Daily review 15/11/2021
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5:30 pm, November 15th, 2021 - 52 comments
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Well, I've been there, sitting in that same chairWhispering that same prayer half a million timesIt's a lie, though buried in disciplesOne page of the Bible isn't worth a lifeThere's nothing wrong with youIt's true, it's trueThere's something wrong with the villageWith the villageSomething wrong with the villageSongwriters: Andrew Jackson ...19 hours ago - Government Forces Universities to Enforce “Free Speech” While Limiting Universities̵...
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The Government cancelled 60% of Kāinga Ora’s new builds next year, even though the land for them was already bought, the consents were consented and there are builders unemployed all over the place. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that mattered in Aotearoa’s political ...2 days ago - Bernard’s Picks ‘n’ Mixes for Saturday, December 21
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The Government can head off to the holidays, entitled to assure itself that it has done more or less what it said it would do. The campaign last year promised to “get New Zealand back on track.” When you look at the basic promises—to trim back Government expenditure, toughen up ...3 days ago - Skeptical Science New Research for Week #51 2024
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Sparse offerings outside a Te Kauwhata church. Meanwhile, the Government is cutting spending in ways that make thousands of hungry children even hungrier, while also cutting funding for the charities that help them. It’s also doing that while winding back new building of affordable housing that would allow parents to ...4 days ago
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It is difficult to make sense of the Luxon Coalition Government’s economic management.This end-of-year review about the state of economic management – the state of the economy was last week – is not going to cover the National Party contribution. Frankly, like every other careful observer, I cannot make up ...4 days ago - Back on Track
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AUSTERITYText within this block will maintain its original spacing when publishedMy spreadsheet insists This pain leads straight to glory (File not found) Read more ...6 days ago - Minimum wage ‘increase’ is an effective cut
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Iain Rennie, CNZMSecretary and Chief Executive to the TreasuryDear Secretary, Undue restrictions on restricted briefings This week, the Treasury barred representatives from four organisations, including the New Zealand Council of Trade Unions Te Kauae Kaimahi, from attending the restricted briefing for the Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update. We had been ...7 days ago
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- Thank You
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All those tears on your cheeksJust like deja vu flow nowWhen grandmother speaksSo tell me a story (I'll tell you a story)Spell it out, I can't hear (What do you want to hear?)Why you wear black in the morning?Why there's smoke in the air? Songwriter: Greg Johnson.Mōrena all ☀️Something a ...1 week ago
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Returning to the model that was failing for most polytechnics and Institutes of Technology is not the answer. ...3 days ago
- Release: National buries 1019 planned homes
It’s been revealed that National has cancelled 60 percent of its housing projects planned before mid-2025 amidst housing woes. ...3 days ago
- Release: Rule-Czar bill a right-wing power grab
The Government is quietly undertaking consultation on the dangerous Regulatory Standards Bill over the Christmas period to avoid too much attention. ...3 days ago
- Release: Why not both? Luxon shuns Waitangi celebrations
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon is running away from problems of his own creation, with his decision not to go to Waitangi. ...4 days ago
- Govt’s ‘free speech’ legislation stokes fear, not freedom
The Government’s planned changes to the freedom of speech obligations of universities is little more than a front for stoking the political fires of disinformation and fear, placing teachers and students in the crosshairs. ...4 days ago - Release: Nicola Willis spirals country deeper into recession
The economy shrank 1% this quarter and New Zealand has tumbled into the depths of a recession of Nicola Willis’ making. ...4 days ago
- Release: Hikes for company directors but not ordinary Kiwis
Working people are going backwards while company directors are being given huge pay hikes. ...5 days ago
- ECE no place to cut corners
The Ministry of Regulation’s report into Early Childhood Education (ECE) in Aotearoa raises serious concerns about the possibility of lowering qualification requirements, undermining quality and risking worse outcomes for tamariki, whānau, and kaiako. ...5 days ago
- Release: Strengthening Justice Services for New Zealanders
A Bill to modernise the role of Justices of the Peace (JP), ensuring they remain active in their communities and connected with other JPs, has been put into the ballot. ...5 days ago
- Release: Labour will continue fight against destructive projects
Labour will continue to fight unsustainable and destructive projects that are able to leap-frog environment protection under National’s Fast-track Approvals Bill. ...5 days ago
- Green Government will revoke dodgy fast-track projects
The Green Party has warned that a Green Government will revoke the consents of companies who override environmental protections as part of Fast-Track legislation being passed today. ...6 days ago
- Government for the wealthy keeps pushing austerity
The Green Party says the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update shows how the Government is failing to address the massive social and infrastructure deficits our country faces. ...6 days ago
- Release: Visa changes let migrant workers be paid less
The Government’s latest move to reduce the earnings of migrant workers will not only hurt migrants but it will drive down the wages of Kiwi workers. ...6 days ago
- Release: Nightmare before Christmas for Nicola Willis
With more debt and a larger deficit, Nicola Willis’ reputation is in tatters after her failure to return the Government’s books to surplus. ...6 days ago
- Warning to Fast-Track Applicants – ‘Exploit the Whenua, Face the Consequences’
Te Pāti Māori has this morning issued a stern warning to Fast-Track applicants with interests in mining, pledging to hold them accountable through retrospective liability and to immediately revoke Fast-Track consents under a future Te Pāti Māori government. This warning comes ahead of today’s third reading of the Fast-Track Approvals ...6 days ago
- Release: Govt cuts wages for lowest paid NZers… again
For the second year running, the government has effectively cut wages for the lowest paid workers in New Zealand. ...6 days ago
- Govt’s miserly 1.5% minimum wage will take workers backwards
The Government’s announcement today of a 1.5 per cent increase to minimum wage is another blow for workers, with inflation projected to exceed the increase, meaning it’s a real terms pay reduction for many. ...6 days ago
- Release: Govt shirking responsibility for rate hikes
All the Government has achieved from its announcement today is to continue to push responsibility back on councils for its own lack of action to help bring down skyrocketing rates. ...6 days ago
- Luxon’s ‘localism’ strikes again
The Government has used its final post-Cabinet press conference of the year to punch down on local government without offering any credible solutions to the issues our councils are facing. ...6 days ago
- Release: Govt breaks promise on EV chargers
The Government has failed to keep its promise to ‘super charge’ the EV network, delivering just 292 chargers - less than half of the 670 chargers needed to meet its target. ...7 days ago
- Greens call for end to subsidies for Methanex
The Green Party is calling for the Government to stop subsidising the largest user of the country’s gas supplies, Methanex, following a report highlighting the multi-national’s disproportionate influence on energy prices in Aotearoa. ...7 days ago
- Govt child poverty targets allow for increase in poverty
The Green Party is appalled with the Government’s new child poverty targets that are based on a new ‘persistent poverty’ measure that could be met even with an increase in child poverty. ...1 week ago
- Release: Four weeks annual leave under threat
The Government’s attack on workers continues with news it is scrapping work on the Holidays Act. ...1 week ago
- Govt’s emissions plan for measly 1% reduction
New independent analysis has revealed that the Government’s Emissions Reduction Plan (ERP) will reduce emissions by a measly 1 per cent by 2030, failing to set us up for the future and meeting upcoming targets. ...1 week ago
- Greens stand in solidarity with Whakaata Māori on sad day
The loss of 27 kaimahi at Whakaata Māori and the end of its daily news bulletin is a sad day for Māori media and another step backwards for Te Tiriti o Waitangi justice. ...1 week ago
- Sanctions regime to create more hardship for families
Yesterday the Government passed cruel legislation through first reading to establish a new beneficiary sanction regime that will ultimately mean more households cannot afford the basic essentials. ...1 week ago
- Govt gifts renters housing anxiety for Christmas
Today's passing of the Government's Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill–which allows landlords to end tenancies with no reason–ignores the voice of the people and leaves renters in limbo ahead of the festive season. ...1 week ago
- Release: National Party urged to support modern slavery legislation
Labour is urging the Prime Minister to walk the talk and support legislation combating modern slavery. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Labour has lost confidence in the Speaker
The Speaker of the New Zealand Parliament made an unprecedented decision on the government amendment to the Fast Track Approvals Bill last night. ...2 weeks ago
- One year on, still no progress on new ferries
Today’s announcement from the Government on its plan for new ferries throws more uncertainty on the future of the country’s rail network. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Nicola Willis’ smaller ferries will cost more
After wasting a year, Nicola Willis has delivered a worse deal for the Cook Strait ferries that will end up being more expensive and take longer to arrive. ...2 weeks ago
- Bill to sanction unlawful occupation of Palestine
Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick has today launched a Member’s Bill to sanction Israel for its unlawful presence in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, as the All Out For Gaza rally reaches Parliament. ...2 weeks ago
- Release: Labour fully supports greyhound racing ban
The Government has done the right thing in moving to ban greyhound racing. ...2 weeks ago
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One News Poll: the next leader of the National Party (Simon Bridges) is as popular as the Leagalise Cannabis party, both on 1%.
Meanwhile the news runs the protest footage and ignores the fact that the protest parties and leaders register nothing in the poll. If they were the voices of the people surely Advance NZ or Brian Tamaki could muster a measly 1%? But no – they are less popular than Chloe Swarbrick.
CB latest from tvnz site:
“Jacinda Ardern and her party have taken a hit in the latest 1News Colmar Brunton Poll, revealing a drop in Labour’s support to 41% and Ardern as preferred Prime Minister to 39%.
National is still behind on 28%, rising two points since September’s poll, the party’s leader Judith Collins has plunged to a new low in her approval rating, of -31.
Party support:
Labour Party: 41% (down 2%-points)
National Party: 28% (up 2%)
ACT: 14% (steady)
Green Party: 9% (up 1%)
New Zealand First: 3% (steady)
Te Paati Māori: 1% (down 1%)
New Conservative: 1% (steady)
TOP: 1% (steady)
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party: 1% (up 1%)
Don’t know: 7%
Refused: 2%
*Percentages do not add to 100 due to rounding.”
https://www.1news.co.nz/2021/11/15/ardern-labour-dip-in-support-collins-plunges-to-lowest-approval-rating-1news-colmar-brunton-poll/
Money quote, Collins on Bridges:
"He's not the leader and he won't be". Brutal!
After the coup, Collins will have to leave Parliament. Staying and undermining Bridges will finish off National's chances for another term.
Surely they wont go back to bridges!!guys a dick
Agree. Would be seen as a retrograde step by swing voters.
Bridges had his shot. He didn’t have the charisma, the timing, or the smarts.
He’s not now going to be able to persuade folk he suddenly has since acquired all 3.
A Senior Cabinet Minister, yes, maybe even a Deputy (might be a smart move, politically) but not a PM.
But at these numbers, the debate’s moot. National doesn’t look like it’s git the numbers yet to have a serious run at the Govt Benches. Give it more time & a new leader …
Theres s good chance labour will lose next time , humans a queer fuckers, were fighting the biggest threat in all of our lifetimes, yet they resent the medicine.
Not helped by the weak minded and and the fools that play politics.
bwaghorn
Bloomfield seems to be playing God, a bit like that Dr. in Murupara. Too sure they are right rather than looking at the results
Colmar Brunton Poll:
March 2022 and the next set of polls if this is Labour's lowest we're fine.
Greens
CB 26/9/21 8%
RM 1/11/21 10.5%
Leaked Talbot Mills 9%
CB 15/11/21 9%
Starting to look like a trend, even with the RM generally having the GP too high. See here also,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_New_Zealand_general_election#Nationwide_polling
updated.
The Greens are smart enough to play it long, not get caught up in the instant headline addiction.
They would like a larger minority "stake" in the next majority, but as long as Labour have no other realistic options for support parties, the Green influence in that 2023 majority would be the strongest in their history.
Te Pāti Māori may have overcooked the anti-Pākehā rhetoric too much for even some Māori.
But time will tell ; the general public (such as are likely to be the ones polled) aren’t their target audience.
Seems that the trend has set in
What trend?
If you mean the public have decided that they don't want Collins or Bridges, then that trend is indeed set in concrete. Ardern is practically hugging herself with glee.
.https://thestandard.org.nz/daily-review-15-11-2021/#comment-1833833
65 seats to 54, the trend is inevitable…Judith is coming
She may well be, on tv she sometimes seem like shecis – but she’s not convincing me that it’s a genuine climax. I think she’s just faking it in hopes she makes it.
Well now that's just rude
I make it Lab/gr/mp 66 Nat/act 54……that looks like a sold majority.
The MP has also been with National so I'm counting their vote as a floater (more than likely to go with Labour)
It is healthy, not as healthy as it was and the trend is Labour slipping and National/Act rising
Accepted Puckish
The trend where 1 in 5 people who voted for labour in the last election no longer have that intention
And nobody should be at all surprised. If everything was going well, there would still be a drop from an artificial high. Everything is not going well, so that drops a few more points.
Ever since election night 2020 anyone with any sense has known that a 3rd term = Labour + Greens. Until National transform themselves to win swing voters, that is the likely outcome.
On the current trajectory, labour and the greens will not be forming the next government
"current trajectory" … heh. And the trajectory 2 years before the previous election? It's an entirely meaningless statement.
If the 2023 election is about lockdowns and MIQ and mandates and Covid, the government will lose. But don't get your hopes up.
If in 2018 you predicted the pandemic and all its consequences in 2020, well done. Could've given us all a heads-up, mind.
The trend is that Labour have dropped, in a 12 month period, from 53% support to 41%. National went from 25 to 28, Greens from 8 to 9 and ACT from 8 to 14.
Extrapolating out for the 24 or so months to the next election would give us Labour 17%, National 34%, Greens on 11% and ACT on 20%. Poor Jacinda, I wonder when she will jump, or will she be pushed by all the backbenchers who can see they will actually have to go out and try and find a job in the real world?
Will it happen? I doubt it. I really doubt that Labour will hold up as well as my extrapolation predicts. When National changes from Collins to Luxon their support will rocket up as well.
This trend.
https://www.twitter.com/1NewsNZ/status/1460135018794082305
Simon Bridges and Todd Muller had National polling higher. Collins is useless.
The leaders of the alternative government are getting along just fine:
Collins on Seymour: "flip flop"
Both parties have been all over the place on vaccine mandates, changing faster than the weather.
Seymour is confused. His true pro-business and bollocks to the rest position is gradually becoming clear. The electorate will spot this in 2 years time.
I’m on official doctor’s orders to ignore being on a statin because “The weight you’re down to you don’t have a cholesterol problem.”
“Your first priority is to out the weight back on, fast. Eat fats, lots of fats. Butter. Olive oil. Cheese. Ice Cream. Pork. Bacon. Chicken with skin on. Pies. Pastries. Cream….”
“And if you have a sweet tooth, Gez, now is the time to indulge it!”
Life is hell. 😀
Gezza, Pasta, Carbs of any kind and icecream Freedom lol
bread and beer are big ones…
Pork Belly and pasta is what does it for me, every time and don't fill up on water as it'll only take up valuable eating space
The local New World frequently does pork belly & puts it in the hot food self-serve cooked chickens, chicken halves & chicken quarters. They also do pork roasts.
I’ll need to keep up the red meat munching for the haem iron intake, but I am SO going to be pigging out on porridge & cream, & on pork – it’s me favourite meat. 😋
I'm currently dieting so no pork for me
Coconut in it's various forms is the safest fastest way to gain weight ..
Got a can of coconut cream in me pantry, sitting unused for about four months.
What do you recommend?
Look up the recipe for suafa'i – Samoan tapioca, banana and coconut porridge – yum!
Use it where you would use cream.
A cider mushroom cream sauce. In the pan, you have fried your fatty pork chop in, throw sliced mushrooms and sizzle a bit.
1/3 c cider (old world, not sweet stuff) reduce (boil away liquid)
Add coconut cream 1/2 tin and boil for a couple of mins.
Add the chop and any juices it has let go.
Taste and season with chef''s cocaine.
Voila!
👍🏼 Sounds mouth-watering. 😛
I had this last week Puhoi half milk and half cream. Great on cereal and in coffee.
At that point he woke up.
“By Geoffrey Miller*
“Analysis – Nanaia Mahuta’s first foreign trip is finally under way. New Zealand’s Foreign Minister began a seven-country tour of Australia, Singapore, Indonesia, the UAE, Qatar, the US and Canada on Thursday.”
Interesting look at Mahuta’s upcoming first Foreign Affairs overseas trip.
**Geoffrey Miller is the Democracy Project’s international analyst and writes on current New Zealand foreign policy and related geopolitical issues. He has lived in Germany and the Middle East and is a fluent speaker of German and Arabic.*
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/on-the-inside/455748/decoding-nanaia-mahuta-s-first-foreign-trip
Teachers not getting a vaccination.
It's easy for me, I'm not in the situation of having to make decisions.
A West Otago Principal: “I think we are resigned to the fact people’s careers are being ruined by this. It’s not good for anyone,” he said.
Apparently people who die of covid have their careers ruined too. That is not good for anyone. I've read so many accounts of people who strongly advocated against being vaccinated who became extremely ill and lamented their choice. And others who vociferously supported non-vaccination who died.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/126987703/unvaccinated-teacher-my-15year-career-is-basically-down-the-drain
West Otago principal sounds sensible and kind.
Todd McClay. Dick. How many extra intensive care beds have been established at Rotorua Hospital in his time?
"A disaster waiting to happen."
That's how Rotorua MP Todd McClay describes Lakes DHB's ability to cope with a Delta outbreak after it was revealed there are only four fully staffed intensive care beds in Rotorua."
Todd McClay has been the MP for Rotorua since the end of 2008. He was in Government from then until October 2017. He had a stint in Cabinet for three years.
If he wants to play politics with Covid let's do it. There were big development at Rotorua Hospital in the 2009-2012 period. McClay's doing or from the Clark Government?
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-delta-outbreak-rotorua-taupo-a-disaster-waiting-to-happen-with-four-icu-beds-for-population-of-116000/TDRBPCBXOIJUTAYB5K3GV6GR6A/
https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/rotorua-hospital-upgrade-gets-government-nod
You will find that ICU beds are in short supply everywhere.
Yep, if someone from here needs one in the outbreak they'll be at least 350km from home and loved ones, that's if there's a bed in Dunedin. Otherwise it's Christchurch 500km away.
I appreciate your point.
My point is that a pandemic comes along and politicians who were in positions to do something about providing best case/worst case scenarios with resources get all excited about other politicians not doing what they could have done, should have done.
You know, the perspicacity, the courage, the standing up for what you belief, the head on the block attitude they expect of others they didn't have themselves.
Whangarei Hospital has been in the news for the poor state of it's infrastructure. They have their first Labour MP since 1975. National MPs now getting all excited about a run down facility? Yeah nah.
yup. question for Todd why didn't his do nothing government address the problem in 9 years of government. same for Waititi, his party had 9 years in government with National.
And there you go, after I wrote about it last night McClay is grandstanding today.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/rotorua-mp-todd-mcclay-ordered-to-leave-parliament-after-quizzing-health-minister/YR2ED77ZIYTP7F6DZVHV3N3UFI/