I thought the first real MMP outcome was Winston holding the country hostage while he made up his mind in 1996. With 17 seats he held a much greater number than seems likely for either the GP or TPM.
But, he (unlike ACT, TPM or the GP) had the option of negotiating with both major parties.
I took it to mean it was less about one of the main two parties picking a dancing partner and raising the idea of 6 or 7 parties negotiating to form a true coalition government.
Unless you are counting TOP (a wild outsider) – the most that would be negotiating are three (TPM, GP, Labour).
I think you could discount NZF – even if they get over the 5% line. Peters has ruled out Labour; and, while, I have no doubt he could weasel his way out of that statement, I cannot imagine him working with either the GP or TPM – both of whom are antithetical to his personal philosophy.
yes, but my comment was in response to Belladonna's point about WP holding the country hostage. He really did monkey wrench MMP right at the start and set the tone for a long time.
It can't just be that the outer-wing parties get to set the agenda (I can't imagine that there would be many here rejoicing if ACT were doing that in October/November, and celebrating it as a 'real MMP outcome'!)
Little though I like him, Winston had a really significant minor bloc of political support in 1996. A lot of people voted for him, and believed in what he said (I agree, they may have been naive – but there's no intelligence test for voting).
But the potential of MMP was to increase representation, make it more broad/diverse, and to improve democracy. Peters' bullshit of not saying before an election what NZF's position would be was a power game. He played it very well for sure, but it established MMP as a poorer version of what it might have been. Even today we have to have these interminable conversations about leverage and why don't the Greens work with National, as if that kind of power play is all there is. Peters set the tone and culture of MMP and basically fucked that up.
I used to argue with Brits on line who were complaining about the Tories and the Blairites. I would tell them they needed to put their energy into electoral reform. They were aghast because they thought that would mean the BNP being a coalition partner in government. I would say, it's better thy have their own party and everyone can see them for exaclty who they are, rather than having them hide in the Conservative Party and influence behind closed doors. Also, if there are increasing number of Brits going fascist, it's more visible.
I'm not saying ACT are like the BNP. I'm saying that diversity is a good thing for it's own sake, it's not a partisan position.
Pre-election coalition deals don't seem to be the norm in many MMP (or other non-FPP election systems) overseas. We regularly see an election followed by a considerable period of deal-making – in countries like Germany, Israel – and most recently, Spain. Sometimes resulting in some truly weird electoral combinations.
"Peters' bullshit of not saying before an election what NZF's position would be was a power game. He played it very well for sure, but it established MMP as a poorer version of what it might have been."
there’s a difference between doing coalition deals pre-election, and being honest about who one os willing to support to form government. Peters took a position at the start that he wouldn’t say. One election he implied he would go with Labour and then went with National. The following election his voter based said get fucked. That’s the bullshit he plays.
The thing, is NZF campaigned as part of the opposition, then chose to keep National in power. I could see it coming a mile off and did not bother voting.
And, do you hold the same view about the growth of the ACT vote?
They are, after all, polling considerably higher than the GP – seem to have a formidable party discipline and negotiation ability – and (if there is a right [as in politics, not correct] outcome in October), they may well be dominating a shrunken National Party (not shrunken from current numbers, but shrunken from, say 2017).
This, too, would be re-balancing of power to the minor parties (or to one minor party).
I understand that you hate ACT and all they stand for.
But your arguments about a real MMP election hold up just as strongly for ACT as they do for GP and TPM.
Or is it only a real MMP election if the left win?
It seems highly unlikely that power will be shifting away from National. They are already in opposition – not government – and seem certain to gain a considerable number of seats at the expense of Labour.
The worst outcome from their perspective (based on the current polling) would be to be in opposition with ACT, only one or two seats away from toppling the government – with the consequent hope of destabilizing the government during the next 3 years.
Oh they can see they are losing popularity, they just don't care.
The fact is, many prominent people in the Labour party both inside parliament and outside, are fine with losing power and in fact would prefer defeat over working with Greens and TMP to overturn the 40 year neoliberal experiment that Labour began!
Honestly, I'd love nothing more than to see NZ return to a more social democratic style economy, taking the best of what we have now and adding the best bits of what we had and adding new ideas….
But the nzlp is a bigger road block to social democratic reform in NZ than National or any other party, because Labour champions the status quo whole pretending to be against it.
A lot of people in labour won't mind if Labour loses, a lot of them hate the left more than they hate the right and a lot of them hate the poor and secretly don't disagree all that much with national or act.
If they lose they'll sit in opposition pretending to disagree for 3-9 years whole national/acts austerity and reforms become incredibly unpopular and once back in power the next Labour govt won't undo a single economic reform of the next National govt.
As TPM pointed out – this incrementalism has got us to a state where the richest 10% own 50% of NZ wealth, and the poorest 50% own 2%. An absolute social and economic disaster.
If the 5th Labour government was in power still, incrementalism would have a better track record … it's the 9 year periods otherwise which are the problem.
That said, we have no estate tax (not since 1992) nor gift duty (not since 2011) – there is a reason why 2/3rd of the OECD does.
And this is why we need a wealth tax as part of a restoration of commonality, lest we drift into a two tier society. But the FPA is also an important safeguard against decline into a generation rent precariat.
FPA are great, but unfortunately the decline to generation rent precariat is thoroughly complete for many people in NZ. It has gone too far for incrementalism to fix, IMHO
Problem is, inequality becomes self-reinforcing (got no money->got no options to make money->get less money->repeat), as does wealth (got money->opportunity to make more money->got more money->repeat)
Two months ago dissadent Russian Marxist BorisKagarlitsky wrote to the Western left. Yesterday he was arrested and imprisoned.
And from the Western progressive public, we only need one thing – stop helping Putin with your conciliatory and ambiguous statements. The more often such statements are made, the greater will be the confidence of officials, deputies and policemen that the current order can continue to exist with the silent support or hypocritical grumbling of the West. Every conciliatory statement made by liberal intellectuals in America results in more arrests, fines, and searches of democratic activists and just plain people here in Russia.
Looking forward to National dong a proper costed tax policy, as well as Labour, so we can put a table up showing the comparative costs and benefits to individuals and to the country.
Labour didn't take the opportunity to have an independent costings unit set up in time, this was last year:
Supporters of the costings unit are calling on Robertson to fund the project and have it up and running for the next election, in particular the Greens, with whom the idea originated.
Green Party Finance spokeswoman Julie Anne Genter said, "[w]e need an independent and publicly-funded source that helps parties and the public understand the impacts of the policies they are campaigning on. I imagine most people would be very pleased to know that come election time they will have access to unbiased information about a party's policy figures.
"It would take us a step closer to what elections are supposed to be: a contest of ideas, not spin," she said.
"The Green Party has long supported an independent costings unit for election policies. We first proposed it back in 2016 and took the idea into Government, where we started consulting how it could work, before National killed it off.
"Now is the time for the Government to make good on what has long been a very good idea and fund an independent fiscal institution in next year's Budget," she said.
Sinéad O’Connor & The Chieftains' emotive rendition of the anti colonial ballad The Foggy Dew.
The Foggy Dew
As down the glen one Easter morn
To a city fair rode I
There armed lines of marching men
In squadrons passed me by
No pipe did hum
No battle drum did sound its loud tattoo
But the Angelus Bells o'er the Liffey swells
Rang out in the foggy dew
Right proudly high in Dublin town
Hung they out a flag of war
'Twas better to die 'neath that Irish sky
Than at Sulva or Sud-El-Bar
And from the plains of Royal Meath
Strong men came hurrying through
While Brittania's Huns with their long range guns
Sailed in through the foggy dew
Their bravest fell and the requiem bell
Rang mournfully and clear
For those who died that Eastertide in the
Springing of the year
While the world did gaze with deep amaze
At those fearless men but few
Who bore the fight that freedom's light
Might shine through the foggy dew
And back through the glen, I rode again
And my heart with grief was sore
For I parted then with valiant men
Whom I never shall see n'more
But to and fro in my dreams I go
And I kneel and pray for you
For slavery fled, O glorious dead
When you fell in the foggy dew
Defenestration and polonium tea are so yesterday..
/
A 40-year-old Russian tech entrepreneur who bolstered President Putin’s domestic mass-surveillance operations was found dead over the weekend, having allegedly overdosed on “medical gas”.
“It is with great sadness that we announce that on July 22, Saturday, at the age of 40, the head of ICS Holding, well-known Russian technology entrepreneur Anton Andreyevich Cherepennikov, passed away,” his company ICS Holding wrote on Telegram. “We are all mourning these moments.”
[…]
He is the second high-profile businessman to have died in the space of 48 hours, with Igor Kudryakov, 63, a billionaire oligarch, having been found dead in his Moscow apartment on Friday.
Dozens of top industry tycoons have died under mysterious circumstances since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, among them aviation experts, a top executive from Russia’s largest private oil company, and other businessmen and oligarchs living in both Russia and abroad.
Oh my, just watched one of the best documentaries on poverty in the UK, Greg Wallaces The British Miracle Meat. Try not to read about it before you see it, it's astounding stuff.
Well, I've been there, sitting in that same chairWhispering that same prayer half a million timesIt's a lie, though buried in disciplesOne page of the Bible isn't worth a lifeThere's nothing wrong with youIt's true, it's trueThere's something wrong with the villageWith the villageSomething wrong with the villageSongwriters: Andrew Jackson ...
ACT would like to dictate what universities can and can’t say. We knew it was coming. It was outlined in the coalition agreement and has become part of Seymour’s strategy of “emphasising public funding” to prevent people from opposing him and his views—something he also uses to try and de-platform ...
Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park from the Gigafact team in collaboration with members from our team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Are we heading ...
So the Solstice has arrived – Summer in this part of the world, Winter for the Northern Hemisphere. And with it, the publication my new Norse dark-fantasy piece, As Our Power Lessens at Eternal Haunted Summer: https://eternalhauntedsummer.com/issues/winter-solstice-2024/as-our-power-lessens/ As previously noted, this one is very ‘wyrd’, and Northern Theory of Courage. ...
The Natural Choice: As a starter for ten percent of the Party Vote, “saving the planet” is a very respectable objective. Young voters, in particular, raised on the dire (if unheeded) warnings of climate scientists, and the irrefutable evidence of devastating weather events linked to global warming, vote Green. After ...
The Government cancelled 60% of Kāinga Ora’s new builds next year, even though the land for them was already bought, the consents were consented and there are builders unemployed all over the place. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that mattered in Aotearoa’s political ...
Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on UnsplashEvery morning I get up at 3am to go around the traps of news sites in Aotearoa and globally. I pick out the top ones from my point of view and have been putting them into my Dawn Chorus email, which goes out with a podcast. ...
Over on Kikorangi Newsroom's Marc Daalder has published his annual OIA stats. So I thought I'd do mine: 82 OIA requests sent in 2024 7 posts based on those requests 20 average working days to receive a response Ministry of Justice was my most-requested entity, ...
Welcome to the December 2024 Economic Bulletin. We have two monthly features in this edition. In the first, we discuss what the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update from Treasury and the Budget Policy Statement from the Minister of Finance tell us about the fiscal position and what to ...
The NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi have submitted against the controversial Treaty Principles Bill, slamming the Bill as a breach of Te Tiriti o Waitangi and an attack on tino rangatiratanga and the collective rights of Tangata Whenua. “This Bill seeks to legislate for Te Tiriti o Waitangi principles that are ...
I don't knowHow to say what's got to be saidI don't know if it's black or whiteThere's others see it redI don't get the answers rightI'll leave that to youIs this love out of fashionOr is it the time of yearAre these words distraction?To the words you want to hearSongwriters: ...
Our economy has experienced its worst recession since 1991. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Friday, December 20 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast above and the daily Pick ‘n’ Mix below ...
Twas the Friday before Christmas and all through the week we’ve been collecting stories for our final roundup of the year. As we start to wind down for the year we hope you all have a safe and happy Christmas and new year. If you’re travelling please be safe on ...
The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts & talking about the year’s news with: on climate. Her book of the year was Tim Winton’s cli-fi novel Juice and she also mentioned Mike Joy’s memoir The Fight for Fresh Water. ...
The Government can head off to the holidays, entitled to assure itself that it has done more or less what it said it would do. The campaign last year promised to “get New Zealand back on track.” When you look at the basic promises—to trim back Government expenditure, toughen up ...
Open access notables An intensification of surface Earth’s energy imbalance since the late 20th century, Li et al., Communications Earth & Environment:Tracking the energy balance of the Earth system is a key method for studying the contribution of human activities to climate change. However, accurately estimating the surface energy balance ...
Photo by Mauricio Fanfa on UnsplashKia oraCome and join us for our weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar with paying subscribers to The Kākā for an hour at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream for our chat about the week’s news with myself , plus regular guests and , ...
“Like you said, I’m an unreconstructed socialist. Everybody deserves to get something for Christmas.”“ONE OF THOSE had better be for me!” Hannah grinned, fascinated, as Laurie made his way, gingerly, to the bar, his arms full of gift-wrapped packages.“Of course!”, beamed Laurie. Depositing his armful on the bar-top and selecting ...
Data released by Statistics New Zealand today showed a significant slowdown in the economy over the past six months, with GDP falling by 1% in September, and 1.1% in June said CTU Economist Craig Renney. “The data shows that the size of the economy in GDP terms is now smaller ...
One last thing before I quitI never wanted any moreThan I could fit into my headI still remember every single word you saidAnd all the shit that somehow came along with itStill, there's one thing that comforts meSince I was always caged and now I'm freeSongwriters: David Grohl / Georg ...
Sparse offerings outside a Te Kauwhata church. Meanwhile, the Government is cutting spending in ways that make thousands of hungry children even hungrier, while also cutting funding for the charities that help them. It’s also doing that while winding back new building of affordable housing that would allow parents to ...
It is difficult to make sense of the Luxon Coalition Government’s economic management.This end-of-year review about the state of economic management – the state of the economy was last week – is not going to cover the National Party contribution. Frankly, like every other careful observer, I cannot make up ...
This morning I awoke to the lovely news that we are firmly back on track, that is if the scale was reversed.NZ ranks low in global economic comparisonsNew Zealand's economy has been ranked 33rd out of 37 in an international comparison of which have done best in 2024.Economies were ranked ...
Remember those silent movies where the heroine is tied to the railway tracks or going over the waterfall in a barrel? Finance Minister Nicola Willis seems intent on portraying herself as that damsel in distress. According to Willis, this country’s current economic problems have all been caused by the spending ...
Similar to the cuts and the austerity drive imposed by Ruth Richardson in the 1990’s, an era which to all intents and purposes we’ve largely fiddled around the edges with fixing in the time since – over, to be fair, several administrations – whilst trying our best it seems to ...
String-Pulling in the Dark: For the democratic process to be meaningful it must also be public. WITH TRUST AND CONFIDENCE in New Zealand’s politicians and journalists steadily declining, restoring those virtues poses a daunting challenge. Just how daunting is made clear by comparing the way politicians and journalists treated New Zealanders ...
Dear Nicola Willis, thank you for letting us know in so many words that the swingeing austerity hasn't worked.By in so many words I mean the bit where you said, Here is a sea of red ink in which we are drowning after twelve months of savage cost cutting and ...
The Open Government Partnership is a multilateral organisation committed to advancing open government. Countries which join are supposed to co-create regular action plans with civil society, committing to making verifiable improvements in transparency, accountability, participation, or technology and innovation for the above. And they're held to account through an Independent ...
Today I tuned into something strange: a press conference that didn’t make my stomach churn or the hairs on the back of my neck stand on end. Which was strange, because it was about the torture of children. It was the announcement by Erica Stanford — on her own, unusually ...
This is a must watch, and puts on brilliant and practical display the implications and mechanics of fast-track law corruption and weakness.CLICK HERE: LINK TO WATCH VIDEOOur news media as it is set up is simply not equipped to deal with the brazen disinformation and corruption under this right wing ...
NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi Acting Secretary Erin Polaczuk is welcoming the announcement from Minister of Workplace Relations and Safety Brooke van Velden that she is opening consultation on engineered stone and is calling on her to listen to the evidence and implement a total ban of the product. “We need ...
The Government has announced a 1.5% increase in the minimum wage from 1 April 2025, well below forecast inflation of 2.5%. Unions have reacted strongly and denounced it as a real terms cut. PSA and the CTU are opposing a new round of staff cuts at WorkSafe, which they say ...
The decision to unilaterally repudiate the contract for new Cook Strait ferries is beginning to look like one of the stupidest decisions a New Zealand government ever made. While cancelling the ferries and their associated port infrastructure may have made this year's books look good, it means higher costs later, ...
Hi there! I’ve been overseas recently, looking after a situation with a family member. So apologies if there any less than focused posts! Vanuatu has just had a significant 7.3 earthquake. Two MFAT staff are unaccounted for with local fatalities.It’s always sad to hear of such things happening.I think of ...
Today is a special member's morning, scheduled to make up for the government's theft of member's days throughout the year. First up was the first reading of Greg Fleming's Crimes (Increased Penalties for Slavery Offences) Amendment Bill, which was passed unanimously. Currently the House is debating the third reading of ...
We're going backwardsIgnoring the realitiesGoing backwardsAre you counting all the casualties?We are not there yetWhere we need to beWe are still in debtTo our insanitiesSongwriter: Martin Gore Read more ...
Willis blamed Treasury for changing its productivity assumptions and Labour’s spending increases since Covid for the worsening Budget outlook. Photo: Getty ImagesMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Wednesday, December 18 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast above ...
Today the Auckland Transport board meet for the last time this year. For those interested (and with time to spare), you can follow along via this MS Teams link from 10am. I’ve taken a quick look through the agenda items to see what I think the most interesting aspects are. ...
Hi,If you’re a New Zealander — you know who Mike King is. He is the face of New Zealand’s battle against mental health problems. He can be loud and brash. He raises, and is entrusted with, a lot of cash. Last year his “I Am Hope” charity reported a revenue ...
Probably about the only consolation available from yesterday’s unveiling of the Half-Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) is that it could have been worse. Though Finance Minister Nicola Willis has tightened the screws on future government spending, she has resisted the calls from hard-line academics, fiscal purists and fiscal hawks ...
The right have a stupid saying that is only occasionally true:When is democracy not democracy? When it hasn’t been voted on.While not true in regards to branches of government such as the judiciary, it’s a philosophy that probably should apply to recently-elected local government councillors. Nevertheless, this concept seemed to ...
Long story short: the Government’s austerity policy has driven the economy into a deeper and longer recession that means it will have to borrow $20 billion more over the next four years than it expected just six months ago. Treasury’s latest forecasts show the National-ACT-NZ First Government’s fiscal strategy of ...
Come and join myself and CTU Chief Economist for a pop-up ‘Hoon’ webinar on the Government’s Half Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) with paying subscribers to The Kākā for 30 minutes at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream to watch our chat. Don’t worry if ...
In 1998, in the wake of the Paremoremo Prison riot, the Department of Corrections established the "Behaviour Management Regime". Prisoners were locked in their cells for 22 or 23 hours a day, with no fresh air, no exercise, no social contact, no entertainment, and in some cases no clothes and ...
New data released by the Treasury shows that the economic policies of this Government have made things worse in the year since they took office, said NZCTU Economist Craig Renney. “Our fiscal indicators are all heading in the wrong direction – with higher levels of debt, a higher deficit, and ...
At the 2023 election, National basically ran on a platform of being better economic managers. So how'd that turn out for us? In just one year, they've fucked us for two full political terms: The government's books are set to remain deeply in the red for the near term ...
AUSTERITYText within this block will maintain its original spacing when publishedMy spreadsheet insists This pain leads straight to glory (File not found) Read more ...
The NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi are saying that the Government should do the right thing and deliver minimum wage increases that don’t see workers fall further behind, in response to today’s announcement that the minimum wage will only be increased by 1.5%, well short of forecast inflation. “With inflation forecast ...
Oh, I weptFor daysFilled my eyesWith silly tearsOh, yeaBut I don'tCare no moreI don't care ifMy eyes get soreSongwriters: Paul Rodgers / Paul Kossoff. Read more ...
This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Bob HensonIn this aerial view, fingers of meltwater flow from the melting Isunnguata Sermia glacier descending from the Greenland Ice Sheet on July 11, 2024, near Kangerlussuaq, Greenland. According to the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE), the ...
In August, I wrote an article about David Seymour1 with a video of his testimony, to warn that there were grave dangers to his Ministry of Regulation:David Seymour's Ministry of Slush Hides Far Greater RisksWhy Seymour's exorbitant waste of taxpayers' money could be the least of concernThe money for Seymour ...
Willis is expected to have to reveal the bitter fiscal fruits of her austerity strategy in the HYEFU later today. Photo: Lynn Grieveson/TheKakaMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Tuesday, December 17 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast ...
On Friday the government announced it would double the number of toll roads in New Zealand as well as make a few other changes to how toll roads are used in the country. The real issue though is not that tolling is being used but the suggestion it will make ...
The Prime Minister yesterday engaged in what looked like a pre-emptive strike designed to counter what is likely to be a series of depressing economic statistics expected before the end of the week. He opened his weekly post-Cabinet press conference with a recitation of the Government’s achievements. “It certainly has ...
This whooping cough story from south Auckland is a good example of the coalition government’s approach to social need – spend money on urging people to get vaccinated but only after you’ve cut the funding to where they could get vaccinated. This has been the case all year with public ...
And if there is a GodI know he likes to rockHe likes his loud guitarsHis spiders from MarsAnd if there is a GodI know he's watching meHe likes what he seesBut there's trouble on the breezeSongwriter: William Patrick Corgan Read more ...
Here’s a quick round up of today’s political news:1. MORE FOOD BANKS, CHARITIES, DOMESTIC VIOLENCE SHELTERS AND YOUTH SOCIAL SERVICES SET TO CLOSE OR SCALE BACK AROUND THE COUNTRY AS GOVT CUTS FUNDINGSome of Auckland's largest foodbanks are warning they may need to close or significantly reduce food parcels after ...
Iain Rennie, CNZMSecretary and Chief Executive to the TreasuryDear Secretary, Undue restrictions on restricted briefings This week, the Treasury barred representatives from four organisations, including the New Zealand Council of Trade Unions Te Kauae Kaimahi, from attending the restricted briefing for the Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update. We had been ...
This is a guest post by Tim Adriaansen, a community, climate, and accessibility advocate.I won’t shut up about climate breakdown, and whenever possible I try to shift the focus of a climate conversation towards solutions. But you’ll almost never hear me give more than a passing nod to ...
A grassroots backlash has forced a backdown from Brown, but he is still eyeing up plenty of tolls for other new roads. And the pressure is on Willis to ramp up the Government’s austerity strategy. Photo: Getty ImagesMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy ...
Hi all,I'm pretty overwhelmed by all your messages and emails today; thank you so very much.As much as my newsletter this morning was about money, and we all need to earn money, it was mostly about world domination if I'm honest. 😉I really hate what’s happening to our country, and ...
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I started writing this morning about Hobson’s Pledge, examining the claims they and their supporters make, basically ripping into them. But I kept getting notifications coming through, and not good ones.Each time I looked up, there was another un-subscription message, and I felt a bit sicker at the thought of ...
Once, long before there was Harry and Meghan and Dodi and all those episodes of The Crown, they came to spend some time with us, Charles and Diana. Was there anyone in the world more glamorous than the Princess of Wales?Dazzled as everyone was by their company, the leader of ...
The collective right have a problem.The entire foundation for their world view is antiscientific. Their preferred economic strategies have been disproven. Their whole neoliberal model faces accusations of corporate corruption and worsening inequality. Climate change not only definitely exists, its rapid progression demands an immediate and expensive response in order ...
Just ten days ago, South Korea's president attempted a self-coup, declaring martial law and attempting to have opposition MPs murdered or arrested in an effort to seize unconstrained power. The attempt was rapidly defeated by the national assembly voting it down and the people flooding the streets to defend democracy. ...
Hi,“What I love about New Zealanders is that sometimes you use these expressions that as Americans we have no idea what those things mean!"I am watching a 30-something year old American ramble on about how different New Zealanders are to Americans. It’s his podcast, and this man is doing a ...
What Chris Penk has granted holocaust-denier and equal-opportunity-bigot Candace Owens is not “freedom of speech”. It’s not even really freedom of movement, though that technically is the right she has been granted. What he has given her is permission to perform. Freedom of SpeechIn New Zealand, the right to freedom ...
All those tears on your cheeksJust like deja vu flow nowWhen grandmother speaksSo tell me a story (I'll tell you a story)Spell it out, I can't hear (What do you want to hear?)Why you wear black in the morning?Why there's smoke in the air? Songwriter: Greg Johnson.Mōrena all ☀️Something a ...
2024 is now officially my best-ever year for short stories. My 1,850-word dark fantasy piece, As Our Power Lessens, has been accepted for the upcoming solstice edition of Eternal Haunted Summer (https://eternalhauntedsummer.com/), thereby making that six published short stories for the calendar year. As always, see the Bibliography page for ...
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The Government is quietly undertaking consultation on the dangerous Regulatory Standards Bill over the Christmas period to avoid too much attention. ...
The Government’s planned changes to the freedom of speech obligations of universities is little more than a front for stoking the political fires of disinformation and fear, placing teachers and students in the crosshairs. ...
The Ministry of Regulation’s report into Early Childhood Education (ECE) in Aotearoa raises serious concerns about the possibility of lowering qualification requirements, undermining quality and risking worse outcomes for tamariki, whānau, and kaiako. ...
A Bill to modernise the role of Justices of the Peace (JP), ensuring they remain active in their communities and connected with other JPs, has been put into the ballot. ...
Labour will continue to fight unsustainable and destructive projects that are able to leap-frog environment protection under National’s Fast-track Approvals Bill. ...
The Green Party has warned that a Green Government will revoke the consents of companies who override environmental protections as part of Fast-Track legislation being passed today. ...
The Green Party says the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update shows how the Government is failing to address the massive social and infrastructure deficits our country faces. ...
The Government’s latest move to reduce the earnings of migrant workers will not only hurt migrants but it will drive down the wages of Kiwi workers. ...
Te Pāti Māori has this morning issued a stern warning to Fast-Track applicants with interests in mining, pledging to hold them accountable through retrospective liability and to immediately revoke Fast-Track consents under a future Te Pāti Māori government. This warning comes ahead of today’s third reading of the Fast-Track Approvals ...
The Government’s announcement today of a 1.5 per cent increase to minimum wage is another blow for workers, with inflation projected to exceed the increase, meaning it’s a real terms pay reduction for many. ...
All the Government has achieved from its announcement today is to continue to push responsibility back on councils for its own lack of action to help bring down skyrocketing rates. ...
The Government has used its final post-Cabinet press conference of the year to punch down on local government without offering any credible solutions to the issues our councils are facing. ...
The Government has failed to keep its promise to ‘super charge’ the EV network, delivering just 292 chargers - less than half of the 670 chargers needed to meet its target. ...
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Tmp have just turned overtons window..into a glass ranch slider..
And ya hafta say:..more power to them..!
They ain't in power yet cheif
No…but if it means being in power..or not being in power…it the math works out..
..hipkins will be rolled,..
..why wouldn't you…?
Tmp are presenting a vision of positive change…
And that in itself is a very powerful move..
And something long absent from this neoliberal-incrementalist iteration of the nz labour party…
Tmp have reached back to what labour once were…
And this is a very very good thing…
Labour will be decimated if Hipkins is rolled.
@ alan…
I am saying being rolled post election..not pre election..
And that is why Labour will be lucky to get 25% at this election, with or without Hipkins.
Unsure what you are trying to say…
Careful Phil, you'll drag out all the labour party hacks to attack you.
I can't see what arguments they would mount…
And they must see how things are slipping away from them…
Their certainties must be well and truly shaken by now…if not they are asleep at the wheel..
And I am hopeful that we are heading for the first real mmp election outcome in nz…
And that will be a humbling experience for labour..
And that's not a bad thing..
What does this mean?
I thought the first real MMP outcome was Winston holding the country hostage while he made up his mind in 1996. With 17 seats he held a much greater number than seems likely for either the GP or TPM.
But, he (unlike ACT, TPM or the GP) had the option of negotiating with both major parties.
that was Peters fucking up MMP for a decade.
I took it to mean it was less about one of the main two parties picking a dancing partner and raising the idea of 6 or 7 parties negotiating to form a true coalition government.
Unless you are counting TOP (a wild outsider) – the most that would be negotiating are three (TPM, GP, Labour).
I think you could discount NZF – even if they get over the 5% line. Peters has ruled out Labour; and, while, I have no doubt he could weasel his way out of that statement, I cannot imagine him working with either the GP or TPM – both of whom are antithetical to his personal philosophy.
yes, but my comment was in response to Belladonna's point about WP holding the country hostage. He really did monkey wrench MMP right at the start and set the tone for a long time.
Then what is a real MMP outcome?
It can't just be that the outer-wing parties get to set the agenda (I can't imagine that there would be many here rejoicing if ACT were doing that in October/November, and celebrating it as a 'real MMP outcome'!)
Little though I like him, Winston had a really significant minor bloc of political support in 1996. A lot of people voted for him, and believed in what he said (I agree, they may have been naive – but there's no intelligence test for voting).
I will always tip my hat/give peters credit for being the one who turned around that neoliberal bus rogernomics labour were thundering along in..
..in that in coalition negotiations in 1996 he insisted on restoring free health care for 6 yrs old and younger ..
My son was born in 1994..
I remember it well..
Market rents continued for those in state houses. The MW was real low.
real MMP wasn't my term.
But the potential of MMP was to increase representation, make it more broad/diverse, and to improve democracy. Peters' bullshit of not saying before an election what NZF's position would be was a power game. He played it very well for sure, but it established MMP as a poorer version of what it might have been. Even today we have to have these interminable conversations about leverage and why don't the Greens work with National, as if that kind of power play is all there is. Peters set the tone and culture of MMP and basically fucked that up.
I used to argue with Brits on line who were complaining about the Tories and the Blairites. I would tell them they needed to put their energy into electoral reform. They were aghast because they thought that would mean the BNP being a coalition partner in government. I would say, it's better thy have their own party and everyone can see them for exaclty who they are, rather than having them hide in the Conservative Party and influence behind closed doors. Also, if there are increasing number of Brits going fascist, it's more visible.
I'm not saying ACT are like the BNP. I'm saying that diversity is a good thing for it's own sake, it's not a partisan position.
Pre-election coalition deals don't seem to be the norm in many MMP (or other non-FPP election systems) overseas. We regularly see an election followed by a considerable period of deal-making – in countries like Germany, Israel – and most recently, Spain. Sometimes resulting in some truly weird electoral combinations.
https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-odd-couple-politics-strange-coalition-governments/
ok, but that's a complete non-sequitur to my comment.
I thought it was a response to this part
"Peters' bullshit of not saying before an election what NZF's position would be was a power game. He played it very well for sure, but it established MMP as a poorer version of what it might have been."
there’s a difference between doing coalition deals pre-election, and being honest about who one os willing to support to form government. Peters took a position at the start that he wouldn’t say. One election he implied he would go with Labour and then went with National. The following election his voter based said get fucked. That’s the bullshit he plays.
The thing, is NZF campaigned as part of the opposition, then chose to keep National in power. I could see it coming a mile off and did not bother voting.
Remember the baubles of power….
I am talking about those normally voting labour…
.. collapsing back into tmp and the greens ..
(Both of them more labour than neo-inc labour..)
And this meaning the possibility that grns +tmp equal with labour..in any coalition deal done..
..so I guess what I mean by first mmp election outcome..is that re-balancing of power…to the minor parties..
..who after all…are the agents of change that we sorely need…eh..?
And, do you hold the same view about the growth of the ACT vote?
They are, after all, polling considerably higher than the GP – seem to have a formidable party discipline and negotiation ability – and (if there is a right [as in politics, not correct] outcome in October), they may well be dominating a shrunken National Party (not shrunken from current numbers, but shrunken from, say 2017).
This, too, would be re-balancing of power to the minor parties (or to one minor party).
Is that also a real MMP outcome?
No..I don't feel the same way about act..they are an effing abomination…
Tho' they are sucking that racist far right out of national..
I actually think that national should be shifting uneasily in their seats…
..worrying about those soft national voters..who are only alarmed by act..
I also think some of those soft national voters .. terrified by act promising to deny man made climate change.. could be snapped up by the greens…
National shouldn't be sneering at labour..
..they should be looking at what they are losing..from their right..and from their 'left' (for want of a better word..)
So..yes..this could be a real mmp election..for national ..and a power shift away from them..
I understand that you hate ACT and all they stand for.
But your arguments about a real MMP election hold up just as strongly for ACT as they do for GP and TPM.
Or is it only a real MMP election if the left win?
It seems highly unlikely that power will be shifting away from National. They are already in opposition – not government – and seem certain to gain a considerable number of seats at the expense of Labour.
The worst outcome from their perspective (based on the current polling) would be to be in opposition with ACT, only one or two seats away from toppling the government – with the consequent hope of destabilizing the government during the next 3 years.
I answer your national/act question in the comment above your question..
'hate' act is a bit emotive..
I think despise gets nearer the mark..
Well, "effing abomination" sounds close to hate than despise.
Nah..!.. effing abomination is descriptive.. it's what they are..
Despise is what I feel about them…
And/but…act are just national with the mask ripped off..eh..?
I welcome a clear division between left and right..
I celebrate the end of tweedle dee and tweedle dum…
Oh they can see they are losing popularity, they just don't care.
The fact is, many prominent people in the Labour party both inside parliament and outside, are fine with losing power and in fact would prefer defeat over working with Greens and TMP to overturn the 40 year neoliberal experiment that Labour began!
Honestly, I'd love nothing more than to see NZ return to a more social democratic style economy, taking the best of what we have now and adding the best bits of what we had and adding new ideas….
But the nzlp is a bigger road block to social democratic reform in NZ than National or any other party, because Labour champions the status quo whole pretending to be against it.
A lot of people in labour won't mind if Labour loses, a lot of them hate the left more than they hate the right and a lot of them hate the poor and secretly don't disagree all that much with national or act.
If they lose they'll sit in opposition pretending to disagree for 3-9 years whole national/acts austerity and reforms become incredibly unpopular and once back in power the next Labour govt won't undo a single economic reform of the next National govt.
I don't have such a bleak view of labour..
I think they are ripe to be turned back to their roots…
..to embrace the progressive vision of nz promised/articulated by tmp/greens..
Glimmers of hope are parker walking away from his revenue minister role..
..and robertson also made uneasy by hipkins axing capital gains tax..
And I think that there are many within labour who would welcome a return to old labour…and to be agents of real/progressive change..
In fact labour have to come along..for us to be able to effect the real changes many of us want..
Labour are incrementalists, they would rather govern for three terms than one.
The point is to achieve something, bed it in and make it normal before the other lot get back in – so it lasts.
It has a certain methodology, and if they force the other lot to moderate their policies to win, its sound. Not if NACT wins though.
And if NACT do win, the next Labour government would undo stuff.
PS The Fair Pay Agreement is not nothing.
As TPM pointed out – this incrementalism has got us to a state where the richest 10% own 50% of NZ wealth, and the poorest 50% own 2%. An absolute social and economic disaster.
If the 5th Labour government was in power still, incrementalism would have a better track record … it's the 9 year periods otherwise which are the problem.
That said, we have no estate tax (not since 1992) nor gift duty (not since 2011) – there is a reason why 2/3rd of the OECD does.
And this is why we need a wealth tax as part of a restoration of commonality, lest we drift into a two tier society. But the FPA is also an important safeguard against decline into a generation rent precariat.
FPA are great, but unfortunately the decline to generation rent precariat is thoroughly complete for many people in NZ. It has gone too far for incrementalism to fix, IMHO
Problem is, inequality becomes self-reinforcing (got no money->got no options to make money->get less money->repeat), as does wealth (got money->opportunity to make more money->got more money->repeat)
Glass ranch slider! Brilliant.
You give me hope Phil, demonstrating not all vegans are pious and humourless.
I know who those vegans are..I've met them…they are no fun at all.
(and chrs..!..)
Two months ago dissadent Russian Marxist Boris Kagarlitsky wrote to the Western left. Yesterday he was arrested and imprisoned.
And from the Western progressive public, we only need one thing – stop helping Putin with your conciliatory and ambiguous statements. The more often such statements are made, the greater will be the confidence of officials, deputies and policemen that the current order can continue to exist with the silent support or hypocritical grumbling of the West. Every conciliatory statement made by liberal intellectuals in America results in more arrests, fines, and searches of democratic activists and just plain people here in Russia.
https://www.counterpunch.org/2023/05/29/a-plea-to-my-western-progressive-friends-stop-helping-putin-with-your-conciliatory-and-ambiguous-statements/
Looking forward to National dong a proper costed tax policy, as well as Labour, so we can put a table up showing the comparative costs and benefits to individuals and to the country.
A simple table is all.
Labour didn't take the opportunity to have an independent costings unit set up in time, this was last year:
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/door-closing-on-chance-for-election-promise-costing-unit/KILWDB2ZZEZU3LBCXASIPQ3XGU/
Song for Labour and its all ova Tova, at the moment …………..
Sinéad O’Connor & The Chieftains' emotive rendition of the anti colonial ballad The Foggy Dew.
The Foggy Dew
As down the glen one Easter morn
To a city fair rode I
There armed lines of marching men
In squadrons passed me by
No pipe did hum
No battle drum did sound its loud tattoo
But the Angelus Bells o'er the Liffey swells
Rang out in the foggy dew
Right proudly high in Dublin town
Hung they out a flag of war
'Twas better to die 'neath that Irish sky
Than at Sulva or Sud-El-Bar
And from the plains of Royal Meath
Strong men came hurrying through
While Brittania's Huns with their long range guns
Sailed in through the foggy dew
Their bravest fell and the requiem bell
Rang mournfully and clear
For those who died that Eastertide in the
Springing of the year
While the world did gaze with deep amaze
At those fearless men but few
Who bore the fight that freedom's light
Might shine through the foggy dew
And back through the glen, I rode again
And my heart with grief was sore
For I parted then with valiant men
Whom I never shall see n'more
But to and fro in my dreams I go
And I kneel and pray for you
For slavery fled, O glorious dead
When you fell in the foggy dew
– Charles O’Neill
Hard to watch and not be moved…….
Defenestration and polonium tea are so yesterday..
/
A 40-year-old Russian tech entrepreneur who bolstered President Putin’s domestic mass-surveillance operations was found dead over the weekend, having allegedly overdosed on “medical gas”.
“It is with great sadness that we announce that on July 22, Saturday, at the age of 40, the head of ICS Holding, well-known Russian technology entrepreneur Anton Andreyevich Cherepennikov, passed away,” his company ICS Holding wrote on Telegram. “We are all mourning these moments.”
[…]
He is the second high-profile businessman to have died in the space of 48 hours, with Igor Kudryakov, 63, a billionaire oligarch, having been found dead in his Moscow apartment on Friday.
Dozens of top industry tycoons have died under mysterious circumstances since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, among them aviation experts, a top executive from Russia’s largest private oil company, and other businessmen and oligarchs living in both Russia and abroad.
https://archive.li/https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-spyware-billionaire-dies-medical-gas-b60z2jq36
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suspicious_deaths_of_Russian_businesspeople_(2022%E2%80%932023)
Oh my, just watched one of the best documentaries on poverty in the UK, Greg Wallaces The British Miracle Meat. Try not to read about it before you see it, it's astounding stuff.
Where can you see it IFL?
Use a VPN – Channel 4 is UK only …
thanks SPC!