today?

        • KJT 22.1.1.1

          Unfortunately, none.

          We may get some fire and passion instead of time serving apparatchiks.

          And some competence on both sides.

    • Sanctuary 22.2

      “…You would think the Labour caucus would be starting to see the writing on the wall…”

      Writing on what wall? To remind you, the self-serving cause of the current disaster:

      NEW ZEALAND LABOUR PARTY List 2011
      1.Phil Goff
      2.Annette King
      3.David Cunliffe
      4.David Parker
      5.Ruth Dyson
      6.Parekura Horomia
      7.Maryan Street
      8.Clayton Cosgrove
      9.Trevor Mallard
      10.Sue Moroney
      11.Charles Chauvel
      12.Nanaia Mahuta
      13.Jacinda Ardern
      14.Grant Robertson
      15.Andrew Little
      16.Shane Jones

      They could drift down to Green levels of support and Goff, King and Mallard would still have jobs for life.

      • Rhinocrates 22.2.1

        Well, that list is a bit out of date, but your point is very clear.

        “Crisis? What crisis? Have you tried the Châteauneuf-du-Pape at Bellamy’s?”

        • Sanctuary 22.2.1.1

          The list is out of date, but the failure to renew the paerliamentary party in favour of incumbency protection of chronically underperforming senior MP’s is the direct cause of Labour’s poor poll performance. The perverse lackadasical culture of the disfynctional caucus means the good attract the enmity of the mediocre in the parliamentary Labour party.

          Labour needs a purge of it’s parlimentary old guard, starting at the next conference with rules – anyone putting up a terms limit remit? – clearly sending a message to the deadwood. If it means the old guard walk away and form the Labour-Blues with Dunne, so be it.

          • Colonial Viper 22.2.1.1.1

            Bringing onboard ‘new faces’ on the List but chosen specifically for their known loyalties to the old guard and ability to reinforce the status quo, is also common Labour practice. Former staffers, activists etc. A total Wellington Bubbleness which cannot be penetrated.

            • Olwyn 22.2.1.1.1.1

              Something that has crossed my mind recently: a negative side of MMP is that it actually reinforces political careerism, since one only has to gain the confidence of one’s colleagues and not necessarily the public. I am certainly not touting for FPP, just noting. In its early stages it seemed as if it would bring a new kind of person into the political arena, but it seems instead to tend toward a technocratic political culture.

              • Tamati

                Is there any motivation among the party members to reform how the list is made? Would be a great start in democratizing the party.

              • Colonial Viper

                The establishment looks after itself. This is the most dependable characteristic of any bureaucracy.

          • Saarbo 22.2.1.1.2

            +1

      • DavidC 22.2.2

        There are at least 10 on that list that should not have made it past July ’09. Goff should have done the job of putting them (and himself) out to pasture.

  23. Jackal 23

    Personally I think that people should be questioning whether the entire polling system is corrupt, just like the current government.

    • Colonial Viper 23.1

      Yes, agree, it’s the polls that are wrong. Don’t let them deflect Labour from what we know is the true and correct course.

  24. felix 24

    Sorry this is in the wrong place, but it bears repeating anyway:

    Really, Mallard as Speaker? Mumblefuck as PM, fossilised Rogernomes like Goff and King as senior ministers, victims of terminal testosterone poisoning like Jones, and God help us, Tamihere, yuppies like that snot Hipkins in the inner circle… and the best talent on the back benches precisely because they have ideas, ability, vision?

    It may be reassuring to talk about “sleepy hobbits”, but I feel that New Zealanders do at least know incompetence when they see it.

    Indeed, Rhino. It’s not rocket surgery.

    • pollywog 24.1

      I have great faith that Kris Fa’afoi will invent a time machine, travel back to advise Goff to anoint Cunliffe as next leader before stopping off for a bucket of KFC, cos that shit tasted wayy better back in the day!

      • Tamati 24.1.1

        At least that way he might get to see the opening of New Zealand’s first McDonalds.

  25. Saarbo 25

    What a terrible trend in these polls…I reckon that the National Party are selling themselves well and currently have a lot of friends in the media doing their selling work also. With House prices rising many Kiwi’s are feeling reasonably wealthy again, interest rates are low and National constantly harp on about how well they are managing the economy post GFC. Meanwhile workers rights are being eroded like never before, New Zealand inequality is growing very visibly and the increasing house prices are making the poor even poorer, unaffordable housing is the heart of our poverty issue. I guess in this environment, supporters of National become stauncher in supporting their Party and supporters of the Left become stronger in supporting their Parties.

    Phil Twyford listed the policies that Labour is trying to highlight below in a recent comment and in my humble opinion they look QUITE GOOD. But these Policies are not being SOLD, because Shearer is incapable of selling them, I will be honest, he’s fucken hopeless…he would be middle management material at best. IMHO only David Cunliffe is capable of selling a good Left narrative that could persuade the 5% to 10% (110k voters to 220k voters) of National voters to swing to Labour. But this is where the crux of the problem lies, the incredibly powerful and self destructive ABC brigade will never let that happen, and voters know this. So the soft middle voters will stay with National because Labour is dysfunctional and just doesn’t seem like a party that should be running the country. So as a Lefty and ex Labour Party member I am left wanting to support Labour, but then also understand why some people aren’t.

    http://thestandard.org.nz/labours-new-housing-policy-shearer-on-qa/#comment-669958
    Comment from Phil Twyford:
    “…but I would have thought that using the Crown balance sheet to build 100,000 affordable homes, and legislating to make it mandatory for landlords to provide warm dry homes was pretty good evidence in a housing policy of a committed move away from hands off free market policies. Put that alongside a jobs and modern manufacturing policy that includes rewriting the Reserve Bank Act, a government procurement policy that puts Kiwi firms first, R&D tax credits, a Capital Gains Tax, and raising the top tax rate for >$150K. Add that to a commitment to do away with the Bradford electricity reforms and introduce a single buyer model, a promise not to sell any state assets, and a commitment to strengthening collective bargaining (rather than weakening it as National is doing). I know it won’t satisfy everyone at The Standard but policy-wise that all adds up in my view to a pretty decisive break with the old orthodoxy.”

    • Olwyn 25.1

      The thing is, to sell policy you have to stand behind it, embody it, and make it your own. Labour, broadly speaking is not doing that. Instead it is intermittently running policy up the flag pole and waiting to see if anyone salutes it. This gives no measure of their commitment, and consequently fails to engage potential voters.

      • Saarbo 25.1.1

        Yep, supported by Shearer leaving the country the day after the Labour/Greens Power policy was announced…dedicated.

      • Colonial Viper 25.1.2

        I see Len Brown is reported to have come out against Labour’s ban on foreign residential housing buyers.

    • srylands 25.2

      The electorate does understand these are Labour policies. That is why the polls are abysmal. The policies are naff or bad. A “modern manufacturing policy”? Rewriting the Reserve Bank Act when it is regarded by the international banking community as an exemplar. Rewrite the Act, NZD drops 5 cents, oops petrol price goes up, middle NZ screams.

      All National needs to do is print out the Phil Package and laminate it for the voters – like a pledge card in reverse and mock it and attack it. How can you not see that?

      • Colonial Viper 25.2.1

        Recent Labour policies have been excellent, if somewhat watered down. Their “selling” into the voter market has been deficient, though. Really, anything that the international banking community frowns upon has got to be considered as at least partly meritorious, for starters.

        Also, “middle NZ” (the top 20% of the country) will just have to accept that paying an extra $5 to fill their SUVs or paying an extra $25 for their iPad is just the costs of living. They can cope. In fact, there are many benefits in the true cost of petrol/diesel being realised in a higher market price.

        The upside is the multibillion dollar boost that a lower dollar will give to our exporters, including our manufacturers and ag/hort sector.

      • KJT 25.2.2

        Srylands must be the paid astroturfer for this month.

        It would be nice if they sent someone to turf this site that had an original thought, though!

        It gets tiresome having to debunk the same rubbish, all the time.

        The constant parade of RWNJ’s, parroting the same old shit, show the truth of the research about the lower intelligence of the right wing and the lack of thought of authoritarian followers.

        http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/millennial-media/201304/do-racism-conservatism-and-low-iq-go-hand-in-hand

        http://issuepedia.org/Authoritarian_follower
        “Authoritarian followers generally prefer to subordinate themselves to a large organization within which they have little or no power.”

        I wish they would just “grow up”.

  26. hush minx 26

    There is no doubt that labor and their performance are a real danger to the Greens. It’s not just labor members who want labor to sort themselves out. Do I care who’s leader? Yes, but first let’s
    acknowledge Shearer has to go. Caucus- vote him out. Worry about who will replaces him second to that. But anyone will be better. Just let the process take its course. Please.

    • Bearded Git 26.1

      Yep Shearer HAS TO GO.

      Cunliffe’s one real sin is that he is left-wing; so what’s wrong with that? Labour can’t lose by changing to a more eloquent and passionate leader.

      Banish prat Hipkins to the very back benches. Moroney, King, Dyson and Cosgrove have to go. Twyford, O’Connor, Little and Clark are good performers.

      Top 11 should be (not ranked at this stage) Cunliffe-Little-Clark-Robertson-Parker-Adhern-Twyford-O’Connor-Fenton-Jones-Goff.

      This has sufficient number of good new and talented faces. Problem is only two women-open to suggestions here. Should Shearer be given a consolation role?

  27. xtasy 27

    I hate this, I hate this, I NEVER wanted to post here again, but here you guys get it!

    It is exactly what I expected, it is what I sense and know, what was due to happen, I warned you ALL, for sure, but some to do not bloody get it!

    Here is the work that Labour and Greens should be focused on, amongst other stuff, and why do amateurs like my mates and I have to work on doing the shit?

    Get a taste, of welfare reform challenge, I hear NADA from shit Labour, even lousy Greens now, to raise the real bloody issues. Here it is, READ IT:

    http://accforum.org/forums/index.php?/topic/15188-medical-and-work-capability-assessments-based-on-the-bps-model-aimed-at-disentiteling-affected-from-welfare-benefits-and-acc-compo/

    Download the bloody PDF, study and read it, and bloody phone, email and hammer your damned MPs, get them bloody hammered on housing, welfare, on economic, education and other policies.

    If that does not work, get a NEW PARTY started, by bloody October or November 2013! They betray us on welfare, social justice, do not deliver on labour laws, do slack here and there, and all focus is trying on catching Don Key out on his spy agenda. As well as that is justified, the policy and Labour and left and social democratic policy agenda MUST come FIRST, none ELSE!

    • blue leopard 27.1

      I’ve been wondering where you were xtasy,
      noting the horrible horrible treatment of welfare recipients
      that you warned about
      and has deeply affected me
      I very much agree with your comment
      very well said

      • xtasy 27.1.1

        We need a SPIRIT and POLICY change in Labour, a message, the constant and desperate attack on Key to expose his lies is perhaps right to some degree, but the left will not win an election merely on discrediting Key, there needs to be a damned PLAN, but few, if any see it. The PLAN must be defining, clear policy, and so far the housing and energy policy are at best mediocre. More is needed, and that is what people out there expect. National is wearing itself out, but winning an election due to the government being too bad will never be the best agenda. Even Helen knew better.

    • KJT 27.2

      Entirely agree with you Xtasy.

      The welfare “reforms” are just the start of an evil attack on the sick, old and unemployed.

      Unfortunately, Labour, instead of countering the constant memes from the right wing, who are happy for people to live on the streets in cardboard boxes, like Calcutta, and in a rubbish tip, like Manila, just so they can pay a few dollars a week less taxes, or pay “consultants”, and managers, thousands, are joining in with neo-liberal attacks on welfare, such as raising the retirement age.

      At least two of the teenagers, and now young adults, I have helped, mostly by letting them “crash” in our basement and sometimes feeding them, are mentally ill, for real, after years of being shuttled between uncaring WINZ people, bullshit courses supposed to help them into work and unscrupulous employers. (Who get subsidies for giving them jobs, then find an excuse to sack, or cause them to resign, usually by reducing hours to less than they need to live, when the subsidy runs out, so they can get another subsidised worker).

      Don’t even get me started on the “industry” of “helping” the unemployed.

      You can imagine what all that does to the self esteem and the mental state of a young person just starting out. Now it will be much worse.

      Labour needs to get a spine, cut out the dead wood, and take away ownership of the dialogue from RWNJ’s.

      • Descendant Of Sssmith 27.2.1

        For a significant number of years there has been three significant failures in the employment of those with disabilities and illness:
        1. The failure of the private sector to employ them
        2. The failure of the government to employ them and in addition to lay off large numbers of those previously employed
        3. The failure of government agencies to provide support and education to employers and support including financial help and actual tangible support to find work

        I remember my wife taking a boy with Downs Syndrome who wanted a job to WINZ for help. The staff members attitude was quite clear in that she did not believe he could work. My wife found him a job anyway and not at the below wage rate so beloved of most agencies helping those with intellectual disabilities.

        You see if the government wanted those with disabilities to work, in a genuine way, they would simply ramp up the effort to help them in a non-threatening and benign way.

        A government that supports it’s citizens wouldn’t castigate them, they wouldn’t label them as bludgers and malingerers, they wouldn’t have bureaucratic gobbeldy gook statements on medical certificates, they wouldn’t create a climate of fear.

        I posted once before that Labour would do well simply by promoting and supporting the governments own Disability Strategy and using that as guidance. That policy was written with and by those who have disabilities and paints a very positive picture of how those with disabilities view work and how they wish to be treated.

        http://www.odi.govt.nz/nzds/

        It begs the question – if you can benignly help those who are unwell and with disability to have meaningful work and meaningful incomes what is the real agenda to do this in such a draconian manner?

  28. xtasy 28

    The “leadership” of Labour is devoid of competence, it is redundant, it is due to replacement, and a thorough challenge now, for sure. The whole front bench needs replacing, and there must be a radical cleansing of the under-performers right now. I even gave Shearer some credit for a speech at the Anti GCSB Protest in Auckland last Saturday, but honestly, recent media and yesterday’s Parliamentary responses, were not looking good. Robertson will have his issues.

    Where is the A-team, where is the B-team, I ask, it does not seem to exist. A betrayal to all of us, on benefits, poor, sick, neglected, betrayed, let down, exposed to abuse by a harsh, ruthless and mean-spirited, in part illegally acting government, that is what this represents to me and a fair few others.

    Shearer, stand the fucking damned sake down, NOW, thank you!

    • Mary 28.1

      Do you think that the housing policy announcement and the latest blunders by Key over the spying issue might mean the next poll will be different? My guess is that they won’t make a jot of difference and that in fact support for Keys will probably increase. That will show how redundant the current Labour party’s become.

      • xtasy 28.1.1

        The issue is the MEDIA, they are in the hands of Key loyalists, and the are mostly that, I have followed Radio Live, ZB, and so forth, it is shocking. We need to push the social media, and engage people face to face that we know, there is no other solution, as the MSM is despite all scandals sticking with “security” (economic BS and bias reliance) and Key and National, that is the damned challenge.

        No matter how much is debated in qeustion time, and I said it before, it will move little, unless a real big scandal is exposed. But Labour and Greens spend all their energy on that, and lose the fight on POLICY and making a REAL DIFFERENCE on those much more important matters that the ordinary folk are concerned about. A change of attack agenda is overdue, but their advisors, changing Shearer’s one from bad to worse, is hopeless!

        • Mary 28.1.1.1

          Yes, the hopelessness around Labour caused me long ago to retreat into mere reliance on hope that Keys would misjudge the level of contempt he could get away with. If that’s the general sentiment then it isn’t a good sign.

          • Colonial Viper 28.1.1.1.1

            I think this one poll is a low read based on the bad handling of the Man Ban nonsense, also Nick Smith’s decline of the tunnel in Southland was popular with many conservation minded types, further people trust National to sort out issues from the Wellington earthquake.

            Based on people liking the NOFORN housing policy the next Roy Morgan should be back up in the ~31% range.

            • weka 28.1.1.1.1.1

              the first two reasons make sense, not sure about the quake one though. Haven’t they been paying attention to Chch?

            • Mary 28.1.1.1.1.2

              And surely the very recent Dunne/Henry/Vance email stuff must hurt National? Then again, it’ll probably make Key more popular, especially when we’ve now got al-Qaeda training in Helensville.

              • weka

                Very recent stuff won’t be in this poll, there’s always a time lag.

                • Mary

                  That was my point.

                  • Colonial Viper

                    Labour bounce to 31% or 31.5% is about as much as we can hope for I think. Yes the GCSB/Vance stuff is going to hurt Key but at the moment he will be feeling “relaxed.”

                    • gobsmacked

                      TVNZ have been polling this week, results out on Sunday.

                      National 45%
                      Labour 35%
                      Greens 10%

                      That would save Shearer … for another week anyway.

                    • Mary

                      Am looking forward to hearing him say he’s relaxed about having to resign.

  29. xtasy 31

    Anyway, we need no “holy” repetition, we know the challenges ahead, for the left it means: UNITE, no matter what differences, but get the leadership challenged and improved, or all will be LOST! Learn from other countries and their mistakes, that is the left of centre there. So much to gain, and too bloody much to lose!!!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZsdYs2qE7hA

    • Mary 31.1

      “…but get the leadership challenged and improved…”

      That’s the problem right there. How to do that nobody seems to know. That’s why it remains a problem.

      • xtasy 31.1.1

        Lobby, lobby, lobby, speak, speak, speak, repeat, repeat, repeat, send the message, and include, involve, talk, that is the only way, or they will stick to “chairs” like in old style Eastern Block systems. A challenge must be presented, can be expressed verbally, must be shared and spread, that is all I can say. Thanks Mary

    • Chooky 31.2

      @ xtasy ….! good to see you back!

  30. keith Ross 32

    FFS the public just want someone who can speak well and articulate to the average person what they would do differently. Shearer is a total dud, I can’t listen to him ,it is painful. The public would love Cunlife, he is very articulate and motivating, that’s what the public like, not some bumbling idiot who again is a pain to listen to. I do not like key but he can speak and is quick on his feet. He will slaughter that simpleton come the election season. the real reason that Cunlife is not leader is that he would get rid of the old guard who are not performing unless you call riding the gravy train performing.

    • Terry 32.1

      I couldn’t agree more. If Cunliffe were leading the party I’d be feeling a damned sight better about things right now but Shearer is as you said, painful to listen to. Labour need to grow a spine and drop Shearer now because the longer they leave it the worse the damage will be.

  31. Core_Labour_Voter (Tory troll) 33

    Labour is the only party with progressive polices. People will take their time to understand. Do not panic and ignore the polls. Shearer will start to improve the position of Labour early next year. National is peaking way too early and start to drop off. No reason for panic. Labour is still polling higher than election night.

    • One Anonymous Knucklehead 33.1

      Santi got a new IP address?

      • Arfamo 33.1.1

        Possibly twins. Newbie Golden Teapot tonight also looks like Santi.

        • weka 33.1.1.1

          Not too bright though. You’d think they could try and change the phrasing and tone of their astroturfing. Probably not getting paid enough.

  32. amirite 34

    NZers are just a bunch of dense motherfuckers.

  33. bad12 35

    Lolz, i am going to be naughty here and repeat myself, here is a FACT about the Roy Morgan poll,

    Question, How many months between the 2008 election and 2011 election did Roy Morgan poll the National Party share of the vote to within 4% of what National got in actual votes at the 2011 election,

    Answer, i have not gone into such detail of actually counting, BUT, a quick look at Roy Morgans graph of support for National and it tells me the answer is about 4,

    So, Roy Morgan in the 36 months between the 2008 and 2011 elections got the National Party % of the vote within 4% of being correct on 4 occasions and on 32 occasions between those elections polled the National Party support at between 4 and 10% higher than the 2011 election result,

    The only time the Roy Morgan poll shows Roy getting the % of the National Party support correct is in fact at the time of the 2011 election where Roy got to put His ruler on the page and rule a pretty blue line from the point of His last poll prior to that election to that actual election result, which resulted in Roy’s poll showing a drop of support in the few weeks leading up to the 2011 election of 6%,

    I am a little incredulous when it comes to Roy Morgan polls, not so much incredulous concerning the fact that Roy only ever gets it right within the margin of error on election night when He gets to rule that pretty blue line from His last poll to connect that last poll with the actual result,

    I am more incredulous about the veracity many seemingly highly intelligent people award to a Poll which never gets it right and continuously gets it wrong to the point of always, judging by the following election, gets it wrong by between 4 and 10%,

    Roy tho is consistent, in the period between the elections 2008-2011 Roy never once got it wrong by polling National support lower than the next election result, Roy always talks the National Party UP by between 4 and 10% of the vote that National never get,

    What i have said there takes no account of the realities of day to day political life where Party’s will go up and down int he polls,

    Having said all that, Roy says we are doomed, doomed you hear, PANIC….

    • karol 35.1

      The poll includes the responses for 824 potential voter. Is the sample unusually small because there were a lot of “dunno” responses that were not included?

      Nevertheless, the long term trend over all polls is not great news for Labour or the left.

      • bad12 35.1.1

        Only IF you assume Roy is correct Karol, Roy at times during the period between the 2008 election and the 2011 election polled National up near 10% of support it never went on to gain in November 2011,

        Roy during that 3 year period only ever 3 or 4 times got National’s share of the vote ‘right’ within 4% in terms of the actual vote in 2011, and Roy always erred on Nationals behalf with such polling by being wrong by that 4% or more on the plus side of 50%,

        It is tho a good poll which says remove the incumbent Dave and replace him with the other Dave, lets…

        • DavidC 35.1.1.1

          bad12.

          You can say its wrong all you like but this poll is just a touch worse than the TV3 poll last month. The trend for Labour is clear over last 4-5 months and the Greens ever since election. Downward.

          I look at the Curiablog http://curiablog.wordpress.com/ time/size weighted results for a better more even feel of where things are.

          • bad12 35.1.1.1.1

            LOLZ, but Roy between election 2008 and election 2011 did get it wrong 32 months out of 36,

            And of the 4 months i ascribe to Roy getting it right, all of them were only right by being 4% on the high side of the National %,

            Hell who am i to argue, Roy says we are doomed doomed you hear, it’s obviously time to Panic, demand the head of the Labour party leader,(in spite of most here not being members of that Party), and at the very least lose any positive inclinations you may have of a left leaning coalition government in 2014…

            • DavidC 35.1.1.1.1.1

              bad12.

              I realllly hope everyone at LP HQ listens to you and keeps on steering the ship toward the big white icy lump in the middle of the sea. Afterall what could possibly go wrong?

              Keep up the good work.

              • bad12

                Thanks for that David C, equally i really hope that everyone at National HQ fully grasp hold of the ‘Governing alone delusion’ Roy always during the election cycle throws out to them like a trainer throwing the dogs a bone…

              • felix

                and keeps on steering the ship toward the big white icy lump in the middle of the sea.

                I’m sure with another six months of unwavering dedication to the charted course, Captain Mumblefuck will have the ship righted and heading for the surface.

                (in time to meet the tsunami)

      • DavidC 35.1.2

        karol.

        Only 4% did not name a party.

        • Colonial Viper 35.1.2.1

          Interested now. Was that in the RM press release?

        • felix 35.1.2.2

          That’s 4% of the 824 who responded at all, which as karol notes is an unusually low response so you have to assume an unusually high rate of “can’t be arsed”s and “have no opinion”s.

          Still, it’s not that far off the trend.

    • Lanthanide 35.2

      “So, Roy Morgan in the 36 months between the 2008 and 2011 elections got the National Party % of the vote within 4% of being correct on 4 occasions and on 32 occasions between those elections polled the National Party support at between 4 and 10% higher than the 2011 election result,”

      Um, polls don’t work that way.

      They ask “how would you vote today”, not “how are you going to vote in November 2011″. They are trying to reflect the reality of the votes on the ground.

      As such, it’s really only worth comparing the polls prior to about 3 months of the election to the election result as some measure of accuracy. Before that period, the best you can really do is compare to other polls and see if they broadly agree or not; unfortunately NZ doesn’t really have enough polling data to get a good gauge on this.

      • bad12 35.2.1

        LOLZ, go on then L, have a wee squizz at the Morgan graph from 2 months out from the 2011 General election,

        What huge misfortune did National bring upon itself, excluding the whim of Roy, that caused it’s % of the vote to fall so dramatically,

        In 2 big steps down, something like 9% from a month or two out until polling day where Roy’s ruler and pretty blue pen had to shave 5-6% off on the actual day

        • bad12 35.2.1.1

          The Reid poll as John Armstrong of all people said in a recent column is tainted in that the pollsters ask respondents a series of ‘leading’ questions befor they then ask about voting intentions,

          The ‘leading’ questions are not collated and used to provide a fact, the ‘leading’ questions are so designed and asked so as to attempt to elicit a ‘required’ answer,

          i didn’t hear or see the old dear that ‘owns’ the Reid poll threatening to sue the old codger Armstrong for writing that in His Herald column so i will take it as read that that is in fact how the Reid-poll conducts it’s ‘research’,

          SO, we can collate all these polls and compare them all we like, But, if the information we use to discover the trend is in fact incorrect then the only result we can gather from having done so is going to be an incorrect trend,

          Roy Morgan in most polls cannot get it right even within the margin of error, and in any given poll Roy Morgan ascribes to National 4-9% of support that that party just does not have,

          i read Roy’s latest effort as subtract that 4-9% of support for National and within that subtraction is the true % of National support…

          • Colonial Viper 35.2.1.1.1

            ban the publishing of polls in the 72 hours before E-Day, to get the focus back on the issues and the campaign.

        • Lanthanide 35.2.1.2

          I’m not defending any polls or anything, I’m just saying comparing 3 years of polling to a single election afterwards is an incorrect and irrelevant thing to do.

          • Lanthanide 35.2.1.2.1

            For a very simple/extreme example of why this is a stupid thing to do, we can look to the CHCH earthquakes.

            Prior to September 4, Jim Anderton was leading the mayoralty race for CHCH and was highly likely to win, according to the polling done. After the earthquake, Bob won by a comfortable margin.

            If we simply applied your approach of “judge all of the polls compared to the election result”, you would say that the polls that said Jim was going to win were woefully inaccurate. But obviously that is because the earthquake happened and people’s opinions (inexplicably, IMO) changed.

            Hence it is stupid to lambaste the pre-Earthquake polls as being inaccurate compared to the election result. Just as it is equally stupid to lambaste a poll taken in Februrary 2010 as being woefully inaccurate compared to a general election held in November 2011 (after a Rugby World Cup as well, mind).

            • bad12 35.2.1.2.1.1

              L, naughty naughty, attempting to debate from a position of ascribing to me words or phrases i have never written nor intended from what i have written looks from here to be the foundations of a rather weak argument,

              Your first point, ”As such, it’s really only worth comparing the polls prior to about 3 months of the election to the election result as some measure of accuracy” unquote,

              That is well and truly answered in my reply above, a fact you seem to be unable to concede instead resorting to that time honored dishonest debating tool of ascribing to me words i have not used nor intended and then expecting me to defend the straw-man you insert into the debate,

              Where you are so wrong is to introduce Jim Anderton and Earthquakes, Jim Anderton was a shoe-in to win the Christchurch mayoralty until the earthquakes, polls reflected that, the earthquake happened and the polls changed to reflect that, Anderton aknowledged that the earthquakes had completely changed the game and i believe even Bob Parker aknowledged that,

              We can see cause and effect in the Christchurch earthquakes and the polls reflected that by changing in favor of Parker after the earthquake,

              However, your original point, look at the Morgan poll 3 odd months out you say that is more accurate, as i point out above, i did, and Morgan shows 2-3 months out from the 2011 election that that poll was woefully polling National around 9% higher than the 2011 election result whereupon it plummeted in a 2 step severe fall to the actual election result,

              LOLZ, what exactly the rugby world Cup had to do with the above is anyone’s guess but your use of the RWC suggests that National plummeted in the polls after we won that cup,because in the Roy Morgan that seems to be what occurred…

              • Lanthanide

                Sorry, it is you who is incapable of reading comprehension, not me.

                It is very simple: you asked how many months between 2008 and 2011 that Roy Morgan was significantly wrong on National’s support compared to the 2011 election result.

                I am pointing out that is a stupid and irrelevant question to ask, because the polls ask “how would you vote if the election was held today”.

                As I expected, you completely missed the point of my bringing up Jim Anderton and the Rugby World Cup. I’m not going to bother replying any further as you seem to be too stubborn to actually try and understand the point I’m making, when really it is quite simple.

                • bad12

                  I asked??? you have failed to understand the nature of a rhetorical question but i am really sure that the point you were trying to make was truly simple…

  34. The Gormless Fool formerly known as Oleolebiscuitbarrell 36

    Hang on a minute.

    Isn’t this government corrupt?

    Isn’t it spying on everyone for the benefit of John Key’s wealthy American backers?

    Doesn’t it have a programme of drowning beneficiaries’ babies in shallow pools of rain water?

    How can this be?

    Do you think, maybe, the people are stupid and cannot be trusted?

    • felix 36.1

      People like Coldplay and voted for the Nazis.

      • The Gormless Fool formerly known as Oleolebiscuitbarrell 36.1.1

        Not the same people.

        • felix 36.1.1.1

          A bold and foolish assertion.

          • King Kong 36.1.1.1.1

            It is a little known fact that Chris Martin wrote most of the soundtrack to Goebel’s 1940 masterpiece “Wunschkonzert”.

            • Winston Smith 36.1.1.1.1.1

              Chris Martin was a fine servant oF NZ cricket but I didn’t know he was a composer (or Nazi)

              • King Kong

                Fuuny you should mention that. In a strange bit of linked up trivia, the guy who taught Chris Martin to bat also trains David Shearer on politics.

  35. s y d 37

    the people aren’t stupid, but they can never be trusted.

    people even like the feelers and vote John Banks

  36. vto 38

    The latest ‘ups’ in the polls for the nats is entirely driven by people’s happiness with the property bubble and their sense of being richer, together with other economic good news like milk payouts..

    It is a very common phenomenon.

    That’s it. Nothing more.

    • Treetop 38.1

      The property bubble is not the only bubble that the Nat voters are living in. Wait until they are spyed on.

    • grumpy 38.2

      Ever thought of going back to being a “righty”, as you were before you started hanging around here and caught Stockholm Syndrome?

  37. Sable 39

    Polls are questionable things at best. The polls last election made Keys look like a shoe in but if you do the math you will see he only just scraped into power by towing Dunn and the Maori party into office along with him. The view that Keys is popular is when viewed in concrete terms a myth. The stats don’t support this claim.

    Labour’ problem is not Keys gaining support but more that voters who would have supported Labour are disillusioned by their stubborn unwillingness to actually listen to what people want and then stand up and say so. As a result large numbers of people simply stay home on election day which is what happened last time around and may well happen again.

    Shearer has to go but whoever takes his place needs to be willing to listen and then transform public opinion into tangible policy and then be willing to follow that through into legislation.

    Heres may take on a few of the things killing off Labour’s chances of success:

    >Insipid opposition to Keys spy bill
    >No solid decision on foreign investment in NZ housing
    >No real policy on taxing the wealthy and profits from the sale of businesses
    >No solid opposition to predatory behaviour by banks and lending institutions
    >No policy on reforming the growth of regressive taxation
    >No policy on combating the lack of accountability in government
    >No real policy on reforming our failing health system
    >FINALLY entrenching the bill of rights

    • Winston Smith 39.1

      You forgot to add that National is doing a good job in trying times. Employment down, crime down and the economy up so its no surprise the people of NZ are satisified with National.

      • Sable 39.1.1

        Yes that’s why droves of Kiwis head for the airport every single week and still do. Everyone is delighted by Keys and his nonsense.

        • Winston Smith 39.1.1.1

          Yes of course that explains why Nationals down in the polls and Labours up…

  38. bad12 40

    Hell i am so depressed by the latest Roy Morgan that upon awakening this morning i tried to throw myself under my nephews bus,

    Needless to say i am as bitterly disappointed in the manufacturers of tonka toys as my nephew is in my attempt to wreck his favorite toy…

  39. Winston Smith 41

    Um this is only a shocker to those who actually thought Labour were gaining traction, to everyone else it isn’t.

    I’ll give Labour a free hint…the voting public don’t care about Dot Con, CSSB or any other belt-way issue

    Even the Greens are more in tune with what the public want (and yes it pains me to say that)

  40. Boadicea 42

    The problem is not Roy Morgan.
    The problem is not the polling methodologies.

    If there were no polls how would you, your friends and work colleagues, tbe media, the people in your club feel about Labour’s chances of winning the next election? And about the performances of Shearer?

  41. Treetop 43

    Call in the Feng Shui expert as this will do no harm.

    I have made a real effort to listen more carefully to Shearer and he is improving on how to attack the problem. Shearer gave a good answer on morning report as to how he would run the GCSB.

    May be there are a lot of confused voters out there and clarity will give assurance. There is no clarity or assurance with Key’s mishandling of having oversight of the GCSB and SIS.

    When the poll was taken Parliament was in recess.

  42. Just Like Tiger Woods 44

    It’s the economy, stupid.

    Labour and the Greens don’t get it. They’re talking about everything but…..

    • unpcnzcougar 44.1

      Exactly! On the day it is the party(s) who voters think are most capable of managing the economy that get the vote.

    • Just Like Tiger Woods 44.2

      Labour needs to spend 100% of their energy promoting core, economic principles, such as job creation, lowering the cost of living, and growing the economy.

      Everything else is beltway, activist, irrelevance.

      So, the result of spending 100% of the time on side issues is falling poll results.

      Labour have made themselves irrelevant, and have no one to blame but themselves.

    • Treetop 44.3

      “It’s the economy, stupid.”

      Stupid financial management.

  43. Winston Smith 45

    Don’t worry Labour supporters I have some ideas which are guaranteed to work:

    1. Don’t change leaders, if it ain’t broke don’t fix it

    2. Concentrate on beltway issues like the GCSB and Dot Con because thats what resonates with the man and woman on the street

    3. Attack John Key because if you make him less popular National will suffer (don’t worry that it hasn’t happened yet keep flinging mud it’ll bound to stick sooner or later)

    4. Labour really need a ratio of 50-50 male to female MPs to show how intune they are with the voters

    5. More cuddling upto the Greens is needed

    6. Whatever you do don’t show loyalty to the Leader

    7. Banish the one person who could potentially foot it with John Key in a debate to the back benches

    8. Keep underestimating John Key, hes only a money man hes obviously not that intelligent

    So there you go, no need to thank me it was my pleasure :)

    • grumpy 45.2

      Job offer from New York on the way……..

    • Treetop 45.3

      Drama after drama and more drama when it comes to taking responsibility for ones actions and being an accountable PM to the public.

      The PM has also not learnt yet to not answer a question until he is certain of the answer. When he gave his assurance to do this about six months ago I had doubt. E.g. Fletcher’s appointment.

  44. infused 46

    It’s quite an easy one really…

    People don’t trust Labour. They don’t trust the policies, they don’t trust the old guard. They announce stupid shit like NZ Power, it does nothing but harm.

    Keep doing what you’re doing.

    • insider 46.1

      No you don’t get it infused – they are GREAT policies that don’t go far enough. It’s the people who are too stupid to get that, that are the problem. See thread above for details.

      • Winston Smith 46.1.1

        Yes thats true, one day the people will come to their senses and see through National and vote Labour in…and then Mallard wakes up

      • infused 46.1.2

        Oh, the voters are too stupid.

        You just confirmed my point.

  45. Blue 47

    Aussie Labor under Gillard fell 4% in the polls after her ‘men in blue ties’ speech. It was no surprise that the first Roy Morgan taking into account the ‘man ban’ fiasco was going to be a fucking disaster for Labour. They’re bloody lucky it wasn’t worse.

    • Colonial Viper 47.1

      I think the answer for Labour is to pursue more gender and sexuality based initiatives, not less.

      • McFlock 47.1.1

        Nah, I think the answer is for labour to only release policies that affect good keen blokes. That way the huge voting bloc of Waitakere Men won’t be scared away.

        • Colonial Viper 47.1.1.1

          71% of NZers are already scared away, by the looks of it. I think abortion law reform and euthanasia law reform is what we need to bring them back. Also, Labour should require that 50% of corporate board seats are held by women.

          • McFlock 47.1.1.1.1

            Oh well, if the end is nigh then Labour might as well die for something, rather than die for nothing.

            You never know, if Labour act according to principles slightly wider than those of sexist, mildly stupid blokes who refuse to think deeply about anything except sports scores, sex and beer, things might improve.

            • Colonial Viper 47.1.1.1.1.1

              But that’s precisely what I’m saying. Euthanasia, abortion, and board room gender equality are the issues that the NZ public are simply waiting for real leadership from Labour. Let’s go for gold!

              • McFlock

                well gosh darn it, man, run down to your local branch and start going through the process. Why didn’t you do that last year rather than whinging about personalities?

                • Colonial Viper

                  I’ve taken your long standing advice to heart mate, I’m very grateful. Shearer’s not important to the formula of Labour’s success, but the positivity of our individual efforts is. This 29% is going to be a very temporary dip, soon to be forgotten!

                  • McFlock

                    It sure will, now that your political genius is working for the left, rather than sitting on the sideline yelling abuse. Come save us!

      • srylands 47.1.2

        Yes the more the better I say.

    • karol 47.2

      Yeah. i guess we just have to accept it’s a man’s world and never try to rock the gender boat. After all, in this guy dominated world, the guys are doing such a top notch job.

  46. captain hook 48

    at the moment the country knows they are in the thrall of a gang of bohunks who are playing them for all they are worth.
    don keyote (like peyote but twice as dangerous) and co are pissing themselves watching everything going round better than the movies.
    but never fear. the odds will shorten before kweewee and his collection of imbeciles get their marching ordersnext november.

  47. jaymam 49

    I’ve just thought of a wonderful idea to improve Labour’s poll ratings.
    Make a list of all the soundbites that Labour MPs have got into TV news recently.
    Get all the Labour MPs to read those sound bites, and a panel decides who is best, on the basis of apparent sincerity, proper phrasing, lack of weird pauses, no stumbling over words, no shifty eyes.
    Make that person the Labour leader.

    e.g. the sound bite “I’m sure my caucus colleages would be of the view that this legislation must not, will not and cannot stand.”

    • McFlock 49.1

      because all a leader needs is sound bites, not the confidence of a majority of their colleagues…

      • Saarbo 49.1.1

        Those colleagues being Goff, King, Mallard, Cosgrove, Jones….getting the picture…

      • Saarbo 49.1.2

        Those colleagues being Goff, King, Mallard, Cosgrove, Jones….getting the picture…

      • Colonial Viper 49.1.3

        Absolutely McFlock, the performance of a political party is commensurate with the level of support their caucus collegues give them. In this case, Labour leads by example.

  48. Golden Teapot 50

    This is nothing to worry about. On the day which is still a long time away you can be sure that people will vote based on fundamentals. Shearer is doing everything right and by keeping to the same game plan and by keeping consistent we’ll see him get the right result in the end.

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    No Right Turn
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    Today the CTU has sent a letter to Prime Minister John Key articulating serious concerns about both the content and the rushed process the Government has clearly signalled it intends to follow to progress the Countering Terrorist Fighters Legislation Bill...
    CTU
  • Hard News: Team Little: pretty good
    New Labour leader Andrew Little has announced his first caucus lineup and, with one or two questions, it would seem to be pointing the party in the right direction. A clearout of a few of the usual suspects is offset...
    Public Address
  • Class of 2008
    Labour announced its new lineup today, and the change in leadership has led to a significant change: their top 10 are now absolutely dominated the Labour's class of 2008, while the old guard of Mallard, Goff etc have been shuffled...
    No Right Turn
  • Water fluoridation and dental fluorosis – debunking some myths
    Dental fluorosis is really the only “negative” side effect of community water fluoridation (CWF). It occurs in non-fluoridated as well as fluoridated areas but is often a little more common in the fluoridated areas. However, there is a lot of...
    Open Parachute
  • Water fluoridation and dental fluorosis – debunking some myths
    Dental fluorosis is really the only “negative” side effect of community water fluoridation (CWF). It occurs in non-fluoridated as well as fluoridated areas but is often a little more common in the fluoridated areas. However, there is a lot of...
    Open Parachute
  • Funding system pushing tertiary institutions towards fraud
    Pressure for funding is driving institutions to take illegal shortcuts says TEU national president Lesley Francey. News that the tertiary education minister Steven Joyce is investigating alleged fraud of at least $10 million from public tertiary education is shocking, but...
    Tertiary Education Union
  • GOP gulp
    The Daily Kos in the US is solidly on the liberal left side of the spectrum, so to see them declaring trouble for the Republicans despite their midterm win isn't much of surprise. But the source they are quoting is...
    Polity
  • 2014 New Zealand River Awards
    The second annual New Zealand River Awards will be announced this Thursday evening in Wellington. The Awards recognise the most improved river in each region where there’s robust data, and also identifies the three most improved rivers in the country....
    Gareth’s World
  • Economy, effectiveness and efficiency – yeah Right
    So - Gary Romano who took the fall for the Fonterra botulism scare was head hunted by Shanghai Pengxin -http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11226262the company which bought the Crafar farms (the original purchase of which was financed by loans made to Crafar by Fonterra) and which are...
    Te Whare Whero
  • Christmas singles and the White Saviour Complex
    In light of Sir Bob Geldof’s recent re-recording of ‘Do They Know it’s Christmas?’, controversy around the so-called ‘white saviour complex’ continues to grow. Naturally, I thought I would add my two cents to the debate surrounding the song and...
    On the Left
  • New Bus Priority coming
    Auckland Transport want to roll out 40km of new bus priority measures over the next 3 years to speed up buses, make them more efficient and support the new bus network being rolled out across the region. This is fantastic news as the...
    Transport Blog
  • Gordon Campbell on Rick Ellis as Te Papa’s new CEO
    The recent appointment of former TVNZ boss Rick Ellis to head Te Papa has copped a fair bit of criticism. Much of it has been inspired by the suspicion that Ellis has been hired to pursue the same purely commercial...
    Gordon Campbell
  • 2014 SkS Weekly Digest #47
    SkS Highlights President Obama's climate leadership faces the Keystone XL challenge by John Abraham attracted the highest number of comments of the articles posted on SkS during the past week. Coming in a close second was John Cook's Why we need to...
    Skeptical Science
  • Andrew Little as Labour Leader
    So Andrew Little is the new Labour leader. I don't particularly agree with him axing capital gains but entirely agree Labour should ditch raising the retirement age. Andrew needs to handle the members better. Cunliffe ditched some policies such as...
    Topical
  • Hard News: Music: Watching on Twitter from afar
    TV3's decision to broadcast the Vodafone Music Awards live to air was a great call. Not that I was able to actually watch it, but being able to read tweets both from Vector Arena and the living rooms of home certainly...
    Public Address
  • Sunday music: Talking Heads on cities
    A blast from the past: the Talking Heads’ ode to urbanity, “Cities”. This is from the band’s fantastic concert film Stop Making Sense: The Talking Heads emerged from 1970s New York. The city itself wasn’t doing so well at the...
    Transport Blog
  • Our social betters
    by Michael Roberts In a great new book, Billionaires: reflections on the upper crust (http://www.newrepublic.com/article/120092/billionaires-book-review-money-cant-buy-happiness), Darrel M West outlined various social surveys that show the richer a person is, the less likely they are to redistribute some of their wealth...
    Redline
  • More details on the Glen Innes to Tamaki Dr path
    Auckland Transport have released more details about the route for the Glen Innes to Tamaki Dr shared path that they and the NZTA are going to build over the next few years. The $30 million path will be built between 2015 and 2018 in four...
    Transport Blog
  • Headline of the week
    Original. To quote our very own Lamia, “Maybe the Maori Party should have included a history lesson in their confidence and supply agreement.”...
    On the Left
  • Who or What Was Onboard MH370, That Someone Doesn’t Want Found?
    239 people (including crew) were onboard MH370 when it mysteriously disappeared on March 8th this year.  Not one single piece of confirmed wreckage has ever been found, nor has a definite crash area been identified. I, like I am sure...
    An average kiwi
  • 2014 SkS Weekly News Roundup #47B
    Acid maps reveal worst of climate change Buffalo mega snowstorm tied to climate change? China will place a limit on coal use in 2020 Climate change investment falls for second year in 2013 Fossil-fueled Republicanism  House Republicans just passed a...
    Skeptical Science
  • For oil companies, our rights are just another obstacle
    Once upon a time fossil fuel exploration took place far away, out of sight and out of mind. But as oil and gas giants become ever more desperate for new reserves they’re prepared to drill in places that were previously...
    Greenpeace NZ blog
  • The Arctic Sunrise, her journey continues
    Last Saturday, the ecologically pristine area around the Canary Islands was the watery stage of the next chapter in the story of the Arctic Sunrise. Last year, she carried Greenpeace activists across icy waters North of Russia, where they protested...
    Greenpeace NZ blog
  • New Wynyard Hotel disappointing
    More details were released yesterday surrounding a new luxury hotel – to be known as Park Hyatt Auckland – that is going to be built on the waterfront, on the site that currently houses the Team New Zealand headquarters.   The...
    Transport Blog
  • Guest post: what should Andrew Little learn from Ed Miliband?
    John tweets at @mrduttonpeabody. A Labour leader being elected on the back of an election loss, through a system of weighted bloc votes, is familiar to anyone who follows UK politics. The 2010 UK Labour leadership election saw Ed Miliband...
    On the Left
  • October 14 Patronage
    October’s patronage results show Aucklanders are continuing to flock to buses and trains. It’s especially true for the rapid transit network which is seeing staggering growth, up over 20% compared to the same month last year. It’s showing that the public...
    Transport Blog
  • Hurray for “Hurray For The Riff Raff”!
     FIRST RATE AMERICANA came to Auckland's Tuning Fork venue last night in the form of the Alt-Country, Indie-Folk roots band Hurray For The Riff Raff. Led by Alynda Lee Segarra, the 27-year-old Peurto Rican singer-songwriter out of New Orleans via New...
    Bowalley Road
  • Capture: Movement
    It felt like we were overdue for a post, and when I took the time to look back at what had come before, I realised yesterday we turned three. So before we get into it, thanks once again for another...
    Public Address
  • Saturday playlist: new Labour leader
    It was difficult, but we managed to restrain ourselves from only posting songs with “Little” in the title … Add your (nice) suggestions below!...
    On the Left
  • South Auckland disadvantaged by new decile rankings
    New decile rankings have South Auckland schools at scores that show they are much more disadvantaged than the national average, says Labour’s Associate Auckland  Issues spokesperson Louisa Wall.  “As a measurement of disadvantage it is alarming that the average score...
    Labour
  • Sexism, rape culture and power
    Our discourse around sexual violence is complicated. All too often perpetrators are described as ‘monsters’, so when someone you know tells you the lovely man that you really like sexually abused them it’s hard to believe, because they’re not a...
    Greens
  • Time for an economy that works for all New Zealanders
    New Labour Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson says the challenge for the National Government is to support an economy that delivers good, sustainable jobs paying decent wages. “It’s time the economy delivered for all New Zealanders, not just the fortunate few....
    Labour
  • New faces, wise heads in bold Labour line up
    Labour Leader Andrew Little today announced a bold new caucus line up which brings forward new talent and draws on the party’s depth of experience....
    Labour
  • Plan for mega factory farm ruffles feathers
    Not long ago I wrote about the proposal to build a mega factory farm in the small township of Patumahoe that would confine over 300, 000 hens to colony cages. This week the resource consent hearing for the proposed factory...
    Greens
  • National opens door further to Chinese property speculators
    National has further opened the door to Chinese property speculators with the registration of a third Chinese bank here that will make it easier for Chinese investors to invest in New Zealand properties, the Green Party said today."As well, former...
    Greens
  • National restarts logging in West Coast forests
    “Dead wood also contributes by providing nutrients to soils, supporting the agents of wood decay such as fungi and invertebrates and it is a key habitat for the regeneration of some trees.” Annual Report 2013/14, page 29. The National Government has...
    Greens
  • Lab plan the beginning of slippery slope?
    It’s time for new Health Minister Jonathan Coleman to show his hand on plans to privatise lab services which doctors are warning could put patients’ lives at risk, Labour’s Health spokesperson Annette King says. “Clinicians have sent the Government some...
    Labour
  • A-G called on to look into flagship ‘cost-saving’ programme
    New health Minister Jonathan Coleman has some serious questions to answer following a decision to wind up the Government’s flagship health savings provider HBL just a fortnight after giving it the green light to implement its plans, Labour’s Health spokesperson...
    Labour
  • Prime Minister’s warped view of history
    Students who sat NCEA level 3 history exams last week might be very worried to hear the Prime Minister tell a Radio Station that New Zealand was one of the few countries that was settled peacefully by Europeans. Those students who wrote...
    Greens
  • Climate of fear needs addressing
    It is hugely concerning that community and volunteer groups feel they are being gagged from speaking out against the Government, Labour’s Community and Voluntary Sector Spokesperson Louisa Wall says.  A Victoria University survey of 93 sector groups has found 50...
    Labour
  • Mandatory code of conduct needed for supermarkets
    Labour has drafted legislation to establish a mandatory code of conduct for supermarkets to ensure New Zealand suppliers are not affected by anti-competitive behaviour. “Even though the Commerce Commission found no technical breaches of the law through some of Countdown’s...
    Labour
  • National softening public up for 7th successive deficit
    Finance Minister Bill English is softening the public up for an announcement that National is going to fail in even its very limited goal of achieving a budget surplus, the Green Party said today."No finance minister in a generation has...
    Greens
  • National caught out on state house porkies
    Housing NZ’s annual report out today directly contradicts the Government’s claim that one-third of its houses are in the wrong place and are the wrong size, said Labour’s housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “The annual report states 96 per cent of...
    Labour
  • Damning report on Department of Conservation restructure
    The restructuring of the Department of Conservation (DOC) following National's severe funding cuts has been revealed as failure, the Green Party said today.The Taribon report has reviewed the new structure of DOC after 12 months. The restructuring, one of the...
    Greens
  • Greens welcome Xi, but human rights need to be on agenda
    The Green Party welcomes the visit to New Zealand of Chinese President Xi Jinping and wishes to congratulate him on his recent announcement regarding China capping emissions for the first time.The United States and China recently unveiled a deal to...
    Greens
  • Backing New Zealanders to get ahead
    New Labour Leader Andrew Little says it is an immense privilege to have been chosen to lead the party and to be given the task of ensuring it once again becomes a powerful force that backs New Zealanders in getting...
    Labour
  • Andrew Little Elected Leader of Labour Party
    “The Labour Party congratulates Andrew Little, who has been elected as party leader in a robust and highly democratic process,” says Labour Party President Moira Coatsworth. “Andrew’s leadership will have the full support of the whole Labour Party.”...
    Labour
  • Report into Brownlee security breach should be released
    The Government and Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) should release the report into former Minister of Transport Gerry Brownlee's airport security breach, the Green Party said today."The actions of a Minister of Transport breaching security at an airport are a matter...
    Greens
  • Brownlee must ask CAA to release the report
    Gerry Brownlee must ask the Civil Aviation Authority to release the report that finds he broke the law in breaching airport security, says Labour's Transport spokesperson Phil Twyford. “It is inexcusable for any minister, let alone the then-Transport Minister, to...
    Labour
  • G20 climate comment increases pressure on NZ
    The G20 decision to include climate change in its communiqué despite Australia's attempt to ignore it, increases pressure on New Zealand to come up with a credible plan to cut emissions, the Green Party said today.The G20 Leaders Communiqué from...
    Greens
  • NZ joins G20 climate problem
    Confirmation this morning by John Key that his Government plans to do nothing to turn around NZ's rapidly rising greenhouse emissions means that New Zealand joins Australia as one of the problem children at the G20 meeting in Brisbane, the...
    Greens
  • IRD joins Corrections in Phillip Smith failure
    It is incomprehensible that IRD and Corrections were not able to stop Phillip Smith from rorting the tax system out of $50,000 until it was too late, given that he was a notoriously manipulative prisoner stuck in jail, says Labour’s...
    Labour
  • The Government has to listen to Olly
    When even hard boiled property investors like Olly Newland  say first home buyers have been shafted by Loan to Value Ratio lending restrictions, surely it is time for the Government to listen, says Labour's housing spokesperson Phil Twyford.  "Auckland landlord...
    Labour
  • Key used GCSB for political ends prior to 2014 election
    New documents released to the Green Party show that Prime Minister John Key used New Zealand's intelligence services for the National Party's political ends a few days out from the 2014 election, the Green Party said today.Documents released to the...
    Greens
  • Government not meeting its climate target
    The Government must front up to the fact that its own advisors are now saying that New Zealand is off target in any transition to a low carbon future, says Labour’s spokesperson on Climate Change Nanaia Mahuta.  “A briefing to...
    Labour
  • Briefing reveals Defence facilities ‘increasingly unfit for purpose’
    The Defence Briefing to the Incoming Minister reveals a deteriorating state in Defence facilities that are no longer fit for purpose, says Labour’s Defence spokesperson Phil Goff.  “The briefing is heavily censored but still reveals that Defence camps, bases and...
    Labour
  • New projections show New Zealand missing climate target
    Briefings to Incoming Ministers released today reveal the Government's climate policy is failing with projected emission more than double what is needed to meet National's 2050 target, the Green Party saidProjections released by the Ministry for the Environment, as part...
    Greens
  • National’s highways far less efficient
    National’s new state highways have a far lower cost-benefit ratio than motorways built under the last Labour Government, making a mockery of the Government’s bluster that its road building will boost the economy, says Labour's Transport spokesperson Phil Twyford. “New...
    Labour
  • Governor points finger at National on supply
    The Reserve Bank Governor has admitted he had to keep loan to value mortgage restrictions in place because the Government’s attempts to increase housing has fallen ‘a long way short’, says Labour's Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “The thousands of first...
    Labour
  • Did Collins cover up Slater’s OIA requests?
    Disgraced former Cabinet Minister Judith Collins must explain why she appears to have tried to hide Official Information Act requests she fulfilled for Whale Oil blogger Cameron Slater, Labour MP Megan Woods says. “New documents obtained by Labour show Judith...
    Labour
  • Reserve Bank’s dairy warning must be heard
    The Reserve Bank’s warning that falling dairy prices are creating greater risks for the New Zealand economy must be taken seriously by Bill English and John Key, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson David Parker. “Dairy prices have nearly halved since February...
    Labour
  • National’s housing failure keeps LVRs in place
    The Reserve Bank’s decision to leave loan-to-value ratio mortgage restrictions in place is further confirmation of National’s housing policy fiasco, Labour’s Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford says. “The Reserve Bank would have lifted LVRs if they had seen any increase in...
    Labour
  • Let’s see if it is plane sailing Mr Bridges
    Comments by Transport Minister Simon Bridges that Far North residents' anger over cutbacks to regional flights will be allayed by larger planes and cheaper fares out of Kerikeri, are just pure arrogance, says Labour’s Te Tai Tokerau MP Kelvin Davis....
    Labour
  • Commerce Commission inquiry needed into building supplies monopoly
    The Commerce Commission must stop dragging the chain and urgently investigate the anti-competitive practices in the building industry that are driving up the cost of building materials, says Labour's Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “Competition in the building materials market is...
    Labour
  • Air New Zealand grounds Far North
    The announcement by Air New Zealand to close services from Kaitaia to Auckland will be an absolute disaster for the Far North, Labour MP for Te Tai Tokerau Kelvin Davis says.  “Air New Zealand is sending a signal to the...
    Labour
  • Pulling West Coast flights a savage blow
    Air New Zealand’s decision to withdraw its Westport service is another kick in the guts for an already struggling community, West Coast-Tasman MP, Damien O’Connor says.   “Having been involved in the West Coast’s efforts to get Air Nelson to return...
    Labour
  • Air NZ cuts economic lifelines to neglected regions
    Air New Zealand’s plans to cut its Eagle Air regional services to already struggling regions is a hammer blow to Westport, Whakatane and Kaitaia, says Labour's Transport spokesperson Phil Twyford. “The regions of New Zealand are being abandoned by this...
    Labour
  • Christchurch on the rent rack
    A jump of 20 per cent in weekly rents in the past year is a disaster for Christchurch, says Associate Housing spokesperson Poto Williams. “The Trade Me Property Rental Price index has rightly described the city as being a ‘...
    Labour
  • Past time to act on warnings about palliative care
    Health officials have been warning the Government about a critical shortage of palliative care specialists for years, Labour’s Acting Deputy Leader and Health spokesperson Annette King says. A stocktake carried out for the Ministry of Health shows New Zealand’s end...
    Labour
  • Report must spur Government into action
    The soaring cost of domestic violence and child abuse highlight the need for the Government to prioritise and act on the issue, says Labour's spokesperson for Social Development, Sue Moroney.“Findings from the Glenn Inquiry that show the problem is estimated...
    Labour
  • Family safety paramount, then urgent review
    Corrections Minister Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga has some serious questions to answer over why a dangerous prison escapee, convicted of further crimes while in jail, managed to abscond while he was on approved temporary release, Labour’s Corrections spokesperson Jacinda Ardern says.“Phillip...
    Labour
  • LVRs a failed experiment from Bill English
    Loan to value mortgage restrictions are a failed experiment from Bill English to tame Auckland house prices, that have caused collateral damage to first home buyers and other regions, says Labour's Housing spokesperson Phil Twyford. “The possible end of LVR...
    Labour
  • Govt books getting worse as economy slows
    National’s economic credibility is under serious scrutiny with its search for surplus becoming harder due to an economy far too reliant on the dairy industry, says Labour’s Finance spokesperson David Parker. “National promised New Zealanders would get into surplus by...
    Labour
  • Kiwis in pain because of Government underfunding
    New research showing one in three people needing elective surgery are being denied publicly-funded operations shows the Government must properly fund the health sector, Labour’s Health spokesperson Annette King says. “For almost two years Labour has been warning about the...
    Labour
  • National’s promised surplus looking doubtful
    Budget figures for the first quarter of the financial year released today by Treasury show the Government's goal of achieving a budget surplus is looking doubtful, the Green Party said today."National has staked its credibility on achieving a budget surplus...
    Greens
  • Kevin Hague speaks on the Gambling Amendment Bill (No 3)
    I rise to give this speech on behalf of Denise Roche, who handles the gambling portfolio for the Green Party. This bill deals with class 4 gambling—pokies in pubs and clubs—and it is the result of changes that were suggested...
    Greens
  • Kevin Hague speaks on the Health (Protection) Amendment Bill
    I would like to start off where the previous speaker left off, on the issue of balancing rights or balancing harms. All law is in some way a restriction of personal liberty. That is the point of law. When we...
    Greens
  • Joyce backs away from yet another target
    Steven Joyce has backed away from two targets in two days, refusing to acknowledge that his Government has an unambitious aim to get unemployment down to 4 per cent in 11 years’ time, says Labour Associate Finance spokesperson David Clark....
    Labour
  • Pacific peoples incomes and jobs falling under National
    The Minister of Pacific Peoples is attempting to bury the ugly facts of Pacific unemployment and income levels worsening since National took office in 2008, said Labour’s Pacific Affairs spokesperson, Su’a William Sio. “If the Minister doesn’t acknowledge how bad...
    Labour
  • Anti-Choice Myth-Busting
    Voice for Life issued a press release last week claiming that those of us campaigning for the decriminalisation of abortion in NZ are, among other things, using Nazi propaganda tactics (sigh…) to lie to you about the illegal status of abortion...
    The Daily Blog
  • Judith Collins – the Gift that keeps Giving to the Opposition?
    . . From a news report; Ms Collins resigned before the election after being accused of working with the Whale Oil blog after emails were released suggesting she was “gunning” for former director of the Serious Fraud Office, Adam Feeley,...
    The Daily Blog
  • Annette King? Annette King?? Surely not Annette King!
    I’m not often surprised at the goings on in the Labour Party but I was gobsmacked to see Andrew Little has appointed Annette King as Deputy Leader of the parliamentary Labour Party. I had idly assumed the role would go to Adhern...
    The Daily Blog
  • New Shadow Cabinet – Little does more in 6 days than Goff, Shearer & ...
    New Zealanders do not respect intelligence, they respect confidence. Cunliffe beat Key in the debates, but it didn’t matter because NZers don’t respect the debate, they respect the tone. Our anti-intellecuatlism runs deeper than most with our reverse-egalitarianism. The chip...
    The Daily Blog
  • This weeks Waatea news column – The myths white people tell themselves
      This weeks Waatea news column – The myths white people tell themselves...
    The Daily Blog
  • The irony of backlash to petrol stations charging workers for stolen petrol
    You have to laugh at NZers sometimes. you really do. The outrage that has been sparked by news that workers at petrol stations are charged for stolen petrol is one of those perfect examples of a delicious irony most NZers...
    The Daily Blog
  • A Dishonest “Countering Terrorist Fighters Bill”
    Wouldn’t you think a Countering Terrorist Fighters Bill would actually mention “terrorist fighters” in its text? The Bill, as released yesterday, does not. It’s simply another generalised counter-terrorism exercise giving extra surveillance powers to the Security Intelligence Service and enabling...
    The Daily Blog
  • How biased is the media? A Patrick Gower case study
    . . . Isn’t it interesting that Patrick Gower – who made his partisan feelings crystal clear on Twitter on 29 May with this extraordinary outburst;  “Lalia Harré – you make me feel sick by how you are rorting MMP...
    The Daily Blog
  • The C Word
    It isn’t even December but the decorations are up and the ads are on the telly. I am a genuine Grinch come this time of year, so when the conversation at work turned to everyone’s holidays plans I may have...
    The Daily Blog
  • Honouring the Ampatuan massacre victims as fight for justice goes on
    A grim reminder of the Maguindanao, or Ampatuan, massacre on 23 November 2014. Photo: DanRogayan A TOP Filipino investigative journalist will be speaking about the “worst attack” on journalists in history and her country’s culture of impunity in a keynote...
    The Daily Blog
  • GUEST BLOG: Anjum Rahman – what are they afraid of: the erosion of democ...
    Today the Hamilton City Council has put on a big party to celebrate the 150th anniversary of European colonisation of the area.  There have been a series of events during the year to mark this event, including a civic ceremony. ...
    The Daily Blog
  • #JohnKeyHistory
    John Key has done it again. This week our lovely Prime Minister has showed us how little he knows about the history of the country he is supposed to be running. Apparently “New Zealand was settled peacefully”. Was it really?...
    The Daily Blog
  • G20 growth targets and growth model offer more problems than they solve
    At the recent G20 in Brisbane, member countries agreed to accelerate growth to an additional 2% on top of current trajectories. But ongoing public sector cuts, asset sales, and reducing workers’ rights indicate that at least part of the growth...
    The Daily Blog
  • GUEST BLOG: Bill Courtney – Charter Schools: The Shroud of Secrecy Contin...
    The Ministry of Education yesterday released another batch of information relating to the five existing charter schools and the four new ones proposed for opening in 2015. As we have seen before, the release of such information, often requested under...
    The Daily Blog
  • EXCLUSIVE: Campaign reflection, Laila Harré reaching out for radical minds
    Today I’ve announced that I will be stepping down from the Internet Party leadership in December. This will happen once options for the future have been developed for discussion and decision among members. My absolute focus in this election was...
    The Daily Blog
  • The Ebola crisis, capitalism and the Cuban medical revolution
    “Ebola emerged nearly 40 years ago. Why are clinicians still empty-handed, with no vaccines and no cure? Because Ebola has been, historically, geographically confined to poor African nations. The R&D incentive is virtually non-existent. A profit-driven industry does not invest...
    The Daily Blog
  • MEDIA WATCH: TVNZ Reveals Insane Deadlines For Māori and Pacific Island Pr...
    Last Tuesday, November 18th, TVNZ requested proposals from producers for the four Māori and Pacific Island programmes they will no longer be making in-house. Marae, Waka Huia, Fresh and Tagata Pasifika will keep their existing names, existing formats and existing...
    The Daily Blog
  • The Daily Blog Breakfast Club Ep. 1
    TDB Video, Live from Verona Cafe on K-Rd, Auckland – a weekly current affairs show with TDB Editor Martyn Bradbury. This week’s panel: Chris Trotter & Selwyn Manning.The issues: 1 – What now for the New Labour leader? 2 –...
    The Daily Blog
  • Performance-demonstration at Auckland’s High Court to demand justice for ...
    People outraged at the lack of justice in the so-called ‘Roast Busters’ case and 99% of other rape cases in this country are holding a visually powerful mass action at the Auckland High Court at 1 o’clock on Saturday. They...
    The Daily Blog
  • IES vote may weaken defense of public education
    PPTA announced today that secondary teachers have voted to include the IES (Investing in Education Success) as a variation to their collective employment agreement with the government. At one level it’s an understandable decision by PPTA members because through engaging in a consultation...
    The Daily Blog
  • NZ History lesson on Planet Key – the lies white people tell themselves
    John Key’s bizarre claims about our ‘peaceful history’ comes across like the apartheid history of South Africa where white people discovered Africa first… New Zealand ‘settled peacefully’ – PM New Zealand was “settled peacefully” by the British, the prime minister...
    The Daily Blog
  • Universal Basic Income and Labour Policy
    On Radio New Zealand’s None-to-Noon on Wednesday (19 November), new Labour leader Andrew Little intimated that he would like to put Universal Basic Income (UBI) on his policy agenda (What policy changes will Andrew Little usher in?) Predictably Kathryn Ryan, despite being...
    The Daily Blog
  • The New Notes : They Ain’t Mint
    Hulk Queen Angry. Hulk Queen smash.   Yesterday, the Reserve Bank announced its new designs for our banknotes. Now, I’ve historically been pretty sketch about this entire process; variously feeling affronted that the government could find eighty million dollars to fund a...
    The Daily Blog
  • MSM under-mining of new Labour Leader already begun?
    . . It did not take long. In fact, on the same day that Andrew Little won the Labour leadership*, the first media reporter was already asking if he would be stepping down  if Labour failed to lift in the...
    The Daily Blog
  • GUEST BLOG: Simon Buckingham – invisible disability voices
    Today I am ranting. The Disability Advisory Group has been announced by Auckland Council. This is the body that represents the interests and views of people with disabilities in Auckland. Whilst I would not have applied this time as I...
    The Daily Blog
  • Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, Andrew Little
    Jeremy Wells’ Mike Hosking rant on Radio Hauraki: Today, Andrew Little...
    The Daily Blog
  • Why labelling Little as a ‘Unionist’ is a joke and how he beats Key in ...
    The line being used to attack Andrew Little as a ‘Unionist’ is just an absurd joke, and it comes from people who clearly don’t understand the modern NZ Union movement. Andrew ran the EPM Bloody U, they are easily one...
    The Daily Blog
  • 5AA Australia – Labour’s New Leader + China’s President In New Zealan...
    Recorded on 20/11/14 – Captured Live on Ustream.tv. 5AA’s Peter Godfrey and Selwyn Manning.ISSUE ONE: The New Zealand Labour Party has elected its new leader, the vote going to a third round after no clear outright winner was found in...
    The Daily Blog
  • Did Roger Sutton think he was running the Rock Radio Station?
    Visible G-String Fridays? Full body hugs? Jokes about who you would and wouldn’t have sex with? Honey? Sweety? It’s like Roger thought he was running the Rock Radio Station, not a Government Public Service department set up to rebuild a...
    The Daily Blog
  • US Politics
      US Politics...
    The Daily Blog
  • Amnesty International – The conversation that needs to be had with China
    Caption: Police officer watching Hong Kong pro-democracy march, 01 July 2014 © Amnesty International    Yesterday’s edition of The New Zealand Herald features an open letter to all New Zealander’s from Xi Jinping, President of the People’s Republic of China. Along...
    The Daily Blog
  • GUEST BLOG: Patrick O’Dea – “Liar”
    LIAR! ‘Privatised social housing to benefit tenants’ English “Housing Corp was a poor performer and about a third of its housing stock was the wrong size, in poor condition and in the wrong place. That stock was worth about $5...
    The Daily Blog
  • Too Close For Comfort: Reflections on Andrew Little’s narrow victory over...
    THE TRAGIC SCREENSHOT of “Gracinda” in defeat bears eloquent testimony to the bitter disappointment of the Grant Robertson-led faction of the Labour Party. And, yes, ‘Party’ is the right word. The Robertson machine has now extended its influence well beyond...
    The Daily Blog
  • How to defeat child poverty
      How to defeat child poverty...
    The Daily Blog
  • Little’s Shadow Cabinet
    Now the horror of trying to pacify the factions begins. The only thing Little’s new shadow cabinet must do is create the pretence of unity. The reason voters didn’t flock to Labour wasn’t the bloody CGT or Superannuation, it was...
    The Daily Blog
  • A pilgrimage with my sister – Rethink the System
    We’ve both wanted to do a pilgrimage for many years. But, unlike many modern pilgrims, we wanted to be pilgirms in our own country and get closer to our communities, rather than seek greater distance from them. We are both...
    The Daily Blog
  • Lack of policy ambition is Andrew Little’s main problem
    I’ve met Andrew Little a few times and he’s a pleasant man who will make a reasonable job leading what the Labour Party has become in recent decades. He will preside over a much less divided caucus and will be...
    The Daily Blog
  • Journos, film makers, media freedom advocates join Asia-Pacific political j...
    A candlelight vigil for the 58 victims of the 2009 Maguindanao massacre – 32 of them media people. Still no justice for them today. Renowned investigative journalists, film makers, academics and media freedom campaigners from across the Asia-Pacific region will...
    The Daily Blog
  • And the new Labour Leader is ZZZZZZZZZZ
    The victory lap by Caucus over the members choice of Cunliffe has ended and the new leader of the Labour Party is Andrew Little. Yawn. The dullness and caution of the latest Leadership race will be served well by Andrew,...
    The Daily Blog
  • Allow the Facts to Get in the Way of the Neolib Stories
    One of the weaknesses of the political left in New Zealand over the last 30 years has been to allow the neoliberal storytellers to get away with lots of fibs and half-fibs. On TVNZ’s Q+A on 16 November, in a...
    The Daily Blog
  • Defending The Boomers: A Response to Chloe King
    THE BABY-BOOM GENERATION (49-68 year-olds) currently numbers just under a quarter of New Zealand’s population. Even so, there is a pervasive notion that the generation of New Zealanders born between the end of World War II and the mid-1960s exercises...
    The Daily Blog
  • This weeks Waatea news column – Waitangi Tribunal ruling enshrines Treaty...
      This weeks Waatea news column – Waitangi Tribunal ruling enshrines Treaty as a living document...
    The Daily Blog
  • Key now says SAS will be needed to protect ‘trainers’ behind the wire
    Well, well, well. What do we have here? Government could send SAS to Iraq New Zealand’s elite Special Air Service (SAS) could be deployed to Iraq to protect Kiwi troops sent to train local forces. Prime Minister John Key confirmed...
    The Daily Blog
  • Do You Want to Build a Meth Lab? (Frozen x Breaking Bad Parody)
    Do You Want to Build a Meth Lab? (Frozen x Breaking Bad Parody)...
    The Daily Blog
  • Soft soap for the rich – harsh taxes for the poor
    It’s no surprise to see New Zealand has one of the world’s lowest tax rates for the rich and the superrich. A survey by the global accounting network UHY shows New Zealand’s highest tax rates are lower than even Australia,...
    The Daily Blog
  • Phillip Smith and the rehabilitation process
    The dominant media narrative in horrible murder cases is that the perpetrator is unlikely ever to be rehabilitated. When it appears the offender may get parole the media turns first to family members of the victim who commonly (and understandably)...
    The Daily Blog
  • The Nation review: Finlayson’s terrifying definition of who is on terror ...
    Terrifying Nation today on TV3. Chris Finlayson is on justifying the Government’s Muslim fear mongering and extension of even more surveillance powers. It was jaw dropping. Finlayson says ‘alienated people with a chip on their shoulder’ is the threshold to get...
    The Daily Blog
  • A brief word on The Block NZ
    Is it just me or did The Block manage to sum up everything that is wrong about our culture and economy? Fetishised property speculation as mass entertainment in a country of homelessness & poverty. I wonder if State House tenants...
    The Daily Blog
  • Waitangi Tribunal ruling
    That spluttering choking sound of a thousand rednecks being informed Maori still have sovereignty is a hilarious cacophony of stupid… Crown still in charge: Minister Chris Finlayson on Waitangi Treaty ruling The Waitangi Tribunal’s finding that Maori chiefs who signed...
    The Daily Blog
  • A brief word on Phillip Smith
    We can arrest student loan & fine defaulters at the airport – but not convicted child molesting killers? Before we ban manufactured ISIS ‘terrorists’ from having passports, how about we just manage to stop child molesting killers from fleeing first?...
    The Daily Blog
  • The Warehouse & Noel Leeming Praised for Principled Stand
    Family First NZ is congratulating The Warehouse and Noel Leeming for reinforcing their ‘family-friendly values’ by removing R18 games and DVD’s from its shelves, and is calling on other retailers including JB Hi-Fi, Harvey Norman and Dick Smith...
    Scoop politics
  • PM’s Post-Cab on Iain Rennie, China and the Smith Inquiry
    In a press conference held today in Wellington, Prime Minister John Key answered questions regarding Iain Rennie’s potential resignation, the independent inquiry into the Smith/Traynor escape, and recent trade deals with China....
    Scoop politics
  • Safety Week 2014 focused on a safe summer
    ACC’s annual Safety Week kicks off today. With summer just around the corner, Safety Week this year is focusing on keeping safe when playing sport, enjoying recreational activities or drinking alcohol....
    Scoop politics
  • Safety focus during motorcycle month
    As the Central District Police annual Month of Motorcycles campaign cruises into its second week, the results so far have been positive with many motorcyclists playing their part to keep our roads safe....
    Scoop politics
  • Insane Law Perverting Course of Justice: SST
    Insane Law Perverting Course of Justice: SST The Sensible Sentencing Trust is slamming a decision which may acquit a Whakatane offender of serious dangerous driving charges....
    Scoop politics
  • Taranaki Base Hospital draped in white ribbons
    Taranaki Base Hospital draped in white ribbons to show violence towards women is never OK...
    Scoop politics
  • Family Violence Intervention Team uses social media
    Family Violence Intervention Team uses social media to say “no” to domestic violence Everyone has the right to feel safe at home. Many do not. One in three partnered New Zealand women report having experienced physical and/or sexual intimate partner...
    Scoop politics
  • Smoke Alarms in Rental properties
    TPA says recent calls for mandatory smoke alarm installations in rental properties is an opportunity for all parties to come together to improve the safety and quality of rental housing....
    Scoop politics
  • CTU will not engage in Governments sham consultation process
    Today the CTU has sent a letter to Prime Minister John Key articulating serious concerns about both the content and the rushed process the Government has clearly signalled it intends to follow to progress the Countering Terrorist Fighters Legislation...
    Scoop politics
  • Job vacancies steady in October
    The number of skilled job vacancies advertised online remained steady in October across most industry groups and occupations, according to the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment’s latest Jobs Online report....
    Scoop politics
  • 600 Slaves And Counting on New Zealand Soil
    The 2014 Global Slavery Index has just been released, and buried within its pages is New Zealand’s growing issue of human exploitation and slavery. When taken in conjunction with the US State Department’s Trafficking in Persons Report 2014,...
    Scoop politics
  • Statement from Police Commissioners of Australia and NZ
    Media Statement from Police Commissioners of Australia and New Zealand: Police Commissioners take a stand against violence against women and children...
    Scoop politics
  • NZ Police Commissioner makes a stand against Family Violence
    New Zealand Police Commissioner Mike Bush has joined with his Australian Police Commissioner colleagues at Parliament House in Canberra this morning to take a stand on violence against women and children....
    Scoop politics
  • Amnesty International campaigns for end to domestic violence
    Amnesty International will be making a donation of over $500 to Aviva (formerly known as Women’s Refuge Christchurch) at the conclusion of Tuesday’s inner city march against domestic violence....
    Scoop politics
  • Waka Hourua celebrates what’s working in suicide prevention
    On 19 and 20 November, Māori and Pasifika national suicide prevention programme Waka Hourua held its first national hui-fono in Auckland. The theme was Whakarauika Mai: Bringing Communities Together to Prevent Suicide in Aotearoa. ...
    Scoop politics
  • Domestic violence problem bigger than Sky Tower
    Domestic violence problem bigger than Sky Tower SKYCITY’s Sky Tower in Auckland will be lit up in white on Monday evening Nov 25th at 10pm, on the eve of White Ribbon Day. The anti-domestic violence network SAFTINET (Safer Auckland Families...
    Scoop politics
  • State Services Commissioner ‘unfit for the job’ says Little
    State Services Commissioner ‘unfit for the job’ says Little The new Labour leader Andrew Little has called for the State Services Commissioner Iain Rennie to be stood down after his handling of the Roger Sutton sexual harassment case. "The idea...
    Scoop politics
  • Patrick Gower interviews Laila Harre
    Patrick Gower interviews Laila Harre Headlines: Laila Harre to quit as Internet Party leader by Christmas when the party has completed its review, but would love to return to parliament Says party considering options for its future including winding...
    Scoop politics
  • Lisa Owen interviews Labour leader Andrew Little
    Lisa Owen interviews Labour leader Andrew Little Headlines: Andrew Little says the shape of his front-bench for the 2017 election may not be clear until the end of next year Indicates next week’s appointments may be temporary: “So I may...
    Scoop politics
  • Phillip John Smith – statement
    Police and the New Zealand Embassy in Brasilia are aware of a decision from the Brazil Federal Court requiring the deportation of Phillip Smith within 10 days. Further assessment is required to ensure there is a full understanding of this...
    Scoop politics
  • Green’s ‘not speaking out about human rights abuses in China
    Right to Life challenges Russell Norman the co-leader of the Green Party to explain why, he was prepared to ask Prime Minister John Key to talk to Chinese President Xi Jinping about human rights abuses in countries bordering China but...
    Scoop politics
  • Goodfellow congratulates Key on IDU election
    Goodfellow congratulates Key on IDU election National Party President Peter Goodfellow has congratulated Prime Minister John Key on his election today as Chairman of the International Democrat Union (IDU)....
    Scoop politics
  • Taxpayers’ Union Congratulates PM on IDU Appointment
    The Taxpayers’ Union is today congratulating Rt. Hon. John Key on becoming the Chair of the International Democrat Union , as former Australian Prime Minister John Howard retires from the role after 12 years. Taxpayers’ Union Executive Director...
    Scoop politics
  • High demand for Consumer NZ’s “Do Not Knock” stickers
    Consumer NZ has distributed nearly 100,000 “Do Not Knock” stickers since the launch of its campaign to fight back against dodgy door-to-door sellers.The “Do Not Knock” campaign was launched on 3 November 2014. Free “Do Not Knock” stickers...
    Scoop politics
  • Phillip Smith decision still pending
    Detective Superintendent Mike Pannett is returning to Washington DC where he will continue to closely monitor a pending decision from the Brazilian authorities on the process to return Phillip Smith to New Zealand....
    Scoop politics
  • High Court demonstration to demand justice
    People outraged at the lack of justice in the so-called ‘Roast Busters’ case and 99% of other rape cases in this country are holding a visually powerful mass action at the Auckland High Court at 1 o’clock on Saturday. They...
    Scoop politics
  • NZ Society Wins Global Award For Fighting Animal Testing
    New Zealand banning animal testing of legal highs has been acknowledged with an award given in London. The New Zealand Anti-Vivisection Society (NZAVS) was awarded the 2014 LUSH Prize for lobbying against animal testing. The prize was given at the...
    Scoop politics
  • Poor govt advice to workers on petrol station drive-offs
    The New Zealand Council of Trade Unions has raised concerns with the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment ('MBIE') regarding their reported advice to workers about the petrol station drive away issue....
    Scoop politics
  • New Ombudsman opinion
    The Ombudsman has published his opinion on a complaint concerning the Police refusal to release information about a charging decision....
    Scoop politics
  • Kindergarten support staff achieve pay rise in tough climate
    The valuable contribution of kindergarten support staff has been recognised with a pay increase, despite the significant funding cuts that the kindergarten associations are experiencing....
    Scoop politics
  • Democracy and Conservative Religion: The Case of Islam
    “Is Islam compatible with democracy?” is a frequently-asked question. Recent rethinking of secularism and democracy have opened up new possibilities to think about religion and democracy. This question is important particularly in the case...
    Scoop politics
  • NZ fiscal watchdog needed to guard the public purse
    New Zealand needs tighter fiscal rules and an independent watchdog to improve the quality of government spending and reduce the risk of a return to deficit spending as the country’s population ages, if not before....
    Scoop politics
  • NZSMI disappointed ANZTPA proposal shelved
    November 20, 2014: Consumer healthcare products industry body, the New Zealand Self-Medication Industry Association (SMI) says it is disappointed Government has once again shelved plans to create one medicines regulatory agency for both New Zealand and Australia....
    Scoop politics
  • Democracy Action Welcomes Tauranga Vote
    Responding to Tauranga Council’s unanimous vote not to establish separate Council seats on the basis of ethnicity, Lee Short, Democracy Action founder says: “The establishment of a Maori ward would have damaged the relationship between Maori and...
    Scoop politics
  • Employer caught abusing new ‘teabreaks law’
    Employer caught abusing new ‘teabreaks law’ to exploit workers The government passed the controversial ‘teabreaks’ legislation only a few weeks ago and already Unite Union has caught an employer using this law as an excuse for ill-treating their...
    Scoop politics
  • FGC response to Commerce Commission report
    The New Zealand Food & Grocery Council is not surprised by the Commerce Commission’s findings, given New Zealand’s current legal framework....
    Scoop politics
  • Bascand: Brighter Money
    Seeing people’s initial reactions to the new banknote designs is a heartening reminder of what an important role currency plays in our lives, and what a sense of pride and heritage our notes evoke....
    Scoop politics
  • RBNZ releases Brighter Money designs
    New Zealand’s banknotes are getting brighter and better, with the Reserve Bank today unveiling more vibrant and secure banknote designs which will progressively enter circulation later next year....
    Scoop politics
  • 25 years of children’s rights
    UNICEF and OFC celebrate 25 years of children’s rights with Just Play Sports Days On Universal Children’s Day (20 November) and as part of the Oceania Football Confederation’s (OFC) inaugural President’s Cup, UNICEF will celebrate 25 years of children’s...
    Scoop politics
  • Xiamen delegation to Wellington has business focus
    Stronger business, education and cultural ties with our Chinese partners will be the focus when a 20-strong government and business delegation led by Xiamen Mayor Mr Liu Keqing which visits Wellington tomorrow (Friday) and Saturday as part of the...
    Scoop politics
  • Warriors promote White Ribbon Day message
    Warriors promote White Ribbon Day message Shine and Orakei Health Services On Tuesday, the Vodafone Warriors will promote the White Ribbon Day message to the community at Eastridge Shopping Centre, Mission Bay. The Warriors are supporting their charity...
    Scoop politics
  • Superannuitants to protest unethical investments
    A delegation of Auckland superannuitants will deliver a protest-card petition and protest letter to the New Zealand Super Fund this Thursday afternoon to call on the fund to divest from companies which support the Israeli occupation of Palestinian...
    Scoop politics
  • Manukau job cuts ‘running the place into the ground’
    Manukau Institute of Technology (MIT) confirmed to its staff yesterday that 54 jobs will go before Christmas....
    Scoop politics
  • Newcore Looks Pretty Rotten for Ratepayers
    Responding to the NZ Herald report that the IT system commissioned by Auckland Council to consolidate the eight systems the Super City inherited from its precursor councils could be facing a budget blowout of $100 million, Taxpayers’ Union Spokesman Ben...
    Scoop politics
  • Accountability following quake response inquiry not achieved
    Lessons still need to be learned from the search and rescue efforts following the February 2011 earthquake in Christchurch, a leading New Zealand lawyer, Nigel Hampton QC, says....
    Scoop politics
  • Our kids say: We are failing in our duty to protect them
    Our kids say: We are failing in our duty to protect them More than a quarter of Kiwi kids say children’s right to be safe and protected isn’t being upheld in New Zealand, identifying protection from violence, abuse and murder...
    Scoop politics
  • PARS & Turuki Health Care collaborate on health and services
    Auckland-based PARS (People at Risk Solutions) have partnered with the Turuki Health Care Trust, to offer improved healthcare services to those in need. PARS works closely with former prisoners, providing mentoring, housing, and social services to ensure...
    Scoop politics
  • Children’s Plea
    A plea has been sent to all Members of Parliament, regardless of party affiliation, to accord urgency and priority to children's issues. These issues include vulnerability, safety and childhood poverty....
    Scoop politics
  • Treasury off track in search for sound policies
    Treasury is unlikely to find the ideas it is looking for to improve outcomes for children while its primary driver is cost-cutting, says Child Poverty Action Group....
    Scoop politics
  • Commission calls for answers on handling of CERA harassment
    EEO Commissioner Dr Jackie Blue is deeply concerned about the way in which the State Services Commission has handled sexual allegations made against CERA chief executive Roger Sutton this week and is calling for answers....
    Scoop politics
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