What will the next Labour caucus look like?

Written By: - Date published: 1:32 pm, August 18th, 2017 - 74 comments
Categories: democratic participation, election 2017, greens, labour, national, same old national - Tags:

Early days I know but barring a disaster it looks like Labour is going to have a fresh surge of talent make their way into Parliament soon.

I am sure the Greens will bounce back from their current polling.  I thought that Matthew Hooton and others were crazy in predicting that the Greens may not be in Parliament after the election.  Then I heard the rumours of National’s overnight polling and I became aware that something significant was happening.  Hooton and co were not predicting it, they were reporting what the polling was discovering and making it sound like their predictions.

This is a feature of the right in New Zealand politics and why they have had such an advantage for so long.  Through vastly superior resources they are able to look deep into New Zealand’s psyche.  This is why John Key always seemed so in tune with dominant views and beliefs and why he was so confident in the positions he took.  His pollsters were telling him what the dominant views were.  And this is why during any time of a crisis and quickly changing events National looked stranded, not knowing which way to turn to retain popularity.

The MMP dynamic is now changing.  Instead of being part of a potentially deeply unstable multi party arrangement Labour can now appear to voters to be a party that can hold significant sway in its own right.  Those rowing boat ads are not going to be repeated.

I agree that the combined left vote at 41% has not moved.  But the prospect of soft National votes heading Labour’s way area is now much greater.

And instead of MPs feeling threatened and consciously or subconsciously prioritising the candidate vote all effort can now be put into the party vote.

So who are the potential new MPs?  Using Patrick Leyland’s seat calculator I would predict that Labour is very likely, if current polling continues, to retain all of its seats with the possible exception of Napier, pick up Auckland Central, Ohariu, Christchurch Central, Waiariki, Maungakiekie and Waimakariri.  And Papakura where Labour has an outstanding young candidate in Jesse Pabla could turn red.  See you later Judith. There is a reasonable chance that Helen White, Greg O’Connor, Duncan Webb, Tamati Coffey, Priyanca Radhakrishnan and Dan Rosewarne may all soon be electorate MPs.

Deborah Russell will win comfortably in New Lynn and bring some very helpful intellectual firepower to taxation and economic issues.

This would result in Labour gaining 14 list MPs if the Colmar Brunton result reflects what happens at the election.

I wrote this earlier post more in hope than in expectation.  But with 14 List MPs Willow Jean Prime will be in Parliament, as will Marja Lubeck, and Anahila Suisuiki will be right on the cusp.  Other talented potential list MPs include Liz Craig, Kiri Allan, Jo Luxton and Jamie Strange.

Expect National to go all out to kill the Green Party.  The Greens getting 4% of the vote will in net terms provide National with a 2% swing and this would likely be an election result changer.

But no matter what it looks like Labour will be getting some much needed rejuvenation.

 

74 comments on “What will the next Labour caucus look like?”

  1. Takere 1

    More Neoliberalism or less?

    New Boss just like the old Boss?
    No end to;

    The Housing Crisis,
    Homelessness Crisis,
    Poverty Crisis,
    Health system Crisis,
    Environmental Crisis,
    Infrastructure Crisis.

    Just more of the same, incrementalism?

    • SpaceMonkey 1.1

      Kind of what I am thinking too. Nothing remarkable happening here… still on course for the slow slide into oblivion.

    • ankerawshark 1.2

      Takere, more neo liberalism under National…………So its your choice who/what you vote for.

      • Siobhan 1.2.1

        your ‘choice’ between neoliberalism or more neoliberalism….hmmm….and they wonder why so many don’t vote…but yeah, as a voter we can tweak things with our vote for the smaller Partys…maybe take a leap of faith and hope the Greens are still willing to walk the talk on fighting poverty.

  2. Tracey 2

    There were times Key waited more than 24 to comment on sone things. I often wondered if he was waiting for polling so he knew what to “think”. I wonder how Bill enjoyed his intensive media train8ng last week? I assume that is why he disappeared for a few days and we got Karl Rove? Sorry Steven Joyce.

  3. red-blooded 3

    I agree that there’s plenty of intellectual firepower on the Labour list and some bloody strong candidates in winnable seats. We can thank Andrew Little and his team for putting a considerable effort into compiling such an impressive and diverse list. He’s been a great organiser, and now we have a great communicator with strong political instincts fronting things we’re reaping the benefit of all that hard work.

  4. Ad 4

    OMG Mickey bit early.

  5. Michael 5

    “Expect National to go all out to kill the Green Party.” Expect National-lite to do the same.

    • SpaceMonkey 5.1

      They would be nuts to do that. NZ needs a Labour-led Government not a Labour Government, otherwise Labour will eventually run into the same problem as National are now – no friends left of any significance to help shore up their voting block.

      • They would be nuts to do that.

        Of course they would – but they keep doing it any way.

        no friends left of any significance to help shore up their voting block.

        When that happens they can go into a grand coalition with National.

    • dukeofurl 5.2

      The Greens have been doing their own self destruction recently.

    • McFlock 5.3

      Nah.

      Even if you want to be completely cynical, Labour don’t want to be beholden to NZ1, they want to be the ones granting favours, not the minor party. So they want to be able to choose between NZ1 or the Greens as coalition partners.

      Gives them more leverage.

      • Dspare 5.3.1

        McFlock
        Or even better (from Labour’s perspective) would be to have at least a confidence and supply agreement with both NZF and the GP. So that it can muster support for legislation from the other, if one party won’t back a given law (possibly with support from minor parties). Labour 41% NAt 39% with NZF 10% and GP 8% + 2% Māori/ MANA would be enough to manage that.

  6. ScottGN 6

    Mickey what makes you think Stuart Nash might lose Napier?

    • mickysavage 6.1

      I think it could be touch and go. He won last time in large part because the vote was split by the sensible sentencing trust candidate and I don’t understand they will stand someone this time. Having said that and even though politically I don’t agree with him on a lot of matters he is a good campaigner.

      • ScottGN 6.1.1

        He won’t be facing one of Kel Tremain’s sons though this time…

        • Ad 6.1.1.1

          David Elliott the National candidate is a pilot for Cathay Pacific.

          There’s only a few half-days in any week that he will be in Napier to campaign at all.

          Stuart Nash is the on-ground guy who still stands the best chance of taking the seat.

          This is the year that the tide goes out on the Nats, inside 3 weeks.

          This is Bill English’s proper burial.

          • the pigman 6.1.1.1.1

            With Nash in Napier, the Nats don’t need to run a candidate.

            Remember what a fan Nash is of the Left? Especially its online activists?

            He may have pedigree, but he ain’t Labour.

    • DoublePlusGood 6.2

      Napier is a little bit too much of a long-shot for a Labour candidate at this time.

      • Jenny Kirk 6.2.1

        Napier used to be a long-time Labour-held seat. If the tide is turning against the Nats, isn’t this reason enough to think Stuart Nash will retain the seat.

        • Sumsuch 6.2.1.1

          Forestry needs Nash more than us.

          I can imagine him every night shampooing the needles out his hair. Glorious hair, forgot to mention.

          Have nothing to object to my former school-mate, the kindest among a mess of self-centered , spoiled twots. It’s just his conceptions I hate. With venom.

    • Siobhan 6.3

      Nationals David Elliott has Zero profile down here, and any soft National voter could easily vote for Nash with a clear conscience, his politics are strictly middle of the road, pro orchardist, with a nice line in ‘tough on criminals’ and no ‘downer’ commie loving messaging about poor people and housing…he’ll be fine.
      That being said, the Good People of Havelock North are probably going to vote for someone who literally made them sick, so there is no underestimating the determination of National Party voters.

  7. The gnats won’t go all out to kill off the Greens imo – why would they? there is no advantage for them – no they will have to attack around the edges of labour – try to pick off a weak labour MP – one who talks too much or is too interested in what they think and seeing it on the news – and just like a weaker member of the herd the gnats will pack on them and try to bring them down (by highlighting shit they have said, done or about to say/do) and thus undercut labour.

    • mickysavage 7.1

      If the Greens get 4% and don’t make it their vote effectively gets halved between the left and the right.

      • marty mars 7.1.1

        if this then that means nothing unless you agree with the pollsters and think the Greens are going down the drain – is that what you think?

        I like that labour have finally found their courage and guts – for too long they have traipsed around like beaten dogs. Now the Greens will rebuild out of the limelight and be ready to help if needed.

        I hope labour don’t lose their own plot – and believe their own bullshit and begin to think they have actually done something to deserve this big upswing – the leader changed and night turned into day – and then turn on the Greens – I would be unhappy if they did that.

    • Ad 7.2

      If that entire Green vote is under 5% and therefore redistributed, National do pretty well out of it.

      A vote for the Greens is now a vote for a National government because NZFirst will not go in with Labour if it depends on the Greens.

      P=Some will still vote Green with their hearts – and it would be great if they weren’t out the back door completely – but most of the change we are seeing now is unstoppable because is rewarding charisma on television.

      • weka 7.2.1

        A vote for the Greens is a vote for National?

        One good thing about this election is it’s making it obvious which side people are on.

      • Carolyn_nth 7.2.2

        head and heart, mate. And your comment is bereft of both – and bereft of any recognisable left or labour movement values.

        So great that a lot of people will not heed your advice.

      • The Lone Haranguer 7.2.3

        No. A vote for National or Act is a vote for National. A vote for anyone else is a vote for change.

        I have no doubt that the Greens will exceed the 5%, probably by a solid margin, but I have huge doubts about whether they will make cabinet given Winston in the other corner.

        Labour/NZF have shut them out before and I dont doubt they are capable of doing it again.

        Im starting to really enjoy the drama of this election.

      • BM 7.2.4

        Jesus, you’re at of a fairweather friend there Ad.

        Burning your bridges is a very poor long-term strategy.

    • weka 7.3

      The right are going hard out to kill off the Greens. Some of that is about lessening Labour’s chances of governing, some of it is to take down any chance of NZ moving left.

      • marty mars 7.3.1

        the right want power and kicking the Greens when down won’t give it to them – sure they’ll get their bully boys to keep the pressure on BUT the real target will be Labour imo. And the Greens will withstand this easily and become stronger for it.

    • McFlock 7.4

      If Labour get over 40% and the greens are out/barely in, then NZ1 is kingmaker and the nats can bribe him. They can’t bribe the greens.

      The nat worst case is if Lab can go with either the greens or nz1 – the nats are out.

      If Lab can govern only with NZ1, or even better need NZ1 to work with the greens to get confidence, then the nats have a chance.

      So hit the greens, then work on Labour.

      • marty mars 7.4.1

        well it seems my mind is not devious enough – I hope you are wrong

        • McFlock 7.4.1.1

          Thing is, it gets to diminishing returns, even counterproductive.
          I wouldn’t be happy as a green strategist, but I wouldn’t be shitting bricks, either.

          With the nats looking weak, though, I wouldn’t be surprised if the tories have a middle-campaign collapse.

          edit: Wanna get devious? Yes Minister box sets 😉

          • Ad 7.4.1.1.1

            I see that.

            English will need to be outstanding against Ardern. I don’t see it.

            Best retire the Yes Minister, skip West Wing, and go straight to Borgen.
            We need the Greens in there to counterweight New Zealand First.

            Sometimes I have dreams about Genter v Peters in Cabinet. She would win on facts, he would win on guile.

            • McFlock 7.4.1.1.1.1

              Trouble with Cabinet is collective responsibility. The most interesting battles we’ve never heard of.

  8. Et Tu Brute 8

    To decide which Labour MPs will take which cabinet seats, first decide what they’ll trade with Winston Peters? I assume he’ll want DPM role, though I don’t see him playing second fiddle very comfortably. Maybe finance minister? Or is that beneath him? He’ll want to be in the top three somewhere. Could try and get a senior NZ First MP into senior cabinet position as well. Shane Jones for foreign affairs and trade? Ron Smith for defense?

    • Carolyn_nth 8.1

      Shane Jones? Please, just, NO. And to think Labour might get him instead of Turei?

      Jones self-serving rorting of tax payer funding was far worse than anything Turei has done.

      • Et Tu Brute 8.1.1

        I didn’t say we had to like the outcome. Just what is likely. To form a government Labour will have to do a deal (as will National) and that will involve giving NZ First senior position(s).

    • dukeofurl 8.2

      DPM role is filled by the PM, thats why its called that.

      Peters isnt going to be PM

      • Et Tu Brute 8.2.1

        What are you on about DPM role is as up for negotiation as any other role. Hey, he could even ask for the PM’s office (not that he’d get it).

      • lurgee 8.2.2

        I imagine National will have worked out what they will offer Winston, in a whole range of situations.

        • Stuart Munro 8.2.2.1

          Their strategists may have – the Gnats themselves don’t do forward thinking – why the country’s such a mess.

        • rod 8.2.2.2

          National won’t have to offer Winston anything, He will go with National. He is a dyed in the wool Tory, always was, and always will be. End ov.

  9. Carolyn_nth 9

    How many GP MPs would there be with 6-8% of the party vote?

    • Karen 9.1

      Depends a bit on overlaps but they would get 7 or 8 with 6% and between 9 and 10 with 8%. If they get over 9% Jack McDonald makes it which will be excellent – but I am hoping that they do even better. I think this bad poll will actually motivate wavering Green voters.

      • Carolyn_nth 9.1.1

        Thanks. I was wanting to see if Jack McDonald will make it. A target to aim for.

        Current list to #15:

        James Shaw (Wellington Central)
        ​Marama Davidson (Tamaki Makaurau)
        Julie Anne Genter (Mt Albert)
        ​Eugenie Sage (Port Hills)
        Gareth Hughes (East Coast)
        Jan Logie (Mana)
        Chlöe Swarbrick (Maungakiekie)
        #8: Golriz Ghahraman (Te Atatu)
        Mojo Mathers (Rangitata)
        Barry Coates (Epsom)
        #11: Jack McDonald (Te Tai Hauauru)
        John Hart (Wairarapa)
        Denise Roche (Auckland Central)
        Hayley Holt (Helensville)
        Teall Crossen (Rongotai)

        • Ad 9.1.1.1

          Top 7 look solid.

        • Dspare 9.1.1.2

          Carolyn_nth
          My rule of thumb is; 12 seats per 10% of the vote (because 120 nominal seat parliament), plus 1 for redistributed vote from minor parties that fail to make it over the line (eg the ALCP, and hopefully; Untied History). On that basis, I make it 8.3% needed to get 11 GP MPs in.

  10. lurgee 10

    This is a feature of the right in New Zealand politics and why they have had such an advantage for so long. Through vastly superior resources they are able to look deep into New Zealand’s psyche. This is why John Key always seemed so in tune with dominant views and beliefs and why he was so confident in the positions he took. His pollsters were telling him what the dominant views were.

    Alternately, he might just be quite good at reading people and sensing what they want to hear.

    Unlike some, stuck in the echo chamber, convinced that David Cunliffe was the answer to any question worth asking.

    • greywarshark 10.1

      Yes I never did hear that muffled question much less the answer. Are you sure you did?

      • Dspare 10.1.1

        greywarshark
        The question was; who would make a better leader of Labour than Captain Mumblefuck? The answer was; not Jones or Robertson.

      • lurgee 10.1.2

        I’m pretty sure I remember many hereabouts proclaiming him better than the Messiah and sliced bread. And heroically predicting everything was awesome (just give him six more months!) and that the polls were wrong.

        I even recall there were some people dreaming about him saying on as shadow finance minister after he quit the leadership. That’s the level of delusion we’ve got here.

        It is relevant (but cruel) to observe that Cunliffe did manage to poll 37% immediately after his election. Maybe swapping out Little for Ardern right before the election will prove to be a masterstroke, leaving no time for people to become disenchanted.

    • Stuart Munro 10.2

      “why John Key always seemed so in tune with dominant views and beliefs”

      May have had something to do with suborning the media so they didn’t reveal his essential banality.

      • BM 10.2.1

        You have no idea how politics or the media works.

        Jacinda knows Key knows, you haven’t got a fucking clue which I put down to you being pompous old wanker who’s head is far up its arse you can tongue tickle your tonsils

        • lurgee 10.2.1.1

          I say, old chap. Don’t hold back. Tell us what you REALLY think.

        • Stuart Munro 10.2.1.2

          Enlighten us then, oh messenger of the gods of far-right nutjobbery whose party is somehow polling less than the margin of error 😀

        • gnomic 10.2.1.3

          Get help for the mental illness. Or find a way to stop wasting oxygen and degrading society.

  11. mauī 11

    Woah, plenty of good nuggets of info there Micky. Enjoyed that.

    Can’t wait to see Deborah Russell on the tv news regularly and it would be good to see some more of Iain Lees-Galloway. I don’t know much about the other Labourites unfortunately.

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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Not as important as they think they are
    Farmers have been whining a lot lately, about the methane targets in the Zero Carbon Bill, about Canterbury's proposed nitrogen limits, and about the government's new proposals to stop them from shitting in our lakes and rivers. These policies are "throwing farmers under the tractor", they will force farmers off ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Behind Every Good Woman Should Stand – Another Good Woman.
    Alone, Alone, All, All, Alone: To argue that the Prime Minister is the victim of her advisers’ failure to keep her informed may offer Jacinda some measure of exoneration – but only at the cost of casting her as a hopeless political ingénue. A star-dusted muppet, whose only purpose is to ...
    6 days ago
  • Poor quality, poorly educated kiddie ‘Journalists’ spreading fake news
    In times of hysteria about the “World coming to an end” and “rising sea levels” so-called ‘Journalists’ who can barely spell words longer than four letters are having a ball! Though the majority of the Public have worked out that manmade climate change is nothing short of pseudo-science, and the ...
    An average kiwiBy admin@averagekiwi.com
    6 days ago
  • Chris Trotter on the BFD
    I don't want to give pblicity to certain parts of the internet that are better left to fester in their own irrelevance (I know, a bit like this place) but the listing of Chris Trotter as a 'author' on Cameron Slater's spinoff website, the BFD requires some explanation.Now, I don't ...
    7 days ago
  • Sex is not a spectrum
    The text below is a Twitter thread by Heather Heying that explains the essence of sexual reproduction and it long evolutionary history. She is an evolutionary biologist and a “professor-in-exile” after she and her husband, Bret Weinstein, stood up to supporters of an enforced “Day of Absence” for white staff and teachers ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    7 days ago
  • Climate Change: Trees, aviation, and offsets
    With crunch time for new Zealand climate policy approaching, most of the New Zealand media have got on board with a global reporting effort to cover the issue. There's one strand of stories today about polling and what it shows about changing public attitudes to the crisis, but the strand ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Pissing-Off The Israelis Is A High-Risk Strategy.
    Dangerous Foes: For those readers of Bowalley Road who feel disposed to dismiss any prospect of an Israeli destabilisation of New Zealand politics, the example of the United Kingdom repays close attention. Ever since the election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the British Labour Party, the Israelis have sanctioned, funded and ...
    1 week ago
  • Something to go to in Wellington
    Make It 16, the youth-led campaign to lower New Zealand's voting age, is holding an official campaign launch at Parliament this Friday from 16:30. If you'd like to attend, you can register using EventBrite here. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A founding member responds to Peace Action Wellington
    by Don Franks It was a lovely sunny Wellington afternoon with blue skies above  the beaches.  In Courtenay Place, political activists packed out a stuffy upstairs room for an important meeting. The assembled pacifists, anarchists, communists and independent young radicals of Peace Action Wellington felt the need for a mission ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • “Mistakes and errors”
    Current and former NZDF top brass are being publicly grilled this week by the hit and run inquiry over their public responses to allegations of civilian casualties. Previously, they've claimed there were no casualties, a position which led them to lie to Ministers and to the public. Now, they're saying ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • “Homosexuality is same-sex attraction and relationships, not heterosexuals with delusions of gende...
    by Rafael D. Quiles (gender-critical gay man from Puerto Rico) The writing on the wall is right in people’s faces and people just don’t see it or don’t want to. What could actually possess a heterosexual male to want to feminize himself and claim that he is a lesbian? Because ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Trump: “Where’s my favourite dictator?”
    From the Wall Street Journal:Inside a room of the ornately decorated Hotel du Palais during last month’s Group of Seven summit in Biarritz, France, President Trump awaited a meeting with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi. Mr. Trump looked over a gathering of American and Egyptian officials and called out in ...
    1 week ago
  • Magdalen Burns, 1983-2019, fighter for women’s liberation
    by the Redline blog collective At Redline we are very saddened to hear of the death of Magdalen Burns who passed away on the morning of Friday, September 13 (British time). Magdalen was a great fighter for the rights of women in general and lesbian women in particular, a defender ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Parliament and the Executive
    The Brexit issue has certainly brought with it a series of apparently difficult constitutional issues, many of them concerning the respective roles of the executive and parliament. Most of them arise because of the unwillingness of MPs, despite their professions to the contrary, to be bound by a constitutional rarity ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • The Abigail Article; Martyn Bradbury’s Article, and My Response
    . . This blogpost is different to my usual format of reporting on issues… Since July 1011, I have blogged on a variety of political issues; near always political and/or environmental; mostly highly critical of the previous National Government. Other issues included Israeli occupation of Palestinian lands and repression of ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • Police will have to wear silly Buckingham Palace hats from now on, says Police Minister
    Those close to the Police Minister believe the initiative may be the result of Nash “seeing a great deal” on AliExpress. In a move that comes seemingly out of nowhere, Police Minister Stuart Nash announced this afternoon that he expects all frontline staff to don bearskin hats, famously worn by ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • A sensible crackdown
    The government has released its Arms Legislation Bill, containing the second tranche of changes to gun laws following the March 15 massacre. And it all looks quite sensible: a national gun register, higher penalties for illegal possession and dealing, tighter restrictions on arms dealers and shooting clubs, and a shorter ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • California bans private prisons
    Private prisons are a stain on humanity. Prison operators explicitly profit from human misery, then lobby for longer prisons terms so they can keep on profiting. And in the US, prison companies run not only local and state prisons, but also Donald Trump's immigration concentration camps. Faced with this moral ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Why PPPs are a bad idea
    When National was in power, they were very keen on Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) - basicly, using private companies to finance public infrastructure as a way of hiding debt from the public. They were keen on using them for everything - roads, schools, hospitals. But as the UK shows, that "service" ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A Movement That No Longer Moves.
    Moving And Shaking: There was a time when people spoke matter-of-factly about the “labour movement” – a political phenomenon understood to embrace much more than the Labour Party. Included within the term’s definition was the whole trade union movement – many of whose members looked upon the Labour Party as ...
    1 week ago
  • NZ ‘left’ politically embracing extreme postmodernism
    by Philip Ferguson Much of the left, even people who formally identify as marxists, have collapsed politically in the face of postmodern gender theory of the sort pioneered by American philosopher Judith Butler. For Butler even biological sex is socially constructed. “If the immutable character of sex is contested, perhaps ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • The obvious question
    The media is reporting that the (alleged) Labour party sexual assaulter has resigned from their job at Parliament, which means hopefully he won't be turning up there making people feel unsafe in future. Good. But as with everything about this scandal, it just raises other questions. Most significantly: why the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • The moment I found out that you found out, I acted swiftly
    By Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern I am every bit as angry as you are. I am every bit as disappointed as you must be. The people with power, oversight and the ability to do something about these processes within the Labour Party should be ashamed. Whoever those people are, I ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • This is why people hate property developers
    Property developers think there is an "oversupply" of houses in Auckland:High turnover rates and falling prices may be a sign that there are too many new houses going in to some parts of Auckland, commentators say. [...] Property developer David Whitburn said there was a "bit of an oversupply" in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Australia to Pacific: “Fuck you, you can all drown”
    World leaders are meeting in New York in two weeks for the 2019 Climate Action Summit, where they are expected to announce new and more ambitious targets to stop the world from burning. But the Australian Prime Minister won't be there, despite being in the USA at the time:Scott Morrison ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Implausible ignorance
    Labour Party president Nigel Haworth resigned yesterday over the party's sexual assault scandal. But while that's good news, its unlikely to take away the stench of a coverup. Because according to Paula Bennett in Parliament yesterday, pretty much everyone in the Prime Minister's office was involved as well:I have been ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Labour’s Fatal Flaw.
     Two-Faced? Labour insiders' commitment to the neoliberal status quo puts them at odds with their party’s membership; its trade union affiliates; and a majority of Labour voters, but this only serves to strengthen the perception they have of themselves as a special elite. Among the lesser breeds, they’ll talk up a ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Ten reasons the Tories do NOT want an election
    There has been a lot of talk about Boris Johnson wanting an election, and he has blustered with great gusto about 'chicken' Jeremy Corbyn refusing one, but I think there are many reasons why he is secretly glad he has been refused the opportunity:The Tories are an utter rabble,tearing themselves ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Prorogation Illegal, rule Scottish judges
    Scottish appeal court judges have declared that Boris Johnson’s decision to suspend parliament in the run-up to the October Brexit deadline is unlawful. The three judges, chaired by Lord Carloway, Scotland’s most senior judge, overturned an earlier ruling that the courts did not have the powers to interfere in the prime ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Let me explain what I meant by Everyday New Zealanders
    By Simon Bridges. The following is a press release from the office of Simon Bridges, leader of The National Party. Key ora, New Zealand. Happy Maori Language Week. Look, I’m writing to you today because I want to clear something up. There’s been a lot of kerfuffle around some things ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Yes, the SIS is subject to the Public Records Act
    I understand there's some stuff going round about how the SIS "was removed from the list of public offices covered by the Public Records Act in 2017". The context of course being their records derived from US torture, which will be disposed of or sealed. The good news is that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • An evidence-based discussion of the Canadian fluoride/IQ study
    Dr. Christopher Labos and Jonathan Jarry discuss the recent Canadian fluoride/IQ research. They provide an expert analysis of the paper and its problems. Click on image to go to podcast. The critical debate about the recent ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Australia in denial
    Australia is burning down again, and meanwhile its natural disaster minister is denying climate change:Australia’s minister responsible for drought and natural disasters, David Littleproud, has said that he doesn’t “know if climate change is manmade”. Clarifying earlier comments that the question is “irrelevant” when considering the Coalition government’s response to ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Philippines activist speaking on the Duterte tyranny
    Auckland Philippines Solidarity is excited to host Professor Judy Taguiwalo for a speaking tour of NZ in September. She is a well-known activist in the Philippines and was a political prisoner under the Marcos dictatorship. Professor Taguiwalo briefly served as a Cabinet member under President Duterte but was forced from ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Disgust
    I have no special insights to offer on the Labour sexual assault coverup. All I have is disgust. Disgust that an organisation could fail its people so badly. Disgust that they punished the victims rather than the perpetrator. Disgust that its party hacks are apparently blaming the victims for demanding ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Speak Up for Women calls out Greens’ censorship
    This open letter to the Green Party was penned after an opinion piece by Jill Abigail, a feminist and founding member of the party, was censored by the Greens’ leadership. (Redline has reprinted her article here).The intolerance of the Green Party leaders and their acceptance of the misogyny of gender ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Member’s Day: End of Life Choice, part 3
    Today is a Member's day, and David Seymour's End of Life Choice Bill continues its slow crawl through its committee stage. They're spending the whole day on it today, though the first hour is likely to be spent on voting left over from last time. After that they'll move on ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Flight to Los Angeles turned back after passengers decide they don’t want to go anymore
    An ambitious plan to fly to Los Angeles petered out into a brief sight-seeing trip and a desire to return home and get some sleep before work tomorrow. Air New Zealand has confirmed a flight to Los Angeles last night was turned back about a quarter of the way into ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Indigenous Futures: defuturing and futuring – an analytical framework for policy development?
    There appears to be consensus – by omission – that the concept of indigenous futures should be accepted at face value. So I scavenged the internet to see if I could locate an academic descriptor or a framework around how we think about it as a concept, and whether it ...
    EllipsisterBy Ellipsister
    2 weeks ago
  • Cadbury rumoured to be releasing the Pineapple Trump
    Here’s another novelty chocolate to shove in your gob, New Zealand Cadbury could be seeking to make itself great again with a rumoured new release: Pineapple Trumps, a spin on its classic chocolate-encased pineapple treat and do-it-yourself tooth remover. The global confectionery manufacturer and bumbling “before” character in an infomercial, ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • The coming resource war.
    During my time in the Pentagon I had the privilege of sitting down with military leaders and defence and security officials from a variety of Latin American nations. Sometimes I was present as a subordinate assistant to a senior US defence department official, sometimes as part of a delegation that ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    2 weeks ago
  • Māori Language Week with The Civilian
    Kia ora, Aotearoa. It’s that magical time of year. Te Wiki o te Reo Māori. In English, the week that frightens talk radio. As you probably know by now, all your favourite media outlets are participating, some more successfully than others. Stuff has changed its name to Puna for the ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago

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