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6:00 am, March 14th, 2023 - 63 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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This is why zerohedge is so useful a source.
and the development will do far more damage than a few burping cows down under ….
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/biden-gives-go-ahead-giant-alaska-oil-project-greens-furious
"President Biden pledged during the election campaign: "I guarantee you we’re going to end fossil fuels."
The same President Biden today has – much to the angst of conservationists – authorized a giant ConocoPhillips oil project in northwest Alaska.
The authorization represents one of the most significant climate decisions yet for Biden
Christy Goldfuss, a former Obama White House official who now is a policy chief at the Natural Resources Defense Council, said she was “deeply disappointed'' at Biden's decision to approve Willow, which NRDC estimates would generate planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions equivalent to more than 1 million homes.
Willow is projected to output 180,000 barrels of oil per day, or around 1.5 percent of total American oil production.
Over its 30-year lifespan, Willow is expected to produce over 600 million barrels of oil while contributing up to $17 billion in revenues for state and federal governments as well as local communities."
Well spotted Maurice. Biden is old school "drill baby drill".
Even Starmer in the UK has said he will not allow any more oil/gas drilling licences in the UK if he becomes PM.
Here is a great video that explains very simply how the banking fractional reserve system works and how a run on a bank is almost certain to sink it. In relation to the bank that went down in the US the other day.
This guy manages finance portfolios and also is ex army so comments on the Ukraine situation. But what he says here about banking is really good.
Probably explains in part why banks need large profits. Because, they are doing that through really high leverage which is incredibly risky if it goes wrong.
Why are there not mechanisms to prevent a run on banks. It seems to be a fatal flaw in the capitalist system.
John Key's mate, Jamie Beaton of Crimson Education was involved in the run on SVB and therefore contributed to its downfall.
There are, deposit insurance.
Privatising profit, socialising cost.
Or don't and wipe out depositors.
BTW, you can make depositors whole while still prosecuting any fraud and replacing the management involved. Unless its the bank (as in the business entity) rather than the bank management causing the problems this seems appropriate.
In the 1930s FDR sought solutions, to the bank run problem, from the economics profession. Chicago University offered the 'chicago plan' which would have entailed imposing a 100% reserve ratio on banks. The problem with this would have been that all monetary expansion would have to have come from government. This would have been difficult to manage unless all banks became government owned 'public utilities'. I suppose this would have been unacceptable in a 'free enterprise' economy like America's, albeit that it seems to work very well in China, where their banking system is owned by government.
Deposit insurance and full reserve protocols are the same. Either the state guarantees that you will be able to withdraw the insured sum, or that that sum is $ for $ held by the bank at all times. Its the same in either case.
The actual important parts of the Chicago plan for preventing bank collapses were implemented, including the Glass Stegall act which at the time separated retail and commercial lending and meant deposits were not put at risk by backing highly leveraged lending. That worked for a long time, but US banking practice has since moved on in ways where these became combined again.
The problem is that the bank is not solvent any more and will not repay all its liabilities (including deposits) without a bailout. Likely that's because there was a bunch of fraudulent lending occurred by the bank. Putting that all down to a run on deposits, a very natural reaction when people discover their deposits were loaned out fraudulently, is a bit simplistic.
Deposit insurance and full reserve protocols are the same.
The two are not the same. There is an upper limit to how much deposit insurance will pay out. Deposit insurance also encourages reckless lending.
Your absolutely right there, they are the same up to the insured limit.
Since they are the same, they encourage reckless lending to the same degree. But the actual thing which discourages reckless lending is the effective regulation.
SVB shareholders were wiped out BTW, while depositors are being largely made whole. What happens to the bank executives will depend on any prosecutions which occur of anything they did wrong.
To a max of $250k only in US, acording to Guardian. Not much good if your company has millions in there.
Yes, it says $250K which is low if its a business account, but watch what actually happens. There are apparently payroll firms within the accounts and they won't be left short to pay people.
If you think about it, the banking system is legalised fraud. In fact, it started out as fraud in the days of gold merchants who stored gold for clients. They would write a certificate for the clients stating that they were holding x amount of gold for them which the clients could then use as collateral.
The gold merchants worked out that they could lend out the gold, and effectively write out fraudulent certificates. So long as all of the clients didn't ask for their money back at once they were ok.
Since at least Roman lending practices its always been the case that deposits are repaid in kind. You get back the same amount but not the same deposits made and this has always been a part of a legal definition for how deposits work.
Look at the definition of the word mutuum.
https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/mutuum
Can't trust these bankers:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/12/business/janet-yellen-silicon-valley-bank.html
Except:
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-03-10-2023/card/silicon-valley-bank-ceo-sold-3-6-million-in-shares-days-before-fatal-loss-disclosed-6re8L8VDWjk956bOLaDD
Right wing venture capitalist Peter Theil involved in SVB collapse…
“What finally doomed SVB was that the resulting losses prompted a panic among depositors. This was in no small part thanks to far-right billionaire Peter Thiel’s VC firm Founders Fund, which, after finding out its investors were having trouble transferring money to its SVB accounts, ordered them to send them to other banks and had withdrawn all of its cash by the time the bank started melting down late last week. ”
https://jacobin.com/2023/03/silicon-valley-bank-collapse-financial-regulations-2008-bailout?mc_cid=33c409f89e&mc_eid=5a2883fd7c
Some more explanatory detail, my bold:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/13/briefing/silicon-valley-bank.html
and a cherry on the top:
https://www.axios.com/2023/03/11/silicon-valley-bank-paid-bonuses-fdic
The biggest annual rise in the cost of living in over 30 years.
The cost of living becomes leading election issue..
Government removes GST off food and wins in a landslide.
Government brings in a FTT and windfall tax that more than covers the GST off food, allowing the government to deliver on all their other policies.
Vs.
Government does nothing.
Opposition wins treasury benches
Scraps climate mitigation.
New government begins massive austerity program.
Inequality, social and biosphere decay all increase.
Crime goes up, leading to dystopian repressive policing and enforcement and punishment,
Government just raised super and the benifits, got rid of mostly stupid policies, they gonna win any way
A cost of living increase in superannuitants' income is seen by those voters as 'business as usual' for a government. They certainly won't be expecting a regime change to result in sinking-lid pensions. So don't count that as pork-barrelling. However, they may be in for a nasty surprise. Means-testing, anyone?
Also raises in benefits. Please don't let this be an election policy or touted as something special that this Govt has done, because it is not. To continue with fair policies developed over many years should not be thrown into the pot. By all means have in house policy reviews to improve these as all effeicient bodies should do.
If we do want to look at benefits etc why not have a look at the WEAG report and move on with innovative ideas that we are not doing now.
https://www.weag.govt.nz/weag-report/
The Nats etc will have all sorts of ideas such as raising the age & means testing. Let us look at these and fight them for what they are.
Not every single thing that this Govt has done, including the BAU ones should be lauded. Otherwise we will find ourselves fighting things on efficiency grounds rather than true policy grounds.
So called 'Efficiency' arguments always plays into the Nats hands. A better idea is to ensure that the business of govt is well funded, departments are well staffed and impediments to BAU are stripped away.
From years in the PS I can hand on heart say that the biggest impediment to efficient delivery of both policy and BAU is any sort of wholesale restructuring, realignment, right sizing or any other weasel or waffle words you want to call it.
My thoughts are that the restruscturings of the late 1980s/1990s put a blight on service delivery by Govt that lasted into the 2000s and may still be felt in some Govt Depts. Productivity was slashed as people fought for their jobs, depts had to retool in policy brains etc.
Its been quoted here before, but bears repeating: restructuring as a solution is as old as government, and solves very little!
“We trained hard—but it seemed that every time we were beginning to form up into teams we were reorganized. I was to learn later in life that we tend to meet any new situation by reorganising, and what a wonderful method it can be for creating the illusion of progress while actually producing confusion, inefficiency, and demoralisation.”
― Petronius Arbiter
100%
Cost of living increase for NZ Super is business as usual. All the Government does is confirm the increase by Order in Council.
See https://www.legislation.govt.nz/act/public/2001/0084/latest/whole.html#DLM113924
Section 15 says increase auto by CPI
Section 16 says min of 66% national average wage (NAW)
As the 66% generally holds the actual increase in Super is the NAW increase. But this year CPI was higher so the % of NAW will be above 66% and so no top up above CPI.
It doesn't seem like any politicians know how it works (worrying) as it's being sold as a extra benefit to pensioners (nope, just what they're entitled to, nothing more) by the Govt and the opposition hasn't pointed it out.
Yes agree with this….continuing with BAU is an expectation not something new. To claim it as 'rah, rah something we have done as a Govt' is spurious and hopefully it is not being done. They should claim for additions/improvements to the lot of everyone or particular people but not for standing still or for meeting legal entitlements. COL increases are not an extra entitlement.
I don't see it as pork barreling, I see it as good ideas, means testing is ridiculously expensive and complicated and the people you're targeting most will dodge it anyway,
Pension means testing works for Oz. And UK. You need to declare income regularly, ie, a pension is not a basic entitlement, but something you continually reapply for. And if your assets are too much, you fund your own retirement.
Some people will find any excuse to do the barest minimum possible.
I suggested if the government removed GST from food to help address the cost of living crisis and replaced it with an FTT and windfall tax, and could win the election in a landslide.
"Government just raised super and the benifits, got rid of mostly stupid policies, they gonna win any way" bwaghorn
If Labour can just scrape in, why should they do more?
Maybe, because it's the right thing to do?
please forget about taking gst off food. its a logistical nightmare for small businesses to piss around and run two different sets of accounts. they do this in aus and its a real pain in the arse. cooked chicken= gst, raw chicken = no gst etc,etc. just forget it. the one good thing about our gst, sales tax ,vat is that it applies at the same rate to all goods and services. before the pedants get here, Im aware that there are exceptions. but it is still the easiest system for a small business to work.
"…its a logistical nightmare for small businesses to piss around and run two different sets of accounts. they do this in aus and its a real pain in the arse. cooked chicken= gst, raw chicken = no gst etc,etc. just forget it." woodart
I didn't say take GST off some food. Taking GST off some food would definitely act to make it complicated. That would be stupid.
There have been many specious excuses made why this shouldn't be done, this is just one of them.
I have been reliably informed by an accountant that making all food GST free is a simple one off change to accounting software. That's it, simple.
The specious complexity argument is demonstrated in an opinion piece by Stephen Hickson of The Conversation who writes 'Some bad ideas never go away'
(I might add, no matter how much some people wish it would)
All this specious argument really boils down to, is that we shouldn't go down the complex, some foods and not other foods, exemption route. GST off food no exceptions! We don't need experts and courts to tell us what food is, we all know what food is.
GST is a regressive flat tax, that neoliberals love because it targets those whose incomes go mostly on paying for their cost of living, whereas wealthy people with excess income above their cost of living, can invest and bank a lot of that income, these investments and returns do not attract GST. GST allows the rich to keep a lot more of their excess wealth. Neoliberal philosophy is based on the idea that if rich people become richer, society becomes richer. It was no coincidence that after GST was introduced by the notoriously neoliberal fourth Labour Government that it was quickly followed by income tax cuts on the highest earners.
Labour's commitment to the 'Purity' of GST is symptomatic of Labour's continuing commitment to neoliberalism.
. none of that screed changes the fact that having two different tax rates makes more work. yr accountant friend doesnt do the donkey work at the coal face of small business. when youve got to be an expert on ALL aspects of business, not just the books, any extra complication is not welcome.Im NOT a fan of gst, having experienced it as a business owner, and customer, but if we have it, lets not complicate it further.
Labour's commitment to the 'Purity' of GST is symptomatic of Labour's continuing commitment to neoliberalism.
Labour's commitment to the 'purity of GST' is a symptom of their commitment to common sense. Adjustment of income tax rates would be a better means of redistribution.
If we wished to monkey around with GST, we would want to distinguish between healthy foods and unhealthy foods, and maintain GST on the latter. This would cause enormous complications.
Yeah we get it.
Australians can manage it, but NZ tax officials are shambling morons that could not find their bottoms with both hands and a searchlight.
Australia exempts:
It's just so advanced NZ public servants could never handle it.
"If we wished to monkey around with GST, we would want to distinguish between healthy foods and unhealthy foods, and maintain GST on the latter. This would cause enormous complications." mikesh
Which makes me wonder why would countries like Australia, And Britain and Ireland follow such a stupid practice?
My view is that the partial removal of GST from food was probably the result of a last ditch effort by neoliberal lobbyists to try and keep GST on as many food items as possible, no matter how impossibly complex it makes the GST system..
Of course the partial removal of GST off food would create 'enormous complications'. Which is probably what the neoliberals wanted.
Neoliberalism is a faith based science. Challenge the faith, and the neoliberals will fight you all the way to keep as many food items as possible inside the GST regime and things will deliberately be made to be very complicated as a result.
Which makes me wonder why would countries like Australia, And Britain and Ireland follow such a stupid practice?
Political pressure, probably.
"Labour's commitment to the 'purity of GST' is a symptom of their commitment to common sense." mikesh
There is no alternative.
Tina, There Is No Alternative was coined by Roger Douglas the founder of the far right Backbone Club lobby group inside the 4th Labour government caucus that tried to get that government to enact even more extreme right wing measures, including the privatisation of the public health system, as set out in the infamous Gibbs Report on Health.
http://www.eastonbh.ac.nz/1997/07/the_health_reforms_and_the_blitzkreig/
David Lange's call for a 'Cup Of Tea' breather to halt this proposed neoliberal dismantling of the Social Welfare health system caused a split inside the Labour caucus between the Backbone Club and the supporters of Lange. This split led to the breakaway formation of the far right Act party.
Of course there was an alternative – tax the rich more. Douglas a millionaire himself wouldn't have a bar of it, but not only out of self interest, but because it went against his belief in his theory of 'Trickle Down'.
Trickle Down being a neoliberal concept that making the rich richer makes society richer.
The following is a slobbering corporate hym in praise of GST.
GST, making New Zealand a low income tax paradise for millionaires. by PwC Partner Eugen Trombitas.
Tina, There Is No Alternative was coined by Roger Douglas
TINA, there is no alternative was first coined by Margaret Thatcher.
It's attributed to Herbert Spencer's mid 19th C book Social Statics.
True. But these days it is associated mainly with Margaret Thatcher.
Except in New Zealand where it is associated mainly with Roger Douglas.
No it isn't. TINA is a Thatcher catchcry erroneously attributed to Roger Douglas because people felt there was a similarity in the pair's respective outlooks.
All this specious argument really boils down to, is that we shouldn't go down the complex, some foods and not other foods, exemption route. GST off food no exceptions!
That sort of argument would be valid for abolishing GST altogether, an option I would support since GST seems to have no useful purpose. I think it was introduced originally as a tax which could not be legally dodged for tax avoidance purposes. However it's questionable whether this is a justification for it given its regressiveness.
However if we are going to have a GST anyway I don't think there is any reason why food should be excluded. The poor can be helped, through the tax system, in other ways.
PS: I thought that GST was not payable on second hand goods. However, when I bought my most recent car, which was second hand, the dealer charged GST. I assume this is normal, but it does seem to be an anomaly. The rationale for exempting second hand goods would be that GST would have been paid on the the item when it was first purchased new. In other words GST can be paid many times on the same vehicle if it changes hands many times through a dealer.
"Labour's commitment to the 'purity of GST' is a symptom of their commitment to common sense." mikesh
Mikesh, you oppose GST being taken off food because it would destroy the 'purity' of GST. But you support it being taken off second hand goods?
Am I right in presuming that the reason second hand goods are exempt from GST is because poorer people who tend to spend proportionately more on buying second hand goods more than rich folk?
Why can't the same 'commitment to common sense' be applied to food?
Afterall poorer people pay proportionately more of their income on food than rich people do.
And now some good news.
Following unprecedented solidarity action by fellow presenters and public pressure.
In a massive victory for free speech Gary Lineka returned to Match of the Day,
Excellent – now let's see the govt. walk back the equally ill-considered sacking of Rob Campbell.
Indeed. When it comes to free speech the world has a long way to go.
A Russian sports presenter who tweeted нет войне would be imprisoned. (and sacked)
A sign or tweet with “нет войне” can earn up to 15yrs in prison. And over 14,000 Russians have been arrested for saying exactly that.
https://twitter.com/Adbusters/status/1503798461619060736
Yes they (Labour Govt) are all over the place with what these Govt appointees to boards etc are expected to do, able to do. It is perhaps lucky that the Nats are similarly bewildered.
They have allowed a level of imprecision in language to explain what is usually a very careful and distinct category of people/what they do/how they are described/how they are 'governed'
People like Rob Campbell, Steve Maharey and Ruth Dyson in their roles as Govt appointees on Boards are not Public Servants…….aaaaaaaaaagh tears hair out including eyebrows!
Do we really have to accept this dumbing down in case it frightens the horses or something or is it just slap dash, we can't be bothered educating people…move on to the next lot of Govt business that we can deliver something slap dash on.
I asked before if Hipkins has employed some of the lesser lights such as Luxon did with the 'Hawaii is really Te Puke' snafu.
Very disappointed as it has not put to bed anything, public servants, the real ones are now being lumped into some category of not being impartial in the delivery of Govts policies by News media.
The Westminister tradition is that public servants are voiceless and defended, if need be, by their Ministers or the Govt.
[deleted]
[What is your intention with dumping YT clips here without any commentary or clear (political) point? Lift your game – Incognito]
Mod note
It speaks for itself, oh! does it run counter to the narrative you like to share on here? Zelensky is admitting to Nazis being in charge and American mercenaries in Ukraine in 2014, an inconvenient truth. Is that explanation enough?
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If you make up stuff about the contents and/or meaning of material, it is highly likely that you will be considered a troll with an agenda.
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[deleted]
Well I'm sure it's great for Adelaide ship-building teams, but no I'm not particularly impressed by nuclear-armed submarines in the South Pacific, whether they are run by Australia or not.
Biden To Announce Deal For Australia Nuclear-Powered Attack Submarines | HuffPost Latest News
It obviously asks what role our new Poseidons will have in this.
I sure don't feel the need to be a Peacenik but WTF to the proliferation of nuclear arms into Australasia.
Biden himself has reiterated that the Aussie subs will be nuclear powered but NOT nuclear armed.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/03/13/fact-sheet-trilateral-australia-uk-us-partnership-on-nuclear-powered-submarines/
Our nations have made clear commitments to meet these objectives, including that:
Though the rotational force may be problematic:
Guess we will just have to look for Aussie flags flying from the periscope?
The point is to extend the range of their subs – now basically a coast guard, to take out any foreign military ships trying to land.
Nuclear powered ones can be at sea for longer (thus more at the same time), and thus participate in any engagement further afield.
There purpose is the containment of Chinese military/navy (to the sea off China-Taiwan) kept away from ASEAN and Japan/South Korea (protect other trade routes if there are sanctions on China).
The need for them diminishes (rather than ends) if there is a deal over the future of Taiwan (say formally recognised as part of China from 2049, and only before then if Taipei and Beijing agree to terms over autonomy).
The P8's & the Frigates is always has been Trade Protection which is a wee bit hard to train for in Peacetime as Shipping Companies, Unions & Freight Forwarding services etc don't like getting bossed by the military to do Convoy (Trade Protection) Exercises.
So they practise their respective skill sets within various Allied Surface Battle, Escort & Support Groups.
P8's might get a tad more busy as the various Subs run along in the kermadec trench, which btw is being mapped by the Chinese courtesy of Joint NZ MFAT Funding arrangement!
Going to be some need to review what kind of Navy that NZ wants in future, considering that NZ's economy is an export led & is heavily dependent on have freedom of navigation IRT the various Sea Lanes of Communications to those Export Countries & same same in reverse for all those imports the NZ relies on to keep the economy ticking.
Some very hard questions need to be asked now! At political, defence, economic, trade & foreign affairs level at where NZ goes now?
Or else NZ will get sucked into to this shit sandwich weather it wants too or not & I doubt many here would have the guts or prepared to sacrifice something for Armed Neutrality which "might" avoid NZ from sucked into this vortex of this impending shit sandwich heading this way?
Well said as ever Scud.
Questions for the Australian government;
Is it the Australian government and armed forces intention to respect New Zealand laws?
Is it the Australian government and armed forces intention to keep Australian nuclear powered vessels out of New Zealand administered waters?
Will the Australian government and armed forces publicly agree to keep all non-New Zealand devices and installations, as defined in the relevant New Zealand legislation, out of New Zealand.
Will the Australian government publicly agree not to disregard New Zealand's Nuclear Free laws?
In line with a lawful request of the New Zealand authorities, if specifically asked, whether or not the Australian government and armed forces are operating any nuclear vessel in New Zealand waters, will the Australian authorities agree to provide the New Zealand authorities an answer?
In line with the neither confirm nor deny nuclear policy of both your US and UK AUKUS partners – if specifically asked, will you neither confirm nor deny if you operating any nuclear vessels in New Zealand waters?
A real chewy and entertaining discussion between Katherin Ryan and Patrick Smellie, starting at 12 min. It's on the gap between recent aspirational government planning documents and the reality of implementation. Katherine mentions wider comments as a mix of critique, with a kind of regret for the old Public Service.
RNZ Katherine Ryan interview discussing government transformation policies
Morning Report often brings analytical depth that is missing conspicuously elsewhere. It's due 90% to Ryan's energetic curiosity, without the barbs of Kim Hill, but certainly with a bigger breadth of topic. Her poor brain at night, when does it rest? Whereas one can imagine Kim easily switching off with a stiff G&T.
Sorry, Nine to Noon
Published in the Guardian about the UK. It equally applies here.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/mar/13/britain-cost-of-living-crisis-bosses-profits-shareholders-workers?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other