Daily review 04/08/2022

Written By: - Date published: 5:30 pm, August 4th, 2022 - 23 comments
Categories: Daily review - Tags:

Daily review is also your post.

This provides Standardistas the opportunity to review events of the day.

The usual rules of good behaviour apply (see the Policy).

Don’t forget to be kind to each other …

23 comments on “Daily review 04/08/2022 ”

    • Anne 1.1

      Never watched the programme. Might watch it for a million dollars but only with a tin foil hat on my head.

      Psychologists define so-called keyboard warriors or trolls as individuals with a sense of emotional inner turmoil, using their perceived power to invisibly belittle others as a way to self-satisfy their internal crisis. Recent research found keyboard warriors have personality traits associated with the dark triad of personality: narcissism, machiavellianism and psychopathy.

      I can think of a few on this site over the years who might qualify. 😛 Cameron Slater of course is a notable example of one such individual.

    • aj 1.2

      That is a very perceptive comment, Incognito

  1. Poission 2

    Radiative response to the Tongan volcanic eruption is large due to water vapour injection.The atmospheric response is inverse to usual volcanic aerosol influence and is similar to mid to high latitude responses from Krakatau.

    https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/9/6109/2009/

    https://twitter.com/NASAJPL/status/1554531180778622976

  2. Incognito 3

    The question came up in Daily Review yesterday and although this article doesn’t provide much of an answer, it does explain nicely some of the numbers (aka stats).

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/300653977/unemployment-is-near-record-lows-so-why-are-more-people-getting-social-welfare

    But he [Infometrics economist Brad Olsen] said the fact that benefit numbers had not dropped as much as unemployment showed there was capacity in the economy that was not being made available to employers.

    “Often that suggests we need to do more around training or pastoral care.”

    ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner said people who were working but not as much as they wanted to would be counted as underemployed – in the latest data that was 9.2%.

    But she said it was clear that many businesses were struggling to find staff.

    The data suggested a matching problem. “For whatever reason there is a mismatch between the people looking for work and the people looking for workers.”

  3. Poission 4

    Has image fabrication led research into AD down a blind road?There are two lines of evidence to suggest that maybe the case,and a further SEC inquiry in the US.

    https://twitter.com/waitbutwhy/status/1551097996800049153

  4. Chess Player 6

    The coup that wasn't?

    Or is there more to be played out in this saga?

    Maybe the government could requisition Shortland St to find a new leader for the Greens?

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/129480238/no-one-stands-against-james-shaw-for-green-party-coleader

    • weka 6.1

      I've explained below. It's just Green Party commitment to democracy within the party. And Shaw having to up his game in relation to the activists in the party is a good thing,

  5. weka 7

    Nominations for the Green Party co-leader have now closed, Shaw is the only person nominated. He still has to be voted in (by delegates nominated by members in each branch, he needs 75% of the vote). I think because of the clause that allows nominations to be reopened again.

    However this does allow members the chance to talk to Shaw and ask questions, and this seems a good process to go through given the tensions between the activists and the pragmatists in the party.

    https://thespinoff.co.nz/live-updates/04-08-2022/james-shaw-will-face-nobody-to-regain-green-co-leader-role-but-he-will-face-ron

    • Craig H 7.1

      A system where 25% can force an election makes some sense to me as a way to see if there are any better candidates interested who were holding back. I can also understand a system where an election requires a vote against no-confidence when there is only one candidate. However, I can't say I really understand an election system for political party leader in which no-confidence only requires 25% against an unopposed candidate to force another election.

      It's not a legal requirement for the leader to be an MP, but it's very difficult practically as MPs have a collection of support, legal protections and privileges that a non-MP leader won't have, so there will always be some imbalance between the party leader and the MPs, especially in a co-leader situation where one leader is an MP and the other isn't.

      In a situation like this where the other MPs don't want the co-leadership (and they haven't stood/been nominated, so it can be reasonably inferred that they don't want it currently), it's hard to see what a party gains from a minority being able to win a no-confidence vote.

      • weka 7.1.1

        I think the balance point for the 25% reopen nominations thing is trust in the process and the people. The co leader vote is by delegates, who are in the process of talking to members in their branch. They're supposed to vote on instructions from the members (not sure if the vote is transparent or not).

        If more than 25% oppose Shaw knowing that there is no-one to take his place, that's basically a crisis for the party. Hard to see why delegates would do that, what would be the point?

        Shaw has fronted up and said fair doos to the activists, I would expect changes to happen within the party as a result of the challenge. If changes don't happen, then the activists have a couple of years to find a decent candidate.

        It's not a legal requirement for the leader to be an MP, but it's very difficult practically as MPs have a collection of support, legal protections and privileges that a non-MP leader won't have, so there will always be some imbalance between the party leader and the MPs, especially in a co-leader situation where one leader is an MP and the other isn't.

        Maybe an imbalance, or maybe just different ways of doing things.

      • Sacha 7.1.2

        I am guessing 25% is a compromise between total consensus and 51%.

  6. Poission 9

    Bank of England increases rate by .5 takes to 1.75.

    Forecasts UK inflation increase from 9.4% to 13% in q4 2022.

    https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-summary-and-minutes/2022/august-2022

    there are significant energy increases coming for UK and Europe (updated energy shock for winter is another 10%)

    Here we need to review spending (central and local government) and move to enhanced maintenance reducing debt driven growth.