Daily review 01/02/2022
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5:30 pm, February 1st, 2022 - 37 comments
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- Treasury warns deeper recession worsening Budget deficit
The gift that keeps giving: David Seymour has now opened a split in the coalition over the future of National’s promise to build a new medical school. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / TheKakaKia ora. Long stories short, here’s my top things to note in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and ...3 hours ago - Weekly Roundup 22-November-2024
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Record Numbers: The Hīkoi mō te Tiriti, which began at the tip of the North, and the tail of the South, on 11 November, culminated outside Parliament on Tuesday, 19 November 2024, in one of the largest demonstrations in New Zealand’s political history.ACCORDING TO TE ARA, the Ministry of Culture ...4 hours ago - The Rush To Blame “The Activists”
Activists are such easy scapegoats. The right and center have been conditioned for decades to roll their eyes at all protests. The left are easily aggravated over students leading movements they see as belonging to grownups, who have more important concerns like the economy and whether the trains come on ...4 hours ago - Cutting Through An Inundation of Dipshit Racists
Hi,Watching New Zealand from afar offers a strange perspective. It can be a good thing — distance from Aotearoa helped keep me sane while I reported on abuse at New Zealand’s biggest megachurch over the course of a year. It helps fuel my silly podcast. But it can also be ...5 hours ago - This is bad news
The speech yesterday by Treasury’s Chief Economic Advisor warning that the books are in worse shape than forecasted looks like it’s part of a softening-up process for either more cuts or a longer wait to get back into surplus. The speech was a highly unusual public preview of Treasury’s Half-Yearly ...7 hours ago - Skeptical Science New Research for Week #47 2024
Open access notables Projected increase in the frequency of extremely active Atlantic hurricane seasons, Lopez et al., Science Advances: Future changes to the year-to-year swings between active and inactive North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) seasons have received little attention, yet may have great societal implications in areas prone to hurricane ...15 hours ago - Chicken Kiev
Chatting in the supermarket this morning, I found I needed to lunge for the chicken drumsticks.Coping mechanisms: who hasn’t felt a greater need for them lately?When it all gets too much, I turn to demonstrating handy butchery hacks.It wasn’t that she’d said anything wrong, our friend, not at all. We ...19 hours ago - The year is 2024 and it’s 1984
This is written in response to the highly significant open letter from a group of economists that was today addressed to Christopher Luxon. The year is 2024, and it’s 1984. The country is reeling from a record Olympic medal gold haul, while the globe grapples with the choice of the ...20 hours ago - The IPCA has failed
Back in 2022, RNZ took an in-depth look at the "Independent" Police Conduct Authority and its handling of killings by police. These are the most serious test of oversight, and you would expect the police's use of lethal force to receive the most severe scrutiny. But despite the police regularly ...24 hours ago - Thursday 21 November 2024
The Hīkoi mō Te Tiriti arrived at Parliament on Tuesday – the size is being debated but estimates range from 42,000 to 100,000. The Prime Minister is defending not attending due to some of the organisers being affiliated with Te Pāti Māori. The national gang patch ban came into force ...24 hours ago - ‘These budget cuts are counter-productive and make no sense’
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- ACT’s Astroturfing & A Co-ordinated Attack on Te Pati Māori
Unity on the Streets / Unity at the TableAfter the Hīkoi, all three right wing Coalition leaders came together to push the idea that the 42,000 - 50,000 + strong Hikoi was somehow less potent and brave, and more illegitimate than the energy and crowd displayed.Prime Minister Christopher Luxon 20-November: ...1 day ago - Durability of carbon dioxide removal is critical for stabilizing temperatures
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Nicola Willis’ budget cuts are under fire from economists for having no clear rationale and worsening the recession. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāKia ora. Long stories short, here’s my top things to note in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Thursday, November 21: The news at ...1 day ago
- The end of policing by consent
National has appointed a new police commissioner. And he explicitly rejects policing by consent: Asked if he subscribed to policing by consent, he said he did not. “I don’t talk about policing by consent. I talk about trust and confidence, and it is fundamentally important that the police have ...2 days ago
- The Treaty Principles Bill: A Who’s Who
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NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi President Richard Wagstaff is calling on the Government to deliver an economic and industrial strategy for regional manufacturing, rather than just expressing sympathy for job losses, following the announced closure of Kinleith mill in Tokoroa. “The closure Kinleith mill in Tokoroa is not just devastating for ...2 days ago
- 27% of kids going hungry, up from 21% in a year
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- Young Maori take over
Neither Wellington nor Parliament has ever seen anything like it before. The Police said there were more than 40,000 but however many there were, yesterday’s Hikoi to Parliament was a monumental event. It was almost three times the Foreshore and Seabed martch of 2004 and many,many times bigger than ...2 days ago
- Gordon Campbell On The Hikoi Aftermath
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Mr David Seymour crawling up to the ceilingThe sun don't shine the sun don't shine the sun don't shine at allMamma Pappa say you should go to school, I don't know what forNow that I've grown up and seen the world and all its liesSong: Southside of Bombay"Ake, ake, ake" ...3 days ago - Submit to defend te Tiriti!
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Like everyone else (everyone who wasn't there, anyway), I've spent the morning watching the hikoi march on Parliament. The pictures are astounding: parliament grounds and the surrounding streets are full, and there are still people backed up along Lambton Quay. The police are estimating 35,000 people, and that's a floor ...3 days ago
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Day One of the Treaty Principles Bill…and everyone got what they wanted, and did what they liked. Heated words were exchanged. Culturally appropriate acts of outrage were performed. David Seymour got to play the victim card. Willie Jackson got kicked out of class. A comically red-faced Mr Speaker bellowed “Order, ...1 week ago
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The government's Treaty Principles Bill is up for its first reading today - bought forward in a rush in a desperate effort to avoid the hikoi which is currently marching on Wellington. But the Prime Minister won’t be there for it – he’s literally running away to Peru! But he ...1 week ago
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Good morning, and I’m sorry I’ve been away for a couple of days.I’ve been focusing on the Hikoi, and also testing out sentiment on the Treaty Principles Bill. It’s complicated, and the Treaty Principles Bill will be debated in the House today. The Government’s own lawyers have told them the ...1 week ago - Government must vote down ACT Members Bill that would undermine workers’ rights
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The Treaty Principles Bill is set to have its First Reading in the House today, as the Hīkoi mō Te Tiriti continues. More than 40 KCs have written to the Prime Minister and Attorney-General outlining their “grave concerns” about the substance of the Treaty Principles Bill, while an academic and ...1 week ago
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Louise Upston has revealed her diminished vision for vulnerable youth against a backdrop of snubbed advice, scrapped priorities, shifted goal posts and thousands more children projected to fall into poverty. ...22 hours ago
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National Government’s backward-looking climate policy has seen New Zealand fall seven places on the Climate Change Performance Index to 41 out of 63 countries measured. ...22 hours ago
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When the Government says it has reduced the number of people in emergency housing, what it means is it is stopping people from accessing it in the first place. ...1 day ago
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The Government is turning its back on children by not only weakening child poverty reduction targets, but also removing child mental wellbeing as a priority focus in their Child and Youth Wellbeing Strategy. ...1 day ago
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- Release: Call for Palestine recognition by NZ, Australian and Canadian MPs
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- Justice Select Committee opens floor for Treaty Principles submissions
Today, the Justice Select Committee has decided to officially open submissions for the controversial Treaty Principles Bill. ...3 days ago
- Power of the people on full display as hīkoi approaches Parliament
Today, Hīkoi mō te Tiriti arrived in Wellington, with thousands gathering to march in unity against the divisive Treaty Principles Bill. ...3 days ago
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Te Tiriti o Waitangi is our country’s founding document. It forms the basis of the relationship between Māori and the Crown – and the Aotearoa New Zealand we live in today. ...1 week ago
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The Prime Minister must answer the call from a group of senior lawyers of the King’s Counsel to abandon the divisive Treaty Principles Bill. ...1 week ago
- Chris Hipkins’ apology statement to state and faith-based care survivors
...1 week ago
- Release: Labour formally apologises to state and faith-based care survivors
Labour joins with the Government in unreservedly apologising for the abuse, neglect and trauma including torture in state and faith-based care and for ignoring the voices of survivors for too long. ...1 week ago
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Today, the Green Party stands alongside the survivors of abuse in state care and faith-based care as the Government issues an historic apology. ...1 week ago
- Green Party calls for conscience vote on Treaty Principles Bill
The Green Party has written to the Speaker of the House requesting he enable a personal vote on the Treaty Principles Bill. ...2 weeks ago
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The Green Party is alarmed by the Government’s move to exclude a journalist from covering this week’s apology for the survivors of abuse in state and faith-based care. ...2 weeks ago
- Without action, an apology will be empty air
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- Release: Poroporoaki: Ta Robert (Bom) Gillies
Kua hinga te manawa kairākau o Te Rua Tekau Ma Waru Tiwhatiwha te po! Kakarauru i te po! Ka rapuhia kei hea koe kua riro! Haere e te Ika a Whiro ki o tini hoa kua ngaro atu ki te Pō ...2 weeks ago
- Labour, Greens and Te Pāti Māori call on the Prime Minister to block the Treaty Principles Bill
The opposition parties stand united for an Aotearoa that honours Te Tiriti, rather than seeking to rewrite it. Labour, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori are working together against the Government’s divisive Treaty Principles Bill. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Labour, Greens and Te Pāti Māori call on the Prime Minister to block the Treaty Principle...
The opposition parties stand united for an Aotearoa that honours Te Tiriti, rather than seeking to rewrite it. Labour, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori are working together against the Government’s divisive Treaty Principles Bill. ...2 weeks ago
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The server will be getting hardware changes this evening starting at 10pm NZDT.
The site will be off line for some hours.
Glitch in the matrix?
If you mean the site being offline for a few hours the error message referred to a certificate of some kind that the site apparently lacked – which itself could be an error (& LP will probably figure it out).
Oh, I see he put the tech explanation on OM earlier…
What did Chris Hipkins learn today? When you are asked about situations if people are involved, you simply say, "I am unable to comment in case they feel their confidentiality is compromised."
It means of course that scumbags and liars could get their perspectives out without contrary views or conflicting claims of facts to measure them against, but that's okay.
Has Luxon made his move too soon, are we in for twenty months of Dirty Politics……the Bellis debacle would suggest "its game on" with first serve to National/Act and their shills in the MSM.
Consider this from Kiwiblog:
[deleted quote without link]
Sure theres some hyperbole but also more than a little truth to it as well. Labour need to be a bit more careful in future.
I see Bellis was even offering us advice on Covid response re vaccinated travellers.
She certainly rates her own opinion.
I would link to it but there have been so many stories I can't remember which one it was in.
Anyway, all sorted now. But it seems the urgent travel wasn't so urgent, she's not due to step out onto the red carpet until March!
Consider this……
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300507802/how-charlotte-bellis-story-risks-trivialising-the-taliban
What it comes down to for me is that a pregnant kiwi wants come home, why is it being made so difficult for her.
This government dropped the ball when it came to MIQ and bringing home our people.
Only the hard hearted would not welcome any pregnant woman home, its the 'making it difficult' bit that is in question here. The MIQ system is not perfect and neither is the govt, my bet is they will sort it out. The govt is under extreme pressure to please everyone during this pandemic, an impossible task.
Is it really that hard to prioritise?
Sick, pregnant, wounded etc go to the front of the line.
Not that hard.
etc etc…dying grandparents, dying parents, dying partner, dying siblings, dying son, dying daughter, dying business, dying mental health……..
Not that hard……………….
No Minister should have anything to so with anything past handing out the strict "paint-by-numbers-rules" for the bureaucrats to implement.
Priority order?
1. Sick. Now, let's see. Sick? How sick? Anything to do with access to specialist medical care? Or just 'sick' as a category? I can see an industry arise around that. "My lumbago is terrible."
2. Pregnant. How pregnant? Any stage along the line? A person one month pregnant who has months before the birth beats anyone in the subsequent place?
3. Dying child?
4. Or dying parent?
5. Or dying grandparent?
There'd have to be a priority set down so the only decision made is simply applying the rule not making judgements.
Someone with a sickness beats a pregnant woman who automatically beats a dying child or a family member having been in a bad accident?
Yes, let's take the politics and humanity out of it because we can't trust people to make the 'right' decision, let's eliminate the 'too hard basket.'
317. Went overseas for a holiday?
Now I can see why there were calls for no MIQ from some quarters. Too hard to administer. You were overseas and wanted to come back? You should have been able to come straight back in, no restrictions and just got on with life. Or death, or spreading the virus. I mean we all have to die at some stage.
Before the first 1,000 deaths under that sort of a regime Ardern would have been labelled the most heinous evil Prime Minister we'd ever had. By the time we'd reached the inevitable 5,000 she'd be significantly worse. But wait! I've seen that level of condemnation in recent weeks.
and then suddenly there's no room for anyone else.
She basically applied incorrectly. She made a mistake. She was invited to apply correctly but chose to splatter everything publicly.
I mean how difficult is it to read through a process and pick the correct channel? I would have thought being a journalist she would have a reading comprehension much higher than many but others seem to manage.
If I hear the name again in the next half century it will be too soon for me.
She basically applied incorrectly. She was turned down and invited to reapply under the correct category. Instaed of doing this she chose to splatter it all in the court of public opinion.
I am not sure why she could not just go 'oh oh I made mistake I'll reapply correctly'. I am not sure why as a journalist she misinterpreted the process. Being a journo I would have thought her comprehension skills would have been higher than many. Many others have applied and got it wrong and been corrected, or right and been approved without getting their knickers in a twist.
If I hear the name again in the next half century it will be too soon for me.
except she wasn't wanting to go to the front of the line.
She wanted to go a little bit down the line, but ahead of the lottery. And she wanted an answer now, rather than waiting a little bit so she'd qualify as an "emergency".
Should there be an "urgent" category? Sure.
But she wasn't wanting an emergency space. Maybe the plane tickets were the best she could book, maybe she had other reasons for delaying her departure from Afghanistan. But she didn't need an immediate answer.
So strange how there was this thriving industry not so long ago, with no to low barriers to entry that effectively managed demand and supply of rooms and flights simultaneously, with little effort and much profit.
then the government came, took over and wanted to make, from a systems point of view a little tweak, but thought the whole system would be better designed from the ground up by the government.
and fucked it right up. Another fine example of state intervention that would have been better managed privatised
You are really not keeping up with the play.
Saint Grant has ridden his trusty steed to the rescue and snaffled one of those MIQ spots that has mysteriously shown up. Why I wouldn't be a bit surprised if he did a Francis Drake when she gets back. He'll probably meet her at the Airport, throw his cape across a puddle in her path and personally carry her bags to the limousine he will have arranged for her.
Anyway that is what I would do if I was a Labour politician who can see this story wrecking the support his party has from the women of New Zealand. Grant may be completely ignorant when it comes to the duties of his portfolio but he is very good at picking up the pieces when other Cabinet Ministers get thing wrong in the eyes of the public.
It’s never too soon for the Nats use of dirty politics, it’s ingrained and that particular leopard cannot change their spots.
I could carry on with more colourful terms on these dirty Nats , but Red Logic would delete my comment again being the redkneck moderator he is.
Labour won't finish troughing in support until we are out of Omicron's peak.
I wouldn't expect Labour to reassert the narrative properly until Budget in May.
Until then National gets the run of it – barring set pieces like light rail lat Friday and Ardern's 'reconnecting' speech this Thursday.
Not much they can do about it really.
Not much Labour can do about reasserting the narrative until May budget.
National get the run of it until then.
Ardern needs Omicron to peak, in order to get back on the horse.
Judith: Ultimate Team Player (the movie).
Mathematician explaining pandemic maths
https://twitter.com/rcarlyleauthor/status/1488299950773444608?s=21
The Medical Council has suspended anti-vax doctor Bernard Conlon.
Apparently Murupara has had 8 positive cases of Covid-19 and all have recovered. They were treated with ivermectin because Dr Conlon had his shipment seized, but neither Dr Conlon nor the article says how many of the 8 were unvaccinated.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/murupara-doctor-suspended-from-practising-medicine-after-30-years/FBQ3YTZZUG7U4BNTSHNUBTI2FY/
Oh dear, I seem to have gone into moderation for some reason. Several quality comments down the drain 🙁
She basically applied incorrectly. She was turned down and invited to reapply under the correct category. Instaed of doing this she chose to splatter it all in the court of public opinion.
I am not sure why she could not just go 'oh oh I made mistake I'll reapply correctly'. I am not sure why as a journalist she misinterpreted the process. Being a journo I would have thought her comprehension skills would have been higher than many. Many others have applied and got it wrong and been corrected, or right and been approved without getting their knickers in a twist.
If I hear the name again in the next half century it will be too soon for me.
Do you think the govt has noticed this? If so, will they give the public what they want? If not, why not? If so, how?
So many questions. The Minister of Finance is unlikely to try and answer any, would probably deflect them in the general direction of the Reserve Bank. "I just do the budget – the days when people believed a minister of finance controlled the country's finances are long gone."
The PM would point out that if people would just be kind, house prices wouldn't matter. Bernard Hickey would point out that he's spent several years trying to awaken everyone to the problem and the stats showing 3/4 are now woke are a relief. Do I think National could solve the problem? You gotta be kidding!
I noticed this earlier today, I said the support for the idea of falling house prices is popular:
https://thestandard.org.nz/open-mike-01-02-2022/#comment-1857057
I noticed it earlier today and said at the time the popularity of the concept of falling house prices is popular:
https://thestandard.org.nz/open-mike-01-02-2022/#comment-1857057
Do I think National could solve the problem? Labour are the government they came in 2017 with answers on how to improve house affordability and our kind PM doesn’t want unsubstained increases. Well 25% increase last year alone. Stop deflecting with National they are not the party that has failed and that is not making any comments on Tywford or Woods and there screwup of Kiwibuild. FAILURE and have killed the dream for the under 30’s of home ownership. Ps let’s discuss the current fiscaso regarding bank loans🥸muppets
This seems reasonable.
https://twitter.com/CharlotteBellis/status/1488373035568619522
Apparently there is an Australian federal election in four months. If Scomo wins this, I will have lost all hope for that nation.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/460686/australian-pm-says-his-government-was-too-optimistic-before-omicron-surge
I don't have a vote as I have a NZ passport, but we are hoping that Tweedledee (Albo) gets in rather than Tweedledumb (Scomo). Newscorp's media army is already in full attack mode against Aus Labor. You would think that Labor was actually going to do something radical from the way Murdoch's mob are carrying on. No doubt there will be pork barrelling a-plenty and money to fill Topham and Guerin's dirty little coffers, too. Oz will burn up or completely drown before anything really different happens.
Sounds familiar?
https://youtu.be/f1EtPi8yn-k
Thank-you for coming to NZ Muzhgan Samarqandi. You are just the sort of person we need in this country:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2022/feb/01/trivialising-the-taliban-is-not-the-way-to-force-new-zealand-to-change-its-covid-quarantine-rules
I was surprised to see this from Josie Pagani
https://www.stuff.co.nz/opinion/127627615/transmission-gully-shows-we-need-to-rethink-the-public-sector
Apart from problems caused by Covid and weather and possibly problems with the private construction consortium doing their job, what could the government have done in terms of the PPP Contract. Are the delays yet another PPP botch, or alternatively where have the public sector failed since 2017?