Big day for the New Zealand Labour government as it opens up its books to reveal its true level of debt. This is what it cost to keep us at 3.4% unemployed and not sinking into social anomie. And the Reserve Bank puts the choke on us all with another rate rise.
And Robertson has to watch Labor Australia's budget as well. The previous government had tax cuts are already legislated, and due to come into effect in July 2024. The changes create a 30% flat tax rate for anyone earning between $45,000 and $200,000. Flattening the tax scales costs the budget $244bn over 10 years. My bet is Labor says they can't afford that and reverse the tax cuts. This would align the objectives of fiscal and monetary policy, which is important when the RBA is trying to subdue inflation with the very blunt instrument of rate hikes. That is a tough process that belts leveraged working families through higher borrowing costs.
I expect our government to just keep borrowing and subsidising us more because most of us don't earn as much as Australians and we are simply more brittle. More debt will now come at a pretty high political price from ascendant Act and National.
Your mortgage (if you really have one) is keeping me afloat via marginally better returns on bank deposits. And those deposits mostly come from a lifetime of saving. If you want to construct society as a competition, you'll have to accept that sometimes you win and sometimes you lose.
Come to Rotorua, check out your local level of unemployment which sits at 11% and realise that Labour is no where to see and has no plans and will not come to town to pretend they have plans lest the local populaces shows up to pelt them with rotten eggs and tomatoes.
Mind, all of this is coming to a town near you in soon enough time. That is all Labours books is going to show.
Nothing to do with the lack of Tourism due to Covid.Lack of investment by National who control most rural electorates knowing they vote National mostly.National love high unemployment because it keeps wages down ,keeps inflation under control, then they bully the poor blaming the poor for political gain.
[please correct typo in your e-mail address, thanks]
Yep, true that, we moved to Hastings about 20 odd years ago, and this town was in a very sorry state indeed…consequently commercial rents where low in the city back then as well, so starting a business was at least a viable option.
Also now I think about it, back then working on a orchard picking fruit paid pretty well, there where several established big industries that also afforded reasonable social mobility through pretty decent wages and job stability…all that is now gone….it seems very obvious that something inherent within the capitalist free market economic ideology that both Labour and National are both adherents of, is seriously wrong..and of course the poor and workers pay the highest price for us all being tied to a broken economic ideology
ACT's answer to the rural unemployment problem and Nationals by default is to move the unemployed to the big population center's where there are jobs.But no housing or support networks.Winston had his $1 billion dollar a year provincial growth fund which was dropped by Labour so neither of the major parties have a rural investment policy.
[please correct typo in your e-mail address, thanks]
Winston wasted 30 million on synthetic racecourses, one at Riccarton not in a provincial area. They are fast becoming a liability not used by racing participants as they are becoming an animal welfare issue with a huge number of breakdowns and deaths of horses. The money could have been better used to support provincial growth.
Rotorua has always been mainly right wing. Your attitude does not surprise me!! When National Act get in and your "Good times' fail to materialise, I want to see you bitching here.
Tell me what are they offering?… no Policy yet, and the same old crew, plus Uffy.
The impact of prosperity/poverty is highly uneven across provincial NZ. Some areas are going remarkably well. I am amazed at the prosperity in Hawkes Bay these days, and any town that is associated with things that go "Moo" is looking most smart indeed.
However, towns and regions associated with defunct industry or structurally stuck with "emerging economy" ownership models and politics (i.e. Northland) are still struggling to make headway. Those places have generational problems that have been festering for forty years.
"The Hastings-Napier Heretaunga Plains are doing great"…..not sure if know this, but the Napier water front on the Awatoto end is the semi permanent base of the homeless who live in their cars and tents..often whole families…most of our motels are taken up with homeless people also, rents are outrageously high…and also not sure if you are aware of the despicable way many of the RSE workers have been, and I am reliably informed, still are being treated?…which of course the corporate owners and orchard managers are well aware of….
So yeah if you are ok normalizing homelessness, rent gouging and worker exploitation, then I guess you could say that "The Hastings-Napier Heretaunga Plains are doing great"…personally I am not at all OK with normalizing any of the above, but then I am on the Left Wing of politics, so of course I don't.
We must live in a different Hawkes Bay. The levels of homelessness, the schools that are resigned to being nothing more than holding pens for feral children ..the appalling hopelessness of people on hospital waiting lists,…lets face it ..we live in a Society that has fully embraced the idea of inequality, literally right under peoples noses, as being just the norm, barely worth noticing, as long as the Poors (of all ages) keep to their own ghettos where we don't have to see them,…..while the property developers make nice precincts for the liberal class to mill around in….either that or we have to talk ourselves into thinking we live in an area that totally transformed over the last 5 years..
"In the HBDHB, 29.1% (64/220) of data zones were in NZ's 20% most income deprived, while only 12.7% (28/220) of data zones were in the 20% least income deprived. The median income deprivation rank in the HBDHB was 3755, 13.0% (776 ranks) worse than the NZ median.17/10/2017"
..we live in a Society that has fully embraced the idea of inequality, literally right under peoples noses, as being just the norm, barely worth noticing, as long as the Poors (of all ages) keep to their own ghettos where we don't have to see them
Well said – sad but true, and maybe this is as good as it gets. Time will tell.
Those Stuff reporters came looking for “the bad stuff” aided and abetted by National. Will they do anything for those people they currently shed crocodile tears over? Hell no. Not a thing!!!
We have more homes being built in Rotorua than any other time. More land being zoned for building and intensification.
As a lawyer you know how long that takes to get underway. All areas have problems made worse by the Pandemic. With one and three quarter million cases, 10% with long covid… yes we all have problems.
Rotorua housing homeless in the many motels that used to be Tourist havens is one problem. It is being worked on, to say otherwise is stretching the truth.
Patricia, if people 20 years…(hell 50 years!) younger than "your age", had your level of nous…and, that most uncommon combination with Empathy, NZ….well, Our Blue Dot would be so well off. It would be literally a Good Place.
Keep up your observations. I always read with Interest. And Respect.
"So much bitching moaning and hyperbole!!"….I would like to see you go and say that to one of the families living in their cars on our Napier waterfront….yes National are bad, that goes without saying…but understand that Labour have tied themselves to the mast of a fast sinking failed Freemarket Capitalist economic ideology that is nothing less than a Death Cult at this point, that is just a sad but unavoidable fact.
In reality as it stand today, we really only have the option of National driving the train directly toward the cliff…or Labour taking the scenic route toward exactly the same cliff.
Iam inclined to agree Sabine. But don't think they should be driven from the country as such. But it is looking more and more likely they will be voted out.
BTW did you see the TOP announcement on tax? They will make the first $15,000 tax free and then 20% tax rate up to $80,000. They will pay for this with a tax on land .75%. They say land records are well kept and not so possible to dodge paying. Superannunants can defer paying until they pass away.
They are also going to give some billon dollars to community housing organisations to build more housing.
And they are going to write off beneficiary debt.
First time in a long while, I felt some optimism that things could change, but I don't want to get my hopes up too much.
The end of certainty
How long did that “long 20th century” last? DeLong thinks it ended in 2010, making it a long century of 140 years. Since the global financial crisis, we have been unable to return economic growth to anything like the pace of those 140 glorious years.
Today, DeLong says material wealth remains “criminally” unevenly distributed. And even for those who have enough, it doesn’t seem to make us happy – at least “not in a world where politicians and others prosper mightily from finding new ways to make and keep people unhappy”.
DeLong sees “large system-destabilizing waves of political and cultural anger from masses of citizens, all upset in different ways at the failure of the system of the twentieth century to work for them as they thought that it should”.
Rotorua's overall deprivation is 8 with 10 the worst. Some of its suburbs are, from the July report, "among the most deprived communities in New Zealand."
Maori are about 40% of Rotorua's population and all social issues hit Maori disproportionally. That's 4 out of 10 Rotorua families.
Almost 30% of households were considered to be in the top 10% of the most vulnerable NZ households. 78% were "performing below the national average."
About 33% of working-age Maori are unemployed, 41% were not homeowners, 18% do not have access to the internet.
Housing quality for Maori ranks 56th out of 67 tla's due to damp and mould, and 59th out of 67 for overcrowding.
Rotorua is ranked 66 out of 67 for all local authorities for crime.
But if you don't want to hear facts, you can hear the impact of that from the leadership: Te Tatau o Te Arawa chairman Te Taru White said the report was a "recognisable picture. You can't put any sugar over this."
He said the district was not the same as it had been seven years ago "by a long shot" and he no longer felt safe at night.
This is not a picture of what you call "grotty photos".
Labour central were protected from this until recently because Steve Chadwick was an ex Labour MP. The covers are now being pulled off.
Labour have been in power for two terms and this is not the result of a functioning Labour government.
they just want to pretend that all is well, as the other option would be too scary.
so they will insult, belittle everyone who dares ask questions, who dares not to agree.
and fwiw, this is the result of a ‘functioning’ labour government. This did not happen accidentally. This happens because they simply refused to listen to anyone who asked them to consider other options. It is their way or the high way. And Labour will be paying that bill for the next few decades if it still exists as a party in the future.
It's interesting watching the Rotorua elite get all huffy when the results of decades long profit gouging and exploitation are shoved right back in their face in the form of social issues in emergency housing.
Patricia you and I are 80 years of age and we are women. That means we are comparatively-speaking ignorant and lacking intellectual heft. We don't have the benefit of having spent our working lives in a technically advanced digital world and therefore we don't always understand modern day technical speak. I certainly don't anyway.
In short, that makes us inferior and we must learn to bow to our younger brethren whose knowledge and experience is so much greater than ours.
I know sarcasm is supposed to be the lowest form of wit but sometimes…..
Ahh, sorry Patricia. I didn't see your reply. Glad to note I was right. 🙂
Rotorua seems to have been building up to the current situation for a long time. The Covid outbreak has served to exacerbate the problem.
Ad is firing off on the back of one report with a shock/horror headline.
I know a little bit from a family member who is a police officer in Rotorua. It sounds to me like a deep seated problem which is going to take many years to turn around. When one reads the linked article, it is clear the local council, together with other affected entities, are doing as much as they can.
Instead of heaping criticism on them isn't it better to give them positive support?
i think what it is on this site is tribalism. Labour all one's life and therefore pay selective attention to things Labour may have achieved and avoid their catastrophic failures.
Anne and Patricia, you are both entitled to your views. I based my judgement on people's arguements not whether I perceive them to be technologically competent or older (god knows I am pretty old myself)
Having been a loyal Labour member and supporter all my life, it has been profoundly disillusioning to observe what is happening to our country on their watch. I know they have had Covid to deal with and that was some challenge, but its all the other stuff for me.
The Health system. They have set up an expensive bureacracy, but still the nurses pay agreement hasn't been finalized. They cut the $100 shift bonus for nurses recently. IMO they have treated health workers (including mid wives) with contempt. These are the people who will give us the best treatment and save our lives. Little has prioritized a health re structure when the ship is sinking.
Housing……f up.
Education, kids not attending schools and Jan Tinettis response is an add showing how great school is. Yeah that will work won't it. Not. BTw I saw it in the add break of the Prime news at 5.30pm and thought, yes, good, kids who don't attend school will be tuned in to Eric reading the 5. 330 pm news.
Labour have spent up large and things in NZ are worse.
The 'problem' is the widespread and frankly mad belief that (overall) things should get better. They will not – not under Labour, not under NAct, not under anyone. And how could they – we’ve fouled our own nest (spaceship Earth), and there’s no getting out of it.
The end of certainty
How long did that “long 20th century” last? DeLong thinks it ended in 2010, making it a long century of 140 years. Since the global financial crisis, we have been unable to return economic growth to anything like the pace of those 140 glorious years.
Today, DeLong says material wealth remains “criminally” unevenly distributed. And even for those who have enough, it doesn’t seem to make us happy – at least “not in a world where politicians and others prosper mightily from finding new ways to make and keep people unhappy”.
DeLong sees “large system-destabilizing waves of political and cultural anger from masses of citizens, all upset in different ways at the failure of the system of the twentieth century to work for them as they thought that it should”.
Rural towns have had it good for a number of years now on the back of river-trashing dairy intensification and high milk prices.
It was time to reset, almost everyone wanted that reset, so now rural towns must take their beans rather than rush headlong into environmental disaster.
Sabine, is the 11% that Rotorua shows a recent trend upwards away from its usual stats? If so, what has happened locally that caused the increase- loss of tourism, timber industry, local closures?
Where I live, a SI rural town, we are at less than three percent unemployment and are importing labour as RSE workers. Perhaps our demographic which contains the highest % of seniors in the country affects the unemployment figures.
Is Rotorua’s 11% high age related? With the number of motel housed residents in Rotorua, is the housing industry locally moribund? Are the figures also distorted by social housing needs being met in Rotorua by the motel band-aid solution and people moving there for housing?
That was from the pre-election report that the council commisioned.
It is by now worse. The plumbers and other trades people started laying off staff now as people can no longer afford to call them in prices are too expensive.
Seriously people need to understand that Rotorua was just the canary in the coalmine. And the canary died.
I would not be surprised if that number has not gone up since.
And thanks to all the shit happening, local tourists are not staying over night, coming in only for a bit of mountain biking and then leaving. So there is no revenue coming in.
Vote Labour, cause they really really don't give a fuck.
It does seem that once the decision was taken to house the most vulnerable in Rotorua's hotels was taken there was nowhere enough thought given to support services or a pathway to getting people back on their feet and back into their previous communities. Instead the govt contracted out the 'support service' no doubt making some considerable amounts of money and it seems against advice undermined the human rights of the 'Tennants' in the emergency housing by removing them from the protections the Tenancy act provides.
That last part is on this government. How we ended up in this situation sits with all our govts over the last 30 years.
There is some commonality in the areas that are doing poorly. Generally dependant on low paid tourism and horticultural work and a younger Maori population. It is no co-incidence that Auckland urban areas doing poorly are also with high young Maori and Pacifika populations.
Some disparity is a consequence of having a young population – people generally earn less while young, are obviously more likely to be out of the work force to have children and so on.
Some is clearly as a reason of insecure work which regardless of age is more likely to be given by the labour market to Maori and Pacfic Island workers. The level of racism inherent in the New Zealand labour market – especially to its own population is mind-blowing. It clear that many employers would rather import labour than employ local (Maori and Pacific) workers. RSE has its place as it does seem to have cleaned up some (but not all) of the illegal labour orchardists used to use.
Maori business is growing which will offset some of the racism that exists in the current labour market but I suspect will have its challenges. If lots of existing businesses got well ahead by paying back-handers (tourism and building industry for two examples), by exploiting workers, by suppressing wages and being racist, by pocketing cash sales under the table, etc does this mean that Maori business will only succeed by doing the same thing i.e. it is a fixed game in order to be competitive.
The thing is that all governments know these demographics and the consequences of them. Talking about reducing taxes when we know for instance we have an older European population who is placing an ever increasing burden on health and welfare seems suicidal. Supporting continuously low paid low productivity industries like tourism also seems equally stupid. Not fully supporting our young population to thrive and to become the future tax payers is also dumb.
There are people doing good stuff out there but we don't hear enough about them and we don't regulate to ensure others behave as well or don't enforce when we do regulate.
In many ways all the conspiracy bullshit is just playing into existing business owners hands – they are not affected by it really and can just carry on while everyone is distracted doing the old company town cycle.
Suppress wages and exploit to make excess profit
Own the houses (and motels) that your workers have to rent
Own the finance companies that lend you money to buy stuff that you can't afford because of 1 and 2.
It is a typical capitalist exploitive arrangement that then leads to:
Blame the poor
Charity not welfare
Until we decide as a society to stop this insidious slide back into Victorian exploitation we are shot.
The graph shows the poll figures averages (the coloured dots are the actual poll figures, and the line is the average between them)
The latest RM poll is (as I said last night) an outlier based on the recent polling. RM have form on this – they produced a poll last April with 8% between the parties – which wasn't shown by other polls, or by them subsequently. So it seems as though their results might be a little more variable and/or prone to error.
We'll need to see what the next polls show, to see if this is a trend. Curia will be polling now (they always do the first week of the month), so shouldn't be too long to wait.
However, even with these rose-coloured-glasses – this is not a good result for Labour – they are certainly not rising in the polls.
The really interesting thing (to me, at least) is the continued strength of the 'minor' parties (ACT/Greens). I think that, whether the election goes right or left, the minor parties are going to have a much greater influence on the government than they have had previously.
Big day for the New Zealand Labour government as it opens up its books to reveal its true level of debt.
Between the budget update and the May ( last figures) update net debt increased 5 billion.
Total borrowing reached 202,617 b and increase on the budget figures of 8.6 billion.Watch for the spin as they try to sell a lower figure,its only for the voters the markets calculate risk on the actual debt,and ability to pay.
Iranian security forces stole the body of a 16-year-old protester, and buried her secretly in a village, sources close to the family told BBC Persian.
The family had planned to bury Nika Shakarami on Monday, but her body was snatched and buried in a village about 40km (25 miles) away, the sources said.
If you promise your wife you've done enough for your career, then change your mind for the money, well what happens is you've fucked up your marriage and your family permanently.
National Party leader Christopher Luxon is standing firm on cutting taxes for the highest paid despite the turmoil caused by a similar plan in the United Kingdom.
Well of course. Never mind the "mistakes" …Kinda puts in mind of WW1 British Generals. (most Generals for that! ) Keep a frontal assault on the machine guns. We have more men than they have bullets. And WE will be ok.
Maybe ol' Lux-deluxe had General Haig..or similar, as one of his historic heroes?
ACT's answer to the rural unemployment problem and Nationals by default is to move the unemployed to the big population center's where there are jobs.But no housing or support networks.Winston had his $1 billion dollar a year provincial growth fund which was dropped by Labour so neither of the major parties have a rural investment policy.
They will continue to fade away back to where they were when Little was leader.
Probably just as well Ms Adern has a well supported international profile so her future employment is assured.
They don't know her as well as we do.
Meanwhile the new messiah is trying to justify tax increases for the struggling rich.
Apparently our economy is doing so much better than the U.K and its time to give more of our money back to those up top. At least he is consistent but like the rest of the Nasty Natz it always thinks it can fix the problem by making the rich a little richer.
Asked about reducing the top tax rate for high-income earners, he said New Zealand had a higher cost of living and lower wages than other countries and in a competitive world, it needed tax incentives.
Well at least Aloha Luxon admits we are a low wage economy and he like his predecessors and business leaders want to keep it that way.
There is a reason that Luxon looks so smug when asked the same question again and again and he trots out the same stuff. But sadly the peasants latch onto the parts which say, wasteful spending, incompetent government, unfinished projects, too high taxes on your money etc etc.
Anker we are the peasants. I know this because I hear ordinary chaps like me explain to reporters that this Government is hopeless because that nice Air N man told me often about that, so what he says must be true. Perception?
And Luxon does look smug when being given the chance in QT to say it all again.
What's that you say, strong economy? Deficit half what was forecast?
Intelligent people can tell the economy is strong, just drive on the motorway, go to the shopping malls on the weekend. Don't need Treasury to convince, or the opposition to try convince otherwise.
Grant Robertson exposes the constant lying coming out of the boardrooms:
Finance Minister Grant Robertson said that “while there are some ‘mood surveys’ that say one thing about New Zealand’s corporate sector, you can see from here that there was significant profits within our corporate sector evidenced by the corporate tax return to IRD”.
Robertson took a swipe at the National Party and at businesses unveiling the figures.
He took time in his speech to "call out" the National Party for criticising Covid spending that it had once supported, and he made a veiled reference to the NZ Herald's Mood of the Boardroom survey, noting that while "there are some 'mood' surveys that say one thing", corporate profits told a different story.
Robertson finished his speech with another dig at National.
"Now is not the time to fritter it away on tax cuts for the wealthiest New Zealanders and property speculators," he said, referencing National's tax cut policy.
Grant Robertson exposes the constant lying coming out of the boardrooms:
As ever. Continuous. "Belts must be tightened" (just not theirs).. "The employee wages ! " Who EVER looks at what these fkn Board members..or useless "managers" receive? When are they EVER Performance Reviewed?
And….you prob remember…sir Key and his "devilbeast" which the slimy creep lobbed to derail Labour and Greens.
Also…different Bank "spokespeople" who continually (and IMO malignantly) threw all the shit at Labour Greens.
We must fight hard as, to prevent those Nact creeps from throwing NZ back to…the dogs.
Then to compensate for every tax payer except those within the lowest threashold could have their INCREASE in tax paid compensated with an increase of the tax theasholds. Pay increases below inflation (which is most of us) and paying more in tax how is that allowing for this prosperity, less in real terms of after tax income ???
Instead of 'frittering' it on those richies that don't need it, how about 'spending' it on those poor-ohs that do! Then tax the richies at the same time. Who the hell would feel sorry for them?
Luxon's tax cuts for the well off who have had massive untaxed wealth gains during the pandemic . the subsequent massive disruption to the just in time supply line ,local food supplies and the Ukrainian war disruption of oil , gas and grain supplies leading to inflation.Which is hitting the middle classes and poor really badly.We shouldn't criticise Luxon let him have his Tricledown fantasy and let him cling to it,as 65% of New Zealand is against Tax cuts for the well off as they have already had the lions share of the $50 billion QE money print.The peasants are paying for it in everyday rapidly rising accomodation and food cost's.Luxon is peddling cruelty to those who are struggling while those who have gained the most are being rewarded again.The well off! What will they do with their tax cut windfall while the rest line up at the food bank .The well off will be buying up under valued properties for more tax free capital gain making it even tougher for the poor to work there way out of poverty. Luxon = Tricledown=more widespread poverty.
A Newsroom survey of local election contenders reveals unexpected support to expand co-governance with iwi Māori – and already, some councils are embracing those principles by reversing their Three Waters positions
With the South Island’s two biggest cities both pulling out of the group spearheading Three Waters opposition to make peace with local iwi, the co-governance horse could be …..
Damn. The rest is behind the Newsroom paywall. Could hint a change of support which would help the 3 Waters initiative which the Opposition cynically oppose. Anyone have the substance of the article?
RBNZ increases OCR rate by .5 meeting market expectations,said .75 was on the table.
Market responds with currency appreciation (against US$) of 1.25%,as bond buyers come back and yields dropping on long bonds.
Anti inflationary to some extent as liquid fuel costs expected to increase with OPEC cut later tonight,and Whitehouse suggesting limits on distillate fuels.
" Ministers are already more than well-remunerated for their public service. We should not allow them to continue to corruptly profit from their public roles as some sort of "retirement package".
”More than 330,000 excess deaths in Great Britain in recent years can be attributed to spending cuts to public services and benefits introduced by a UK government pursuing austerity policies, according to an academic study.
The authors of the study suggest additional deaths between 2012 and 2019 – prior to the Covid pandemic – reflect an increase in people dying prematurely after experiencing reduced income, ill-health, poor nutrition and housing, and social isolation.”
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Nick Hanne writes – There’s a common malady suffered by bureaucracies the world over. They wish to save us from ourselves. Sadly, NZ officials are no less prone to exhibiting symptoms of this occupational condition.Observe, for instance, the reaction from certain public figures to the news ...
Peter Dunne writes – As the city of Tauranga prepares to elect a new Mayor and Council after three and a half years being run by government-appointed Commissioners, the case for replacing the Wellington City Council with Commissioners strengthens. The Wellington City Council has been dysfunctional for years, ...
This will be s short post. It stems from observations I made elsewhere about what might be characterised as some macro and micro aspects of contemporary collective violence events. Here goes. The conflicts between Israel and Palestine and France and … Continue reading → ...
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Bryce Edwards writes – Why aren’t politicians taking more action on the housing affordability crisis? The answer might lie in the latest “Register of Pecuniary Interests.” This register contains details of the various financial interests of parliamentarians. It shows that politicians own real estate in significant numbers. The ...
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Why aren’t politicians taking more action on the housing affordability crisis? The answer might lie in the latest “Register of Pecuniary Interests.” This register contains details of the various financial interests of parliamentarians. It shows that politicians own real estate in significant numbers. The register published on Tuesday contains a ...
Microsoft’s transparency about its failure to meet its own net-zero goals is creditable, but the response to that failure is worrying. It is offering up a set of false solutions, heavily buttressed by baseless optimism. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Here’s the top six news items of note in ...
Another Friday, another Rāmere Roundup! Here are a few things that caught our eye this week. This Week in Greater Auckland On Monday, our new writer Connor Sharp roared into print with a future-focused take on the proposed Auckland Future Fund, and what it could invest in. On ...
Still Waiting: Māori land remains in the hands of Non-Māori. The broken promises of the Treaty remain broken. The mana of the tangata whenua languishes under racist neglect. The right to wear the huia feather remains as elusive as ever. Perhaps these three transformations are beyond the power of a ...
Posters opposing the proposed Fast-Track Approvals legislation were pasted around Wellington last week. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: One of the architects of the RMA and a former National Cabinet Minister, Simon Upton, has criticised the Government’s Fast-Track Approvals bill as potentially disastrous for the environment, arguing just 1% ...
There was less sharing of the joy this week than at the Chinese New Year celebrations in February. China’s ambassador to NZ (2nd from right above) has toldLuxon that relations between China and New Zealand are now at a ‘critical juncture’ Photo: Getty / Xinhua News AgencyTL;DR: The podcast ...
The importance of New Zealand’s relationship with China was surely demonstrated yesterday with the surprise arrival in the capital of top Chinese foreign policy official Liu Jianchao. The trip was apparently organized a week ago but kept secret. Liu is the Minister of the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) International Liaison ...
With a crushing 20-plus point lead in the opinion polls, all the signs are that Labour leader Keir Starmer will be the PM after the general election on 4 July, called by Conservative incumbent Rishi Sunak yesterday. The stars are aligned for Starmer. Rival progressives are in abeyance: the Liberal-Democrat ...
We returned last week from England to London. Two different worlds. A quarter of an hour before dropping off our car, we came to a complete stop on the M25. Just moments before, there had been six lanes of hurtling cars and lorries. Now, everything was at a standstill as ...
Buzz from the Beehive A triumvirate of ministers – holding the Agriculture, Environment and RMA Reform portfolios – has announced the introduction of legislation “to slash the tangle of red and green tape throttling development in key sectors”, such as farming, mining and other primary industries. The exact name of ...
The Social Services and Community Committee has called for submissions on the Oranga Tamariki (Repeal of Section 7AA) Amendment Bill. Submissions are due by Wednesday, 3 July 2024, and can be made at the link above. And if you're wondering what to say: section 7AA was enacted because Oranga Tamariki ...
Michael Reddell writes – The Reserve Bank doesn’t do independent fiscal forecasts so there is no news in the fiscal numbers in today’s Monetary Policy Statement themselves. The last official Treasury forecasts don’t take account of whatever the government is planning in next week’s Budget, and as the Bank notes ...
Rob MacCulloch writes – We know the old saying, “Never trust a politician”, and the Charter School debate is a good example of it. Charter Schools receive public funding, yet “are exempt from most statutory requirements of traditional public schools, including mandates around .. human capital management .. curriculum ...
How Do We Silence Them? The ruling obsession of the contemporary Left is that political action undertaken by individuals or groups further to the right than the liberal wings of mainstream conservative parties should not only be condemned, but suppressed.WEB OF CHAOS, a “deep dive into the world of disinformation”, ...
Muriel Newman writes – As the new Government puts the finishing touches to this month’s Budget, they will undoubtedly have had their hands full dealing with the economic mess that Labour created. Not only was Labour a grossly incompetent manager of the economy, but they also set out ...
Today the British PM, Rishi Sunak, called a general election for the 4th of July. He spoke of the challenging times and of strong leadership and achievements. It was as if he was talking about someone else, a real leader, rather than he himself or the woeful list of Tory ...
This post marks the return of an old format: Photo of the Day. Recently I was in an apartment in one of those new buildings on Great North Road Grey Lynn at rush hour, perfect day, the view was stunning, so naturally I whipped out my phone: GNR 5pm Turns ...
The Government may struggle with the political optics of scrapping assistance for first home buyers while also cutting the tax burden on landlords, increasing concerns over the growing generational divide. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The Government confirmed it will dump first home buyer grants in the Budget next ...
Yesterday, the Reserve Bank confirmed there will be no free card for the economy to get out of jail during the current term of the Government. Regardless of what the Budget next week says, we are in for three years of austerity. Over those three years, we will have to ...
It doesn’t inspire confidence when politicians change their minds. But you must give credit when a bad idea is dropped. Last year, we reported on the determination of British PM Rishi Sunak to lead the world in regulating the dangers of Artificial Intelligence. Perhaps he changed his mind after meeting ...
This video includes conclusions of the creator climate scientist Dr. Adam Levy. It is presented to our readers as an informed perspective. Please see video description for references (if any). Is carbon dioxide removal - aka "negative emissions" - going to save us from climate change? Or is it just a ...
Headed for the legislative wastepaper basket… Buzz from the Beehive It looks like this government is just as ready as its predecessor to dip into the public funds it is managing to dispense millions of dollars to finance – and favour – the parties it fancies. Or ...
Rob MacCulloch writes – National and Labour and ACT have at various times waxed on about their “vision” of NZ as a high value-added world tech centerWhat subject is tech based upon? Mathematics. A Chicago mathematician just told me that whereas last decade ...
Eric Crampton writes – Danyl McLauchlan over at The Listener on the recent shift toward more contestability in public policy advice in education: Education Minister Erica Stanford, one of National’s highest-ranked MPs, is trying to circumvent the establishment, taking advice from a smaller pool of experts – ...
Ele Ludemann writes – That Kāinga Ora is a mess is no surprise, but the size of the mess is. There have been many reports of unruly tenants given licence to terrorise neighbours, properties bought and left vacant, and the state agency paying above market rates in competition ...
Bryce Edwards writes – It’s being explained as an “inadvertent error”. However, National MP David MacLeod’s excuse for failing to disclose $178,000 in donations for his election campaign last year is not necessarily enough to prevent some serious consequences. A Police investigation is now likely, and the result ...
The scathing “independent” review of Kāinga Ora barely hit the table before the coalition government had acted on it. The entire Kāinga Ora board will be replaced, and a new chair (Simon Moutter) has been announced. Hmm. No aspersions on Bill English, but the public would have had more confidence ...
I'll light the fireYou place the flowers in the vaseThat you bought todayA warm dry home, you’d think that would be bread and butter to politicians. Home ownership and making sure people aren’t left living on the street, that’s as Kiwi as Feijoa and Apple Crumble. Isn’t it?The coalition are ...
Politics is about compromise, right? And framing it so the voters see your compromise as the better one. John Key was a skilful exponent of this approach (as was Keith Holyoake in an earlier age), and Chris Luxon isn’t too bad either. But in politics, the process whereby an old ...
On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
It’s being explained as an “inadvertent error”. However, National MP David MacLeod’s excuse for failing to disclose $178,000 in donations for his election campaign last year is not necessarily enough to prevent some serious consequences. A Police investigation is now likely, and the result of his non-disclosure could even see ...
The relentless drone coming out of the Prime Minister and his deputy for a million days now has been that the last government was just hosing money all over the show and now at last the grownups are in charge and shutting that drunken sailor stuff down. There is a word ...
Buzz from the Beehive Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed a New Zealand Government plane will head to riot-torn New Caledonia in the next hour in the first in a series of proposed flights to begin bringing New Zealanders home. Today’s flight will carry around 50 passengers with the most ...
Precious declaration saysYours is yours and mine you leave alone nowPrecious declaration saysI believe all hope is dead no longerTick tick tick Boom!Unexploded ordnance. A veritable minefield. A National caucus with a large number of unknowns, candidates who perhaps received little in the way of vetting as the party jumped ...
Rex Ahdar writes – The Rt Hon Winston Peters, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, likes to trace his political lineage back to the pioneers of parliamentary Maoridom. I will refer to these as the ‘big four’ or better still, the Four Knights. Just as ...
Bryce Edwards writes – Willie Jackson will participate in the prestigious Oxford Union debate on Thursday, following in David Lange’s footsteps. Coincidentally, Jackson has also followed Lange’s footsteps by living in his old home in South Auckland. And like Lange, Jackson might be the sort of loud-mouth scrapper ...
That is the only way to describe an MP "forgetting" to declare $178,000 in donations. The amount of money involved - more than five times the candidate spending cap, and two and a half times the median income - is boggling. How do you just "forget" that amount of money? ...
In this week’s “A View from Afar” podcast Selwyn Manning and spoke about the upcoming US elections and what the possibility of another Trump presidency means for the US role in world affairs. We also spoke about the problems Joe … Continue reading → ...
Hi,Two years ago I briefly featured in Justin Pemberton’s Web of Chaos documentary, which touched on things like QAnon during the pandemic.I mostly prattled on about how intertwined conspiracy narratives are with Evangelical Christian thinking, something Webworm’s explored in the past.(The doc is available on TVNZ+, if you’re not in ...
The Government is leaving the entire construction sector and the community housing sector in limbo. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The Government released the long-awaited Bill English-led review of Kāinga Ora yesterday, but delayed key decisions on its build plan and how to help community housing providers (CHPs) build ...
This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Daisy Simmons Farmers who can’t sleep, worrying they’ll lose everything amid increasing drought. Youth struggling with depression over a future that feels hopeless. Indigenous people grief-stricken over devastated ecosystems. For all these people and more, climate change is taking a clear toll ...
New Zealand’s relationship with China is becoming harder to define, and with that comes a worry that a deteriorating political relationship could spill over into the economic relationship. It is about more than whether New Zealand will join Pillar Two of Aukus, though the Chinese Ambassador, more or less, suggested ...
Been hoping we would see something like this from Sir Geoffrey Palmer. This is excellent.The present Bill goes further than the National Development Act 1979 in stripping away procedures designed to ensure that environmental issues are properly considered. The 1979 approach was not acceptable then and this present approach is ...
He’s Got The Moxie: Only Willie Jackson possesses the credentials to meld together a new Labour message that is, at one and the same moment, staunchly working-class, union-friendly, and which speaks to the hundreds-of-thousands of urban Māori untethered to the neo-tribal capitalist elites of the Iwi Leaders Forum.IT’S ONE OF THE ...
Tree-huggers may well accuse the Government of giving them the fingers, after Energy Minister Simeon Brown announced new measures to protect powerlines from trees, rather than measures to protect trees from powerlines. It can be no coincidence, surely, that this has been announced at the same as Fisheries Minister Shane Jones ...
Willie Jackson will participate in the prestigious Oxford Union debate on Thursday, following in David Lange’s footsteps. Coincidentally, Jackson has also followed Lange’s footsteps by living in his old home in South Auckland. And like Lange, Jackson might be the sort of loud-mouth scrapper who could take over the Labour ...
Barrister Gary Judd KC’s complaint to the Regulatory Review Committee has sparked a fierce debate about the place of tikanga Māori – or Māori customs, values and spiritual beliefs – in the law.Judd opposes the New Zealand Council of Legal Education’s plans to make teaching tikanga compulsory in the legal curriculum.AUT ...
Alwyn Poole writes – In New Zealand we have approximately 460 high schools. The gaps between the schools that produce the best results for students and those at the other end of the spectrum are enormous.In terms of the data for their leavers, the top 30 schools have ...
Bryce Edwards writes – New Zealand First Cabinet Minister Shane Jones has become the best advertisement against the Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill. In selling the radical new resource consenting processes, in which ministers can green light any mine, dam, or other major development, Jones seems to be ...
Today New Zealand First will introduce a Member’s Bill that will protect New Zealanders' right of free speech. The “Protection of Freedom of Expression Bill” will ensure that no organisation or individual, when acting within the law, is unreasonably denied use of a public venue for an organised event or ...
The Green Party unequivocally condemns the governing parties’ attempts to limit the public’s say on the controversial Māori wards legislation, after the select committee considering the legislation set a deadline for submissions of just five days. ...
Disabled children and families nationwide have recently found out they’re no longer able to use disability support funding for programmes during school hours in another quiet update from the Government. ...
Following a horrific case of stalking that ended in tragedy, Labour’s police spokesperson Ginny Andersen has drafted a bill that would add stalking to the Crimes Act. ...
The Rt Hon Winston Peters, joined by Mike King, has announced $24 million over four years for the ‘I Am Hope Foundation’, and will provide young people aged between 5 to 25 years with free mental health counselling services. This funding will help I Am Hope’s ‘Gumboot Friday’ initiative give ...
Te Pāti Māori have launched a petition to stop the repeal of Section 7AA from the Oranga Tamariki Act. This announcement comes prior to the first reading of the Section 7AA repeal bill in Parliament today. “Section 7AA forces the Government to adhere to Te Tiriti o Waitangi with respect ...
The Government has yet again failed to do the one thing that needs to happen to ensure houses can be built – commit to ongoing funding, Labour housing spokesperson Kieran McAnulty said. ...
Treasury officials have outlined many ways in which the Fast Track Approvals Bill is deeply flawed, Labour environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking says. ...
Green Party co-leaders Marama Davidson and Chlöe Swarbrick used this year's State of the Planet to call on the Government to prioritise people and planet as the delivery of the Budget approaches. A full transcript of their speeches can be found below. ...
Green Party co-leaders Marama Davidson and Chlöe Swarbrick have used their State of the Planet speeches to challenge the Government to prioritise people and planet over profit as the delivery of the Budget approaches. ...
The Government’s introduction of legislation that would enable landlords to end tenancies with no reason marks a dark day for the 1.4 million people who rent their home in Aotearoa. ...
The Minister for Mental Health has found the Suicide Prevention Office and mental health support for 111 calls slipping through his fingers, says Labour spokesperson for Mental Health Ingrid Leary. ...
Today’s justification from the Minister for Children for scrapping protections for our tamariki was either a case of ignorance or deliberate deception. ...
The Green Party says the Government’s misguided policy on gangs will fail, following the announcement of the establishment of a national gang unit and district gang disruption units to target gang activities. ...
“With Police pay negotiations still unresolved after six months in Government, Mark Mitchell has today rolled the Commissioner out for a rebrand of their approach to gang crime,” Labour police spokesperson Ginny Andersen said. ...
The Government bringing back 50 charter schools will not increase achievement and is a distraction from the core mission of the education system, Labour education spokesperson Jan Tinetti said. ...
Te Pāti Māori is showing extreme concern over the Environment Select Committees adoption of a lucky dip draw to determine hearings for the Fast Track Approvals bill. Of the 27,000 submissions, 2,900 requested to present. All organisations will be heard; however, the remaining 2,350 submitters will be subject to a ...
Today New Zealand First will introduce a Member’s Bill that will protect women’s spaces. The ‘Fair Access to Bathrooms Bill’ will require, primarily in the interest and safety of women and girls, that all new non-domestic publicly accessible buildings provide separate, clearly demarcated, unisex and single sex bathrooms. This Bill ...
The Green Party is welcoming Climate Change Minister Simon Watts’ continuation of Hon. James Shaw’s cross-party work on climate adaptation, now in the form of a Finance and Expenditure Committee Inquiry. ...
The National Government plans to cut 390 jobs at ACC, including roles in the areas of prevention of sexual violence, road safety and workplace safety. ...
The Government has been caught in opposition to evidence once again as it looks to usher in tried, tested and failed work seminar obligations for job-seeking beneficiaries. ...
The Green Party is welcoming the announcement by the Minister Responsible for RMA Reform Chris Bishop to approve most of the Wellington City Council’s District Plan recommendations. ...
David Seymour has failed to get the sweeping cuts he wanted to the free and healthy school lunch programme, Labour education spokesperson Jan Tinetti said. ...
Hon Willie Jackson has been invited by the Oxford Union to debate the motion “This House Believes British Museums are not Very British’ on May 23rd. ...
Over the next four years, Budget 24 will support the training and recruitment of 1,500 teachers into the workforce, Education Minister Erica Stanford announced today. “To raise achievement and develop a world leading education system we’re investing nearly $53 million over four years to attract, train and retain our valued ...
1. New Zealand Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Rt Hon Winston Peters; Minister of Health and Minister for Pacific Peoples Hon Dr Shane Reti; and Minister for Climate Change Hon Simon Watts hosted Cook Islands Minister of Foreign Affairs and Immigration Hon Tingika Elikana and Minister of Health Hon Vainetutai Rose Toki-Brown on 24 May ...
The Government has approved two-year extensions for four New Zealand Defence Force deployments to the Middle East and Africa, Defence Minister Judith Collins and Foreign Minister Winston Peters announced today. “These deployments are long-standing New Zealand commitments, which reflect our ongoing interest in promoting peace and stability, and making active ...
The Climate Change Commission Chair, Dr Rod Carr, has confirmed his plans to retire at the end of his term later this year, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. “Prior to the election, Dr Carr advised me he would be retiring when his term concluded. Dr Rod Carr has led ...
Nine highly respected experts have been appointed to the inaugural board of the new Integrity Sport and Recreation Commission, Sport & Recreation Minister Chris Bishop says. “The Integrity Sport and Recreation Commission is a new independent Crown entity which was established under the Integrity Sport and Recreation Act last year, ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters confirmed today that Vote Foreign Affairs in Budget 2024 will balance two crucial priorities of the Coalition Government. While Budget 2024 reflects the constrained fiscal environment, the Government also recognises the critical role MFAT plays in keeping New Zealanders safe and prosperous. “Consistent with ...
New social housing funding in Budget 2024 will ensure the Government can continue supporting more families into warm, dry homes from July 2025, Housing Ministers Chris Bishop and Tama Potaka say. “Earlier this week I was proud to announce that Budget 2024 allocates $140 million to fund 1,500 new social ...
Introduction Today, we are sharing a red-letter occasion. A Blackball event on hallowed ground. Today we underscore the importance of our mineral estate. A reminder that our natural resource sector has much to offer. Such a contribution will not come to pass without investment. However, more than money is needed. ...
Increasing national and regional prosperity, providing the minerals needed for new technology and the clean energy transition, and doubling the value of minerals exports are the bold aims of the Government’s vision for the minerals sector. Resources Minister Shane Jones today launched a draft strategy for the minerals sector in ...
The coalition Government’s legislation to restore the rights of communities to determine whether to introduce Māori wards has passed its first reading in Parliament, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “Divisive changes introduced by the previous government denied local communities the ability to determine whether to establish Māori wards.” The ...
The coalition Government has today introduced legislation to slash the tangle of red and green tape throttling some of New Zealand’s key sectors, including farming, mining and other primary industries. RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop says the Government is committed to unlocking development and investment while ensuring the environment is ...
The decision by Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) to approve the continued use of hydrogen cyanamide, known as Hi-Cane, has been welcomed by Environment Minister Penny Simmonds and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay. “The EPA decision introduces appropriate environmental safeguards which will allow kiwifruit and other growers to use Hi-Cane responsibly,” Ms ...
Kia ora, Ngā mihi nui ki a koutou kātoa Tāmaki Herenga Waka, Tāmaki Herenga tangata Ngā mihi ki ngā mana whenua o tēnei rohe Ngāti Whātua ō Ōrākei me nga iwi kātoa kua tae mai. Mauriora. Greetings everyone. Thank you to the EMA for hosting this event. Let me acknowledge ...
The coalition Government is investing in social housing for New Zealanders who are most in need of a warm dry home, Housing Minister Chris Bishop says. Budget 2024 will allocate $140 million in new funding for 1,500 new social housing places to be provided by Community Housing Providers (CHPs), not ...
Thousands more young New Zealanders will have better access to mental health services as the Government delivers on its commitment to fund the Gumboot Friday initiative, says Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters and Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey. “Budget 2024 will provide $24 million over four years to contract the ...
The Coalition Government’s Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill, which will improve tenancy laws and help increase the supply of rental properties, has passed its first reading in Parliament says Housing Minister Chris Bishop. “The Bill proposes much-needed changes to the Residential Tenancies Act 1986 that will remove barriers to increasing private ...
Standing here in Cassino War Cemetery, among the graves looking up at the beautiful Abbey of Montecassino, it is hard to imagine the utter devastation left behind by the battles which ended here in May 1944. Hundreds of thousands of shells and bombs of every description left nothing but piled ...
I present a legislative statement on the Oranga Tamariki (Repeal of Section 7AA) Amendment Bill Mr. Speaker, I move that the Oranga Tamariki (Repeal of Section 7AA) Amendment Bill be now read a first time. I nominate the Social Services and Community Committee to consider the Bill. Thank you, Mr. ...
The Bill to repeal Section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act has had its first reading in Parliament today. The Bill reaffirms the Coalition Government’s commitment to the care and safety of children in care, says Minister for Children Karen Chhour. “When I became the Minister for Children, I made ...
Kia ora koutou, good morning, and zao shang hao. Thank you Fran for the opportunity to speak at the 2024 China Business Summit – it’s great to be here today. I’d also like to acknowledge: Simon Bridges - CEO of the Auckland Chamber of Commerce. His Excellency Ambassador - Wang ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed a New Zealand Government plane will head to New Caledonia in the next hour in the first in a series of proposed flights to begin bringing New Zealanders home. “New Zealanders in New Caledonia have faced a challenging few days - and bringing ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed a New Zealand Government plane will head to New Caledonia in the next hour in the first in a series of proposed flights to begin bringing New Zealanders home. “New Zealanders in New Caledonia have faced a challenging few days - and bringing them ...
The Coalition Government will introduce legislation this year that will enable roadside drug testing as part of our commitment to improve road safety and restore law and order, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Alcohol and drugs are the number one contributing factor in fatal road crashes in New Zealand. In ...
The Government has announced a series of immediate actions in response to the independent review of Kāinga Ora – Homes and Communities, Housing Minister Chris Bishop says. “Kāinga Ora is a large and important Crown entity, with assets of $45 billion and over $2.5 billion of expenditure each year. It ...
Associate Health Minister David Seymour is pleased that Pseudoephedrine can now be purchased by the general public to protect them from winter illness, after the coalition government worked swiftly to change the law and oversaw a fast approval process by Medsafe. “Pharmacies are now putting the medicines back on their ...
Tēnā koutou katoa. Da jia hao. Good morning everyone. Prime Minister Luxon, your excellency, a great friend of New Zealand and my friend Ambassador Wang, Mayor of what he tells me is the best city in New Zealand, Wayne Brown, the highly respected Fran O’Sullivan, Champion of the Auckland business ...
Energy Minister Simeon Brown has announced that the Government will make it easier for lines firms to take action to remove vegetation from obstructing local powerlines. The change will ensure greater security of electricity supply in local communities, particularly during severe weather events. “Trees or parts of trees falling on ...
Wairarapa Moana ki Pouakani were the top winners at this year’s Ahuwhenua Trophy awards recognising the best in Māori dairy farming. Māori Development Minister Tama Potaka announced the winners and congratulated runners-up, Whakatōhea Māori Trust Board, at an awards celebration also attended by Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Finance Minister ...
"On the 27th of March, I sought assurances from the Chief Executive, Department of Internal Affairs, that the Department’s correct processes and policies had been followed in regards to a passport application which received media attention,” says Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden. “I raised my concerns after being ...
Attorney-General Judith Collins has announced the appointment of three new District Court Judges, to replace Judges who have recently retired. Peter James Davey of Auckland has been appointed a District Court Judge with a jury jurisdiction to be based at Whangarei. Mr Davey initially started work as a law clerk/solicitor with ...
Associate Education Minister David Seymour is calling on the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) to put ideology to the side and focus on students’ learning, in reaction to the union holding paid teacher meetings across New Zealand about charter schools. “The PPTA is disrupting schools up and down the ...
Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly today announced the appointment of Craig Stobo as the new chair of the Financial Markets Authority (FMA). Mr Stobo takes over from Mark Todd, whose term expired at the end of April. Mr Stobo’s appointment is for a five-year term. “The FMA plays ...
Surf Life Saving New Zealand and Coastguard New Zealand will continue to be able to keep people safe in, on, and around the water following a funding boost of $63.644 million over four years, Transport Minister Simeon Brown and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “Heading to the beach for ...
New Zealand and Tuvalu have reaffirmed their close relationship, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters says. “New Zealand is committed to working with Tuvalu on a shared vision of resilience, prosperity and security, in close concert with Australia,” says Mr Peters, who last visited Tuvalu in 2019. “It is my pleasure ...
New Zealand is gravely concerned about the situation in New Caledonia, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “The escalating situation and violent protests in Nouméa are of serious concern across the Pacific Islands region,” Mr Peters says. “The immediate priority must be for all sides to take steps to de-escalate the ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon met today with Samoa’s O le Ao o le Malo, Afioga Tuimalealiifano Vaaletoa Sualauvi II, who is making a State Visit to New Zealand. “His Highness and I reflected on our two countries’ extensive community links, with Samoan–New Zealanders contributing to all areas of our national ...
Transport Minister Simeon Brown has announced that he has approved Waiheke Island ferry operator Island Direct to be eligible for SuperGold Card funding, paving the way for a commercial agreement to bring the operator into the scheme. “Island Direct started operating in November 2023, offering an additional option for people ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters today announced further sanctions on 28 individuals and 14 entities providing military and strategic support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. “Russia is directly supported by its military-industrial complex in its illegal aggression against Ukraine, attacking its sovereignty and territorial integrity. New Zealand condemns all entities and ...
A year on from the tragedy at Loafers Lodge, the Government is working hard to improve building fire safety, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “I want to share my sincere condolences with the families and friends of the victims on the anniversary of the tragic fire at Loafers ...
Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you so much for having me here in the lead up to my Government’s first Budget. Before I get started can I acknowledge: Simon Bridges – Auckland Business Chamber CEO. Steve Jurkovich – Kiwibank CEO. Kids born ...
“The situation in Gaza is desperate,” Will Alexander said. “It’s obvious to everyone that if Christopher Luxon truly cared, our government could do a lot more.” ...
ANALYSIS:By Nicole George, The University of Queensland New Caledonia’s capital city, Nouméa, has endured widespread violent rioting over the past three days. This crisis intensified rapidly, taking local authorities by surprise. Peaceful protests had been occurring across the country in the preceding weeks as the French National Assembly in ...
EDITORIAL:By Fred Wesley, editor-in-chief of The Fiji Times So 40 Fiji members of Parliament voted in favour of the Special Committee on Emoluments Report on the review of MPs’ salaries, allowances and benefits in Parliament on Friday. Now that’s not going down well with the masses, with many venting ...
First Hovel Grant Bishop Chris ventured out of the High Keep For his annual tour of the slums of the Holey Land. His litter bearers held his palanquin high Above the muck strewn and dilapidated alleys Of the Capital. The menials and peons swarmed around And pleaded for Alms from ...
Opinion: Following France’s President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to New Caledonia on Thursday, attention has turned to the country’s political future beyond the ongoing crisis. The uprising, which began on May 14, has demonstrated the capacity and determination of those involved to shut down the country and to inflict extensive economic ...
Asia Pacific ReportBy a Kanak from Aotearoa New Zealand in Kanaky I’ve been trying to feel cool and nice on this beautiful sunny day in Kanaky. But it has already been spoiled by President Emmanuel Macron’s flashy day-long visit on Thursday. Currently special French military forces are trying to ...
RNZ Pacific The survivors of a massive landslide in a remote village in Papua New Guinea’s highlands are still waiting for official help, more than 24 hours after the disaster. Hundreds are feared dead in Yambali village in Enga province after the landslide bulldozed homes and buried families alive early ...
By Miriam Zarriga in Port Moresby The United States has said it is “ready to lend a helping hand” to the people of Mulitaka, Enga province, after a devasting landslide swallowed an entire village in Papua New Guinea’s highlands yesterday. US President Joe Biden and his wife said in a ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Housing remains one of Australia’s most pressing issues in both state and federal politics. The RBA keeping rates up and high mortgage repayments have left many Australians struggling. For those Australians who don’t own a ...
This plan lacks any thought on how to drive New Zealand forward. Giving away rare minerals owned by every New Zealander for a measly return of 2.1% to the crown last year is simply ludicrous. ...
A West Coast conservation leader is lodging a complaint with Police after an officer barred her from a public meeting in Blackball, called by Resources Minister Shane Jones. The NZ First politician was in the historic coal-mining town on Thursday to launch the Government’s new draft minerals strategy, promising to ...
Editor Madeleine Chapman meets an old rival and wonders what could’ve been. Mōrena and welcome to The Weekend, where dreams and regrets have time and space to flower. What’s the thing in your life that you wish you had given more energy to? It could be a relationship, an exam, ...
This year, Tori Peeters will compete at the Paris Olympics in the javelin. Ten years ago, Madeleine Chapman thought she might be in the same position. She talks to Peeters about what it takes to go all the way and mulls her own life decisions in the process.No New ...
The star of High Country talks Tinkerbell, her love for Hawkeye Pierce and why a 98-year-old environmentalist is the most stylish man on television. Sara Wiseman has been a fixture on New Zealand television screens for nearly three decades. First appearing in Hercules and Xena Warrior Princess during the mid ...
Alex Casey takes a trip to Lincoln to visit the only couple from the first season of Married at First Sight NZ that’s still together. To cross the threshold into Brett and Angel’s marital abode is to be greeted with a welcome that sums up the MAFSNZ season one golden ...
In a new weekly interview series, we ask a different local artist to curate their dream weekend soundtrack. First up: Troy Kingi. Troy Kingi is a man on a well-documented mission to make 10 albums, in 10 genres, over 10 years. But finding himself creatively blocked while making his eighth ...
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Big day for the New Zealand Labour government as it opens up its books to reveal its true level of debt. This is what it cost to keep us at 3.4% unemployed and not sinking into social anomie. And the Reserve Bank puts the choke on us all with another rate rise.
And Robertson has to watch Labor Australia's budget as well. The previous government had tax cuts are already legislated, and due to come into effect in July 2024. The changes create a 30% flat tax rate for anyone earning between $45,000 and $200,000. Flattening the tax scales costs the budget $244bn over 10 years. My bet is Labor says they can't afford that and reverse the tax cuts. This would align the objectives of fiscal and monetary policy, which is important when the RBA is trying to subdue inflation with the very blunt instrument of rate hikes. That is a tough process that belts leveraged working families through higher borrowing costs.
I expect our government to just keep borrowing and subsidising us more because most of us don't earn as much as Australians and we are simply more brittle. More debt will now come at a pretty high political price from ascendant Act and National.
Tough day at the office.
Is my floating mortgage going up by 0.25% or 0.5%?
Your mortgage (if you really have one) is keeping me afloat via marginally better returns on bank deposits. And those deposits mostly come from a lifetime of saving. If you want to construct society as a competition, you'll have to accept that sometimes you win and sometimes you lose.
Ask your bank.
0.5% by the sounds of it.
Did the bank phone line put you on hold?
Come to Rotorua, check out your local level of unemployment which sits at 11% and realise that Labour is no where to see and has no plans and will not come to town to pretend they have plans lest the local populaces shows up to pelt them with rotten eggs and tomatoes.
Mind, all of this is coming to a town near you in soon enough time. That is all Labours books is going to show.
Similar stories in a lot of regional towns.
Te Kao. Kaitaia. Kaeo. Kaikohe. Go through the North Island starting from the top.
None of those towns were going anywhere a decade ago. You trying to put that on Labour is disingenuous at best.
Just another chance to seethe. Sad AF.
It's on any government. Labour is the current one.
Just another chance to act.
Just another chance not to be a LINO.
The absolute destruction of Rotorua is 100% on Labour
Nothing to do with the lack of Tourism due to Covid.Lack of investment by National who control most rural electorates knowing they vote National mostly.National love high unemployment because it keeps wages down ,keeps inflation under control, then they bully the poor blaming the poor for political gain.
[please correct typo in your e-mail address, thanks]
Mod note
You go tell yourself that every day now, and hope to hell that what was done to Rotorua is not coming to a place near you.
Other than the mechanization of looking killing jobs what else was done to rotorua?
Genuine?
Along with other struggling individuals and communities – not considered a priority to identify and/or help?
Yep, true that, we moved to Hastings about 20 odd years ago, and this town was in a very sorry state indeed…consequently commercial rents where low in the city back then as well, so starting a business was at least a viable option.
Also now I think about it, back then working on a orchard picking fruit paid pretty well, there where several established big industries that also afforded reasonable social mobility through pretty decent wages and job stability…all that is now gone….it seems very obvious that something inherent within the capitalist free market economic ideology that both Labour and National are both adherents of, is seriously wrong..and of course the poor and workers pay the highest price for us all being tied to a broken economic ideology
I can remember Northland topping 19% unemployed back in the 80,s and that was with out a pandemic and climate change moves to complicate things.
ACT's answer to the rural unemployment problem and Nationals by default is to move the unemployed to the big population center's where there are jobs.But no housing or support networks.Winston had his $1 billion dollar a year provincial growth fund which was dropped by Labour so neither of the major parties have a rural investment policy.
[please correct typo in your e-mail address, thanks]
Mod note
Winston wasted 30 million on synthetic racecourses, one at Riccarton not in a provincial area. They are fast becoming a liability not used by racing participants as they are becoming an animal welfare issue with a huge number of breakdowns and deaths of horses. The money could have been better used to support provincial growth.
Tauranga. Tokoroa. Taupo. Whakatane. Gisborne. and so on and so forth.
There is a reason we don't ever see regional unemployment numbers and just the 'average'.
Rotorua has always been mainly right wing. Your attitude does not surprise me!! When National Act get in and your "Good times' fail to materialise, I want to see you bitching here.
Tell me what are they offering?… no Policy yet, and the same old crew, plus Uffy.
Inhale into the paper bag, and take a trip to Rotorua or one of those other hardbitten towns Patricia.
Rage and denial doesn't help.
The impact of prosperity/poverty is highly uneven across provincial NZ. Some areas are going remarkably well. I am amazed at the prosperity in Hawkes Bay these days, and any town that is associated with things that go "Moo" is looking most smart indeed.
However, towns and regions associated with defunct industry or structurally stuck with "emerging economy" ownership models and politics (i.e. Northland) are still struggling to make headway. Those places have generational problems that have been festering for forty years.
The Hastings-Napier Heretaunga Plains are doing great.
Go further north to Wairoa and inland, or south anywhere from Marakakaho to Eketahuna.
Ain't pretty. The Deprivation Index still tells the compelling story.
Agreed Wairoa is basket case – The provincial villages – they are not really towns – outside of the dairy boom zone are all really, really dire.
"The Hastings-Napier Heretaunga Plains are doing great"…..not sure if know this, but the Napier water front on the Awatoto end is the semi permanent base of the homeless who live in their cars and tents..often whole families…most of our motels are taken up with homeless people also, rents are outrageously high…and also not sure if you are aware of the despicable way many of the RSE workers have been, and I am reliably informed, still are being treated?…which of course the corporate owners and orchard managers are well aware of….
So yeah if you are ok normalizing homelessness, rent gouging and worker exploitation, then I guess you could say that "The Hastings-Napier Heretaunga Plains are doing great"…personally I am not at all OK with normalizing any of the above, but then I am on the Left Wing of politics, so of course I don't.
Yes Sanctuary, correct. These are long standing problems made worse by covid.
We must live in a different Hawkes Bay. The levels of homelessness, the schools that are resigned to being nothing more than holding pens for feral children ..the appalling hopelessness of people on hospital waiting lists,…lets face it ..we live in a Society that has fully embraced the idea of inequality, literally right under peoples noses, as being just the norm, barely worth noticing, as long as the Poors (of all ages) keep to their own ghettos where we don't have to see them,…..while the property developers make nice precincts for the liberal class to mill around in….either that or we have to talk ourselves into thinking we live in an area that totally transformed over the last 5 years..
"In the HBDHB, 29.1% (64/220) of data zones were in NZ's 20% most income deprived, while only 12.7% (28/220) of data zones were in the 20% least income deprived. The median income deprivation rank in the HBDHB was 3755, 13.0% (776 ranks) worse than the NZ median.17/10/2017"
Well said – sad but true, and maybe this is as good as it gets. Time will tell.
Blow in a paper bag yourself.
I live here, and it is far better than during the GFC.
So much bitching moaning and hyperbole!!
Good luck with Luxon, his worst won't affect us, but I feel utterly sorry for the duped.
Rotorua Council's own pre-election analysis for everyone to read demonstrates a scary and damning decline, and shows with facts how wrong you are.
'Scary and damning' report paints grim picture of state of Rotorua | Stuff.co.nz
Read the report Patricia. Do something besides empty cheering.
Ad, do something yourself!! You are not 80!!
Those Stuff reporters came looking for “the bad stuff” aided and abetted by National. Will they do anything for those people they currently shed crocodile tears over? Hell no. Not a thing!!!
We have more homes being built in Rotorua than any other time. More land being zoned for building and intensification.
As a lawyer you know how long that takes to get underway. All areas have problems made worse by the Pandemic. With one and three quarter million cases, 10% with long covid… yes we all have problems.
Rotorua housing homeless in the many motels that used to be Tourist havens is one problem. It is being worked on, to say otherwise is stretching the truth.
Patricia, if people 20 years…(hell 50 years!) younger than "your age", had your level of nous…and, that most uncommon combination with Empathy, NZ….well, Our Blue Dot would be so well off. It would be literally a Good Place.
Keep up your observations. I always read with Interest. And Respect.
Appreciated Cycling Left always.
I've done the work for you below.
Two electoral terms is time for political accountability.
"So much bitching moaning and hyperbole!!"….I would like to see you go and say that to one of the families living in their cars on our Napier waterfront….yes National are bad, that goes without saying…but understand that Labour have tied themselves to the mast of a fast sinking failed Freemarket Capitalist economic ideology that is nothing less than a Death Cult at this point, that is just a sad but unavoidable fact.
In reality as it stand today, we really only have the option of National driving the train directly toward the cliff…or Labour taking the scenic route toward exactly the same cliff.
Turn Labour Left!
Perhaps I'm mistaken, but I thought Patricia once said she was domiciled (my word) in Rotorua in which case she might know what she is talking about.
Anne. Thanks. We have a large Maori population 37% Aprox and unemployment and rents always impact them first. ( and Gisborne 52%)
Our city is beautiful, and well cared for. Every town has its problems, You could take “grotty area “photos anywhere!!
There are problems, but they are not all on Labour. Forestry changed and jobs went. 1987 on…
None so blind as those that don't want to see.
Were you here during the GFC Sabine?
I do.
and that is why i say what i said. And that is why i will repeat what i said.
namely that what was done to Rotorua, or Tauranga, or Auckland or any of our towns is criminal.
And Jacinda and her motely crew of highly paid fuck ups should be driven from this country.
Iam inclined to agree Sabine. But don't think they should be driven from the country as such. But it is looking more and more likely they will be voted out.
BTW did you see the TOP announcement on tax? They will make the first $15,000 tax free and then 20% tax rate up to $80,000. They will pay for this with a tax on land .75%. They say land records are well kept and not so possible to dodge paying. Superannunants can defer paying until they pass away.
They are also going to give some billon dollars to community housing organisations to build more housing.
And they are going to write off beneficiary debt.
First time in a long while, I felt some optimism that things could change, but I don't want to get my hopes up too much.
Maybe that would 'fix' things – maybe that would make thing worse (always a possiblity). Time will tell, whenever.
Tbh, I don't understand why people are clinging to the (imho) unrealistic expectation that things will get better.
Forestry – Red Stag Timber, are the only gig left in town.
Inexcusable cant.
Rotorua's overall deprivation is 8 with 10 the worst. Some of its suburbs are, from the July report, "among the most deprived communities in New Zealand."
Maori are about 40% of Rotorua's population and all social issues hit Maori disproportionally. That's 4 out of 10 Rotorua families.
Almost 30% of households were considered to be in the top 10% of the most vulnerable NZ households. 78% were "performing below the national average."
About 33% of working-age Maori are unemployed, 41% were not homeowners, 18% do not have access to the internet.
Housing quality for Maori ranks 56th out of 67 tla's due to damp and mould, and 59th out of 67 for overcrowding.
Rotorua is ranked 66 out of 67 for all local authorities for crime.
'Scary' report paints grim picture of Rotorua | Te Ao Māori News (teaomaori.news)
But if you don't want to hear facts, you can hear the impact of that from the leadership: Te Tatau o Te Arawa chairman Te Taru White said the report was a "recognisable picture. You can't put any sugar over this."
He said the district was not the same as it had been seven years ago "by a long shot" and he no longer felt safe at night.
This is not a picture of what you call "grotty photos".
Labour central were protected from this until recently because Steve Chadwick was an ex Labour MP. The covers are now being pulled off.
Labour have been in power for two terms and this is not the result of a functioning Labour government.
they don't want to hear that.
they really do not want to hear that.
they just want to pretend that all is well, as the other option would be too scary.
so they will insult, belittle everyone who dares ask questions, who dares not to agree.
and fwiw, this is the result of a ‘functioning’ labour government. This did not happen accidentally. This happens because they simply refused to listen to anyone who asked them to consider other options. It is their way or the high way. And Labour will be paying that bill for the next few decades if it still exists as a party in the future.
It is amazing how some people fail to look in the mirror or to really respond except to "Other".
Ad, you still don't say what should be done that is not already underway. !!
Steve Chadwick had the final casting vote for…… more housing areas for public housing!! So your rubbish about cover ups is more nasty inferences.
What are you going to do? (Apart for vote for Top)
You are right in the middle of an election Patricia.
So the first think you should do Patricia is open your eyes to the facts.
Then face to face ask those standing for office what their plan is.
Not what their party is. What they promise to do.
Then vote like that and get others around you to do so.
This is what democracy is for.
You do that Ad Good luck… still no real plan offered by the opposition though.
Yes, and Steve is the only one who wants these reserves – and low lying flood zones – to be turned into shit boxes for the poor.
The rest of us we signed petitions and voted against that.
Steve – ex Labour MP, not giving a fuck as to what their constituents want and need. So Labour of them.
It's interesting watching the Rotorua elite get all huffy when the results of decades long profit gouging and exploitation are shoved right back in their face in the form of social issues in emergency housing.
It's tough when not out of sight, out of mind.
Once again Sabine, You exaggerate.
As we used to follow the soccer teams around these parks, I can assure you "They are NOT all in the flood zone"
Where should the homeless go?
Not the Motels?
Not the newly built "shit boxes" to use your descriptor.
So where Sabine? I am sure you have an answer. sarc.
Patricia you and I are 80 years of age and we are women. That means we are comparatively-speaking ignorant and lacking intellectual heft. We don't have the benefit of having spent our working lives in a technically advanced digital world and therefore we don't always understand modern day technical speak. I certainly don't anyway.
In short, that makes us inferior and we must learn to bow to our younger brethren whose knowledge and experience is so much greater than ours.
I know sarcasm is supposed to be the lowest form of wit but sometimes…..
He won't change lol And we are rigid? lol
The 2nd year of the 2nd term is nearly done – that's a nice round up
Ahh, sorry Patricia. I didn't see your reply. Glad to note I was right. 🙂
Rotorua seems to have been building up to the current situation for a long time. The Covid outbreak has served to exacerbate the problem.
Ad is firing off on the back of one report with a shock/horror headline.
I know a little bit from a family member who is a police officer in Rotorua. It sounds to me like a deep seated problem which is going to take many years to turn around. When one reads the linked article, it is clear the local council, together with other affected entities, are doing as much as they can.
Instead of heaping criticism on them isn't it better to give them positive support?
Would you like more reports? Is that the problem?
Sometimes you remind me of a rocket which whizzes up into the air – all fanfare and noise – then fizzles out and falls to the ground.
Wilful ignorance like yours is the prime reason Labour is set to lose.
its not the willful ignorance
its their gleeful arrogance coupled wit their ignorance that will have them lose.
Labour supporters have become the epitome of let them eat cake.
i think what it is on this site is tribalism. Labour all one's life and therefore pay selective attention to things Labour may have achieved and avoid their catastrophic failures.
Anne and Patricia, you are both entitled to your views. I based my judgement on people's arguements not whether I perceive them to be technologically competent or older (god knows I am pretty old myself)
Having been a loyal Labour member and supporter all my life, it has been profoundly disillusioning to observe what is happening to our country on their watch. I know they have had Covid to deal with and that was some challenge, but its all the other stuff for me.
The Health system. They have set up an expensive bureacracy, but still the nurses pay agreement hasn't been finalized. They cut the $100 shift bonus for nurses recently. IMO they have treated health workers (including mid wives) with contempt. These are the people who will give us the best treatment and save our lives. Little has prioritized a health re structure when the ship is sinking.
Housing……f up.
Education, kids not attending schools and Jan Tinettis response is an add showing how great school is. Yeah that will work won't it. Not. BTw I saw it in the add break of the Prime news at 5.30pm and thought, yes, good, kids who don't attend school will be tuned in to Eric reading the 5. 330 pm news.
Labour have spent up large and things in NZ are worse.
The 'problem' is the widespread and frankly mad belief that (overall) things should get better. They will not – not under Labour, not under NAct, not under anyone. And how could they – we’ve fouled our own nest (spaceship Earth), and there’s no getting out of it.
Rural towns have had it good for a number of years now on the back of river-trashing dairy intensification and high milk prices.
It was time to reset, almost everyone wanted that reset, so now rural towns must take their beans rather than rush headlong into environmental disaster.
Agree for those in non-West Coast South Island and in much of central and western North Island.
The rural squalor is there to be fixed – if one has the will to.
Sabine, is the 11% that Rotorua shows a recent trend upwards away from its usual stats? If so, what has happened locally that caused the increase- loss of tourism, timber industry, local closures?
Where I live, a SI rural town, we are at less than three percent unemployment and are importing labour as RSE workers. Perhaps our demographic which contains the highest % of seniors in the country affects the unemployment figures.
Is Rotorua’s 11% high age related? With the number of motel housed residents in Rotorua, is the housing industry locally moribund? Are the figures also distorted by social housing needs being met in Rotorua by the motel band-aid solution and people moving there for housing?
Certainly 11% is a figure that needs addressing.
That was from the pre-election report that the council commisioned.
It is by now worse. The plumbers and other trades people started laying off staff now as people can no longer afford to call them in prices are too expensive.
Seriously people need to understand that Rotorua was just the canary in the coalmine. And the canary died.
I would not be surprised if that number has not gone up since.
And thanks to all the shit happening, local tourists are not staying over night, coming in only for a bit of mountain biking and then leaving. So there is no revenue coming in.
Vote Labour, cause they really really don't give a fuck.
It does seem that once the decision was taken to house the most vulnerable in Rotorua's hotels was taken there was nowhere enough thought given to support services or a pathway to getting people back on their feet and back into their previous communities. Instead the govt contracted out the 'support service' no doubt making some considerable amounts of money and it seems against advice undermined the human rights of the 'Tennants' in the emergency housing by removing them from the protections the Tenancy act provides.
That last part is on this government. How we ended up in this situation sits with all our govts over the last 30 years.
There is some commonality in the areas that are doing poorly. Generally dependant on low paid tourism and horticultural work and a younger Maori population. It is no co-incidence that Auckland urban areas doing poorly are also with high young Maori and Pacifika populations.
Some disparity is a consequence of having a young population – people generally earn less while young, are obviously more likely to be out of the work force to have children and so on.
Some is clearly as a reason of insecure work which regardless of age is more likely to be given by the labour market to Maori and Pacfic Island workers. The level of racism inherent in the New Zealand labour market – especially to its own population is mind-blowing. It clear that many employers would rather import labour than employ local (Maori and Pacific) workers. RSE has its place as it does seem to have cleaned up some (but not all) of the illegal labour orchardists used to use.
Maori business is growing which will offset some of the racism that exists in the current labour market but I suspect will have its challenges. If lots of existing businesses got well ahead by paying back-handers (tourism and building industry for two examples), by exploiting workers, by suppressing wages and being racist, by pocketing cash sales under the table, etc does this mean that Maori business will only succeed by doing the same thing i.e. it is a fixed game in order to be competitive.
The thing is that all governments know these demographics and the consequences of them. Talking about reducing taxes when we know for instance we have an older European population who is placing an ever increasing burden on health and welfare seems suicidal. Supporting continuously low paid low productivity industries like tourism also seems equally stupid. Not fully supporting our young population to thrive and to become the future tax payers is also dumb.
There are people doing good stuff out there but we don't hear enough about them and we don't regulate to ensure others behave as well or don't enforce when we do regulate.
In many ways all the conspiracy bullshit is just playing into existing business owners hands – they are not affected by it really and can just carry on while everyone is distracted doing the old company town cycle.
It is a typical capitalist exploitive arrangement that then leads to:
Until we decide as a society to stop this insidious slide back into Victorian exploitation we are shot.
And you seriously believe that Natz and Act do?
Always, bitterness should have some foundation in reality!
yep. must be lonely being that bitter ALL or the time. must turn chocolate sour.
"From ascendant ACT and National". The Luxon bubble seems to have burst if you look at the poll of polls here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_New_Zealand_general_election
Though that Labour 29.5% in the latest Roy Morgan is a worry.
well their low was Cunliffe 26.7 %.
They can beat that any time, they are that good.
The October Roy Morgan certainly does not reflect the trend in the graph in the Wiki article.
There National is dropping and Labour levelling out. The previous August Roy Morgan had the gap between the blocs as 1.5%.
Outlier or new trend?
Mac-even in that Roy Morgan poll it is;
Lab/Gr/MP 45.5
Nat/Act 48.5
So with over a year to go there is all to play for, and as you say the trend seems to show the Nats share of the vote falling.
The graph shows the poll figures averages (the coloured dots are the actual poll figures, and the line is the average between them)
The latest RM poll is (as I said last night) an outlier based on the recent polling. RM have form on this – they produced a poll last April with 8% between the parties – which wasn't shown by other polls, or by them subsequently. So it seems as though their results might be a little more variable and/or prone to error.
We'll need to see what the next polls show, to see if this is a trend. Curia will be polling now (they always do the first week of the month), so shouldn't be too long to wait.
However, even with these rose-coloured-glasses – this is not a good result for Labour – they are certainly not rising in the polls.
The really interesting thing (to me, at least) is the continued strength of the 'minor' parties (ACT/Greens). I think that, whether the election goes right or left, the minor parties are going to have a much greater influence on the government than they have had previously.
Just choose the poll you like best.
It really doesn't matter as there is no election until next year.
Yes Jimmy. One real poll.
It could in theory be held in early 2024.
Between the budget update and the May ( last figures) update net debt increased 5 billion.
Total borrowing reached 202,617 b and increase on the budget figures of 8.6 billion.Watch for the spin as they try to sell a lower figure,its only for the voters the markets calculate risk on the actual debt,and ability to pay.
One of hundreds thought to have disappeared during recent demonstrations.
https://twitter.com/Asope_/status/1577362914108915716
Iranian security forces stole the body of a 16-year-old protester, and buried her secretly in a village, sources close to the family told BBC Persian.
The family had planned to bury Nika Shakarami on Monday, but her body was snatched and buried in a village about 40km (25 miles) away, the sources said.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-63128510
When women (born ones) have no value that is what happens.
If you promise your wife you've done enough for your career, then change your mind for the money, well what happens is you've fucked up your marriage and your family permanently.
'The end': Tom Brady and Gisele Bündchen hire divorce lawyers amid marriage woes – NZ Herald
All for greed Tom Brady.
Electricity Generation well within safe bounds,with around 300mw of reserve in each Island.
Demand reduced somewhat by school holidays,and daylight saving reducing demand somewhat at nights due to less lighting needed.
Wholesale prices 86-96 mwh (south to north) compared with Australia spot price at 160-179 mwh.
and people not turning on the heater.
Putin needs to be given an off-ramp. Here is my suggestion:
Mine.
Why do you think NZers want tax cuts for high income earners, when it’s gone tits up for the UK?
Look, Brian, it’s totally different here.
Why’s that?
Well we think we can get away with it, Brian. Very important that.
So you think the NZ people are suckers?
Your words, Brian. We prefer trickle down positive. Much better.
Just so!! Brilliant summation Newsense.
Brilliant – how I miss the ABC's 'Clarke and Dawe' sketches on the 7:30 Report.
https://www.abc.net.au/7.30/clarke-and-dawe-on-howards-end/2678252
It's great.
Even though the subject matter is different and decades had passed, I still hear Fred Dagg in the delivery.
Here’s an oldie and goodie – Aussie PM John Howard discusses Climate Change.
https://youtu.be/PhZK2KFV8SU
Different Brian to Bryan? It does matter……
Well of course. Never mind the "mistakes" …Kinda puts in mind of WW1 British Generals. (most Generals for that! ) Keep a frontal assault on the machine guns. We have more men than they have bullets. And WE will be ok.
Maybe ol' Lux-deluxe had General Haig..or similar, as one of his historic heroes?
ACT's answer to the rural unemployment problem and Nationals by default is to move the unemployed to the big population center's where there are jobs.But no housing or support networks.Winston had his $1 billion dollar a year provincial growth fund which was dropped by Labour so neither of the major parties have a rural investment policy.
general melchett. do the same thing nineteen times and the hun wont suspect anything. too bad about the collateral damage.
Yes indeed. Sadly almost true to life history. ( and was probably the tragicomedy of the Blackadder series: (
Lux-deLuxe could well be channeling Haig/Melchett
29.5 % !!
They will continue to fade away back to where they were when Little was leader.
Probably just as well Ms Adern has a well supported international profile so her future employment is assured.
They don't know her as well as we do.
Meanwhile the new messiah is trying to justify tax increases for the struggling rich.
Apparently our economy is doing so much better than the U.K and its time to give more of our money back to those up top. At least he is consistent but like the rest of the Nasty Natz it always thinks it can fix the problem by making the rich a little richer.
Asked about reducing the top tax rate for high-income earners, he said New Zealand had a higher cost of living and lower wages than other countries and in a competitive world, it needed tax incentives.
Well at least Aloha Luxon admits we are a low wage economy and he like his predecessors and business leaders want to keep it that way.
Just occurred to me that there is method in Luxon's "Lower the Tax" repetitions.
Every time he gets asked to justify why they will Lower the taxes, he gets to repeat endlessly:
-wasteful spending
-borrowing too much
-too many taxes
-projects unfinished
And those things stick in the minds of we the peasants. He must welcome the question every time. Are we playing into his strategy?
Well said ianmac.
There is a reason that Luxon looks so smug when asked the same question again and again and he trots out the same stuff. But sadly the peasants latch onto the parts which say, wasteful spending, incompetent government, unfinished projects, too high taxes on your money etc etc.
Who are the peasants you refer to Ian mac?
Maybe the so called peasants think wasteful spending, incompetent govt unfinished projects too higher taxes on your money rings true.
https://thespinoff.co.nz/society/16-08-2022/the-side-eyes-two-new-zealands-the-table
I’d be interested to hear NAct’s plan to fix this – pity "the struggling rich"? [@8]
Anker we are the peasants. I know this because I hear ordinary chaps like me explain to reporters that this Government is hopeless because that nice Air N man told me often about that, so what he says must be true. Perception?
And Luxon does look smug when being given the chance in QT to say it all again.
What's that you say, strong economy? Deficit half what was forecast?
Intelligent people can tell the economy is strong, just drive on the motorway, go to the shopping malls on the weekend. Don't need Treasury to convince, or the opposition to try convince otherwise.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/476112/treasury-reports-smaller-than-forecast-budget-deficit-of-9-point-7-billion
I hope the electorate is listening…
…and…
Grant Robertson exposes the constant lying coming out of the boardrooms:
https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/130056150/tax-take-up-more-than-10-as-company-profits-and-paye-receipts-jump
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/corporate-profits-give-grant-robertson-a-93b-surprise-as-government-books-inch-closer-to-surplus/JRLR66PD5Z47BMWU2T4OAT26HQ/
Total borrowings increased 203965 22 an increase of 44.1 b.
Interest increased to 3.349 billion an increase of 1.1 b.
Total revenue 141.6b
Total expenses (151 b)
Gains (non financial) 3 b
Financial instruments ( 9b) loss.
Other (.3b) loss.
= Operating balance (16.9B)
page 4
As ever. Continuous. "Belts must be tightened" (just not theirs).. "The employee wages ! " Who EVER looks at what these fkn Board members..or useless "managers" receive? When are they EVER Performance Reviewed?
And….you prob remember…sir Key and his "devilbeast" which the slimy creep lobbed to derail Labour and Greens.
Also…different Bank "spokespeople" who continually (and IMO malignantly) threw all the shit at Labour Greens.
We must fight hard as, to prevent those Nact creeps from throwing NZ back to…the dogs.
Now there is the unpublished plan!! PL.O They dare not publish that as policy or we would throw Nat/Act to the wolves.
Then to compensate for every tax payer except those within the lowest threashold could have their INCREASE in tax paid compensated with an increase of the tax theasholds. Pay increases below inflation (which is most of us) and paying more in tax how is that allowing for this prosperity, less in real terms of after tax income ???
I hope you can see that !!!!
Instead of 'frittering' it on those richies that don't need it, how about 'spending' it on those poor-ohs that do! Then tax the richies at the same time. Who the hell would feel sorry for them?
Luxon's tax cuts for the well off who have had massive untaxed wealth gains during the pandemic . the subsequent massive disruption to the just in time supply line ,local food supplies and the Ukrainian war disruption of oil , gas and grain supplies leading to inflation.Which is hitting the middle classes and poor really badly.We shouldn't criticise Luxon let him have his Tricledown fantasy and let him cling to it,as 65% of New Zealand is against Tax cuts for the well off as they have already had the lions share of the $50 billion QE money print.The peasants are paying for it in everyday rapidly rising accomodation and food cost's.Luxon is peddling cruelty to those who are struggling while those who have gained the most are being rewarded again.The well off! What will they do with their tax cut windfall while the rest line up at the food bank .The well off will be buying up under valued properties for more tax free capital gain making it even tougher for the poor to work there way out of poverty. Luxon = Tricledown=more widespread poverty.
Yes and Luxon has promised to remove all hinderances Labour have created to the "Fire Economy". (See Jane Kellsey’s work.)
Let Luxon have his trickle down fantasy?
In 18 months it will be our reality.
Damn. The rest is behind the Newsroom paywall. Could hint a change of support which would help the 3 Waters initiative which the Opposition cynically oppose. Anyone have the substance of the article?
Well spotted Ianmac. Yes guardianship and co-governance is gaining credibility.
Link please or I'll be deleting.
Here it is:
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/newsroom-survey-council-candidates-support-co-governance-with-iwi-maori
RBNZ increases OCR rate by .5 meeting market expectations,said .75 was on the table.
Market responds with currency appreciation (against US$) of 1.25%,as bond buyers come back and yields dropping on long bonds.
Anti inflationary to some extent as liquid fuel costs expected to increase with OPEC cut later tonight,and Whitehouse suggesting limits on distillate fuels.
" Liz Truss MUST ditch welfare cuts to prevent a 'benefits bloodbath', says Gordon Brown
An all out assault planned for the the poor and people planning to retire by the Tories.
The Queen is to blame for the anger generated over the rich listers tax cut.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/kwasi-kwarteng-blames-queens-death-28154596
Mr Faafoi has become a lobbyist.
" Ministers are already more than well-remunerated for their public service. We should not allow them to continue to corruptly profit from their public roles as some sort of "retirement package".
http://norightturn.blogspot.com/2022/10/close-this-revolving-door.html
Parliament is on it.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/129962986/tova-obrien-bill-seeking-to-limit-restraint-of-trade-clauses-to-be-debated
Thanks for the intel Incognito.
Heaven help us if National get anywhere near being the government.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/oct/05/over-330000-excess-deaths-in-great-britain-linked-to-austerity-finds-study?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
”More than 330,000 excess deaths in Great Britain in recent years can be attributed to spending cuts to public services and benefits introduced by a UK government pursuing austerity policies, according to an academic study.
The authors of the study suggest additional deaths between 2012 and 2019 – prior to the Covid pandemic – reflect an increase in people dying prematurely after experiencing reduced income, ill-health, poor nutrition and housing, and social isolation.”
As woodart said at 7.2… collateral damage. Just those at the lower end of course.
Love this one.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/oct/05/stage-three-tax-cuts-what-is-albo-even-doing?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
First Dog is on the money again.