I went to see Jeff Rubin speak last night, former Chief Economist of CIBC World Markets and now author of a number of books on peak oil and the end of growth. http://www.jeffrubinssmallerworld.com/
His basic premise is this: zero growth is the new global norm. This does not bode well for the recent budget forecasts. I think it is a pretty safe bet that New Zealand will not be in surplus by the next election.
He also predicts that we are at the beginning of a recession worse than the 2008 GFC and that Greece will default within 4-5 months with Italy, Portugal and Spain not far behind.
Great. Thanks for this. I see Rubin’s policy suggestions differ from some of the ways he sees things developing, if they are left unchecked.
e.g. He sees a trend to government contracting out work. This may be cheaper, but, it is not the most effective way to get work done. It lowers the quality and the pay of workers, while the private companies cream off profits.
Rubin also sees the trend going towards young people staying at home longer & people working til an older age. This could mean less work for younger people. However, Rubin’s policy solution is for more job share.
For myself, I plan to keep working as long as I can. But, now in my early 60s, I have shifted to part time work, and in an alternative occupation from my (previous) main career. This job pays less, and I have less responsibilities. But I live frugally so can live OK on my income. I also work weekends (the relatively unsociable hours that are least favoured by younger people with families or lively social lives).
However, one thing I would suggest as a policy for older workers, is more consideration of the requirements to making such transitions. In my case the in-service training development is focused more on career development for younger workers, via uni degrees (I already have a string of these, and in many ways am over-qualified for my current work). For older workers, there should be more focus on recognising transferable skills, and targeting inservice training/education on specific requirements of the current job.
Of course, contracting out is not actually “cheaper” if the quality and service you get in return is also cheaper.
Classic example are our defence forces catering services which have been contracted out. Cheaper is what it looks like, but you also get what you pay for less the private sector profit margin and higher financing costs.
Contracting out is certainly not cheaper here are some reasons why.
1: Govts are obliged to take the lowest tender….too bad if it turns out to be more expensive, as they don’t treat business case, or benefit realizations as living documents over the life of the transition.
2: Govts are deliberately poor at commercial contracts, and have a history of being miliked, with inside help from “public servants”.
3: Contracting out = Kiwis out of work = additional social costs which become exponential
4: Contracting out means that (most) likely, profits flow offshore, the profit has to be created out of the contract elsewhere, loweer wages, less staff, worse quality….We all pay for that one way or another.
Nice one SL, been a fan of Jeff for ages. His delightful phlegmatic delivery of crucial information in that wonderful Canadian drawl effectively make those who want to continue to prop up the clearly unsustainable look like they’ve missed a dose of their meds.
Thanks. Interesting material here with lots to think about.
Even if New Zealand is in surplus by next election, will that be reason for Government gloating? Fine to have a sound economy whilst we have a population in misery.
From today’s Herald, John Key revealing what I believe is one of his main reasons for returning to New Zealand for the PM gig:
He also said that if you were shopping for countries, New Zealand would be a good prospect.
“If you were really going to go out and buy a country, why wouldn’t you want to buy New Zealand?
“Would you really want these other countries that are highly indebted, have hugely inflexible and inefficient systems, don’t have the natural resources that we have, don’t have the potential that we have.”
I’m sure he will be richly rewarded by our owners to-be.
You’d think it would be unwise for Key to publicly associate himself with the idea of “buying” NZ. Do I see another cutesy photo-feature of the Key family (maybe at the beach) in a women’s magazine, in the near future?
This will become a part of the bigger picture that is emerging, especially if it is successfully exploited as such by the opposition.
Indeed those comments are a genuine attempt for Key inform people the real agenda, I would like to say that it might be attached to guilt, but that is not an emotion which people with psycopathic tendancies have, so I am going with brazen honesty..
Key is capable of telling the truth about the big picture as he has here, but then will lie openly when covering up the little links in the journey to that same big picture, as a way to try throw people off the trail.
This is a facinating insight, and I would hope that those in the public who still think Key is doing a good job, are paying attention to such statements as they are not throw aways!
Government will increasingly contract out services to private companies who can provide services at a cheaper rate in an effort to decrease government spending.
Ha, no they can’t. That’s one of the lies that this government and others have used for privatisation since the 1970s.
An excellent Kim Hill interview with Prof. Steven Keen on Radio NZ this morning. He’s a difficult subject to interview because he’s got so much information to convey and tends to come across as a little arrogant about it.. but Kim manages pretty well I thought. The essentials of Keen’s thinking are all there… plus few new ones I haven’t read lately.
Totally agree Red. I am not Economics literate but Steven Keen makes a great deal of sense. Perhaps our Financial Leaders should be forced to listen?
His point about banks enticing more people to borrow huge amounts in relation to their own stake which causes the Private Debt bubble to blow up, – again. Decades ago if you had $30,000 you could borrow $100,000 for your house. Again now, your $30,000 can let you borrow as much as $1,000,000. Banks want you to.
Crafar farms anyone? Inflated house prices?
We need to listen to and support economists which aren’t trapped in the cosy bank-sponsored neoliberal paradigm of the world.
Which is pretty difficult since virtually every economics department in the world is still teaching their undergrads demonstrably incorrect shit about “Value At Risk” analysis, the inter-changeability of savings, debt and money, and price/supply/demand curves.
Basically modern orthodox economics is dangerously over-financialised and false.
Thats right ianmac, it is exactly how banks, being at the center of the problem, inflating the debt (monetary) supply out of thin air, but with the consequence, that once the house of cards falls, the debt holder gets to own all the hard assets, and force the sale of those which is does not own…
And thats really just the retail banking sector interface you refer…of course behind those learly coloured banking stores lurks the casino banking cartels…
I wonder how long it will be before that $112 Billion, becomes an “official” problem..
Interesting interview, mainly Keen talking. Ultimately he proposes a kind of tinkering right up close to the inevitable line that will have to be crossed, eventually, if humanity really wants to begin addressing inequalities in society caused through the limitations of economics. His solution will certainly be palatable to many. A bit like voting Labour over National: same end, different speeds, one more ocmfortable than the other and the seats have cup holders. The admission that it is the gentle approach to major change is spelled out at the end, where both he and Hill unsurprisingly arrive at the Marxist conclusion as self evident.
The other problem with his scheme involves his focus on using it to attend to house prices (a specifically irrational NZ issue for the middle classes, why I don’t know, something to do with uncertain/irreconcilable moral values) in which he comes close to making the same mistake as neo-classical economic thinking, in that they assume the financial activites of an indivdual extrapolated how many times equal the activities of a society.
Keen says the amount of borrowing should be limited by a person’s level of savings, but forgets that (does he forget? Why did he not clarify?) businesses would be obliged to use the same model, and that a system that overnight abolishes our current blank cheque leverage lending idea, would make it impossible for construction firms – mainly smallish firms – to meet the ideal of a “middle income home” worth 2-2.5 times the median income. Not only would their formation become restricted, but sourcing materials cheap enough would risk either impossibility or the trap of monopoly. There are too many unexplained practicalities of building the utopian house. He often blends morals and values with economics, but he makes no attempt to understand why such a house would be required or even if the problem would still exist by the time his system began to function. It seemed like he was trying to sell his idea to specific group of people, who had no idea about the application discussed, but held some common and unexamined values and ideals about life. Man’s got to eat, I suppose. But who’ll pay the bill?
This idea wasn’t tagged onto his comments about allowing government lending to catch up to bank lending, so I have no idea if he thought the government would become the owner of construction firms. This idea seemed purely theoretical to me, it wasn’t explained, or at least it was explained within a vacuum; like calculating on paper how far a new type of aircraft with round section wings could travel in a 30 Knot headwind before the first protoype had been built.
Definitely worth a listen, overall, for an excellent explanation of effects of neo vs. classical economics, but there are some holes that are not explained. If anyone here can fill them in, I’d appreciate it.
businesses would be obliged to use the same model, and that a system that overnight abolishes our current blank cheque leverage lending idea, would make it impossible for construction firms – mainly smallish firms – to meet the ideal of a “middle income home” worth 2-2.5 times the median income.
Agree, that ideal ratio is not going to be achievable any time soon.
I personally don’t see why a quality (albeit modest) 3 bedroom house can’t be built for $200,000 plus land if private sector profit taking was set aside, and highly common plans and materials used. Plus centralised bulk purchasing of course. In other words, state housing, built by the state.
• allowed queues of up to 90 patients at a time to build up at its telephone helpline;
• met its targets, in part, by adjusting figures to blame delays on patients;
• rang at least one patient who had waited too long to see a doctor to give them a new waiting target instead;
• repeatedly took visiting doctors off roving duties in order to operate clinics and hotlines because it had too few staff on duty to cover the county.
And who was this font of capitalist efficiency? None other than Serco – the people this government just hired to do prisons for us which is having difficulty meeting targets.
The Serious Fraud Office last night said it might yet make its own inquiry into how William Yan – also known as Yang Liu and Yong Ming Yan – was granted citizenship.
Hardly a surprising considering this from an internal affairs official:
During the High Court trial, a Department of Internal Affairs official said Mr Yan was confident of gaining citizenship because of support from MPs such as Labour’s Dover Samuels. “He was so anxious that we send the files to the minister. He just wanted the file to go to the minister,” said Johannes Gambo, an Internal Affairs case officer in Auckland.
Mr Gambo wanted to make further inquiries with immigration authorities in Australia. “I had a phone call that I was told not to ask any more questions because there was a lot of political pressure to send the file to Wellington. I was told to just process the file, send it to Wellington, don’t worry about asking any more questions.”
This case must be like a Jaws movie for Labour. “Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the water…”
I read that TS and couldn’t quite see what the problem is. While the system allows for Ministerial intervention, then cases will be referred onwards.
Funny that the SFO might express an interest given that they usually are only involved with sums over $200,000. Don’t think that Mr Jones was offered or given any financial gain nor anyone involved with Mr Yan. The agent who acted for him charged $10,000 which is presumably the going fee.
The problem is, ianmac, that this guy had serious unanswered questions about him, yet there still appeared to be a rush to get his citizenship approved at a political level. And there was no need for the rush, because the guy had residency, so couldn’t be sent back to China anyway.
You are correct about the SFO being only interested in cases exceeding $200k. So, perhaps they could be interested because they are aware of information that hasn’t hit the media yet?
Its been reported that yan/liu dropped upward on $10 mil at sky city and if he could afford to throw away that kinda coin who knows what he threw at Samuels/Jones/Labour.
Good to see also that it has been confirmed that there is no “note” supporting the Jones claim that he would be killed and chopped up for spare parts.
Yan was one of SkyCity casino’s biggest gamblers where he was considered to be volatile. The Department of Internal Affairs (DIA) said in 2009 that he was “one of a number of gamblers of significance whom the department has discussed [with] SkyCity”.
The police have investigated Yan’s activities. No charges have been laid.
The Serious Fraud Office this week told the Attorney-General it is interested in any information relevant to its role that may come to light if an inquiry goes ahead. SFO boss Adam Feeley said he would not rule out starting his own inquiry.
[…]
A DIA official told him Yan would be executed and his organs harvested if he returned to China. Jones therefore approved citizenship on humanitarian grounds. The DIA has nothing on record to indicate that advice was given but Shane Jones believes he took a note of it and is trying to find it.
I think the only requirement is that they not make their bigotry so obvious. Not to mention their incompetence. The only question I have is how many drinks he’s been shouted at the Northern Club since his travesty of justice.
Um, just out of curiosity, how do you manage to get “the dog whistle of terrorism” from “But I regard it as highly relevant that the offending was not gang-related or associated with what I might call ‘conventional’ avenues of criminal activity. On the contrary, it occurred in pursuit of a worthy ideal and, perhaps most significantly, involved only a remote risk that it would lead to crimes of violence.”?
When you say the charges are unprecedented, what exactly are you comparing them too as I can’t recall any similar examples? If you compare it to the case of Bernard Shapiro in Christchurch, the judge held that “the offences were technical breaches in which Shapiro had exercised poor judgment, had been taken advantage of by a friend, and had relied on advice which proved to be not entirely accurate, from an arms dealer.” However, he was an a sole actor and had a clean record. Tame Iti had that previous weapons charge from 2005, which would have counted against him in sentencing. Ten firearms charges is not insignificant.
I’m not saying an investigation isn’t called for, but the ridiculous terrorism charges had already been dismissed so I fail to see the relevance to the current sentence. To harp on about the terrorism canard doesn’t help matters in the slightest. I have my doubts as to whether prison and not community service was the right option. I agree with Auckland University law professor Bill Hodge that “I think there was a serious issue there. You don’t demonstrate with molotov cocktails. On the other hand, was there overcharging, was there overkill, was that a sledgehammer? I think there’s an element of overkill.”
I wonder what you would be saying if it had been Kyle Chapman and mates running around with sawn-off rifles, semi-automatics and Molotov cocktails? Also defence lawyer Russell Fairbrother’s assertion “What Tuhoe do is their business. We’ve got to stop judging other people by our standards.” strikes me as patronising. It suggests that Maori belong in a category not responsible for their actions along with children and the mentally ill. Maori are modern people with modern lives in a modern world. Misuse of firearms is a serious issue and if someone had gotten hurt or killed because of a bunch of overgrown kids playing sillybuggers, we would be having a very different conversation. </end cathartic rant>
I’m comparing them to similar cases Populuxe1. For example where somebody is caught with Molotove cocktails and premeditation of a crime is proven but not undertaken, they recieve less than a year. Most offenses concerning unregistered firearms receive a warning.
So while Hansen says he thinks there’s only a remote risk that the training would lead to crimes of violence, he hands down a sentence that is completely disproportionate to that contention, leaving myself and many other commentators to think that he’s been listening to the dog whistle that continues to be promoted by the police.
Let’s take another example where Cameron Slater publishes material calling for somebody to be gut shot, is known to have a mental illness, weapons and a large cashe of ammunition… but the police don’t even bother to question the hate monger. Do you not see the disproportionate treatment certain people get over others?
You quote Bill Hodge who says that people don’t demonstrate with Molotov cocktails, however sometimes they do. In this case it’s spurious to say that the Urewera four were using Molotov cocktails at all. There is no clear evidence linking them to what the police claim were Molotov cocktails. These so-called “restricted weapons” were not even taken off private land were they?
You then make a link between what was occurring in the Urewera’s and what white supremacist groups undertake all the time. The disproportionate focus on Maori in comparison to white supremacists couldn’t be starker. It shows an endemic racism within not just the police force, but policy makers as well.
Also defence lawyer Russell Fairbrother’s assertion “What Tuhoe do is their business. We’ve got to stop judging other people by our standards.” strikes me as patronising. It suggests that Maori belong in a category not responsible for their actions along with children and the mentally ill.
It does not! It suggest there is some truth to the argument that Tuhoe is a sovereign nation that has never signed its right over to invading forces. Where on earth you got “children and the mentally ill” from is what is patronizing. Fairbrother also raises the issue of what private land actually is. Now that a retrospective law change has allowed the police unfettered access to spy on people no matter where they are, his statement is even more pertinent.
Misuse of firearms is a serious issue and if someone had gotten hurt or killed because of a bunch of overgrown kids playing sillybuggers, we would be having a very different conversation.
I couldn’t agree more. In fact I’ve written extensively on the subject… but the point you seem incapable of fathoming is that nobody was hurt, the crowns case was largely based on speculation and the sentences handed down were unprecedented in such circumstances. There are serious grounds for an appeal here, and I wont be surprised when Hansen’s prejudiced decisions are overturned.
14. When the statements are considered in context, a reasonable reader would assume they are referring to Maori as a race rather than to just the protesters at Waitangi.
While there may be truth in the “hopeless failure” of some Maori to educate their children and stop bashing their babies, it is inaccurate to make the allegation against Maori as a race.
15. The inaccuracies upon which some of the opinions are based also make the opinions so extreme that in the Council’s view they go beyond what is acceptable and become a gratuitous offence to Maori as a race.
16. It is because the allegations against Maori as a race are inaccurate, and the opinions are extreme to the extent of being a gratuitous offence to Maori, that the complaints are upheld.
It’s interesting that the Herald also reports that their readership has increased dramatically, which is one of the main reasons they publish such articles. It causes a scandal and people therefore buy more papers and visit the Herald website more, which means they can sell more advertising… have you seen how much advertising is in the Herald these days?
Unless there are some real financial disincentives to promoting such racist claptrap, we will continue to see similar bigoted and inaccurate articles being published.
Lifestyle Creep; peoples lifestyles being led by MARKETEERS for PROFIT.
Committing people and families to PAYMENT PLANS and DEBT
DEBT
DEBT. Follows around like a bad smell.
An ongoing CASH-COW for the corporate level and WANNABEES elite.
THINKING STUDENTS reference to Foucaults analyses of POWER DISCIPLINE PUNISHMENT
EXCELLENT analysis and synthesis there.
Great Work.
Liberal Studies at unis being CUT first.
RODD CARR, what a small-minded man.
Axe any Philosophy courses that direct one away from Utilitarianism?
Watch the mass-produced cohorts of non-utility “professionals” and their addiction to credentialism flee with the neglected productive classes.
Paul Thomas seems like a poor historicist apologist shoeshine boy.
IF one is aged between 30 AND 47 years of age and existentially relaxed, they are most able to challenge and modify the values beliefs and attitudes of the OLDER GENERATION who could know better.
DAVID PARKER.Not growth, ASIAN INVESTMENT in INFRASTRUCTURE.
EMPLOYMENT, of greater value to a LABOUR representative. Or give the portfolio to That Cunliffe chap.
The failed free-market ideology that National blindly follows and greedy multinational’s are just as much to blame as those hapless idiots Captain Mauro Balomaga and navigational officer Leonil Relon who piloted the MV Rena into the Astrolabe reef…
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Hi,If you’re a New Zealander — you know who Mike King is. He is the face of New Zealand’s battle against mental health problems. He can be loud and brash. He raises, and is entrusted with, a lot of cash. Last year his “I Am Hope” charity reported a revenue ...
Probably about the only consolation available from yesterday’s unveiling of the Half-Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) is that it could have been worse. Though Finance Minister Nicola Willis has tightened the screws on future government spending, she has resisted the calls from hard-line academics, fiscal purists and fiscal hawks ...
The right have a stupid saying that is only occasionally true:When is democracy not democracy? When it hasn’t been voted on.While not true in regards to branches of government such as the judiciary, it’s a philosophy that probably should apply to recently-elected local government councillors. Nevertheless, this concept seemed to ...
Long story short: the Government’s austerity policy has driven the economy into a deeper and longer recession that means it will have to borrow $20 billion more over the next four years than it expected just six months ago. Treasury’s latest forecasts show the National-ACT-NZ First Government’s fiscal strategy of ...
Come and join myself and CTU Chief Economist for a pop-up ‘Hoon’ webinar on the Government’s Half Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) with paying subscribers to The Kākā for 30 minutes at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream to watch our chat. Don’t worry if ...
In 1998, in the wake of the Paremoremo Prison riot, the Department of Corrections established the "Behaviour Management Regime". Prisoners were locked in their cells for 22 or 23 hours a day, with no fresh air, no exercise, no social contact, no entertainment, and in some cases no clothes and ...
New data released by the Treasury shows that the economic policies of this Government have made things worse in the year since they took office, said NZCTU Economist Craig Renney. “Our fiscal indicators are all heading in the wrong direction – with higher levels of debt, a higher deficit, and ...
At the 2023 election, National basically ran on a platform of being better economic managers. So how'd that turn out for us? In just one year, they've fucked us for two full political terms: The government's books are set to remain deeply in the red for the near term ...
AUSTERITYText within this block will maintain its original spacing when publishedMy spreadsheet insists This pain leads straight to glory (File not found) Read more ...
The NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi are saying that the Government should do the right thing and deliver minimum wage increases that don’t see workers fall further behind, in response to today’s announcement that the minimum wage will only be increased by 1.5%, well short of forecast inflation. “With inflation forecast ...
Oh, I weptFor daysFilled my eyesWith silly tearsOh, yeaBut I don'tCare no moreI don't care ifMy eyes get soreSongwriters: Paul Rodgers / Paul Kossoff. Read more ...
This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Bob HensonIn this aerial view, fingers of meltwater flow from the melting Isunnguata Sermia glacier descending from the Greenland Ice Sheet on July 11, 2024, near Kangerlussuaq, Greenland. According to the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE), the ...
In August, I wrote an article about David Seymour1 with a video of his testimony, to warn that there were grave dangers to his Ministry of Regulation:David Seymour's Ministry of Slush Hides Far Greater RisksWhy Seymour's exorbitant waste of taxpayers' money could be the least of concernThe money for Seymour ...
Willis is expected to have to reveal the bitter fiscal fruits of her austerity strategy in the HYEFU later today. Photo: Lynn Grieveson/TheKakaMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Tuesday, December 17 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast ...
On Friday the government announced it would double the number of toll roads in New Zealand as well as make a few other changes to how toll roads are used in the country. The real issue though is not that tolling is being used but the suggestion it will make ...
The Prime Minister yesterday engaged in what looked like a pre-emptive strike designed to counter what is likely to be a series of depressing economic statistics expected before the end of the week. He opened his weekly post-Cabinet press conference with a recitation of the Government’s achievements. “It certainly has ...
This whooping cough story from south Auckland is a good example of the coalition government’s approach to social need – spend money on urging people to get vaccinated but only after you’ve cut the funding to where they could get vaccinated. This has been the case all year with public ...
And if there is a GodI know he likes to rockHe likes his loud guitarsHis spiders from MarsAnd if there is a GodI know he's watching meHe likes what he seesBut there's trouble on the breezeSongwriter: William Patrick Corgan Read more ...
Here’s a quick round up of today’s political news:1. MORE FOOD BANKS, CHARITIES, DOMESTIC VIOLENCE SHELTERS AND YOUTH SOCIAL SERVICES SET TO CLOSE OR SCALE BACK AROUND THE COUNTRY AS GOVT CUTS FUNDINGSome of Auckland's largest foodbanks are warning they may need to close or significantly reduce food parcels after ...
Iain Rennie, CNZMSecretary and Chief Executive to the TreasuryDear Secretary, Undue restrictions on restricted briefings This week, the Treasury barred representatives from four organisations, including the New Zealand Council of Trade Unions Te Kauae Kaimahi, from attending the restricted briefing for the Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update. We had been ...
This is a guest post by Tim Adriaansen, a community, climate, and accessibility advocate.I won’t shut up about climate breakdown, and whenever possible I try to shift the focus of a climate conversation towards solutions. But you’ll almost never hear me give more than a passing nod to ...
A grassroots backlash has forced a backdown from Brown, but he is still eyeing up plenty of tolls for other new roads. And the pressure is on Willis to ramp up the Government’s austerity strategy. Photo: Getty ImagesMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy ...
Hi all,I'm pretty overwhelmed by all your messages and emails today; thank you so very much.As much as my newsletter this morning was about money, and we all need to earn money, it was mostly about world domination if I'm honest. 😉I really hate what’s happening to our country, and ...
A listing of 23 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, December 8, 2024 thru Sat, December 14, 2024. Listing by Category Like last week's summary this one contains the list of articles twice: based on categories and based on ...
I started writing this morning about Hobson’s Pledge, examining the claims they and their supporters make, basically ripping into them. But I kept getting notifications coming through, and not good ones.Each time I looked up, there was another un-subscription message, and I felt a bit sicker at the thought of ...
Once, long before there was Harry and Meghan and Dodi and all those episodes of The Crown, they came to spend some time with us, Charles and Diana. Was there anyone in the world more glamorous than the Princess of Wales?Dazzled as everyone was by their company, the leader of ...
The collective right have a problem.The entire foundation for their world view is antiscientific. Their preferred economic strategies have been disproven. Their whole neoliberal model faces accusations of corporate corruption and worsening inequality. Climate change not only definitely exists, its rapid progression demands an immediate and expensive response in order ...
Just ten days ago, South Korea's president attempted a self-coup, declaring martial law and attempting to have opposition MPs murdered or arrested in an effort to seize unconstrained power. The attempt was rapidly defeated by the national assembly voting it down and the people flooding the streets to defend democracy. ...
National has only been in power for a year, but everywhere you look, its choices are taking New Zealand a long way backwards. In no particular order, here are the National Government's Top 50 Greatest Misses of its first year in power. ...
The Government is quietly undertaking consultation on the dangerous Regulatory Standards Bill over the Christmas period to avoid too much attention. ...
The Government’s planned changes to the freedom of speech obligations of universities is little more than a front for stoking the political fires of disinformation and fear, placing teachers and students in the crosshairs. ...
The Ministry of Regulation’s report into Early Childhood Education (ECE) in Aotearoa raises serious concerns about the possibility of lowering qualification requirements, undermining quality and risking worse outcomes for tamariki, whānau, and kaiako. ...
A Bill to modernise the role of Justices of the Peace (JP), ensuring they remain active in their communities and connected with other JPs, has been put into the ballot. ...
Labour will continue to fight unsustainable and destructive projects that are able to leap-frog environment protection under National’s Fast-track Approvals Bill. ...
The Green Party has warned that a Green Government will revoke the consents of companies who override environmental protections as part of Fast-Track legislation being passed today. ...
The Green Party says the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update shows how the Government is failing to address the massive social and infrastructure deficits our country faces. ...
The Government’s latest move to reduce the earnings of migrant workers will not only hurt migrants but it will drive down the wages of Kiwi workers. ...
Te Pāti Māori has this morning issued a stern warning to Fast-Track applicants with interests in mining, pledging to hold them accountable through retrospective liability and to immediately revoke Fast-Track consents under a future Te Pāti Māori government. This warning comes ahead of today’s third reading of the Fast-Track Approvals ...
The Government’s announcement today of a 1.5 per cent increase to minimum wage is another blow for workers, with inflation projected to exceed the increase, meaning it’s a real terms pay reduction for many. ...
All the Government has achieved from its announcement today is to continue to push responsibility back on councils for its own lack of action to help bring down skyrocketing rates. ...
The Government has used its final post-Cabinet press conference of the year to punch down on local government without offering any credible solutions to the issues our councils are facing. ...
The Government has failed to keep its promise to ‘super charge’ the EV network, delivering just 292 chargers - less than half of the 670 chargers needed to meet its target. ...
The Green Party is calling for the Government to stop subsidising the largest user of the country’s gas supplies, Methanex, following a report highlighting the multi-national’s disproportionate influence on energy prices in Aotearoa. ...
The Green Party is appalled with the Government’s new child poverty targets that are based on a new ‘persistent poverty’ measure that could be met even with an increase in child poverty. ...
New independent analysis has revealed that the Government’s Emissions Reduction Plan (ERP) will reduce emissions by a measly 1 per cent by 2030, failing to set us up for the future and meeting upcoming targets. ...
The loss of 27 kaimahi at Whakaata Māori and the end of its daily news bulletin is a sad day for Māori media and another step backwards for Te Tiriti o Waitangi justice. ...
Yesterday the Government passed cruel legislation through first reading to establish a new beneficiary sanction regime that will ultimately mean more households cannot afford the basic essentials. ...
Today's passing of the Government's Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill–which allows landlords to end tenancies with no reason–ignores the voice of the people and leaves renters in limbo ahead of the festive season. ...
After wasting a year, Nicola Willis has delivered a worse deal for the Cook Strait ferries that will end up being more expensive and take longer to arrive. ...
Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick has today launched a Member’s Bill to sanction Israel for its unlawful presence in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, as the All Out For Gaza rally reaches Parliament. ...
After years of advocacy, the Green Party is very happy to hear the Government has listened to our collective voices and announced the closure of the greyhound racing industry, by 1 August 2026. ...
In response to a new report from ERO, the Government has acknowledged the urgent need for consistency across the curriculum for Relationship and Sexuality Education (RSE) in schools. ...
The Green Party is appalled at the Government introducing legislation that will make it easier to penalise workers fighting for better pay and conditions. ...
Thank you for the invitation to speak with you tonight on behalf of the political party I belong to - which is New Zealand First. As we have heard before this evening the Kinleith Mill is proposing to reduce operations by focusing on pulp and discontinuing “lossmaking paper production”. They say that they are currently consulting on the plan to permanently shut ...
Auckland Central MP, Chlöe Swarbrick, has written to Mayor Wayne Brown requesting he stop the unnecessary delays on St James Theatre’s restoration. ...
Kiwis planning a swim or heading out on a boat this summer should remember to stop and think about water safety, Sport & Recreation Minister Chris Bishop and ACC and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “New Zealand’s beaches, lakes and rivers are some of the most beautiful in the ...
The Government is urging Kiwis to drive safely this summer and reminding motorists that Police will be out in force to enforce the road rules, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“This time of year can be stressful and result in poor decision-making on our roads. Whether you are travelling to see ...
Health Minister Dr Shane Reti says Health New Zealand will move swiftly to support dozens of internationally-trained doctors already in New Zealand on their journey to employment here, after a tripling of sought-after examination places. “The Medical Council has delivered great news for hardworking overseas doctors who want to contribute ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has appointed Sarah Ottrey to the APEC Business Advisory Council (ABAC). “At my first APEC Summit in Lima, I experienced firsthand the role that ABAC plays in guaranteeing political leaders hear the voice of business,” Mr Luxon says. “New Zealand’s ABAC representatives are very well respected and ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced four appointments to New Zealand’s intelligence oversight functions. The Honourable Robert Dobson KC has been appointed Chief Commissioner of Intelligence Warrants, and the Honourable Brendan Brown KC has been appointed as a Commissioner of Intelligence Warrants. The appointments of Hon Robert Dobson and Hon ...
Improvements in the average time it takes to process survey and title applications means housing developments can progress more quickly, Minister for Land Information Chris Penk says. “The government is resolutely focused on improving the building and construction pipeline,” Mr Penk says. “Applications to issue titles and subdivide land are ...
The Government’s measures to reduce airport wait times, and better transparency around flight disruptions is delivering encouraging early results for passengers ahead of the busy summer period, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Improving the efficiency of air travel is a priority for the Government to give passengers a smoother, more reliable ...
The Government today announced the intended closure of the Apollo Hotel as Contracted Emergency Housing (CEH) in Rotorua, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. This follows a 30 per cent reduction in the number of households in CEH in Rotorua since National came into Government. “Our focus is on ending CEH in the Whakarewarewa area starting ...
The Government will reshape vocational education and training to return decision making to regions and enable greater industry input into work-based learning Tertiary Education and Skills Minister, Penny Simmonds says. “The redesigned system will better meet the needs of learners, industry, and the economy. It includes re-establishing regional polytechnics that ...
The Government is taking action to better manage synthetic refrigerants and reduce emissions caused by greenhouse gases found in heating and cooling products, Environment Minister Penny Simmonds says. “Regulations will be drafted to support a product stewardship scheme for synthetic refrigerants, Ms. Simmonds says. “Synthetic refrigerants are found in a ...
People travelling on State Highway 1 north of Hamilton will be relieved that remedial works and safety improvements on the Ngāruawāhia section of the Waikato Expressway were finished today, with all lanes now open to traffic, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“I would like to acknowledge the patience of road users ...
Tertiary Education and Skills Minister, Penny Simmonds, has announced a new appointment to the board of Education New Zealand (ENZ). Dr Erik Lithander has been appointed as a new member of the ENZ board for a three-year term until 30 January 2028. “I would like to welcome Dr Erik Lithander to the ...
The Government will have senior representatives at Waitangi Day events around the country, including at the Waitangi Treaty Grounds, but next year Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has chosen to take part in celebrations elsewhere. “It has always been my intention to celebrate Waitangi Day around the country with different ...
Two more criminal gangs will be subject to the raft of laws passed by the Coalition Government that give Police more powers to disrupt gang activity, and the intimidation they impose in our communities, Police Minister Mark Mitchell says. Following an Order passed by Cabinet, from 3 February 2025 the ...
Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Justice Christian Whata as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Whata’s appointment as a Judge of the Court of Appeal will take effect on 1 August 2025 and fill a vacancy created by the retirement of Hon Justice David Goddard on ...
The latest economic figures highlight the importance of the steps the Government has taken to restore respect for taxpayers’ money and drive economic growth, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. Data released today by Stats NZ shows Gross Domestic Product fell 1 per cent in the September quarter. “Treasury and most ...
Tertiary Education and Skills Minister Penny Simmonds and Associate Minister of Education David Seymour today announced legislation changes to strengthen freedom of speech obligations on universities. “Freedom of speech is fundamental to the concept of academic freedom and there is concern that universities seem to be taking a more risk-averse ...
Police Minister, Mark Mitchell, and Internal Affairs Minister, Brooke van Velden, today launched a further Public Safety Network cellular service that alongside last year’s Cellular Roaming roll-out, puts globally-leading cellular communications capability into the hands of our emergency responders. The Public Safety Network’s new Cellular Priority service means Police, Wellington ...
State Highway 1 through the Mangamuka Gorge has officially reopened today, providing a critical link for Northlanders and offering much-needed relief ahead of the busy summer period, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“The Mangamuka Gorge is a vital route for Northland, carrying around 1,300 vehicles per day and connecting the Far ...
The Government has welcomed decisions by the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) and Ashburton District Council confirming funding to boost resilience in the Canterbury region, with construction on a second Ashburton Bridge expected to begin in 2026, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Delivering a second Ashburton Bridge to improve resilience and ...
The Government is backing the response into high pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in Otago, Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard says. “Cabinet has approved new funding of $20 million to enable MPI to meet unbudgeted ongoing expenses associated with the H7N6 response including rigorous scientific testing of samples at the enhanced PC3 ...
Legislation that will repeal all advertising restrictions for broadcasters on Sundays and public holidays has passed through first reading in Parliament today, Media Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “As a growing share of audiences get their news and entertainment from streaming services, these restrictions have become increasingly redundant. New Zealand on ...
Today the House agreed to Brendan Horsley being appointed Inspector-General of Defence, Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “Mr Horsley’s experience will be invaluable in overseeing the establishment of the new office and its support networks. “He is currently Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security, having held that role since June 2020. ...
Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says the Government has agreed to the final regulations for the levy on insurance contracts that will fund Fire and Emergency New Zealand from July 2026. “Earlier this year the Government agreed to a 2.2 percent increase to the rate of levy. Fire ...
The Government is delivering regulatory relief for New Zealand businesses through changes to the Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Act. “The Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Amendment Bill, which was introduced today, is the second Bill – the other being the Statutes Amendment Bill - that ...
Transport Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed further progress on the Hawke’s Bay Expressway Road of National Significance (RoNS), with the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) Board approving funding for the detailed design of Stage 1, paving the way for main works construction to begin in late 2025.“The Government is moving at ...
The Government today released a request for information (RFI) to seeking interest in partnerships to plant trees on Crown-owned land with low farming and conservation value (excluding National Parks) Forestry Minister Todd McClay announced. “Planting trees on Crown-owned land will drive economic growth by creating more forestry jobs in our regions, providing more wood ...
Court timeliness, access to justice, and improving the quality of existing regulation are the focus of a series of law changes introduced to Parliament today by Associate Minister of Justice Nicole McKee. The three Bills in the Regulatory Systems (Justice) Amendment Bill package each improve a different part of the ...
A total of 41 appointments and reappointments have been made to the 12 community trusts around New Zealand that serve their regions, Associate Finance Minister Shane Jones says. “These trusts, and the communities they serve from the Far North to the deep south, will benefit from the rich experience, knowledge, ...
The Government has confirmed how it will provide redress to survivors who were tortured at the Lake Alice Psychiatric Hospital Child and Adolescent Unit (the Lake Alice Unit). “The Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in Care found that many of the 362 children who went through the Lake Alice Unit between 1972 and ...
It has been a busy, productive year in the House as the coalition Government works hard to get New Zealand back on track, Leader of the House Chris Bishop says. “This Government promised to rebuild the economy, restore law and order and reduce the cost of living. Our record this ...
“Accelerated silicosis is an emerging occupational disease caused by unsafe work such as engineered stone benchtops. I am running a standalone consultation on engineered stone to understand what the industry is currently doing to manage the risks, and whether further regulatory intervention is needed,” says Workplace Relations and Safety Minister ...
Mehemea he pai mō te tangata, mahia – if it’s good for the people, get on with it. Enhanced reporting on the public sector’s delivery of Treaty settlement commitments will help improve outcomes for Māori and all New Zealanders, Māori Crown Relations Minister Tama Potaka says. Compiled together for the ...
Mr Roger Holmes Miller and Ms Tarita Hutchinson have been appointed to the Charities Registration Board, Community and Voluntary Sector Minister Louise Upston says. “I would like to welcome the new members joining the Charities Registration Board. “The appointment of Ms Hutchinson and Mr Miller will strengthen the Board’s capacity ...
More building consent and code compliance applications are being processed within the statutory timeframe since the Government required councils to submit quarterly data, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “In the midst of a housing shortage we need to look at every step of the build process for efficiencies ...
Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey is proud to announce the first three recipients of the Government’s $10 million Mental Health and Addiction Community Sector Innovation Fund which will enable more Kiwis faster access to mental health and addiction support. “This fund is part of the Government’s commitment to investing in ...
New Zealand is providing Vanuatu assistance following yesterday's devastating earthquake, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. "Vanuatu is a member of our Pacific family and we are supporting it in this time of acute need," Mr Peters says. "Our thoughts are with the people of Vanuatu, and we will be ...
The Government welcomes the Commerce Commission’s plan to reduce card fees for Kiwis by an estimated $260 million a year, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly says.“The Government is relentlessly focused on reducing the cost of living, so Kiwis can keep more of their hard-earned income and live a ...
Regulation Minister David Seymour has welcomed the Early Childhood Education (ECE) regulatory review report, the first major report from the Ministry for Regulation. The report makes 15 recommendations to modernise and simplify regulations across ECE so services can get on with what they do best – providing safe, high-quality care ...
The Government‘s Offshore Renewable Energy Bill to create a new regulatory regime that will enable firms to construct offshore wind generation has passed its first reading in Parliament, Energy Minister Simeon Brown says.“New Zealand currently does not have a regulatory regime for offshore renewable energy as the previous government failed ...
Summer reissue: Was it a false measurement, a full-blown conspiracy or just some mild incompetence? Mad Chapman uncovers the truth of Maddi Wesche’s final throw. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Julie Old, Associate Professor, Biology, Zoology, Animal Science, Western Sydney University Dmitry Chulov, Shutterstock At this time of year, images of reindeer are everywhere. I’ve had a soft spot for reindeer ever since I was a little girl. Doesn’t everyone? ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Grozdana Manalo, Career Services Manager (Education), University of Sydney hedgehog94/Shutterstock Getting casual work over summer, or a part-time job that you might continue once your tertiary course starts, can be a great way to get workplace experience and earn some extra ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ty Ferguson, Research associate in exercise, nutrition and activity, University of South Australia Peera_Stockfoto/Shutterstock It’s never been easier to stay connected to work. Even when we’re on leave, our phones and laptops keep us tethered. Many of us promise ourselves we ...
The NZ Media Council upheld the complaint under principle four: comment and fact On 5 September 2024, The Spinoff published a brief article titled Made in Palestine, found in 1970s Hastings, which highlighted an upcoming art exhibition featuring photographs of vintage cosmetic products labelled “Made in Palestine.” The piece, described ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kasey Symons, Lecturer of Communication, Sports Media, Deakin University We are well and truly in cricket season. The Australian men’s cricket team is taking centre stage against India in the Border Gavaskar Trophy series while the Big Bash League is underway, as ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Andrew Woods, Lecturer, Nursing, Faculty of Health, Southern Cross University FTiare/Shutterstock Summer is here and for many that means going to the beach. You grab your swimmers, beach towel and sunscreen then maybe check the weather forecast. Did you think to ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Saman Khalesi, Senior Lecturer and Discipline Lead in Nutrition, School of Health, Medical and Applied Sciences, CQUniversity Australia Dean Clarke/Shutterstock The holiday season can be a time of joy, celebration, and indulgence in delicious foods and meals. However, for many, it ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ari Mattes, Lecturer in Communications and Media, University of Notre Dame Australia Late Night With The Devil. Maslow Entertainment Marketing is critical to the success of commercial films, and companies will often spend half as much again on top of the ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Francisco Jose Testa, Lecturer in Earth Sciences (Mineralogy, Petrology & Geochemistry), University of Tasmania The Conversation As a kid, it was tough for me to grasp the massive time scale of Earth’s history. Now, with nearly two decades of experience as ...
Te Pāti Māori has had to adopt a new way of debating, operating and even thinking in Parliament in response to the Government’s “onslaught” against te ao Māori, co-leader Debbie Ngarewa-Packer says.In an end-of-year interview with Newsroom, the Te Tai Hauauru MP reflected on how 2024 has differed from her ...
Opinion: The latest Trends in International Mathematics and Science report was announced earlier this month, yet it didn’t get the flurry of media attention and political hand-wringing that typically accompanies these announcements. This might be because it presented good news, or you could argue, no news; the results paint a ...
NewsroomBy Dr Lisa Darragh, Dr Raewyn Eden and Dr David Pomeroy
At long last, The Spinoff shells out for a nut ranking. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today.It recently came to The Spinoff’s attention ...
I was one of hundreds of people who lost my government job this week. Here’s exactly how it played out. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a ...
Summer reissue: One anxiously attentive passenger pays attention to an in-flight safety video, and wonders ‘Why can’t I pick up my own phone?’ The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up ...
Summer reissue: Why do those Lange-Douglas years cast such a long shadow 40 years on? The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today. First published June ...
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The Government’s social housing agency has backed out of a billion-dollar infrastructure alliance that would have built about 6000 new homes in Auckland – less than 18 months after signing a five-year extension.Labour says the decision to rip up the contract and sell off existing state houses could lead to ...
An unrelenting faith in “swift transition” has driven Tauranga Whai to their first Tauihi Basketball Aotearoa championship. At a boisterous Queen Elizabeth Youth Centre, the visiting Tokomanawa Queens were blown away 90-71 in the final.Whai led by 20 points at halftime as their urgent movement and unflinching faith in three-point shooting from anywhere ...
ByKoroi Hawkins, RNZ Pacific editor New Zealand’s Urban Search and Rescue (USAR) says impending bad weather for Port Vila is now the most significant post-quake hazard. A tropical low in the Coral Sea is expected to move into Vanuatu waters, bringing heavy rainfall. Authorities have issued warnings to people ...
Cosmic CatastropheThe year draws to a close.King Luxon has grown tired of the long eveningsListening to the dreary squabbling of his Triumvirate.He strolls up to the top floor of the PalaceTo consult with his Astronomer Royal.The Royal Telescope scans the skies,And King Luxon stares up into the heavensFrom the terrestrial ...
Spinoff editor Mad Chapman and books editor Claire Mabey debate Carl Shuker’s new novel about… an editor. Claire: Hello Mad, you just finished The Royal Free – overall impressions? Mad: Hi Claire, I literally just put the book down and I would have to say my immediate impression is ...
Christmas and its buildup are often lonely, hard and full of unreasonable expectations. Here’s how to make it to Jesus’s birthday and find the little bit of joy we all deserve. Have you found this year relentless? Has the latest Apple update “fucked up your life”? Have you lost two ...
Despite overwhelming public and corporate support, the government has stalled progress on a modern day slavery law. That puts us behind other countries – and makes Christmas a time of tragedy rather than joy, argues Shanti Mathias. Picture the scene on Christmas Day. Everyone replete with nice things to eat, ...
Asia Pacific Report “It looks like Hiroshima. It looks like Germany at the end of World War Two,” says an Israeli-American historian and professor of holocaust and genocide studies at Brown University about the horrifying reality of Gaza. Professor Omer Bartov, has described Israel’s ongoing war on Gaza as an ...
The New Zealand government coalition is tweaking university regulations to curb what it says is an increasingly “risk-averse approach” to free speech. The proposed changes will set clear expectations on how universities should approach freedom of speech issues. Each university will then have to adopt a “freedom of speech statement” ...
Report by Dr David Robie – Café Pacific. – COMMENTARY: By Caitlin Johnstone New York prosecutors have charged Luigi Mangione with “murder as an act of terrorism” in his alleged shooting of health insurance CEO Brian Thompson earlier this month. This news comes out at the same time as ...
Pacific Media Watch The union for Australian journalists has welcomed the delivery by the federal government of more than $150 million to support the sustainability of public interest journalism over the next four years. Combined with the announcement of the revamped News Bargaining Initiative, this could result in up to ...
Comment: If we say the word ‘dementia’, many will picture an older person struggling to remember the names of their loved ones, maybe a grandparent living out their final years in an aged care facility. Dementia can also occur in people younger than 65, but it can take time before ...
Piracy is a reality of modern life – but copyright law has struggled to play catch-up for as long as the entertainment industry has existed. As far back as 1988, the House of Lords criticised copyright law’s conflict with the reality of human behaviour in the context of burning cassette ...
MONDAY“Merry Xmas, and praise the Lord,” said Sheriff Luxon, and smiled for the camera. There was a flash of smoke when the shutter pressed down on the magnesium powder. The sheriff had arranged for a photographer from the Dodge Gazette to attend a ceremony where he handed out food parcels to ...
It’s a little under two months since the White Ferns shocked the cricketing world, deservedly taking home the T20 World Cup. Since then the trophy has had a tour around the country, five of the squad have played in the WBBL in Australia while most others have returned to domestic ...
I went to see Jeff Rubin speak last night, former Chief Economist of CIBC World Markets and now author of a number of books on peak oil and the end of growth. http://www.jeffrubinssmallerworld.com/
I wrote a review on his talk here if anyone is interested: http://www.southernlimitsnz.com/2012/05/review-jeff-rubin-on-end-of-growth.html
His basic premise is this: zero growth is the new global norm. This does not bode well for the recent budget forecasts. I think it is a pretty safe bet that New Zealand will not be in surplus by the next election.
He also predicts that we are at the beginning of a recession worse than the 2008 GFC and that Greece will default within 4-5 months with Italy, Portugal and Spain not far behind.
Great. Thanks for this. I see Rubin’s policy suggestions differ from some of the ways he sees things developing, if they are left unchecked.
e.g. He sees a trend to government contracting out work. This may be cheaper, but, it is not the most effective way to get work done. It lowers the quality and the pay of workers, while the private companies cream off profits.
Rubin also sees the trend going towards young people staying at home longer & people working til an older age. This could mean less work for younger people. However, Rubin’s policy solution is for more job share.
For myself, I plan to keep working as long as I can. But, now in my early 60s, I have shifted to part time work, and in an alternative occupation from my (previous) main career. This job pays less, and I have less responsibilities. But I live frugally so can live OK on my income. I also work weekends (the relatively unsociable hours that are least favoured by younger people with families or lively social lives).
However, one thing I would suggest as a policy for older workers, is more consideration of the requirements to making such transitions. In my case the in-service training development is focused more on career development for younger workers, via uni degrees (I already have a string of these, and in many ways am over-qualified for my current work). For older workers, there should be more focus on recognising transferable skills, and targeting inservice training/education on specific requirements of the current job.
Of course, contracting out is not actually “cheaper” if the quality and service you get in return is also cheaper.
Classic example are our defence forces catering services which have been contracted out. Cheaper is what it looks like, but you also get what you pay for less the private sector profit margin and higher financing costs.
Contracting out is certainly not cheaper here are some reasons why.
1: Govts are obliged to take the lowest tender….too bad if it turns out to be more expensive, as they don’t treat business case, or benefit realizations as living documents over the life of the transition.
2: Govts are deliberately poor at commercial contracts, and have a history of being miliked, with inside help from “public servants”.
3: Contracting out = Kiwis out of work = additional social costs which become exponential
4: Contracting out means that (most) likely, profits flow offshore, the profit has to be created out of the contract elsewhere, loweer wages, less staff, worse quality….We all pay for that one way or another.
So it goes on!
Nice one SL, been a fan of Jeff for ages. His delightful phlegmatic delivery of crucial information in that wonderful Canadian drawl effectively make those who want to continue to prop up the clearly unsustainable look like they’ve missed a dose of their meds.
Thanks. Interesting material here with lots to think about.
Even if New Zealand is in surplus by next election, will that be reason for Government gloating? Fine to have a sound economy whilst we have a population in misery.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10808597
From today’s Herald, John Key revealing what I believe is one of his main reasons for returning to New Zealand for the PM gig:
He also said that if you were shopping for countries, New Zealand would be a good prospect.
“If you were really going to go out and buy a country, why wouldn’t you want to buy New Zealand?
“Would you really want these other countries that are highly indebted, have hugely inflexible and inefficient systems, don’t have the natural resources that we have, don’t have the potential that we have.”
I’m sure he will be richly rewarded by our owners to-be.
Indeed, an interesting exposure of how Key (and his cronies) mind/s work – it’s all about trading and playing the market.
“If you were really going to go out and buy a country, why wouldn’t you want to buy New Zealand?
This exposure of Key’s outlook should be put up on billboards and t-shirts everywhere.
John key – the man with a mission to sell NZ to the highest bidder!
John Key: trader in money and countries – he’s busy selling yours!
You’d think it would be unwise for Key to publicly associate himself with the idea of “buying” NZ. Do I see another cutesy photo-feature of the Key family (maybe at the beach) in a women’s magazine, in the near future?
This will become a part of the bigger picture that is emerging, especially if it is successfully exploited as such by the opposition.
Uh, not quite. I don’t believe that you have understood John Key’s mindset correctly.
He is going to sell NZ to his mates for cheap so that they can maximise their profits off us, and in doing so owe him.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see John Key get offered a board position at one of the big investment banks soon after he leaves office, for instance.
Indeed those comments are a genuine attempt for Key inform people the real agenda, I would like to say that it might be attached to guilt, but that is not an emotion which people with psycopathic tendancies have, so I am going with brazen honesty..
Key is capable of telling the truth about the big picture as he has here, but then will lie openly when covering up the little links in the journey to that same big picture, as a way to try throw people off the trail.
This is a facinating insight, and I would hope that those in the public who still think Key is doing a good job, are paying attention to such statements as they are not throw aways!
Ha, no they can’t. That’s one of the lies that this government and others have used for privatisation since the 1970s.
Gah, that was actually a reply to Southern Limits.
An excellent Kim Hill interview with Prof. Steven Keen on Radio NZ this morning. He’s a difficult subject to interview because he’s got so much information to convey and tends to come across as a little arrogant about it.. but Kim manages pretty well I thought. The essentials of Keen’s thinking are all there… plus few new ones I haven’t read lately.
Well worth a listen.
Totally agree Red. I am not Economics literate but Steven Keen makes a great deal of sense. Perhaps our Financial Leaders should be forced to listen?
His point about banks enticing more people to borrow huge amounts in relation to their own stake which causes the Private Debt bubble to blow up, – again. Decades ago if you had $30,000 you could borrow $100,000 for your house. Again now, your $30,000 can let you borrow as much as $1,000,000. Banks want you to.
Crafar farms anyone? Inflated house prices?
We need to listen to and support economists which aren’t trapped in the cosy bank-sponsored neoliberal paradigm of the world.
Which is pretty difficult since virtually every economics department in the world is still teaching their undergrads demonstrably incorrect shit about “Value At Risk” analysis, the inter-changeability of savings, debt and money, and price/supply/demand curves.
Basically modern orthodox economics is dangerously over-financialised and false.
Thats right ianmac, it is exactly how banks, being at the center of the problem, inflating the debt (monetary) supply out of thin air, but with the consequence, that once the house of cards falls, the debt holder gets to own all the hard assets, and force the sale of those which is does not own…
And thats really just the retail banking sector interface you refer…of course behind those learly coloured banking stores lurks the casino banking cartels…
I wonder how long it will be before that $112 Billion, becomes an “official” problem..
Whih bank lets you borrow 1,000,000 on 30,000?
Not sure that you would in NZ. However, 5% deposit mortgages are coming back in NZ. With $30K down you’ll get a $600K mortgage.
In the US, zero down mortgages are still common.
Okay, thats 600k, not the mil that was mentioned.
Interesting interview, mainly Keen talking. Ultimately he proposes a kind of tinkering right up close to the inevitable line that will have to be crossed, eventually, if humanity really wants to begin addressing inequalities in society caused through the limitations of economics. His solution will certainly be palatable to many. A bit like voting Labour over National: same end, different speeds, one more ocmfortable than the other and the seats have cup holders. The admission that it is the gentle approach to major change is spelled out at the end, where both he and Hill unsurprisingly arrive at the Marxist conclusion as self evident.
The other problem with his scheme involves his focus on using it to attend to house prices (a specifically irrational NZ issue for the middle classes, why I don’t know, something to do with uncertain/irreconcilable moral values) in which he comes close to making the same mistake as neo-classical economic thinking, in that they assume the financial activites of an indivdual extrapolated how many times equal the activities of a society.
Keen says the amount of borrowing should be limited by a person’s level of savings, but forgets that (does he forget? Why did he not clarify?) businesses would be obliged to use the same model, and that a system that overnight abolishes our current blank cheque leverage lending idea, would make it impossible for construction firms – mainly smallish firms – to meet the ideal of a “middle income home” worth 2-2.5 times the median income. Not only would their formation become restricted, but sourcing materials cheap enough would risk either impossibility or the trap of monopoly. There are too many unexplained practicalities of building the utopian house. He often blends morals and values with economics, but he makes no attempt to understand why such a house would be required or even if the problem would still exist by the time his system began to function. It seemed like he was trying to sell his idea to specific group of people, who had no idea about the application discussed, but held some common and unexamined values and ideals about life. Man’s got to eat, I suppose. But who’ll pay the bill?
This idea wasn’t tagged onto his comments about allowing government lending to catch up to bank lending, so I have no idea if he thought the government would become the owner of construction firms. This idea seemed purely theoretical to me, it wasn’t explained, or at least it was explained within a vacuum; like calculating on paper how far a new type of aircraft with round section wings could travel in a 30 Knot headwind before the first protoype had been built.
Definitely worth a listen, overall, for an excellent explanation of effects of neo vs. classical economics, but there are some holes that are not explained. If anyone here can fill them in, I’d appreciate it.
Agree, that ideal ratio is not going to be achievable any time soon.
I personally don’t see why a quality (albeit modest) 3 bedroom house can’t be built for $200,000 plus land if private sector profit taking was set aside, and highly common plans and materials used. Plus centralised bulk purchasing of course. In other words, state housing, built by the state.
In The Guardian:
And who was this font of capitalist efficiency? None other than Serco – the people this government just hired to do prisons for us which is having difficulty meeting targets.
Matthew Hooton has a bigoted small minded story in the NBR, accusing Helen Clark of being corrupt.
He should no longer be referred to as a “political commentator” by the various media that give him oxygen.
This story indicates that National is going to push a ” Labour is Corrupt” theme. Time to fight fire with fire.
http://www.nbr.co.nz/article/labour-still-paying-clark-governments-corruption-119679#comment-395228
Are there people in Labour shitting themselves at the moment?
From the article:
Hardly a surprising considering this from an internal affairs official:
This case must be like a Jaws movie for Labour. “Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the water…”
I read that TS and couldn’t quite see what the problem is. While the system allows for Ministerial intervention, then cases will be referred onwards.
Funny that the SFO might express an interest given that they usually are only involved with sums over $200,000. Don’t think that Mr Jones was offered or given any financial gain nor anyone involved with Mr Yan. The agent who acted for him charged $10,000 which is presumably the going fee.
The problem is, ianmac, that this guy had serious unanswered questions about him, yet there still appeared to be a rush to get his citizenship approved at a political level. And there was no need for the rush, because the guy had residency, so couldn’t be sent back to China anyway.
Also, the claim that this was on humanitarian grounds doesn’t stack up with previous decisions Jones had been making with respect to immigration. For instance this case which on the face of it would seem just as deserving of ministerial intervention, if not more so.
You are correct about the SFO being only interested in cases exceeding $200k. So, perhaps they could be interested because they are aware of information that hasn’t hit the media yet?
Its been reported that yan/liu dropped upward on $10 mil at sky city and if he could afford to throw away that kinda coin who knows what he threw at Samuels/Jones/Labour.
Good to see also that it has been confirmed that there is no “note” supporting the Jones claim that he would be killed and chopped up for spare parts.
Link?
I guess David C is talking about this article: The mysteries of Citizen Yan
A bit of over exaggeration again by David C.
Unfortunately, that’s just one of a slew of similar cases… 🙁
The real problem of course is that “all sides” are neck deep in dodgy dealings….
Notice how we have Banks, followed by Jones, all with the aim of confusing the electorate.
To control all sides, you have to corrupt all involved…
Are we getting it yet!
Interesting article.
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Earth_water_cycle_intensifying_with_atmospheric_warming_999.html
This too.
http://www.salon.com/2012/05/24/my_break_with_the_extreme_right/singleton/
John Hansen – Asshole of the Week
While the dog whistle of terrorism reverberates around the empty skulls of racist bigots, a judge is meant to be free from such prejudices…
I think the only requirement is that they not make their bigotry so obvious. Not to mention their incompetence. The only question I have is how many drinks he’s been shouted at the Northern Club since his travesty of justice.
Um, just out of curiosity, how do you manage to get “the dog whistle of terrorism” from “But I regard it as highly relevant that the offending was not gang-related or associated with what I might call ‘conventional’ avenues of criminal activity. On the contrary, it occurred in pursuit of a worthy ideal and, perhaps most significantly, involved only a remote risk that it would lead to crimes of violence.”?
When you say the charges are unprecedented, what exactly are you comparing them too as I can’t recall any similar examples? If you compare it to the case of Bernard Shapiro in Christchurch, the judge held that “the offences were technical breaches in which Shapiro had exercised poor judgment, had been taken advantage of by a friend, and had relied on advice which proved to be not entirely accurate, from an arms dealer.” However, he was an a sole actor and had a clean record. Tame Iti had that previous weapons charge from 2005, which would have counted against him in sentencing. Ten firearms charges is not insignificant.
I’m not saying an investigation isn’t called for, but the ridiculous terrorism charges had already been dismissed so I fail to see the relevance to the current sentence. To harp on about the terrorism canard doesn’t help matters in the slightest. I have my doubts as to whether prison and not community service was the right option. I agree with Auckland University law professor Bill Hodge that “I think there was a serious issue there. You don’t demonstrate with molotov cocktails. On the other hand, was there overcharging, was there overkill, was that a sledgehammer? I think there’s an element of overkill.”
I wonder what you would be saying if it had been Kyle Chapman and mates running around with sawn-off rifles, semi-automatics and Molotov cocktails? Also defence lawyer Russell Fairbrother’s assertion “What Tuhoe do is their business. We’ve got to stop judging other people by our standards.” strikes me as patronising. It suggests that Maori belong in a category not responsible for their actions along with children and the mentally ill. Maori are modern people with modern lives in a modern world. Misuse of firearms is a serious issue and if someone had gotten hurt or killed because of a bunch of overgrown kids playing sillybuggers, we would be having a very different conversation. </end cathartic rant>
I’m comparing them to similar cases Populuxe1. For example where somebody is caught with Molotove cocktails and premeditation of a crime is proven but not undertaken, they recieve less than a year. Most offenses concerning unregistered firearms receive a warning.
So while Hansen says he thinks there’s only a remote risk that the training would lead to crimes of violence, he hands down a sentence that is completely disproportionate to that contention, leaving myself and many other commentators to think that he’s been listening to the dog whistle that continues to be promoted by the police.
Let’s take another example where Cameron Slater publishes material calling for somebody to be gut shot, is known to have a mental illness, weapons and a large cashe of ammunition… but the police don’t even bother to question the hate monger. Do you not see the disproportionate treatment certain people get over others?
You quote Bill Hodge who says that people don’t demonstrate with Molotov cocktails, however sometimes they do. In this case it’s spurious to say that the Urewera four were using Molotov cocktails at all. There is no clear evidence linking them to what the police claim were Molotov cocktails. These so-called “restricted weapons” were not even taken off private land were they?
You then make a link between what was occurring in the Urewera’s and what white supremacist groups undertake all the time. The disproportionate focus on Maori in comparison to white supremacists couldn’t be starker. It shows an endemic racism within not just the police force, but policy makers as well.
It does not! It suggest there is some truth to the argument that Tuhoe is a sovereign nation that has never signed its right over to invading forces. Where on earth you got “children and the mentally ill” from is what is patronizing. Fairbrother also raises the issue of what private land actually is. Now that a retrospective law change has allowed the police unfettered access to spy on people no matter where they are, his statement is even more pertinent.
I couldn’t agree more. In fact I’ve written extensively on the subject… but the point you seem incapable of fathoming is that nobody was hurt, the crowns case was largely based on speculation and the sentences handed down were unprecedented in such circumstances. There are serious grounds for an appeal here, and I wont be surprised when Hansen’s prejudiced decisions are overturned.
Seconded!
Mirror mirror on the wall?
Don’t look too closely jack-off
The judgement on Liu is like Scottish Law (a very good one)
“Not Proven”.
This is not over yet by a long way.
Those wise economy boffins in National have discovered a new revenue stream to fund the $150 million refurbishment of New Zealand House – link
Complaints against Waitangi column upheld
It’s interesting that the Herald also reports that their readership has increased dramatically, which is one of the main reasons they publish such articles. It causes a scandal and people therefore buy more papers and visit the Herald website more, which means they can sell more advertising… have you seen how much advertising is in the Herald these days?
Unless there are some real financial disincentives to promoting such racist claptrap, we will continue to see similar bigoted and inaccurate articles being published.
Nope, can’t say I have. Don’t get the paper version and I have Adblock to remove advertising.
Somebody was nice enough to work out the content of the Weekend Herald, which just won Newspaper of the Year…
Sat 19 May: Pages 30. Advertising 56%. Opinion 11%. News 26%. Other 7%.
That’s by centimetre columns I take it. Man that’s some work, credit to whoever did it 😀
I think that’s how Chris worked it out.
Sunday Star Times is the worst. I swear to god a few times I have found them to be almost entirely content free.
Lifestyle Creep; peoples lifestyles being led by MARKETEERS for PROFIT.
Committing people and families to PAYMENT PLANS and DEBT
DEBT
DEBT. Follows around like a bad smell.
An ongoing CASH-COW for the corporate level and WANNABEES elite.
THINKING STUDENTS reference to Foucaults analyses of POWER DISCIPLINE PUNISHMENT
EXCELLENT analysis and synthesis there.
Great Work.
Liberal Studies at unis being CUT first.
RODD CARR, what a small-minded man.
Axe any Philosophy courses that direct one away from Utilitarianism?
Watch the mass-produced cohorts of non-utility “professionals” and their addiction to credentialism flee with the neglected productive classes.
Paul Thomas seems like a poor historicist apologist shoeshine boy.
IF one is aged between 30 AND 47 years of age and existentially relaxed, they are most able to challenge and modify the values beliefs and attitudes of the OLDER GENERATION who could know better.
DAVID PARKER.Not growth, ASIAN INVESTMENT in INFRASTRUCTURE.
EMPLOYMENT, of greater value to a LABOUR representative. Or give the portfolio to That Cunliffe chap.
Rena disaster – who’s really to blame
The failed free-market ideology that National blindly follows and greedy multinational’s are just as much to blame as those hapless idiots Captain Mauro Balomaga and navigational officer Leonil Relon who piloted the MV Rena into the Astrolabe reef…
Short the dollar.
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL1205/S00176/sludge-report-197-short-the-dollar.htm
shed a tear for james gurley.
passed on monday.
Mr Smith. Very Helpful. U the bomb.
Joe 90; Groovy.