Written By:
James Henderson - Date published:
10:19 am, June 20th, 2012 - 60 comments
Categories: assets, election 2014, privatisation -
Tags:
The Nats’ latest defence of asset sales is ‘if Labour doesn’t say they’ll buy them back,then they secretly agree with the sales’.
Well, we would all like Labour to be able to make that commitment but, in the real world, that would be irresponsible (as irresponsible as, say, locking yourself into asset sales in the middle of a global economic crisis). The incoming government is going to have to know how the bad a situation the Nats are leaving the books in, the regulatory changes it intends to make to electricity (some of which could gut the value of the companies) and the state of the economy.
As for the suggestion that if you don’t reverse a policy, then you must love it – well, Bill, just ask the owner of the railways, the airline, and a bank who also provides Working for Families and interest-free student loans … he’s the man in the mirror.
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The problem is that this was yet another very crafty move by the Nat’s, likely (unfortunately) to register with people who do not trouble to think.
The correct answer to this nonsense is for Shearer to say, “Are you daring us to say this?”.
“You can’t unshit a bed. Bill English wants you to think that if you can’t unshit a bed, you are in favour of shitting the bed. He’s desperate, and his policy stinks.”
That’s bloody brilliant.
+1
When English shits the bed he just kicks it out with his foot, onto the heads of the plebs.
Dammit, PB, why aren’t you on his speechwriting staff?
No, the correct answer for Shearer is to say that they will be renationalised with no compensation.
Exactly right. A little bit of courage would go a long way.
Could you just spell out what makes it irresponsible for Labour to make that promise?
– They don’t have to be held to doing it in a single term
– The policy would immediately depress the share value of the company, without interrupting the divident flow
– It is of course completely consistent with Labour’s Constitution
– It immediately aligns the Opposition and gives Labour clearer coalition options
– It would probably quickly depress the NZ Dollar – not all bad
– Could be done in part with the NZSuper 40% local investment requirement, EQC fund, and ACC fund, with a bit of legislative stick where required
I think those are some of the sources the Nats are hoping to buy 10% parcels of the assets anyway. In part the asset sales are a way of raiding the pots of public money the government can’t otherwise get their grubby mitts on.
Agreed.
I guess my main motivation for keeping the assets within public ands entirely is that we are such a small country and without a reaonsbly strong state the entire idea of New Zealand as a country will start to dissolve. This dissolution would affect New Zealand in:
– dividend capacity
– emergency command-and-control capacity
– equity to raise public loans
– exposure to the insecurity of the sharemarket
– ability to control other than through (our often weak) regulators, and
– as major innovators who do indeed burn through cash for projects that would in otherwise commercial terms not bother with that degree of R&D.
Prime Ministers Holyoake and Muldoon would have been fine with that nation-building and nation-security stuff. These current guys are just too commercial for me.
I don’t see any problem with the opposition putting the stake in the ground on buying back what’s sold without compensation.
Plenty of ‘get outs’ once they get in as the NACT have BS’d their way through nearly 4 years so lord knows the true state of our nation with the highly paid consultants keeping the treasury etc in line.
How many broken promises has Key made, time to play them at their own game and put some real heat on the MP/UF jellybacks.
It’s not irresponsible, in fact, it’s more than a bit gutless not to make that statement publicly. Labour did it with ACC in 1999 before the election (a slightly different situation albeit).
It’s precisely Labour’s lack of conviction on asset sales, and its capitulation to the market on this issue that is probably behind its lacklustre response.
You simply have to say categorically:
“We will renationalise these assets at the price of sale, minus costs”.
People get their money back, but the sale price is instantly driven down to a point whereby the sale becomes untenable for National to continue with.
The beauty of the policy is that it never has to be enacted.
Peter
“The beauty of the policy is that it never has to be enacted.”
And seriously makes international and domestic business scared of any Labour government that comes to power. Which, on balance, is actually not a good thing. It might also violate international trade agreements we’ve signed up to.
“It might also violate international trade agreements we’ve signed up to.”
Which is why trade agreements are generally not worth the forests that get cut down to write them. Countries lose their sovereign right to determine their future and Industry smiles all the way to the Banks that gave then the cash to do the deal. Banks, that let’s face it, are the ones who really want countries to lose their auto-determination.
mmm didn’t David Rockefeller say words to that affect?
“The supranational sovereignty of an intellectual elite
and world bankers is surely preferable to the national
auto-determination practiced in past centuries.”
This cuts to the heart of what I’m getting at – why is Labour so afraid of doing something more than just tinkering with market mechanisms, of doing something more than just having a kinder hand on the throttle and tiller (even assuming that the mechanisms are still connected to the engine?)
One thing I have noticed (since I left the NZLP after 10+ years of hard core involvement) and decided to start up my own business, is that tories don’t think like that. Aside from not wanting to piss off their elite support base too much, they seem to have retained their ability to lead without the same fear that seems to cripple Labour leaders. National governments will therefore, take massive steps to intervene in markets, as this one has, albeit interventions that result in large transfers of wealth to their elite.
Instead Labour seems to be very good at coming up with excuses about why it can’t make similar hard decisions. It always seems to be afraid of something or someone else, generally unelected jumping in and rolling back the policy. It wasn’t always like this.
I do wonder if the root of the problem is that Labour cannot confront the fact that it’s just as neoliberal as the rest of them, and it knows that neoliberal responses aren’t working. Or, Labour now knows, deep down, it is clinging to a model of the world that no longer makes much sense, and it won’t acknowledge it, out of fear that the new model will hand far too much over to the Greens?
(I think there is a new political model of the world that is in keeping with the old Labour traditions that doesn’t hand it over to the Greens)
Honestly, to hell with an international trade agreement if it prevents NZ from being in charge of its own energy resources. Without energy, there is no economy, and if Labour is silly enough to allow someone else to be in charge of that destiny, when it has a policy response at its disposal that might stop it then is it really any different to National?
Above all, it’s the fact that Labour currently possesses a policy weapon that could stop it, and IT WONT use it, that pisses me off so much.
Actually, it is a Good Thing. People should not be afraid of their governments but businesses should be afraid of pissing off the people and thus having the government come down on them like tonne of bricks.
It’s called sovereignty
Could somebody ‘in the loop’ with labour please explain why they cannot carry out a buy-back? If it is signalled well in advance then it is fine. The market simply doesn’t like rules being changed partway through, so just make the rules clear at the start.
So, why not?
What are the reasons?
.
There’s this little thing called TPP – see, once National Ltd™ flogs off our electricity supply, we can’t buy it back without paying waaaaaaay over the odds in compensation to the corporates for loss of potential profit. Its a rigged WIN/LOSE table in the South Pacific corner of the international money changers’ casino being run by the 1%.
Repeal the offending sections of that odious incompetence too.
+1
Start at “The” on title page 1
and continue deleting until you hit the end of last page of the appendixes
.
Perhaps youse didn’t get the memo. Our government can’t just change the law . . .
http://tpplegal.wordpress.com/open-letter/
Thanks National Ltd™ – I’m lovin’ it.
“Perhaps youse didn’t get the memo. Our government can’t just change the law . . ”
Is that so? I think they can in fact. They do it all the time. You think a trade agreement is sacred or protected in some way?
.
As it happens, contracts entered into under the TPP are protected – have a read of the Open Letter and get back to me.
On Think Tank last weekend Professor Jane Kelsey stated that South Korea have a similar kind of TPP. And they are talking about renegotiating the deal and deleting the clauses that allow private companies to sue!! It’s pretty suspect when Tim Groser says he hasn’t even seen what has been written into the contract yet. Even more suspicious that the public won’t be able to know what the Nacts have signed NZ up to for four years!! Why, if it’s so good for NZ? Anyone know any more?
Labour’s current priority is to stop the sales, if it all possible. That’s the immediate focus. There was, however, considerable support at the recent round of regional meetings to immediately return the stolen goods to public ownership when we lead the next Government and I would be very surprised if that is not Labour’s position going into the next election. We may find Shearer saying aas much in the next few days anywaym as Winston seems to have put it firmly on the agenda.
As I commented earlier, I will be pushing for any compensation to be at the lowest price (either at IPO or lower if the share price drops). And paid over a number of years, so the NZ people get a clear financial advantage out of the re-nationalisation process. Which was something we could not do with Kiwirail and Air NZ, unfortunately.
That’s the natural tactical position. But tactics isn’t enough.
“In the next few days” is too late for a debate being covered high on the TV news every day right now. Labour have had plenty of time to firm up their policy position.
To be actually in the hot legislative debate without sharp policy soundbites is to hand everyone else a political gift.
This is good, yes, but why wait for Winston to put it on the agenda. It reeks of decisions by focus group, or the reactive decision-making that Ministers make in their final term in office.
I’ve often thought that Labour’s issue in terms of leadership is that we/they (I don’t see myself as part of the party any more) select highly competent public servants to be MPs. In other words, kind, loyal, caring, and intelligent people, far better than the tories. But the flaw, the fatal flaw, is that most of them see themselves as administrators of the state, rather than leaders. There is a lack of belief in the power of ideas and agenda-setting – they wait for someone else to take the initiative, and then if there’s enough support, they implement it competently.
Right now we need more than that. We need leadership. If Shearer came out tomorrow and announced such a policy, I reckon you’d see a 5 point jump in Labour’s polling. This is a message from the provinces too, well beyond the Beltway.
Peter
BS, they could stop the sales by saying that they will be re-nationalised without compensation. They’re not doing that though.
A thought occurs to me that a Labour government could set up a single wholesaler for electricity, creating a Monopsony. We already have a successful model for this in New Zealand with Pharmac. Competing power companies would have a greater incentive to undercut each other.
We had this system once upon a time. It was called the Electricity Department, and then, the Electricity Corporation of NZ. It had a single price setting policy that applied, with regional differences, to all of New Zealand. You didn’t need at least six generators, umpteen lines companies, and some shell companies such as Powershop all with marketing and admin staff to support in order to set reasonable and fair pricing for power. I think it was done with a staff of less than 10.
Yes, it wasn’t perfect, but in aiming for perfection, what we’ve created is something far worse – a disintegrated and fragmented electricity system with artificial separations forced by law. Electricity is a natural monopoly, we cannot get away from that, so rather than trying to bend nature, it’s easier to just place it under strong central and regional governance.
And hey, we’ve recreated the local power board…
+1
My policy is actually to extend the role of the power board to all aspects of local energy use, by calling them Energy Boards, and giving them oversight of regions or sub-regions.
I would like to see the next government undertake aggressive legislative change to undo some of the damage that National has caused over the last few years. I would also like to see a special department that works closely with the serious fraud office set up to investigate Nacts corrupt practices. There should be a number of prosecutions.
I have been saying it for weeks.
Labour can kill this bill in its tracks by announcing this very policy. Who will invest in a copany that is guaranteed to be nationalised in 2 years time. Absolutley nobody.
Labour grow some fucking balls. This silly referendum wont stop the Nats. A firm policy anouncement will stop people investing in them though.
Actually, just saying that it will be renationalised will result in everybody trying to buy it as it would effectively be a guaranteed super-profit for the buyers. To stop the sale it must renationalised without compensation – not even the purchase price returned.
Labour’s buy back of NZ rail cost a fortune:
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/456672/Rail-buy-back-cost-nears-1-5b
Anything is possible if you are willing to pay a premium and spend more than you earned in the first place.
In other words buy backs are ridiculously expensive and bad economics.
That depends on the kind of signals you send to the market beforehand.
Labour’s sale of NZRail in the first place told the market that they would pay over the odds. And I agree with you they did.
But sending a signal that they would buy them back over time, and regulate the ass off them, and define New Zealand ownership of those shares, immediately discounts the price. In fact it would freak prospective buyers right out, unless they were New Zealand domiciled.
Winston and the Grens are already making market signals on this already – if Labour did the same, any prospective investor knows they are taking an almightly gamble on the next election that National will get back in.
But without that signal from Labour, forming a united Oppostion position, the market can’t see that risk so starkly.
Pretty chilling looking at today’s Balance of Payments foreign ownership cash going out the window.
Clearly Labour will not make such a promise. They surely will have more important things to do when they are in Govt, rather than spend money trying to undo the past – and for what purpose. New govts try and look forward, not back. Mr Shearer seems much more interested in spending scarce govt money on promoting innovation, which he can argue is intended to increase growth and opportunity. How would simply changing shareholders from private owners to the state do this?
I am amused by the view that Labour could nationalise without compensation. You must have missed the last 70 years of Labour in govt and opposition. Much less the damage it would do to New Zealands reputation of having responsible govt. But in truth I am sure you know that.
Interestingly enough, by allowing NZ to have enough resources to do the R&D (not that growth is sustainable of course but R&D is still needed).
Just because it hasn’t been done before doesn’t mean that it can’t happen in the future and in NZ, parliament is supreme.
Personally, I don’t really care about how the banksters rate NZ.
Wayne
We’re talking about crucial infrastructure Wayne, which has to continue to function now and in the future.
The problem is that the short term profit motive means that not enough will be reinvested and there could even be some asset stripping. That’s what happened with the rail which Labour had to purchase back, otherwise the network would be next to useless by now.
Today, the National led government voted against amendments to the Mixed Ownership Model Bill that would have prevented asset stripping… I wonder why?
Because they know damn well that it’s going to happen as it’s an easy way for the new private owners to realise a profit and after it’s been done the government will have to then put in massive investment which will allow the private sector even more profits. Exactly as what happened with both rail and Telecom.
National has never said why they want to sell them in the first place.
It looks increasingly like its just a payoff to their pals in the sharemarket and those that can afford to buy and stag the shares.
This government just gets crummier and crummier.
.
Nope. It was crummy way back when John Key was being groomed to manage this and the other transactions coming down the pipeline.
Bill English spent his full time after Question Time today, mocking Labour by challenging them to declare that they would buy back the sold shares. Bill doesn’t do funny very well. Just sounds sneering.
Bill does nothing well!
#JamesHenderson
There is nothing irresponsible about warning prospective investors that a forced buy-back capped at purchase price is a possible/likely occurrence.
Your approach, and that of the Labour leadership, is weak and unnecessary. Where are their cojones? This is not strong leadership.
–
NZ First just issue the following press release:
NZ FIRST COMMITTED TO BUYING BACK STATE-OWNED ASSETS
New Zealand First will use its influence on the next coalition Government to buy back our state-owned power companies which are being flogged off by National.
Rt Hon Winston Peters says New Zealand First is committed to buying back the shares at no greater price than paid by the first purchaser.
“State-owned assets rightfully belong to all New Zealanders but National is intent on handing them over to rich foreign investors.
“It is simply lining the pockets of the wealthy by selling off well-performing assets that already provide the Government with extremely healthy dividends.”
Mr Peters says it is only fair to alert potential investors that New Zealand First’s intention to buy back the shares will be part of any coalition negotiations.
“As things stand now, the assets will end up in foreign ownership which is an outright attack on our sovereignty. We are committed to repelling that attack.”
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA1206/S00276/nz-first-committed-to-buying-back-state-owned-assets.htm
This makes absolutely no logical sense. How exactly would it be “irresponsible” in the “real world” for Labour to show some chutzpah and come out against what is a vastly unpopular policy. It can only win them votes. If Labour at the very least protests asset sales, that will only either further encourage National to halt its plans, or it will get voted in in 2014. Best case scenario they can categorically state that assets will be renationalised with a small symbolic compensation. Labour’s job is to prevent the situation getting bad in the first place, or doing it’s best to reverse the damage. Otherwise Labour are just cowards, plain and simple.
Nationals backers wld love if labour bought them back. Imagine how much they will have miraculously escalated in value in two years yielding a splendidly high and quick profit to those who bought.
Oh no tracey, you misunderstand. The proposal is to buy them at the initial sale price or less, minus costs.
(Which I think is far too kind btw)
The Greens and the Winston Party have said they will renationalise these companies sold.
The Greens will then try and shut them down totally as against their religion.
It seems to be overlooked again that the Government – whoever they are, have 51% of the shares which says that the 49% have NO CONTROL over them whatsoever.
No, that hasn’t been overlooked, doofus. It’s been ignored because its not true. Minority shareholders have rights and influence. You need to learn a bit about how shares, shareholders and boards work before you comment again, because you are embarrassing yourself.
It goes faster and deeper than that too.
Even at 100% ownership, Auckland Council didn’t act hard and fast on the Ports of Auckland dispute. But at least there were citizens to shout at them loud and hard.
Soon as there’s more than one shareholder to consult with, the Executive can divide and rule as well. Witness how nothing ever got done with Watercare other than Business As Usual when there were 6 Local Councils holding all the shares.
Granted public entities can have more emotional shareholders than most.
Lose just 5%, and you have to hold a Shareholder meeting to really adjust the course of things. Public don’t have to be invited as it is now a private company. Actual accountability drastically weakens.
For entities the scale of Genesis, altering the corporate direction becomes much more cumbersome. Management keeps going on their course, pays more attention to regulators to adjust prices than pay attention to their owners, and otherwise can put their feet on the desk. Almost.
Losing 100% ownership to anything lower is a massive governance and accountability loss. It’s a private company, with a public holding.
Labour give the appearance of a bunch of gutless fools who think that by saying nothing they won’t offend too many people, when, in reality, they offend everyone. If they don’t make up their minds pretty damn quick, and state exactly where they stand in the NZ scenario, they will continue to bleed supporters.
That’s assuming they haven’t already stated where they stand, as “Key Lite”, in more and more peoples minds!
My mates, relations and I have long gone, and, on Labour’s current performance (apart from a few glimmers of suppressed light) won’t be coming back any time soon!
Is it cynical to point out that the polls seem to have been tracking pretty well for Labour’s direction since November 2011?
You are assuming that it must be because Labour is doing something right. It’s probably more likely because people are turning against national, rather than any changes than Labour has made to its policies.
Voting for the least bad of the big two is not qhat I call motivational.
Reading this blog you have to conclude that no ‘Govt’ has done a worthy job of running our public assets….and MMP has now made the outcomes even worse for the long suffering ‘public’…..thank goodness for Muldoon and his (think) BIG call on building the infrastructure he did put in place…because without it we would be truely a bunch of low speed pacific islanders….SO Cullen’s purchase of TransRail justifies the fact that NO politician should be in charge of spending (wasting) our hard earned tax dollars. Look at the numbers in that SoE now and the cold hard cash being tipped down that black hole!! And the same politically driven agenda for when AirNZ needs more cash as well as KiwiBank and NZPost. NZ WAKE up!! We have tax revenues topping out at $54B per annum and expenditure at $70B. Public DEBT will top out at close to $70B this cycle. Unless we manage ourselves a lot smarter then we will be facing the abys that Europe is now……I don’t fancy we will; and we have a European ‘system’ that will continually deliver 120 dickheads every 3 years into Wellington ….I need to go for a walk…..