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Winnie’s big chance

Written By: - Date published: 9:00 am, April 18th, 2011 - 58 comments
Categories: election 2011, greens, labour, national, nz first, polls, privatisation - Tags:

The TV3 poll has the NACT vs Lab/Green/NZF gap at 22% vs 9% in the latest Roy Morgan. I’ll tend to pay attention to the company that polls every fortnight to the one that polls once in a blue moon. Nevertheless, the story of both polls is the same: Labour struggling to make headway + Nats potentially with a majority = opportunity for Winston Peters.

Phil Goff has allowed his leadership to come into question in the past few weeks. We’re seeing a powerful meme develop that if he can’t lead his party properly, he can’t lead the country. There’s a pretty straightforward solution to that: get a strategy. That means not floundering when events happen but dedicating the run of play by having solid policy announcements flowing and keeping your MPs active with on the ground campaigns, like the stop assets sales campaign, which Goff needs to be hyping.

With Goff looking a bit like Helen Clark did in 1996 (remember, Clark survived three coup attempts in her early years and nearly won in 1996), voters are looking for alternatives to National other than Labour.

I don’t think anyone can argue that National’s agenda or performance have been incredibly popular. On the economy, people (wrongly) believe the government is doing the best it can in a bad situation but they are angry at the bailouts, the favours for mates, and the elitism exemplified by the BMW saga. People are pissed off about the cost of living and falling wages, which National promised to improve. They believe some cuts may be necessary but what is cut matters – see the first in Mike’s series ‘Spending cuts I would like to see‘. And getting further into hock to foreigners through borrowing and asset sales is deeply unpopular. Indeed, National itself tends to rate far more highly than the popularity of its policies and performance – as shown in the Roy Morgan polls by the confidence in government numbers which have dropped nearly 30 points in the past year and a half.

That’s down to a perceived lack of credible alternatives, which means the Greens and New Zealand First need to put their hands up.

The two parties have surprisingly similar platforms: no asset sales, retention of public services, monetary policy reform, and economic sovereignty. People say that Winnie is too indifferent to the environment but remember NZF voted for Labour’s ETS.

With National and ACT determined to embark on a wholesale sell off of Kiwi assets in a second term (and the conversion of a lot of other Crown capital into operating spending) the time has never been better for parties that are resolutely opposed to sales. The Greens and NZF are both excellently positioned for this, Labour less so after they muddied the waters of their own state assets policy for no reason last year.

On top of that, the public has shown itself very wary of electing a single party government. The last time a single party got a majority was in 1951. Mike Smith likes to recount how Labour fell 15% in the 2002 campaign as voters deserted the sure winner looking for parties to control its influence. In 2002, that gave us the UF nutters. In 2011, NZF and the Greens could be the answer. Without any real partners, National is in deep trouble if it can’t poll over about 48% but (TV3 poll notwithstanding) voters are unlikely to vote it a majority. That’s quite a tightrope walk.

A lot will come down to where Peters chooses to stand. Epsom has got to be high on that list. Already he is attracting remarkable attention for his fiery speeches around the country. Standing in a pivotal seat against another party leader, who is also his nemesis, would be media gold.

In essence, I’m coming around the the thesis proposed by ChrisH. That a Labour-led government is a viable possibility but it would be one where Labour is much more one among equals, as should be the way in MMP, rather than a behemoth with a couple of tag-alongs. Labour 33%, Greens 10%, NZF 8% – now that would be interesting!

58 comments on “Winnie’s big chance”

  1. PeteG 1

    With National and ACT determined to embark on a wholesale sell off of Kiwi assets in a second term

    That sort of gross overstatement may be a major part of Goff’s and Labour’s credibility problems.

    On top of that, the public has shown itself very wary of electing a single party government.

    I think that inclination will see the vote for National pegged back a bit by election day, but it could be more no votes rather than voting for an alternative.
     
    For Peters to be a credible party vote he needs someone else in his party. No sign of that yet. But there’s definitely a vacuum there for the filling.

    • Colonial Viper 1.1

      National want to sell Kiwibank.
       
      Kiwibank pisses off Key’s banking mates no end, and especially the Australian bankers who have figured out that Kiwibank is costing them millions in profits every week.

      • idlegus 1.1.1

        This may be just my little conspiracy theory, but it seems to me that National are trying to destroy Kiwibank, Kiwibank are at the moment lending out low interest 90% home loans & are borrowing alot of ‘hot money’ to do it, its very risky. And now the closure of the Postshops, but hopefully I’m wrong.

        anti spam – signs

    • With National and ACT determined to embark on a wholesale sell off of Kiwi assets in a second term

      That sort of gross overstatement may be a major part of Goff’s and Labour’s credibility problems.

      Ummm how much proof do you need?   The Nats propose selling off significant parts of our major electricity companies.

      Of course you will reply by saying “oh but we will retain a majority share” but that is frankly bullsh*t.  Once the companies are listed and sold then they become corporate monoliths, are totally incapable of acting for the public good and will spend all of their time maximising short term profits to keep their mostly overseas shareholders engorged on what should be publicly owned and controlled assets.

      • PeteG 1.2.1

        Ummm how much proof do you need?
        Ummm, how about seeing the sky falling in rather than a few wee clouds floated.
         
        I don’t really care if no power comapnies are part sold, and if they are I doubt it will change much. If people see it as potentially minor they won’t take doom and gloom parties seriously.

        • Lanthanide 1.2.1.1

          If you think National are ‘floating’ the idea and don’t have any serious intention to follow through on it, then I have a bridge to sell you.

        • felix 1.2.1.2

          Either Pete George is the only person in NZ who doesn’t know that National firmly believe in selling as much of our asset base as is electorally possible…
           
          … or he’s lying.

          • MrSmith 1.2.1.2.1

            Felix In my opinion peteG is a troll that plays his part.
            He or she plays the middle of the road, the not quiet sure, the undecided voter, then every now and then throws in a bit of I’m from down south or I agree with you, but his under (lieing) message is a softly spoken whisper National,national,national!
            I know this person and could very well have been him or her.

  2. Carol 2

    Yes, I think the Greens and Peters are pointing towards where kiwi thinking may be moving generally in the future:

    The two parties have surprisingly similar platforms: no asset sales, retention of public services, monetary policy reform, and economic sovereignty. People say that Winnie is too indifferent to the environment but remember NZF voted for Labour’s ETS.

    Where I see a difference between NZF & The Greens is that the Green focus is on economic sovereignty, whereas NZF tends to blur that with a general xenophobic, anti-immigration position.  I think it may be difficult to disconnect these 2 issues in the minds of the majority, but think it is important to do so.

    IMO, there’s a big difference between a relatively powerless immigrant (whether from China, other parts of Asia, Europe, the US etc), who aims to become a Kiwi and contribute towards this country in some way, and an overseas-based corporate that aims to exploit NZ and invest here in order to siphon off the profits, leaving NZ the poorer for it.

  3. Peter 3

    I’m an interested by-stander in all of this, , without any campaign experience, but given the dominance of National is there any merit in NZ First, Greens and Labour promoting their common ground (eg no asset sales) to the electorate?
     

    • The Voice of Reason 3.1

      Certainly, in my opinion there is, Peter. It is common in Europe, Latin and South America for pre-election blocs to be formed around common policies. This allows voters to choose which bloc they’d prefer and which party within the bloc they will specifically vote for. That is, I would vote Labour knowing that I get a Labour led Government with the Greens and Winnie without the tedious post election negotiations.

      In NZ terms, an explicit undertaking from Labour, the Greens and NZF that they would form the next Government in partnership together would make voting this year really easy. Vote the bloc or vote National.

      • Lanthanide 3.1.1

        I think if they came out and said “we will form a coalition government around our jointly held belief against asset sales” then it also highlights this as a serious issue to the electorate. It makes it very clear that these parties really see this as a problem with NZ. They can just keep it to these 3 core parties also, and Hone/Maori Party are free to agree with the sentiment, but are not formally included in the bloc pre-election.
         
        They could even get a lot of media airplay on it if they hold a joint press conference of all the leaders of the parties, and announce it to the media at 8am on the day, and set it for 2pm. Much like the media went bananas when Key called the press conference with hints about the election date.

        I guess that could also tar them for people who are pro asset sales – but they would probably be voting National already anyway.

        • PeteG 3.1.1.1

          That sounds like betting just about everything on one policy, very risky even if you could manage to get the other parties to go along with such a narrow approach.
           
          Don’t confuse assuming “great, here is a clear differentiation between Labour and National that we can campaign on” will flow to the electorate seeing it as a major deciding issue.

          • The Voice of Reason 3.1.1.1.1

            Where’s the rsk, pete? We already know the majority of Kiwis oppose asset sales and if the 3 parties chime in with additional policies specific to their own voter bases’ wants and needs, there is a good chance of gaining enough ground to win power.

            Oh, wait, now I see the risk you’re worried about.

            • Bright Red 3.1.1.1.1.1

              I think it’s probably stronger if the three of them all make asset sales a major issue without forming a formal bloc. Because who would the media turn to to talk on behalf of that bloc? Mr Goff.
              Better three strong voices than trying to become one even louder voice.

              • PeteG

                That’s not looking likely.
                 
                The Greens are likely to promote their own mix of priorities. They may have a strong message but they have multiple voices, and none that are particulalry strong.
                 
                Peters will smell an opportunity for Peters to regain a presence in parliament. He will do what he thinks will promote Peters. He may see ways of using Labour to help, but don’t rely on too many favours from him, especially if competing for the same protest votes.
                 
                And Labour need a strong voice, they don’t have that now. Actually they need a number of strong voices, leaving everything to a weakly overstating voice puntuatd by the occasioanl outburst of frustration from others is not going resonating.

                • Samuel Hill

                  Well how strong a voice is depends on where you are listening. If you have been watching parliament, you will know that Robertson, Cunliffe, Jones and a few others in Labour DO have strong voices. But for those who only watch the news for 30 minutes a day, you only have Phil Goff, who try as he might will not cause a paradigm shift in this country. If the left are to govern after the election it will be due to NZ First taking votes from National. End. Of. Story.

                  • Yes, one of the ironies of this situation is that Goff’s personal chances of survival would improve if he made himself less available and insisted someone like Cunliffe or Robertson speak on issues.

                    It’d show Labour as a team, with some strong performers in it, and remind people this isn’t a presidential contest between Goff and Key… because of course it’s in National’s interest to pretend that it is. It’d also – probably paradoxically from the perspective of the Goffice – show Goff as a strong leader, happy to show off a team of whom he’s proud.

                    The only credible way to be unavailable is to be in a place where the TV channels are unlikely to have a crew (and of late, that seems to be pretty much any place below a regional city-sized centre) but that too would help Goff – let people see him face-to-face and not via soundbite.

                    That this isn’t a strategy being followed suggests to me one of three possibilities: either Labour are too stupid to have figured this out; Goff’s ego likes being in the limelight too much to let it go; or the party is so destabilised that the mere conducting of an interview by someone other than the Leader causes the Chicken Littles to think there’s a coup on.

              • Peter

                Right now three voices get minimal attention yet for many asset sales are a big issue.
                My original thought was to find more than one area of common ground, foreign investment and oil exploration come to mind.
                I agree with the suggestion that such a ploy would attract MSM interest.  If the Center-Left could show they are already jointly organised it would at least be a change from the usual scenarios.  They know they need each other after the election so the time could be right for the approach taken by other countries as mentioned by VofR.

                • Jim Nald

                  The bloc approach needs a bit more thinking. An attraction about the bloc approach is that it goes beyond, and is not constrained by, the established or perceived categorisation of left-right politics. The MMP system could make the bloc approach a bit more interesting and not strait-jacketed by traditional left-right polarisation.

              • Anne

                Well said Bright Red.

                I would also hope they did at least confer (in private of course) about the best strategy for each to follow so they don’t end up contradicting one another.  It makes so much sense and between them they could save this country from a potential god-awful mess. Surely that needs to take precedence at this point in time.

      • Monty 3.1.2

        The problem is that Goff does not have the leadership not the managerial skills to manage the co-alition of the Damned.  Neither does the public have any faith in Goff’s ability in this department.

        the situation is made worse of course by MPs saying to Journalists that “Goff can take the bullet for the 2011 election loss”  ie Labour have given up on winnig the 2011 election.  Excellent – this will be a walk in the park for he Nats.

        • Jim Nald 3.1.2.1

          Fantastic! Nationals can be absolutely confident of winning and count on having the 2011 election already in their pockets.

  4. Josh 4

    Just thought I’d draw your attention to this interesting column that appeared in the Bay of Plenty Times yesterday: http://www.bayofplentytimes.co.nz/have-your-say/news/winston-peters-ambulance-needed-up-top/3948567/

    Peters’ proposal is very similar to that of Retired Family Court Judge Graeme MacCormick in a 2006 paper, who argued for a ‘universal risk assessment’ program. That seems to be the jist of Peters’ Life Register, and it would appear to be a serious policy proposal.

    • Draco T Bastard 4.1

      Capitalism must regain its human face,

      Ah, Winston, capitalism never had a human face – it has always worn the face of the jackal.
       

  5. FYI folks – my considered opinion on this matter (which I have just posted on Kiwiblog)
    I’m VERY busy so I’ve just cut and pasted it – is that ok?
    Penny Bright
    Interesting how the NZ Herald’s CHIEF Political Reporter’s analysis of the only poll that matters – an ELECTION result – in this case the recent Botany by-election, plus the election result itself, somewhat differs from these ‘opinion’ polls?
    Botany byelection loss holds silver lining for Labour Party
    By John Armstrong
    5:30 AM Monday Mar 7, 2011
    At last, Phil Goff has something to smile about.
    Exactly why the Labour leader is smiling might not seem immediately obvious given that National’s Jami-Lee Ross won Saturday’s Botany byelection in a canter, securing almost double the number of votes of his Labour counterpart.
    The answer is that everything is relative in politics. Labour did better than it hoped. National did not fare as well as it would have expected.
    …………
    It is questionable, however, how meaningful conclusions drawn from a byelection can be, let alone one as stifled by circumstances as this one.
    Still, the debut of the New Citizen Party and National’s failure to lift its vote would seem to pour cold water on the possibility of National securing a majority alone.
    The complicating factor is Saturday’s abysmally low turnout. However, the non-vote would more likely be weighted in Labour’s favour.
    The 36.6 per cent turnout – half that of a general election – meant both major parties got fewer votes than at the 2008 election. Labour’s vote proved more robust. National’s vote halved from more than 17,000 to just over 8000. In comparison, Labour’s vote fell, but far less dramatically – from around 6500 to just over 4000.
    The net result is: Labour increased its share of the candidate vote in the seat from 21 per cent in 2008 to 28 per cent on Saturday.
    Moreover, it did so in the face of a number of handicaps – notably the party’s candidate, Michael Wood, committing one of politics’ great sins early on by saying he would not win the seat.
    ………………”
    Did ‘the polls’ before the Botany by-election predict the 36% turnout and the MASSIVE ‘no show’ of 9000 (former?) National Party voters?
    DID THEY?
    It’s a fair question isn’t it?
    If I were a Labour Party member (which I am not) – I would ignore these ‘polls’ and keep campaigning on the issues – especially opposition to asset sales.
    It seems that asset sales, especially of electricity assets, is HUGELY unpopular, and despite (shonky?) John Key’s best efforts to make this political ‘goat sh*t’ smell like honey – significant numbers of voters haven’t had a collective frontal lobotomy.
    We have learned that what groups like the NZ Business Round Table are advocating, isn’t usually in the best interests of the majority of the NZ public.
    Big business interests support ‘partial privatisation’, John Key/ National supports ‘partial privatisation’ (oops! the ‘mixed ownership’ model’.
    Phil Goff/Labour thinks ‘partial privatisation is a ‘dumb idea’ – apparently so too do significant numbers of the general public.
    Big business /National carry out a concerted corporate media campaign to help undermine Phil Goff/ Labour?
    Darren Hughes / Phil Goff’s ‘handling’ of the Darren Hughes matter / Damien O’Connor’s ‘undisciplined’ comments/ the PNth intersection anti-asset sale picket ‘beat up’ …. etc.
    I confidently predict that there will be constant ‘picking’ / ‘beat ups’ all through this election campaign, to attempt to undermine support for the main political party – Labour – which opposes what the majority of big business openly want – more privatisation of key public assets.
    Where did we see this before?
    Oh yes, before the 2008 election with the campaign to discredit and undermine Winston Peters and NZ First, so that they wouldn’t make the 5% party vote threshold.
    The aim?
    For National to get enough votes to govern alone.
    Want to see the FACTS and EVIDENCE that I have researched to support my considered opinion?
    http://waterpressure.wordpress.com
    Penny Bright

  6. Samuel Hill 6

    Greens – Liberal Socialism
    NZ First – Conservative Socialism
    Labour – Confused Socialism

    • Draco T Bastard 6.1

      Labour – Confused Socialism

      It appears that I’S has found out Labours problems.

      Until two weeks ago, Pagani was one of Goff’s senior advisors. If this is the quality of advice he was giving – that Labour should just shut up, sit on its hands, and wait its turn like good little careerists – then Labour is well rid of him.

      Apparently, Labours advisers were telling them to be more like National.

  7. Samuel Hill 7

    In the end this election will be National (and the Maori Party) vs everyone else.

    • Peter 7.1

      Agreed, so change the narrative which is now being set by Key and the PR media machine.

      • Samuel Hill 7.1.1

        Winston seems to me to be the only person capable of causing a major vote grab in this election. Its a pity the rest of his party are so anonymous, but perhaps they don’t have anything enlightening to add to the discourse.

        Perhaps the Greens have left the door open to National because they believe they can steal some of National’s environmentally aware voters, who will be convinced that National will win and that giving their vote to the Greens in hope of a National-Green coalition.

        We shall see.

    • Yes, this is shaping up to be a very polarising election.

      It’s as potentially polarising as the pro-tour/anti-tour groups in 81.

      I imagine, therefore, that in 25 years time John Key won’t be able to remember which side he was on in this election.

      • Samuel Hill 7.2.1

        Haha! It would appear that there is major (relatively) social disruption in NZ every 30 years.. So this election I would expect some discontent to be exposed!

      • PeteG 7.2.2

        It’s more likely to be a Rip van Winkle election – National sleep walking to victory, Labour still dreaming of a Hail Mary issue to rescue them, while the electorate yawns.
         
         

        • felix 7.2.2.1

          OK.
           
          Hey everyone, there’s no point. Just go back to work (if you’re lucky if enough to still have a job) and forget all about it.
           
          Politics is yawn. There’s no point complaining. Nothing makes a difference to anything and everything is under control.

          It’s all just the way it is so keep watching tv and drinking your beer and ignore the growing realisation that something is very very wrong.

          Don’t be a wierdo. If you hear anyone talking about politics, inequality, the economy, social issues or the growing gap between the rich and the poor, please change the subject as quickly as poss. Politics is icky.

          And boring. OK?

          • higherstandard 7.2.2.1.1

            Fuck off you bore,  I demand to know what the lotto numbers are and who’s where on the Super15 points table.

          • Zaphod Beeblebrox 7.2.2.1.2

            And if you arev poor enough to be manifestly affected by political decisions, you probably don’t vote anyway- so politics is probably irrelevant to most voters.

            Most of the voters who do understand economics and politics probably inhabit blogs like this one- the rest they just want to pay less tax and have fewer poor people in their neighbourhood.

  8. randal 8

    this government is paying off the electorate at the rate of $3oo,000,000 oer week.
    and the lectiorate is suffering from a form of anomie that has two christmasses this year. i.e. the world cup anfd xmas-woweee.
    Kiwis have not tightened their belts and continue to spend as much as they can because spening is the only rememdy for a boring and pointless existence.
    angle grinders.
    leaf blowers.
    hardly davisons.
    trips to nowhere and back.
    this is the age of infantilism.

    • Samuel Hill 8.1

      Well if people were encouraged to think outside the box a bit more, and we weren’t so close minded we might have a bit more creativity and freshness around the place. But no. Milk those cows and dig up those roads. Invest in those shares people. It will all be sweet as! What economic downgrade???

    • higherstandard 8.2

      Life is incomplete without at least two LCD TVs for every room in the house and a new car every 24 months.

    • felix 8.3

      Cut it out you lot. Drink your beer and wait patiently for the RWC please.

    • Nah its got nothing to do with infants – apart from crocodile tears on infant bashing when the NACTs create the conditions for growing domestic violence.
      Its nothing to do with undeveloped intelligence, or mindless spending. The real cause is capitalist alienation to renders individuals powerless unless they organise collectively to resist and overthrow capitalism.
      Capitalist society is disintegrating. Its what happens when capitalism goes into terminal decline, destroying nature and people, social gaps open up, living standards collapse, the rich rob the poor to survive, peoples fears increase, they start fighting among themselves for expensive bread and fast fibre gladiatorial circuses and bombarded with ‘natural’ disasters and ‘national emergencies’.
      The common ground for survival of the working masses in this country is Smash the NACTS! first and then Smash Capitalism! We can see the beginnings of this in the self-organisation of Christchurch East people to survive their quake and fight the creeping fascism of CERA, and the local iwi and activists fighting drilling off the East Cape. Now we need a nationwide fightback to stop the selling of public assets to pay for bosses bailouts, and the destruction of wages, workers rights and social welfare.
      That’s the difference between a working class in itself which is easily a 2/3rds majority of NZ, but which is composed of isolated competing individuals and a working class for itself that stands up to fight for its collective interest. John Key and the banksters and new gentry are a tiny minority but identify as a ruling class and they will continue to rule until the working class stands up and identifies as a the new ruling class.

      • higherstandard 8.4.1

        We must move forward… not backwards, not to the side, not forwards, but always whirling, whirling, whirling towards freedom.

  9. anarcho 9

    this thread is beginning to make more and more sense… keep peeling those layers of the ‘spectacle’ away; just what the hell are we doing all day?

  10. <blockquote>the Greens and New Zealand First need to put their hands up.
    The two parties have surprisingly similar platforms</blockquote>

    But very dissimilar modus operandi, particularly in candidate selection and internal accountability; levels of integrity, morality and honesty; calibre of people; and standing in the eyes of most of the public.

    What’s your next piece of advice Eddie? The Salvation Army team up with the ‘Ndrangheta? I mean there’s many similarities: commitment to the redistribtion of wealth, a focus on youth employment, strong religious underpinnings… 😛

    But seriously, the Greens are still seen by many (most?) as “honest brokers” in the political world, a positioning reinforced by their avoidance of formal coalition deals which would have cost them their principles. Diving into the sewer with NZF (because there’s no way NZF can climb out, even if it wanted to) is the worst thing they can do pre-election.

  11. HC 11

    Honestly these polls we get from TV3, TVONE and anyone else do need to be treated with a fair bit of caution. I heard today that these pollsters do only make calls to landlines. So what about all the people that do not have a landline, or who are hardly ever at home and out and about?
    I did myself get some calls from market research and other organisations, who wanted to ask me a range of questions. Usually I tell them to get stuffed, because I have not got the time or patience, let alone the interest, in providing them with information about myself.
    So by only relying on people “prepared” to listen, to put up with numerous questions, possibly sitting at home not having that much to do, and having a landline, what kind of people do we talk about?
    They may be disproportionately older people, people with a stable home (house owners), people that are not too busy (e.g. pensioners, semi retired, house wives, people not too busy working their bums off to get bills paid, people who take such research “serious”) and that are possibly more conservative, who bother spending minutes on giving answers.
    They are less likely younger people that are out and about, that exclusively or mainly use cell-phones, that are too busy or indifferent to bother with surveys.
    Hence I feel there is a chance that the surveys tend to have results coming from a rather older, more conservative, more compliant part of the whole populations.
    It is likely that modern day swing voters would not bother much with giving their opinions.
    Yet recent elections have shown that trends can change swiftly, due to a larger and growing proportion of such swing voters changing preferences.
    Bearing this in mind the election may be much more open than these strange and usually Key- and government friendly surveys tend to suggest.

  12. If anyone is really silly enough to believe that National selling our Power companies will not change anything – um, get help, fast!
    It is so obvious what will happen it’s insane.  Imagine you are one of the “Mum and Dad investors” (Keys favourite term, when of course he means his rich business backers) who buys into the shares when offered.  The first twelve months go past, and you get a moderate at best dividend for your shares.  You start thinking about this, as do all the other investors, and realise that by simply putting up power prices by ten percent, suddenly you will start receiving a much healthier dividend.  So, at the next general meeting what do you think is pushed for, and voted on?
    National knows this is exactly what will happen, and already have their answer well rehearsed “Well, we can’t interfere with what investors vote for in a  private company.”
    Wake up sleepy Kiwi voters, a vote for National this election will be the last nail in the coffin that has the plaque “Here lies the New Zealand we once loved”
    Love or hate Winston Peters, New Zealand First will be the one and only party that will be able to stop National’s sell off plans.  It’s in your hands.

  13. Sanctuary 13

    I am still sticking to my prediction that this election will have tthe lowest turnout on record, down as low as the mid sixty percent. Why? There is little doubt Key is immensely popular with 18-40 year old smug middle class whites whose exposure to politics is minimised to breakfast TV and soundbites emphasising personality driven right wing identity politics. Many of these people are uninterested in politics, so don’t vote, and many who do vote won’t be bothered because a) their uninterest in politics will be exacerbated by the jarring nature of an election campaign so soon after the RWC and b) they’ll assume Key is going to win at a canter so they needn’t bother. National has plenty of money from it’s elite backers, has the white middle class in total lockstep and the media in it’s pocket. Yet strangely, no one is really enthusiastic for Key and co.

    Many Labour supporters who stayed home in 2008 will do so again in 2011. Even more people have slipped into the dispairing embrace of penury, some of whom in their miserable existence of ignorance and poverty probably won’t even know an election is happening.

    The general lack of enthusiasm for Key and disillusionment/lack of credibility of the alternatives will ensure that the undecided voters – around 15-18% at the moment – won’t bother voting. They simply stay undecided.

    This election then will hinge on what percentage of their core vote National and Labour can muster. Labour’s biggest concern therefore has to be the growing disillusionment of it’s activist base with the parties careerist parliamentary elite, who are increasingly perceived as isolated, self-serving and defeatist. Labour won’t have much money this election, so it needs enthusiasm and good organisation to get close.

  14. Jules 14

    This about any pre-election deals from NZF.
     No pre-election deals, no nudge-nudge, wink-wink political horse trading before you the voter have spoken.
    Those who argue for pre-election deals are trying to weaken your vote.   They seek to marginalize your role in democracy.   Don’t let them.
    Instead of doing pre-election deals, we will concentrate on the big issues facing New Zealanders.

    And yes – In my opinion,  the issue of state asset sales is going to be the primary issue in this next election.

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    It seems fair to say that we currently live in a problematic political moment in world history. Democracies are in decline and dictatorships are on the rise. Primordial, sectarian and post-modern divisions have re-emerged, are on the rise or have been accentuated by political evolutions of the moment such as ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    15 hours ago
  • Another captured agency
    Last month, Greenpeace head Russel Norman surrendered his speaking slot at an EPA conference to student climate activist Sorcha Carr, who told the EPA exactly what she thought of them. It was a bold move, which confronted both regulators and polluters (or, as the EPA calls them, "stakeholders") with the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    16 hours ago
  • NZ First’s dodgy loans
    The core principle supposedly underlying New Zealand's electoral finance regime is transparency: parties can accept large donations from rich people wanting to buy policy, but only if they tell the public they've been bought. Most parties abide by this, so we know that TOP was wholly-owned by Gareth Morgan, and ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    16 hours ago
  • Member’s Day: The choice on End of Life Choice
    Today is a Member's Day, probably the second-to-last one of the year, and its a big one, with the Third Reading of David Seymour's End of Life Choice Bill. last Member's Day it was reported back from committee, after MPs voted narrowly to make it subject to a (rules TBA) ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    16 hours ago
  • How growth in population and consumption drives planetary change
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz The growth of the human population over the last 70 ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    18 hours ago
  • The disappearing Women …
    by The Council of Disobedient Women In her excellent oral submission to the Abortion reform select committee on 31st October on behalf of Otago University’s Department of Public Health, historian and public health researcher Hera Cook stated: “We would ask that the committee not use the term ‘pregnant persons’ and ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 day ago
  • “A Passage to India”: enduring art in changing times
    by Don Franks In 1957, E M Forster wrote, of his greatest work: “The India described in ‘A Passage to India’ no longer exists either politically or socially. Change had begun even at the time the book was published ( 1924) and during the following quarter of a century it ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 day ago
  • Contemptuous
    The Referendums Framework Bill was due back from select committee today. But there's no report on it. Instead, the bill has been bounced back to the House under Standing order 29593) because the Committee didn't bother to produce one. They probably tried. But given the membership of the committee (which ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Zero Carbon: It’s not just a good idea, it’s the law
    Two years into New Zealand’s Labour-led government, the long-delayed Zero Carbon Bill became law on 7 November. Passed essentially unanimously, the lengthy public debates and political manoeuvring faded away until the final passage was even anticlimactic: Flipping through the @nzstuff @DomPost I was starting to wonder if I’d dreamt ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert McLachlan
    2 days ago
  • Climate Change: What happens next?
    Now the Zero Carbon Bill is law, what's next? Obviously, the ETS changes currently before select committee are going to be the next battleground. But we're also going to get a good idea of where we're going, and if the progress the Zero Carbon Act promises is good enough, during ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Climate change will fuel bush fires
    Grant Pearce The effects of the current Australian bushfires in New South Wales and Queensland (and also again in California) are devastating and far-reaching. To date, the fires have resulted in several lives being lost and many homes and properties destroyed. Here in New Zealand, the impacts have been only ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 days ago
  • Participation rates
    A passing comment in a post the other day about the labour force participation rates of older people prompted me to pull down the fuller data and see what we could see about various participation rates over the decades since the HLFS began in 1986.   As it happens, the ...
    SciBlogsBy Michael Reddell
    2 days ago
  • Not So Much “OK Boomer” As “OK Ruling Class”.
    Distract And Divert: The rise of what we have come to call “Identity Politics” represents the ideological manifestation of the ruling class’s objective need to destroy class politics, and of the middle-class’s subjective need to justify their participation in the process.THE RELIEF of the ruling class can only be imagined. ...
    2 days ago
  • Asking for it …
    "I saw a newspaper picture,From the political campaignA woman was kissing a child,Who was obviously in pain.She spills with compassion,As that young child'sFace in her hands she gripsCan you imagine all that greed and avariceComing down on that child's lips?" ...
    2 days ago
  • New Zealand’s Poor Pandemic Preparedness According to the Global Health Security Index
    Dr Matt Boyd, Prof Michael Baker, Prof Nick Wilson The Global Health Security Index which considers pandemic threats has just been published. Unfortunately, NZ scores approximately half marks (54/100), coming in 35th in the world rankings – far behind Australia. This poor result suggests that the NZ Government needs to ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    2 days ago
  • Climate Change: Thank Winston
    The Zero Carbon Act is inadequate, with a weak methane target designed to give farmers a free ride. But it turns out it could have been worse: Climate Change Minister James Shaw was so desperate to get National on board, he wanted to gut that target, and leave it in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Illicit markets and Bali Booze
    The Herald reprints an Australian story on a couple of tragic deaths in Bali from drinking cocktails that had methanol in them.  The story argues that methanol is likely the result of home distillation. But what the young tourists were experiencing was far from a hangover. They’d consumed a toxic cocktail ...
    SciBlogsBy Eric Crampton
    3 days ago
  • This is not what armed police are for
    Last month, the police announced a trial of specialist roaming armed units, which would drive round (poor, brown) areas in armoured SUVs, armed to the teeth. When they announced the trial, they told us it was about having armed police "ready to attend major incidents at any time if needed". ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Spain’s failed electoral gamble
    Spain went to the polls today in the second elections this year, after the Socialists (who had come to power in a confidence vote, then gone to the polls in April) rejected the offer of a coalition with the left-wing PoDemos, and instead decided to gamble n a better outcome ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • The astroturf party
    National has finally rolled out its "BlueGreen" astroturf party, fronted by an array of former nats and people who were dumped by the Greens for not being Green enough. Its initial pitch is described by Stuff as "very business-friendly", and its priorities are what you'd expect: conservation, predator-free funding, a ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • How to cheat at university
    A couple of days ago I attended (and spoke at) the University of Waikato’s “LearnFest” event. There were lots of talks and sessions on very diverse aspects of teaching, mostly at tertiary level. One was by Myra Williamson from Te Piringa Faculty of Law here at Waikato, on Contract Cheating ...
    SciBlogsBy Marcus Wilson
    3 days ago
  • How NZ was put on world maps using a transit of Mercury
    There will be a transit of Mercury – the planet Mercury will pass across the face of the Sun – taking place at sunrise in New Zealand on Tuesday, 12th November. It was by observing such an event 250 years ago that James Cook and his scientist colleagues were able ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    3 days ago
  • Georgina Beyer: We need to be able to talk without being offended
    Since becoming the world’s first openly transexual mayor and member of parliament, Georgina Beyer has been recognised as a trailblazer for trans rights. Daphna Whitmore talks with her about where she sees the current trans movement We start out talking about legislation the government put on hold that would have ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    3 days ago
  • The anti-fluoride brigade won’t be erecting billboards about this study
    If FFNZ really put their faith in “Top Medical Journals” they would now be amending their billboards to recognise new research results. Image from FFNZ but updated to agree with the latest research. ...
    4 days ago
  • Chosen To Rule? What Sort Of Christian Is Chris Luxon?
    National Messiah? Chris Luxon identifies himself as an evangelical Christian. If he is genuine in this self-characterisation, then he will take every opportunity his public office provides to proselytise on behalf of his faith. He will also feel obliged to bear witness against beliefs and practices he believes to be ...
    4 days ago
  • War of the worms
    I'm going to make a Reckless Prediction™ that the Tories have 'topped out' in the 'poll of polls' / Britain Elects multipoll tracker at about 38%, and in the next week we will start to see Labour creep up on them.In fact, we might just be seeing the start of ...
    4 days ago
  • Marvelly shows us how to be a feminist without feminism
    by The Council of Disobedient Women Lizzie Marvelly: “I may have missed this… has @afterellen gone all terf-y? Or am I reading something incorrectly? “ https://twitter.com/LizzieMarvelly/status/1191840059105742849 After Ellen is a lesbian website that is unashamedly pro-lesbian, as you’d expect. So why is Ms Marvelly so bothered about lesbians having their ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    4 days ago
  • Out of the past – Tories to revive racist laws from the 16th century
    Did you know there once was a time when it was illegal to be a gypsy (aka Romani) in Britain?That was between 1530, when the Egyptians Act was passed, and 1856, when it was repealed.Amongst other things, the act forbade the entry of 'Egyptians' into England, ordered those already there ...
    5 days ago
  • 1000 of these now
    Some days I sit and think, “what will I write…?” What do you say when you get to 1000 posts? Maybe you just start where you are, diverge to where this all began, then offer a collection of reader’s favourite posts, and a few of your own? (And throw in ...
    SciBlogsBy Grant Jacobs
    5 days ago
  • Has Shane Jones Just Saved NZ First?
    Counter-Puncher: The “activists” and “radicals” (his own words) from the Indian community who took such strong exception to Shane Jones’ remarks about Immigration NZ’s treatment of arranged marriages, may end up bitterly regretting their intervention. Jones is not the sort of person who turns the other cheek to his critics.SHANE ...
    5 days ago
  • Climate Change: As predicted
    Yesterday, when National voted for the Zero Carbon Bill, I predicted they'd gut it the moment they regained power, just as they had done to the ETS. And indeed, they have explicitly promised to do exactly that within their first hundred days in office. What would their amendments do? Abandon ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Let this never be forgot
    In the spirit of Remember, remember the fifth of November, let's keep this in mind FOREVER.
    Oh dear. Extraordinary interview on PM with Andrew Bridgen and @EvanHD just now. Bridgen was defending Jacob Rees Mogg’s Grenfell comments. Evan asked him if JRM had meant to say he would have left ...
    6 days ago
  • Too Late To Change Capitalism’s Flightpath?
    Collision Course? In conditions of ideological white-out, the international bankers’ “Woop-Woop! Pull Up!” warning may have come too late to save global capitalism.WHAT DOES IT MEAN when international bankers are more willing to embrace radical solutions than our politicians and their electors? At both the International Monetary Fund and the ...
    6 days ago
  • Whooping cough vaccine works well despite its imperfections
    Pertussis (whooping cough) is a conundrum. It is a disease that was described hundreds of years ago and the bacteria that causes it (Bordetella pertussis) isolated in 1906. We have had vaccines for about 80 years but this disease is defiant in the face of human immunity. I wanted to ...
    SciBlogsBy Helen Petousis Harris
    6 days ago
  • Climate Change: Passed
    The Zero Carbon Bill has just passed its third reading, uanimously. In the end, National supported it - but we all know they'll turn around and gut it the moment they regain power. Meanwhile, I guess ACT's David Seymour didn't even bother to show up. I am on record as ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Retailing of vaping products – New NZ Research
    Dr Lindsay Robertson, Dr Jerram Bateman, Professor Janet Hoek Members of the public health community hold divergent views on how access to vaping products or electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) products should be arranged. Some believe ENDS should be as widely available as smoked tobacco and argue for liberal ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    7 days ago
  • Justice for Bomber
    When the Police were trying to cover up for the National Party over Dirty Politics, they went all-in with their abuses of power. They illegally search Nicky Hager's house, violating his journalistic privilege and invading his privacy. They unlawfully acquired Hager's bank records. They did the same to left-wing blogger ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Britain’s climate tyranny was unlawful
    Last month, in response to a wave of protests by Extinction Rebellion, the British government purported to ban their protests from the whole of London. It was a significant interference with the freedoms of expression and assembly, and another sign of the country's decline into tyranny. But now, a court ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • More crime from the spies
    Last year, the Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security reported on significant problems with the intelligence warrant system. While they were unwilling to declare any warrant "irregular" (meaning unlawful) due to the recent law change, they were also not willing to give the system a clean bill of health. Now, they've ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Vaccination, compulsion, and paternalism for the lower orders
    The National Party has come out in support of encouraging greater vaccination uptake. But it sure isn’t the way I’d do it. National’s suggested docking the benefits of those on benefit whose kids aren’t keeping up with their vaccinations. Some in National have suggested extending that to payments under Working ...
    SciBlogsBy Eric Crampton
    7 days ago
  • Global Protests Rage On: But Slogans Are Not Plans.
    Feeding The Flames: It is simply not enough to demand an end to “corruption”, or “inequality”, or the overbearing influence of the authorities in Beijing. These are just “lowest common denominator” demands: the sort of slogans that pull people onto the streets. They are not a plan.WHERE’S THE PLAN? Across ...
    7 days ago
  • 11,000 employed under Labour
    The labour market statistics have been released, and unemployment has risen to 4.2%. There are 115,000 unemployed - 11,000 fewer than when Labour took office. In that time the minimum wage has gone up by $2 an hour, which shows that the right's fears about increases causing unemployment are simply ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Boycott this democratic fraud
    The Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Committee has called for submissions on Andrew Little's tyrannical Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders) Bill. Normally I encourage participation in the democratic process. I am not doing so in this case. Instead, I encourage all of you to boycott this submissions process, and to post ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Why Mars is cold despite an atmosphere of mostly carbon dioxide
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz If tiny concentrations of carbon dioxide can hold enough heat ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Ban private jets
    Aviation is one of the fastest growing sources of greenhouse gas emissions, and within it, one of the fastest sources is elite travel: billionaires flitting around the world in their private jets, spewing excessive pollution into the atmosphere just so they can avoid mixing with us dirty peasants. But in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Untold Suffering
    That's what we face if we don't stop climate change, according to a warning from 11,000 scientists:The world’s people face “untold suffering due to the climate crisis” unless there are major transformations to global society, according to a stark warning from more than 11,000 scientists. “We declare clearly and unequivocally ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The left and violent misogyny
    by Phil Duncan Here’s just a few of the kind of threats issued day in and day out against gender-critical women – feminists, marxists, etc – overwhelmingly by MEN (albeit men identifying as women). “Kill all Terfs”. “Shoot a Terf today”. “All terfs deserve to be shot in the head”. ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Imperialism and the iPhone
    This is the third of the synopses of parts of the opening chapter of John Smith’s Imperialism in the 21st Century (New York, Monthly Review Press, 2016). The synopsis and commentary below is written by Phil Duncan. Unlike the humble cup of coffee and t-shirt that we looked at in ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • The freshwater mussel housing crisis: eviction by invasive weeds?
    Tom Moore Traditionally a food source and cutting tool, freshwater mussels/kākahi are now widely valued as water filters that help clean our waterbodies and maintain ecosystem health throughout Aotearoa. The improvement they provide in water quality can make it easier for other animals to live in streams and rivers, as ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • Back it up Luxon: endorsing the destructive past is not actually the way forward
    And to think he gave all the potential goodwill away with that moronic, cult-like statement (repeated ad nauseam by many National hardliners) that Key is quite simply “the greatest PM we ever had”… Installation complete: this was nothing ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    1 week ago
  • Good riddance
    National MP and former Conservation Minister Maggie Barry will not seek re-election next year. Good riddance. Because in case anyone has forgotten, barry is a bullying thug who terrorised both public servants and fellow MPs. She is one of the people who makes Parliament a toxic workplace, and our country ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: D-Day
    The Zero Carbon Bill is back in the House today for its second reading. While this isn't the final stage, its still effectively D-Day for the bill. Because today, at around 5pm, is when we're going to find out if it has a majority, whether National will support it or ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Winston is right
    Winston Peters is in court today, suing a bunch of former Minister and civil servants over their pre-election leak of his superannuation repayment. He's characterised the leak as malicious, and said that it is repugnant that his information was passed on to Ministers to use for political advantage. And he's ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Media impartiality
    Sky's economics editor, Ed Conway has posted a Twitter thread responding to a claim that - as far as I can see - Labour never made:
    Are NHS operation cancellations at an all-time high? That's the impression you might have been left with if you read this story from the ...
    1 week ago
  • Finish what’s on your plate
    Murray Cox Do I have to finish my favourite genome? That’s an often-asked question. Geneticists generally strive to produce high-quality genomes that sequence every last gene, making full use of the state-of-the-art technologies coming on stream. Sequencing DNA means determining the order of the four chemical building blocks – called ...
    SciBlogsBy Genomics Aotearoa
    1 week ago
  • Gainful Employment: A Cautionary Tale.
    Transformative Politics: The idea is to turn each recipient into an unwitting accomplice in their own transformation. From interested observer to hyped-up activist, sharing our messages promiscuously with ‘friends’. You’ll be part of an ever-expanding circulatory system, Jennifer, for the ideas that will win us the election.”JENNIFER SKITTERED her chair ...
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand should not fund bigotry
    Two years ago, the Cook Islands government announced that it was planning to join the civilised world and decriminalise consensual homosexual sex between men. Now, they've reversed their position, and decided to criminalise lesbians into the bargain:Two years ago, in a step welcomed by many people including the gay and ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • New Fisk
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • More tyranny in Australia
    The boycott is a fundamental tool of protest. By choosing who we buy from, we can send a message, and hopefully change corporate behaviour. Historically, boycotts have been effective, for example over apartheid in South Africa and Israel, in forcing divestment from Myanmar, and in ending bus segregation in the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Submission for rationality and science against the assaults of pre-modernism and post-modernism
    Jan Rivers spoke at the Abortion Legislation Select Committee in favour of the bill, but in opposition to calls from other submitters to exchange the word ‘woman’ for ‘person’ throughout the bill. Jan is a supporter of the feminist group Speak Up For Women and has recently written an excellent ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • My loyal readership of … Cam girls and Pornbots?
    I checked my traffic stats:I was intrigued by 'monica29' - who was this very dedicated individual?  I clicked on the link, to be greeted with ...Ho, hum.Spreadin' the word, spreadin' the word.  Doesn't matter who hears it, as long as it gets out there. ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Worth repeating forever
    There have been three polls since the election was announced, and I will shamelessly steal YouGov / UK Polling Report's Anthony Wells' summary of them:Survation – CON 34%, LAB 26%, LDEM 19%, BREX 12%, GRN 1% Ipsos MORI – CON 41%, LAB 24%, LDEM 20%, BREX 7%, GRN 3% YouGov ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Lutte Ouvriere on the explosion in Chile
    The following article is translated from Lutte Ouvrière, the weekly newspaper of the organisation usually known by the same name in France. When, for the second time this year, Chilean President Piñera announced an increase in the price of Metro tickets from 800 to 830 pesos, students in the high ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Wage theft – I’m fucking over it.
    Today, a worker contacted me asking if she could go to the police over her employer stealing thousands of dollars from her in unpaid wages. The employer also did not pay this worker’s taxes or student loan which amounts to tax fraud. As a workers rights activist, who founded the ...
    PosseBy chloeanneking
    2 weeks ago
  • On The Rebound.
    Signed, Sealed, Delivered, They're Yours: Is there any person more vulnerable than a jilted lover on the rebound? Or, anything more certain than that the charmer, the predator, the glib spinner of lies and promises will seek such broken people out? Yes, of course, he will love every one of ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Rabbi urges congregation to vote against Corbyn
    Though Jonathan Romain is a fairly high profile Rabbi, writing in several papers and popping up on TV and the radio, this story doesn't seem to have made it to the Guardian yet, so I'll take the unusual step of linking the Stephen Pollard edited Jewish Chronicle:Rabbi Dr Jonathan Romain ...
    2 weeks ago
  • My absurdly optimistic prediction
    There's an election afoot, and that is when noted opinion formers such as myself get to make wild fools of ourselves by pretending we have the faintest idea what will happen.So, here is my absurdly optimistic prediction:Labour - 285Conservative - 262SNP - 53Lib Dems - 20PC - 5Ireland - 18 ...
    2 weeks ago
  • October ’19 – NZ blogs sitemeter ranking
    Image Credit: Increase Social Media Traffic & Website Traffic I notice a few regulars no longer allow public access to the site counters. This may happen accidentally when the blog format is altered. If your ...
    2 weeks ago
  • A mountain of a challenge in banning glyphosate
    Belinda Cridge I was reading my son a story last night. A great tale of derring-do of five mountaineers scaling the Matterhorn for the first time. One in the party had tried six times previously and failed, this was the last attempt before winter closed another season. They tried a ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • This government has a problem with secrecy
    As introduced, the Zero Carbon Bill included an expansive secrecy clause, which would have covered virtually all decisions by the Climate Change Commission over our most important policy area. The Ministry for the Environment admitted this was a mistake (or as they put it, an "oversight"), and the select committee ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • A small New Zealand songbird that hides food for later use provides insights into cognitive evolutio...
    Rachael Shaw, Victoria University of Wellington When we think about animals storing food, the image that usually comes to mind is a squirrel busily hiding nuts for the winter. We don’t usually think of a small songbird taking down an enormous invertebrate, tearing it into pieces and hiding these titbits ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Referenda on Euthanasia – NZ First’s Victory – or a Major Miscalculation?
    . . NZ First’s success in putting the euthenasia bill to a public referenda may not be the victory they believe it to be. They may even have sounded the death-knell for a second Labour-NZ First-Green coalition. On 23 July this year, NZ First MP, Jenny Marcroft, submitted a Supplementary ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    2 weeks ago
  • Corbyn the Mighty vs BoJo the Clown
    Interesting contrasting pictures in the Guardian:Corbyn gets the classic positive shot - low angle and a clear background, making him look authoritative (of course, being Corbyn, he doesn't do authoritative very well).Where as Johnson gets pictured with children at some sort of mad-hatters' tea party:Begging the question, who is the ...
    2 weeks ago

  • Addressing miscarriages of justice
    Darroch Ball, Spokesperson for Justice New Zealand First is proud that a key Coalition Agreement commitment which will provide for a more transparent and effective criminal justice system has been realised. Legislation to establish the Criminal Cases Review Commission, an independent body focused on identifying and responding to possible miscarriages of ...
    19 hours ago
  • Week That Was: Historic action on climate change
    "Today we have made a choice that will leave a legacy... I hope that means that future generations will see that we, in New Zealand, were on the right side of history." - Jacinda Ardern, Third Reading of the Zero Carbon Bill ...
    5 days ago
  • Tax-free deployments for Kiwi troops
    Darroch Ball, New Zealand First List MP A Member’s bill has been proposed that would provide income tax exemptions for all New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) personnel while on operational deployment overseas. The Income Tax (Exemption for Salary or Wages of NZDF Members on Active Deployment) Amendment Bill proposed by New Zealand First ...
    6 days ago
  • A balanced Zero Carbon Bill passed
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, New Zealand First Leader New Zealand First is proud to have brought common sense to the Climate Change Response (Zero Carbon) Amendment Bill, which passed its final reading in Parliament today. Party Leader Rt Hon Winston Peters says months of hard work went into negotiating a balanced ...
    7 days ago
  • Paramedics’ status to be recognised
    Jenny Marcroft MP, Spokesperson for Health New Zealand First has listened to calls to recognise paramedics as registered health professionals under the Health Practitioners’ Competence Assurance Act (the Act). Today, the Coalition Government announced plans for paramedics to be registered as health practitioners under the Act, and the establishment of a ...
    1 week ago
  • Week That Was: 2,000 teachers in two years
    We began the week by commemorating the New Zealand Wars and celebrating a major increase in the number of teachers. Then, we were busy supporting offenders into work and getting our rail back on track after years of underinvestment. And that's just the start! ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Winning an election one conversation at a time
    In October I was sworn in as the Mayor of Lower Hutt. It’s the privilege of my life to serve Hutt people as their Mayor. There is something really special to be able to serve the community where I was raised, and where I live.   ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Closer cooperation with Korean horse racing industry
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister for Racing Racing Minister Winston Peters met with Korea Racing Authority Chairperson Nak Soon Kim in Seoul today to discuss closer cooperation between the New Zealand and Korean horse racing industries. As part of the visit to the Seoul Racecourse, Mr Peters witnessed ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Otago to lead digital creativity
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) is investing $10 million to establish Otago as the centre of New Zealand’s creative digital industry over the next ten years, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones announced today. “The initiative will bring us closer to the vision of ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Young Otago students encouraged to take on forestry careers
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF)’s skills and employment programme will help young Otago people into long-term forestry careers, Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones announced today. Te Ara Mahi will invest $63,000 in the 2020 school year to support eight 17 and 18 ...
    2 weeks ago
  • PGF backing Dunedin’s waterfront ambitions
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) will support local plans to revitalise and stimulate economic development opportunities in Otago, Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones has announced. The four Regional Economic Development Ministers have approved an in-principle investment of $19.9 million towards the region’s ...
    2 weeks ago
  • M. Bovis eradication progress welcomed
    Mark Patterson, Spokesperson for Primary Industries New Zealand First is pleased to have received the Technical Advisory Group (TAG) report on the Coalition Government’s Mycoplasma bovis eradication efforts, which shows significant progress in the fight against the disease. New Zealand First Spokesperson for Primary Industries, Mark Patterson, says the report’s findings ...
    2 weeks ago
  • PGF boosts Otago’s engineering and manufacturing sector
    Hon Shane Jones, Minister for Regional Economic Development Hon David Parker, Minister for Trade and Export Growth The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) is investing to support economic growth opportunities for Otago’s engineering and manufacturing sectors, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones and Trade and Export Minister David Parker announced today. Almost $20 million ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Minister Peters discusses Pacific challenges and denuclearisation in Seoul
    Rt Hon Winston Peters, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Foreign Affairs Foreign Minister Winston Peters and his South Korean counterpart, Kang Kyung-wha, discussed in Seoul today opportunities to work more closely in the Pacific and the situation on the Korean Peninsula. Mr Peters and Minister Kang confirmed New Zealand and the ...
    2 weeks ago
  • PGF supports high speed broadband for marae at Parihaka Pa
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