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notices and features - Date published:
2:01 pm, October 12th, 2019 - 30 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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48% -22% apparently.
Tamihere did worse than Crone did last time , as she got 28%. Hope that kills off any future political career for good.
Different candidate, different platform, different campaign, no comparison IMHO. I’d be interested in who came third; last time it was Chloë Swarbrick.
Yes it is. Comparing top 2 candidates only. Voters are creatures of habit.
2019 48%
2016 47%
2013 47%
2010 49%
Who can tell who was the name and the big issues from those numbers ?
Same happens in parliamentary seats, the quantum of votes not much different when the faces change. What is more likely to produce real differences in those elections is boundary changes.
Yes, we are creatures of habit. National elections are dominated by (the) political parties, which actually ‘helps’ status quo (AKA political stability) IMHO. That kind of tribalism is more subtle at local/regional level and even harder to detect closest to home at local wards, ADHBs, and licensing trusts. Perhaps it is because of local level pragmatism trumps ideology. For example, it doesn’t matter how you deal with rampant chickens and giant rats as long as you deal with it effectively.
Edit: I see you added to your comment after I’d replied. Never mind.
No I didnt . see my extra comment about 3rd !
Takes a few minutes to check back for the numbers to back up my claim
Sorry, I need to re-phrase that: I read your comment without those stats, replied without refreshing browser, and only then saw those stats in your comment. I work from the back-end of the site.
The Auckland City Council looks depressingly similar to the previous one 🙁
I would have hoped that with big and growing issues such as climate change we would start to see a shift in voting patterns but as you said, people tend to vote for the Devil they know (AKA the same old, same old).
'Same' numbers for 3rd place . How do you explain that?
Only difference that Lord would paid a lot of money to make it , while Swarbrick got a lot of 'unearned media' which didnt cost her, being the media darling helped there .
Craig Lord is 3rd 25,430 (7.8%) . While 2016 Swarbrick got 29,000 ( 7.3%) Like I said faces and issues dont matter that much
Never, ever, ever get Bomber Bradbury to endorse your campaign…
Kiss of death?
'never ever get McCarten' to run your campaign' would be a more apt, hes a perennial Rasputin for the politically naive… doubly so with Michelle Boag on the dream team.
I'll be fascinated to hear how they worked together.
Beyond the announcement they were working together, I'm betting they didn't.
It would have made a great fly on wall doco. Meaningful silences, shifty glances. Bad fashion choices.
tamihere/boag/mccarten..
none of them come out of it looking any good..
Be interesting to see the election spending for Tamihere, was that $0.5 -0.75 mill down the gurgler.
If Simon Bridges had any political nous and self-awareness (he doesn't) then he would learn the clear lesson – if an incumbent is "decent but a bit disappointing" then s/he will still win comfortably against "desperate and divisive".
It's Auckland, not Trumpland.
Unless it is council politics in Tauranga then you call in your mates and the town ends up with yet another "carpet bagger" with personal self-interests.
I see that Phil Goff has won the curtain raiser, but the main event is a real cliffhanger. Here in Wellington Andy Foster leads sitting mayor, Justin Lester, by a narrow margin of 712 votes, with 5000 odd specials still to be counted.
Daniel Newman and Angela Dalton will be a formidable organizing force for the right against Goff.
Goff could do worse than bring Newman into the tent – at least partially – and turn his guns onto Auckland Transport. That is clearly where the further governance structure is headed.
But Goff has now secured the critical term, because it is on in which he will enjoy the real celebrations that occur for Auckland from late 2020 and through 2021:
– Americas Cup
– Rugby World Cup
– Completion of all the downtown and waterfront works and developments
– APEC
– Women's Cricket world Cup
– National kapa haka Te Matatini
… and bunches of smaller stuff.
2021 is going to be the peak moment for Auckland as we haven't seen before.
Goff and Auckland deserve to enjoy what they have put in place. That's a big economic and social dividend for an Auckland that is otherwise drifting. Just maybe we will see some of this popularity shed sparkle-dust onto central government as well.
That sort of expensive Disneyland /Roman Colliseum type of events is the reason why real issues are ignored in favour of circuses.
Theres plenty of 'events' if people want to pay for their past time or faded old rock star.
Tamihere had only one good idea, a Council run 'Ombudsman' or Independent complaints authority who reported to the Council not the CEO, and access to all CCO and Council files and interview all staff to oversee complaints and their own investigations into misconduct.
Events are real. Running a city is a whole bunch more than pipes.
CCOs are often close to monopolies, so if you were going to regulate them, it should be under the Commerce Commission. I have also said before that we need a national water price regulator.
The commerce comission is a bit too generic for my liking.
Rugby World Cup?
Loser claims Goff had some unlikely backing. https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/400864/awoken-a-monster-defeated-john-tamihere-hints-at-what-s-next-on-his-agenda
And the ugly shithead is threatening the same performance next year.
So is Tamihere saying ( or is it McCartens words?) that the National sent Christine Fletcher and Michelle Boag to wreck his chances and he didnt know they were true blue ?
What a drop kick
Always someone else's fault. He even pulls out the 'Is it because I is black' routine.
He even blamed mccarten and boag and then laughed it off
Has he considered a partnership with the other self-anointed one? They could call themselves T ‘n T.